Tuesday, May 10, 2011

KFGF [101500]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 101500
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1000 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 AM HAIL 2 S FELTON 47.05N 96.50W
05/10/2011 E1.00 INCH CLAY MN TRAINED SPOTTER

1 INCH HAIL REPORT...2 S AND 1.25 W OF FELTON

0521 AM HAIL 8 S BAGLEY 47.41N 95.40W
05/10/2011 E1.00 INCH CLEARWATER MN TRAINED SPOTTER

1 INCH HAIL REPORT...8 S. OF BAGLEY

0550 AM HAIL SOLWAY 47.52N 95.13W
05/10/2011 E1.25 INCH BELTRAMI MN TRAINED SPOTTER

1.25 INCH HAIL REPORT IN THE TOWN OF SOLWAY.


&&

$$

ET

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KCLE [101459]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 101459
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1059 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0934 AM HAIL 3 SW CAREY 40.92N 83.42W
05/10/2011 E1.00 INCH WYANDOT OH POST OFFICE


&&

$$

LAPLANTE

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KUNR [101457]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 101457
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
857 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0755 PM HAIL 5 NE OPAL 44.95N 102.54W
05/09/2011 E1.00 INCH MEADE SD PUBLIC


&&

$$

MERICKSO

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KUNR [101456]: Preliminary Local Storm Report-corr

NWUS53 KUNR 101456
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT-CORR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
753 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1055 PM TSTM WND GST HOOVER 45.11N 103.27W
05/09/2011 E60 MPH BUTTE SD CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

MERICKSO

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KLBF [101453]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 101453
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
953 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1005 PM HAIL RUSHVILLE 42.71N 102.47W
05/09/2011 E2.00 INCH SHERIDAN NE FIRE DEPT/RESCUE


&&

$$

CJS

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KTFX [101445]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 101445
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
845 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM HEAVY SNOW 10 SE CLANCY 46.35N 111.85W
05/10/2011 M12.0 INCH JEFFERSON MT MESONET

12 INCHES OF SNOW FELL IN THE LAST 24 HOURS AT TIZER
BASIN SNOTEL


&&

$$

WILLIAMSON

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KEWX [101441]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 101441
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
941 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0927 AM HAIL QUEMADO 28.95N 100.63W
05/10/2011 M1.00 INCH MAVERICK TX POST OFFICE


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1100111

$$

AKF

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KTFX [101440]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 101440
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
840 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM HEAVY SNOW 18 SE GALLATIN GATEWAY 45.40N 110.96W
05/10/2011 M12.0 INCH GALLATIN MT MESONET

IN THE LAST 24 HOURS


&&

$$

WILLIAMSON

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KGGW [101431]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KGGW 101431
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
831 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0644 AM HEAVY RAIN 13 NW MCCLOUD 47.03N 105.80W
05/10/2011 E1.60 INCH PRAIRIE MT MESONET

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 644AM YESTERDAY TO 644AM TODAY AT THE
BIG SHEEP MOUNTAIN RAWS.

0823 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 N WINNETT 47.09N 108.35W
05/10/2011 M1.75 INCH PETROLEUM MT TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM SUNDAY THROUGH 7AM TODAY. BOX ELDER
CREEK HAS STARTED TO LEAVE ITS BANKS BUT REMAINS BELOW
THE BRIDGES.


&&

$$

ASCHNETZ

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KPIH [101423]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 101423
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
823 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN POCATELLO 42.88N 112.47W
05/10/2011 M1.54 INCH BANNOCK ID NWS EMPLOYEE

EAST BENCH - NEAR GARY ST - 3-DAY TOTAL - 0.67 LAST 24
HOURS


&&

$$

PANGEL

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KGGW [101421]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 101421
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
821 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 WSW GLENDIVE 47.10N 104.75W
05/10/2011 M2.24 INCH DAWSON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL TOTAL AS OF 7AM. LIGHT RAIN IS FALLING.

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 9 NW CARLYLE 46.73N 104.22W
05/10/2011 M1.51 INCH WIBAUX MT TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL AS OF 8AM TODAY. RAIN IS STILL FALLING.
BEAVER CREEK IS UP SLIGHTLY.

0805 AM HEAVY RAIN 15 SSE CULBERTSON 47.93N 104.45W
05/10/2011 M2.00 INCH RICHLAND MT TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 630AM TODAY.
WATER IS RUNNING TOWARDS THE CREEKS AND THE COUNTY ROADS
ARE STARTING TO RUN WITH WATER.

0808 AM HEAVY RAIN 11 N CROW ROCK 47.07N 106.03W
05/10/2011 M2.30 INCH PRAIRIE MT TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL TOTAL SINCE YESTERDAY MORNING. RAIN IS CURRENTLY
FALLING.


&&

$$

ASCHNETZ

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KPIH [101418]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 101418
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
818 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0812 AM HEAVY RAIN CHUBBUCK 42.92N 112.46W
05/10/2011 M1.22 INCH BANNOCK ID NWS EMPLOYEE

3-DAY TOTAL NEAR HAWTHORN AND CHUBBUCK ROAD -- 0.63 PAST
24 HOURS.


&&

$$

PANGEL

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KCLE [101416]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 101416
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1016 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0925 AM HAIL VANLUE 40.98N 83.48W
05/10/2011 E1.75 INCH HANCOCK OH TRAINED SPOTTER

1 1/2 IN - 1 3/4 IN HAIL

0935 AM HAIL FINDLAY 41.04N 83.64W
05/10/2011 E0.75 INCH HANCOCK OH PUBLIC

1002 AM HAIL 2 E ARCADIA 41.11N 83.47W
05/10/2011 E0.75 INCH HANCOCK OH EMERGENCY MNGR

DIME HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

1003 AM HAIL UPPER SANDUSKY 40.83N 83.28W
05/10/2011 E1.00 INCH WYANDOT OH TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

OUDEMAN

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KILN [101411]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 101411
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1011 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1007 AM HAIL KENTON 40.64N 83.61W
05/10/2011 E0.75 INCH HARDIN OH TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

MIKEG

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KLWX [101401]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 101401
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1000 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0954 AM TORNADO 2 WNW HEREFORD 39.60N 76.71W
04/28/2011 BALTIMORE MD NWS STORM SURVEY

BRIEF TOUCHDOWN IN WOODED AREA NORTH OF EVNA RD. DAMAGE
WAS ALL TO TREES WITH NEARLY TWO DOZEN TREES UPROOTED
AND OR TOPPED. RATED EF-O WITH MAX WINDS OF 70 MPH.
WIDTH OF 75 YARDS. DURATION 1 MINUTE.


&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1100613

$$

SMZ

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KUNR [101353]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 101353
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
753 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1055 AM TSTM WND GST HOOVER 45.11N 103.27W
05/09/2011 E60 MPH BUTTE SD CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

MERICKSO

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KGGW [101337]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 101337
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
737 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0622 AM HEAVY RAIN 8 WNW U L BEND 47.53N 108.05W
05/10/2011 M1.61 INCH PETROLEUM MT MESONET

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 622AM YESTERDAY TO 622AM TODAY AT THE
CHAIN BUTTES RAWS.

0624 AM HEAVY RAIN 17 SE HOYT 46.78N 104.58W
05/10/2011 M1.80 INCH WIBAUX MT MESONET

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 624AM YESTERDAY TO 624AM TODAY AT THE
PINE HILL RAWS.

0625 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 SE DEVILS CREEK RECRE 47.56N 107.53W
05/10/2011 M1.95 INCH GARFIELD MT MESONET

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 625AM YESTERDAY TO 625AM TODAY AT THE
SOUTH SAWMILL CREEK RAWS.

0641 AM HEAVY RAIN 17 N WINNETT 47.24N 108.36W
05/10/2011 M1.13 INCH PETROLEUM MT MESONET

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 641AM YESTERDAY TO 641AM TODAY AT THE
DRY BLOOD CREEK RAWS.

0642 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 S TAMPICO 48.23N 106.84W
05/10/2011 U0.00 INCH VALLEY MT TRAINED SPOTTER

ANTELOPE CREEK WAS BARELY RUNNING YESTERDAY AND IS NOW
RUNNING BANKFUL AND BACKING UP INTO THE LOWLANDS.

0644 AM FREEZING RAIN 13 NW MCCLOUD 47.03N 105.80W
05/10/2011 M1.60 INCH PRAIRIE MT MESONET

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 644AM YESTERDAY TO 644AM TODAY AT THE
BIG SHEEP MOUNTAIN RAWS.

0644 AM HEAVY RAIN 14 NNW HELL CREEK RECRE 47.80N 107.02W
05/10/2011 M1.62 INCH VALLEY MT MESONET

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 644AM YESTERDAY TO 644AM TODAY AT THE
KING COULEE RAWS.

0658 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 ENE PLENTYWOOD 48.79N 104.48W
05/10/2011 M1.80 INCH SHERIDAN MT MESONET

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 658AM YESTERDAY TO 658AM TODAY AT THE
MEDICINE LAKE RAWS.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN GLENDIVE 47.11N 104.71W
05/10/2011 M2.26 INCH DAWSON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 7AM YESTERDAY TO 7AM TODAY. STILL
RAINING.

0713 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 S CRANE 47.53N 104.27W
05/10/2011 M2.10 INCH RICHLAND MT TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 4PM YESTERDAY TO 7AM TODAY. STILL
RAINING.

0718 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NNW SPROLE 48.13N 105.07W
05/10/2011 M1.31 INCH ROOSEVELT MT MESONET

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 718AM YESTERDAY TO 718AM TODAY AT THE
POPLAR RAWS.


&&

$$

ASCHNETZ

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KCLE [101334]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 101334
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
934 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0920 AM HAIL 1 E FINDLAY 41.04N 83.62W
05/10/2011 M1.25 INCH HANCOCK OH TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL MEASURED ONE INCH TO ONE AND A QUARTER INCH.


&&

$$

LOMBARDY

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KPIH [101330]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 101330
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
730 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0729 AM SNOW 4 N INKOM 42.85N 112.24W
05/10/2011 M3.5 INCH BANNOCK ID TRAINED SPOTTER

PAST 24 HOUR TOTAL - SNOWED ALL DAY YESTERDAY AT 5300
FEET.


&&

$$

PANGEL

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KCLE [101330]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 101330
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
930 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0928 AM HAIL VANLUE 40.98N 83.48W
05/10/2011 E1.00 INCH HANCOCK OH TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

OUDEMAN

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KCLE [101327]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 101327
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
927 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0853 AM HAIL VAN BUREN 41.14N 83.65W
05/10/2011 E1.00 INCH HANCOCK OH BROADCAST MEDIA

0902 AM HAIL VAN BUREN 41.14N 83.65W
05/10/2011 E0.75 INCH HANCOCK OH TRAINED SPOTTER

0918 AM HAIL ARCADIA 41.11N 83.51W
05/10/2011 E0.75 INCH HANCOCK OH TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

OUDEMAN

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KGRR [101325]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 101325
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
925 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 AM HAIL 3 ENE CONCORD 42.19N 84.58W
05/10/2011 M0.50 INCH JACKSON MI BROADCAST MEDIA

0700 AM HAIL SPRING ARBOR 42.21N 84.55W
05/10/2011 M0.88 INCH JACKSON MI BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

$$

RSUTTLE

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KGJT [101323]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 101323
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
723 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM SNOW RED MOUNTAIN PASS 37.90N 107.70W
05/09/2011 M6.7 INCH OURAY CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

8HR SNOWFALL AT SWAMP ANGEL STUDY PLOT


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1100424

$$

DC

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KGRR [101322]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 101322
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
921 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HAIL 4 SSW JACKSON 42.20N 84.44W
05/10/2011 E0.75 INCH JACKSON MI BROADCAST MEDIA

MOTH BALL SIZE.


&&

$$

RSUTTLE

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KMQT [101313]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 101313
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
912 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 ESE CHASSELL 47.01N 88.43W
05/10/2011 M2.45 INCH HOUGHTON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL. MOST OF THE RAIN FELL IN A 2 HOUR PERIOD
BETWEEN 315 AM AND 515 AM...WITH RATES MEASURED BETWEEN 1
AND 2 INCHES PER HOUR.

0800 AM FLASH FLOOD N CALUMET 47.25N 88.45W
05/10/2011 HOUGHTON MI BROADCAST MEDIA

US41 HAS WATER OVER THE ROAD. NO ADDITIONAL DETAILS WERE
KNOWN.

0800 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 N CHASSELL 47.04N 88.53W
05/10/2011 HOUGHTON MI BROADCAST MEDIA

WATER OVER MASSIE ROAD.NO ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WAS
KNOWN.

0800 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 E CHASSELL 47.03N 88.49W
05/10/2011 HOUGHTON MI BROADCAST MEDIA

BOOTJACK ROAD AT PRINCESS POINT HAD WATER OVER THE ROAD.


0800 AM FLASH FLOOD N CHASSELL 47.03N 88.53W
05/10/2011 HOUGHTON MI LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER OVER THE ROAD ON US41 JUST NORTH OF CHASSELL. AT
ONE POINT ONE PERSON INDICATED 4 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER
OVER THE ROAD.


&&

$$

MBABICH

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KCLE [101310]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 101310
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
909 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 AM HAIL NORTH BALTIMORE 41.18N 83.68W
05/10/2011 E0.75 INCH WOOD OH PUBLIC

0905 AM HAIL 2 N FINDLAY 41.07N 83.64W
05/10/2011 E0.88 INCH HANCOCK OH AMATEUR RADIO


&&

$$

OUDEMAN

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KGGW [101302]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 101302
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
702 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0520 AM HEAVY RAIN SIDNEY 47.72N 104.16W
05/10/2011 M1.75 INCH RICHLAND MT CO-OP OBSERVER

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 520AM YESTERDAY TO 520AM TODAY. STILL
RAINING.

0544 AM HEAVY RAIN 13 NW MCCLOUD 47.03N 105.80W
05/10/2011 M1.34 INCH PRAIRIE MT MESONET

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 544AM YESTERDAY TO 544AM TODAY.

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN GLASGOW 48.20N 106.64W
05/10/2011 M1.03 INCH VALLEY MT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 6AM YESTERDAY TO 6AM TODAY

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN GLENDIVE 47.11N 104.71W
05/10/2011 M2.67 INCH DAWSON MT CO-OP OBSERVER

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 6AM YESTERDAY TO 6AM TODAY. RAIN IS
STILL FALLING.

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN JORDAN 47.32N 106.91W
05/10/2011 M1.45 INCH GARFIELD MT ASOS

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 6AM YESTERDAY TO 6AM TODAY.

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN WOLF POINT 48.09N 105.64W
05/10/2011 M1.33 INCH ROOSEVELT MT ASOS

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 6AM YESTERDAY TO 6AM TODAY.

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN SIDNEY 47.72N 104.16W
05/10/2011 M1.32 INCH RICHLAND MT AWOS

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 6AM YESTERDAY TO 6AM TODAY.

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN GLENDIVE 47.11N 104.71W
05/10/2011 M1.80 INCH DAWSON MT AWOS

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 6AM YESTERDAY TO 6AM TODAY.

0630 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 SW HINSDALE 48.35N 107.15W
05/10/2011 M1.41 INCH VALLEY MT CO-OP OBSERVER

RAINFALL TOTAL SINCE AROUND 6AM YESTERDAY. LIGHT RAIN IS
FALLING.

0630 AM HEAVY RAIN 10 N LINDSAY 47.36N 105.15W
05/10/2011 M1.30 INCH DAWSON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

RAIN TOTAL SINCE 8PM YESTERDAY AND IS STILL RAINING.

WATER IS RUNNING DOWN THE DRIVEWAY AND CREEKS ARE RISING.

0650 AM HEAVY RAIN JORDAN 47.32N 106.91W
05/10/2011 M2.15 INCH GARFIELD MT TRAINED SPOTTER

THREE DAY RAINFALL TOTAL. STILL RAINING. WATER IS RUNNING
INTO BASEMENT.

0650 AM HEAVY RAIN WESTBY 48.87N 104.05W
05/10/2011 M1.35 INCH SHERIDAN MT CO-OP OBSERVER

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM 650AM YESTERDAY TO 650AM TODAY. STILL
RAINING.

0650 AM HEAVY RAIN 12 S CULBERTSON 47.97N 104.52W
05/10/2011 M1.40 INCH RICHLAND MT TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL TOTAL SINCE 10PM YESTERDAY AND IS STILL RAINING.

&&

$$

ASCHNETZ

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 101258
SWODY1
SPC AC 101256

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0756 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011

VALID 101300Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE OH VALLEY
TO CAROLINAS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE UPPER
MIDWEST...

...IND/OH TO CAROLINAS...

MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS SUBTLE VORTICITY MAXIMA CRESTING
MIDLEVEL RIDGE AXIS FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO THE OZARKS WHICH ARE
LIKELY CONTRIBUTING TO ONGOING ELEVATED STORMS ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES AND MID MS VALLEY. THESE FEATURES WILL BEGIN TO TURN MORE
SEWD TODAY AND ACCELERATE...REACHING THE SERN ATLANTIC COAST BY
11/12Z. AT THE SAME TIME...SURFACE WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY LIFT NEWD...LIKELY EXTENDING ALONG A LINE FROM NRN IND-SWRN
OH-WRN PARTS VA/NC-NRN SC BY LATE AFTERNOON. STEEP LOW TO MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES COUPLED WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEW POINTS IN THE 60S WILL
YIELD A MODERATELY TO STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS TODAY W/SW OF WARM
FRONT WHERE MLCAPE VALUES WILL APPROACH 2000-3000+ J/KG.

FRONTAL UPLIFT COUPLED WITH SUSTAINED LOW-LEVEL WAA AND DCVA IN
ADVANCE OF MIDLEVEL IMPULSES MAY ALLOW SOME REMNANT OF ONGOING
ELEVATED STORMS TO TRANSITION TO SURFACE-BASED BY AFTERNOON ACROSS
PARTS OF IND/OH. ADDITIONAL IN SITU STORM FORMATION APPEARS LIKELY
ALONG THE WARM FRONT THROUGH THE PEAK OF THE DIURNAL HEATING CYCLE.
FORECAST HODOGRAPHS EXHIBIT PRONOUNCED VEERING OF WINDS WITH HEIGHT
AND 40-50 KT OF DEEP NWLY SHEAR WHICH WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELLS WITH THE INITIAL STORM DEVELOPMENT. WITH TIME...ONE OR
MULTIPLE FORWARD-PROPAGATING MCSS ARE EXPECTED TO EVOLVE...PRODUCING
SWATHS OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

...MN/WI...

SURFACE LOW OVER ERN SD IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP NWD OR NWWD TODAY IN
CONJUNCTION WITH STRONG VORTICITY MAXIMUM LIFTING NNEWD THROUGH THE
WRN DAKOTAS. AS THIS OCCURS...ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL
CONCURRENTLY LIFT NWD...EXTENDING FROM THE RED RIVER VALLEY TO SRN
WI BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE
60S AND STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A STRONGLY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS S OF WARM FRONT TODAY WHERE MLCAPE VALUES WILL
INCREASE TO 2500-3500+ J/KG.

LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS CONSISTENT IN SUGGESTING THAT THE
STRONG HEIGHT FALLS/FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO ABOVE-MENTIONED
VORTICITY WILL REMAIN TO THE W OF THE REGION THROUGH THIS
EVENING...LEAVING SURFACE-BASED STORM INITIATION IN QUESTION DUE TO
THE STRENGTH OF THE CAP. THE MOST PROBABLE AREA OF STORM
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE NRN OR CNTRL MN LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING
INVOF SURFACE FRONTAL OCCLUSION.

SHOULD STORMS DEVELOP...THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG INSTABILITY
AND VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILES WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL
DEVELOPMENT WITH A RISK FOR VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND A
FEW TORNADOES. SUBSEQUENT UPSCALE GROWTH TO A SEWD-MOVING MCS WOULD
BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH A CONTINUED THREAT FOR HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS INTO PARTS OF WI.

...SRN PLAINS...

WELL-DEFINED VORTICITY MAXIMUM CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE TX BIG BEND
REGION SHOULD CONTINUE NEWD TODAY WITHIN PREVAILING SWLY MIDLEVEL
FLOW REGIME. FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE HAS
FOSTERED WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS THIS MORNING FROM THE TX LOW ROLLING
PLAINS TO NEAR DRT. 12Z SOUNDINGS FROM DRT AND FWD SUGGEST THAT
THIS ACTIVITY IS LIKELY ELEVATED ABOVE THE CAP AND ROOTED WITHIN A
STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT WITH 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES OF 9.0-9.5
C/KM. AS SUCH...ACTIVITY WILL BE CAPABLE OF ISOLATED OCCURRENCES OF
HAIL AS IT MOVES/DEVELOPS EWD/NEWD THIS MORNING.

BY AFTERNOON...CONSIDERABLE MODEL VARIABILITY AND INHERENT FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS WITH RESPECT TO CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION. CURRENT
THINKING IS THAT CORRIDOR OF FORCING IN ADVANCE OF SHORT WAVE TROUGH
WILL CONTINUE TO FOSTER TSTM DEVELOPMENT TOWARD AND EVENTUALLY E OF
THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND SURFACE DRYLINE. GIVEN THE STRENGTHEN OF THE
CAP...IT IS UNCERTAIN WHETHER THESE STORMS WILL BECOME ROOTED IN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER OR REMAIN ELEVATED.

FARTHER W ALONG THE DRYLINE...AREA WILL REMAIN IN A ZONE OF
SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF SHORT WAVE TROUGH PASSAGE LATER TODAY.
MOREOVER...CONVERGENCE ALONG THE BOUNDARY WILL WEAKEN WITH TIME AS
LEE CYCLOGENESIS COMMENCES OVER SERN CO. THE NET RESULT IS A LOW
CONFIDENCE IN DIURNAL STORM FORMATION ALONG THE DRYLINE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EVENING.

DUE TO THE HIGH UNCERTAINTY IN CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION AND WHERE THE
GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL MATERIALIZE...THE CATEGORICAL
SLIGHT RISK HAS BEEN REMOVED.

..MEAD/GRAMS.. 05/10/2011

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KPIH [101251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 101251
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
651 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0650 AM HEAVY RAIN AMERICAN FALLS 42.78N 112.85W
05/10/2011 M1.15 INCH POWER ID PUBLIC

24-HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

PANGEL

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KUNR [101244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 101244
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
643 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 ESE FAITH 44.99N 101.96W
05/10/2011 M1.60 INCH ZIEBACH SD TRAINED SPOTTER

MOST OF THE RAIN FELL AROUND 1230 AM MDT 05/10/2011.

0638 AM FLOOD 8 WNW USTA 45.25N 102.31W
05/10/2011 PERKINS SD TRAINED SPOTTER

4 INCHES MEASURED RAIN OVERNIGHT. MOST OF IT FELL LATE
MONDAY EVENING. MANY OF THE ROADS ON THE KELLY RANCH WERE
UNDERWATER...STARTED AROUND 1000 PM YESTERDAY EVENING.
CREEKS/STREAMS STILL OUT OF THEIR BANKS AT 630 AM THIS
MORNING. PEA SIZE HAIL FELL AFTER 930 PM LAST NIGHT.


&&

$$

WFO UNR STAFF

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KJAX [101208]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KJAX 101208
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
808 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM WILDFIRE 9 NW ST. GEORGE 30.59N 82.16W
05/10/2011 CHARLTON GA PARK/FOREST SRVC

THE HONEY PRAIRIE WILDFIRE GREW TO 81,434 ACRES...A
CHANGE OF 19,521 ACRES IN THE PAST 24 HOURS.


&&

$$

ECZ

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KJAX [101207]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 101207
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
807 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM WILDFIRE 9 NW ST. GEORGE 30.59N 82.16W
05/10/2011 CHARLTON GA PARK/FOREST SRVC

THE HOONEY PRAIRIE WILDFIRE GREW TO 81,434 ACRES...A
CHANGE OF 19,521 ACRES IN THE PAST 24 HOURS.


&&

$$

ECZ

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KTFX [101146]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KTFX 101146
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
537 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 AM HEAVY SNOW 14 SSW JACKSON 45.18N 113.52W
05/09/2011 M7.0 INCH BEAVERHEAD MT MESONET

7 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IN 12 HOURS AT BLOODY DICK

0830 AM HEAVY SNOW 16 SSW JACKSON 45.17N 113.58W
05/09/2011 M8.0 INCH BEAVERHEAD MT MESONET

8 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IN 12 HOURS AT DARKHORSE LAKE

0624 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 S CASCADE 47.22N 111.71W
05/09/2011 M1.15 INCH CASCADE MT CO-OP OBSERVER

COOP OBSERVER REPORTS 1.15 INCHES PRECIPITATION IN LAST
24 HOURS. STILL RAINING HARD.

0645 PM HEAVY RAIN 13 ESE CRAIG 47.00N 111.71W
05/09/2011 M1.41 INCH CASCADE MT CO-OP OBSERVER

1.41 INCHES PRECIPITATION IN THE LAST 24 HRS AT DANA
RANCH...20 MILES SSE CASCADE

0652 PM HEAVY RAIN STANFORD 47.15N 110.22W
05/09/2011 M1.61 INCH JUDITH BASIN MT CO-OP OBSERVER

1.61 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION IN THE LAST 24 HOURS AT
STANFORD

0654 PM HEAVY RAIN HOBSON 47.00N 109.87W
05/09/2011 M1.10 INCH JUDITH BASIN MT TRAINED SPOTTER

1.10 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION IN THE LAST 24 HOURS AT
HOBSON

0657 PM HEAVY RAIN 7 NE CRAIG 47.14N 111.86W
05/09/2011 M1.02 INCH CASCADE MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

1.02 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION IN THE LAST 24 HRS AT
DEARBORN RAWS

0658 PM HEAVY RAIN 18 WSW BYNUM 47.87N 112.67W
05/09/2011 M1.16 INCH TETON MT MESONET

1.16 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION IN THE LAST 24 HRS AT
GLEASON RAWS

0658 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 W MOCCASIN 47.06N 109.95W
05/09/2011 M1.29 INCH JUDITH BASIN MT CO-OP OBSERVER

1.29 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION IN THE LAST 24 HRS AT
MOCCASIN

0800 PM HEAVY SNOW 10 SE CLANCY 46.35N 111.85W
05/09/2011 M8.0 INCH JEFFERSON MT MESONET

12 HOUR TOTAL - TIZER BASIN SNOTEL - ELEVATION 6840


&&

$$

EMANUEL

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KDTX [101142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDTX 101142
LSRDTX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
741 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0648 AM HAIL 5 WSW CANNONSBURG 41.76N 84.33W
05/10/2011 E1.00 INCH LENAWEE MI PUBLIC

0653 AM HAIL 4 WSW CANNONSBURG 41.78N 84.31W
05/10/2011 E0.75 INCH LENAWEE MI PUBLIC


&&

$$

ADODSON

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KGRR [101124]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 101124
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
724 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0708 AM HAIL JACKSON 42.25N 84.41W
05/10/2011 M0.50 INCH JACKSON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL FROM PEA SIZED TO ABOUT A HALF INCH.


&&

$$

RSUTTLE

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KDLH [101034]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 101034
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
534 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0529 AM HAIL 10 E FORT RIPLEY 46.17N 94.15W
05/10/2011 M1.00 INCH CROW WING MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

GRANING

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KILN [101011]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 101011
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
611 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0555 AM HAIL BALTIMORE 39.85N 82.61W
05/10/2011 E0.50 INCH FAIRFIELD OH TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

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KDTX [100901]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDTX 100901
LSRDTX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
501 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0434 AM HAIL 4 NE YPSILANTI 42.29N 83.57W
05/10/2011 M0.50 INCH WASHTENAW MI TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED AT GEDDES AND RIDGE ROAD


&&

$$

OROW

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KFGF [100821]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 100821
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
321 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 AM HAIL WEST FARGO 46.87N 96.90W
05/10/2011 E1.75 INCH CASS ND PUBLIC

BROKE WINDOWS OF CAR


&&

$$

TGRAFENA

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 100810
SWOD48
SPC AC 100810

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0310 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011

VALID 131200Z - 181200Z

...DISCUSSION...
CONFIDENCE DECREASES IN MEDIUM RANGE SUCH THAT PREDICTABILITY OF
SEVERE WEATHER BECOMES TOO LOW FROM FRI INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPR
LOW OVER THE PLAINS ON THURSDAY IS EXPECTED TO SETTLE SEWD AS MODELS
SUGGEST...BUT THE DEGREE AND TIMING OF HOW THIS EVOLVES IS
UNCERTAIN. THERE WILL LIKELY BE SOME THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER ALONG
SRN AND SWRN FRINGES OF THIS SYSTEM WHERE WLY FLOW IS MAINTAINED
ALOFT AMID STEEP LAPSE RATES/AMPLE BUOYANCY. PIN-POINTING WHERE AND
WHEN THE MORE ROBUST EVENTS MAY OCCUR...HOWEVER...IS DIFFICULT AT
BEST THIS FAR IN ADVANCE.

..RACY.. 05/10/2011

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 267

WWUS20 KWNS 100803
SEL7
SPC WW 100803
NEZ000-SDZ000-100800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 267
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
203 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 267 ISSUED AT 835 PM MDT FOR PORTIONS OF

NEBRASKA
SOUTH DAKOTA

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 100721
SWODY3
SPC AC 100720

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0220 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE CORN BELT/UPR MS VLY
SWD TO THE TX GULF COAST...

...UPR MS VLY TO E TX...
MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE ON THURSDAY...BUT SUPPORT A REASONABLE
EVIDENCE THAT THE UPPER LOW WILL DECELERATE ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS.
THIS WILL BE IN RESPONSE TO PHASING WITH A RETROGRADING IMPULSE
OVER SRN CANADA...ALTHOUGH DETAILS ARE STILL UNCERTAIN ON THIS
EVOLUTION...PARTICULARLY BEYOND DAY 3.

EXPECT THAT RESIDUAL 45+ KT WLY H5 FLOW WILL REMAIN ALONG BASE OF
THE PLAINS IMPULSE ACROSS N TX INTO THE MID-SOUTH DURING THE
AFTERNOON. AMPLE BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE POSITIONED BENEATH VERY
STEEP LAPSE RATES IN THE MID-TROP WILL CONTRIBUTE TO VERY UNSTABLE
CONDITIONS. STORMS SHOULD FORM ALONG PRE-FRONTAL BOUNDARIES/COLD
FRONT IN THE OZARKS SWWD INTO E AND S TX THROUGH THE AFTN WITH
SUPERCELLS AND ORGANIZED CLUSTERS LIKELY WITH LARGE HAIL AND
POSSIBLY A COUPLE TORNADOES...PARTICULARLY FROM ARKLATEX NEWD INTO
ERN MO.

MEANWHILE...A SEPARATE REGION OF STORMS WILL PROBABLY EVOLVE
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE UPR LOW ACROSS THE LWR MO VLY FROM WRN IA/ERN
NEB SWD INTO NRN MO. HERE...THE MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE
COMPARATIVELY WEAKER...BUT MID-LEVELS COOLER. EXPECT MULTICELL
STORMS TO THRIVE AMID MODEST BUOYANCY WITH ISOLD MINI-SUPERCELLS
POSSIBLE JUST NE OF THE LOW CENTER. LARGE HAIL APPEARS TO BE THE
PRIMARY SVR RISK...ALTHOUGH A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

..RACY.. 05/10/2011

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0708

ACUS11 KWNS 100657
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100656
MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-100830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0708
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0156 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN SD AND PARTS OF SRN/CENTRAL AND ERN ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 267...

VALID 100656Z - 100830Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 267
CONTINUES.

GIVEN CURRENT CONVECTIVE TRENDS ACROSS NWRN SD SHOWING A LOWER
NUMBER OF STRONGER STORMS...WW 267 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS
SCHEDULED AT 08Z. UNTIL THEN...AND ALSO THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
ACROSS SRN/CENTRAL AND ERN ND...ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS REMAIN
POSSIBLE WITH HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THE ELEVATED
ACTIVITY.

RECENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED OVER
ERN WY...WITH THIS FEATURE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE WRN DAKOTAS BY
12Z RESULTING IN THE STRONGEST FORCING ALOFT TO AFFECT THE WRN
DAKOTAS. ALTHOUGH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR REMAINS STRONG /AROUND 50
KT/ ACROSS THE VALID PART OF WW 267 TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED
STORMS...WEAKENING AVAILABLE INSTABILITY IN THIS AREA SUGGESTS THE
OBSERVED DECREASE IN STRONGER UPDRAFTS SHOULD PERSIST.

MEANWHILE...A 50 KT SSELY LLJ EXTENDS ACROSS ERN SD WITH STRONG LOW
LEVEL WAA EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NWD INTO ND OVERNIGHT/EARLY THIS
MORNING AS THE ABOVE MENTIONED TROUGH AND EWD EXTENDING WARM FRONT
SPREAD NWD. THE LLJ WILL MAINTAIN A FEED OF MODERATE INSTABILITY
INTO CENTRAL/ERN ND. THIS COMBINED WITH THE LOW LEVEL WAA WILL
SUPPORT TSTMS DEVELOPING/MOVING NWD...BUT GIVEN STRONGER FORCING
ALOFT REMAINING WEST OVER THE WRN DAKOTAS...THE OVERALL COVERAGE OF
STRONGER STORMS IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT TO WARRANT A NEW
WATCH.

..PETERS.. 05/10/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...BIS...UNR...

LAT...LON 44290097 44360256 44940367 45930326 47600037 47719841
47599706 46269641 45879640 46069758 46369902 45860011
44690047 44440040 44290097

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KUNR [100646]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KUNR 100646
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1245 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0532 PM HAIL FOUR CORNERS 44.08N 104.13W
05/09/2011 E0.88 INCH WESTON WY PUBLIC

0544 PM HAIL DOWNTOWN NEWCASTLE 43.85N 104.20W
05/09/2011 E0.88 INCH WESTON WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0545 PM HAIL DOWNTOWN NEWCASTLE 43.85N 104.20W
05/09/2011 E1.50 INCH WESTON WY PUBLIC

0615 PM FLASH FLOOD DOWNTOWN NEWCASTLE 43.85N 104.20W
05/09/2011 WESTON WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER WAS REPORTED FLOWING OVER THE HIGHWAY 16 BYPASS AND
AT THE INTERSECTION OF SPOKANE AVE AND SPRINGFIELD AVE.

0637 PM FLASH FLOOD DOWNTOWN NEWCASTLE 43.85N 104.20W
05/09/2011 WESTON WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL STREETS IN NEWCASTLE ARE FLOODING.

0735 PM HAIL 3 S OPAL 44.85N 102.61W
05/09/2011 E1.25 INCH MEADE SD PUBLIC

0735 PM TSTM WND GST 3 S OPAL 44.85N 102.61W
05/09/2011 E60.00 MPH MEADE SD PUBLIC

0740 PM HAIL OPAL 44.89N 102.61W
05/09/2011 E1.50 INCH MEADE SD PUBLIC

0758 PM HAIL QUINN 43.99N 102.13W
05/09/2011 M1.75 INCH PENNINGTON SD STORM CHASER

0810 PM HAIL 3 NE QUINN 44.02N 102.09W
05/09/2011 E2.00 INCH PENNINGTON SD PUBLIC

HAIL LASTED 25 MINUTES.

0849 PM HAIL 1 S OGLALA 43.17N 102.73W
05/09/2011 E1.00 INCH SHANNON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0910 PM TORNADO 8 N PHILIP 44.16N 101.67W
05/09/2011 HAAKON SD PUBLIC

0915 PM HAIL 6 NNW PINE RIDGE 43.11N 102.60W
05/09/2011 E1.00 INCH SHANNON SD PUBLIC

0920 PM HAIL 10 NW PINE RIDGE 43.13N 102.70W
05/09/2011 M1.00 INCH SHANNON SD STORM CHASER

0932 PM FLASH FLOOD DOWNTOWN NEWCASTLE 43.85N 104.20W
05/09/2011 WESTON WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

WIDESPREAD STREET FLOODING ACROSS NEWCASTLE. DEBRIS
EVERYWHERE. CULVERTS ARE BLOCKED. SEWERS ARE BACKED UP.
FOUR HOUSES HAVE BASEMENTS FLOODED. CAR REPORTEDLY
FLOATING DOWN ROAD. LIMITED TRAVEL ADVISED.

0935 PM HAIL 18 E FAIRBURN 43.69N 102.85W
05/09/2011 E1.00 INCH CUSTER SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0940 PM TSTM WND GST N SHARPS CORNER 43.39N 102.40W
05/09/2011 E60.00 MPH SHANNON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0945 PM TSTM WND GST 6 NNE RED SCAFFOLD 44.86N 101.82W
05/09/2011 E60.00 MPH ZIEBACH SD CO-OP OBSERVER

0955 PM TORNADO 20 NE PHILIP 44.25N 101.38W
05/09/2011 HAAKON SD PUBLIC

RANCHER REPORTED A TORNADO JUST NORTH OF OTTUMWA.

0955 PM HAIL 5 NNW KYLE 43.49N 102.23W
05/09/2011 E1.25 INCH SHANNON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0955 PM TSTM WND GST 8 WNW USTA 45.25N 102.31W
05/09/2011 E70.00 MPH PERKINS SD TRAINED SPOTTER

1005 PM HAIL 8 W MARTIN 43.17N 101.89W
05/09/2011 E1.50 INCH BENNETT SD LAW ENFORCEMENT

1028 PM FLASH FLOOD 8 E MAURINE 45.02N 102.44W
05/09/2011 MEADE SD EMERGENCY MNGR

ONE FOOT OF WATER OVER HIGHWAY 212 AT FOXRIDGE ROAD.


&&


THIS TABLE LISTS THE REPORTS BY HAIL SIZE OR WIND SPEED...AND MAY NOT
NECESSARILY BE THE FINAL HAIL SIZE OR WIND SPEED FOR THAT LOCATION.


HAIL REPORTS LISTED BY SIZE (INCHES)

SIZE LOCATION ST COUNTY TIME
------ ----------------------- -- -------------- -------
2.00 3 NE QUINN SD PENNINGTON 0810 PM
HAIL LASTED 25 MINUTES.
1.75 QUINN SD PENNINGTON 0758 PM
1.50 8 W MARTIN SD BENNETT 1005 PM
1.50 OPAL SD MEADE 0740 PM
1.50 DOWNTOWN NEWCASTLE WY WESTON 0545 PM
1.25 5 NNW KYLE SD SHANNON 0955 PM
1.25 3 S OPAL SD MEADE 0735 PM
1.00 18 E FAIRBURN SD CUSTER 0935 PM
1.00 10 NW PINE RIDGE SD SHANNON 0920 PM
1.00 6 NNW PINE RIDGE SD SHANNON 0915 PM
1.00 1 S OGLALA SD SHANNON 0849 PM
0.88 DOWNTOWN NEWCASTLE WY WESTON 0544 PM
0.88 FOUR CORNERS WY WESTON 0532 PM


TSTM WIND REPORTS LISTED BY SPEED (MPH)

SPEED LOCATION ST COUNTY TIME
------ ----------------------- -- -------------- -------
70.00 8 WNW USTA SD PERKINS 0955 PM
60.00 6 NNE RED SCAFFOLD SD ZIEBACH 0945 PM
60.00 N SHARPS CORNER SD SHANNON 0940 PM
60.00 3 S OPAL SD MEADE 0735 PM

$$

LCZEPYHA

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KUNR [100645]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KUNR 100645
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1245 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0532 PM HAIL FOUR CORNERS 44.08N 104.13W
05/09/2011 E0.88 INCH WESTON WY PUBLIC

0544 PM HAIL DOWNTOWN NEWCASTLE 43.85N 104.20W
05/09/2011 E0.88 INCH WESTON WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0545 PM HAIL DOWNTOWN NEWCASTLE 43.85N 104.20W
05/09/2011 E1.50 INCH WESTON WY PUBLIC

0615 PM FLASH FLOOD DOWNTOWN NEWCASTLE 43.85N 104.20W
05/09/2011 WESTON WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER WAS REPORTED FLOWING OVER THE HIGHWAY 16 BYPASS AND
AT THE INTERSECTION OF SPOKANE AVE AND SPRINGFIELD AVE.

0637 PM FLASH FLOOD DOWNTOWN NEWCASTLE 43.85N 104.20W
05/09/2011 WESTON WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL STREETS IN NEWCASTLE ARE FLOODING.

0735 PM HAIL 3 S OPAL 44.85N 102.61W
05/09/2011 E1.25 INCH MEADE SD PUBLIC

0735 PM TSTM WND GST 3 S OPAL 44.85N 102.61W
05/09/2011 E60.00 MPH MEADE SD PUBLIC

0740 PM HAIL OPAL 44.89N 102.61W
05/09/2011 E1.50 INCH MEADE SD PUBLIC

0758 PM HAIL QUINN 43.99N 102.13W
05/09/2011 M1.75 INCH PENNINGTON SD STORM CHASER

0810 PM HAIL 3 NE QUINN 44.02N 102.09W
05/09/2011 E2.00 INCH PENNINGTON SD PUBLIC

HAIL LASTED 25 MINUTES.

0849 PM HAIL 1 S OGLALA 43.17N 102.73W
05/09/2011 E1.00 INCH SHANNON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0910 PM TORNADO 8 N PHILIP 44.16N 101.67W
05/09/2011 HAAKON SD PUBLIC

0915 PM HAIL 6 NNW PINE RIDGE 43.11N 102.60W
05/09/2011 E1.00 INCH SHANNON SD PUBLIC

0920 PM HAIL 10 NW PINE RIDGE 43.13N 102.70W
05/09/2011 M1.00 INCH SHANNON SD STORM CHASER

0932 PM FLASH FLOOD DOWNTOWN NEWCASTLE 43.85N 104.20W
05/09/2011 WESTON WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

WIDESPREAD STREET FLOODING ACROSS NEWCASTLE. DEBRIS
EVERYWHERE. CULVERTS ARE BLOCKED. SEWERS ARE BACKED UP.
FOUR HOUSES HAVE BASEMENTS FLOODED. CAR REPORTEDLY
FLOATING DOWN ROAD. LIMITED TRAVEL ADVISED.

0935 PM HAIL 18 E FAIRBURN 43.69N 102.85W
05/09/2011 E1.00 INCH CUSTER SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0940 PM TSTM WND GST N SHARPS CORNER 43.39N 102.40W
05/09/2011 E60.00 MPH SHANNON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0945 PM TSTM WND GST 6 NNE RED SCAFFOLD 44.86N 101.82W
05/09/2011 E60.00 MPH ZIEBACH SD CO-OP OBSERVER

0955 PM TORNADO 20 NE PHILIP 44.25N 101.38W
05/09/2011 HAAKON SD PUBLIC

RANCHER REPORTED A TORNADO JUST NORTH OF OTTUMWA.

0955 PM HAIL 5 NNW KYLE 43.49N 102.23W
05/09/2011 E1.25 INCH SHANNON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0955 PM TSTM WND GST 8 WNW USTA 45.25N 102.31W
05/09/2011 E70.00 MPH PERKINS SD TRAINED SPOTTER

1005 PM HAIL 8 W MARTIN 43.17N 101.89W
05/09/2011 E1.50 INCH BENNETT SD LAW ENFORCEMENT

1028 PM FLASH FLOOD 8 E MAURINE 45.02N 102.44W
05/09/2011 MEADE SD EMERGENCY MNGR

ONE FOOT OF WATER OVER HIGHWAY 212 AT FOXRIDGE ROAD.


&&

$$

LCZEPYHA

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KABR [100639]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 100639
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
139 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0133 AM HAIL 2 ESE WALKER 45.90N 101.05W
05/10/2011 E1.75 INCH CORSON SD PUBLIC


&&

$$

CONNELLY

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KCYS [100603]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KCYS 100603
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1203 AM MDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM HAIL SHIRLEY BASIN 42.35N 106.21W
05/09/2011 E0.25 INCH CARBON WY CO-OP OBSERVER

0350 PM HAIL 24 S DOUGLAS 42.41N 105.39W
05/09/2011 E0.50 INCH CONVERSE WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0412 PM HAIL 24 NW WHEATLAND 42.30N 105.29W
05/09/2011 E0.50 INCH ALBANY WY TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL RANGED IN SIZE FROM 1/2-1/4 INCH.

0427 PM HAIL 10 N WHEATLAND 42.20N 104.96W
05/09/2011 M1.25 INCH PLATTE WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0437 PM HAIL 8 S GLENDO 42.39N 105.03W
05/09/2011 E0.50 INCH PLATTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0441 PM HAIL 4 N WHEATLAND 42.11N 104.96W
05/09/2011 E0.25 INCH PLATTE WY CO-OP OBSERVER

0503 PM HAIL HARTVILLE 42.33N 104.72W
05/09/2011 E0.25 INCH PLATTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0545 PM HAIL MANVILLE 42.78N 104.62W
05/09/2011 M1.00 INCH NIOBRARA WY PUBLIC

0601 PM HAIL 29 N TORRINGTON 42.49N 104.18W
05/09/2011 E1.75 INCH GOSHEN WY CO-OP OBSERVER

HAIL RANGES FROM PEA TO GOLFBALL.

0601 PM HAIL 30 E WHEATLAND 42.05N 104.37W
05/09/2011 E0.25 INCH GOSHEN WY TRAINED SPOTTER

GROUND COVERED

0637 PM HAIL 1 SSW HARRISON 42.67N 103.89W
05/09/2011 M1.50 INCH SIOUX NE TRAINED SPOTTER

0637 PM HAIL 5 E HARRISON 42.69N 103.78W
05/09/2011 M1.00 INCH SIOUX NE STORM CHASER

0650 PM HAIL TORRINGTON 42.07N 104.18W
05/09/2011 E0.25 INCH GOSHEN WY TRAINED SPOTTER

MODERATE RAIN ALSO.

0710 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 5 E WHITNEY 42.78N 103.16W
05/09/2011 DAWES NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS REPORTED JUST NORTH OF HIGHWAY 20...4
TO 5 MILES EAST OF WHITNEY.

0710 PM TORNADO 10 E HARRISON 42.69N 103.69W
05/09/2011 SIOUX NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

911 CALL FROM THE PUBLIC REPORTED A TORNADO ON THE GROUND
10 MILES EAST OF HARRISON

0711 PM HAIL 17 E HARRISON 42.69N 103.55W
05/09/2011 E1.00 INCH SIOUX NE TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL FALLING AS WE SPOKE.

0715 PM HAIL 25 NE LUSK 43.02N 104.10W
05/09/2011 E0.50 INCH NIOBRARA WY TRAINED SPOTTER

MOSTLY PEA SIZED.

0718 PM HAIL 10 NW CRAWFORD 42.79N 103.55W
05/09/2011 E0.25 INCH SIOUX NE TRAINED SPOTTER

0730 PM HAIL 11 N CRAWFORD 42.84N 103.41W
05/09/2011 E1.75 INCH DAWES NE TRAINED SPOTTER

0757 PM HAIL 12 NW CHADRON 42.95N 103.17W
05/09/2011 E0.25 INCH DAWES NE TRAINED SPOTTER

COVERS THE GROUND.

0805 PM HAIL 14 SSE CRAWFORD 42.50N 103.31W
05/09/2011 E0.50 INCH DAWES NE TRAINED SPOTTER

0809 PM HAIL 10 NW HEMINGFORD 42.42N 103.21W
05/09/2011 M1.75 INCH BOX BUTTE NE STORM CHASER

HAIL WAS 2 MILES SOUTH OF MARSLAND ALONG HWY 2.

0822 PM HAIL 15 S CHADRON 42.61N 103.00W
05/09/2011 M2.75 INCH DAWES NE STORM CHASER

1009 PM HAIL TORRINGTON 42.07N 104.18W
05/09/2011 E0.25 INCH GOSHEN WY TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

MJAMSKI

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 100553
SWODY1
SPC AC 100552

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1252 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011

VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE OH
VALLEY...SRN TO CNTRL APPALACHIAN MTNS AND CAROLINAS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NRN PLAINS
AND UPPER MS VALLEY...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWEST TX...

...OH VALLEY/SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS/CAROLINAS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE IN PLACE TODAY ACROSS THE MS VALLEY
WITH NNWLY FLOW LOCATED ACROSS THE UPPER OH VALLEY...SRN TO CNTRL
APPALACHIAN MTNS AND CAROLINAS. SEVERAL MODEL FORECASTS SUGGEST A
SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE REGION. THIS ALONG
WITH WARMING SFC TEMPS...SHOULD RESULT IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
INITIATION FROM ERN KY SEWD ACROSS THE CAROLINAS. SFC DEWPOINTS IN
THE LOWER 60S F SHOULD ENABLE MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY TO
DEVELOP WHICH ALONG WITH SUBSTANTIAL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR SHOULD BE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS WRN NC AND CNTRL SC AT 00Z WEDNESDAY SHOW
MLCAPE VALUES FROM 2000 TO 3000 J/KG WITH ABOUT 50 KT OF DEEP LAYER
SHEAR. THIS ENVIRONMENT ALONG WITH 700 TO 500 MB LAPSE RATES AROUND
8.0 C/KM SHOULD BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT WITH A THREAT
FOR LARGE HAIL. SUPERCELLS THAT HAVE ACCESS TO LOCALLY ENHANCED
INSTABILITY MAY ALSO HAVE AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR TORNADOES AND HAIL
STONES GREATER THAN 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER. A WIND DAMAGE THREAT MAY
ALSO DEVELOP ESPECIALLY IF LINE-SEGMENTS BECOME THE FAVORED STORM
MODE. AT THIS POINT...MODEL FORECASTS DIFFER ON CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
WITH THE GFS BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE SOLUTION. THE GFS APPEARS
REASONABLE AND HAVE CONTINUED AN ENHANCED THREAT FOR WIND DAMAGE IN
WRN NC AND CNTRL SC WHERE THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS
FORECAST TO BE THE STRONGEST.

...NRN PLAINS/UPPER-MS VALLEY...
SOUTH SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS AND
UPPER MS VALLEY TODAY AS A 55 TO 70 KT MID-LEVEL JET MOVES NEWD INTO
THE NRN PLAINS. THIS FEATURE WILL HELP TO CREATE STRONG DEEP LAYER
SHEAR ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY WHERE SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP. STORM INITIATION WILL MOST
LIKELY OCCUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON ON THE NOSE OF THE MID-LEVEL JET IN
ERN ND AND NW MN. THE MODELS ARE ALSO IN AGREEMENT THAT SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO INITIATE SSEWD ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS
FROM CNTRL MN TO NERN IA BY EARLY EVENING.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG THIS CORRIDOR AT 00Z WEDNESDAY SHOW MLCAPE
VALUES RANGING FROM 2000 J/KG IN NRN MN TO AROUND 4500 J/KG IN NRN
IA WITH DEEP LAYER SHEAR DECREASING WITH SEWD EXTENT. THE
COMBINATION OF SHEAR AND INSTABILITY SHOULD EASILY SUPPORT A LARGE
HAIL THREAT ESPECIALLY WITH SUPERCELLS THAT DEVELOP. A WIND DAMAGE
THREAT MAY ALSO DEVELOP ESPECIALLY IF A STORM CLUSTER CAN PERSIST
INTO THE EARLY TO MID EVENING WITH LOW-LEVEL FLOW IS FORECAST TO
STRENGTHEN.

...NORTHWEST TX...
A HIGH-AMPLITUDE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION TODAY AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW INCREASES ACROSS THE SRN
PLAINS. A LARGE CORRIDOR OF MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL BE IN PLACE BY
MIDDAY WITH A RETREATING DRYLINE SHIFTING NWWD INTO NORTHWEST TX
DURING THE AFTERNOON. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR IN
NORTHWEST TX ON THE ERN EDGE OF A 50 TO 65 KT MID-LEVEL JET. THE
MID-LEVEL JET WILL HELP TO CREATE MODERATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR WHICH
COMBINED WITH THE INSTABILITY AND VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT. A LARGE HAIL THREAT MAY EXIST
IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET BECOMES
BETTER DEFINED HELPING TO SUPPORT CONVECTIVE INITIATION. AT THIS
POINT...THE MODELS KEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ISOLATED SUGGESTING
THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN CONFINED TO THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS
WHERE A NARROW SLIGHT RISK HAS BEEN OUTLOOKED.

..BROYLES/STOPKOTTE.. 05/10/2011

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 100545
SWODY2
SPC AC 100543

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1243 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A PART OF CNTRL KS AND
CNTRL OK...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE UPR MS VLY SWD INTO
CNTRL TX...

...PLAINS...
ONLY MINOR DIFFERENCES EXIST IN MODEL GUIDANCE ON THE ARRIVAL OF THE
PRIMARY UPPER TROUGH INTO THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS BY WEDNESDAY
AFTN. A SUBTROPICAL IMPULSE WILL EJECT ENE AHEAD OF THE MAIN
FEATURE...MIGRATING ACROSS CNTRL/NRN TX EARLY IN THE DAY. IN THE
LOWER LEVELS...A LEE LOW WILL INTENSIFY OVER SWRN KS AND TRAVEL ENE
INTO CNTRL KS BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A DRYLINE WILL MIX EWD INTO
SCNTRL KS...CNTRL OK AND NCNTRL TX BY EVENING WHILE A FRONT EXISTS
ENE FROM THE LOW ACROSS SRN NEB AND INTO NWRN WI.

SLY LLVL FLOW WILL MAINTAIN A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AIR MASS AHEAD OF
THE DRYLINE WITH MLCAPE OF 2000+ EXISTING THROUGHOUT THE CNTRL/SRN
PLAINS. ARRIVAL OF THE LEAD SUBTROPICAL IMPULSE WILL BE SOMEWHAT
PROBLEMATIC AS STRONG PCPN SIGNAL HAS EXISTED FOR A COUPLE DAYS FROM
CNTRL/NRN TX INTO ERN OK...SERN KS AND THE MO OZARKS. WHILE
COVERAGE OF THIS ACTIVITY IS SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION...MODEST MID-LEVEL
SWLY FLOW WILL ACCOMPANY THE SYSTEM AND BOOST VERTICAL SHEAR TO
SUPPORT SUPERCELLS AND ORGANIZED LINES/CLUSTERS. LARGE HAIL APPEARS
TO BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY...ALTHOUGH ISOLD
TORNADOES AND DMGG WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

MEANWHILE...NARROW CORRIDOR ALONG/E OF THE DRYLINE WILL PERCOLATE NW
OF THE E TX/OK CLOUD SHIELD AND RESULT IN MLCAPES 2000-3000 J/KG
FROM THE TX BIG COUNTRY NWD INTO CNTRL KS. AS LARGE-SCALE HEIGHT
FALLS AND COOLING ASSOCD WITH THE APPROACHING TROUGH SPREAD
NE...TSTMS WILL INITIATE. FIRST STORMS WILL FORM NE OF THE TRIPLE
POINT/FRONT ACROSS SCNTRL NEB AND NCNTRL/NWRN KS AND THEN FARTHER
SWD INTO WRN/CNTRL OK AND TX BIG COUNTRY AREA BY LATE AFTN.
INCREASING MERIDIONAL FLOW WILL RESULT IN DEEP SOUTHERLIES IN
NEB/NRN KS RESULTING IN MESSY STORM MODES. STILL...BACKED NEAR SFC
FLOW VCNTY THE LEE LOW WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH A FEW
TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL. FARTHER S...MORE CROSS-COMPONENT DEEP
LAYER SHEAR VECTORS WILL RESULT IN LONGER-LIVED DISCRETE SUPERCELLS
ACROSS CNTRL/SCNTRL KS AND CNTRL OK WHERE VERY LARGE HAIL AND
TORNADOES WILL BE LIKELY.

STRONGER SUPPORT FOR SUSTAINED ORGANIZED STORMS WILL CONTINUE ENE
INTO ERN NEB AND IA OVERNIGHT AS SLY LLJ INTENSIFIES. STORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HIGH WINDS/LARGE HAIL. FARTHER S...ACTIVITY MAY
NOT BE AS LONG-LIVED AS PRIMARY FORCING FOR ASCENT PASSES TO THE N
AND CAP INCREASES IN THE INFLOW LAYER.

..RACY.. 05/10/2011

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KGRR [100535]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 100535
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
135 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0133 AM HAIL WHITE CLOUD 43.57N 85.77W
05/10/2011 E0.25 INCH NEWAYGO MI LAW ENFORCEMENT

DISPATCH REPORTED PEA SIZE HAIL AT THIS TIME.


&&

$$

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