Wednesday, October 5, 2011

KMFR [052321]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 052321
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
421 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 NW MOUNT SHASTA 41.35N 122.35W
10/05/2011 M1.05 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

19-HR TOTAL ENDING 8 AM.


&&

$$

STAVISH

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KMFR [052319]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 052319
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
419 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 SE CAVE JUNCTION 42.11N 123.58W
10/05/2011 M1.15 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

4 PM TO 4 PM.


&&

$$

GLASER

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KLUB [052309]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KLUB 052309
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
609 PM CDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0535 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 3 NE FRIONA 34.67N 102.68W
10/05/2011 PARMER TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0558 PM FUNNEL CLOUD BLACK 34.68N 102.61W
10/05/2011 PARMER TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

SHERIFF DEPUTY REPORTS SMALL FUNNELS


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1100201 LUB1100202

$$

02

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KMFR [052308]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 052308
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
408 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0406 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 N CAVE JUNCTION 42.19N 123.65W
10/05/2011 E1.52 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

WRIGHT

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KLOX [052252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 052252
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
352 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 5 S PALMDALE 34.54N 118.10W
10/05/2011 M43.00 MPH LOS ANGELES CA OTHER FEDERAL

SOUTHWEST WINDS 43 MPH GUSTING TO 51 MPH AT LAKE PALMDALE
RAWS...ELEVATION 2980 FEET. WINDS GUSTED TO 62 MPH DURING
THE FOLLOWING HOUR.

0459 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 14 WSW LANCASTER 34.64N 118.41W
10/05/2011 M42.00 MPH LOS ANGELES CA OTHER FEDERAL

SOUTH WINDS 42 MPH GUSTING TO 52 MPH AT GRASS MOUNTAIN
RAWS...ELEVATION 4626 FEET.

1153 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 8 NNE MOUNT WILSON 34.33N 118.03W
10/05/2011 E40.00 MPH LOS ANGELES CA OTHER FEDERAL

SOUTHEAST WINDS 40 MPH GUSTING TO 47 MPH AT CHILAO
RAWS...ELEVATION 5450 FEET.


&&

$$

HALL

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KLOX [052244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 052244
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
344 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1055 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NNE SAN FERNANDO 34.35N 118.42W
10/05/2011 M64.00 MPH LOS ANGELES CA OTHER FEDERAL

EAST WINDS 29 MPH GUSTING TO 64 MPH AT CAMP NINE
RAWS...ELEVATION 4000 FEET.

1059 AM DUST STORM 2 SSW LAKE LOS ANGELES 34.59N 117.84W
10/05/2011 LOS ANGELES CA TRAINED SPOTTER

GUSTY WINDS AND BLOWING DUST REDUCING VISIBILITY TO ZERO
IN SOME AREAS.

1253 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 SE ACTON 34.39N 118.08W
10/05/2011 M62.00 MPH LOS ANGELES CA OTHER FEDERAL

SOUTH WINDS 31 MPH GUSTING TO 62 MPH AT MILL CREEK
RAWS...ELEVATION 5021 FEET.

1254 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SSW ACTON 34.45N 118.20W
10/05/2011 M55.00 MPH LOS ANGELES CA OTHER FEDERAL

NORTHWEST WINDS 20 MPH GUSTING TO 55 MPH AT ACTON
RAWS...ELEVATION 2600 FEET.

1254 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 SE PEARBLOSSOM 34.45N 117.85W
10/05/2011 M55.00 MPH LOS ANGELES CA OTHER FEDERAL

SOUTH WINDS 21 MPH GUSTING TO 55 MPH AT VALYERMO
RAWS...ELEVATION 3780 FEET.

0123 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 NNE POINT DUME 34.05N 118.78W
10/05/2011 M4.01 INCH LOS ANGELES CA TRAINED SPOTTER

4.01 INCHES OF RAINFALL OCCURRING IN 13 HOURS IN THE
FOOTHILLS ABOVE MALIBU...ELEVATION 1000 FEET.

0215 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 NW MALIBU 34.08N 118.74W
10/05/2011 M4.47 INCH LOS ANGELES CA MESONET

4.47 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN A 10 HOUR PERIOD AT CORRAL
CANYON ALERT GAUGE IN THE FOOTHILLS ABOVE
MALIBU...ELEVATION 2040 FEET.


&&

$$

HALL

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KPIH [052225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 052225
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
425 PM MDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0423 PM SNOW GALENA 43.87N 114.65W
10/05/2011 E1.5 INCH BLAINE ID TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW LEVEL IS AROUND 8000 FEET WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION AT GALENA SUMMIT. NO ACCUMULATION ON THE
PAVEMENT.


&&

$$

VALLE

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KEKA [052224]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KEKA 052224
LSREKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
324 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0212 PM HAIL 3 ENE MYERS FLAT 40.29N 123.82W
10/05/2011 M0.25 INCH HUMBOLDT CA TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL LASTED 5 MINUTES


&&

$$

PALMQUIST

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KSGX [052154]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 052154
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
254 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1250 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 E BIG BEAR CITY 34.27N 116.67W
10/05/2011 M65 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA MESONET

BURNS CANYON RAWS REPORTED PEAK GUST OF 65 MPH DURING THE
HOUR BETWEEN NOON AND 100 PM.


&&

$$

MAXWELL

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KMFR [052139]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 052139
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
239 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0239 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNE SELMA 42.30N 123.59W
10/05/2011 M1.41 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL.


&&

$$

WOODHEAD

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KVEF [052133]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 052133
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
233 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0151 PM SNOW 1 WNW ASPENDELL 37.24N 118.60W
10/05/2011 M1.8 INCH INYO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

A SPOTTER MEASURED 1.8 INCHES OF SNOW IN ASPENDELL AT AN
ELEVATION OF 8500 FEET. A TOTAL OF 0.80 INCH OF
PRECIPITATION WAS ALSO RECORDED.

0151 PM HEAVY SNOW 10 SW LONE PINE 36.48N 118.18W
10/05/2011 E10.0 INCH INYO CA MESONET

AN ESTIMATED 10 INCHES OF SNOW FELL AT THE COTTONWOOD
LAKES SNOTEL AT AN ELEVATION OF 10150 FEET FROM 5 AM
THROUGH NOON TODAY.

0151 PM HEAVY SNOW 4 SSE ASPENDELL 37.18N 118.56W
10/05/2011 E12.8 INCH INYO CA MESONET

THE SOUTH LAKE SNOTEL ESTIMATED 12.8 INCHES OF SNOW AT AN
ELEVATION OF 9600 FEET FROM 4 AM THROUGH NOON TODAY.


&&

$$

STACHELSKI

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KVEF [052057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 052057
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
157 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0148 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SSE LANDERS (AR190) 34.22N 116.41W
10/05/2011 M55 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 55
MPH WITH BLOWING DUST AND SAND REDUCING VISIBILITY TO
AROUND A HALF-MILE.


&&

$$

JA

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KMFR [052051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 052051
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
151 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN MOUNT SHASTA 41.32N 122.32W
10/05/2011 M1.17 INCH SISKIYOU CA CO-OP OBSERVER

8 PM TO 7 AM. SNOW LEVEL AT 4700 FEET WITH 2-3 INCHES ON
THE GROUND AT THAT LEVEL.


&&

$$

GLASER

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KVEF [052041]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KVEF 052041
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
140 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1140 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PANAMINT SPRINGS 36.33N 117.47W
10/05/2011 E50.00 MPH INYO CA PUBLIC

THE PANAMINT SPRINGS RESORT ESTIMATED WINDS OF 40 TO 50
MPH ALONG WITH BLOWING DUST REDUCING VISIBILITY TO ONLY A
FEW FEET.


&&

$$

STACHELSKI

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2224

ACUS11 KWNS 052007
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052007
TXZ000-NMZ000-052200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2224
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0307 PM CDT WED OCT 05 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN TX PANHANDLE AND S PLAINS...E CNTRL NM

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 052007Z - 052200Z

SOME INCREASE IN CONVECTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...BUT IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT A WATCH WILL BE NEEDED.
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...IF ANY.

AN AREA OF RAIN AND EMBEDDED STORMS CONTINUES TO DRIFT EWD ACROSS
THE TX PANHANDLE IN A ZONE OF WARM ADVECTION. OUTFLOW HAS STABILIZED
THIS AREA...WITH WAVE CLOUDS SEEN ON VISIBLE IMAGERY. MEANWHILE...A
COLD FRONT AND LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WAS TIGHTENING OVER ERN NM...BUT
CU FIELDS WERE RELATIVELY SHALLOW AT THIS TIME DUE TO MARGINAL
INSTABILITY.

STRONG INSTABILITY DOES EXIST OVER SERN NM/W CNTRL TX...NEAR AND S
OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. A FEW STORMS MAY DEVELOP HERE.
HOWEVER...RAPID WARMING ALOFT IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS...AND WITH SUCH WEAK INSTABILITY TO BEGIN WITH...IT WILL ONLY
GET WEAKER WITH TIME DESPITE FURTHER HEATING. THEREFORE...RATHER
SHALLOW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED...WITH STRONG VEERING
WIND PROFILES PERHAPS RESULTING IN A FEW STRONGER CELLS CAPABLE OF
SMALL HAIL. OTHERWISE...THE SEVERE THREAT APPEARS LOW.

..JEWELL.. 10/05/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

LAT...LON 32680193 33420335 34060417 35120449 35740296 35590193
35050144 33880134 33120100 32760105 32680193

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KHNX [052000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 052000
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1257 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1245 PM HAIL SW FRESNO 36.78N 119.79W
10/05/2011 E0.25 INCH FRESNO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA-SIZED HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN. WIND GUSTS TO 24 MPH.


&&

$$

JAND

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KHNX [051955]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 051955
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1255 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1245 PM HAIL FRESNO 36.78N 119.79W
10/05/2011 E0.25 INCH FRESNO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA-SIZED HAIL WITH HEAVY RAIN.


&&

$$

JAND

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KHNX [051949]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 051949
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1248 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 AM HEAVY SNOW TUOLUMNE MEADOWS 37.87N 119.35W
10/05/2011 E12.0 INCH TUOLUMNE CA CO-OP OBSERVER

SNOWFALL ESTIMATE AT CO-OP SITE.


&&

$$

JAND

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KHNX [051944]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 051944
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1243 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1115 AM HAIL PONDEROSA 36.10N 118.52W
10/05/2011 U0.25 INCH TULARE CA PUBLIC

SMALL HAIL IN PONDEROSA BASIN.


&&

$$

JAND

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KHNX [051941]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 051941
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1241 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 AM HEAVY SNOW BASS LAKE 37.32N 119.56W
10/05/2011 E6.0 INCH MADERA CA PUBLIC

HEAVY SNOW FALLING AT TIME AT 4500FT. SNOW ALSO MIXED
WITH SLEET.


&&

$$

JAND

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KHNX [051938]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 051938
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1238 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1135 AM TSTM WND GST MENDOTA 36.76N 120.38W
10/05/2011 E40.00 MPH FRESNO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS OF 40-45 MPH.


&&

$$

JAND

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 051936
SWODY1
SPC AC 051934

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0234 PM CDT WED OCT 05 2011

VALID 052000Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN HIGH PLAINS...

HAVE MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE CONVECTIVE LINE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SERN NM IN THE WAKE OF EJECTING SHORT WAVE TROUGH. IT APPEARS
THE THREAT OF DEEP CONVECTION SHOULD WANE SOMEWHAT WITHIN
NEUTRAL/WEAK SUBSIDENCE DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF SELY LOW LEVEL
UPSLOPE FLOW. OTHERWISE...A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY YET PRODUCE
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE TX PANHANDLE/SOUTH
PLAINS PER EARLIER THINKING.

..DARROW.. 10/05/2011

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1109 AM CDT WED OCT 05 2011/

...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
A LONGWAVE TROUGH IN THE WEST WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD...AS A LARGE RIDGE REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE COUNTRY. AHEAD OF THE DEEPENING TROUGH...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
...CENTERED OVER CENTRAL NM THIS MORNING...WILL BE EJECTED ENEWD
INTO THE TX PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE THE UPPER RIDGE FORCES
THE SYSTEM TO TURN NNEWD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE ONGOING THIS MORNING NEAR THE NM/TX
PANHANDLE BORDER AND SHOULD BE MAINTAINED EWD THROUGH THE TX
PANHANDLE AND INTO FAR WRN OK THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING.
ALTHOUGH DEWPOINTS CURRENTLY ARE IN THE 40S ACROSS THE TX
PANHANDLE...HIGHER VALUES...MID TO UPPER 50S FROM LBB SWD...WILL
SHIFT NWD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITHIN 20-30 KT LOW LEVEL WINDS.
SOME HEATING ALONG WITH THE HIGHER DEWPOINTS AND STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES WILL RESULT IN MLCAPES NEAR 500 J/KG. THE COMBINATION OF
THE WEAK INSTABILITY...STRONG FORCING AND VEERING/STRENGTHENING WIND
PROFILES SHOULD RESULT IN A STRONGER STORM OR TWO...AS ALSO SHOWN ON
THE VARIOUS STORM SCALE MODELS. ALTHOUGH THE INSTABILITY IS
WEAK...THE SHEAR AND FORCING MIGHT SUPPORT A MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL
THREAT THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL AROUND DARK. THUS...A 5% HAIL
PROBABILITY HAS BEEN ADDED FOR THIS POTENTIAL SHORT-LIVED THREAT.

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KFGZ [051935]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KFGZ 051935
LSRFGZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1235 PM MST WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 NE FLAGSTAFF 35.25N 111.54W
10/03/2011 COCONINO AZ COUNTY OFFICIAL

HEAVY RAIN FELL OVER MOST OF THE SCHULTZ BURN AREA.
SEVERAL STREETS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. NO DAMAGE TO
RESIDENTIAL STRUCTURES REPORTED. POWER OUTAGE IN FLOOD
AFFECTED AREA.


&&

EVENT NUMBER FGZ1100268

$$

DGV

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KREV [051935]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 051935
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1235 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN TRUCKEE 39.33N 120.20W
10/05/2011 M1.00 INCH NEVADA CA AWOS

STORM TOTAL OF 1.00 INCHES OF RAIN WITH A TRACE OF
SNOWFALL AT TRUCKEE AIRPORT.

0701 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 WSW GARDNERVILLE 38.91N 119.83W
10/05/2011 M0.76 INCH DOUGLAS NV TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPROTED .76 INCHES OF RAIN BETWEEN
MIDNIGHT AND 7 AM AND A 50 MPH WIND GUST.

0706 AM HEAVY RAIN 15 SW RENO 39.38N 120.02W
10/05/2011 M1.26 INCH NEVADA CA MESONET

GALENA CREEK ALERT GAUGE MEASURED 1.26 INCHES OF RAIN.

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN ESE MAMMOTH LAKES 37.64N 118.95W
10/05/2011 M0.92 INCH MONO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL OF 0.92 INCHES WATER EQUIVALENT WITH 3 INCHES
SNOWFALL AND 3 INCHES SNOW STILL ON GROUND.

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN TAHOE CITY 39.17N 120.14W
10/05/2011 M1.31 INCH PLACER CA CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL 1.31 INCHES RAIN WITH TRACE OF SNOW.

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NW SODA SPRINGS 39.33N 120.39W
10/05/2011 M2.03 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL 2.03 INCHES WATER EQUIVALENT WITH 6 INCHES
SNOW ON GROUND.

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN LEE VINING 37.96N 119.12W
10/05/2011 M1.07 INCH MONO CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

STORM TOTAL OF 1.07 INCHES RAIN WITH A TRACE OF SNOWFALL.


0801 AM HEAVY RAIN BOCA RESERVOIR 39.40N 120.09W
10/05/2011 M0.79 INCH NEVADA CA CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL 0.79 INCHES RAIN.

0945 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NW DOYLE 40.03N 120.11W
10/05/2011 M0.95 INCH LASSEN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL 0.95 INCHES RAIN.

0945 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SSE RENO 39.51N 119.80W
10/05/2011 M0.45 INCH WASHOE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL OF 0.45 INCHES RAIN.

0958 AM HEAVY RAIN NW SOUTH LAKE TAHOE 38.94N 119.99W
10/05/2011 M2.40 INCH EL DORADO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

2.4 INCHES RAIN SINCE 2PM ON OCT 4 AT 6209 FEET.
CURRENTLY LIGHT SNOW BUT NO ACCUMULATION.

1026 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SE HOMEWOOD 39.07N 120.15W
10/05/2011 M0.80 INCH PLACER CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL 0.80 INCHES RAIN SINCE 330PM ON OCT 4.
CURRENTLY SNOWING LIGHTLY WITH 1 INCH SNOW ON GRASS WITH
NONE ON PAVEMENT.

1100 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 WNW EAGLE LAKE 40.66N 120.78W
10/05/2011 M0.50 INCH LASSEN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL 0.50 INCHES RAIN WITH DUSTING OF SNOW ON
GROUND.

1149 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 SSE CROWLEY LAKE 37.55N 118.71W
10/05/2011 M1.40 INCH MONO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL OF 1.40 INCHES OF WATER EQUIVALENT WITH 1
INCH OF SNOW STICKING ONLY TO GRASS NOTHING ON PAVEMENT.


1149 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNW MARKLEEVILLE 38.77N 119.82W
10/05/2011 M0.97 INCH ALPINE CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL OF 0.97 INCHES RAIN SINCE 3PM ON OCT 4. NO
SNOW.


&&

$$

JKIELHOR

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KHNX [051931]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 051931
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1231 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM HEAVY RAIN HANFORD 36.33N 119.65W
10/05/2011 M0.17 INCH KINGS CA BROADCAST MEDIA

RAIN CAUSED POWER TRANSFORMER FIRE AND RESULTING HOUSE
EXPLOSION. RAIN AMOUNTS ARE FROM HANFORD ASOS.


&&

$$

JAND

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KIND [051920]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KIND 051920
LSRIND

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
320 PM EDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0816 PM TSTM WND GST ROACHDALE 39.85N 86.80W
08/13/2011 M56.00 MPH PUTNAM IN PUBLIC

REPORTED TO NWS OFFICE.


&&

$$

DWM

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KHNX [051909]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 051909
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1209 PM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM HAIL EL PORTAL 37.68N 119.78W
10/05/2011 E0.25 INCH MARIPOSA CA PARK/FOREST SRVC

SMALL HAIL JUST LESS THAN PEA-SIZED.


&&

$$

BSO

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KIND [051856]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIND 051856
LSRIND

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
254 PM EDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0251 PM TSTM WND GST ROACHDALE 39.85N 86.80W
08/13/2011 M56 MPH PUTNAM IN RPTD TO NWS
EMPLOYEE


&&

$$

DWM

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KIND [051854]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIND 051854
LSRIND

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
254 PM EDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0251 PM TSTM WND GST ROACHDALE 39.85N 86.80W
08/13/2011 M56 MPH PUTNAM IN NWS EMPLOYEE


&&

$$

DWM

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KPDT [051848]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 051848
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
1148 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1115 AM FUNNEL CLOUD 5 NE YAKIMA 46.64N 120.45W
10/05/2011 YAKIMA WA PUBLIC

A FUNNEL CLOUD SPOTTED OVER YAKIMA RIDGE NORTHEAST OF
YAKIMA.


&&

$$

JSOLOMON

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KVEF [051843]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 051843
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1143 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1140 AM TSTM WND GST PANAMINT SPRINGS 36.33N 117.47W
10/05/2011 E50.00 MPH INYO CA PUBLIC

THE PANAMINT SPRINGS RESORT ESTIMATED WINDS OF 40 TO 50
MPH ALONG WITH BLOWING DUST REDUCING VISIBILITY TO ONLY A
FEW FEET.


&&

$$

STACHELSKI

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KVEF [051839]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 051839
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1139 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1115 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 NNW YUCCA VALLEY 34.12N 116.44W
10/05/2011 SAN BERNARDINO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

3 INCH DIAMETER TREES BLOWN OVER. VISIBILITY 40-50 YARDS
IN BLOWING DUST.


&&

$$

JJACQUES

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KVEF [051825]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 051825
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1125 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1120 AM HEAVY SNOW 11 WNW OWENS VALLEY RAW 37.46N 118.74W
10/05/2011 E12.0 INCH INYO CA PUBLIC

ROCK CREEK LAKES RESORT STAFF REPORTED A FOOT OF SNOW HAD
ALREADY FALLEN AT 9700 FEET.


&&

$$

STACHELSKI

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KMFR [051812]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 051812
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1112 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 N CAVE JUNCTION 42.19N 123.65W
10/05/2011 M1.52 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

FROM 330PM YESTERDAY AFTERNOON.


&&

$$

WOODHEAD

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KVEF [051806]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 051806
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1106 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1029 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 16 SW SEARLES VALLEY 35.60N 117.60W
10/05/2011 M58.00 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA MESONET


&&

$$

STACHELSKI

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KMFR [051755]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 051755
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1055 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1050 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 ESE BROOKINGS 42.05N 124.26W
10/05/2011 M2.24 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOURS ENDING AT 1050 AM.


&&

$$

GLASER

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KMFR [051745]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 051745
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1045 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN W DUNSMUIR 41.23N 122.27W
10/05/2011 M1.60 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOURS ENDING AT 8 AM.

1000 AM HEAVY RAIN N LANGLOIS 42.93N 124.45W
10/05/2011 M2.19 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOURS ENDING AT 10 AM. 1.02 OCCURRED IN THE 12 HOUR
PERIOD ENDING AT 10 AM.


&&

$$

GLASER

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KEKA [051736]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KEKA 051736
LSREKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
1036 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 AM LIGHTNING 4 NNW WILLITS 39.44N 123.38W
10/05/2011 MENDOCINO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

LIGHTNING STRIKE WAS CLOSE TO OBSERVER.


&&

$$

PALMQUIST

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KVEF [051732]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KVEF 051732
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1032 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0241 PM TSTM WND GST 5 NNW GREEN VALLEY 36.11N 115.12W
10/03/2011 M47.00 MPH CLARK NV TRAINED SPOTTER

A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED A THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST OF 47
MPH AT FLAMINGO AND EASTERN. THE SPOTTER REPORTED NO
DAMAGES FROM THE WIND GUSTS.

0306 PM LIGHTNING 4 SSE DOWNTOWN LAS VEGA 36.13N 115.11W
10/03/2011 CLARK NV BROADCAST MEDIA

*** 1 INJ *** A LIGHTNING STRIKE CAUSED A 2-ALARM FIRE AT
A TWO STORY INDUSTRIAL BUILDING. THERE WERE SEVERAL
PEOPLE IN THE BUILDING WHEN THE FIRE STARTED AND HAD TO
BE EVACUATED AND ONE PERSON WAS TREATED AT THE SCENE FOR
SMOKE INHALATION. ESTIMATED DAMAGE TO THE BUILDING WAS
BETWEEN 50,000 AND 100,000 DOLLARS AND WAS MAINLY
CONFINED TO THE ROOF.

0900 AM FLASH FLOOD 8 W TEMPLE BAR 36.02N 114.47W
10/04/2011 MOHAVE AZ PARK/FOREST SRVC

WATER AND DEBRIS WERE FLOWING ACROSS TEMPLE BAR ROAD
BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 14 AND 19.5.

1200 PM FLASH FLOOD NE EAST LAS VEGAS 36.10N 115.04W
10/04/2011 CLARK NV BROADCAST MEDIA

SEVERAL AREA RAIN GAUGES REPORTED AROUND AN INCH OF RAIN
BETWEEN 1130AM AND 1230PM IN THE VICINITY OF JIMMY
DURANTE BLVD AND TROPICANA AVE. SEVERAL CARS BECAME
STRANDED IN THE INTERSECTION DUE TO THE HIGH WATER AND A
CLARK COUNTY SWIFT WATER RESCUE TEAM HELPED DRIVERS FROM
THEIR CARS. BROADCAST MEDIA STATED THAT THE WATER FLOODED
THE ROAD SO FAST THAT THE DRIVERS WERE NOT EXPECTING IT
AND THEIR CARS STALLED. NO INJURIES WERE REPORTED.

1206 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 ESE HENDERSON 36.02N 114.95W
10/04/2011 E0.50 INCH CLARK NV TRAINED SPOTTER

A TRAINED SPOTTER NEAR WARM SPRINGS AND MARKS STREET
REPORTED WATER OVER THE CURBS. THERE WAS A NEARBY REPORT
OF ONE HALF INCH IN 15 MINUTES.

1207 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 ESE LAS VEGAS 36.14N 115.06W
10/04/2011 M0.50 INCH CLARK NV TRAINED SPOTTER

ONE HALF OF AN INCH OF RAIN MEASURED IN 15 MINUTES AT
NELLIS AND VEGAS VALLEY. RUNOFF CURB HIGH.

1208 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 E LAS VEGAS 36.17N 115.06W
10/04/2011 M0.50 INCH CLARK NV PUBLIC

ONE HALF INCH OF RAIN IN 20 MINUTES AND PEA SIZE HAIL.

1222 PM HAIL 5 ESE LAS VEGAS 36.14N 115.06W
10/04/2011 M0.50 INCH CLARK NV TRAINED SPOTTER

1223 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 ENE GREEN VALLEY 36.07N 115.05W
10/04/2011 CLARK NV TRAINED SPOTTER

A TRAINED SPOTTER BETWEEN RUSSEL AND SUNSET ON STEPHANIE
REPORTED WATER FLOWING OVER AND ABOVE THE CURB AND
COVERING THREE QUATERS OF THE ROADWAY.

1245 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 N GREEN VALLEY 36.10N 115.07W
10/04/2011 CLARK NV TRAINED SPOTTER

A TRAINED SPOTTER ON MARKS STREET REPORTED WATER AS DEEP
AS 18 INCHES ON THE ROADWAY BETWEEN AMERICAN PACIFIC AND
WARM SPRINGS.

0125 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 SSE LOGANDALE 36.59N 114.47W
10/04/2011 M1.14 INCH CLARK NV TRAINED SPOTTER

A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED HEAVY RAIN IN LOGANDALE
MEASURING OVER ONE INCH IN LESS THAN AN HOUR.


&&

$$

VEF STAFF

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 051719
SWODY2
SPC AC 051718

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1218 PM CDT WED OCT 05 2011

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS...

...HIGH PLAINS...

BOTH THE GFS AND NAM SUGGEST A SIGNIFICANT SPEED MAX WILL ROUND THE
BASE OF THE WRN U.S. TROUGH ACROSS NM TOWARD THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS
BY 07/00Z. RESULTANT EXIT REGION OF THIS FEATURE WILL INDUCE WEAK
CYCLOGENESIS ALONG THE LEE TROUGH OVER NERN CO WHICH WILL THEN LIFT
NWD DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND DEEPEN OVER ERN MT/WRN ND. A
NARROW BAND OF RETURN MOISTURE/MOISTENING WILL OCCUR ALONG WRN
FRINGE OF SFC ANTICYCLONE ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS WHERE SFC DEW
POINTS SHOULD BE MOSTLY IN THE 50S ACROSS THE SLGT RISK REGION FROM
THE TX PANHANDLE...NWD TOWARD THE BLACK HILLS REGION OF SD. LATEST
FORECAST SOUNDINGS EXHIBIT STRONG SFC HEATING NEAR THE LEE
TROUGH/DRY LINE WHICH SHOULD REMOVE INHIBITION ALONG THE WIND SHIFT
BY LATE AFTERNOON. FOR THIS REASON IT APPEARS SUFFICIENT
INSTABILITY WILL EXIST FOR ROBUST UPDRAFTS WITHIN A STRONGLY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT AFTER 21Z. ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
SOUTH OF I-80 INFLUENCED STRONGLY BY SFC HEATING...WHILE CONVECTION
NEAR THE BLACK HILLS SHOULD EXPERIENCE STRONGER FORCING WITHIN THE
EXIT REGION. GIVEN THE RELATIVELY MODEST MOISTURE RETURN IT APPEARS
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE
THREATS...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT IN
COOLER NRN REGIONS WHERE VERY STRONG SHEAR AND LOWER CLOUD BASES
WILL EXIST.

..DARROW.. 10/05/2011

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KPIH [051637]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 051637
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
1037 AM MDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1036 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 ENE KETCHUM 43.70N 114.35W
10/05/2011 M1.00 INCH BLAINE ID TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL IN ELKHORN SINCE MONDAY EVENING.


&&

$$

GWICKLUN

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KMFR [051627]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 051627
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
927 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 NE CAVE JUNCTION 42.23N 123.52W
10/05/2011 M2.06 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

WOODHEAD

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KMFR [051623]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 051623
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
923 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNW BROOKINGS 42.12N 124.32W
10/03/2011 M1.87 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL.


&&

$$

WOODHEAD

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KMFR [051622]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 051622
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
922 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNW BROOKINGS 42.12N 124.32W
10/05/2011 M1.65 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL. A HEAVY SHOWER AFTER THIS MEASUREMENT
OCCURRED PRODUCED AN ADDITIONAL 0.39 INCH OF RAIN IN
10-15 MINUTES.


&&

$$

WOODHEAD

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KMFR [051617]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 051617
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
917 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNE SELMA 42.34N 123.57W
10/05/2011 M1.30 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL.


&&

$$

WOODHEAD

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 051612
SWODY1
SPC AC 051609

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1109 AM CDT WED OCT 05 2011

VALID 051630Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
A LONGWAVE TROUGH IN THE WEST WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD...AS A LARGE RIDGE REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE COUNTRY. AHEAD OF THE DEEPENING TROUGH...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
...CENTERED OVER CENTRAL NM THIS MORNING...WILL BE EJECTED ENEWD
INTO THE TX PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE THE UPPER RIDGE FORCES
THE SYSTEM TO TURN NNEWD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE ONGOING THIS MORNING NEAR THE NM/TX
PANHANDLE BORDER AND SHOULD BE MAINTAINED EWD THROUGH THE TX
PANHANDLE AND INTO FAR WRN OK THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING.
ALTHOUGH DEWPOINTS CURRENTLY ARE IN THE 40S ACROSS THE TX
PANHANDLE...HIGHER VALUES...MID TO UPPER 50S FROM LBB SWD...WILL
SHIFT NWD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITHIN 20-30 KT LOW LEVEL WINDS.
SOME HEATING ALONG WITH THE HIGHER DEWPOINTS AND STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES WILL RESULT IN MLCAPES NEAR 500 J/KG. THE COMBINATION OF
THE WEAK INSTABILITY...STRONG FORCING AND VEERING/STRENGTHENING WIND
PROFILES SHOULD RESULT IN A STRONGER STORM OR TWO...AS ALSO SHOWN ON
THE VARIOUS STORM SCALE MODELS. ALTHOUGH THE INSTABILITY IS
WEAK...THE SHEAR AND FORCING MIGHT SUPPORT A MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL
THREAT THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL AROUND DARK. THUS...A 5% HAIL
PROBABILITY HAS BEEN ADDED FOR THIS POTENTIAL SHORT-LIVED THREAT.

..IMY/COHEN.. 10/05/2011

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KSTO [051612]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 051612
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
911 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0906 AM HEAVY RAIN SE PACIFIC HOUSE 38.76N 120.50W
10/05/2011 M1.94 INCH EL DORADO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR RAIN AS OF 8 AM. STILL RAINING...


&&

$$

JPOWELL

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KBOI [051603]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOI 051603
LSRBOI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
1003 AM MDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNW GLENDALE 44.89N 116.44W
10/05/2011 M1.50 INCH ADAMS ID TRAINED SPOTTER

TWO DAY TOTAL SO FAR. 0.8INCHES/24HRS TUESDAY AND 0.7
INCHES SINCE MIDNIGHT. CURRENTLY 46 DEGREES.


&&

$$

VMILLS

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KEKA [051540]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KEKA 051540
LSREKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
840 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0835 AM HAIL EUREKA 40.80N 124.16W
10/05/2011 M0.25 INCH HUMBOLDT CA PUBLIC

NEAR TARGET IN EUREKA.


&&

$$

PALMQUIST

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KMFR [051514]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 051514
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
814 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0707 AM HEAVY RAIN NE BROOKINGS 42.06N 124.29W
10/05/2011 M1.69 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

2PM-1030PM 4 OCT

0707 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 N KENO 42.19N 121.91W
10/05/2011 M1.00 INCH KLAMATH OR TRAINED SPOTTER

IN 12HRS. SNOWING NOW AT 4500FT. WIND CHILL OF 15.8F THIS
MORNING.

0707 AM HEAVY RAIN 10 SSE SPRAGUE RIVER 42.32N 121.44W
10/05/2011 M0.44 INCH KLAMATH OR TRAINED SPOTTER

38F

0707 AM SNOW N TENNANT 41.59N 121.91W
10/05/2011 M1.2 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

4800FT. 28F NOW. STARTING SNOWING AT 2AM.


&&

$$

MOTTENWE

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KSTO [051410]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 051410
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
710 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0705 AM SNOW 5 ENE CISCO 39.32N 120.45W
10/05/2011 M5.0 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

AT 7 AM....CAL TRANS HAVE REPORTED 5 INCHES OF SNOW ON
DONNER SUMMITT AND 3 INCHES OF SNOW AT KINGVALLE THIS
MORNING.


&&

$$

JPOWELL

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KBOI [051407]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOI 051407
LSRBOI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
807 AM MDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0756 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 ENE COUNCIL 44.74N 116.39W
10/05/2011 M0.50 INCH ADAMS ID TRAINED SPOTTER

THIS 0.5 INCHES IS ON TOP OF 1 INCH/24HRS REPORTED THE
MORNING OF 10-4-2011 AT 8 AM.

0709 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 SW FEATHERVILLE 43.57N 115.33W
10/05/2011 M0.49 INCH ELMORE ID MESONET

1.12 INCHES SINCE MIDNIGHT AND 0.49 THE LAST 6 HOURS.
WAGONTOWN RAWS AT 6200 FT MSL TEMPERATURE 40F.


&&

$$

WFO BOISE

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KMFR [051327]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 051327
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
627 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0526 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 SW MERLIN 42.46N 123.49W
10/05/2011 M0.50 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

SINCE 9PM 4 OCT. STILL RAINING

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NE SEIAD VALLEY 41.86N 123.16W
10/05/2011 M1.20 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

PAST 12 HRS


&&

$$

MOTTENWE

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KMTR [051247]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMTR 051247
LSRMTR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
547 AM PDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1229 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ATLAS PEAK RAWS 38.47N 122.26W
10/05/2011 M52.00 MPH NAPA CA MESONET

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 WNW INVERNESS 38.11N 122.94W
10/05/2011 M53.00 MPH MARIN CA MESONET

MEASURED AT POINT REYES,

0228 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ROSE PEAK RAWS 37.50N 121.74W
10/05/2011 M45.00 MPH ALAMEDA CA MESONET

0232 AM NON-TSTM WND GST LOS GATOS 37.23N 121.96W
10/05/2011 M58.00 MPH SANTA CLARA CA MESONET

0317 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MT. DIABLO RAWS 37.88N 121.91W
10/05/2011 M66.00 MPH CONTRA COSTA CA MESONET

0317 AM NON-TSTM WND GST LAS TRAMPAS RAWS 37.83N 122.07W
10/05/2011 M55.00 MPH CONTRA COSTA CA MESONET

0409 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 N SAN FRANCISCO 37.85N 122.42W
10/05/2011 M46.00 MPH MARIN CA MESONET

MEASURED AT POINT BLUNT, ANGEL ISLAND.

0412 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 E LIVERMORE 37.69N 121.61W
10/05/2011 M48.00 MPH ALAMEDA CA MESONET

MEASURED AT ALTAMONT PASS.


&&

$$

ANDERSON

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 051227
SWODY1
SPC AC 051225

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0725 AM CDT WED OCT 05 2011

VALID 051300Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A LARGE AND DEEP UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE NATION BY TONIGHT...WITH THE PRIMARY
MID/UPPER LEVEL JET AXIS EXTENDING FROM SOUTHERN CA INTO THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING THIS MORNING
ACROSS PARTS OF NM AND WEST TX. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY PERSIST
MUCH THE DAY AND MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD...WHILE OTHER WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS FORM FROM THE MT ROCKIES INTO CO. OTHER MORE
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL/NORTHERN CA AND NORTHERN NV AS THE POCKET OF COLDEST MID
LEVEL TEMPERATURES MOVES ASHORE LATER TODAY. FINALLY...SCATTERED
DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH/EAST COAST OF THE
FL PENINSULA. NONE OF THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.

..HART/JIRAK.. 10/05/2011

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2223

ACUS11 KWNS 051035
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051035
CAZ000-051530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2223
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0535 AM CDT WED OCT 05 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SIERRA NEVADA MOUNTAIN RANGE - ABOVE 6000 FEET

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 051035Z - 051530Z

HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES /UP TO 2 INCH PER HOUR/ ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
THIS MORNING IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN NEAR AND TO THE NW-W OF TVL AND
SPREAD SWD INTO THE SRN SIERRA NEVADA MOUNTAINS. IN ADDITION TO THE
LIKELIHOOD FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES...THE PASSAGE OF A PACIFIC COLD
FRONT WILL SUPPORT LOWERING SNOW LEVELS. AT 12Z THIS MORNING...
LEVELS SHOULD BE AROUND 8000 FEET ACROSS THE FULL EXTENT OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA /ERN EL DORADO COUNTY TO ERN FRESNO COUNTY/. AS THE
FRONT ADVANCES SSEWD...THE ADVECTION OF COLDER TROPOSPHERIC
TEMPERATURES WILL SUPPORT SNOW LEVELS ACROSS THE NRN SIERRA AND NRN
EXTENT OF THE SRN SIERRA REACHING AROUND 6000 FEET BY 18Z. FARTHER
S...18Z SNOW LEVELS SHOULD BE IN THE 7000-7500 FOOT RANGE...WITH
LEVELS THEN LOWERING TO 6000-6500 FEET INTO THE AFTERNOON.

TRENDS IN LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING RADAR/SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED
THE PACIFIC COLD FRONT ADVANCING ESEWD THROUGH NRN CA. THE TIMING
OF THIS FRONT ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA BETWEEN 12-18Z WILL RESULT
IN FAVORABLE UPSLOPE FLOW /DEEP LAYER SWLY WIND FIELDS/ INTO MUCH OF
THE SIERRA MOUNTAIN RANGE. THIS MOIST ASCENT COMBINED WITH DCVA
ATTENDANT TO A DIGGING SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKING TOWARD CENTRAL CA
AT THIS TIME WILL FURTHER ENHANCE UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION FOR HIGHER
PRECIPITATION RATES.

..PETERS.. 10/05/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...VEF...REV...HNX...STO...

LAT...LON 39132023 38912003 38481959 38021910 37481875 37281859
37121877 37301911 37821957 38131984 38322018 38582032
38892037 39132023

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 050811
SWOD48
SPC AC 050810

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0310 AM CDT WED OCT 05 2011

VALID 081200Z - 131200Z

THE PERIOD COMMENCES WITH ABOVE-AVERAGE SPREAD AMONG GUIDANCE OVER
THE EVOLUTION OF A SHORT WAVE TROUGH NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS AT
12Z/SAT. THE GFS TRACKS THIS FEATURE ONTO THE CNTRL PLAINS OVER THE
WEEKEND...WHILE THE ECMWF/CMC AND MAJORITY OF GEFS MEMBERS HOLD THE
IMPULSE NEAR THE SRN ROCKIES BEFORE ACCELERATING IT NEWD INTO THE
NRN PLAINS BY MON. EVEN WITH THESE DIFFERENCES...GUIDANCE IS
CONSISTENT THAT DEEP-LAYER KINEMATIC FIELDS WILL WEAKEN ON SAT AND
THE SURFACE PRESSURE PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE INNOCUOUS. ALTHOUGH
LOW-END SEVERE POTENTIAL COULD PERHAPS LINGER OVER PORTIONS OF THE
CNTRL/SRN PLAINS THIS WEEKEND WITH TSTMS LIKELY PERSISTING ALONG A
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT...THE POTENTIAL FOR A REGIONAL AREA OF
ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS APPEARS LOW.

..GRAMS/KERR.. 10/05/2011

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 050731
SWODY3
SPC AC 050730

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CDT WED OCT 05 2011

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SERN SD TO THE TX
PANHANDLE...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE ELONGATED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WRN CONUS WILL EVOLVE INTO
TWO DISTINCT SHORT WAVE TROUGHS ON FRI. THE MORE VIGOROUS IMPULSE
WILL MOVE N/NEWD ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS INTO S-CNTRL CANADA...WHILE
THE SECONDARY IMPULSE SHOULD SLOWLY SHIFT EWD ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST/FOUR CORNERS. PRIMARY SURFACE CYCLONE ALONG THE MT/DAKOTAS
BORDER ON FRI MORNING WILL TRACK N/NEWD INTO MANITOBA BY EVENING.
ATTENDANT COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EWD ACROSS THE DAKOTAS INTO WRN
MN...WHILE TRAILING PORTION BECOMES QUASI-STATIONARY ACROSS THE
CNTRL PLAINS INTO WRN TX.

...CNTRL PLAINS TO WRN TX...
A CONTINUED FETCH OF STRONG SLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL FURTHER INCREASE
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE RELATIVE TO D2 AND SHOULD LEAD TO 50S TO
LOWER 60S SURFACE DEW POINTS BECOMING ESTABLISHED AHEAD OF A PACIFIC
COLD FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO STALL FROM SERN SD INTO THE TX
PANHANDLE ON FRI AFTERNOON. IN CONJUNCTION WITH DIURNAL
HEATING...THIS SHOULD LEAD TO MODEST INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE LARGELY
RANGING FROM 500 TO 1500 J/KG. CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT SHOULD
SUPPORT AT LEAST SCATTERED TSTMS FORMING IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. WITH
50-65 KT SWLYS AT 500 MB OVERSPREADING THE FRONTAL AXIS...DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR INITIAL SUPERCELLS. HOWEVER...WITH MEAN
FLOW LARGELY PARALLEL TO THE INITIATING BOUNDARY...TSTMS COULD
QUICKLY GROW UPSCALE INTO CLUSTERS PRIMARILY PRODUCING ISOLATED
SEVERE HAIL/WIND.

TSTM COVERAGE SHOULD INCREASE DURING THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT ACROSS
PARTS OF WRN/CNTRL KS INTO WRN TX AS THE LLJ NOCTURNALLY
STRENGTHENS...AND THE FOUR CORNERS SHORT WAVE TROUGH GRADUALLY
APPROACHES. THIS MAY RESULT IN A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT LINGERING
INTO FRI NIGHT.

...RED RIVER VALLEY OF ND/MN...
AS THE VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE TROUGH SHIFTS NEWD ACROSS THE WRN
DAKOTAS...AN ATTENDANT BELT OF INTENSE 700-500 MB S/SWLYS SHOULD
BECOME CENTERED OVER THE ERN DAKOTAS INTO WRN MN. THIS WILL RESULT
IN VERY FAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR PROFILES ON FRI AFTERNOON AHEAD
OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. NEVERTHELESS...CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN POOR AND WITH RELATIVELY
MEAGER BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE...MAY ONLY RESULT IN MINIMAL
INSTABILITY FOR DEEP CONVECTION. GIVEN THIS...WILL HOLD OFF ON A
SLIGHT RISK DELINEATION ATTM.

..GRAMS/KERR.. 10/05/2011

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KBOX [050715]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBOX 050715
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
315 AM EDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM FLOOD BROCKTON 42.08N 71.03W
10/04/2011 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

MONTELLO STREET WAS FLOODED HALFWAY UP THE TIRES OF AN
AMBULANCE WITH CARS STUCK IN THE FLOODWATERS. ON NORTH
PEARL STREET NEAR GOOD SAMARITAN HOSPITAL A MANHOLE
COVER POPPED UP HITTING THE UNDERCARRIAGE OF A CAR. THE
CAR WOULD NOT START AFTER THIS OCCURRED.

0510 AM HAIL LYNN 42.47N 70.96W
10/04/2011 M0.88 INCH ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

0600 AM FLOOD PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

FOSTER AND CROWNINSHIELD STREETS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0604 AM FLOOD LYNNFIELD 42.54N 71.04W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

ROUTE 1 SB IN THE LYNNFIELD TUNNEL IS CLOSED DUE TO
FLOODING INSIDE THE TUNNEL.

0615 AM FLASH FLOOD SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

HIGHLAND AVE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. 3 PEOPLE RESCUED
FROM VEHICLES

0615 AM FLOOD SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

MARLBOROUGH ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0620 AM FLOOD LYNN 42.47N 70.96W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

CHATHAM STREET CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0627 AM FLASH FLOOD PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

TRASK ROAD HAS VEHICLES STUCK IN WATER WITH PEOPLE
TRAPPED. THE ROAD HAS BEEN CLOSED.

0628 AM FLOOD PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

PARTS OF ROUTE 128 IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLOODING

0628 AM FLOOD DANVERS 42.57N 70.95W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

6 INCHES OF STANDING WATER ON SUMMER STREET AT ROUTE 62

0638 AM FLASH FLOOD PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

PEABODY POLICE STATION FLOODED. MULTIPLE CARS FLOODED
AND PEOPLE TRAPPED ON ROUTE 128 NEAR LOWELL STREET
THROUGH ROUTE 114 INCLUDING TOW TRUCK STUCK IN WATERS.

0644 AM FLASH FLOOD PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

3 CARS STUCK IN FLOOD WATERS ON ROUTE 1 NORTH AT THE
UNDERPASS NEAR I-95. SHAMROCK STREET WAS IMPASSABLE DUE
TO FLOODING.

0700 AM FLASH FLOOD SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

WINTHROP STREET FLOODED WITH A PREGNANT WOMAN IN CAR
STUCK IN FLOOD WATERS. TREMONT AND BUFFUM STREETS
FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE. JEFFERSON AVE AND CANAL ST
FLOODED WITH VEHICLES STUCK IN FLOOD WATERS.

0708 AM TSTM WND DMG SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

TREE DOWN ON HOUSE ON NORTH STREET

0711 AM FLOOD MARBLEHEAD 42.48N 70.87W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

CORNELL ROAD FLOODED WITH 2 FEET OF WATER IN THE ROAD

0718 AM FLASH FLOOD PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

ABINGTON AVE... SENECA ROAD AND GARDNER ST FLOODED WITH
3 FT OF WATER AND IMPASSABLE. HOWLEY ST FLOODED AND
IMPASSABLE WITH VEHICLES STUCK. TREMONT... HOWLEY...
WALLIS AND WALNUT STREETS FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE.

0724 AM FLASH FLOOD BEVERLY 42.56N 70.84W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

FEDERAL STREET RAILROAD UNDERPASS FLOODED WITH CARS
STUCK IN FLOOD WATERS

0726 AM FLOOD PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

CAR FLOODED OUT ON RAILROAD AVE. NO OCCUPANTS IN THE
CAR.

0727 AM FLOOD PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

WASHINGTON STREET AT GRANITE STREET...SEVERAL HOMES
FLOODED.

0728 AM FLOOD PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

CAR STUCK IN FLOOD WATERS ON WALNUT STREET

0735 AM FLASH FLOOD BEVERLY 42.56N 70.84W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

CAR STUCK IN FLOOD WATERS WITH PEOPLE IN IT ON PARK
STREET

0736 AM FLASH FLOOD SWAMPSCOTT 42.47N 70.89W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

TRAIN STATION CARS COMPLETELY SUBMERGED ON RAILROAD
TRACKS

0738 AM FLOOD LAWRENCE 42.70N 71.16W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

SEVERAL STREETS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. CAR STUCK IN
FLOOD WATERS ON ANDOVER STREET AT SOUTH BROADWAY NEAR
WALGREENS.

0749 AM FLOOD BEVERLY 42.56N 70.84W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

8 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING INTO THE CUMMINGS CENTER

0752 AM FLASH FLOOD PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

LAHEY CLINIC HAS 4 TO 6 FEET OF WATER IN THE BASEMENT
IN ADDITION TO SEVERAL INCHES OF WATER IN THE LOWER
HALLWAYS OF THE CLINIC. OIL COMING OUT OF FLOODED
BASEMENT ON LYNNFIELD STREET. WATER RESCUE IN HOME ON
TUMELTY ROAD.

0808 AM FLASH FLOOD PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

CAR STUCK IN FLOOD WATERS WITH LADY RESCUED NEAR THE
CITY HALL ON LOWELL STREET

0828 AM FLASH FLOOD SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

2 PEOPLE STUCK IN CAR IN FLOOD WATERS ON WILSON STREET.

0855 AM FLASH FLOOD PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

FLOODING CLOSURES...RTE 128 S FROM 114 LOWELL ST. LAKE
ST TO RTE 1 S...TRUCK IN SINK HOLE. ALSO BRIMBAL ST TO
RTE 128 N BARELY PASSABLE.

0945 AM FLASH FLOOD PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

CREEK BEHIND PEABODY ACCESS TELEVISION FLOODING THE
BACK PARKING LOT. FOSTER ST UNDER AT LEAST 2 FEET OF
WATER. ENDICOTT ST STILL FLOODED UP TO 2 FEET. 100
BASEMENTS BEING PUMPED OUT.

0949 AM FLOOD MARBLEHEAD 42.48N 70.87W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

4 TO 5 STREETS CLOSED WITHIN A 3 BLOCK AREA DUE TO
FLOODING

1017 AM FLOOD SWAMPSCOTT 42.47N 70.89W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

ROUTE 1A AT BURRILL ST TO NORFOLK AVENUE CLOSED DUE TO
FLOODING. ELMWOOD ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. OVER 30
HOMES WITH FLOODED BASEMENTS.

1046 AM FLOOD BEVERLY 42.56N 70.84W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC WORKS YARD FLOODED

1210 PM FLOOD TOPSFIELD 42.64N 70.96W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

TOPSFIELD FAIRGROUNDS FLOODED DELAYING OPENING OF THE
TOPSFIELD FAIR.

1217 PM FLOOD SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

ROUTE 107 AT THE SALEM LYNN LINE IS CLOSED DUE TO
FLOODING. TRAFFIC BEING REROUTED THROUGH A PRIVATE
BUISNIESS PARKING LOT.

0220 PM FLOOD SWAMPSCOTT 42.47N 70.89W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA EMERGENCY MNGR

EMER MGMT REPORT RELAYED BY HAM RADIO...5 TO 6 ROADWAYS
STILL CLOSED BECAUSE OF FLOODING. ESTIMATE 500 PLUS
HOUSES AFFECTED BY FLOODING. 100 HAD TO HAVE POWER CUT
DUE TO UTILITY ISSUES IN THE BASEMENTS.

0220 PM FLOOD SWAMPSCOTT 42.47N 70.89W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA EMERGENCY MNGR

EMER MGMT REPORT RELAYED BY HAM RADIO...90 PERCENT OF
BUSINESSES IN TOWN HAD WATER DAMAGE IN THE AREA OF
300-1000 PARADISE RD.

0226 PM FLOOD SWAMPSCOTT 42.47N 70.89W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

SEVERAL STREETS ARE STILL CLOSED IN SWAMPSCOTT. THEY
ARE...ORCHARD RD... HUMPHREY ST... SHEPARD AVE...
ELMWOOD RD... SCULPIN WAY... BRADLEY RD... ATLANTIC
AVE... COLUMBIA ST... BURRILL ST AND NEW OCEAN ST.

0441 PM FLASH FLOOD PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

AN ESTIMATED 100 HOMES AND 40 BUSINESSES EXPERIENCED
DAMAGE FROM FLOODING. FIRST FLOOR OF THE POLICE
DEPARTMENT WAS FLOODED EXACERBATED BY A PUMP FAILURE.

0455 PM FLASH FLOOD BEVERLY 42.56N 70.84W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

1ST FLOOR BUSINESSES AT CUMMINGS CENTER SUSTAINED
SIGNIFICANT FLOOD DAMAGE. THE DPW GARAGE WAS FLOODED
DAMAGING POLICE CARS AND OTHER CITY VEHICLES.


&&

$$

RLG

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 050532
SWODY2
SPC AC 050531

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1231 AM CDT WED OCT 05 2011

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM WRN SD TO THE TX
PANHANDLE...

...SYNOPSIS...
HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WRN CONUS WILL BECOME
ELONGATED AS A VORTICITY MAXIMUM /CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE NRN CA
COAST/ REACHES THE FOUR CORNERS BY THU MORNING AND THEN EJECTS NEWD
TOWARDS THE NRN PLAINS THROUGH EARLY FRI...WHILE A SECONDARY IMPULSE
MOVES ACROSS CA INTO THE SOUTHWEST. AT THE SURFACE...PRIMARY CYCLONE
SHOULD BECOME CENTERED INVOF THE NEB/CO/WY BORDER AREA ON THU
AFTERNOON AND THEN DEVELOP NWD ACROSS THE NRN HIGH PLAINS IN THE
EVENING/OVERNIGHT. AN ATTENDANT DRYLINE WILL MIX EWD ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS BEFORE RETREATING WWD DURING THE EARLY
EVENING. THE NRN PORTION OF THE DRYLINE WILL BE OVERTAKEN BY A
PACIFIC COLD FRONT AND SURGE EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS
OVERNIGHT.

...NRN PLAINS TO SRN HIGH PLAINS...
DOWNSTREAM OF THE WRN CONUS TROUGH...KINEMATIC FIELDS WILL
STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS...RESULTING IN INCREASING
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE BEING ADVECTED NWD AND STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
DEVELOPING BY THU AFTERNOON/EVENING. DESPITE THE INFLUX OF GREATER
MOISTURE...THE PRESENCE OF LOW-LEVEL RIDGING ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF
THE SRN/ERN CONUS IN PRECEDING DAYS WILL RESTRICT THE AMPLITUDE AND
LONGITUDINAL EXTENT OF A MODIFIED WRN GULF AIR MASS. WITH SURFACE
DEW POINTS EXPECTED TO ONLY REACH INTO THE UPPER 40S AND 50S BY
07/00Z...THIS SHOULD REMAIN A LIMITING FACTOR TO A MORE ROBUST
SEVERE THREAT.

NEVERTHELESS...A LARGE SWATH OF 500 MB S/SWLYS AOA 50 KT WILL
OVERSPREAD THE REGION BY LATE AFTERNOON AND LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS
WILL ENLARGE DURING THE EVENING AS THE LLJ STRENGTHENS TO AOA 50 KT
ACROSS MUCH OF THE PLAINS. THIS WILL RESULT IN RATHER FAVORABLE
SUPERCELL WIND PROFILES DEVELOPING ALONG THE DRYLINE.

FORCING SHOULD REMAIN WEAK OVER MOST OF THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS AS
PRIMARY SHORT WAVE TROUGH EJECTS N/NEWD TOWARDS THE NRN PLAINS...AND
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE WEAKER WITH SRN EXTENT.
HOWEVER...CONVERGENCE AND HEATING ALONG THE DRYLINE SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELL TSTMS WITH ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WEATHER POSSIBLE.

IN THE NRN PLAINS...LARGE-SCALE FORCING WILL INCREASE DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND WITH STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES...WILL LIKELY COMPENSATE TO SOME EXTENT FOR MARGINAL BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE AND WEAKER EFFECTIVE SHEAR RELATIVE TO FARTHER S.
SCATTERED TSTMS APPEAR PROBABLE TO FORM AND SHOULD CONSIST OF A FEW
SUPERCELLS WITH PRIMARY THREATS OF SEVERE HAIL/WIND AND PERHAPS A
TORNADO OR TWO.

..GRAMS/KERR.. 10/05/2011

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 050500
SWODY1
SPC AC 050458

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1158 PM CDT TUE OCT 04 2011

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A SHORT WAVE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL DAMPEN AND EJECT
NEWD INTO THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...WHILE A POWERFUL HIGHLY AMPLIFIED
TROUGH IMPACTS THE WEST...BECOMING CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN
OVERNIGHT. IN RESPONSE...SLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS
THE CNTRL STATES...WITH MOIST/WARM ADVECTION SUPPORTING A NARROW
CORRIDOR OF WEAK INSTABILITY AHEAD OF A DRYLINE IN WRN TX...THE TX
PANHANDLE...AND WRN OK/KS. HOWEVER...GIVEN AN ANTECEDENT DRY AIR
MASS...DETERMINISTIC/ENSEMBLE MODELS MAY BE TOO AGGRESSIVE IN
DEPICTING MORE SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE RETURN. AS SUCH...MEAGER
INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE WILL PRECLUDE THE ISSUANCE OF SEVERE
PROBABILITIES. ELSEWHERE IN THE WEST...COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES
/-24 C AT 500 MB/ WILL LEAD TO STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES THAT WILL
BE CONDUCIVE TO CHARGE SEPARATION...SUPPORTING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST...GREAT BASIN...AND
NRN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. HOWEVER...CLOUD COVER AND DECREASING
MOISTURE WILL LIMIT MORE ROBUST AND ORGANIZED CONVECTION.

..HURLBUT/LEITMAN/BROYLES.. 10/05/2011

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KBOX [050406]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KBOX 050406
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1206 AM EDT WED OCT 05 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0638 AM FLASH FLOOD PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
10/04/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

PEABODY POLICE STATION FLOODED. MULTIPLE CARS FLOODED
AND PEOPLE TRAPPED ON ROUTE 128 NEAR LOWELL STREET
THROUGH ROUTE 114 INCLUDING TOW TRUCK STUCK IN WATERS.


&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

$$

RLG

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