Sunday, November 2, 2008

KPIH [030446]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 030446
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
946 PM MST SUN NOV 02 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 ESE RUPERT 42.61N 113.66W
11/02/2008 M0.89 INCH MINIDOKA ID TRAINED SPOTTER

24-HR RAINFALL AMOUNT ENDING AT 6PM TONIGHT.


&&

$$

GEW

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KSLC [030119]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 030119
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
619 PM MST SUN NOV 02 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0628 AM HAIL MIDDLETON 37.12N 113.54W
11/02/2008 M0.50 INCH WASHINGTON UT TRAINED SPOTTER


0207 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 12 W RANDOLPH 41.63N 111.41W
11/02/2008 M64 MPH CACHE UT MESONET

RED SPUR RAWS - 8872 FT

1100 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 S ALTA 40.57N 111.64W
11/02/2008 M61 MPH SALT LAKE UT MESONET

ALTA - MT BALDY - 11066 FT

1030 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 W PEHRSON 40.13N 112.38W
11/02/2008 M75 MPH TOOELE UT MESONET

VERNON HILL - 5761 FT

1030 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SNOWBASIN 41.20N 111.88W
11/02/2008 M70 MPH WEBER UT MESONET

OGDEN PEAK - 9570 FT

1025 AM NON-TSTM WND GST DUGWAY 40.23N 112.73W
11/02/2008 M58 MPH TOOELE UT MESONET

ENGLISH VILLAGE - 4788 FT

1015 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 SW VERNON 39.99N 112.54W
11/02/2008 M58 MPH TOOELE UT MESONET

BLACK CROOK PEAK - 9275 FT

0915 AM NON-TSTM WND GST WENDOVER 40.75N 114.02W
11/02/2008 M62 MPH TOOELE UT MESONET

WENDOVER PEAK - 5087 FT

0558 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BURNTFORK 40.81N 110.07W
11/02/2008 M59 MPH DUCHESNE UT MESONET

CHEPETA - 12120 FT

0500 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SNOWBASIN 41.19N 111.87W
11/02/2008 M58 MPH WEBER UT MESONET

SNOWBASIN-STRAW TOP - 8999 FT

&&

$$

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 030100
SWODY1
SPC AC 030057

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0657 PM CST SUN NOV 02 2008

VALID 030100Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL DRIFT NEWD INTO
THE ROCKIES TONIGHT. LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH
AND COLD TEMPS ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD
EXIST ALONG THE AXIS OF THE TROUGH FROM SERN ID INTO NE UT...SRN WY
AND WCNTRL CO. ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS CURRENTLY LOCATED
ACROSS THE WRN GREAT LAKES REGION. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
ONGOING SOUTHEAST OF THE TROUGH JUST AHEAD OF THE STRONGEST
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT. MODEL FORECASTS INCREASE CONVECTION AS THIS
TROUGH MOVES SEWD INTO THE CNTRL GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN NRN AND CNTRL FL
WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S F AS AN
UPPER-LEVEL LOW MOVES NEWD ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE.

..BROYLES.. 11/03/2008

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KPIH [030057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 030057
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
556 PM MST SUN NOV 02 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 ENE BLACKFOOT 43.21N 112.29W
11/02/2008 M0.77 INCH BINGHAM ID TRAINED SPOTTER

20-HOUR STORM TOTAL PRECIPITATION.

0440 PM HEAVY RAIN GRACE 42.58N 111.73W
11/02/2008 M0.82 INCH CARIBOU ID TRAINED SPOTTER

20-HOUR STORM TOTAL PRECIPITATION.

0500 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 ENE RUPERT 42.63N 113.64W
11/02/2008 M0.80 INCH MINIDOKA ID TRAINED SPOTTER

22-HOUR STORM TOTAL PRECIPITATION.


&&

$$

GEW

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KREV [030048]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KREV 030048
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
448 PM PST SUN NOV 02 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 NW VERDI 39.58N 120.08W
11/02/2008 M1.82 INCH SIERRA CA OTHER FEDERAL

AT DOG VALLEY RAWS - 24 HR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 12 SW RENO 39.42N 119.98W
11/02/2008 M1.70 INCH WASHOE NV MESONET

GALENA CREEK PARK ALERT GAGE - LAST 24 HOURS

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 W WASHOE CITY 39.32N 119.85W
11/02/2008 M1.23 INCH WASHOE NV MESONET

LAST 24 HRS.

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN ALPINE MEADOWS 39.17N 120.22W
11/02/2008 M3.81 INCH PLACER CA MESONET

LAST 24 HOURS AT ALERT GAGE

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN MAMMOTH LAKES 37.64N 118.96W
11/02/2008 M1.93 INCH MONO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

LAST 24 HOURS. 3.29 INCHES SINCE 4 PM 10/30.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NW DOYLE 40.03N 120.11W
11/02/2008 M0.72 INCH LASSEN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN STEAD 39.64N 119.88W
11/02/2008 M0.97 INCH WASHOE NV CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 S BOCA RESERVOIR 39.36N 120.09W
11/02/2008 M3.32 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AT 6800 FEET.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN RENO 39.54N 119.82W
11/02/2008 M0.51 INCH WASHOE NV NWS EMPLOYEE

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN COLD SPRINGS VALLEY 39.67N 119.96W
11/02/2008 M0.62 INCH WASHOE NV NWS EMPLOYEE

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN PORTOLA 39.80N 120.47W
11/02/2008 M1.58 INCH PLUMAS CA CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL 1.58 INCHES.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 WNW PORTOLA 39.81N 120.50W
11/02/2008 M1.75 INCH PLUMAS CA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NNW CARSON CITY 39.18N 119.77W
11/02/2008 M0.36 INCH CARSON CITY NV TRAINED SPOTTER

0913 AM HEAVY RAIN LEE VINING 37.96N 119.12W
11/02/2008 M0.67 INCH MONO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

LEE VINING CO-OP SITE REPORTED 0.67 INCHES OF RAIN THIS
MORNING.

0917 AM HEAVY RAIN GERLACH 40.65N 119.35W
11/02/2008 M0.56 INCH WASHOE NV CO-OP OBSERVER

GERLACH CO-OP SITE REPORTED 0.56 INCHES OF RAINFALL THIS
MORNING.

0919 AM HEAVY RAIN BOCA RESERVOIR 39.40N 120.09W
11/02/2008 M1.23 INCH NEVADA CA CO-OP OBSERVER

BOCA RESERVOIR CO-OP SITE REPORTED 1.23 INCHES OF
RAINFALL THIS MORNING.

0921 AM HEAVY RAIN BRIDGEPORT 38.26N 119.22W
11/02/2008 M0.43 INCH MONO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

BRIDGEPORT CO-OP SITE REPORTED 0.43 INCHES OF RAINFALL
THIS MORNING.

0922 AM HEAVY RAIN MARKLEEVILLE 38.70N 119.78W
11/02/2008 M0.97 INCH ALPINE CA MESONET

MARKLEEVILLE HYDROMET SITE REPORTED 0.97 INCHES OF
RAINFALL.

0922 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 NE SPANISH SPRINGS 39.75N 119.63W
11/02/2008 M0.50 INCH WASHOE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED 0.50 INCHES OF RAINFALL.

0927 AM HEAVY RAIN TRUCKEE 39.33N 120.20W
11/02/2008 M1.95 INCH NEVADA CA ASOS

TRUCKEE AIRPORT OB REPORTED 1.95 INCHES OF RAINFALL.

0940 AM HEAVY RAIN SPANISH SPRINGS 39.62N 119.72W
11/02/2008 M0.45 INCH WASHOE NV CO-OP OBSERVER

SPANISH SPRINGS CO-OP REPORTED 0.45 INCHES OF RAINFALL
THIS MORNING.

0940 AM HEAVY RAIN STEAD 39.64N 119.88W
11/02/2008 M0.97 INCH WASHOE NV CO-OP OBSERVER

STEAD CO-OP REPORTED 0.97 INCHES OF RAINFALL THIS
MORNING.

0957 AM HEAVY RAIN RENO 39.54N 119.82W
11/02/2008 M0.55 INCH WASHOE NV OFFICIAL NWS OBS

RENO NWS OFFICE REPORTED 0.55 INCHES OF RAINFALL THIS
MORNING.

0959 AM HEAVY RAIN VIRGINIA CITY 39.31N 119.64W
11/02/2008 M0.41 INCH STOREY NV CO-OP OBSERVER

VIRGINIA CITY CO-OP SITE REPORTED 0.41 INCHES OF RAINFALL
THIS MORNING.

1011 AM HEAVY RAIN SOUTH LAKE TAHOE 38.94N 119.98W
11/02/2008 M0.92 INCH EL DORADO CA ASOS

SOUTH LAKE TAHOE ASOS REPORTED 0.92 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN
THE PAST 24 HOURS.

1118 AM HEAVY RAIN COLD SPRINGS 39.41N 117.84W
11/02/2008 M0.54 INCH CHURCHILL NV CO-OP OBSERVER

COLD SPRINGS CO-OP REPORTED 0.54 INCHES OF RAINFALL THIS
MORNING.

0423 PM HEAVY RAIN CARSON CITY 39.17N 119.76W
11/02/2008 M0.40 INCH CARSON CITY NV CO-OP OBSERVER

CARSON CITY CO-OP REPORTED 0.40 INCHES OF RAINFALL.

0423 PM HEAVY RAIN DAGGET PASS 38.98N 119.89W
11/02/2008 E0.47 INCH DOUGLAS NV CO-OP OBSERVER

DAGGET PASS CO-OP REPORTED 0.47 INCHES OF RAINFALL.

0424 PM HEAVY RAIN GLENBROOK 39.09N 119.94W
11/02/2008 M0.66 INCH DOUGLAS NV CO-OP OBSERVER

GLENBROOK CO-OP REPORTED 0.66 INCHES OF RAINFALL.


&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KJAX [022216]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 022216
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
516 PM EST SUN NOV 02 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0254 PM MARINE HAIL 46 ENE ST. AUGUSTINE BE 30.03N 80.54W
11/02/2008 M1.00 INCH AMZ472 XX PUBLIC

A MARINER REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND ESTIMATED WIND
GUSTS TO NEAR 40 KNOTS WHEN HE WAS ABOUT 35 NM NORTHEAST
OF MARINELAND. HIS VESSEL SUFFERED HAIL DAMAGE. THE TIME
OF THE EVENT WAS BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY.


&&

$$

AENYEDI

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 021940
SWODY1
SPC AC 021937

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0137 PM CST SUN NOV 02 2008

VALID 022000Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...UT AND ADJACENT INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY FEATURES BRUNT OF A POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED 50 KT MID LEVEL JET SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD FROM NV/UT
INTO ID/WESTERN WY THIS AFTERNOON. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT CONTINUES
TO PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN ID AND
NORTHERN/WESTERN UT INTO SOUTHERN NV THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE FRONT
RECENTLY PASSING THROUGH THE SALT LAKE CITY AREA. COINCIDENT WITH
THE CONTINUED EASTWARD TRANSLATION OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF UT/WESTERN WY AND EVENTUALLY WESTERN CO...STRONGLY
FORCED ASCENT/STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED
WIND GUSTS WITH LINEARLY-ORGANIZED CLUSTERS INTO THIS EVENING...WITH
SOME HAIL POSSIBLE AS WELL.

...LOWER MI/LAKE HURON...
AS A LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE UPSTREAM
UPPER MIDWEST...AND A WARM FRONT RETURNS NORTHWARD TOWARD THE GREAT
LAKES REGION...POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTMS WILL
INCREASE THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF LOWER MI. WHILE
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE HAIL SEEMS MINIMAL...AS MUCH AS 500-700
J/KG OF MUCAPE AND SUFFICIENT SHEAR ATOP A COOL/STABLE BOUNDARY
LAYER COULD RESULT IN SOME HAIL LATER TONIGHT.

..GUYER.. 11/02/2008

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KREV [021923]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KREV 021923
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1123 AM PST SUN NOV 02 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 12 SW RENO 39.42N 119.98W
11/02/2008 M1.70 INCH WASHOE NV MESONET

GALENA CREEK PARK ALERT GAGE - LAST 24 HOURS

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 NW VERDI 39.58N 120.08W
11/02/2008 M1.82 INCH SIERRA CA OTHER FEDERAL

AT DOG VALLEY RAWS - 24 HR TOTAL

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN ALPINE MEADOWS 39.17N 120.22W
11/02/2008 M3.81 INCH PLACER CA MESONET

LAST 24 HOURS AT ALERT GAGE

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN MAMMOTH LAKES 37.64N 118.96W
11/02/2008 M1.93 INCH MONO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

LAST 24 HOURS. 3.29 INCHES SINCE 4 PM 10/30.

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 W WASHOE CITY 39.32N 119.85W
11/02/2008 M1.23 INCH WASHOE NV MESONET

LAST 24 HRS.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NNW CARSON CITY 39.18N 119.77W
11/02/2008 M0.36 INCH CARSON CITY NV TRAINED SPOTTER

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN STEAD 39.64N 119.88W
11/02/2008 M0.97 INCH WASHOE NV CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 WNW PORTOLA 39.81N 120.50W
11/02/2008 M1.75 INCH PLUMAS CA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN PORTOLA 39.80N 120.47W
11/02/2008 M1.58 INCH PLUMAS CA CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL 1.58 INCHES.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN COLD SPRINGS VALLEY 39.67N 119.96W
11/02/2008 M0.62 INCH WASHOE NV NWS EMPLOYEE

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN RENO 39.54N 119.82W
11/02/2008 M0.51 INCH WASHOE NV NWS EMPLOYEE

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 S BOCA RESERVOIR 39.36N 120.09W
11/02/2008 M3.32 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AT 6800 FEET.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NW DOYLE 40.03N 120.11W
11/02/2008 M0.72 INCH LASSEN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

0913 AM HEAVY RAIN LEE VINING 37.96N 119.12W
11/02/2008 M0.67 INCH MONO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

LEE VINING CO-OP SITE REPORTED 0.67 INCHES OF RAIN THIS
MORNING.

0917 AM HEAVY RAIN GERLACH 40.65N 119.35W
11/02/2008 M0.56 INCH WASHOE NV CO-OP OBSERVER

GERLACH CO-OP SITE REPORTED 0.56 INCHES OF RAINFALL THIS
MORNING.

0919 AM HEAVY RAIN BOCA RESERVOIR 39.40N 120.09W
11/02/2008 M1.23 INCH NEVADA CA CO-OP OBSERVER

BOCA RESERVOIR CO-OP SITE REPORTED 1.23 INCHES OF
RAINFALL THIS MORNING.

0921 AM HEAVY RAIN BRIDGEPORT 38.26N 119.22W
11/02/2008 M0.43 INCH MONO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

BRIDGEPORT CO-OP SITE REPORTED 0.43 INCHES OF RAINFALL
THIS MORNING.

0922 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 NE SPANISH SPRINGS 39.75N 119.63W
11/02/2008 M0.50 INCH WASHOE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED 0.50 INCHES OF RAINFALL.

0922 AM HEAVY RAIN MARKLEEVILLE 38.70N 119.78W
11/02/2008 M0.97 INCH ALPINE CA MESONET

MARKLEEVILLE HYDROMET SITE REPORTED 0.97 INCHES OF
RAINFALL.

0927 AM HEAVY RAIN TRUCKEE 39.33N 120.20W
11/02/2008 M1.95 INCH NEVADA CA ASOS

TRUCKEE AIRPORT OB REPORTED 1.95 INCHES OF RAINFALL.

0940 AM HEAVY RAIN SPANISH SPRINGS 39.62N 119.72W
11/02/2008 M0.45 INCH WASHOE NV CO-OP OBSERVER

SPANISH SPRINGS CO-OP REPORTED 0.45 INCHES OF RAINFALL
THIS MORNING.

0940 AM HEAVY RAIN STEAD 39.64N 119.88W
11/02/2008 M0.97 INCH WASHOE NV CO-OP OBSERVER

STEAD CO-OP REPORTED 0.97 INCHES OF RAINFALL THIS
MORNING.

0957 AM HEAVY RAIN RENO 39.54N 119.82W
11/02/2008 M0.55 INCH WASHOE NV OFFICIAL NWS OBS

RENO NWS OFFICE REPORTED 0.55 INCHES OF RAINFALL THIS
MORNING.

0959 AM HEAVY RAIN VIRGINIA CITY 39.31N 119.64W
11/02/2008 M0.41 INCH STOREY NV CO-OP OBSERVER

VIRGINIA CITY CO-OP SITE REPORTED 0.41 INCHES OF RAINFALL
THIS MORNING.

1011 AM HEAVY RAIN SOUTH LAKE TAHOE 38.94N 119.98W
11/02/2008 M0.92 INCH EL DORADO CA ASOS

SOUTH LAKE TAHOE ASOS REPORTED 0.92 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN
THE PAST 24 HOURS.

1118 AM HEAVY RAIN COLD SPRINGS 39.41N 117.84W
11/02/2008 M0.54 INCH CHURCHILL NV CO-OP OBSERVER

COLD SPRINGS CO-OP REPORTED 0.54 INCHES OF RAINFALL THIS
MORNING.


&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KREV [021718]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KREV 021718
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
918 AM PST SUN NOV 02 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 12 SW RENO 39.42N 119.98W
11/02/2008 M1.70 INCH WASHOE NV MESONET

GALENA CREEK PARK ALERT GAGE - LAST 24 HOURS

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 NW VERDI 39.58N 120.08W
11/02/2008 M1.82 INCH SIERRA CA OTHER FEDERAL

AT DOG VALLEY RAWS - 24 HR TOTAL

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN ALPINE MEADOWS 39.17N 120.22W
11/02/2008 M3.81 INCH PLACER CA MESONET

LAST 24 HOURS AT ALERT GAGE

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN MAMMOTH LAKES 37.64N 118.96W
11/02/2008 M1.93 INCH MONO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

LAST 24 HOURS. 3.29 INCHES SINCE 4 PM 10/30.

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 W WASHOE CITY 39.32N 119.85W
11/02/2008 M1.23 INCH WASHOE NV MESONET

LAST 24 HRS.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN STEAD 39.64N 119.88W
11/02/2008 M0.97 INCH WASHOE NV CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NW DOYLE 40.03N 120.11W
11/02/2008 M0.72 INCH LASSEN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NNW CARSON CITY 39.18N 119.77W
11/02/2008 M0.36 INCH CARSON CITY NV TRAINED SPOTTER

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 S BOCA RESERVOIR 39.36N 120.09W
11/02/2008 M3.32 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AT 6800 FEET.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN RENO 39.54N 119.82W
11/02/2008 M0.51 INCH WASHOE NV NWS EMPLOYEE

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN COLD SPRINGS VALLEY 39.67N 119.96W
11/02/2008 M0.62 INCH WASHOE NV NWS EMPLOYEE

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN PORTOLA 39.80N 120.47W
11/02/2008 M1.58 INCH PLUMAS CA CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL 1.58 INCHES.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 WNW PORTOLA 39.81N 120.50W
11/02/2008 M1.75 INCH PLUMAS CA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0913 AM HEAVY RAIN LEE VINING 37.96N 119.12W
11/02/2008 M0.67 INCH MONO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

LEE VINING CO-OP SITE REPORTED 0.67 INCHES OF RAIN THIS
MORNING.


&&

$$

RMILNE

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KREV [021717]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 021717 CCA
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
819 AM PST SUN NOV 02 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN PORTOLA 39.80N 120.47W
11/02/2008 M1.58 INCH PLUMAS CA CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL 1.58 INCHES.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 WNW PORTOLA 39.81N 120.50W
11/02/2008 M1.75 INCH PLUMAS CA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN STEAD 39.64N 119.88W
11/02/2008 M0.97 INCH WASHOE NV CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NW DOYLE 40.03N 120.11W
11/02/2008 M0.72 INCH LASSEN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NNW CARSON CITY 39.18N 119.77W
11/02/2008 M0.36 INCH CARSON CITY NV TRAINED SPOTTER

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 S BOCA RESERVOIR 39.36N 120.09W
11/02/2008 M3.32 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AT 6800 FEET.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN RENO 39.54N 119.82W
11/02/2008 M0.51 INCH WASHOE NV NWS EMPLOYEE

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN COLD SPRINGS 39.41N 117.84W
11/02/2008 M0.62 INCH WASHOE NV NWS EMPLOYEE

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.


&&

$$

RMILNE

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KMFR [021704]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 021704
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
904 AM PST SUN NOV 02 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0902 AM HEAVY RAIN SSE BANDON 43.11N 124.41W
11/02/2008 M1.68 INCH COOS OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0902 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNE SELMA 42.34N 123.57W
11/02/2008 M1.05 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.


&&

$$

DW

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 021701
SWODY2
SPC AC 021659

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1059 AM CST SUN NOV 02 2008

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
INITIAL CONSIDERABLE WESTERN STATES SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES/NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS
INTO CENTRAL CANADA ON MONDAY...WHILE A SECONDARY SUBSTANTIAL UPPER
TROUGH DEVELOPS EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN CA/PACIFIC NORTHWEST MONDAY
NIGHT.

OVERALL...DEEP CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL WILL BE QUITE LOW ACROSS THE
CONUS ON MONDAY...WITH SEVERE TSTMS NOT EXPECTED. FOR THE SOUTHEAST
COASTAL AREAS...NORTHEAST ADVANCING UPPER LOW FROM NORTHERN
FL/SOUTHERN GA TO THE COASTAL CAROLINAS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO TSTM
POTENTIAL...PRIMARILY OFFSHORE BUT THE INLAND COASTAL AREAS AS WELL.

OTHER ROGUE TSTMS COULD OCCUR EARLY IN THE PERIOD ACROSS THE LAKE
HURON/LAKE ERIE VICINITIES...AS WELL AS DURING THE AFTERNOON NEAR
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHWEST TX. A STRAY TSTM OR TWO COULD ALSO
OCCUR ALONG THE COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WITH THE
LATTER PERIOD ARRIVAL OF THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH. HOWEVER...EACH OF
THESE SCENARIOS DO NOT APPEAR TO WARRANT 10% TSTM PROBABILITIES AT
THIS TIME.

..GUYER.. 11/02/2008

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2346

ACUS11 KWNS 021641
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021641
WYZ000-UTZ000-IDZ000-021915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2346
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1041 AM CST SUN NOV 02 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS NRN UT...EXTREME SWRN WY...EXTREME SERN
ID.

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 021641Z - 021915Z

TSTMS FCST TO DEVELOP INVOF SFC COLD FRONT NOW MOVING EWD ACROSS
NWRN UT...AS FRONT MOVES EWD 30-35 KT ACROSS SALT LAKE REGION AND
INTO WASATCH RANGE. STG NONCONVECTIVE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH FROPA
WILL BE SUPERIMPOSED UPON BY CONVECTIVE GUSTS. THIS MAY YIELD
DAMAGE IN SOME LOCALES...ESPECIALLY ALONG WRN SLOPES WITH GREATEST
DIRECT EXPOSURE.

BKN LINE OF CONVECTION SHOULD POSE RISK FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS
ACROSS CORRIDOR FROM PVU NWD TO VICINITY ID BORDER THROUGH ABOUT
1830Z. LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE LACK OF MORE ROBUST INFLOW-LAYER
DESTABILIZATION FOR CONVECTION ALONG FRONT...DUE TO THICK CLOUD
COVER LIMITING DIABATIC SFC HEATING. STILL...MOISTURE CHANNEL
IMAGERY AND RUC GUIDANCE INDICATES LEADING EDGE OF STRONGEST LARGE
SCALE ASCENT/COOLING ALOFT MAY MOVE OVER AREA JUST AHEAD OF
FRONT...AT LEAST MRGLLY FAVORING TSTM POTENTIAL AS NEGATIVELY TILTED
TROUGH OVER NV PIVOTS ENEWD. MODIFIED RAOBS AND RUC SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST SUFFICIENT ACCOMPANYING STEEPENING OF LAPSE RATES TO SUPPORT
MLCAPES 200-300 J/KG...ATOP SHALLOW INVERTED-V PROFILE RELATED TO
WEAK HEATING UNDER CLOUD COVER. ANY ACTIVITY SURVIVING PASSAGE
ACROSS WASATCH RANGE MAY PRODUCE GUSTS INTO RELATIVELY
DRY...SOMEWHAT MORE STRONGLY HEATED AND BETTER MIXED BOUNDARY LAYERS
OF NERN UT/SWRN WY AND EXTREME SERN ID. HOWEVER...DRY SFC DEW
POINTS WILL RENDER BUOYANCY VERY MRGL...GENERALLY AOB 100 J/KG.

..EDWARDS.. 11/02/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RIW...GJT...SLC...PIH...

LAT...LON 39661349 41461250 42171253 42311096 42051012 40850979
40041034 39701191 39641312 39661349

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KMFR [021626]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 021626
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
825 AM PST SUN NOV 02 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0820 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 SSW WEED 41.36N 122.42W
11/02/2008 M3.54 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL SINCE THURSDAY EVENING 10/30.
INCLUDES 1.74 INCHES ON 11/01.


&&

$$

DW

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KREV [021619]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 021619
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
819 AM PST SUN NOV 02 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN PORTOLA 39.80N 120.47W
11/02/2008 M1.58 INCH PLUMAS CA CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL 1.58 INCHES.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 WNW PORTOLA 39.81N 120.50W
11/02/2008 M1.75 INCH PLUMAS CA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN STEAD 39.64N 119.88W
11/02/2008 M0.97 INCH WASHOE NV CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NW DOYLE 40.03N 120.11W
11/02/2008 M0.72 INCH LASSEN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NNW CARSON CITY 39.18N 119.77W
11/02/2008 M0.36 INCH CARSON CITY NV TRAINED SPOTTER

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 S BOCA RESERVOIR 39.36N 120.09W
11/02/2008 M3.32 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AT 6800 FEET.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN RENO 39.54N 119.82W
11/02/2008 M0.51 INCH WASHOE NV NWS EMPLOYEE

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN COLD SPRINGS 39.41N 117.84W
11/02/2008 M0.62 INCH CHURCHILL NV NWS EMPLOYEE

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL.


&&

$$

RMILNE

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 021616
SWODY1
SPC AC 021613

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1013 AM CST SUN NOV 02 2008

VALID 021630Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CENTRAL INTERMOUNTAIN REGION...
A VIGOROUS S/WV TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING ENEWD ACROSS NV IS
ACCOMPANIED BY A STRONG COLD FRONT LOCATED AT 15Z FROM E OF A LINE
FROM PIH/ENV/ELY. LARGE SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF TROUGH IN CONCERT WITH
SWLY FLOW OF MOIST/MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS SUPPORTS THE CURRENT
LARGE AREA OF CONVECTIVE PCPN FROM ERN ID SWD THRU UT/ERN NV.

WHILE LITTLE HEATING EXPECTED ACROSS UT GIVEN THE OBSERVED EXTENSIVE
CLOUD COVER...THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY PRESENT AHEAD OF FRONT IN
UT REFLECTING BOTH AVAILABLE INSTABILITY/MDTLY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND
LARGE SCALE ASCENT. OBSERVED GRADIENT WINDS TO 40KT ALONG/AHEAD OF
FROPA COUPLED WITH CONVECTIVE CONTRIBUTION OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LIKELY RESULT IN A FEW GUSTS AOA 50KT ACROSS UT INTO WRN CO/SWRN WY
THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION SOME HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE STRONGER CORES GIVEN THE 7C/KM LAPSE RATES AND COOLER AIR
ALOFT ACCOMPANYING THE S/WV TROUGH. THE FROPA SHOULD OCCUR ALONG
WASATCH FRONT BETWEEN 18-20Z.

...FL...
NRN GULF UPR LOW WILL APPROACH THE FL PENINSULA THIS AFTN...
ENHANCING DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION IN REGION OF RELATIVELY MODEST
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /LOW 60S F DEWPOINTS/. NELY LOW LVL
TRAJECTORIES OUT OF WRN ATLANTIC SFC RIDGE SHOULD...HOWEVER...KEEP
LOW LVL LAPSE RATES FAIRLY WEAK...LIMITING OVERALL DEGREE OF
DESTABILIZATION. NEVERTHELESS...LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND FAVORABLY-
TIMED SFC HEATING SHOULD SUPPORT SCTD CLUSTERS OF
CONVECTION/TSTMS...ESPECIALLY FROM N CNTRL FL S/SW TO NEAR TPA/FMY.

MODERATE DEEP SHEAR MAY YIELD A FEW SUSTAINED STORMS ALONG THE FL W
CST...AND COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT MAY SUPPORT A BRIEF OCCURRENCE OR
TWO OF MARGINALLY SVR HAIL. OVERALL PATTERN...HOWEVER...DOES NOT
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED SVR.

...GRT LKS...
LOW LVL TRAJECTORIES FROM COOL/DRY SFC HIGH MOVING THROUGH SERN
CANADA WILL MAINTAIN A FAIRLY STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER OVER THE GREAT
LAKES. HOWEVER...MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LIFT WILL INCREASE AHEAD
OF MN UPR IMPULSE. SETUP MAY YIELD A FEW SPOTS OF ISOLD ELEVATED
CONVECTION/THUNDER.

..HALES/SCHNEIDER.. 11/02/2008

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 021301
SWODY1
SPC AC 021259

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0659 AM CST SUN NOV 02 2008

VALID 021300Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD...SLOWLY PROGRESSIVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE OVER THE E PACIFIC
AND WRN U.S. THIS PERIOD...AS WEAK RIDGE PERSISTS ACROSS THE
SRN/CNTRL PLNS. SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW ENTERING MN WILL CONTINUE ESE
INTO MI...WHILE CLOSED SYSTEM NOW CENTERED S OF MOB EDGES E ACROSS
THE NERN GULF OF MEXICO.

...ERN UT/WRN CO AND SW WY...
LEAD UPR IMPULSE THAT CAME ASHORE OVER CA LATE SATURDAY WILL
CONTINUE ENE ACROSS THE GRT BASIN TODAY ACCOMPANIED BY A COLD FRONT.
VORT MAX NOW OVER NRN/CNTRL CA WILL ENHANCE LARGE SCALE ASCENT FROM
ERN NV INTO PARTS OF UT/CO/SRN ID AND WRN WY LATER TODAY...
SUPPORTING A CONTINUATION OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND MULTI-LAYERED
CLOUDS. IN THE WAKE OF THIS ACTIVITY...SOME DIURNALLY-ENHANCED
DESTABILIZATION SHOULD OCCUR JUST AHEAD OF THE VORT MAX...WHERE DRY
SLOT WILL ALLOW FOR SFC HEATING BENEATH MID LVL THERMAL TROUGH.
POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF FAIRLY STEEP LOW LVL
LAPSE RATES/INVERTED-V THERMODYNAMIC SOUNDINGS. STORMS FORMING IN
THIS ENVIRONMENT COULD YIELD ISOLD DOWNBURSTS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE
HAIL THROUGH EARLY EVENING...ESPECIALLY IN CNTRL AND ERN UT.

...FL...
NRN GULF UPR LOW WILL APPROACH THE FL PENINSULA THIS AFTN...
ENHANCING DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION IN REGION OF RELATIVELY MODEST
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /LOW 60S F DEWPOINTS/. NELY LOW LVL
TRAJECTORIES OUT OF WRN ATLANTIC SFC RIDGE SHOULD...HOWEVER...KEEP
LOW LVL LAPSE RATES FAIRLY WEAK...LIMITING OVERALL DEGREE OF
DESTABILIZATION. NEVERTHELESS...LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND FAVORABLY-
TIMED SFC HEATING SHOULD SUPPORT SCTD CLUSTERS OF
CONVECTION/TSTMS...ESPECIALLY FROM N CNTRL FL S/SW TO NEAR TPA/FMY.
MODERATE DEEP SHEAR MAY YIELD A FEW SUSTAINED STORMS ALONG THE FL W
CST...AND COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT MAY SUPPORT A BRIEF OCCURRENCE OR
TWO OF MARGINALLY SVR HAIL. OVERALL PATTERN...HOWEVER...DOES NOT
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED SVR.

...GRT LKS...
LOW LVL TRAJECTORIES FROM COOL/DRY SFC HIGH MOVING THROUGH SERN
CANADA WILL MAINTAIN A FAIRLY STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER OVER THE GREAT
LAKES. HOWEVER...MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LIFT WILL INCREASE AHEAD
OF MN UPR IMPULSE. SETUP MAY YIELD A FEW SPOTS OF ISOLD ELEVATED
CONVECTION/THUNDER.

..CORFIDI/SMITH.. 11/02/2008

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 020940
SWOD48
SPC AC 020939

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0339 AM CST SUN NOV 02 2008

VALID 051200Z - 101200Z

...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE
MID AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS COMING WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY...

THE SPREAD AMONG MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST MODELS AND MREF ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS IS NOW REASONABLY LOW THROUGH THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PORTIONS
OF THE COMING WORK WEEK. STRONG SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS IS PROGGED TO
ACCOMPANY AN AMPLIFIED POLAR TROUGH EAST OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY. WHILE IT APPEARS MOST
PROBABLE THAT THE PRIMARY SURFACE LOW WILL TAKE A NORTHERN TRACK
THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...GUIDANCE IS
SUGGESTIVE THAT A COLD FRONT/DRY LINE INTERSECTION ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR INTENSE CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT AS THE POLAR JET CORE BEGINS TO OVERSPREAD IT WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. AND...A SUBSTANTIVE RETURN FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO
APPEARS LIKELY TO CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR A FEW
SUPERCELLS IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG SHEAR...BEFORE LARGE-SCALE
FORCING SUPPORTS POSSIBLE UPSCALE GROWTH INTO AN EXTENSIVE SQUALL
LINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH THE WARM SECTOR MAY NOT BECOME
PARTICULARLY BROAD...A STRONG/SEVERE SQUALL LINE MAY ADVANCE THROUGH
MUCH OF THE MID AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...BEFORE ACTIVITY DIMINISHES AS THE CYCLONE OCCLUDES
ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

..KERR.. 11/02/2008

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 020802
SWODY3
SPC AC 020759

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0159 AM CST SUN NOV 02 2008

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT A STRONG POLAR JET CORE WILL FINALLY DIG INLAND
ACROSS THE PACIFIC COAST DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD... CONTRIBUTING
TO A DEEPENING MID/UPPER TROUGH FROM THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO THE
PLAINS...AND SUPPORTING SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS TO THE LEE OF THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES. AS THIS OCCURS...THE DOWNSTREAM SOUTHERN BRANCH
TROUGH IS PROGGED TO GRADUALLY BEGIN SHIFTING EAST OF THE SOUTH
ATLANTIC COAST. AND... SURFACE RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS COASTAL PLAIN SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN.
HOWEVER...GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT BOUNDARY LAYER
MODIFICATION OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL NOT BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
A SIGNIFICANT/DEEP LAYER INLAND RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE UNTIL AT
LEAST VERY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...MORE LIKELY WEDNESDAY. COUPLED WITH
CONSIDERABLE LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC INHIBITION ACROSS THE
PLAINS...ASSOCIATED WITH ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR EMANATING FROM THE
PLATEAU REGION... CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL THROUGH MUCH OF
TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT APPEARS LIMITED.

...PARTS OF THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY/NORTHERN PLAINS...
DESPITE THE LACK OF A RETURN FLOW FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO...MODELS
ARE SUGGESTIVE THAT LINGERING MOISTURE NOW PRESENT FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS INTO THE OZARK PLATEAU /CHARACTERIZED BY 55-60F SURFACE DEW
POINTS/ WILL ADVECT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE PLAINS BY LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT. THIS IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR COINCIDENT WITH THE CONSOLIDATION
OF A SUB 1000 MB SURFACE LOW IN THE VICINITY OF CENTRAL/EASTERN
SOUTH DAKOTA...DOWNSTREAM OF THE DIFLUENT UPPER TROUGH...WHERE
LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION MAY BECOME STRONG
ENOUGH TO OVERCOME INHIBITION. IF LEVELS OF FREE CONVECTION FOR
LIFTED PARCELS ARE REACHED...SHEAR BENEATH SOUTHWESTERLY 500 MB
FLOW...PROGGED TO STRENGTHEN IN EXCESS OF 50 KTS...WILL PROBABLY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS WITH AT LEAST THE RISK FOR LARGE HAIL.

..KERR.. 11/02/2008

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KMFR [020720]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 020720
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1220 AM PDT SUN NOV 02 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1219 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW OBRIEN 42.06N 123.71W
11/02/2008 M1.57 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR RAINFALL ENDING AT MIDNIGHT


&&

$$

SPILDE

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 020522
SWODY1
SPC AC 020520

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1220 AM CDT SUN NOV 02 2008

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...ERN UT THROUGH WRN CO AND SW WY...

UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING ONTO THE CA COAST WILL CONTINUE EAST
THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND INTERMOUNTAIN REGION ACCOMPANIED BY A
COLD FRONT. LATEST RUC ANALYSIS SHOWS A VORT MAX JUST OFF THE CNTRL
CA COAST LOCATED WITHIN THE BASE OF UPPER TROUGH. LARGE SCALE ASCENT
DOWNSTREAM FROM THIS FEATURE WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND MULTI-LAYER CLOUDS MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY. THE GREATEST
DESTABILIZATION POTENTIAL WILL MOST LIKELY BE IN WAKE OF INITIAL
CLOUD SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH MOIST CONVEYOR BELT AND JUST AHEAD OF
VORT MAX WHERE DRY SLOT AND THERMAL TROUGH WILL EXIST. POTENTIAL
WILL EXIST FOR STEEP LAPSE RATES AND INVERTED-V BOUNDARY LAYERS TO
DEVELOP WHERE SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING OCCURS. STORMS
FORMING IN THIS ENVIRONMENT MAY BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED
DOWNBURSTS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL THROUGH EARLY EVENING.


...GREAT LAKES AREA...

LOW LEVEL TRAJECTORIES FROM CP HIGH PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH SERN
CANADA WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN A STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER OVER THE GREAT
LAKES. HOWEVER...MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LIFT ACCOMPANYING A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS REGION DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING MAY CONTRIBUTE TO MARGINAL INSTABILITY
AND POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED ELEVATED CONVECTION.


...FL...

UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL GULF WILL APPROACH THE FL PENINSULA
DURING THE AFTERNOON. MODEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH LOW 60S
DEWPOINTS ASSOCIATED WITH NELY TRAJECTORIES AS WELL AS MARGINAL MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT DEGREE OF CAPE INLAND.
HOWEVER...BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING IN ADDITION TO ASCENT AND COOLING
ALOFT ATTENDING THE UPPER TROUGH SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT
INSTABILITY FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

..DIAL/SMITH.. 11/02/2008

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KREV [020520]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 020520
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1020 PM PDT SAT NOV 01 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0620 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WSW GARDNERVILLE 38.91N 119.83W
11/01/2008 M52.00 MPH DOUGLAS NV TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 WSW PROSSER CREEK RES 39.34N 120.25W
11/01/2008 M1.25 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR RAINFALL THROUGH 7PM.

0747 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 N WALKER 38.59N 119.48W
11/01/2008 M65.00 MPH MONO CA MESONET

0813 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 ENE ALPINE MEADOWS 39.18N 120.16W
11/01/2008 M1.00 INCH PLACER CA TRAINED SPOTTER

RAIN BECOMING HEAVY AS OF 8PM.


&&

$$

WHOHMANN

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 020454
SWODY2
SPC AC 020451

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1151 PM CDT SAT NOV 01 2008

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT A SERIES OF SPEED MAXIMA/SHORT WAVE
IMPULSES WITHIN A STRONG PACIFIC POLAR JET WILL MAINTAIN AND SUPPORT
EASTWARD DEVELOPMENT OF BROAD UPPER TROUGHING ACROSS THE EASTERN
PACIFIC AND WESTERN U.S. THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THIS
CYCLONIC FLOW REGIME IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST AND ROCKIES...THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST BY 12Z TUESDAY...AS A
SIGNIFICANT IMPULSE LIFTS OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN... AHEAD OF A
STRONGER IMPULSE SHIFTING EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC COAST.
THIS PATTERN WILL FAVOR SURFACE TROUGHING TO THE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES...AND A STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW THROUGH MUCH
OF THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
HOWEVER...LINGERING SURFACE RIDGING UPSTREAM OF A SOUTHERN BRANCH
UPPER TROUGH AXIS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND BENEATH THE
CONFLUENCE OF THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN BRANCH JETS ALONG THE
ATLANTIC SEABOARD...WILL PRECLUDE A SUBSTANTIAL INLAND RETURN FLOW
OF MOISTURE. AND...CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL STILL APPEARS LOW ACROSS
MUCH OF THE NATION MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

...SOUTHEAST COASTAL AREAS...
LOW POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO MAY CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS
OF SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA...AHEAD OF A LINGERING SHEAR AXIS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE SOUTHERN BRANCH TROUGH. BUT...THE PRIMARY CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO BE FOCUSED
NEAR AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH EAST OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...PERHAPS AS FAR NORTH AND WEST AS CAROLINA COASTAL AREAS.

..KERR.. 11/02/2008

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KSGX [020402]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 020402
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
902 PM PDT SAT NOV 01 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0745 PM FLOOD 2 SE WRIGHTWOOD 34.34N 117.61W
11/01/2008 SAN BERNARDINO CA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

MINOR FLOODING ALONG SHEEP CREEK ROAD AND ALONG LONE PINE
CANYON ROAD NEAR WRIGHTWOOD.


&&

$$

BM

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