Tuesday, April 17, 2012

KGSP [180346]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 180346
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1146 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 E MAULDIN 34.78N 82.25W
04/17/2012 GREENVILLE SC NWS EMPLOYEE

A BRADFORD PEAR TREE DOWN AT THE ENTRANCE TO A
SUBDIVISION WHICH FELL DURING THE STORM. INTERSECTION OF
ADAMS MILL ROAD AND CARRINGTON WAY.


&&

$$

OUTLAW

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGSP [180226]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 180226
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1025 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0905 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N SIMPSONVILLE 34.76N 82.26W
04/17/2012 GREENVILLE SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

A TREE IN THE ROADWAY NEAR INTERSECTION OF ADAMS MILL
ROAD AND HIGHWAY 14.


&&

$$

OUTLAW

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGSP [180155]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 180155
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
955 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM HAIL SIMPSONVILLE 34.73N 82.26W
04/17/2012 E1.00 INCH GREENVILLE SC PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN SIMPSONVILLE.

0910 PM HAIL 2 NE TRAVELERS REST 34.99N 82.41W
04/17/2012 E0.50 INCH GREENVILLE SC PUBLIC

MARBLE SIZED HAIL BETWEEN TRAVELERS REST AND TIGERVILLE.


&&

$$

OUTLAW

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGSP [180131]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 180131
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
931 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0918 PM HAIL 5 NNE SIMPSONVILLE 34.80N 82.23W
04/17/2012 E1.00 INCH GREENVILLE SC TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZED HAIL AT FIVE FORKS REPORTED BY RETIRED NWS
EMPLOYEE. A 40 TO 50 MPH GUST ESTIMATED NEARBY. HAIL HAS
ACCUMULATED A FEW INCHES IN THIS AREA.


&&

$$

OUTLAW

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGSP [180119]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 180119
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
919 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0845 PM HAIL 3 SW SIMPSONVILLE 34.70N 82.30W
04/17/2012 E0.75 INCH GREENVILLE SC TRAINED SPOTTER

TWO BRIEF PERIODS OF DIME SIZED HAIL AND VERY LITTLE
WIND.

0835 PM HAIL 6 SW SIMPSONVILLE 34.67N 82.33W
04/17/2012 E0.75 INCH GREENVILLE SC PUBLIC

PENNY SIZED HAIL AND ANOTHER PERIOD OF MARBLE SIZED HAIL.


0847 PM HAIL 4 WSW SIMPSONVILLE 34.71N 82.32W
04/17/2012 E1.00 INCH GREENVILLE SC FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZED AT GREENVILLE STATION 6 AND NOT
MUCH WIND.


&&

$$

OUTLAW

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 180102
SWODY1
SPC AC 180100

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

VALID 180100Z - 181200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHEAST STATES/CAROLINAS...
A MODESTLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS PERSISTS FROM NORTH GA INTO
UPSTATE/PIEDMONT PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS...WHERE SOME ADDITIONAL
STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS WITH HAIL AND/OR WIND REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS
EVENING. BUT WITH INSTABILITY ALREADY LIMITED /LESS THAN 1000 J PER
KG MLCAPE/...A NOCTURNALLY COOLING BOUNDARY LAYER IMPLIES DOWNWARD
INTENSITY TRENDS SHOULD OCCUR OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

...MIDDLE MO VALLEY/UPPER MIDWEST...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP/SPREAD EASTWARD
ACROSS THE REGION IN GENERAL ASSOCIATION WITH A FAST-MOVING/LOW
AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE AMBIENT AIRMASS IS RELATIVELY DRY
WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS MAINLY IN THE 40S F...BUT STEEP LAPSE RATES
AND AMPLE FORCING/SHEAR MAY ALLOW FOR SOME STRONGER STORMS CAPABLE
OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND/OR WIND TONIGHT.

..GUYER.. 04/18/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGSP [180040]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 180040
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
840 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0628 PM HAIL 4 E MORGANTON 35.75N 81.62W
04/17/2012 E0.75 INCH BURKE NC PUBLIC

3 MINUTES OF HAIL FROM PEA UP TO PENNY SIZED AND NOT MUCH
WIND NEAR DREXEL.

0818 PM HAIL 9 WSW WALHALLA 34.70N 83.20W
04/17/2012 E1.00 INCH OCONEE SC PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZED HAIL FELL HALFWAY BETWEEN WESTMINISTER AND
LONG CREEK.


&&

$$

OUTLAW

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KBMX [180013]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 180013
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
712 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM HAIL 3 ENE WALDO 33.42N 85.98W
04/17/2012 M1.00 INCH TALLADEGA AL TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED COVERING THE GROUND ON
WOOLFOLK RD NEAR IRONATON.


&&

$$

TGOGGINS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KOAX [180011]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 180011
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
711 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0223 PM HAIL VERDIGRE 42.60N 98.04W
04/15/2012 M0.75 INCH KNOX NE CO-OP OBSERVER

HAIL MOSTLY PEA SIZE BUT A FEW UP TO PENNY SIZE. REPORTED
BY COOPERATIVE OBSERVER FROM ANOTHER TOWN THAT WAS IN
VERDIGRE AT THE TIME.


&&
DELAYED REPORT
$$

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KUNR [180002]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 180002
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
602 PM MDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0541 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NE PORCUPINE 43.28N 102.26W
04/17/2012 M61 MPH SHANNON SD OTHER FEDERAL

PORCUPINE PRGS2 RAWS OBSERVATION


&&

$$

WFO UNR

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KFFC [172334]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 172334
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
734 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0711 PM TSTM WND GST 2 S BALDWIN 34.46N 83.54W
04/17/2012 M60 MPH BANKS GA PUBLIC

THE PUBLIC RELAYED A REPORT OF A 60 MPH GUST MEASURED TWO
MILES SOUTH OF BALDWIN


&&

$$

AGIBBS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KFFC [172333]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 172333
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
733 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0711 PM HAIL 2 SW ALTO 34.45N 83.60W
04/17/2012 E1.00 INCH BANKS GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

LEE ARRENDALE CORRECTIONAL CENTER REPORTED HAIL THE SIZE
OF QUARTERS IN THE AREA. ANOTHER REPORT OF HAIL THE SIZE
OF QUARTERS WAS RECEIVED FROM THE PUBLIC AT 713 PM 2 S OF
BALDWIN IN BANKS COUNTY.


&&

$$

AGIBBS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGSP [172312]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 172312
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
711 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0452 PM HAIL 2 NNW PATTERSON 36.02N 81.57W
04/17/2012 E0.50 INCH CALDWELL NC PUBLIC

PEA TO MARBLE SIZED HAIL FELL AND COVERED THE GROUND NEAR
THE INTERSECTION OF KIRBY MOUNTAIN ROAD AND HIGHWAY 321.
NOT MUCH WIND.


&&

$$

OUTLAW

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMRX [172238]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 172238
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
638 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0606 PM HAIL HAYESVILLE 35.05N 83.82W
04/17/2012 E0.50 INCH CLAY NC 911 CALL CENTER

DISPATCH REPORTED PEA TO PENNY SIZE HAIL IN HAYESVILLE.


&&

$$

KGUILLET

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGSP [172155]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 172155
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
555 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM HAIL 3 NNW SWANNANOA 35.64N 82.42W
04/17/2012 E0.50 INCH BUNCOMBE NC PUBLIC

A FEW PEOPLE ALONG LONG BRANCH ROAD REPORT PEA TO MARBLE
SIZED HAIL COVERING THE GROUND AND STRONG ENOUGH WIND TO
BLOW DOWN SMALL LIMBS. EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN OF 0.75 TO
NEAR 1 INCH OF RAIN FELL IN 15 TO 20 MINUTES.

0344 PM HAIL 3 E CANTON 35.55N 82.79W
04/17/2012 E0.50 INCH HAYWOOD NC PUBLIC

PEA TO NEAR MARBLE SIZED HAIL FELL BRIEFLY.

0345 PM HAIL 4 ESE BUSICK 35.74N 82.12W
04/17/2012 E0.50 INCH MCDOWELL NC PUBLIC

MARBLE SIZED HAIL COVERED GROUND AT MOUNT STREAM RV PARK.


0401 PM HAIL WOODLAWN 35.79N 82.04W
04/17/2012 E1.75 INCH MCDOWELL NC PUBLIC

HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZED COVERED THE GROUND ON HIDDEN
FOREST DRIVE.


&&

$$

OUTLAW

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KJAN [172147]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 172147
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
447 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0435 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG E VICKSBURG 32.33N 90.87W
04/17/2012 WARREN MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN DUE TO COMBO OF WIND AND SATURATED SOIL. ONE
TREE BLOCKING I-20 W. OTHERS DOWN ON FREETOWN AND PAXTON
ROADS.


&&

$$

AWEBER

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KFFC [172132]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 172132
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
532 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0527 PM HAIL 7 ENE CANTON 34.28N 84.38W
04/17/2012 E0.75 INCH CHEROKEE GA TRAINED SPOTTER

CHEROKEE COUNTY EMA RELAYED A REPORT FROM A STORM SPOTTER
ABOUT PENNY SIZE HAIL 7 MILES ENE OF CANTON.


&&

$$

AGIBBS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KFFC [172127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 172127
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
527 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0520 PM HAIL 4 E CANTON 34.24N 84.42W
04/17/2012 E1.00 INCH CHEROKEE GA TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED STORM SPOTTER RELAYED A REPORT OF ONE INCH HAIL 4
MILES EAST OF CANTON.


&&

$$

AGIBBS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KDVN [172125]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 172125
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
425 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1254 AM TSTM WND DMG ROCK ISLAND 41.48N 90.58W
04/15/2012 ROCK ISLAND IL NEWSPAPER

TIME ESTIMATED. DOME OF A FORMER CHURCH BLOWN OFF AT 700
22ND STREET. DOME FELL ONTO A HOUSE AT 721 22ND STREET
CAUSING DAMAGE. DELAYED REPORT.


&&

$$

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGSP [172107]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 172107
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
507 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0449 PM HAIL 5 NW PATTERSON 36.04N 81.61W
04/17/2012 E0.75 INCH CALDWELL NC NWS EMPLOYEE

OBSERVED BY THE PUBLIC IN THE DEEP CREEK COMMUNITY.
REPORT RELAYED BY NEIGHBORING NWS OFFICE.


&&

$$

CSH

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KFFC [172100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 172100
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
500 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0453 PM HAIL 1 E HOLLY SPRINGS 34.17N 84.48W
04/17/2012 E0.50 INCH CHEROKEE GA PUBLIC

SOCIAL MEDIA REPORTS OF HALF INCH HAIL NEAR HOLLY
SPRINGS.


&&

$$

AGIBBS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KJAN [172057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 172057
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
357 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0229 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 SE YAZOO CITY 32.80N 90.33W
04/17/2012 YAZOO MS EMERGENCY MNGR

COX ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING AND WATER DAMAGE.

0300 PM FLASH FLOOD 11 SE YAZOO CITY 32.75N 90.27W
04/17/2012 YAZOO MS EMERGENCY MNGR

FLOODING ON PARADISE, GREEN, AND MAYER RDS. ONE CAR WENT
UNDERWATER AFTER THE MOTORIST AND CHILD HAD GOTTEN TO
HIGHER GROUND.


&&

$$

AWEBER

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLIX [172053]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 172053
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
353 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM FLOOD METAIRIE 30.00N 90.18W
04/17/2012 JEFFERSON LA COUNTY OFFICIAL

MINOR STREET FLOODING REPORTED BY SCHOOL BOARD BUS
DISPATCH THROUGHOUT UPPER JEFFERSON PARISH.

0325 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 12 NNE METAIRIE 30.16N 90.10W
04/17/2012 M39.00 MPH GMZ530 LA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

AT MDLL1


&&

$$

24/RR

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KFFC [172052]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 172052
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
452 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0447 PM HAIL DECATUR 33.78N 84.30W
04/17/2012 E0.25 INCH DEKALB GA BROADCAST MEDIA

BROADCAST MEDIA RELAYED A REPORT OF PEA SIZE HAIL AT
THEIR LOCATION.


&&

$$

AGIBBS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KBMX [172052]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 172052
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
352 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0349 PM HAIL TALLADEGA 33.43N 86.10W
04/17/2012 E0.50 INCH TALLADEGA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN THE CITY OF TALLADEGA.


&&

$$

GGOGGINS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KFFC [172051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 172051
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
451 PM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0441 PM HAIL WOODSTOCK 34.10N 84.52W
04/17/2012 E0.50 INCH CHEROKEE GA PUBLIC

MEDIA RELAYED A REPORT OF DIME SIZE HAIL IN WOODSTOCK.


&&

$$

AGIBBS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMQT [171428]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 171428
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1028 AM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 3 E REDRIDGE 47.15N 88.72W
04/17/2012 M3.0 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR REPORT. 0.18 INCHES LIQUID EQUIVALENT.

0900 AM SNOW CALUMET 47.25N 88.45W
04/17/2012 M2.0 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR REPORT.


&&

$$

JMWIX

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 171229
SWODY1
SPC AC 171227

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0727 AM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

VALID 171300Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE...INCREASINGLY ZONAL PATTERN WILL PREVAIL OVER MOST OF
THE CONUS THROUGH WED. SRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER E TX
WILL CONTINUE E INTO THE LWR MS VLY THIS EVE AND INTO AL EARLY
WED...WHILE NRN STREAM DISTURBANCE NOW OVER ID MOVES ESE INTO MN/IA.

SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL PERSIST FROM THE CNTRL GULF CST REGION E INTO THE
CAROLINAS...ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH SRN
TROUGH. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE THE MAIN FOCUS FOR STRONG TO
POSSIBLY SVR STORMS THIS PERIOD.

...CNTRL GULF CST/GA/CAROLINAS THIS AFTN...
SFC HEATING SHOULD LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN OVERLAND TSTM COVERAGE
AHEAD OF SRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH...WHERE WEAK HEIGHT FALLS AND
CONVERGENCE WILL EXIST ALONG/AHEAD OF ASSOCIATED SFC FRONT.
SATELLITE SHOWS CLEAR SKIES IN PLACE ALONG THAT PART OF FRONT
EXTENDING FROM E CNTRL AL INTO SC/SRN NC...WHERE MLCAPE MAY EXCEED
1000 J/KG BY AFTN.

ALTHOUGH LWR TROPOSPHERIC FLOW WILL REMAIN WEAK...30-35 KT SWLY 500
MB WINDS ATOP FRONTAL ZONE MAY YIELD A FEW CLUSTERS OR BANDS OF
WEAKLY ORGANIZED/SUSTAINED MULTICELLULAR STORMS. THESE COULD
PRODUCE LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND MARGINALLY SVR HAIL. FARTHER
SW...LINGERING PRESENCE OF SUBSTANTIALLY RICHER GULF MOISTURE
INFLOW...AND UPLIFT ON ERN EDGE OF NRN GULF MCS...MAY SUPPORT ISOLD
INSTANCES OF STRONG TO SVR WINDS...OR PERHAPS A WATERSPOUT...THROUGH
THIS AFTN OVER THE CNTRL GULF CST.

...MID MO/UPR MS VLYS LATE THIS AFTN THROUGH TNGT...
WHILE UPDRAFT STRENGTH/DURATION WILL BE LIMITED BY SPARE
MOISTURE...DAYTIME HEATING AND ASCENT/MID LVL EML PROVIDED BY ID UPR
IMPULSE MAY FOSTER DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TO POSSIBLY SVR
LOW-TOPPED STORMS LATE THIS AFTN AND EVE ALONG LEE SFC TROUGH OVER
PARTS OF THE DAKOTAS/NEB. ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY FORM TNGT THROUGH
EARLY WED FARTHER NE INTO MN AND NW WI...ALONG AND N OF ASSOCIATED
WARM FRONT. COMBINATION OF 40+ KT CLOUD LAYER SHEAR WITH STEEP LOW
TO MID LVL LAPSE RATES MAY YIELD A FEW UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF
STRONG/GUSTY WINDS AND/OR HAIL.

..CORFIDI/MOSIER.. 04/17/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMQT [171150]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 171150
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
749 AM EDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0745 AM SNOW HERMAN 46.67N 88.37W
04/17/2012 M5.6 INCH BARAGA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR REPORT. 0.42 INCHES LIQUID EQUIVALENT.


&&

$$

JMWIX

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KBRO [171036]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 171036
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
536 AM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM TSTM WND DMG SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 26.08N 97.18W
04/16/2012 CAMERON TX BROADCAST MEDIA

ROOF TO RESTAURANT ON SOUTH PADRE ISLAND BLOWN OFF BY
TSTM WINDS. REPORTED BY LOCAL MEDIA. EVEN TIME ESTIMATED
BY RADAR.


&&

EVENT NUMBER BRO1200039

$$

JGG

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 170831
SWOD48
SPC AC 170830

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0330 AM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

VALID 201200Z - 251200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MEDIUM RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE IS AGAIN SLOWER AND A BIT FARTHER WEST
AND SOUTH WITH ITS EVOLUTION OF AN UPPER LOW THIS WEEKEND ALONG THE
GULF COAST. AS THE UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS AND DIGS SOUTH INTO TX
DURING THE DAY4 PERIOD IT WOULD SEEM LIKELY THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF CNTRL/ERN TX WITHIN GREATEST ZONE OF WARM
SECTOR INSTABILITY. IF CURRENT MODEL TRENDS HOLD THERE MAY BE
ENOUGH DEEP LAYER SHEAR/INSTABILITY TO WARRANT A RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS TX FRIDAY WHICH COULD EVOLVE INTO A LARGER
COMPLEX OF CONVECTION THAT COULD DRIVE INTO THE NWRN GULF BASIN OVER
THE WEEKEND. GIVEN THAT THE MODELS HAVE YET TO SETTLE ON A
CONSISTENT SOLUTION WILL NOT INTRODUCE AN ORGANIZED RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS THIS PERIOD.

..DARROW.. 04/17/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 170708
SWODY3
SPC AC 170707

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0207 AM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

VALID 191200Z - 201200Z

...NW MO TO NW TX...

SHORT RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE BEGINS TO DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY BY DAY3
AS THE NAM IS PARTICULARLY AGGRESSIVE IN THE EWD TRANSLATION OF
SHORT-WAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS INTO THE MID MS VALLEY.
THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE MUCH SLOWER AND GENERALLY AGREE WITH EACH
OTHER ALLOWING MORE ENERGY TO DIG ACROSS THE CNTRL ROCKIES TOWARD
THE SRN HIGH PLAINS BY LATE EVENING THURSDAY. GIVEN THE MODEL
DIFFERENCES CONFIDENCE IS NOT PARTICULARLY HIGH BUT WILL LEAN TOWARD
THE ECMWF/GFS SOLUTIONS OF A STRONGER LEE CYCLONE ACROSS THE ERN TX
PANHANDLE AT 20/00Z. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE
PARTICULARLY HIGH ACROSS THIS REGION...ESPECIALLY FOR LATE
APRIL...BUT SUFFICIENT FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG ADVANCING
COLD FRONT. IT APPEARS THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM AFTER 21Z ALONG THE
WIND SHIFT FROM ERN KS...SWWD INTO WRN OK IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF SFC
LOW. ANY STORMS THAT FORM ALONG THE BOUNDARY WILL MOVE EAST AT
ROUGHLY 25-30KT INTO A NARROW AXIS OF MOISTURE/INSTABILITY THAT
SHOULD SUPPORT ROBUST UPDRAFTS INTO THE EVENING HOURS. AT THIS TIME
WILL ONLY INTRODUCE 5% SEVERE PROBS GIVEN THAT MODELS DIFFER SO
GREATLY ON SHORT-WAVE PLACEMENT.

..DARROW.. 04/17/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLBF [170632]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 170632
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
131 AM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0653 PM HAIL 15 NNE NORTH PLATTE 41.33N 100.66W
04/14/2012 M1.50 INCH LINCOLN NE NWS EMPLOYEE

MOST OF THE HAIL WAS PEA TO QUARTER SIZE BUT THE LARGEST
MEASURED WAS 1.5 INCHES.


&&

$$

CDC

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 170558
SWODY1
SPC AC 170556

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1256 AM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS NORTH GA INTO PORTIONS
OF SC/NC...

...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE/SPLIT LARGE SCALE UPPER FLOW REGIME WILL PREVAIL OVER
THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS/CANADA DURING THE PERIOD. A SOUTHERN
STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE ARKLATEX EARLY TODAY WILL CONTINUE
AN EASTWARD PROGRESSION TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST STATES TONIGHT...WITH
SHOWERS/TSTMS COMMON ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT FROM THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES TO THE CAROLINAS. FARTHER NORTH...SEVERAL
OTHER LOWER AMPLITUDE/FASTER MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL CROSS THE
NORTHERN TIER OF THE CONUS THROUGH TONIGHT.

...SOUTHEAST STATES/CAROLINAS AND GULF COAST STATES...
AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH...WEAK
HEIGHT FALLS ALOFT AND DESTABILIZATION/CONVERGENCE SHOULD LEAD TO A
DIURNAL UPSWING IN TSTMS ESPECIALLY FROM PORTIONS OF AL/GA
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS IN VICINITY OF A SURFACE
FRONTAL ZONE. GIVEN THAT CONSEQUENTIAL HEATING SHOULD OCCUR
ALONG/SOUTHEAST OF THE COLD FRONT...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR A
NARROW CORRIDOR OF MLCAPE TO NEAR 750-1000 J/KG BY AFTERNOON AS
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN.

ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL BE RATHER WEAK WITHIN THE LOWEST 2-3
KM...25-40 KT SOUTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL COINCIDE WITH MUCH
OF THE FRONTAL ZONE. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR SEMI-ORGANIZED/SUSTAINED
MAINLY MULTICELLULAR STORMS. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
CONCERN. SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...BUT
MAGNITUDE WILL BE LIMITED BY WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT/MODEST OVERALL
BUOYANCY.

ELSEWHERE...OTHER MORE ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES.

...MIDDLE MO VALLEY/UPPER MIDWEST...
THE OVERALL SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE CONSIDERABLY LIMITED BY LIMITED
DURATION/QUALITY OF MOISTURE RETURN INTO THE REGION...BUT
NONETHELESS...SOME STRONG/POSSIBLY SEVERE TSTMS MAY OCCUR THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING. WITH AID OF AN APPROACHING LOW AMPLITUDE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH/SPEED MAX...RELATIVELY LOW-TOPPED TSTMS MAY DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON IN VICINITY OF A SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE DAKOTAS/NEB...OR MORE LIKELY TONIGHT ALONG/NORTH OF A
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD SHIFTING WARM FRONT. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL BE LIMITED WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS TYPICALLY RELEGATED TO THE
40S F THROUGH PEAK HEATING...INCREASING FORCED ASCENT/VERTICAL SHEAR
AND THE PRESENCE OF STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES /ESPECIALLY
DIURNALLY/ MAY SUPPORT STRONG UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF STRONG/GUSTY WINDS
AND/OR HAIL.

..GUYER/COHEN.. 04/17/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 170542
SWODY2
SPC AC 170541

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1241 AM CDT TUE APR 17 2012

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN U.S...

SRN STREAM SHORT-WAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DEAMPLIFY AS IT
PROGRESSES ACROSS THE GULF STATES TOWARD THE CAROLINA COAST LATE IN
THE PERIOD. WHILE THIS FEATURE IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG IT
APPEARS LARGE SCALE ASCENT DOWNSTREAM ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN FL/GA
INTO THE CAROLINAS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT BY MID DAY AS BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS/DESTABILIZES.
STEEPEST LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE NOTED ACROSS THE NRN FL
PENINSULA ARCING ACROSS SERN GA INTO SC...ROUGHLY WITHIN 100 MI OF
THE ATLANTIC COAST AND THIS BODES WELL FOR ROBUST UPDRAFTS.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID-UPPER
70S WILL BE REACHED BY 18Z AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF
25-30KT WOULD SEEM SUPPORTIVE OF MULTI-CELL UPDRAFTS AND PERHAPS
EVEN A FEW WEAK SUPERCELLS. WILL INTRODUCE 5% PROBS TO ACCOUNT FOR
A FEW MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRIMARILY DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS.

...MID MS VALLEY...

SHORT-WAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE
GREAT LAKES DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD WHICH WILL FORCE A
COLD FRONT TO A POSITION FROM LAKE MI...SWWD ACROSS SRN IA INTO SERN
NEB BY 19/00Z. LATEST DATA SUGGESTS A NARROW AXIS OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WITH SFC DEW POINTS INTO THE LOWER 50S WILL ADVECT AHEAD OF
THE BOUNDARY ACROSS ERN IA INTO SWRN WI. IF TEMPERATURES CAN WARM
INTO THE MID 60S OVER THIS REGION IT APPEARS FRONTAL CONVERGENCE
WILL PROVE ADEQUATE IN GENERATING CONVECTION. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY
IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE THAT SIGNIFICANT IT APPEARS A FEW
STRONG...PERHAPS EVEN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM BY
21-22Z. CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP SWWD ALONG THE TRAILING BOUNDARY
TOWARD 00Z ACROSS SRN IA/NRN MO WHERE LESS FORCING WILL BE NOTED BUT
STRONGER HEATING WILL RESULT IN GREATER INSTABILITY. WITH LLJ
EXPECTED TO IMPINGE ON THE TRAILING FRONT DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
CONSIDERABLY MORE CONVECTION MAY EVOLVE WITHIN THE WARM ADVECTION
ZONE FROM SERN NEB INTO SWRN IA WELL AFTER DARK. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST HAIL COULD ACCOMPANY THIS ELEVATED ACTIVITY THAT FORMS
ALONG/NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY. AT THIS TIME WILL NOT INTRODUCE A
SLIGHT RISK BUT MUCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 1000 J/KG MAY WARRANT
INCREASED SEVERE PROBS FOR LATE NIGHT STORMS. WILL MONITOR THIS
REGION FOR POSSIBLE UPGRADE IN LATER OUTLOOKS.

..DARROW.. 04/17/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.