KSHV [020157]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 020157
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
756 PM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0115 AM FLASH FLOOD ELYSIAN FIELDS 32.37N 94.18W
10/30/2009 HARRISON TX PUBLIC

HIGHWAY 31 NEAR ELYSIAN FIELDS COVERED IN HIGH WATER.
NUMEROUS COUNTY ROADS FLOODED AS WELL.

&&

$$

15

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 020051
SWODY1
SPC AC 020049

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0649 PM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

VALID 020100Z - 021200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

WATER VAPOR SHOWS A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN PLACE ACROSS THE NRN
TWO-THIRDS OF THE CONUS. AT THE SFC...AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IS
LOCATED IN THE OH VALLEY. IN RESPONSE...NLY FLOW IS IN PLACE ACROSS
THE TN VALLEY AND GULF COAST STATES. THIS HAS CONFINED LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE TO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WHERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO NOT FORECAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE CONUS.

..BROYLES.. 11/02/2009

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KSHV [012358]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 012358
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
558 PM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM TORNADO EMERSON 33.10N 93.20W
10/29/2009 COLUMBIA AR NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR THE TOWN OF EMERSON.
SEVERAL TREES WERE DOWNED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HWY 79
AND CR 26. THE STORM THEN CROSSED HWY 79 AND MOVED
NORTHEAST. SPORADIC TREE DAMAGE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
TORNADO WAS OBSERVED JUST EAST OF HWY 79 TO JUST NORTH OF
HWY 98. WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75-85 MPH. PATH LENGTH
WAS 3 MILES AND PATH WIDTH WAS 75 YARDS.

&&

$$

MBERRY

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KSHV [012355]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 012355
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
554 PM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0649 PM TORNADO 10 SE HAYNESVILLE 32.86N 93.02W
10/29/2009 CLAIBORNE LA NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN SOUTHEAST OF HAYNESVILLE. THE
TORNADO FIRST TOUCHED DOWN JUST SOUTH OF OLD COLQUITT
ROAD ON FIRE DISTRICT ROAD 910 OR ABOUT 3 MILES SOUTH OF
HWY 2. AFTER THE INITIAL TOUCHDOWN...THE TORNADO MOVED
NORTH...CROSSING HWY 2. SPORADIC TREE DAMAGE WAS FOUND UP
TO HOLLY RIDGE ROAD BEFORE DISSIPATION. WINDS WERE
ESTIMATED AT 75-85 MPH. PATH LENGTH WAS 5 MILES AND PATH
WIDTH WAS 75 YARDS.

&&

$$

MBERRY

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KSHV [012351]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 012351
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
550 PM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0633 PM TORNADO MAGNOLIA 33.27N 93.24W
10/29/2009 COLUMBIA AR NWS STORM SURVEY

ANOTHER EF1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE OF
TOWN NEAR CR 61 JUST EAST OF CR 431 OR ABOUT 1 AND 1/2
MILE EAST OF HWY 79. SOME ROOF DAMAGE WAS OBSERVED TO ONE
HOME AND A TREE FELL ON ONE VEHICLE. AFTER THE INITIAL
TOUCHDOWN...SPORADIC TREE DAMAGE WAS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
TORNADO JUST EAST OF CR 61 TO JUST NORTH OF CR 75. WINDS
WERE ESTIMATED AT 80-90 MPH. PATH LENGTH WAS 7.5 MILES
AND PATH WIDTH WAS 100 YARDS.

&&

$$

MBERRY

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KSHV [012345]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 012345
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
545 PM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0539 PM TORNADO MAGNOLIA 33.27N 93.24W
10/29/2009 COLUMBIA AR NWS STORM SURVEY

*** 1 INJ *** ANOTHER EF1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ON THE
NORTHEAST SIDE OF TOWN. THIS TORNADO UPROOTED AND SNAPPED
SEVERAL TREES. THE DAMAGE WAS FIRST NOTED ON CR 47 ABOUT
1/4 MILE EAST OF HWY 79. SOME SIGNIFICANT TO MAJOR DAMAGE
WAS OBSERVED TO MOBILE HOMES AND POWERLINES AND POLES
WERE SNAPPED. A RESIDENTIAL SHOP WAS ALSO DAMAGED BY
FALLEN TREES. WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95-105 MPH. THE
PATH LENGTH WAS 1.5 MILES AND THE PATH WIDTH WAS 100
YARDS.

&&

$$

MBERRY

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KSHV [012341]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 012341
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
540 PM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0534 PM TORNADO MAGNOLIA 33.27N 93.24W
10/29/2009 COLUMBIA AR NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN MAGNOLIA ARKANSAS. THE
TORNADO UPROOTED SEVERAL TREES AND SOME MINOR DAMAGE WAS
NOTED TO HOMES AT THE INTERSTECTION OF SOUTH WASHINGTON
AND HAMPTON DRIVE. ONE BUSINESS IN DOWNTOWN MAGNOLIA HAD
ITS SIGN BLOWN OUT. WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80-90 MPH.
THE PATH LENGHT WAS 1.5 MILES AND THE PATH WIDTH WAS 100
YARDS.

&&

$$

MBERRY

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KSHV [012259]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 012259
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
459 PM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0227 PM TORNADO 11 S SCOTTSVILLE 32.38N 94.25W
10/29/2009 HARRISON TX NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO OCCURRED NORTHWEST OF ELYSIAN FIELDS TEXAS
ALONG WOODLEY ROAD. SEVERAL TREES WERE UPROOTED AND
SNAPPED ALONG A PATH THAT WAS 75 YARDS WIDE AND 1.5 MILES
LONG. THE TORNADO WAS ON THE GROUND FOR APPROXIMATELY 2
MINUTES.

&&

$$

04

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KILX [012118]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 012118
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
318 PM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 AM FLOOD 7 SW MOUNT PULASKI 39.94N 89.38W
10/31/2009 LOGAN IL EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 FATAL *** A 97 YEAR OLD MAN DROVE THROUGH 1.5 FEET
OF WATER NEAR LAKE FORK CREEK ON 1225TH AVE SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 54 AROUND 1130 CDT ON SATURDAY OCT 31 AND HIS CAR
WAS TAKEN 200 YARDS FROM THE ROAD INTO 5 FEET OF WATER.
WATER RESCUE ATTEMPTED BUT HE DIED FROM DROWNING AROUND 2
PM SATURDAY OCT 31 AT A SPRINGFIELD HOSPITAL.

&&

$$

HUETTL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 011941
SWODY1
SPC AC 011940

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0140 PM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

VALID 012000Z - 021200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
TSTMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

..GUYER.. 11/01/2009

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1021 AM CST SUN NOV 01 2009/

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KSHV [011828]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 011828
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1227 PM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0628 PM TORNADO 4 W STONEWALL 32.26N 93.89W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO OCCURRED ALONG PRESTON ROAD WEST OF
STONEWALL LA. SEVERAL TREES WERE SNAPPED AND UPROOTED
NORTH OF PRESTON ROAD IN A FOREST AND IN A FIELD. THE
TORNADO WAS APPROXIMATELY 100 YARDS WIDE AND 0.5 MILES
LONG AND ON THE GROUND FOR 1 MINUTE.

&&

$$

04

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KSHV [011824]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 011824
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1224 PM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0604 PM TORNADO 4 SE VIVIAN 32.83N 93.95W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA NWS STORM SURVEY

*** 1 FATAL *** AN EF0 TORNADO OCCURRED ALONG HWY 170
SOUTHEAST OF VIVIAN. SEVERAL TREES WERE SNAPPED AND
UPROOTED IN THE WOODED AREAS ALONG THE HWY. THE FATALITY
IS CONSIDERED INDIRECT AND RESULTED FROM THEIR CAR
HITTING ONE OF THE DOWNED TREES ACROSS HWY 170. THE
TORNADO WAS 75 YARDS WIDE...0.5 MILES LONG AND ON THE
GROUND FOR 1 MINUTE.

&&

$$

04

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KSHV [011818]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 011818
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1218 PM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0552 PM TORNADO 2 SSE OIL CITY 32.71N 93.96W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO OCCURRED SOUTHEAST OF OIL CITY NEAR THE
INTERSECTIONS OF HWY 1 AND STATE RT 538. SEVERAL TREES
WERE UPROOTED ALONG THE 75 YARD WIDE AND 0.5 MILE LONG
TRACK. THE TORNADO WAS ON THE GROUND FOR APPROXIMATELY 1
MINUTE.

&&

$$

04

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KSHV [011813]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 011813
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1212 PM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0325 PM TORNADO 5 SSW BELCHER 32.69N 93.86W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO OCCURRED SOUTHWEST OF BELCHER LA ALONG
HAYGOOD ROAD AND DIXIE MOORINGSPORT ROAD. SEVERAL TREES
WERE SNAPPED AND UPROOTED ALONG A TREELINE IN A FIELD.
THE TORNADO WAS APPROXIMATELY 100 YARDS WIDE...1 MILE
LONG AND ON THE GROUND 1 MINUTE.

&&

$$

04

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KSHV [011806]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 011806
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1205 PM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0316 PM TORNADO 2 SSW BLANCHARD 32.57N 93.90W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO OCCURRED SOUTHWEST OF BLANCHARD LOUISIANA
ALONG BLANCHARD-FURRH ROAD. SEVERAL TREES WERE SNAPPED
AND UPROOTED NORTH OF THE ROAD IN A FORESTED AREA. THE
TORNADO CONTINUED NORTHEAST ACROSS BLANCHARD LATEX ROAD
UPROOTING A COUPLE TREES. THE TORNADO ENDED ALONG STATE
RT 173 NORTH OF BLANCHARD WHERE SEVERAL LARGE BRANCHES
WERE BROKEN. THE TRACK WAS 75 YARDS WIDE...3 MILES LONG
AND ON THE GROUND FOR 3 MINUTES.

&&

$$

04

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KGRR [011722]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 011722
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1221 PM EST SUN NOV 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 WSW CANNONSBURG 43.04N 85.52W
10/31/2009 M3.51 INCH KENT MI NWS EMPLOYEE

THIS TOTAL WAS FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING.

&&

$$

WFELVER

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 011656
SWODY2
SPC AC 011655

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1055 AM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
LARGE SCALE PATTERN OVER THE CONUS WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY INTO
MONDAY...HIGHLIGHTED BY A DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH EAST OF THE MS
RIVER. WITH STABLE CONDITIONS/CONTINENTAL TRAJECTORIES OVER THE
MAJORITY OF THE COUNTRY...OVERALL TSTM POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN
VIRTUALLY NIL. SOME LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
ATLANTIC WATERS OFFSHORE FL IN VICINITY OF A DECAYING SURFACE
FRONT...BUT INLAND TSTM POTENTIAL APPEARS LOW GIVEN MODEST
CONVERGENCE/POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES.

..GUYER.. 11/01/2009

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 011622
SWODY1
SPC AC 011621

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1021 AM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

VALID 011630Z - 021200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
..EVANS.. 11/01/2009

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KCAR [011542]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCAR 011542
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1041 AM EST SUN NOV 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 20 W HOULTON 46.13N 68.26W
10/31/2009 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

MORO PLANTATION TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ON RT. 11

0830 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MONTICELLO 46.31N 67.84W
10/31/2009 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN

0830 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 N PORTAGE 46.84N 68.48W
10/31/2009 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWERLINE DOWN IN T14R6

0830 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG CARIBOU 46.86N 68.01W
10/31/2009 AROOSTOOK ME NWS EMPLOYEE

TREE DOWN ON RESERVOIR STREET

0830 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MADAWASKA 47.36N 68.32W
10/31/2009 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

SIGNS KNOCKED OVER

0830 PM DOWNBURST ALLAGASH 47.08N 69.04W
10/31/2009 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWERLINE DOWN

0830 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG FORT KENT 47.26N 68.59W
10/31/2009 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE AND POWER LINES DOWN

0830 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 10 SW FORT KENT 47.16N 68.74W
10/31/2009 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN IN SAINT JOHN

0830 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PEMBROKE 44.95N 67.16W
10/31/2009 WASHINGTON ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

LIMB DOWN ON POWER LINE

0830 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ELLSWORTH 44.54N 68.42W
10/31/2009 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER POLE FIRE

0830 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ATKINSON 45.16N 69.08W
10/31/2009 PISCATAQUIS ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE FELL ONTO POWER LINES.

&&

$$

MATTD

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KMLB [011319]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 011319
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
818 AM EST SUN NOV 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM RIP CURRENTS ORMOND BEACH 29.28N 81.06W
10/31/2009 VOLUSIA FL NEWSPAPER

*** 1 FATAL *** DAYTONA BEACH NEWS-JOURNAL REPORTS 1 MAN
DROWNED DUE TO RIP CURRENTS AT ORMOND BEACH ON SATURDAY

&&

$$

DVD

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 011214
SWODY1
SPC AC 011213

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0613 AM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

VALID 011300Z - 021200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE UNITED
STATES TODAY...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE CAROLINA COAST INTO FL.
HERE...DESPITE A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER...POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
AND WEAK FORCING SHOULD PRECLUDE ANYTHING MORE THAN AN ISOLATED
LIGHTNING STRIKE. THEREFORE...NO ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM AREAS ARE
FORECAST FOR TODAY.

..HART/SMITH.. 11/01/2009

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 010824
SWOD48
SPC AC 010823

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0223 AM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

VALID 041200Z - 091200Z

...SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS LOW OR NEGLIGIBLE THRU THIS PERIOD...

DEVELOPING PERTURBATIONS WITHIN...AND INTERACTION AMONG...BELTS OF
STRONGER WESTERLIES WITHIN AN EVOLVING SPLIT UPPER FLOW REMAIN A
SOURCE OF LARGE VARIABILITY AMONG THE MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST MODELS
AND ENSEMBLES. HOWEVER...THERE REMAINS LITTLE INDICATION OF
SIGNIFICANT POTENTIAL FOR A SUBSTANTIVE RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE OFF
THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN UNITED STATES
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. AS LONG AS THIS REMAINS THE CASE...CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN LOW.

..KERR.. 11/01/2009

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 010638
SWODY3
SPC AC 010637

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0137 AM CDT SUN NOV 01 2009

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE LITTLE CHANGE TO THE UPPER FLOW PATTERN ACROSS THE
U.S. FROM MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...WITH LARGE-SCALE RIDGING PERSISTING
WITHIN THE MAIN BELT OF WESTERLIES ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES...AND
LARGE-SCALE TROUGHING IN THE EAST. A LEAD FRONTAL ZONE APPEARS
LIKELY TO ADVANCE TO THE SOUTH/EAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...AIDED
BY A REINFORCING LOW-LEVEL COOL/DRY INTRUSION ASSOCIATED WITH A
SIGNIFICANT IMPULSE PROGRESSING THROUGH THE CYCLONIC REGIME.
GENERALLY STABLE CONDITIONS WILL BE MAINTAINED ...WITH MINIMAL
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL.

..KERR.. 11/01/2009

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 010455
SWODY1
SPC AC 010454

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1154 PM CDT SAT OCT 31 2009

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DISCUSSION...

LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE U.S. WILL
MAINTAIN OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE GULF AND THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD
RESULTING IN DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS INLAND WITH VERY LOW
POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS.

..DIAL/GARNER.. 11/01/2009

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 010449
SWODY2
SPC AC 010448

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1148 PM CDT SAT OCT 31 2009

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT THE UPPER PATTERN ACROSS THE U.S.
WILL UNDERGO SOME AMPLIFICATION DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. WITHIN
ONE STREAM OF THE PREVAILING SPLIT UPPER FLOW...A VIGOROUS SHORT
WAVE IMPULSE IS PROGGED TO DIG SOUTHEAST OF THE ALEUTIANS...
...BEFORE EVOLVING INTO A CLOSED LOW OVER THE EAST CENTRAL PACIFIC
NEAR 150W LONGITUDE. AS THIS OCCURS...BROAD DOWNSTREAM RIDGING WILL
TEND TO BUILD NORTHWARD/SHARPEN NEAR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
COAST...BUT IT NOW APPEARS THAT THIS COULD BE SUPPRESSED SOMEWHAT BY
PERTURBATIONS PROGRESSING THROUGH A COUPLE OF SLIGHTLY HIGHER
LATITUDE BRANCHES OF STRONGER FLOW. AT THE SAME TIME...A PROMINENT
SHORT WAVE IMPULSE WITHIN ONE OF THESE STREAMS IS ALREADY EXPECTED
TO BE IN THE PROCESS OF DIGGING THROUGH ONTARIO AND PARTS OF THE
UPPER MIDWEST...CONTRIBUTING TO LARGER SCALE TROUGH AMPLIFICATION
OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN STATES. GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THIS
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF COOL/DRY INTRUSIONS TO
THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES... REINFORCING GENERALLY STABLE CONDITIONS
ALREADY PREVALENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION.

...FLORIDA PENINSULA...
MOISTURE FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORM FORMATION LIKELY WILL EXIST NEAR
A REMNANT SURFACE FRONT ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. HOWEVER...THE
CONTINUING PRESENCE OF A RELATIVELY WARM MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS
EXPECTED TO SUPPRESS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN THE ABSENCE OF STRONGER
LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION. A FEW STORMS MAY BE
POSSIBLE MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT IN OFFSHORE WATERS...BUT THE RISK OVER
INLAND AREAS SEEMS NEGLIGIBLE AT THE PRESENT TIME.

..KERR.. 11/01/2009

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KBYZ [010402]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KBYZ 010402
LSRBYZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
1001 PM MDT SAT OCT 31 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0137 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 SW NYE 45.40N 109.89W
10/31/2009 M77.00 MPH STILLWATER MT TRAINED SPOTTER

CORRECTED FROM EARLIER REPORT OF 109 MPH

&&

$$

RYANL

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