Tuesday, May 24, 2011

WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 356

WWUS20 KWNS 241755
SEL6
SPC WW 241755
OKZ000-TXZ000-250300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 356
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1250 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
PONCA CITY OKLAHOMA TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF FORT WORTH
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 352...WW 354...WW 355...

DISCUSSION...TSTM INITIATION IS ANTICIPATED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO ALONG THE DRYLINE FROM WRN OK INTO W-CNTRL TX. STRONG HEIGHT
FALLS/DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH NEGATIVELY TILTED
MIDLEVEL TROUGH EMERGING INTO THE PLAINS SHOULD SUPPORT A RAPID
INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WARM SECTOR AIR
MASS IS CHARACTERIZED BY A VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WITH DEWPOINTS
IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. WHEN COUPLED WITH STEEP MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES...ENVIRONMENT IS MODERATELY TO STRONGLY UNSTABLE WITH
MLCAPE VALUES OF 2500-4000 J/KG. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR STRENGTHENING TO
40-50 KT WILL PROMOTE RAPID SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT WITH THE INITIAL
HAZARD BEING VERY LARGE HAIL. INITIAL VEER-BACK WIND PROFILE
OBSERVED IN CURRENT VADS/PROFILERS IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO
LARGE CLOCKWISE CURVED HODOGRAPHS BY 00Z WHERE 0-1 KM SRH WILL
APPROACH 400-500 M2/S2. AS SUCH...EXPECT A RAPID INCREASE IN THE
THREAT FOR TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING...SOME OF WHICH
COULD BE LONG-TRACKED AND STRONG TO VIOLENT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.


...MEAD

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KSGF [241754]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 241754
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1253 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 PM FLASH FLOOD SENECA 36.84N 94.61W
05/23/2011 NEWTON MO EMERGENCY MNGR

40 HOMES FLOODED. 25 INDIVIDUALS HAD TO BE RESCUED.
NUMEROUS BUSINESSES WERE ALSO FLOODED.


&&

$$

GNOONAN

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KOHX [241752]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 241752
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1252 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1248 PM HAIL HARTSVILLE 36.39N 86.16W
05/24/2011 M1.00 INCH TROUSDALE TN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

STEIGERWALDT

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KEAX [241751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 241751
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1251 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1249 PM HAIL SMITHVILLE 39.38N 94.57W
05/24/2011 E0.75 INCH CLAY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

ALSO ESTIMATED WINDS GUSTING UP TO 45 MPH.


&&

$$

CDB

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KEAX [241751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 241751
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1251 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1248 PM HAIL NORTH KANSAS CITY 39.13N 94.56W
05/24/2011 E0.75 INCH CLAY MO NWS EMPLOYEE

WINDS 50 MPH


&&

$$

ADOLPHSON

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KRNK [241749]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 241749
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
149 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM TSTM WND DMG NATHALIE 36.93N 78.95W
05/24/2011 HALIFAX VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

MANY TREES DOWN.


&&

$$

TW

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KRNK [241746]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KRNK 241746
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
146 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1242 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 E STUART 36.63N 80.19W
05/24/2011 PATRICK VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN PATRICK SPRINGS.


&&

$$

WERT

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KRNK [241741]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 241741
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
141 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM TSTM WND DMG WENTWORTH 36.40N 79.77W
05/24/2011 ROCKINGHAM NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN TOWN.


&&

$$

TW

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KEAX [241737]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 241737
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1237 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1235 PM TSTM WND GST PLATTE CITY 39.36N 94.78W
05/24/2011 E50 MPH PLATTE MO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

AJ

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KEAX [241736]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 241736
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1236 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1235 PM HAIL PLATTE CITY 39.36N 94.78W
05/24/2011 E0.75 INCH PLATTE MO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

AJ

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KEAX [241736]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 241736
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1235 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1235 PM TSTM WND DMG PLATTE CITY 39.36N 94.78W
05/24/2011 PLATTE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

1-2 INCH BRANCHES DOWN IN PLATTE CITY


&&

$$

AJ

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0926

ACUS11 KWNS 241735
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241734
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-VTZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-241930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0926
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1234 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN NEW ENGLAND AND THE NORTHEAST

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 241734Z - 241930Z

AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON.
OVERALL MARGINAL/SPORADIC NATURE OF THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD
PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW...WITH A 20 PERCENT PROBABILITY OF
ISSUANCE BY 20Z.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY COMMENCED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SRN VT THROUGH ERN/CNTRL NY INTO NRN PA WITHIN A BROADLY
CYCLONIC UPPER-LEVEL FLOW REGIME. ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY STRUGGLE TO
BECOME ROBUST GIVEN POOR MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF AROUND 6 DEG C/KM
AT 700-500 MB SAMPLED IN REGIONAL 12Z RAOBS. DESPITE AREAS OF
SCATTERED TO OVERCAST CLOUD COVERAGE...POCKETS OF STRONGER HEATING
WILL RESULT IN A WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS. GIVEN MODERATE EFFECTIVE
SHEAR OF 20 TO 30 KT...OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN
MARGINAL AND PERHAPS YIELD ISOLATED DOWNBURSTS IN STRONGER CORES.

..GRAMS.. 05/24/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...

LAT...LON 40247430 40377586 41067697 41727672 42557602 43557418
43817228 43647120 43147080 42407089 41547153 41267212
40687347 40557409 40247430

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KTFX [241732]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 241732
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1132 AM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1045 AM HEAVY RAIN 10 SW UTICA 46.88N 110.25W
05/24/2011 M1.02 INCH JUDITH BASIN MT PUBLIC

1.02 INCHES OF RAIN FELL AT SAPPHIRE VILLAGE IN 4
HOURS. STILL MODERATE RAIN


&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

$$

WILLIAMSON

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KRNK [241732]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 241732
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
132 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0127 PM HAIL DANVILLE AIRPORT 36.58N 79.33W
05/24/2011 E1.00 INCH PITTSYLVANIA VA PUBLIC


&&

$$

TW

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KRNK [241731]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 241731
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
129 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0115 PM TSTM WND DMG MARTINSVILLE AIRPORT 36.63N 79.87W
05/24/2011 HENRY VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN COUNTYWIDE.


&&

$$

TW

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 353

WWUS20 KWNS 241723
SEL3
SPC WW 241723
KSZ000-241900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 353
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1223 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 353 ISSUED AT 650 AM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

KANSAS

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KILN [241722]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 241722
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
121 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0648 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N HAGERSTOWN 39.94N 85.15W
05/23/2011 WAYNE IN EMERGENCY MNGR

ONE TREE DOWNED ON OLIVE BRANCH ROAD.

0652 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW CENTERVILLE 39.84N 85.03W
05/23/2011 WAYNE IN EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWNED ON GEORGE EARLY ROAD.

0653 PM TSTM WND DMG ENE CENTERVILLE 39.82N 84.99W
05/23/2011 WAYNE IN EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWNED ON SOUTH FOURTH STREET.

0659 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SSW FOUNTAIN CITY 39.92N 84.94W
05/23/2011 WAYNE IN EMERGENCY MNGR

ONE TREE DOWNED ON PITTS ROAD.

0701 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NNW RICHMOND 39.89N 84.92W
05/23/2011 WAYNE IN EMERGENCY MNGR

A GARAGE WAS SIGNIFICANTLY DAMAGED. SIDING AND WINDOW
DAMAGE DONE TO A HOUSE.

0702 PM TSTM WND DMG RICHMOND 39.83N 84.89W
05/23/2011 WAYNE IN EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS RICHMOND.


&&

$$

HATZOS

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KRNK [241723]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 241723
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
122 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0110 PM HAIL 8 E AXTON 36.67N 79.57W
05/24/2011 E0.50 INCH PITTSYLVANIA VA PUBLIC


&&

$$

TW

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KILN [241721]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 241721
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
121 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0728 PM TSTM WND DMG BEAVER 39.03N 82.83W
05/22/2011 PIKE OH EMERGENCY MNGR

TWO LARGE TREES SNAPPED...BOTH FALLING ON SEPARATE MOBILE
HOMES...DESTROYING THE HOMES. SEPARATE LARGE TREE
UPROOTED ALSO IN THE SAME AREA.


&&

$$

JDR

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KRNK [241720]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 241720
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
110 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1242 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 E STUART 36.63N 80.19W
05/24/2011 PATRICK VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN PATRICK SPRINGS.


&&

$$

TW

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0925

ACUS11 KWNS 241718
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241718
OKZ000-TXZ000-241845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0925
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1218 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NW TX...WRN AND CNTRL OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 241718Z - 241845Z

STORM INITIATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS WRN OK AND NW TX OVER THE NEXT
HOUR. SUPERCELLS SHOULD RAPIDLY DEVELOP WITH A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL
AND TORNADOES. A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE ISSUED BY 18Z.


SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A 997 MB LOW IN THE NRN TX PANHANDLE WITH A
DRYLINE EXTENDING SWD FROM THE LOW ACROSS FAR WRN OK INTO WEST TX.
THE DRYLINE IS STARTING TO ADVANCE EWD WITH VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWING AN EXPANDING FIELD OF CUMULUS FROM I-40 IN WRN OK
SWD TO NEAR SAN ANGELO IN WCNTRL TX. AS FURTHER DESTABILIZATION
OCCURS THIS AFTERNOON AND THE CAP WEAKENS...RAPID CELL INITIATION IS
EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG THIS CORRIDOR. AS THIS OCCURS...A 50 TO 65
KT MID-LEVEL JET EJECTING NEWD TOWARD THE SRN PLAINS WILL CREATE
STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS. AS
STORMS INTENSIFY...VERY LARGE HAIL GREATER THAN 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER
WILL BECOME LIKELY. IN ADDITION...A 30 TO 40 KT LOW-LEVEL JET IS IN
PLACE ACROSS NW TX AND WRN OK. AS THIS FEATURE
STRENGTHENS...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL BECOME VERY FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES. WITH 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITIES INCREASING INTO THE
450 TO 600 M2/S2 RANGE...LONG-TRACK STRONG TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED TO
OCCUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

..BROYLES.. 05/24/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...

LAT...LON 36359864 35549906 34789972 34469989 33560003 32959970
32809942 32789855 33159793 33799761 34609702 35689660
36409722 36629823 36359864

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KEAX [241717]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 241717
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1217 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1217 PM HAIL ST JOSEPH 39.76N 94.85W
05/24/2011 E0.50 INCH BUCHANAN MO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

AJ

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KILN [241713]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 241713
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
113 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0728 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NE ARCANUM 40.00N 84.54W
05/23/2011 DARKE OH EMERGENCY MNGR

A BARN WAS SIGNIFICANTLY DAMAGED WITH THE ROOF REMOVED.

0729 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 ESE ARCANUM 39.98N 84.52W
05/23/2011 DARKE OH EMERGENCY MNGR

THE METAL ROOF OF A HOUSE WAS PEELED OFF.


&&

$$

HATZOS

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KSJT [241712]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 241712
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1212 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0648 PM HAIL 5 S MAY 31.91N 98.92W
05/22/2011 M3.00 INCH BROWN TX TRAINED SPOTTER

RECEIVED AN EMAIL FROM A STORM SPOTTER AT MAY 5S ON HWY
183. THE SPOTTER REPORTED TEA CUP SIZE HAIL OR 3.00
INCHES.


&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1100195

$$

18

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KRNK [241710]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 241710
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
110 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1242 PM DENSE FOG 5 E STUART 36.63N 80.19W
05/24/2011 PATRICK VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN PATRICK SPRINGS.


&&

$$

TW

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KILN [241703]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 241703
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
103 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM TORNADO 5 NNE SPRINGFIELD 39.99N 83.76W
05/23/2011 F1 CLARK OH NWS STORM SURVEY

EF1 TORNADO CONFIRMED NNE OF SPRINGFIELD OHIO. POWER
POLES DOWNED AND HOME DAMAGE REPORTED.


&&

$$

HATZOS

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KCTP [241657]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCTP 241657
LSRCTP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1257 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0535 PM TORNADO WINFIELD 40.90N 76.87W
05/23/2011 UNION PA EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1100110

$$

HEAD

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DAY1SVR: Public Severe Weather Outlook (Automatic)

536
WOUS40 KWNS 241656
PWOSPC
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-250200-

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1156 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

...INTENSE TORNADO OUTBREAK EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL PLAINS AND OZARKS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG/VIOLENT TORNADOES...VERY LARGE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS AND OZARKS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

WESTERN AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
WESTERN AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA
NORTH TEXAS

ELSEWHERE...SURROUNDING THE AREA OF GREATEST RISK...SEVERE STORMS
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE MID
MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND
STATES.

A STRONG JET STREAM DISTURBANCE NOW OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL
MOVE RAPIDLY EASTWARD AND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT.
AS THIS OCCURS...AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN AND MOVE
NORTHEAST FROM THE TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO CENTRAL KANSAS.
STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL SOUTHERLY WINDS EAST OF THE LOW WILL
TRANSPORT INCREASINGLY WARM AND HUMID AIR NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
PLAINS AND OZARKS...BENEATH UNUSUALLY STRONG WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS IN THE JET STREAM.

SCATTERED INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
IN AN ARC FROM CENTRAL KANSAS SOUTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
INTO NORTH TEXAS AS DAYTIME HEATING FURTHER DESTABILIZES THE REGION
AHEAD OF THE DEEPENING LOW. DANGEROUS CONDITIONS ARE IN PLACE FOR A
RISK OF SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF LONG-TRACK STRONG TO
VIOLENT TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL AS THEY MOVE / DEVELOP
GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF KANSAS...
OKLAHOMA...AND NORTH TEXAS.

THE STORMS LIKELY WILL ORGANIZE INTO AN EXTENSIVE BAND THIS
EVENING...EXTENDING THE RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND A
FEW TORNADOES EAST AND NORTHEAST INTO PARTS OF ARKANSAS AND MISSOURI
BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS POTENTIALLY
VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO
REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO
RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE
WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.

..HART.. 05/24/2011

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KPUB [241656]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 241656
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1056 AM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1053 AM HAIL HASWELL 38.45N 103.16W
05/24/2011 M0.88 INCH KIOWA CO LAW ENFORCEMENT

DEPUTY REPORTED NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN HASWELL.


&&

$$

STARK

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0924

ACUS11 KWNS 241656
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241655
VAZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-NCZ000-241800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0924
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN KY...NRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 352...

VALID 241655Z - 241800Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 352
CONTINUES.

VALID PORTION OF WW 352 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 18Z. WITH SEVERE
THREAT LIKELY PERSISTING...THE PROBABILITY OF A WW REPLACEMENT IS 80
PERCENT.

A RECENT INCREASE IN REGENERATIVE TSTM DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN NOTED
ACROSS PARTS OF S-CNTRL KY INTO FAR NRN MIDDLE TN. LOW-LEVEL WARM
THETA-E ADVECTION ATOP A WEST-EAST ORIENTED CONVECTIVE
OUTFLOW...COUPLED WITH AN MCV OVER WRN KY WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE
IN TSTM COVERAGE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...SUPPORTED BY LATEST
CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODEL GUIDANCE. AIR MASS ACROSS MIDDLE AND ERN
TN WILL CONTINUE TO HEAT AND BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE
REACHING 1500 TO 2500 J/KG. STRONG AND NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL W/SWLY
LOW/MID-LEVEL PROFILES SAMPLED IN AREA VWP DATA WILL SUPPORT
ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS PRIMARILY PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED
SEVERE HAIL. ALTHOUGH A CLUSTER CONVECTIVE MODE APPEARS MOST
PROBABLE GIVEN THE ORIENTATION OF THE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR VECTOR TO THE
INITIATING BOUNDARY...OCCASIONAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES MAY DEVELOP
WITH A BRIEF TORNADO BEING POSSIBLE.

..GRAMS.. 05/24/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...

LAT...LON 36398701 36908650 37248529 37338337 37328266 36518217
36238228 35998266 35888415 35898652 36148701 36398701

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 241654
SWODY2
SPC AC 241653

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1153 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM MO/AR NORTHEAST INTO
INDIANA...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK ACROSS
THE MID/LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS...

...A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY FROM
MO/AR INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY...INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG
TORNADOES...

VERY STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT NEWD INTO THE CNTRL/SRN
PLAINS DURING THE LATE DAY1 EARLY DAY2 PERIOD WHERE DEEPENING IS
EXPECTED. BOTH THE NAM AND GFS INDICATE A SUBSTANTIAL SFC CYCLONE
WILL EVOLVE OVER CNTRL KS COINCIDENT WITH DEEPENING UPPER LOW BY
25/12Z. THIS EVOLUTION WILL ENABLE A BROAD WARM SECTOR TO RETURN
ACROSS THE MS VALLEY INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY WHERE 70S SFC DEW
POINTS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR MANY AREAS SOUTH OF THE I-70
CORRIDOR/WARM FRONT. THIS WARM FRONT WILL LIKELY SERVE AS AN
INSTIGATOR FOR PRE-DAWN THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES OVER KS/MO AND WARM
ADVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DRIVE EPISODIC SEVERE CLUSTERS
DOWNSTREAM AHEAD OF THE EJECTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AS THE E-W
BOUNDARY RETREATS TOWARD LOWER MI. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN WILL BE
THE WARM BUOYANT AIRMASS THAT SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS MO/AR INTO NRN
LA AHEAD OF A PRONOUNCED DRYLINE. STRONG HEATING/MIXING WILL ENABLE
THIS BOUNDARY TO SURGE NEWD DURING THE DAY AND WILL AID DISCRETE
SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT AS TEMPERATURES SOAR INTO THE 80S...THOUGH
TSTMS MAY INITIATE ALONG THE BOUNDARY ACROSS MO AT SLIGHTLY LOWER
CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES. FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR THIS INITIAL
SUPERCELL ACTIVITY STRONGLY SUPPORTS INTENSE UPDRAFTS/ROTATION THAT
SHOULD LEAD TO TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT. SHEAR PROFILES ARE SUCH THAT
STRONG TORNADOES MAY BE NOTED ALONG THE MODERATE RISK CORRIDOR. AS
MID LEVEL SPEED MAX EJECTS ACROSS AR INTO SRN IL AND BOUNDARY LAYER
DEEPENS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS TO INITIATE AHEAD OF THE SURGING DRYLINE. NEEDLESS TO
SAY A POTENTIALLY VOLATILE SITUATION COULD EVOLVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE MID/LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY.

DOWNSTREAM...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE NOTED ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS INTO WRN VA DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY WELL
AHEAD OF THE PRIMARY UPPER TROUGH. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE
DIURNALLY ENHANCED AND POSE AT LEAST A THREAT OF HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

..DARROW.. 05/24/2011

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KTFX [241653]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 241653
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1053 AM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1045 AM HEAVY RAIN 10 SW UTICA 46.88N 110.25W
05/24/2011 M1.02 INCH JUDITH BASIN MT PUBLIC

1.02 INCHES OF RAIN FELL AT SAHPHIRE VILLAGE IN 4
HOURS. STILL MODERATE RAIN


&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

$$

WILLIAMSON

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KJKL [241651]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 241651
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1251 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1246 PM HAIL WHITLEY CITY 36.72N 84.48W
05/24/2011 E0.50 INCH MCCREARY KY PUBLIC


&&

$$

TBREWER

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KTFX [241650]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 241650
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1050 AM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1045 AM HEAVY RAIN 10 SW UTICA 46.88N 110.25W
05/24/2011 M1.02 INCH JUDITH BASIN MT PUBLIC

1.02 INCHES OF RAIN FELL AT SAHPHIRE VILLAGE IN 4
HOURS. STILL MOERATE RAIN


&&

$$

WILLIAMSON

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KRNK [241649]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 241649
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1249 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1245 PM TSTM WND DMG SMITH MOUNTAIN LAKE STA 37.09N 79.59W
05/24/2011 BEDFORD VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN SOUTH PART OF LAKE AREA.


&&

$$

TW

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KJKL [241650]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 241650
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1249 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1246 PM HAIL WHITLEY CITY 36.72N 84.48W
05/24/2011 E0.50 INCH MCCREARY KY TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

TBREWER

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 355

WWUS20 KWNS 241643
SEL5
SPC WW 241643
MDZ000-NCZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-250000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 355
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEAST MARYLAND
NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1240 PM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF PATUXENT RIVER MARYLAND TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
ROCKY MOUNT NORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE
WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 352...WW 353...WW 354...

DISCUSSION...NOCTURNAL MCS CURRENTLY EMERGING FROM THE BLUE RIDGE
HAS SHOWN A RAPID INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ALONG
ERN/SRN PERIPHERY OF SYSTEM COLD POOL. AMBIENT INFLOW AIR MASS HAS
WARMED INTO THE 80S. WHEN COUPLED WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN
THE 60S...ENVIRONMENT HAS BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE
VALUES OF 1000-2000 J/KG. GIVEN 40-50 KT WLY FLOW OBSERVED IN THE
700-500 MB LAYER /PER REGIONAL VAD DATA/...SETUP WILL FAVOR
ORGANIZED STORM MODES INCLUDING LINE SEGMENTS AND SUPERCELLS CAPABLE
OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28035.


...MEAD

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KRNK [241639]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 241639
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1238 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1229 PM HAIL PENHOOK 36.98N 79.63W
05/24/2011 E1.00 INCH FRANKLIN VA PUBLIC


&&

$$

TW

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KJKL [241638]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 241638
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1238 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0803 AM TSTM WND DMG DELTA 36.86N 84.66W
05/24/2011 WAYNE KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES AND TREES ARE DOWN AND BLOCKING THE ROAD IN
THE DELTA COMMUNITY ON BRAMMER HILL ROAD.


&&

$$

TBREWER

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KTSA [241636]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 241636
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1135 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1015 PM HAIL 4 S OZARK 35.43N 93.83W
05/23/2011 E1.00 INCH FRANKLIN AR PUBLIC

1015 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 S OZARK 35.43N 93.83W
05/23/2011 FRANKLIN AR PUBLIC

ROOF DAMAGE. ESTIMATED 70 MPH WIND.

1015 PM HAIL 4 S OZARK 35.43N 93.83W
05/23/2011 E1.00 INCH FRANKLIN AR PUBLIC

SVR363

1015 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 S OZARK 35.43N 93.83W
05/23/2011 FRANKLIN AR PUBLIC

SVR363 ROOF DAMAGE. ESTIMATED 70 MILES AN HOUR.


&&

$$

GEW

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 241626
SWODY1
SPC AC 241625

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

VALID 241630Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN KS...CENTRAL AND EASTERN OK...AND NORTH CENTRAL
TX...

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTH
TX...MOST OF OK...MUCH OF CENTRAL/EASTERN KS...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
MO...AND NORTHWEST AR....

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A LARGE AREA FROM THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS...ACROSS THE MID MS/OH/TN VALLEYS...INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC STATES AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND....

...AN INTENSE OUTBREAK OF TORNADOES AND WIDESPREAD SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF KS/OK/TX...

...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS...
MORNING SATELLITE LOOPS SHOW A VIGOROUS AND PROGRESSIVE MID/UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. THIS FEATURE IS
FORECAST TO ROTATE RAPIDLY EASTWARD INTO THE PLAINS AND BECOME
NEGATIVELY-TILTED THIS EVENING. LATEST TCC PROFILER DATA SHOWS 90+
KNOT FLOW AT 6KM...INDICATIVE OF THE MID/UPPER LEVEL WIND MAX THAT
WILL NOSE INTO THE PLAINS THIS EVENING. MEANWHILE... SOUTHERLY LOW
LEVEL WINDS WILL MAINTAIN UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S DEWPOINTS ACROSS
MUCH OF NORTH TX...OK...AND SOUTHERN/CENTRAL KS. BY MID AFTERNOON
THE DRYLINE WILL EXTEND FROM WEST-CENTRAL KS INTO WESTERN OK AND
WESTERN NORTH TX. STRONG HEATING AND RICH MOISTURE...COUPLED WITH
NEAR DRY-ADIABATIC MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...WILL YIELD AN EXTREMELY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH MLCAPE VALUES OF 4000-4500 J/KG.

PRESENT INDICATIONS AND LATEST OPERATIONS/MESOSCALE MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATE THAT DISCRETE SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM ALONG THE
KS/OK DRYLINE BY MID AFTERNOON AND MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD WITH A
RISK OF A FEW TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL. EARLY IN THE
EVENT...THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT WILL BE OVER KS AS STORMS
INTERACT WITH PRE-EXISTING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND BACKED LOW LEVEL
WINDS.

AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES...CONTINUED HEATING AND LARGE SCALE LIFT
DUE TO APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH MAY LEAD TO MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE DRYLINE. THESE STORMS WILL ALSO
TRACK ACROSS THE HIGH RISK AREA DURING THE EVENING. LOW LEVEL WINDS
WILL BE STRENGTHENING...WITH ALL CONDITIONS FAVORING THE POTENTIAL
FOR LONG-TRACKED STRONG/VIOLENT TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTH TX...CENTRAL OK...AND CENTRAL KS.

DURING THE LATE EVENING...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONGEAL AND SPREAD
EASTWARD INTO PORTIONS OF MO/AR WITH AN ENHANCED RISK OF WIDESPREAD
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

...MID ATLANTIC STATES...
A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS IS ONGOING THIS MORNING OVER WESTERN VA.
THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND SPREAD
EASTWARD TOWARD THE COAST BY EVENING. LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE
RELATIVELY WEAK. HOWEVER...40-50 KNOT MID/UPPER LEVEL WINDS AND
MLCAPE VALUES OF 2500-3000 J/KG WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF SEVERE STORMS
CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

..HART/GRAMS.. 05/24/2011

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KRNK [241624]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 241624
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1224 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM TSTM WND DMG 6 SE ROCKY MOUNT 36.94N 79.81W
05/24/2011 FRANKLIN VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN NEAR TOWN OF SONTAG.


&&

$$

TW

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KEAX [241621]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 241621
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1121 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1120 AM HAIL LANCASTER KS 39.57N 95.30W
05/24/2011 E1.75 INCH ATCHISON KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

AJ

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0923

ACUS11 KWNS 241615
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241615
NCZ000-VAZ000-241745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0923
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...VA AND NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 354...

VALID 241615Z - 241745Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 354
CONTINUES.

THE SEVERE THREAT ONGOING IN THE ERN PART OF WW 354 WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP EWD INTO SE VA AND NRN NC THIS AFTERNOON. WIND DAMAGE AND
HAIL SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. WW ISSUANCE WILL
PROBABLY BE NEEDED DOWNSTREAM OF THE CURRENT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH WITHIN THE HOUR.

A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN WRN VA IS LOCATED JUST AHEAD OF
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THIS FEATURE WILL
SUPPORT THE CONVECTION EWD THIS AFTERNOON INTO AN INCREASINGLY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS. MESOANALYSIS SHOWS MLCAPE VALUES IN SE VA AND NE
NC IN THE 1000 TO 2000 J/KG RANGE. IN ADDITION...LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES IN THE APPALACHIAN FOOTHILLS ARE NOW ESTIMATED TO BETWEEN 7.5
AND 8.0 C/KM ALONG THE WRN EDGE OF MODERATE INSTABILITY. THIS
SUGGESTS THE DEVELOPING STORMS MAY HAVE AN INCREASING WIND DAMAGE
THREAT. THE WIND DAMAGE THREAT COULD BECOME ENHANCED IF A PERSISTENT
LINE-SEGMENT CAN ORGANIZE ACROSS THE REGION.

..BROYLES.. 05/24/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...LWX...RAH...RNK...

LAT...LON 37647972 37048077 35958035 35647875 35377712 35997607
36797598 37657796 37647972

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KSGF [241613]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 241613
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1113 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM FLASH FLOOD SENECA 36.84N 94.61W
05/23/2011 NEWTON MO EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS SMALL BUSINESSES AND HOUSES FLOODED IN THE
CENTER OF TOWN. FLOODING BEGAN AT 4 PM ON 23 MAY AND
CRESTED AT 11 PM ON 23 MAY. FLOOD WATER HAD RECEEDED BACK
IN TO CREEK BANKS AS OF 0400 AM ON 24 MAY.


&&

$$

JCOLUCCI

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KRNK [241613]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 241613
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1213 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1210 PM TSTM WND DMG GALAX CITY 36.67N 80.92W
05/24/2011 CITY OF GALAX VA PUBLIC

TREES DOWN NORTH OF TOWN.


&&

$$

TW

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KARX [241612]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 241612
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1106 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0233 PM TORNADO 4 NE RICEVILLE 43.40N 92.50W
05/22/2011 HOWARD IA NWS STORM SURVEY

DAMAGE SURVEY CONDUCTED 5/23. THE TORNADO BEGAN 4.2 MILES
NORTHEAST OF RICEVILLE WITH EF1 DAMAGE. IT REACHED ITS
MAXIMUM STRENGTH EF2 AND SIZE 250 YARDS WIDE 2.5 MILES
SOUTH OF CHESTER IOWA. THE PATH CONTINUED NORTHEAST INTO
FILLMORE COUNTY MINNESOTA DISSIPATING AT 329 PM 2 MILES
NORTHEAST OF HARMONY MINNESOTA.

0400 PM TORNADO 3 NW CALEDONIA 43.66N 91.54W
05/22/2011 HOUSTON MN NWS STORM SURVEY

STORM SURVEY CONDUCTED 5/23. THE TORNADO BEGAN ONE HALF
MILE WEST OF THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 22 AND 76 IN
CENTRAL HOUSTON COUNTY. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE WAS 5
MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HOKAH WITH EF2 DAMAGE AND A
MAXIMUM WIDTH OF 100 YARDS. THE PATH CONTINUED NORTHEAST
WITH THE TORNADO DISSIPATING 3 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
HOKAH AT 420 PM. TOTAL PATH LENGTH WAS 14 MILES.

0455 PM TORNADO 1 SW SPARTA 43.93N 90.82W
05/22/2011 MONROE WI NWS STORM SURVEY

TORNADO FORMED AT 455 PM AND TRACKED 2 MILES WITH A
MAXIMUM WIDTH OF 70 YARDS AND EF1 DAMAGE. THE TORNADO
DISSIPATED AT 500 PM 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SPARTA.

0515 PM TORNADO 4 NW TOMAH 44.03N 90.56W
05/22/2011 MONROE WI NWS STORM SURVEY

DAMAGE SURVEY WAS DONE 5/23. TORNADO FORMED 4 MILES
NORTHWEST OF TOMAH NEAR COUNTY ROAD M. THE MAXIMUM DAMAGE
WAS EF2 IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS ALONG ITS PATH. AT ITS
WIDEST POINT IT WAS 800 YARDS WIDE. THE TORNADO
DISSIPATED AT 605 PM 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEKOOSA.


&&

$$

JLR

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KSGF [241608]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 241608
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1108 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 AM FLASH FLOOD SENECA 36.84N 94.61W
05/24/2011 NEWTON MO EMERGENCY MNGR

EIGHT INCH WATER MAIN RUPTURED DUE TO FLOODING ALONG
SAINT LOUISE STREET NEAR EUGENE STREET AT LITTLE LOST
CREEK.


&&

$$

JCOLUCCI

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KRNK [241602]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 241602
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1202 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM HAIL FRIES 36.72N 80.97W
05/24/2011 E0.88 INCH CARROLL VA PUBLIC


&&

$$

TW

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KJKL [241600]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KJKL 241600
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1200 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0922 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 N SALYERSVILLE 37.80N 83.06W
05/23/2011 MAGOFFIN KY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREES DOWN BETWEEN HIGHWAY 460 AND 40.


&&

$$

RAY

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