Saturday, May 28, 2011

KILX [281908]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 281908
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
208 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0155 PM HAIL 2 E JACKSONVILLE 39.73N 90.20W
05/28/2011 M1.75 INCH MORGAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

BOUSLEY

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KLSX [281908]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281908
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
208 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0205 PM HAIL 1 W CARLINVILLE 39.28N 89.90W
05/28/2011 E1.00 INCH MACOUPIN IL EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

GOSSELIN

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KLSX [281907]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281907
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
207 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0146 PM HAIL CARROLLTON 39.30N 90.41W
05/28/2011 E1.00 INCH GREENE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

ACCOMPANIED BY HEAVY RAIN...THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH
OF RAIN FROM CELL.


&&

$$

GOSSELIN

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KLSX [281905]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281905
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
205 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0204 PM HAIL CHESTERFIELD 39.26N 90.07W
05/28/2011 E1.75 INCH MACOUPIN IL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

GOSSELIN

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KALY [281901]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 281901
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
301 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0206 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NW WARRENSBURG 43.56N 73.84W
05/28/2011 WARREN NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE TREE DOWN ONE MILE NORTH OF GOLF COURSE ROAD ON ROUTE
28.


&&

$$

KGM

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KMPX [281900]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 281900
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
200 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HAIL FAIRFAX 44.53N 94.72W
05/28/2011 E0.50 INCH RENVILLE MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

CARLYON

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KLSX [281900]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281900
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
200 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HAIL CHESTERFIELD 39.26N 90.07W
05/28/2011 M1.75 INCH MACOUPIN IL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

CARNEY

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KLSX [281900]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281900
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
200 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0159 PM HAIL KEMPER 39.22N 90.17W
05/28/2011 M1.00 INCH JERSEY IL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE


&&

$$

FGLASS

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KALY [281859]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KALY 281859
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
259 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM HAIL KNOWELHURST 43.44N 74.02W
05/28/2011 E0.88 INCH WARREN NY PUBLIC

0139 PM HAIL THURMAN 43.53N 73.92W
05/28/2011 E1.50 INCH WARREN NY PUBLIC

0145 PM TSTM WND DMG CHESTERTOWN 43.65N 73.80W
05/28/2011 WARREN NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE TREE DOWN ON LANDON HILL ROAD.

0150 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 W WARRENSBURG 43.49N 73.88W
05/28/2011 WARREN NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE TREE DOWN ON HIGH STREET NEAR ATHOL.

0205 PM HAIL 4 WNW WARRENSBURG 43.53N 73.85W
05/28/2011 E1.25 INCH WARREN NY PARK/FOREST SRVC

HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL AT DAGGETT LAKE CAMPSITES.


&&

$$

KGM

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KLSX [281857]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281857
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
157 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0156 PM HAIL 3 WNW KEMPER 39.23N 90.22W
05/28/2011 E1.75 INCH GREENE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

LOCATED AROUND 3 MILES SOUTH OF ROCKBRIDGE ALONG THE
GREENE AND JERSEY COUNTY LINE


&&

$$

FGLASS

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KLSX [281855]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281855
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
155 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0155 PM HAIL ROCKBRIDGE 39.27N 90.21W
05/28/2011 M1.75 INCH GREENE IL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

CARNEY

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KLSX [281855]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281855
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
155 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM HAIL ELDRED 39.29N 90.55W
05/28/2011 E1.00 INCH GREENE IL LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

CARNEY

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KILX [281846]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 281846
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
145 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0142 PM HAIL WINCHESTER 39.63N 90.46W
05/28/2011 E0.88 INCH SCOTT IL CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

BOUSLEY

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KALY [281831]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 281831
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
231 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0139 PM HAIL THURMAN 43.53N 73.92W
05/28/2011 E1.50 INCH WARREN NY PUBLIC


&&

$$

KGM

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KLWX [281823]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 281823
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
223 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM TSTM WND DMG LAKE RIDGE 38.69N 77.30W
05/27/2011 PRINCE WILLIAM VA 911 CALL CENTER

SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN LAKE RIDGE. ONE FELL INTO HOUSE.


&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1100838

$$

SBK

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KLWX [281822]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 281822
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
222 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0710 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 S INDEPENDENT HILL 38.62N 77.44W
05/27/2011 PRINCE WILLIAM VA 911 CALL CENTER

TREES DOWN ALONG JOPLIN ROAD SOUTH OF INDEPENDENT HILL.


&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1100837

$$

SBK

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KALY [281819]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 281819
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
219 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0205 PM HAIL 4 WNW WARRENSBURG 43.53N 73.85W
05/28/2011 E1.25 INCH WARREN NY PARK/FOREST SRVC

HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL AT DAGGETT LAKE CAMPSITES.


&&

$$

KGM

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1005

ACUS11 KWNS 281812
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281811
MNZ000-WIZ000-281945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1005
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0111 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND NRN MN...NW WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 281811Z - 281945Z

CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS
AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE SEVERE WIND AND HAIL...WITH WW
ISSUANCE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

LATEST WV IMAGERY INDICATES A COMPACT UPPER LOW ACROSS NRN ND..WITH
A STRONG WSWLY JET EMERGING FROM THE ROCKIES INTO SRN MN AHEAD OF
THIS FEATURE. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS QUITE MARGINAL ACROSS MN
/DEWPOINTS RANGING FROM 45-55/ BUT STEEP LAPSE RATES AND AFTERNOON
HEATING WILL ALLOW FOR SOME DESTABILIZATION THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ML
CAPES OF 500-1000 J/KG DEVELOPING. STRONG FLOW ALOFT WILL RESULT IN
SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR STORM ORGANIZATION ACROSS MAINLY THE SRN HALF
OF MN NE INTO THE ARROWHEAD REGION...WITH LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS OR
SHORT LINE SEGMENTS EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY CONVECTIVE MODE
RESULTING A THREAT OF SEVERE HAIL AND WIND.

ACROSS NWRN MN...SHEAR WILL BE WEAKER...BUT PROXIMITY TO COLD UPPER
LOW WILL RESULT IN A THREAT OF ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL WITH STRONGER
CONVECTIVE CELLS.

..DEAN.. 05/28/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR...

LAT...LON 46059642 46739651 47619658 48269676 48769683 48599479
48509301 47809088 47179112 46569139 46109185 45669233
45239279 44909336 44769407 44749489 44919558 45089606
45479634 46059642

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KLSX [281811]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281811
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
111 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0110 PM HAIL 5 S CLARKSVILLE 39.30N 90.91W
05/28/2011 E0.75 INCH PIKE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL LOCATED 5 SOUTH OF CLARKSVILLE NEAR HIGHWAY 79.


&&

$$

DYE

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KLSX [281808]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281808
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
108 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1220 PM HAIL 6 S PERRY 39.34N 91.67W
05/28/2011 E1.50 INCH RALLS MO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL IN HUTCHINSON MISSOURI - 6 MILES SOUTH OF PERRY.


&&

$$

DYE

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KALY [281759]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 281759
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
159 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM HAIL KNOWELHURST 43.44N 74.02W
05/28/2011 E0.88 INCH WARREN NY PUBLIC

0145 PM TSTM WND DMG CHESTERTOWN 43.65N 73.80W
05/28/2011 WARREN NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE TREE DOWN ON LANDON HILL ROAD.


&&

$$

KGM

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KLSX [281756]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281756
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1256 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1256 PM HAIL 3 W LOUISIANA 39.44N 91.12W
05/28/2011 E1.75 INCH PIKE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

LOTS OF GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL


&&

$$

FGLASS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook Amend 1

ACUS01 KWNS 281756
SWODY1
SPC AC 281754

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AMEND 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1254 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

VALID 282000Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF MN/WI...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM KS INTO IL/IND...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS NORTHEAST NY AND MUCH OF VT...

AMENDED TO ADD SLIGHT RISK IN NY/NEW ENGLAND

...NY/NEW ENGLAND...
WEAKENING CYCLONIC FLOW REMAINS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NY AND WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO FORM IN THIS AREA THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S AND
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S WILL YIELD SUFFICIENT CAPE FOR A RISK OF A
FEW SEVERE CELLS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PLEASE REFER
TO MCD 1004 AND WW 391 FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

...MN/WI...
A WEAKENING UPPER LOW IS CURRENTLY OVER ND/SRN MANITOBA. A SERIES
OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ARE ROTATING AROUND THE LOW...INCLUDING ONE
OVER WESTERN ND/SD. THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD AND
AFFECT MN/WI LATER TODAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN
WESTERN MN BY MID AFTERNOON AND SPREAD EASTWARD TOWARD WESTERN LAKE
SUPERIOR...NORTHERN WI...AND THE ARROWHEAD REGION THIS EVENING.
INSTABILITY IS ONLY MARGINAL FOR AN ORGANIZED SEVERE EVENT.
HOWEVER...STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...COLD TEMPERATURES AND FAST
FLOW ALOFT WILL SUPPORT A RISK OF A FEW FAST-MOVING CLUSTERS OF
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS. STORMS
SHOULD DIMINISH A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNSET.

...CENTRAL PLAINS INTO MID MS VALLEY...
CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION IS UNCERTAIN ACROSS THIS AREA TODAY. WEAK MID
LEVEL HEIGHT RISES AND WEAK FORCING MECHANISMS SUGGEST CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE WILL BE QUITE LIMITED THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...MOST LIKELY AREA FOR
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WOULD BE FROM EASTERN KS INTO PORTIONS OF
MO/IL WHERE STRONG HEATING AND RESIDUAL BOUNDARIES FROM MORNING
CONVECTION MIGHT AID DEVELOPMENT. IF STORMS CAN FORM...STRONG
INSTABILITY AND SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE SHEAR WOULD SUPPORT A RISK OR
ORGANIZED OR EVEN SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

OVERNIGHT...STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL ENHANCE
WARM ADVECTION AND POSSIBLY LEAD TO MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG THE SLIGHT RISK AXIS. LARGE HAIL WOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT
WITH THESE STORMS FROM KS INTO IND.

...SC/GA/FL...
STRONG DAYTIME HEATING IS OCCURRING FROM SC INTO THE FL
PENINSULA...WHERE AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES WILL EXCEED 3000 J/KG.
WIND FIELDS ARE RELATIVELY WEAK...BUT COMBINATION OF COOL
TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND MOIST THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE MAY BE SUFFICIENT
FOR A FEW WET-MICROBURSTS IN STRONGER CELLS.

..HART.. 05/28/2011

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KLSX [281756]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281756
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1256 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1220 PM HAIL PERRY 39.43N 91.67W
05/28/2011 M1.50 INCH RALLS MO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

CARNEY

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KLSX [281751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281751
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1251 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1249 PM HAIL BOWLING GREEN 39.34N 91.20W
05/28/2011 M1.25 INCH PIKE MO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

CARNEY

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KLSX [281747]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281747
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1247 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1246 PM HAIL BOWLING GREEN 39.34N 91.20W
05/28/2011 E1.00 INCH PIKE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

COMING DOWN HARD


&&

$$

FGLASS

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KLSX [281745]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281745
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1245 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1225 PM HAIL PERRY 39.43N 91.67W
05/28/2011 E1.25 INCH RALLS MO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL SIZE VARIED FROM HALF-DOLLAR TO SILVER DOLLAR.


&&

$$

DYE

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1004

ACUS11 KWNS 281743
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281742
NHZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-281845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1004
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1242 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NE NY...VT

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON

VALID 281742Z - 281845Z

A SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS NE NY AND VT THIS
AFTERNOON. WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY
THREATS WITH THE ACTIVITY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS BEING
ISSUED ATTM.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHING NEW
ENGLAND. LIFT AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE AND SFC HEATING WILL PROVIDE
SUPPORT FOR CONTINUED STORM INITIATION ACROSS NERN NY AND VT OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000 TO 1200 J/KG AND DEEP
LAYER SHEAR OF 35 TO 40 KT SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE STORMS.
THE LATEST WSR-88D VWPS ACROSS THE REGION SHOW 25 TO 30 KT OF
LOW-LEVEL FLOW SUGGESTING A WIND DAMAGE THREAT WILL EXIST WITH THE
MORE ORGANIZED STORMS. THE MORE INTENSE CELLS SHOULD ALSO CONTAIN A
THREAT FOR HAIL.

..BROYLES.. 05/28/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BTV...ALY...

LAT...LON 44587231 45017288 44927348 44557400 43857430 43387437
42927412 42897355 42837291 42977264 43257241 43667216
44267216 44587231

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 391

WWUS20 KWNS 281741
SEL1
SPC WW 281741
NYZ000-VTZ000-290100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 391
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
145 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHEAST NEW YORK
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VERMONT

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 145 PM UNTIL
900 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF NEWPORT VERMONT TO 20 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF GLENS
FALLS NEW YORK. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...ISOLATE INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED OVER EASTERN
NY/WESTERN VT IN LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY AXIS NEAR THE HUDSON RIVER
VALLEY. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
AND TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...AHEAD OF APPROACHING
UPPER TROUGH. SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR AND CAPE WILL
SUPPORT A RISK OF A LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL IN THE STRONGER
CELLS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 23030.


...HART

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KLSX [281740]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281740
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1240 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1236 PM HAIL 3 N NEW LONDON 39.63N 91.40W
05/28/2011 M0.70 INCH RALLS MO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

CARNEY

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KLSX [281739]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281739
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1239 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1235 PM HAIL 3 S HANNIBAL 39.66N 91.38W
05/28/2011 E0.70 INCH RALLS MO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

CARNEY

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KLSX [281737]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281737
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1237 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1237 PM HAIL CURRYVILLE 39.35N 91.34W
05/28/2011 M1.00 INCH PIKE MO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

CARNEY

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KLSX [281736]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281736
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1236 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1218 PM HAIL PERRY 39.43N 91.67W
05/28/2011 M1.25 INCH RALLS MO TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL.


&&

$$

CARNEY

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 281731
SWODY2
SPC AC 281729

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1229 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SRN GREAT LAKES...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NRN PLAINS
AND UPPER MS VALLEY...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE UPPER RIDGE UNDERGOING FURTHER
AMPLIFICATION OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE U.S. WHILE AN UPSTREAM TROUGH
MOVES EWD THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN REGION TOWARD THE ROCKIES. A
STRONG JET STREAK/SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL ROTATE THROUGH UPPER TROUGH
BASE AND INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES LATE SUNDAY NIGHT ACCOMPANIED BY A
PACIFIC COLD FRONT. AT 12Z SUNDAY...A WARM FRONT SHOULD EXTEND FROM
SRN KS THROUGH THE MID MS VALLEY TO LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION. SLY
LOW LEVEL FLOW EXTENDING INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL SUPPORT A NWD
MOVEMENT OF A PORTION OF THIS BOUNDARY THROUGH THE LOWER MO VALLEY
TO SRN IA BY 30/00Z. FURTHER NWD MOVEMENT OF THE FULL EXTENT OF THE
WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT WITH THIS BOUNDARY EXTENDING
FROM NRN NEB TO SRN MN AND CENTRAL LOWER MI BY 12Z MONDAY. A
DRYLINE SHOULD EXTEND SWD FROM THE WARM FRONT IN SWRN KS THROUGH WRN
OK TO WRN TX SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

...OH VALLEY THROUGH GREAT LAKES AND NERN STATES...
THE PORTION OF THE WARM FRONT EXTENDING ALONG SRN PORTIONS OF THE
GREAT LAKES EARLY SUNDAY SHOULD REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY INTO SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...BEFORE LIFTING NWD SUNDAY NIGHT. A FEW ELEVATED STORMS
MAY BE IN PROGRESS NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY AND COULD POSE A THREAT
FOR HAIL. WARM SECTOR SHOULD DESTABILIZE IN THE WAKE OF SUNDAY
MORNING ACTIVITY...AS RICHER MOISTURE /SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S/
AND EML PLUME ADVECT NEWD DURING THE DAY. A SLOWLY BUILDING UPPER
RIDGE AND INCREASING CONVECTIVE INHIBITION SUGGEST THE WARM SECTOR
WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY HOSTILE TO SURFACE BASED STORMS...AND BEST
CHANCE FOR STORM INITIATION WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN COOL SECTOR NORTH
OF WARM FRONT. HOWEVER...MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE SOME CONCERN
THAT A WINDOW MAY EXIST FOR SURFACE BASED STORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE BOUNDARY BEFORE THE WARMER EML PLUME ARRIVES. IF THIS OCCURS
0-6 KM VERTICAL SHEAR FROM 35-40 KT AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL
SUPPORT A THREAT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS INTO THE
AFTERNOON. THUS THIS OUTLOOK WILL MAINTAIN A SLIGHT RISK TO INCLUDE
THE POSSIBILITY OF LARGE HAIL WITH ELEVATED STORMS AS WELL AS A
SOMEWHAT CONDITIONAL THREAT OF SURFACE BASED STORMS.

...CNTRL AND NRN PLAINS THROUGH MID-UPPER MS VALLEY...
ELEVATED STORMS WILL BE ONGOING EARLY SUNDAY NORTH OF WARM FRONT
OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS AND MID MS VALLEY. STRONGER STORMS COULD POSE
A THREAT FOR HAIL. ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY WEAKEN AS IT SHIFTS NNEWD
DURING THE DAY ALONG ERN/NERN EXTENT OF AN EXPANSIVE WARM EML /700
MB TEMPERATURES FROM 12-14C/ ADVECTS NEWD AND EFFECTIVELY CAPPING
THE WARM SECTOR...AND POSSIBLY A PORTION OF THE COOL SECTOR AS WELL.
NWD ADVECTION OF RICHER /MID 60S DEWPOINTS/ BENEATH THE STEEP LAPSE
RATE PLUME WILL RESULT IN MODERATE MUCAPE AND NWD DESTABILIZATION
WITH TIME. STRENGTH OF CAP SUGGESTS SURFACE BASED CONVECTIVE
INITIATION ALONG WARM FRONT OR ANY RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL
BE DIFFICULT. ADDITIONAL STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP LATER SUNDAY NIGHT
OVER A PORTION OF THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY WITHIN ZONE OF
ISENTROPIC LIFT NORTH OF WARM FRONT AS LLJ STRENGTHENS. ISOLATED
LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY. THIS OUTLOOK HAS
EXPANDED THE AREAL COVERAGE OF THIS THREAT TO INCLUDE MORE OF ERN SD
AND SRN MN.

...SRN HIGH PLAINS OF NWRN TX THROUGH WRN OK AND SWRN KS...
DEEP MIXING IN VICINITY OF DRYLINE WILL SUPPORT THREAT OF A FEW HIGH
BASED STORMS FROM A PORTION OF WRN TX...WRN OK INTO SWRN KS WHERE
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE. HIGH BASED NATURE OF
THE CONVECTION AND MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR SUGGEST THE PRIMARY THREATS
WILL BE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL. ANY STORMS THAT
DEVELOP SHOULD DIMINISH BY MID EVENING AS CONVECTIVE INHIBITION
INCREASES WITH LOSS OF DIABATIC HEATING.

...ERN WY...
MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW INTO SERN WY PER LOW LEVEL ELY WINDS N OF WARM
FRONT SHOULD BE SUPPORTING STRATUS/FOG AT THE START OF DAY 2.
CONTINUED MOISTURE ADVECTION INTO THIS REGION BENEATH STEEPENING
LAPSE RATES WITH APPROACH OF GREAT BASIN TROUGH WILL SUPPORT
DESTABILIZATION. 12Z NAM SUGGESTS THE LOW STRATUS/FOG WILL BE VERY
SLOW TO DISSIPATE AND THUS WOULD LIMIT STRONGER SURFACE HEATING AND
THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONGER INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...IF CLOUDS
DISSIPATE EARLY IN THE PERIOD...THEN THE COMBINATION OF FAVORABLE
UPSLOPE FLOW AND THE APPROACH OF THE PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL PROVE
SUPPORTIVE OF TSTM DEVELOPMENT. INCREASING EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR TO
40-50 KT WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS WITH ALL FACETS OF SEVERE WEATHER
POSSIBLE AS STORMS DEVELOP AND SPREAD TOWARD WRN SD/NEB SUNDAY
EVENING.

..PETERS.. 05/28/2011

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KLSX [281731]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281731
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1231 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 PM HAIL FARBER 39.27N 91.58W
05/28/2011 E0.70 INCH AUDRAIN MO FIRE DEPT/RESCUE


&&

$$

FGLASS

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KLSX [281719]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281719
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1219 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1218 PM HAIL PERRY 39.43N 91.67W
05/28/2011 E0.88 INCH RALLS MO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

DYE

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1003

ACUS11 KWNS 281715
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281715
INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-281845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1003
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1215 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MO...CNTRL IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 281715Z - 281845Z

ELEVATED CONVECTION HAS BEEN INCREASING IN THE LAST 1-2 HRS ACROSS
NRN MO INTO CNTRL IL. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR A
POSSIBLE WW.

AN INTENSE STORM IS NOTED OVER MONROE CO MISSOURI AS OF 17Z...WITH
ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY REDEVELOPING OVER NRN MO. MEANWHILE...AN
EXISTING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER CONTINUES TO PROGRESS EWD ACROSS CNTRL
IL. SFC OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THIS ACTIVITY IS LIKELY
ROOTED IN THE 800-700 MB LAYER...WITH MU CAPE OF AROUND 1000 J/KG
AVAILABLE TO ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS. EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 40-50 KTS WILL
SUPPORT STORM ORGANIZATION AND A POTENTIAL FOR HAIL...THOUGH
RELATIVELY WEAK LAPSE RATES WILL LIKELY LIMIT THE AREAL COVERAGE OF
SEVERE HAIL THREAT. IF COVERAGE BEGINS TO INCREASE MORE THAN
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...WW ISSUANCE MAY BE REQUIRED.

..DEAN.. 05/28/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IND...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...

LAT...LON 38909227 39219414 40109421 40599253 40639104 40568985
40498895 40288823 39828768 39298759 38948772 38808899
38839139 38909227

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KDDC [281714]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 281714
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1214 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0342 AM TSTM WND DMG 7 N IUKA 37.83N 98.72W
05/28/2011 STAFFORD KS PUBLIC

TREES UP TO TWO FEET IN DIAMETER WERE BLOWN DOWN, AND
IRRIGATION SPRINKLERS WERE TOPPLED. HAIL UP TO 3/4 INCH
IN DIAMETER COVERED THE GROUND LIKE SNOW.


&&

$$

01

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KLSX [281714]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281714
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1214 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1213 PM HAIL PERRY 39.43N 91.67W
05/28/2011 E0.25 INCH RALLS MO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL JUST WEST OF THE CITY OF PERRY.


&&

$$

DYE

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KLSX [281704]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281704
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1204 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1158 AM HAIL PARIS 39.48N 92.00W
05/28/2011 E0.25 INCH MONROE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

SLIGHT LARGER THAN PEA SIZE


&&

$$

FGLASS

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KLWX [281657]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KLWX 281657
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1257 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 NNW FORT ASHBY 39.51N 78.77W
05/27/2011 MINERAL WV 911 CALL CENTER

MUDSLIDES AND ROCK SLIDES REPORTED ALONG ROUTE 28 IN
MINERAL COUNTY.


&&

CORRECTED LOCATION

EVENT NUMBER LWX1100826

$$

SBK

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KLSX [281655]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KLSX 281655
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1155 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1145 AM HAIL 4 S MADISON 39.42N 92.21W
05/28/2011 E1.00 INCH MONROE MO PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORT RELAYED BY MEDIA. REPORT WAS SHOOTER
MARBLE SIZED HAIL.


&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME

$$

CARNEY

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KLSX [281654]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281654
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1154 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1152 AM HAIL 4 S MADISON 39.42N 92.21W
05/28/2011 E1.00 INCH MONROE MO PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORT RELAYED BY MEDIA. REPORT WAS SHOOTER
MARBLE SIZED HAIL.


&&

$$

CARNEY

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KLSX [281642]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 281642
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1142 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1141 AM HAIL 2 E SHELBYVILLE 39.81N 92.00W
05/28/2011 E0.50 INCH SHELBY MO PUBLIC

RELAYED BY BROADCAST MEDIA FROM THE PUBLIC.


&&

$$

CARNEY

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KPAH [281637]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 281637
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1136 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0527 PM TORNADO 10 SE PATTON 38.37N 87.62W
05/25/2011 GIBSON IN NWS STORM SURVEY

STORM SURVEY REVEALED AN EF1 TORNADO THAT STARTED JUST
SOUTH OF MARQUAND IN MADISON COUNTY AND MOVED TO JUST
WEST OF ALLIANCE IN BOLLINGER COUNTY. SEE PUBLIC
INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR DETAILS.

0618 PM TORNADO 8 NE FRUITLAND 37.53N 89.54W
05/25/2011 CAPE GIRARDEAU MO NWS STORM SURVEY

STORM SURVEY REVEALED AN EF1 TORNADO. SEE PUBLIC
INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR DETAILS.


&&

$$

PS

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KJAX [281635]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 281635
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1235 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM HAIL 4 NNE BAKERSVILLE 29.96N 81.47W
05/27/2011 E1.50 INCH ST. JOHNS FL PUBLIC

HAIL JUST SHY OF GOLF BALL SIZE WAS REPORTED AT PALMS
PLUS. NO DAMAGE WAS REPORTED.


&&

$$

SHULER

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 281631
SWODY1
SPC AC 281629

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011

VALID 281630Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF MN/WI...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM KS INTO IL/IND...

...MN/WI...
A WEAKENING UPPER LOW IS CURRENTLY OVER ND/SRN MANITOBA. A SERIES
OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ARE ROTATING AROUND THE LOW...INCLUDING ONE
OVER WESTERN ND/SD. THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD AND
AFFECT MN/WI LATER TODAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN
WESTERN MN BY MID AFTERNOON AND SPREAD EASTWARD TOWARD WESTERN LAKE
SUPERIOR...NORTHERN WI...AND THE ARROWHEAD REGION THIS EVENING.
INSTABILITY IS ONLY MARGINAL FOR AN ORGANIZED SEVERE EVENT.
HOWEVER...STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...COLD TEMPERATURES AND FAST
FLOW ALOFT WILL SUPPORT A RISK OF A FEW FAST-MOVING CLUSTERS OF
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS. STORMS
SHOULD DIMINISH A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNSET.

...CENTRAL PLAINS INTO MID MS VALLEY...
CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION IS UNCERTAIN ACROSS THIS AREA TODAY. WEAK MID
LEVEL HEIGHT RISES AND WEAK FORCING MECHANISMS SUGGEST CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE WILL BE QUITE LIMITED THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...MOST LIKELY AREA FOR
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WOULD BE FROM EASTERN KS INTO PORTIONS OF
MO/IL WHERE STRONG HEATING AND RESIDUAL BOUNDARIES FROM MORNING
CONVECTION MIGHT AID DEVELOPMENT. IF STORMS CAN FORM...STRONG
INSTABILITY AND SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE SHEAR WOULD SUPPORT A RISK OR
ORGANIZED OR EVEN SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

OVERNIGHT...STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL ENHANCE
WARM ADVECTION AND POSSIBLY LEAD TO MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG THE SLIGHT RISK AXIS. LARGE HAIL WOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT
WITH THESE STORMS FROM KS INTO IND.

...NY/NEW ENGLAND...
WEAKENING CYCLONIC FLOW REMAINS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NY AND WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO FORM IN THIS AREA THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S AND
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S WILL YIELD SUFFICIENT CAPE FOR A RISK OF A
FEW STRONG CELLS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. AT THIS
TIME...ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

...SC/GA/FL...
STRONG DAYTIME HEATING IS OCCURRING FROM SC INTO THE FL
PENINSULA...WHERE AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES WILL EXCEED 3000 J/KG.
WIND FIELDS ARE RELATIVELY WEAK...BUT COMBINATION OF COOL
TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND MOIST THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE MAY BE SUFFICIENT
FOR A FEW WET-MICROBURSTS IN STRONGER CELLS.

..HART/DEAN.. 05/28/2011

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KCTP [281620]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCTP 281620
LSRCTP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1220 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0511 PM HAIL ELYSBURG 40.87N 76.55W
05/26/2011 E1.75 INCH NORTHUMBERLAND PA PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1100204

$$

RXR

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KJAX [281615]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 281615
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1215 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0525 PM HAIL 5 NE MAXVILLE 30.24N 81.95W
05/27/2011 E0.50 INCH DUVAL FL PUBLIC


&&

$$

SHULER

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KJAX [281614]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 281614
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1214 PM EDT SAT MAY 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0755 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 S BAXLEY 31.70N 82.35W
05/27/2011 APPLING GA EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN NEAR SATILLA CHURCH ROAD.

0820 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SSW BAXLEY 31.72N 82.38W
05/27/2011 APPLING GA PUBLIC

ONE TREE DOWN WITH OTHER LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN ON APPLING
GOLF COURSE. HALF INCH SIZE HAIL ALSO REPORTED.


&&

$$

ARS

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