KILN [180006]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 180006
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
805 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0535 PM TORNADO WEST RUSHVILLE 39.76N 82.45W
09/16/2010 FAIRFIELD OH NWS STORM SURVEY

A STORM SURVEY INDICATED AN EFO TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR
WEST RUSHVILLE. TREE DAMAGE OCCURRED ALONG THE PATH OF
THE TORNADO. ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE ALSO OCCURRED ALONG
THE PATH OF THE TORNADO.

&&

$$

ANOVAK

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KBIS [180000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 180000
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
700 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0654 PM SNOW 9 S GOLDEN VALLEY 47.16N 102.07W
09/17/2010 E0.5 INCH MERCER ND CO-OP OBSERVER

GRASS IS WHITE.

&&

$$

PAYD

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KBIS [172324]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 172324
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
624 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW KILLDEER 47.37N 102.75W
09/17/2010 M0.5 INCH DUNN ND CO-OP OBSERVER

AROUND 1/2 MILE VISIBILITY.

&&

$$

RK

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KBIS [172323]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 172323
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
623 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0623 PM SNOW HALLIDAY 47.35N 102.34W
09/17/2010 M1.0 INCH DUNN ND CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

RK

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1855

ACUS11 KWNS 172321
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172320
IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-180045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1855
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0620 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NEB...WRN IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 172320Z - 180045Z

PORTIONS OF ERN NEB AND WRN IA ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

SURFACE ANALYSIS AT 23Z SHOWS A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY
EXTENDING NEWD OUT OF NWRN KS/SWRN NEB TOWARD OMA/W-CNTRL IA.
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CUMULUS FIELD ALONG THE BOUNDARY
IS BEGINNING TO DEEPEN SOMEWHAT OVER ERN NEB...WHERE WARMER SURFACE
AIR MASS /MID 80S F TEMPERATURES/ RESIDES. HOWEVER...19Z SPECIAL
SOUNDING FROM OAX SHOWS A SUBSTANTIAL EML CAPPING INVERSION LOCATED
OVER THE REGION...WHICH SUGGESTS THAT CONVECTIVE INITIATION MAY BE
TIED TO NOCTURNAL STRENGTHENING OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET...LEADING TO
ADDITIONAL CONVERGENCE AND WAA ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE. THIS APPEARS
TO BE SUPPORTED BY SHORT TERM HI-RES MODEL GUIDANCE...WHICH BREAKS
OUT THUNDERSTORMS NEAR OMA BY 00-01Z.

THE PRESENCE OF STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES /AOA 7.0 C PER KM IN THE
700-500 MB LAYER/ ATOP A FAVORABLY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER
/CHARACTERIZED BY SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S F/ IS AIDING IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG POTENTIAL INSTABILITY /MLCAPE VALUES RANGING
FROM 1500 J PER KG OVER SWRN IA TO 2500 J PER KG OVER SERN
NEB...BASED ON SFCOA GUIDANCE/. IN ADDITION...AREA PROFILERS AND RUC
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR VALUES RANGING FROM 40
KT ALONG AND N OF THE BOUNDARY TO 30-35 KT S OF THE BOUNDARY...WHICH
FAVORS ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
SUPERCELLS. GIVEN THE STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT AND STRONG
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR /PARTICULARLY N OF THE FRONT/...THE THREAT FOR
LARGE TO POSSIBLY VERY LARGE HAIL WILL ACCOMPANY STRONGEST STORM
ACTIVITY. IN ADDITION...THOSE STORMS WHICH RESIDE CLOSE TO OR MOVE
SEWD INTO THE WARM SECTOR WOULD BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AND PERHAPS A TORNADO.

..GARNER.. 09/17/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...

LAT...LON 42349700 42499491 41899388 40789415 40289645 40359781
40869845 41779831 42349700

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KRLX [172311]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KRLX 172311
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
711 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM TORNADO 1 N BELLEVILLE 39.14N 81.73W
09/16/2010 WOOD WV NWS STORM SURVEY

CONFIRMED TORNADO BY NWS STORM SURVEY...JUST NORTH OF
BELLEVILLE IN WOOD COUNTY WV...AROUND 810 PM EDT. THIS
TORNADO IS LIKELY THE SAME TORNADO THAT MOVED EAST ACROSS
THE OHIO RIVER FROM NEAR REEDESVILLE IN MEIGS COUNTY
OHIO.

&&

$$

JVICTORY

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KFWD [172306]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 172306
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
606 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0534 PM TSTM WND GST ADDISON 32.95N 96.82W
09/17/2010 M60 MPH DALLAS TX AWOS

ADDISON AIRPORT REPORTED A 52 KNOT WIND GUST.

$$

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KRLX [172306]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 172306
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
706 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 PM TORNADO PALESTINE 39.03N 81.40W
09/16/2010 WIRT WV NWS STORM SURVEY

CONFIRMED TORNADO BY NWS STORM SURVEY NEAR PALESTINE IN
WIRT COUNTY WV...BETWEEN 825PM AND 840PM EDT.

&&

$$

JVICTORY

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KRLX [172303]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 172303
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
703 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM TORNADO 1 N BELLEVILLE 39.14N 81.73W
09/16/2010 WOOD WV NWS STORM SURVEY

CONFIRMED TORNADO BY NWS STORM SURVEY...JUST NORTH OF
BELLEVILLE IN WOOD COUNTY WV...AROUND 810 PM EDT.

&&

$$

JVICTORY

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KGGW [172259]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 172259
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
459 PM MDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 PM SNOW GLENDIVE 47.11N 104.71W
09/17/2010 U0.0 INCH DAWSON MT EMERGENCY MNGR

SNOW ACCUMULATION HAS CREATED DOWNED POWER LINES IN THE
AREA. SNOW ALSO ACCUMULATING ON TREES.

&&

$$

TEDJ

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KRLX [172259]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 172259
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
658 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM TORNADO 2 N REEDSVILLE 39.15N 81.75W
09/16/2010 MEIGS OH NWS STORM SURVEY

CONFIRMED TORNADO BY NWS STORM SURVEY...JUST NORTH OF
REEDSVILLE IN MEIGS COUNTY OHIO...AROUND 8 PM EDT.

&&

$$

JVICTORY

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KILN [172250]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 172250
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
650 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0442 PM TORNADO 3 SW GALENA 40.19N 82.92W
09/16/2010 DELAWARE OH NWS STORM SURVEY

A STORM SURVEY INDICATED AN EFO TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 3
MILES SOUTHWEST OF GALENA AND CAUSED TREE DAMAGE IN THAT
LOCATION.

&&

$$

ANOVAK

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KFWD [172216]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 172216
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
516 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM HAIL FORNEY 32.75N 96.47W
09/17/2010 E0.75 INCH KAUFMAN TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FORNEY PD REPORTED PENNY HAIL IN FORNEY

$$

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KFWD [172205]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 172205
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
505 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 PM TSTM WND DMG FORNEY 32.75N 96.47W
09/17/2010 KAUFMAN TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FORNEY PD REPORTS WIND DAMAGE TO THE DAIRY QUEEN ON US80
NEAR PINSON ROAD.

$$

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KRLX [172204]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 172204
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
604 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM TORNADO 3 S SOMERSET 39.76N 82.30W
09/16/2010 PERRY OH NWS STORM SURVEY

CONFIRMED TORNADO BY NWS STORM SURVEY 3 MILES SOUTH OF
SOMERSET IN PERRY COUNTY OHIO. MAGNITUDE EF2...110 TO 120
MPH.

&&

$$

JVICTORY

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KRLX [172120]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 172120
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
520 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0654 PM TORNADO 4 S NELSONVILLE 39.40N 82.23W
09/16/2010 ATHENS OH NWS STORM SURVEY

CONFIRMED TORNADO 4 MILES SOUTH OF NELSONVILLE AROUND 654
PM EDT. 3 MILES LONG AND 300 YARDS WIDE. MAGNITUDE EF2.

&&

$$

JVICTORY

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1854

ACUS11 KWNS 172058
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172058
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-172230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1854
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0358 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF E CNTRL CO...NW KS...SW NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 172058Z - 172230Z

IT IS NOT CERTAIN THAT THE COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL BECOME SUFFICIENT
TO JUSTIFY A WATCH...BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.

DEEPENING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS EVIDENT...BASED WITHIN A FAIRLY
STRONGLY HEATED AND DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER...NEAR A LEE SURFACE
TROUGH ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO. POCKETS OF LOCALLY ENHANCED
CONVERGENCE APPEAR TO BE CONTRIBUTING TO THIS ACTIVITY AS INHIBITION
WEAKENS WITH CONTINUED SURFACE HEATING. UPPER SUPPORT IS GENERALLY
WEAK...BUT APPEARS MOST FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED GROWTH AND
INTENSIFICATION OF CONVECTION THROUGH 21-23Z ACROSS THE BURLINGTON
CO/GOODLAND KS AREAS...NEAR THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A WEAK IMPULSE
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE STRONGER WESTERLIES.

DESPITE RATHER MODEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES
ARE CHARACTERIZED BY STEEP LOW AND MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES... SIZABLE
CAPE /INCREASING FROM 1000 TO 2000+ J PER KG WITH EASTWARD EXTENT
ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...AND SUBSTANTIAL
LOW/MID LEVEL TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS. WITH WIND FIELDS
VEERING FROM LIGHT EASTERLY AND SOUTHERLY AT LOWER LEVELS TO
MODERATELY STRONG WESTERLY AT MID/UPPER LEVELS...VERTICAL SHEAR
APPEARS AT LEAST MARGINALLY SUFFICIENT FOR AN ISOLATED SUPERCELL OR
TWO...WITH AN ENHANCED RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS.

THE TENDENCY SHOULD BE FOR ACTIVITY TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD... WHILE
PERHAPS DEVELOPING EAST NORTHEASTWARD ALONG A WEAK SURFACE FRONT
EXTENDING ACROSS SOUTHERN NEBRASKA.

..KERR.. 09/17/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...

LAT...LON 39330322 40000230 40350165 40240048 39810008 39250061
39060164 38860268 39090311 39330322

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KRLX [172044]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 172044
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
444 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0620 PM TORNADO CROOKSVILLE 39.77N 82.09W
09/16/2010 PERRY OH NWS STORM SURVEY

CONFIRMED TORNADO BY NWS STORM SURVEY TEAM NEAR
CROOKSVILLE IN PERRY COUNTY OHIO...BETWEEN 610 PM AND 630
PM EDT...MAGNITUDE EF1.

&&

$$

JVICTORY

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KTFX [172034]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 172034
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
234 PM MDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 PM SNOW 18 NE ROY 47.52N 108.69W
09/17/2010 E1.5 INCH FERGUS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

AN INCH AND A HALF WAS ON THE GROUND THIS AFTERNOON AND
STILL HAVING HEAVY SNOW

&&

$$

WILLIAMSON DC

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 172002
SWODY1
SPC AC 172000

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

VALID 172000Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID/LOWER MO VALLEY...

...CENTRAL PLAINS/MID AND LOWER MO VALLEY...
EARLY-MID AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSES SHOWED THE PORTION OF A FRONT
EXTENDING FROM NWRN IA INTO ERN/SRN NEB TO WRN KS HAS LIKELY
STALLED...WHILE A SECOND COLD FRONT APPROACHES THIS REGION FROM THE
NRN PLAINS. 19Z SPECIAL SOUNDING AT OMA INDICATED SOME BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTENING AND STRENGTHENING OF THE CAP PER LOW-MID LEVEL WAA.
GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE CAP AND LACK OF A DISCERNIBLE MIDLEVEL
IMPULSE FOR SUFFICIENT FORCING TO SUPPORT CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT...CURRENT THINKING SUGGESTS TSTMS MAY NOT DEVELOP UNTIL
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE INCREASES WHEN THE SECONDARY FRONT OVERTAKES
THE INITIAL. AND...THE INCREASE OF LOW LEVEL WAA AS THE LLJ
STRENGTHENS THIS EVENING SHOULD SUPPORT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.
SINCE STORMS MAY NOT DEVELOP UNTIL EARLY EVENING...THE 30 PERCENT
SEVERE WIND AND HAIL PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN REMOVED...AND THREAT
FOR SIGNIFICANT HAIL HAS BEEN REMOVED AS THE GREATEST STORM COVERAGE
SHOULD OCCUR AFTER PEAK HEATING/TIME OF GREATEST AVAILABLE
INSTABILITY.

...LOWER-MIDDLE TX COASTAL PLAINS...
A VERY MOIST AIR MASS /SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE 70S AND
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES 2-2.5 INCHES/ RESIDES ACROSS THIS
REGION...AND COMBINED WITH SURFACE HEATING HAS RESULTED IN MODERATE
INSTABILITY /MLCAPE 2000-2500 J PER KG/. ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE
BANDS ATTENDANT TO A MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING NNEWD FROM
HURRICANE KARL...WHICH WAS CENTERED WELL S OF THIS REGION...WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND FROM THE WRN GULF. GIVEN THE
AFOREMENTIONED RICH MOISTURE AND WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR...HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THE TSTMS OVER AND INLAND
OF THE LOWER-MIDDLE TX COAST. HOWEVER...MODEST LOW LEVEL SHEAR PER
OBJECTIVE ANALYSES /SFC-1 KM SHEAR 10-15 KT AND EFFECTIVE SRH AROUND
50 M2 PER S2/ SUGGESTS A NON-ZERO TORNADO THREAT ENVIRONMENT
EXISTS...AND THUS THIS OUTLOOK HAS INTRODUCED A 2 PERCENT TORNADO
PROBABILITY.

..PETERS.. 09/17/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1109 AM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010/

...CNTRL PLAINS/MID AND LOWER MO VALLEY...

12Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS AND SATELLITE-DERIVED PW IMAGERY SHOW MODEST
MOISTURE CONTENT /I.E. DEW POINTS IN THE 50S TO LOW 60S AND PW
VALUES OF 1.0-1.3 INCHES/ PRESENT OVER THE REGION...WITH THE TRUE
MARITIME TROPICAL AIR MASS DISPLACED WELL TO THE S...AHEAD OF
INITIAL FRONTAL SURGE OVER ERN TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
NONETHELESS...THE PRESENCE OF A STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT AND
DAYTIME HEATING WILL YIELD A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS BY
AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE VALUES APPROACHING 2000-2500 J/KG.

AS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS DAY ONE DISCUSSIONS...LARGE-SCALE FORCING
FOR ASCENT WILL REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DIURNAL
HEATING CYCLE. HOWEVER...12Z MODEL GUIDANCE AND MORNING WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT REGION MAY BE GLANCED BY A LOW AMPLITUDE
IMPULSE TRANSLATING ESEWD FROM THE NRN HIGH PLAINS. WHEN COUPLED
WITH A DEEPENING/STRENGTHENING CIRCULATION ATTENDANT TO
FRONTOGENETIC COLD FRONT...SETUP SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING ACROSS
PARTS OF IA/NEB.

REGION WILL RESIDE ALONG THE SRN FRINGE OF STRONGER MID AND
HIGH-LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW ATTENDANT TO UPPER LOW OVER CNTRL CANADA
WITH SUFFICIENT /30-40 KT/ DEEP WLY SHEAR TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORM
MODES INCLUDING SUPERCELLS. WHILE A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE FIRST HOUR OR TWO AFTER STORM INITIATION...A GENERAL
ANAFRONTAL AIR FLOW REGIME WILL LIKELY RESULT IN STORMS
TRANSITIONING TO MORE OUTFLOW DOMINANT WITH THE PRIMARY HAZARDS
BEING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THIS WIND/HAIL THREAT MAY
PERSIST INTO TONIGHT AS LOW-LEVEL INFLOW IS ENHANCED BY A
STRENGTHENING NOCTURNAL LLJ.

...CAROLINAS/SERN VA...

SHORT WAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU
WILL PROGRESS EWD INTO THE PIEDMONT AND COASTAL PLAIN LATER TODAY.
AT THE SAME TIME...A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SEWD THROUGH
THE REGION...PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR DIURNAL STORM DEVELOPMENT. AIR
MASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS RATHER MOIST WITH DEW POINTS IN THE 60S.
AND WHILE MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT PARTICULARLY STEEP...THE
PRESENCE OF STRONG DIABATIC HEATING SHOULD SUPPORT MLCAPE INCREASING
TO 1000-1500 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON...ALONG WITH STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES. AS SUCH...SOME RISK FOR ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS
WILL EXIST WITH ANY STRONGER STORMS THAT MAY DEVELOP.

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KCRP [171939]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KCRP 171939
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
239 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1237 PM FUNNEL CLOUD KINGSVILLE 27.51N 97.86W
09/17/2010 KLEBERG TX TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD AT 1237 PM AND ANOTHER
FUNNEL CLOUD AT 1253 PM NEAR KINGSVILLE.

1255 PM FUNNEL CLOUD KINGSVILLE 27.51N 97.86W
09/17/2010 KLEBERG TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FUNNEL CLOUD OVER KING AVENUE IN KINGSVILLE

0233 PM TSTM WND GST NW SANDIA 28.01N 97.88W
09/17/2010 E60.00 MPH JIM WELLS TX PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORT OF ESTIMATED GUST FROM 60 TO 65 MPH JUST ON
THE WEST SIDE OF LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI NEAR THE LAGARTO
STORE

&&

$$

DVOGELSA

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KBRO [171914]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 171914
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
213 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 65 ENE PORT MANSFIELD 27.01N 96.51W
09/17/2010 M43 MPH GMZ175 XX BUOY

43MPH WIND GUST RECORDED AT BUOY 42020 WITH THUNDERSTORM
OVERHEAD.

&&

$$

HART

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KJAN [171902]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 171902
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
201 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WINNSBORO 32.16N 91.72W
09/16/2010 FRANKLIN LA NEWSPAPER

A STRONG DUST DEVIL BLEW THE METAL ROOF AND INSULATION
OFF OF A SMALL STORAGE BUILDING...REPORTED BY THE
FRANKLIN SUN NEWSPAPER...NEARBY TREES WERE DESCRIBED AS
BEING BENT OVER TO THE POINT OF NEARLY BREAKING

&&

$$

EC

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KOKX [171854]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KOKX 171854
LSROKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
251 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0520 PM FLASH FLOOD ROSELLE 40.65N 74.26W
09/16/2010 UNION NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING ON 2ND AND CHANDLER.

0520 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 SW TOTTENVILLE 40.51N 74.24W
09/16/2010 M74.00 MPH ANZ338 NJ MESONET

64KT WIND GUST RECORDED AT PERTH AMBOY MESONET

0521 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SSW BAYONNE 40.63N 74.14W
09/16/2010 RICHMOND (STATEN I NY BROADCAST MEDIA

TREES DOWN ON INNIS ST AND PORT RICHMOND HIGH SCHOOL

0523 PM TSTM WND DMG TOTTENVILLE 40.52N 74.23W
09/16/2010 RICHMOND (STATEN I NY BROADCAST MEDIA

TREES DOWN ON CARS

0525 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 ESE BAYONNE 40.66N 74.09W
09/16/2010 M51.00 MPH ANZ338 NJ MESONET

MEASURED FROM MESONET STATION AT BAYONNE.

0525 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 S BAYONNE 40.63N 74.11W
09/16/2010 RICHMOND (STATEN I NY NWS EMPLOYEE

TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE

0527 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SE BAYONNE 40.64N 74.09W
09/16/2010 RICHMOND (STATEN I NY BROADCAST MEDIA

TREE THROUGH THE ROOF OF HOME IN NEW BRIGHTON

0530 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SSW BAYONNE 40.64N 74.13W
09/16/2010 RICHMOND (STATEN I NY TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN

0532 PM TSTM WND DMG PARK SLOPE 40.67N 73.99W
09/16/2010 KINGS (BROOKLYN) NY BROADCAST MEDIA

TREES AND WIRES DOWN

0535 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 2 NNE HUGUENOT 40.56N 74.16W
09/16/2010 RICHMOND (STATEN I NY TRAINED SPOTTER

0535 PM TSTM WND GST 3 WNW CROWN HEIGHTS 40.69N 74.00W
09/16/2010 M60.00 MPH KINGS (BROOKLYN) NY TRAINED SPOTTER

0535 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NNE HUGUENOT 40.56N 74.16W
09/16/2010 M70.00 MPH RICHMOND (STATEN I NY PUBLIC

GREAT KILLS, NY

0537 PM TSTM WND GST 1 S BROOKLYN HEIGHTS 40.69N 73.98W
09/16/2010 M66.00 MPH KINGS (BROOKLYN) NY MESONET

BISHOP LOUGHLIN MEMORIAL HIGH SCHOOL.

0538 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NE CONEY ISLAND 40.63N 73.92W
09/16/2010 KINGS (BROOKLYN) NY BROADCAST MEDIA

LARGE TREE ON CAR

0540 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 NE CROWN HEIGHTS 40.72N 73.88W
09/16/2010 QUEENS NY BROADCAST MEDIA

TREES DOWN

0540 PM FLOOD 5 ENE BLOOMFIELD 40.83N 74.09W
09/16/2010 BERGEN NJ PUBLIC

APPROXIMATELY 1 FT OF WATER REPORTED ON PATERSON PLANK
ROAD WEST AT ROUTE 17 NORTH IN TOWN OF CARLSTAT.

0542 PM TSTM WND GST 5 NE CROWN HEIGHTS 40.72N 73.87W
09/16/2010 E75.00 MPH QUEENS NY PUBLIC

MULTIPLE LARGE TREES AND WIRES DOWN. SEVERAL ROADS
BLOCKED BY DOWNED TREES AND MULTIPLE TREES ON TOP OF
HOUSES. SIDING OF CHURCH TORN OFF.

0542 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NE CROWN HEIGHTS 40.71N 73.87W
09/16/2010 QUEENS NY BROADCAST MEDIA

TREES DOWN ON METROPOLITAN AVE

0542 PM TSTM WND DMG FOREST HILLS 40.72N 73.85W
09/16/2010 QUEENS NY NWS EMPLOYEE

ROOF BLOWN OFF BUILDING AND INTO ANOTHER BUILDING AT
INTERSECTION OF BURNS AVE AND YELLOWSTONE AVE

0542 PM TSTM WND DMG JACKSON HEIGHTS 40.77N 73.88W
09/16/2010 QUEENS NY PUBLIC

TREES DOWN ON 75TH STREET BETWEEN ROOSEVELT AVENUE AND
37TH AVENUE...PARTIALLY BLOCKING THE ROAD.

0542 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SSE FLUSHING 40.73N 73.83W
09/16/2010 QUEENS NY PUBLIC

GARAGE COMPLEX IN JOYCE GARDENS CO-OP COLLAPSED WITH
MULTIPLE CARS INSIDE ON 68TH DRIVE.

0542 PM TSTM WND DMG FOREST HILLS 40.72N 73.85W
09/16/2010 QUEENS NY BROADCAST MEDIA

80 FT TREE ON A HOUSE

0542 PM TSTM WND DMG FOREST HILLS 40.72N 73.85W
09/16/2010 QUEENS NY BROADCAST MEDIA

LARGE TREE LIMBS ON POWER LINES

0544 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 SSE FLUSHING 40.72N 73.82W
09/16/2010 QUEENS NY BROADCAST MEDIA

*** 1 FATAL *** TREE FELL ON CAR AT EXIT 15 ON GRAND
CENTRAL PARKWAY.

0544 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 SE FLUSHING 40.73N 73.78W
09/16/2010 QUEENS NY TRAINED SPOTTER

PARTS OF SOME ROOFS RIPPED OFF AND HAVE FALLEN ONTO
VARIOUS DRIVEWAYS 1 MILE NORTH OF 495 IN FRESH MEADOWS.

0545 PM TSTM WND DMG FOREST HILLS 40.72N 73.85W
09/16/2010 QUEENS NY PUBLIC

ON 108TH ST FACING QUEENS BLVD...PATIO DOOR BLEW IN ON
15TH FLOOR TERRACE. 15 SMASHED WINDOWS IN BUILDING. METAL
PATIO RAILING PULLED OFF. ROOF VENTS TORN OFF OF
HIGHRISE.

0545 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SSE FLUSHING 40.74N 73.82W
09/16/2010 E70.00 MPH QUEENS NY PUBLIC

NUMEROUS LARGE TREES DOWN ON QUEENS COLLEGE CAMPUS AND
ALONG 150TH STREET. LARGE TREES WERE SNAPPED IN
HALF...SOME COMPLETELY BLOWN OVER AT THE ROOTS. STREET
LIGHT BLOWN ONTO BUS STOP AT JEWEL AVE AND 150TH STREET.

0545 PM TSTM WND DMG FLUSHING 40.77N 73.84W
09/16/2010 QUEENS NY NWS EMPLOYEE

1.5 INCH DIAMETER AND 50FT LONG TREE LIMB DOWN ON 163RD
ST AND 29TH AVE.

0545 PM TSTM WND DMG FOREST HILLS 40.72N 73.85W
09/16/2010 QUEENS NY PUBLIC

PARK ACROSS FROM 108TH ST AT YELLOWSTONE BLVD HAD HEAVY
TREE DAMAGE. 20-30 TREES SHEERED OFF INTO 10FT HIGH
STUMPS.

0550 PM TSTM WND DMG BAYSIDE 40.79N 73.77W
09/16/2010 QUEENS NY BROADCAST MEDIA

LARGE TREE UPROOTED BETWEEN 38TH AND 211ST

0553 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 5 S KENNEDY AIRPORT 40.59N 73.78W
09/16/2010 M44.00 MPH ANZ355 NY MESONET

0600 PM HAIL ATLANTIC BEACH 40.59N 73.71W
09/16/2010 M1.00 INCH NASSAU NY TRAINED SPOTTER

0605 PM TSTM WND DMG OYSTER BAY COVE 40.86N 73.50W
09/16/2010 NASSAU NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE DOWN ON POWER LINES BLOCKING A ROAD

0615 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 6 SE PORT CHESTER 40.96N 73.58W
09/16/2010 M43.00 MPH ANZ335 CT BUOY

WIND GUST OF 37 KT MEASURED AT WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND
BUOY.

0652 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 N FREEPORT 40.71N 73.59W
09/16/2010 NASSAU NY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

WIRES DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF NEWPORT ROAD AND
BRAXTON STREET IN UNIONDALE.

0716 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 4 SSE NEW HAVEN 41.25N 72.90W
09/16/2010 M40.00 MPH ANZ330 CT MESONET

WIND GUST OF 35 KT MEASURED AT LIGHTHOUSE POINT CT
MESONET.

0730 PM TSTM WND DMG MADISON 41.28N 72.60W
09/16/2010 NEW HAVEN CT PUBLIC

TREES DOWN ON RACE HILL RD

0859 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 5 WSW SOUTHAMPTON 40.84N 72.48W
09/16/2010 M41.00 MPH SUFFOLK NY MESONET

WIND GUST OF 36.5 KT MEASURED AT SHINNECOCK MESONET.

&&

$$

JM

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KLUB [171817]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KLUB 171817
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
116 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0520 PM HAIL 2 S TELL 34.35N 100.39W
09/16/2010 E1.00 INCH CHILDRESS TX PUBLIC

ALSO REPORTED VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH BAR DITCHES FULL OF
WATER

0530 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 NE TULIA 34.64N 101.65W
09/16/2010 SWISHER TX CO-OP OBSERVER

FOUR POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN WEST OF VIGO PARK.

0549 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 E TULIA 34.54N 101.70W
09/16/2010 SWISHER TX STORM CHASER

POWER POLE BLOWN DOWN ON HWY 86.

0550 PM FLOOD 2 E TELL 34.38N 100.36W
09/16/2010 CHILDRESS TX EMERGENCY MNGR

HEAVY RAIN RESULTED IN WATER OVER FM 94 EAST OF TELL.
WATER HAS SINCE SUBSIDED AS OF 630 PM.

0807 PM TSTM WND DMG 12 S GUTHRIE 33.46N 100.32W
09/16/2010 KING TX PUBLIC

HIGH WINDS DAMAGED A LARGE CHIMINEA ON A PORCH.

0936 PM FLOOD JAYTON 33.25N 100.57W
09/16/2010 KENT TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

STREET FLOODING WAS REPORTED WITH WATER COVERING SOME
SIDE ROADS AND COMING UP ONTO HIGHWAY 70 IN TOWN.

1100 PM FLOOD ASPERMONT 33.14N 100.22W
09/16/2010 STONEWALL TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

REPORTS OF WATER OVER SEVERAL ROADS IN ASPERMONT. DEPTH
UNKNOWN.

0159 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 NE LUBBOCK 33.64N 101.80W
09/17/2010 M58 MPH LUBBOCK TX ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000316 LUB1000323 LUB1000317 LUB1000318 LUB1000322
LUB1000319 LUB1000320 LUB1000321

$$

LINDLEY

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KILN [171813]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 171813
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
211 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0555 PM TORNADO TARLTON 39.55N 82.78W
09/16/2010 FAIRFIELD OH NWS STORM SURVEY

A STORM SURVEY INDICATED AN EF1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 2
MILES WEST OF TARLTON. SPOTTY DAMAGE CONTINUED EAST
THROUGH TARLTON INTO NORTHWEST HOCKING COUNTY.

&&

$$

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KCRP [171803]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KCRP 171803
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
102 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1237 PM FUNNEL CLOUD KINGSVILLE 27.51N 97.86W
09/17/2010 KLEBERG TX TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD AT 1237 PM AND ANOTHER
FUNNEL CLOUD AT 1253 PM NEAR KINGSVILLE.

1255 PM FUNNEL CLOUD KINGSVILLE 27.51N 97.86W
09/17/2010 KLEBERG TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FUNNEL CLOUD OVER KING AVENUE IN KINGSVILLE

&&

$$

DVOGELSA

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KCRP [171800]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 171800
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1259 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1237 PM FUNNEL CLOUD KINGSVILLE 27.51N 97.86W
09/17/2010 KLEBERG TX TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD AT 1237 PM AND ANOTHER
FUNNEL CLOUD AT 1253 PM NEAR KINGSVILLE.

&&

$$

JRUNYEN

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KPHI [171740]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KPHI 171740
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
139 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0442 PM LIGHTNING ELKTON 39.60N 75.82W
09/16/2010 CECIL MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

LIGHTNING STRUCK A HOUSE AND TREE IN ELKTON, RESULTING IN
A HOUSE FIRE.

0445 PM TSTM WND GST BEAR 39.62N 75.68W
09/16/2010 M59.00 MPH NEW CASTLE DE TRAINED SPOTTER

59 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT BEAR.

0515 PM TSTM WND GST PERTH AMBOY 40.52N 74.27W
09/16/2010 M73.00 MPH MIDDLESEX NJ MESONET

73 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT PERTH AMBOY.

0517 PM TSTM WND DMG PERTH AMBOY 40.52N 74.27W
09/16/2010 MIDDLESEX NJ COUNTY OFFICIAL

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AND BROKEN WINDOWS REPORTED IN PERTH
AMBOY.

0520 PM FUNNEL CLOUD OLD BRIDGE 40.39N 74.33W
09/16/2010 MIDDLESEX NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

POSSIBLE FUNNEL CLOUD SIGHTED ALONG ROUTE 9 NEAR OLD
BRIDGE.

0520 PM TSTM WND DMG WOODBRIDGE 40.55N 74.29W
09/16/2010 MIDDLESEX NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

WIRES AND LARGE TREE BRANCHES DOWN NEAR WOODBRIDGE. ALSO
POWER OUTAGES AND SOME URBAN FLOODING REPORTED AT SEVERAL
LOCATIONS IN THE COUNTY.

0522 PM TSTM WND DMG ROBERTSVILLE 40.34N 74.30W
09/16/2010 MONMOUTH NJ COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AT NUMEROUS LOCATIONS THROUGHOUT
MONMOUTH COUNTY.

0522 PM TSTM WND DMG GLASSBORO 39.70N 75.11W
09/16/2010 GLOUCESTER NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE TREE DOWN AND WIND GUST ESTIMATED AT 55 MPH IN
GLASSBORO.

0522 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NNW PITMAN 39.76N 75.15W
09/16/2010 GLOUCESTER NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

NUMEROUS TREES AND WIRES DOWN THROUGHOUT GLOUCESTER
COUNTY, INCLUDING AT SEWELL.

0525 PM TSTM WND GST BLACKWOOD 39.80N 75.06W
09/16/2010 M54.00 MPH CAMDEN NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

54 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED IN BLACKWOOD.

0540 PM TSTM WND GST SANDY HOOK 40.44N 73.99W
09/16/2010 M45.00 MPH MONMOUTH NJ MESONET

A 45 MPH THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT SANDY
HOOK.

0543 PM TSTM WND GST MOUNT HOLLY 39.99N 74.79W
09/16/2010 M55.00 MPH BURLINGTON NJ ASOS

55 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL
AIRPORT.

0545 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NNW LEISURETOWNE 39.91N 74.71W
09/16/2010 BURLINGTON NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

POWER POLE DOWN IN SOUTHAMPTON TOWNSHIP. ANEMOMETER
BROKEN BEFORE WIND COULD BE MEASURED, BUT TRAINED SPOTTER
ESTIMATED WIND GUST AT 60 MPH.

0550 PM TSTM WND GST 1 E WARETOWN 39.79N 74.17W
09/16/2010 M39.00 MPH ANZ451 NJ MESONET

A 39 MPH THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT BARNEGAT.

0605 PM TORNADO 2 SW WOODRUFF 40.04N 74.49W
09/16/2010 F1 OCEAN NJ NWS STORM SURVEY

THREE TO FOUR HOUSES DAMAGED IN PLUMSTED TOWNSHIP ALONG
WITH NUMEROUS TREE TRUNKS SNAPPED. A FEW TELEPHONE POLES
ALSO BENT AND SNAPPED. MUCH OF THE DAMAGE REPORTED ALONG
LONG SWAMP ROAD, COLLIERS MILLS ROAD AND COUNTY ROUTE
539. PATH LENGTH 2 MILES, WIDTH 250 YDS. MAX WINDS 90
MPH.

0612 PM TSTM WND GST LAKEHURST 40.01N 74.32W
09/16/2010 M61.00 MPH OCEAN NJ ASOS

61 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT LAKEHURST NAS.

0619 PM TSTM WND DMG LAKEWOOD 40.09N 74.21W
09/16/2010 OCEAN NJ LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES KNOCKED DOWN, ONE ONTO A VEHICLE, IN
LAKEWOOD.

0635 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SSW MANTOLOKING 40.01N 74.06W
09/16/2010 M46.00 MPH ANZ451 NJ MESONET

A 46 MPH THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT BRICK.

0710 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 ENE MAYS LANDING 39.47N 74.68W
09/16/2010 ATLANTIC NJ LAW ENFORCEMENT

A COUPLE OF TREES KNOCKED DOWN ON VEHICLES IN HAMILTON
TOWNSHIP. NO INJURIES REPORTED.

&&

$$

AMC

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 171723
SWODY2
SPC AC 171721

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1221 PM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS REMAIN IN AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL LARGE-SCALE FLOW PATTERN
ACROSS THE LOWER 48 STATES DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD. A LARGE E-W
ORIENTED RIDGE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE SRN HALF OF THE U.S...WHILE
FAST WLY MID-UPPER LEVEL WINDS EXTEND ALONG THE NRN TIER OF STATES
AS A DEEP CLOSED LOW TRACKS NEWD ACROSS HUDSON BAY. IN THE WEST...
SEVERAL WEAK IMPULSES WILL SHEAR NEWD ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW AND NRN
ROCKIES...WHILE A LONGWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE WEST COAST. IN THE
LOW LEVELS...A COLD FRONT ATTENDANT TO THE HUDSON BAY LOW WILL
SPREAD EWD FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO NEW ENGLAND THIS PERIOD...WITH
THE TRAILING PORTION OF THIS BOUNDARY MAKING SLOWER PROGRESS SEWD/
SWD INTO THE OH VALLEY/MIDWEST...MID MS VALLEY AND KS. THE MID MS
VALLEY TO KS PORTION MAY EVEN BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY BY SATURDAY
NIGHT.

...SRN IA/NRN MO/NRN IL AND VICINITY...
MODELS SUGGEST A LOW AMPLITUDE MIDLEVEL IMPULSE WILL TRACK FROM IA
TO IL/IND BY 19/00Z...BUT DIFFER IN THE TRACK AND AMPLITUDE OF THIS
FEATURE. THE 12Z NAM/00Z ECMWF SUGGEST A MORE NRN TRACK AND STRONG
FORCING/UVVS ACROSS NRN IL/IND...WHILE THE 12Z GFS IS MUCH WEAKER
WITH THE IMPULSE MOVING THROUGH NRN MO TO SRN IL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

AT 12Z SATURDAY...ELEVATED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING N OF THE
COLD FRONT WITHIN A ZONE OF WAA ACROSS NEB/IA IN THE NOSE OF A SWLY
LLJ. ALTHOUGH THE LLJ WILL WEAKEN SOME THROUGH THE DAY...
PERSISTENT WAA ALONG AND N OF THE SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL
SUPPORT PRIMARILY ANAFRONTAL PRECIPITATION WITH EMBEDDED TSTMS
POSSIBLE GIVEN AN INFLOW OF MODERATE INSTABILITY. THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE BASED TSTMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS NRN MO
INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL IL AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO A MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS. HOWEVER...GIVEN STRONGER FORCING PER NAM/ECMWF
REMAINING N OF THIS REGION AND WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE/ASCENT
ALONG THE FRONT...STORM COVERAGE REMAINS UNCERTAIN. STORMS THAT CAN
DEVELOP WILL HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BE STRONG TO SEVERE...GIVEN
MODERATE INSTABILITY AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR 25-35 KT SUPPORTING AN
ISOLATED THREAT FOR HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. OTHERWISE...A HAIL
THREAT WILL ALSO EXIST WITH THE STRONGER ELEVATED STORMS BOTH
SATURDAY MORNING AND AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE LLJ RESTRENGTHENS
INTO THE LOWER MO VALLEY TO NRN IL/NRN IND.

..PETERS.. 09/17/2010

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KRLX [171702]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 171702
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
102 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0808 PM TSTM WND DMG MIDDLEBOURNE 39.49N 80.91W
09/16/2010 TYLER WV EMERGENCY MNGR

MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ON MIDDLBOURNE-WICK ROAD AND STATE
RTE 18

&&

$$

TAXFORD

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KCLE [171614]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 171614
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1214 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0555 PM TSTM WND DMG GARRETTSVILLE 41.28N 81.10W
09/16/2010 PORTAGE OH DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWN.

&&

$$

KSCHULER

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 171610
SWODY1
SPC AC 171609

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1109 AM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

VALID 171630Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT
OVER PARTS OF THE CNTRL PLAINS AND MID/LOWER MO VALLEY...

...CNTRL PLAINS/MID AND LOWER MO VALLEY...

12Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS AND SATELLITE-DERIVED PW IMAGERY SHOW MODEST
MOISTURE CONTENT /I.E. DEW POINTS IN THE 50S TO LOW 60S AND PW
VALUES OF 1.0-1.3 INCHES/ PRESENT OVER THE REGION...WITH THE TRUE
MARITIME TROPICAL AIR MASS DISPLACED WELL TO THE S...AHEAD OF
INITIAL FRONTAL SURGE OVER ERN TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
NONETHELESS...THE PRESENCE OF A STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT AND
DAYTIME HEATING WILL YIELD A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS BY
AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE VALUES APPROACHING 2000-2500 J/KG.

AS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS DAY ONE DISCUSSIONS...LARGE-SCALE FORCING
FOR ASCENT WILL REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DIURNAL
HEATING CYCLE. HOWEVER...12Z MODEL GUIDANCE AND MORNING WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT REGION MAY BE GLANCED BY A LOW AMPLITUDE
IMPULSE TRANSLATING ESEWD FROM THE NRN HIGH PLAINS. WHEN COUPLED
WITH A DEEPENING/STRENGTHENING CIRCULATION ATTENDANT TO
FRONTOGENETIC COLD FRONT...SETUP SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING ACROSS
PARTS OF IA/NEB.

REGION WILL RESIDE ALONG THE SRN FRINGE OF STRONGER MID AND
HIGH-LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW ATTENDANT TO UPPER LOW OVER CNTRL CANADA
WITH SUFFICIENT /30-40 KT/ DEEP WLY SHEAR TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORM
MODES INCLUDING SUPERCELLS. WHILE A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE FIRST HOUR OR TWO AFTER STORM INITIATION...A GENERAL
ANAFRONTAL AIR FLOW REGIME WILL LIKELY RESULT IN STORMS
TRANSITIONING TO MORE OUTFLOW DOMINANT WITH THE PRIMARY HAZARDS
BEING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THIS WIND/HAIL THREAT MAY
PERSIST INTO TONIGHT AS LOW-LEVEL INFLOW IS ENHANCED BY A
STRENGTHENING NOCTURNAL LLJ.

...CAROLINAS/SERN VA...

SHORT WAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU
WILL PROGRESS EWD INTO THE PIEDMONT AND COASTAL PLAIN LATER TODAY.
AT THE SAME TIME...A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SEWD THROUGH
THE REGION...PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR DIURNAL STORM DEVELOPMENT. AIR
MASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS RATHER MOIST WITH DEW POINTS IN THE 60S.
AND WHILE MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT PARTICULARLY STEEP...THE
PRESENCE OF STRONG DIABATIC HEATING SHOULD SUPPORT MLCAPE INCREASING
TO 1000-1500 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON...ALONG WITH STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES. AS SUCH...SOME RISK FOR ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS
WILL EXIST WITH ANY STRONGER STORMS THAT MAY DEVELOP.

..MEAD/BROYLES.. 09/17/2010

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KCLE [171607]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 171607
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1207 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM TORNADO 2 SW FARMERSTOWN 40.45N 81.75W
09/16/2010 HOLMES OH NWS STORM SURVEY

STORM SURVEY INDICATED EF-1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 2 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF FARMERSTOWN. THE TORNADO THEN CONTINUED ON
THE GROUND FOR APPROXIMATELY 3 MILES BEFORE LIFTING.
SEVERAL BARNS AND OUTBUILDINGS WERE DAMAGED ALONG THE
PATH. A FEW HOMES ALSO SUSTAINED DAMAGE.

&&

$$

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KCLE [171600]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 171600
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1200 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0445 PM TSTM WND DMG AVON 41.45N 82.02W
09/16/2010 LORAIN OH PUBLIC

TWO LARGE TREES DOWN ON ROUTE 83.

&&

$$

KSCHULER

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KCLE [171546]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 171546
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1146 AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 SE MILLERSBURG 40.48N 81.82W
09/16/2010 HOLMES OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWNED. BARN BLOWN DOWN AND ROOF
BLOWN OFF IN CLARK TOWNSHIP.

&&

$$

KSCHULER

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KRLX [171506]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 171506
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1106 AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NW FLEMINGTON 39.32N 80.19W
09/16/2010 TAYLOR WV EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWN ON SMITH ROAD NEAR HARRISON AND TAYLOR COUNTY
LINE.

0850 PM TSTM WND DMG CLARKSBURG 39.28N 80.33W
09/16/2010 HARRISON WV EMERGENCY MNGR

TWO SETS OF POWER LINES DOWN ON BALTIMORE AVENUE

0910 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 SE LOST CREEK 39.12N 80.30W
09/16/2010 HARRISON WV EMERGENCY MNGR

MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ON JOHNSTOWN ROAD.

&&

$$

TAXFORD

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KLWX [171437]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 171437
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1037 AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1124 PM TSTM WND DMG GAINESBORO 39.28N 78.26W
09/16/2010 FREDERICK VA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

A TREE WAS DOWN ALONG A TELEPHONE LINE IN GAINESBORO.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1000916

$$

BJL

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KLWX [171435]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 171435
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1035 AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 PM TSTM WND DMG SHARPSBURG 39.46N 77.75W
09/16/2010 WASHINGTON MD FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

A TREE FELL ONTO WIRES ALONG HARPERS FERRY ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1000915

$$

BJL

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KRLX [171423]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 171423
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1023 AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0840 PM TSTM WND DMG ANNAMORIAH 38.93N 81.22W
09/16/2010 CALHOUN WV DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREES REPORTED DOWN ON WV 5 NEAR ANNAMORIAH. ROCKSLIDE
ALSO REPORTED ON COUNTY RTE 1.

0920 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 W MOUNT ZION 38.87N 81.17W
09/16/2010 CALHOUN WV DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ON KIRBY RIDGE ROAD.

0930 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SW ARNOLDSBURG 38.78N 81.14W
09/16/2010 CALHOUN WV DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREES DOWN ON ROAD RUN RD.

&&

$$

TAXFORD

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KLUB [171333]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 171333
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
833 AM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 NE TULIA 34.64N 101.65W
09/16/2010 SWISHER TX CO-OP OBSERVER

FOUR POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN WEST OF VIGO PARK.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000323

$$

LINDLEY

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 171254
SWODY1
SPC AC 171252

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0752 AM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

VALID 171300Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE CNTRL
PLNS/LWR MO VLY...

...SYNOPSIS...
ELONGATED RIDGE WILL PERSIST FROM THE SWRN DESERTS ACROSS THE SRN
HALF OF THE PLNS INTO THE NERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS PERIOD...WHILE
SEASONABLY STRONG UPR LOW TRACKS FROM NRN MB TO SWRN HUDSON BAY
...AND A BROADER BUT WEAKER LOW LINGERS OVER THE NE PACIFIC.

AT THE SFC...LEAD COLD FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM NRN MN TO SW NEB
SHOULD CONTINUE S/SE ACROSS THE CNTRL PLNS/UPR MS VLY TODAY. THE
BOUNDARY SHOULD SLOW OVER SRN NEB OR FAR NRN KS THIS EVE...BEFORE
RESUMING ITS SWD ADVANCE EARLY SAT AS SECONDARY FRONTAL SURGE NOW
OVER NW ND OVERTAKES IT. PERSISTENT SSWLY LOW LVL FLOW OVER WRN
PORTIONS OF THE SRN/CNTRL PLNS AHEAD OF THE FRONT SHOULD TAP
MOISTURE NOW PRESENT OVER THE TX/OK PANHANDLE REGION. THIS WILL
ALLOW PW TO REBOUND OVER CNTRL/ERN NEB AND IA...WITH VALUES AOA 1.25
INCHES EXPECTED BY TONIGHT/EARLY SAT.

...CNTRL PLNS/LWR MO VLY...
LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BE MINIMAL TODAY OVER SLIGHT
RISK REGION...WITH HEIGHTS EXPECTED TO SLIGHTLY REBOUND IN WAKE OF
SHORTWAVE IMPULSE NOW CROSSING THE UPR MS VLY. WEAK HEIGHT FALLS
WILL...HOWEVER...OVERSPREAD PARTS OF THE CNTRL PLNS/LWR MO VLY THIS
EVE/EARLY SAT...AS WEAK DISTURBANCES TRACK ESE TOWARD THE REGION
FROM ID/WY ALONG NRN FRINGE OF UPR HIGH. APPROACH OF THESE
DISTURBANCES...AND NIGHTFALL...SHOULD FOSTER A CONCOMITANT
STRENGTHENING OF EXISTING SSWLY LLJ.

MODERATE WLY MID LVL FLOW WILL MAINTAIN EML PLUME AND ASSOCIATED CAP
OVER THE CNTRL PLNS TODAY. BUT SFC HEATING AND FRONTAL UPLIFT MAY
SUPPORT ISOLD STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG STALLING COLD FRONT OVER SRN
NEB OR FAR NRN KS LATE THIS AFTN OR EARLY THIS EVE. GIVEN DEGREE OF
INSTABILITY /SBCAPE TO 2500 J PER KG/ AND 30+ KT WNWLY DEEP
SHEAR...ANY SUSTAINED STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL BE
SUPERCELLULAR...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL/LOCALLY DMGG WIND
AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO.

MORE WIDESPREAD STORM DEVELOPMENT APPEARS LIKELY LATER TONIGHT
THROUGH EARLY SAT ALONG AND N OF ACCELERATING COLD FRONT AS
WAA/LARGE SCALE ASCENT STRENGTHEN AMIDST PERSISTENT LOW LVL MOISTURE
RETURN. WHILE SETUP SUGGESTS THAT MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
BECOME ELEVATED WITH TIME...BOWING SEGMENTS WITH A THREAT FOR DMGG
WIND MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE LEADING/SRN EDGE OF THE EVOLVING COMPLEX
FROM NEB/NRN KS INTO PARTS OF IA AND POSSIBLY NW MO. WIND PROFILES
ALSO MAY SUPPORT AREAS OF REGENERATIVE STORMS WITH MARGINALLY SVR
HAIL/HEAVY RAIN.

...CAROLINAS/SE VA...
UPR IMPULSE SHOWN BY WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER KY/TN ATTM SHOULD
CONTINUE E ACROSS THE SRN APPALACHIANS LATER TODAY IN MEAN W TO
WNWLY FLOW. ASSOCIATED FORCING FOR ASCENT/MID LVL COOLING...
COUPLED WITH SFC HEATING...AND LOW LVL UPLIFT OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AND/OR ALONG LEE TROUGH...SHOULD SUPPORT A BAND OR TWO OF
AFTN/EVE STORMS OVER PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS/SE VA. MODEST
INSTABILITY...STEEP LOW LVL LAPSE RATES...AND 20-25 KT WNWLY DEEP
SHEAR MAY YIELD A FEW STORMS WITH STRONG TO POSSIBLY SVR WIND GUSTS.

..CORFIDI/SMITH.. 09/17/2010

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KLUB [171226]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 171226
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
726 AM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0807 PM TSTM WND DMG 12 S GUTHRIE 33.46N 100.32W
09/16/2010 KING TX PUBLIC

HIGH WINDS DAMAGED A LARGE CHIMINEA ON A PORCH.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000322

$$

MCQUEEN

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KBOX [170940]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBOX 170940
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
540 AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1101 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BOSTON 42.32N 71.07W
09/16/2010 SUFFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

TREE AND WIRES DOWN.

1102 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WAREHAM 41.75N 70.72W
09/16/2010 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE.

1110 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BOSTON 42.32N 71.07W
09/16/2010 SUFFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE OAK TREE DOWN ON MCLELLAN STREET.

1114 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG HINGHAM 42.24N 70.89W
09/16/2010 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

TREES AND WIRES DOWN ON MAIN AND CENTRAL STREETS. TREE
ALSO DOWN ON FAIRVIEW STREET AT 1156 PM.

1118 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG DARTMOUTH 41.57N 71.00W
09/16/2010 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE LIMB DOWN ON A HOUSE ON ASHLEY STREET.

1122 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG NEW BEDFORD 41.66N 70.94W
09/16/2010 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

TREE DOWN ON ROADWAY.

1130 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG CRANSTON 41.77N 71.48W
09/16/2010 PROVIDENCE RI AMATEUR RADIO

TREE DOWN OFF TO THE SIDE OF THE ROUTE 10 SOUTH RAMP TO
RESERVOIR AVENUE.

1145 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG QUINCY 42.26N 71.01W
09/16/2010 NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

TREE AND UTILITY POLE DOWN ON BRIGGS STREET.

0121 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG RANDOLPH 42.18N 71.05W
09/17/2010 NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN WITH POWER OUTAGE.

0123 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MILTON 42.24N 71.08W
09/17/2010 M47.00 MPH NORFOLK MA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

BLUE HILL OBSERVATORY ASOS.

0502 AM NON-TSTM WND GST NANTUCKET 41.27N 70.10W
09/17/2010 M59.00 MPH NANTUCKET MA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

NANTUCKET ASOS

&&

$$

JWD

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 170859
SWOD48
SPC AC 170858

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0358 AM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

VALID 201200Z - 251200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MODELS CONTINUE TO FORECAST THE PROGRESSION OF TWO UPPER TROUGHS --
AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE SYSTEMS -- ACROSS THE U.S. DURING THE MEDIUM
RANGE PERIOD...BUT DIFFER WITH RESPECT TO TIMING OF THE FEATURES
ALOFT -- AND THUS WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THE SURFACE PATTERN.

THE FIRST SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE ROCKIES DAY 4 /MON.
9-20/...REACHING THE PLAINS DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD.
AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE SYSTEM WILL LIKEWISE CROSS THE NRN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS...THOUGH MODELS DIFFER BY ROUGHLY 6-12 HOURS WITH RESPECT TO
FRONTAL PROGRESS. THUS...WHILE SOME POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER
SHOULD EVOLVE DAY 4...TEMPORAL/AREAL UNCERTAINTY PRECLUDES THE
ISSUANCE OF A DAY 4 AREA.

THE FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE ACROSS THE PLAINS AND INTO THE MID AND
UPPER MS VALLEY/UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION BY AFTERNOON DAY 5 /TUE.
9-21/...WITH AN AXIS OF CONVECTIVE/LIMITED SEVERE POTENTIAL POSSIBLE
INVOF THE FRONT. THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR SUFFICIENT TO REQUIRE AN
OUTLOOK AREA ATTM...AS IT APPEARS THAT STRONGER FLOW ALOFT/SHEAR
SHOULD REMAIN N OF THE ZONE OF GREATER DESTABILIZATION POTENTIAL.

AS THE INITIAL FRONT SHIFTS EWD INTO/ACROSS THE NORTHEAST DAY 6
/WED. 9-22/...THE NEXT SURFACE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN AFFECTING THE
CENTRAL PORTION OF THE COUNTRY. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE
PLAINS DAY 7...AN INCREASE IN SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD OCCUR...BUT
AGAIN...UNCERTAINTY PRECLUDES HIGHLIGHTING A SPECIFIC THREAT AREA
THIS FORECAST..

..GOSS.. 09/17/2010

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KLUB [170825]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 170825
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
325 AM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0159 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 NE LUBBOCK 33.64N 101.80W
09/17/2010 M58 MPH LUBBOCK TX ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1000321

$$

JW

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KRLX [170628]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KRLX 170628
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
228 AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM TORNADO 3 ENE FORKED RUN STATE 39.12N 81.73W
09/16/2010 WOOD WV FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

*** 1 FATAL, 1 INJ *** 15 STRUCTURES HEAVILY DAMAGED IN
BELLEVILE BY POSSIBLE TORNADO. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL CAMPER
TRAILERS. 1 FATALITY AND SEVERAL INJURIES. RT 16 CLOSED
ON ACCOUNT OF DOWNED TREES AND WIRES. EVENT HAPPEND IN
BELLEVILLE.

&&

$$

TMAZZA

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KRLX [170623]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 170623
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
223 AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM TORNADO 3 ENE FORKED RUN STATE 39.12N 81.73W
09/16/2010 WOOD WV FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

*** 1 FATAL, 1 INJ *** 15 STRUCTURES HEAVILY DAMAGED IN
BELLEVILE BY POSSIBLE TORNADO. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL CAMPER
TRAILERS. 1 FATALITY AND SEVERAL INJURIES. RT 16 CLOSED
ON ACCOUNT OF DOWNED TREES AND WIRES.

&&

$$

TMAZZA

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 170556
SWODY1
SPC AC 170555

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1255 AM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NRN KS INTO SRN AND ERN
NEB...CNTRL IA AND NWRN MO...

...SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER LOW/TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS CNTRL CA
AND ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS TODAY...FLATTENING THE UPPER RIDGE ACROSS
THE CNTRL PLAINS BY LATE IN THE DAY. MEANWHILE...AN UPPER SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW WILL BE PRESENT NEAR THE NEW ENGLAND
COAST...BUT WILL DEPART DURING THE DAY WITH RELATIVELY COOL AIR
ALOFT IN A NWLY FLOW REGIME EXTENDING SWD INTO THE APPALACHIANS. AT
THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL SLOW ACROSS SRN NEB...WITH SLY
BRINGS BRINGING MID TO UPPER 60S F DEWPOINTS NWD AS LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS NEAR THE KS/CO BORDER.

...NRN KS/SRN NEB INTO IA AND NRN MO...
SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE
DEEPENS OVER WRN KS/ERN CO. DEWPOINTS IN THE 65-70 F RANGE WILL
SPREAD NWD INTO KS AND SRN NEB WHERE A SURFACE FRONT WILL STALL THIS
AFTERNOON AS WINDS N OF THE FRONT VEER TO ELY. STRONG HEATING AND
PRESENCE OF RELATIVELY STEEP MID TO UPPER TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES
WILL RESULT IN STRONG INSTABILITY WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATING
MUCAPE IN EXCESS OF 3000 J/KG. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INITIATE FIRST
ACROSS NWRN KS/SWRN NEB WHERE LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE DRY
ADIABATIC. THESE STORMS MAY BE HIGH BASED INITIALLY...BUT WILL
LIKELY FORM INTO SUPERCELLS AS THEY SHIFT EWD ACROSS NRN KS/SRN NEB.
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 40 KTS BY 00Z AS WELL AS LOW
LEVEL VEERING IMMEDIATELY NEAR THE SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL FAVOR
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES. TRAINING SUPERCELLS...SOME BOWING AND PRODUCING DAMAGING
WIND...SHOULD PERSIST ALONG THE BOUNDARY THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A
SWLY LOW LEVEL JET ENHANCES LIFT AND MAINTAINS INFLOW. ACTIVITY
SHOULD EVENTUALLY MERGE INTO ONE OR MORE SMALL MCS'S WITH MAINLY A
DAMAGING WIND AND HEAVY RAIN THREAT INTO IA AND NWRN MO BY THE END
OF THE PERIOD.

...WRN NC/NWRN SC...
A WEAK THERMAL TROUGH ALOFT WILL EXTEND SWD ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS
WHICH WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG HEATING TO PRODUCE MARGINAL
INSTABILITY WITH STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATE PROFILES. ALTHOUGH
MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED...AT LEAST ISOLATED CONVECTION IS LIKELY TO
FORM OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WRN NC INTO NWRN SC. NWLY FLOW ALOFT
ALONG WITH THE RELATIVELY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER PROFILES INDICATE A
THREAT OF A FEW STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS BY LATE
AFTERNOON.

..JEWELL/GARNER.. 09/17/2010

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 170553
SWODY2
SPC AC 170552

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1252 AM CDT FRI SEP 17 2010

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
ONLY MODEST CHANGES TO THE LARGE-SCALE FLOW FIELD ALOFT ARE EXPECTED
THIS PERIOD...WITH A LARGE RIDGE TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
SRN PORTIONS OF THE U.S. AND A LOW/TROUGH REMAINING OFF THE W COAST.
BELT OF VERY FAST FLOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE U.S./CANADA BORDER
AREA...AS A DEEP VORTEX SHIFTS ACROSS THE NRN ONTARIO/NRN QUEBEC
REGION.

AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE CANADIAN UPPER LOW
WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS QUEBEC AND THE GREAT LAKES REGION...WHILE
SHIFTING MORE SLOWLY SEWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY REGION. THE
FRONT SHOULD MAKE EVEN SLOWER PROGRESS SWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS...POSSIBLY BECOMING QUASI-STATIONARY DURING THE SECOND HALF
OF THE PERIOD.

...SRN IA/NRN MO/NRN IL AND VICINITY...
AN AREA OF MAINLY ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING ACROSS
THIS REGION AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...NEAR THE NOSE OF A VEERING
SWLY LOW-LEVEL JET. WHILE SOME HEATING/DESTABILIZATION IS FORECAST
S OF THE SSEWD-MOVING COLD FRONT...WEAK ASCENT NEAR AND S OF THE
INCREASINGLY ANAFRONTAL-TYPE BOUNDARY SUGGESTS THAT MOST CONVECTION
WILL REMAIN ELEVATED N OF THE SURFACE FRONT.

CONVECTION SHOULD LINGER THROUGH THE DAY...LIKELY
EXPANDING/INCREASING AGAIN DURING THE EVENING AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET
REDEVELOPS. WITH RELATIVELY WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY EXPECTED DUE
TO PERSISTENT CONVECTION AND WITH STRONGER FLOW ALOFT REMAINING N OF
THIS REGION...SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED. HOWEVER...WILL
INTRODUCE LOW PROBABILITY /5%/ SEVERE AREA GIVEN SOME POTENTIAL FOR
HAIL.

..GOSS.. 09/17/2010

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