Wednesday, March 28, 2012

KRLX [281928]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 281928
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
328 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0322 PM TSTM WND GST GREENUP 38.57N 82.83W
03/28/2012 E65 MPH GREENUP KY EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1200219

$$

JSH

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KLMK [281925]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLMK 281925
LSRLMK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
325 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM HAIL JEFFERSONTOWN 38.21N 85.57W
03/28/2012 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON KY TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1200477

$$

MRC

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KREV [281922]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 281922
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1222 PM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM SNOW 6 SE ALPINE MEADOWS 39.10N 120.16W
03/28/2012 M6.0 INCH PLACER CA TRAINED SPOTTER

6 INCHES OF SNOWFALL REPORTED BETWEEN 6PM-9AM NEAR
HOMEWOOD. ELEVATION 6330 FEET.

0920 AM SNOW 4 W PROSSER CREEK RESER 39.38N 120.24W
03/28/2012 M8.0 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

A TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURED 8 INCHES OF SNOWFALL.

0930 AM SNOW 2 W MAMMOTH LAKES 37.64N 118.99W
03/28/2012 E5.0 INCH MONO CA PUBLIC

MAMMOTH MOUNTAIN SKI AREA REPORTED 5 INCHES OF SNOW IN
THE LAST 24 HOURS.

0935 AM SNOW KIRKWOOD 38.70N 120.07W
03/28/2012 E12.0 INCH EL DORADO CA PUBLIC

KIRKWOOD SKI RESORT REPORTED 8 INCHES OF SNOW AT THE BASE
AND 12 INCHES OF SNOW AT THE SUMMIT.

0940 AM SNOW HOMEWOOD 39.08N 120.16W
03/28/2012 E8.0 INCH PLACER CA PUBLIC

HOMEWOOD SKI RESORT REPORTED 5 INCHES OF SNOW AT THE
LOWER LOWER MOUNTAIN AND 8 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE UPPER
MOUNTAIN IN THE LAST 24 HOURS.

0945 AM SNOW SQUAW VALLEY 39.20N 120.22W
03/28/2012 E11.0 INCH PLACER CA PUBLIC

SQUAW VALLEY REPORTED 6 INCHES OF SNOW AT 6200 FEET AND
AND 11 INCHES OF SNOW AT 8200 FEET IN THE LAST 24 HOURS.

1000 AM SNOW MOUNT ROSE SKI AREA 39.33N 119.89W
03/28/2012 E14.0 INCH WASHOE NV PUBLIC

MT. ROSE SKI RESORT REPORTED 12-14 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE
LAST 12 HOURS.

1015 AM SNOW NORTHSTAR 39.28N 120.12W
03/28/2012 E9.0 INCH PLACER CA PUBLIC

NORTHSTAR RESORT REPORTED 7 INCHES OF SNOW AT
MID-MOUNTAIN AND 9 INCHES OF SNOW AT THE SUMMIT IN THE
LAST 24 HOURS

1040 AM SNOW 3 SE SODA SPRINGS 39.29N 120.34W
03/28/2012 E14.0 INCH PLACER CA PUBLIC

SUGAR BOWL SKI RESORT REPORTED 11 INCHES OF SNOW AT THE
BASE AND 14 INCHES OF SNOW AT THE PEAK IN THE LAST 24
HOURS.


&&

$$

ZTOLBY

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KLMK [281920]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLMK 281920
LSRLMK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
320 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0320 PM HAIL LOUISVILLE 38.22N 85.74W
03/28/2012 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON KY TRAINED SPOTTER

HIKES POINT.


&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1200476

$$

MRC

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KRLX [281920]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 281920
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
320 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM HAIL MILL CREEK 38.73N 79.97W
03/28/2012 E1.00 INCH RANDOLPH WV COUNTY OFFICIAL

.88 TO 1 IN HAIL IN TOWN CENTER OF MILL CREEK VIA
RANDOLPH COUNTY WARNING POINT


&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1200218

$$

LZ

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KLMK [281918]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLMK 281918
LSRLMK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
318 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0317 PM HAIL LOUISVILLE 38.22N 85.74W
03/28/2012 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON KY TRAINED SPOTTER

GENE SNYDER AND SHELBYVILLE RD


&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1200475

$$

MRC

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KRLX [281916]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 281916
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
316 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0313 PM HAIL HUTTONSVILLE 38.71N 79.98W
03/28/2012 E1.75 INCH RANDOLPH WV LAW ENFORCEMENT

REPORT FROM HUTTONSVILLE PRISON.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1200217

$$

LZ

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KGID [281914]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 281914
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
214 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 PM HAIL HOLBROOK 40.30N 100.01W
03/28/2012 E1.00 INCH FURNAS NE FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

FIELD COVERED IN HAIL. PEA TO NICKLE SIZED WITH QUARTER
SIZED MIXED IN.


&&

$$

PBEDA

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KRLX [281910]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 281910
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
310 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0309 PM HAIL MILL CREEK 38.73N 79.97W
03/28/2012 E0.88 INCH RANDOLPH WV TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1200216

$$

LZ

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KGID [281909]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 281909
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
209 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 PM HAIL 1 W EDISON 40.28N 99.79W
03/28/2012 E0.25 INCH FURNAS NE PUBLIC


&&

$$

PBEDA

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0373

ACUS11 KWNS 281907
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281906
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-282030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0373
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0206 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SCNTRL NEB...NERN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 281906Z - 282030Z

CONVECTION WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ALONG THE NEB/KS BORDER OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AND A WATCH WILL
LIKELY BE ISSUED BY 20-21Z.

LATEST VIS IMAGERY CLEARLY DEPICTS AN EXPANDING CU FIELD WITHIN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS MUCH OF NRN KS. THIS EXPANSION IS OCCURRING
COINCIDENT WITH AFTERNOON HEATING ALONG A WELL DEFINED SFC BOUNDARY
THAT IS DRAPED FROM JUST SOUTH OF THE MKC METRO AREA...NWWD TO NEAR
SLN. LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT ELEVATED TSTMS OVER SRN NEB WILL
GRADUALLY EXPAND AND DEVELOP SEWD INTO NCNTRL KS AND BECOME ROOTED
IN HIGHER THETA-E AIRMASS OVER NERN KS. VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES
CERTAINLY SUPPORT ORGANIZED ROTATING UPDRAFTS BUT STORM MOTIONS WILL
BE SLOW AND STORM MERGERS AND PROPAGATION SHOULD ENCOURAGE
DEVELOPMENT TOWARD THE METRO MKC AREA LATER THIS EVENING. LARGE
HAIL IS THE GREATEST SEVERE RISK WITH THIS ACTIVITY...THOUGH EARLY
SUPERCELL STORM MODES COULD RESULT IN AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

..DARROW.. 03/28/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...

LAT...LON 40269862 40099673 39349444 38279497 38519671 39359870
40269862

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KLMK [281907]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLMK 281907
LSRLMK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
306 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0257 PM HAIL LOUISVILLE 38.22N 85.74W
03/28/2012 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON KY TRAINED SPOTTER

AT PRESBYTERIAN THEOLOGICAL SEMINARY.


&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1200473

$$

MRC

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KLMK [281904]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLMK 281904
LSRLMK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
304 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0304 PM HAIL LOUISVILLE 38.22N 85.74W
03/28/2012 E0.88 INCH JEFFERSON KY PUBLIC

MCMAHON AND BROWN


&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1200472

$$

MRC

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KLMK [281903]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLMK 281903
LSRLMK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
303 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0257 PM HAIL LOUISVILLE 38.22N 85.74W
03/28/2012 E0.50 INCH JEFFERSON KY TRAINED SPOTTER

NEAR THE V.A. HOSPITAL.


&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1200471

$$

MRC

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KGID [281901]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 281901
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
201 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0152 PM HAIL 3 W OXFORD 40.25N 99.69W
03/28/2012 E1.00 INCH FURNAS NE PUBLIC


&&

$$

PBEDA

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KRLX [281859]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 281859
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA
258 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM HAIL FRENCH CREEK 38.83N 80.26W
03/28/2012 U1.00 INCH UPSHUR WV PUBLIC


&&

$$

NNNN

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KRLX [281857]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 281857
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
257 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM HAIL ROCK CAVE 38.84N 80.34W
03/28/2012 E1.00 INCH UPSHUR WV POST OFFICE


&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1200215

$$

LZ

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KPBZ [281855]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 281855
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
254 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0205 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NNW THOMAS 39.17N 79.51W
03/28/2012 TUCKER WV EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWN ALONG 219 JUST NORTH OF THOMAS


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1200358

$$

RG

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KRLX [281852]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 281852
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
252 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 PM HAIL 2 SSW FRENCH CREEK 38.86N 80.31W
03/28/2012 E0.88 INCH UPSHUR WV CO-OP OBSERVER

.88 INCH HAIL COVERING THE GROUND


&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1200214

$$

LZ

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KRLX [281849]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 281849
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
249 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM HAIL LINN 39.01N 80.72W
03/28/2012 E0.25 INCH GILMER WV POST OFFICE

PEA SIZED HAIL COVERING GROUND


&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1200213

$$

LZ

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KRLX [281848]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 281848
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
248 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0235 PM HAIL WALKERSVILLE 38.87N 80.46W
03/28/2012 E1.25 INCH LEWIS WV POST OFFICE

1 INCH TO 1.25 INCH HAIL COVERING THE GROUND


&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1200212

$$

LZ

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KRLX [281840]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 281840
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
240 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0232 PM HAIL 7 NW WALKERSVILLE 38.94N 80.55W
03/28/2012 E1.00 INCH LEWIS WV TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1200211

$$

LZ

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KRLX [281836]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 281836
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
236 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0234 PM HAIL SAND RUN 38.92N 80.58W
03/28/2012 M2.00 INCH LEWIS WV STORM CHASER


&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1200210

$$

LZ

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KMFR [281828]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 281828
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1128 AM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1128 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 W MERLIN 42.52N 123.50W
03/28/2012 M2.60 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR ACCUMULATION


&&

$$

BUNKER

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KRLX [281826]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 281826
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
226 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM HAIL LINN 39.01N 80.72W
03/28/2012 E0.70 INCH GILMER WV TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1200209

$$

LZ

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KMFR [281826]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 281826
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1126 AM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW 4 SW WEED 41.37N 122.43W
03/28/2012 M4.5 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

12 HOUR ACCUMULATION...


&&

$$

BUNKER

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 112

WWUS20 KWNS 281810
SEL2
SPC WW 281810
INZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-290100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 112
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EXTREME SOUTHERN INDIANA
CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY
EXTREME SOUTHERN OHIO
WESTERN VIRGINIA
WEST VIRGINIA

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
900 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY TO 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST
OF STAUNTON VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING AND
INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON IN A PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTIVE BAND OVER WV
INTO SRN OH...WITH ADDITIONAL WWD DEVELOPMENT INTO SRN INDIANA WHERE
A COLD FRONT IS MOVING SEWD INTO A LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY AXIS.
CONVECTION HAS PRIMARILY BEEN ELEVATED INTO THE EARLY
AFTERNOON...BUT CONTINUED HEATING AND DEVELOPMENT OF A WELL-MIXED
BOUNDARY LAYER WILL RESULT IN STORMS BECOMING SURFACE-BASED WITH AN
INCREASING THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS. VAD PROFILES SHOW STRONG WINDS
ABOVE THE GROUND IN THE LOWEST 2-3 KM WHICH WILL ENHANCE WIND DAMAGE
POTENTIAL...AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL ALSO PROMOTE LARGE HAIL WITH
STRONGER CELLS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28045.


...WEISS

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KMFR [281756]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 281756
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1056 AM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN W DUNSMUIR 41.23N 122.27W
03/28/2012 M3.47 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR ACCUMULATION...1.25 ON GROUND...MOSTLY RAIN WITH
SOME MELTED SNOW.


&&

$$

BUNKER

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KSTO [281751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 281751
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
905 AM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SE RANCHO CORDOVA 38.58N 121.28W
03/28/2012 M1.03 INCH SACRAMENTO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER SA37; NOT HEAVY RAIN BUT
THE 24 HOUR TOTAL

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KSTO [281751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 281751
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
907 AM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN PACIFIC HOUSE 38.76N 120.50W
03/28/2012 M1.30 INCH EL DORADO CA COOP OBSERVER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER EL38, 50/38/40 24HR
RAIN=0.41

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KSTO [281751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS56 KSTO 281751
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
924 AM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 ENE QUINCY 39.93N 120.89W
03/28/2012 M2.75 INCH PLUMAS CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER PU26;

0915 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 WNW REDDING 40.58N 122.38W
03/28/2012 M1.48 INCH SHASTA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER SH111; 24 HOUR PRECI.P

0915 AM SNOW 1 WSW KINGVALE 39.32N 120.45W
03/28/2012 M9.5 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

41" TOTAL ON GROUND

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN PACIFIC HOUSE 38.76N 120.50W
03/28/2012 M0.41 INCH EL DORADO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER EL38 , 24 HOUR RAIN

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SW CHICO 39.73N 121.84W
03/28/2012 M1.48 INCH BUTTE CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER BU02. 24 HR RAIN

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 WNW GRANITE BAY 38.78N 121.20W
03/28/2012 M1.30 INCH PLACER CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER PL04. 24 HOUR TOTAL

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SE RANCHO CORDOVA 38.58N 121.28W
03/28/2012 M1.03 INCH SACRAMENTO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

THE 24 HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KSTO [281752]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 281752
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
906 AM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 WNW GRANITE BAY 38.78N 121.20W
03/28/2012 M1.30 INCH PLACER CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER PL04. 24 HOUR TOTAL

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KSTO [281752]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 281752
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
908 AM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SW CHICO 39.73N 121.84W
03/28/2012 M1.48 INCH BUTTE CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER BU02. 24 HR RAIN

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KSTO [281751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 281751
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
939 AM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 AM SNOW MINERAL 40.35N 121.60W
03/28/2012 M6.0 INCH TEHAMA CA COOP OBSERVER

6 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN 24 HOURS. TOTAL SNOW
ON GROUND IS NOW 7.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KSTO [281751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 281751
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
912 AM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 WNW REDDING 40.58N 122.38W
03/28/2012 M1.48 INCH SHASTA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER SH111; 24 HOUR PRECI.P

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KSTO [281751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 281751
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
910 AM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN PACIFIC HOUSE 38.76N 120.50W
03/28/2012 M0.41 INCH EL DORADO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER EL38 , 24 HOUR RAIN

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KSTO [281751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS56 KSTO 281751
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
1046 AM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 AM SNOW MINERAL 40.35N 121.60W
03/28/2012 M6.0 INCH TEHAMA CA COOP OBSERVER

ON GROUND IS NOW 7.

0915 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 ENE QUINCY 39.93N 120.89W
03/28/2012 M2.75 INCH PLUMAS CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER PU26;

0915 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 WNW REDDING 40.58N 122.38W
03/28/2012 M1.48 INCH SHASTA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER SH111; 24 HOUR PRECI.P

0915 AM SNOW 1 WSW KINGVALE 39.32N 120.45W
03/28/2012 M9.5 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

41"

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN PACIFIC HOUSE 38.76N 120.50W
03/28/2012 M0.41 INCH EL DORADO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER EL38 , 24 HOUR RAIN

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SW CHICO 39.73N 121.84W
03/28/2012 M1.48 INCH BUTTE CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER BU02. 24 HR RAIN

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN PACIFIC HOUSE 38.76N 120.50W
03/28/2012 M1.30 INCH EL DORADO CA COOP OBSERVER

RAIN=0.41

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 WNW GRANITE BAY 38.78N 121.20W
03/28/2012 M1.30 INCH PLACER CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER PL04. 24 HOUR TOTAL

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SE RANCHO CORDOVA 38.58N 121.28W
03/28/2012 M1.03 INCH SACRAMENTO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

THE 24 HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KMFR [281751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 281751
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
831 AM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SSW OBRIEN 42.05N 123.71W
03/28/2012 M2.25 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL ENDING AT 8AM.
REPORTED BY SPOTTER JO36

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KMFR [281751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 281751
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
830 AM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW TENNANT 41.59N 121.91W
03/28/2012 M20.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

48 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL ENDING AT 8AM.
REPORTED BY SPOTTER SY61

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KSTO [281751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 281751
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
911 AM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 AM SNOW 1 WSW KINGVALE 39.32N 120.45W
03/28/2012 M9.5 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER NV36; 9.5 NEW SNOW, 1.36
WATER EQUIVELENT, TOTAL SNOW ON GROUND IS
41"

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KSTO [281751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 281751
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
913 AM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 ENE QUINCY 39.93N 120.89W
03/28/2012 M2.75 INCH PLUMAS CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER PU26;

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KSTO [281751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS56 KSTO 281751
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
956 AM PDT WED MAR 28 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 AM SNOW MINERAL 40.35N 121.60W
03/28/2012 M6.0 INCH TEHAMA CA COOP OBSERVER

ON GROUND IS NOW 7.

0915 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 ENE QUINCY 39.93N 120.89W
03/28/2012 M2.75 INCH PLUMAS CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER PU26;

0915 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 WNW REDDING 40.58N 122.38W
03/28/2012 M1.48 INCH SHASTA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER SH111; 24 HOUR PRECI.P

0915 AM SNOW 1 WSW KINGVALE 39.32N 120.45W
03/28/2012 M9.5 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

41"

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN PACIFIC HOUSE 38.76N 120.50W
03/28/2012 M0.41 INCH EL DORADO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER EL38 , 24 HOUR RAIN

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SW CHICO 39.73N 121.84W
03/28/2012 M1.48 INCH BUTTE CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER BU02. 24 HR RAIN

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN PACIFIC HOUSE 38.76N 120.50W
03/28/2012 M1.30 INCH EL DORADO CA COOP OBSERVER

RAIN=0.41

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 WNW GRANITE BAY 38.78N 121.20W
03/28/2012 M1.30 INCH PLACER CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER PL04. 24 HOUR TOTAL

0910 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SE RANCHO CORDOVA 38.58N 121.28W
03/28/2012 M1.03 INCH SACRAMENTO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

THE 24 HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KRLX [281729]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 281729
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
129 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM HAIL COOLVILLE 39.22N 81.80W
03/28/2012 E0.25 INCH ATHENS OH POST OFFICE


&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1200208

$$

LZ

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 281720
SWODY2
SPC AC 281718

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1218 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THU ACROSS PARTS OF THE E CNTRL
PLAINS...MID AND LWR MO VALLEY REGION...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR CONCERNING THE DETAILS OF THE EVOLUTION OF
A BROAD VORTEX OVER PARTS OF EASTERN CANADA...THE NORTHEASTERN
U.S..AND THE NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. AND
DISCREPANCIES APPEAR RELATIVELY LOW CONCERNING BROAD TROUGHING
WITHIN A STRONG MID-LATITUDE PACIFIC JET...WHICH MAY BEGIN NOSING
INTO PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. HOWEVER...CONSIDERABLE
VARIABILITY EXISTS CONCERNING DEVELOPMENTS WITHIN A WEAKER FLOW
REGIME IN BETWEEN...ACROSS MUCH OF THE INTERIOR U.S...PARTICULARLY
WITH REGARD TO THE MANNER IN WHICH A LARGE UPPER TROUGH /NOW
ADVANCING INLAND ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES/ SPLITS AS IT PROGRESSES
ACROSS THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS. DEVELOPMENTS WITHIN A BRANCH OF
FLOW EXTENDING EAST OF THE SUBTROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC THROUGH THE
GULF COAST STATES ARE ALSO UNCLEAR...AND ALL THIS LEADS TO AN
UNCERTAIN CONVECTIVE FORECAST...AT LEAST WITH REGARD TO ANY
SUBSTANTIVE DETAIL.

...EAST CENTRAL PLAINS INTO MID/LWR MO VALLEY REGION...
STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ABOVE CAPPING ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A POTENTIALLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT ALONG A
STALLED SURFACE FRONT...EAST OF A BROAD SURFACE LOW CENTER EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY EARLY THURSDAY. WITH
DAYTIME HEATING...MIXED LAYER CAPE APPEARS LIKELY TO BECOME
MODERATELY LARGE ACROSS A SIZABLE AREA. HOWEVER...LARGELY DUE TO
THE AFOREMENTIONED VARIABILITY CONCERNING SHORT WAVE DEVELOPMENTS
...AND THEIR POTENTIAL IMPACT ON CONVECTIVE INHIBITION EAST OF THE
ROCKIES...THE TIMING AND LOCATION OF THE RELEASE OF THIS INSTABILITY
REMAIN UNCERTAIN. HOWEVER...VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO
CONTRIBUTE TO A RISK FOR ORGANIZED STRONG/SEVERE STORM
DEVELOPMENT...INCLUDING ISOLATED SUPERCELLS AND ORGANIZED STORM
CLUSTERS...THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD ACROSS AT LEAST PARTS OF
CENTRAL/EASTERN KANSAS AND NEBRASKA...INTO SOUTHWESTERN IOWA AND
WESTERN/CENTRAL MISSOURI.

...SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST STATES...
TO THE LEE OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...AND AHEAD OF A SOUTHWARD
ADVANCING COLD FRONT...SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION IS EXPECTED WITH
INSOLATION BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO SUPPORT AT LEAST ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED STORM DEVELOPMENT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE
EVOLUTION OF A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER THAT WILL PROVIDE
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS WITH THE MORE VIGOROUS
ACTIVITY...UNTIL IT DIMINISHES DURING THE EVENING HOURS.

..KERR.. 03/28/2012

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KPBZ [281701]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 281701
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
101 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM HAIL 2 N WOODSFIELD 39.79N 81.12W
03/28/2012 E0.88 INCH MONROE OH EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1200357

$$

WOODRUM

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KPBZ [281659]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 281659
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1259 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM HAIL WOODSFIELD 39.76N 81.12W
03/28/2012 E0.75 INCH MONROE OH EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1200356

$$

WOODRUM

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0372

ACUS11 KWNS 281643
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281643
VAZ000-WVZ000-MDZ000-PAZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-281845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0372
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1143 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SOUTHERN OH/EASTERN KY AND MUCH OF WV AND
ADJACENT VA/MD

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 281643Z - 281845Z

A SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO STEADILY INCREASE THROUGH EARLY/MID
AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHERN OH AND ESPECIALLY INTO
EASTERN KY/MUCH OF WV AND ADJACENT PARTS OF VA/MD. A WATCH WILL
LIKELY BE NECESSARY FOR MUCH OF THIS REGION THIS AFTERNOON.

ELEVATED STRONG/SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE TSTMS WITH HAIL CONTINUE TO
OCCUR NEAR THE OH/WV/PA BORDER REGION EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AND
THESE STORMS MAY BECOME MORE SURFACE BASED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO WARM. FARTHER
SOUTHWEST...ADDITIONAL SURFACE BASED DEVELOPMENT SHOULD OCCUR ACROSS
PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHERN OH INTO EASTERN KY/MUCH OF WV THIS
AFTERNOON. IN THIS CORRIDOR...CINH CONTINUES TO QUICKLY ERODE
THROUGH MIXING...WITH MOIST ADVECTION ALSO OCCURRING VIA THE
EASTWARD ADVECTION OF A RELATIVELY HIGHER MOIST PLUME ALONG THE
LOWER OH RIVER PER GPS/SATELLITE DERIVED PW. ACCORDINGLY...RECENT
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY IS INDICATIVE OF AN INCREASE IN BOUNDARY
LAYER CUMULUS ACROSS EASTERN KY TO CENTRAL WV TO THE SOUTHEAST OF
THE COLD FRONT/ZONE OF CONFLUENCE.

GIVEN THIS SCENARIO...RELATIVELY HIGH CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN AN
AFTERNOON UPSWING OF SURFACE BASED TSTM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. EVEN
WITH MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /GENERALLY 50S F SFC
DEWPOINTS/...ADDITIONAL HEATING/MOIST ADVECTION OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS WILL ALLOW FOR MLCAPES TO REACH 1000+ J/KG ESPECIALLY
ALONG/WEST OF THE APPALACHIANS SPINE. WITH THE REGION ON THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF STRONG WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...STRONG/NEARLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL LOW/MID TROPOSPHERIC FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR SOME
SPLITTING SUPERCELLS WITH EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD MOVING LINE SEGMENTS
OTHERWISE MORE COMMON. DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS.

..GUYER.. 03/28/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

LAT...LON 39027827 37987972 37278273 37608387 38598384 39248237
39857960 39537823 39027827

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KPBZ [281618]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KPBZ 281618
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1218 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1120 AM HAIL CANONSBURG 40.27N 80.15W
03/28/2012 U0.50 INCH WASHINGTON PA PUBLIC

EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 1105 AM 03/28/2012 AND 1120 AM
03/28/2012

1122 AM HAIL WASHINGTON 40.16N 80.25W
03/28/2012 U0.25 INCH WASHINGTON PA PUBLIC

EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 1107 AM 03/28/2012 AND 1122 AM
03/28/2012

1123 AM HAIL CANONSBURG 40.27N 80.15W
03/28/2012 U0.25 INCH WASHINGTON PA PUBLIC

EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 1108 AM 03/28/2012 AND 1123 AM
03/28/2012

1124 AM HAIL WASHINGTON 40.16N 80.25W
03/28/2012 U0.25 INCH WASHINGTON PA PUBLIC

EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 1109 AM 03/28/2012 AND 1124 AM
03/28/2012

1126 AM HAIL WASHINGTON 40.16N 80.25W
03/28/2012 U0.75 INCH WASHINGTON PA PUBLIC

EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 1111 AM 03/28/2012 AND 1126 AM
03/28/2012

1128 AM HAIL WASHINGTON 40.16N 80.25W
03/28/2012 U1.00 INCH WASHINGTON PA PUBLIC

EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 1113 AM 03/28/2012 AND 1128 AM
03/28/2012

1133 AM HAIL WASHINGTON 40.16N 80.25W
03/28/2012 U0.75 INCH WASHINGTON PA PUBLIC

EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 1118 AM 03/28/2012 AND 1133 AM
03/28/2012

1134 AM HAIL IRWIN 40.32N 79.72W
03/28/2012 U0.88 INCH WESTMORELAND PA PUBLIC

EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 1119 AM 03/28/2012 AND 1134 AM
03/28/2012

1136 AM HAIL WASHINGTON 40.16N 80.25W
03/28/2012 U0.25 INCH WASHINGTON PA PUBLIC

EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 1121 AM 03/28/2012 AND 1136 AM
03/28/2012

1137 AM HAIL INDIAN HEAD 40.02N 79.40W
03/28/2012 M1.00 INCH FAYETTE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1143 AM HAIL BELLE VERNON 40.15N 79.81W
03/28/2012 U0.75 INCH FAYETTE PA PUBLIC

EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 1128 AM 03/28/2012 AND 1143 AM
03/28/2012

1148 AM HAIL PERRYOPOLIS 40.09N 79.75W
03/28/2012 U0.75 INCH FAYETTE PA PUBLIC

EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 1133 AM 03/28/2012 AND 1148 AM
03/28/2012

1149 AM HAIL CHARLEROI 40.14N 79.95W
03/28/2012 U0.75 INCH WASHINGTON PA PUBLIC

EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 1134 AM 03/28/2012 AND 1149 AM
03/28/2012

1151 AM HAIL WEST NEWTON 40.20N 79.73W
03/28/2012 U1.00 INCH WESTMORELAND PA PUBLIC

EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 1136 AM 03/28/2012 AND 1151 AM
03/28/2012


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ0000000 PBZ0000000 PBZ0000000 PBZ0000000 PBZ0000000
PBZ0000000 PBZ0000000 PBZ0000000 PBZ0000000 PBZ1200355 PBZ0000000
PBZ0000000 PBZ0000000 PBZ0000000

$$

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 281618
SWODY1
SPC AC 281616

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1116 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

VALID 281630Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM CENTRAL/ERN KS INTO WRN
MO...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION
INTO CENTRAL KY...

...CENTRAL/ERN KS INTO WRN MO...
THIS AREA IS LOCATED ALONG THE SRN EDGE OF STRONGER WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT....COINCIDENT WITH A PLUME OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
EXTENDING ACROSS KS TOWARD WRN MO. AT THE SURFACE... LOW PRESSURE
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AS A WEAKENING
UPPER SHORT WAVE TROUGH PROGRESSES ACROSS THE WRN STATES. AN
EAST/WEST WARM FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL MO/SRN KS IS EXPECTED TO LIFT
SLOWLY NWD DURING THE PERIOD...AS MODEST SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS
TRANSPORT INCREASING MOISTURE NWD INTO KS/WRN MO. VISIBLE IMAGERY
SHOWS LIMITED CLOUDS ACROSS THE ERN HALF OF KS INTO MO WHICH WILL
PERMIT STRONG DIURNAL HEATING TO OCCUR INTO THE AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO FURTHER DESTABILIZATION WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2000
J/KG EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

DYNAMIC FORCING FOR LARGE SCALE ASCENT IS LIKELY TO BE WEAK AS
SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A SUBTLE PERTURBATION MOVING OVER WRN KS
ATTM. HOWEVER...STRONG HEATING AND MODEST LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE/WARM ADVECTION ALONG AND NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT SHOULD
SUFFICIENTLY WEAKEN THE CAP THIS AFTERNOON FOR CONVECTION TO
INITIATE OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL/ERN KS DURING THE MID/LATE AFTERNOON.
FORECAST WIND PROFILES EXHIBIT STRONG VEERING WITH HEIGHT AND
SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR /35-45 KT IN THE LOWEST 6 KM/ TO SUPPORT
ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS. VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGER CELLS. ACTIVITY MAY EVOLVE INTO A SMALL MCS THIS EVENING
AS CELLULAR COLD POOLS MERGE AND GROW UPSCALE...WITH ACTIVITY
SPREADING EWD/ESEWD INTO PARTS OF WRN MO TONIGHT. SEVERE THREAT IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DIMINISH AFTER 03Z-06Z AS BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING
OCCURS.

...MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION INTO CENTRAL KY...
A PRE-FRONTAL BAND OF ELEVATED CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM SRN NEW
ENGLAND WSWWD ACROSS PA AND OH...ALONG THE NRN EDGE OF THE PLUME OF
STEEPER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES EXTENDING EWD ACROSS THE AREA. A FEW
OF THESE STORMS HAVE PRODUCED MARGINAL HAIL AS UPDRAFT INTENSITY HAS
BEEN ENHANCED BY THE STEEPER LAPSE RATES ALOFT.

VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES LIMITED CLOUD COVER SOUTH OF THE
CONVECTIVE BAND WHERE STRONGER DIURNAL HEATING IS OCCURRING.
ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HAS BEEN MARGINAL WITH EWD EXTENT THIS
MORNING...MOISTURE FROM LOWER OH VALLEY/TN VALLEY REGION IS BEING
TRANSPORTED RAPIDLY NEWD WITHIN A BAND OF VERY STRONG WSWLY LOW
LEVEL WINDS. AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER HEATS AND MOISTENS...THE
ELEVATED CONVECTION /ESPECIALLY FROM SRN OH INTO SWRN PA/ IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME SURFACE-BASED WITH A COINCIDENT
INCREASE IN SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL. THIS WILL ENHANCE POTENTIAL FOR
THE STRONGER WINDS IN THE LOWEST 1-2 KM AGL TO REACH THE SURFACE
WITHIN CONVECTIVE DOWNDRAFTS...PARTICULARLY FOR ANY SHORT BOWING
LINE SEGMENTS THAT MAY DEVELOP. IN ADDITION...THE STEEP LAPSE RATES
ALSO FAVOR DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE HAIL WITH THE STRONGER CORES. THE
SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE
WEAKENING AFTER SUNSET.

..WEISS/DARROW.. 03/28/2012

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KPBZ [281617]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 281617
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1217 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1137 AM HAIL INDIAN HEAD 40.02N 79.40W
03/28/2012 M1.00 INCH FAYETTE PA TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1200355

$$

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KAPX [281125]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 281125
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
725 AM EDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1012 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NE SEUL CHOIX POINT 45.98N 85.85W
03/27/2012 M53 MPH MACKINAC MI C-MAN STATION

BASED ON RADAR THE GUST APPARENTLY OCCURRED WITH A NEWLY
DEVELOPING SHOWER...JUST PRIOR TO COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.


&&

$$

HALBLAUB

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KCRP [280902]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 280902
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
402 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0344 AM TSTM WND GST LAREDO 27.53N 99.49W
03/28/2012 M61 MPH WEBB TX ASOS

ASOS REPORT

0354 AM TSTM WND GST LAREDO 27.53N 99.49W
03/28/2012 M59 MPH WEBB TX ASOS

ASOS REPORT


&&

$$

JV

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 280847
SWOD48
SPC AC 280847

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0347 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

VALID 311200Z - 051200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MEDIUM-RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO DEPICT THE EWD EJECTION OF A
SUBSTANTIAL CHUNK OF THE PERSISTENT NERN PACIFIC UPPER
SYSTEM...SHIFTING ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST DAY 4 /SAT 3-31/ AND
THEN INTO THE PLAINS DAY 5. HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
PERSIST BETWEEN THE TWO MODELS...EVEN MORESO THAN THE MODEL RUNS
FROM 24 HOURS AGO.

WHILE THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM ACROSS THE CENTRAL -- AND
EVENTUALLY THE ERN/NERN U.S. -- WOULD LIKELY BE ACCOMPANIED BY
FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE POTENTIAL...THE DIFFERENCES IN TIMING AND
EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM AS DEPICTED IN THESE TWO MODELS CAST
CONSIDERABLE DOUBT AS TO EVEN ROUGH APPROXIMATIONS OF TIMING AND
LOCATION. THE ECMWF APPEARS SUBSTANTIALLY MORE ROBUST WITH RESPECT
TO SEVERE POTENTIAL -- PARTICULARLY BEYOND DAY 4...WITH ITS MUCH
SLOWER/NEGATIVELY-TILTED PROGRESSION OF THE TROUGH INTO THE PLAINS
AS OPPOSED TO THE GFS WHICH SHIFTS A MUCH FLATTER SYSTEM QUICKLY EWD
ACROSS THE N CENTRAL U.S./GREAT LAKES REGION. GIVEN THE DEGREE OF
MODEL DIVERGENCE...WILL ONCE AGAIN FOREGO AN AREAL HIGHLIGHT THIS
FORECAST.

..GOSS.. 03/28/2012

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 280727
SWODY3
SPC AC 280726

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0226 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

VALID 301200Z - 311200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS MID OH VALLEY REGION...

...SYNOPSIS...
THOUGH ANOTHER PIECE OF THE PERSISTENT NERN PACIFIC UPPER SYSTEM IS
PROGGED TO APPROACH THE W COAST LATE RESULTING IN EVENTUAL
AMPLIFICATION OF THE UPPER FLOW FIELD...A FAIRLY FLAT FLOW PATTERN
IS FORECAST THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD. THE MAIN DISTURBANCE WITHIN
THIS PATTERN -- AT LEAST WITH RESPECT TO THE CONVECTIVE FORECAST --
WILL BE THE COMPACT/FAST-MOVING SHORT-WAVE TROUGH WHICH WILL MARCH
QUICKLY ESEWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY...REACHING THE
MID-ATLANTIC REGION LATE.

AT THE SURFACE...A LOW AND ACCOMPANYING/TRAILING COLD FRONT IS
FORECAST TO CROSS THE MIDWEST/TN VALLEY REGION IN CONJUNCTION WITH
THE UPPER SYSTEM...AND SHOULD FOCUS STRONG/LOCALLY-SEVERE STORMS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

...MID OH VALLEY REGION...
ONGOING STORMS AT THE START OF THE PERIOD AHEAD OF THE COMPACT UPPER
SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY/EXPAND IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE MID OH VALLEY
REGION BY AFTERNOON...AS MODEST DESTABILIZATION OF THE PRE-FRONTAL
ENVIRONMENT OCCURS.

STORMS MAY DEVELOP AS FAR ESE AS THE CAROLINAS ALONG THE
WEAK/REMNANT WARM FRONT...AND SWWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS ALONG THE
TRAILING PORTION OF THE FRONT AS WELL AS A HIGH PLAINS DRYLINE.
HOWEVER...THE MORE ROBUST CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS THE MID OH
VALLEY REGION...WHERE STRONGER SHEAR IS PROGGED IN PROXIMITY TO THE
UPPER SYSTEM. ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR HAIL...THREAT FOR DAMAGING
WINDS MAY BECOME THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT...WITH RELATIVELY FAST
WNWLY FLOW ALOFT PERHAPS ALLOWING ONE OR MORE FAST-MOVING STORM
CLUSTERS TO EVOLVE.

STORMS SHOULD SLOWLY DIMINISH INTO LATE EVENING/OVERNIGHT...AS
DIURNAL COOLING/STABILIZATION INCREASES.

..GOSS.. 03/28/2012

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KEWX [280705]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 280705
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
205 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0204 AM HAIL UVALDE 29.22N 99.78W
03/28/2012 M0.25 INCH UVALDE TX PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200201

$$

JWZ

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KEWX [280642]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 280642
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
142 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1150 PM HAIL BRACKETTVILLE 29.32N 100.41W
03/27/2012 M0.25 INCH KINNEY TX AMATEUR RADIO


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200200

$$

JWZ

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 280600
SWODY2
SPC AC 280559

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS MID AND LOWER MO VALLEY AND
VICINITY...

...SYNOPSIS...
AS A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH MOVES OFF THE NORTHEAST U.S. COAST AND THE
MAIN NERN PACIFIC TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE GULF OF AK...DEAMPLIFYING
FLOW FIELD ALOFT IS FORECAST ACROSS THE U.S. -- WITH THE SHORT-WAVE
TROUGH EXITING THE ROCKIES ACTING TO FLATTEN THE PERSISTENT CENTRAL
U.S. RIDGE.

AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK LOW DEVELOPING INVOF THE MID MO VALLEY WILL
BE THE PRIMARY FEATURE ASSOCIATED WITH MORE ROBUST CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY THIS PERIOD.

...MID AND LOWER MO VALLEY AND VICINITY...
AREAS OF SCATTERED TO ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE
ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...WITHIN TWO ZONES OF WARM
ADVECTION -- ONE INTO ERN KS/WRN MO NEAR THE NOSE OF A SWLY BRANCH
OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET...AND ONE OVER THE ERN DAKOTAS REGION IN
CONJUNCTION WITH A SECOND/MORE SLY BRANCH OF THE JET.

AS LARGE-SCALE RIDGING IS SUPPRESSED BY A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST AND WITH DIURNAL HEATING ASSISTING IN
AFTERNOON DESTABILIZATION...NEW STORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO
OCCUR -- LIKELY FOCUSED NEAR A WEAK SURFACE LOW PROGGED TO RESIDE
INVOF THE MID MO VALLEY. WITH TIME...EWD PROGRESS OF THE UPPER
SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN A STEADY EWD/SEWD SHIFT OF THE
CONVECTION...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS MO AND EVENTUALLY
INTO WRN MO.

WITH AMPLY STRONG/VEERING FLOW WITH HEIGHT ACROSS THIS REGION
SUPPORTING UPDRAFT ORGANIZATION...A FEW SUPERCELLS WILL LIKELY
EVOLVE DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS THE
MAIN THREATS. OVERNIGHT...STORMS MAY CONGEAL INTO AN MCS --
POSSIBLY ACCOMPANIED BY DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL AS THE SYSTEM
CROSSES THE MO AND LATER THE MID MS VALLEY.

..GOSS.. 03/28/2012

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 280556
SWODY1
SPC AC 280555

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1255 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2012

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER MUCH OF ERN KS AND SWRN
MO...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER MUCH OF KY...TN...WV INTO
NRN VA...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO NEW
ENGLAND BY 00Z...WITH ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW. A BROAD AREA OF STRONG
WLY FLOW WILL EXIST AROUND THE BASE OF THIS TROUGH WITH 60-70 KT
MIDLEVEL FLOW FROM THE OH VALLEY TO THE ATLANTIC. A COLD FRONT WILL
EXTEND FROM SRN NEW ENGLAND SWWD INTO THE DELMARVA AT 00Z...WITH LOW
TO MID 50S F DEWPOINTS TO THE S. THIS FRONT WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS
FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING EARLY IN THE DAY OVER NY AND
PA...EXPANDING SWWD INTO KY DURING THE AFTERNOON.

TO THE W...GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW WILL EXIST OVER THE CNTRL
PLAINS...WITH SLIGHT RIDGING ALOFT. THE WRN PORTION OF THE ERN U.S.
COLD FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE MO VALLEY WWD INTO NRN KS. THIS
PORTION OF THE BOUNDARY WILL ALSO SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH SUBSTANTIAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE STREAMING NWD
WITH AT LEAST LOWER 60S F DEWPOINTS.

MEANWHILE...STRONG HEATING WILL OCCUR NEAR A DRYLINE WHICH WILL
EXTEND FROM WRN KS INTO W TX...WITH AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS BY
AFTERNOON.

OVERNIGHT...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES
WITH HEIGHT FALLS SPREADING INTO THE NRN PLAINS. LOW PRESSURE WILL
FORM OVER SD WITH AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE ERN DAKOTAS
LATE.

...ERN KS...SWRN MO...FAR NERN OK AND NWRN AR...
SLY WINDS WILL BRING DEWPOINTS INTO THE LOWER 60S F NWD ACROSS OK
AND KS...BENEATH RELATIVELY COOL AIR ALOFT WITH -16 C AT 500 MB
ACROSS ERN KS. THIS WILL RESULT IN STRONG INSTABILITY BY MID
AFTERNOON ACROSS KS...OK...AND SWRN MO.

DAYTIME HEATING WILL QUICKLY ERODE CAPPING. FORCING WILL BE
SUBTLE...BUT SUFFICIENT FOR STORMS TO FORM BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON
ALONG THE SURFACE BOUNDARY THAT WILL LIE FROM NRN KS ESEWD INTO
CNTRL MO. SELY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL VEER TO WLY ALOFT AND WITH
HODOGRAPHS SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS. THERMODYNAMICS WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR PARTICULARLY LARGE HAIL. STORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO
TREK SEWD SLOWLY AT FIRST AND IN SUPERCELLULAR MODE...BUT MAY
EVENTUALLY MERGE OUTFLOWS AND ACCELERATE SEWD ALONG AND S OF THE
SURFACE BOUNDARY...WITH A DAMAGING WIND THREAT EXPANDING INTO WRN MO
AND NERN OK. EXACT PLACEMENT OF THIS TRACK OF THIS POTENTIAL
CORRIDOR OF SEVERE PRECLUDES HIGH PROBS AT THIS TIME.

...PA INTO SERN NY...NJ...
A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE ONGOING ALONG A COLD
FRONT...EXTENDING FROM CNTRL NY INTO WRN PA AROUND 15Z...AND WILL
RAPIDLY TRAVEL EWD TO SRN NEW ENGLAND/LONG ISLAND BY LATE AFTERNOON.
WIND FIELDS WILL BE STRONG...WITH UP TO 60 KT FLOW AROUND 700 MB.
INSTABILITY WILL BE THE LIMITING FACTOR TO A MORE SIGNIFICANT SEVERE
WEATHER DAY...AS WELL AS TIME OF DAY FOR WRN AREAS. HOWEVER...AT
LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY OCCUR...ESPECIALLY BETWEEN
18-21Z FROM S-CNTRL AND ERN PA INTO MD DUE TO DOWNWARD MOMENTUM
TRANSFER.

...MUCH OF KY AND TN...WV INTO VA...
STORMS WILL EXPAND SWWD ALONG THE COLD FRONT DURING THE DAY...FROM
MD AND NRN VA WWD INTO KY. LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL STEEPEN BY
AFTERNOON HELPING THE WIND THREAT OVER MD/VA WHERE SHEAR WILL BE
FAVORABLE. FARTHER W OVER KY...INSTABILITY WILL BE STRONGER BUT
HODOGRAPHS WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY LONG. STILL...ENOUGH SHEAR WILL
EXIST FOR MULTICELLS OR LINE SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS. THIS ACTIVITY MAY ENTER INTO TN DURING THE EVENING WITH A
SOMEWHAT LESSER THREAT AFTER SUNSET.

...ERN DAKOTAS OVERNIGHT...
ALTHOUGH THE AREA WILL BE VOID OF STORMS FOR MOST OF THE
PERIOD...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE ERN DAKOTAS
AFTER 06Z AS STRONG WARM ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC LIFT COMMENCE WITH
A 50 KT SLY LOW LEVEL JET. STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT AND FAVORABLE
SHEAR IN THE CLOUD BEARING LAYER WILL CONDITIONALLY SUPPORT HAIL.

..JEWELL/COHEN.. 03/28/2012

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KEKA [280430]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KEKA 280430
LSREKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
930 PM PDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM SNOW FOREST GLEN 40.38N 123.32W
03/26/2012 U0.0 INCH TRINITY CA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

CHAINS REQUIRED FROM MAD RIVER TO FOREAST GLEN OVER
SOUTHFORK MTN ON HWY 36 FROM 10 PM ON THE 26TH UNTIL 6 PM
ON THE 27TH.

0800 AM SNOW 7 WNW FOREST GLEN 40.42N 123.45W
03/27/2012 M12.0 INCH TRINITY CA TRAINED SPOTTER

12 INCHES OF SNOW OVERNIGHT AND STILL SNOWING AT TIME OF
OBSERVATION. ELEVATION OF 4425 FT.


&&

$$

ANDERSON

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KMFR [280424]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 280424
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
924 PM PDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 PM HEAVY RAIN 6 SW MERLIN 42.46N 123.49W
03/27/2012 M1.00 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL SINCE 4 PM PDT.


&&

$$

DW

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KEWX [280423]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 280423
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1123 PM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1107 PM HAIL 4 E DEL RIO 29.38N 100.83W
03/27/2012 E0.25 INCH VAL VERDE TX OTHER FEDERAL

LAUGHLIN AFB


&&

$$

JDS

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