Sunday, February 5, 2012

KTOP [060410]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 060410
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1009 PM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 PM DENSE FOG 9 NNE HIAWATHA 39.97N 95.47W
02/05/2012 BROWN KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

VISIBILITY AROUND 50 FEET.


&&

$$

KC

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KDDC [060406]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KDDC 060406
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1005 PM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1020 PM SNOW WAKEENEY 39.02N 99.88W
02/03/2012 M6.0 INCH TREGO KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

THIS WAS REPORTED BY THE NESS COUNTY SHERIFF DEPARTMENT.

1030 PM SNOW RANSOM 38.64N 99.93W
02/03/2012 M2.0 INCH NESS KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

0100 AM SNOW 4 ESE PENDENNIS 38.63N 100.27W
02/04/2012 M4.0 INCH LANE KS PUBLIC

0100 AM SNOW 4 N RANSOM 38.70N 99.94W
02/04/2012 M5.0 INCH TREGO KS PUBLIC

0100 AM SNOW 6 N ELLIS 39.03N 99.55W
02/04/2012 M4.0 INCH ELLIS KS PUBLIC

0100 AM SNOW 5 E PENDENNIS 38.66N 100.23W
02/04/2012 M3.0 INCH NESS KS PUBLIC

0100 AM SNOW 5 NE ARNOLD 38.69N 99.98W
02/04/2012 M5.0 INCH NESS KS PUBLIC

0600 AM SNOW 1 NNW ELLIS 38.95N 99.57W
02/04/2012 M1.5 INCH ELLIS KS TRAINED SPOTTER

FROM 6 AM TO 6 AM. 0.60 INCHES OF PRECIP.

1139 AM SNOW 8 N JETMORE 38.20N 99.89W
02/04/2012 M1.0 INCH HODGEMAN KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JFINCH

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KDDC [060403]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 060403
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1003 PM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 AM SNOW 4 ESE PENDENNIS 38.63N 100.27W
02/04/2012 M4.0 INCH LANE KS PUBLIC


&&

$$

JFINCH

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KDDC [060402]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 060402
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1002 PM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 AM SNOW 6 N ELLIS 39.03N 99.55W
02/04/2012 M4.0 INCH ELLIS KS PUBLIC


&&

$$

JFINCH

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KDDC [060401]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 060401
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1001 PM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 AM SNOW 4 N RANSOM 38.70N 99.94W
02/04/2012 M5.0 INCH TREGO KS PUBLIC


&&

$$

JFINCH

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KDDC [060400]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 060400
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1000 PM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 AM SNOW 5 NE ARNOLD 38.69N 99.98W
02/04/2012 M5.0 INCH NESS KS PUBLIC


&&

$$

JFINCH

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KDDC [060357]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 060357
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
957 PM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 AM SNOW 5 E PENDENNIS 38.66N 100.23W
02/04/2012 M3.0 INCH NESS KS PUBLIC


&&

$$

JFINCH

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KABQ [060049]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KABQ 060049
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
549 PM MST SUN FEB 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 AM SNOW LA PLATA 36.93N 108.19W
02/05/2012 M1.0 INCH SAN JUAN NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0830 AM SNOW 7 NE FARMINGTON 36.83N 108.10W
02/05/2012 M1.0 INCH SAN JUAN NM TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1200280 ABQ1200281

$$

SHY

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 060049
SWODY1
SPC AC 060047

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0647 PM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

VALID 060100Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AS AN UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO VACATE THE NERN U.S. THROUGH THE END
OF THE PERIOD...A BLOCKING PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WRN NOAM.

AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL...THOUGH A
WEAK FRONT WILL CONTINUE PUSHING SWD ACROSS THE SERN STATES THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

...FL...
MODEST INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH A WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVING
ACROSS THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE IMPETUS FOR ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS -- PARTICULARLY ACROSS FAR S FL AND THE
KEYS. ANY SHOWERS AND STORMS FARTHER N SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED --
AND THUS WILL SHIFT THE 10% THUNDER LINE SWD TO INCLUDE ONLY SRN
PORTIONS OF THE STATE.

..GOSS.. 02/06/2012

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KGJT [052114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 052114
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
214 PM MST SUN FEB 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0920 AM SNOW 3 ESE HESPERUS 37.26N 107.98W
02/05/2012 M3.0 INCH LA PLATA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR SNOWFALL.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200075

$$

MALEKSA

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 051941
SWODY1
SPC AC 051939

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0139 PM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

VALID 052000Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

SHUNTED FL GENERAL THUNDERSTORM LINE SWD A BIT AS VISIBLE IMAGERY
DEPICTS CU FIELD HAVING TROUBLE GROWING PAST WEAK CAP AND DEWPOINTS
MIXING INTO THE UPPER 50S F. BEST CHANCE OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
SHOULD BE OVER CNTRL AND SRN PORTIONS OF FL WHERE BETTER MOISTURE
RESIDES.

ELSEWHERE...ADJUSTED TX THUNDER LINE A BIT. THIS AREA TOO WILL ONLY
SEE ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES.

..JEWELL.. 02/05/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1024 AM CST SUN FEB 05 2012/

...SERN STATES...
REMOVED GENERAL TSTMS FROM THE CAROLINAS AND GA. REST OF FCST
UNCHANGED.

DEEP-LAYER DRY AIR ADVECTION/SUBSIDENCE WAS IN FULL SWING ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS AND GA AS LOW/MID-LVL FLOW HAS TURNED WLY AHEAD OF THE
SYNOPTIC CDFNT. THE DECREASING INSTABILITY AND ONLY WEAK FRONTAL
CONVERGENCE/UPR SUPPORT WILL LIMIT DEEP MOIST CONVECTION OVER THE
CAROLINAS AND GA.

FARTHER S...COMPARATIVELY RICH LLVL MOISTURE WAS PRESENT OVER MUCH
OF FL. SEABREEZE/FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND INCREASING LLVL BUOYANCY
MAY BE ENOUGH FOR A FEW TSTMS OVER NRN/CNTRL FL THIS AFTN. NO SVR
WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED OWING TO MEAGER INSTABILITY.

MEANWHILE...UPR DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN STRENGTHENING OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN/SCNTRL GULF OF MEXICO. DOWNSTREAM...CONVECTION WAS
INCREASING OVER WRN CUBA AND THE KEYS INVOF SFC REFLECTION/TROUGH.
ALTHOUGH COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF HIGH CLOUD COVER WILL ENVELOPE SRN FL TO
LIMIT HEATING...CONVECTION WILL INCREASE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH AT
LEAST ISOLD TSTM PROBABILITIES. WEAK WIND FIELDS/BUOYANCY WILL
LIMIT SVR RISKS.

...CNTRL/SRN TX...
NO CHANGES NEEDED TO GENERAL TSTM RISK.

PRIMARY CONVECTIVE EVENT LAST NIGHT/EARLY THIS MORNING WAS TIED TO A
H25 SUBTROPICAL JETSTREAK. MAJORITY OF THE DEEP MOIST CONVECTION IS
NOW OVER THE WRN GULF WATERS. NEW TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY FORMED OVER
THE BIG BEND REGION...LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH TAIL-END OF A WEAK
DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH NRN MEXICO/SRN NM.

SPORADIC TSTMS WILL OCCUR OVER CNTRL/SRN TX THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH
HIGHER PROBABILITIES CONFINED TO THE BIG BEND REGION EWD ACROSS THE
SRN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND INTO SCNTRL TX/COASTAL BEND. ACTIVITY WILL
BE ELEVATED ATOP THE COLD DOME THAT SETTLED INTO PLACE YESTERDAY
WITH FCST MUCAPE SUFFICIENTLY WEAK TO PRECLUDE SVR HAIL.

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KLCH [051908]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KLCH 051908
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
108 PM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM FLOOD 10 NNW PITKIN 31.06N 93.01W
02/03/2012 VERNON LA OTHER FEDERAL

USGS STREAM GAUGE SHOWS WATER WENT TWO FEET OVER THE ROAD
ON THE 3RD AND PEAKED AT 3.5 FEET OVER THE ROAD DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WATER IS CURRENTLY JUST UNDER 3 FEET
OVER THE ROAD.

1100 AM FLASH FLOOD ALEXANDRIA 31.29N 92.46W
02/03/2012 RAPIDES LA EMERGENCY MNGR

22 ROAD CLOSURES ACROSS RAPIDES PARISH DUE TO FLOODING.

1130 AM FLOOD CENTERPOINT 31.25N 92.21W
02/03/2012 AVOYELLES LA BROADCAST MEDIA

OAK HAVEN NURSING HOME EVACUATED DUE TO FLOODING.

0430 PM FLOOD ALEXANDRIA 31.29N 92.46W
02/03/2012 RAPIDES LA EMERGENCY MNGR

41 ROADS REMAIN CLOSED ACROSS RAPIDES PARISH DUE TO
FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL.

0900 PM FLASH FLOOD 10 NNW PITKIN 31.07N 92.98W
02/03/2012 VERNON LA OTHER FEDERAL

WATER WENT TWO FEET OVER THE ROAD LAST EVENING AND PEAKED
NEAR 3.5 FEET OVER THE ROAD OVER NIGHT. WATER REMAINS
ABOUT 3.5 FEET OVER THE ROAD THIS MORNING

1130 PM FLOOD 7 NNW PITKIN 31.03N 92.97W
02/03/2012 VERNON LA OTHER FEDERAL

WATER REACH 2 FEET OVER THE ROAD OVERNIGHT AND PEAKED
NEAR 4 FEET OVER THE ROAD DURING THE OVERNIGHT. WATER
CONTINUES TO BE ABOUT 3.5 FEET OVER THE ROAD.

0600 AM FLOOD 6 NNE PITKIN 31.02N 92.90W
02/04/2012 VERNON LA OTHER FEDERAL

WATER PEAKED NEARLY TWO FEET OVER THE ROAD THIS MORNING
WATER IS ON THE WAY DOWN...BUT REMAINS ABOUT 1.5 FEET
OVER THE ROAD.

0600 AM FLOOD 6 NNE PITKIN 31.02N 92.90W
02/04/2012 VERNON LA OTHER FEDERAL

WATER PEAKED NEARLY TWO FEET OVER THE ROAD THIS MORNING
WATER IS ON THE WAY DOWN...BUT REMAINS ABOUT 1.5 FEET
OVER THE ROAD.

0800 AM TORNADO 5 SW DERIDDER 30.80N 93.34W
02/04/2012 F1 BEAUREGARD LA NWS STORM SURVEY

TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DE RIDDER AND
TRAVELED EAST RESULTING IN DAMAGE TO TREES...BARN DAMAGE
ON GRANBERRY ROAD WITH PORTIONS OF THE ROOF THROWN 0.4 OF
A MILE...AND CARPORT AWNING DAMAGE. PATH LENGTH 4.6 MILES
AND WIDTH 20 YARDS. ALSO ENTERED THE EXACT LAT LON
STARTING POINT.

0851 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 S ELIZABETH 30.85N 92.79W
02/04/2012 ALLEN LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

ALLEN PARISH SHERIFF REPORTS MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ON
WHITAKER RD AND HWY 112 WITH A FEW LIMBS DOWN IN THE
SURROUNDING AREAS.

0940 AM FLASH FLOOD DERIDDER 30.85N 93.29W
02/04/2012 BEAUREGARD LA PUBLIC

PUBLIC UPLOADED A PICTURE OF FLOODING ALONG PINE ST IN
DERIDDER ON KPLC FACEBOOK. WATER LEVEL WAS UP TO THE TOP
OF TIRES OF A CAR ATTEMPTED TO DRIVE THROUGH IT.

1030 AM FLOOD 1 W BALL 31.42N 92.43W
02/04/2012 RAPIDES LA BROADCAST MEDIA

LA HIGHWAY 1204 ONE MILE WEST OF THE INTERSECTION OF
HIGHWAY 165 CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER ON ROADWAY.

1048 AM TSTM WND DMG WASHINGTON 30.62N 92.06W
02/04/2012 ST. LANDRY LA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM SPOTTER IN WASHINGTON LA CALLED TO REPORT THAT AN
ALUMINUM CAR COVER WAS BLOWN OFF ITS FOUNDATION AS THE
LINE OF STORMS MOVED THROUGH.

1105 AM TSTM WND GST CROWLEY 30.21N 92.38W
02/04/2012 M30.00 MPH ACADIA LA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM SPOTTER IN CROWLEY REPORTED WIND SPEED FROM THE SE
AT 25 MPH GUSTING TO 30 MPH.


&&

$$

MOGGED

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 051715
SWODY2
SPC AC 051713

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1113 AM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A RELATIVELY DRY PATTERN WILL EXIST ON MONDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
OVER MOST OF THE COUNTRY. RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL EXIST
OVER THE FL PENINSULA ON THE SRN EDGE OF THE WESTERLIES...AND
DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD YIELD ISOLATED WEAK SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DURING THE DAY...ALTHOUGH IN A DISORGANIZED FASHION.

ELSEWHERE...AN UPPER LOW WILL MOVE FROM THE FOUR CORNERS STATES INTO
THE PLAINS OVERNIGHT...WITH LIFT ALONG A COLD FRONT PRODUCING
SHOWERS FROM NM INTO THE TX PANHANDLE. HOWEVER...INSTABILITY WILL BE
VERY WEAK AND LIGHTNING IS UNLIKELY.

..JEWELL.. 02/05/2012

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 051626
SWODY1
SPC AC 051624

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1024 AM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

VALID 051630Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN STATES...
REMOVED GENERAL TSTMS FROM THE CAROLINAS AND GA. REST OF FCST
UNCHANGED.

DEEP-LAYER DRY AIR ADVECTION/SUBSIDENCE WAS IN FULL SWING ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS AND GA AS LOW/MID-LVL FLOW HAS TURNED WLY AHEAD OF THE
SYNOPTIC CDFNT. THE DECREASING INSTABILITY AND ONLY WEAK FRONTAL
CONVERGENCE/UPR SUPPORT WILL LIMIT DEEP MOIST CONVECTION OVER THE
CAROLINAS AND GA.

FARTHER S...COMPARATIVELY RICH LLVL MOISTURE WAS PRESENT OVER MUCH
OF FL. SEABREEZE/FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND INCREASING LLVL BUOYANCY
MAY BE ENOUGH FOR A FEW TSTMS OVER NRN/CNTRL FL THIS AFTN. NO SVR
WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED OWING TO MEAGER INSTABILITY.

MEANWHILE...UPR DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN STRENGTHENING OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN/SCNTRL GULF OF MEXICO. DOWNSTREAM...CONVECTION WAS
INCREASING OVER WRN CUBA AND THE KEYS INVOF SFC REFLECTION/TROUGH.
ALTHOUGH COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF HIGH CLOUD COVER WILL ENVELOPE SRN FL TO
LIMIT HEATING...CONVECTION WILL INCREASE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH AT
LEAST ISOLD TSTM PROBABILITIES. WEAK WIND FIELDS/BUOYANCY WILL
LIMIT SVR RISKS.

...CNTRL/SRN TX...
NO CHANGES NEEDED TO GENERAL TSTM RISK.

PRIMARY CONVECTIVE EVENT LAST NIGHT/EARLY THIS MORNING WAS TIED TO A
H25 SUBTROPICAL JETSTREAK. MAJORITY OF THE DEEP MOIST CONVECTION IS
NOW OVER THE WRN GULF WATERS. NEW TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY FORMED OVER
THE BIG BEND REGION...LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH TAIL-END OF A WEAK
DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH NRN MEXICO/SRN NM.

SPORADIC TSTMS WILL OCCUR OVER CNTRL/SRN TX THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH
HIGHER PROBABILITIES CONFINED TO THE BIG BEND REGION EWD ACROSS THE
SRN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND INTO SCNTRL TX/COASTAL BEND. ACTIVITY WILL
BE ELEVATED ATOP THE COLD DOME THAT SETTLED INTO PLACE YESTERDAY
WITH FCST MUCAPE SUFFICIENTLY WEAK TO PRECLUDE SVR HAIL.

..RACY.. 02/05/2012

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KOAX [051519]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 051519
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
919 AM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 SE CEDAR BLUFFS 41.37N 96.57W
02/05/2012 M8.5 INCH SAUNDERS NE AMATEUR RADIO

STORM TOTAL.

0915 AM HEAVY SNOW FREMONT 41.44N 96.49W
02/05/2012 M7.7 INCH DODGE NE AMATEUR RADIO

STORM TOTAL.

0915 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 SW MORSE BLUFF 41.41N 96.79W
02/05/2012 M8.0 INCH SAUNDERS NE AMATEUR RADIO

STORM TOTAL.


&&

$$

VDEWALD

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 051255
SWODY1
SPC AC 051253

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0653 AM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

VALID 051300Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
PATTERN WILL REMAIN BLOCKY THIS PERIOD...WITH THE MAIN BELT OF THE
WLYS CONTINUING TO BE SHUNTED N AND E ACROSS CNTRL AND ERN CANADA BY
REMNANT ANTICYCLONE OVER BC/AB. MO UPR LOW EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY
ESE INTO SRN IL/IND BETWEEN NOW AND EARLY MON AS THE SYSTEM
TEMPORARILY ELONGATES IN RESPONSE TO PASSING SHORTWAVE IMPULSE
CROSSING THE LWR GRT LKS/MID ATLANTIC. SOUTH OF THESE
FEATURES...LOW AMPLITUDE WSW FLOW WILL PREVAIL FROM NRN MEXICO TO
THE S ATLANTIC CST.

A WEAK LOW AND COLD FRONT ORIGINALLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE MO UPR
SYSTEM WILL ADVANCE E FROM THE SRN APPALACHIANS TO OFF THE CAROLINA
CST TNGT/EARLY MON. THE COLD FRONT MAY SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR A FEW
TSTMS THIS AFTN. OTHER STORMS MAY AFFECT PARTS OF TX AND FL THROUGH
MON.

...SERN STATES TODAY/TNGT...
AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE STEADILY E ACROSS PARTS OF
AL...GA...AND SC TODAY...WHILE THE NRN PART EDGES SLOWLY S ACROSS
NC. WLY FLOW ALOFT AND JUST OFF THE SFC WILL BRING DRIER AIR TO THE
REGION. BUT GIVEN MODEST SFC HEATING...SUFFICIENT MOISTURE SHOULD
LINGER TO SUPPORT POCKETS OF WEAK INSTABILITY /SBCAPE AOB 500 J PER
KG/ AHEAD OF FRONT. FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL
REMAIN WEAK...MINIMIZING OVERALL STORM COVERAGE. MODERATE
UNIDIRECTIONAL CLOUD LAYER FLOW MAY...HOWEVER...FOSTER ONE OR TWO
MULTICELLS AND/OR SHORT LINES CAPABLE OF LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS.

COMPARATIVELY RICH LOW LVL MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT FARTHER S OVER
MUCH OF FL. BUT MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH SUBTROPICAL
SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM WRN CUBA WILL LIMIT SFC HEATING. BUOYANCY
AND UPLIFT ALONG SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS MAY NEVERTHELESS PROVE
SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT WDLY SCTD DIURNAL STORMS. WEAK WIND
FIELD/LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT CONVECTIVE STRENGTH/ORGANIZATION. SOME
STORMS LIKELY WILL PERSIST OVER S FL THROUGH EARLY MON AS
SUBTROPICAL IMPULSE CONTINUES NEWD.

...SRN/S CNTRL/SE TX...
UPR IMPULSE NOW OVER N CNTRL MEXICO EXPECTED TO SUPPORT CONTINUED
DEVELOPMENT OF ELEVATED TSTMS ATOP POST-FRONTAL COOL DOME OVER
MAINLY S TX AND THE ADJACENT CSTL WATERS THROUGH LATER TODAY. A
SECOND...WEAKER IMPULSE MAY PROMOTE ANOTHER ROUND OF ELEVATED STORMS
OVER DEEP S TX AND THE LWR/MIDDLE TX GULF CSTL PLN TNGT/EARLY MON.
RELATIVELY WEAK MID LVL LAPSE RATES PER OBSERVED AND FCST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST THAT ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN TOO LIMITED TO POSE A
RISK FOR SVR HAIL.

..CORFIDI/HURLBUT.. 02/05/2012

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 050949
SWOD48
SPC AC 050948

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0348 AM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

VALID 081200Z - 131200Z

...DISCUSSION...
LATEST MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATE THAT A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED
LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL TREND MORE PROGRESSIVE/LESS AMPLIFIED THROUGH
THE MID/LATE PART OF THE WEEK...WITH A LOW LATITUDE TROUGH GRADUALLY
CROSSING NORTHERN MEXICO THROUGH DAYS 5-6. BUT GIVEN THE EXPECTED
PREVALENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE EAST OF THE ROCKIES AND ASSOCIATED
COLD/CONTINENTAL TRAJECTORIES...APPRECIABLE SEVERE TSTM POTENTIAL
APPEARS UNLIKELY INTO THE WEEKEND.

..GUYER.. 02/05/2012

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 050819
SWODY3
SPC AC 050818

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0218 AM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
WITH MEAN TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN CONUS ON
TUESDAY...AMPLIFIED/SPLIT UPPER FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL OVER
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CONUS/CANADA. DURING THE LAST HALF OF THE
PERIOD...IT SEEMS PROBABLE THAT A PORTION OF AN EASTERN PACIFIC
TROUGH WILL SLIDE SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE CA COAST WITHIN THE
SOUTHERN STREAM. WHILE A VIRTUALLY NIL TSTM POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
MOST AREAS...ISOLATED TSTM POTENTIAL MAY EXIST FOR PORTIONS OF
COASTAL CA.

FOR CA COASTAL AREAS...A FEW TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS AND ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS OF CENTRAL/SOUTHERN CA
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TUESDAY EVENING/NIGHT. GIVEN THE
EXPECTED TIMING AND MOVEMENT OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER
TROUGH/ASSOCIATED FRONT...LIMITED MOISTENING/DESTABILIZATION INLAND
IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE A SEVERE RISK.

..GUYER.. 02/05/2012

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KOAX [050754]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 050754
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
154 AM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM SNOW 3 W PACIFIC JUNCTION 41.02N 95.86W
02/04/2012 M10.0 INCH MILLS IA TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

BKERN

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 050628
SWODY2
SPC AC 050627

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1227 AM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
AMPLIFIED/SPLIT BLOCKY UPPER FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER NORTH AMERICA
INTO MONDAY...AS HIGHLIGHTED BY A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE OVER THE
WESTERN PARTS OF THE CONUS/CANADA. WITHIN THIS REGIME...A WEAK
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL LIKELY SPREAD EASTWARD FROM THE TN VALLEY TO
THE CAROLINAS...BUT ANY APPRECIABLE SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS/MOISTURE
INFLUX SHOULD REMAIN OFF THE CAROLINAS/ATLANTIC COAST.
HOWEVER...ACROSS SOUTH FL...SUFFICIENT MOISTURE/WEAK BUOYANCY AND A
WEAKLY FORCED REGIME ALONG/SOUTH OF A STALLING COLD FRONT MAY YIELD
A MARGINAL POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TSTMS.

OTHERWISE...MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY AND/OR DOMINATED BY EXPANSIVE
HIGH PRESSURE EAST OF THE ROCKIES AND A VIRTUALLY NIL TSTM POTENTIAL
IS ANTICIPATED ELSEWHERE.

..GUYER.. 02/05/2012

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KAMA [050603]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KAMA 050603
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1202 AM CST SUN FEB 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM HAIL 9 WNW WHEELER 35.49N 100.42W
02/02/2012 E0.75 INCH WHEELER TX PUBLIC

0810 PM HAIL WHEELER 35.44N 100.28W
02/02/2012 E1.00 INCH WHEELER TX PUBLIC

0820 PM HAIL 1 W LAKE MEREDITH 35.65N 101.68W
02/02/2012 E0.88 INCH MOORE TX BROADCAST MEDIA

0827 PM HAIL 1 W LAKE MEREDITH 35.65N 101.68W
02/02/2012 E1.00 INCH MOORE TX BROADCAST MEDIA

0830 PM HAIL 1 NNE STINNETT 35.84N 101.44W
02/02/2012 M1.00 INCH HUTCHINSON TX PUBLIC

PEA TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL

0852 PM HAIL STINNETT 35.82N 101.44W
02/02/2012 E1.00 INCH HUTCHINSON TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

PEA TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

0925 PM HAIL 9 S SPEARMAN 36.07N 101.19W
02/02/2012 E1.00 INCH HANSFORD TX PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZE HAIL

0944 PM HAIL 5 S BOOKER 36.38N 100.54W
02/02/2012 E1.25 INCH LIPSCOMB TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL

0946 PM HAIL 8 S BOOKER 36.34N 100.54W
02/02/2012 E0.88 INCH LIPSCOMB TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

NICKEL SIZE HAIL

0950 PM HAIL 5 SW AMARILLO 35.15N 101.88W
02/02/2012 E1.00 INCH RANDALL TX BROADCAST MEDIA

0950 PM HAIL 5 S AMARILLO 35.13N 101.82W
02/02/2012 E1.00 INCH RANDALL TX PUBLIC

0952 PM HAIL 6 SW AMARILLO 35.14N 101.89W
02/02/2012 E0.88 INCH RANDALL TX BROADCAST MEDIA

0953 PM HAIL 10 N AMARILLO 35.35N 101.82W
02/02/2012 E1.75 INCH POTTER TX BROADCAST MEDIA

GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AT RIVIERA PARK.

0953 PM HAIL 3 SSE BOOKER 36.42N 100.52W
02/02/2012 E1.00 INCH LIPSCOMB TX PUBLIC

QUARTER HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

0955 PM HAIL 3 W AMARILLO 35.20N 101.87W
02/02/2012 E1.00 INCH POTTER TX TRAINED SPOTTER

1000 PM HAIL CANYON 34.98N 101.92W
02/02/2012 E0.75 INCH RANDALL TX PUBLIC

1015 PM HAIL AMARILLO 35.20N 101.82W
02/02/2012 E0.88 INCH POTTER TX BROADCAST MEDIA

NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY JUST EAST OF THE LOOP AND I-27 DUE
TO PEA TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL FALLING.

1027 PM HAIL LAKE TANGLEWOOD 35.06N 101.78W
02/02/2012 E0.88 INCH RANDALL TX TRAINED SPOTTER

1146 PM HAIL PANHANDLE 35.35N 101.38W
02/02/2012 E1.00 INCH CARSON TX PUBLIC

1242 AM TORNADO 10 SSW MIAMI 35.55N 100.70W
02/03/2012 F1 GRAY TX NWS STORM SURVEY

THE TORNADO FIRST TOUCHED DOWN ON STATE HIGHWAY 152 AND
WAS ON THE GROUND FOR 13 MILES WITH A MAXIMUM WIDTH OF
100 YARDS. THE TORNADO DISSIPATED AT 103 AM CST IN
EXTREME SOUTHWEST HEMPHILL COUNTY. AT THE BEGINNING OF
THE TORNADO TRACK...THERE WAS A HORSE BARN DAMAGED AS
WELL AS A CENTER PIVOT IRRIGATION SYSTEM OVERTURNED. TWO
MILES TO THE NORTHEAST...TWO SINGLE POWER POLES WERE
SNAPPED AT THE BASE. WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 MPH.

0111 AM TSTM WND GST 17 SW CANADIAN 35.74N 100.60W
02/03/2012 M74.00 MPH ROBERTS TX BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

$$

KNS

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