Sunday, October 20, 2013

KDLH [210347]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 210347
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1047 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1047 PM SNOW SARONA 45.71N 91.81W
10/20/2013 E1.0 INCH WASHBURN WI TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

DPACKING

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KMPX [210308]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KMPX 210308
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1008 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1045 AM SNOW SAUK RAPIDS 45.59N 94.17W
10/20/2013 E0.5 INCH BENTON MN PUBLIC

1100 AM SNOW 9 S FOLEY 45.53N 93.91W
10/20/2013 E0.5 INCH SHERBURNE MN PUBLIC

1200 PM SNOW SAUK RAPIDS 45.59N 94.17W
10/20/2013 M1.0 INCH BENTON MN TRAINED SPOTTER

1238 PM SNOW RUSH CITY 45.68N 92.97W
10/20/2013 M1.3 INCH CHISAGO MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0145 PM SNOW 8 S HILLMAN 45.89N 93.89W
10/20/2013 M2.2 INCH MORRISON MN TRAINED SPOTTER

LIGHT SNOW. VISIBILITY 2 MILES.


&&

$$

SPD

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KDLH [210203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 210203
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
903 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0853 PM SNOW GILE 46.43N 90.23W
10/20/2013 M1.0 INCH IRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

RELAYED VIA FACEBOOK


&&

$$

MCLOVIN

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KGRR [210203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 210203
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1002 PM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0947 PM HAIL SPRING LAKE 43.08N 86.20W
10/20/2013 E0.25 INCH OTTAWA MI PUBLIC

PEA SIZE HAIL.



&&

$$

NWS GRAND RAPIDS MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KDLH [210114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 210114
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
814 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW ASKOV 46.19N 92.78W
10/20/2013 M5.0 INCH PINE MN MESONET

REPORTED BY SID ASKM5...RELAYED VIA IRIS


&&

$$

MCLOVIN

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 210102
SWODY1
SPC AC 210100

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

VALID 210100Z - 211200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DISCUSSION...
A PREVALENT LONGWAVE TROUGH AND EXTENSIVE CYCLONIC UPPER FLOW WILL
DOMINATE THE CONUS EAST OF THE ROCKIES THROUGH TONIGHT. WHILE NO
SEVERE TSTMS ARE EXPECTED...GENERALLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO WEAK
BUOYANCY...SEVERAL AREAS OF ISOLATED TSTMS MAY OCCUR TONIGHT.

AHEAD OF AN AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH/ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...A FEW
TSTMS MAY BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ACROSS THE LAKE MI
VICINITY/WESTERN LOWER MI WITHIN A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT.
ISOLATED TSTMS SHOULD ALSO DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT
ACROSS PARTS OF OK IN ASSOCIATION WITHIN A WARM ADVECTION REGIME.
OTHER SHOWERS/ISOLATED TSTMS MAY ALSO OCCUR NEAR THE RIO GRANDE
VICINITY THIS EVENING...AND WITHIN A MOIST ADVECTION REGIME ACROSS
SOUTH TX LATE TONIGHT/EARLY MONDAY.

..GUYER.. 10/21/2013

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KDLH [202309]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 202309
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
609 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0606 PM SNOW HAYWARD 46.01N 91.48W
10/20/2013 M1.0 INCH SAWYER WI PUBLIC


&&

$$

MCLOVIN

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KDLH [202134]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 202134
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
434 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0423 PM SNOW ASKOV 46.19N 92.78W
10/20/2013 M3.5 INCH PINE MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

DPACKING

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KDLH [202124]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 202124
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
424 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0423 PM SNOW MOOSE LAKE 46.45N 92.77W
10/20/2013 M1.0 INCH CARLTON MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0423 PM SNOW 8 ESE PINE CITY 45.79N 92.82W
10/20/2013 M2.3 INCH PINE MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

DPACKING

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KDLH [202029]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 202029
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
329 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0327 PM SNOW BARNUM 46.50N 92.69W
10/20/2013 M1.8 INCH CARLTON MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KK

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KFGF [202012]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 202012
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
312 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW MICHIGAN 48.03N 98.12W
10/20/2013 M1.0 INCH NELSON ND CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

HOPKINS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 201955
SWODY1
SPC AC 201953

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0253 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

VALID 202000Z - 211200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DISCUSSION...
ONGOING FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...WITH ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE
EXISTING THUNDER LINES. ASIDE FROM A FEW STRIKES INVOF LK MI JUST
AHEAD OF THE MAIN UPPER LOW...LIGHTNING POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN
CONFINED TO THE SRN PLAINS REGION AND THE FL PENINSULA...WHERE A
HIGHER THETA-E/WEAKLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT EXISTS.

..GOSS.. 10/20/2013

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1117 AM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013/

A DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS IS IN PLACE ACROSS MOST OF THE NATION
TODAY...WITH THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL RELEGATED TO SMALL PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...FL...AND THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. IN EACH OF
THESE AREAS...MINIMAL INSTABILITY WILL PRECLUDE A RISK OF ORGANIZED
SEVERE STORMS. THE BIG BEND REGION OF TX WOULD SEEM TO HAVE THE
GREATEST RISK OF A STRONG STORM...BUT EVEN HERE...THE SEVERE RISK IS
LOW.

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KDLH [201919]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 201919
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
219 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0217 PM SNOW 4 S BRUNO 46.22N 92.67W
10/20/2013 M1.3 INCH PINE MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KK

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KDLH [201912]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 201912
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
212 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0210 PM SNOW 3 NE NISSWA 46.53N 94.25W
10/20/2013 M1.0 INCH CROW WING MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KK

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KMPX [201846]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KMPX 201846
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
146 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 PM SNOW 8 S HILLMAN 45.89N 93.89W
10/20/2013 M2.2 INCH MORRISON MN TRAINED SPOTTER

LIGHT SNOW. VISIBILITY 2 MILES.


&&

$$

CARLYON

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KSGX [201826]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 201826
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
1126 AM PDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1129 PM DENSE FOG 3 ENE SAN YSIDRO 32.58N 116.99W
10/19/2013 SAN DIEGO CA ASOS

BROWN FIELD ASOS REPORTED VISIBILITIES OF A QUARTER MILE
BETWEEN 953 PM AND 1129 PM.


&&

$$

SHARRISO

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KDLH [201809]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 201809
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
109 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0106 PM SNOW 3 N BRAINERD 46.40N 94.19W
10/20/2013 M1.5 INCH CROW WING MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KK

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KDLH [201744]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 201744
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1243 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1242 PM SNOW FORT RIPLEY 46.17N 94.36W
10/20/2013 M1.8 INCH CROW WING MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KK

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KMPX [201739]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 201739
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1239 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1238 PM SNOW RUSH CITY 45.68N 92.97W
10/20/2013 M1.3 INCH CHISAGO MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

CARLYON

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 201729
SWODY2
SPC AC 201727

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1227 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

VALID 211200Z - 221200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DISCUSSION...
SLOW PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL OCCUR MONDAY...AS A
LARGE UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS GRADUALLY EWD WHILE UPSTREAM RIDGING
SPREADS ACROSS THE WEST. AS THIS OCCURS...A REINFORCING SURGE OF
COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD SEWD ACROSS THE SRN
AND ERN CONUS.

WITH COOL CONTINENTAL AIR PREVAILING ACROSS MOST OF THE COUNTRY E OF
THE ROCKIES...THUNDERSTORM RISK WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO AREAS S OF
THE REINFORCING COLD FRONT. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY
OCCUR ACROSS PARTS OF TX...AND ALSO ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA WHERE A
WARMER/MORE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WILL PERSIST. HOWEVER...CAPE/SHEAR
COMBINATION SHOULD REMAIN INSUFFICIENT FOR APPRECIABLE SEVERE RISK
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

..GOSS.. 10/20/2013

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KMPX [201706]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 201706
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1205 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM SNOW SAUK RAPIDS 45.59N 94.17W
10/20/2013 M1.0 INCH BENTON MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

FRANKS

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KSGX [201704]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 201704
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
1004 AM PDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0647 AM DENSE FOG DANA POINT 33.46N 117.70W
10/20/2013 ORANGE CA TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED DENSE FOG IN DANA POINT.


&&

$$

SHARRISO

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KFGF [201655]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 201655
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1155 AM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 5 NE SARLES 49.00N 98.92W
10/20/2013 M2.0 INCH CAVALIER ND CO-OP OBSERVER

HEAVY WET SNOW.


&&

$$

HOPKINS

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KDLH [201655]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 201655
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1155 AM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1050 AM SNOW 1 N MOTLEY 46.35N 94.64W
10/20/2013 M1.0 INCH CASS MN TRAINED SPOTTER

1150 AM SNOW 1 N MOTLEY 46.35N 94.64W
10/20/2013 M0.8 INCH CASS MN NWS EMPLOYEE

1150 AM SNOW PILLAGER 46.33N 94.48W
10/20/2013 M0.8 INCH CASS MN NWS EMPLOYEE


&&

$$

KK

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KSGX [201643]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 201643
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
940 AM PDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0123 AM DENSE FOG SANTA ANA 33.74N 117.88W
10/20/2013 ORANGE CA ASOS

JOHN WAYNE AIRPORT ASOS REPORTED VISIBILITIES OF A
QUARTER MILE BETWEEN 1244 AM AND 123 AM EARLY THIS
MORNING.

0343 AM DENSE FOG 2 SSW CYPRESS 33.78N 118.05W
10/20/2013 ORANGE CA ASOS

LOS ALAMITOS ARMY AIRFIELD ASOS REPORTED VISIBILITIES OF
A QUARTER MILE OR LESS BETWEEN 1152 PM AND 113 AM LATE
LAST NIGHT...AND AGAIN BETWEEN 203 AM AND 343 AM EARLY
THIS MORNING.

0524 AM DENSE FOG CORONADO 32.69N 117.18W
10/20/2013 SAN DIEGO CA ASOS

NORTH ISLAND NAVAL AIR STATION ASOS REPORTED VISIBILITIES
OF A QUARTER MILE OR LESS BETWEEN 1252 AM AND 524 AM THIS
MORNING.

0656 AM DENSE FOG IMPERIAL BEACH 32.57N 117.12W
10/20/2013 SAN DIEGO CA ASOS

IMPERIAL BEACH NAVAL AUXILIARY LANDING FIELD ASOS
REPORTED VISIBILITIES OF A QUARTER MILE OR LESS BETWEEN
1127 PM AND 137 AM LAST NIGHT...AND AGAIN BETWEEN 356 AM
AND 656 AM THIS MORNING.

0700 AM DENSE FOG 2 SSW PACIFIC BEACH 32.77N 117.25W
10/20/2013 SAN DIEGO CA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

MISSION BEACH LIFEGUARDS REPORTED QUARTER MILE VISIBILITY
IN FOG.

0728 AM DENSE FOG CAMP PENDLETON NORTH 33.31N 117.32W
10/20/2013 SAN DIEGO CA ASOS

CAMP PENDLETON ASOS REPORTED VISIBILITIES OF MOSTLY A
QUARTER MILE OR LESS BETWEEN 1148 PM AND 728 AM LAST
NIGHT THROUGH THIS MORNING.

0806 AM DENSE FOG 6 S MIRAMAR 32.81N 117.14W
10/20/2013 SAN DIEGO CA ASOS

MONTGOMERY FIELD AIRPORT ASOS REPORTED VISIBILITIES OF A
QUARTER MILE OR LESS BETWEEN 711 AM AND 806 AM THIS
MORNING.

0831 AM DENSE FOG OCEANSIDE 33.20N 117.38W
10/20/2013 SAN DIEGO CA ASOS

OCEANSIDE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT ASOS REPORTED VISIBILITIES OF
A QUARTER MILE OR LESS BETWEEN 1052 PM AND 452 AM LAST
NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...AND AGAIN BETWEEN 750
AM AND 831 AM THIS MORNING.

0841 AM DENSE FOG SAN DIEGO 32.72N 117.16W
10/20/2013 SAN DIEGO CA ASOS

LINDBERGH FIELD ASOS REPORTED VISIBILITIES OF A QUARTER
MILE OR LESS BETWEEN 339 AM AND 841 AM THIS MORNING.

0902 AM DENSE FOG CARLSBAD 33.12N 117.29W
10/20/2013 SAN DIEGO CA ASOS

PALOMAR AIRPORT ASOS REPORTED VISIBLITIES OF A QUARTER
MILE OR LESS BETWEEN 1139 PM AND 253 AM LATE LAST
NIGHT...BETWEEN 307 AM AND 439 AM EARLY THIS
MORNING...AND AGAIN BETWEEN 701 AM AND 902 AM THIS
MORNING.


&&

$$

SHARRISO

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 201619
SWODY1
SPC AC 201617

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1117 AM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

VALID 201630Z - 211200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS IS IN PLACE ACROSS MOST OF THE NATION
TODAY...WITH THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL RELEGATED TO SMALL PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...FL...AND THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. IN EACH OF
THESE AREAS...MINIMAL INSTABILITY WILL PRECLUDE A RISK OF ORGANIZED
SEVERE STORMS. THE BIG BEND REGION OF TX WOULD SEEM TO HAVE THE
GREATEST RISK OF A STRONG STORM...BUT EVEN HERE...THE SEVERE RISK IS
LOW.

..HART/LEITMAN.. 10/20/2013

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KMPX [201610]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 201610
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1110 AM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1045 AM SNOW SAUK RAPIDS 45.59N 94.17W
10/20/2013 E0.5 INCH BENTON MN PUBLIC

1100 AM SNOW 9 S FOLEY 45.53N 93.91W
10/20/2013 E0.5 INCH SHERBURNE MN PUBLIC


&&

$$

BORGHOFF

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KMPX [201552]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 201552
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1052 AM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1047 AM SNOW 8 S HILLMAN 45.89N 93.89W
10/20/2013 M1.2 INCH MORRISON MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STILL SNOWING. VISIBILITY 1/2 MILE.


&&

$$

BORGHOFF

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KBUF [201517]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBUF 201517
LSRBUF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1116 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1108 AM WATER SPOUT 12 NW MOON BEACH 43.53N 76.79W
10/20/2013 LOZ064 NY STORM CHASER

SEVERAL WATERSPOUTS SPOTTED WELL OFFSHORE OF EASTERN
WAYNE COUNTY.


&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1300326

$$

APFFEL

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KBUF [201511]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBUF 201511
LSRBUF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1111 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1015 AM WATER SPOUT 9 NW LAKEVIEW 43.59N 76.57W
10/20/2013 LOZ064 NY PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORT OF WATERSPOUT NORTH OF OSWEGO


&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1300325

$$

APFFEL

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KAPX [201434]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 201434
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1033 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 WSW IRONTON 45.26N 85.22W
10/20/2013 M0.97 INCH CHARLEVOIX MI COCORAHS

24 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. 1.97 INCHES FELL IN
THE PAST 48 HOURS. COCORAHS STATION 1 W
IRONTON /0669S/ HEAVY RAIN DURATION NAN
MINUTES



&&

$$

NWS GAYLORD MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KAPX [201430]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 201430
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1029 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 W PETOSKEY 45.37N 84.98W
10/20/2013 M1.15 INCH EMMET MI COOP OBSERVER

COOP OBSERVER STATION PETOSKEY /PETM4/ HEAVY
RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS



&&

$$

NWS GAYLORD MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 201238
SWODY1
SPC AC 201236

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0736 AM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

VALID 201300Z - 211200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN INITIAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PIVOT QUICKLY NEWD OVER SRN QUEBEC
THIS MORNING. WARMING ALOFT WILL REDUCE INSTABILITY OVER THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES...BRINGING AN END TO THE LIGHTNING RISK WITH THE LAKE
EFFECT BANDS OVER ERIE/ONTARIO. A STRONG UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH
OVER MANITOBA WILL THEN ROTATE SSEWD TO THE UPPER MS VALLEY BY EARLY
MONDAY...WITHIN THE LARGER-SCALE TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS/MS
VALLEY/GREAT LAKES. AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO
DEVELOP ESEWD FROM THE ERN DAKOTAS TO WI TODAY...AND THEN NEWD TO
ERN UPPER MI BY 12Z MONDAY. AS THIS SYSTEM CROSSES LAKE MI
TONIGHT...WEAK BUOYANCY WILL DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO
ASCENT/STEEPENING LAPSE RATES OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM LAKE
WATERS...SUPPORTING A RISK FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

A SEPARATE/LOWER-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS
WILL PROGRESS SEWD TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. RELATED LEE CYCLOGENESIS
ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS WILL INDUCE SLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND
MOISTURE RETURN ACROSS TX/OK BY TONIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TX BIG BEND WHERE
STRONG SURFACE HEATING WILL OCCUR ON THE NW EDGE OF THE INITIAL
MOISTURE RETURN UP THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. BY TONIGHT...THE
MOISTENING ABOVE THE SURFACE SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR AT LEAST WEAK
BUOYANCY ROOTED IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER AFTER 06Z...WHEN ASCENT WITH
LOW-LEVEL WAA WILL SUPPORT ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FROM
THE RED RIVER VALLEY TO CENTRAL OK. THE NWD RETURN OF THE RICHER
TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO TO S TX BY TONIGHT
WILL ALSO SUPPORT A RISK FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE...A
FEW DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE MOIST PRE-FRONTAL
ENVIRONMENT ACROSS CENTRAL/S FL.

..THOMPSON/GARNER.. 10/20/2013

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KFGF [201225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 201225
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
724 AM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0724 AM SNOW 4 SE STARKWEATHER 48.41N 98.82W
10/20/2013 M1.0 INCH RAMSEY ND CO-OP OBSERVER

TOTAL THROUGH 7 AM. STILL LIGHTLY SNOWING.


&&

$$

JAM

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KFGF [201118]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 201118
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
618 AM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0617 AM SNOW 9 SW LANKIN 48.22N 98.06W
10/20/2013 E1.0 INCH WALSH ND CO-OP OBSERVER

ESTIMATED TOTAL THROUGH 6 AM.


&&

$$

JAM

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 200855
SWOD48
SPC AC 200854

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0354 AM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

VALID 231200Z - 281200Z

...DISCUSSION...
THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS BEGIN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE OH AND TN VALLEYS AND MOVE THIS FEATURE
TO THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD ON WEDNESDAY/DAY 4. THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE ERN SEABOARD ON THURSDAY/DAY 5 AND
FRIDAY/DAY 6. THIS SHOULD HELP KEEP COLD AND DRY AIR IN PLACE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CNTRL AND ERN U.S. LIMITING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
THROUGH MUCH OF UPCOMING WEEK. THE GREATEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
COULD BE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS ON SATURDAY/DAY 7 AS LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE RETURNS NWD. CONFIDENCE IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS FOR SATURDAY
IS LOW ATTM. EVEN SO...INSTABILITY AND SHEAR PROFILES WILL PROBABLY
BE MARGINAL FOR SEVERE STORMS NEXT WEEKEND.

..BROYLES.. 10/20/2013

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 200731
SWODY3
SPC AC 200729

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0229 AM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

VALID 221200Z - 231200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE MS VALLEY ON
TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SWD ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO.
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP TUESDAY ALONG THE FRONT IN CNTRL FL BUT
INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD BE INADEQUATE FOR SEVERE
STORMS.

..BROYLES.. 10/20/2013

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 200550
SWODY2
SPC AC 200549

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1249 AM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

VALID 211200Z - 221200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS ON
MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SEWD ACROSS CNTRL AND NE TX. AHEAD
OF THE FRONT FROM THE TX HILL COUNTRY SEWD TO THE LOWER TX
COAST...SFC DEWPOINTS SHOULD BE IN THE 60S F AND A POCKET OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY MAY DEVELOP BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE MODELS
SUGGEST THAT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL INITIATE ALONG THE FRONT
AND MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE TX COASTAL PLAINS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING. IN SPITE OF THE MODERATE INSTABILITY...THE
STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER NRN
MEXICO. IN ADDITION...THE STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS FORECAST TO
BE OFF THE TX COAST SUGGESTING THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED
STORMS REMAINS LOW ACROSS CNTRL AND SOUTH TX.

ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT MAY TAKE PLACE ACROSS
SRN AND CNTRL FL MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY
AND SHEAR IS NOT EXPECTED TO SUPPORT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
IN SRN AND CNTRL FL.

..BROYLES.. 10/20/2013

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 200530
SWODY1
SPC AC 200528

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 AM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

VALID 201200Z - 211200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DISCUSSION...
A QUIESCENT PATTERN FOR SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY MON. A LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL DOMINATE MUCH OF THE
CONUS...WITH PRIMARY SHORTWAVE IMPULSES PIVOTING ACROSS THE N-CNTRL
STATES. ONE OF THESE FEATURES WILL AID IN A SURFACE CYCLONE SHIFTING
FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST TO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...DEEPENING DURING
THE LATTER PORTION OF THE PERIOD. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
SEWD AND SHOULD REACH THE LOWER MO VALLEY TO SRN HIGH PLAINS BY
EVENING. A PRECEDING COLD FRONT WILL BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY OVER
NRN FL...WITH TRAILING PORTION ADVANCING NWD AS A WARM FRONT ACROSS
THE WRN GULF COAST.

ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FL PENINSULA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WEAK MID/HIGH-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
DISPLACEMENT OF MODERATE DEEP-LAYER FLOW GENERALLY N OF THE FRONT.
ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED STORMS MAY DEVELOP EARLY MON WITHIN A LOW-LEVEL
WAA REGIME NEAR THE TX GULF COAST AND ON THE PERIPHERY OF SCANT
BUOYANCY RETURNING AHEAD OF THE REINFORCING FRONT NEAR THE RED
RIVER. A STORM OR TWO IS ALSO POSSIBLE NEAR THE TX BIG BEND THIS
AFTERNOON.

..GRAMS/COHEN.. 10/20/2013

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