KMQT [041322]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 041322
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
822 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0821 AM SNOW MOHAWK 47.30N 88.36W
12/04/2009 M3.0 INCH KEWEENAW MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL. 2.3 INCHES IN THE LAST 12 HOURS. 0.19
INCHES LIQUID EQUIVALENT. SNOW DEPTH 4 INCHES.

&&

$$

AJK

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 041301
SWODY1
SPC AC 041259

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0659 AM CST FRI DEC 04 2009

VALID 041300Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS REMAINS ON TRACK
TO PROGRESS EWD TODAY REACHING E TX BY LATE AFTERNOON AND THE
CENTRAL/ERN GULF COAST STATES BY 12Z SATURDAY. A BOUNDARY EXTENDING
FROM ALONG THE SERN FL COAST SWWD THROUGH THE FL KEYS IS EXPECTED TO
RETREAT NWD THROUGH SRN FL THIS FORECAST PERIOD...POTENTIALLY
EXTENDING FROM NEAR MLB TO S OF TPA LATER TONIGHT.

...SRN HALF OF THE FL PENINSULA...
SEVERAL WEAK IMPULSES EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SWLY FLOW REGIME WILL
ADVANCE ENEWD THROUGH THE GULF AND CNTRL/NRN FL TODAY. THESE
FEATURES WILL SERVE TO AUGMENT LIFT AND INCREASE CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL ALONG AND NORTH OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. THIS CONVECTION
IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT THE NWD RETREAT OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY...WITH
MODELS SUGGESTING THIS SURFACE FEATURE SHOULD STRETCH FROM NEAR VRB
TO THE SWRN FL COAST BY EARLY EVENING. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AND LOW
LEVEL SHEAR /NEAR THE SURFACE BOUNDARY/ WOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR
ORGANIZED STORMS INTO THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...EXTENSIVE AREA OF
CLOUDS MOVING ENEWD ACROSS FAR SRN FL THIS MORNING WILL LIMIT
SURFACE HEATING AND COUPLED WITH WEAK LAPSE RATES SHOULD RESULT IN
WEAK INSTABILITY. THIS SHOULD TEND TO LIMIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF MORE
ROBUST TSTMS AND OVERALL SEVERE THREAT THROUGH THE DAY.

THE STRONGER SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS
WILL MOVE EAST AND INDUCE WEAK CYCLOGENESIS ALONG THE BAROCLINIC
ZONE OVER THE NRN GULF...WITH ATTENDANT INCREASE IN SWLY LOW LEVEL
JET ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA. THESE PROCESSES WILL RESULT IN NWD
RETREAT OF THE WARM FRONT TOWARD CENTRAL FL OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MOST OF THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT TSTM
ACTIVITY SHOULD BE ELEVATED...AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR...ESPECIALLY IN VICINITY OF THE WARM
FRONT...SUPPORTS A NON-ZERO POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

..PETERS.. 12/04/2009

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KMQT [041255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 041255
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
755 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0745 AM SNOW 8 WSW ONTONAGON 46.82N 89.47W
12/04/2009 M10.0 INCH ONTONAGON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

LIGHT SNOW BEGAN JUST AFTER 6 PM. HEAVIEST SNOW FELL
BETWEEN 2 AM AND 7 AM. 0.45 INCHES LIQUID EQUIVALENT.
SNOW DEPTH 10 INCHES.

0745 AM SNOW 2 E REDRIDGE 47.15N 88.72W
12/04/2009 M6.0 INCH HOUGHTON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

12 HOUR TOTAL.

&&

$$

AJK

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KGRR [041251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 041251
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
751 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 AM SNOW COMSTOCK PARK 43.04N 85.67W
12/04/2009 E11.0 INCH KENT MI BROADCAST MEDIA

THIS IS THE STORM TOTAL

&&

$$

GWETZEL

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KGRR [041251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 041251
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
751 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0749 AM SNOW ALMA 43.38N 84.66W
12/04/2009 M2.0 INCH GRATIOT MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

&&

$$

GWETZEL

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KOKX [041251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KOKX 041251
LSROKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
751 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0142 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 WNW GARDEN CITY 40.74N 73.73W
12/03/2009 QUEENS NY EMERGENCY MNGR

DOWNED TREE ON ALL 3 LANES OF CROSS ISLAND EXPRESSWAY BY
THE GRAND CENTRAL PARKWAY

0439 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 SSE JAMAICA 40.67N 73.77W
12/03/2009 E0.00 INCH QUEENS NY EMERGENCY MNGR

ALL LANES CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING ON THE BELT PARKWAY BY
GUY R BREWER BOULEVARD.

0543 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 W FLUSHING 40.77N 73.89W
12/03/2009 E0.00 INCH QUEENS NY EMERGENCY MNGR

BROOKLYN QUEENS EXPRESSWAY CLOSED AT ASTORIA BOULEVARD
DUE TO FLOODING.

0550 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG ALPINE 40.96N 73.92W
12/03/2009 BERGEN NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE DOWN ACROSS ROUTE 9W

0644 AM TSTM WND DMG RIDGEWOOD 40.98N 74.11W
12/03/2009 BERGEN NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE TREE LIMB DOWN

0644 AM TSTM WND DMG FAIR LAWN 40.94N 74.12W
12/03/2009 BERGEN NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE DOWN BLOCKING DRIVEWAY

0700 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG OAKLAND 41.03N 74.24W
12/03/2009 BERGEN NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGE.

0707 AM TSTM WND DMG GOSHEN 41.40N 74.33W
12/03/2009 ORANGE NY TRAINED SPOTTER

NUMEROUS ELECTRIC/POWER PROBLEMS DUE TO DOWNED TREES ON
OVERHEAD WIRES.

0715 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG BAY SHORE 40.73N 73.25W
12/03/2009 SUFFOLK NY NWS EMPLOYEE

TELEPHONE POLE DOWN ON HIGHWAY. SUNRISE HIGHWAY AND
BRENTWOOD RD.

&&

$$

MSCALORA

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KLOT [041242]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 041242
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
641 AM CST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 AM SNOW 2 WSW ELK GROVE VILLAGE 41.99N 88.03W
12/04/2009 M0.2 INCH DUPAGE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL IN THE PAST 18 HOURS BY COCORAHS OBSERVER.

&&

$$

RODRIGUEZ

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KMKX [041235]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 041235
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
634 AM CST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0631 AM SNOW FRANKSVILLE 42.76N 87.91W
12/04/2009 M2.0 INCH RACINE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

FRANKS

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KGRR [041233]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 041233
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
733 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM SNOW TWIN LAKE 43.37N 86.17W
12/04/2009 M2.0 INCH MUSKEGON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

&&

$$

GWETZEL

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KGRR [041227]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 041227
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
726 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM SNOW 3 NW GRAND RAPIDS 42.99N 85.71W
12/04/2009 M10.0 INCH KENT MI COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL

0630 AM SNOW 3 W WALKER 43.00N 85.83W
12/04/2009 M13.5 INCH OTTAWA MI COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL

0630 AM SNOW SPARTA 43.16N 85.71W
12/04/2009 E9.0 INCH KENT MI BROADCAST MEDIA

PUBLIC REPORT VIA MEDIA

0700 AM SNOW EAST GRAND RAPIDS 42.94N 85.61W
12/04/2009 M8.9 INCH KENT MI TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0706 AM SNOW IONIA 42.98N 85.06W
12/04/2009 E5.5 INCH IONIA MI BROADCAST MEDIA

PUBLIC REPORT VIA MEDIA

0722 AM SNOW ALPINE 43.07N 85.68W
12/04/2009 M11.0 INCH KENT MI BROADCAST MEDIA

PUBLIC REPORT VIA MEDIA

&&

$$

GWETZEL

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KAPX [041223]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 041223 CCA
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
723 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM SNOW HARBOR SPRINGS 45.45N 84.99W
12/04/2009 E4.0 INCH EMMET MI PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER APX0900120

$$

JH

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KMQT [041221]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 041221
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
721 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0717 AM SNOW JACOBSVILLE 46.98N 88.41W
12/04/2009 M2.9 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL ENDING 7 AM. 0.10 INCHES LIQUID EQUIVALENT.
SNOW DEPTH 3 INCHES.

0717 AM SNOW MUNISING 46.41N 86.65W
12/04/2009 M3.0 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL ENDING 630 AM. 0.22 INCHES LIQUID
EQUIVALENT. SNOW DEPTH 2 INCHES.

0717 AM SNOW 10 S GRAND MARAIS 46.53N 85.98W
12/04/2009 M2.5 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL ENDING 6 AM. 0.09 INCHES LIQUID EQUIVALENT.
SNOW DEPTH 5 INCHES.

&&

$$

AJK

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KDVN [041213]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 041213
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
613 AM CST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 AM SNOW FREEPORT 42.29N 89.63W
12/04/2009 M1.0 INCH STEPHENSON IL TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL SINCE YESTERDAY. SNOW HAS STOPPED.

&&

$$

MIKEZ

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KMKX [041206]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 041206
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
606 AM CST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0605 AM SNOW BELMONT 42.74N 90.33W
12/04/2009 M2.8 INCH LAFAYETTE WI PUBLIC

&&

$$

SDAVIS

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KAPX [041148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 041148
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
648 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM SNOW 1 N HARBOR SPRINGS 45.45N 84.99W
12/04/2009 E4.0 INCH EMMET MI PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER APX0900120

$$

JH

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KGRR [041119]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 041119
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
619 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 AM SNOW 1 ENE GRAND RAPIDS 42.97N 85.66W
12/04/2009 M7.8 INCH KENT MI BROADCAST MEDIA

WOOD TV REPORTS TOTAL AT THE STATION.

&&

$$

GWETZEL

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KGRR [041108]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 041108
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
608 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM SNOW 1 E CUTLERVILLE 42.84N 85.64W
12/04/2009 M5.2 INCH KENT MI NWS EMPLOYEE

STORM TOTAL.

&&

$$

GWETZEL

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KGRR [041107]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 041107
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
607 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0601 AM SNOW ROCKFORD 43.12N 85.56W
12/04/2009 E9.5 INCH KENT MI BROADCAST MEDIA

PUBLIC REPORT VIA THE MEDIA.

0607 AM SNOW 9 E WHITE CLOUD 43.57N 85.59W
12/04/2009 M1.0 INCH NEWAYGO MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR COOP TOTAL.

&&

$$

GWETZEL

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KGRR [041046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 041046
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
545 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0541 AM SNOW ALLENDALE 42.97N 85.95W
12/04/2009 E11.5 INCH OTTAWA MI BROADCAST MEDIA

STORM TOTAL REPORTED VIA THE MEDIA

0541 AM SNOW DIMONDALE 42.65N 84.65W
12/04/2009 E0.7 INCH EATON MI BROADCAST MEDIA

STORM TOTAL REPORTED VIA MEDIA.

0530 AM SNOW OLIVE CENTER 42.91N 86.08W
12/04/2009 E6.7 INCH OTTAWA MI BROADCAST MEDIA

MEDIA REPORTED FROM THE PUBLIC.

0515 AM SNOW GRAND HAVEN 43.06N 86.22W
12/04/2009 E5.5 INCH OTTAWA MI PUBLIC

REPORTED VIA THE MEDIA.

0500 AM SNOW ST. JOHNS 43.00N 84.56W
12/04/2009 E1.5 INCH CLINTON MI BROADCAST MEDIA

MEDIA SENT PUBLIC REPORT.

&&

$$

GWETZEL

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KLOT [041035]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 041035
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
435 AM CST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 AM SNOW WOODSTOCK 42.31N 88.44W
12/04/2009 M2.0 INCH MCHENRY IL TRAINED SPOTTER

THIS IS THE SNOWFALL SINCE 130 AM CST.

&&

$$

BWILSON

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 040959
SWOD48
SPC AC 040958

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0358 AM CST FRI DEC 04 2009

VALID 071200Z - 121200Z

...PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW TO DELINEATE A SVR THREAT AREA...

04/00Z ECMWF AND GFS INDICATE THAT AN UPPER IMPULSE WILL STRENGTHEN
ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN U.S. EARLY NEXT WEEK...BEFORE ACCELERATING
THROUGH BROADLY CYCLONIC WEST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW TO THE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES. BOTH ARE SUGGESTIVE THAT THIS FEATURE WILL SUPPORT STRONG
SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES REGION BY MID WEEK. IF THIS SCENARIO COMES CLOSE TO
VERIFYING...UNDOUBTEDLY POTENTIAL FOR A SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK WILL
EXIST ANYWHERE FROM THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE ATLANTIC
SEABOARD. THIS WOULD SEEM TO BE MOST LIKELY FROM LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH HIGHEST
PROBABILITIES FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH THE EASTERN
GULF AND SOUTH ATLANTIC COAST STATES...GIVEN THE CURRENT STATE OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...RUN TO RUN VARIABILITY AMONG THE
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONCERNING THIS PATTERN EVOLUTION HAS BEEN
CONSIDERABLE. AND THIS INCONSISTENCY...COUPLED WITH THE LIKELIHOOD
THAT SUBSTANTIVE GULF OF MEXICO BOUNDARY LAYER MODIFICATION AND
MOISTURE RETURN WILL STILL BE IN THE PROCESS OF DEVELOPING EARLY IN
THE PERIOD...RESULT IN TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY TO CONFIDENTLY DELINEATE
A SEVERE THREAT AREA AT THE PRESENT TIME.

..KERR.. 12/04/2009

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KAPX [040917]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 040917
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
416 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0410 AM SNOW 2 ENE ELLSWORTH 45.18N 85.21W
12/04/2009 M6.1 INCH CHARLEVOIX MI CO-OP OBSERVER

9 HR TOTAL THRU 4 AM.

&&

EVENT NUMBER APX0900119

$$

JH

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KLOT [040837]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 040837
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
237 AM CST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0226 AM SNOW WOODSTOCK 42.31N 88.44W
12/04/2009 M1.0 INCH MCHENRY IL TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW ACCUMULATION SINCE 1 AM CST.

&&

$$

BWILSON

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 040745
SWODY3
SPC AC 040744

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0144 AM CST FRI DEC 04 2009

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
THE BLOCKING PATTERN DEVELOPING SATURDAY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN PACIFIC INTO WESTERN NORTH AMERICA IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE
LITTLE THROUGH SUNDAY. BROADLY CYCLONIC WEST SOUTHWESTERLY MID/
UPPER FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD...SOUTH OF A
DEVELOPING CLOSED LOW...OVER THE NORTHWESTERN STATES...THROUGH THE
ATLANTIC SEABOARD. WITHIN THIS REGIME...MODELS INDICATE AT LEAST A
COUPLE OF PERTURBATIONS WILL LIFT NORTHEAST OF THE CENTRAL/ SOUTHERN
ROCKIES AND NORTHERN MEXICAN PLATEAU REGION...ACCOMPANIED BY A
RETURN TO SOUTHERLY FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO PARTS OF THE
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN STATES. HOWEVER...IN THE WAKE OF THE
SIGNIFICANT PRIOR COLD INTRUSION...GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY INDICATIVE
THAT BOUNDARY LAYER MODIFICATION OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL NOT BE
SUPPORTIVE OF A SUBSTANTIVE RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE. POTENTIAL FOR
BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION OVER COASTAL WATERS AND INLAND OF
COASTAL AREAS APPEARS LOW TO NEGLIGIBLE SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT...LIKELY
PRECLUDING THE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS.

..KERR.. 12/04/2009

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KGRR [040736]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 040736
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
236 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0232 AM SNOW GRANDVILLE 42.91N 85.76W
12/04/2009 M6.0 INCH KENT MI NWS EMPLOYEE

STORM TOTAL SO FAR SINCE 6 PM. ONE INCH OF THAT FELL
BETWEEN 140 AM AND 220 AM.

&&

$$

MEADE

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KGRR [040727]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 040727
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
227 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 AM SNOW GRAND RAPIDS 42.96N 85.67W
12/04/2009 M5.6 INCH KENT MI BROADCAST MEDIA

STORM TOTAL. REPORT COURTESY OF WOOD TV.

0200 AM SNOW ALLENDALE 42.97N 85.95W
12/04/2009 M9.5 INCH OTTAWA MI PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL. MEASURED AT GRAND VALLEY STATE UNIVERSITY.

&&

$$

NJJ

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KGRR [040602]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 040602
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
102 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1255 AM SNOW 1 SE ALPINE 43.06N 85.67W
12/04/2009 M5.5 INCH KENT MI BROADCAST MEDIA

THIS IS SNOWFALL SINCE THURSDAY EVENING. ROADS ARE SNOW
COVERED AND SLIPPERY. REPORT IS GIVEN BY WXMI.

&&

$$

HOVING

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 040601
SWODY2
SPC AC 040600

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1200 AM CST FRI DEC 04 2009

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SAT ACROSS PARTS OF THE
CNTRL/SRN FLORIDA PENINSULA...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT A BLOCKING UPPER RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC/ALASKA/CANADIAN YUKON TERRITORY BETWEEN
NOW AND 12Z SUNDAY. AT THE SAME TIME...TO ITS SOUTHEAST...A COUPLE
OF SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE IMPULSES ARE PROGGED TO DIG ACROSS THE
CANADIAN ROCKIES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND GREAT BASIN. THIS
APPEARS LIKELY TO CONTRIBUTE TO A BROADENING OF THE AMPLIFIED
POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH NOW ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN U.S...WITH A TENDENCY FOR MID/UPPER FLOW TO TAKE ON A MORE
WEST SOUTHWESTERLY COMPONENT FROM THE WESTERN GULF STATES THROUGH
MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST. WITHIN THIS REGIME...GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT
A VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL LIFT INTO THE EASTERN GULF STATES
BY 12Z SATURDAY...BEFORE CONTINUING ACROSS THE MID/SOUTHERN ATLANTIC
COAST INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.

THE EVOLVING UPPER PATTERN APPEARS LIKELY TO SUPPORT A DEVELOPING
SURFACE WAVE ALONG A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT OFF SOUTH ATLANTIC
COASTAL AREAS...ALONG WITH WEAK TO MODERATE DESTABILIZATION ACROSS
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA PRIOR TO FRONTAL PROGRESSION OFF THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST AND SOUTH OF THE KEYS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE
ACCOMPANIED BY THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH COULD
BECOME SEVERE.

...FLORIDA PENINSULA...
THE QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL ZONE MAY RETREAT NORTHWARD TOWARD THE
CENTRAL PENINSULA BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY...PERHAPS AS FAR AS MELBOURNE
AND AREAS JUST TO THE SOUTH OF TAMPA/ST. PETERSBURG. WHILE STRONGER
LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SOUTHEASTERN TROUGH MAY ALREADY BE IN THE
PROCESS OF LIFTING TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION BY THIS
TIME...LARGE-SCALE FORCING COULD REMAIN SUFFICIENT GIVEN BOUNDARY
LAYER DESTABILIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH WARMING AND MOISTENING THROUGH
MID DAY TO SUPPORT A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS.

IF THIS OCCURS...THIS SEEMS MOST LIKELY TO MANIFEST ITSELF IN THE
FORM OF A SQUALL LINE OR CLUSTER MIGRATING INLAND OFF THE GULF OF
MEXICO ALONG OR JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH 40+ KT WESTERLY DEEP
LAYER MEAN FLOW CONTRIBUTING TO THE RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
HOWEVER...DEPENDING ON THE TIMING OF THE UPPER WAVE...AND ASSOCIATED
VEERING OF THE PRE-FRONTAL LOW-LEVEL FLOW FIELDS... LOW-LEVEL
HODOGRAPHS COULD MAINTAIN SUBSTANTIAL CLOCKWISE CURVATURE SUPPORTIVE
OF ENHANCED TORNADO POTENTIAL IN ANY DISCRETE PRE-FRONTAL STORMS
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL SEEMS LIKELY TO DIMINISH DURING THE MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS...PRIOR TO REACHING MIAMI AND ADJACENT SOUTHEAST
COASTAL AREAS...AS LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION
WEAKENS/LIFTS OFF TO THE NORTHEAST.

..KERR.. 12/04/2009

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 040545
SWODY1
SPC AC 040543

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1143 PM CST THU DEC 03 2009

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

LONGWAVE TROUGH FROM THE CNTRL U.S. THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES WILL
DOMINATE THE UPPER PATTERN OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY THIS
PERIOD. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED OVER NM WILL DROP SEWD THROUGH
THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND INTO THE SERN U.S. AND NRN GULF
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. THE QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT LOCATED NEAR THE SRN
TIP OF FL WILL BEGIN TO RETREAT NWD THROUGH SRN FL LATER FRIDAY INTO
THE OVERNIGHT.

...SRN FL PENINSULA...

SEVERAL WEAK IMPULSES EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SWLY FLOW REGIME WILL
ADVANCE ENEWD THROUGH THE GULF AND CNTRL/NRN FL DURING THE DAY.
THESE FEATURES WILL SERVE TO AUGMENT LIFT AND INCREASE CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE...PRIMARILY IN COOL SECTOR.
FRIDAY NIGHT...THE STRONGER SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER NM WILL
MOVE EAST AND INDUCE WEAK CYCLOGENESIS ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE
OVER THE NRN GULF...WITH ATTENDANT INCREASE IN SWLY LOW LEVEL JET
ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA. THESE PROCESSES WILL RESULT IN NWD RETREAT
OF THE WARM FRONT THROUGH SRN FL OVERNIGHT. ANY CONVECTION THAT
DEVELOPS IN SRN FL WARM SECTOR DURING THE DAY WILL REMAIN IN A
MARGINAL VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW SEVERE POTENTIAL.
HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT IN
THE VICINITY OF THE RETREATING WARM FRONT.

HAVE INTRODUCED LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES MAINLY FOR VERY LATE IN THE
PERIOD WHEN THE VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BECOME SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
ORGANIZED STORMS. HOWEVER...THE STRONGER ISENTROPIC LIFT ASSOCIATED
WITH DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL JET AND MOST CONVECTION WILL LIKELY REMAIN
CONFINED TO THE COOL SIDE OF BAROCLINIC ZONE. GIVEN WARM AIR ALOFT
AND WEAK FORCING...CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN WARM SECTOR WILL
PROBABLY BE LIMITED OVERNIGHT. THEREFORE...MORE THAN 5% SEVERE
PROBABILITIES DO NOT APPEAR WARRANTED AT THIS TIME.

..DIAL.. 12/04/2009

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KGRR [040545]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 040545
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1245 AM EST FRI DEC 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 AM SNOW ST. JOHNS 43.00N 84.56W
12/04/2009 M1.1 INCH CLINTON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL SINCE 6 PM THURSDAY EVENING.

&&

$$

NJJ

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