Saturday, August 18, 2012

KEWX [190340]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 190340
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1040 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1037 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 NE SERENADA 30.71N 97.67W
08/18/2012 E1.25 INCH WILLIAMSON TX PUBLIC

10 MIN RAINFALL


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200445

$$

JPB

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KLUB [190311]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 190311
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1011 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM TSTM WND GST 1 ENE MORTON 33.73N 102.74W
08/18/2012 M59 MPH COCHRAN TX MESONET


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200360

$$

GDS

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KDDC [190251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 190251
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
951 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0331 AM HAIL 5 NW DIGHTON 38.54N 100.52W
08/18/2012 E1.50 INCH LANE KS PUBLIC

THE MILO CROP WAS STRIPPED IN SOME AREAS.


&&

$$

JFINCH

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 584

WWUS20 KWNS 190203
SEL4
SPC WW 190203
OKZ000-TXZ000-190200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 584
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
903 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 584 ISSUED AT 210 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

OKLAHOMA
TEXAS

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KVEF [190201]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 190201
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
701 PM PDT SAT AUG 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0343 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 NNW SLOAN 36.01N 115.23W
08/18/2012 CLARK NV NWS EMPLOYEE

4 INCHES OF FLOWING WATER WITH ROCKS AND MUD REPORTED AT
THE INTERSECTION OF JO RAE AND JONES. TIME IS ESTIMATED
BASED ON RADAR.

0343 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 N SLOAN 36.01N 115.21W
08/18/2012 CLARK NV NWS EMPLOYEE

4-6 INCHES OF FLOWING WATER WITH ROCKS AND MUD REPORTED
AT THE INTERSECTION SLIVERADO RANCH AT DECATUR. TIME IS
ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

0343 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 NNW SLOAN 36.01N 115.24W
08/18/2012 CLARK NV NWS EMPLOYEE

FLOWING WATER WITH ROCKS AND MUD REPORTED AT THE
INTERSECTION OF RAINBOW AND LANDBERG. TIME ESTIMATED
BASED ON RADAR.

0522 PM FLASH FLOOD 9 SSW STOVEPIPE WELLS 36.50N 117.23W
08/18/2012 INYO CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

CALIFORNIA HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTS THAT HIGHWAY 190 IS
WASHED OUT AT MILE MARKER 79 DUE TO FLASH FLOODING.
HIGHWAY 190 IS CLOSED DUE TO THE WASHOUT.


&&

$$

METZGER

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KRNK [190144]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 190144
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
944 PM EDT SAT AUG 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM TSTM WND DMG 6 NNE EDEN 36.58N 79.70W
08/15/2012 PITTSYLVANIA VA PUBLIC

SEVERAL TREES DOWN ON COBBS KNOB ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BY
RADAR.


&&

$$

FISHER

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KJAN [190136]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 190136
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
836 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0202 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SW SOCIETY HILL 31.40N 89.90W
08/18/2012 JEFFERSON DAVIS MS EMERGENCY MNGR

MINOR SHINGLE DAMAGE WAS REPORTED AND THE TOPS OF A FEW
PINE TREES WERE BLOWN OFF.


&&

$$

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KLUB [190126]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 190126
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
825 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0820 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NE FRIONA 34.66N 102.70W
08/18/2012 M62 MPH PARMER TX MESONET


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200359

$$

GDS

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KABQ [190123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 190123
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
723 PM MDT SAT AUG 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM TSTM WND GST 5 WSW OSCURO 33.45N 106.13W
08/18/2012 M87 MPH LINCOLN NM MESONET

WHITE SANDS MISSILE RANGE - PHILLIPS HILL.


&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201290

$$

JF

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KFWD [190104]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 190104
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
804 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0758 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 W KELLER 32.93N 97.32W
08/18/2012 TARRANT TX NWS EMPLOYEE

HWY 377 1/4 MILE NORTH OF KELLER HASLET RD CLOSED

$$

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KFWD [190101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 190101
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
801 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0755 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 W KELLER 32.93N 97.32W
08/18/2012 M4.02 INCH TARRANT TX PUBLIC

377 AT KELLER HASLET

$$

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KJAN [190041]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KJAN 190041
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
741 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0120 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 S BENTON 32.80N 90.26W
08/18/2012 YAZOO MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWNED NEAR HIGHWAY 433 AND SCOTLAND ROAD

0120 PM TSTM WND GST 1 SE REDWOOD 32.47N 90.80W
08/18/2012 E45.00 MPH WARREN MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWNED ALONG WHATLEY ROAD

0125 PM TSTM WND GST SW VICKSBURG 32.33N 90.88W
08/18/2012 E45.00 MPH WARREN MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWNED ALONG HALLS FERRY ROAD

0135 PM LIGHTNING VICKSBURG 32.33N 90.87W
08/18/2012 WARREN MS EMERGENCY MNGR

A HOUSE WAS STRUCK BY LIGHTNING ON OAK STREET...CAUSING A
BRIEF FIRE

0315 PM FLASH FLOOD PEARL 32.27N 90.11W
08/18/2012 RANKIN MS BROADCAST MEDIA

STREET FLOODING REPORTED ALONG SKYLANE DRIVE.

0340 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 ENE FLORENCE 32.17N 90.08W
08/18/2012 RANKIN MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

PORTION OF HWY 469 UNDER WATER.

0410 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SE LAUREL 31.67N 89.12W
08/18/2012 E50.00 MPH JONES MS EMERGENCY MNGR

A COUPLE TREES WERE DOWN ON A POWER LINE.


&&

$$

19

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KJAN [190039]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 190039
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
739 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM FLASH FLOOD PEARL 32.27N 90.11W
08/18/2012 RANKIN MS BROADCAST MEDIA

STREET FLOODING REPORTED ALONG SKYLANE DRIVE.


&&

$$

19

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 190034
SWODY1
SPC AC 190032

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0732 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012

VALID 190100Z - 191200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NWRN INTO CNTRL TX...
STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SWD ALONG A COMPOSITE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
FROM NWRN TX INTO SERN TX. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE WEAKLY SHEARED
STORMS WILL BE LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND MARGINAL HAIL...WITH HEAVY
RAIN LIKELY. THE BEST SHEAR FOR A FEW LONGER LIVED CELLS WITH HAIL
WILL BE OVER THE TX PANHANDLE AND NWRN TX WITH A BIT STRONGER DEEP
LAYER SHEAR WITH NWLY FLOW ALOFT. HOWEVER...THIS THREAT WILL LIKELY
WANE AFTER SUNSET WITH LITTLE LARGE SCALE SUPPORT FOR LIFT. REF MCS
1788 FOR MORE INFORMATION.

...ERN AL INTO WRN GA...
A WEAK WAVE WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE CLUSTER WILL CONTINUED EWD
ACROSS AL AND INTO WRN GA THIS EVENING. 00Z BMX AND FFC SOUNDINGS
SHOW AMPLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FOR TALL STORMS WITH HEAVY
PRECIP LOADING AND A FEW WIND GUSTS.

...CAROLINAS...
A FEW DIURNALLY DRIVEN CELLS CAPABLE OF MARGINAL HAIL AND WIND
CURRENTLY EXIST FROM CNTRL SC INTO ERN NC. THESE STORMS ARE BEING
SUPPORTED BY AROUND 30 KT MIDLEVEL FLOW...BUT FLOW IN THE LOWEST FEW
KM IS WEAK. OTHER STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY FORM ACROSS NRN GA INTO SC
LATER TONIGHT AS THE AL SYSTEM CONTINUES NEWD...BUT BY THEN
INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO BE MORE MARGINAL FOR SEVERE STORMS WITH
LITTLE THREAT.

..JEWELL.. 08/19/2012

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KFWD [190018]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 190018
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
717 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0710 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 WSW FORT WORTH 32.74N 97.37W
08/18/2012 TARRANT TX PUBLIC

SEVERAL CARS STALLED AT W VICKERY AND CLOVER

$$

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KFWD [190014]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 190014
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
714 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0710 PM FLASH FLOOD 3. ESE DALLAS 32.75N 96.73W
08/18/2012 DALLAS TX BROADCAST MEDIA

SWIFT WATER RESCUE ONGOING NEAR I-30 AND SAMUEL. BOATS
ARE BEING LAUNCHED FURTHER SOUTH AT PARKDALE LAKE.

$$

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KVEF [190012]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 190012
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
509 PM PDT SAT AUG 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0504 PM HEAVY RAIN SE BEATTY 36.91N 116.76W
08/18/2012 E1.00 INCH NYE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTS 3 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING DOWN 2ND ST IN
BEATTY. ABOUT 1 INCH OF RAIN FELL IN THE HOUR FROM 4 TO 5
PM.


&&

$$

METZGER

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1788

ACUS11 KWNS 190004
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190003
TXZ000-190100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1788
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0703 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NWRN/WRN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 584...

VALID 190003Z - 190100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 584
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE SVR THREAT CONTINUES DECREASING ACROSS REMAINING VALID
PARTS OF WW584...WHICH SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE BY THE SCHEDULED
EXPIRATION TIME OF 02Z. ADDITIONAL WW ISSUANCE IS NOT NEEDED.

DISCUSSION...CAPPI DATA AT 9 KM INDICATE AN OVERALL WEAKENING TREND
OF ONGOING CONVECTION ACROSS THE ERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE WW AREA AS
OUTFLOW CONTINUES UNDERCUTTING CONVECTION AMIDST ONLY MODEST DEEP
SHEAR. NOCTURNAL STABILIZATION SHOULD REINFORCE THE WEAKENING TREND.
WHILE INTENSE STORMS DEVELOPING S/SW OF THE AMARILLO AREA MAY
TRANSITION SWD ACROSS WRN PARTS OF THE WW AREA...WITH ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE FARTHER SOUTH ALONG A WWD-SURGING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY OVER THE TX SOUTH PLAINS...ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AS LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES BECOME
INCREASINGLY POOR.

..COHEN.. 08/19/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

LAT...LON 32479784 32530045 33130165 33960233 34510241 34850200
34730126 33780082 33320002 33129853 33179751 32479784

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KHGX [190004]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHGX 190004
LSRHGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
704 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0617 PM TSTM WND DMG MAGNOLIA 30.21N 95.75W
08/18/2012 MONTGOMERY TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF FM 1774 AND FM 1488.



&&

$$

BLOOD

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 180559
SWODY1
SPC AC 180557

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1257 AM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS INTO THE ARKLATEX...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC/COASTAL CAROLINAS...

...SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE ERN TWO-THIRDS OF
THE CONUS ON SAT WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINING OVER THE WEST.
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY ENTERING THE NRN PLAINS WILL MOVE S/SE
ALONG THE WRN PORTION OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND INTO THE MO RIVER
VALLEY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE NE PAC WILL MOVE INLAND OVER
THE PAC NW/NRN CA.

AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT ACCOMPANYING THE CENTRAL U.S.
SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE SWD TO A POSITION FROM SERN NEB INTO THE TX
PANHANDLE BY 19/00Z...WHERE IT WILL INTERSECT A WARM FRONT EXTENDING
SEWD ALONG THE RED RIVER AND INTO THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE EWD OFF THE EAST COAST.

...CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS EWD TO ARKLATEX...
A WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE GENERAL VICINITY OF THE RED
RIVER AT 12Z SAT...WITH THE WWD PORTION LIFTING NWD DURING THE DAY
IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE POTENTIAL FOR
ON-GOING OR MORNING TSTM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS
ADDS SOME UNCERTAINTY TO THE AMOUNT OF NWD MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT
DURING THE DAY. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE COLD FRONT-WARM
FRONT INTERSECTION WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE BY 18Z
WITH THE WARM FRONT EXTENDING SEWD TOWARDS THE ARKLATEX.

TSTMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OR INTENSIFY NEAR THE COLD FRONT/WARM
FRONT INTERSECTION BY EARLY AFTN AND MOVE SEWD ALONG OR SOUTH OF THE
WARM FRONT. STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS WILL LEAD TO DEEP LAYER SHEAR
OF 40-50 KTS OVER WRN PORTIONS OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA WHICH WILL
SUPPORT SUPERCELL STRUCTURES INITIALLY... WITH TSTMS POTENTIALLY
EVOLVING INTO A SEWD-MOVING COMPLEX WITH TIME. OTHER SVR TSTMS MAY
DEVELOP FARTHER EAST ALONG THE WARM FRONT AND IN THE WARM SECTOR AIR
MASS TO THE SOUTH AS FORCING FOR ASCENT AND AREAS OF STRONG DIABATIC
HEATING ASSIST IN REMOVING CINH.

ADJUSTMENTS TO SVR PROBABILITIES ARE POSSIBLE WITH LATER OUTLOOKS AS
THE IMPACTS OF OVERNIGHT CONVECTION ARE ASSESSED.

...CAROLINAS/MID-ATLANTIC STATES...
DIURNAL HEATING SHOULD RESULT IN POCKETS OF MODERATE MLCAPE IN
ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT. ALTHOUGH STRONGER SHEAR WILL REMAIN WEST
OF THE HIGHEST INSTABILITY...IT SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR MULTICELL
TSTMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS DEPICT MID-LEVEL DRY AIR WHICH MAY ENHANCE DOWNDRAFT
STRENGTH/DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL WITH THE STRONGEST TSTMS.

...OR...
AS HEIGHT FALLS AND STRONGER FLOW ALOFT MOVE INLAND WITH THE UPPER
TROUGH...EXPECT ISOLATED/WIDELY SCT TSTMS TO DEVELOP WITHIN A DEEPLY
MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGEST TSTMS.

..BUNTING/COHEN.. 08/18/2012

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 180553
SWODY2
SPC AC 180552

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1252 AM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012

VALID 191200Z - 201200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN AMPLIFIED LARGE-SCALE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL PERSIST IN THE
CNTRL/ERN CONUS...CENTERED FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE ARKLATEX.
RUN-TO-RUN INCONSISTENCIES AND LARGE SPREAD EXIST IN GUIDANCE WITH
THE EVOLUTION OF AN EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE IMPULSE CENTERED OVER THE
MIDWEST AT 12Z/SUN...ALONG WITH THE ATTENDANT LOW-LEVEL MASS
RESPONSE ALONG A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT IN THE SOUTHEAST.

...GULF COAST TO THE SOUTHEAST...
THE AFOREMENTIONED ISSUES WITH GUIDANCE...NOTABLY THE 00Z NAM/GFS
DEPICTING A 60-90 M DIFFERENCE IN 850 MB HEIGHTS IN THE SRN
APPALACHIANS AT 20/06Z...BREED LOW CONFIDENCE IN IDENTIFYING A
CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK AREA ATTM. NEVERTHELESS...DOWNSTREAM OF THE
AMPLIFIED LARGE-SCALE TROUGH AND WITHIN THE RIGHT-REAR QUADRANT OF
AN UPPER-LEVEL JET CENTERED FROM THE TN VALLEY TO THE
NORTHEAST...ASCENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS
ALONG THE QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL ZONE THROUGH THE PERIOD. ALTHOUGH
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD LARGELY BE POOR...POCKETS OF STRONGER
DIURNAL HEATING AMIDST AT LEAST MODEST MID-LEVEL WLYS SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW SEMI-ORGANIZED CLUSTERS...PRIMARILY PRODUCING
LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS.

..GRAMS.. 08/18/2012

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KPSR [180536]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 180536
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1035 PM MST FRI AUG 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 ENE CIRCLE CITY 33.84N 112.52W
08/16/2012 MARICOPA AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

DELAYED REPORT... WATER RUNNING OVER ROADWAY AT
INTERSECTION OF 211TH AVE AND HIGHWAY 74

0950 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 NNW BEARDSLEY 33.75N 112.43W
08/16/2012 MARICOPA AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

DELAYED REPORT... WATER FLOWING OVER ROAD AT 170TH AVE
AND DIXILETA

1000 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 NNW BEARDSLEY 33.74N 112.43W
08/16/2012 MARICOPA AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

DELAYED REPORT... MULTIPLE CARS WASHED OFF ROAD NEAR
DALE LN AND 170TH AVE. MULTIPLE SWIFT WATER RESCUES


&&

EVENT NUMBER PSR1200249
EVENT NUMBER PSR1200250
EVENT NUMBER PSR1200251

$$

LEINS

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KREV [180530]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KREV 180530
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1029 PM PDT FRI AUG 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0251 PM DEBRIS FLOW EBBETTS PASS 38.54N 119.81W
08/17/2012 ALPINE CA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

CALIFORNIA HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED A DEBRIS FLOW OVER
STATE ROUTE 4 NEAR EBBETTS PASS.

0316 PM DEBRIS FLOW 8 SE GARDNERVILLE 38.86N 119.63W
08/17/2012 DOUGLAS NV TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED LARGE ROCKS COVERING HIGHWAY 395
NEAR THE RAY MAY BURN SCAR. DOUGLAS COUNTY SHERIFF
REPORTED HIGHWAY 395 IS CLOSED IN THE AREA AND THAT HEAVY
EQUIPMENT WILL BE NEEDED TO MOVE THE ROCKS.


&&

$$

HOON

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KLZK [180445]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KLZK 180445
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1145 PM CDT FRI AUG 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 PM HAIL SULPHUR SPRINGS 34.18N 92.13W
08/17/2012 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON AR FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN SULPHUR
SPRINGS. CORRECT TIME WAS 1130 PM CDT AND NOT 1103 PM CDT
AS PREVIOUSLY SENT OUT.


&&

$$

CDALTON

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KLZK [180436]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLZK 180436
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1136 PM CDT FRI AUG 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1103 PM HAIL SULPHUR SPRINGS 34.18N 92.13W
08/17/2012 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON AR FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN SULPHUR
SPRINGS.


&&

$$

CDALTON

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KFWD [180409]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 180409
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1109 PM CDT FRI AUG 17 2012

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1015 PM HAIL PLANO 33.02N 96.72W
08/17/2012 E0.88 INCH COLLIN TX AMATEUR RADIO

NICKEL HAIL AT INDEPENDENCE PKWY AND LEGACY DRIVE IN
PLANO

$$

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