Saturday, June 4, 2011

KLOT [042128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042128
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
428 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0412 PM TSTM WND GST FRANKFORT 41.50N 87.84W
06/04/2011 E50 MPH WILL IL AMATEUR RADIO

US 30 AND US 45


&&

$$

WDM

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KIND [042128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIND 042128
LSRIND

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
527 PM EDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0523 PM TSTM WND GST 1 N KOKOMO 40.49N 86.13W
06/04/2011 E70 MPH HOWARD IN TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKEL SIZE HAIL ALSO REPORTED.


&&

$$

SMFLECHT

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KIND [042127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIND 042127
LSRIND

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
527 PM EDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0522 PM HAIL KOKOMO 40.48N 86.13W
06/04/2011 E1.50 INCH HOWARD IN TRAINED SPOTTER

NEAR THE CHRYSLER PLANT AT 300 N AND US 31.


&&

$$

AHOMANN

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KLOT [042123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042123
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
422 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0355 PM HAIL NEW LENOX 41.52N 87.98W
06/04/2011 E0.50 INCH WILL IL TRAINED SPOTTER

1/4 TO 1/2 INCH HAIL AT RT 66 RACEWAY.


&&

$$

SHEA

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KLIX [042122]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 042122
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
422 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0402 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N PRAIRIEVILLE 30.33N 90.97W
06/04/2011 ASCENSION LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROOF DAMAGE TO HOME ON HWY 42 ON THE NORTH SIDE OF
PRAIRIEVILLE. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

0357 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 ESE BATON ROUGE 30.40N 91.00W
06/04/2011 EAST BATON ROUGE LA EMERGENCY MNGR

CAR PORT TORN OFF OF HOME IN SHANENDOAH AREA OF BATON
ROUGE. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

0402 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 SE BATON ROUGE 30.40N 91.07W
06/04/2011 EAST BATON ROUGE LA EMERGENCY MNGR

POWER OUTAGES AT THE MALL OF LOUISIANA. TIME ESTIMATED
BASED ON RADAR.


&&

$$

DMANNING

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KLOT [042122]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042122
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
421 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0417 PM HAIL MANHATTAN 41.43N 87.99W
06/04/2011 M0.75 INCH WILL IL AMATEUR RADIO

CEDAR AND MONEE ROADS


&&

$$

WDM

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KLOT [042121]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042121
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
420 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0329 PM HAIL MELROSE PARK 41.90N 87.86W
06/04/2011 M0.88 INCH COOK IL EMERGENCY MNGR

0347 PM HAIL SUMMIT 41.78N 87.82W
06/04/2011 E0.75 INCH COOK IL AMATEUR RADIO

I-55 AND HARLEM AVE

0415 PM HAIL TINLEY PARK 41.57N 87.80W
06/04/2011 E1.75 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

0408 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG OAK LAWN 41.72N 87.75W
06/04/2011 COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

106TH AND CICERO. 2 TO 4 INCH LIMBS BROKEN.


&&

$$

SHEA

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KLOT [042120]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042120
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
420 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0402 PM TSTM WND GST OAK LAWN 41.72N 87.75W
06/04/2011 E70.00 MPH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

70 MPH ESTIMATED WIND GUST


&&

$$

WDM

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KLOT [042118]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042118
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
417 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM HAIL JOLIET 41.53N 88.12W
06/04/2011 M1.00 INCH WILL IL PUBLIC

THEODORE AND ESSINGTON


&&

$$

WDM

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KLOT [042116]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042116
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
416 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0401 PM TSTM WND DMG OAK LAWN 41.72N 87.75W
06/04/2011 COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

80 MPH GUST. LOTS OF DEBRIS.


&&

$$

WDM

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KLIX [042110]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 042110
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
410 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0404 PM HAIL BATON ROUGE 30.45N 91.13W
06/04/2011 E0.50 INCH EAST BATON ROUGE LA TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO MARBLE SIZED HAIL IN SHENANDOAH SUBDIVISION IN
SOUTHERN PART OF BATON ROUGE.


&&

$$

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KLIX [042110]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 042110
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
410 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0342 PM HAIL DENHAM SPRINGS 30.48N 90.96W
06/04/2011 M1.00 INCH LIVINGSTON LA EMERGENCY MNGR

HAIL HALF AN INCH TO AN INCH REPORTED IN SOUTHERN DENHAM
SPRINGS NEAR RANGE ROAD AND VINCENT ROAD.


&&

$$

CBANNAN

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KLOT [042104]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042104
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
404 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0355 PM HAIL CHICAGO 41.88N 87.63W
06/04/2011 M0.25 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

UIC


&&

$$

WDM

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KIWX [042104]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 042104
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
504 PM EDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0440 PM TSTM WND DMG HARTFORD CITY 40.45N 85.37W
06/04/2011 BLACKFORD IN EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN THROUGHOUT THE CITY. WINDOWS BLOWN OUT OF
BUSINESSES DOWNTOWN. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR


&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1100989

$$

EB

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KLOT [042103]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042103
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
403 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0347 PM HAIL NORTH RIVERSIDE 41.85N 87.82W
06/04/2011 M0.75 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

WDM

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KLOT [042101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042101
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
401 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0341 PM HAIL SSE PLAINFIELD 41.62N 88.20W
06/04/2011 M0.75 INCH WILL IL COCORAHS


&&

$$

WDM

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KLOT [042100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042100
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
400 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0347 PM HAIL PLAINFIELD 41.62N 88.20W
06/04/2011 M0.25 INCH WILL IL TRAINED SPOTTER

135TH STREET

0342 PM HAIL PLAINFIELD 41.62N 88.20W
06/04/2011 M0.75 INCH WILL IL TRAINED SPOTTER

RT 59 AND 135TH ST


&&

$$

WDM

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KLOT [042058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042058
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
357 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM HAIL 1 W PLAINFIELD 41.62N 88.22W
06/04/2011 M1.75 INCH WILL IL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

WDM

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KLOT [042056]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042056
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
356 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0352 PM HAIL ROMEOVILLE 41.65N 88.09W
06/04/2011 M1.00 INCH WILL IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS

AT NWS OFFICE


&&

$$

WDM

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KLOT [042052]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042052
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
351 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0351 PM HAIL PLAINFIELD 41.62N 88.20W
06/04/2011 M1.00 INCH WILL IL AMATEUR RADIO

ROUTE 30 AND RENWICK


&&

$$

WDM

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KLOT [042048]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042048
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
348 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0339 PM HAIL 1 NNE BLOOMINGDALE 41.96N 88.08W
06/04/2011 M0.25 INCH DUPAGE IL COCORAHS


&&

$$

WDM

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KDMX [042047]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 042047
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
347 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0344 PM HAIL EXLINE 40.65N 92.84W
06/04/2011 E1.25 INCH APPANOOSE IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

FROM IOWA STATE PATROL.


&&

$$

SMALL

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KLOT [042047]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042047
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
347 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0343 PM HAIL PLAINFIELD 41.62N 88.20W
06/04/2011 M1.75 INCH WILL IL TRAINED SPOTTER

135TH AND ROUTE 30


&&

$$

WDM

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KIWX [042045]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 042045
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
444 PM EDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0442 PM HAIL HARTFORD CITY 40.45N 85.37W
06/04/2011 E0.25 INCH BLACKFORD IN PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1100988

$$

EB

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KLOT [042041]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042041
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
341 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0329 PM HAIL OSWEGO 41.70N 88.33W
06/04/2011 M1.00 INCH KENDALL IL EMERGENCY MNGR

COLLINS AND GROVE STREETS


&&

$$

WDM

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KDMX [042037]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 042037
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
337 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM HAIL WSW CINCINNATI 40.63N 92.92W
06/04/2011 E1.00 INCH APPANOOSE IA TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZED HAIL AND 45 MPH. HAIL COVERING GROUND.


&&

$$

SMALL

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KLOT [042036]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042036
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
336 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 NE SUGAR GROVE 41.78N 88.45W
06/04/2011 M0.72 INCH KANE IL COCORAHS

IN 30 MINUTES


&&

$$

WDM

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KLOT [042033]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042033
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
333 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0329 PM HAIL 1 S OSWEGO 41.68N 88.33W
06/04/2011 M0.50 INCH KENDALL IL TRAINED SPOTTER

0326 PM HAIL 2 NW SUGAR GROVE 41.79N 88.49W
06/04/2011 M1.00 INCH KANE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

0324 PM HAIL 2 NW MELROSE PARK 41.92N 87.89W
06/04/2011 M0.25 INCH COOK IL COCORAHS


&&

$$

WDM

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KLOT [042027]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042027
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
327 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0326 PM HAIL OSWEGO 41.70N 88.33W
06/04/2011 M0.50 INCH KENDALL IL AMATEUR RADIO


&&

$$

WDM

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KLOT [042017]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 042017
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
317 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0313 PM TSTM WND GST 1 NW SUGAR GROVE 41.78N 88.47W
06/04/2011 M54 MPH KANE IL ASOS


&&

$$

WDM

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KCLE [041959]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 041959
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
359 PM EDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1235 PM TSTM WND DMG WATERFORD 41.95N 79.99W
06/04/2011 ERIE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

A FOOT AND A HALF DIAMETER LIMB FELL UNTO TWO MOBILE
HOMES.

1245 PM TSTM WND DMG CAMBRIDGE SPRINGS 41.80N 80.06W
06/04/2011 CRAWFORD PA LAW ENFORCEMENT

A TREE DOWN.

1250 PM TSTM WND DMG 12 NNW TITUSVILLE 41.79N 79.76W
06/04/2011 CRAWFORD PA LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE TREE DOWN NEAR CENTERVILLE.


&&

$$

KIELTYKA

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 041951
SWODY1
SPC AC 041949

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0249 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

VALID 042000Z - 051200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID-MO
VALLEY...MID-MS VALLEY AND OH VALLEY...

THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FOR THE 20Z OUTLOOK IS TO THE NARROW THE
SEVERE PROBABILITIES ACROSS ERN NM AND FAR WEST TX WHERE INSTABILITY
IS MAXIMIZED AND THE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL IS GREATEST.
OTHERWISE...ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE LINES HAVE BEEN MADE FOR
THIS OUTLOOK.

..BROYLES.. 06/04/2011

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1122 AM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011/

...SYNOPSIS...
EXPANSIVE UPPER RIDGE IS NOW CONTROLLING CIRCULATION OVER MUCH OF
CONUS AS AN ANOMALOUSLY DEEP COLD LOW STALLS OFF CA COAST AND
PRIMARY WESTERLIES REMAIN ACROSS SRN CANADA.

COLD FRONT THIS MORNING STRETCHES WSWWD ACROSS CENTRAL LWR MI TO
IL/WI BORDER AND THEN NWRN MO TO SE CO. ERN PORTION OF FRONT WILL
CONT SLOW SEWD MOVEMENT TOWARD LOWER LAKES AND INTO NRN OH VALLEY
WHILE TRAILING PORTION STALLS. PORTION OF FRONT CENTRAL HI PLAINS
WILL LIKELY DRIFT A LITTLE N THIS AFTERNOON AS UPSLOPE FLOW DEVELOPS
ACROSS ERN CO.

A RESERVOIR OF MOIST AND VERY UNSTABLE AIR RESIDES JUST AHEAD OF
COLD FRONT FROM MID MS VALLEY EWD TO SRN LM/IND...GRADUALLY
SPREADING FURTHER E THIS AFTERNOON.

...MID MS AND OH VLYS TO LWR GRT LKS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
TNGT...

THE CURRENT MCS RIDING SEWD ATOP THE RIDGE IS MOVING ACROSS ERN LE
INTO NWRN PA. EXPECT THE OBSERVED INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM
TO BE INSUFFICIENT TO MAINTAIN A SEVERE THREAT BEYOND ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN THE NEAR TERM INTO NWRN PA.

MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY...WITH SBCAPE AOA 3500 J/KG...IS
ALREADY AVAILABLE S OF FRONT FROM NRN IL INTO NRN IND. WITH THE CAP
NEARLY GONE...POTENTIAL FOR STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
INCREASE BY EARLY/MID AFTERNOON ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. DEEP
LAYER SHEAR AROUND 30KT WILL BE ADEQUATE FOR STORM ORGANIZATION WITH
STEEP LAPSE RATES AND CAPE SUPPORTIVE OF BOTH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP WLY FLOW SHOULD
SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF ONE OR TWO MCSS THAT WILL MOVE MAINLY ESE
ALONG/AHEAD OF FRONT. THIS UPSCALE GROWTH COULD LEAD TO A GREATER
WIND DAMAGE THREAT BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.

ADDITIONAL CLUSTER OF STORMS MAY DEVELOP NEAR THE FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON AND PERSIST WELL INTO THE NIGHT IN AREA OF
STRONGER WAA OVER OH/WV/WRN PA. FURTHER W ACROSS SRN IA INTO NRN MO
POTENTIAL OF MORE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING A SEVERE THREAT
EXISTS THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD BE LESS COVERAGE THAN FURTHER E
UNDER A WEAKER SHEAR REGIME.

...CNTRL/SRN HI PLNS THIS AFTN/EVE...
UPSLOPE TO N OF STALLED FRONTAL ZONE SHOULD LEAD TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN ERN CO AND DRIFTING
EWD ACROSS THE PLAINS. THE FAVORABLE DIRECTIONAL SHEAR AND MLCAPES
AOA 1500 J/K WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS. PRIMARILY HAIL WILL BE THE
INITIAL THREAT FROM THESE STORMS...BUT CAN NOT RULE OUT
SUPERCELLS/ISOLATED TORNADO'S BY THIS EVENING AS STORMS DEVELOP EWD
ACROSS THE PLAINS OF CO.

...GULF CST REGION THIS AFTN/EARLY EVE...
MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY IS AGAIN DEVELOPING WITH SFC HEATING
TODAY ALONG THE GULF CST FROM SE TX/LA EWD INTO FL AS TEMPS WARM
WELL INTO THE 90S. SCTD TSTMS SHOULD FORM ACROSS THE REGION...WITH
STEEP LOW LVL LAPSE RATES AND WEAK SHEAR POSSIBLY SUPPORTING A FEW
WET MICRO BURSTS AND/OR SVR HAIL EVENTS...MAINLY BETWEEN 20-02Z.

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 426

WWUS20 KWNS 041910
SEL6
SPC WW 041910
ILZ000-INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-LEZ000-LMZ000-050200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 426
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

PARTS OF NORTHEAST ILLINOIS
MUCH OF NORTHERN INDIANA
PARTS OF SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
PARTS OF NORTHWEST OHIO
LAKE ERIE
LAKE MICHIGAN

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF MARSEILLES ILLINOIS TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
MOUNT CLEMENS MICHIGAN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...WITH AIR MASS ACROSS THE WATCH VERY UNSTABLE WITH
MLCAPES AOA 3000J/KG AND LITTLE REMAINING CINH...THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON AND SPREAD
EASTWARD. WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES COUPLED WITH 30-40KT OF
SHEAR...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGEST STORMS. INITIAL DEVELOPMENT WILL TAKE PLACE ON SUBTLE
SURFACE BOUNDARIES SUCH AS LAKE BREEZE FRONTS OF LM/LH.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27025.


...HALES

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KSJT [041851]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 041851
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
151 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM WILDFIRE 5 S ALBANY 32.66N 99.31W
06/03/2011 E1300 ACRE SHACKELFORD TX FOREST SERVICE

SNYDER FIRE. FIRE IS 85 PERCENT CONTAINED AT THIS TIME.


&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1100198

$$

JOHNSON

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KDMX [041851]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 041851
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
149 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0320 AM HAIL 3 NE PALMER 42.66N 94.56W
06/04/2011 E1.00 INCH POCAHONTAS IA PUBLIC

MOSTLY HALF INCH HAIL WITH A FEW ONE INCH STONES. SEVERAL
TWO INCH IN DIAMETER TREE LIMBS SNAPPED.

0320 AM HAIL 3 N PALMER 42.67N 94.60W
06/04/2011 E1.25 INCH POCAHONTAS IA PUBLIC

PRIMARILY QUARTER SIZED HAIL WITH A FEW LARGER STONES.
SOME DAMAGE TO CORN CROPS.

0320 AM HAIL 3 NE PALMER 42.66N 94.56W
06/04/2011 E1.00 INCH POCAHONTAS IA PUBLIC

MOSTLY HALF INCH HAIL WITH A FEW EMBEDDED ONE INCH HAIL
STONES. SOME CORN LEAVES STRIPPED IN FARM FIELDS. HAIL
DAMAGE SWATH NOTED FROM 1 MILE NORTH TO 1.5 MILES SOUTH
OF LOCATION.


&&

$$

SKOW

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KMQT [041832]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KMQT 041832
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
132 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1117 PM TSTM WND GST FREDA 47.13N 88.82W
06/03/2011 M59.00 MPH HOUGHTON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND GUST MEASURED FROM THE NORTHWEST.

1150 PM HAIL 1 NE MOHAWK 47.31N 88.36W
06/03/2011 E0.25 INCH KEWEENAW MI TRAINED SPOTTER

1150 PM HAIL MOHAWK 47.30N 88.37W
06/03/2011 E0.75 INCH KEWEENAW MI LAW ENFORCEMENT

1150 PM HAIL SOUTH RANGE 47.07N 88.64W
06/03/2011 E0.25 INCH HOUGHTON MI LAW ENFORCEMENT

1241 AM HAIL COPPER CITY 47.28N 88.39W
06/04/2011 E0.25 INCH KEWEENAW MI LAW ENFORCEMENT

0230 AM TSTM WND GST 1 NE GRAND MARAIS 46.68N 85.97W
06/04/2011 M60.00 MPH ALGER MI C-MAN STATION

0250 AM HAIL 4 WNW PIKE LAKE 46.68N 85.48W
06/04/2011 E0.25 INCH LUCE MI PUBLIC

LOCATION APPROXIMATELY 1/2 MILE EAST OF MUSKALLONGE STATE
PARK. HAIL DURATION APPROXIMATELY 5 TO 10 MINUTES.

0250 AM HAIL WSW DEER PARK 46.67N 85.61W
06/04/2011 E0.25 INCH LUCE MI PUBLIC

JUST EAST OF MUSKALLONGE LAKE.


&&

$$

KEC

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1085

ACUS11 KWNS 041828
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041827
INZ000-ILZ000-041930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1085
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0127 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN IL...NRN IND

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 041827Z - 041930Z

UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY FLATTEN ACROSS THE NRN OH
VALLEY PERHAPS IN RESPONSE TO SRN INFLUENCE OF UPPER GREAT LAKES
SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THIS FLATTENING PROCESS SHOULD LEAD TO A ZONE OF
MORE FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL CONFLUENCE SHIFTING INTO NRN IL/IND WHICH
WILL BE ENHANCED BY LAKE MI BREEZE. STRONG SUNSHINE HAS STEEPENED
LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES ACROSS THIS REGION AND A DEEPENING BOUNDARY
LAYER IS NOW MORE CONDUCIVE FOR CU DEVELOPMENT ALONG LAKE
BREEZE...PER LATEST VIS IMAGERY. ADDITIONALLY...SHOWERS ARE
GRADUALLY INCREASING ACROSS SERN IA INTO NWRN IL WITH ISOLATED
LIGHTNING NOW OBSERVED WITH STRONGER UPDRAFTS. RECENT HRRR MODEL
SUPPORTS ROBUST CONVECTIVE INITIATION ACROSS NRN IL/IND BY 19Z...AND
ALTHOUGH THIS MAY BE A BIT EARLY IT WOULD SEEM TO BE SUPPORTED BY
LATEST OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS. FOR THIS REASON A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH MAY BE WARRANTED SOON.

..DARROW.. 06/04/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...DVN...

LAT...LON 42188914 42078792 41538706 41718528 40618509 40518780
41489005 42188914

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KMQT [041821]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 041821
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
121 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1150 PM HAIL 1 NE MOHAWK 47.31N 88.36W
06/03/2011 E0.25 INCH KEWEENAW MI TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KEC

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KPBZ [041819]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 041819
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
219 PM EDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0218 PM HAIL WEST FREEDOM 41.11N 79.62W
06/04/2011 M1.00 INCH CLARION PA TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1100809

$$

JD

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KMQT [041816]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 041816
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
116 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 AM HAIL WSW DEER PARK 46.67N 85.61W
06/04/2011 E0.25 INCH LUCE MI PUBLIC

JUST EAST OF MUSKALLONGE LAKE.


&&

$$

KEC

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KPBZ [041815]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 041815
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
215 PM EDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0213 PM HAIL TOBY 41.08N 79.55W
06/04/2011 M0.88 INCH CLARION PA TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1100808

$$

JD

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KMQT [041813]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 041813
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
112 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 AM HAIL 4 WNW PIKE LAKE 46.68N 85.48W
06/04/2011 E0.25 INCH LUCE MI PUBLIC

LOCATION APPROXIMATELY 1/2 MILE EAST OF MUSKALLONGE STATE
PARK. HAIL DURATION APPROXIMATELY 5 TO 10 MINUTES.


&&

$$

KEC

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KMQT [041805]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 041805
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
104 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1150 PM HAIL SOUTH RANGE 47.07N 88.64W
06/03/2011 E0.25 INCH HOUGHTON MI LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

KEC

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KMQT [041801]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 041801
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
101 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1150 PM HAIL MOHAWK 47.30N 88.37W
06/03/2011 E0.75 INCH KEWEENAW MI LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

KEC

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KCTP [041742]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCTP 041742
LSRCTP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
142 PM EDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1251 PM TSTM WND DMG WARREN 41.84N 79.14W
06/04/2011 WARREN PA PUBLIC

TREES AND LARGE BRANCHES DOWN.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1100225

$$

GAD

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KMQT [041740]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 041740
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1240 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1241 AM HAIL COPPER CITY 47.28N 88.39W
06/04/2011 E0.25 INCH KEWEENAW MI LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

KEC

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KPBZ [041739]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 041739
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
139 PM EDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM HAIL OIL CITY 41.43N 79.70W
06/04/2011 M0.75 INCH VENANGO PA PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1100807

$$

JD

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KCLE [041737]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 041737
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
137 PM EDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1215 PM HAIL 2 SSW ERIE 42.10N 80.10W
06/04/2011 E1.25 INCH ERIE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL WAS IN MILL CREEK.

1215 PM HAIL ERIE 42.13N 80.09W
06/04/2011 E1.25 INCH ERIE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1217 PM HAIL ERIE 42.13N 80.09W
06/04/2011 E1.75 INCH ERIE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1217 PM HAIL ERIE 42.13N 80.09W
06/04/2011 E1.00 INCH ERIE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1218 PM TSTM WND DMG ERIE 42.13N 80.09W
06/04/2011 ERIE PA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SOME TREES DOWN.

1220 PM HAIL ERIE 42.13N 80.09W
06/04/2011 E1.00 INCH ERIE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1235 PM HAIL WATERFORD 41.95N 79.99W
06/04/2011 E1.00 INCH ERIE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1235 PM TSTM WND DMG WATERFORD 41.95N 79.99W
06/04/2011 ERIE PA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SOME TREES DOWN.

1240 PM TSTM WND DMG MILL VILLAGE 41.88N 79.97W
06/04/2011 ERIE PA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SOME TREES DOWN.


&&

$$

KIELTYKA

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 041729
SWODY2
SPC AC 041728

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2011

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID-MS
VALLEY...OH VALLEY...CNTRL APPALACHIAN MTNS...CAROLINAS AND VA...

...MID-MS VALLEY AND OH VALLEY...
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL GRADUALLY BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE OH
VALLEY AND CNTRL APPALACHIAN MTNS STATES SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES SWD ACROSS THE REGION. IN SPITE OF NLY FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE
OH VALLEY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
WITH MODEL FORECASTS DEVELOPING MODERATE INSTABILITY ACROSS A LARGE
AREA FROM THE MID-MS VALLEY EWD ACROSS THE OH AND TN VALLEYS.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD INITIATE AS SFC TEMPS WARM ON THE NRN
EDGE OF THE INSTABILITY AXIS FROM SRN IA SEWD ACROSS IL...IND AND KY
WITH THE CONVECTION SPREADING SEWD DURING THE AFTERNOON. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS AT 21Z SUNDAY ALONG THIS CORRIDOR SHOW MODERATE DEEP LAYER
SHEAR PROFILES WITH SUBSTANTIAL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR BELOW 700 MB WHICH
WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT. A SUPERCELL AND
LARGE HAIL THREAT MAY DEVELOP ACROSS SRN IA...NE MO AND IL WHERE THE
COMBINATION OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE
THE GREATEST. FURTHER EAST ACROSS THE OH VALLEY...CONVECTION MAY
TEND TO LINE OUT WHERE SFC WINDS WILL BE MORE VEERED AND LOW-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES WILL BE QUITE STEEP. WIND DAMAGE WILL BE FAVORED WITH
ANY LINE-SEGMENTS THAT CAN REMAIN INTENSE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

...CAROLINAS/MID-ATLANTIC/NRN APPALACHIAN MTNS...
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE NERN STATES
SUNDAY AFTERNOON IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. AT THE SFC...A MOIST AXIS
SHOULD BE IN PLACE FROM THE CAROLINAS EXTENDING NWD INTO THE
MID-ATLANTIC AND NRN APPALACHIAN MTNS. MODEL FORECASTS INITIATE
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE MOIST AXIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON WHERE
SEVERAL CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS MAY PERSIST INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG THIS CORRIDOR AT 21Z SUNDAY SHOW MLCAPE
VALUES IN THE 2000 TO 3000 J/KG RANGE. IN ADDITION TO THE
INSTABILITY...0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35
KT RANGE SUGGESTING A SEVERE THREAT SHOULD EXIST DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON. UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES AND STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES SHOULD RESULT IN A WIND DAMAGE THREAT WITH THE MORE INTENSE
CELLS. FURTHER NORTH ACROSS THE NRN APPALACHIAN MTNS...INSTABILITY
IS FORECAST TO BE MUCH WEAKER SUGGESTING ANY SEVERE THREAT WILL
LIKELY REMAIN MARGINAL.

...NRN PLAINS/UPPER MS-VALLEY...
WLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE IN PLACE SUNDAY ACROSS THE NCNTRL STATES WITH
AN AXIS OF INSTABILITY LOCATED FROM ERN NEB NWD INTO THE ERN DAKOTAS
AND NRN MN. ALTHOUGH MUCH OF THE INSTABILITY AXIS MAY REMAINED
CAPPED SUNDAY AFTERNOON...MODEL FORECAST DO INITIATE SOME CONVECTION
MAINLY IN ERN ND AND NRN MN. FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN THIS AREA AT 00Z
MONDAY SHOW RELATIVELY WEAK INSTABILITY BUT STRONGER DEEP LAYER
SHEAR DUE TO A BROAD MID-LEVEL JET IN SRN CANADA. THIS MAY PROVIDE
ENOUGH SUPPORT FOR A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT. HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND
DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE IF SFC-BASED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP LATE
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

..BROYLES.. 06/04/2011

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KBUF [041705]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBUF 041705
LSRBUF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
105 PM EDT SAT JUN 04 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM MARINE TSTM WIND BARCELONA 42.34N 79.60W
06/04/2011 M49 MPH CHAUTAUQUA NY BUOY

WIND GUST 43 KTS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1100110

$$

AR

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