Monday, April 9, 2007

SWODY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0752 PM CDT MON APR 09 2007

VALID 100100Z - 101200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SERN NM/TRANSPECOS REGION OF TX...
THOUGH POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED/NON-SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS A
LARGE PORTION OF THE WRN AND S CENTRAL CONUS...STRONGEST CONVECTION --
AND MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT -- WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
ACROSS PARTS OF SERN NM AND THE TRANSPECOS REGION OF W TX.

ACROSS THIS AREA...DEWPOINTS NEAR 50 COMBINED WITH LARGE-SCALE UVV AND
COOLING ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH COMPACT UPPER LOW/VORT MAX NOW MOVING SEWD
ACROSS CENTRAL NM HAS RESULTED IN MARGINAL DESTABILIZATION /MEAN-LAYER
CAPE NEAR 500 J/KG/. A SMALL CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS HAS
DEVELOPED -- AND IS NOW MOVING OUT OF SERN NM INTO TX. THOUGH LOCALLY
GUSTY/POSSIBLY-DAMAGING WINDS MAY OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS...THE
ONSET OF BOUNDARY-LAYER STABILIZATION SHOULD RESULT IN A DECREASING WIND
THREAT BY 10/03Z.
AS STORMS BECOME ELEVATED ABOVE A STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER...A
MARGINAL HAIL THREAT MAY LINGER A BIT LONGER -- UNTIL STORMS WEAKEN
BELOW SEVERE LEVELS BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

.GOSS.. 04/10/2007