Saturday, May 26, 2007

KARX [262333]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 262333
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
633 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0620 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 1 NW CUBA CITY 42.61N 90.45W
05/26/2007 GRANT WI TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY FIRE DEPT


&&

$$

MW

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KSGF [262309]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 262309
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
609 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM TSTM WND DMG OZARK 37.02N 93.21W
05/26/2007 CHRISTIAN MO BROADCAST MEDIA

BARN BLOWN OVER AND A FEW TREES DOWN.


&&

$$

GAGAN

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KMAF [262302]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMAF 262302
LSRMAF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
601 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0557 PM HAIL HOBBS 32.73N 103.16W
05/26/2007 E1.75 INCH LEA NM PUBLIC

GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN HOBBS.


&&

$$

MUELLER

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KTOP [262301]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 262301
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
601 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 W ABILENE 38.92N 97.31W
05/26/2007 DICKINSON KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

DAISY ROAD AT HIGHWAY 40 CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER FROM
RECENT RAINFALL


&&

$$

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KICT [262253]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 262253
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
552 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 PM FLASH FLOOD SALINA 38.82N 97.62W
05/26/2007 SALINE KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

STREET FLOODING IN SOUTH SALINA.


&&

$$

LFW

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KSGF [262250]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 262250
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
550 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0549 PM TSTM WND GST 3 SE NIXA 37.01N 93.26W
05/26/2007 E70 MPH CHRISTIAN MO PUBLIC

70 MPH WIND GUST WITH A COUPLE OF TREES DOWN.


&&

$$

GAGAN

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KICT [262249]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 262249
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
549 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 E NEW CAMBRIA 38.88N 97.41W
05/26/2007 SALINE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

4.2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 2 HOURS AND WATER STARTING TO
RUN OVER RURAL ROADWAYS EAST OF NEW CAMBRIA.


&&

$$

CDJ

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KABQ [262244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KABQ 262244
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
444 PM MDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0212 PM HAIL 20 NNW MAGDALENA 34.38N 107.37W
05/25/2007 E1.00 INCH SOCORRO NM FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

EMT REMPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL NORTH
OF ALAMO...CORRECTED TIME OF HAIL EVENT.


&&

$$

CJONES

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KABQ [262242]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 262242
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
442 PM MDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 PM HAIL 4 NNW RUIDOSO 33.42N 105.67W
05/25/2007 E1.00 INCH LINCOLN NM CO-OP OBSERVER

DELAYED REPORT


&&

$$

CJONES

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KTOP [262235]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 262235
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
535 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0514 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 ESE MANHATTAN 39.17N 96.52W
05/26/2007 RILEY KS COUNTY OFFICIAL

K-18 CLOSED NEAR THE TOWN OF WABAUNSEE. WATER OVER THE
HIGHWAY.

0519 PM FLASH FLOOD 10 NW PAXICO 39.17N 96.30W
05/26/2007 WABAUNSEE KS COUNTY OFFICIAL

K-18 CLOSED NEAR THE TOWN OF WABAUNSEE. WATER OVER THE
HIGHWAY.


&&

$$

EK

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KLOT [262232]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 262232
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
532 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM HEAVY RAIN PEOTONE 41.33N 87.80W
05/26/2007 E0.38 INCH WILL IL UNKNOWN

IN 20 MINUTES.


&&

$$

CMOTT

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KLOT [262230]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 262230
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
530 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM FLOOD COUNTRY CLUB HILLS 41.56N 87.73W
05/26/2007 COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

159TH AND CICERO STREETS 16 INCHES OF STANDING WATER.


&&

$$

CMOTT

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KLOT [262227]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 262227
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
527 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0418 PM FLOOD JOLIET 41.53N 88.12W
05/26/2007 WILL IL TRAINED SPOTTER

VIADUCT AT I-80,2 RICHARDS ST, JOLIET IS FLOODED AND
BARELY PASSABLE.


&&

$$

CMOTT

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KLOT [262225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 262225
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
524 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0410 PM LIGHTNING NEW LENOX 41.52N 87.98W
05/26/2007 WILL IL EMERGENCY MNGR

HOME STUCK BY LIGHTNING JOLIET HIGHWAY CLOSE TO 1/2 MILE
EAST OF SCHOOLHOUSE RD


&&

$$

CMOTT

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KLOT [262222]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 262222
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
522 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0410 PM LIGHTNING NEW LENOX 41.52N 87.98W
05/26/2007 WILL IL EMERGENCY MNGR

ROOF OF SCHOOL STRUCK BY LIGHTNING CAUSED A FIRE ON ROOF
AT NELSON RD SOUTH OF LARAWAY ROAD. ROOF FIRE
SIGNIFICANT.


&&

$$

CMOTT

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KMPX [262216]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 262216
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
515 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0444 PM TORNADO MILLTOWN 45.53N 92.50W
05/26/2007 POLK WI PUBLIC

POSSIBLE BRIEF TOUCHDOWN BETWEEN MILLTOWN AND LUCK.
PUBLIC REPORT OF TREE DAMAGE AND DAMAGE TO AN OLD BARN


&&

$$

BAP

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KLWX [262201]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 262201
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
600 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0539 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SW MADISON 38.36N 78.29W
05/26/2007 MADISON VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ON ROUTE 230 JUST OUTSIDE MADISON.


&&

$$

SAR

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KTOP [262200]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 262200
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
459 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM HEAVY RAIN WAMEGO 39.20N 96.30W
05/26/2007 M1.15 INCH POTTAWATOMIE KS PUBLIC

AMOUNT THAT FELL IN 40 MINUTES...BETWEEN 320PM AND
400PM...ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF WAMEGO.


&&

$$

EK

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KDVN [262151]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 262151
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
451 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0444 PM TORNADO 1 S HOLY CROSS 42.59N 91.00W
05/26/2007 DUBUQUE IA PUBLIC

TREES DOWN.


&&

$$

RAYW

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KAMA [262123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 262123
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
423 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0414 PM FLASH FLOOD PALO DURO CANYON 34.95N 101.67W
05/26/2007 RANDALL TX PARK SERVICE

WATER CROSSING NUMBER 1 HAS 3 FEET OF WATER
FLOWING...ESTIMATED 400 PEOPLE TRAPPED ON OTHER SIDE OF
CROSSING...NO ONE IN DANGER

&&

$$

SMB

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KLOT [262119]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 262119
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
419 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0411 PM HEAVY RAIN JOLIET 41.53N 88.12W
05/26/2007 E0.00 INCH WILL IL TRAINED SPOTTER

STANDING WATER ON I 80 AT LARKIN IN JOLIET.


&&

$$

CMOTT

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KTOP [262114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 262114
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
414 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0405 PM FLASH FLOOD WAMEGO 39.20N 96.30W
05/26/2007 POTTAWATOMIE KS COUNTY OFFICIAL

WATER AROUND ONE FOOT DEEP FLOWING OVER SEVERAL STREETS
IN THE CITY OF WAMEGO. ONE INTERSECTION NOTED WAS 99TH
AND LINCOLN. PEA SIZE HAIL ALSO REPORTED.


&&

$$

EK

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KAMA [262107]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 262107
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
407 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0401 PM FLASH FLOOD PALO DURO CANYON 34.95N 101.67W
05/26/2007 RANDALL TX PARK SERVICE

3 FEET OF WATER OVER WATER CROSSING NUMBER 1...WATER
RECUSES UNDERWAY...PEOPLE STRANDED

&&

$$

SMB

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KILX [262107]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 262107
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
406 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM HAIL TOULON 41.09N 89.86W
05/26/2007 E0.88 INCH STARK IL PUBLIC


&&

$$

GEELHART

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KAMA [262103]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 262103
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
403 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM HAIL WAYSIDE 34.79N 101.55W
05/26/2007 M0.88 INCH ARMSTRONG TX CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

SMB

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0898

ACUS11 KWNS 262040
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262040
COZ000-262245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0898
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0340 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 262040Z - 262245Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL MAY DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS ACROSS THE CO FRONT RANGE. ALTHOUGH QUESTIONS EXIST REGARDING
THE EXTENT/MAGNITUDE OF THE SEVERE POTENTIAL...WILL MONITOR FOR A
POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

POST-FRONTAL UPSLOPE REGIME CONTINUES TO EVOLVE OVER EASTERN
CO...WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS GRADUALLY RISING AMIDST LOW LEVEL
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW...WITH DEWPOINTS WELL INTO THE 40S F ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE PALMER DIVIDE AS OF 20Z. PERHAPS AIDED BY A LOW
AMPLITUDE MID LEVEL IMPULSE...INSOLATION/HEATING AND SOME ADDITIONAL
INCREASE IN BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS NEAR THE I-25 CORRIDOR
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ALTHOUGH MID LEVEL WIND SPEEDS ARE MODEST
/25-30 KT VIA PLATTEVILLE CO PROFILER/...ESPECIALLY WITH SOUTH
EXTENT...VEERING WIND PROFILES MAY ALLOW FOR SOME SUSTAINED
STORMS/SUPERCELL STRUCTURES IN AN ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE VALUES OF
500-750 J/KG. AS STORMS DRIFT EAST-SOUTHEAST THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...IT IS QUESTIONABLE HOW FAR EAST STORMS
WILL MAINTAIN A SEVERE THREAT ACROSS THE CO PLAINS GIVEN INHIBITION
IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER.

.GUYER.. 05/26/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...

40280522 40580488 40760425 40620360 40140309 39780286
38700297 38070361 37300389 37310452 37610507 38250533
39310537

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KLOT [262036]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 262036
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
336 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0324 PM TSTM WND DMG OTTAWA 41.35N 88.84W
05/26/2007 LA SALLE IL PUBLIC

INTERSTATE 80 MILE MARKER 85 WEST OF OTTAWA. MINI TORNADO
OR GUST OF WIND PICKED UP A CAR AND TURNED IT AROUND.
RELAYED TO DISTRICT 17 STATE POLICE BY WHO IS DRIVING THE
CAR.


&&

$$

CMOTT

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KCHS [262032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 262032
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
432 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM RIP CURRENTS TYBEE ISLAND 32.00N 80.85W
05/25/2007 CHATHAM GA COUNTY OFFICIAL

SEVERAL RESCUES DUE TO RIP CURRENTS NEAR THE JETTIES AND
PIERS AT TYBEE ISLAND. REPORTED BY TYBEE ISLAND LIFEGUARD
GROUP.

0200 PM RIP CURRENTS TYBEE ISLAND 32.00N 80.85W
05/26/2007 CHATHAM GA COUNTY OFFICIAL

SEVERAL RIP CURRENTS REPORTED AT TYBEE ISLAND TODAY BY
THE TYBEE ISLAND LIFEGUARD GROUP.


&&

$$

REV

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KLSX [262023]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 262023
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
323 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM HAIL GRIGGSVILLE 39.71N 90.73W
05/26/2007 M1.00 INCH PIKE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

0310 PM HAIL GRIGGSVILLE 39.71N 90.73W
05/26/2007 M0.88 INCH PIKE IL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 262001
SWODY1
SPC AC 261958

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0258 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

VALID 262000Z - 271200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER
MIDWEST...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF ECNTRL CO...

..UPPER MIDWEST...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER THE NRN
PLAINS WILL DRIFT SLOWLY EWD INTO UPPER MIDWEST THIS AFTERNOON.
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER SYSTEM...SFC HEATING
AND LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG A SFC TROUGH OVER ECNTRL MN WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE REGION. THE RUC IDENTIFIES A STRONG VORTICITY MAX ACROSS FAR NE
IA WHICH IS LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH
IA AND NRN IL WITH NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING IN THIS AREA.

THE LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS IDENTIFIES A 60 KT MID-LEVEL JET OVER
ERN SD AND WRN MN. THE JET IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NRN PLAINS
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. ANOTHER SMALLER JET FEATURE IS IDENTIFIED OVER
NE IA. AS A RESULT...MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES
EXIST ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY IS RELATIVELY
WEAK...THE SHEAR PROFILES SHOULD BE ADEQUATE FOR SUPERCELLS. IN
ADDITION...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS QUITE STRONG ON WSR-88D VWPS WITH
STRONG VEERING BELOW 1 KM AND ADEQUATE BOUNDARY LAYER SPEED SHEAR
FOR TORNADOES. AS A RESULT...AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT SHOULD EXIST
WITH ACROSS WRN WI...FAR SE MN AND FAR NE IA. AN ISOLATED HAIL AND
WIND DAMAGE THREAT MAY ALSO EXIST ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH LOCALLY
MAXIMIZED INSTABILITY.

..ERN CO...
A BROAD WLY FLOW PATTERN IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE CNTRL ROCKIES AND AN
UPSLOPE FLOW REGIME IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS. AS
DESTABILIZATION OCCURS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
SHOULD INITIATE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG THE FRONT RANGE. THE
PLATTEVILLE CO PROFILER NORTH OF DENVER CURRENTLY SHOWS 0-6 KM SHEAR
VALUES AROUND 40 KT. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
ROTATING STORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. THE
SHEAR AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LIKELY BE SUFFICIENT FOR
AN ISOLATED LARGE HAIL THREAT.

..ERN NM/WEST TX...
THE LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS A POCKET OF MODERATE INSTABILITY
IN PLACE ACROSS CNTRL NM AND ONE LOCATED IN THE TX PANHANDLE.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN BOTH OF THESE AREAS IN A RELATIVELY
WEAKLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. THESE AREAS WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY FOR
A SEVERE THREAT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
APPEAR SUFFICIENT FOR HAIL BUT THE WEAK SHEAR SHOULD KEEP ANY THREAT
MARGINAL.

.BROYLES.. 05/26/2007

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0897

ACUS11 KWNS 261940
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261940
WIZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-262115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0897
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0240 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN IA...SERN MN...WRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 261940Z - 262115Z

POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL/HIGH WINDS APPEARS TO BE
INCREASING FROM NERN IS INTO PARTS OF ERN MN AND WRN/NWRN WI THIS
AFTERNOON. A WATCH IS LIKELY ACROSS A SMALL PART OF THE UPPER MS
VALLEY WITHIN THE HOUR.

TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG/AHEAD OF STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVING INTO ERN MN/WRN WI OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. DESPITE
CURRENTLY LIMITED INSTABILITY...SURFACE WARM AXIS HAS DEVELOPED IN
THE WAKE OF EARLIER STORMS JUST AHEAD OF THE WIND SHIFT. THIS WARM
PLUME...WITH STEEPER LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...WAS IN THE PROCESS OF
OVERSPREADING LOW LEVEL MOIST AXIS FROM SERN MN TO THE MN/WI BORDER
AREA. FORCING/LIFT ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND WITHIN DPVA REGION OF
ASSOCIATED COMPACT MID/UPPER IMPULSE WILL PROVIDE IMPETUS FOR
ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.
SHEAR PROFILES AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING CONVECTION APPEAR VERY
SUPPORTIVE FOR CELL/UPDRAFT ROTATION AND MAY COMPENSATE FOR MORE
LIMITED DESTABILIZATION AND RESULT IN PERSISTENT STORMS WITH
HAIL/WIND POTENTIAL. GREATEST THREAT APPEARS TO BE EVOLVING FROM
NERN IA ACROSS WRN WI ATTM AND A WATCH WILL LIKELY BE COORDINATED
SOON FOR THESE AREAS SHORTLY.

FARTHER NORTH...A FEW STRONG CELLS ALSO APPEAR POSSIBLE AS THE FRONT
MOVES TOWARD THE ARROWHEAD LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE STRONG
DYNAMICS AND KINEMATICS WILL LEND SUPPORT TO SOME STORMS THIS
AREA...WEAKER INSTABILITY MAY PRECLUDE A WATCH THIS FAR NORTH.

.CARBIN.. 05/26/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...DVN...DLH...ARX...MPX...DMX...

46909293 46889250 46029096 43909010 42629134 42989248
44569221 46509295

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KFWD [261931]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 261931
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
231 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0410 AM FLASH FLOOD 8 SE HAMILTON 31.62N 98.03W
05/26/2007 HAMILTON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 36 BETWEEN HAMILTON AND JONESBORO HAD WATER OVER
THE ROAD BRIEFLY.

$$

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KDVN [261910]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 261910
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
210 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0209 PM HAIL 1 W GALVA 41.17N 90.06W
05/26/2007 E0.25 INCH HENRY IL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

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KFWD [261910]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 261910
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
209 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM FLASH FLOOD BUCKHOLTS 30.87N 97.13W
05/26/2007 MILAM TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FM 437 AT CYPRESS CREEK CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

$$

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KFWD [261906]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 261906
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
206 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 PM FLASH FLOOD GROESBECK 31.52N 96.53W
05/26/2007 LIMESTONE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 164 AT THE RAILROAD UNDERPASS FLOODED FOR A
WHILE.

$$

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KDVN [261904]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 261904
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
204 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0201 PM HAIL GALVA 41.17N 90.04W
05/26/2007 E0.25 INCH HENRY IL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

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KCLE [261850]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 261850
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0218 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SE JEROMESVILLE 40.78N 82.17W
05/26/2007 ASHLAND OH PUBLIC

TWO LARGE LIMBS DOWN.


&&

$$

KIELTYKA

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KDVN [261808]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 261808
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
108 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1250 PM HAIL RUTLEDGE 40.31N 92.09W
05/26/2007 E0.25 INCH SCOTLAND MO TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZE HAIL.


&&

$$

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0896

ACUS11 KWNS 261754
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261754
ILZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-262000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0896
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1254 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...KS...NRN MO...SERN IA...WRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 261754Z - 262000Z

NUMEROUS STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS APPEAR LIKELY TO PERSIST
FROM ERN KS ACROSS NRN MO AND SERN IA INTO THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF
THIS ACTIVITY WILL ALSO SPREAD ALONG A WELL-DEFINED WARM FRONT
ACROSS NRN IL. LATEST INDICATIONS SUGGEST OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL
LIMITED BY A COMBINATION OF FACTORS INCLUDING LACK OF STRONGER LARGE
SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY. A WATCH APPEARS
UNLIKELY IN THIS AREA.

POORLY ORGANIZED BANDS AND A FEW CLUSTERS OF STORMS WERE SLOWLY
INCREASING WITHIN NARROW WARM SECTOR LOWER FROM MO VALLEY TO MID MS
VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN COVERAGE OF STORMS/PRECIPITATION AND
CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION...AIR MASS HAS BEEN SLOW TO DESTABILIZE AND
LATEST MLCAPE VALUES APPEAR TO BE HOLDING AROUND 500-800 J/KG.
POCKETS OF STRONGER HEATING ACROSS KS/MO AHEAD OF SLOW MOVING COLD
FRONT WILL BOOST INSTABILITY SOMEWHAT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND
STORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO RESPOND WITH MORE VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS
LIKELY DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...AND NEAR/ALONG THE WARM
FRONT FROM ERN IA INTO WRN IL. THIS REGION OF THE WARM SECTOR LIES
BENEATH CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT WHERE MID LEVEL FLOW AROUND 30KT WAS
CONTRIBUTING TO SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE SHEAR FOR SOME STORM
ORGANIZATION/PERSISTENCE. HOWEVER...LARGE SCALE FORCING AND LAPSE
RATES APPEAR SOMEWHAT MARGINAL FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT SEVERE. WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF A FEW HAIL EVENTS...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO OR
FUNNEL CLOUD FROM CELLS TRACKING NEAR/ACROSS THE WARM
FRONT...OVERALL POTENTIAL CURRENTLY APPEARS TOO LIMITED TO WARRANT A
WATCH.

.CARBIN.. 05/26/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

40908973 39259322 38119676 39089698 39929548 41389374
42189163 41959099 41619029

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 261739
SWODY2
SPC AC 261739

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1239 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER OH
VALLEY...SRN NY AND NRN PA...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL HIGH
PLAINS...

CORRECTED GEOGRAPHIC HEADLINE

..UPPER OH VALLEY/SRN NY/NRN PA...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE NRN PLAINS IS FORECAST TO DRIFT ENEWD
ACROSS ONTARIO TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. AT THE SFC...A LOW OVER MN
TONIGHT WILL MOVE NWD AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SEWD ACROSS THE NRN OH
VALLEY ON SUNDAY. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING ALONG THE BOUNDARY
IN THE MORNING BUT THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY SHOULD
INCREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS SFC TEMPS WARM. MCS DEVELOPMENT WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING.

CONCERNING THE SEVERE THREAT...MODEL FORECASTS MOVE AND STRENGTHEN A
60 KT MID-LEVEL JET EWD INTO THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
THE MID-LEVEL JET WILL CREATE MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES
ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR SCATTERED SEVERE
STORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY DEVELOPS ALONG THE
MOIST AXIS...AN ISOLATED SUPERCELL THREAT COULD DEVELOP IN PARTS OF
THE REGION. IN ADDITION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW UNIDIRECTIONAL
WIND PROFILES AND COLD TEMPS ALOFT WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT AN ISOLATED
THREAT FOR HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. IF A
LINEAR MCS DEVELOPS AND PERSISTS INTO THE EVENING...A CONCENTRATED
SEVERE THREAT COULD EXIST ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION.

..CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION AND NRN HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY. ALTHOUGH SUBTLE...THE NAM AND GFS
ARE IN AGREEMENT MOVING A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EWD INTO THE CNTRL HIGH
PLAINS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AT THE SFC...A MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
AXIS SHOULD EXIST FROM WRN KS EXTENDING NNWWD INTO WRN NEB WITH
POCKETS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IN
ADDITION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW BACKED LOW-LEVEL WINDS WITH
MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH. CONSIDERING VERY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE IN
PLACE...THE INSTABILITY AND SHEAR SUGGESTS THAT THE ENVIRONMENT WILL
BE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH STORM
COVERAGE STILL REMAINS UNCERTAIN...ANY SUPERCELLS THAT DEVELOP
SHOULD HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL.

..NRN ROCKIES...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE PACIFIC NW SUNDAY
WITH LARGE-SCALE ASCENT INCREASING ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. SFC HEATING AND THE LIFT SHOULD SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT
OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED...STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ASSOCIATED
WITH A MID-LEVEL JET MAY ALLOW SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS TO
DEVELOP AROUND PEAK HEATING.

.BROYLES.. 05/26/2007

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 261724
SWODY2
SPC AC 261722

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1222 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE LOWER OH
VALLEY...SRN NY AND NRN PA...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...

..UPPER OH VALLEY/SRN NY/NRN PA...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE NRN PLAINS IS FORECAST TO DRIFT ENEWD
ACROSS ONTARIO TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. AT THE SFC...A LOW OVER MN
TONIGHT WILL MOVE NWD AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SEWD ACROSS THE NRN OH
VALLEY ON SUNDAY. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING ALONG THE BOUNDARY
IN THE MORNING BUT THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY SHOULD
INCREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS SFC TEMPS WARM. MCS DEVELOPMENT WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING.

CONCERNING THE SEVERE THREAT...MODEL FORECASTS MOVE AND STRENGTHEN A
60 KT MID-LEVEL JET EWD INTO THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
THE MID-LEVEL JET WILL CREATE MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES
ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR SCATTERED SEVERE
STORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY DEVELOPS ALONG THE
MOIST AXIS...AN ISOLATED SUPERCELL THREAT COULD DEVELOP IN PARTS OF
THE REGION. IN ADDITION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW UNIDIRECTIONAL
WIND PROFILES AND COLD TEMPS ALOFT WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT AN ISOLATED
THREAT FOR HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. IF A
LINEAR MCS DEVELOPS AND PERSISTS INTO THE EVENING...A CONCENTRATED
SEVERE THREAT COULD EXIST ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION.

..CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION AND NRN HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY. ALTHOUGH SUBTLE...THE NAM AND GFS
ARE IN AGREEMENT MOVING A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EWD INTO THE CNTRL HIGH
PLAINS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AT THE SFC...A MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
AXIS SHOULD EXIST FROM WRN KS EXTENDING NNWWD INTO WRN NEB WITH
POCKETS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IN
ADDITION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW BACKED LOW-LEVEL WINDS WITH
MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH. CONSIDERING VERY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE IN
PLACE...THE INSTABILITY AND SHEAR SUGGESTS THAT THE ENVIRONMENT WILL
BE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH STORM
COVERAGE STILL REMAINS UNCERTAIN...ANY SUPERCELLS THAT DEVELOP
SHOULD HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL.

..NRN ROCKIES...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE PACIFIC NW SUNDAY
WITH LARGE-SCALE ASCENT INCREASING ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. SFC HEATING AND THE LIFT SHOULD SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT
OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED...STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ASSOCIATED
WITH A MID-LEVEL JET MAY ALLOW SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS TO
DEVELOP AROUND PEAK HEATING.

.BROYLES.. 05/26/2007

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KDVN [261723]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 261723
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1222 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1214 PM HAIL MEDIAPOLIS 41.01N 91.16W
05/26/2007 E1.00 INCH DES MOINES IA TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL.


&&

$$

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 261646
SWODY1
SPC AC 261643

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1143 AM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

VALID 261630Z - 271200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS EASTERN MN/WESTERN WI/EASTERN
IA...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS EASTERN CO...

..MN/WI/IA...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY A FEATURES A COMPACT SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTING
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN ND. LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS FEATURES
1009 MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE EASTERN ND/NORTHWEST MN BORDER...WITH
A TRAILING COLD FRONT ARCING THROUGH SOUTHWEST MN/NORTHWEST IA INTO
EASTERN CO. A PREFRONTAL TROUGH WAS NOTED ACROSS CENTRAL MN AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT...WITH A WARM FRONT GRADUALLY LIFTING NORTHWARD FROM
NORTHERN IA/NORTHERN IL INTO MN/WI.

WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER AND MODEST NATURE OF BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE
/ESPECIALLY WITH NORTH EXTENT/ COMPLICATES THE FORECAST DETAILS.
HOWEVER...LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT/GRADUAL DESTABILIZATION
THIS AFTERNOON SUGGEST THAT AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS APPEAR
LIKELY TO DEVELOP/INCREASE ALONG THE PREFRONTAL TROUGH AND/OR COLD
FRONT THIS AFTERNOON...INITIALLY ACROSS EASTERN MN INTO IA. DEEP
LAYER SHEAR OF 35-50 KT -- HIGHEST NORTHWARD ACROSS MN/WI -- WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS. LARGE HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS APPEAR TO BE
THE PRIMARY RISKS...HOWEVER A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN
EASTERN MN/WI ALONG THE WARM FRONT PROVIDED SUFFICIENT
DESTABILIZATION.

..EASTERN CO...
FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL EASTERLY UPSLOPE WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON IN
THE WAKE OF COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN
CO/NORTHERN KS. ADEQUATE DEEP LAYER /30-35 KT AND GREATER NORTH OF
I-70/ AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITH MLCAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG
WILL SUPPORT AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS/HIGH BASED SUPERCELLS
MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD FROM THE HIGHER TERRAIN. LARGE HAIL IS
EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD.

..MUCH OF KS/NORTHWEST MO/FAR NORTHWEST OK/TX PANHANDLE...
STRONG/A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG/SOUTH OF THE COLD
FRONT THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE MO RIVER VALLEY INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS. WHILE MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL EXIST...WEAK VERTICAL
SHEAR SHOULD LIMIT OVERALL STORM ORGANIZATION WITH THIS CORRIDOR.

..EASTERN NM...
A SUFFICIENTLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF NM TO SUPPORT MAINLY DIURNAL CONVECTION. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL
BE GENERALLY LESS THAN 20 KT...WHICH SUGGESTS THAT ANY SEVERE STORMS
WILL BE ISOLATED AND OF SHORT DURATION.

.GUYER/HART.. 05/26/2007

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KFWD [261614]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 261614
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1113 AM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1111 AM FLOOD MARLIN 31.31N 96.89W
05/26/2007 FALLS TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FM 147 HAS FLOODING AND WILL BE CLOSED SHORTLY BY LAW
ENFORCEMENT MARLIN AND TO THE NE

$$

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KFWD [261610]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 261610
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1110 AM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM FLOOD MARLIN 31.31N 96.89W
05/26/2007 FALLS TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROAD CLOSED IN MARLIN FOR 0NE HOUR(LIVE OAK ROAD)

$$

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KFWD [261518]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 261518
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1017 AM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1015 AM FLOOD TEMPLE 31.10N 97.36W
05/26/2007 BELL TX EMERGENCY MNGR

EM BELL COUNTY HAS A RESCUE UNDERWAY AT UNKNOWN LOCATION
TEMPLE AREA

$$

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0895

ACUS11 KWNS 261516
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261516
TXZ000-261745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0895
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1016 AM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...SE TX

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL

VALID 261516Z - 261745Z

SLOW MOVING MESOLOW APPEARS TO BE FOCUSING HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT
ACROSS PARTS OF COLORADO...AUSTIN...AND PERHAPS WASHINGTON COUNTIES
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. RAINFALL RATES ALONG THE TRACK OF THIS
FEATURE COULD EXCEED 2 INCHES PER HOUR. AN ISOLATED/BRIEF TORNADO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT EITHER.

CONVECTIVELY-INDUCED MESOLOW APPEARS TO HAVE EVOLVED IN LARGER SCALE
BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION ACROSS SE TX THIS MORNING. THE FOCUSED
FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE TO ACT
ON VERY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR MASS AS IT TRACKS SLOWLY NNEWD FROM
COLORADO COUNTY. PW VALUES AROUND 1.8 INCHES AND DEEP WARM CLOUD
LAYER AROUND 4KM WILL SUPPORT VERY EFFICIENT RAIN PROCESSES. THIS
DISTURBANCE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN GENERALLY WEAK FLOW REGIME RESULTING
IN A FORWARD SPEED UNDER 15KT.

IN ADDITION FOR HEAVY RAIN/FLOOD THREAT...COOLING CLOUD TOPS AND
RECENT LIGHTNING TRENDS SUGGEST THAT CONVECTION WITH THIS MESOLOW
MAY BE STRENGTHENING. GIVEN VERY LOW LFC AND SLIGHT DIURNAL WARMING
AHEAD OF THE TSTM COMPLEX...A BRIEF/ISOLATED TORNADO COULD ACCOMPANY
THE SMALL-SCALE TSTM CIRCULATION.

.CARBIN.. 05/26/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...EWX...

29559675 29799672 30179654 30279637 29759640

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KFWD [261444]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 261444
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
944 AM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0935 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 W WACO 31.57N 97.22W
05/26/2007 MCLENNAN TX EMERGENCY MNGR

TWO HIGH WATER RESCUES COMPLETED IN COMANCHE SPRINGS
(MCGREGOR) AND SPEEGLEVILLE

$$

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KSGF [261415]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261415
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
915 AM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 N WACO 37.30N 94.60W
05/25/2007 JASPER MO CO-OP OBSERVER

COUNTY ROAD 300 NEAR WACO...HAD 2 TO 3 INCHES OF WATER
COVERING THE ROAD.


&&

$$

WISE

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KFWD [261405]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 261405
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
904 AM CDT SAT MAY 26 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0903 AM FLOOD BLUM 32.14N 97.40W
05/26/2007 HILL TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGH WATER CLOSED CR 1130

$$

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