Thursday, November 24, 2011

KEPZ [250328]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEPZ 250328
LSREPZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
827 PM MST THU NOV 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0824 PM FLASH FLOOD DEMING 32.26N 107.75W
11/24/2011 LUNA NM LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLOODING OF SEVERAL STREETS HAS BEEN REPORTED IN
DEMING. AS MUCH AS A FOOT OF WATER COVERS SOME LOW LYING
SPOTS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EPZ1100366

$$

LANEY

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 250052
SWODY1
SPC AC 250050

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0650 PM CST THU NOV 24 2011

VALID 250100Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN AZ/SWRN NM...

SHOWERS ARE GRADUALLY SPREADING ACROSS NRN MEXICO INTO SERN AZ/SWRN
NM WITHIN WARM CONVEYOR AHEAD OF PRIMARY UPPER LOW. WHILE AIR MASS
OVER THIS REGION IS NOT PARTICULARLY UNSTABLE EARLY THIS EVENING IT
APPEARS ELEVATED INSTABILITY SHOULD INCREASE WITH TIME AND A FEW
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS MAY SPREAD/DEVELOP ACROSS THE U.S./MEXICAN
BORDER LATER THIS EVENING. TOWARD SUNRISE LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY
STEEPEN SUFFICIENTLY FOR NEAR-SFC BASED CONVECTION IMMEDIATELY AHEAD
OF UPPER LOW ALONG ADVANCING WIND SHIFT. EVEN SO...ACTIVITY SHOULD
REMAIN ISOLATED.

...PACIFIC NW...

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE STRUGGLED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE WA/ORE COAST THIS
EVENING. MINIMAL LIGHTNING HAS BEEN DETECTED WITHIN POST FRONTAL
CONVECTION THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS AND THE PROSPECT FOR MORE THAN ONE
OR TWO STRIKES APPEARS TOO LOW TO WARRANT A THUNDER RISK THE REST OF
THE PERIOD.

..DARROW.. 11/25/2011

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMFR [250035]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 250035
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
435 PM PST THU NOV 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 SSW SUNNY VALLEY 42.59N 123.41W
11/24/2011 M1.32 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR ACCUMULATION


&&

$$

BUNKER

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMFR [250015]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 250015
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
415 PM PST THU NOV 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW OBRIEN 42.06N 123.71W
11/24/2011 M1.60 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR ACCUMULATION


&&

$$

BUNKER

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMSO [242011]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 242011
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
111 PM MST THU NOV 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG FLORENCE 46.63N 114.08W
11/23/2011 RAVALLI MT UTILITY COMPANY

TREES ON POWER LINES CAUSED 20000 CUSTOMER POWER OUTAGE.


&&

$$

GIBSON

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KTFX [242007]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 242007
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
107 PM MST THU NOV 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 14 W BYNUM 47.98N 112.61W
11/24/2011 M67 MPH TETON MT MESONET

67 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT DELLWO.


&&

$$

NJL

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KTFX [241912]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 241912
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1212 PM MST THU NOV 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 SW DUPUYER 48.19N 112.51W
11/23/2011 PONDERA MT TRAINED SPOTTER

ROOF BUCKLED SKYWARD AND POLES PULLED UP FROM GROUND ON
POLE BARN STYLE GARAGE. PRIVACY FENCE BLOWN DOWN. 9
POWER POLES DOWN. NEIGHBOR MEASURED A 97 MPH WIND GUST
SOMETIME DURING THE DAY.


&&

CORRECTED EVENT

$$

NJL

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 241829
SWODY1
SPC AC 241827

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1227 PM CST THU NOV 24 2011

VALID 242000Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

NO CHANGES ARE NEEDED TO THE PREVIOUS OUTLOOK.

..JEWELL.. 11/24/2011

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1017 AM CST THU NOV 24 2011/

A RATHER QUIET CONVECTIVE DAY IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE UNITED STATES
TODAY. A WEAK SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM OVER NORTHERN MEXICO WILL PROVIDE
SUFFICIENT MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND ASCENT FOR A RISK OF ISOLATED
LIGHTNING STRIKES LATER TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF AZ/NM. ALSO...AN
UPPER TROUGH OFF THE WA/ORE COAST MAY RESULT IN A THUNDERSTORM OR
TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES ASHORE. OTHERWISE...NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FORECAST ACROSS THE NATION.

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KTFX [241820]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 241820
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1119 AM MST THU NOV 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SW DUPUYER 48.19N 112.51W
11/23/2011 PONDERA MT TRAINED SPOTTER

ROOF BUCKLED SKYWARD AND POLES PULLED UP FROM GROUND ON
POLE BARN STYLE GARAGE. PRIVACY FENCE BLOWN DOWN. 9
POWER POLES DOWN. NEIGHBOR MEASURED A 97 MPH WIND GUST
SOMETIME DURING THE DAY.


&&

$$

NJL

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRAH [241807]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 241807
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
107 PM EST THU NOV 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0337 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 S GRAHAM 36.04N 79.39W
11/23/2011 ALAMANCE NC TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED A TREE UPROOTED ONTO A HOUSE NEAR
DIXON RD AND SWEPSONVILLE ROAD NEAR GRAHAM. TIME
ESTIMATED


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1101478

$$

ELLIS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMFR [241736]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 241736
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
936 AM PST THU NOV 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNE SELMA 42.30N 123.59W
11/24/2011 M1.75 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

1.75 INCHES RAINFALL PAST 24 HOURS.


&&

$$

KEENE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMFR [241708]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 241708
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
908 AM PST THU NOV 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0902 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNW BROOKINGS 42.12N 124.32W
11/24/2011 M1.73 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR ACCUMULATION


&&

$$

BUNKER

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 241619
SWODY1
SPC AC 241617

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1017 AM CST THU NOV 24 2011

VALID 241630Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A RATHER QUIET CONVECTIVE DAY IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE UNITED STATES
TODAY. A WEAK SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM OVER NORTHERN MEXICO WILL PROVIDE
SUFFICIENT MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND ASCENT FOR A RISK OF ISOLATED
LIGHTNING STRIKES LATER TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF AZ/NM. ALSO...AN
UPPER TROUGH OFF THE WA/ORE COAST MAY RESULT IN A THUNDERSTORM OR
TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES ASHORE. OTHERWISE...NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FORECAST ACROSS THE NATION.

..HART/ROGERS.. 11/24/2011

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KTFX [241555]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 241555
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
855 AM MST THU NOV 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1057 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SE WHITE SULPHUR SPRI 46.53N 110.89W
11/23/2011 M66 MPH MEAGHER MT MESONET


&&

$$

BLANK

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KTFX [241553]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 241553
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
853 AM MST THU NOV 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0850 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 NNW SUNBURST 48.96N 111.94W
11/23/2011 M71 MPH TOOLE MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SWEETGRASS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION SENSOR


&&

$$

BLANK

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 241552
SWODY2
SPC AC 241551

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0951 AM CST THU NOV 24 2011

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE FOUR CORNERS STATES INTO NRN
MEXICO FRI MORNING WILL DRIFT EWD INTO THE PLAINS THROUGH THE
PERIOD...EVENTUALLY PHASING WITH A STRONGER TROUGH WHICH WILL MOVE
FROM THE NRN ROCKIES INTO THE NRN AND CNTRL PLAINS OVERNIGHT. AHEAD
OF THESE FEATURES AND DURING THE DAY...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM MN/IA SWWD INTO W TX AT 00Z....SHIFTING EWD
ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND INTO SRN OK/NRN TX BY 12Z SAT AS A
STRONG COLD FRONT DEVELOPS OVER THE NRN AND CNTRL PLAINS.

SLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE SRN STREAM TROUGH AND FORCING WITH THIS
FEATURE WILL EVENTUALLY HELP TO MOISTEN THE COLUMN ACROSS THE SRN
AND CNTRL PLAINS. HOWEVER...RELATIVELY WARM TEMPERATURE PROFILES
ALOFT WILL REMAIN...WHICH WILL RESULT IN LITTLE IF ANY CAPE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS. AS A RESULT...ONLY RAIN SHOWERS ARE ANTICIPATED ALONG
THE COLD FRONT FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY SWWD INTO TX.

..JEWELL.. 11/24/2011

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMFR [241441]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 241441
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
641 AM PST THU NOV 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0641 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 NE GOLD BEACH 42.45N 124.37W
11/24/2011 M2.23 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

8AM-8AM


&&

$$

MOTTENWE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 241235
SWODY1
SPC AC 241233

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0633 AM CST THU NOV 24 2011

VALID 241300Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH NEAR 30 N AND 123 W WILL PROGRESS EWD TO
NW MEXICO AND SRN AZ BY EARLY FRIDAY. DOWNSTREAM FROM THIS WAVE...A
PLUME OF MIDLEVEL MOISTURE WILL SPREAD NEWD /NEAR 700 MB/ ACROSS NW
MEXICO TOWARD SW NM LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THE MOISTENING COULD
BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT WEAK INSTABILITY IN THE MIDLEVELS AND AN
ASSOCIATED RISK FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE WARM CONVEYOR
BELT. A LITTLE FARTHER W INTO SE AZ...MODEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING
AND COOLING MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED LOW-TOPPED
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE MID-UPPER JET.

ELSEWHERE...A PRONOUNCED SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT NEAR 47 N AND 136 W WILL MOVE QUICKLY EWD TO WA/ORE LATER
TODAY...AND CONTINUE EWD TO THE NRN ROCKIES OVERNIGHT. STEEPENING
LAPSE RATES IN THE IMMEDIATE POST-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT
WEAK SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY NEAR THE NW ORE AND WA COASTS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING....WHERE LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION WILL POSE A
RISK FOR A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES.

..THOMPSON/LEITMAN.. 11/24/2011

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRNK [240957]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KRNK 240957
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
456 AM EST THU NOV 24 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 SE SEVEN DEVILS 36.14N 81.80W
11/23/2011 WATAUGA NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

2 TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 105.

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 NNW VOLNEY 36.63N 81.39W
11/23/2011 GRAYSON VA PUBLIC

MULTIPLE TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 16.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1100160 RNK1100161

$$

16

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 240920
SWOD48
SPC AC 240919

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0319 AM CST THU NOV 24 2011

VALID 271200Z - 021200Z

...DISCUSSION...
DEEP SYNOPTIC TROUGH SHOULD EXTEND FROM UPPER GREAT LAKES SWD TO NRN
GULF BY START OF PERIOD...AS DISCUSSED IN MORE DETAIL IN DAY-2/DAY-3
OUTLOOKS. ACCOMPANYING 500-MB CYCLONE ALSO APPEARS
PROBABLE...ESPECIALLY OVER UPPER GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY REGION AS
SUGGESTED BY OPERATIONAL SPECTRAL/UKMET AND MOST MREF MEMBERS.
ECMWF APPEARS TO BE SRN/SLOW OUTLIER WITH LOW POSITION OVER ARKLATEX
BY 28/00Z AND...GIVEN ITS RECENT TENDENCIES TO CUT OFF LOWS ALOFT
TOO QUICKLY IN THIS PREVAILING LONGWAVE PATTERN...CARRIES LITTLE
WEIGHT FOR THIS FCST.

BAND OF CONVECTION MAY ACCOMPANY RELATED STG COLD FRONT
DAY-4/26TH-27TH OVER PORTIONS MIDDLE/SRN ATLC COAST STATES AND
FL...HOWEVER MOISTURE RETURN FROM GULF/ATLANTIC AHEAD OF FRONT
APPEARS TOO SCANT TO SUPPORT UNCONDITIONAL 30% SVR RISK ATTM.
AFTERWARD...STG LOW-LEVEL RIDGING OVER SERN CONUS AND GULF SHOULD
PRECLUDE ENOUGH BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTENING TO SUPPORT SVR POTENTIAL
FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS AT LEAST.

..EDWARDS.. 11/24/2011

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 240831
SWODY3
SPC AC 240830

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CST THU NOV 24 2011

VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
IN MID-UPPER LEVELS...PHASING OF NRN/SRN STREAM PERTURBATIONS
DESCRIBED IN DAY2 OUTLOOK WILL RESULT IN HIGH-AMPLITUDE TROUGHING BY
START OF PERIOD...FROM MB/SK BORDER SSEWD ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN KS THEN
CURVING SWD/SWWD ACROSS OK...W TX AND NWRN MEX. BY 27/00Z...SOME
AMPLITUDE DIFFERENCES START TO APPEAR IN OPERATIONAL PROGS AND MOST
SREF MEMBERS...BUT THEY STILL ARE IN STG CONSENSUS WITH SCENARIO OF
DEEPENING MID-UPPER LOW OVER UPPER MS VALLEY...TROUGHING SSWWD
ACROSS ARKLATEX REGION...AND BREAKAWAY BANNER OF 500-MB VORTICITY
ACROSS N-CENTRAL/WRN MEX. BY END OF PERIOD...DEEP SYNOPTIC-SCALE
TROUGH SHOULD BE MOVING EWD ACROSS EXTREME N-CENTRAL GULF...TN
VALLEY...AND LOWER OH VALLEY...ANCHORED BY PRONOUNCED CYCLONE OVER
UPPER GREAT LAKES.

AT SFC...STG COLD FRONT SHOULD SWEEP SEWD FROM MID MS VALLEY AND W
TX EARLY IN PERIOD...EXTENDING FROM OH TO CENTRAL/SRN MS TO SRN LA
BY ABOUT 27/00Z. FRONT SHOULD MOVE ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL/SRN
APPALACHIANS AND INTO WRN FL PANHANDLE BY END OF PERIOD.

...WRN/CENTRAL GULF COASTAL REGION...
LINE OF CONVECTION IS LIKELY IN FORCED-ASCENT ZONE ACCOMPANYING
FRONT...EVEN WITH NEAR-NEUTRAL MEAN LAPSE RATES IN LOW-MIDDLE LEVELS
IN SOME AREAS. SEPARATE...INITIALLY N-S BAND OF CONVECTION ALSO MAY
DEVELOP FROM GULF NWD ACROSS MS/AL IN LOW-LEVEL
WAA/MOISTURE-TRANSPORT REGIME FRINGING ERN PART OF WARM SECTOR
WEDGE...EVENTUALLY MERGING WITH OR OVERTAKEN BY COLD-FRONTAL LIFT
ZONE. DEEP-LAYER WINDS/SHEAR WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR STG-SVR
GUSTS...HOWEVER ONLY MODEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN IS EXPECTED
OVER MOST OF THIS AREA PRIOR TO FROPA. SREF CONSENSUS SUGGESTS SFC
DEW POINTS NEAR 60 F OVER MS/AL...50S INTO WRN PORTIONS TN/KY...AND
JUST MID-60S OVER COASTAL AREA. SUCH MOISTURE MIGHT NOT BE ENOUGH
TO OFFSET WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT AND GENERATE THUNDER OVER MUCH OF
THIS CORRIDOR. EXPECT SPORADIC THUNDER WITHIN CONVECTIVE
BAND...STRONGER DEEP-LAYER FORCING FROM NRN MS/AL NWD AND RELATIVELY
MAXIMIZED LOW-LEVEL THETAE FROM THAT AREA SWD. LATE IN
PERIOD...FRONT SHOULD OUTPACE INLAND RETURN OF AT LEAST MRGLLY
FAVORABLE THETAE ACROSS SERN CONUS...EFFECTIVELY SHUTTING DOWN ANY
SVR THREAT FROM N-S WITH TIME...AND WITH EWD EXTENT.

..EDWARDS.. 11/24/2011

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 240623
SWODY2
SPC AC 240621

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1221 AM CST THU NOV 24 2011

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AMPLIFYING MID-UPPER PATTERN FCST THROUGH PERIOD...MAIN FEATURE FOR
THIS FCST BEING STG SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL
IMAGERY OFFSHORE CA AND NRN BAJA...NEAR 127W. THIS TROUGH IS FCST
TO MOVE ASHORE DAY-1...REACHING 4-CORNERS REGION..ERN AZ...SONORA
AND CENTRAL BAJA BY BEGINNING OF PERIOD. TROUGH THEN SHOULD ASSUME
POSITIVE TILT...REACHING OK PANHANDLE...SERN NM...CHIHUAHUA AND SRN
BAJA BY 26/00Z.

MEANWHILE...SPEED MAX AND CURRENTLY LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE....NOW
OVER EXTREME NRN PAC S OF ALEUTIANS...SHOULD AMPLIFY AND MOVE ASHORE
PAC NW LATE DAY-1. THIS PERTURBATION WILL STRENGTHEN FURTHER AS IT
CROSSES MT/WY AROUND 26/00Z. THEREAFTER...NRN AND SRN STREAM
TROUGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME PHASED. BY END OF
PERIOD...FULL-LATITUDE/PROGRESSIVE TROUGH IS FCST FROM MB/SK BORDER
SSEWD ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN KS...SWD OVER OK...THEN SWWD ACROSS TX
BIG-BEND REGION AND NWRN MEX.

AT SFC...FRONTOGENESIS IS FCST DAY-1 OVER NRN ROCKIES/NRN
PLAINS...RESULTING BY 25/12Z IN COLD FRONT FROM MN SFC LOW SWWD
ACROSS NWRN KS AND ERN CO. BY 26/00Z...COLD FRONT SHOULD EXTEND
FROM WI/SERN MN LOW SWWD ACROSS SERN KS TO WEAK/SECONDARY LOW OVER
TX PANHANDLE. FRONT SHOULD STRENGTHEN/ACCELERATE OVER UPPER MS
VALLEY AND CENTRAL PLAINS DURING LATTER HALF OF PERIOD WITH CLOSER
APCH OF NRN-STREAM WAVE. BY 26/12Z...EXPECT SFC LOW OVER WI TO WRN
UPPER MI...AND FRONT SWWD ACROSS ERN IA...NRN MO...SERN KS...SRN
OK...AND W-CENTRAL TX.

...SWRN/S-CENTRAL CONUS...
SEVERAL EPISODES OF ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED...MAINLY LOW-TOPPED
TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH PERIOD...EACH WITH TOO LITTLE MOISTURE
AND/OR NEAR-SFC INSTABILITY TO WARRANT SVR RISK ATTM. THERE LIKELY
WILL BE SPATIAL GAPS BETWEEN THESE...AND POCKETS OF GEN TSTM AREA
THAT DO NOT EXPERIENCE TSTMS. HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT COVERAGE/TIMING
UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN PROGS OF EACH OF THESE REGIMES...AND THEIR
OVERLAP...SUCH THAT IT IS TOO SOON TO OUTLINE SPECIFIC GAPS.

CONVEYOR OF LOW-LEVEL WAA AND LOW-MIDLEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL
TRANSLATE EWD ACROSS NRN MEX...NM AND W TX THROUGH FIRST HALF OF
PERIOD...WITH SPORADIC THUNDER PSBL. THIS REGIME SHOULD SPREAD NEWD
ACROSS SRN HIGH PLAINS DURING DAY...MAIN LIMITING FACTOR BEING LACK
OF RICHER MOISTURE. EARLY-PERIOD THUNDER ALSO MAY OCCUR OVER SERN
AZ/SRN NM REGION AS 500-MB LOW AND ASSOCIATED VORTICITY MAX MOVE
OVER AREA...STEEPENING LOW-MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ATOP MOISTURE LEFT
BY PRECIP FROM WAA CONVEYOR.

GULF MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE SCANT TROUGH PERIOD...DUE TO
INCOMPLETENESS OF MARINE AIR-MASS MODIFICATION BEHIND STG FRONT NOW
CROSSING CENTRAL/ERN GULF. STILL...LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CHARACTERIZED
BY SFC DEW POINTS UPPER 40S TO MID 50S F MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO
SUPPORT INCREASE IN THUNDER POTENTIAL AFTER DARK...FROM W-CENTRAL/NW
TX NEWD TOWARD SERN KS/SWRN MO...AS
AS STRENGTHENING COLD FRONTAL ZONE UNDERCUTS WAA PLUME.

..EDWARDS.. 11/24/2011

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 240531
SWODY1
SPC AC 240529

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 PM CST WED NOV 23 2011

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

CONVECTIVE THREAT WILL REMAIN LOW ACROSS MOST THE CONUS THANKSGIVING
DAY AS DRY CONTINENTAL AIR MASS ENCOMPASSES MOST OF THE REGION. ONE
AREA WHERE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP WILL BE ACROSS PARTS OF
SERN AZ INTO SWRN NM FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
LATEST WV IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL DEFINED UPPER LOW OFF THE SRN
CA/NRN BAJA COAST. THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE EWD ALONG THE
U.S./MEXICAN BORDER AND IT APPEARS A DEEPER MOISTURE FEED WITHIN THE
DOWNSTREAM WARM CONVEYOR WILL ADVECT INTO THIS REGION DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. IF SUFFICIENT MOISTENING OCCURS THEN A FEW
LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY BE NOTED WITHIN STRONGER UPDRAFTS ASSOCIATED
WITH LARGE SCALE FORCING. VERY LATE IN THE PERIOD ISOLATED TSTMS
COULD EVOLVE ALONG ADVANCING COLD FRONT IMMEDIATELY BENEATH THE
UPPER LOW...PARTIALLY DUE TO EARLIER MOISTENING WITHIN WARM
CONVEYOR.

A SECOND SMALL AREA WHERE CONVECTION MAY PROVE ROBUST ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE LIGHTNING WILL BE ALONG THE WA/ORE COAST. STEEPENING LAPSE
RATES WITHIN A POST FRONTAL REGIME WILL ALLOW LOW TOPPED CONVECTION
TO SPREAD ONSHORE AFTER 18Z. THIS ACTIVITY COULD BREACH
SUFFICIENTLY COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES FOR LIGHTNING DISCHARGE.

..DARROW.. 11/24/2011

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.