Saturday, March 29, 2008

KTFX [300325]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KTFX 300325
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
924 PM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM HEAVY SNOW 16 SSW RUDYARD 48.35N 110.69W
03/29/2008 M4.0 INCH HILL MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED 4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW SO FAR OVERNIGHT.
NORTHEAST WINDS OF AROUND 30 MPH ALSO CAUSING VISIBILITY
OF 1/4 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN BLOWING SNOW. STILL
SNOWING HEAVILY NOW.

0856 AM HIGH SUST WINDS CUT BANK 48.63N 112.33W
03/29/2008 U0.00 MPH GLACIER MT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

VISIBILITY OF 1/4 MILE BETWEEN 730 AM MDT AND 900 AM MDT
DUE TO SNOW AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS. MODERATE SNOW WITH
NORTH WIND GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH REPORTED AT 732 AM MDT AND
756 AM MDT. HEAVY SNOW WITH NORTH WINDS GUSTING TO 22 MPH
REPORTED AT 856 AM MDT. SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS OF 25 TO 30
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 36 MPH AROUND 11 AM MDT...WITH
VISIBILITY AROUND 3/4 MILE.

0930 AM HEAVY SNOW SHELBY 48.51N 111.86W
03/29/2008 E6.0 INCH TOOLE MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

AROUND 6 INCHES OF SNOW FELL OVERNIGHT THROUGH LATE
MORNING. BY LATE MORNING...WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED AT 25 MPH
WITH 1/4 TO 1/2 MILE VISIBILITY. SNOW DRIFTS FROM 6 TO 12
INCHES.

1101 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 5 E CHESTER 48.51N 110.86W
03/29/2008 U0.00 MPH LIBERTY MT LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGH WIND COUPLED WITH SNOW. EAST OF CHESTER...VISIBILITY
DOWN TO 100 YARDS ALONG WITH VERY SLICK ROADS.

1200 PM HEAVY SNOW CONRAD 48.17N 111.95W
03/29/2008 E7.0 INCH PONDERA MT LAW ENFORCEMENT

SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES. SNOW DRIFTS OF 18 TO
26 INCHES. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF
30 TO 35 MPH. INTERSTATE 15 NEAR CONRAD CLOSED IN THE
EARLY AFTERNOON WITH ACCIDENTS REPORTED. VISIBILITY
REPORTED DOWN TO 1/2 BLOCK.

1230 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 1 ENE POWER 47.72N 111.66W
03/29/2008 U0.00 MPH TETON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

HIGH WINDS CAUSING BLOWING SNOW SINCE 10AM. CANNOT SEE
100 YARDS AT THIS TIME.

1235 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 5 ENE ARMINGTON 47.39N 110.80W
03/29/2008 U0.00 MPH CASCADE MT TRAINED SPOTTER

HIGH WIND COUPLED WITH SNOW. VISIBILITY APPROXIMATELY 200
FT AT THIS TIME. APPROXIMATELY 4 INCHES OF SNOW WITH LOTS
OF DRIFTING.

0100 PM HIGH SUST WINDS FORT BENTON 47.83N 110.65W
03/29/2008 U0.00 MPH CHOUTEAU MT LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGH WIND COUPLED WITH SNOW. EMERGENCY TRAVEL ONLY
BETWEEN FORT BENTON AND GREAT FALLS. VISIBILITY OF 1/4
MILE AT FORT BENTON AIRPORT AT 1229 PM MDT AND 158 PM
MDT.

0144 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 7 W FAIRFIELD 47.62N 112.13W
03/29/2008 E50.00 MPH TETON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILTIES TO NEAR ZERO.

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST STANFORD 47.15N 110.22W
03/29/2008 E60.00 MPH JUDITH BASIN MT TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH

0235 PM HIGH SUST WINDS GREAT FALLS 47.50N 111.29W
03/29/2008 U0.00 MPH CASCADE MT NWS EMPLOYEE

HIGH WIND COUPLED WITH SNOW. WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO UNDER 200 FEET
AT TIMES. MULTIPLE CARS STRANDED NEAR INTERSTATE 15 EXIT
AT AIRPORT.


&&

A STORM SYSTEM BROUGHT SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...STRONG WINDS...AND
SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES TO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTH
CENTRAL MONTANA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. ABOVE IS A COLLECTION OF
THOSE REPORTS.

$$

ACOHEN

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KEWX [300325]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 300325
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1024 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0925 PM HAIL JOURDANTON 28.91N 98.54W
03/29/2008 E1.75 INCH ATASCOSA TX UNKNOWN


&&

$$

CRS

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KSHV [300324]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 300324
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1024 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0850 PM HAIL 9 SE TYLER 32.24N 95.19W
03/29/2008 E0.25 INCH SMITH TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

IN THE COMMUNITY OF CHAPEL HILL...REPORTED TO SMITH CO
911 CENTER BY VFD


&&

$$

12

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KSHV [300322]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 300322
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1022 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0845 PM HAIL 6 SE TYLER 32.27N 95.23W
03/29/2008 E1.75 INCH SMITH TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

NEAR THE COMMUNITY OF CHAPEL HILL


&&

$$

12

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KSHV [300314]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 300314
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1014 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0941 PM FLASH FLOOD LONGVIEW 32.52N 94.76W
03/29/2008 GREGG TX TRAINED SPOTTER

THREE FOOT OF WATER ON ROAD AT HWY 80 AND GREEN ST.


&&

$$

PO

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KSHV [300312]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 300312
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1011 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0944 PM FLASH FLOOD LONGVIEW 32.52N 94.76W
03/29/2008 GREGG TX TRAINED SPOTTER

HIGH WATER AT LOOP 281 AND I-20


&&

$$

PO

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KSHV [300310]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 300310
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1010 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0954 PM FLASH FLOOD LONGVIEW 32.52N 94.76W
03/29/2008 GREGG TX TRAINED SPOTTER

WATER RESCUE UNDER BRIDGE ON HIGH STREET AND COTTON


&&

$$

PO

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KSHV [300309]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 300309
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1009 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 PM HAIL HALLSVILLE 32.50N 94.58W
03/29/2008 M1.00 INCH HARRISON TX NWS EMPLOYEE

HAIL COVERING GROUND...LASTED 15 MINS


&&

$$

12

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KSHV [300231]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 300231
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
931 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0925 PM HAIL LONGVIEW 32.52N 94.76W
03/29/2008 E1.00 INCH GREGG TX OFFICIAL NWS OBS

FROM RETIRED NWS EMPLOYEE


&&

$$

12

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KSHV [300229]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 300229
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
929 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0927 PM HAIL KILGORE 32.39N 94.87W
03/29/2008 E0.25 INCH GREGG TX TRAINED SPOTTER

ABOUT ONE INCH OF SMALL HAIL ON GROUND...SMALL LIMBS
DOWN...POWER OUT


&&

$$

12

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KTFX [300227]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 300227
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
827 PM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0856 AM HIGH SUST WINDS CUT BANK 48.63N 112.33W
03/29/2008 U0.00 MPH GLACIER MT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

VISIBILITY OF 1/4 MILE BETWEEN 730 AM MDT AND 900 AM MDT
DUE TO SNOW AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS. MODERATE SNOW WITH
NORTH WIND GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH REPORTED AT 732 AM MDT AND
756 AM MDT. HEAVY SNOW WITH NORTH WINDS GUSTING TO 22 MPH
REPORTED AT 856 AM MDT. SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS OF 25 TO 30
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 36 MPH AROUND 11 AM MDT...WITH
VISIBILITY AROUND 3/4 MILE.


&&

$$

ACOHEN

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KPDT [300227]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 300227
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
727 PM PDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 NNW SKI BLUEWOOD 46.12N 117.85W
03/29/2008 M11.7 INCH COLUMBIA WA MESONET

SNOWTEL SITE AT TOUCHET WASHINGTON REPORTED 24 HOUR
ACCUMULATED SNOWFALL OF 11.7 INCHES.

1230 PM HEAVY SNOW 1 WSW SKI BLUEWOOD 46.08N 117.85W
03/29/2008 M12.0 INCH COLUMBIA WA TRAINED SPOTTER

RECEIVED 12 INCHES OF SNOW BETWEEN 5 AM FRIDAY AND 5 AM
SATURDAY...THEN ANOTHER 5 INCHES SNOW BETWEEN 5 AM AND
1230 PM SATURDAY.


&&

$$

AA

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KFWD [300227]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 300227
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
927 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0745 PM HAIL 10 N PALESTINE 31.90N 95.65W
03/29/2008 E1.00 INCH ANDERSON TX BROADCAST MEDIA

QUARTER HAIL IN ELMTOWN...RELAYED BY MEDIA

$$

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KSHV [300219]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 300219
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
919 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0914 PM HAIL KILGORE 32.39N 94.87W
03/29/2008 E1.75 INCH GREGG TX TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED ON STONE RD.


&&

$$

12

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KSHV [300219]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 300219
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
919 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0912 PM HAIL KILGORE 32.39N 94.87W
03/29/2008 E1.00 INCH GREGG TX TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

12

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KTFX [300214]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 300214
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
813 PM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0856 AM SNOW CUT BANK 48.63N 112.33W
03/29/2008 U0.0 INCH GLACIER MT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

VISIBILITY OF 1/4 MILE BETWEEN 730 AM MDT AND 900 AM MDT
DUE TO SNOW AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS. MODERATE SNOW WITH
NORTH WIND GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH REPORTED AT 732 AM MDT AND
756 AM MDT. HEAVY SNOW WITH NORTH WINDS GUSTING TO 22 MPH
REPORTED AT 856 AM MDT. SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS OF 25 TO 30
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 36 MPH AROUND 11 AM MDT...WITH
VISIBILITY AROUND 3/4 MILE.

0930 AM HEAVY SNOW SHELBY 48.51N 111.86W
03/29/2008 E6.0 INCH TOOLE MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

AROUND 6 INCHES OF SNOW FELL OVERNIGHT THROUGH LATE
MORNING. BY LATE MORNING...WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED AT 25 MPH
WITH 1/4 TO 1/2 MILE VISIBILITY. SNOW DRIFTS FROM 6 TO 12
INCHES.

1101 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 5 E CHESTER 48.51N 110.86W
03/29/2008 U0.00 MPH LIBERTY MT LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGH WIND COUPLED WITH SNOW. EAST OF CHESTER...VISIBILITY
DOWN TO 100 YARDS ALONG WITH VERY SLICK ROADS.

1200 PM HEAVY SNOW CONRAD 48.17N 111.95W
03/29/2008 E7.0 INCH PONDERA MT LAW ENFORCEMENT

SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES. SNOW DRIFTS OF 18 TO
26 INCHES. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF
30 TO 35 MPH. INTERSTATE 15 NEAR CONRAD CLOSED IN THE
EARLY AFTERNOON WITH ACCIDENTS REPORTED. VISIBILITY
REPORTED DOWN TO 1/2 BLOCK.

0100 PM HIGH SUST WINDS FORT BENTON 47.83N 110.65W
03/29/2008 U0.00 MPH CHOUTEAU MT LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGH WIND COUPLED WITH SNOW. EMERGENCY TRAVEL ONLY
BETWEEN FORT BENTON AND GREAT FALLS. VISIBILITY OF 1/4
MILE AT FORT BENTON AIRPORT AT 1229 PM MDT AND 158 PM
MDT.


&&

$$

ACOHEN

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KGGW [300200]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 300200
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
800 PM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM SNOW 15 SSE CULBERTSON 47.93N 104.45W
03/29/2008 E2.5 INCH RICHLAND MT TRAINED SPOTTER

2-2.5 INCHES OF SNOW SINCE 510 PM MDT. VISIBILITY
OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 0.25 MI.


&&

$$

AJZ

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KSHV [300152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 300152
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
852 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0843 PM TSTM WND DMG NEW LONDON 32.27N 94.93W
03/29/2008 RUSK TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWNED


&&

$$

12

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KSGF [300122]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 300122
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
822 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 SW POTTERSVILLE 36.67N 92.07W
03/29/2008 HOWELL MO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

STATE ROUTE K CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING NEAR CUREALL. TIME
ESTIMATED.

0730 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 W LANTON 36.52N 91.84W
03/29/2008 HOWELL MO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

STATE ROUTE 142 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING NEAR LANTON. TIME
ESTIMATED.


&&

$$

RKARDELL

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KSGF [300117]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 300117
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
816 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SW MOODY 36.51N 92.01W
03/29/2008 HOWELL MO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

STATE ROUTE 142 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING NEAR MOODY. TIME
ESTIMATED.


&&

$$

RKARDELL

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KSGF [300114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 300114
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
814 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 SSE GAINESVILLE 36.52N 92.39W
03/29/2008 OZARK MO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

STATE ROUTE T CLOSED NEAR MAMMOTH DUE TO FLOODING. TIME
ESTIMATED.


&&

$$

RKARDELL

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KSHV [300114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 300114
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
814 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0752 PM HAIL RUSK 31.80N 95.15W
03/29/2008 E0.75 INCH CHEROKEE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

ALSO ESTIMATED 50 MPH WINDS OCCURRING


&&

$$

12

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0499

ACUS11 KWNS 300111
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300111
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-300215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0499
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0811 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...ARKLATEX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 300111Z - 300215Z

LARGE SCALE MASS FIELDS ARE BEGINNING TO FOCUS INLAND ACROSS THE SRN
PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO UPPER TROUGHING OVER THE WRN U.S. THIS NWD
FOCUS WILL LIKELY DRIVE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL INTO NCNTRL TX/ERN
OK/AR DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...ALTHOUGH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL
FOR STRONG STORMS IN THE SHORT RANGE WILL OCCUR IN THE IMMEDIATE
ARKLATEX REGION AS STRONG CLUSTER OF STORMS LIFTS/DEVELOPS NNEWD
ALONG RETREATING WARM FRONT. 00Z SOUNDINGS FROM FWD/OUN/SHV ALL
INDICATE MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES.
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ARE CERTAINLY SUPPORTIVE OF ROBUST UPDRAFTS
WHERE CONVECTION DOES DEVELOP. LATEST THINKING IS GRADUAL INCREASE
IN LLJ ACROSS NCNTRL TX INTO OK WILL AID THIS DEVELOPMENT. HAIL IS
THE MOST LIKELY THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

.DARROW.. 03/30/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...

31739634 33989563 33479326 31809459

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KSHV [300106]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 300106
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
806 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0805 PM HAIL 4 S JACKSONVILLE 31.91N 95.26W
03/29/2008 E1.25 INCH CHEROKEE TX TRAINED SPOTTER

BETWEEN JACKSONVILLE AND RUSK


&&

$$

12

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KSHV [300105]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 300105
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
805 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0801 PM HAIL 6 S JACKSONVILLE 31.88N 95.26W
03/29/2008 E0.75 INCH CHEROKEE TX TRAINED SPOTTER

ON HWY 69 BETWEEN JACKSONVILLE AND RUSK


&&

$$

12

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 300102
SWODY1
SPC AC 300059

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

VALID 300100Z - 301200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST TX INTO THE ARKLATEX/OZARKS...
WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL TX HILL
COUNTRY/EAST CENTRAL TX AND NORTHERN LA EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH
60S/LOWER 70S F DEWPOINTS COMMON IN THE AMBIENT WARM MOIST SECTOR
ACROSS EAST TX/MUCH OF LA. IT APPEARS ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS THROUGH THE EVENING/NIGHT.
THIS SEEMS ESPECIALLY LIKELY AS STORMS CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD/INCREASE IN COVERAGE...AND BECOME PROGRESSIVELY
ELEVATED...ACROSS THE ARKLATEX/OZARKS VICINITY TONIGHT AMIDST AN
INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET/ELEVATED MOISTURE TRANSPORT
REGIME. 00Z OBSERVED RAOBS FROM DALLAS-FORT WORTH/NORMAN/SHREVEPORT
ALL FEATURED STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITH MUCAPE IN EXCESS OF
1500 J/KG. THIS AMPLE INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH AROUND 35-40 KT OF
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL FAVOR ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL INTO THE
OVERNIGHT.

.GUYER.. 03/30/2008

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KSEW [300100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 300100
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
559 PM PDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0510 PM HAIL 1 WSW MOUNT PLEASANT 48.10N 123.40W
03/29/2008 M0.25 INCH CLALLAM WA TRAINED SPOTTER

0500 PM HAIL MILL CREEK 47.86N 122.21W
03/29/2008 M0.25 INCH SNOHOMISH WA NWS EMPLOYEE

1/4-1/3 INCH HAIL.

0515 PM HAIL MARYSVILLE 48.06N 122.15W
03/29/2008 M0.25 INCH SNOHOMISH WA NWS EMPLOYEE

2 SEPARATE REPORTS OF PEA SIZED HAIL FROM NWS EMPLOYEES
IN MARYSVILLE.


&&

$$

DDAMICO

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KSHV [300052]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 300052
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
752 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0751 PM HAIL RUSK 31.80N 95.15W
03/29/2008 M1.00 INCH CHEROKEE TX TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

12

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KGGW [300050]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 300050
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
650 PM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0620 PM SNOW 11 N VIDA 47.99N 105.49W
03/29/2008 E2.0 INCH MCCONE MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW IS TAPERING


&&

$$

BB

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KFWD [300022]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 300022
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
721 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0710 PM HAIL 4 SE ELKHART 31.59N 95.53W
03/29/2008 E1.75 INCH ANDERSON TX TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED GOLFBALL HAIL IN SALMON...RELAYED BY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT

$$

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KMFR [292354]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 292354
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
454 PM PDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0453 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 WSW LAKESIDE 43.57N 124.20W
03/29/2008 M0.83 INCH COOS OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR PERIOD


&&

$$

SUGDEN

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KSEW [292318]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 292318
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
418 PM PDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM HAIL 2 NNE HARTSTENE 47.31N 122.88W
03/29/2008 M0.25 INCH MASON WA TRAINED SPOTTER

0350 PM HAIL 2 N POTLATCH 47.40N 123.14W
03/29/2008 M0.25 INCH MASON WA TRAINED SPOTTER

LITTLE LESS THAN 1/2 INCH OF HAIL ACCUMULATED ON THE
GROUND FROM HEAVIER SHOWER.

0410 PM HAIL 3 WSW BELFAIR 47.43N 122.89W
03/29/2008 M0.25 INCH MASON WA TRAINED SPOTTER

THUNDERSTORM.


&&

$$

DDAMICO

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KILM [292308]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 292308
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
708 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM WILDFIRE 8 S BELVILLE 34.11N 77.99W
03/28/2008 BRUNSWICK NC BROADCAST MEDIA

APPROXIMATELY 300 ACRES BURNED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
HIGHWAY 133 AND FUNSTON ROAD. NO EVACUATIONS OF HOMES
WERE NECESSARY.


&&

$$

RAS

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KGGW [292256]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 292256
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
456 PM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM SNOW 12 NW GLASGOW 48.32N 106.82W
03/29/2008 E3.0 INCH VALLEY MT TRAINED SPOTTER

MAINLY ACCUMULATING ON GRASSY AREAS.

0335 PM SNOW SACO 48.46N 107.34W
03/29/2008 E1.0 INCH PHILLIPS MT CO-OP OBSERVER

MAINLY ON GRASSY AREAS.

0335 PM SNOW 8 WSW LUSTRE 48.35N 106.04W
03/29/2008 E1.5 INCH VALLEY MT TRAINED SPOTTER

STILL SNOWING

0335 PM SNOW 11 E OPHEIM 48.86N 106.17W
03/29/2008 E1.0 INCH VALLEY MT TRAINED SPOTTER

STILL SNOWING

0350 PM SNOW 6 SW SCOBEY 48.73N 105.51W
03/29/2008 E1.0 INCH DANIELS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

STILL SNOWING

0355 PM SNOW 18 NNW WOLF POINT 48.33N 105.79W
03/29/2008 E1.0 INCH ROOSEVELT MT TRAINED SPOTTER

0357 PM SNOW 6 N GLASGOW 48.28N 106.64W
03/29/2008 E2.0 INCH VALLEY MT PUBLIC

STILL SNOWING

0400 PM SNOW 1 SE GLASGOW 48.19N 106.62W
03/29/2008 M3.2 INCH VALLEY MT NWS EMPLOYEE

0420 PM SNOW 11 W RESERVE 48.61N 104.70W
03/29/2008 E2.0 INCH SHERIDAN MT TRAINED SPOTTER

STILL SNOWING

0420 PM SNOW 10 NNE WOLF POINT 48.22N 105.56W
03/29/2008 E1.5 INCH ROOSEVELT MT TRAINED SPOTTER

STILL SNOWING

0430 PM SNOW SAINT MARIE 48.40N 106.53W
03/29/2008 M2.0 INCH VALLEY MT CO-OP OBSERVER

0430 PM SNOW ZORTMAN 47.92N 108.53W
03/29/2008 E3.0 INCH PHILLIPS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

0430 PM SNOW MALTA 48.36N 107.87W
03/29/2008 E1.5 INCH PHILLIPS MT CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

BB

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KCYS [292213]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 292213
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
413 PM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0346 PM NON-TSTM WND GST DOUGLAS 42.76N 105.39W
03/29/2008 M54 MPH CONVERSE WY ASOS

0325 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
03/29/2008 M57 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

0350 PM NON-TSTM WND GST WHITAKER 41.41N 104.87W
03/29/2008 M61 MPH LARAMIE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS


&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KJAN [292202]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KJAN 292202
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
501 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0337 PM HAIL 2 SSW BAXTERVILLE 31.06N 89.60W
03/29/2008 E1.00 INCH LAMAR MS PUBLIC

DIME TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED ALONG GULF CAMP ROAD
SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF BAXTERVILLE. OIL FIELD WORKERS
REPORTED DENTS IN VEHICLES.


&&

$$

HAMRICK

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KJAN [292159]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 292159
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
459 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0337 PM HAIL 2 SSW BAXTERVILLE 31.06N 89.60W
03/29/2008 E0.88 INCH LAMAR MS PUBLIC

DIME TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED ALONG GULF CAMP ROAD
SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF BAXTERVILLE. OIL FIELD WORKERS
REPORTED DENTS IN VEHICLES.


&&

$$

HAMRICK

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KMSO [292136]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 292136
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
334 PM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY SNOW REXFORD 48.90N 115.17W
03/29/2008 M8.0 INCH LINCOLN MT TRAINED SPOTTER

1000 AM HEAVY SNOW FORTINE 48.76N 114.90W
03/29/2008 M6.0 INCH LINCOLN MT TRAINED SPOTTER

0200 PM HEAVY SNOW CORAM 48.42N 114.04W
03/29/2008 M7.0 INCH FLATHEAD MT TRAINED SPOTTER

0200 PM HEAVY SNOW WEST GLACIER 48.50N 113.98W
03/29/2008 M9.0 INCH FLATHEAD MT TRAINED SPOTTER

0200 PM HEAVY SNOW 20 S POLEBRIDGE 48.48N 114.28W
03/29/2008 E12.0 INCH FLATHEAD MT PUBLIC

REPORT OF A FOOT OF NEW SNOW BETWEEN POLEBRIDGE AND WEST
GLACIER ON NORTH FORK ROAD.


&&

$$

FELSCH

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KPDT [292125]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 292125
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
224 PM PDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1145 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 S BLACK BUTTE RANCH 44.36N 121.65W
03/29/2008 E8.0 INCH DESCHUTES OR TRAINED SPOTTER

8 INCHES OF NEW SNOW FELL YESTERDAY.


&&

$$

DWEBER

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KCYS [292108]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 292108
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
307 PM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
03/29/2008 M58 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

0255 PM NON-TSTM WND GST DOUGLAS 42.76N 105.39W
03/29/2008 M54 MPH CONVERSE WY ASOS


&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KTFX [292058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 292058
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
258 PM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0144 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 7 W FAIRFIELD 47.62N 112.13W
03/29/2008 E50.00 MPH TETON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILTIES TO NEAR ZERO.

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST STANFORD 47.15N 110.22W
03/29/2008 E60.00 MPH JUDITH BASIN MT TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH

0235 PM HIGH SUST WINDS GREAT FALLS 47.50N 111.29W
03/29/2008 U0.00 MPH CASCADE MT NWS EMPLOYEE

HIGH WIND COUPLED WITH SNOW. WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO UNDER 200 FEET
AT TIMES. MULTIPLE CARS STRANDED NEAR INTERSTATE 15 EXIT
AT AIRPORT.


&&

$$

ACOHEN

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook Corr 1

ACUS01 KWNS 292041
SWODY1
SPC AC 292039

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0339 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

VALID 292000Z - 301200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER TX COASTAL PLAIN INTO SWRN LA...

CORRECTED TO REMOVE SPURIOUS POINT IN SLIGHT RISK LINE

..S CENTRAL CONUS FROM TX/SERN OK EWD INTO THE SOUTHEAST...
MODESTLY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS EXISTS ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES
S OF WEAKENING FRONT. SOMEWHAT MORE MOIST/UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
EXTENDS FROM SWRN LA INTO TX...WHERE DEWPOINTS NOW INTO THE MID 60S
BENEATH STEEPER LAPSE RATES ALOFT ARE YIELDING 1000 TO 1500 J/KG
MIXED-LAYER CAPE.

WEAK LOW-LEVEL FLOW BENEATH MODEST WLYS AT MID-LEVELS ARE RESULTING
IN LIMITED SHEAR ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA...THOUGH CAPE/SHEAR
COMBINATION ACROSS THE TX/LA PORTION OF THE THREAT AREA APPEARS TO
BE SUFFICIENT FOR MULTICELLULAR ORGANIZATION. THREAT FOR HAIL AND
LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS APPEARS GREATEST ACROSS THIS PORTION OF THE AREA
-- AND THUS WILL INTRODUCE A SLIGHT RISK THIS FORECAST.
ELSEWHERE...ONLY MARGINAL HAIL AND AN ISOLATED STRONGER GUST OR TWO
ARE ANTICIPATED -- WITH THE THREAT EXPECTED ATTM TO STAY BELOW
SLIGHT RISK/15% THRESHOLDS.

WHILE CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHEAST SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER
SUNSET...INCREASING LOW-LEVEL JET W OF THE MS VALLEY MAY SUPPORT A
CONTINUATION/NWD SPREAD OF CONVECTION OVERNIGHT OVER THIS PORTION OF
THE AREA...ALONG WITH A LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR MARGINAL HAIL WITH
ELEVATED STORMS.

.GOSS.. 03/29/2008

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KFFC [292032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 292032
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
432 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM HAIL 3 SW CHAPPEL 33.15N 84.13W
03/29/2008 E0.75 INCH LAMAR GA TRAINED SPOTTER

0350 PM HAIL 4 S DEVEREUX 33.16N 83.07W
03/29/2008 E0.75 INCH HANCOCK GA PUBLIC

OBSERVED AT BONNERS GROCERY


&&

$$

HANDEL

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KSGF [292028]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 292028
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
327 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0140 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 NE PONTIAC 36.56N 92.55W
03/29/2008 OZARK MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER FLOODING LOCUST ROAD 2 MILES NORTH OF HWY W.


&&

$$

RKARDELL

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0498

ACUS11 KWNS 292027
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292026
SDZ000-NEZ000-292300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0498
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0326 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN SD AND NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 292026Z - 292300Z

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO FORM SOON ACROSS W CNTRL SD
INTO WRN NEB...BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY. A FEW STRONG WIND
GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH JUST AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT WHICH WAS SURGING SEWD ACROSS WRN SD AND NERN WY. AREAS
OF STRONG HEATING ARE OCCURRING WHICH WHEN COMBINED WITH COOL
TEMPERATURE PROFILES ALOFT IS RESULTING IN A WEAKLY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT EVEN WITH DEWPOINT BARELY INTO THE 30S F. CONTINUED
HEATING...SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND LIFT WITH UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH
SHOULD RESULT IN INCREASED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS. A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER ALONG WITH AN INCREASING
PRESSURE RISE/FALL COUPLET NEAR THE COLD FRONT MAY RESULT IN STRONG
WIND GUSTS. VERY SMALL HAIL COULD ALSO OCCUR WITH THE STRONGEST
CELLS...ESPECIALLY THOSE INGESTING DEWPOINTS CLOSER TO 35 F.

.JEWELL.. 03/29/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ABR...LBF...UNR...CYS...

44590298 45280244 45780223 45890160 45889990 45409998
44360026 42470176 41530256 41240305 41060364 41260389
42250386 43180381 43740372

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KBMX [292019]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 292019
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
318 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0305 PM HAIL STEELE 33.93N 86.20W
03/29/2008 E0.25 INCH ST. CLAIR AL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

STEELE FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTS PEA SIZE HAIL IN TOWN AND
AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS ON TOWNS PERIMETER.


&&

$$

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0497

ACUS11 KWNS 292014
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292014
LAZ000-TXZ000-292215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0497
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0314 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SE TX...SW LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 292014Z - 292215Z

SCATTERED STORMS...INCLUDING ISOLATED SUPERCELLS...MAY FORM BETWEEN
NOW AND 29/23Z-30/00Z. IT IS NOT CERTAIN THAT A WW WILL BE
REQUIRED...BUT TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED.

DESPITE A TENDENCY TOWARD WARMING AT MID-LEVELS...LATEST RUC
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT INHIBITION FOR MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER PARCELS
HAS BECOME NEGLIGIBLE INLAND OF THE UPPER TEXAS/SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA COASTAL PLAIN. MIXED LAYER CAPE IS NOW ON THE ORDER OF
1000-1500 J/KG...AND SUPPORTIVE OF VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS IN AN
ENVIRONMENT WITH THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES CHARACTERIZED STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND SUBSTANTIAL CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY. MID-LEVEL FORCING FOR
STORMS BENEATH A LOW AMPLITUDE RIDGE IS A BIT UNCERTAIN...BUT THE
LEFT EXIT REGION OF AN APPROACHING HIGH-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL JET STREAK
COULD ENHANCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORM DEVELOPMENT. THIS MAY
ALREADY BE SLOWLY UNDERWAY...IN THE PRESENCE OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR
WHICH SHOULD REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY STRONG FOR SUPERCELLS INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS.

.KERR.. 03/29/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...

28739663 28849708 29479709 30369652 31449547 31609477
31349365 30569271 30099306 30019385 29589504

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KOTX [292010]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KOTX 292010
LSROTX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
110 PM PDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 PM HEAVY SNOW 6 NE INCHELIUM 48.40N 118.15W
03/28/2008 M8.0 INCH STEVENS WA TRAINED SPOTTER

FERRY 9 - ELEV 2350 FT

0910 PM HEAVY SNOW 6 NE HUNTERS 48.18N 118.11W
03/28/2008 M6.5 INCH STEVENS WA TRAINED SPOTTER

STEVENS 1 - ELEV 2200 FT

1015 PM HEAVY SNOW BLANCHARD 48.02N 116.98W
03/28/2008 M4.0 INCH BONNER ID TRAINED SPOTTER

BONNER 38 - ELEV 2200 FT

1048 PM HEAVY SNOW 5 N SANDPOINT 48.35N 116.56W
03/28/2008 M5.0 INCH BONNER ID TRAINED SPOTTER

BONNER 22 - ELEV 2232

0435 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 S PRIEST RIVER 48.10N 116.91W
03/28/2008 M8.0 INCH BONNER ID TRAINED SPOTTER

BONNER 36 - ELEV 2930

0600 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 SW OMAK 48.39N 119.56W
03/28/2008 M4.0 INCH OKANOGAN WA TRAINED SPOTTER

OKANOGAN 50 - ELEV 1200 FT

0600 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 N HAUSER 47.81N 117.01W
03/28/2008 M12.5 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER

KOOTENAI 65 - ELEV 2600 FT

0650 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 N BREWSTER 48.18N 119.78W
03/28/2008 M6.0 INCH OKANOGAN WA TRAINED SPOTTER

OKANOGAN 10 - ELEV 1300 FT

0715 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 E SPIRIT LAKE 47.97N 116.81W
03/28/2008 M18.0 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER

KOOTENAI 27H - ELEV 2550 FT

0730 AM HEAVY SNOW 4 E ATHOL 47.95N 116.62W
03/28/2008 M8.0 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER

KOOTENAI 100H - ELEV 2420

0735 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 N COEUR D'ALENE 47.77N 116.79W
03/28/2008 M12.0 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER

KOOTENAI 24 - ELEV 2500 FT

0742 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 NW SPOKANE 47.73N 117.51W
03/28/2008 E4.0 INCH SPOKANE WA NWS EMPLOYEE

0745 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 NW DEER PARK 48.01N 117.51W
03/28/2008 M8.0 INCH SPOKANE WA NWS EMPLOYEE

0752 AM HEAVY SNOW BLANCHARD 48.02N 116.98W
03/28/2008 M10.0 INCH BONNER ID TRAINED SPOTTER

BONNER 38 - ELEV 2200 FT

0758 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 N MILLWOOD 47.73N 117.28W
03/28/2008 M4.0 INCH SPOKANE WA TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOKANE 4H - ELEV 1987 FT

0803 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 N COEUR D'ALENE 47.71N 116.79W
03/28/2008 M4.0 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER

KOOTENAI 72 - ELEV 2300 FT

0748 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 SSW HAYDEN 47.73N 116.80W
03/28/2008 M9.6 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER

KOOTENAI 76 - ELEV 2290 FT

0823 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 NW SPOKANE 47.70N 117.46W
03/28/2008 M4.8 INCH SPOKANE WA NWS EMPLOYEE

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW 10 E SPOKANE 47.67N 117.20W
03/28/2008 M5.0 INCH SPOKANE WA NWS EMPLOYEE

0800 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 E POST FALLS 47.71N 116.88W
03/28/2008 M6.0 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER

KOOTENAI 79 - ELEV 2200 FT

0905 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 ENE ATHOL 47.96N 116.67W
03/28/2008 M10.0 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER

KOOTENAI 17 - ELEV 2445 FT

0910 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 SW HAYDEN 47.74N 116.82W
03/28/2008 M7.7 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER

KOOTENAI 112 - ELEV 2250 FT

0915 AM HEAVY SNOW COLVILLE 48.54N 117.89W
03/28/2008 M4.0 INCH STEVENS WA TRAINED SPOTTER

STEVENS 47 - ELEV 1557 FT

0915 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 W ATHOL 47.95N 116.73W
03/28/2008 M8.0 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER

KOOTENAI 82 - ELEV 2500 FT

0730 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 SW COEUR D'ALENE 47.69N 116.80W
03/28/2008 M9.5 INCH KOOTENAI ID CO-OP OBSERVER

0925 AM HEAVY SNOW 8 NE ROCKFORD 47.53N 117.01W
03/28/2008 M8.0 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOKANE 133 - ELEV 3000 FT

1011 AM HEAVY SNOW RATHDRUM 47.81N 116.89W
03/28/2008 M12.8 INCH KOOTENAI ID PUBLIC

1020 AM HEAVY SNOW 4 NE LOON LAKE 48.10N 117.56W
03/28/2008 M8.5 INCH STEVENS WA TRAINED SPOTTER

STEVENS 45 - ELEV 2544 FT

1030 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 W SPOKANE 47.67N 117.52W
03/28/2008 M4.5 INCH SPOKANE WA TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOKANE 115 - ELEV 2388 FT

1050 AM HEAVY SNOW ST. MARIES 47.31N 116.57W
03/28/2008 M8.0 INCH BENEWAH ID TRAINED SPOTTER

BENEWAH 15 - ELEV 2280

1205 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 NNE MEAD 47.79N 117.34W
03/28/2008 M5.5 INCH SPOKANE WA TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOKANE 36 - ELEV 1879


&&

$$

VBALLARD

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 291959
SWODY1
SPC AC 291956

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0256 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

VALID 292000Z - 301200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER TX COASTAL PLAIN INTO SWRN LA...

..S CENTRAL CONUS FROM TX/SERN OK EWD INTO THE SOUTHEAST...
MODESTLY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS EXISTS ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES
S OF WEAKENING FRONT. SOMEWHAT MORE MOIST/UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
EXTENDS FROM SWRN LA INTO TX...WHERE DEWPOINTS NOW INTO THE MID 60S
BENEATH STEEPER LAPSE RATES ALOFT ARE YIELDING 1000 TO 1500 J/KG
MIXED-LAYER CAPE.

WEAK LOW-LEVEL FLOW BENEATH MODEST WLYS AT MID-LEVELS ARE RESULTING
IN LIMITED SHEAR ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA...THOUGH CAPE/SHEAR
COMBINATION ACROSS THE TX/LA PORTION OF THE THREAT AREA APPEARS TO
BE SUFFICIENT FOR MULTICELLULAR ORGANIZATION. THREAT FOR HAIL AND
LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS APPEARS GREATEST ACROSS THIS PORTION OF THE AREA
-- AND THUS WILL INTRODUCE A SLIGHT RISK THIS FORECAST.
ELSEWHERE...ONLY MARGINAL HAIL AND AN ISOLATED STRONGER GUST OR TWO
ARE ANTICIPATED -- WITH THE THREAT EXPECTED ATTM TO STAY BELOW
SLIGHT RISK/15% THRESHOLDS.

WHILE CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHEAST SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER
SUNSET...INCREASING LOW-LEVEL JET W OF THE MS VALLEY MAY SUPPORT A
CONTINUATION/NWD SPREAD OF CONVECTION OVERNIGHT OVER THIS PORTION OF
THE AREA...ALONG WITH A LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR MARGINAL HAIL WITH
ELEVATED STORMS.

.GOSS.. 03/29/2008

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KCYS [291946]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291946
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
146 PM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 W MEDICINE BOW 41.91N 106.38W
03/29/2008 M27 MPH CARBON WY MESONET

0130 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.21W
03/29/2008 M36 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

1245 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ESTERBROOK 42.41N 105.36W
03/29/2008 M45 MPH CONVERSE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

0115 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
03/29/2008 M63 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS


&&

$$

DDEAL

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KCYS [291826]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291826
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1226 PM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1155 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
03/29/2008 M66 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

1154 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ESTERBROOK 42.41N 105.36W
03/29/2008 M51 MPH CONVERSE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

1101 AM NON-TSTM WND GST DEER CREEK 42.83N 105.78W
03/29/2008 M47 MPH CONVERSE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

1153 AM NON-TSTM WND GST DOUGLAS 42.76N 105.39W
03/29/2008 M47 MPH CONVERSE WY ASOS


&&

$$

DDEAL

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KSEW [291819]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 291819
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1118 AM PDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1115 AM SNOW 1 NE CAMANO 48.18N 122.51W
03/29/2008 M4.0 INCH ISLAND WA PUBLIC

4 INCHES OF SNOW SINCE 6 AM. ELEVATION 461 FT ON NORTH
END OF CAMANO ISLAND, TEMP 32. LESS ACCUMULATED SNOWFALL
AT SEA LEVEL.


&&

$$

DDAMICO

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KCYS [291742]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291742
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1142 AM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1054 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ESTERBROOK 42.41N 105.36W
03/29/2008 M51 MPH CONVERSE WY MESONET


&&

$$

DDEAL

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KCYS [291740]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291740
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1139 AM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1125 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
03/29/2008 M65 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS


&&

$$

DDEAL

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 291727
SWODY2
SPC AC 291725

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

VALID 301200Z - 311200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM WRN OK AND VICINITY NEWD
INTO NRN MO AND ADJACENT AREAS...

..SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE/AMPLIFYING UPPER PATTERN IS ANTICIPATED DAY 2...AS LARGE
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WRN U.S. DIGS/MOVES SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE
ROCKIES/TOWARD THE PLAINS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

AT THE SURFACE...SLY FLOW IS FORECAST ACROSS THE S CENTRAL CONUS AND
INTO THE MID MS VALLEY REGION...S OF A BAROCLINIC ZONE EXPECTED TO
EXTEND FROM THE TX/OK PANHANDLES/SRN KS EWD ACROSS MO INTO IL.
ALONG THIS BOUNDARY...A LEE LOW IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST...WHICH
SHOULD EVENTUALLY SHIFT ENEWD ALONG THE BOUNDARY ACROSS NRN OK AND
INTO ERN KS BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.

..PARTS OF OK/ERN KS/MO AND VICINITY...
A WARMING/MOISTENING BOUNDARY LAYER IS FORECAST THROUGH THE FIRST
HALF OF THE PERIOD...AS PERSISTENT SLY FLOW PREVAILS ACROSS THE S
CENTRAL CONUS AHEAD OF WRN UPPER TROUGH. WHILE STEEP LAPSE RATES
ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELEVATED MIXED LAYER WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO
OVERSPREAD THIS REGION FROM THE W/SW...ASSOCIATED CAPPING INVERSION
SHOULD SUPPRESS ANY WARM SECTOR STORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH MOST OF
THE AFTERNOON.

BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...A FEW ISOLATED STORMS MAY DEVELOP
ACROSS ERN PORTIONS OF THE TX/OK PANHANDLES OR ADJACENT WRN
OK...WHERE DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S BENEATH STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT
SHOULD RESULT IN MODERATE INSTABILITY /1500 TO 2000 J/KG MIXED-LAYER
CAPE/. MORE WIDESPREAD DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED LATER IN THE EVENING
NEAR AND N OF SURFACE BOUNDARY...AS LOW-LEVEL JET INTENSIFIES. THIS
DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE PRIMARILY DRIVEN BY INCREASING LOW-LEVEL WARM
ADVECTION IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE ONSET OF MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS
AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING TROUGH.

WITH MODERATE /NEAR 40 KT/ WSWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW FORECAST TO PERSIST
FROM AFTERNOON ONWARD...INCREASINGLY-FAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR FOR
SUPERCELLS IS FORECAST AS SSWLY LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON -- AND PARTICULARLY AFTER SUNSET. GIVEN DEGREE OF
INSTABILITY EXPECTED...LARGE HAIL WILL BE LIKELY -- PARTICULARLY
WITHIN A ZONE FROM SWRN OK NEWD ACROSS S CENTRAL AND SERN KS.
LOCALLY-DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...AS WILL A FEW
TORNADOES -- PARTICULARLY DURING THE EVENING AS LOW-LEVEL JET
STRENGTHENS INCREASING THE DEGREE OF LOW-LEVEL SHEAR.

SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD NEWD OVERNIGHT IN CONJUNCTION
WITH STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL JET AND A NEWD SHIFT OF THE STRONGER
WARM ADVECTION INTO THE MIDDLE MO VALLEY REGION. WITH A TENDENCY
FOR MORE ELEVATED CONVECTION WITH NEWD EXTENT...PRIMARY THREAT
ACROSS THIS REGION SHOULD BE HAIL.

.GOSS.. 03/29/2008

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0495

ACUS11 KWNS 291710
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291709
SCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-291915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0495
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1209 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL GA INTO SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 291709Z - 291915Z

STORM COVERAGE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH 21-22Z. SEVERE
POTENTIAL APPEARS GENERALLY LOW...BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.

SURFACE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD INTRUSION TO THE LEE OF THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A GRADUAL
SOUTHWESTWARD ADVANCEMENT THIS AFTERNOON. AND...FORCING IN
CONFLUENT LOW-LEVEL FLOW NEAR THIS BOUNDARY LIKELY WILL SUPPORT
INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...ROUGHLY ALONG AN AXIS FROM
NEAR/SOUTH OF ATLANTA INTO AREAS SOUTH/WEST OF CHARLESTON SC.
DEEPENING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS ALREADY UNDERWAY ACROSS THIS
REGION...WHERE RELATIVELY STRONG HEATING IS CONTRIBUTING TO
STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE APPEARS A
BIT MARGINAL FOR VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS...ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING THE
RELATIVELY WEAKNESS OF MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. AND...WEAK DEEP LAYER
FLOW/SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO MINIMIZE THE SEVERE THREAT. BUT...20-30
KT EAST SOUTHEASTERLY STORM MOTIONS...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT EVAPORATIVE COOLING ASSOCIATED WITH SIZABLE SUB-CLOUD
BASE TEMPERATURE/DEW POINTS SPREADS...COULD CONTRIBUTE TO LOCALLY
STRONG WIND GUSTS.

.KERR.. 03/29/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...FFC...BMX...

32948558 33458526 33888493 34128423 33848324 33738192
33428103 33108020 32408042 32118122 32258226 32328391
32358405

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0494

ACUS11 KWNS 291634
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291633
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-291830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0494
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1133 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN TX...LA...MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 291633Z - 291830Z

A GRADUAL INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY APPEARS PROBABLE THROUGH
MID AFTERNOON AND BEYOND. ALTHOUGH ISOLATED CELLS COULD APPROACH OR
BRIEFLY EXCEED SEVERE CRITERIA...SEVERE POTENTIAL GENERALLY APPEARS
LOW. HOWEVER...TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.

AN IMPULSE EMANATING FROM A WEAK SUBTROPICAL BELT OF WESTERLIES
CONTINUES TO SLOWLY PROGRESS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
THIS IS ACCOMPANIED BY A DISCERNIBLE LOW/MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION
..WHICH IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT OUT OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...NEAR THE
INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR...THROUGH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI BETWEEN NOW AND
20-21Z. ASSOCIATED FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTRIBUTE TO CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...AS A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER
ACROSS UPPER TEXAS COASTAL AREAS...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND
MISSISSIPPI WARMS WITH DAYTIME HEATING.

DEVELOPMENT WILL PROBABLY NOT BE PARTICULARLY RAPID...BUT MIXED
LAYER CAPE INCREASING TO AROUND 1000 J/KG BY 19-21Z SHOULD BECOME
SUPPORTIVE OF STEADILY INTENSIFYING STORMS. A STALLED SURFACE FRONT
MAY PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR ACTIVITY...BOTH AHEAD OF THE CYCLONIC
VORTICITY CENTER...NEAR/EAST AND SOUTH OF JACKSON MS...AND IN THE
LOW/MID-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION REGIME TO ITS WAKE...NEAR/WEST AND
NORTH OF ALEXANDRIA LA.

LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS ACROSS THIS REGION ARE WEAK...BUT 30-40 KT
WESTERLY 500 MB FLOW...AND MODERATELY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
COULD SUPPORT A FEW RELATIVELY SHORT-LIVED STRONGER CELLS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HAIL/LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS NEAR SEVERE LIMITS.
OTHERWISE...SEASONABLY HIGH MOISTURE LEVELS...WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES IN EXCESS OF 1.5 INCHES...MAY SUPPORT LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IN SLOW MOVING/TRAINING STORM CLUSTERS LATER THIS
AFTERNOON.

.KERR.. 03/29/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

32419445 32389330 31969246 31989167 32509075 33138990
32948861 31918832 31018891 30719000 30439102 30349206
30769339 30929408 31659472 32139481

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 291620
SWODY1
SPC AC 291617

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1117 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

VALID 291630Z - 301200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

UPPER PATTERN REMAINS GENERALLY UNCHANGED TODAY WITH ZONAL TO
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION...WHILE A COLD UPPER
TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHWEST STATES. A BROAD AREA OF
MARGINALLY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR IS PRESENT FROM TX ACROSS THE GULF
COAST STATES AND TN VALLEY. THIS REGION WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE AT
LEAST ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW OF THEM MAY
BE CAPABLE OF HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IN
DEFINING AN AREA OF GREATER THREAT IS NOT VERY HIGH AT THIS TIME.

..TX...
MORNING WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW A WEAK UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING
ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO INTO SOUTH TX. THIS FEATURE WILL RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD BUT WEAK LARGE SCALE UVVS OVER SOUTH/SOUTHEAST TX LATER
TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. MODELS DIFFER ON TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF
CONVECTION OVER THIS AREA AS WARM FRONT DRIFTS NORTHWARD. IT
APPEARS LIKELY THAT ONE OR TWO CLUSTERS OF STRONG STORMS WILL FORM
THIS AFTERNOON NEAR BOUNDARY AND TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS REGION.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW WEAK BUT SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR A
RISK OF HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS IN STRONGER CELLS. THIS AREA WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE UPGRADE TO SLIGHT RISK THIS
AFTERNOON IF LOCATION OF GREATER THREAT CAN BE DETERMINED.

..LA/MS/AL...
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS REMNANT CONVECTIVE VORTICITY CENTER
OVER NORTHEAST LA. THIS FEATURE WILL TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS PARTS OF
MS/AL THIS TODAY. CLEARING SKIES AHEAD OF SYSTEM WILL HELP
DESTABILIZE REGION AND POSE A RISK OF THUNDERSTORM RE-DEVELOPMENT.
ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
BE POSSIBLE. PLEASE REFER TO UPCOMING MCD FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.HART/JEWELL.. 03/29/2008

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KBOI [291542]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOI 291542
LSRBOI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
942 AM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0741 AM SNOW 2 N PINE 43.50N 115.32W
03/29/2008 M2.0 INCH ELMORE ID TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED 2 INCHES OF NEW SNOWFALL.

0743 AM SNOW 2 ENE COUNCIL 44.74N 116.39W
03/29/2008 M6.5 INCH ADAMS ID TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED 6.5 NEW INCHES OF SNOWFALL.

0818 AM SNOW 7 NW MCCALL 44.99N 116.21W
03/29/2008 M8.0 INCH ADAMS ID PUBLIC

BRUNDAGE SKI RESORT WEB CAM REPORTED 8 NEW INCHES OF
SNOWFALL FROM 3 PM MDT UNTIL 1 AM MDT ON 3/28/08 AND
3/29/08.

0821 AM SNOW 22 NW BAKER 45.00N 118.15W
03/29/2008 E8.0 INCH BAKER OR PUBLIC

AT 5 AM PDT ANTHONY LAKES SKI RESORT WEB CAM REPORTED A
24 HOUR SNOW TOTAL OF 8 INCHES.

0912 AM SNOW 4 N YELLOW PINE 44.96N 115.49W
03/29/2008 M4.0 INCH VALLEY ID TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURED 4 NEW INCHES OF SNOWFALL WITH 24
INCHES OF SNOW DEPTH.


&&

$$

SLEWIS

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KPIH [291535]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 291535
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO/IDAHO FALLS ID
935 AM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 10 W GALENA 43.90N 114.84W
03/29/2008 M5.0 INCH BLAINE ID TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL THAT ENDED AROUND MIDNIGHT.

0700 AM SNOW WNW GALENA 43.87N 114.66W
03/29/2008 E5.0 INCH BLAINE ID TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL ENDING AROUND MIDNIGHT. CURRENT WINDS 30KTS
SUSTAINED.

0700 AM SNOW 1 N ISLAND PARK 44.58N 111.34W
03/29/2008 M4.0 INCH FREMONT ID TRAINED SPOTTER

NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT 7AM.


&&

$$

PANGEL

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KTFX [291401]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 291401
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
801 AM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM HEAVY SNOW 16 SSW RUDYARD 48.35N 110.69W
03/29/2008 M4.0 INCH HILL MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED 4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW SO FAR OVERNIGHT.
NORTHEAST WINDS OF AROUND 30 MPH ALSO CAUSING VISIBILITY
OF 1/4 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN BLOWING SNOW. STILL
SNOWING HEAVILY NOW.


&&

$$

COULSTON

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KTFX [291400]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 291400
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
800 AM MDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM HEAVY SNOW 16 SSW RUDYARD 48.35N 110.69W
03/29/2008 M4.0 INCH HILL MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED 4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW SO FAR OVERNIGHT.
NORTHEAST WINDS OF AROUND 30 MPH ALSO CAUSING VISIBILITY
OF 1/4 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN BLOWING SNOW.


&&

$$

COULSTON

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KGSP [291400]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 291400
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
959 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0936 AM HAIL 3 WSW LAKE TOXAWAY 35.11N 82.98W
03/29/2008 E0.25 INCH TRANSYLVANIA NC TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZE HAIL COVERING GROUND


&&

$$

PTANNER

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KGSP [291358]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 291358
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
958 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0925 AM HAIL 1 E CASHIERS 35.11N 83.08W
03/29/2008 E0.25 INCH JACKSON NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

PEA SIZE HAIL COVERING GROUND


&&

$$

PTANNER

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KOTX [291330]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KOTX 291330
LSROTX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
630 AM PDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 SSE PRIEST RIVER 48.10N 116.88W
03/29/2008 E7.5 INCH BONNER ID TRAINED SPOTTER

7 TO 8 INCHES STORM TOTAL. 2930 FT ELEVATION.

0600 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 NNW HAUSER 47.80N 117.04W
03/29/2008 E8.0 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL. ELEVATION 2600 FEET.


&&

$$

GKOCH

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 291252
SWODY1
SPC AC 291248

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

VALID 291300Z - 301200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..TX/ERN OK TO AL THROUGH TONIGHT...
A MESSY SITUATION IS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE NW
GULF COAST TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY REGION. A DIFFUSE SRN STREAM
PERSISTS FROM NRN MEXICO ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES...WITH SUBTLE
EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVING EWD/ENEWD OVER E TX AND OVER NW
MEXICO. THE E TX TROUGH IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOOSE CLUSTER OF
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE ARKLATEX...WHERE STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT OCCASIONAL HAIL NEAR SEVERE
LEVELS THIS MORNING.

FARTHER S...THE SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE APPEARS TO HAVE STALLED FROM
S CENTRAL INTO SE TX...THEN EWD ACROSS CENTRAL LA/MS/AL. THIS
BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY DRIFT NWD AS A WARM FRONT LATER
TODAY...ALLOWING THE MARITIME AIR MASS TO SPREAD SLOWLY NWD ACROSS
CENTRAL/E TX AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY THROUGH TONIGHT. THE BOUNDARY
SHOULD PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT DURING
THE DAY...ALONG WITH THE WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGH MOVING EWD FROM TX TO
LA/MS. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND RELATIVELY WEAK LOW-MID LEVEL
VERTICAL SHEAR FROM LA EWD TO AL SUGGEST THAT MULTICELL STORMS WITH
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
CONCERNS.

12Z SOUNDINGS FROM LCH/CRP/BRO SHOW COOLING IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER
SINCE 00Z...AND IT APPEARS THAT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE
MORE PROBABLE TODAY ACROSS TX COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. BOUNDARY LAYER
DEWPOINTS OF 67-70 F...7-8 C/KM MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND A LITTLE
STRONGER DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR /COMPARED TO AREAS FARTHER E/ MAY
SUPPORT A FEW STORMS WITH MARGINAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. AS WITH
AREAS FARTHER E...ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING GUSTS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY SEVERE STORM THREATS. OVERNIGHT...THE THREAT FOR ELEVATED
CONVECTION WILL INCREASE OVER ERN OK/WRN AR IN CONJUNCTION WITH A
STRENGTHENING LLJ AND WAA. MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL COULD OCCUR WITH
THIS CONVECTION. THE COMPLICATED AND MARGINAL NATURE OF THE OVERALL
WEATHER SCENARIO CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A RELATIVELY BROAD AREA OF LOW
HAIL/WIND PROBABILITIES...AS OPPOSED TO TRYING TO DELINEATE A SLIGHT
RISK AREA AT THIS TIME.

.THOMPSON/SMITH.. 03/29/2008

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KSHV [291244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 291244
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
744 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0742 AM HAIL BETHEL 34.35N 94.85W
03/29/2008 E1.00 INCH MCCURTAIN OK PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZED HAIL COVERING THE GROUND IN BETHEL


&&

$$

15

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KFWD [290915]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 290915
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
415 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0414 AM HAIL SULPHUR SPRINGS 33.14N 95.61W
03/29/2008 E1.75 INCH HOPKINS TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

IN SULPHUR SPINGS

$$

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 290904
SWOD48
SPC AC 290903

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0403 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

VALID 011200Z - 061200Z

..PLAINS REGION AND MS VALLEY...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT EARLY IN THE DAY 4
TO 8 PERIOD MOVING AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE MS VALLEY QUICKLY
ENEWD ACROSS THE NERN US TUESDAY NIGHT /DAY 4/. ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH IS FORECAST BY THE ECMWF AND GFS TO DEVELOP IN THE WRN STATES
WEDNESDAY /DAY 5/ WITH A MID-LEVEL JET EJECTING EWD ACROSS THE SRN
PLAINS THURSDAY /DAY 6/. ALTHOUGH...THE MODELS ARE SLIGHTLY OUT OF
PHASE TIMING THE TROUGH INTO THE PLAINS...MOISTURE WILL HAVE AN
EXTENDED PERIOD TO RETURN AHEAD OF THE TROUGH SUGGESTING A LARGE
WARM SECTOR WILL BE IN PLACE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. IN
ADDITION...THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN FORECAST BY THE GFS/ECMWF SOLUTIONS
APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR A MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER EVENT. AT
THIS POINT...ENOUGH CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN THE CURRENT ECMWF SOLUTION
FOR A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT AREA FROM THE SRN PLAINS EXTENDING NEWD
INTO THE MS VALLEY.

.BROYLES.. 03/29/2008

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 290735
SWODY3
SPC AC 290733

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0233 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SRN
PLAINS...MID MS VALLEY AND LOWER OH VALLEY...

..OZARK PLATEAU/SRN PLAINS AND LOWER OH VALLEY...
MEDIUM RANGE MODEL FORECASTS CONTINUE TO BRING A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
SEWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND MID MS VALLEY REGION. A LARGE AREA OF
CONVECTION IS LIKELY TO BE ONGOING EARLY IN THE PERIOD FROM OK NEWD
ACROSS MO INTO IL. THIS WILL AFFECT DESTABILIZATION ACROSS PARTS OF
THE WARM SECTOR MONDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...SFC DEWPOINTS SHOULD BE
IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S F FROM NE TX NEWD INTO SW MO SUGGESTING
MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER A LARGE AREA BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WILL BE STRONG AS THE
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO THE PLAINS WHICH COMBINED WITH AN
UNCAPPED AIRMASS ACROSS MOST OF THE WARM SECTOR SHOULD PROMOTE
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FROM THE SRN PLAINS NEWD INTO
THE LOWER OH VALLEY.

CONCERNING THE SEVERE POTENTIAL...MODEL FORECASTS EJECT A 60 TO 70
KT MID-LEVEL JET EWD ACROSS THE PLAINS DURING THE DAY AND THIS
FEATURE WILL HELP TO CREATE STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ACROSS
THE REGION. THE STRONG SHEAR AND AMOUNT OF LARGE-SCALE ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SUGGESTS A SQUALL-LINE WILL
DEVELOP ALONG OR JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT FROM NRN MO SWWD INTO
SE KS BY LATE AFTERNOON. SUPERCELLS AND BOW ECHOES WILL BE POSSIBLE
EMBEDDED IN THE LINE WITH MORE DISCRETE SUPERCELLS POSSIBLE FURTHER
SOUTH ACROSS ERN OK AND WRN AR WHERE STORM COVERAGE MAY BE SLIGHTLY
LESS. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES SHOULD BE QUITE STRONG AND A TORNADO
THREAT APPEARS LIKELY TO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF THE SRN PLAINS AND
OZARK PLATEAU. IN ADDITION...THE WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL MAY BECOME
ENHANCED DURING THE EVENING DUE TO VEERING LOW-LEVEL WIND PROFILES
AS THE COLD FRONT ADVANCES SEWD. THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY FORECAST
ALSO SUGGESTS THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD AS THE SQUALL-LINE MOVES INTO THE ERN PART OF THE SLIGHT RISK
AREA.

.BROYLES.. 03/29/2008

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KPDT [290607]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS56 KPDT 290607
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
1106 PM PDT FRI MAR 28 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM SNOW 5 WSW LYLE 45.66N 121.37W
03/28/2008 E2.0 INCH WASCO OR TRAINED SPOTTER

2 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ACCUMULATED AT TIME OF OBSERVATION.
SNOW WAS ALSO OCCURRING ON I-84 BUT WAS NOT STICKING.

1200 PM SNOW 2 WNW WAMIC 45.23N 121.30W
03/28/2008 E2.5 INCH WASCO OR TRAINED SPOTTER

3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW SINCE 7 A.M. SNOW HAD STOPPED AT
TIME OF MEASUREMENT.

1245 PM SNOW 2 SSW CAMP SHERMAN 44.44N 121.65W
03/28/2008 E4.0 INCH JEFFERSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER

4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW SINCE 7 AM.

0100 PM SNOW WSW CAMP SHERMAN 44.46N 121.65W
03/28/2008 E5.0 INCH JEFFERSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER

5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW SINCE 730 AM.

0100 PM HEAVY SNOW 2 SW SISTERS 44.27N 121.59W
03/28/2008 E8.0 INCH DESCHUTES OR TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW WAS FALLING A HALF INCH AN HOUR AT THE TIME OF
OBSERVATION. TOTAL SNOWFALL SINCE 7 AM WAS 8 INCHES.

0145 PM SNOW ESE LA PINE 43.67N 121.50W
03/28/2008 E2.0 INCH DESCHUTES OR TRAINED SPOTTER

TWO INCHES OF NEW SNOW SINCE 8 AM WITH BLOWING SNOW LESS
THAN A QUARTER MILE VISIBLILTY AT THE TIME OF
OBSERVATION.

0400 PM HEAVY SNOW W CAMP SHERMAN 44.46N 121.65W
03/28/2008 E6.3 INCH JEFFERSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER

RECEIVED 6.3 INCHES SNOW SINCE 0730 AM. CURRENTLY SN+
VISIBILITY APPROX 100 YDS...TEMP 32 DEGREES.

0530 PM SNOW 3 NNE SISTERS 44.33N 121.54W
03/28/2008 M4.0 INCH DESCHUTES OR TRAINED SPOTTER

RECEIVED 4 INCHES SNOW IN PAST 8 HOURS. CURRENTLY SN+ AND
29 DEGREES. SNOW IS BLOWING AND DRIFTING.

0800 PM HEAVY SNOW 2 SSW CAMP SHERMAN 44.44N 121.65W
03/28/2008 M9.0 INCH JEFFERSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER

RECEIVED 9 INCHES SNOW IN 18 HOURS. CURRENTLY LIGHT SNOW.

&&

$$

AA

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 290559
SWODY2
SPC AC 290558

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

VALID 301200Z - 311200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS...CNTRL
PLAINS AND MID MO VALLEY...

..SRN PLAINS/CNTRL PLAINS/MID MO VALLEY...
MODEL FORECASTS CONTINUE WITH A PROGRESSIVE WRN US UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH A BROAD BAND OF SOUTHWEST
FLOW OVER THE CNTRL STATES. IN RESPONSE...A LOW-LEVEL JET WILL
STRENGTHEN SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS
INCREASING BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. AT THE
SFC...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING CONCERNING THE POSITION OF A
STATIONARY FRONT WHICH SHOULD BE LOCATED FROM NRN OK ENEWD ACROSS SE
KS INTO NRN MO BY LATE AFTERNOON SUNDAY. A STRONG CAPPING INVERSION
SHOULD KEEP SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION FROM DEVELOPING IN THE
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE CAP IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN BY EARLY EVENING
AND SEVERAL AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION SHOULD INITIATE ALONG THE
BOUNDARY WITH AN INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE DURING THE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT PERIOD. MCS DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS
OF THE PLAINS OR MID MS VALLEY REGIONS SUNDAY NIGHT.

THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN FOR THE LATER HALF OF THE DAY 2 PERIOD APPEARS
FAVORABLE FOR A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT ACROSS THE NRN PART
OF THE SRN PLAINS. MODEL FORECASTS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP A LARGE AREA
OF MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH INCREASING INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH TO THE WEST. THIS COMBINED WITH A STEADILY INCREASING
LOW-LEVEL JET DURING THE EVENING AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
SHOULD RESULT IN A FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC AND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT FOR
PERSISTENT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES. A FEW STRONG
AND/OR LONG-LIVED TORNADOES COULD OCCUR WITH PERSISTENT SUPERCELLS
THAT MOVE PARALLEL TO THE BOUNDARY. THE CORRIDOR FOR SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS MOST LIKELY TO SET UP FROM WRN AND CNTRL OK
NEWD INTO SE KS WITH THE THREAT INCREASING DURING THE EVENING AND
PERSISTENT INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

FURTHER NEWD ACROSS WRN AND NRN MO...LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE LESS DUE TO A LOCATION FURTHER AWAY FROM
THE WRN US UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS
ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE EVENING...STRONG LIFT ALONG THE JET
AXIS SHOULD RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF ELEVATED STORMS. MODERATE
VERTICAL SHEAR AND COLD MID-LEVEL TEMPS EVIDENT ON FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A SEVERE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER SHOULD DEVELOP DURING
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

.BROYLES.. 03/29/2008

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 290534
SWODY1
SPC AC 290531

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1231 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2008

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..TX COASTAL PLAINS TO THE CENTRAL GULF STATES...

LATE EVENING MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS CONVECTION ACROSS THE GULF
STATES WILL BE WEAKLY FORCED ALONG DECAYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS MASS
FIELDS BEGIN TO RESPOND TO LARGE SCALE TROUGHING ACROSS THE WRN U.S.
PRIOR TO SFC RIDGE BREAKING DOWN AND WEAKENING IT APPEARS
SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL EXIST ALONG AN AXIS FROM CNTRL
TX TO CNTRL MS FOR RENEWED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY. DEEP LAYER SHEAR
ACROSS THIS REGION WILL BE MARGINAL AT BEST WITH H5 FLOW ON THE
ORDER OF 20-35KT BETWEEN SPLIT FLOW REGIME. ADDITIONALLY...LAPSE
RATES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO SUPPORT PARTICULARLY ROBUST UPDRAFT
DEVELOPMENT WITH POCKETS OF SFC HEATING THE MOST LIKELY SOURCE OF
POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY FOR LOCALIZED MARGINALLY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.

..ELSEWHERE...

STRONG SFC HEATING WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF COLD FRONT OVER THE CNTRL
HIGH PLAINS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. DESPITE MARGINAL MOISTURE
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY SHOULD DEVELOP FOR SCATTERED HIGH BASED
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WIND SHIFT FROM THE NEB PANHANDLE INTO THE BLACK
HILLS DURING LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS.

ANOTHER POTENTIALLY CONCENTRATED ZONE OF CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP
ALONG LEADING EDGE OF WEDGE FRONT THAT WILL BUILD SWWD ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS INTO GA. LATEST THINKING IS BOUNDARY LAYER LAPSE RATES
WILL STEEPEN SUFFICIENTLY FOR CONVECTION ACROSS NRN FL INTO CNTRL
GA...ESPECIALLY IF SEA BREEZE INTERACTION CAN ENHANCE CONVERGENCE
NEAR THE FRONTAL ZONE. FORECAST INSTABILITY APPEARS TOO MEAGER TO
WARRANT PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

VERY COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL SPREAD INTO THE PACIFIC NW
NORTH OF STRONG JET. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE VERY STEEP LAPSE
RATES WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE WA/ORE COAST WHERE WLY FLOW SHOULD
FORCE MARITIME AIRMASS INLAND. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP
WITHIN POST FRONTAL REGIME ACROSS THIS REGION.

.DARROW/SMITH.. 03/29/2008

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KBMX [290430]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KBMX 290430
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1130 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0648 PM HAIL 5 N CORDOVA 33.84N 87.20W
03/28/2008 E0.75 INCH WALKER AL PUBLIC

PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 78 JUST SOUTHEAST
OF JASPER.

0656 PM HAIL SIPSEY 33.82N 87.08W
03/28/2008 E0.75 INCH WALKER AL BROADCAST MEDIA

PENNY SIZE HAIL WAS OBSERVED IN AND AROUND THE SIPSEY
COMMUNITY. THE HAIL COVERED THE GROUND SEVERAL INCHES
DEEP. THE HAIL MAY HAVE BEEN LARGER BUT FELL IN MAINLY
RURAL LOCATIONS.

0705 PM HAIL 4 NE SIPSEY 33.86N 87.04W
03/28/2008 E0.75 INCH WALKER AL PUBLIC

PEA TO PENNY SIZE HAIL WAS OBSERVED JUST NORTHEAST OF THE
SIPSEY COMMUNITY.


&&

$$

LINHARES

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KOTX [290424]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KOTX 290424
LSROTX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
924 PM PDT FRI MAR 28 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 PM HEAVY SNOW 7 W INCHELIUM 48.34N 118.40W
03/28/2008 M8.0 INCH FERRY WA TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER FERRY 9, ELEVATION 2350 FT.

0910 PM HEAVY SNOW HUNTERS 48.12N 118.20W
03/28/2008 M6.5 INCH STEVENS WA TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER STEVENS 1, ELEVATION 2200 FT.


&&

$$

SSAVOY

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