Wednesday, June 15, 2011

KMEG [152032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMEG 152032
LSRMEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
332 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM HAIL 3 N SAVANNAH 35.27N 88.24W
06/15/2011 U0.88 INCH HARDIN TN NWS STORM SURVEY


&&

$$

ARS

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1233

ACUS11 KWNS 152030
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152029
FLZ000-152200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1233
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0329 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...FLORIDA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 479...

VALID 152029Z - 152200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 479
CONTINUES.

THE HAIL AND WIND THREAT CONTINUES OVER MOST OF THE WATCH AREA.

STORMS CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THIS
AFTERNOON AND ALTHOUGH MOST HAIL REPORTED SO FAR HAS BEEN AROUND 1
INCH...SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE CAPABLE OF LARGER HAIL GIVEN THE
LARGE INSTABILITY. ALSO DURING THE PEAK HEATING...DAMAGING
THUNDERSTORM WINDS ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE AS SOME GUSTS HAVE BEEN
REPORTED AROUND 65 MPH.

..BOTHWELL.. 06/15/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...

LAT...LON 29168297 29198261 29198210 29178086 27298039 25557989
25538086 25538202 27248248 29198305 29168297

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KMLB [152030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 152030
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
430 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0426 PM HAIL 3 WSW LAKEWOOD PARK 27.52N 80.45W
06/15/2011 E0.70 INCH ST. LUCIE FL TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED DIME-SIZED HAIL AT I-95 AND INDRIO ROAD.

&&

$$

ARB

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KOHX [152026]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 152026
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
326 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0320 PM HAIL NASHVILLE 36.17N 86.78W
06/15/2011 M2.00 INCH DAVIDSON TN TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL OCCURRED AT HARDING ROAD AND INTERSTATE 24.


&&

$$

STEIGERWALDT

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KHUN [152024]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 152024
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
324 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 PM HAIL NEW HOPE 34.54N 86.42W
06/15/2011 E2.50 INCH MADISON AL BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

$$

JS

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KOHX [152023]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 152023
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
323 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0322 PM HAIL 10 NW NASHVILLE 36.27N 86.91W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH DAVIDSON TN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

BBOYD

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KHUN [152019]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KHUN 152019
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
318 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0253 PM HAIL 3 NE IDER 34.73N 85.63W
06/15/2011 E2.75 INCH DEKALB AL EMERGENCY MNGR

ON COUNTY RD 778 NEAR IDER. GOLFBALL TO BASEBALL SIZED
HAIL REPORTED.


&&

$$

KWHITE

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KMRX [152017]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 152017
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
417 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1250 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 ENE WHITWELL 35.22N 85.47W
06/15/2011 MARION TN LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE TREE DOWN ON MT CALVARY RD.


&&

$$

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KTBW [152015]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 152015
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
415 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM HAIL AUBURNDALE 28.07N 81.80W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH POLK FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN AUBURNDALE NEAR HWY
33 AND I-4


&&

$$

JMCNATT

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KOHX [152011]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 152011
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
311 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0308 PM HAIL BELLE MEADE 36.10N 86.86W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH DAVIDSON TN PUBLIC


&&

$$

STEIGERWALDT

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KBMX [152009]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 152009
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
309 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0307 PM HAIL 2 NW CEDAR BLUFF 34.24N 85.62W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH CHEROKEE AL BROADCAST MEDIA

QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED ON COUNTY ROAD 44.


&&

$$

SUNGER

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KHUN [152009]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 152009
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
309 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0255 PM HAIL 5 NE IDER 34.76N 85.60W
06/15/2011 E1.75 INCH DEKALB AL EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

JS

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KMLB [152005]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 152005
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
405 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SSE CHRISTMAS 28.52N 81.01W
06/15/2011 M40 MPH ORANGE FL OTHER FEDERAL

KSC 54 FOOT WIND TOWER NUMBER 2008 MEASURED 35 KT/40 MPH
WIND GUST.


&&

$$

ARB

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KBMX [152006]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 152006
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
306 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0303 PM HAIL 3 NW CEDAR BLUFF 34.25N 85.63W
06/15/2011 E1.75 INCH CHEROKEE AL BROADCAST MEDIA

GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED ALONG COUNTY ROAD 82.


&&

$$

SUNGER

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KHUN [152004]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 152004
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
304 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0253 PM HAIL 1 E IDER 34.70N 85.65W
06/15/2011 E2.75 INCH DEKALB AL EMERGENCY MNGR

ON COUNTY RD 778 NEAR IDER. GOLFBALL TO BASEBALL SIZED
HAIL REPORTED.


&&

$$

JS

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KGID [152004]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 152004
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
303 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM TORNADO 9 WNW CLARKS 41.27N 98.00W
06/14/2011 MERRICK NE PUBLIC

BRIEF EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN NORTHERN MERRICK
COUNTY. TORNADO WAS ON THE GROUND FOR APPROXIMATELY 5 TO
10 MINUTES.


&&

$$

BRYANT

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KPAH [152003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 152003
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
303 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM HAIL GOREVILLE 37.56N 88.97W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH JOHNSON IL LAW ENFORCEMENT

REPORTED BY POLICE DEPARTMENT.


&&

$$

NOLES

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KTBW [152002]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 152002
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
402 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0355 PM HAIL LAKE ALFRED 28.09N 81.73W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH POLK FL TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN LAKE
ALFRED.


&&

$$

JMCNATT

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KALY [152000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 152000
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
400 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0342 PM HAIL EPHRATAH 43.00N 74.54W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH FULTON NY PUBLIC


&&

$$

FRUGIS

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KJAX [151959]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 151959
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
359 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM HAIL 4 S RAINBOW LAKES ESTAT 29.09N 82.44W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH MARION FL TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORT OF PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL 4
MILES NORTH OF DUNNELLON.


&&

$$

JHESS

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KMLB [151953]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 151953
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
353 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0326 PM TSTM WND GST ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL A 28.43N 81.32W
06/15/2011 M45 MPH ORANGE FL ASOS

KMCO ASOS MEASURED 39 KT/45 MPH WIND GUST.


&&

$$

ARB

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KFFC [151956]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151956
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
355 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0135 PM HAIL ROSSVILLE 34.98N 85.29W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH WALKER GA 911 CALL CENTER


&&

$$

RGARCIA

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KTBW [151955]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 151955
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
355 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 PM TSTM WND GST WINTER HAVEN 28.02N 81.72W
06/15/2011 M63 MPH POLK FL ASOS

ASOS REPORTED 55 KT...63 MPH WIND GUST.


&&

$$

JMCNATT

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KBMX [151954]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 151954
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
254 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0252 PM HAIL SAND ROCK 34.24N 85.77W
06/15/2011 M1.75 INCH CHEROKEE AL BROADCAST MEDIA

HAIL FALLING ON COUNTY ROAD 11.


&&

$$

SUNGER

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 151951
SWODY1
SPC AC 151949

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0249 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

VALID 152000Z - 161200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OH
AND TN VALLEY REGION...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR CENTRAL/SRN FL PENINSULA...

...TN VALLEY REGION...
CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS TN AND THE NRN PORTIONS OF
AL/MS/GA WITHIN WW 478. CONVECTION HAS BEEN SLOW TO DEVELOP SOUTH
OF THE WATCH AND MID AFTERNOON VISIBLE SATELLITE SUGGESTS THE AREA
IS SUBSIDENT. THE FLOW WILL EVENTUALLY BECOME MORE WNWLY ALOFT
OVERNIGHT...WITH STORMS MOVING MORE SEWD...AS SRN TAIL OF UPPER
TROUGH MOVES INTO REGION. IT APPEARS IT MAY TAKE LONGER FOR STORMS
TO REACH CENTRAL GA THAN EARLIER ANTICIPATED ...SO PORTIONS OF
SLIGHT RISK HAVE BEEN TRIMMED IN THIS REGION.

...IL/IND/FAR SERN MO...
STORMS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT STRETCHING
FROM CENTRAL IL SWWD INTO FAR SERN MO. A NARROW WEDGE OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY AND 35-40 KT DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS LOCATED AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...AND MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW STORMS/SUPERCELLS WITH
SEVERE WINDS/HAIL. A SLIGHT RISK HAS BEEN INCLUDED FOR PARTS OF THIS
AREA...BUT STORMS SHOULD WEAKEN AS THEY REACH AS FAR EAST AS A
HUF-SDF-LOZ LINE...WHERE MORNING CONVECTION AND LEFTOVER CLOUDS HAVE
RESULTED IN A COOLER/MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER.

...NRN TX/SRN OK...
ISOLATED STORMS MAY FORM LATER THIS AFTERNOON NEAR STATIONARY FRONT
LOCATED IN THE RED RIVER VALLEY REGION...WITH A THREAT OF DAMAGING
WINDS AND HAIL...REFERENCE MD 1231. HOWEVER...THE 10% THUNDER LINE
HAS BEEN REMOVED SOUTH OF THIS AREA DUE TO BUILDING HEIGHTS IN
CONJUNCTION WITH A WARMING/DRYING BOUNDARY LAYER.

..IMY.. 06/15/2011

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1122 AM CDT WED JUN 15 2011/

...TN VALLEY REGION THIS AFTERNOON...
THE PRIMARY MIDLEVEL TROUGH IS PROGRESSING EWD OVER TN AND THE LOWER
OH VALLEY. IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM...BANDS OF ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING IN THE ZONE OF WAA FROM MIDDLE TN INTO
CENTRAL KY...AND THESE STORMS MAY POSE A MARGINAL HAIL RISK.
FARTHER W/SW...A WARM FRONT IS MOVING NEWD INTO MIDDLE TN AND
CENTRAL/NRN AL. THE HIGHEST BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES AND
DEWPOINTS RESIDE ALONG AND W OF THIS BOUNDARY...AND SE OF A REMNANT
WSW-ENE ORIENTED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM NRN AR INTO NW TN.
NEW STORMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SURFACE BOUNDARIES
ACROSS WRN/MIDDLE TN IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MLCAPE AOA 3000 J/G...AND
THIS CONVECTION COULD EVOLVE INTO ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS THAT WILL
MOVE EWD/SEWD ALONG THE WARM FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. 50 KT WLY
MIDLEVEL FLOW NOTED ON AREA VWPS/ WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED CLUSTERS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...WHILE BUOYANCY/LAPSE RATES
WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR LARGE HAIL.

...FL THIS AFTERNOON...
STRONG SURFACE HEATING IS UNDERWAY ACROSS FL...AND MODIFIED 12Z
SOUNDINGS SUPPORT AFTERNOON MLCAPE NEAR 3000 J/KG WITH LITTLE
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION. NWLY MIDLEVEL FLOW WILL ALLOW ORGANIZED
MULTICELL CLUSTERS TO PROPAGATE SWD/SWWD ALONG THE E COAST SEA
BREEZE...AND INTO THE WARMER INTERIOR WHERE THE STRONGEST
INSTABILITY WILL RESIDE. ALSO...WLY FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP ANVIL
DEBRIS FROM SHADING THE STORM INFLOW REGIONS...WHICH WILL HELP
MAINTAIN STRONG INSTABILITY IN ADVANCE OF THE STORMS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. THE MORE INTENSE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE DAMAGING WET MICROBURSTS...AS WELL AS MARGINALLY SEVERE
HAIL.

...IL/INDIANA THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
A LARGE CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS MOVED EWD INTO ERN KY/TN...WITH
A RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY NEAR THE TN/KY BORDER. N OF THIS
BOUNDARY...SURFACE DEWPOINTS LINGER IN THE MID-UPPER 60S...AND
CLEARING SKIES WILL ALLOW SURFACE HEATING THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...THE INITIAL MIDLEVEL TROUGH IS ALREADY MOVING OVER
IL...AND THE NEXT UPSTREAM WAVE WILL NOT IMPACT THIS AREA UNTIL
TONIGHT AND IN THE WAKE OF THE WAKE OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT WHICH
IS NOW CROSSING THE MS RIVER. ISOLATED STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE
POSSIBLE...BUT THE COVERAGE/INTENSITY OF STORMS IS IN QUESTION.
THUS...WILL MAINTAIN LOW HAIL/WIND PROBABILITIES ACROSS THIS AREA.

...RED RIVER VALLEY OF TX/OK THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL STALL NEAR OR JUST N OF THE RED RIVER
THIS AFTERNOON...AS THE ASSOCIATED MIDLEVEL TROUGH MOVES E OF THE MS
VALLEY. SURFACE HEATING WILL RESULT IN STRONG INSTABILITY ALONG AND
S OF THE FRONT...BUT THERE WILL BE LITTLE FOCUS FOR STORM
DEVELOPMENT OTHER THAN THE FRONT WHICH WILL BECOME MORE DIFFUSE WITH
TIME. GIVEN THE WEAKENING VERTICAL SHEAR WITH TIME AND UNCERTAINTY
REGARDING INITIATION...WILL MAINTAIN ONLY LOW HAIL/WIND
PROBABILITIES THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.

...INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND AND ERN NY THIS AFTERNOON...
STRONG SURFACE HEATING AND RESIDUAL BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE
MID 50S WILL ALLOW THE DEVELOPMENT OF 500-1000 J/KG MLCAPE THIS
AFTERNOON. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE SWD AS MIDLEVEL FLOW WILL SLOWLY WEAKENS AND
BACKS FROM NELY TO NLY. MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND STRONG OUTFLOW
GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS.

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KTBW [151950]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 151950
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
350 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0349 PM HAIL LAKE ALFRED 28.09N 81.73W
06/15/2011 E0.70 INCH POLK FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTS DIME SIZE HAIL AT FIRE STATION IN
LAKE ALFRED.


&&

$$

JMCNATT

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KMLB [151946]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 151946
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
346 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0337 PM HAIL 4 WSW COCOA 28.36N 80.81W
06/15/2011 E0.70 INCH BREVARD FL TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME-SIZED HAIL REPORTED ON HWY 520.


&&

$$

ARB

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KHUN [151949]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 151949
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
249 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0236 PM HAIL PISGAH 34.68N 85.85W
06/15/2011 E1.25 INCH JACKSON AL EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

JS

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KMLB [151944]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 151944
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
344 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0331 PM HAIL SW LONE CABBAGE FISH CA 28.37N 80.87W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH BREVARD FL PUBLIC

QUARTER-SIZED HAIL IN THE POINSETT SHORES SUBDIVISION.


&&

$$

ARB

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KOHX [151940]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 151940
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
240 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0239 PM HAIL 4 NE HOHENWALD 35.59N 87.51W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH LEWIS TN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

BBOYD

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KMLB [151936]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 151936
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
336 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM TSTM WND GST 5 WSW TITUSVILLE AIRPOR 28.50N 80.88W
06/15/2011 M67 MPH BREVARD FL OTHER FEDERAL

KSC 54 FOOT TOWER NUMBER 1605 MEASURED 58 KT/67 MPH WIND
GUST.


&&

$$

ARB

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KOHX [151933]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 151933
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
230 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 PM HAIL WALTERHILL 35.96N 86.38W
06/15/2011 E0.50 INCH RUTHERFORD TN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

STEIGERWALDT

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KDVN [151933]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 151933
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
233 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0232 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSE CEDAR RAPIDS 41.95N 91.66W
06/15/2011 M1.70 INCH LINN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

SINCE 11 PM LAST EVENING


&&

$$

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KHUN [151918]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 151918
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
218 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0213 PM HAIL GRANT 34.53N 86.25W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH MARSHALL AL PUBLIC


&&

$$

JS

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KOHX [151917]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 151917
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
217 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0216 PM HAIL 6 W CROSSVILLE 35.95N 85.14W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH CUMBERLAND TN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

BBOYD

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KIWX [151916]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 151916
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
315 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0155 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 9 S COLDWATER 41.81N 85.00W
06/15/2011 BRANCH MI EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES AND POWER LINES IN ABOUT 15 LOCATIONS IN SOUTH
AND NORTH END OF BRANCH COUNTY.


&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1101052

$$

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KHUN [151915]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 151915
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
215 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0208 PM HAIL GRANT 34.53N 86.25W
06/15/2011 E0.88 INCH MARSHALL AL EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

JS

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1232

ACUS11 KWNS 151914
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151913
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-152115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1232
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0213 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN IL...SWRN IND...WRN KY...NWRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 151913Z - 152115Z

STORMS ARE INCREASING IN COVERAGE. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT...A WATCH MAY BE CONSIDERED.

STORMS ARE INCREASING IN COVERAGE NOW NEAR A LOW DRYLINE/LOW
PRESSURE TROUGH FROM CNTRL IL SWD ALONG THE MS RIVER. HEATING
PERSISTS IN THE WAKE OF EARLIER CONVECTION...AND CAPPING HAS BEEN
REMOVED. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY DOES EXIST ACROSS ERN IL INTO SWRN IND
AND CNTRL KY...WITH COOLER AND STABLE AIR TO THE E. THIS IS
RESULTING IN A RATHER NARROW MOIST SECTOR ACROSS CNTRL IL...BUT
WIDENING OVER WRN KY.

LOW LEVEL SHEAR AWAY FROM THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS MEAGER WITH WINDS
VEERING/MIXING. BUT DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND RELATIVELY STRAIGHT
HODOGRAPHS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS CONTAINING LARGE HAIL.
LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS STRONG NEAR THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY BUT THE
EFFECTIVE ZONE WHERE PARCELS WOULD REMAIN UNSTABLE MAY BE QUITE
NARROW. STORMS WOULD HAVE TO TURN SUBSTANTIALLY TO THE RIGHT NEAR
THIS BOUNDARY IN ORDER TO HAVE AN INCREASED TORNADO THREAT.

..JEWELL.. 06/15/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...

LAT...LON 40138842 39268814 38588783 38198729 37758642 37008644
36428704 36378766 36358891 36378921 36568947 36999002
37588989 38258960 39418918 39978909 40218895 40258863
40138842

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KHUN [151912]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 151912
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
212 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 PM HAIL 2 E NEW HOPE 34.54N 86.39W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH MADISON AL PUBLIC


&&

$$

JS

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KHUN [151906]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 151906
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
206 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 PM HAIL 4 WSW WOODVILLE 34.60N 86.34W
06/15/2011 E0.88 INCH MADISON AL TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKEL SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.


&&

$$

JS

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KMLB [151904]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 151904
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
304 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0252 PM HAIL 2 SSE CLERMONT 28.52N 81.74W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH LAKE FL TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL UP TO QUARTER-SIZED WITH ESTIMATED WINDS OF 50-55
MPH.


&&

$$

ARB

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KOHX [151902]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 151902
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
201 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0155 PM HAIL 2 S DOVER 36.45N 87.84W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH STEWART TN FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

HAIL WAS OBSERVED ON LICK CREEK ROAD


&&

$$

STEIGERWALDT

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KDMX [151900]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 151900
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
200 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1012 PM HAIL LACONA 41.19N 93.38W
06/14/2011 E0.88 INCH WARREN IA PUBLIC

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR...


&&

$$

JB

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1231

ACUS11 KWNS 151857
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151857
ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-152000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1231
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0157 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN OK...NRN TX...CNTRL AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 151857Z - 152000Z

ISOLATED STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY FORM ACROSS THE RED RIVER VALLEY
REGION...WITH A THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. THE SEVERE THREAT
IS HIGHLY CONDITIONAL.

TEMPERATURES ARE HEATING INTO THE 90S ACROSS THE RED RIVER VALLEY
WHILE DEWPOINTS HOLD IN THE 60S F. STRONG INSTABILITY IS ALREADY IN
PLACE AND LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES CONTINUE TO STEEPEN. DEEP LAYER
SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR STORM ORGANIZATION AS WELL. LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS WOULD BE THE LIKELY THREATS.

WITH CONTINUED HEATING AND WEAK SURFACE CONVERGENCE ALONG AN AXIS OF
DILATATION...ISOLATED STORMS MAY FORM. GIVEN EXPECTED COVERAGE...A
WATCH IS NOT LIKELY...A FEW SEVERE STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT ON A
LOCAL LEVEL.

..JEWELL.. 06/15/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...

LAT...LON 34819243 34179281 33549341 33029464 32809755 33109930
33860052 34480038 34909974 34929689 35029426 35129301
35029260 34819243

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KHUN [151857]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 151857
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
156 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0143 PM HAIL 1 SE OWENS CROSSROADS 34.57N 86.45W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH MADISON AL CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

JS

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KHUN [151855]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 151855
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
155 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0149 PM HAIL NEW HOPE 34.54N 86.42W
06/15/2011 E1.75 INCH MADISON AL EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

JS

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KHUN [151854]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 151854
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
154 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0140 PM HAIL SSW NEW HOPE 34.53N 86.42W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH MADISON AL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JS

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KMRX [151843]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 151843
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
243 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0155 PM HAIL E OAK RIDGE 35.96N 84.30W
06/15/2011 E0.75 INCH ANDERSON TN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

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KMRX [151838]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 151838
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
238 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM HAIL 10 WSW SUNBRIGHT 36.19N 84.84W
06/15/2011 E1.00 INCH MORGAN TN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

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KMRX [151836]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 151836
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
236 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM HAIL PIKEVILLE 35.61N 85.20W
06/15/2011 E0.88 INCH BLEDSOE TN LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

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