Tuesday, October 7, 2008

KMEG [080251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KMEG 080251
LSRMEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
950 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0604 PM FLASH FLOOD HOLLY SPRINGS 34.77N 89.44W
10/07/2008 MARSHALL MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

CRAFT STREET IN HOLLY SPRINGS WAS FLOODED.

0820 PM FLASH FLOOD PONTOTOC 34.25N 89.01W
10/07/2008 PONTOTOC MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 278 WAS FLOODED BETWEEN PONTOTOC AND THAXTON.
MAIN STREET AND OXFORD STREET IN PONTOTOC WERE ALSO
FLOODED.

0820 PM FLASH FLOOD PONTOTOC 34.25N 89.01W
10/07/2008 PONTOTOC MS EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL CARS WASHED OFF THE ROAD IN SOUTHWEST PONTOTOC
COUNTY AND WATER COMING INSIDE OF CITY HALL.

0822 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 W PONTOTOC 34.25N 89.08W
10/07/2008 PONTOTOC MS EMERGENCY MNGR

A TREE FELL THROUGH A HOUSE 4 MILES WEST OF PONTOTOC ON
HIGHWAY 9 BETWEEN PANNELL AND PONTOTOC.

0831 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW PONTOTOC 34.27N 89.03W
10/07/2008 PONTOTOC MS EMERGENCY MNGR

60 MPH WIND REPORTED WITH NUMEROUS TREES DOWN JUST
SOUTHEAST OF SPRINGVILLE STRETCHING INTO PONTOTOC.


&&

$$

CCD

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KTFX [080244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 080244
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
844 PM MDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
10/07/2008 M70.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

DEEP CREEK RAWS

0645 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ENE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.20W
10/07/2008 M58.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

TWO MEDICINE MDOT

1147 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW CUT BANK 48.60N 112.38W
10/07/2008 M70.00 MPH GLACIER MT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

CUT BANK ASOS

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 S DUPUYER 48.18N 112.50W
10/07/2008 M73.00 MPH PONDERA MT TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND ROLLED ROUND BALES THROUGH FENCES AND BLEW TWO BALES
APART.

1240 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CUT BANK 48.63N 112.33W
10/07/2008 M83.00 MPH GLACIER MT ASOS

PEAK WIND 83 MPH MEASURED BY CUT BANK ASOS

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE CHOTEAU 47.82N 112.16W
10/07/2008 M70.00 MPH TETON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

THIS WAS A 2-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND...NO GUST CAPABILITY

0314 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 N PENDROY 48.09N 112.30W
10/07/2008 M58.00 MPH TETON MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

PENDROY MDOT


&&

$$

DEMANUEL

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KIWX [080233]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 080233
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1032 PM EDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 PM HEAVY RAIN LA PORTE 41.61N 86.71W
10/07/2008 M1.13 INCH LA PORTE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL TOTAL OVER PAST 5 HOURS. LOCALIZED STREET
FLOODING WHERE FALLEN LEAVES COVERING STORM DRAINS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX0801856

$$

JT

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KMEG [080207]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KMEG 080207
LSRMEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
907 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0604 PM FLASH FLOOD HOLLY SPRINGS 34.77N 89.44W
10/07/2008 MARSHALL MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

CRAFT STREET IN HOLLY SPRINGS WAS FLOODED.

0820 PM FLASH FLOOD PONTOTOC 34.25N 89.01W
10/07/2008 PONTOTOC MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 278 WAS FLOODED BETWEEN PONTOTOC AND THAXTON.
MAIN STREET AND OXFORD STREET IN PONTOTOC WERE ALSO
FLOODED.

0831 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW PONTOTOC 34.27N 89.03W
10/07/2008 PONTOTOC MS EMERGENCY MNGR

60 MPH WIND REPORTED WITH NUMEROUS TREES DOWN JUST
SOUTHEAST OF SPRINGVILLE STRETCHING INTO PONTOTOC.


&&

$$

CCD

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KMEG [080148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KMEG 080148
LSRMEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
848 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0604 PM FLASH FLOOD HOLLY SPRINGS 34.77N 89.44W
10/07/2008 MARSHALL MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

CRAFT STREET IN HOLLY SPRINGS WAS FLOODED.

0831 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW PONTOTOC 34.27N 89.03W
10/07/2008 PONTOTOC MS EMERGENCY MNGR

60 MPH WIND REPORTED WITH NUMEROUS TREES DOWN JUST
SOUTHEAST OF SPRINGVILLE STRETCHING INTO PONTOTOC.


&&

$$

CCD

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KDVN [080138]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KDVN 080138
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
838 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0228 PM HEAVY RAIN BURLINGTON 40.81N 91.12W
10/07/2008 M1.02 INCH DES MOINES IA CO-OP OBSERVER

MIDNIGHT TO 2 PM.

0315 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 SSE DAVENPORT 41.53N 90.59W
10/07/2008 M0.84 INCH SCOTT IA TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL SO FAR SINCE MIDNIGHT.

0340 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 ENE MUSCATINE 41.43N 91.04W
10/07/2008 M1.50 INCH MUSCATINE IA TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL SINCE MIDNIGHT.

0425 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 WSW SHERRARD 41.31N 90.53W
10/07/2008 M1.20 INCH MERCER IL TRAINED SPOTTER

SINCE 930 AM. JUST STOPPED.

0528 PM HEAVY RAIN CALAMUS 41.83N 90.76W
10/07/2008 E2.40 INCH CLINTON IA BROADCAST MEDIA

VIEWER REPORT FROM KWQC TV.

0739 PM HEAVY RAIN NE AUGUSTA 40.23N 90.95W
10/07/2008 M0.62 INCH HANCOCK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

NOT RAINING AT THIS TIME.


&&

$$

WE

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KTFX [080131]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 080131
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
731 PM MDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
10/07/2008 M70.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

DEEP CREEK RAWS

0645 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ENE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.20W
10/07/2008 M58.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

TWO MEDICINE MDOT

1147 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW CUT BANK 48.60N 112.38W
10/07/2008 M70.00 MPH GLACIER MT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

CUT BANK ASOS

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 S DUPUYER 48.18N 112.50W
10/07/2008 M73.00 MPH PONDERA MT TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND ROLLED ROUND BALES THOUGH FENCES AND BLEW TWO BALES
APART.

1240 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CUT BANK 48.63N 112.33W
10/07/2008 M83.00 MPH GLACIER MT ASOS

PEAK WIND 83 MPH MEASURED BY CUT BANK ASOS

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE CHOTEAU 47.82N 112.16W
10/07/2008 M70.00 MPH TETON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

THIS WAS A 2-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND...NO GUST CAPABILITY

0314 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 N PENDROY 48.09N 112.30W
10/07/2008 M58.00 MPH TETON MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

PENDROY MDOT


&&

$$

DEMANUEL

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KTFX [080126]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 080126
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
726 PM MDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1147 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW CUT BANK 48.60N 112.38W
10/07/2008 M70.00 MPH GLACIER MT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

CUT BANK ASOS

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 S DUPUYER 48.18N 112.50W
10/07/2008 M73.00 MPH PONDERA MT TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND ROLLED ROUND BALES THOUGH FENCES AND BLEW TWO BALES
APART.

1240 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CUT BANK 48.63N 112.33W
10/07/2008 M83.00 MPH GLACIER MT ASOS

PEAK WIND 83 MPH MEASURED BY CUT BANK ASOS

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE CHOTEAU 47.82N 112.16W
10/07/2008 M70.00 MPH TETON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

THIS WAS A 2-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND...NO GUST CAPABILITY

0314 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 N PENDROY 48.09N 112.30W
10/07/2008 M58.00 MPH TETON MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

PENDROY MDOT


&&

$$

DEMANUEL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 080050
SWODY1
SPC AC 080048

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

VALID 080100Z - 081200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL/NRN MS...
A LEAD MID-LVL DISTURBANCE EJECTING AHEAD OF THE PRIMARY UPR LOW
WILL TRANSLATE FROM WRN MS THIS EVENING INTO MIDDLE TN/CNTRL KY
OVERNIGHT. A WEAK SFC LOW HAS FORMED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS
IMPULSE OVER NWRN MS. THIS FEATURE WILL MORE-OR-LESS BE MAINTAINED
AS THE UPSTREAM UPR LOW MIGRATES ACROSS THE LWR MS VLY/MID-SOUTH
TONIGHT. A WRMFNT EXTENDED SE FROM THE LOW ACROSS NRN MS...SCNTRL
AL AT 00Z AND SHOULD REMAIN QSTNRY THROUGH 12Z WHILE A CDFNT
TRANSLATES EWD INTO WRN TN/CNTRL MS LATER TONIGHT.

LWR-MID 70S F SFC DEW POINTS ADVECTED NWD INTO MUCH OF MS AND SWRN
AL TODAY BENEATH MODEST H7-H5 LAPSE RATES AND RESULTED IN MLCAPES OF
1000-1500 J/KG. DESPITE THE DEPARTURE OF THE LEAD WAVE TO THE NE OF
THE INSTABILITY AXIS...TSTMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FORMING MUCH OF
THE NIGHT ALONG/AHEAD OF THE APCHG CDFNT/UPR LOW. WSW MID-LVL FLOW
OF 40-45 KTS WILL MAINTAIN MARGINAL SHEAR FOR AN ISOLD BRIEF
SUPERCELL AND/OR SMALL SCALE BOW WITH PSBL DMGG WIND
GUSTS...PRIMARILY OVER CNTRL/NRN MS. TORNADO THREAT WILL REMAIN
SMALL...BUT NON-ZERO FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS THIS EVE ALONG THE
WRMFNT ACROSS NRN MS. HERE...LLVL SHEAR WILL BE MARGINALLY
SUPPORTIVE OF A BRIEF TORNADO WHERE EFFECTIVE INFLOW LAYERS WILL BE
NEAR THE SFC THROUGH ABOUT 03Z PER RUC FCST SOUNDINGS.

..RACY.. 10/08/2008

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KDVN [080040]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 080040
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
740 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0739 PM HEAVY RAIN NE AUGUSTA 40.23N 90.95W
10/07/2008 M0.62 INCH HANCOCK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

NOT RAINING AT THIS TIME.


&&

$$

WE

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KMEG [080008]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMEG 080008
LSRMEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
708 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0604 PM FLASH FLOOD HOLLY SPRINGS 34.77N 89.44W
10/07/2008 MARSHALL MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

CRAFT STREET IN HOLLY SPRINGS WAS FLOODED.


&&

$$

CCD

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KDVN [072229]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 072229
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
529 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0528 PM HEAVY RAIN CALAMUS 41.83N 90.76W
10/07/2008 E2.40 INCH CLINTON IA BROADCAST MEDIA

VIEWER REPORT FROM KWQC TV.


&&

$$

ERVIN

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KTFX [072228]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 072228
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
428 PM MDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1240 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CUT BANK 48.63N 112.33W
10/07/2008 M83 MPH GLACIER MT ASOS

PEAK WIND 83 MPH MEASURED BY CUT BANK ASOS


&&

$$

DEMANUEL

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KMLB [072221]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 072221
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
621 PM EDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM RIP CURRENTS DAYTONA BEACH SHORES 29.17N 80.98W
10/07/2008 VOLUSIA FL NEWSPAPER

*** 1 FATAL *** 1 DROWNING FATALITY IN ROUGH SURF


&&

$$

FXD

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KTFX [072207]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 072207
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
407 PM MDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
10/07/2008 M70.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

DEEP CREEK RAWS

0645 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ENE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.20W
10/07/2008 M58.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

TWO MEDICINE MDOT

1147 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW CUT BANK 48.60N 112.38W
10/07/2008 M70.00 MPH GLACIER MT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

CUT BANK ASOS

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE CHOTEAU 47.82N 112.16W
10/07/2008 M70.00 MPH TETON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

THIS WAS A 2-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND...NO GUST CAPABILITY


&&

$$

EK

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KDVN [072126]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 072126
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
426 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 WSW SHERRARD 41.31N 90.53W
10/07/2008 M1.20 INCH MERCER IL TRAINED SPOTTER

SINCE 930 AM. JUST STOPPED.


&&

$$

WE

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KMLB [072113]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 072113
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
513 PM EDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM FLOOD MELBOURNE 28.08N 80.61W
10/07/2008 BREVARD FL NWS EMPLOYEE

WICKHAM ROAD FLOODED FROM FOUNTAINHEAD BLVD. TO ELLIS
ROAD. DEPTH AROUND 1 FOOT. FOUNTAINHEAD SUBDIVISION

FLOODED FROM ROY ALLEN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL TO WICKHAM ROAD.


&&

$$

FXD

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KMSO [072047]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 072047
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
246 PM MDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 W ANACONDA 46.13N 113.07W
10/07/2008 M51 MPH DEER LODGE MT TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KOLATA

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KDVN [072041]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 072041
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
341 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 ENE MUSCATINE 41.43N 91.04W
10/07/2008 M1.50 INCH MUSCATINE IA TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL SINCE MIDNIGHT.


&&

$$

WE

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KDVN [072024]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 072024
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
324 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 SSE DAVENPORT 41.53N 90.59W
10/07/2008 M0.84 INCH SCOTT IA TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL SO FAR SINCE MIDNIGHT.


&&

$$

WE

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 071959
SWODY1
SPC AC 071935

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0235 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

VALID 072000Z - 081200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THRU MID EVE ACROSS UPPER
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY....

...LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/EASTERN GULF STATES...
LOW-LEVEL COOLING ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHERN BRANCH SHORT WAVE
IMPULSE IS NOW SURGING INTO THE OZARK PLATEAU REGION...MERGING WITH
THE WEAK LEAD FRONT/WIND SHIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SOUTHERN STREAM.
AND...AN AMPLIFICATION OF THE SOUTHERN STREAM IMPULSE IS WELL
UNDERWAY ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS/OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS. THIS
FEATURE IS PROGGED TO GRADUALLY TURN EASTWARD TOWARD THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH EARLY EVENING...AND MAY SUPPORT A FURTHER
INCREASE IN UPWARD VERTICAL MOTIONS AND STRENGTHENING OF SOUTHERLY
LOW-LEVEL FLOW FIELDS FROM NEAR THE ARKANSAS/MISSISSIPPI BORDER AREA
INTO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE OHIO/MISSISSIPPI RIVERS.

VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING NEAR THIS CORRIDOR...
WHERE AN AXIS OF STRONGER HEATING HAS BECOME COINCIDENT WITH A LOW
LEVEL MOIST AXIS...SOUTH/SOUTHEAST OF ELONGATED SURFACE LOW CENTER
OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI. RUC GUIDANCE INDICATES MIXED LAYER COULD
STILL INCREASE TO IN EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG...AND IT IS BECOMING MORE
CERTAIN THAT A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY MAY EXIST FOR A FOCUSED ZONE OF
STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE 02-03Z TIME
FRAME.

THIS HAS BEEN A POINT OF UNCERTAINTY DUE TO THE WEAKNESS OF THE
SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS...AND THE SLOW RATE AT WHICH LOW/MID-LEVEL
RIDGING...EXTENDING FROM THE EASTERN STATES THROUGH HUDSON
BAY...BREAKS DOWN/RETREATS IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG MID/UPPER JET
STREAK NOW NOSING SOUTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER AREA TOWARD THE
UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS STILL APPEARS LIKELY TO CONFINE WARM
SECTOR BOUNDARY LAYER BASED INSTABILITY TO A NARROWING WEDGE ACROSS
THE EAST CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
AND...A CONSOLIDATING STORM CLUSTER NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF THE
SOUTHERN STREAM FRONT AND A NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO LOW-LEVEL
CONFLUENCE ZONE PROBABLY WILL INHIBIT A CONTINUING INLAND RETURN
FLOW OF MOISTURE. COUPLED WITH THE ONSET OF WARM SECTOR BOUNDARY
LAYER COOLING/STABILIZATION AFTER SUNSET...THE SEVERE THREAT
EASTWARD INTO THE EASTERN GULF COAST STATES AND TENNESSEE VALLEY IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW TONIGHT.

HOWEVER...UNTIL MID EVENING...INSTABILITY AND MODERATELY STRONG DEEP
LAYER SHEAR BENEATH 40 KT SOUTHWESTERLY 500 MB FLOW MAY PROMOTE A
FEW SEVERE STORMS ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN ARKANSAS... NORTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI AND WESTERN TENNESSEE INTO THE MISSOURI
BOOTHEEL...PERHAPS PARTS OF EXTREME WESTERN KENTUCKY. ISOLATED
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE
POSSIBLE...AND A RISK FOR TORNADOES COULD BRIEFLY DEVELOP BEFORE
STORMS WEAKEN...AS LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS ENLARGE A BIT EARLY THIS
EVENING.

..KERR.. 10/07/2008

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KCHS [071958]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 071958
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
358 PM EDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM RIP CURRENTS HILTON HEAD ISLAND 32.19N 80.74W
10/07/2008 BEAUFORT SC PUBLIC

LOCAL SURF SHOP AND LIFE GUARDS REPORT A STRONG NORTHEAST
TO SOUTHWEST LONG SHORE CURRENT.


&&

$$

33

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 071939
SWODY1
SPC AC 071935

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0235 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

VALID 072000Z - 081200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THRU MID EVE ACROSS UPPER
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY....

...LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/EASTERN GULF STATES...
LOW-LEVEL COOLING ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHERN BRANCH SHORT WAVE
IMPULSE IS NOW SURGING INTO THE OZARK PLATEAU REGION...MERGING WITH
THE WEAK LEAD FRONT/WIND SHIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SOUTHERN STREAM.
AND...AN AMPLIFICATION OF THE SOUTHERN STREAM IMPULSE IS WELL
UNDERWAY ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS/OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS. THIS
FEATURE IS PROGGED TO GRADUALLY TURN EASTWARD TOWARD THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH EARLY EVENING...AND MAY SUPPORT A FURTHER
INCREASE IN UPWARD VERTICAL MOTIONS AND STRENGTHENING OF SOUTHERLY
LOW-LEVEL FLOW FIELDS FROM NEAR THE ARKANSAS/MISSISSIPPI BORDER AREA
INTO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE OHIO/MISSISSIPPI RIVERS.

VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING NEAR THIS CORRIDOR...
WHERE AN AXIS OF STRONGER HEATING HAS BECOME COINCIDENT WITH A LOW
LEVEL MOIST AXIS...SOUTH/SOUTHEAST OF ELONGATED SURFACE LOW CENTER
OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI. RUC GUIDANCE INDICATES MIXED LAYER COULD
STILL INCREASE TO IN EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG...AND IT IS BECOMING MORE
CERTAIN THAT A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY MAY EXIST FOR A FOCUSED ZONE OF
STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE 02-03Z TIME
FRAME.

THIS HAS BEEN A POINT OF UNCERTAINTY DUE TO THE WEAKNESS OF THE
SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS...AND THE SLOW RATE AT WHICH LOW/MID-LEVEL
RIDGING...EXTENDING FROM THE EASTERN STATES THROUGH HUDSON
BAY...BREAKS DOWN/RETREATS IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG MID/UPPER JET
STREAK NOW NOSING SOUTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER AREA TOWARD THE
UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS STILL APPEARS LIKELY TO CONFINE WARM
SECTOR BOUNDARY LAYER BASED INSTABILITY TO A NARROWING WEDGE ACROSS
THE EAST CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
AND...A CONSOLIDATING STORM CLUSTER NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF THE
SOUTHERN STREAM FRONT AND A NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO LOW-LEVEL
CONFLUENCE ZONE PROBABLY WILL INHIBIT A CONTINUING INLAND RETURN
FLOW OF MOISTURE. COUPLED WITH THE ONSET OF WARM SECTOR BOUNDARY
LAYER COOLING/STABILIZATION AFTER SUNSET...THE SEVERE THREAT
EASTWARD INTO THE EASTERN GULF COAST STATES AND TENNESSEE VALLEY IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW TONIGHT.

HOWEVER...UNTIL MID EVENING...INSTABILITY AND MODERATELY STRONG DEEP
LAYER SHEAR BENEATH 40 KT SOUTHWESTERLY 500 MB FLOW MAY PROMOTE A
FEW SEVERE STORMS ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN ARKANSAS... NORTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI AND WESTERN TENNESSEE INTO THE MISSOURI
BOOTHEEL...PERHAPS PARTS OF EXTREME WESTERN KENTUCKY. ISOLATED
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE
POSSIBLE...AND A RISK FOR TORNADOES COULD BRIEFLY DEVELOP BEFORE
STORMS WEAKEN...AS LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS ENLARGE A BIT EARLY THIS
EVENING.

..KERR.. 10/07/2008

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KDVN [071930]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 071930
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
230 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0228 PM HEAVY RAIN BURLINGTON 40.81N 91.12W
10/07/2008 M1.02 INCH DES MOINES IA CO-OP OBSERVER

MIDNIGHT TO 2 PM.


&&

$$

WE

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KTFX [071928]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 071928
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
128 PM MDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
10/07/2008 M70.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

DEEP CREEK RAWS

0645 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ENE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.20W
10/07/2008 M58.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

TWO MEDICINE MDOT

1147 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW CUT BANK 48.60N 112.38W
10/07/2008 M70.00 MPH GLACIER MT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

CUT BANK ASOS


&&

$$

EK

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KMSO [071905]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 071905
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
104 PM MDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0102 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NE KILA 48.15N 114.42W
10/07/2008 E55.00 MPH FLATHEAD MT TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KOLATA

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2315

ACUS11 KWNS 071831
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071830
TNZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-072030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2315
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0130 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN AR...NWRN MS...WRN TN...MO BOOTHEEL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 071830Z - 072030Z

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS...WITH ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL AND WIND. A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT
BE RULED OUT. A SMALL SLIGHT RISK AREA WILL BE ADDED AND WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR A POSSIBLE WATCH.

CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO DESTABILIZE AHEAD OF A SURFACE TROUGH OVER
THE LOWER MS VALLEY WHERE SLY WINDS HAVE ADVECTED TEMPERATURES IN
THE MID 70S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S F AS FAR N AS THE MO
BOOTHEEL. VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS AREAS OF CU DEVELOPING NEAR THE MS
RIVER WHERE AN AXIS OF CONVERGENCE EXISTS.

ALTHOUGH A LEAD UPPER SHORTWAVE NOW EXISTS OVER NR AR AND SE MO AND
WILL DEPART THE AREA...CONVERGENCE AHEAD OF AND ALONG AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT WITH A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE WILL RESULT
IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW OF WHICH MAY BE SEVERE. DEEP
LAYER WIND FIELDS FAVOR A FEW LONG LIVED STORMS...POSSIBLY SMALL
BOWS THAT WILL TRAVEL NEWD WITH A WIND AND HAIL THREAT. LOW LEVEL
SHEAR...OVERALL...DOES NOT FAVOR TORNADOES DUE TO WEAK AND VEERING
SURFACE WINDS WITH TIME. HOWEVER...A BRIEF WINDOW MAY EXIST FOR A
TORNADO WITH ANY NON-OUTFLOW DOMINANT CELLULAR STORM THAT EVOLVES
AND MOVES E OF THE MS RIVER WHERE SURFACE WINDS ARE A BIT MORE
BACKED.

..JEWELL.. 10/07/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...

33688990 33169057 33049144 33229205 33699190 34479150
35549069 36239027 36449004 36498969 36488915 36478849
35278878

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KJAN [071827]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KJAN 071827 CCA
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
349 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0305 AM TSTM WND DMG COLUMBUS 33.51N 88.40W
10/07/2008 LOWNDES MS EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AROUND THE CITY OF COLUMBUS WITH
TREES ON POWERLINES...CAUSING POWER OUTAGES. SEVERAL
HOMES WERE DAMAGED.


&&

$$

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 071720
SWODY2
SPC AC 071717

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1217 PM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
ALTHOUGH MODELS ARE SUGGESTIVE THAT AMPLIFICATION WILL OCCUR WITHIN
THE MAIN BELT OF WESTERLIES ACROSS THE NORTHERN/EASTERN PACIFIC INTO
THE NORTHWESTERN STATES...UPPER FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION
APPEARS LIKELY TO REMAIN LARGELY ZONAL THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
WITHIN THIS REGIME...THE EXIT REGION OF A STRONG MID/UPPER JET
STREAK IS PROGGED TO NOSE EAST OF THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
THROUGH THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION BY 12Z THURSDAY. AS THIS
OCCURS...THE IMPACT ON DOWNSTREAM COUPLED NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN
BRANCH SHORT WAVE TROUGHS IS STILL A SOURCE OF CONSIDERABLE
UNCERTAINTY AMONG MODEL DATA. BUT...IT APPEARS PROBABLE THAT AN
INCREASINGLY SHEARED/DEFORMED NORTHERN BRANCH TROUGH WILL LIFT
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION...WHILE THE SOUTHERN BRANCH
TROUGH/CLOSED LOW BECOMES INCREASINGLY CUT-OFF...OR PROGRESSES MORE
SLOWLY...ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES.

LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING IN THE WAKE OF A RETREATING SURFACE RIDGE...
AND AHEAD OF A WEAKENING SURFACE COLD FRONT /ASSOCIATED WITH THE
LEAD SHORT WAVE IMPULSES/...MAY STILL BE SUFFICIENT TO MAINTAIN
PROBABILITIES OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EASTERN GULF STATES
NORTHWARD INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
BUT...THESE PROBABILITIES...AND CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL IN GENERAL...
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAIRLY LOW DUE RATHER MODEST LARGE-SCALE
FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION AND WEAK DESTABILIZATION.

...SOUTHEAST STATES...
BEYOND LATE MORNING INTO MIDDAY WEDNESDAY...THE FOCUS FOR THE
PRIMARY CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT MAY SHIFT FROM THE WEAKENING COLD
FRONT...SHIFTING EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER AREA...TO A
SURFACE WAVE ALONG A RESIDUAL SURFACE BOUNDARY ACROSS SOUTHERN
ALABAMA/GEORGIA INTO SOUTH ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS. UNLESS THIS WAVE
DEVELOPMENT IS CONSIDERABLY STRONGER THAN CURRENT MODEL FORECASTS
INDICATE...BOUNDARY LAYER BASED INSTABILITY INLAND OF COASTAL AREAS
PROBABLY WILL BE WEAK AND FAIRLY CONFINED. COUPLED WITH THE
LIKELIHOOD THAT LOW/MID LEVEL FLOW FIELDS MAY ONLY BECOME MARGINALLY
SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS OR ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS APPEARS RELATIVELY LOW. IT MAY NOT BE
COMPLETELY NEGLIGIBLE...HOWEVER...AND AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM OR
TWO IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...MAINLY NEAR OR JUST EAST OF THE
WAVE AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD.

..KERR.. 10/07/2008

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KABR [071626]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 071626
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1126 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 NNE ASTORIA 44.64N 96.50W
10/07/2008 E3.10 INCH DEUEL SD TRAINED SPOTTER

PREVIOUS 24 HOUR RAIN TOTAL ENDING AT 7AM TUE


&&

$$

KKRAML

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2314

ACUS11 KWNS 071625
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071624
MSZ000-LAZ000-071900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2314
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1124 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AND ERN LA...SW MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 071624Z - 071900Z

STORMS SHOULD INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED SVR WIND GUSTS AND MARGINALLY SVR HAIL
LIKELY.

A LINE OF STORMS WAS CONSOLIDATING ACROSS CNTRL LA AROUND 16Z. THESE
STORMS WILL CONTINUE EWD INTO AN UNCAPPED AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT. 12Z LCH SOUNDING MODIFIED FOR MID 70S F DEWPOINTS AND
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S F YIELDS MUCAPE NEAR 3000 J/KG.

WHILE LOW LEVEL FLOW/SHEAR IS QUITE WEAK...AND THUS THE TORNADO
THREAT WILL BE VERY LOW...MID TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS STRONG ENOUGH
TO RESULT IN FORWARD PROPAGATING STORMS WITH THE THREAT OF A FEW
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES ARE A BIT WARM FOR A
SIGNIFICANT HAIL THREAT...BUT THE STRONGEST CORES WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SOME MARGINAL HAIL.

..JEWELL.. 10/07/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

29699307 30479267 31359227 32489174 32979110 32979068
32798991 32348980 31538962 30178982 29739027 29109099
29429142 29549216 29559265

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 071624
SWODY1
SPC AC 071621

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1121 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

VALID 071630Z - 081200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...LOWER MS VALLEY TODAY INTO TONIGHT...
A PAIR OF LOOSELY PHASED SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL MOVE EWD OVER THE MS
VALLEY THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH THE MAJORITY OF THE DEEP CONVECTION
LINKED TO THE SRN TROUGH ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY. A LEAD TROUGH
IS EJECTING NEWD OVER NE TX/AR WITHIN THE BROADER SRN TROUGH...WHILE
THE PRIMARY UPSTREAM WAVE NOW OVER OK WILL PROGRESS ESEWD TO THE
ARKLAMISS REGION LATE TONIGHT. AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK CYCLONE IN
WRN MO IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EWD ACROSS MO/IL THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT
WHILE A TRAILING COLD FRONT MOVES EWD FROM ERN OK/TX ACROSS AR/LA.
THE COLD FRONT IS PRECEDED BY A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH AND A BAND OF
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AN AXIS FROM ROUGHLY MLU TO LCH. FARTHER E...A
RESIDUAL BAROCLINIC ZONE MARKS THE NE EDGE OF THE RICHER MOISTURE
FROM WRN TN SSEWD ACROSS NE MS INTO SW AL.

THE PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTIVE BAND ACROSS LA SHOULD PERSIST INTO THE
AFTERNOON AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS AND CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS
ELIMINATED ACROSS THE LA/MS WARM SECTOR. MODIFIED 12Z
SOUNDINGS...DESPITE MODEST MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 6-6.5 C/KM...
SUGGEST THAT AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES WILL LIKELY REACH 1000-1500
J/KG TOWARD NRN MS/AR WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 75-80 F AND
DEWPOINTS OF 68-70 F...AND 2000 J/KG FARTHER S INTO SRN LA WITH
SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S WITH MID 70S DEWPOINTS.
HOWEVER...SOUNDINGS AND RECENT VWP/S SHOW WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR
/ESPECIALLY IN THE LOW LEVELS/ S OF I-20 WHERE INSTABILITY WILL BE
GREATEST...AND A LITTLE STRONGER LOW-LEVEL SHEAR ACROSS NRN MS/WRN
TN ALONG THE RESIDUAL BAROCLINIC ZONE WHERE INSTABILITY WILL BE
WEAKER. THE COMBINATION OF INGREDIENTS APPEARS RATHER MARGINAL FOR
AN ORGANIZED SEVERE STORM THREAT IN EITHER AREA THIS
AFTERNOON...ASIDE FROM MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING
OUTFLOW GUSTS. A BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT THIS
AFTERNOON AS DIURNAL INSTABILITY IS MAXIMIZED...AND INTO TONIGHT AS
LOW-LEVEL FLOW INCREASES SOME OVER AL WITH THE APPROACH OF THE MID
LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE W. STILL...THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD REMAIN
MARGINAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

...MT AREA THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
A STRONG NRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE QUICKLY EWD OVER CENTRAL/ERN MT THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL BE QUITE LIMITED ACROSS MT
TODAY...THOUGH MID LEVEL MOISTENING AND STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR SOME LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION WITH GUSTY
WINDS ALONG THE FRONT.

..THOMPSON/JEWELL.. 10/07/2008

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KFWD [071624]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 071624
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1123 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 S BUFFALO 31.42N 96.06W
10/06/2008 LEON TX PUBLIC

TREE BLOWN DOWN...TIME ESTIMATED

$$

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KFWD [071621]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 071621
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1121 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0628 PM TSTM WND DMG WALNUT SPRINGS 32.06N 97.75W
10/06/2008 BOSQUE TX PUBLIC

ROOF OF PORCH BLOWN OFF...TIME ESTIMATED

$$

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KJAN [071402]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 071402
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
902 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 AM HAIL COLUMBUS 33.51N 88.40W
10/07/2008 E0.75 INCH LOWNDES MS EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

SCW

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 071253
SWODY1
SPC AC 071251

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0751 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

VALID 071300Z - 081200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE LOWER MS RIVER
VALLEY/MID SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...

...MID SOUTH INTO THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST...
STRONG MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DIG ESEWD ACROSS THE MID
SOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH ASSOCIATED STRENGTHENING WSWLY H5 FLOW
OVERSPREADING THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST. SURFACE
COLD FRONT NOW MOVING ACROSS THE OZARK REGION/ERN TX WILL LIKEWISE
ADVANCE STEADILY EWD THROUGH THE PERIOD...AND LIKELY EXTEND ALONG OR
JUST WEST OF THE MS RIVER VALLEY LATER TODAY. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...AXIS OF LOWER 70F SURFACE DEW POINTS ARE ALREADY IN PLACE
AND WILL CONTINUE ADVECTING GENERALLY NWD THROUGH THE DAY INTO
PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH. IN ADDITION...12Z SOUNDINGS FROM SIL AND
LCH INDICATE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES REMAIN RELATIVELY STEEP WITHIN
BROAD MID LEVEL DRY INTRUSION EVIDENT ON WV IMAGERY NOW
OVERSPREADING THIS REGION.

WITH CONTINUED ASCENT WITHIN RESERVOIR OF WEAK TO MODERATE
MUCAPE...EXPECT SCATTERED MOIST CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH
OF THE WARM SECTOR THROUGH THE DAY. ALTHOUGH MORE VIGOROUS
DEVELOPMENT SHOULD OCCUR NEAR THE FRONT AS DIURNAL HEATING SUPPORTS
MODERATE MLCAPE /ACCORDING TO MODIFIED 12Z LCH SOUNDING/ AND
DIMINISHES CINH. APPEARS SETUP WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE
FOR SEVERE MULTICELLS AND A FEW SUPERCELLS AHEAD OF STRONG MID/UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE AREA...ESPECIALLY FROM PARTS OF SWRN LA/ERN AR
ACROSS THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY THROUGH THE EVENING. ISOLATED
TORNADOES CAN NOT BE DISCOUNTED GIVEN THE RICH GULF MOISTURE AND
DEGREE OF INSTABILITY EXPECTED TO DEVELOP...DESPITE THE MARGINAL LOW
LEVEL SHEAR FORECAST. HOWEVER...PRIMARY THREATS MAY BE FROM
DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL. OVERNIGHT...BROAD REGION OF
MODEST SWLY MID LEVEL FLOW AND ASSOCIATED 25-35 KT DEEP LAYER SHEAR
WILL SHIFT SEWD ACROSS MORE OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION.
THEREFORE...ALTHOUGH OVERALL SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
AWAY FROM THE COAST THIS EVENING...PERSISTENT INFLUX OF RICH GULF
MOISTURE SHOULD MAINTAIN THREAT OF ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
OVERNIGHT.

..EVANS.. 10/07/2008

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2313

ACUS11 KWNS 071247
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071247
LAZ000-TXZ000-071415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2313
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SOUTHEAST TX INTO LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 071247Z - 071415Z

AT LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE RISK MAY INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING
ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST TX INTO LA. THE NEED FOR A WATCH IN THE SHORT
TERM IS UNCLEAR...BUT CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR A POSSIBLE WATCH.

30-KT EAST-MOVING/NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST ORIENTED CONVECTIVE LINE
ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST TX HAS INTENSIFIED TO A DEGREE OVER THE PAST
HOUR...WITH SOME MODEST BOWING NORTHEAST OF THE HOUSTON AREA EARLY
THIS MORNING. GIVEN A VERY MOIST DOWNSTREAM AIRMASS WITH LOW TO MID
70S F DEWPOINTS AND GRADUAL HEATING THROUGH THE MORNING...POTENTIAL
WILL EXIST FOR THIS CONVECTIVE LINE AND/OR LEADING MORE DISCRETE
DEVELOPMENT TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE MORNING ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
TX/MUCH OF LA. OBSERVED 12Z RAOBS FROM LAKE CHARLES/NEW ORLEANS
REFLECT MODERATE BUOYANCY AND ONLY WEAK INHIBITION...WITH MODIFIED
VERSIONS OF THESE SOUNDINGS IMPLYING AN INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR
WIND DAMAGE /AND PERHAPS A TORNADO/ AS TEMPERATURES DIURNALLY WARM
THROUGH THE 80S F TODAY. MORNING RAOBS/WSR-88D DERIVED WINDS SUGGEST
VERTICAL SHEAR BECOMES MORE MARGINAL WITH SOUTH EXTENT ACROSS
SOUTHEAST TX/LA...BUT AROUND 30-35 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO QUASI-ORGANIZED MAINLY MULTICELLULAR/LINEAR
ORGANIZATION.

..GUYER.. 10/07/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...HGX...

31119398 31999330 31839163 29899211 29539424 28549606
29409621 30289498

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KJAN [071059]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 071059
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
559 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 AM TSTM WND DMG COLUMBUS 33.51N 88.40W
10/07/2008 LOWNDES MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES FELL ON 4 HOUSES AND A SHELL GAS STATION. AN
APARTMENT COMPLEX WAS EVACUATED AFTER A FALLEN TREE
RUPTURED THE GAS LINE. POWER OUTAGES WERE REPORTED AROUND
THE CITY OF COLUMBUS


&&

$$

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KJAN [070850]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 070850
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
349 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0305 AM TSTM WND DMG COLUMBUS 33.51N 88.40W
10/07/2008 LOWNDES MS EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AROUND THE CITY OF THE COLUMBUS.
TREEES ON POWERLINES...CAUSING OUTAGES. SEVERAL HOMES
DAMAGED.


&&

$$

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 070752
SWOD48
SPC AC 070751

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0251 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

VALID 101200Z - 151200Z

...DISCUSSION...

FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

MODELS 500 MB EVOLUTION ARE NOW IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT AT LEAST
THROUGH DAY 5 WITH GFS TRENDING TOWARD THE MORE CONSISTENT ECMWF
RUNS. PATTERN IS FORECAST TO UNDERGO SIGNIFICANT AMPLIFICATION BY
DAY 4 WITH A BROAD CLOSED UPPER LOW EVOLVING OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST. DOWNSTREAM FROM UPPER TROUGH A STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL
ADVANCE SLOWLY SEWD THROUGH THE NRN AND CNTRL PLAINS. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL LIKELY REMAIN TOO LIMITED FOR A MORE ROBUST SEVERE
THREAT UNTIL LATER DAY 5 WHEN MODIFIED CP AIR WILL RETURN NWWD
THROUGH THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS. SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY PERSIST
OVER PARTS OF THE PLAINS THROUGH DAY 6. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THE
BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL EXIST FROM WRN TX THROUGH KS FROM
LATE DAY 5 INTO DAY 6. DETAILS REGARDING UPPER TROUGH EVOLUTION AND
RELATED SURFACE PATTERN BEGIN TO DIVERGE AFTER DAY 5 SO PREFER TO
WAIT FOR ANOTHER SET OF MODEL RUNS BEFORE INTRODUCING A RISK AREA.

..DIAL.. 10/07/2008

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 070710
SWODY3
SPC AC 070708

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0208 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...PORTIONS OF SERN STATES AND FL...

DIFFERENCES PERSIST BETWEEN THE GFS/ECMWF AND THE NAM IN HANDLING
UPPER LOW MOVING THROUGH THE SERN STATES ON THURSDAY. THE NAM IS
CONSIDERABLY SLOWER AND CUTS THE LOW OFF OVER THE NRN GULF WHILE THE
GFS AND ECMWF ARE SOMEWHAT FASTER AND FARTHER NORTH WITH THE SYSTEM
BECOMING CUTOFF OVER GA. WILL LEAN MORE TOWARD THE GFS/ECMWF THIS
PERIOD.

IN EITHER CASE THE UPPER LOW SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND BECOME
MORE EQUIVALENT BAROTROPIC IN NATURE WITH A CORRESPONDING DECREASE
IN LOW-MID LEVEL FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR. A FEW STRONG MULTICELL
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY NEAR THE UPPER LOW CENTER WHERE
TEMPERATURES NEAR -12C AT 500 MB WOULD SUPPORT A THREAT FOR HAIL IF
SUFFICIENT DIABATIC HEATING OCCURS. OTHERWISE ISOLATED STRONG WIND
GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STORMS DEVELOPING OVER FL IN ASSOCIATION
WITH SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES.

..DIAL.. 10/07/2008

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KLZK [070617]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLZK 070617
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
117 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0114 AM FLASH FLOOD SPARKMAN 33.92N 92.85W
10/07/2008 DALLAS AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

THUNDERSTORMS HAD PRODUCED HEAVY RAIN AND CREATED
FLOODING ALONG HIGHWAY 7 SOUTH OF SPARKMAN. ALSO ALONG
PARTS OF HIGHWAY 9.


&&

$$

MTREXLER

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 070600
SWODY2
SPC AC 070558

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN STATES...

COLD ADVECTION AND MID LEVEL JET DROPPING SWD ALONG WRN PERIPHERY OF
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SOME SWD
AMPLIFICATION AS THIS FEATURE MOVES TOWARD THE SERN STATES ON
WEDNESDAY. MODELS DIFFER ON EVOLUTION OF THE TROUGH WITH THE GFS AND
ECMWF BEING MORE PROGRESSIVE AND FARTHER NORTH THAN THE NAM AND NAM
KF WHICH CLOSE OFF THIS FEATURE EARLIER. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY A COLD FRONT. A WARM FRONT MAY LIFT SLOWLY NWD INTO
THE SRN PARTS OF THE GULF COASTAL STATES.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ERN U.S. WILL SHIFT EAST WITH SELY
FLOW BECOMING ESTABLISHED EAST OF COLD FRONT THAT WILL ACCOMPANY THE
UPPER TROUGH. BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 70 OVER
THE CNTRL GULF COASTAL AREA TO LOW 60S OVER THE TN VALLEY. IT STILL
APPEARS THAT WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND ONGOING CONVECTION WITHIN ZONE OF
ASCENT ATTENDING UPPER TROUGH WILL LIMIT DESTABILIZATION AND LAPSE
RATES OVER MUCH OF THE MOIST AXIS. MCLAPE WILL SHOULD REMAIN AOB 500
J/KG OVER MOST OF THE REGION. HOWEVER...MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL BE
POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER SRN PARTS OF THE GULF COASTAL STATES WHERE LOW
CLOUDS ARE MORE LIKELY TO MIX OUT AND WHERE RICHER MOISTURE WILL
RESIDE SOUTH OF WARM FRONT. ESELY LOW LEVEL TRAJECTORIES FROM
SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE ATLANTIC AND POTENTIAL FOR ONGOING
PRECIPITATION ON COOLER SIDE OF WARM FRONT SHOULD LIMIT NWD RETREAT
OF THIS BOUNDARY.

BEST CHANCE FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL PROBABLY REMAIN
SOUTH OF WARM FRONT OVER SRN PARTS OF THE GULF COASTAL STATES WHERE
GREATER DESTABILIZATION POTENTIAL WILL EXIST. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL
WEAKEN DURING THE DAY AS THE LOW LEVEL JET SHIFTS NWD THROUGH THE
SRN AND CNTRL APPALACHIANS. HOWEVER...MODERATE WSWLY 500 MB FLOW
ALONG SRN PERIPHERY OF UPPER TROUGH WILL MAINTAIN SUFFICIENT BULK
SHEAR FOR A THREAT OF ROTATING UPDRAFTS. LARGER HODOGRAPHS WILL
EXIST NORTH OF WARM FRONT AND MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A THREAT OF
LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONES AS STORMS CROSS THIS BOUNDARY. HOWEVER...ANY
TORNADO THREAT CURRENTLY APPEARS TOO CONDITIONAL GIVEN PROBABILITY
THAT THE BOUNDARY LAYER MAY REMAIN TOO STABLE ON THE COOLER SIDE OF
THIS FRONT.

MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH UPPER LOW TIMING AND PLACEMENT AS WELL AS
UNCERTAINTIES REGARDING EVOLUTION OF EARLY CONVECTION PRECLUDES MORE
THAN 5% SEVERE PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THIS AREA WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE SLIGHT RISK IN LATER
OUTLOOKS.

..DIAL.. 10/07/2008

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 070555
SWODY1
SPC AC 070552

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1252 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE/SHARP MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE EWD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL CONUS TOWARD THE MS VALLEY...WITH AN EMBEDDED SHORT-WAVE
TROUGH NOW DIGGING SSEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS FORECAST TO
MOVE INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD.

AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK FRONT/CONVERGENCE AXIS WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD
OUT OF THE SRN PLAINS/INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY...EVENTUALLY
SHARPENING AS THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORT-WAVE TROUGH APPROACHES LATER
IN THE PERIOD. THIS SURFACE BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED UPPER TROUGHING
SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT WIDESPREAD CONVECTION THROUGH THE PERIOD.


...CENTRAL GULF COAST/LOWER MS VALLEY REGION...
CONVECTION SHOULD BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD FROM E TX/LA
EWD INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY REGION...WHICH SHOULD THEN
DEVELOP/SPREAD EWD THROUGH THE DAY. PRECIPITATION AND ASSOCIATED
CLOUD COVER SHOULD LIMIT HEATING/POTENTIAL FOR DESTABILIZATION
ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION...THUS LIKELY LIMITING THE OVERALL SEVERE
POTENTIAL.

NONETHELESS...WITH A BELT OF MODERATE /35 TO 45 KT/ MID-LEVEL SWLYS
AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING TROUGH FORECAST TO SPREAD ACROSS THE LOWER MS
VALLEY REGION...AMPLE SHEAR FOR CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION SUGGESTS AT
LEAST SOME POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS. ATTM...WILL
MAINTAIN SEE TEXT/5% SEVERE PROBABILITY...BUT AN UPGRADE TO SLIGHT
RISK OVER A PORTION OF THIS REGION MAY BE REQUIRED IN LATER
FORECASTS.

..GOSS.. 10/07/2008

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KSHV [070505]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 070505
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1205 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1005 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PRESCOTT 33.80N 93.39W
10/06/2008 NEVADA AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

A TREE DOWN ON A POWER LINE IN THE CITY DUE TO THE SOGGY
GROUND.


&&

$$

STAPLETON

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KSHV [070501]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 070501
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1201 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0535 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 E LINDEN 33.01N 94.19W
10/06/2008 CASS TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWNED IN THE HUFFINES AND SMYRNA
AREAS ALONG FM 1841.


&&

$$

STAPLETON

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