Wednesday, September 1, 2010

KFWD [020359]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 020359
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1059 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1045 PM HAIL BELLMEAD 31.58N 97.08W
09/01/2010 E1.00 INCH MCLENNAN TX EMERGENCY MNGR

IN BELLMEADE

$$

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KICT [020347]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 020347
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1047 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1035 PM HEAVY RAIN NNW SUSANK 38.64N 98.78W
09/01/2010 M3.40 INCH BARTON KS TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURES 3.4 INCHES OF RAIN FROM EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS.


&&

$$

VJP

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KICT [020339]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 020339
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1038 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM HAIL HOISINGTON 38.52N 98.78W
09/01/2010 M2.00 INCH BARTON KS PUBLIC

LOCAL BROADCAST MEDIA KAKE RELAYED HEN EGG SIZED HAIL
FROM THE PUBLIC.

0930 PM HAIL HOISINGTON 38.52N 98.78W
09/01/2010 M1.75 INCH BARTON KS PUBLIC

LOCAL BROADCAST MEDIA KWCH RELAYS GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL
FROM THE PUBLIC.

0940 PM HAIL 4 N GREAT BEND 38.42N 98.81W
09/01/2010 M2.00 INCH BARTON KS PUBLIC

PUBLIC MEASURES HEN EGG SIZED HAIL RELAYED BY LOCAL
BROADCAST MEDIA KSN.

0940 PM HAIL 4 N GREAT BEND 38.42N 98.81W
09/01/2010 M1.75 INCH BARTON KS PUBLIC

PUBLIC MEASURES GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL RELAYED BY LOCAL
BROADCAST MEDIA KSN.


&&

$$

VJP

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KABR [020336]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 020336
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1036 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1035 PM HAIL WATERTOWN 44.91N 97.17W
09/01/2010 E0.88 INCH CODINGTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KGILLE

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KFSD [020323]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 020323
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1023 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1017 PM HAIL 17 S PUKWANA 43.53N 99.17W
09/01/2010 E1.00 INCH BRULE SD TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

LAFLIN

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KFWD [020318]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 020318
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1017 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1225 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 W DENISON 33.75N 96.72W
09/01/2010 GRAYSON TX BROADCAST MEDIA

SEVERAL TREES LARGER THAN 6 INCHES SPLIT AND
CONSTRUCTION TRAILER BLOWN OVER AT HAGERMAN WILDLIFE
REFUGE VISITOR CENTER

$$

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KABR [020302]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 020302
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1002 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0955 PM HAIL GARDEN CITY 44.96N 97.58W
09/01/2010 E1.00 INCH CLARK SD EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

ABR

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KICT [020255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 020255
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
955 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0949 PM FLOOD HOISINGTON 38.52N 98.78W
09/01/2010 BARTON KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL STREETS FLOODING IN THE TOWN OF HOISINGTON
RELAYED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT.

0954 PM FLOOD ELLINWOOD 38.36N 98.58W
09/01/2010 BARTON KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

MINOR STREET FLOODING REPORTED IN TOWN BY LAW
ENFORCEMENT.


&&

$$

VJP

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KICT [020250]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 020250
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
950 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0949 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 SW SUSANK 38.60N 98.83W
09/01/2010 BARTON KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

THERE IS WATER RUNNING OVER HIGHWAY 281 ACCORDING TO LAW
ENFORCEMENT.


&&

$$

VJP

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KICT [020248]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 020248
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
948 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0932 PM HAIL HOISINGTON 38.52N 98.78W
09/01/2010 E0.75 INCH BARTON KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT ESTIMATES DIME SIZED HAIL.


&&

$$

VJP

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KFWD [020247]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 020247
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
947 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0813 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W ENNIS 32.33N 96.66W
09/01/2010 ELLIS TX BROADCAST MEDIA

PUBLIC REPORT TO MEDIA OF METAL THROWN ALL AROUND THE
AREA AT TEXAS MOTORPLEX

$$

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KFWD [020244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 020244
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
944 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM TSTM WND DMG REAGOR SPRINGS 32.33N 96.77W
09/01/2010 ELLIS TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS SHEDS/OUTBUILDINGS ETC BLOWN ONTO ROAD IN
REAGOR SPRINGS

$$

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KMAF [020241]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMAF 020241
LSRMAF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
941 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0745 PM TSTM WND GST 6 N STILES 31.49N 101.57W
09/01/2010 E60 MPH REAGAN TX TRAINED SPOTTER

A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED HIS FLAG WAS PARTIALLY TORN BY
THE THE WIND GUST. A 6 FOOT LONG TREE BRANCH WAS ALSO
FOUND BROKEN NEAR SH 137.


&&

$$

RYAN.BARNES

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KOAX [020240]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 020240
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
940 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM HAIL 4 W LORTON VILLAGE 40.60N 96.10W
09/01/2010 E1.00 INCH OTOE NE LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

DEE

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KICT [020239]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KICT 020239
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
939 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0939 PM HAIL 2 SW HOISINGTON 38.50N 98.80W
09/01/2010 E1.00 INCH BARTON KS PUBLIC

PUBLIC ESTIMATES PENNY TO QUARTER HAIL.


&&

$$

VJP

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KABR [020238]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 020238
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
938 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0853 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N TULARE 44.77N 98.51W
09/01/2010 SPINK SD FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

TELEPHONE POLES SNAPPED .


&&

$$

KGILLE

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KICT [020237]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 020237
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
937 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0832 PM HAIL 2 SW HOISINGTON 38.50N 98.80W
09/01/2010 E1.00 INCH BARTON KS PUBLIC

PUBLIC ESTIMATES PENNY TO QUARTER HAIL.


&&

$$

VJP

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1778

ACUS11 KWNS 020235
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020235
MNZ000-IAZ000-SDZ000-NEZ000-020430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1778
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0935 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 640...

VALID 020235Z - 020430Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 640
CONTINUES.

SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS ERN SD/WW 640.

RADAR LOOP CONTINUES TO SHOW SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS ONGOING
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT MOVING SEWD ACROSS SD ATTM. GREATEST STORM
COVERAGE EXISTS ACROSS THE NERN QUARTER OF SD...WHERE WEAKER
INSTABILITY IS INDICATED. HERE...STORMS CONTINUE TO SPREAD EWD ATOP
AN INCREASINGLY STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER...WHICH WITH TIME SHOULD TEND
TO LIMIT DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL. IN THE MEAN TIME...A FEW OF THE
STRONGER/ROTATING CELLS CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS
ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL.

FARTHER S...MORE ISOLATED CELLS PERSIST WITHIN MODERATELY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT. WHILE STORMS HAVE REMAINED SUB-SEVERE ACROSS SERN
SD...DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AND AMPLE SHEAR SUGGESTS ISOLATED SEVERE
THREAT PERSISTS ACROSS THIS REGION.

..GOSS.. 09/02/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...OAX...ABR...LBF...

LAT...LON 42799922 44779859 45819722 45639633 42859665 42799922

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KLUB [020229]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 020229
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
929 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0655 PM TSTM WND DMG ESTELLINE 34.55N 100.44W
09/01/2010 HALL TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

PART OF ROOF BLOWN OFF OF ESTELLINE CITY HALL


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000297

$$

JWJ

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KOUN [020222]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 020222
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
922 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM TSTM WND GST 3 SE FREDERICK 34.36N 98.97W
09/01/2010 M59 MPH TILLMAN OK ASOS


&&

$$

CM

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KLUB [020227]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 020227
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
927 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM TSTM WND DMG BRICE 34.71N 100.89W
09/01/2010 HALL TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER POLES DOWNED FROM STORM WINDS


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000296

$$

JWJ

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KOAX [020213]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 020213
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
912 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0835 PM HAIL 3 SE PANAMA 40.57N 96.47W
09/01/2010 E0.88 INCH LANCASTER NE PUBLIC


&&

$$

JEK

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KABR [020207]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 020207
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
907 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0859 PM TORNADO 4 W TULARE 44.74N 98.59W
09/01/2010 SPINK SD PUBLIC

BRIEF TOUCHDOWN.


&&

$$

KGILLE

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KABR [020206]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 020206
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
906 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0840 PM TORNADO 6 W TULARE 44.74N 98.63W
09/01/2010 SPINK SD PUBLIC

BRIEF TOUCHDOWN.


&&

$$

KGILLE

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KICT [020136]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 020136
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
836 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0832 PM FLASH FLOOD 8 S DORRANCE 38.73N 98.59W
09/01/2010 RUSSELL KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

MOST OF THE CREEKS BETWEEN 197TH TO 199TH STREET ARE OUT
OF THEIR BANKS ACCORDING TO LAW ENFORCEMENT.


&&

$$

VJP

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KOAX [020131]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 020131
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
831 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0758 PM HAIL 1 S MALCOLM 40.89N 96.87W
09/01/2010 M1.00 INCH LANCASTER NE TRAINED SPOTTER

A FEW QUARTER-SIZE HAILSTONES.


&&

$$

RCHERMOK

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KSGF [020130]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 020130
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
830 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 NW OZARK 37.05N 93.24W
09/01/2010 M7.98 INCH CHRISTIAN MO PUBLIC

COCORAHS REPORT.


&&

$$

JSS

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KOAX [020129]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 020129
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
829 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0815 PM HAIL 2 NE RAYMOND 40.98N 96.75W
09/01/2010 E0.88 INCH LANCASTER NE CO-OP OBSERVER

HAIL DURATION 2 TO 3 MINUTES WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND NO
WIND.


&&

$$

JEK

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KSGF [020122]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 020122
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
822 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0705 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 WNW ROGERSVILLE 37.13N 93.11W
09/01/2010 GREENE MO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 125 FLOODED AND CLOSED.


&&

$$

JSS

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KOAX [020119]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 020119
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
819 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM HAIL 1 S RAYMOND 40.94N 96.78W
09/01/2010 E1.00 INCH LANCASTER NE PUBLIC


&&

$$

DEE

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KABR [020117]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 020117
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
817 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM HAIL 7 SE FAULKTON 44.96N 99.03W
09/01/2010 E1.00 INCH FAULK SD TRAINED SPOTTER

1.77 RAIN. MOSTLY PEA TO MARBLE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.
A FEW WERE AS LARGE AS QUARTERS.


&&

$$

KGILLE

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KOAX [020107]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 020107
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
807 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0803 PM HAIL FIRTH 40.53N 96.60W
09/01/2010 E0.88 INCH LANCASTER NE TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

DEE

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KOAX [020106]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 020106
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
805 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0802 PM HAIL CORTLAND 40.51N 96.71W
09/01/2010 E1.00 INCH GAGE NE LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

DEE

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 020101
SWODY1
SPC AC 020059

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

VALID 020100Z - 021200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PORTIONS CENTRAL-NRN PLAINS...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER AIR PATTERN ACROSS CONUS REMAINS DOMINATED BY RIDGING JUST
OFFSHORE W COAST...AND TROUGHING FROM CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS NWD OVER
SK. STG SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW INDICATED OVER NRN MT...IS FCST TO
AMPLIFY FURTHER AND MOVE ESEWD ACROSS NRN PLAINS. THIS TROUGH
SHOULD EXTEND FROM N-CENTRAL ND TO ERN WY BY 12Z.
MEANWHILE...WEAKER/PRECURSORY TROUGH IS MOVING NEWD ACROSS SRN
MB...ERN ND...AND CENTRAL SD. TAIL END OF THIS TROUGH --
CORRESPONDING TO VEERING FLOW AT NRN CO PROFILER BETWEEN 18-19Z AND
PLUME OF UPPER MOISTURE EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY -- HAS
REACHED ERN CO/NEB BORDER REGION. LEADING TROUGH -- CONSIDERABLY
WEAKER THAN MT PERTURBATION -- IS FCST TO CONTINUE LOSING DEFINITION
AS IT EJECTS AWAY FROM SYNOPTIC TROUGH POSITION THROUGH REST OF
PERIOD.

AT SFC...OCCLUDED CYCLONE OVER CENTRAL ND IS FCST TO WEAKEN AS
TRIPLE-POINT LOW NOW OVER N-CENTRAL SD BECOMES PRIMARY SYNOPTIC
CYCLONE. AS THIS LOW MOVES NEWD TO NWRN MN...ATTACHED WARM FRONT
SHOULD MOVE NEWD FROM CURRENT POSITION OVER SERN SD AND NRN
IA...REACHING W-CENTRAL/SERN MN BY 12Z. COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM
TRIPLE POINT SWD ACROSS SWRN SD AND E-CENTRAL WY...AND SHOULD REACH
SWRN MN...SERN SD...AND SWRN NEB BY END OF PERIOD. THIS FRONT WILL
OVERTAKE RETREATING DRYLINE NOW ANALYZED FROM NEB SANDHILLS SSWWD
ACROSS EXTREME ERN CO AND WRN PANHANDLE OF TX.

...PORTIONS NORTHERN-CENTRAL PLAINS...
PRE COLD-FRONTAL BAND OF CONVECTION -- INCLUDING A FEW STG-SVR TSTMS
-- HAS DEVELOPED FROM SERN ND SSWWD ACROSS E-CENTRAL SD...WITH
POTENTIAL FOR BACKBUILDING INTO RELATIVELY MOIST LLJ THIS EVENING.
REF WW 640 AND RELATED MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS FOR NEAR-TERM THREAT.

ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR INVOF COLD FRONT AS WELL...AS
FORCED ASCENT ALONG THAT BOUNDARY OVERCOMES CAPPING EVIDENT IN 00Z
ABR RAOB. FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WAS EVIDENT IN ABR RAOB AND
CONTINUES IN MODIFIED RUC SOUNDINGS FROM ERN SD TO E-CENTRAL/NERN
NEB...WITH 40-50 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR
WILL REMAIN ENHANCED INVOF WARM FRONTAL ZONE WHERE NEAR-SFC WINDS
ARE BACKED...YIELDING CORRIDOR OF EFFECTIVE SRH ABOVE 250 J/KG IN
SUPPORT OF SUPERCELL POTENTIAL WITH ANY RELATIVELY
DISCRETE/SUSTAINED ACTIVITY.

...CENTRAL-SRN PLAINS...
SWD EXTENT OF ADDITIONAL SFC-BASED CONVECTION AND OF SVR POTENTIAL
ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT IS UNCERTAIN GIVEN PRESENCE OF GENERALLY
WEAKER LOW-LEVEL WINDS/SHEAR...AND ALSO...STRONGER MLCINH WITH BOTH
EWD AND SWD EXTENT. SCATTERED TSTMS THAT HAVE DEVELOPED OVER ERN
NEB MAY PERSIST IN SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED MULTICELLULAR FORM...GIVEN
WEAKER EFFECTIVE SHEAR OVER THIS REGION...BUT VERY RICH LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE AND 2000-2500 J/KG MLCAPE BASED ON 00Z OAX RAOB. AIR MASS
BECOMES CONSIDERABLY MORE STABLE SWD INTO NERN KS...PER TOP
SOUNDING. POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS
EXISTS WITH THIS ACTIVITY...BUT WITH MRGL ORGANIZATION AND SEVERITY.


MEANWHILE MORE ISOLATED ACTIVITY OVER CENTRAL KS COULD PERSIST FOR A
FEW MORE HOURS ALONG WRN RIM OF STG CAPPING...IN NARROW CORRIDOR OF
FAVORABLE MOISTURE/BUOYANCY AND ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE NE OF
MESOLOW. ADVECTION OF RELATIVELY STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER AIR FROM
FARTHER E AND SE...AS WELL AS DIABATIC SFC COOLING...IS EXPECTED TO
STRENGTHEN MLCINH AND REDUCE MLCAPE WITH TIME. SVR POTENTIAL OVER
SRN PLAINS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DIMINISHING WITH TIME AS BOUNDARY
LAYER AIR MASS STABILIZES FROM COMBINATION OF EXPANDING OUTFLOW
POOLS AND DIABATIC COOLING NEAR SFC. ISOLATED STG-SVR GUSTS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR ANOTHER COUPLE HOURS.

..EDWARDS.. 09/02/2010

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KOUN [020054]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 020054
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
753 PM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 S ELK CITY 35.37N 99.42W
09/01/2010 BECKHAM OK FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

POWER POLES DOWN 3 MILES SOUTH OF ELK CITY.


&&

$$

CM

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KDVN [011158]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011158
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
658 AM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0658 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 ENE FORT MADISON 40.63N 91.33W
09/01/2010 M2.40 INCH LEE IA TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

LEGRO

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KDVN [011154]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011154
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
653 AM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0652 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 WSW SHERRARD 41.31N 90.53W
09/01/2010 M2.20 INCH MERCER IL TRAINED SPOTTER

OVERNIGHT TOTAL.

0653 AM HEAVY RAIN SALEM 40.85N 91.62W
09/01/2010 M2.65 INCH HENRY IA CO-OP OBSERVER

OVERNIGHT TOTAL...24 HOUR OBSERVATION.


&&

$$

ERVIN

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KDVN [011143]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011143
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
642 AM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0637 AM HEAVY RAIN BERTRAM 41.95N 91.54W
09/01/2010 M2.85 INCH LINN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

MEASURED 1.70 INCHES SINCE MIDNIGHT.


&&

$$

LEGRO

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KDVN [011141]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011141
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
641 AM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0451 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 ENE MARION 42.05N 91.54W
09/01/2010 M2.48 INCH LINN IA TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

LEGRO

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KDVN [011139]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011139
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
639 AM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0639 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NE COLUSA 40.59N 91.14W
09/01/2010 M1.68 INCH HANCOCK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

OVERNIGHT TOTAL.


&&

$$

ERVIN

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KDVN [011046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011046
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
546 AM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 NNE CHARLIE HEATH MEM 40.61N 91.87W
09/01/2010 M2.10 INCH VAN BUREN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

RAIN TOTAL BETWEEN 1 AM AND 5 AM THIS MORNING.


&&

$$

ERVIN

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 010854
SWOD48
SPC AC 010854

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0354 AM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

VALID 041200Z - 091200Z

...PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW TO DELINEATE A SEVERE RISK AREA...

01/00Z GFS AND ECMWF ARE ACTUALLY FAIRLY SIMILAR CONCERNING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A RATHER DEEP SURFACE CYCLONE ACROSS THE NORTH
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND...BEFORE IT MIGRATES
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON LABOR DAY...IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE IMPULSE EMERGING FROM THE
GREAT BASIN. WHILE IT STILL APPEARS LIKELY THAT MOISTURE RETURN TO
THE NORTH CENTRAL PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI REGION BY THAT TIME WILL
BE RATHER MODEST...AT BEST...CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT VERY WARM
ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR WILL ADVECT ACROSS THE REGION AND
CONTRIBUTE TO STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. COUPLED WITH THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A DEEPLY MIXED PRE-FRONTAL BOUNDARY LAYER
...THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL PROBABLY BECOME QUITE CONDUCIVE TO
DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL IN THE PRESENCE OF STRENGTHENING DEEP LAYER
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. IF THE MID/UPPER FORCING NECESSARY TO OVERCOME
INHIBITION SPREADS ACROSS THE REGION FAVORABLY TIMED NEAR OR SHORTLY
AFTER PEAK HEATING...SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY.
HOWEVER...TOO MAY UNCERTAINTIES STILL EXIST TO CONFIDENTLY ASSESS
THE POTENTIAL FOR A REGIONAL SEVERE WEATHER EVENT...AND DELINEATE A
SEVERE RISK AREA.

..KERR.. 09/01/2010

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KICT [010809]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 010809
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
308 AM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1115 PM FLOOD COFFEYVILLE 37.04N 95.63W
08/31/2010 MONTGOMERY KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL STREETS WITHIN THE CITY ARE FLOODED. TIME IS
ESTIMATED BECAUSE OF DELAYED REPORT.


&&

$$

SCHRECK

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 010710
SWODY3
SPC AC 010709

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0209 AM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
WITHIN THE STRONGER WESTERLIES...MODELS INDICATE THAT ONE
SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE
UPPER MIDWEST THROUGH THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. AS THIS OCCURS...
HURRICANE EARL APPEARS LIKELY TO ACCELERATE NORTH NORTHEASTWARD JUST
EAST OF THE MIDDLE AND NORTHERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD. IN THE WAKE OF
THE TROPICAL SYSTEM...CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE UPSTREAM TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO GENERALLY WEAKEN AS IT ADVANCES
TOWARD THE ATLANTIC AND GULF COASTS. WITH LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR
UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION AND DESTABILIZATION WEAKENING AS
WELL...SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS VERY LOW...IF NOT NEGLIGIBLE.

ACROSS THE WEST...SUBTROPICAL RIDGING MAY STRENGTHEN A BIT ACROSS
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND THE SOUTHERN PLATEAU INTO THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES...BUT AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING TO THE NORTH MAY BEGIN
TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT EAST OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...AS ANOTHER SHORT
WAVE TROUGH ADVANCES INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA AND THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST. SOME INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES MAY OCCUR
WITH A RETURN OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE TO PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLATEAU
AND SOUTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES...AND ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AHEAD
OF THE UPPER TROUGH...FROM THE CASCADES INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.
BUT DESTABILIZATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
AN APPRECIABLE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS.

..KERR.. 09/01/2010

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 638

WWUS20 KWNS 010603
SEL8
SPC WW 010603
IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-010600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 638
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
103 AM CDT WED SEP 1 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 638 ISSUED AT 500 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

IOWA
MISSOURI
NEBRASKA

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 639

WWUS20 KWNS 010603
SEL9
SPC WW 010603
KSZ000-010600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 639
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
103 AM CDT WED SEP 1 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 639 ISSUED AT 520 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

KANSAS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 010602
SWODY1
SPC AC 010600

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL
PLAINS TO LOWER/MIDDLE MO VALLEY...

...CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE/LOWER MO VALLEY...
A CONSIDERABLE SPEED MAX MOVING INLAND OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST/NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION EARLY TODAY WILL STEADILY
ADVANCE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE NORTH-CENTRAL
ROCKIES/NORTH-CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH
AMPLIFIES/DEEPENS OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS ESPECIALLY THIS
AFTERNOON/TONIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS...MODEST SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS IS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...AS THE CURRENT
CENTRAL PLAINS FRONTAL ZONE/ATTENDANT MOIST SECTOR RETREATS
NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THERE IS UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TIMING OF
A LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE HIGH PLAINS...AS WELL AS
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TIMING/EXTENT OF MOISTURE RETURN ACROSS
NEB INTO SD. HOWEVER...CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THERE WILL BE TWO
MAIN AREAS FOR STRONG/SEVERE SURFACE BASED TSTM DEVELOPMENT LATER
TODAY. THE FIRST WILL BE IN A GENERAL NORTH-SOUTH AXIS ACROSS
CENTRAL SD/WEST-CENTRAL NEB AND PERHAPS NORTHERN KS IN VICINITY OF
AN EASTWARD SHIFTING SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT AND/OR THE NORTHWARD
RETREATING PRIMARY FRONTAL ZONE. CONSIDERABLE COOLING/STRENGTHENING
FLOW ALOFT...WITH STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES/POTENTIAL FOR
MODERATE BUOYANCY AND 45-50 KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR...WILL SUPPORT
WELL-ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS/BOWS CAPABLE OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND PERHAPS A TORNADO.

ADDITIONAL STRONG/SEVERE STORMS MAY FORM ACROSS KS...WHERE STRONG
HEATING SHOULD ERODE CINH IN VICINITY OF SURFACE LOW/FRONTAL
ZONE/OUTFLOW. HERE...FORCING ON THE LARGE SCALE WILL NOT BE
PARTICULARLY STRONG COINCIDENT WITH PEAK HEATING...BUT SUFFICIENT
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE/WEAK CINH BENEATH CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT MAY
SPARK A SURFACE BASED TSTM THREAT BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.

...MIDWEST/MIDDLE MS VALLEY...
ONGOING SHOWERS/TSTMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO OUTRUN THE PRIMARY
EAST-SOUTHEAST ADVANCING SURFACE FRONTAL ZONE OVERNIGHT/EARLY TODAY.
WITH STORMS CONTINUING TO WEAKEN EARLY THIS MORNING...CONVECTIVE
OVERTURNING/RESIDUAL CLOUD COVER IS LIKELY TO LIMIT APPRECIABLE
DESTABILIZATION ACROSS MUCH OF THE PRE-COLD FRONTAL CORRIDOR ACROSS
THE MIDWEST/MIDDLE MS VALLEY. FURTHERMORE...WELL SOUTH OF THE
PRIMARY WESTERLIES/CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT...VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD
REMAIN WEAK COINCIDENT WITH RELATIVELY WARM THERMAL PROFILES ALOFT
/-6C AT 500 MB/. WHILE AN ORGANIZED/CONCENTRATED SEVERE THREAT IS
NOT ANTICIPATED...SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL HEATING COULD YIELD ISOLATED
DOWNBURSTS CAPABLE OF WIND DAMAGE THIS AFTERNOON.

...SOUTHERN PLAINS...
SCATTERED TSTMS SHOULD ESPECIALLY DEVELOP/INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON
WITHIN A TROPICAL-LIKE AIRMASS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INCLUDING
PORTIONS OF OK/TX. WHILE VERTICAL SHEAR/ANTICIPATED ORGANIZATION
WILL BE LIMITED...SUFFICIENT HEATING/WATER LOADING IMPLY THAT THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL AGAIN BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS MAINLY
DURING THE MID/LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.

...ND/MT...
OTHER LOWER TOPPED STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
EAST-CENTRAL ND...WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS POTENTIALLY CAPABLE OF
SEVERE HAIL. FARTHER WEST...OTHER LOW-TOPPED STORMS PERHAPS CAPABLE
OF GUSTY WINDS/SMALL HAIL WILL LIKELY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
EASTERN MT TO THE WESTERN DAKOTAS...BUT LIMITED MOISTURE/SCANT CAPE
ACROSS THIS REGION SHOULD GENERALLY PRECLUDE SEVERE POTENTIAL.

..GUYER/GRAMS.. 09/01/2010

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 010533
SWODY2
SPC AC 010531

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1231 AM CDT WED SEP 01 2010

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THU INTO THU NIGHT ACROSS PARTS
OF THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS INTO PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MS VALLEY...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE INCREASING AMPLIFICATION WITHIN A STRONG
BELT OF WESTERLIES ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA AND THE NORTHERN TIER OF
THE U.S...AS HURRICANE EARL PROGRESSES ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
TOWARD THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC COASTAL VICINITY. THIS INCLUDES
THE LIKELIHOOD OF A BUILDING UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST INTO WESTERN CANADA...AND A DIGGING UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE
UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION. THE LATTER FEATURE
APPEARS LIKELY TO BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN EVOLVING LOWER/MID
TROPOSPHERIC CYCLONE...BUT VARIABILITY PERSISTS AMONG MODEL DATA
CONCERNING SURFACE DEVELOPMENT...
PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION THURSDAY NIGHT...AS
EARL CURVES NORTHWARD/NORTHEASTWARD OFF THE COAST.

...SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES...
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS CONCERNING THE EXTENT OF THE
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL FOR THURSDAY...NOT SO MUCH WHETHER STORMS WILL
DEVELOP...BUT JUST HOW CONDUCIVE THE ENVIRONMENT WILL ACTUALLY BE TO
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE STORMS. THE WARM SECTOR/PRE-FRONTAL
ENVIRONMENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN HIGHLY
MOIST...BUT MODELS SUGGEST THAT MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BECOME
FAIRLY POOR...EXCEPT PERHAPS ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS INTO
PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY.

SEVERE POTENTIAL ACROSS EASTERN IOWA AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS...
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE GREAT LAKES...WILL LARGELY BE DETERMINED BY
THE STRENGTH OF THE SURFACE WAVE PROGGED TO FORM EAST OF THE MID
MISSOURI VALLEY INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION DURING THE DAY.
THIS REMAINS UNCLEAR...BUT IT DOES NOT APPEAR OUT OF THE QUESTION
THAT ENOUGH DESTABILIZATION AND STRENGTHENING OF SHEAR COULD TAKE
PLACE TO SUPPORT THE RISK FOR SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADOES. THE
PROBABILITY FOR THIS...HOWEVER...STILL SEEMS RELATIVELY LOW AT THE
PRESENT TIME.

TO THE SOUTHWEST...AN AXIS OF STRONGER SURFACE HEATING IS EXPECTED
TO CONTRIBUTE TO A HOT AND DEEPLY MIXED PRE-FRONTAL BOUNDARY
LAYER...PARTICULARLY ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN/NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND
SOUTHERN/EASTERN KANSAS...PERHAPS WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...WHERE FLOW
FIELDS AND SHEAR MAY BE MARKEDLY WEAKER. HOWEVER...IN THE PRESENCE
OF MIXED LAYER CAPE AROUND 2000 J/KG...VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO FRONTAL FORCING...AIDED BY
DIFLUENT AND DIVERGENT UPPER FLOW NEAR THE BASE OF THE UPPER
TROUGH. THE RISK FOR ISOLATED STRONG DOWNBURSTS MAY TRANSITION TO
POTENTIAL FOR BROADER STRONG SURFACE GUSTS ALONG CONSOLIDATING
OUTFLOWS...ASSOCIATED WITH AN EVOLVING SQUALL LINE...THROUGH THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE TENDENCY SHOULD BE FOR
ACTIVITY TO ADVANCE SOUTHEASTWARD...WHILE BUILDING SOUTHWESTWARD
ALONG THE FRONT TOWARD THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.

..KERR.. 09/01/2010

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KDVN [010417]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 010417
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1116 PM CDT TUE AUG 31 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1115 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSE CEDAR RAPIDS 41.95N 91.66W
08/31/2010 M1.35 INCH LINN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

PAST 30 MINUTES. RAINING LIGHTLY. DAILY TOTAL 2.07 INCHES
SO FAR. PONDING OF WATER ON STREETS.


&&

$$

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