NWUS56 KHNX 270205
LSRHNX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
704 PM PDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0701 PM SNOW TUOLUMNE MEADOWS 37.87N 119.36W
09/26/2013 M1.0 INCH TUOLUMNE CA PARK/FOREST SRVC
AT 9200 FEET IN YOSEMITE NATIONAL PARK. SNOWFALL SO FAR.
STILL FALLING.
&&
$$
SANGER
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Thursday, September 26, 2013
KGJT [270100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KGJT 270100
LSRGJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
700 PM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE NATURITA 38.24N 108.56W
09/26/2013 M50 MPH MONTROSE CO AWOS
PEAK WIND GUST AT NUCLA AWOS
&&
EVENT NUMBER GJT1301617
$$
MALEKSA
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LSRGJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
700 PM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE NATURITA 38.24N 108.56W
09/26/2013 M50 MPH MONTROSE CO AWOS
PEAK WIND GUST AT NUCLA AWOS
&&
EVENT NUMBER GJT1301617
$$
MALEKSA
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KTFX [270054]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 270054
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
654 PM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0515 PM SNOW 7 NW NEIHART 47.01N 110.84W
09/26/2013 M2.0 INCH CASCADE MT CO-OP OBSERVER
2 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN THE PAST 24 HOURS.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
654 PM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0515 PM SNOW 7 NW NEIHART 47.01N 110.84W
09/26/2013 M2.0 INCH CASCADE MT CO-OP OBSERVER
2 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN THE PAST 24 HOURS.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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KTFX [270053]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 270053
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
652 PM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW 1 SE NEIHART 46.92N 110.72W
09/26/2013 M4.0 INCH CASCADE MT PUBLIC
4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW OVERNIGHT. REPORT VIA COCORAHS.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
652 PM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW 1 SE NEIHART 46.92N 110.72W
09/26/2013 M4.0 INCH CASCADE MT PUBLIC
4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW OVERNIGHT. REPORT VIA COCORAHS.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 270046
SWODY1
SPC AC 270044
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0744 PM CDT THU SEP 26 2013
VALID 270100Z - 271200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/ROCKIES/PLAINS...
WHILE THE MAIN SURFACE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO MIGRATE NORTH
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH MANITOBA OVERNIGHT...THE TRAILING SURFACE
FRONT MAY SLOW/STALL ACROSS NORTHWEST MINNESOTA AND THE EASTERN
DAKOTAS INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...AS POSITIVELY TILTED UPSTREAM
TROUGHING GRADUALLY TURNS EASTWARD ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN REGION.
GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF MODEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...MODELS SUGGEST THAT IT MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT
FRONTAL LIFT ACROSS NORTHWEST MINNESOTA COULD INITIATE SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY
THEN STILL APPEARS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...WHERE LOWER/MID
TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION BECOMES ENHANCED ON THE NOSE OF A 50+ KT
SOUTHERLY 850 MB JET ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY INTO
WESTERN MINNESOTA. HOWEVER...IT IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY CERTAIN
THAT DESTABILIZATION WILL NOT BECOME SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT AN
APPRECIABLE SEVERE HAIL THREAT.
COLD AIR ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO LAG WELL TO THE WEST OF THE SURFACE
FRONT...BUT IT IS CONTRIBUTING TO STEEPENING LAPSE RATES BASED IN
THE LOWER/MID-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING ACROSS
EASTERN/SOUTHERN WYOMING...INTO NORTHEAST UTAH...WHERE SCATTERED
WEAK THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST AND PERHAPS INCREASE A BIT IN COVERAGE THIS EVENING...
BEFORE DIMINISHING WHILE POSSIBLY SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH
PARTS OF THE WESTERN/CENTRAL DAKOTAS OVERNIGHT.
..KERR.. 09/27/2013
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SWODY1
SPC AC 270044
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0744 PM CDT THU SEP 26 2013
VALID 270100Z - 271200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/ROCKIES/PLAINS...
WHILE THE MAIN SURFACE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO MIGRATE NORTH
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH MANITOBA OVERNIGHT...THE TRAILING SURFACE
FRONT MAY SLOW/STALL ACROSS NORTHWEST MINNESOTA AND THE EASTERN
DAKOTAS INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...AS POSITIVELY TILTED UPSTREAM
TROUGHING GRADUALLY TURNS EASTWARD ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN REGION.
GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF MODEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...MODELS SUGGEST THAT IT MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT
FRONTAL LIFT ACROSS NORTHWEST MINNESOTA COULD INITIATE SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY
THEN STILL APPEARS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...WHERE LOWER/MID
TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION BECOMES ENHANCED ON THE NOSE OF A 50+ KT
SOUTHERLY 850 MB JET ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY INTO
WESTERN MINNESOTA. HOWEVER...IT IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY CERTAIN
THAT DESTABILIZATION WILL NOT BECOME SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT AN
APPRECIABLE SEVERE HAIL THREAT.
COLD AIR ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO LAG WELL TO THE WEST OF THE SURFACE
FRONT...BUT IT IS CONTRIBUTING TO STEEPENING LAPSE RATES BASED IN
THE LOWER/MID-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING ACROSS
EASTERN/SOUTHERN WYOMING...INTO NORTHEAST UTAH...WHERE SCATTERED
WEAK THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST AND PERHAPS INCREASE A BIT IN COVERAGE THIS EVENING...
BEFORE DIMINISHING WHILE POSSIBLY SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH
PARTS OF THE WESTERN/CENTRAL DAKOTAS OVERNIGHT.
..KERR.. 09/27/2013
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KFGZ [262247]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KFGZ 262247
LSRFGZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
347 PM MST THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0312 PM NON-TSTM WND GST FLAGSTAFF AIRPORT 35.14N 111.67W
09/26/2013 M64 MPH COCONINO AZ ASOS
&&
EVENT NUMBER FGZ1300101
$$
MCS
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LSRFGZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
347 PM MST THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0312 PM NON-TSTM WND GST FLAGSTAFF AIRPORT 35.14N 111.67W
09/26/2013 M64 MPH COCONINO AZ ASOS
&&
EVENT NUMBER FGZ1300101
$$
MCS
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KFGZ [262117]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KFGZ 262117
LSRFGZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
216 PM MST THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0107 PM NON-TSTM WND GST FLAGSTAFF AIRPORT 35.14N 111.67W
09/26/2013 M58 MPH COCONINO AZ ASOS
&&
EVENT NUMBER FGZ1300100
$$
MCS
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LSRFGZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
216 PM MST THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0107 PM NON-TSTM WND GST FLAGSTAFF AIRPORT 35.14N 111.67W
09/26/2013 M58 MPH COCONINO AZ ASOS
&&
EVENT NUMBER FGZ1300100
$$
MCS
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 262003
SWODY1
SPC AC 262000
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT THU SEP 26 2013
VALID 262000Z - 271200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
NO CHANGES ARE MADE TO THE OUTLOOK FOR THIS ISSUANCE.
..BROYLES.. 09/26/2013
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1044 AM CDT THU SEP 26 2013/
...SYNOPSIS...
AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRI AS DEEP...POSITIVE-TILT
TROUGH PROGRESSES SLOWLY E ACROSS THE WRN U.S. AND RIDGE BUILDS FROM
THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO TO THE UPR GRT LKS. AT THE SAME
TIME...WEAKENING TROUGH NOW OVER THE CAROLINAS SHOULD CONTINUE ESE
INTO THE ATLANTIC.
AT LWR LVLS..THE MAIN FEATURE OF NOTE WILL BE COLD FRONT NOW
EXTENDING FROM THE DAKOTAS THROUGH THE CNTRL HIGH PLNS TO THE SWRN
DESERTS. THE NRN PART OF THE FRONT SHOULD ADVANCE E INTO THE ERN
DAKOTAS/WRN MN LATER TODAY/TNGT AS ASSOCIATED UPR VORT CONTINUES NE
ACROSS SK/MB. FARTHER SW...HOWEVER...THE BOUNDARY SHOULD BECOME
STNRY ACROSS THE CNTRL PLNS AS DEEP FLOW BACKS AND LOW-LVL WAA
STRENGTHENS DOWNSTREAM FROM UPR VORT NOW ENTERING THE SRN GRT BASIN.
ELSEWHERE...SEVERAL WEAK W-E FRONTS WILL TRACK ESE ACROSS THE FL
PENINSULA IN RESPONSE TO STRENGTHENING/VEERING DEEP FLOW ON SRN
FRINGE OF CAROLINAS TROUGH. THESE BOUNDARIES MAY SERVE AS A FOCUS
FOR A FEW STRONG AFTN STORMS OVER CNTRL AND SRN PARTS OF THE
PENINSULA. A FEW STRONGER STORMS ALSO COULD ACCOMPANY ZONE OF
STRENGTHENING WAA OVER THE NRN PLNS/UPR MS VLY LATE IN THE PERIOD.
...CNTRL/S FL THIS AFTN...
COMBINATION OF STRONG SFC HEATING AND CONVERGENCE ALONG W-E FRONTAL
SEGMENTS PROGRESSING SLOWLY S ACROSS THE REGION MAY SUPPORT A FEW
STRONG TO POSSIBLY SVR STORMS THIS AFTN...ESPECIALLY OVER ERN PARTS
OF THE PENINSULA WHERE CONVERGENCE ALONG SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES WILL
BE MAXIMIZED. COUPLED WITH MODERATE...DEEP NWLY MID-LVL FLOW...RICH
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /PW AROUND 2 INCHES/...AND NOTABLY DRIER AIR
ALOFT /PER 12Z SOUNDINGS/...SETUP MAY YIELD A FEW PULSE/MULTICELL
STORMS CAPABLE OF WET MICROBURSTS AND/OR BRIEFLY SVR SFC WINDS.
...ERN PORTIONS OF THE NRN PLNS/UPR MS VLY EARLY FRI...
LOW-LVL WAA WILL INCREASE OVER ERN SD AND SURROUNDING AREAS LATE
TNGT AND EARLY FRI AS AFOREMENTIONED FRONT STALLS OVER AREA AND
SSWLY LLJ STRENGTHENS TO AOA 45 KTS. COUPLED WITH FAIRLY STEEP
MID-LVL LAPSE RATES/EML ADVECTED NEWD ON ERN SIDE OF POSITIVE-TILT
TROUGH...SETUP SHOULD SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF WDLY SCTD ELEVATED
TSTMS...ESPECIALLY AFTER 06Z FRI. MOISTURE WILL...HOWEVER...REMAIN
COMPARATIVELY LIMITED...WITH PW AOA 1.25 INCHES...AND NO UPSTREAM
SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE IS APPARENT ATTM TO ENHANCE LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT. WHILE A FEW STORMS COULD YIELD MARGINALLY SVR HAIL...OVERALL
THREAT LOOKS MINIMAL.
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SWODY1
SPC AC 262000
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT THU SEP 26 2013
VALID 262000Z - 271200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
NO CHANGES ARE MADE TO THE OUTLOOK FOR THIS ISSUANCE.
..BROYLES.. 09/26/2013
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1044 AM CDT THU SEP 26 2013/
...SYNOPSIS...
AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRI AS DEEP...POSITIVE-TILT
TROUGH PROGRESSES SLOWLY E ACROSS THE WRN U.S. AND RIDGE BUILDS FROM
THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO TO THE UPR GRT LKS. AT THE SAME
TIME...WEAKENING TROUGH NOW OVER THE CAROLINAS SHOULD CONTINUE ESE
INTO THE ATLANTIC.
AT LWR LVLS..THE MAIN FEATURE OF NOTE WILL BE COLD FRONT NOW
EXTENDING FROM THE DAKOTAS THROUGH THE CNTRL HIGH PLNS TO THE SWRN
DESERTS. THE NRN PART OF THE FRONT SHOULD ADVANCE E INTO THE ERN
DAKOTAS/WRN MN LATER TODAY/TNGT AS ASSOCIATED UPR VORT CONTINUES NE
ACROSS SK/MB. FARTHER SW...HOWEVER...THE BOUNDARY SHOULD BECOME
STNRY ACROSS THE CNTRL PLNS AS DEEP FLOW BACKS AND LOW-LVL WAA
STRENGTHENS DOWNSTREAM FROM UPR VORT NOW ENTERING THE SRN GRT BASIN.
ELSEWHERE...SEVERAL WEAK W-E FRONTS WILL TRACK ESE ACROSS THE FL
PENINSULA IN RESPONSE TO STRENGTHENING/VEERING DEEP FLOW ON SRN
FRINGE OF CAROLINAS TROUGH. THESE BOUNDARIES MAY SERVE AS A FOCUS
FOR A FEW STRONG AFTN STORMS OVER CNTRL AND SRN PARTS OF THE
PENINSULA. A FEW STRONGER STORMS ALSO COULD ACCOMPANY ZONE OF
STRENGTHENING WAA OVER THE NRN PLNS/UPR MS VLY LATE IN THE PERIOD.
...CNTRL/S FL THIS AFTN...
COMBINATION OF STRONG SFC HEATING AND CONVERGENCE ALONG W-E FRONTAL
SEGMENTS PROGRESSING SLOWLY S ACROSS THE REGION MAY SUPPORT A FEW
STRONG TO POSSIBLY SVR STORMS THIS AFTN...ESPECIALLY OVER ERN PARTS
OF THE PENINSULA WHERE CONVERGENCE ALONG SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES WILL
BE MAXIMIZED. COUPLED WITH MODERATE...DEEP NWLY MID-LVL FLOW...RICH
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /PW AROUND 2 INCHES/...AND NOTABLY DRIER AIR
ALOFT /PER 12Z SOUNDINGS/...SETUP MAY YIELD A FEW PULSE/MULTICELL
STORMS CAPABLE OF WET MICROBURSTS AND/OR BRIEFLY SVR SFC WINDS.
...ERN PORTIONS OF THE NRN PLNS/UPR MS VLY EARLY FRI...
LOW-LVL WAA WILL INCREASE OVER ERN SD AND SURROUNDING AREAS LATE
TNGT AND EARLY FRI AS AFOREMENTIONED FRONT STALLS OVER AREA AND
SSWLY LLJ STRENGTHENS TO AOA 45 KTS. COUPLED WITH FAIRLY STEEP
MID-LVL LAPSE RATES/EML ADVECTED NEWD ON ERN SIDE OF POSITIVE-TILT
TROUGH...SETUP SHOULD SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF WDLY SCTD ELEVATED
TSTMS...ESPECIALLY AFTER 06Z FRI. MOISTURE WILL...HOWEVER...REMAIN
COMPARATIVELY LIMITED...WITH PW AOA 1.25 INCHES...AND NO UPSTREAM
SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE IS APPARENT ATTM TO ENHANCE LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT. WHILE A FEW STORMS COULD YIELD MARGINALLY SVR HAIL...OVERALL
THREAT LOOKS MINIMAL.
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KMSO [261923]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 261923
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
122 PM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0122 PM SNOW 5 SSE LEADORE 44.61N 113.32W
09/26/2013 E6.0 INCH LEMHI ID PUBLIC
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
122 PM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0122 PM SNOW 5 SSE LEADORE 44.61N 113.32W
09/26/2013 E6.0 INCH LEMHI ID PUBLIC
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KMSO [261921]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 261921
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
120 PM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0119 PM SNOW 3 SE GILMORE 44.43N 113.23W
09/26/2013 E5.0 INCH LEMHI ID DEPT OF HIGHWAY
REPORTED AT GILMORE SUMMIT SNOW DURATION 24
HOURS
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
120 PM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0119 PM SNOW 3 SE GILMORE 44.43N 113.23W
09/26/2013 E5.0 INCH LEMHI ID DEPT OF HIGHWAY
REPORTED AT GILMORE SUMMIT SNOW DURATION 24
HOURS
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KTFX [261857]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 261857
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1256 PM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 SW PONY 45.60N 111.96W
09/26/2013 M14.0 INCH MADISON MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION ALBRO LAKE 8300 FT. HEAVY
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 10 ESE CORBIN 46.35N 111.85W
09/26/2013 M11.0 INCH JEFFERSON MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION TIZER BASIN 6880 FT. HEAVY
SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 14 SW HEART BUTTE 48.13N 113.02W
09/26/2013 M11.0 INCH PONDERA MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION BADGER PASS 6900 FT. 8 INCHES
OF SNOWFALL IN THE LAST 12 HRS...11 INCHES
IN THE LAST 24 HRS. HEAVY SNOW DURATION 24
HOURS
0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 12 SW CHECKERBOARD 46.43N 110.70W
09/26/2013 M10.0 INCH MEAGHER MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION ELK PEAK 7600 FT. HEAVY SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS
0100 AM HEAVY SNOW 8 ENE POLARIS 45.41N 112.96W
09/26/2013 M9.0 INCH BEAVERHEAD MT MESONET
MESONET STATION MULE CREEK SNOTEL 8300 FT.
HEAVY SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
0200 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 N BASIN 46.36N 112.26W
09/26/2013 M9.0 INCH JEFFERSON MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION ROCKER PEAK 8000 FT. HEAVY
SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 18 W WHITE SULPHUR SPRIN46.56N 111.29W
09/26/2013 M9.0 INCH MEAGHER MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION BOULDER MOUNTAIN 7950 FT.
HEAVY SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
0100 AM HEAVY SNOW 16 SSW JACKSON 45.17N 113.58W
09/26/2013 M8.0 INCH BEAVERHEAD MT MESONET
MESONET STATION DARKHORSE LAKE 8701FT. HEAVY
SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
0200 AM HEAVY SNOW 10 WNW MCALLISTER 45.51N 111.92W
09/26/2013 M8.0 INCH MADISON MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION LOWER TWIN 7900 FT. HEAVY
SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
0200 AM HEAVY SNOW 19 W GRANT 44.99N 113.44W
09/26/2013 M6.0 INCH BEAVERHEAD MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION LEMHI RIDGE 8100 FT. HEAVY
SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 7 NW WICKES 46.44N 112.19W
09/26/2013 M6.0 INCH JEFFERSON MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION FROHNER MEADOW 6480 FT. HEAVY
SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
0300 AM SNOW 17 W WHITE SULPHUR SPRIN46.58N 111.27W
09/26/2013 M5.0 INCH MEAGHER MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION PICKFOOT CREEK 6650 FT. SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS
0200 AM SNOW 28 WSW UTICA 46.78N 110.62W
09/26/2013 M4.0 INCH JUDITH BASIN MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION SPUR PARK 8100 FT. SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS
0200 AM SNOW 24 W BYNUM 47.92N 112.82W
09/26/2013 M4.0 INCH TETON MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION MOUNT LOCKHART 6400 FT. SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS
0300 AM SNOW 25 N WHITE SULPHUR SPRIN46.91N 110.85W
09/26/2013 M4.0 INCH MEAGHER MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION ONION PARK 7410 FT. SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS
0300 AM SNOW 25 N WHITE SULPHUR SPRIN46.91N 110.85W
09/26/2013 M4.0 INCH MEAGHER MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION ONION PARK 7411 FT. SNOW
DURATION 6 HOURS
0100 AM SNOW 21 W PENDROY 48.06N 112.76W
09/26/2013 M3.0 INCH TETON MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION DUPUYER CREEK 5750 FT. SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS
0200 AM SNOW 23 W HEART BUTTE 48.30N 113.33W
09/26/2013 M3.0 INCH PONDERA MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION PIKE CREEK 5928 FT. SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS
0400 AM SNOW 9 NNW LINCOLN 47.08N 112.73W
09/26/2013 M3.0 INCH LEWIS AND CLARK MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION COPPER CAMP 6950 FT. SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1256 PM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 SW PONY 45.60N 111.96W
09/26/2013 M14.0 INCH MADISON MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION ALBRO LAKE 8300 FT. HEAVY
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 10 ESE CORBIN 46.35N 111.85W
09/26/2013 M11.0 INCH JEFFERSON MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION TIZER BASIN 6880 FT. HEAVY
SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 14 SW HEART BUTTE 48.13N 113.02W
09/26/2013 M11.0 INCH PONDERA MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION BADGER PASS 6900 FT. 8 INCHES
OF SNOWFALL IN THE LAST 12 HRS...11 INCHES
IN THE LAST 24 HRS. HEAVY SNOW DURATION 24
HOURS
0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 12 SW CHECKERBOARD 46.43N 110.70W
09/26/2013 M10.0 INCH MEAGHER MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION ELK PEAK 7600 FT. HEAVY SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS
0100 AM HEAVY SNOW 8 ENE POLARIS 45.41N 112.96W
09/26/2013 M9.0 INCH BEAVERHEAD MT MESONET
MESONET STATION MULE CREEK SNOTEL 8300 FT.
HEAVY SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
0200 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 N BASIN 46.36N 112.26W
09/26/2013 M9.0 INCH JEFFERSON MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION ROCKER PEAK 8000 FT. HEAVY
SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 18 W WHITE SULPHUR SPRIN46.56N 111.29W
09/26/2013 M9.0 INCH MEAGHER MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION BOULDER MOUNTAIN 7950 FT.
HEAVY SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
0100 AM HEAVY SNOW 16 SSW JACKSON 45.17N 113.58W
09/26/2013 M8.0 INCH BEAVERHEAD MT MESONET
MESONET STATION DARKHORSE LAKE 8701FT. HEAVY
SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
0200 AM HEAVY SNOW 10 WNW MCALLISTER 45.51N 111.92W
09/26/2013 M8.0 INCH MADISON MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION LOWER TWIN 7900 FT. HEAVY
SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
0200 AM HEAVY SNOW 19 W GRANT 44.99N 113.44W
09/26/2013 M6.0 INCH BEAVERHEAD MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION LEMHI RIDGE 8100 FT. HEAVY
SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 7 NW WICKES 46.44N 112.19W
09/26/2013 M6.0 INCH JEFFERSON MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION FROHNER MEADOW 6480 FT. HEAVY
SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS
0300 AM SNOW 17 W WHITE SULPHUR SPRIN46.58N 111.27W
09/26/2013 M5.0 INCH MEAGHER MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION PICKFOOT CREEK 6650 FT. SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS
0200 AM SNOW 28 WSW UTICA 46.78N 110.62W
09/26/2013 M4.0 INCH JUDITH BASIN MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION SPUR PARK 8100 FT. SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS
0200 AM SNOW 24 W BYNUM 47.92N 112.82W
09/26/2013 M4.0 INCH TETON MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION MOUNT LOCKHART 6400 FT. SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS
0300 AM SNOW 25 N WHITE SULPHUR SPRIN46.91N 110.85W
09/26/2013 M4.0 INCH MEAGHER MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION ONION PARK 7410 FT. SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS
0300 AM SNOW 25 N WHITE SULPHUR SPRIN46.91N 110.85W
09/26/2013 M4.0 INCH MEAGHER MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION ONION PARK 7411 FT. SNOW
DURATION 6 HOURS
0100 AM SNOW 21 W PENDROY 48.06N 112.76W
09/26/2013 M3.0 INCH TETON MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION DUPUYER CREEK 5750 FT. SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS
0200 AM SNOW 23 W HEART BUTTE 48.30N 113.33W
09/26/2013 M3.0 INCH PONDERA MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION PIKE CREEK 5928 FT. SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS
0400 AM SNOW 9 NNW LINCOLN 47.08N 112.73W
09/26/2013 M3.0 INCH LEWIS AND CLARK MT MESONET
SNOTEL STATION COPPER CAMP 6950 FT. SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KMFL [261816]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMFL 261816
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
216 PM EDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0130 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 10 WNW PAHOKEE 26.90N 80.80W
09/26/2013 M44 MPH AMZ610 FL MESONET
A 44 MPH WIND GUST WAS REPORTED AT THE SOUTH FLORIDA
WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT LZ40 TOWER ON LAKE OKEECHOBEE
AT 130PM.
&&
EVENT NUMBER MFL1300226
$$
AK
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LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
216 PM EDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0130 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 10 WNW PAHOKEE 26.90N 80.80W
09/26/2013 M44 MPH AMZ610 FL MESONET
A 44 MPH WIND GUST WAS REPORTED AT THE SOUTH FLORIDA
WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT LZ40 TOWER ON LAKE OKEECHOBEE
AT 130PM.
&&
EVENT NUMBER MFL1300226
$$
AK
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KSEW [261812]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KSEW 261812
LSRSEW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1112 AM PDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 AM FLOOD W EASTSOUND 48.70N 122.91W
09/25/2013 SAN JUAN WA TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORTED FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN ON MT BAKER
ROAD SOUTH OF ORCAS ISLAND AIRPORT. SOME BASEMENTS IN
EASTSOUND ALSO FLOODED.
&&
$$
JSMITH
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LSRSEW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1112 AM PDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 AM FLOOD W EASTSOUND 48.70N 122.91W
09/25/2013 SAN JUAN WA TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORTED FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN ON MT BAKER
ROAD SOUTH OF ORCAS ISLAND AIRPORT. SOME BASEMENTS IN
EASTSOUND ALSO FLOODED.
&&
$$
JSMITH
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KGJT [261811]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KGJT 261811
LSRGJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1211 PM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0355 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NW MACK 39.27N 108.93W
09/25/2013 M45 MPH MESA CO TRAINED SPOTTER
PEAK WIND GUST FROM WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 25TH.
&&
EVENT NUMBER GJT1301616
$$
MALEKSA
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LSRGJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1211 PM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0355 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NW MACK 39.27N 108.93W
09/25/2013 M45 MPH MESA CO TRAINED SPOTTER
PEAK WIND GUST FROM WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 25TH.
&&
EVENT NUMBER GJT1301616
$$
MALEKSA
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KSTO [261758]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KSTO 261758
LSRSTO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
1057 AM PDT THU SEP 26 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0415 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNE VACAVILLE 38.38N 121.96W
09/26/2013 M36 MPH SOLANO CA ASOS
ASOS STATION NUT TREE AIRPORT /VCB/
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRSTO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
1057 AM PDT THU SEP 26 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0415 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNE VACAVILLE 38.38N 121.96W
09/26/2013 M36 MPH SOLANO CA ASOS
ASOS STATION NUT TREE AIRPORT /VCB/
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS02 KWNS 261730
SWODY2
SPC AC 261728
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 PM CDT THU SEP 26 2013
VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SRN AND
CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
...SRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION ON
FRIDAY AS A 60 TO 75 KT MID-LEVEL JET MOVES OUT ACROSS THE CNTRL
HIGH PLAINS. AT THE SFC...A LOW IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN ACROSS ERN CO
AND WRN KS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE SRN ROCKIES. LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO INCREASE ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE NWD INTO
WRN KS WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS SHOULD REACH THE LOWER TO MID 60S F BY
AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD ENABLE MODERATE INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP BY
MID-AFTERNOON FROM WEST TX NWD INTO SW KS WITH THUNDERSTORMS
INITIATING ON THE WRN EDGE OF INSTABILITY AROUND 21Z. MODEL
FORECASTS ARE CONSISTENT MOVING THUNDERSTORMS EWD ACROSS WRN
KS...THE TX AND OK PANHANDLES AND WEST TX DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING. MCS DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY EVENING.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT AMARILLO TX AND GARDEN CITY KS AT 00Z/SAT SHOW
MLCAPE IN THE 1200 TO 1500 J/KG RANGE WITH 45 TO 50 KT OF 0-6 KM
SHEAR. THIS ENVIRONMENT COMBINED WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES SHOULD
SUPPORT SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT MAINLY WITH CELLS THAT REMAIN
DISCRETE. LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ROTATING STORMS. CURVED
HODOGRAPHS EVIDENT ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALSO SUGGEST THAT A
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL EXIST. THE MODELS MARKEDLY INCREASE
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE WEST EDGE OF THE INSTABILITY AXIS
EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. THIS SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO LINEAR DEVELOPMENT
WHERE THE GREATEST STORM COVERAGE OCCURS MAKING WIND DAMAGE THE MORE
DOMINANT THREAT. A WIND DAMAGE THREAT COULD CONTINUE INTO THE
MID-EVENING ESPECIALLY IF A LINEAR MCS CAN ORGANIZE.
...UPPER MS VALLEY...
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MS
VALLEY FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SEWD ACROSS THE ERN DAKOTAS.
SFC DEWPOINTS AHEAD OF THE FRONT SHOULD BE IN MID 50S TO LOWER 60S
F. THIS SHOULD ENABLE AN AXIS OF INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP ACROSS CNTRL
AND NRN MN SWWD INTO ERN SD FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE MODELS SUGGEST
THAT STORMS WILL INITIATE ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS EARLY IN THE
DAY WITH ANOTHER BAND OF CONVECTION MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM THE
SOUTHWEST BY FRIDAY EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS CNTRL AND NRN
MN AT 00Z/SAT SHOW SBCAPE VALUES AROUND 500 J/KG WITH 40 TO 45 KT OF
0-6 KM SHEAR. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH FOR A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT WITH
THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS. ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WHEN INSTABILITY IS
FORECAST TO BE MAXIMIZED.
..BROYLES.. 09/26/2013
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SWODY2
SPC AC 261728
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 PM CDT THU SEP 26 2013
VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SRN AND
CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
...SRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION ON
FRIDAY AS A 60 TO 75 KT MID-LEVEL JET MOVES OUT ACROSS THE CNTRL
HIGH PLAINS. AT THE SFC...A LOW IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN ACROSS ERN CO
AND WRN KS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE SRN ROCKIES. LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO INCREASE ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE NWD INTO
WRN KS WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS SHOULD REACH THE LOWER TO MID 60S F BY
AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD ENABLE MODERATE INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP BY
MID-AFTERNOON FROM WEST TX NWD INTO SW KS WITH THUNDERSTORMS
INITIATING ON THE WRN EDGE OF INSTABILITY AROUND 21Z. MODEL
FORECASTS ARE CONSISTENT MOVING THUNDERSTORMS EWD ACROSS WRN
KS...THE TX AND OK PANHANDLES AND WEST TX DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING. MCS DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY EVENING.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT AMARILLO TX AND GARDEN CITY KS AT 00Z/SAT SHOW
MLCAPE IN THE 1200 TO 1500 J/KG RANGE WITH 45 TO 50 KT OF 0-6 KM
SHEAR. THIS ENVIRONMENT COMBINED WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES SHOULD
SUPPORT SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT MAINLY WITH CELLS THAT REMAIN
DISCRETE. LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ROTATING STORMS. CURVED
HODOGRAPHS EVIDENT ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALSO SUGGEST THAT A
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL EXIST. THE MODELS MARKEDLY INCREASE
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE WEST EDGE OF THE INSTABILITY AXIS
EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. THIS SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO LINEAR DEVELOPMENT
WHERE THE GREATEST STORM COVERAGE OCCURS MAKING WIND DAMAGE THE MORE
DOMINANT THREAT. A WIND DAMAGE THREAT COULD CONTINUE INTO THE
MID-EVENING ESPECIALLY IF A LINEAR MCS CAN ORGANIZE.
...UPPER MS VALLEY...
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MS
VALLEY FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SEWD ACROSS THE ERN DAKOTAS.
SFC DEWPOINTS AHEAD OF THE FRONT SHOULD BE IN MID 50S TO LOWER 60S
F. THIS SHOULD ENABLE AN AXIS OF INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP ACROSS CNTRL
AND NRN MN SWWD INTO ERN SD FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE MODELS SUGGEST
THAT STORMS WILL INITIATE ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS EARLY IN THE
DAY WITH ANOTHER BAND OF CONVECTION MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM THE
SOUTHWEST BY FRIDAY EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS CNTRL AND NRN
MN AT 00Z/SAT SHOW SBCAPE VALUES AROUND 500 J/KG WITH 40 TO 45 KT OF
0-6 KM SHEAR. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH FOR A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT WITH
THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS. ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WHEN INSTABILITY IS
FORECAST TO BE MAXIMIZED.
..BROYLES.. 09/26/2013
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KMSO [261722]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 261722
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1122 AM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 SSE JANNEY 45.82N 112.46W
09/26/2013 E18.0 INCH SILVER BOW MT PUBLIC
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1122 AM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 SSE JANNEY 45.82N 112.46W
09/26/2013 E18.0 INCH SILVER BOW MT PUBLIC
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KMSO [261658]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary...corrected
NWUS55 KMSO 261658
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1058 AM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0920 AM SNOW LEADORE 44.69N 113.37W
09/26/2013 M2.0 INCH LEMHI ID PUBLIC
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS OBSERVER LOCATION
LEADORE
0909 AM SNOW 3 SE BUTTE 45.97N 112.49W
09/26/2013 E5.0 INCH SILVER BOW MT PUBLIC
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
0908 AM SNOW WALKERVILLE 46.04N 112.54W
09/26/2013 E3.0 INCH SILVER BOW MT PUBLIC
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
0849 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 SSE PORTERS CORNER 46.17N 113.30W
09/26/2013 M10.0 INCH GRANITE MT PUBLIC
TREES DOWN ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF GEORGETOWN
LAKE HEAVY SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS OBSERVER
LOCATION SE SIDE OF GEORGETOWN LAKE
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1058 AM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0920 AM SNOW LEADORE 44.69N 113.37W
09/26/2013 M2.0 INCH LEMHI ID PUBLIC
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS OBSERVER LOCATION
LEADORE
0909 AM SNOW 3 SE BUTTE 45.97N 112.49W
09/26/2013 E5.0 INCH SILVER BOW MT PUBLIC
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
0908 AM SNOW WALKERVILLE 46.04N 112.54W
09/26/2013 E3.0 INCH SILVER BOW MT PUBLIC
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
0849 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 SSE PORTERS CORNER 46.17N 113.30W
09/26/2013 M10.0 INCH GRANITE MT PUBLIC
TREES DOWN ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF GEORGETOWN
LAKE HEAVY SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS OBSERVER
LOCATION SE SIDE OF GEORGETOWN LAKE
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1916
ACUS11 KWNS 261644
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261644
FLZ000-261915-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1916
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 AM CDT THU SEP 26 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH FLORIDA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 261644Z - 261915Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED...THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS CURRENTLY
UNLIKELY.
DISCUSSION...LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT A COLD FRONT CONTINUES ADVANCING SWD OVER THE
FL PENINSULA...EXTENDING ROUGHLY FROM THE COAST OF BREVARD COUNTY TO
THE COAST OF HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY. FARTHER S ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA...THE AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE AS SFC TEMPERATURES
HAVE CLIMBED INTO THE MIDDLE/UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES AMIDST
DEWPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE 70S. MODIFICATIONS TO THE 12Z MIAMI RAOB TO
ACCOUNT FOR THESE CONDITIONS YIELDS MLCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 2000-3000
J/KG WITH NEAR ZERO CINH. COMMENSURATE WITH DIURNALLY STRENGTHENING
SENSIBLE HEAT FLUXES FROM THE DIABATICALLY-HEATED SFC
LAYER...DEEPENING PBL CIRCULATIONS ARE ALLOWING TOWERING CU TO
BECOME INCREASINGLY AGITATED ALONG NUMEROUS CONFLUENCE AXES
PRECEDING THE FRONT. LIGHTNING DATA SUGGEST THAT EMBEDDED UPDRAFTS
ARE NOW EXTENDING SUFFICIENTLY DEEP INTO ICING LAYERS ALOFT TO
SUPPORT CG STRIKES. A CONTINUED UPTICK IN BOTH THE INTENSITY AND
COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR DURING THE AFTERNOON AS
INSOLATION SUPPORTS ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION.
FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BE NEUTRAL ABOVE LOW-LEVEL ASCENT ATTENDANT
TO THE FRONT...CONFLUENCE AXES...AND PBL CIRCULATIONS...AND
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE ONLY MODEST PER OBSERVED 12Z RAOBS -- E.G.
AROUND 6 C/KM IN THE 700-500-MB LAYER. HOWEVER...ISOLATED DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS WILL BE OF CONCERN. THIS IS ILLUSTRATED BY THE 12Z MIAMI
RAOB...WHICH INDICATES ABUNDANT DRY AIR SURMOUNTING A DEEP MOIST
LAYER EXTENDING TO AROUND 650 MB. WITH THIS DEEP MOIST LAYER
EXTENDING WELL ABOVE THE TOPS OF PBL CIRCULATIONS INTO THE FREE
ATMOSPHERE...THE DRY AIR ALOFT SHOULD NOT BE DELETERIOUS IN MIXING
OUT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE THUS ALLOWING HIGH BUOYANCY TO BE MAINTAINED.
AT THE SAME TIME...LOW THETA-E CORRESPONDING TO DOWNDRAFTS
INITIATING WITHIN THE MID-LEVEL DRY AIR WILL BE SUBJECTED TO LARGER
NEGATIVE BUOYANCY WHILE DESCENDING TO THE SFC...BOLSTERING DOWNDRAFT
STRENGTH...WITH DCAPE VALUES OVER 1000 J/KG IN MANY AREAS.
RELATIVELY HIGH PW OF 1.8-2.0 INCHES PER GPS DATA WILL ALSO AID
ABUNDANT WATER LOADING IN SUPPORT OF STRONG MICROBURSTS.
ALSO...THE PRESENCE OF 30-35 KT WNWLY/NWLY FLOW IN THE 2.5-5-KM AGL
LAYER OVERLYING 10-20 KT WLY/S PER MIAMI VWP DATA WILL YIELD
SUFFICIENT DEEP SHEAR FOR ENHANCED CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND
PERHAPS THE EVOLUTION OF MULTICELL CLUSTERS. ISOLATED SEVERE WIND
GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS...WITH THIS
ACTIVITY LIKELY SPREADING ESEWD ACROSS THE SRN FL PENINSULA THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. AREAS ALONG THE EAST COAST FROM PALM BEACH COUNTY TO
MIAMI-DADE COUNTY APPEAR TO HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL OF
EXPERIENCING THIS ACTIVITY WHERE ANTECEDENT SFC TEMPERATURES WILL BE
WARMEST AND EAST-COAST SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS WILL BE MODESTLY
ENHANCED. LACKING DEEP FORCING FOR ASCENT AND THE SMALL SPATIAL AREA
OF SVR THREAT SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY LIMITING FACTORS IN A
HIGHER-COVERAGE SVR THREAT FROM ENSUING...THOUGH CONVECTIVE TRENDS
WILL BE MONITORED.
..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 09/26/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...
LAT...LON 26188173 27338125 27588034 26458007 25438026 25268095
26188173
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261644
FLZ000-261915-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1916
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 AM CDT THU SEP 26 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH FLORIDA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 261644Z - 261915Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED...THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS CURRENTLY
UNLIKELY.
DISCUSSION...LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT A COLD FRONT CONTINUES ADVANCING SWD OVER THE
FL PENINSULA...EXTENDING ROUGHLY FROM THE COAST OF BREVARD COUNTY TO
THE COAST OF HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY. FARTHER S ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA...THE AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE AS SFC TEMPERATURES
HAVE CLIMBED INTO THE MIDDLE/UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES AMIDST
DEWPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE 70S. MODIFICATIONS TO THE 12Z MIAMI RAOB TO
ACCOUNT FOR THESE CONDITIONS YIELDS MLCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 2000-3000
J/KG WITH NEAR ZERO CINH. COMMENSURATE WITH DIURNALLY STRENGTHENING
SENSIBLE HEAT FLUXES FROM THE DIABATICALLY-HEATED SFC
LAYER...DEEPENING PBL CIRCULATIONS ARE ALLOWING TOWERING CU TO
BECOME INCREASINGLY AGITATED ALONG NUMEROUS CONFLUENCE AXES
PRECEDING THE FRONT. LIGHTNING DATA SUGGEST THAT EMBEDDED UPDRAFTS
ARE NOW EXTENDING SUFFICIENTLY DEEP INTO ICING LAYERS ALOFT TO
SUPPORT CG STRIKES. A CONTINUED UPTICK IN BOTH THE INTENSITY AND
COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR DURING THE AFTERNOON AS
INSOLATION SUPPORTS ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION.
FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BE NEUTRAL ABOVE LOW-LEVEL ASCENT ATTENDANT
TO THE FRONT...CONFLUENCE AXES...AND PBL CIRCULATIONS...AND
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE ONLY MODEST PER OBSERVED 12Z RAOBS -- E.G.
AROUND 6 C/KM IN THE 700-500-MB LAYER. HOWEVER...ISOLATED DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS WILL BE OF CONCERN. THIS IS ILLUSTRATED BY THE 12Z MIAMI
RAOB...WHICH INDICATES ABUNDANT DRY AIR SURMOUNTING A DEEP MOIST
LAYER EXTENDING TO AROUND 650 MB. WITH THIS DEEP MOIST LAYER
EXTENDING WELL ABOVE THE TOPS OF PBL CIRCULATIONS INTO THE FREE
ATMOSPHERE...THE DRY AIR ALOFT SHOULD NOT BE DELETERIOUS IN MIXING
OUT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE THUS ALLOWING HIGH BUOYANCY TO BE MAINTAINED.
AT THE SAME TIME...LOW THETA-E CORRESPONDING TO DOWNDRAFTS
INITIATING WITHIN THE MID-LEVEL DRY AIR WILL BE SUBJECTED TO LARGER
NEGATIVE BUOYANCY WHILE DESCENDING TO THE SFC...BOLSTERING DOWNDRAFT
STRENGTH...WITH DCAPE VALUES OVER 1000 J/KG IN MANY AREAS.
RELATIVELY HIGH PW OF 1.8-2.0 INCHES PER GPS DATA WILL ALSO AID
ABUNDANT WATER LOADING IN SUPPORT OF STRONG MICROBURSTS.
ALSO...THE PRESENCE OF 30-35 KT WNWLY/NWLY FLOW IN THE 2.5-5-KM AGL
LAYER OVERLYING 10-20 KT WLY/S PER MIAMI VWP DATA WILL YIELD
SUFFICIENT DEEP SHEAR FOR ENHANCED CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND
PERHAPS THE EVOLUTION OF MULTICELL CLUSTERS. ISOLATED SEVERE WIND
GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS...WITH THIS
ACTIVITY LIKELY SPREADING ESEWD ACROSS THE SRN FL PENINSULA THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. AREAS ALONG THE EAST COAST FROM PALM BEACH COUNTY TO
MIAMI-DADE COUNTY APPEAR TO HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL OF
EXPERIENCING THIS ACTIVITY WHERE ANTECEDENT SFC TEMPERATURES WILL BE
WARMEST AND EAST-COAST SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS WILL BE MODESTLY
ENHANCED. LACKING DEEP FORCING FOR ASCENT AND THE SMALL SPATIAL AREA
OF SVR THREAT SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY LIMITING FACTORS IN A
HIGHER-COVERAGE SVR THREAT FROM ENSUING...THOUGH CONVECTIVE TRENDS
WILL BE MONITORED.
..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 09/26/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...
LAT...LON 26188173 27338125 27588034 26458007 25438026 25268095
26188173
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KTFX [261548]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected
NWUS55 KTFX 261548
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
948 AM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 AM SNOW 17 E LINCOLN 46.95N 112.32W
09/26/2013 E6.0 INCH LEWIS AND CLARK MT NWS EMPLOYEE
ROGERS PASS HAD 6 INCHES OF SNOW.
&&
CORRECTED REMARKS
$$
JNS
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
948 AM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 AM SNOW 17 E LINCOLN 46.95N 112.32W
09/26/2013 E6.0 INCH LEWIS AND CLARK MT NWS EMPLOYEE
ROGERS PASS HAD 6 INCHES OF SNOW.
&&
CORRECTED REMARKS
$$
JNS
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 261547
SWODY1
SPC AC 261544
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1044 AM CDT THU SEP 26 2013
VALID 261630Z - 271200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRI AS DEEP...POSITIVE-TILT
TROUGH PROGRESSES SLOWLY E ACROSS THE WRN U.S. AND RIDGE BUILDS FROM
THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO TO THE UPR GRT LKS. AT THE SAME
TIME...WEAKENING TROUGH NOW OVER THE CAROLINAS SHOULD CONTINUE ESE
INTO THE ATLANTIC.
AT LWR LVLS..THE MAIN FEATURE OF NOTE WILL BE COLD FRONT NOW
EXTENDING FROM THE DAKOTAS THROUGH THE CNTRL HIGH PLNS TO THE SWRN
DESERTS. THE NRN PART OF THE FRONT SHOULD ADVANCE E INTO THE ERN
DAKOTAS/WRN MN LATER TODAY/TNGT AS ASSOCIATED UPR VORT CONTINUES NE
ACROSS SK/MB. FARTHER SW...HOWEVER...THE BOUNDARY SHOULD BECOME
STNRY ACROSS THE CNTRL PLNS AS DEEP FLOW BACKS AND LOW-LVL WAA
STRENGTHENS DOWNSTREAM FROM UPR VORT NOW ENTERING THE SRN GRT BASIN.
ELSEWHERE...SEVERAL WEAK W-E FRONTS WILL TRACK ESE ACROSS THE FL
PENINSULA IN RESPONSE TO STRENGTHENING/VEERING DEEP FLOW ON SRN
FRINGE OF CAROLINAS TROUGH. THESE BOUNDARIES MAY SERVE AS A FOCUS
FOR A FEW STRONG AFTN STORMS OVER CNTRL AND SRN PARTS OF THE
PENINSULA. A FEW STRONGER STORMS ALSO COULD ACCOMPANY ZONE OF
STRENGTHENING WAA OVER THE NRN PLNS/UPR MS VLY LATE IN THE PERIOD.
...CNTRL/S FL THIS AFTN...
COMBINATION OF STRONG SFC HEATING AND CONVERGENCE ALONG W-E FRONTAL
SEGMENTS PROGRESSING SLOWLY S ACROSS THE REGION MAY SUPPORT A FEW
STRONG TO POSSIBLY SVR STORMS THIS AFTN...ESPECIALLY OVER ERN PARTS
OF THE PENINSULA WHERE CONVERGENCE ALONG SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES WILL
BE MAXIMIZED. COUPLED WITH MODERATE...DEEP NWLY MID-LVL FLOW...RICH
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /PW AROUND 2 INCHES/...AND NOTABLY DRIER AIR
ALOFT /PER 12Z SOUNDINGS/...SETUP MAY YIELD A FEW PULSE/MULTICELL
STORMS CAPABLE OF WET MICROBURSTS AND/OR BRIEFLY SVR SFC WINDS.
...ERN PORTIONS OF THE NRN PLNS/UPR MS VLY EARLY FRI...
LOW-LVL WAA WILL INCREASE OVER ERN SD AND SURROUNDING AREAS LATE
TNGT AND EARLY FRI AS AFOREMENTIONED FRONT STALLS OVER AREA AND
SSWLY LLJ STRENGTHENS TO AOA 45 KTS. COUPLED WITH FAIRLY STEEP
MID-LVL LAPSE RATES/EML ADVECTED NEWD ON ERN SIDE OF POSITIVE-TILT
TROUGH...SETUP SHOULD SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF WDLY SCTD ELEVATED
TSTMS...ESPECIALLY AFTER 06Z FRI. MOISTURE WILL...HOWEVER...REMAIN
COMPARATIVELY LIMITED...WITH PW AOA 1.25 INCHES...AND NO UPSTREAM
SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE IS APPARENT ATTM TO ENHANCE LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT. WHILE A FEW STORMS COULD YIELD MARGINALLY SVR HAIL...OVERALL
THREAT LOOKS MINIMAL.
..CORFIDI/COHEN.. 09/26/2013
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SWODY1
SPC AC 261544
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1044 AM CDT THU SEP 26 2013
VALID 261630Z - 271200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRI AS DEEP...POSITIVE-TILT
TROUGH PROGRESSES SLOWLY E ACROSS THE WRN U.S. AND RIDGE BUILDS FROM
THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO TO THE UPR GRT LKS. AT THE SAME
TIME...WEAKENING TROUGH NOW OVER THE CAROLINAS SHOULD CONTINUE ESE
INTO THE ATLANTIC.
AT LWR LVLS..THE MAIN FEATURE OF NOTE WILL BE COLD FRONT NOW
EXTENDING FROM THE DAKOTAS THROUGH THE CNTRL HIGH PLNS TO THE SWRN
DESERTS. THE NRN PART OF THE FRONT SHOULD ADVANCE E INTO THE ERN
DAKOTAS/WRN MN LATER TODAY/TNGT AS ASSOCIATED UPR VORT CONTINUES NE
ACROSS SK/MB. FARTHER SW...HOWEVER...THE BOUNDARY SHOULD BECOME
STNRY ACROSS THE CNTRL PLNS AS DEEP FLOW BACKS AND LOW-LVL WAA
STRENGTHENS DOWNSTREAM FROM UPR VORT NOW ENTERING THE SRN GRT BASIN.
ELSEWHERE...SEVERAL WEAK W-E FRONTS WILL TRACK ESE ACROSS THE FL
PENINSULA IN RESPONSE TO STRENGTHENING/VEERING DEEP FLOW ON SRN
FRINGE OF CAROLINAS TROUGH. THESE BOUNDARIES MAY SERVE AS A FOCUS
FOR A FEW STRONG AFTN STORMS OVER CNTRL AND SRN PARTS OF THE
PENINSULA. A FEW STRONGER STORMS ALSO COULD ACCOMPANY ZONE OF
STRENGTHENING WAA OVER THE NRN PLNS/UPR MS VLY LATE IN THE PERIOD.
...CNTRL/S FL THIS AFTN...
COMBINATION OF STRONG SFC HEATING AND CONVERGENCE ALONG W-E FRONTAL
SEGMENTS PROGRESSING SLOWLY S ACROSS THE REGION MAY SUPPORT A FEW
STRONG TO POSSIBLY SVR STORMS THIS AFTN...ESPECIALLY OVER ERN PARTS
OF THE PENINSULA WHERE CONVERGENCE ALONG SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES WILL
BE MAXIMIZED. COUPLED WITH MODERATE...DEEP NWLY MID-LVL FLOW...RICH
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /PW AROUND 2 INCHES/...AND NOTABLY DRIER AIR
ALOFT /PER 12Z SOUNDINGS/...SETUP MAY YIELD A FEW PULSE/MULTICELL
STORMS CAPABLE OF WET MICROBURSTS AND/OR BRIEFLY SVR SFC WINDS.
...ERN PORTIONS OF THE NRN PLNS/UPR MS VLY EARLY FRI...
LOW-LVL WAA WILL INCREASE OVER ERN SD AND SURROUNDING AREAS LATE
TNGT AND EARLY FRI AS AFOREMENTIONED FRONT STALLS OVER AREA AND
SSWLY LLJ STRENGTHENS TO AOA 45 KTS. COUPLED WITH FAIRLY STEEP
MID-LVL LAPSE RATES/EML ADVECTED NEWD ON ERN SIDE OF POSITIVE-TILT
TROUGH...SETUP SHOULD SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF WDLY SCTD ELEVATED
TSTMS...ESPECIALLY AFTER 06Z FRI. MOISTURE WILL...HOWEVER...REMAIN
COMPARATIVELY LIMITED...WITH PW AOA 1.25 INCHES...AND NO UPSTREAM
SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE IS APPARENT ATTM TO ENHANCE LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT. WHILE A FEW STORMS COULD YIELD MARGINALLY SVR HAIL...OVERALL
THREAT LOOKS MINIMAL.
..CORFIDI/COHEN.. 09/26/2013
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KTFX [261546]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 261546
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
945 AM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 AM SNOW 17 E LINCOLN 46.95N 112.32W
09/26/2013 E6.0 INCH LEWIS AND CLARK MT NWS EMPLOYEE
&&
$$
JNS
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
945 AM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 AM SNOW 17 E LINCOLN 46.95N 112.32W
09/26/2013 E6.0 INCH LEWIS AND CLARK MT NWS EMPLOYEE
&&
$$
JNS
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KTFX [261532]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 261532
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
932 AM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0842 AM HEAVY RAIN 28 N DILLON 45.62N 112.63W
09/26/2013 M1.00 INCH MADISON MT TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR STORM TOTAL FROM MELROSE.........TRACE SNOW.....1
INCH RAIN
&&
$$
EMANUEL
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
932 AM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0842 AM HEAVY RAIN 28 N DILLON 45.62N 112.63W
09/26/2013 M1.00 INCH MADISON MT TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR STORM TOTAL FROM MELROSE.........TRACE SNOW.....1
INCH RAIN
&&
$$
EMANUEL
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KMSO [261521]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 261521
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
920 AM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0920 AM SNOW 1 W SALMON 45.17N 113.91W
09/26/2013 M2.0 INCH LEMHI ID PUBLIC
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS OBSERVER LOCATION
LEADORE
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
920 AM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0920 AM SNOW 1 W SALMON 45.17N 113.91W
09/26/2013 M2.0 INCH LEMHI ID PUBLIC
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS OBSERVER LOCATION
LEADORE
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KMSO [261510]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 261510
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
910 AM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0909 AM SNOW 3 SE BUTTE 45.97N 112.49W
09/26/2013 E5.0 INCH SILVER BOW MT PUBLIC
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
0908 AM SNOW WALKERVILLE 46.04N 112.54W
09/26/2013 E3.0 INCH SILVER BOW MT PUBLIC
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
910 AM MDT THU SEP 26 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0909 AM SNOW 3 SE BUTTE 45.97N 112.49W
09/26/2013 E5.0 INCH SILVER BOW MT PUBLIC
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
0908 AM SNOW WALKERVILLE 46.04N 112.54W
09/26/2013 E3.0 INCH SILVER BOW MT PUBLIC
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
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