Saturday, January 5, 2013

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 060449
SWODY2
SPC AC 060448

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1048 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN ROCKIES/TX...

LATEST SHORT RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE...SPECIFICALLY THE 06/00Z
NAM...SUGGEST SWRN U.S. DIGGING UPPER LOW WILL BE CONSIDERABLY
FARTHER WEST ACROSS NRN MEXICO AT THE END OF THE DAY2 PERIOD THAN
EARLIER FORECAST. WITH MORE MEANINGFUL HEIGHT FALLS NOT EXPECTED TO
SPREAD INTO SOUTH TX UNTIL LATER IN THE DAY3 PERIOD IT APPEARS WEAK
WARM ADVECTION WILL BE THE PRIMARY FORCING MECHANISM FOR CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT ALONG/NORTH OF ADVANCING COASTAL/WARM FRONT. AT THIS
TIME IT APPEARS THE PROSPECT FOR SEVERE SFC-BASED TSTM ACTIVITY WILL
BE TOO LOW TO WARRANT SEVERE PROBS ALONG THE LOWER TX COAST AS
EARLIER INDICATED.

ISOLATED/SCT TSTMS MAY DEVELOP WITHIN EXIT REGION OF DIGGING JET
NEAR THE MEXICAN BORDER ACROSS SERN AZ/SRN NM INTO FAR WEST TX AS
STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES SPREAD ACROSS THIS REGION.
OTHERWISE ELEVATED BUOYANCY IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF
CNTRL/SCNTRL TX ATOP MODIFYING BOUNDARY LAYER AIRMASS. WHILE CLOUD
LAYER SHEAR WILL BE MORE THAN ADEQUATE FOR SUSTAINED ROTATING
UPDRAFTS ACROSS TX FORECAST ELEVATED INSTABILITY DOES NOT APPEAR
ADEQUATE TO WARRANT SEVERE PROBS AT THIS TIME...ALTHOUGH SMALL HAIL
COULD ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST UPDRAFTS.

..DARROW.. 01/06/2013

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KIWX [060354]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 060354
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1054 PM EST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1054 PM SNOW 3 S SAINT JOSEPH 42.07N 86.47W
01/05/2013 M0.5 INCH BERRIEN MI TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL THIS EVENING


&&

$$

SKIPPER

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGRR [060325]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 060325
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1025 PM EST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1018 PM SNOW 3 ESE LANSING 42.72N 84.49W
01/05/2013 M1.0 INCH INGHAM MI TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JMAPLES

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGRR [060320]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 060320
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1020 PM EST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1008 PM SNOW BATTLE CREEK 42.32N 85.19W
01/05/2013 M1.0 INCH CALHOUN MI TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JMAPLES

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLOT [060232]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 060232
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
832 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM SNOW TINLEY PARK 41.57N 87.80W
01/05/2013 E0.5 INCH COOK IL PUBLIC

ESTIMATED SNOW TOTAL FOR THE DAY ON GRASSY SURFACES. ONLY
ABOUT 0.25 INCHES COLLECTED ON THE PAVEMENT.


&&

$$

RC

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 060045
SWODY1
SPC AC 060043

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0643 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

VALID 060100Z - 061200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CALIFORNIA...
A CLOSED MID-LEVEL LOW IS IN THE PROCESS OF FORMING WITHIN A
SIGNIFICANT UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING THE CALIFORNIA COAST. MODELS
SUGGEST THAT THE -30C 500 MB COLD CORE WILL OVERSPREAD AREAS BETWEEN
SAN FRANCISCO BAY AND POINT CONCEPTION BETWEEN 08-12Z. IT DOES
APPEAR THAT LOWER TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES WILL STEEPEN ENOUGH FOR
AT LEAST VERY WEAK CAPE AND SCATTERED CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT...PERHAPS EVEN INLAND ACROSS THE COASTAL RANGES INTO THE
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. VERTICAL DEVELOPMENT
THROUGH THE MIXED PHASE LAYER FAVORABLE FOR CHARGE SEPARATION AND
LIGHTNING MAY NOT BE COMPLETELY OUT OF THE QUESTION. BUT...GIVEN
THE APPARENT MARGINAL NATURE OF THE CONDITIONS...PROBABILITIES FOR
THUNDERSTORMS STILL APPEAR BELOW THE MINIMUM 10 PERCENT THRESHOLD
FOR A CATEGORICAL THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK.

..KERR.. 01/06/2013

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLOT [060018]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 060018
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
618 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0556 PM SNOW ZION 42.46N 87.84W
01/05/2013 M0.3 INCH LAKE IL PUBLIC

VERY WET SNOW.


&&

$$

RC

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLOT [052327]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 052327
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
527 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM SNOW NORTHBROOK 42.13N 87.83W
01/05/2013 M0.3 INCH COOK IL AMATEUR RADIO

0.04 INCH WATER EQUIVALENT. SOME SLUSH ON LIGHTLY
TRAVELED SIDE STREETS.


&&

$$

RC

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLOT [052321]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 052321
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
520 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM SNOW GRANT PARK 41.24N 87.64W
01/05/2013 E0.5 INCH KANKAKEE IL PUBLIC

SNOW DID NOT STICK TO THE ROADS.


&&

$$

RRC

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLOT [052314]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 052314
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
514 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0507 PM SNOW 1 NW NAPERVILLE 41.77N 88.17W
01/05/2013 M0.5 INCH DUPAGE IL COCORAHS

SNOW TOTAL THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW BEGINNING TO COMPACT AND
MELT.


&&

$$

RRC

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLOT [052249]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KLOT 052249
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
449 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0159 PM SNOW PONTIAC 40.88N 88.64W
01/05/2013 M0.6 INCH LIVINGSTON IL PUBLIC

0230 PM SNOW ENE PEOTONE 41.33N 87.80W
01/05/2013 M0.3 INCH WILL IL COCORAHS

0238 PM SNOW 3 NW KANKAKEE 41.15N 87.90W
01/05/2013 M0.8 INCH KANKAKEE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW FELL IN 45 MINUTES.

0315 PM SNOW 2 E SCHAUMBURG 42.03N 88.04W
01/05/2013 M0.3 INCH COOK IL COCORAHS

0.3 INCH OF ACCUMULATION ON GRASS. TRACE ON PAVEMENT.

0350 PM SNOW OAK BROOK 41.84N 87.95W
01/05/2013 M0.3 INCH DUPAGE IL CO-OP OBSERVER

0356 PM SNOW ST. CHARLES 41.92N 88.30W
01/05/2013 E0.3 INCH KANE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

LIQUID CONTENT MEASURED 0.03 INCHES.

0400 PM SNOW OHARE AIRPORT 41.98N 87.90W
01/05/2013 M0.4 INCH COOK IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS

SNOW TOTAL 0.4 INCHES THROUGH 400 PM CST.

0430 PM SNOW ROMEOVILLE 41.65N 88.09W
01/05/2013 M0.4 INCH WILL IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS

SNOW TOTAL 0.4 INCHES THROUGH 430 PM CST.

0434 PM SNOW 3 SW MIDWAY AIRPORT 41.75N 87.79W
01/05/2013 M0.1 INCH COOK IL CO-OP OBSERVER

0.1 INCH OF SNOW. 0.01 LIQUID. TRACE OF SNOW ON GROUND.


&&

$$

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLOT [052245]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 052245
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
445 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM SNOW ROMEOVILLE 41.65N 88.09W
01/05/2013 M0.4 INCH WILL IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS

SNOW TOTAL 0.4 INCHES THROUGH 430 PM CST.


&&

$$

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLOT [052237]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 052237
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
435 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0434 PM SNOW 3 SW MIDWAY AIRPORT 41.75N 87.79W
01/05/2013 M0.1 INCH COOK IL CO-OP OBSERVER

0.1 INCH OF SNOW. 0.01 LIQUID. TRACE OF SNOW ON GROUND.


&&

$$

RATZER

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLOT [052203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 052203
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
403 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM SNOW OHARE AIRPORT 41.98N 87.90W
01/05/2013 M0.4 INCH COOK IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS

SNOW TOTAL 0.4 INCHES THROUGH 400 PM CST.


&&

$$

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLOT [052158]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 052158
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
358 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0356 PM SNOW ST. CHARLES 41.92N 88.30W
01/05/2013 E0.3 INCH KANE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

LIQUID CONTENT MEASURED 0.03 INCHES.


&&

$$

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLOT [052155]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 052155
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
355 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 PM SNOW OAK BROOK 41.84N 87.95W
01/05/2013 M0.3 INCH DUPAGE IL CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLOT [052123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 052123
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
323 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM SNOW 2 E SCHAUMBURG 42.03N 88.04W
01/05/2013 M0.3 INCH COOK IL COCORAHS

0.3 INCH OF ACCUMULATION ON GRASS. TRACE ON PAVEMENT.


&&

$$

RATZER

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLOT [052046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 052046
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
246 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 PM SNOW ENE PEOTONE 41.33N 87.80W
01/05/2013 M0.3 INCH WILL IL COCORAHS


&&

$$

CM

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLOT [052041]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 052041
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
241 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0238 PM SNOW 3 NW KANKAKEE 41.15N 87.90W
01/05/2013 M0.8 INCH KANKAKEE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW FELL IN 45 MINUTES.


&&

$$

CM

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KPDT [052022]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 052022
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
1222 PM PST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM SNOW 3 WNW CITY OF THE DALLE 45.62N 121.22W
01/05/2013 E2.0 INCH WASCO OR TRAINED SPOTTER

HAS RECEIVED 2 INCHES SNOW IN PAST 2 HOURS. STILL SNOWING
AND 33 DEGREES.


&&

$$

AA

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 052013
SWODY1
SPC AC 052011

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0211 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

VALID 052000Z - 061200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

NO CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS OUTLOOK.

..JEWELL.. 01/05/2013

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0948 AM CST SAT JAN 05 2013/

...SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN WILL REMAIN AMPLIFIED AND PROGRESSIVE
THROUGH THE D1 PERIOD. A MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE LOWER MO
VALLEY WILL EVOLVE INTO AN OPEN WAVE WHILE DE-AMPLIFYING OVER THE OH
VALLEY INTO LOWER GREAT LAKES. THIS PROCESS WILL OCCUR IN ADVANCE
OF AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING SEWD INTO THE UPPER AND MID
MS VALLEYS. FARTHER W...A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE FAR ERN
PACIFIC WILL DEVELOP INTO A CLOSED LOW WHILE MOVING ONTO THE CA
COAST TONIGHT.

12Z CRP/BRO SOUNDINGS SHOWED THE PRESENCE OF WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS BASED ABOVE A LOW-LEVEL INVERSION EXTENDING UPWARD INTO THE
900-800-MB LAYER. HOWEVER...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE SUGGEST THAT THE STRONGER FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE CNTRL U.S. TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EWD/NEWD AWAY FROM
THE AXIS OF WEAK INSTABILITY TODAY. AS SUCH...THE GENERAL TSTM AREA
HAS BEEN REMOVED FROM S TX AND THE TX COASTAL PLAINS.

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLOT [052000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 052000
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
200 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0159 PM SNOW PONTIAC 40.88N 88.64W
01/05/2013 M0.6 INCH LIVINGSTON IL PUBLIC


&&

$$

CM

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KEPZ [051731]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEPZ 051731
LSREPZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
1031 AM MST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1025 AM SNOW CLOUDCROFT 32.96N 105.74W
01/04/2013 M3.0 INCH OTERO NM TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS 3 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUM. FRIDAY.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EPZ1300053

$$

JMP

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 051714
SWODY2
SPC AC 051713

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1113 AM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL PERSIST ON SUNDAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH
MOVES FROM THE OH VALLEY TO THE E COAST...AND A STRONG UPPER LOW
DROPS SWD ACROSS CA AND THE SRN GREAT BASIN.

AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK FRONT WILL EXTEND ACROSS CNTRL FL...WHERE
MID TO UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS WILL EXIST FOR WEAK INSTABILITY. DAYTIME
HEATING AND WEAK FORCING SHOULD ALLOW FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS DURING
THE DAY...BUT WEAK LAPSE RATES AND INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY
SEVERE THREAT...DESPITE STRONG MID TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW.

ELSEWHERE...AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE CANNOT BE RULED OUT ALONG
THE CNTRL/SRN CA COAST AS COLD AIR WITH THE UPPER LOW DROPS
SEWD...BUT COVERAGE DOES NOT APPEAR TO WARRANT A TEN PERCENT
PROBABILITY OF THUNDER AT THIS TIME.

..JEWELL.. 01/05/2013

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMEG [051614]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMEG 051614
LSRMEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1014 AM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 AM SNOW POCAHONTAS 36.26N 90.97W
01/05/2013 U0.0 INCH RANDOLPH AR TRAINED SPOTTER

LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET FALLING FOR THE PAST 30 MINUTES.

1010 AM SLEET POCAHONTAS 36.26N 90.97W
01/05/2013 U0.00 INCH RANDOLPH AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

THE RANDOLPH COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTS LIGHT SNOW
AND SLEET OCCURRING ACROSS THE COUNTY. THERE WERE NO
REPORTS OF HAZARDOUS TRAVEL AT THIS TIME.


&&

$$

JLH

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 051551
SWODY1
SPC AC 051548

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0948 AM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

VALID 051630Z - 061200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN WILL REMAIN AMPLIFIED AND PROGRESSIVE
THROUGH THE D1 PERIOD. A MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE LOWER MO
VALLEY WILL EVOLVE INTO AN OPEN WAVE WHILE DE-AMPLIFYING OVER THE OH
VALLEY INTO LOWER GREAT LAKES. THIS PROCESS WILL OCCUR IN ADVANCE
OF AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING SEWD INTO THE UPPER AND MID
MS VALLEYS. FARTHER W...A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE FAR ERN
PACIFIC WILL DEVELOP INTO A CLOSED LOW WHILE MOVING ONTO THE CA
COAST TONIGHT.

12Z CRP/BRO SOUNDINGS SHOWED THE PRESENCE OF WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS BASED ABOVE A LOW-LEVEL INVERSION EXTENDING UPWARD INTO THE
900-800-MB LAYER. HOWEVER...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE SUGGEST THAT THE STRONGER FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE CNTRL U.S. TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EWD/NEWD AWAY FROM
THE AXIS OF WEAK INSTABILITY TODAY. AS SUCH...THE GENERAL TSTM AREA
HAS BEEN REMOVED FROM S TX AND THE TX COASTAL PLAINS.

..MEAD/JIRAK.. 01/05/2013

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KSJT [051514]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KSJT 051514
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
912 AM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 AM SNOW DYESS AFB 32.42N 99.86W
01/04/2013 E1.0 INCH TAYLOR TX PUBLIC

0600 AM SNOW ABILENE 32.45N 99.73W
01/04/2013 M1.0 INCH TAYLOR TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0600 AM SNOW 5 SW SAN ANGELO 31.38N 100.49W
01/04/2013 M2.8 INCH TOM GREEN TX NWS OFFICE

0645 AM SNOW BANGS 31.71N 99.13W
01/04/2013 E3.0 INCH BROWN TX PUBLIC

0645 AM SNOW MAY 31.98N 98.92W
01/04/2013 M2.8 INCH BROWN TX PUBLIC

0700 AM SNOW CARLSBAD 31.60N 100.63W
01/04/2013 M5.1 INCH TOM GREEN TX PUBLIC

COCORAHS

0700 AM SNOW KNICKERBOCKER 31.27N 100.62W
01/04/2013 M2.3 INCH TOM GREEN TX PUBLIC

COCORAHS

0700 AM SNOW 4 W SAN ANGELO 31.45N 100.52W
01/04/2013 M4.5 INCH TOM GREEN TX NWS EMPLOYEE

0700 AM SNOW SANTA ANNA 31.74N 99.32W
01/04/2013 M1.5 INCH COLEMAN TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW ROSCOE 32.45N 100.54W
01/04/2013 M1.3 INCH NOLAN TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 5 NNE BRONTE 31.96N 100.27W
01/04/2013 M5.1 INCH COKE TX PUBLIC

COCORAHS

0700 AM SNOW 6 NNE SILVER VALLEY 32.04N 99.52W
01/04/2013 M2.5 INCH COLEMAN TX PUBLIC

COCORAHS REPORT FROM LAKE COLEMAN AREA

0700 AM SNOW STERLING CITY 31.84N 100.98W
01/04/2013 M3.7 INCH STERLING TX PUBLIC

COCORAHS

0700 AM SNOW SONORA 30.57N 100.64W
01/04/2013 M1.0 INCH SUTTON TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW ROBERT LEE 31.89N 100.48W
01/04/2013 M3.0 INCH COKE TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 12 NNW MERTZON 31.42N 100.89W
01/04/2013 M4.9 INCH IRION TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW WINGATE 32.04N 100.11W
01/04/2013 M3.0 INCH RUNNELS TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW TANKERSLEY 31.35N 100.64W
01/04/2013 M4.5 INCH TOM GREEN TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0718 AM SNOW GRAPE CREEK 31.58N 100.55W
01/04/2013 M3.8 INCH TOM GREEN TX PUBLIC

0724 AM SNOW 5 W SAN ANGELO 31.45N 100.54W
01/04/2013 M5.5 INCH TOM GREEN TX NWS EMPLOYEE

0724 AM SNOW 12 S BAIRD 32.22N 99.40W
01/04/2013 E3.0 INCH CALLAHAN TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0725 AM SNOW MERTZON 31.26N 100.82W
01/04/2013 E4.5 INCH IRION TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

0728 AM SNOW PAINT ROCK 31.51N 99.93W
01/04/2013 E3.0 INCH CONCHO TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0729 AM SNOW 5 SW SAN ANGELO 31.38N 100.49W
01/04/2013 M2.8 INCH TOM GREEN TX NWS OFFICE

0729 AM SNOW BROWNWOOD 31.71N 98.99W
01/04/2013 E2.0 INCH BROWN TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0730 AM SNOW 11 NE SAN ANGELO 31.56N 100.32W
01/04/2013 M3.2 INCH TOM GREEN TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0730 AM SNOW 4 N WATER VALLEY 31.73N 100.72W
01/04/2013 M6.0 INCH COKE TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0732 AM SNOW 3 SSW CHRISTOVAL 31.15N 100.52W
01/04/2013 M1.5 INCH TOM GREEN TX NWS EMPLOYEE

0732 AM SNOW 3 NE SAN ANGELO 31.48N 100.42W
01/04/2013 E3.0 INCH TOM GREEN TX PUBLIC

PAULANN AREA

0800 AM SNOW 2 SW WATER VALLEY 31.65N 100.74W
01/04/2013 M3.0 INCH TOM GREEN TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0800 AM SNOW 2 WSW SAN ANGELO 31.43N 100.48W
01/04/2013 M3.0 INCH TOM GREEN TX NWS EMPLOYEE

0800 AM SNOW 22 SSW OZONA 30.43N 101.38W
01/04/2013 M2.5 INCH CROCKETT TX PUBLIC

0800 AM SNOW 18 S OZONA 30.45N 101.16W
01/04/2013 M2.5 INCH CROCKETT TX PUBLIC

COCORAHS

0800 AM SNOW 8 N BRADY 31.25N 99.33W
01/04/2013 E1.5 INCH MCCULLOCH TX PUBLIC

0800 AM SNOW 2 SSW OZONA 30.68N 101.22W
01/04/2013 M2.0 INCH CROCKETT TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0800 AM SNOW 4 W SAN ANGELO 31.45N 100.52W
01/04/2013 M5.0 INCH TOM GREEN TX NWS EMPLOYEE

0806 AM SNOW BALLINGER 31.74N 99.96W
01/04/2013 M1.0 INCH RUNNELS TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0811 AM SNOW 3 SSW SAN ANGELO 31.41N 100.47W
01/04/2013 M4.0 INCH TOM GREEN TX NWS EMPLOYEE

0817 AM SNOW FORT MCKAVETT 30.83N 100.11W
01/04/2013 M1.0 INCH MENARD TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0830 AM SNOW 8 WSW BUFFALO GAP 32.24N 99.96W
01/04/2013 E2.0 INCH TAYLOR TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0830 AM SNOW SWEETWATER 32.47N 100.41W
01/04/2013 E1.0 INCH NOLAN TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

0830 AM SNOW ELDORADO 30.86N 100.60W
01/04/2013 E1.5 INCH SCHLEICHER TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

1 TO 2 INCHES REPORTED IN ELDORADO.

0832 AM SNOW MENARD 30.92N 99.79W
01/04/2013 E3.0 INCH MENARD TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

0840 AM SNOW HARRIET 31.55N 100.32W
01/04/2013 E4.0 INCH TOM GREEN TX PUBLIC

0900 AM SNOW SONORA 30.57N 100.64W
01/04/2013 M1.0 INCH SUTTON TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0900 AM SNOW MERTZON 31.26N 100.82W
01/04/2013 M4.0 INCH IRION TX CO-OP OBSERVER

0900 AM SNOW VOCA 31.01N 99.18W
01/04/2013 E1.0 INCH MCCULLOCH TX PUBLIC

0900 AM SNOW FREDONIA 30.93N 99.11W
01/04/2013 E1.0 INCH MASON TX POST OFFICE

0903 AM SNOW DOOLE 31.40N 99.60W
01/04/2013 E1.0 INCH CONCHO TX PUBLIC

0904 AM SNOW BLACKWELL 32.09N 100.32W
01/04/2013 E3.0 INCH NOLAN TX POST OFFICE

0911 AM SNOW RICHLAND SPRINGS 31.27N 98.94W
01/04/2013 E1.0 INCH SAN SABA TX POST OFFICE

ABOUT 1 INCH OF SNOW ON ELEVATED SURFACES

0935 AM SNOW 20 E SONORA 30.57N 100.31W
01/04/2013 E1.0 INCH SUTTON TX PUBLIC

ALONG INTERSTATE 10

0953 AM SNOW BARNHART 31.13N 101.17W
01/04/2013 M3.0 INCH IRION TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0957 AM SNOW COLEMAN 31.83N 99.43W
01/04/2013 E3.5 INCH COLEMAN TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

3 TO 4 INCHES IN COLEMAN

1007 AM SNOW 9 SW VIEW 32.25N 99.99W
01/04/2013 E2.5 INCH TAYLOR TX PUBLIC

AT CORONADOS CAMP


&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1300052 SJT1300050 SJT1300051 SJT1300048 SJT1300049
SJT1300037 SJT1300038 SJT1300039 SJT1300040 SJT1300041 SJT1300042
SJT1300043 SJT1300044 SJT1300045 SJT1300046 SJT1300047 SJT1300053
SJT1300054 SJT1300036 SJT1300034 SJT1300035 SJT1300033 SJT1300032
SJT1300030 SJT1300031 SJT1300028 SJT1300029 SJT1300026 SJT1300027
SJT1300020 SJT1300021 SJT1300022 SJT1300023 SJT1300024 SJT1300025
SJT1300055 SJT1300019 SJT1300018 SJT1300017 SJT1300014 SJT1300015
SJT1300016 SJT1300013 SJT1300012 SJT1300008 SJT1300009 SJT1300010
SJT1300011 SJT1300007 SJT1300006 SJT1300005 SJT1300004 SJT1300003
SJT1300002 SJT1300001

$$

JOHNSON

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KSJT [051458]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 051458
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
858 AM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW WINGATE 32.04N 100.11W
01/04/2013 M3.0 INCH RUNNELS TX CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1300053

$$

JOHNSON

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 051240
SWODY1
SPC AC 051238

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0638 AM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

VALID 051300Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MORNING WV IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING NEWD ACROSS THE
SRN/CNTRL PLAINS...WHILE A SECOND DISTURBANCE IS DIGGING SEWD INTO
THE NRN PLAINS. ASCENT LOCATED IN THE BASAL PORTION OF THE SRN
TROUGH...COMBINED WITH WEAK MUCAPE VALUES EVIDENT IN THE 12Z CRP
RAOB WILL AID IN A MARGINAL POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT OVER COASTAL TX AND THE NWRN GOM DURING THE REMAINDER OF
THE MORNING. HOWEVER...THIS POTENTIAL IS FORECAST TO QUICKLY
DIMINISH BY AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER TROUGH EJECTS NEWD INTO THE OH
VALLEY REGION. FARTHER W...AN AMPLIFIED UPPER WAVE WILL DIG SWD
ALONG THE CA COAST. COLD MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL YIELD STEEP
LAPSE RATES AND WEAK CAPE VALUES...WHICH COULD RESULT IN A FEW
LIGHTNING STRIKES OCCURRING ALONG THE CNTRL CA COAST AND ADJACENT
OFFSHORE WATERS TONIGHT.

..GARNER/GUYER.. 01/05/2013

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 050909
SWOD48
SPC AC 050908

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0308 AM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

VALID 081200Z - 131200Z

...DISCUSSION...
THERE IS INCREASING CONFIDENCE THAT A SIGNIFICANT UPPER LOW WILL
BEGIN TO EJECT EWD ACROSS NRN MEXICO INTO SOUTH TX DURING THE DAY4-5
TIME FRAME. HOWEVER...THE GFS IS CONSIDERABLY FASTER THAN THE ECMWF
AS IT MOVES THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LOW INTO CNTRL TX BY 09/12Z
WHILE THE ECMWF IS NEARLY 300 MI WEST OF THIS LOCATION OVER THE BIG
BEND REGION. WHILE STRONG MID LEVEL FLOW SHOULD ROTATE THROUGH THE
BASE OF THE TROUGH INTO EAST TX AT SOME POINT IT/S NOT ENTIRELY
CLEAR WHEN THIS WILL OCCUR. ADDITIONALLY...THE PROSPECT FOR
MEANINGFUL DESTABILIZATION INLAND MAY BE IMPEDED BY SUBSTANTIAL
PRECIPITATION WITHIN THE WARM CONVEYOR. GIVEN THE TIMING
DIFFERENCES AND POSSIBLE DESTABILIZATION ISSUES WILL NOT OUTLOOK AN
ORGANIZED SEVERE AREA MID WEEK ACROSS TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
HOWEVER LATER MODEL GUIDANCE MAY PROVIDE MORE CLARITY WHICH COULD
LEAD TO SEVERE PROBS ADDED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS REGION.

..DARROW.. 01/05/2013

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 050823
SWODY3
SPC AC 050822

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0222 AM CST SAT JAN 05 2013

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTH TX...

LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT REGARDING THE
EVOLUTION OF UPPER TROUGH AS IT DIGS SEWD ACROSS THE SWRN U.S.
DESERTS INTO NRN MEXICO BY 08/12Z. WHILE ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL SPEED
MAX SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE U.S. BORDER...IT IS BECOMING
INCREASINGLY LIKELY THAT DIFFLUENT LARGE SCALE FLOW ALOFT WILL
INDUCE A LARGE REGION OF ASCENT ACROSS SOUTH TX AND WARM ADVECTION
SHOULD INCREASE MARKEDLY AT FAIRLY LOW LATITUDES. IT APPEARS A SFC
CYCLONE WILL TRACK SEWD ACROSS NRN MEXICO TO A POSITION NEAR THE
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY MORNING. IN ALL
LIKELIHOOD AT LEAST MODIFIED MARITIME TROPICAL AIR WILL BEGIN TO
SPREAD INLAND ALONG THE LOWER TX COAST AS SELY LOW LEVEL
TRAJECTORIES BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR MOISTURE RETURN. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS ALSO SUGGEST NEAR-SFC BASED BUOYANCY IS POSSIBLE AS
MID-UPPER 60S DEW POINTS ADVECT BENEATH GRADUALLY STEEPENING MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES. FOR THIS REASON HAVE OPTED TO INTRODUCE LOW
SEVERE PROBS FOR THE POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS ALONG
LEADING EDGE OF LARGE SCALE FORCING WITHIN WARM ADVECTION ZONE.

..DARROW.. 01/05/2013

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMFL [050747]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 050747
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
247 AM EST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0235 AM DENSE FOG 1 W INTERSECTION ALLIGA 26.15N 80.63W
01/05/2013 BROWARD FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

BROWARD TRAFFIC MANAGING CENTER REPORTED AREAS OF DENSE
FOG ALONG ALLIGATOR ALLEY FROM MILE MARKER 28 TO MILE
MARKER 51.


&&

$$

DIEHL

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMFL [050747]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 050747
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
247 AM EST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 AM DENSE FOG IMMOKALEE 26.42N 81.44W
01/05/2013 COLLIER FL LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

SKONARIK

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMFL [050745]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 050745
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
244 AM EST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 AM DENSE FOG GOLDEN GATE 26.18N 81.70W
01/05/2013 COLLIER FL LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

SKONARIK

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMFL [050744]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 050744
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
244 AM EST SAT JAN 05 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 AM DENSE FOG LA BELLE 26.76N 81.44W
01/05/2013 HENDRY FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

SHERIFFS DEPARTMENT REPORTED DENSE FOG ALONG STATE ROAD
80.


&&

$$

SKONARIK

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 050540
SWODY1
SPC AC 050539

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1139 PM CST FRI JAN 04 2013

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH IS IN THE PROCESS OF SPLITTING AS IT
APPROACHES THE PACIFIC COAST. WHILE THE NORTHERN IMPULSE PROGRESSES
INLAND ACROSS BRITISH COLUMBIA AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...THE
SOUTHERN IMPULSE IS FORECAST TO DIG INTO THE CALIFORNIA COAST BY 12Z
SUNDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...A COUPLE OF SIGNIFICANT DOWNSTREAM
IMPULSES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN PROGRESSIVE WITHIN THEIR RESPECTIVE
NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAMS TO THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES...MERGING
INTO THE LINGERING CONFLUENT REGIME ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF THE EASTERN
U.S...BETWEEN A BROAD/DEEP NORTHEASTERN CANADIAN VORTEX AND A STRONG
SUBTROPICAL HIGH CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC. IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE SOUTHERN STREAM FEATURE...MID/UPPER FLOW IS
FORECAST TO INTENSIFY ON THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER
HIGH...ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE
VALLEYS. FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION OF THIS JET MAY CONTRIBUTE TO WEAK FRONTAL WAVE DEVELOPMENT
OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO.

...WESTERN GULF COAST...
BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION IN THE WARM SECTOR OF THE FRONTAL
WAVE...COUPLED WITH LARGE SCALE ASCENT NEAR THE DEVELOPING LOW AND
ALONG/NORTH OF THE FRONT TO ITS EAST...PROBABLY WILL FOCUS THE
PRIMARY RISK FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS PARTS OF THE WESTERN
AND CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
HOWEVER...WITH SOME VARIABILITY...MODELS DO INDICATE A BROAD ZONE OF
LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC THERMAL AND MOISTURE ADVECTION EXTENDING
ACROSS TEXAS...AND PERHAPS PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...COASTAL AREAS
THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD. WHILE FORCING FOR
UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION IS MORE UNCLEAR ACROSS THESE AREAS...MODELS
SUGGEST THAT THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL BE CONVECTIVELY
UNSTABLE...WITH WEAK CAPE ALSO EVIDENT FOR PARCELS EMANATING FROM A
MOIST LAYER BASED BETWEEN 850-700 MB. THIS SEEMS TO SUPPORT THE
RISK FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...THOUGH PROBABILITIES MAY BE
GENERALLY NEAR THE MINIMUM 10 PERCENT THRESHOLD FOR A CATEGORICAL
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK.

...CALIFORNIA...
WITH A MID-LEVEL COLD CORE CHARACTERIZED BY 500 MB TEMPERATURES NEAR
-30C...SCATTERED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WILL PROBABLY ACCOMPANY THE
UPPER LOW/TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE REGION LATE IN THE
PERIOD...PARTICULARLY ALONG COASTAL AREAS BETWEEN POINT CONCEPTION
AND MONTEREY. HOWEVER...IT IS NOT YET CLEAR WHETHER DESTABILIZATION
WILL BECOME SUFFICIENT FOR VERTICAL DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE MIXED
PHASE LAYER FAVORABLE FOR CHARGE SEPARATION AND THE PRODUCTION OF
LIGHTNING. AT THE PRESENT TIME...PROBABILITIES FOR THUNDERSTORMS
STILL SEEM BELOW THE MINIMUM 10 PERCENT THRESHOLD FOR A CATEGORICAL
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK.

..KERR/DISPIGNA.. 01/05/2013

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 050532
SWODY2
SPC AC 050530

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 PM CST FRI JAN 04 2013

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...FL PENINSULA...

THE PROSPECT FOR DEEP CONVECTION CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LIGHTNING WILL
BE HARSHLY LIMITED DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD AS MEANINGFUL INSTABILITY
WILL BE CONFINED TO NEAR COASTAL WATERS OFF THE FL PENINSULA.
LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE DOES HOWEVER SUGGEST DIURNAL HEATING WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES ACROSS THE CNTRL
PENINSULA SUNDAY AND THIS MAY PROVE ADEQUATE FOR FEEBLE CONVECTION
ALONG A WEAKLY CONVERGENT BOUNDARY THAT WILL SAG SOUTH ACROSS THE
REGION. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SBCAPE COULD APPROACH 300-500
J/KG AS SFC TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MID 70S...THUS WILL MAINTAIN
LOW PROBABILITIES FOR ISOLATED TSTMS PRIMARILY DUE TO DAYTIME
HEATING. EVEN SO...GREATER CONCENTRATION OF CONVECTION SHOULD BE
CONFINED TO OFFSHORE REGIONS WHERE BUOYANCY WILL BE SOMEWHAT MORE
CONDUCIVE FOR UPDRAFTS PENETRATING LEVELS NECESSARY FOR LIGHTNING
DISCHARGE.

..DARROW.. 01/05/2013

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.