NWUS53 KGRB 150338
LSRGRB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1037 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 PM SNOW PRESQUE ISLE 46.25N 89.73W
03/14/2014 M0.3 INCH VILAS WI PUBLIC
REPORT RELAYED TO NWS BY WJFW-TV IN RHINELANDER.
&&
$$
MG
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Friday, March 14, 2014
KMSO [150240]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 150240
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
840 PM MDT FRI MAR 14 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0818 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WSW DEER LODGE 46.39N 112.76W
03/14/2014 M51 MPH POWELL MT AWOS
&&
$$
NWS MISSOULA MT
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
840 PM MDT FRI MAR 14 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0818 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WSW DEER LODGE 46.39N 112.76W
03/14/2014 M51 MPH POWELL MT AWOS
&&
$$
NWS MISSOULA MT
IRIS SYSTEM
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KMSO [150237]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 150237
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
836 PM MDT FRI MAR 14 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0834 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 S DEER LODGE 46.37N 112.72W
03/14/2014 M55 MPH POWELL MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
NWS MISSOULA MT
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
836 PM MDT FRI MAR 14 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0834 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 S DEER LODGE 46.37N 112.72W
03/14/2014 M55 MPH POWELL MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
NWS MISSOULA MT
IRIS SYSTEM
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 150056
SWODY1
SPC AC 150055
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014
VALID 150100Z - 151200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION...
THE FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER...WHICH DEVELOPED OVER
EASTERN WASHINGTON DURING THE 19-21Z TIME FRAME...WEAKENED
CONSIDERABLY AS SUPPORTING FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION...
ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE IMPULSE...SPREAD EASTWARD INTO
A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. SOME REMNANT
WEAK THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST ON THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF THE MID-LEVEL
COLD POOL...NEAR THE BITTERROOT MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CENTRAL
IDAHO...AS THE UPPER IMPULSE BEGINS TO DIG MORE SHARPLY
SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. HOWEVER...WITH THE
ONSET OF DIURNAL BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING...IT SEEMS PROBABLE THAT
EVEN THIS ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH/DISSIPATE BY THE 02-03Z TIME
FRAME...IF NOT BEFORE.
...SRN PLATEAU/ROCKIES INTO SW TEXAS AND PARTS OF SRN PLAINS...
THE COVERAGE OF STORMS NEAR THE MOGOLLON RIM AND PLATEAU REGION OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ARIZONA INTO THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO IS ALREADY BEGINNING TO WANE. WITH FURTHER BOUNDARY LAYER
COOLING...MOST REMAINING STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BY THE
02-03Z TIME FRAME.
EAST OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES...POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT
REMAINS A BIT UNCLEAR. BUT LATEST OBJECTIVE SURFACE ANALYSIS
INDICATES THAT THE DEEP MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER OVER NORTHERN CHIHUAHUA
REMAINS RELATIVELY UNSTABLE...AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT APPEARS
POSSIBLE BY 03-04Z...AS MID/UPPER FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORT
WAVE TROUGH PROGRESSING ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES BEGINS TO
IMPACT THE REGION. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY ADVECT NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS...AIDED BY 40-50 KT SOUTHWESTERLY
MID-LEVEL FLOW. AS STRONGER MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS GRADUALLY SPREAD
ACROSS THE PECOS VALLEY AND TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS...IT DOES NOT APPEAR
OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN LATER TONIGHT
COULD BECOME SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT THE RISK FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED
WEAK THUNDERSTORMS.
..KERR.. 03/15/2014
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SWODY1
SPC AC 150055
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014
VALID 150100Z - 151200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION...
THE FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER...WHICH DEVELOPED OVER
EASTERN WASHINGTON DURING THE 19-21Z TIME FRAME...WEAKENED
CONSIDERABLY AS SUPPORTING FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION...
ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE IMPULSE...SPREAD EASTWARD INTO
A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. SOME REMNANT
WEAK THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST ON THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF THE MID-LEVEL
COLD POOL...NEAR THE BITTERROOT MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CENTRAL
IDAHO...AS THE UPPER IMPULSE BEGINS TO DIG MORE SHARPLY
SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. HOWEVER...WITH THE
ONSET OF DIURNAL BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING...IT SEEMS PROBABLE THAT
EVEN THIS ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH/DISSIPATE BY THE 02-03Z TIME
FRAME...IF NOT BEFORE.
...SRN PLATEAU/ROCKIES INTO SW TEXAS AND PARTS OF SRN PLAINS...
THE COVERAGE OF STORMS NEAR THE MOGOLLON RIM AND PLATEAU REGION OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ARIZONA INTO THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO IS ALREADY BEGINNING TO WANE. WITH FURTHER BOUNDARY LAYER
COOLING...MOST REMAINING STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BY THE
02-03Z TIME FRAME.
EAST OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES...POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT
REMAINS A BIT UNCLEAR. BUT LATEST OBJECTIVE SURFACE ANALYSIS
INDICATES THAT THE DEEP MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER OVER NORTHERN CHIHUAHUA
REMAINS RELATIVELY UNSTABLE...AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT APPEARS
POSSIBLE BY 03-04Z...AS MID/UPPER FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORT
WAVE TROUGH PROGRESSING ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES BEGINS TO
IMPACT THE REGION. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY ADVECT NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS...AIDED BY 40-50 KT SOUTHWESTERLY
MID-LEVEL FLOW. AS STRONGER MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS GRADUALLY SPREAD
ACROSS THE PECOS VALLEY AND TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS...IT DOES NOT APPEAR
OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN LATER TONIGHT
COULD BECOME SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT THE RISK FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED
WEAK THUNDERSTORMS.
..KERR.. 03/15/2014
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KPUB [142325]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPUB 142325
LSRPUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
524 PM MDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0335 PM SNOW WOLF CREEK PASS 37.48N 106.80W
03/14/2014 M3.0 INCH MINERAL CO PUBLIC
24 HR SKI AREA TOTAL
&&
$$
LW
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LSRPUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
524 PM MDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0335 PM SNOW WOLF CREEK PASS 37.48N 106.80W
03/14/2014 M3.0 INCH MINERAL CO PUBLIC
24 HR SKI AREA TOTAL
&&
$$
LW
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KABQ [142324]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected
NWUS55 KABQ 142324
LSRABQ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
524 PM MDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0418 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 7 WNW ALBUQUERQUE 35.16N 106.74W
03/14/2014 E50 MPH BERNALILLO NM STORM CHASER
UNIVERSE AND PASEO DEL NORTE
&&
CORRECTED EVENT
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1400550
$$
CML
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LSRABQ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
524 PM MDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0418 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 7 WNW ALBUQUERQUE 35.16N 106.74W
03/14/2014 E50 MPH BERNALILLO NM STORM CHASER
UNIVERSE AND PASEO DEL NORTE
&&
CORRECTED EVENT
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1400550
$$
CML
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KTFX [142301]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 142301
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
501 PM MDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
03/14/2014 M75 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET
75 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DEEP CREEK RAWS SITE. TIME OF
EVENT IS ESTIMATED.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
501 PM MDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
03/14/2014 M75 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET
75 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DEEP CREEK RAWS SITE. TIME OF
EVENT IS ESTIMATED.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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KABQ [142255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KABQ 142255
LSRABQ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
455 PM MDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0418 PM HAIL 7 WNW ALBUQUERQUE 35.16N 106.74W
03/14/2014 M0.75 INCH BERNALILLO NM STORM CHASER
UNIVERSE AND PASEO DEL NORTE
0418 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 7 WNW ALBUQUERQUE 35.16N 106.74W
03/14/2014 M50 MPH BERNALILLO NM STORM CHASER
UNIVERSE AND PASEO DEL NORTE
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1400549
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1400550
$$
CML
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LSRABQ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
455 PM MDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0418 PM HAIL 7 WNW ALBUQUERQUE 35.16N 106.74W
03/14/2014 M0.75 INCH BERNALILLO NM STORM CHASER
UNIVERSE AND PASEO DEL NORTE
0418 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 7 WNW ALBUQUERQUE 35.16N 106.74W
03/14/2014 M50 MPH BERNALILLO NM STORM CHASER
UNIVERSE AND PASEO DEL NORTE
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1400549
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1400550
$$
CML
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KOTX [142244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KOTX 142244
LSROTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
342 PM PDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0255 PM TSTM WND DMG ST. MARIES 47.31N 116.57W
03/14/2014 BENEWAH ID LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREE REPORTED ON POWERLINES AND ACROSS TWO LANES ALONG
HIGHWAY 5 NEAR ST. MARIES.
&&
$$
JCOTE
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LSROTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
342 PM PDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0255 PM TSTM WND DMG ST. MARIES 47.31N 116.57W
03/14/2014 BENEWAH ID LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREE REPORTED ON POWERLINES AND ACROSS TWO LANES ALONG
HIGHWAY 5 NEAR ST. MARIES.
&&
$$
JCOTE
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KTFX [142227]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 142227
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
427 PM MDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1230 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 NE WHITLASH 48.98N 111.16W
03/14/2014 M61 MPH LIBERTY MT MESONET
61 MPH WIND GUST AT THE MONTANA STATE FLOOD SITE.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
427 PM MDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1230 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 NE WHITLASH 48.98N 111.16W
03/14/2014 M61 MPH LIBERTY MT MESONET
61 MPH WIND GUST AT THE MONTANA STATE FLOOD SITE.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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KILN [142204]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 142204
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
604 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0528 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KCVG CINC N KY APT 39.05N 84.66W
03/14/2014 M49.00 MPH BOONE KY ASOS
0540 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KEDJ BELLEFONTAINE APT 40.37N 83.82W
03/14/2014 M51.00 MPH LOGAN OH AWOS
&&
$$
HATZOS
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
604 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0528 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KCVG CINC N KY APT 39.05N 84.66W
03/14/2014 M49.00 MPH BOONE KY ASOS
0540 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KEDJ BELLEFONTAINE APT 40.37N 83.82W
03/14/2014 M51.00 MPH LOGAN OH AWOS
&&
$$
HATZOS
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KGRR [142158]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGRR 142158
LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
557 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0317 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WNW BATTLE CREEK 42.31N 85.25W
03/14/2014 M47 MPH CALHOUN MI ASOS
ASOS STATION W K KELLOGG AIRPORT
0302 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 ENE KENTWOOD 42.89N 85.54W
03/14/2014 M45 MPH KENT MI ASOS
ASOS STATION GERALD R FORD INTL
0424 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 WNW JACKSON 42.26N 84.46W
03/14/2014 M44 MPH JACKSON MI ASOS
ASOS STATION JACKSON COUNTY-REYNOLDS FIELD
AIRPORT
0440 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WNW JACKSON 42.26N 84.44W
03/14/2014 M41 MPH JACKSON MI MESONET
MESONET STATION 2 WNW JACKSON
&&
$$
NWS GRAND RAPIDS MI
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
557 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0317 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WNW BATTLE CREEK 42.31N 85.25W
03/14/2014 M47 MPH CALHOUN MI ASOS
ASOS STATION W K KELLOGG AIRPORT
0302 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 ENE KENTWOOD 42.89N 85.54W
03/14/2014 M45 MPH KENT MI ASOS
ASOS STATION GERALD R FORD INTL
0424 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 WNW JACKSON 42.26N 84.46W
03/14/2014 M44 MPH JACKSON MI ASOS
ASOS STATION JACKSON COUNTY-REYNOLDS FIELD
AIRPORT
0440 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WNW JACKSON 42.26N 84.44W
03/14/2014 M41 MPH JACKSON MI MESONET
MESONET STATION 2 WNW JACKSON
&&
$$
NWS GRAND RAPIDS MI
IRIS SYSTEM
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KILN [142122]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 142122
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
522 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 W WESTERVILLE 40.12N 82.94W
03/14/2014 FRANKLIN OH NEWSPAPER
A VENTILATION SMOKESTACK WAS BLOWN DOWN AT OTTERBEIN
UNIVERSITY.
&&
$$
HATZOS
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
522 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 W WESTERVILLE 40.12N 82.94W
03/14/2014 FRANKLIN OH NEWSPAPER
A VENTILATION SMOKESTACK WAS BLOWN DOWN AT OTTERBEIN
UNIVERSITY.
&&
$$
HATZOS
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KILN [142117]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 142117
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
517 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0424 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KOSU OSU AIRPORT 40.08N 83.07W
03/14/2014 M47.00 MPH FRANKLIN OH ASOS
0446 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KDAY DAYTON COX APT 39.90N 84.22W
03/14/2014 M55.00 MPH MONTGOMERY OH ASOS
0455 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KVES VERSAILLES APT 40.20N 84.53W
03/14/2014 M49.00 MPH DARKE OH AWOS
0511 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KI68 LEBANON APT 39.46N 84.25W
03/14/2014 M49.00 MPH WARREN OH AWOS
&&
$$
HATZOS
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
517 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0424 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KOSU OSU AIRPORT 40.08N 83.07W
03/14/2014 M47.00 MPH FRANKLIN OH ASOS
0446 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KDAY DAYTON COX APT 39.90N 84.22W
03/14/2014 M55.00 MPH MONTGOMERY OH ASOS
0455 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KVES VERSAILLES APT 40.20N 84.53W
03/14/2014 M49.00 MPH DARKE OH AWOS
0511 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KI68 LEBANON APT 39.46N 84.25W
03/14/2014 M49.00 MPH WARREN OH AWOS
&&
$$
HATZOS
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KIND [142111]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KIND 142111
LSRIND
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
510 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 SW INDIANAPOLIS 39.75N 86.19W
03/14/2014 MARION IN PUBLIC
LARGE TREE DOWN ON HOUSE IN MARS HILL AREA. TIME
APPROXIMATE.
&&
$$
50
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LSRIND
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
510 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 SW INDIANAPOLIS 39.75N 86.19W
03/14/2014 MARION IN PUBLIC
LARGE TREE DOWN ON HOUSE IN MARS HILL AREA. TIME
APPROXIMATE.
&&
$$
50
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KILN [142057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 142057
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
456 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 N HAGERSTOWN 39.98N 85.17W
03/14/2014 WAYNE IN EMERGENCY MNGR
TREE DOWNED ON MASSEY ROAD.
0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 SE RICHMOND 39.80N 84.84W
03/14/2014 WAYNE IN EMERGENCY MNGR
TREE DOWNED ON POWER LINES ON MINNEMAN ROAD.
&&
$$
HATZOS
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
456 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 N HAGERSTOWN 39.98N 85.17W
03/14/2014 WAYNE IN EMERGENCY MNGR
TREE DOWNED ON MASSEY ROAD.
0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 SE RICHMOND 39.80N 84.84W
03/14/2014 WAYNE IN EMERGENCY MNGR
TREE DOWNED ON POWER LINES ON MINNEMAN ROAD.
&&
$$
HATZOS
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KILN [142023]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 142023
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
422 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0311 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KFFO WRIGHT-PATT AFB 39.83N 84.05W
03/14/2014 M53.00 MPH GREENE OH OTHER FEDERAL
0359 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KI12 SIDNEY APT 40.24N 84.15W
03/14/2014 M47.00 MPH SHELBY OH AWOS
0409 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KAXV WAPAKONETA APT 40.49N 84.30W
03/14/2014 M47.00 MPH AUGLAIZE OH AWOS
0411 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KMWO MIDDLETOWN APT 39.53N 84.40W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH BUTLER OH AWOS
0416 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KI23 WASHINGTON CH APT 39.57N 83.42W
03/14/2014 M48.00 MPH FAYETTE OH AWOS
0417 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KHOC HILLSBORO APT 39.19N 83.54W
03/14/2014 M51.00 MPH HIGHLAND OH AWOS
&&
$$
HATZOS
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
422 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0311 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KFFO WRIGHT-PATT AFB 39.83N 84.05W
03/14/2014 M53.00 MPH GREENE OH OTHER FEDERAL
0359 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KI12 SIDNEY APT 40.24N 84.15W
03/14/2014 M47.00 MPH SHELBY OH AWOS
0409 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KAXV WAPAKONETA APT 40.49N 84.30W
03/14/2014 M47.00 MPH AUGLAIZE OH AWOS
0411 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KMWO MIDDLETOWN APT 39.53N 84.40W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH BUTLER OH AWOS
0416 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KI23 WASHINGTON CH APT 39.57N 83.42W
03/14/2014 M48.00 MPH FAYETTE OH AWOS
0417 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KHOC HILLSBORO APT 39.19N 83.54W
03/14/2014 M51.00 MPH HIGHLAND OH AWOS
&&
$$
HATZOS
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KILN [142007]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 142007
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
407 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0255 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KILN WILMINGTON APT 39.43N 83.79W
03/14/2014 M49.00 MPH CLINTON OH ASOS
0258 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KLUK LUNKEN AIRPORT 39.10N 84.42W
03/14/2014 M49.00 MPH HAMILTON OH ASOS
0315 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KCMH PORT COLUMBUS APT 40.00N 82.89W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH FRANKLIN OH ASOS
0332 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KCVG CINC N KY APT 39.05N 84.66W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH BOONE KY ASOS
0341 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KMGY WRIGHT BROS APT 39.59N 84.22W
03/14/2014 M56.00 MPH MONTGOMERY OH ASOS
&&
$$
HATZOS
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
407 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0255 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KILN WILMINGTON APT 39.43N 83.79W
03/14/2014 M49.00 MPH CLINTON OH ASOS
0258 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KLUK LUNKEN AIRPORT 39.10N 84.42W
03/14/2014 M49.00 MPH HAMILTON OH ASOS
0315 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KCMH PORT COLUMBUS APT 40.00N 82.89W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH FRANKLIN OH ASOS
0332 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KCVG CINC N KY APT 39.05N 84.66W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH BOONE KY ASOS
0341 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KMGY WRIGHT BROS APT 39.59N 84.22W
03/14/2014 M56.00 MPH MONTGOMERY OH ASOS
&&
$$
HATZOS
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KILN [142005]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 142005
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
404 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0357 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSE WILMINGTON 39.42N 83.82W
03/14/2014 M49 MPH CLINTON OH OFFICIAL NWS OBS
RECORDED AT NWS WILMINGTON OHIO.
&&
$$
HATZOS
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
404 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0357 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSE WILMINGTON 39.42N 83.82W
03/14/2014 M49 MPH CLINTON OH OFFICIAL NWS OBS
RECORDED AT NWS WILMINGTON OHIO.
&&
$$
HATZOS
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KILN [141950]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 141950
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
345 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0222 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KSGH SPRINGFIELD APT 39.84N 83.84W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH CLARK OH AWOS
0238 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KFFO WRIGHT-PATT AFB 39.83N 84.05W
03/14/2014 M51.00 MPH GREENE OH OTHER FEDERAL
0254 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KI68 LEBANON APT 39.46N 84.25W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH WARREN OH AWOS
0315 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KVES VERSAILLES APT 40.20N 84.53W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH DARKE OH AWOS
0320 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KEDJ BELLEFONTAINE APT 40.37N 83.82W
03/14/2014 M48.00 MPH LOGAN OH AWOS
0333 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KCEV CONNERSVILLE APT 39.70N 85.13W
03/14/2014 M47.00 MPH FAYETTE IN AWOS
0335 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KLCK RICKENBACKER APT 39.81N 82.93W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH FRANKLIN OH AWOS
0336 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KHOC HILLSBORO APT 39.19N 83.54W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH HIGHLAND OH AWOS
0339 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KAXV WAPAKONETA APT 40.49N 84.30W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH AUGLAIZE OH AWOS
&&
$$
HATZOS
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
345 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0222 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KSGH SPRINGFIELD APT 39.84N 83.84W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH CLARK OH AWOS
0238 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KFFO WRIGHT-PATT AFB 39.83N 84.05W
03/14/2014 M51.00 MPH GREENE OH OTHER FEDERAL
0254 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KI68 LEBANON APT 39.46N 84.25W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH WARREN OH AWOS
0315 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KVES VERSAILLES APT 40.20N 84.53W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH DARKE OH AWOS
0320 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KEDJ BELLEFONTAINE APT 40.37N 83.82W
03/14/2014 M48.00 MPH LOGAN OH AWOS
0333 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KCEV CONNERSVILLE APT 39.70N 85.13W
03/14/2014 M47.00 MPH FAYETTE IN AWOS
0335 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KLCK RICKENBACKER APT 39.81N 82.93W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH FRANKLIN OH AWOS
0336 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KHOC HILLSBORO APT 39.19N 83.54W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH HIGHLAND OH AWOS
0339 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KAXV WAPAKONETA APT 40.49N 84.30W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH AUGLAIZE OH AWOS
&&
$$
HATZOS
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 141938
SWODY1
SPC AC 141937
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0237 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014
VALID 142000Z - 151200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...DISCUSSION...
GENERAL FORECAST THINKING REMAINS ON TRACK...THOUGH THE THUNDER AREA
OVER THE TX/OK VICINITY FOR LATE IN THE PERIOD IS BEING REMOVED
ATTM. THOUGH A COUPLE OF ISOLATED STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT ACROSS A BROAD AREA E OF THE CURRENT AZ/NM THUNDER AREA --
ANYWHERE FROM SRN/ERN NM EWD ACROSS WRN OK/NWRN TX...COVERAGE ACROSS
THIS BROAD ZONE SHOULD REMAIN LESS THAN 10 PERCENT PRIOR TO THE
CONVECTIVE INCREASE EXPECTED EARLY IN THE DAY 2 PERIOD.
..GOSS.. 03/14/2014
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1048 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014/
...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE...WEAK SPLIT FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SAT. NRN STREAM
SYSTEM NOW ENTERING WA SHOULD CONTINUE ESE INTO WY BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD WHILE SRN BRANCH TROUGH NOW OVER AZ ASSUMES A MORE NEUTRAL
TILT AS IT MOVES E INTO ERN NM/FAR W TX. DOWNSTREAM FROM BOTH
SYSTEMS...LEE TROUGHING/WEAK CYCLOGENESIS IS EXPECTED AT THE SFC
OVER THE SRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLNS. MODEST RETURN FLOW WILL PERSIST
OVER THE SRN PLNS BETWEEN NOW AND SAT AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES.
SUFFICIENT ASSOCIATED DESTABILIZATION MAY OCCUR TO SUPPORT SCTD
ELEVATED TSTM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE RED RVR VLY TOWARD THE END OF THE
PERIOD. OTHERWISE...DIURNALLY-ENHANCED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY E
OF AZ UPR IMPULSE.
...AZ/NM TODAY...
ISOLD TO WDLY SCTD TSTMS EXPECTED THIS AFTN/EVE OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF CNTRL/NRN AZ/NM AS SFC HEATING FURTHER DESTABILIZES
REGION ALREADY SUBJECT TO MID-LVL MOISTENING/ASCENT AHEAD OF AZ UPR
TROUGH. SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE SHOULD BE PRESENT FOR
100-300 J/KG MLCAPE. THE TSTM THREAT MAY LINGER INTO MID-EVE...BUT
SHOULD DIMINISH FROM W-E WITH EWD MOVEMENT OF LARGE-SCALE LIFT.
...SRN PLNS AFTER 09Z...
POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED TSTMS SHOULD INCREASE DURING THE LAST FEW
HOURS OF THE PERIOD OVER PARTS OF THE SRN PLNS AS MODEST LWR
TROPOSPHERIC SSW FLOW BETWEEN NOW AND EARLY SAT ALLOWS FOR
APPRECIABLE MOISTENING OF THE 925-850 MB LAYER AHEAD OF APPROACHING
UPR TROUGH. THIS POTENTIAL APPEARS GREATEST FROM PARTS OF NW TX AND
THE RED RVR VLY E/NE INTO PARTS OF SRN OK...ALTHOUGH ISOLD THUNDER
ALSO COULD OCCUR OVER PARTS OF THE TX PANHANDLE. THE STRONGEST
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT OVER THE REGION LIKELY WILL BE DELAYED UNTIL
AFTER 12Z SAT. BUT SUFFICIENT JUXTAPOSITIONING OF LIFT WITH
INCREASING MOISTURE AND STEEP MID-LVL LAPSE RATES MAY OCCUR TO
PROMOTE HAIL IN A FEW CELLS. WHILE MUCAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG MAY
DEVELOP...MODEST CLOUD-LAYER SHEAR SHOULD LIMIT UPDRAFT
ORGANIZATION/SUSTENANCE.
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SWODY1
SPC AC 141937
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0237 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014
VALID 142000Z - 151200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...DISCUSSION...
GENERAL FORECAST THINKING REMAINS ON TRACK...THOUGH THE THUNDER AREA
OVER THE TX/OK VICINITY FOR LATE IN THE PERIOD IS BEING REMOVED
ATTM. THOUGH A COUPLE OF ISOLATED STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT ACROSS A BROAD AREA E OF THE CURRENT AZ/NM THUNDER AREA --
ANYWHERE FROM SRN/ERN NM EWD ACROSS WRN OK/NWRN TX...COVERAGE ACROSS
THIS BROAD ZONE SHOULD REMAIN LESS THAN 10 PERCENT PRIOR TO THE
CONVECTIVE INCREASE EXPECTED EARLY IN THE DAY 2 PERIOD.
..GOSS.. 03/14/2014
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1048 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014/
...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE...WEAK SPLIT FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SAT. NRN STREAM
SYSTEM NOW ENTERING WA SHOULD CONTINUE ESE INTO WY BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD WHILE SRN BRANCH TROUGH NOW OVER AZ ASSUMES A MORE NEUTRAL
TILT AS IT MOVES E INTO ERN NM/FAR W TX. DOWNSTREAM FROM BOTH
SYSTEMS...LEE TROUGHING/WEAK CYCLOGENESIS IS EXPECTED AT THE SFC
OVER THE SRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLNS. MODEST RETURN FLOW WILL PERSIST
OVER THE SRN PLNS BETWEEN NOW AND SAT AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES.
SUFFICIENT ASSOCIATED DESTABILIZATION MAY OCCUR TO SUPPORT SCTD
ELEVATED TSTM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE RED RVR VLY TOWARD THE END OF THE
PERIOD. OTHERWISE...DIURNALLY-ENHANCED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY E
OF AZ UPR IMPULSE.
...AZ/NM TODAY...
ISOLD TO WDLY SCTD TSTMS EXPECTED THIS AFTN/EVE OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF CNTRL/NRN AZ/NM AS SFC HEATING FURTHER DESTABILIZES
REGION ALREADY SUBJECT TO MID-LVL MOISTENING/ASCENT AHEAD OF AZ UPR
TROUGH. SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE SHOULD BE PRESENT FOR
100-300 J/KG MLCAPE. THE TSTM THREAT MAY LINGER INTO MID-EVE...BUT
SHOULD DIMINISH FROM W-E WITH EWD MOVEMENT OF LARGE-SCALE LIFT.
...SRN PLNS AFTER 09Z...
POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED TSTMS SHOULD INCREASE DURING THE LAST FEW
HOURS OF THE PERIOD OVER PARTS OF THE SRN PLNS AS MODEST LWR
TROPOSPHERIC SSW FLOW BETWEEN NOW AND EARLY SAT ALLOWS FOR
APPRECIABLE MOISTENING OF THE 925-850 MB LAYER AHEAD OF APPROACHING
UPR TROUGH. THIS POTENTIAL APPEARS GREATEST FROM PARTS OF NW TX AND
THE RED RVR VLY E/NE INTO PARTS OF SRN OK...ALTHOUGH ISOLD THUNDER
ALSO COULD OCCUR OVER PARTS OF THE TX PANHANDLE. THE STRONGEST
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT OVER THE REGION LIKELY WILL BE DELAYED UNTIL
AFTER 12Z SAT. BUT SUFFICIENT JUXTAPOSITIONING OF LIFT WITH
INCREASING MOISTURE AND STEEP MID-LVL LAPSE RATES MAY OCCUR TO
PROMOTE HAIL IN A FEW CELLS. WHILE MUCAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG MAY
DEVELOP...MODEST CLOUD-LAYER SHEAR SHOULD LIMIT UPDRAFT
ORGANIZATION/SUSTENANCE.
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KGRR [141914]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGRR 141914
LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
314 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0117 PM NON-TSTM WND GST EAST GRAND RAPIDS 42.94N 85.61W
03/14/2014 M44 MPH KENT MI TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JMAPLES
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LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
314 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0117 PM NON-TSTM WND GST EAST GRAND RAPIDS 42.94N 85.61W
03/14/2014 M44 MPH KENT MI TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JMAPLES
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KILN [141859]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 141859
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
259 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0233 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 SW CENTERVILLE 39.77N 85.07W
03/14/2014 WAYNE IN EMERGENCY MNGR
TREE DOWN.
&&
$$
SFH
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
259 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0233 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 SW CENTERVILLE 39.77N 85.07W
03/14/2014 WAYNE IN EMERGENCY MNGR
TREE DOWN.
&&
$$
SFH
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KILN [141851]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected
NWUS51 KILN 141851
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
251 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0240 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 E OWENTON 38.55N 84.74W
03/14/2014 M49.00 MPH OWEN KY MESONET
KENTUCKY MESONET.
&&
$$
SFH
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
251 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0240 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 E OWENTON 38.55N 84.74W
03/14/2014 M49.00 MPH OWEN KY MESONET
KENTUCKY MESONET.
&&
$$
SFH
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KILN [141850]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 141850
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
250 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0240 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 E OWENTON 38.55N 84.74W
03/14/2014 M49 MPH OWEN KY MESONET
&&
$$
SFH
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
250 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0240 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 E OWENTON 38.55N 84.74W
03/14/2014 M49 MPH OWEN KY MESONET
&&
$$
SFH
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KILN [141838]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 141838
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
238 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0210 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ENE CARROLLTON 38.69N 85.14W
03/14/2014 M48 MPH CARROLL KY MESONET
KENTUCKY MESONET SITE.
&&
$$
SFH
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
238 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0210 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ENE CARROLLTON 38.69N 85.14W
03/14/2014 M48 MPH CARROLL KY MESONET
KENTUCKY MESONET SITE.
&&
$$
SFH
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KILN [141825]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 141825
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
225 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0220 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KDAY DAYTON COX APT 39.90N 84.22W
03/14/2014 M51 MPH MONTGOMERY OH ASOS
&&
$$
SFH
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
225 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0220 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KDAY DAYTON COX APT 39.90N 84.22W
03/14/2014 M51 MPH MONTGOMERY OH ASOS
&&
$$
SFH
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KILN [141820]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 141820
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
219 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0132 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KILN WILMINGTON APT 39.43N 83.79W
03/14/2014 M48.00 MPH CLINTON OH ASOS
0149 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KDAY DAYTON COX APT 39.90N 84.22W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH MONTGOMERY OH ASOS
&&
$$
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
219 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0132 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KILN WILMINGTON APT 39.43N 83.79W
03/14/2014 M48.00 MPH CLINTON OH ASOS
0149 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KDAY DAYTON COX APT 39.90N 84.22W
03/14/2014 M46.00 MPH MONTGOMERY OH ASOS
&&
$$
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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS02 KWNS 141731
SWODY2
SPC AC 141730
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS ROUGHLY THE NERN QUARTER
OF TX AND VICINITY...
...SYNOPSIS...
WITHIN AN UPPER PATTERN CHARACTERIZED BY RIDGING OVER THE WEST AND
STRONG CYCLONIC FLOW OVER ERN CANADA AND THE ADJACENT NERN CONUS...A
SRN STREAM SHORT-WAVE TROUGH SHIFTING EWD OUT OF ERN NM ACROSS THE
SRN PLAINS WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUS THIS PERIOD WITH RESPECT TO
CONVECTIVE/SEVERE RISK.
VARIOUS MODELS DIFFER WITH RESPECT TO THE EVOLUTION OF THIS
TROUGH...AS NRN STREAM ENERGY DIGGING SSEWD ACROSS THE ROCKIES/HIGH
PLAINS EVENTUALLY INTERACTS/COALESCES WITH THE SRN STREAM FEATURE.
WITH THIS INTERACTION/PHASING BEING HANDLED POORLY BY THE
MODELS...ASSOCIATED SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS -- AND FRONTAL
EVOLUTION/ADVANCE -- IS ALSO NOT WELL HANDLED. OVERALL
HOWEVER...WITH SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT AND A FRONTAL ADVANCE ACROSS
THE SRN PLAINS REGION THROUGH A MOISTENING WARM SECTOR...RISK FOR
SEVERE STORMS REMAINS APPARENT ACROSS THIS REGION.
...NERN QUARTER OF TX AND VICINITY...
AFOREMENTIONED/SUBSTANTIAL DIFFERENCES BETWEEN VARIOUS MODELS
EMERGING ON DAY 2 COMPLICATE ATTEMPTS TO ASCERTAIN DETAILS OF THE
SEVERE RISK ACROSS THE REGION. STILL...BROAD INDICATIONS CONTINUE
TO SUGGEST THAT WIDESPREAD CONVECTION AND ACCOMPANYING SEVERE
POTENTIAL WILL AFFECT PARTS OF THE E TX VICINITY ON SATURDAY.
ATTM...IT WOULD APPEAR THAT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WILL BEGIN ACROSS
PARTS OF WRN OK AND ADJACENT NWRN TX...AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT
INCREASES AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING VORT MAX. HERE
THOUGH...COMBINATION OF RELATIVELY WEAK CAPE AND MODEST SHEAR SHOULD
LIMIT SEVERE RISK...AS STORMS MOVE EWD ACROSS OK THROUGH THE DAY.
FARTHER SE INTO TX...STRONGER SHEAR -- ENHANCED BY A 50 TO 60 KT
WSWLY MID-LEVEL JET ON THE SRN SIDE OF THE MID-LEVEL SYSTEM -- IS
PROGGED...BUT A WARM LEVEL BETWEEN 850 AND 700 MB SHOULD SERVE TO
LIMIT BOTH SURFACE-BASED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AS WELL AS
CONVECTIVE INTENSITY INTO THE AFTERNOON. EVENTUALLY
HOWEVER...MODEST DESTABILIZATION AND THE EWD ADVANCE OF ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE VORT MAX WILL SUPPORT INCREASINGLY WIDESPREAD --
AND SOMEWHAT MORE INTENSE -- CONVECTION...SPREADING OUT OF CENTRAL
TX INTO THE NERN QUADRANT OF THE STATE. ALONG WITH FAVORABLE
VEERING/INCREASING OF THE FLOW FIELD WITH HEIGHT...AMPLE CAPE FOR
STRONGER UPDRAFTS WOULD SUGGEST A RISK FOR EVENTUAL EVOLUTION OF A
FEW EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS -- CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AND LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO.
LATER -- DEPENDING UPON ACTUAL DEGREE OF SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS AND
ASSOCIATED STRENGTH OF FOCUSED LOW-LEVEL FORCING ALONG A DEVELOPING
SURFACE COLD FRONT...A LINEAR CONVECTIVE BAND COULD EVOLVE
OVERNIGHT...SPREADING ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA ALONG WITH AN
ACCOMPANYING RISK FOR HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.
FINALLY -- DEPENDING AGAIN UPON SYSTEM EVOLUTION WHICH REMAINS
UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME...ISOLATED SEVERE RISK COULD EVOLVE AS FAR E
AS THE CENTRAL GULF COASTAL REGION...AS A LOW-LEVEL JET AND
ASSOCIATED ZONE OF WARM ADVECTION SPREAD INTO/ACROSS THIS REGION
LATE. AS SLY FLOW ADVECTS GULF MOISTURE NWD...AMPLE DESTABILIZATION
MAY ENSUE...SUPPORTING DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS
ACROSS THIS REGION -- WITHIN A BACKGROUND ENVIRONMENT FEATURING
AMPLE SHEAR FOR ROTATING UPDRAFTS.
..GOSS.. 03/14/2014
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SWODY2
SPC AC 141730
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS ROUGHLY THE NERN QUARTER
OF TX AND VICINITY...
...SYNOPSIS...
WITHIN AN UPPER PATTERN CHARACTERIZED BY RIDGING OVER THE WEST AND
STRONG CYCLONIC FLOW OVER ERN CANADA AND THE ADJACENT NERN CONUS...A
SRN STREAM SHORT-WAVE TROUGH SHIFTING EWD OUT OF ERN NM ACROSS THE
SRN PLAINS WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUS THIS PERIOD WITH RESPECT TO
CONVECTIVE/SEVERE RISK.
VARIOUS MODELS DIFFER WITH RESPECT TO THE EVOLUTION OF THIS
TROUGH...AS NRN STREAM ENERGY DIGGING SSEWD ACROSS THE ROCKIES/HIGH
PLAINS EVENTUALLY INTERACTS/COALESCES WITH THE SRN STREAM FEATURE.
WITH THIS INTERACTION/PHASING BEING HANDLED POORLY BY THE
MODELS...ASSOCIATED SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS -- AND FRONTAL
EVOLUTION/ADVANCE -- IS ALSO NOT WELL HANDLED. OVERALL
HOWEVER...WITH SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT AND A FRONTAL ADVANCE ACROSS
THE SRN PLAINS REGION THROUGH A MOISTENING WARM SECTOR...RISK FOR
SEVERE STORMS REMAINS APPARENT ACROSS THIS REGION.
...NERN QUARTER OF TX AND VICINITY...
AFOREMENTIONED/SUBSTANTIAL DIFFERENCES BETWEEN VARIOUS MODELS
EMERGING ON DAY 2 COMPLICATE ATTEMPTS TO ASCERTAIN DETAILS OF THE
SEVERE RISK ACROSS THE REGION. STILL...BROAD INDICATIONS CONTINUE
TO SUGGEST THAT WIDESPREAD CONVECTION AND ACCOMPANYING SEVERE
POTENTIAL WILL AFFECT PARTS OF THE E TX VICINITY ON SATURDAY.
ATTM...IT WOULD APPEAR THAT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WILL BEGIN ACROSS
PARTS OF WRN OK AND ADJACENT NWRN TX...AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT
INCREASES AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING VORT MAX. HERE
THOUGH...COMBINATION OF RELATIVELY WEAK CAPE AND MODEST SHEAR SHOULD
LIMIT SEVERE RISK...AS STORMS MOVE EWD ACROSS OK THROUGH THE DAY.
FARTHER SE INTO TX...STRONGER SHEAR -- ENHANCED BY A 50 TO 60 KT
WSWLY MID-LEVEL JET ON THE SRN SIDE OF THE MID-LEVEL SYSTEM -- IS
PROGGED...BUT A WARM LEVEL BETWEEN 850 AND 700 MB SHOULD SERVE TO
LIMIT BOTH SURFACE-BASED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AS WELL AS
CONVECTIVE INTENSITY INTO THE AFTERNOON. EVENTUALLY
HOWEVER...MODEST DESTABILIZATION AND THE EWD ADVANCE OF ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE VORT MAX WILL SUPPORT INCREASINGLY WIDESPREAD --
AND SOMEWHAT MORE INTENSE -- CONVECTION...SPREADING OUT OF CENTRAL
TX INTO THE NERN QUADRANT OF THE STATE. ALONG WITH FAVORABLE
VEERING/INCREASING OF THE FLOW FIELD WITH HEIGHT...AMPLE CAPE FOR
STRONGER UPDRAFTS WOULD SUGGEST A RISK FOR EVENTUAL EVOLUTION OF A
FEW EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS -- CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AND LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO.
LATER -- DEPENDING UPON ACTUAL DEGREE OF SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS AND
ASSOCIATED STRENGTH OF FOCUSED LOW-LEVEL FORCING ALONG A DEVELOPING
SURFACE COLD FRONT...A LINEAR CONVECTIVE BAND COULD EVOLVE
OVERNIGHT...SPREADING ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA ALONG WITH AN
ACCOMPANYING RISK FOR HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.
FINALLY -- DEPENDING AGAIN UPON SYSTEM EVOLUTION WHICH REMAINS
UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME...ISOLATED SEVERE RISK COULD EVOLVE AS FAR E
AS THE CENTRAL GULF COASTAL REGION...AS A LOW-LEVEL JET AND
ASSOCIATED ZONE OF WARM ADVECTION SPREAD INTO/ACROSS THIS REGION
LATE. AS SLY FLOW ADVECTS GULF MOISTURE NWD...AMPLE DESTABILIZATION
MAY ENSUE...SUPPORTING DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS
ACROSS THIS REGION -- WITHIN A BACKGROUND ENVIRONMENT FEATURING
AMPLE SHEAR FOR ROTATING UPDRAFTS.
..GOSS.. 03/14/2014
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KSTO [141621]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KSTO 141621
LSRSTO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
921 AM PDT FRI MAR 14 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 SW ALTA SIERRA 39.11N 121.07W
03/12/2014 NEVADA CA PUBLIC
A DUST DEVIL DEVELOPED ON THE PROPERTY NEAR
AN OLD TIN ROOFED BARN. AS THE DUST DEVIL
ENCOUNTERED THE BARN, A LARGE SECTION OF THE
TIN ROOF WAS RIPPED OFF AND THE PIECES WERE
THROWN SEVERAL HUNDRED FEET INTO THE AIR. A
NEIGHBOR REPORTED THAT ONE OF THE PIECES WAS
FOUND ALMOST A MILE DOWN THE ROAD. THE
INDIVIDUAL TIN SECTIONS WERE ABOUT 6 FEET
LONG AND 2 FEET WIDE. APPROXIMATELY 35-40
TIN PANELS WERE RIPPED OFF THE BARN.
NON-TSTM WND DMG DURATION 2 MINUTES
&&
$$
NWS SACRAMENTO CA
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRSTO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
921 AM PDT FRI MAR 14 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 SW ALTA SIERRA 39.11N 121.07W
03/12/2014 NEVADA CA PUBLIC
A DUST DEVIL DEVELOPED ON THE PROPERTY NEAR
AN OLD TIN ROOFED BARN. AS THE DUST DEVIL
ENCOUNTERED THE BARN, A LARGE SECTION OF THE
TIN ROOF WAS RIPPED OFF AND THE PIECES WERE
THROWN SEVERAL HUNDRED FEET INTO THE AIR. A
NEIGHBOR REPORTED THAT ONE OF THE PIECES WAS
FOUND ALMOST A MILE DOWN THE ROAD. THE
INDIVIDUAL TIN SECTIONS WERE ABOUT 6 FEET
LONG AND 2 FEET WIDE. APPROXIMATELY 35-40
TIN PANELS WERE RIPPED OFF THE BARN.
NON-TSTM WND DMG DURATION 2 MINUTES
&&
$$
NWS SACRAMENTO CA
IRIS SYSTEM
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 141549
SWODY1
SPC AC 141548
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1048 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014
VALID 141630Z - 151200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE...WEAK SPLIT FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SAT. NRN STREAM
SYSTEM NOW ENTERING WA SHOULD CONTINUE ESE INTO WY BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD WHILE SRN BRANCH TROUGH NOW OVER AZ ASSUMES A MORE NEUTRAL
TILT AS IT MOVES E INTO ERN NM/FAR W TX. DOWNSTREAM FROM BOTH
SYSTEMS...LEE TROUGHING/WEAK CYCLOGENESIS IS EXPECTED AT THE SFC
OVER THE SRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLNS. MODEST RETURN FLOW WILL PERSIST
OVER THE SRN PLNS BETWEEN NOW AND SAT AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES.
SUFFICIENT ASSOCIATED DESTABILIZATION MAY OCCUR TO SUPPORT SCTD
ELEVATED TSTM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE RED RVR VLY TOWARD THE END OF THE
PERIOD. OTHERWISE...DIURNALLY-ENHANCED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY E
OF AZ UPR IMPULSE.
...AZ/NM TODAY...
ISOLD TO WDLY SCTD TSTMS EXPECTED THIS AFTN/EVE OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF CNTRL/NRN AZ/NM AS SFC HEATING FURTHER DESTABILIZES
REGION ALREADY SUBJECT TO MID-LVL MOISTENING/ASCENT AHEAD OF AZ UPR
TROUGH. SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE SHOULD BE PRESENT FOR
100-300 J/KG MLCAPE. THE TSTM THREAT MAY LINGER INTO MID-EVE...BUT
SHOULD DIMINISH FROM W-E WITH EWD MOVEMENT OF LARGE-SCALE LIFT.
...SRN PLNS AFTER 09Z...
POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED TSTMS SHOULD INCREASE DURING THE LAST FEW
HOURS OF THE PERIOD OVER PARTS OF THE SRN PLNS AS MODEST LWR
TROPOSPHERIC SSW FLOW BETWEEN NOW AND EARLY SAT ALLOWS FOR
APPRECIABLE MOISTENING OF THE 925-850 MB LAYER AHEAD OF APPROACHING
UPR TROUGH. THIS POTENTIAL APPEARS GREATEST FROM PARTS OF NW TX AND
THE RED RVR VLY E/NE INTO PARTS OF SRN OK...ALTHOUGH ISOLD THUNDER
ALSO COULD OCCUR OVER PARTS OF THE TX PANHANDLE. THE STRONGEST
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT OVER THE REGION LIKELY WILL BE DELAYED UNTIL
AFTER 12Z SAT. BUT SUFFICIENT JUXTAPOSITIONING OF LIFT WITH
INCREASING MOISTURE AND STEEP MID-LVL LAPSE RATES MAY OCCUR TO
PROMOTE HAIL IN A FEW CELLS. WHILE MUCAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG MAY
DEVELOP...MODEST CLOUD-LAYER SHEAR SHOULD LIMIT UPDRAFT
ORGANIZATION/SUSTENANCE.
..CORFIDI/CARBIN.. 03/14/2014
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SWODY1
SPC AC 141548
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1048 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014
VALID 141630Z - 151200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE...WEAK SPLIT FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SAT. NRN STREAM
SYSTEM NOW ENTERING WA SHOULD CONTINUE ESE INTO WY BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD WHILE SRN BRANCH TROUGH NOW OVER AZ ASSUMES A MORE NEUTRAL
TILT AS IT MOVES E INTO ERN NM/FAR W TX. DOWNSTREAM FROM BOTH
SYSTEMS...LEE TROUGHING/WEAK CYCLOGENESIS IS EXPECTED AT THE SFC
OVER THE SRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLNS. MODEST RETURN FLOW WILL PERSIST
OVER THE SRN PLNS BETWEEN NOW AND SAT AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES.
SUFFICIENT ASSOCIATED DESTABILIZATION MAY OCCUR TO SUPPORT SCTD
ELEVATED TSTM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE RED RVR VLY TOWARD THE END OF THE
PERIOD. OTHERWISE...DIURNALLY-ENHANCED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY E
OF AZ UPR IMPULSE.
...AZ/NM TODAY...
ISOLD TO WDLY SCTD TSTMS EXPECTED THIS AFTN/EVE OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF CNTRL/NRN AZ/NM AS SFC HEATING FURTHER DESTABILIZES
REGION ALREADY SUBJECT TO MID-LVL MOISTENING/ASCENT AHEAD OF AZ UPR
TROUGH. SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE SHOULD BE PRESENT FOR
100-300 J/KG MLCAPE. THE TSTM THREAT MAY LINGER INTO MID-EVE...BUT
SHOULD DIMINISH FROM W-E WITH EWD MOVEMENT OF LARGE-SCALE LIFT.
...SRN PLNS AFTER 09Z...
POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED TSTMS SHOULD INCREASE DURING THE LAST FEW
HOURS OF THE PERIOD OVER PARTS OF THE SRN PLNS AS MODEST LWR
TROPOSPHERIC SSW FLOW BETWEEN NOW AND EARLY SAT ALLOWS FOR
APPRECIABLE MOISTENING OF THE 925-850 MB LAYER AHEAD OF APPROACHING
UPR TROUGH. THIS POTENTIAL APPEARS GREATEST FROM PARTS OF NW TX AND
THE RED RVR VLY E/NE INTO PARTS OF SRN OK...ALTHOUGH ISOLD THUNDER
ALSO COULD OCCUR OVER PARTS OF THE TX PANHANDLE. THE STRONGEST
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT OVER THE REGION LIKELY WILL BE DELAYED UNTIL
AFTER 12Z SAT. BUT SUFFICIENT JUXTAPOSITIONING OF LIFT WITH
INCREASING MOISTURE AND STEEP MID-LVL LAPSE RATES MAY OCCUR TO
PROMOTE HAIL IN A FEW CELLS. WHILE MUCAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG MAY
DEVELOP...MODEST CLOUD-LAYER SHEAR SHOULD LIMIT UPDRAFT
ORGANIZATION/SUSTENANCE.
..CORFIDI/CARBIN.. 03/14/2014
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 141248
SWODY1
SPC AC 141247
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014
VALID 141300Z - 151200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER-AIR PATTERN IS CHARACTERIZED BY SPLIT FLOW OVER WRN
CONUS...RELATED TO PRONOUNCED SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY LOCATED
OVER PORTIONS AZ...SERN CA AND NRN BAJA. WEAK/INTERMITTENT/EMBEDDED
LOW IS PROGGED OVER AZ AT 500 MB BETWEEN NOW AND 00Z...AS THIS
SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY ESEWD. BY 12Z...WEAK 500-MB LOW SHOULD REACH
SERN NM...WITH POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH TRAILING ACROSS FAR W
TX...NRN CHIHUAHUA...AND SONORA. NRN-STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS
EVIDENT IN MOISTURE-CHANNEL IMAGERY JUST OFFSHORE PAC NW AND BC
COAST. THIS FEATURE WILL PENETRATE MEAN-RIDGE POSITION TODAY THEN
TURN ESEWD ACROSS NRN ROCKIES OVERNIGHT...REACHING ERN MT AND NRN
WY.
SFC RESPONSE TO NRN-STREAM WAVE WILL INCLUDE LATE-PERIOD PRESSURE
FALLS AND CYCLOGENESIS OVER NRN PLAINS. S OF THAT...PRESSURE/FLOW
PATTERN WILL BE RATHER DIFFUSE...THOUGH SFC PRESSURE FALLS AND WEAK
LEE TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP OVER NERN MEX AND W TX AS SRN-STREAM
PERTURBATION APCHS. INVERTED TROUGH OR WEAK WARM FRONT MAY DEVELOP
TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS NW TX AND SRN OK...AS PRESSURE FALLS OCCUR
BENEATH ELEVATED LOW-LEVEL WAA REGIME.
...PORTIONS AZ/NM...TODAY...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS SHOULD DEVELOP PRIMARILY THIS
AFTN...WITH SOME ACTIVITY LINGERING INTO EVENING. LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT ALOFT RELATED TO MID-UPPER TROUGH WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
JUXTAPOSED THROUGH MID-LATE AFTN WITH DIURNAL/DIABATIC SFC HEATING
OF HIGHER TERRAIN. THIS WILL YIELD FAVORABLY STEEP LOW-MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES AMIDST AT LEAST MRGL BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE...
CONTRIBUTING TO DEVELOPMENT OF 100-300 J/KG MLCAPE. TSTM THREAT
WILL LINGER INTO EVENING BUT DIMINISH BOTH WITH TIME...AND FROM W-E
IN STEP WITH TRANSLATION OF FAVORABLE LARGE-SCALE LIFT.
...SRN PLAINS...AFTER 09Z...
RISK FOR ELEVATED TSTMS -- REPRESENTING VERY EARLY/GENESIS STAGE OF
DAY-2 CONVECTIVE REGIME -- MAY COMMENCE DURING LAST COUPLE HOURS OF
OVERNIGHT/DAY-1 ACROSS RED RIVER REGION OF NW TX AND SW OK BEFORE
SPREADING EWD. SOME CONDITIONAL THUNDER THREAT ALSO IS POSSIBLE
FARTHER NW ACROSS PANHANDLE OR SSWWD OVER PORTIONS W TX...BUT TOO
CONDITIONAL FOR GEN/10% OUTLOOK AREA. RELATIVELY MAXIMIZED
POTENTIAL FOR JUXTAPOSED LIFT/MOISTENING SHOULD OCCUR IN LAYER OF
ELEVATED WAA AND EARLY-STAGE MOISTURE TRANSPORT/ADVECTION...FOCUSED
WITHIN LAYER CENTERED NEAR 850 MB. FCST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST ELEVATED
MUCAPE 500-1000 J/KG IS POSSIBLE...BUT WITH WEAK FLOW BELOW ABOUT
600 MB RENDERING EFFECTIVE SHEAR TOO WEAK FOR MORE THAN
SEMI-ORGANIZED MULTICELLS. AS SUCH...SVR THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED
ATTM.
..EDWARDS/MOSIER.. 03/14/2014
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SWODY1
SPC AC 141247
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014
VALID 141300Z - 151200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER-AIR PATTERN IS CHARACTERIZED BY SPLIT FLOW OVER WRN
CONUS...RELATED TO PRONOUNCED SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY LOCATED
OVER PORTIONS AZ...SERN CA AND NRN BAJA. WEAK/INTERMITTENT/EMBEDDED
LOW IS PROGGED OVER AZ AT 500 MB BETWEEN NOW AND 00Z...AS THIS
SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY ESEWD. BY 12Z...WEAK 500-MB LOW SHOULD REACH
SERN NM...WITH POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH TRAILING ACROSS FAR W
TX...NRN CHIHUAHUA...AND SONORA. NRN-STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS
EVIDENT IN MOISTURE-CHANNEL IMAGERY JUST OFFSHORE PAC NW AND BC
COAST. THIS FEATURE WILL PENETRATE MEAN-RIDGE POSITION TODAY THEN
TURN ESEWD ACROSS NRN ROCKIES OVERNIGHT...REACHING ERN MT AND NRN
WY.
SFC RESPONSE TO NRN-STREAM WAVE WILL INCLUDE LATE-PERIOD PRESSURE
FALLS AND CYCLOGENESIS OVER NRN PLAINS. S OF THAT...PRESSURE/FLOW
PATTERN WILL BE RATHER DIFFUSE...THOUGH SFC PRESSURE FALLS AND WEAK
LEE TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP OVER NERN MEX AND W TX AS SRN-STREAM
PERTURBATION APCHS. INVERTED TROUGH OR WEAK WARM FRONT MAY DEVELOP
TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS NW TX AND SRN OK...AS PRESSURE FALLS OCCUR
BENEATH ELEVATED LOW-LEVEL WAA REGIME.
...PORTIONS AZ/NM...TODAY...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS SHOULD DEVELOP PRIMARILY THIS
AFTN...WITH SOME ACTIVITY LINGERING INTO EVENING. LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT ALOFT RELATED TO MID-UPPER TROUGH WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
JUXTAPOSED THROUGH MID-LATE AFTN WITH DIURNAL/DIABATIC SFC HEATING
OF HIGHER TERRAIN. THIS WILL YIELD FAVORABLY STEEP LOW-MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES AMIDST AT LEAST MRGL BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE...
CONTRIBUTING TO DEVELOPMENT OF 100-300 J/KG MLCAPE. TSTM THREAT
WILL LINGER INTO EVENING BUT DIMINISH BOTH WITH TIME...AND FROM W-E
IN STEP WITH TRANSLATION OF FAVORABLE LARGE-SCALE LIFT.
...SRN PLAINS...AFTER 09Z...
RISK FOR ELEVATED TSTMS -- REPRESENTING VERY EARLY/GENESIS STAGE OF
DAY-2 CONVECTIVE REGIME -- MAY COMMENCE DURING LAST COUPLE HOURS OF
OVERNIGHT/DAY-1 ACROSS RED RIVER REGION OF NW TX AND SW OK BEFORE
SPREADING EWD. SOME CONDITIONAL THUNDER THREAT ALSO IS POSSIBLE
FARTHER NW ACROSS PANHANDLE OR SSWWD OVER PORTIONS W TX...BUT TOO
CONDITIONAL FOR GEN/10% OUTLOOK AREA. RELATIVELY MAXIMIZED
POTENTIAL FOR JUXTAPOSED LIFT/MOISTENING SHOULD OCCUR IN LAYER OF
ELEVATED WAA AND EARLY-STAGE MOISTURE TRANSPORT/ADVECTION...FOCUSED
WITHIN LAYER CENTERED NEAR 850 MB. FCST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST ELEVATED
MUCAPE 500-1000 J/KG IS POSSIBLE...BUT WITH WEAK FLOW BELOW ABOUT
600 MB RENDERING EFFECTIVE SHEAR TOO WEAK FOR MORE THAN
SEMI-ORGANIZED MULTICELLS. AS SUCH...SVR THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED
ATTM.
..EDWARDS/MOSIER.. 03/14/2014
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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS48 KWNS 140856
SWOD48
SPC AC 140855
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014
VALID 171200Z - 221200Z
...DISCUSSION...
THE ECMWF AND GFS MODELS BEGIN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE OH AND TN VALLEYS ON MONDAY MORNING. AT
THE SRN PART OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...THE GFS HAS A CLOSED-OFF
LOW OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY. THE ECMWF HAS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
EXTENDING SWWD ALONG THE TX GULF COAST. BOTH MEDIUM-RANGE MODELS
MOVE THIS SYSTEM EWD ACROSS THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO ON MONDAY/DAY 4
WITH A COUPLING OF THE LOW- AND MID-LEVEL JETS TAKING PLACE OVER THE
ERN GULF AND FL PENINSULA. THIS PATTERN WOULD SUGGEST WIDESPREAD
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE ERN GULF OF MEXICO MONDAY
MORNING WITH SQUALL-LINE DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA. THIS SCENARIO WOULD RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL
FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA AS THE LINE MOVES
ACROSS. AT THIS POINT...UNCERTAINTY FOR THIS SCENARIO IS HIGH DUE TO
THE DIFFERENCE IN TIMING WHEN COMPARING THE GFS AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS.
ON TUESDAY/DAY 5...THE MODELS MOVE THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH INTO THE
ATLANTIC WHILE DEVELOPING ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM IN THE CNTRL
HIGH PLAINS. ON WEDNESDAY/DAY 6...THE ECMWF MOVES THIS FEATURE INTO
THE UPPER MS VALLEY WHILE THE GFS MOVES IT INTO THE GREAT LAKES
REGION. FROM HERE...MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE MARKEDLY WITH THE GFS
MUCH FASTER WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FOR EACH
SOLUTION FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ACROSS
THE GULF COAST STATES KEEPING THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS ACROSS
THE CONUS RELATIVELY LOW.
..BROYLES.. 03/14/2014
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SWOD48
SPC AC 140855
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014
VALID 171200Z - 221200Z
...DISCUSSION...
THE ECMWF AND GFS MODELS BEGIN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE OH AND TN VALLEYS ON MONDAY MORNING. AT
THE SRN PART OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...THE GFS HAS A CLOSED-OFF
LOW OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY. THE ECMWF HAS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
EXTENDING SWWD ALONG THE TX GULF COAST. BOTH MEDIUM-RANGE MODELS
MOVE THIS SYSTEM EWD ACROSS THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO ON MONDAY/DAY 4
WITH A COUPLING OF THE LOW- AND MID-LEVEL JETS TAKING PLACE OVER THE
ERN GULF AND FL PENINSULA. THIS PATTERN WOULD SUGGEST WIDESPREAD
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE ERN GULF OF MEXICO MONDAY
MORNING WITH SQUALL-LINE DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA. THIS SCENARIO WOULD RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL
FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA AS THE LINE MOVES
ACROSS. AT THIS POINT...UNCERTAINTY FOR THIS SCENARIO IS HIGH DUE TO
THE DIFFERENCE IN TIMING WHEN COMPARING THE GFS AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS.
ON TUESDAY/DAY 5...THE MODELS MOVE THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH INTO THE
ATLANTIC WHILE DEVELOPING ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM IN THE CNTRL
HIGH PLAINS. ON WEDNESDAY/DAY 6...THE ECMWF MOVES THIS FEATURE INTO
THE UPPER MS VALLEY WHILE THE GFS MOVES IT INTO THE GREAT LAKES
REGION. FROM HERE...MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE MARKEDLY WITH THE GFS
MUCH FASTER WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FOR EACH
SOLUTION FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ACROSS
THE GULF COAST STATES KEEPING THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS ACROSS
THE CONUS RELATIVELY LOW.
..BROYLES.. 03/14/2014
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