Wednesday, July 11, 2007

KCHS [112254]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 112254
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
654 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0632 PM HAIL 2 E NORTH CHARLESTON 32.85N 79.94W
07/11/2007 E0.50 INCH BERKELEY SC TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED ALONG NORTH RHETT AVENUE.


&&

$$

79

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KBOU [112253]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 112253
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
453 PM MDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0450 PM HAIL 6 SE ELBERT 39.16N 104.45W
07/11/2007 M1.00 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0444 PM HAIL 5 W ELBERT 39.22N 104.62W
07/11/2007 M0.75 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0330 PM HAIL 4 W LOVELAND 40.42N 105.15W
07/11/2007 M1.00 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

FREDIN

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KFWD [112252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 112252
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
552 PM CDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0551 PM FLASH FLOOD CADDO MILLS 33.07N 96.23W
07/11/2007 HUNT TX AMATEUR RADIO

NEARLY A FOOT OF WATER COVERING SOME ROADS IN DOWNTOWN
CADDO MILLS

$$

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KFWD [112245]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 112245
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
545 PM CDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM FLASH FLOOD SHERMAN 33.62N 96.61W
07/11/2007 GRAYSON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

SHERMAN P.D. REPORTED THAT ABOUT 20 DIFFERENT ROADS WERE
FLOODED AT TIMES IN THE SHERMAN AREA. MOST FLOODED SPOTS
WERE UNDERPASSES AND DIPS.

$$

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KILM [112245]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 112245
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
645 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM TSTM WND DMG MARION 34.18N 79.40W
07/11/2007 MARION SC EMERGENCY MNGR

POWER LINES DOWN ALONG MAIN STREET - NUMEROUS POWER
OUTAGES


&&

$$

MAC

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KILM [112244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 112244
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
644 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 PM TSTM WND DMG ANDREWS 33.45N 79.57W
07/11/2007 GEORGETOWN SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 6 JUST SOUTH OF SR 513


&&

$$

MAC

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KFWD [112243]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 112243
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
543 PM CDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0542 PM FLASH FLOOD PLANO 33.05N 96.75W
07/11/2007 COLLIN TX AMATEUR RADIO

CREEK HAS RISEN OVER BRIDGE AT PARK HAVEN AND ROUND ROCK
IN PLANO

$$

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KFWD [112243]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 112243
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
543 PM CDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM FLASH FLOOD HOWE 33.51N 96.61W
07/11/2007 GRAYSON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

S.O. REPORTS HIGH WATER HAS FLOODED SEVERAL ROADS
INCLUDING HWY 69 BETWEEN BELLS AND WHITEWRIGHT AND THE
SERVICE ROAD TO HIGHWAY 75 IN HOWE.

$$

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KCAE [112237]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 112237
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
636 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM TSTM WND DMG CAMERON 33.56N 80.71W
07/11/2007 CALHOUN SC PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORT RECEIVED BY CHARLESTON NWS OFFICE OF STORM
RELATED DAMAGE OF LIMBS AND BRANCHES DOWN ON I-95 NEAR
CAMERON. ALSO A FEW ACRES OF CORN WERE COMPLETELY BLOWN
OVER ON HIGHWAY 33.


&&

$$

SJN

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KBIS [112233]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 112233
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
533 PM CDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 PM TSTM WND GST 10 S SOLEN 46.24N 100.79W
07/09/2007 E95 MPH SIOUX ND NWS STORM SURVEY

NWS STORM SURVEY COMPLETED. ESTIMATED THUNDERSTORM WIND
OF 95 MPH OCCURRED ON THE STANDING ROCK RESERVATION IN
SIOUX COUNTY BETWEEN 830 PM CDT AND 840 PM CDT JULY 9.
DAMAGE TO OUTBUILDINGS...GRAIN BINS...HORSE TRAILER...
PICNIC BENCHES...EMPTY OIL TYPE DRUMS...AND OTHER ITEMS
ON THE FARM. LOCATION 10 SOUTH AND 1 EAST OF SOLEN.


&&

$$

JP MARTIN

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KRAH [112233]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 112233
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
633 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 S MONCURE 35.61N 79.08W
07/11/2007 LEE NC PUBLIC

TREES BLOWN DOWN ON EXIT RAMP TO US HIGHWAY 1 ...EXIT 87


&&

$$

RGONSKI

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KPUB [112227]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 112227
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
427 PM MDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0426 PM HAIL MONUMENT 39.07N 104.86W
07/11/2007 M0.75 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

DMETZE

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KPUB [112223]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 112223
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
423 PM MDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM HAIL CANON CITY 38.46N 105.23W
07/11/2007 M1.00 INCH FREMONT CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

RMG

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KILM [112220]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 112220
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
620 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0555 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW KINGSTREE 33.69N 79.85W
07/11/2007 WILLIAMSBURG SC EMERGENCY MNGR

WILLIAMSBURG COUNTY AIRPORT. WIND DAMAGE STORAGE
BUILDINGS PUSHED DOWN AND COTTON TRAILER OVERTURNED.


&&

$$

MAC

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KBOU [112219]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOU 112219
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
419 PM MDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM HAIL 4 W LOVELAND 40.42N 105.15W
07/11/2007 M1.00 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

FREDIN

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KCHS [112218]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 112218
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
617 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 1 N GOOSE CREEK 33.00N 80.03W
07/11/2007 BERKELEY SC PUBLIC

FUNNEL CLOUD SPOTTED ONE MILE NORTH OF GOOSE CREEK.


&&

$$

79

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 510

WWUS20 KWNS 112210
SEL0
SPC WW 112210
COZ000-NMZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-120600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 510
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
410 PM MDT WED JUL 11 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EASTERN COLORADO
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
WESTERN PART OF THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
WESTERN PART OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 410 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHWEST OF
LIMON COLORADO TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF CLAYTON NEW MEXICO.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 509...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/STRENGTH ALONG
THE CO FRONT RANGE S INTO NRN NM...WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
POSSIBLE EWD INTO THE PLNS INVOF THE PALMER DIVIDE AND DENVER
CYCLONE. DEEP SHEAR APPEARS SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS IN NE PART OF
WW...WITH WEAKER/MORE UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR SUGGESTING MULTICELL
CLUSTERS MORE LIKELY FARTHER S. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR HIGH WIND
AND HAIL GIVEN FAIRLY LARGE T/TD SPREADS AND STEEP MID LVL LAPSE
RATES.

IN NE CO...STRONGER LOW LVL SHEAR AND SMALLER T/TD SPREADS SUGGEST A
SOMEWHAT GREATER SUPERCELL TORNADO POTENTIAL RELATIVE TO POINTS
FARTHER S. PARTS OF NE CO AND PERHAPS SE WY/SW NEB/NW KS MAY
REQUIRE A TORNADO WW A BIT LATER THIS EVENING IF IT APPEARS THAT
SUSTAINED DISCRETE STORMS WILL DEVELOP ON N SIDE OF DENVER CYCLONE.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 32020.


..CORFIDI

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KGRB [112210]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 112210
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
509 PM CDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 PM HAIL RHINELANDER 45.63N 89.41W
07/11/2007 E1.00 INCH ONEIDA WI PUBLIC

1.00 INCH HAIL REPORTED IN THE CITY OF RHINELANDER.


&&

$$

AK

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KCHS [112205]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 112205
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
605 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0533 PM TSTM WND DMG RIDGELAND 32.48N 80.98W
07/11/2007 JASPER SC PUBLIC

POSSIBLE TORNADO. WATER TANK AND PUMP HOUSE RIPPED OUT OF
THE GROUND. SEVERAL TREES SNAPPED.


&&

$$

VB

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KJAX [112205]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 112205
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
605 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 S BAXLEY 31.69N 82.35W
07/11/2007 APPLING GA EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN NEAR HIGHWAY 15


&&

$$

PP

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KCHS [112202]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 112202
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
601 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0535 PM TSTM WND DMG POCOTALIGO 32.64N 80.86W
07/11/2007 JASPER SC PUBLIC

LARGE SCRUB OAK DOWN AT THE KOA CAMPGROUND AT POINT SOUTH
BY EXIT 33 ON INTERSTATE 95.


&&

$$

79

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KLUB [112158]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 112158
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
457 PM CDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0450 PM HAIL PLAINVIEW 34.19N 101.72W
07/11/2007 E0.88 INCH HALE TX TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

FB

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KCHS [112154]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 112154
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
554 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0525 PM TSTM WND GST HARLEYVILLE 33.21N 80.45W
07/11/2007 E40 MPH DORCHESTER SC PUBLIC

WIND ESTIMATED AT OVER 40 MPH ON INTERSTATE 26 NEAR
HARLEYVILLE.

0525 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SW MILLEN 32.77N 81.99W
07/11/2007 JENKINS GA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

TREES DOWN.1 TREE DOWN ACROSS A ROAD.

0540 PM TSTM WND DMG CROSS 33.33N 80.15W
07/11/2007 BERKELEY SC TRAINED SPOTTER

SMALL TREE BRANCHES DOWN.

0544 PM TSTM WND DMG PINOPOLIS 33.23N 80.04W
07/11/2007 BERKELEY SC PUBLIC

LARGE TREE BRANCHES DOWN. WIND ESTIMATED AT 55 MPH.


&&

$$

VB

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KBTV [112149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 112149
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
549 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM FLASH FLOOD EAST HARDWICK 44.52N 72.31W
07/11/2007 CALEDONIA VT TRAINED SPOTTER

ROADS AND FEILDS FLOODED WITH UP TO 2 INCHES OF MOVING
WATER ON THE PAVEMENT.

0500 PM FLASH FLOOD GREENSBORO 44.58N 72.30W
07/11/2007 ORLEANS VT TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED ROADS AND FEILDS FLOODED.


&&

$$

RYANA

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KPUB [112148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 112148
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
348 PM MDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0347 PM HAIL CANON CITY 38.46N 105.23W
07/11/2007 M0.75 INCH FREMONT CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

RMG

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KILM [112148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 112148
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
548 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0515 PM TSTM WND DMG SCRANTON 33.92N 79.74W
07/11/2007 FLORENCE SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

OLD HIGHWAY 4 BETWEEN SCRANTON AND COWARD. MINOR ROOF
DAMAGE. TREES DOWN. REPORT OF A FUNNEL CLOUD.


&&

$$

MAC

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KCAE [112146]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 112146
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
546 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM TSTM WND DMG MANNING 33.69N 80.22W
07/11/2007 CLARENDON SC COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREE DOWN ON I-95 NEAR SUMMERTON, AND ONE DOWN ON
BLOOMVILLE ROAD NEAR MANNING.

0535 PM TSTM WND DMG EUTAWVILLE 33.40N 80.34W
07/11/2007 ORANGEBURG SC COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES DOWN IN HOLLY HILL AND EUTAWVILLE.


&&

$$

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KCHS [112133]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 112133
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
533 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0515 PM TSTM WND DMG CANADYS 33.06N 80.62W
07/11/2007 COLLETON SC TRAINED SPOTTER

SEVERAL TREES IN AND AROUND CANADYS.


&&

$$

VB

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KPHI [112127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KPHI 112127
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
526 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 PM TSTM WND GST STEVENSVILLE 38.99N 76.31W
07/11/2007 M39.00 MPH QUEEN ANNE'S MD MESONET

A WIND GUST OF 39 MPH WAS MEASURED IN STEVENSVILLE.

0340 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 W COATESVILLE 39.98N 75.86W
07/11/2007 M1.80 INCH CHESTER PA CO-OP OBSERVER

1.8 INCHES OF RAIN FELL WITHIN 30 MINUTES JUST WEST OF
COATESVILLE.

0410 PM FLOOD WEST CHESTER 39.96N 75.61W
07/11/2007 CHESTER PA TRAINED SPOTTER

STREET FLOODING WAS REPORTED ON ADAMS STREET NEAR MARKET
IN WEST CHESTER.

0440 PM HEAVY RAIN RADNOR TOWNSHIP 40.03N 75.37W
07/11/2007 M2.58 INCH DELAWARE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

2.58 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN 90 MINUTES IN RADNOR
TOWNSHIP.

0440 PM HEAVY RAIN KING OF PRUSSIA 40.10N 75.38W
07/11/2007 M1.04 INCH MONTGOMERY PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1.04 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN 90 MINUTES IN KING OF
PRUSSIA.

0510 PM HEAVY RAIN GLOUCESTER CITY 39.89N 75.12W
07/11/2007 M1.85 INCH CAMDEN NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

1.85 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED IN GLOUCESTER CITY.

0515 PM HEAVY RAIN BUTLER 41.00N 74.35W
07/11/2007 M2.00 INCH MORRIS NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

2 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN ONE HOUR IN BUTLER.

0520 PM HAIL 5 NW TURNERSVILLE 39.82N 75.13W
07/11/2007 E0.25 INCH GLOUCESTER NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED IN DEPTFORD AND WASHINGTON
TOWNSHIP.


&&

$$

MEOLA

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KCHS [112112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 112112
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
512 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0458 PM TSTM WND DMG SYLVANIA 32.75N 81.64W
07/11/2007 SCREVEN GA COUNTY OFFICIAL

1 LARGE TREE DOWN IN SYLVANIA PARTIALLY BLOCKING A
SECONDARY ROAD.


&&

$$

VB

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KBTV [112109]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 112109
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
508 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0450 PM FLASH FLOOD WOLCOTT 44.55N 72.47W
07/11/2007 LAMOILLE VT LAW ENFORCEMENT

TOWN SHERIFF REPORTED FLOODING ON ROUTE 15 AND GULF RD.


&&

$$

RYANA

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KBTV [112058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 112058
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
458 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0450 PM FLOOD RANDOLPH 43.92N 72.67W
07/11/2007 ORANGE VT LAW ENFORCEMENT

STATE POLICE REPORT ROADS FLOODING...TO INCLUDE ROUTE 12
AND 14.


&&

$$

RYANA

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KCHS [112058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 112058
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
458 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0457 PM TSTM WND DMG EGYPT 32.46N 81.47W
07/11/2007 EFFINGHAM GA COUNTY OFFICIAL

COUNTY WARNING POINT REPORTS A LARGE TREE DOWN ACROSS
HIGHWAY 17.


&&

$$

33

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KJAX [112057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 112057
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
457 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 PM TSTM WND GST PALM COAST 29.57N 81.21W
07/11/2007 E45 MPH FLAGLER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

NORTHWEST PALM COAST


&&

$$

PP

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KALY [112055]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KALY 112055
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
455 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0509 PM HAIL WEST TOWNSHEND 43.08N 72.71W
07/10/2007 M0.88 INCH WINDHAM VT PUBLIC

NICKEL SIZED HAIL

0640 PM HAIL TOWNSHEND 43.04N 72.67W
07/10/2007 M0.75 INCH WINDHAM VT TRAINED SPOTTER

0705 PM TSTM WND DMG HADLEY 43.32N 73.85W
07/10/2007 SARATOGA NY NWS STORM SURVEY

100 TO 120 TREES DOWN ALONG COUNTY ROUTE 4 AND STEWART
BRIDGE ROAD

0720 PM HAIL CAMBRIDGEPORT 43.15N 72.56W
07/10/2007 M1.00 INCH WINDHAM VT TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

0740 PM TSTM WND DMG LAKE GEORGE 43.43N 73.71W
07/10/2007 WARREN NY EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TREES AND WIRES DOWN ACROSS COUNTY


&&

$$

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KCAE [112055]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 112055
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
455 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0450 PM TSTM WND DMG ORANGEBURG 33.49N 80.87W
07/11/2007 ORANGEBURG SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

ORANGEBURG DISPATCH RECEIVED NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREES
AND POWER LINES DOWN FROM NEESES TO ORANGEBURG. ALSO 2
SEMIS WERE TURNED OVER AT MILE MARKER 154 ON I-26.


&&

$$

SJN

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KBTV [112052]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 112052
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
451 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM HEAVY RAIN NORTH CALAIS 44.39N 72.45W
07/11/2007 E0.00 INCH WASHINGTON VT TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL OF 3.28 INCHES OF RAIN.

0440 PM HEAVY RAIN RANDOLPH CENTER 43.94N 72.61W
07/11/2007 E0.00 INCH ORANGE VT TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL OF 3.79 INCHES OF RAIN.


&&

$$

RYANA

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KCAE [112050]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 112050
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
450 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0445 PM TSTM WND DMG BAMBERG 33.30N 81.03W
07/11/2007 BAMBERG SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

BAMBERG DISPATCH RECEIVED NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREES AND
POWER LINES DOWN COUNTYWIDE.


&&

$$

SJN

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KBOU [112049]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 112049
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
248 PM MDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1115 PM HAIL 2 N NEW RAYMER 40.64N 103.83W
07/10/2007 M2.00 INCH WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1058 PM TORNADO 10 NW NEW RAYMER 40.71N 103.96W
07/10/2007 WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

BRIEF SMALL TORNADO

0904 PM HAIL 3 SW BOULDER 40.00N 105.29W
07/10/2007 M0.75 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

NCAR MESA LAB

0904 PM HAIL 1 SW ERIE 40.02N 105.06W
07/10/2007 M0.75 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

LATE REPORT


&&

$$

FREDIN

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KPHI [112046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KPHI 112046
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
445 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 PM TSTM WND GST STEVENSVILLE 38.99N 76.31W
07/11/2007 M39.00 MPH QUEEN ANNE'S MD MESONET

A WIND GUST OF 39 MPH WAS MEASURED IN STEVENSVILLE.

0340 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 W COATESVILLE 39.98N 75.86W
07/11/2007 M1.80 INCH CHESTER PA CO-OP OBSERVER

1.8 INCHES OF RAIN FELL WITHIN 30 MINUTES JUST WEST OF
COATESVILLE.

0410 PM FLOOD WEST CHESTER 39.96N 75.61W
07/11/2007 CHESTER PA TRAINED SPOTTER

STREET FLOODING WAS REPORTED ON ADAMS STREET NEAR MARKET
IN WEST CHESTER.

0440 PM HEAVY RAIN KING OF PRUSSIA 40.10N 75.38W
07/11/2007 E1.04 INCH MONTGOMERY PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1.04 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN 90 MINUTES IN KING OF
PRUSSIA.

0440 PM HEAVY RAIN RADNOR TOWNSHIP 40.03N 75.37W
07/11/2007 M2.58 INCH DELAWARE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

2.58 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN 90 MINUTES IN RADNOR
TOWNSHIP.


&&

$$

MEOLA

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KBTV [112040]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 112040
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
440 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 S HARDWICK 44.43N 72.37W
07/11/2007 WASHINGTON VT TRAINED SPOTTER

WATER ON ROAD ALONG ROUTE 14 JUST SOUTH OF HARDWICK.


&&

$$

BANACOS

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KBTV [112035]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 112035
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
435 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0405 PM TSTM WND DMG STAR LAKE 44.16N 75.04W
07/11/2007 ST. LAWRENCE NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN CLIFTON.


&&

$$

RYANA

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KCAE [112030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 112030
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
430 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM TSTM WND DMG SWANSEA 33.74N 81.11W
07/11/2007 LEXINGTON SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DONW ON POWER LINES


&&

$$

SJN

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KCAE [112021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 112021
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
421 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM TSTM WND DMG 6 NE WAYNESBORO 33.15N 81.94W
07/11/2007 BURKE GA EMERGENCY MNGR

REPORT OF TREES DOWN

0407 PM TSTM WND DMG SNELLING 33.24N 81.46W
07/11/2007 BARNWELL SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

SHERIFF REPORTS TREES FELL ON VEHICLE.


&&

$$

SJN

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KCHS [112019]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 112019
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
419 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 SSW METTER 32.33N 82.09W
07/11/2007 CANDLER GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

4 LARGE TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY 121 SOUTH OF METTER.


&&

$$

33

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KPHI [112018]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPHI 112018
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
418 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 PM TSTM WND GST STEVENSVILLE 38.99N 76.31W
07/11/2007 M39.00 MPH QUEEN ANNE'S MD MESONET

A WIND GUST OF 39 MPH WAS MEASURED IN STEVENSVILLE.

0340 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 W COATESVILLE 39.98N 75.86W
07/11/2007 M1.80 INCH CHESTER PA CO-OP OBSERVER

1.8 INCHES OF RAIN FELL WITHIN 30 MINUTES JUST WEST OF
COATESVILLE.

0410 PM FLOOD WEST CHESTER 39.96N 75.61W
07/11/2007 CHESTER PA TRAINED SPOTTER

STREET FLOODING WAS REPORTED ON ADAMS STREET NEAR MARKET
IN WEST CHESTER.


&&

$$

MEOLA

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KBUF [112018]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBUF 112018
LSRBUF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
418 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0233 PM TSTM WND DMG MANNSVILLE 43.72N 76.07W
07/11/2007 JEFFERSON NY PUBLIC

WIRES DOWN POWER OUT


&&

$$

APB

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KBTV [112008]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 112008
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
408 PM EDT WED JUL 11 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM FLASH FLOOD GREENSBORO 44.58N 72.30W
07/11/2007 ORLEANS VT TRAINED SPOTTER

WATER RUNNING DOWN WILSON ST.


&&

$$

DONNYD

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1451

ACUS11 KWNS 112008
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112008
NVZ000-CAZ000-ORZ000-112245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1451
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0308 PM CDT WED JUL 11 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...CA SIERRA...NRN CA...WRN NV...SRN OREGON

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 112008Z - 112245Z

STORMS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SIERRA INTO WRN NV...NRN CA AND
EVENTUALLY SRN OREGON. A WW IS NOT EXPECTED.

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DISTINCT VORTICITY LOBE SHIFTING NWD INTO
NRN CA/NV WITH STREAM OF MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS HAMPERING HEATING AS
OF EARLY AFTERNOON. BEHIND THIS FEATURE...CLEARING WAS OCCURRING
SOUTH OF A SAC TO RNO LINE WITH TCU EVIDENT OVER THE SIERRA. STORMS
ARE LIKELY TO FORM OVER THE SIERRA AND WILL MOVE NWD INTO WRN NV.
GIVEN STRONG HEATING AND STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...GUSTY WINDS
WILL BE A LIKELIHOOD. SUFFICIENT MOISTURE IS PRESENT GIVEN STEEP MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES FOR SOME MARGINAL HAIL...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN WHERE MELTING WILL BE MINIMIZED. OVERALL...WIND PROFILES DO
NOT FAVOR PARTICULARLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION...BUT MAY BE SUFFICIENT
FOR A FEW LONGER LIVED CORES.

FARTHER N INTO NRN CA AND SRN OREGON...CLOUDS WILL LIKELY RETARD
DEVELOPMENT OF STORMS UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY. PASSAGE OF VORT LOBE
WILL ALLOW 700 MB FLOW TO VEER TO MORE OF A SLY DIRECTION...FAVORING
UPSLOPE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE MTNS OF NRN CA. ELY FLOW ACROSS SRN
OREGON WILL ALLOW FOR SOME STORMS OVER THE E SLOPES OF THE CASCADES.
HIGHER LEVELS OF MOISTURE ADVECTING NWD OUT OF CA AND MID LEVEL
THERMAL TROUGH WILL FAVOR HAIL GROWTH...GENERALLY AROUND 1.00 INCH
OR LESS.

.JEWELL.. 07/11/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...VEF...BOI...LKN...PDT...REV...HNX...MFR...STO...PQR...EKA...

36491860 37771951 38512005 39292071 40472227 40732342
41302375 41942356 42382287 42782256 43592237 43632180
43302063 42631841 42021789 39381763 37431738 36541771
36301822

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 112004
SWODY1
SPC AC 112001

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0301 PM CDT WED JUL 11 2007

VALID 112000Z - 121200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
THE NORTHEASTERN STATES INTO THE DELMARVA...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM
CNTRL GA INTO PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL/ERN CAROLINAS...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT
OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
NRN CA/SRN ORE...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
NRN MN...

..CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...

VISIBLE SATELLITE AND REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOW DEEPENING
CUMULUS/EARLY TSTM DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING OVER THE FRONT RANGE WITHIN
A STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT. RUC OBJECTIVE FIELDS SUGGESTS THAT
AIR MASS OVER THE ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS REMAINS CAPPED...THOUGH
RELATIVELY CLOUD-FREE SKIES ARE ALLOWING FOR STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER
HEATING. WITH TIME...EXPECT CAP TO ERODE SUCH THAT CONVECTION WILL
BEGIN TO MOVE/DEVELOP EWD INTO A POTENTIALLY MODERATELY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG.

CURRENT PLATTEVILLE CO PROFILER INDICATES LIGHT SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW
VEERING TO NWLY AND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE MID-LEVELS...AND
EVENTUALLY 40-50 KT IN THE 9-12 KT AGL LAYER. THIS TYPE OF PROFILE
IS MORE THAN SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SUPERCELL STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. CURRENTLY...THE STRONGER LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR RESIDES ALONG THE CO/KS BORDER...COINCIDENT WITH STRONGER SELY
SURFACE WINDS. SHOULD THIS STRONGER GRADIENT FLOW DEVELOP
WWD...ISOLATED TORNADO POTENTIAL SHOULD CORRESPONDINGLY INCREASE.

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SPREAD EWD ACROSS ERN CO INTO WRN
AND PERHAPS CNTRL KS OVERNIGHT ALONG CONSOLIDATING...SECONDARY
FRONTAL SURGE MOVING SWD OUT OF THE NRN PLAINS.

FOR ADDITIONAL SHORT TERM GUIDANCE...PLEASE SEE MCD 1450.

..NORTHEASTERN STATES INTO THE DELMARVA...

TSTMS HAVE BECOME FAIRLY WIDESPREAD THIS AFTERNOON WITH MID-LEVEL
MOIST PLUME STREAMING NWD AHEAD OF SHORT WAVE TROUGH LIFTING NEWD
THROUGH LOWER MI AND LAKE HURON. THESE STORMS ARE LARGELY FOCUSED
ALONG PRIMARY COLD FRONT FROM THE ERN SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO SSWWD
THROUGH WRN PA/WV...AS WELL AS ALONG PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH FROM THE
HUDSON VALLEY INTO THE DELMARVA. CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS ATTENDANT
TO MID-LEVEL MOIST PLUME HAS LIMITED DAYTIME HEATING AND RESULTANT
AIR MASS DESTABILIZATION WITH MLCAPES GENERALLY AROUND 500 J/KG.
LOCALLY STRONGER DIABATIC HEATING HAS OCCURRED FROM THE DE RIVER
VALLEY SWD TO CHESAPEAKE BAY WHERE MLCAPES HAVE INCREASED TO
1000-1500 J/KG.

THE BELT OF STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH LARGE-SCALE
TROUGH REMAINS TO THE W IN POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS OVER THE GREAT
LAKES...WITH MAINLY 25-35 KT SWLY FLOW AT 500 MB PRESENT ACROSS
SYSTEM WARM SECTOR. AS SUCH...VERTICAL SHEAR IS NOT PARTICULARLY
STRONG. NONETHELESS...SOME POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR LOCALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY IF
STORMS CAN ORGANIZE A COLD POOL.

..SRN APPALACHIANS INTO CAROLINA PIEDMONT AND COASTAL PLAIN...

SRN EXTENSION OF MID-LEVEL SHEAR AXIS OR SEPARATE VORTICITY MAXIMUM
IS TRANSLATING EWD THROUGH THE SRN APPALACHIANS THIS AFTERNOON WITH
AN ACCOMPANYING BELT OF 30-35 KT LOW TO MID-LEVEL FLOW ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS FEATURE. TSTMS HAVE BECOME INCREASINGLY NUMEROUS THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH FROM THE CNTRL CAROLINAS SWWD
INTO CNTRL/SRN GA AND SRN AL. AMBIENT INFLOW AIR MASS HAS BECOME
QUITE WARM WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 90S...AND WHEN COUPLED
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S...ENVIRONMENT HAS
BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES OF 1000-2000 J/KG.

WHILE SOME SEVERE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE...THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE DAMAGING WINDS GIVEN THE
DEEP...UNDIRECTIONAL WIND FIELDS AND POTENTIAL FOR MOMENTUM
TRANSFER/DOWNSHEAR COLD POOL ELONGATION. THIS THREAT WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING EWD TOWARD THE GA/CAROLINA COASTS.

..SRN ORE/NRN CA...

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH PIVOTING NWD
THROUGH NRN CA...WITH THIS FEATURE CONTINUING NWWD THROUGH WRN ORE
LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. DAYTIME HEATING HAS ALLOWED
TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE 80S...WHICH WHEN COUPLED WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S IS RESULTING IN SBCAPES OF 500-1000 J/KG.
SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR EXISTS TO SUPPORT A FEW ORGANIZED STORMS
CAPABLE OF SEVERE HAIL AND/OR LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS.

FOR ADDITIONAL SHORT TERM GUIDANCE ON THIS AREA...PLEASE SEE MCD
1451.

..NRN MN...

WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED TODAY FROM PARTS OF FAR SERN
SK/WRN ONTARIO INTO NRN MN IN ASSOCIATION WITH STRONG SHORT WAVE
TROUGH DIGGING SEWD THROUGH SK. WHILE LOW-LEVEL AIR MASS REMAINS
RELATIVELY COOL WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S TO AROUND 70F...SO ARE
MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES /AROUND -20 C AT 500 MB/ WHICH IS RESULTING
IN RELATIVELY STEEP LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SBCAPES OF
500-1000 J/KG. THIS INSTABILITY COUPLED WITH DEEP NWLY WIND FIELDS
INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SEVERE HAIL...BUT MORE SO LOCALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THIS SEVERE POTENTIAL MAY CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING...PRIOR TO DIMINISHING AS BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS/STABILIZES
WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

.MEAD.. 07/11/2007

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