Tuesday, January 19, 2010

KHNX [200246]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 200246
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
646 PM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 6 W HANFORD 36.33N 119.75W
01/19/2010 KINGS CA PUBLIC


&&

$$

CB

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KHNX [200245]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 200245
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
645 PM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0640 PM HAIL MERCED 37.30N 120.48W
01/19/2010 E0.25 INCH MERCED CA TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER NEAR UC MERCED CAMPUS REPORTED
ACCUMULATING SMALL HAIL, FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VERY
HEAVY RAIN


&&

$$

JBRO

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KGJT [200233]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 200233
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
733 PM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM SNOW PAGOSA SPRINGS 37.27N 107.02W
01/19/2010 M8.0 INCH ARCHULETA CO AVALANCHE FCSTR


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000031

$$

TGJT

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KGJT [200158]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 200158
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
658 PM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM SNOW RED MTN 37.90N 107.70W
01/19/2010 M6.5 INCH OURAY CO AVALANCHE FCSTR

0.5 W.E.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000030

$$

TGJT

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KGJT [200157]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 200157
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
657 PM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM SNOW COAL BANK PASS 37.70N 107.78W
01/19/2010 M13.0 INCH SAN JUAN CO AVALANCHE FCSTR

1 W.E.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000029

$$

TGJT

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KGJT [200147]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 200147
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
647 PM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 PM SNOW VALLEY OF THE GODS 37.27N 109.93W
01/19/2010 M6.0 INCH SAN JUAN UT TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000028

$$

TGJT

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KSTO [200138]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 200138 CCA
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
532 PM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM HAIL VACAVILLE 38.36N 121.97W
01/19/2010 E0.75 INCH SOLANO CA NEWSPAPER

PENNY SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND TO A DEPTH OF 2
INCHES. NUMEROUS TRAFFIC ACIDENTS CAUSED BY HAIL FALL.


&&

$$

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KSTO [200132]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 200132
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
532 PM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0524 PM HAIL VACAVILLE 38.36N 121.97W
01/19/2010 E0.75 INCH SOLANO CA NEWSPAPER

PENNY SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND TO A DEPTH OF 2
INCHES. NUMEROUS TRAFFIC ACIDENTS CAUSED BY HAIL FALL.


&&

$$

N

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0016

ACUS11 KWNS 200129
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200128
NEZ000-200630-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0016
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0728 PM CST TUE JAN 19 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...S CNTRL INTO E CNTRL NEB

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN

VALID 200128Z - 200630Z

POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE
EVENING WITH HRLY RATES OF 0.01-0.05 INCHES.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS FREEZING LINE NEAR I-80 IN ERN NEB...TAILING
SWWD INTO S CNTRL NEB AND NWRN KS AS OF 01Z. THE FREEZING LINE WILL
REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE PERIOD.

PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND FROM NRN KS INTO NEB WITH LOW
LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW AND AS UPPER HEIGHT
FALLS/COOLING ALOFT CONTINUES...HELPING TO SATURATE THE COLUMN
THROUGH A DEEPER LAYER. BY 06Z...MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION WILL EXIST
ACROSS MOST OF SERN NEB...WITH AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN MAINLY N OF
I-80.

..JEWELL.. 01/20/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
SCHEDULED BASIS FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28...FOUR
TIMES A DAY...AROUND 00 UTC...06 UTC...12 UTC...AND 18 UTC
FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORT RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS.

ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...

LAT...LON 41169614 40669777 40299862 40669947 41559908 41919753
41749679 41169614

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KLOX [200120]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 200120
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
519 PM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 N VANDENBERG AFB 34.80N 120.52W
01/19/2010 M56.00 MPH SANTA BARBARA CA OTHER FEDERAL

SUSTAINED SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 26 MPH AT VANDENBURG
RAWS...ELEVATION 1050 FEET.

1012 AM TSTM WND GST 1 SSE PISMO BEACH 35.13N 120.62W
01/19/2010 E60.00 MPH SAN LUIS OBISPO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

RAIN RATES OF ONE INCH PER HOUR WITH THUNDERSTORM.

1153 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 NNE MOUNT WILSON 34.33N 118.03W
01/19/2010 M64.00 MPH LOS ANGELES CA OTHER FEDERAL

SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS AT 36 MPH AT CHILAO
RAWS...ELEVATION 5450 FEET.

1155 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NNE SAN FERNANDO 34.35N 118.42W
01/19/2010 M75.00 MPH LOS ANGELES CA OTHER FEDERAL

SUSTAINED WEST WINDS 35 MPH AT CAMP NINE RAWS...ELEVATION
4000 FEET.

1251 PM HEAVY RAIN SW AVALON 33.34N 118.33W
01/19/2010 M0.40 INCH LOS ANGELES CA TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL OCCURRED IN 15 MINUTES.

1255 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 ESE PALOS VERDES ESTA 33.77N 118.32W
01/19/2010 M2.46 INCH LOS ANGELES CA TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL OCCURRED IN 45 MINUTES.

0105 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 ENE LONG BEACH 33.81N 118.11W
01/19/2010 M1.50 INCH LOS ANGELES CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STREET FLOODING OCCURRING. RAINFALL AMOUNT OCCURRED IN 90
MINUTES.

0109 PM FLOOD 5 W LONG BEACH 33.79N 118.25W
01/19/2010 LOS ANGELES CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STREET FLOODING HAS CLOSED ENTRY TO PORT OF LOS ANGELES
AND STALLED CARS

0130 PM WATER SPOUT 10 S SAN PEDRO 33.61N 118.33W
01/19/2010 PZZ655 CA COAST GUARD


&&

$$

HALL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 200055
SWODY1
SPC AC 200054

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0654 PM CST TUE JAN 19 2010

VALID 200100Z - 201200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL CA...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS CURRENTLY ORIENTED NNW TO SSE PARALLELING
THE CA COAST EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
ONGOING JUST AHEAD OF THE TROUGH IN THE SACRAMENTO VALLEY WHERE
OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS LOCALLY MAXIMIZED INSTABILITY WITH MUCAPE
OF 250 TO 500 J/KG. THIS ALONG WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
AROUND 7.0 C/KM COMBINED WITH 45 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR EVIDENT ON THE
SACRAMENTO WSR-88D VWP SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A HAIL THREAT THIS
EVENING...SEE MCD 14.

...SE CA/SW AZ...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO APPROACH THE CO RIVER VALLEY
THIS EVENING AS THE EXIT REGION OF A MID-LEVEL JET OVERSPREADS THE
REGION. INCREASING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH SHOULD
HELP CONVECTION TO INTENSIFY. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT A NARROW LINE
OF STORMS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO SW AZ THIS EVENING.
STRENGTHENING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENING AND
MOVING EWD INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A
MARGINAL THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER THE NEXT 2 TO 3
HOURS...SEE MCD 15.

...SRN OZARKS/MID-MS VALLEY...
A SUBTLE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY OVER
NORTHWEST TX WILL MOVE QUICKLY ENEWD INTO THE OZARKS TONIGHT. AHEAD
OF THE TROUGH...MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE OZARKS
AS A LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN AR AFTER 06Z
INCREASE MUCAPE VALUES INTO THE 500 TO 1000 J/KG RANGE BUT SHOW A
WARM LAYER AROUND 850 MB CONCENTRATING MOST OF THE CAPE ABOVE 750
MB. THIS SHOULD KEEP MOST OF THE CONVECTION ELEVATED. 500 MB TEMPS
OF -18 TO -20C AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE FAVORABLE
FOR HAIL WITH THE MORE INTENSE STORMS MAINLY IN THE 09Z TO 12Z
TIMEFRAME WHEN MODEL FORECASTS AGREE WITH INCREASING CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE.

..BROYLES.. 01/20/2010

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KMFR [200047]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 200047
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
447 PM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0441 PM HEAVY SNOW 3 S MCCLOUD 41.22N 122.14W
01/19/2010 M4.5 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HR LIQUID 2.95...4.5 SNOW SINCE 15Z


&&

$$

SVEN

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KMFR [200043]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 200043
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
443 PM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0441 PM HEAVY SNOW 4 SW WEED 41.37N 122.42W
01/19/2010 M12.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

NEW SNOW FROM 7AM-4PM PST

0441 PM HEAVY SNOW SSE MOUNT SHASTA 41.32N 122.31W
01/19/2010 M4.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

NEW SINCE 1 PM


&&

$$

SVEN

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KABQ [200037]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KABQ 200037
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
536 PM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1052 PM SNOW 16 S GALLUP 35.29N 108.73W
01/18/2010 E2.0 INCH MCKINLEY NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0100 AM SNOW 7 ESE CUBA 36.00N 106.83W
01/19/2010 E5.0 INCH SANDOVAL NM SNOTEL

SENORITA DIVIDE SNOTEL.

0220 AM SNOW 2 W BANDELIER NATL MONU 35.78N 106.30W
01/19/2010 E4.0 INCH SANDOVAL NM PUBLIC

0500 AM SNOW 8 NW LA CUEVA 35.95N 106.75W
01/19/2010 M8.0 INCH SANDOVAL NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0530 AM SNOW 1 NW GALLUP 35.53N 108.75W
01/19/2010 M2.5 INCH MCKINLEY NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 AM SNOW 5 E EL MORRO 35.05N 108.24W
01/19/2010 M10.0 INCH CIBOLA NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0624 AM SNOW 8 SSW RED RIVER 36.59N 105.45W
01/19/2010 E2.0 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

TAOS SKI AREA.

0635 AM SNOW 1 WSW SEDILLO 35.09N 106.31W
01/19/2010 E1.5 INCH BERNALILLO NM NWS EMPLOYEE

0652 AM SNOW 5 NW LAMY 35.53N 105.94W
01/19/2010 E7.0 INCH SANTA FE NM PUBLIC

0654 AM SNOW 3 NW TRES RITOS 36.16N 105.55W
01/19/2010 E6.0 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

SIPAPU SKI AREA.

0700 AM SNOW 3 NW TAOS PUEBLO 36.50N 105.60W
01/19/2010 M1.7 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

0700 AM SNOW 10 N FARMINGTON 36.90N 108.19W
01/19/2010 M6.1 INCH SAN JUAN NM PUBLIC

0700 AM SNOW 1 W LINDRITH 36.30N 107.05W
01/19/2010 M7.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 1 WSW SANTA FE 35.67N 105.98W
01/19/2010 M5.1 INCH SANTA FE NM PUBLIC

0700 AM SNOW 6 SSE SANTA FE 35.60N 105.93W
01/19/2010 M6.5 INCH SANTA FE NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 1 WSW CHAMISAL 36.18N 105.75W
01/19/2010 M1.0 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

0700 AM SNOW 1 ESE CHAMISAL 36.17N 105.73W
01/19/2010 M2.5 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

0700 AM SNOW 2 N TAOS 36.42N 105.58W
01/19/2010 M2.5 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

0700 AM SNOW 8 WNW ABIQUIU 36.25N 106.44W
01/19/2010 M3.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM PUBLIC

0700 AM SNOW 2 SSE TAOS 36.36N 105.57W
01/19/2010 M3.2 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

0700 AM SNOW 2 NW EL RITO 36.37N 106.22W
01/19/2010 M4.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM PUBLIC

0700 AM SNOW 3 SSW SANTA FE 35.64N 105.97W
01/19/2010 M4.6 INCH SANTA FE NM PUBLIC

0700 AM SNOW 10 S SANTA FE 35.54N 105.95W
01/19/2010 M7.0 INCH SANTA FE NM PUBLIC

0700 AM SNOW 11 S SANTA FE 35.52N 105.95W
01/19/2010 M7.5 INCH SANTA FE NM PUBLIC

0708 AM SNOW 3 W MADRID 35.41N 106.21W
01/19/2010 M3.5 INCH SANTA FE NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0710 AM SNOW 3 E AZTEC 36.82N 107.95W
01/19/2010 M8.0 INCH SAN JUAN NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0728 AM SNOW 3 SSW CUNDIYO 35.92N 105.91W
01/19/2010 M6.0 INCH SANTA FE NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0734 AM SNOW TIERRA AMARILLA 36.70N 106.55W
01/19/2010 M8.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM PUBLIC

0738 AM SNOW SANTA FE 35.68N 105.95W
01/19/2010 E3.5 INCH SANTA FE NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0752 AM SNOW 4 NW SANTA FE 35.71N 106.01W
01/19/2010 M4.0 INCH SANTA FE NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0754 AM SNOW LOS ALAMOS 35.89N 106.28W
01/19/2010 M3.0 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM PUBLIC

0757 AM SNOW 2 E SANTA FE 35.68N 105.92W
01/19/2010 M6.0 INCH SANTA FE NM PUBLIC

0800 AM SNOW 5 ESE ABIQUIU 36.18N 106.24W
01/19/2010 M2.5 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM PUBLIC

0800 AM SNOW 5 NNW ROCIADA 35.90N 105.45W
01/19/2010 M2.5 INCH MORA NM PUBLIC

0800 AM SNOW 4 N CANONES 36.24N 106.43W
01/19/2010 M4.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0800 AM SNOW 9 NE AZTEC 36.92N 107.89W
01/19/2010 M8.0 INCH SAN JUAN NM PUBLIC

0800 AM SNOW 6 ESE MOGOLLON 33.36N 108.70W
01/19/2010 E4.0 INCH CATRON NM SNOTEL

SILVER CREEK DIVIDE SNOTEL.

0800 AM SNOW 5 SSW TOADLENA 36.17N 108.93W
01/19/2010 E11.0 INCH SAN JUAN NM SNOTEL

NAVAJO WHISKY CREEK SNOTEL.

0807 AM SNOW 2 WNW SEDILLO 35.11N 106.33W
01/19/2010 E2.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0821 AM SNOW 1 N COCHITI LAKE 35.66N 106.34W
01/19/2010 E3.0 INCH SANDOVAL NM PUBLIC

0825 AM SNOW 9 WSW CUBA 35.95N 107.09W
01/19/2010 M5.0 INCH SANDOVAL NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0830 AM SNOW 19 N ALCALDE 36.36N 106.06W
01/19/2010 M3.1 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM PUBLIC

0830 AM SNOW 1 SW PLACITAS 35.30N 106.44W
01/19/2010 M1.8 INCH SANDOVAL NM PUBLIC

0830 AM SNOW 10 ENE ALBUQUERQUE 35.17N 106.46W
01/19/2010 M7.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM TRAINED SPOTTER

TOP OF SANDIA TRAM

0835 AM SNOW 8 NNW GALLUP 35.63N 108.79W
01/19/2010 M3.8 INCH MCKINLEY NM PUBLIC

0843 AM SNOW RUIDOSO 33.37N 105.64W
01/19/2010 E1.0 INCH LINCOLN NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0850 AM SNOW 2 W TESUQUE 35.76N 105.96W
01/19/2010 M3.4 INCH SANTA FE NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0852 AM SNOW 5 WSW TESUQUE 35.74N 106.01W
01/19/2010 M3.9 INCH SANTA FE NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 AM SNOW 2 WSW EL MORRO 35.04N 108.35W
01/19/2010 M9.0 INCH CIBOLA NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0900 AM SNOW 5 E TIJERAS 35.09N 106.29W
01/19/2010 M3.2 INCH BERNALILLO NM PUBLIC

0900 AM SNOW 3 NE SANTA FE 35.71N 105.91W
01/19/2010 M5.1 INCH SANTA FE NM PUBLIC

0900 AM SNOW 10 S TIJERAS 34.94N 106.38W
01/19/2010 M5.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM PUBLIC

0903 AM SNOW 3 ESE ANGEL FIRE 36.38N 105.24W
01/19/2010 E3.0 INCH COLFAX NM PUBLIC

ANGEL FIRE SKI AREA.

0904 AM SNOW 1 SW RUIDOSO 33.36N 105.65W
01/19/2010 E1.0 INCH LINCOLN NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0915 AM SNOW 3 N FENCE LAKE 34.70N 108.67W
01/19/2010 M4.5 INCH CIBOLA NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0931 AM SNOW 4 W BLUEWATER LAKE 35.30N 108.15W
01/19/2010 E3.0 INCH CIBOLA NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0951 AM SNOW 7 NE FARMINGTON 36.83N 108.10W
01/19/2010 E5.7 INCH SAN JUAN NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0952 AM SNOW 1 ENE SANTA FE 35.68N 105.94W
01/19/2010 M5.5 INCH SANTA FE NM PUBLIC

0952 AM SNOW CROWNPOINT 35.69N 108.15W
01/19/2010 E3.5 INCH MCKINLEY NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0956 AM SNOW 5 SE MCGAFFEY 35.34N 108.44W
01/19/2010 M6.0 INCH MCKINLEY NM CO-OP OBSERVER

1000 AM SNOW 2 SSW AGUA FRIA 35.62N 106.04W
01/19/2010 E4.0 INCH SANTA FE NM TRAINED SPOTTER

1027 AM SNOW 1 SSE COCHITI LAKE 35.64N 106.33W
01/19/2010 E1.0 INCH SANDOVAL NM CO-OP OBSERVER

1048 AM SNOW 5 N LA PLATA 37.00N 108.19W
01/19/2010 M10.0 INCH SAN JUAN NM TRAINED SPOTTER

1100 AM SNOW 7 ESE CHUPADERO 35.79N 105.80W
01/19/2010 M11.0 INCH SANTA FE NM PUBLIC

SANTA FE SKI AREA.

1105 AM SNOW 1 SW SANTA FE 35.67N 105.96W
01/19/2010 M4.0 INCH SANTA FE NM TRAINED SPOTTER

1147 AM SNOW 3 NNE SEDILLO 35.14N 106.28W
01/19/2010 E4.5 INCH BERNALILLO NM TRAINED SPOTTER

1200 PM SNOW 11 WSW BLUEWATER LAKE 35.23N 108.26W
01/19/2010 E10.0 INCH CIBOLA NM SNOTEL

RICE PARK SNOTEL.

0100 PM SNOW 1 ENE LUNA 33.82N 108.94W
01/19/2010 M4.6 INCH CATRON NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0100 PM SNOW 5 SW BONITO LAKE 33.40N 105.78W
01/19/2010 E1.0 INCH LINCOLN NM SNOTEL

SIERRA BLANCA SNOTEL.

0100 PM SNOW 8 NNW GLORIETA 35.70N 105.80W
01/19/2010 E7.0 INCH SANTA FE NM SNOTEL

ELK CABIN SNOTEL.

0100 PM SNOW 8 E TESUQUE 35.76N 105.78W
01/19/2010 E14.0 INCH SANTA FE NM SNOTEL

SANTA FE SNOTEL.

0100 PM SNOW 8 SW ROCIADA 35.76N 105.53W
01/19/2010 E10.0 INCH SAN MIGUEL NM SNOTEL

WESNER SPRINGS SNOTEL.

0100 PM SNOW TRES RITOS 36.13N 105.52W
01/19/2010 E5.0 INCH TAOS NM SNOTEL

TRES RITOS SNOTEL.

0100 PM SNOW 15 SW COYOTE 36.02N 106.80W
01/19/2010 E9.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM SNOTEL

VACAS LOCAS SNOTEL.

0100 PM SNOW 5 WNW LOS ALAMOS 35.91N 106.38W
01/19/2010 E7.0 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM SNOTEL

QUEMAZON SNOTEL.

0100 PM SNOW 7 E CANJILON 36.50N 106.31W
01/19/2010 E7.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM SNOTEL

BATEMAN SNOTEL.

0100 PM SNOW 11 NNW CANON PLAZA 36.70N 106.25W
01/19/2010 E7.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM SNOTEL

HOPEWELL SNOTEL.

0100 PM SNOW 5 NW CHAMA 36.95N 106.65W
01/19/2010 E8.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM SNOTEL

CHAMITA SNOTEL.

0130 PM SNOW 4 NNW LAMY 35.53N 105.91W
01/19/2010 M7.0 INCH SANTA FE NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0400 PM SNOW DULCE 36.94N 107.00W
01/19/2010 M7.3 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0400 PM SNOW CHAMA 36.89N 106.58W
01/19/2010 M8.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0446 PM SNOW 10 E FENCE LAKE 34.65N 108.50W
01/19/2010 E5.0 INCH CIBOLA NM AMATEUR RADIO


&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1000082 ABQ1000079 ABQ1000080 ABQ1000078 ABQ1000081
ABQ1000077 ABQ1000076 ABQ1000075 ABQ1000074 ABQ1000073 ABQ1000059
ABQ1000060 ABQ1000061 ABQ1000062 ABQ1000063 ABQ1000064 ABQ1000065
ABQ1000066 ABQ1000067 ABQ1000068 ABQ1000069 ABQ1000070 ABQ1000071
ABQ1000072 ABQ1000058 ABQ1000057 ABQ1000056 ABQ1000055 ABQ1000054
ABQ1000053 ABQ1000052 ABQ1000051 ABQ1000045 ABQ1000046 ABQ1000047
ABQ1000048 ABQ1000049 ABQ1000050 ABQ1000042 ABQ1000043 ABQ1000044
ABQ1000039 ABQ1000040 ABQ1000041 ABQ1000038 ABQ1000037 ABQ1000036
ABQ1000035 ABQ1000031 ABQ1000032 ABQ1000033 ABQ1000034 ABQ1000030
ABQ1000029 ABQ1000028 ABQ1000027 ABQ1000026 ABQ1000024 ABQ1000025
ABQ1000023 ABQ1000022 ABQ1000021 ABQ1000020 ABQ1000019 ABQ1000017
ABQ1000016 ABQ1000015 ABQ1000004 ABQ1000005 ABQ1000006 ABQ1000007
ABQ1000008 ABQ1000009 ABQ1000010 ABQ1000011 ABQ1000012 ABQ1000013
ABQ1000014 ABQ1000003 ABQ1000002 ABQ1000083 ABQ1000001

$$

JLP

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0015

ACUS11 KWNS 200036
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200035
AZZ000-CAZ000-200230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0015
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0635 PM CST TUE JAN 19 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SERN CA AND SWRN AZ.

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 200035Z - 200230Z

BANDS/CLUSTERS OF CONVECTION MAY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED ACROSS
IMPERIAL/LOWER CO VALLEY REGION AND EWD INTO SRN AZ...WITH POTENTIAL
FOR OCCASIONAL GUSTS NEAR SVR LEVELS AND MAINLY SMALL HAIL. SVR
POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO MRGL/CONDITIONAL TO JUSTIFY WW.

BAROCLINIC ZONE CONTRIBUTING TO LOW-LEVEL ASCENT OVER SRN CA IS FCST
TO MOVE EWD INTO SWRN AZ DURING NEXT 2-3 HOURS. BENEATH LEADING
EDGE OF ZONE OF MID-UPPER LEVEL COOLING/DESTABILIZATION RELATED TO
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALOFT...LAPSE RATES SHOULD STEEPEN JUST ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT NEUTRAL TO SLIGHTLY CONVECTIVELY UNSTABLE THERMODYNAMIC
PROFILES...AMIDST SUFFICIENT LOW-MIDDLE LEVEL MOISTURE TO SUPPORT
TSTMS. VWP AND MODIFIED RUC SOUNDING FROM YUM INDICATE FAVORABLE
LOW LEVEL SHEAR REGIME THAT EARLIER CHARACTERIZED COASTAL SRN CA
CONVECTIVE REGIME IS MOVING/SPREADING EWD OVER THIS REGION...BUT
WITH SOMEWHAT STRAIGHTER LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS...AND ABOUT 50 KT
EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDE. MODIFIED RUC SOUNDINGS SUGGEST STABLE
LAYER OBSERVED FARTHER E IN 00Z TUS RAOB IS REMOVED BENEATH
MID-UPPER TROUGH...WITH TEMPS APCHG 60 F AND DEW POINTS MID 50S
YIELDING MLCAPE 100-400 J/KG. MAIN OFFSETTING FACTOR FOR SVR
POTENTIAL WILL BE LACK OF MORE ROBUST BOUNDARY LAYER INSTABILITY.
THIS WILL BE RELATED TO COMBINATION OF PRIOR COOLING/STABILIZATION
FROM PRECIP...AND ONSET OF DIABATIC SFC COOLING.

..EDWARDS.. 01/20/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TWC...FGZ...PSR...VEF...

LAT...LON 32671502 33121548 33791518 34171447 34261363 34101301
33431231 32391207 31781245 32491483 32611477 32731470
32671502

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KMFR [200026]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 200026
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
426 PM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 N WEED 41.50N 122.37W
01/19/2010 M1.30 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

8-HOUR RAINFALL ENDING AT 4 PM PST. SOME SLEET/WET SNOW
MIXING IN WITH THE RAIN AT ELEVATION 3064 FEET.


&&

$$

SPILDE

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0014

ACUS11 KWNS 192354
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192353
CAZ000-200130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0014
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0553 PM CST TUE JAN 19 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS NRN/CENTRAL CA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 192353Z - 200130Z

BKN/SEGMENTED BAND OF TSTMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ENEWD 35-40 KT
ACROSS THIS REGION THROUGH ROUGHLY 0130Z...BEFORE ENTERING SIERRAS
AND WEAKENING. ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS AND HAIL APCHG SVR LEVELS IS
POSSIBLE.

VWPS AND RUC SOUNDINGS -- MODIFIED FOR OROGRAPHICALLY FORCED
BACKING/ENHANCEMENT OF SFC FLOW -- SHOW ENLARGED 0-1 KM HODOGRAPHS
WITH ENHANCED SFC STORM-RELATIVE INFLOW. SRH AROUND 150 J/KG IS
EVIDENT IN 0-1 KM LAYER...ALTHOUGH STORM MOTION VECTOR DOES CROSS
HODOGRAPH AROUND 2 KM AGL. MOSTLY LINEAR CONVECTIVE MODE FAVORS
POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF EMBEDDED/SMALL BOWS WITH CONVECTIVE
WIND GUSTS BEING PRIMARY CONCERN. PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE
LACK OF MORE ROBUST BUOYANCY...WITH SFC TEMPS ONLY IN LOW 50S F AND
WEAK LOW-MIDDLE LEVEL LAPSE RATES RESULTING IN MLCAPE GENERALLY
BELOW 100 J/KG IN MOST AREAS. COOLING ALOFT WILL FOLLOW THIS BAND
IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO MID-UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
HOWEVER...STABILIZATION OF NEAR-SFC AIR MASS FROM CONVECTION...ALONG
WITH SHEAR-LIMITING CHARACTERISTIC OF VEERING SFC FLOW...FURTHER
SHOULD REDUCE ALREADY MRGL SVR THREAT ONCE THIS BAND PASSES.

..EDWARDS.. 01/19/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HNX...STO...MTR...

LAT...LON 36242086 37032131 37972197 38542243 39032238 39432184
39392153 38572101 37552032 36811957 36311986 36122028
36242086

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KPSR [192342]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 192342
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
442 PM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0435 PM HEAVY RAIN SALTON CITY 33.26N 115.95W
01/19/2010 E0.00 INCH IMPERIAL CA TRAINED SPOTTER

TWO INCHES ESTIMATED OVER THREE HOURS. VISIBILITY 1/4
MILE.


&&

$$

WATERS

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KSGX [192336]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 192336
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
336 PM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1257 PM TORNADO HUNTINGTON BEACH 33.69N 118.01W
01/19/2010 ORANGE CA PUBLIC

TORNADO SPOTTED ON PACIFIC COAST HIGHWAY JUST SOUTH OF
ANDERSON STREET. THE FUNNEL CROSSED THE HIGHWAY AND
HEADED NE. A BLACK LIMO WAS LIFTED UP AND AN SUV WAS
FLIPPED AND THROWN INTO A TREE. DOWNED TREES AND ROOF
DAMAGE WERE ALSO SEEN IN THE AREA.


&&

$$

SULLIVAN

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KPUB [192329]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 192329
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
429 PM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM SNOW 2 N BLACK FOREST 39.05N 104.71W
01/19/2010 E1.0 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

RMG

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KGJT [192321]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 192321
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
421 PM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0419 PM SNOW TELLURIDE 37.94N 107.81W
01/19/2010 M6.0 INCH SAN MIGUEL CO AVALANCHE FCSTR

TELLURIDE SKI PATROL AT PHQ


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000027

$$

TGJT

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KMFR [192233]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 192233
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
233 PM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0232 PM HEAVY SNOW 3 NW MOUNT SHASTA 41.35N 122.35W
01/19/2010 M14.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

SINCE 5 AM PST


&&

$$

SVEN

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KPUB [192222]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KPUB 192222
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
321 PM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0251 PM SNOW WOLF CREEK PASS 37.48N 106.80W
01/19/2010 M10.0 INCH MINERAL CO PUBLIC

10 INCHES. REPORT FROM WOLF CREEK SKI RESORT.


&&

$$

SHODANIS

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KHNX [192220]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 192220
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
220 PM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0218 PM HEAVY SNOW 10 W TEHACHAPI 35.13N 118.62W
01/19/2010 M3.0 INCH KERN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

AT BEAR VALLEY SPRINGS. WATER EQUIVALENT 0.36 INCHES.


&&

$$

DUDLEY

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KPUB [192219]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 192219
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
319 PM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0251 PM SNOW WOLF CREEK PASS 37.48N 106.80W
01/19/2010 M0.0 INCH MINERAL CO PUBLIC

10 INCHES. REPORT FROM WOLF CREEK SKI RESORT.


&&

$$

SHODANIS

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KSGX [192219]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 192219
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
219 PM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 PM TSTM WND GST NEWPORT BEACH 33.61N 117.91W
01/19/2010 M93.00 MPH PZZ655 CA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

93 MPH GUST 1230 PM MEASURED BY LIFEGUARDS AT NEWPORT
BEACH PIER. ALSO MEASURED GUSTS TO 72 AND 73 MPH.

0145 PM TORNADO HUNTINGTON BEACH 33.69N 118.01W
01/19/2010 ORANGE CA EMERGENCY MNGR

PROBABLE TORNADO IN HUNTINGTON BEACH. BOATS UPLIFTED AND
DAMAGED IN THE HB HARBOR. DAMAGE TO BUILDING IN AREAS.
CAR FLIPPED 16400 PCH.

0145 PM TSTM WND DMG COSTA MESA 33.67N 117.91W
01/19/2010 ORANGE CA EMERGENCY MNGR

DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES REPORTED BY ORANGE COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT

0145 PM TSTM WND DMG SEAL BEACH 33.76N 118.08W
01/19/2010 ORANGE CA EMERGENCY MNGR

WIND DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS REPORTED IN SEAL BEACH BY ORANGE
COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.


&&

$$

PURPURA

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KHNX [192212]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 192212
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
212 PM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0110 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG VISALIA 36.33N 119.32W
01/18/2010 TULARE CA NEWSPAPER

TREE UPROOTED AT AN APARTMENT COMPLEX IN 200 BLOCK OF NE
2ND AVENUE. SIDEWALK BROKEN.

0138 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG VISALIA 36.33N 119.32W
01/18/2010 TULARE CA NEWSPAPER

TREE FELL ON A HOUSE IN 1200 BLOCK OF NORTH BURKE STREET.


0139 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG VISALIA 36.33N 119.32W
01/18/2010 TULARE CA NEWSPAPER

RAILROAD CROSSING SIGN KNOCKED DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF
DEMAREE STREET AND GOSHEN AVENUE.

0144 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 12 NE VISALIA 36.45N 119.17W
01/18/2010 TULARE CA NEWSPAPER

TREE FELL NEXT TO TULARE COUNTY FIRE DEPARTMENT STATION
IN IVANHOE.


&&

$$

SANGER

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KHNX [192207]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 192207
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
207 PM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0202 PM FLOOD 8 NE AVENAL 36.11N 120.01W
01/19/2010 KINGS CA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

INTERSTATE 5 SOUTHBOUND LANES SHOWING FLOODING FROM
INTERSECTION OF STATE ROUTE 269 TO THE FRESNO/KINGS
COUNTY LINE AND RESTRICTING TRAFFIC TO ONE LANE.


&&

$$

BSO

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KPUB [192202]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 192202
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
235 PM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 PM SNOW 5 SSE CRESTONE 37.92N 105.67W
01/19/2010 M2 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1.5 HOUR DURATION. SNOW BEGAN 1300 MST.

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KMFR [192123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 192123
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
123 PM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0122 PM HEAVY SNOW SSE MOUNT SHASTA 41.32N 122.31W
01/19/2010 M5.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

AMOUNT IS SINCE 8 AM PST


&&

$$

SPILDE

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KSTO [192103]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 192103
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
103 PM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1119 AM NON-TSTM WND GST FAIRFIELD 38.25N 122.04W
01/18/2010 M44.00 MPH SOLANO CA ASOS

1131 AM NON-TSTM WND GST VACAVILLE 38.36N 121.97W
01/18/2010 M43.00 MPH SOLANO CA ASOS

1145 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SACRAMENTO 38.57N 121.47W
01/18/2010 M45.00 MPH SACRAMENTO CA ASOS

1146 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MODESTO 37.66N 120.99W
01/18/2010 M37.00 MPH STANISLAUS CA ASOS

1158 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NW SACRAMENTO 38.62N 121.53W
01/18/2010 E51.00 MPH SACRAMENTO CA ASOS

1213 PM NON-TSTM WND GST STOCKTON 37.97N 121.31W
01/18/2010 M39.00 MPH SAN JOAQUIN CA ASOS

1230 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MARYSVILLE 39.15N 121.58W
01/18/2010 E58.00 MPH YUBA CA ASOS

1237 PM NON-TSTM WND GST RED BLUFF 40.17N 122.24W
01/18/2010 M39.00 MPH TEHAMA CA ASOS

1241 PM NON-TSTM WND GST OROVILLE 39.50N 121.57W
01/18/2010 E63.00 MPH BUTTE CA ASOS

0510 PM NON-TSTM WND GST REDDING 40.57N 122.36W
01/18/2010 M46.00 MPH SHASTA CA ASOS

0426 AM NON-TSTM WND GST VACAVILLE 38.36N 121.97W
01/19/2010 E40.00 MPH SOLANO CA ASOS

0503 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MODESTO 37.66N 120.99W
01/19/2010 E38.00 MPH STANISLAUS CA ASOS

0533 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NW SACRAMENTO 38.62N 121.53W
01/19/2010 E51.00 MPH SACRAMENTO CA ASOS

0606 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MARYSVILLE 39.15N 121.58W
01/19/2010 E40.00 MPH YUBA CA ASOS

0619 AM NON-TSTM WND GST STOCKTON 37.97N 121.31W
01/19/2010 E43.00 MPH SAN JOAQUIN CA ASOS

0635 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PLACERVILLE 38.73N 120.80W
01/19/2010 E52.00 MPH EL DORADO CA AWOS

0744 AM NON-TSTM WND GST RED BLUFF 40.17N 122.24W
01/19/2010 E51.00 MPH TEHAMA CA ASOS

0800 AM SNOW SODA SPRINGS 39.32N 120.38W
01/19/2010 M24.0 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

0800 AM SNOW BOREAL 39.34N 120.35W
01/19/2010 M24.0 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

0800 AM SNOW SIERRA AT TAHOE 38.80N 120.08W
01/19/2010 M24.0 INCH EL DORADO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

0800 AM SNOW 4 E SODA SPRINGS 39.32N 120.30W
01/19/2010 M18.0 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

SUGAR BOWL SKI AREA

0800 AM SNOW KIRKWOOD 38.70N 120.07W
01/19/2010 M22.0 INCH EL DORADO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

0811 AM NON-TSTM WND GST REDDING 40.57N 122.36W
01/19/2010 M61.00 MPH SHASTA CA ASOS

0847 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BLUE CANYON 39.27N 120.71W
01/19/2010 E45.00 MPH PLACER CA ASOS


&&

$$

CM

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KHNX [192043]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 192043
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1243 PM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1215 PM HEAVY SNOW 10 W FRAZIER PARK 34.82N 119.12W
01/19/2010 M5.0 INCH KERN CA BROADCAST MEDIA

NEAR PINE MOUNTAIN


&&

$$

BSO

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0013

ACUS11 KWNS 192003
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192002
CAZ000-192100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0013
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0202 PM CST TUE JAN 19 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN CA COAST--INCLUDING THE LOS ANGELES METRO AREA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 192002Z - 192100Z

THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
ACROSS PARTS OF LOS ANGELES AND ORANGE COUNTIES BY 2030-2100Z. A WW
IS POSSIBLE.

LOCAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES A STEADY INTENSIFICATION TO TSTM
CLUSTER W OF CATALINA ISLAND...WITH A SECONDARY...SHORT LINE SEGMENT
APPROACHING THE VENTURA COUNTY COAST NEAR OXNARD AS OF 1945Z. THIS
ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A PROGRESSIVE VORTICITY MAXIMUM
APPROACHING THE SRN CA COAST...ALONG CYCLONIC SIDE OF STRONG...LOW
LATITUDE JET STREAK.

WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS CONTINUES TO LIMIT DIABATIC HEATING TODAY WITH
TEMPERATURES LINGERING IN THE MID/UPPER 50S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST. THIS IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RUC PROXIMITY SOUNDINGS WHICH
SUGGEST THAT SIMILAR BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS ARE YIELDING MLCAPE
OF 200-300 J/KG. WHEN COUPLED WITH THE STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR
OBSERVED BY AREA VWPS AND ACCOMPANYING RUC FORECAST WIND
PROFILE...ENVIRONMENT ALONG COAST IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE
FOR ROTATING STORMS THROUGH MID/LATE AFTERNOON. STRONG WIND GUSTS
AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO APPEAR TO BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
HAZARDS.

CHARACTER OF ONGOING STORMS SITUATED SW OF THE LOS ANGELES METRO
AREA WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR PERSISTENT SUPERCELL STRUCTURE
WHICH WOULD POTENTIALLY REQUIRE A WW.

..MEAD.. 01/19/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGX...LOX...

LAT...LON 33211706 33061734 33471794 33641851 33941930 34311954
34521940 34271852 33601731 33211706

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KREV [191956]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 191956
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1156 AM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0659 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 NE INCLINE VILLAGE 39.26N 119.94W
01/19/2010 M12.5 INCH WASHOE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

A TOTAL OF 12.5 INCHES OF SNOWFALL REPORTED OVERNIGHT.

0704 AM HEAVY SNOW SQUAW VALLEY 39.20N 120.22W
01/19/2010 M22.0 INCH PLACER CA PUBLIC

SQUAW VALLEY SKI RESORT REPORTED 14 TO 22 INCHES STORM
TOTAL. 6 TO 12 INCHES OVERNIGHT.

0753 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 ENE CISCO 39.32N 120.45W
01/19/2010 M12.0 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

12 INCHES NEW SNOW IN THE PAST 24 HOURS WITH 2.31 INCHES
OF WATER EQUIVALENT. TOTAL SNOW DEPTH OF 50 INCHES.
ELEVATION 6200 FEET.

0833 AM SNOW PORTOLA 39.80N 120.47W
01/19/2010 M7.0 INCH PLUMAS CA CO-OP OBSERVER

COOP SITE REPORTED 7.0 OF NEW SNOW IN 24 HRS. 9 INCHES ON
THE GROUND.

0855 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 S PROSSER CREEK RESER 39.34N 120.18W
01/19/2010 M13.0 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED 13 INCHES OF NEW IN 24 HRS.

0940 AM HEAVY SNOW 4 W PROSSER CREEK RESER 39.37N 120.25W
01/19/2010 M18.0 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL 18 INCHES SNOWFALL SINCE 1200PM ON MONDAY
1/18. CURRENT TEMP 30F. GOOD VIS AND WINDY.

0949 AM SNOW 3 NNE TOPAZ LAKE 38.73N 119.53W
01/19/2010 M8.0 INCH DOUGLAS NV TRAINED SPOTTER

8 INCHES NEW SNOWFALL NEAR HIWAY 208 AND 395.


&&

$$

JKIELHOR

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KMFR [191946]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 191946
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1146 AM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1049 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 W MOUNT SHASTA 41.32N 122.34W
01/19/2010 M3.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

SINCE 11PM 12HOUR REPORT

1135 AM HEAVY SNOW N TENNANT 41.59N 121.91W
01/19/2010 M7.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW AMOUNT IN LAST 6 HOURS. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 1.5
INCHES PER HOUR. 14 INCHES ON THE GROUND. HIGHWAY 97
REPORTEDLY BLOCKED WITH SPUN OUT TRACTOR TRAILERS.

1135 AM HEAVY SNOW MOUNT SHASTA 41.32N 122.32W
01/19/2010 M4.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA CO-OP OBSERVER

AMOUNT SINCE 8 AM PST IN MOUNT SHASTA CITY. SNOWFALL
RATES AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR.


&&

$$

SPILDE

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KGJT [191945]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 191945
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1245 PM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 W PAGOSA SPRINGS 37.27N 107.05W
01/19/2010 M6.4 INCH ARCHULETA CO CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000026

$$

BK

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KHNX [191939]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 191939
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1139 AM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1027 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 NW SANGER 36.75N 119.62W
01/19/2010 FRESNO CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

CHP REPORTED LARGE TREE DOWN JUST EAST OF DEL REY AVE ON
MCKINLEY AVE.

1036 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SANGER 36.70N 119.55W
01/19/2010 E50.00 MPH FRESNO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

1103 AM FLOOD COALINGA 36.14N 120.36W
01/19/2010 FRESNO CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

CHP REPORTED ROADWAY FLOODING NEAR INTERSECTION OF SR 33
AND MERCED AVE


&&

$$

BSO

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KGJT [191935]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 191935
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1234 PM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 S DURANGO 37.21N 107.87W
01/19/2010 M8.0 INCH LA PLATA CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000025

$$

BK

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 191932
SWODY1
SPC AC 191931

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0131 PM CST TUE JAN 19 2010

VALID 192000Z - 201200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTN ACROSS SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA COASTAL AREAS...

...20Z UPDATE...

...SRN CA...
AS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF ONE SPLITTING SHORT WAVE IMPULSE MIGRATES
INLAND THIS AFTERNOON...AND ANOTHER APPROACHES...LOW- LEVEL
CONVERGENCE/WARM ADVECTION ARE PROGGED TO REMAIN ENHANCED ACROSS THE
LOS ANGELES BASIN AND ADJACENT SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTAL AREAS.
DESTABILIZATION IS ONGOING WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER INCREASING
THROUGH THE .75-1.00 INCH RANGE...AND AT LEAST WEAK MID-LEVEL
COOLING COULD STEEPEN MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES BEFORE LOW-LEVEL
HODOGRAPHS BEGIN TO SHRINK TOWARD 20/00-02Z. THIS SUPPORTS
CONTINUING POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFYING CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS AND
PERHAPS DISCRETE LOW TOPPED SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT WITHIN FRONTAL
BAND...ACCOMPANIED BY THE RISK FOR DAMAGING SURFACE GUSTS ...AS WELL
AS AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO.

..KERR.. 01/19/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1010 AM CST TUE JAN 19 2010/

...SYNOPSIS...
SERIES OF FAST MOVING IMPULSES WILL MAINTAIN ACTIVE PATTERN ACROSS
THE WEST COAST TODAY...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE CA COAST. MORNING WV
IMAGERY IS SOMEWHAT NONDESCRIPT AS MID/UPPER LEVEL VORT MAXIMA NEAR
THE COAST...ALTHOUGH IT IS EVIDENT MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF DEEP ASCENT
WILL PROGRESS QUICKLY EWD ACROSS THE REGION. IN ADDITION...ENHANCED
JET STREAM WILL PERSIST ALONG THE SWRN U.S./MEXICAN BORDER EVIDENT
BY 120+ KT H25 JET OBSERVED ON MORNING UPPER AIR ANALYSIS. OVERALL
LARGE SCALE SETUP WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS INVOF SRN CA COAST...LARGELY DEPENDENT UPON
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT TODAY.

FARTHER EAST...SURFACE WARM FRONT IS FORECAST TO BECOME BETTER
DEFINED EXTENDING EAST OF A LOW EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO SERN KS BY
THE END OF THE PERIOD INTO THE LOWER OH RIVER VALLEY. THIS WILL
OCCUR IN RESPONSE TO LEADING SRN STREAM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED
MID/UPPER LEVEL JET SHIFTING QUICKLY ENEWD ACROSS THE SRN
ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS TODAY.

...SRN CA COAST...
LEADING FRONTAL RAIN BAND WAS MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA COAST
EARLY THIS MORNING BUT REMAINS OFF THE SRN CA COAST. THIS BAND WILL
CONTINUE MOVING EWD INTO SWRN CA DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON.
VERY FAVORABLE LOW AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD BE MAINTAINED AS
OROGRAPHIC INFLUENCES MAINTAIN ELY COMPONENT TO SURFACE WINDS SOUTH
OF POINT CONCEPTION. THIS SUGGESTS UPDRAFT ROTATION AND/OR
ORGANIZATION INTO SMALL LINES CAN BE EXPECTED SHOULD SUFFICIENT
INSTABILITY DEVELOP. ATTM...EXPECT AIR MASS WILL BECOME WEAKLY
UNSTABLE AS SFC TEMPERATURES AND DEW INCREASE TO AOA 50F. FURTHER
DESTABILIZATION SHOULD OCCUR IN POST-FRONTAL REGIME LATER TODAY IN
WAKE OF LEADING PRECIPITATION SHIELD...ALTHOUGH SHEAR WILL GRADUALLY
WEAKEN AS WLY LOW LEVEL WINDS BECOME MORE PREVALENT. AN EMBEDDED
DAMAGING WIND GUST OR TORNADO/WATERSPOUT MAY ACCOMPANY MORE
ORGANIZED ELEMENTS ALONG AND AHEAD OF LEADING MOIST
CONVECTION...WITH SOME SEVERE TSTM POTENTIAL CONTINUING INTO THE
EVENING AS MID LEVEL COLD POCKET MAINTAINS INSTABILITY AND OPEN-CELL
CUMULUS IN POST-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT.

...CENTRAL CA INTO SWRN ORE COAST...
DEEP MOIST FETCH AND COOL POST-FRONTAL REGIME WILL CONTINUE OVER
THIS REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. POCKETS OF WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD
REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING LOW
PROBABILITIES OF HAIL AND/OR STRONG GUSTS WITH THE MORE ROBUST
UPDRAFTS.

...MID SOUTH AND VICINITY...
WILL MAINTAIN MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT LATE IN THE PERIOD ACROSS THIS
REGION AS 40+ KT SWLY LLJ INCREASES ASCENT FROM THE ARKLATEX INTO
THE MID SOUTH/LOWER OH RIVER VALLEYS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN SPARSE...ALTHOUGH FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND PERSISTENT ASCENT TO
THE BASE OF THE EML WILL BECOME SUFFICIENT FOR ELEVATED TSTMS LATE
THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT. GIVEN THE RELATIVELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND STRENGTHENING CLOUD LAYER SHEAR...MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
MAY ACCOMPANY MORE ROBUST UPDRAFTS TOWARDS DAYBREAK.

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KGJT [191931]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 191931
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1231 PM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY SNOW MESA VERDE NATL PARK 37.15N 108.48W
01/19/2010 M14.0 INCH MONTEZUMA CO CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000024

$$

BK

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KLOX [191916]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 191916
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
1115 AM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 AM TORNADO GOLETA 34.44N 119.83W
01/19/2010 SANTA BARBARA CA BROADCAST MEDIA

RADIO STATION KCOY IN SANTA BARBARA REPORTED A SHERIFFS
DEPUTY SPOTTED A POSSIBLE TORNADO NEAR THE OCEAN MEADOW
GOLF COURSE NEAR ISLE VISTA AROUND 1030 AM...ROOF DAMAGE
REPORTED


&&

$$

SETO

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KMFR [191842]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 191842
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1042 AM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1041 AM SNOW 6 NW MOUNT SHASTA 41.38N 122.39W
01/19/2010 E6.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY WET SNOW SINCE 7 PM PST MONDAY. ABOUT 1 FOOT ON THE
GROUND.


&&

$$

SPILDE

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KMTR [191841]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMTR 191841
LSRMTR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1041 AM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 AM HAIL 4 SSW SAN RAFAEL 37.92N 122.54W
01/19/2010 M0.25 INCH MARIN CA TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

ANDERSON

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KPIH [191838]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 191838
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
1138 AM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1136 AM SNOW 2 SW VICTOR 43.58N 111.14W
01/19/2010 M3.0 INCH TETON ID TRAINED SPOTTER

OVERNIGHT SNOWFALL AND HAS QUIT SNOWING.


&&

$$

GWICKLUN

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KGJT [191827]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KGJT 191827
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1127 AM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0917 AM HEAVY SNOW 12 N LA SAL 38.49N 109.24W
01/19/2010 M6.0 INCH SAN JUAN UT AVALANCHE FCSTR

LA SAL SNOTEL


&&

CORRECTED LOCATION...REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000022

$$

BK

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KMFR [191825]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 191825
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1025 AM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1025 AM HEAVY SNOW N TENNANT 41.58N 121.91W
01/19/2010 M7.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

18-HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

SPILDE

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KGJT [191824]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 191824
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1124 AM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0917 AM HEAVY SNOW 9 WSW MONTICELLO 37.82N 109.49W
01/19/2010 M10.0 INCH SAN JUAN UT AVALANCHE FCSTR

LA SAL SNOTEL


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000023

$$

BK

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KMFR [191756]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 191756
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
956 AM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0953 AM SNOW 4 SSW WEED 41.36N 122.42W
01/19/2010 M6.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

6 INCHES OF SNOW FROM EARLY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.

0953 AM SNOW 2 SSW WEED 41.39N 122.40W
01/19/2010 M6.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

6 INCHES OF SNOW. BEGAN SNOWING AT NOON AND CONTINUED
INTO THE EVENING.

0953 AM SNOW 4 SW WEED 41.37N 122.42W
01/19/2010 M6.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

6 INCH TOTAL. 5 INCHES BETWEEN NOON AND 3 AND ANOTHER 1
INCH IN THE EVENING.


&&

$$

SPENCER

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KGJT [191752]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 191752
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1052 AM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0917 AM HEAVY SNOW LA SAL 38.31N 109.24W
01/19/2010 M6.0 INCH SAN JUAN UT AVALANCHE FCSTR


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000022

$$

BK

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KGJT [191742]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 191742
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1042 AM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0737 AM HEAVY SNOW RICO 37.69N 108.03W
01/19/2010 E8.0 INCH DOLORES CO AVALANCHE FCSTR


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000021

$$

BK

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KGJT [191212]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 191212
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
512 AM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0510 AM HEAVY SNOW MONTICELLO 37.87N 109.34W
01/19/2010 E6.0 INCH SAN JUAN UT LAW ENFORCEMENT

SNOWFALL ESTIMATE FROM STATE PATROL.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000008

$$

MCS

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KGJT [191210]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 191210
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
510 AM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0509 AM HEAVY SNOW BLANDING 37.62N 109.48W
01/19/2010 M8.0 INCH SAN JUAN UT CO-OP OBSERVER

SNOWFALL TOTAL SINCE SNOW BEGAN MONDAY AFTERNOON.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000007

$$

MCS

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0011

ACUS11 KWNS 191156
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191156
CAZ000-191600-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0011
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0556 AM CST TUE JAN 19 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...MOUNTAINS OF NRN CA...INCLUDING THE COASTAL RANGE
AND NRN SIERRA

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 191156Z - 191600Z

SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 2 IN/HR ARE LIKELY BY MID TO LATE MORNING
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF NRN CA...INCLUDING THE COASTAL RANGE AND NRN
SIERRA. SNOW LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN AROUND 4500 FEET THROUGH 18Z.

THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF PACIFIC TROUGHS WILL AFFECT CA TODAY. EARLY
MORNING LIGHTNING DATA INDICATED ABUNDANT STRIKES EMBEDDED WITHIN
THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT OF THIS SYSTEM...NOW AFFECTING THE OFFSHORE
AND COASTAL AREAS OF NRN CA. THE EXTENSIVE LIGHTNING COVERAGE IS
INDICATIVE OF THE STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO THIS
TROUGH...WITH SHORT TERM MODELS SHOWING THIS ASCENT SPREADING ACROSS
NRN CA THIS MORNING. DESPITE AN EXPECTED INCREASE IN S/SWLY LOW-MID
LEVEL WINDS THAT WOULD NORMALLY RESULT IN SOMEWHAT HIGHER SNOW
LEVELS...THE STRONG DYNAMIC FORCING WITH THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
MAINTAIN A COLDER COLUMN. THUS...CURRENT SNOW LEVELS AROUND 4500
FEET SHOULD TEND TO REMAIN UNCHANGED THROUGH 18Z.

..PETERS.. 01/19/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
SCHEDULED BASIS FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28...FOUR
TIMES A DAY...AROUND 00 UTC...06 UTC...12 UTC...AND 18 UTC
FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORT RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS.

ATTN...WFO...REV...MFR...STO...EKA...

LAT...LON 41292327 41562285 41552236 41602201 41512165 40592118
39582082 39732146 40682180 40932215 40472282 39442246
39272287 40042336 40552353 40882341 41292327

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KMQT [191145]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 191145
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
645 AM EST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM SNOW 10 S GRAND MARAIS 46.53N 85.98W
01/19/2010 M2.3 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR SNOWFALL. SNOW DEPTH IS 21 INCHES.


&&

$$

SKOLBUS

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KPIH [191025]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 191025
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
325 AM MST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0323 AM HEAVY SNOW WESTON 42.04N 111.98W
01/19/2010 M6.0 INCH FRANKLIN ID TRAINED SPOTTER

6 INCHES OF SNOW SINCE 10 PM LAST NIGHT.


&&

$$

GKAISER

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KMTR [190928]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMTR 190928
LSRMTR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
127 AM PST TUE JAN 19 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NW BIG SUR RAWS 36.29N 121.85W
01/18/2010 E62.00 MPH MONTEREY CA MESONET

WIND GUST AT POINT SUR LIGHTSTATION

1000 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NW HALF MOON BAY 37.52N 122.50W
01/18/2010 M69.00 MPH SAN MATEO CA MESONET

PILLAR POINT

1023 AM TSTM WND GST 2 E SAN BRUNO 37.62N 122.39W
01/18/2010 M59.00 MPH SAN MATEO CA ASOS

SAN FRANCISCO AIRPORT, WITH SQUALL LINE


&&

$$

DDYKEMA

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 190855
SWOD48
SPC AC 190854

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0254 AM CST TUE JAN 19 2010

VALID 221200Z - 271200Z

...DISCUSSION...

DAY 5 AND 6...MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT IN ADVANCING LARGE UPPER
TROUGH INTO THE PLAINS BY SATURDAY WITH SEVERAL IMPULSES ROTATING
THROUGH THE UPPER LOW AS IT MOVES EAST. A LARGE CYCLONE WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE PLAINS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FEATURE SATURDAY BEFORE
MOVING INTO THE MS VALLEY SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY. IT STILL APPEARS
THAT INTRUSION OF CP AIR IN WAKE OF EJECTING IMPULSE THURSDAY WILL
NOT EXTEND FAR INTO THE GULF. AS A RESULT PARTIALLY MODIFIED GULF
AIR WILL ADVECT NWD WITHIN ZONE OF STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW EAST
OF DEVELOPING CYCLONE AND CONTRIBUTE TO AT LEAST MARGINAL
INSTABILITY. FORCED BANDS OF STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER THE SRN
AND CNTRL PLAINS INTO THE LOWER-MID MS VALLEY DURING THE DAY. STORMS
WILL SUBSEQUENTLY SHIFT EWD THROUGH THE TN VALLEY AND SERN STATES
SUNDAY. AS IS TYPICAL IN HIGH SHEAR-LOW CAPE
ENVIRONMENTS...INSTABILITY REMAINS A POSSIBLE LIMITING FACTOR AND
PRIMARY UNCERTAINTY REGARDING EXTENT OF SEVERE THREAT.

..DIAL.. 01/19/2010

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 190808
SWODY3
SPC AC 190807

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0207 AM CST TUE JAN 19 2010

VALID 211200Z - 221200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SERN AL...SRN GA...NRN FL
AND A SMALL PORTION OF SRN SC...

...SYNOPSIS...

MODEL CONSENSUS IS THAT SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
SRN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY WEDNESDAY WILL CONTINUE INTO THE TN
VALLEY AND SERN STATES THURSDAY. ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW WILL OCCLUDE
AS IT MOVES EWD THROUGH TN OR KY. TRAILING FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
MS...AL AND GA. MODELS INDICATE SECONDARY CYCLOGENESIS NEAR THE NC
COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AS UPPER JET EXIT REGION INTERACTS WITH
BAROCLINIC ZONE OFFSHORE.

...SERN AL...SRN GA AND NRN FL...

PARTIALLY MODIFIED GULF AIR WITH LOW 60S DEWPOINTS WILL LIKELY
ADVECT NEWD THROUGH SRN AL...SRN GA...NRN FL AND POSSIBLY SRN SC
ALONG A STRONG SWLY LOW LEVEL JET ATTENDING THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. AN
MCS WILL PROBABLY BE ONGOING WITHIN ZONE OF ASCENT ALONG THE WARM
CONVEYOR BELT. WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD LIMIT
MLCAPE TO WELL BELOW 1000 J/KG EAST OF ONGOING STORMS. PARTIAL
CLEARING WILL BE POSSIBLE FARTHER DOWNSTREAM ACROSS FL AND SRN GA.
STORMS DEVELOPING NEAR THE SRN END OF THIS MCS WILL EXPERIENCE AN
INFLUX OF RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND THEREFORE ARE MORE LIKELY TO
BECOME ROOTED NEAR THE SURFACE. STRONG LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER
SHEAR ACCOMPANYING THIS IMPULSE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A THREAT OF
SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES WITH DAMAGING WIND AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES POSSIBLE AS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS EWD.

...NRN AL THROUGH NRN GA...

BOTH THE NAM AND GFS INDICATE THE ATMOSPHERE WILL DESTABILIZE OVER
PARTS OF AL AND GA IN WAKE OF THE MCS...THOUGH THE CAPE VALUES ON
THE OPERATIONAL NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS APPEAR OVERDONE DUE TO WHAT
APPEARS TO BE ACTIVATION OF THE SHALLOW CONVECTIVE SCHEME.
NEVERTHELESS...A DRYSLOT WILL LIKELY ADVECT NEWD THROUGH THIS REGION
ALONG UPPER JET AXIS...AND IF LOW CLOUDS CAN MIX OUT AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...MLCAPE FROM 500 TO 1000 J/KG WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE FRONTAL
CIRCULATION COUPLED WITH DEEPER ASCENT WITHIN THE UPPER JET EXIT
REGION COULD PROMOTE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL STORMS ACROSS
CNTRL/NRN AL INTO NRN GA DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO VEER BEHIND THE MCS...BUT STRAIGHT LINE HODOGRAPHS WITH
STRONG DEEP SHEAR WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SPLITTING SUPERCELLS. LARGE
HAIL AND ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS...BUT
AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. WILL INTRODUCE 5%
SEVERE PROBABILITIES FOR NOW. HOWEVER...IF MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT
WITH THIS SCENARIO NEXT FEW RUNS...THIS AREA WILL LIKELY BE INCLUDED
IN A CATEGORICAL RISK ON THE NEXT DAY 2 UPDATE.

...CA...

ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF UPPER TROUGHS WILL MOVE INTO CA THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. STEEP LAPSE RATES AND COLD AIR ALOFT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
DESTABILIZATION...PARTICULARLY ALONG COASTAL AREAS. A FEW STORMS
MIGHT BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS. WEAK INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE TO SERVE AS A LIMITING FACTOR.

..DIAL.. 01/19/2010

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KSGX [190608]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 190608
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
1008 PM PST MON JAN 18 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1246 PM NON-TSTM WND GST HESPERIA 34.42N 117.30W
01/18/2010 M62.00 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA MESONET

0151 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 N MORONGO VALLEY 34.21N 116.62W
01/18/2010 M65.00 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA MESONET

A 65 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED BY THE BURNS CANYON RAWS.


0230 PM NON-TSTM WND GST FREMONT CANYON 33.79N 117.72W
01/18/2010 M63.00 MPH ORANGE CA MESONET

A 63 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED BY THE FREMONT CANYON
RAWS.

0250 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SAN CLEMENTE 33.45N 117.61W
01/18/2010 M58.00 MPH ORANGE CA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

A 58 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED BY THE LIFEGUARDS AT SAN
CLEMENTE PIER.

0430 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 E PAUMA VALLEY 33.30N 116.95W
01/18/2010 SAN DIEGO CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES WERE REPORTED NEAR RINCON RANCH
ROAD. VEHCILE STUCK IN MUD.

0610 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 W TEMECULA 33.51N 117.22W
01/18/2010 RIVERSIDE CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

DE LUZ ROAD IMPASSABLE DUE TO HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH
FLOODING. DE LUZ ROAD COMPLETELY COVERED WITH DEBRIS.


&&

$$

SCV

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 190601
SWODY2
SPC AC 190600

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1200 AM CST TUE JAN 19 2010

VALID 201200Z - 211200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM ERN TX THROUGH THE LOWER
MS VALLEY AND SRN PORTIONS OF THE GULF COASTAL STATES...

...SYNOPSIS...

SERIES OF VORTICITY MAXIMA EMANATING FROM ACTIVE ERN PACIFIC
SUBTROPICAL JET WILL AFFECT THE PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY THIS
PERIOD. ONLY SLIGHT TIMING AND AMPLITUDE DIFFERENCES ARE EVIDENT
AMONG THE GFS...ECMWF AND NAM MODELS. LEAD IMPULSE WILL DEAMPLIFY AS
IT EJECTS INTO THE MID MS VALLEY EARLY WEDNESDAY. FEATURE OF PRIMARY
INTEREST WILL BE SECONDARY SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WILL MOVE EWD
THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...REACHING
THE LOWER MS VALLEY LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. INITIAL SURFACE LOW
SHOULD WEAKEN OVER THE MID MS VALLEY...WHILE SECONDARY CYCLOGENESIS
OCCURS FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS OK...REACHING THE LOWER-MID MS VALLEY
LATER WEDNESDAY. SYNOPTIC WARM FRONT WILL LIKELY DEVELOP NWD INTO
THE TN VALLEY...WITH THE MARINE/COASTAL FRONT ADVANCING TO NEAR THE
GULF COAST.

...SE TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND CNTRL GULF COASTAL AREA...

SWLY LOW-LEVEL JET WILL STRENGTHEN OVER ERN TX EWD INTO THE GULF
COASTAL STATES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT WITHIN UPPER
DIVERGENCE ZONE DOWNSTREAM OF ADVANCING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. RECENT
OBSERVATIONS ALREADY INDICATE LOW 60S DEWPOINTS OVER S TX. THE
LOW-LEVEL JET SHOULD ADVECT LOW-MID 60F DEWPOINTS INTO SERN TX AND
SRN PARTS OF THE GULF COASTAL STATES AND UPPER 50F TO NEAR 60F
DEWPOINTS FARTHER NORTH. RICHER GULF MOISTURE WILL PROBABLY REMAIN
JUST OFFSHORE SOUTH OF COASTAL FRONT. NWD ADVECTION OF PARTIALLY
MODIFIED GULF AIR SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR AT LEAST MODEST
DESTABILIZATION GIVEN COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT WITH -14C TO -15C AT
500 MB. DEVELOPMENT OF CLOUDS AND CONVECTION WITHIN WARM ADVECTION
REGIME WILL PROBABLY LIMIT MUCAPE TO AOB 1000 J/KG.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP DURING THE DAY WITHIN ZONE OF
ISENTROPIC LIFT FROM ERN TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY. ACTIVITY WILL
SHIFT EWD INTO THE SERN STATES WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH POSSIBLE UPSCALE
GROWTH TO AN MCS. MUCH OF THE CONVECTION WILL PROBABLY REMAIN AT
LEAST SLIGHTLY ELEVATED GIVEN LIMITED INSOLATION POTENTIAL AND EARLY
ONSET OF PRECIPITATION WITHIN AN INITIALLY STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER.
HOWEVER...STORMS DEVELOPING FROM SERN TX THROUGH THE SRN PORTIONS OF
THE GULF COASTAL STATES MAY BECOME ROOTED NEAR THE SURFACE GIVEN A
CONTINUED INFLUX OF GULF MOISTURE. HODOGRAPH SIZE WILL INCREASE
SIGNIFICANTLY FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS THE LOW-LEVEL
JET STRENGTHENS. VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR
SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

...NERN TX...ERN OK THROUGH AR AND SRN MO...

PRIMARY LOW-LEVEL JET IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THIS REGION
RESULTING IN WEAKER 0-1 KM SHEAR. STORMS DEVELOPING IN THIS AREA
WILL PROBABLY REMAIN AT LEAST SLIGHTLY ELEVATED GIVEN LESS BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE AND LOW CHANCES FOR INSOLATION. HOWEVER...COLD AIR
ALOFT WITH -16C TO -18C AT 500 MB WOULD SUPPORT SURFACE BASED STORMS
IF MORE INSOLATION OCCURS THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. IN EITHER
CASE...PRIMARY THREAT IN THIS REGION WILL PROBABLY BE ISOLATED HAIL
SUPPORTED BY MODERATELY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SUFFICIENT
BULK SHEAR FOR UPDRAFT ROTATION.

...NRN AND CNTRL CA...

ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF IMPULSES WILL MOVE EWD INTO CA ACCOMPANIED BY
STEEP LAPSE RATES. SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY MIGHT DEVELOP TO SUPPORT A
THREAT OF GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL GIVEN FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR
FOR ORGANIZED STORMS. ANY THREAT APPEARS GREATEST ALONG COASTAL
REGIONS WHERE ONSHORE FLOW AND MORE FAVORABLE TIMING OF THERMAL
TROUGH SHOULD RESULT IN GREATER INSTABILITY THAN FARTHER INLAND.

..DIAL.. 01/19/2010

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 190554
SWODY1
SPC AC 190552

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1152 PM CST MON JAN 18 2010

VALID 191200Z - 201200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN CA/SW AZ...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE NEWD AWAY FROM THE WEST COAST INTO
THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TODAY AS ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
APPROACHES THE CA COAST. AHEAD OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...A LARGE
AREA OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO
THE LA BASIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE EXIT REGION OF A POWERFUL
MID-LEVEL JET WILL AFFECT SRN CA MAINTAINING STRONG DEEP LAYER
SHEAR. FORECAST SOUNDINGS LATE THIS AFTERNOON FROM LOS ANGELES SEWD
SHOW 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES IN THE 50 TO 60 KT RANGE WITH 0-3 KM SRH OF
350 TO 450 M2/S2. THIS SHEAR ENVIRONMENT COMBINED WITH CAPE
CONCENTRATED MOSTLY BELOW 700 MB COULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR LOW-TOPPED
ROTATING STORMS WITH A MARGINAL TORNADO THREAT. THIS THREAT WOULD BE
MOST LIKELY WITH CELLS THAT REMAIN DISCRETE ON THE SOUTH END OF THE
RAINBAND. STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL ALSO LIKELY BE CONDUCIVE
FOR HAIL.

FURTHER EAST ACROSS SOUTHWEST AZ...CONVECTION IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP
EARLY THIS EVENING AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT INCREASES AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. ETA-KF FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN SW AZ
SHOW STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
SUGGESTING A MARGINAL HAIL THREAT COULD EXIST. INCREASING LOW-LEVEL
FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL JET MAY ALSO SUPPORT A
MARGINAL THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

...NRN AR/SE MO/WRN TN...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE NEWD ACROSS THE ARKLATEX TONIGHT AS
SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE ADVECTION TAKES PLACE ACROSS THE LOWER MS
VALLEY. AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT INCREASES LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THE
OZARKS...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ON THE NOSE OF THE
LOW-LEVEL JET ACROSS NRN AR AND SE MO. THIS CONVECTION SHOULD SPREAD
EWD ACROSS THE MID-MS VALLEY TOWARD DAYBREAK. ETA-KF FORECASTS
SOUNDINGS AT 09Z TO 12Z IN THE MID-MS VALLEY SHOW MUCAPE IN THE 750
TO 1250 RANGE AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SUGGESTING A THREAT
FOR HAIL WILL EXIST. THE ELEVATED NATURE OF THE CONVECTION SHOULD
INHIBIT THE DAMAGING WIND GUST POTENTIAL AND THE STRONG CAPPING
INVERSION SHOULD LIMIT THE CONVECTIVE COVERAGE.

..BROYLES.. 01/19/2010

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KVEF [190547]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 190547
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
947 PM PST MON JAN 18 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM HEAVY RAIN YUCCA VALLEY 34.11N 116.43W
01/18/2010 M1.25 INCH SAN BERNARDINO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

A FEW INTERSECTIONS EXPERIENCED MINOR FLOODING.

0515 PM HEAVY SNOW ASPENDELL 37.23N 118.58W
01/18/2010 M11.0 INCH INYO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

BETWEEN 730 AM AND 515 PM...10.5 INCHES OF NEW SNOWFALL.

0825 PM HEAVY SNOW MT. CHARLESTON 36.28N 115.62W
01/18/2010 M10.0 INCH CLARK NV PARK/FOREST SRVC

TEN INCHES OF NEW SNOWFALL SINCE THIS MORNING AT 800 AM.
SNOW HAD LIGHTENED TO FLURRIES AT 825 PM.


&&

$$

FUI

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