DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 201955
SWODY1
SPC AC 201953

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0253 PM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013

VALID 202000Z - 211200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DISCUSSION...
ONGOING FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...WITH ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE
EXISTING THUNDER LINES. ASIDE FROM A FEW STRIKES INVOF LK MI JUST
AHEAD OF THE MAIN UPPER LOW...LIGHTNING POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN
CONFINED TO THE SRN PLAINS REGION AND THE FL PENINSULA...WHERE A
HIGHER THETA-E/WEAKLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT EXISTS.

..GOSS.. 10/20/2013

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1117 AM CDT SUN OCT 20 2013/

A DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS IS IN PLACE ACROSS MOST OF THE NATION
TODAY...WITH THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL RELEGATED TO SMALL PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...FL...AND THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. IN EACH OF
THESE AREAS...MINIMAL INSTABILITY WILL PRECLUDE A RISK OF ORGANIZED
SEVERE STORMS. THE BIG BEND REGION OF TX WOULD SEEM TO HAVE THE
GREATEST RISK OF A STRONG STORM...BUT EVEN HERE...THE SEVERE RISK IS
LOW.

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.