Wednesday, May 20, 2009

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 201929
SWODY1
SPC AC 201926

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0226 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

VALID 202000Z - 211200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE FL
PENINSULA...

...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...

CONVECTION IS GRADUALLY DEEPENING/EXPANDING WITHIN VERY STEEP LAPSE
RATE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS SRN WY...ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF SHARP COLD
FRONT. AS NELY UPSLOPE FLOW INTENSIFIES ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD GRADUALLY ORGANIZE AS IT MOVES ACROSS SERN WY INTO
THE NEB PANHANDLE. EARLIER THOUGHTS REGARDING THE POSSIBILITY FOR A
FEW LP SUPERCELLS REMAIN AS SHEAR PROFILES WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
SUPPORTIVE OF ROTATING UPDRAFTS. LATEST SATELLITE/RADAR IMAGERY
SUGGEST CONVECTION OVER GOSHEN/LARAMIE COUNTIES WILL SOON ENCOUNTER
FRONTAL ZONE WHERE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE/BUOYANCY SHOULD ENCOURAGE MORE
ROBUST UPDRAFTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NEB PANHANDLE...THOUGH 18Z
SOUNDING AT LBF HAS YET TO MOISTEN/DESTABILIZE SIGNIFICANTLY.

...FL...

MULTIPLE BANDS OF STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE
NWWD ALONG THE ERN PERIPHERY OF RETROGRADING UPPER LOW. THOUGH LOW
LEVEL SHEAR IS NOT THAT SIGNIFICANT...STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING
ACROSS THE SWRN PENINSULA HAS YET TO BE OVERTURNED BY THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. GIVEN THE VEERING PROFILES WITH HEIGHT...MOST STRONG
UPDRAFTS SHOULD TEND TO ROTATE POSSIBLY LEADING TO A FEW TORNADOES.

..DARROW.. 05/20/2009

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1120 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2009/

...FL...
MORNING OBSERVATIONAL DATA AND MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST LITTLE CHANGE
NEEDED TO EXISTING OUTLOOK OVER THIS REGION. STRONG HEATING WILL
CONTINUE OVER SRN/CENTRAL FL SOUTH OF E-W RAINBAND PERSISTING ACROSS
NRN PARTS OF THE STATE. APPEARS SMALL AXIS OF SURFACE CONVERGENCE
WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED FROM BETWEEN MIA/PBI TOWARDS THE TBW AREA
DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON AND LIKELY ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT. ALTHOUGH DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN SLOW TO DEVELOP THUS FAR
OVER THIS REGION...POSSIBLY DUE TO SMALL AREA OF SUBSIDENCE...
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S F AND FOCUSED ASCENT AHEAD OF SMALL
PERTURBATIONS ROTATING AROUND LARGER UPPER LOW OFF SW FL SHOULD
INCREASE STORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. REGIONS REMAIN QUITE COLD
ALOFT...-13C AT MFL THIS MORNING...AND RESULTANT STRONG INSTABILITY
SHOULD FUEL A FEW SEVERE HAIL/WIND REPORTS WITH THE MORE ROBUST
UPDRAFTS. OVERALL STORM-SCALE ORGANIZATION SHOULD REMAIN WEAK...
ALTHOUGH ACTIVITY DEVELOPING FROM CENTRAL FL NWD TO NEAR THE MODEST
ELY LLJ OVER NRN FL WILL HAVE A GREATER CHANCE OF LOW LEVEL ROTATION
AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO. STRENGTH OF INSTABILITY MAY ALSO
SUSTAIN A FEW BRIEF SPOUTS/TORNADOES INTO SERN FL.

...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO THE NRN PLAINS...
PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE SHIFTING EWD ACROSS THE
NRN ROCKIES TODAY...WITH A PAIR OF LOW AMPLITUDE IMPULSES WEAKENING
AS THEY EJECT ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND NRN PLAINS. ASSOCIATED
SURFACE COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL/ERN ND INTO CENTRAL WY AT
16Z WILL CONTINUE ESEWD WITH PRIMARY LOW CENTER OVER THE RED RIVER
VALLEY EXPECTED TO SHIFT NEWD ACROSS NRN MN TODAY. SHEAR WILL
STRENGTHEN FROM THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO ND/MN THROUGH THE
PERIOD...ALTHOUGH SPARSE MOISTURE CONTINUES TO BE PRIMARY LIMITING
FACTOR FOR THUNDERSTORMS.

MODELS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP A WEAKER SURFACE LOW ALONG THE FRONT/LEE
TROUGH INTERSECTION OVER NERN CO/SWRN NEB THIS AFTERNOON.
ASSOCIATED NELY UPSLOPE FLOW JUST NORTH OF THE LOW MAY FOCUS AN AXIS
OF MARGINAL MLCAPE AND WEAK CINH INTO FAR E-CENTRAL WY/NRN NEB
PANHANDLE/FAR SWRN SD DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. UPSLOPE FLOW AND
STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING SHOULD SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPMENT INTO THIS AREA WHERE SHEAR WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR
SUPERCELLS. HIGH-BASED ACTIVITY /POSSIBLY LP-SUPERCELLS/ MAY
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND...WITH GENERAL EVOLUTION INTO A
MARGINAL SEVERE CLUSTER EVOLVING ALONG NOSE OF NOCTURNAL LLJ
SHIFTING EWD NORTH OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT ALONG THE NEB/SD BORDER
THROUGH THE EVENING.

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KTBW [201928]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 201928
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
328 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0317 PM HAIL BRADENTON 27.49N 82.58W
05/20/2009 M0.75 INCH MANATEE FL NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTED PENNY SIZED HAIL

0315 PM HAIL SW BRADENTON 27.49N 82.58W
05/20/2009 E1.00 INCH MANATEE FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED QUARTER SIZED HAIL


&&

$$

CARLISLE

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KMPX [201907]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 201907
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
207 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PRIOR LAKE 44.73N 93.43W
05/20/2009 SCOTT MN AMATEUR RADIO

18 INCH LIMB FROM LIVE TREE BROKEN AT MAIN TRUNK AND FELL
TO GROUND.


&&

$$

JPR

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KJAN [201904]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KJAN 201904
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
203 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM LIGHTNING 10 SW YAZOO CITY 32.76N 90.53W
05/16/2009 YAZOO MS EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 FATAL, 2 INJ *** THREE TEENAGERS WERE STRUCK BY
LIGHTNING ON EAGLE BEND ROAD. ONE WAS AIR LIFTED TO THE
UMC HOSPITAL IN JACKSON AFTER BEING REVIVED. THE OTHER
TWO ARE KNOWN TO BE OK. THE SERIOUSLY INJURED PERSON
PASSED AWAY ON THE MORNING OF MAY 20TH.


&&

$$

CME

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KJAN [201904]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KJAN 201904
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
204 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1231 PM TSTM WND GST 6 SE TALLULAH 32.35N 91.12W
05/16/2009 M67.00 MPH MADISON LA AMATEUR RADIO

MEASURED WIND GUST OF 67 MPH. 1 TREE WAS SNAPPED ALONG
WITH SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. PEA SIZED HAIL ALSO
FELL AT THIS LOCATION.

0148 PM HAIL 4 ENE BETHEDEN 33.24N 88.88W
05/16/2009 E0.88 INCH WINSTON MS PUBLIC

OCCURRED ALONG BLUFF LAKE RD.

0149 PM FLASH FLOOD ARTESIA 33.42N 88.64W
05/16/2009 LOWNDES MS COUNTY OFFICIAL

WATER REPORTED OVER LEE ROAD.

0245 PM LIGHTNING 10 SW YAZOO CITY 32.76N 90.53W
05/16/2009 YAZOO MS EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 FATAL, 2 INJ *** THREE TEENAGERS WERE STRUCK BY
LIGHTNING ON EAGLE BEND ROAD. ONE WAS AIR LIFTED TO THE
UMC HOSPITAL IN JACKSON AFTER BEING REVIVED. THE OTHER
TWO ARE KNOWN TO BE OK. THE SERIOUSLY INJURED PERSON
PASSED AWAY ON THE MORNING OF MAY 20TH.

0410 PM HAIL DALEVILLE 32.57N 88.68W
05/16/2009 E0.25 INCH LAUDERDALE MS EMERGENCY MNGR

PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN DALEVILLE.

0415 PM HAIL BAXTERVILLE 31.08N 89.59W
05/16/2009 E0.50 INCH LAMAR MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN BAXTERVILLE.

0450 PM LIGHTNING HATTIESBURG 31.31N 89.31W
05/16/2009 FORREST MS EMERGENCY MNGR

THREE TREES WERE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING AND FELL ON POWER
LINES CAUSING POWER OUTAGES AROUND HATTIESBURG. REPORTED
BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

0455 PM HAIL BAXTERVILLE 31.08N 89.59W
05/16/2009 E0.88 INCH LAMAR MS PUBLIC

DIME TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL FELL IN BAXTERVILLE.

0500 PM FLASH FLOOD HATTIESBURG 31.31N 89.31W
05/16/2009 FORREST MS EMERGENCY MNGR

STREET FLOODING OCCURRING AROUND THE CITY OF HATTIESBURG.
REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

0513 PM HAIL OMA 31.73N 90.14W
05/16/2009 E0.88 INCH LAWRENCE MS PUBLIC

OBSERVED AT A GROCERY STORE IN OMA.

0550 PM HAIL 2 NE PULASKI 32.29N 89.58W
05/16/2009 E0.88 INCH SCOTT MS EMERGENCY MNGR

DIME TO NICKEL HAIL REPORTED NORTHEAST OF PULASKI ON
BLOSSOM HILL ROAD. REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

0553 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SSE PULASKI 32.25N 89.59W
05/16/2009 SCOTT MS PUBLIC

SEVERAL TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN ALONG BEATTY RD AND HWY
481.

0553 PM HAIL 2 SSE PULASKI 32.25N 89.59W
05/16/2009 E1.75 INCH SCOTT MS PUBLIC

ALONG BEATTY RD.

0705 PM HAIL 3 S MIZE 31.82N 89.55W
05/16/2009 E0.75 INCH SMITH MS PUBLIC

PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED NEAR THE SMITH-COVINGTON COUNTY
LINE...JUST SOUTH OF MIZE. REPORTED BY PUBLIC.


&&

$$

CME

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KGRB [201902]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 201902
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
201 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PELICAN LAKE 45.50N 89.11W
05/20/2009 ONEIDA WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE LIMBS AND POWERLINES DOWN. A BRUSH FIRE IS OCCURRING
NEAR PELICAN LAKE.


&&

$$

SAC

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KARX [201901]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 201901
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
201 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0120 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG AUSTIN 43.67N 92.97W
05/20/2009 MOWER MN BROADCAST MEDIA

1 1/2 FOOT DIAMETER TREE UPROOTED IN AUSTIN


&&

$$

JR

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KTBW [201901]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 201901
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
300 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 PM HAIL LAKE PLACID 27.30N 81.37W
05/20/2009 E0.75 INCH HIGHLANDS FL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JCM

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KGRB [201853]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 201853
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
153 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0140 PM NON-TSTM WND GST PLOVER 44.45N 89.53W
05/20/2009 M42 MPH PORTAGE WI CO-OP OBSERVER

PEAK WIND GUST 42 MPH - TREES DOWN, LARGEST 40 FT TALL
AND 1 FT DIAMETER


&&

$$

TSK

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KMLB [201850]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 201850
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
250 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM FUNNEL CLOUD KISSIMMEE 28.30N 81.41W
05/19/2009 OSCEOLA FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

KISSIMMEE POLICE REPORT THACKER AND US 192. PEA SIZE
HAIL.


&&

$$

MRT

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KMFL [201837]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 201837
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
237 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 AM WATER SPOUT 2 E MIAMI BEACH 25.81N 80.10W
05/20/2009 AMZ651 FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

WATERSPOUT OBSERVED 2 MILES EAST OF MIAMI BEACH.

1200 PM WATER SPOUT BOYNTON BEACH 26.53N 80.09W
05/20/2009 PALM BEACH FL PUBLIC

A WATERSPOUT WAS OBSERVED JUST OFFSHORE

1225 PM HAIL LANTANA 26.59N 80.06W
05/20/2009 E0.25 INCH PALM BEACH FL TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED ALONG FEDERAL HIGHWAY IN
LANTANA.

0140 PM HAIL LAKEPORT 26.98N 81.13W
05/20/2009 E0.75 INCH GLADES FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

PENNY SIZED HAIL WAS OBSERVED IN LAKEPORT.

0145 PM TSTM WND GST 10 NW PAHOKEE 26.90N 80.79W
05/20/2009 M39.00 MPH AMZ610 FL COUNTY OFFICIAL

A WIND GUST OF 39 MPH WAS MEASURED AT SOUTH FLORIDA WATER
MANAGEMENT DISTRICT SITE LZ40.

0145 PM TSTM WND GST BELLE GLADE 26.69N 80.67W
05/20/2009 M58.00 MPH PALM BEACH FL MESONET

A WIND GUST OF 58 MPH WAS MEASURED AT THE BELLE GLADE
MESONET SITE.

0145 PM TSTM WND GST 6 E BUCKHEAD RIDGE 27.14N 80.79W
05/20/2009 M42.00 MPH AMZ610 FL COUNTY OFFICIAL

A 42 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT SOUTH FLORIDA WATER
MANAGEMENT DISTRICT SITE L001

0154 PM TSTM WND DMG BELLE GLADE 26.69N 80.67W
05/20/2009 PALM BEACH FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

A TREE AND POWER LINES WERE REPORTED DOWN IN THE CITY OF
BELLE GLADE.

0155 PM HAIL LAKEPORT 26.98N 81.13W
05/20/2009 E1.00 INCH GLADES FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

QUARTER SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED IN LAKEPORT. THIS BEGAN
AT 151 PM.

0200 PM TSTM WND GST 6 E BUCKHEAD RIDGE 27.14N 80.79W
05/20/2009 M45.00 MPH AMZ610 FL COUNTY OFFICIAL

A WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT 45 MPH AT THE SOUTH FLORIDA
WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT SITE L001


&&

$$

CARACOZZA

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KJAX [201835]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 201835
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
235 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0232 PM FLOOD 4 NW NORMANDY 30.35N 81.81W
05/20/2009 DUVAL FL PUBLIC

FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED AT HOMES ON THE WESTSIDE OF
JACKSONVILLE ON 105TH STREET. 2 INCHES OF STANDING WATER
HAS BEEN REPORTED IN SOME HOMES NEAR THE FLEA MARKET.


&&

$$

PKEEGAN

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KJAN [201825]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 201825
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
125 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0553 PM HAIL 2 SSE PULASKI 32.25N 89.59W
05/16/2009 E1.75 INCH SCOTT MS PUBLIC

ALONG BEATTY RD.

0553 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SSE PULASKI 32.25N 89.59W
05/16/2009 SCOTT MS PUBLIC

SEVERAL TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN ALONG BEATTY RD AND HWY
481.


&&

$$

CME

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KMLB [201825]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 201825
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
225 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 3 E KISSIMMEE 28.30N 81.36W
05/19/2009 OSCEOLA FL OTHER FEDERAL

NO TOUCH DOWN. DISSIPATED SHORTLY AFTER SIGHTING. REPORT
FROM KISSIMMEE AIRPORT CONTROL TOWER.


&&

$$

MRT

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KMLB [201820]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 201820
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
220 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0205 PM HAIL OKEECHOBEE 27.24N 80.83W
05/19/2009 M0.88 INCH OKEECHOBEE FL PUBLIC

7645 HWY 78 WEST


&&

$$

MRT

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KJAX [201820]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 201820
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
220 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1236 PM HEAVY RAIN GAINESVILLE 29.67N 82.34W
05/20/2009 E0.00 INCH ALACHUA FL EMERGENCY MNGR

LARGE OAK TREE FELL ON A GAS LINE OF RESIDENTIAL
STRUCTURE DUE TO HEAVY RAIN AND SATURATED GROUND.

0205 PM FLOOD BUNNELL 29.47N 81.26W
05/20/2009 FLAGLER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED FLOODING ON MULTIPLE
SECONDARY STREETS INCLUDING SOME ON THE MAIN ROADS ACROSS
FLAGLER COUNTY.


&&

$$

SHULER

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KMPX [201811]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 201811
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
111 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0109 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG STILLWATER 45.06N 92.82W
05/20/2009 WASHINGTON MN PUBLIC

TREE DOWN


&&

$$

JPR

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KJAN [201807]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 201807
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
106 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1231 PM TSTM WND GST 6 SE TALLULAH 32.35N 91.12W
05/16/2009 M67 MPH MADISON LA AMATEUR RADIO

MEASURED WIND GUST OF 67 MPH. 1 TREE WAS SNAPPED ALONG
WITH SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. PEA SIZED HAIL ALSO
FELL AT THIS LOCATION.


&&

$$

CME

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KKEY [201803]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 201803
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
203 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1220 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 ENE FORT JEFFERSON AT 24.69N 82.77W
05/20/2009 M39 MPH GMZ075 XX C-MAN STATION

A STRONG SHOWER DELIVERED A 34 KNOT WIND GUST AT PULASKI
SHOAL LIGHT.


&&

$$

AALBANES

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KMLB [201725]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 201725
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
125 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1142 PM TORNADO CASSELBERRY 28.66N 81.32W
05/19/2009 SEMINOLE FL NWS STORM SURVEY

LOW END EF0 TORNADO -65 MPH- WIDTH 50 YARDS PATH LENGTH
1.5 MILES AT LAKE SHORE AND LAKE AVE


&&

$$

MRT

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KJAX [201710]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 201710
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
109 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0107 PM HEAVY RAIN PALM COAST 29.57N 81.21W
05/20/2009 U0.00 INCH FLAGLER FL TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY RAINFALL HAS RESULTED IN SEVERAL INCHES OF WATER
COVERING PORTIONS OF WHISPERING PINE DRIVE.


&&

$$

ECZ

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KJAX [201650]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 201650
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1250 PM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 AM HEAVY RAIN BUNNELL 29.47N 81.26W
05/20/2009 M14.00 INCH FLAGLER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF
14.0 INCHES THROUGH 1030 AM THIS MORNING.

1030 AM HEAVY RAIN PALM COAST 29.57N 81.21W
05/20/2009 M10.00 INCH FLAGLER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF
10.0 INCHES THROUGH 1030 AM THIS MORNING.

1030 AM HEAVY RAIN FLAGLER BEACH 29.47N 81.13W
05/20/2009 M10.70 INCH FLAGLER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF
10.70 INCHES THROUGH 1030 AM THIS MORNING.

1030 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 WSW BUNNELL 29.44N 81.31W
05/20/2009 M16.50 INCH FLAGLER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF
16.5 INCHES THROUGH 1030 AM THIS MORNING IN THE HAW CREEK
AREA.


&&

$$

SHULER

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 201623
SWODY1
SPC AC 201620

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1120 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

VALID 201630Z - 211200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/SRN
FL...

...FL...
MORNING OBSERVATIONAL DATA AND MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST LITTLE CHANGE
NEEDED TO EXISTING OUTLOOK OVER THIS REGION. STRONG HEATING WILL
CONTINUE OVER SRN/CENTRAL FL SOUTH OF E-W RAINBAND PERSISTING ACROSS
NRN PARTS OF THE STATE. APPEARS SMALL AXIS OF SURFACE CONVERGENCE
WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED FROM BETWEEN MIA/PBI TOWARDS THE TBW AREA
DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON AND LIKELY ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT. ALTHOUGH DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN SLOW TO DEVELOP THUS FAR
OVER THIS REGION...POSSIBLY DUE TO SMALL AREA OF SUBSIDENCE...
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S F AND FOCUSED ASCENT AHEAD OF SMALL
PERTURBATIONS ROTATING AROUND LARGER UPPER LOW OFF SW FL SHOULD
INCREASE STORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. REGIONS REMAIN QUITE COLD
ALOFT...-13C AT MFL THIS MORNING...AND RESULTANT STRONG INSTABILITY
SHOULD FUEL A FEW SEVERE HAIL/WIND REPORTS WITH THE MORE ROBUST
UPDRAFTS. OVERALL STORM-SCALE ORGANIZATION SHOULD REMAIN WEAK...
ALTHOUGH ACTIVITY DEVELOPING FROM CENTRAL FL NWD TO NEAR THE MODEST
ELY LLJ OVER NRN FL WILL HAVE A GREATER CHANCE OF LOW LEVEL ROTATION
AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO. STRENGTH OF INSTABILITY MAY ALSO
SUSTAIN A FEW BRIEF SPOUTS/TORNADOES INTO SERN FL.

...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO THE NRN PLAINS...
PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE SHIFTING EWD ACROSS THE
NRN ROCKIES TODAY...WITH A PAIR OF LOW AMPLITUDE IMPULSES WEAKENING
AS THEY EJECT ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND NRN PLAINS. ASSOCIATED
SURFACE COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL/ERN ND INTO CENTRAL WY AT
16Z WILL CONTINUE ESEWD WITH PRIMARY LOW CENTER OVER THE RED RIVER
VALLEY EXPECTED TO SHIFT NEWD ACROSS NRN MN TODAY. SHEAR WILL
STRENGTHEN FROM THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO ND/MN THROUGH THE
PERIOD...ALTHOUGH SPARSE MOISTURE CONTINUES TO BE PRIMARY LIMITING
FACTOR FOR THUNDERSTORMS.

MODELS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP A WEAKER SURFACE LOW ALONG THE FRONT/LEE
TROUGH INTERSECTION OVER NERN CO/SWRN NEB THIS AFTERNOON.
ASSOCIATED NELY UPSLOPE FLOW JUST NORTH OF THE LOW MAY FOCUS AN AXIS
OF MARGINAL MLCAPE AND WEAK CINH INTO FAR E-CENTRAL WY/NRN NEB
PANHANDLE/FAR SWRN SD DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. UPSLOPE FLOW AND
STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING SHOULD SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPMENT INTO THIS AREA WHERE SHEAR WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR
SUPERCELLS. HIGH-BASED ACTIVITY /POSSIBLY LP-SUPERCELLS/ MAY
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND...WITH GENERAL EVOLUTION INTO A
MARGINAL SEVERE CLUSTER EVOLVING ALONG NOSE OF NOCTURNAL LLJ
SHIFTING EWD NORTH OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT ALONG THE NEB/SD BORDER
THROUGH THE EVENING.

..EVANS/HURLBUT.. 05/20/2009

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 201623
SWODY2
SPC AC 201621

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1121 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

VALID 211200Z - 221200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

VERY QUIET PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE DAY2 PERIOD...IN REGARDS
TO ORGANIZED SEVERE DEEP CONVECTION...AS STRONGER WLY FLOW HAS
RETREATED TO THE U.S./CANADIAN BORDER. ANOTHER IMPEDIMENT TO ROBUST
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS THE LACK OF MEANINGFUL BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE WHICH HAS LED TO WEAK INSTABILITY ACROSS THE CONUS. THE
PRIMARY REASON FOR REDUCED MOISTURE IS THE PERSISTENT UPPER
LOW/TROUGH OVER THE ERN GULF OF MEXICO WHICH SHOULD HOLD WELL INTO
THE WEEKEND.

ALTHOUGH SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE LOWER
48 THURSDAY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF
THE SWRN U.S. FROM AZ/NM...NWD INTO THE CNTRL ROCKIES. PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES HAVE RISEN MARKEDLY ACROSS MUCH OF NWRN MEXICO AND THIS
PLUME OF HIGHER MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY EASE NWD BENEATH WEAK UPPER
TROUGH POSITIONED ACROSS THIS REGION. THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO
DEVELOP DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY ALONG WIND SHIFT AS IT SAGS SWD
THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

ANOTHER AREA WHERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP WILL BE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH SLOW-MOVING UPPER LOW AS IT DRIFTS WWD ACROSS
FL/ERN GULF OF MEXICO. COOL...MOIST PROFILES AND DEEP SELY FLOW
ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY
FOR SCATTERED CONVECTION.

..DARROW.. 05/20/2009

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KCHS [201548]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 201548
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1148 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 AM HIGH SURF FOLLY BEACH 32.66N 79.92W
05/20/2009 CHARLESTON SC NWS EMPLOYEE

SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION OBSERVED ALONG FOLLY BEACH.
ESCARPMENTS UP TO 2 FEET IN SOME PLACES.


&&

$$

JHP

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KCHS [201405]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 201405
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1004 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0959 AM HIGH SURF FOLLY BEACH 32.66N 79.92W
05/20/2009 CHARLESTON SC COUNTY OFFICIAL

FOLLY BEACH COUNTY PARK OFFICIALS REPORTED 5 TO 7 FOOT
BREAKERS IN THE SURF ZONE.

0959 AM HIGH SURF TYBEE ISLAND 32.00N 80.85W
05/20/2009 CHATHAM GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TYBEE ISLAND LIFEGUARDS REPORTED 6 TO 7 FOOT BREAKERS IN
THE SURF ZONE.


&&

$$

JHP

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KJAX [201247]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...correction To Rainfall Total

NWUS52 KJAX 201247 CCA
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTION TO RAINFALL TOTAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
847 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0824 AM HEAVY RAIN CRESCENT CITY 29.44N 81.52W
05/20/2009 M4.51 INCH PUTNAM FL CO-OP OBSERVER

CO-OP OBSERVER MEASURED 4.51 INCHES OVER 24-HOUR PERIOD
ENDING AT 6 AM EDT.


&&

$$

ECZ

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 201246
SWODY1
SPC AC 201243

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0743 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

VALID 201300Z - 211200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF CNTRL AND SRN
FL...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A SMALL PART OF THE
CNTRL/NRN PLNS...

...SYNOPSIS...
MAIN BELT OF THE WLYS WILL ONCE AGAIN REMAIN CONFINED TO THE NWRN
STATES...THE NRN PLNS...AND SERN CANADA THIS PERIOD AS ELONGATED
RIDGE EDGES SLOWLY E FROM THE OH VLY TO THE MID ATLANTIC CST.
FARTHER S...ERN GULF OF MEXICO LOW EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP SLIGHTLY
WWD...WHILE A BROAD/WEAK TROUGH WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES
PREVAILS OVER THE SOUTHWEST.

AT LWR LVLS...COLD FRONT NOW IN THE WRN DAKOTAS...ASSOCIATED WITH
SHORTWAVE IMPULSE NOW IN SK/MT...SHOULD MOVE SE INTO NRN NEB/SE SD
BY EVE WHILE LEE TROUGH MIXES E OVER ERN CO/WRN NEB. OVER FL...DEEP
E-W CONFLUENCE AXIS OVER THE CNTRL PART OF THE STATE MAY MOVE A BIT
NWD TODAY...BEFORE REFORMING FARTHER NW TONIGHT/EARLY THURSDAY.

...CNTRL/NRN PLNS...
NEB/SD COLD FRONT AND HI PLNS LEE TROUGH SHOULD BE THE FOCUS FOR
AFTN STORM DEVELOPMENT AND AN ASSOCIATED SVR THREAT LATER
TODAY/EARLY TONIGHT AS SFC HEATING DESTABILIZES REGION. MOISTURE
AVAILABILITY WILL REMAIN MODEST BY MID-MAY STANDARDS. BUT
COMBINATION OF MODERATE CONVERGENCE WITH STEEP LOW- TO MID-LVL LAPSE
RATES SHOULD SUPPORT SCTD STRONG UPDRAFTS. A FEW STORMS ALSO MAY
FORM OVER THE WY MOUNTAINS. WLY FLOW ALOFT AND POST-FRONTAL ELY
FLOW AT THE SFC SHOULD FOSTER EWD PROPAGATION OF THIS ACTIVITY INTO
THE LWR PLNS.

SLY PRE-FRONTAL SFC WINDS BENEATH 25-30 KT WSWLY FLOW AT MID LVLS
SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR SUSTAINED STORMS...AND POSSIBLY A FEW WITH
WEAK MID-LVL ROTATION. COUPLED WITH DEEPLY MIXED ENVIRONMENT...
SETUP MAY YIELD STRONG...EVAPORATIVELY-ENHANCED SFC WINDS AND SVR
HAIL. THE STORMS MAY EVOLVE INTO A SMALL CLUSTER OR TWO THIS EVE.
THESE SHOULD WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE MAINLY E INVOF THE FRONT LATER
TONIGHT. A FEW STRONG ELEVATED STORMS MAY PERSIST IN THE WAKE OF
THE FRONT OVER SRN SD/NRN NEB/SW MN/NW IA THROUGH EARLY THU.

...CNTRL/SRN FL...
SFC HEATING WILL OCCUR OVER S CNTRL FL TODAY...S OF AFOREMENTIONED
DEEP CONFLUENCE AXIS AND BENEATH MID LVL DRY SLOT THAT WILL SPIRAL
WNW ACROSS REGION THROUGH MIDDAY. SATELLITE AND SFC DATA SHOW
SEVERAL LOW LVL BOUNDARIES/CONFLUENCE FEATURES THAT SHOULD SERVE TO
FOCUS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS MORNING. GIVEN COOL MID LVL
TEMPERATURES /BLO MINUS 10 C AT 500 MB/ AND SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE UPR
60S F...SETUP MAY SUPPORT A FEW STORMS WITH SVR HAIL. IN
ADDITION...MODERATE LOW-LVL VEERING PROFILES OVER THE E CNTRL PART
OF THE STATE WILL ENHANCE THE LIKELIHOOD FOR LOW LVL ROTATION
...GIVEN A SUSTAINED STORM. THUS...A CONDITIONAL THREAT WILL EXIST
FOR ISOLD TORNADOES. THE SVR THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH ONCE STORMS
BEGIN TO DESTRUCTIVELY INTERFERE LATER TODAY.

..CORFIDI/JEWELL.. 05/20/2009

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KJAX [201229]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 201229
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
829 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0828 AM HEAVY RAIN ORANGE SPRINGS 29.50N 81.95W
05/20/2009 E3.69 INCH MARION FL CO-OP OBSERVER

CO-OP OBSERVER MEASURE 3.69 INCHES OVER 24-HOUR PERIOD
ENDING AT 6 AM EDT.


&&

$$

ECZ

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KJAX [201227]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 201227
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
826 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0824 AM HEAVY RAIN STARKE 29.95N 82.11W
05/20/2009 M3.00 INCH BRADFORD FL CO-OP OBSERVER

COP-OP OBSERVER MEASURED 3.00 INCHES IN 24-HOUR PERIOD
ENDING AT 6 AM EDT.


&&

$$

ECZ

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KJAX [201225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 201225
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
825 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0824 AM HEAVY RAIN CRESCENT CITY 29.44N 81.52W
05/20/2009 M5.51 INCH PUTNAM FL CO-OP OBSERVER

CO-OP OBSERVER MEASURED 5.51 INCHES OVER 24-HOUR PERIOD
ENDING AT 6 AM EDT.


&&

$$

ECZ

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KJAX [201155]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 201155
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
754 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0749 AM HIGH SURF JACKSONVILLE BEACH 30.28N 81.39W
05/20/2009 DUVAL FL TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED DAMAGE TO JACKSONVILLE
BEACH PIER. SEVERAL WOODEN BOARDS WERE DANGLING
UNDERNEATH PIER.


&&

$$

ECZ

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KMLB [201046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 201046
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
645 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0637 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 W AZALEA PARK 28.55N 81.33W
05/20/2009 M7.35 INCH ORANGE FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

7.35 INCHES OF RAINFALL MEASURED SINCE MONDAY.


&&

$$

ALM

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 200901
SWOD48
SPC AC 200900

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0400 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

VALID 231200Z - 281200Z

...DISCUSSION...
LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A RATHER
AMPLIFIED/BLOCKY LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST
THE WEEKEND ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS. WEAK SUMMER-LIKE
WESTERLIES...WITH STRONGEST FLOW CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN
TIER...AND/OR LIMITED MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE ANY
WIDESPREAD SEVERE EPISODES THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NO 30% DAY-1 EQUIVALENT SEVERE PROBABILITIES ARE WARRANTED AT THIS
TIME.

A FEW BOUTS OF MAINLY ISOLATED SEVERE TSTMS MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK /DAYS
4-6/ WITHIN UPSLOPE REGIME AND/OR ALONG FRONTAL ZONE. WITH MEDIUM
RANGE MODELS SUGGESTIVE OF AN AMPLIFICATION OF AN UPPER TROUGH
ACROSS CENTRAL CANADA EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND RESULTANT STRENGTHENING
WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST...SOME SEVERE TSTMS MAY BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MIDWEST AROUND DAYS 6/7 MONDAY-TUESDAY
ALONG/AHEAD OF A SOUTHEAST ADVANCING COLD FRONT.

..GUYER.. 05/20/2009

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KBIS [200805]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 200805
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
305 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0235 AM DOWNBURST 9 NE BREIEN 46.47N 100.81W
05/20/2009 MORTON ND TRAINED SPOTTER

STRONG WINDS CAUSED 8 FOOT CORRAL WALLS TO BE THROWN 25
FEET FROM THEIR RAILROAD TIES. AT THE SAME TIME TWO
THERMOMETERS AT THE RESIDENCE REPORTED TEMPERATURES
JUMPED TO 90.5 AND 94.6 AT 235 AM CDT DURING THE HIGH
WINDS. SIMILAR TEMEPRATURES SEEN AT THE OBSERVATION SITE
NEAR FLASHER.


&&

$$

PJA

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 200731
SWODY3
SPC AC 200729

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0229 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

VALID 221200Z - 231200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL FLUCTUATE LITTLE INTO FRIDAY. SEVERE
POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN RATHER LIMITED CONUS-WIDE...ALTHOUGH SCATTERED
TSTM POTENTIAL SHOULD INCREASE INTO PORTIONS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AMIDST A GRADUAL MOISTURE INFLUX VIA THE GULF OF MEXICO
LOW...WITH OTHER TSTMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES.

...GULF COAST STATES TO ARKLATEX/MIDWEST...
00Z BASED MODEL CONSENSUS SUGGESTS THE LOW OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO
MAY SLOWLY MIGRATE NORTHWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. ON THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS LOW...A CORRIDOR OF ENHANCED LOW LEVEL
WINDS MAY PERSIST ALONG THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF COAST. LOW-PERIPHERAL
HEATING AND A GRADUALLY MOISTENING AIRMASS COULD SUPPORT SOME
STRONG/POTENTIALLY SEVERE WESTWARD MOVING CLUSTERS...MAINLY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION/LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. OTHER TSTMS /PERHAPS A FEW STRONG/ COULD DIURNALLY DEVELOP
AS FAR NORTH AS THE MIDWEST/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ALONG THE
NEARLY-STALLED FRONTAL ZONE AMIDST ANEMIC LOW TO MID TROPOSPHERIC
FLOW. HOWEVER...PERCEIVED MARGINAL/SPORADIC NATURE OF ANY SEVERE
POTENTIAL ACROSS THE GULF COAST REGION/ARKLATEX TO MIDWEST PRECLUDES
INCLUSION OF ANY SEVERE PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.

...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO
THE EASTERN WY/NORTHEAST CO FRONT RANGE ON FRIDAY...WITH POTENTIAL
FOR MINOR/CONVECTIVELY INDUCED MID LEVEL DISTURBANCES CROSSING THE
REGION AHEAD OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES UPPER LOW. WHILE VEERING WIND
PROFILES COULD SUPPORT SOME ORGANIZED SEVERE TSTMS MAINLY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST WY/NORTHEAST CO/WESTERN NEB...HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER AND A
RESIDUALLY COOL AIRMASS ACROSS THE PLAINS SHOULD GENERALLY LIMIT A
SEVERE RISK.

...SOUTHERN ROCKIES/FOUR CORNERS...
WITH A COOL UPPER LOW REMAINING ACROSS AZ INTO FRIDAY...MODEST
HEATING/OROGRAPHIC FORCING SHOULD RESULT IN AN AFTERNOON UPSWING OF
TSTMS ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS INCLUDING PORTIONS OF NM/SOUTHERN CO
AND EASTERN AZ/SOUTHEAST UT. SOME OF THESE TSTMS COULD PRODUCE SMALL
HAIL.

..GUYER.. 05/20/2009

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KCTP [200723]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KCTP 200723
LSRCTP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
323 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0407 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 W MILLERTON 41.98N 77.03W
05/16/2009 TIOGA PA EMERGENCY MNGR

HALF-DOZEN TREES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF SKYLINE RD
AND SR1026 JUST WEST OF MILLERTON.


&&
CORRECTED TIME/LOCATION BASED ON EMA DAMAGE SURVEY
$$

STEINBUGL

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KUNR [200619]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 200619
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1219 AM MDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1142 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BUFFALO 45.58N 103.55W
05/19/2009 E62 MPH HARDING SD ASOS

ASSOCIATED WITH RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE JUMPED TO 86
DEGREES.


&&

$$

WFO UNR STAFF

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 200602
SWODY1
SPC AC 200601

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0101 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

VALID 201200Z - 211200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF WRN AND N
CENTRAL NEB AND VICINITY...

...SYNOPSIS...
MID-/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE PROGRESSING ACROSS THE NWRN
U.S. THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD...BUT SHOULD BE SHUNTED
ENEWD WITH TIME AS IT ENCOUNTERS A STOUT ERN U.S. RIDGE.
MEANWHILE...A WEAKER UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE DRIFTING TOWARD THE
SWRN STATES. ELSEWHERE...A SECOND UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
DRIFTING SLOWLY WWD ACROSS THE ERN GULF GULF.

AT THE SURFACE...A LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE ERN GULF SYSTEM ALOFT
WILL ALSO DRIFT WWD TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF...WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LINGERING OVER FL THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF
THE PERIOD.

FARTHER NW...A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO SHIFT SEWD ACROSS THE N
CENTRAL CONUS...AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING UPPER SYSTEM. BY
AFTERNOON...THE FRONT SHOULD EXTEND FROM MN SWWD INTO NEB...AND THEN
WILL CONTINUE EWD TO EXTEND FROM LAKE SUPERIOR/WI SWWD INTO WRN KS
BY 21/12Z. THIS FRONT SHOULD BE A FOCUS FOR AFTERNOON CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT AND LIMITED/ASSOCIATED SEVERE POTENTIAL.

...CENTRAL/NRN PLAINS...
SLY ADVECTION OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING
WILL RESULT IN A ZONE OF APPRECIABLE DESTABILIZATION AHEAD OF THE
SEWD-MOVING COLD FRONT -- PARTICULARLY FROM ERN SD/SWRN MN SWWD
ACROSS SRN SD/NRN AND WRN NEB. CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT -- INITIALLY
FORECAST OVER ERN WY DURING THE AFTERNOON -- SHOULD SPREAD/DEVELOP
ENEWD INTO NRN NEB/SRN AND ERN SD AND POSSIBLY SWRN MN THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING.

WITH LOW-LEVEL SLYS VEERING TO WSWLY AT 25 TO 35 KT AT MID
LEVELS...SHEAR BE SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS/MID-LEVEL
ROTATION. WHILE RELATIVELY DEEP MIXED LAYER MAY SUPPORT
EVAPORATIVELY-DRIVEN/GUSTY SURFACE WINDS...THE PRIMARY SEVERE
POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE HAIL. WHILE SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD SLOWLY
DIMINISH OVERNIGHT...SOME LIMITED THREAT MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE END
OF THE PERIOD...AS ELEVATED STORMS DEVELOP IN AN ANAFRONTAL MANNER.

...FL...
WHILE A SURFACE FLOW OFF THE SWRN FL COAST SHOULD PROGRESS WWD
ACROSS THE ERN GULF WITH TIME...THE ERN FRINGE OF THE UPPER
CIRCULATION SHOULD LINGER ACROSS FL THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS WILL
SUPPORT ANOTHER DAY OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE FL
PENINSULA. WHILE INSTABILITY SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED...ENHANCED
LOW-LEVEL VEERING/SHEAR SUGGESTS A LIMITED THREAT FOR ISOLATED/BRIEF
TORNADOES...AND THUS WILL MAINTAIN LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES THIS
FORECAST.

..GOSS/GRAMS.. 05/20/2009

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 200600
SWODY2
SPC AC 200558

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2009

VALID 211200Z - 221200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A STAGNANT/BLOCKED LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY
OVER MUCH OF NORTH AMERICA. THE PRIMARY WESTERLIES WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE CONUS...AS A BROAD UPPER TROUGH
CENTERED NEAR HUDSON BAY SHIFTS EASTWARD OVER EASTERN CANADA.
FARTHER SOUTH...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD OVER
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...WHILE THE PERSISTENT UPPER LOW OVER THE
GULF OF MEXICO MIGRATES WESTWARD...AND AN UPPER LOW REMAINS OVER THE
SOUTHWEST DESERTS. PRIMARY FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS THE CONUS WILL
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP SOUTHEASTWARD/GENERALLY DECELERATE ACROSS THE
MIDWEST/CENTRAL PLAINS...AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DEVELOPS EASTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST. OVERALL...THE SEVERE
POTENTIAL APPEARS LOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS ON THURSDAY.

...SOUTHEAST STATES/FL...
GULF OF MEXICO LOW WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT WESTWARD BENEATH THE MID
ATLANTIC STATES RIDGE ON THURSDAY...WITH A BELT OF ENHANCED EASTERLY
FLOW WITHIN THE LOWEST 3-4 KM ACROSS NORTH FL AND AL/GA. WHILE
MODERATE LOW LEVEL SRH COULD KINEMATICALLY SUPPORT SOME BRIEF LOW
LEVEL ROTATION WITHIN THIS CORRIDOR OF ENHANCED LOW LEVEL
FLOW...ANEMIC WINDS IN THE MID LEVELS...AND LIMITED HEATING/LAPSE
RATES VIA CLOUD COVER/PRECIPITATION...ARE SUGGESTIVE OF A VERY
LIMITED SEVERE POTENTIAL. SEVERE PROBABILITIES DO NOT APPEAR TO BE
WARRANTED AT THIS TIME.

...FOUR CORNERS/SOUTHERN ROCKIES...
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHEAST CO/EASTERN NM IN THE WAKE OF
SURFACE FRONTAL PASSAGE...AS WELL AS THE INTERIOR FOUR
CORNERS/SOUTHERN ROCKIES VIA THE FRONTAL SURGE AND A SOUTHERLY
INFLUX TO THE EAST OF THE UPPER LOW CENTERED NEAR THE LOWER CO RIVER
VALLEY/SOUTHWEST DESERTS. DOMINANCE OF THE POST-FRONTAL SURFACE
RIDGE AND ASSOCIATED COOL/STABLE AIRMASS SHOULD GENERALLY PRECLUDE
SEVERE TSTMS WITHIN THE UPSLOPE REGIME OF THE ADJACENT HIGH
PLAINS...ALTHOUGH A FEW STRONGER TSTMS CAN/T BE RULED OUT ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST/EAST CENTRAL NM FRONT RANGE. ACROSS THE INTERIOR OF NM/CO
INTO EASTERN AZ...MODEST HEATING AND A HIGHER PW ENVIRONMENT MAY
SUPPORT SOME HAIL...BUT THE OVERALL POTENTIAL APPEARS LOW.

..GUYER.. 05/20/2009

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KMLB [200513]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 200513
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
112 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1246 AM TSTM WND GST SANFORD 28.79N 81.28W
05/20/2009 M54.00 MPH SEMINOLE FL ASOS

KSFB AIRPORT MEASURED 54 MPH.


&&

$$

DVD

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0852

ACUS11 KWNS 200445
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200444
FLZ000-200645-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0852
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 PM CDT TUE MAY 19 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...E CNTRL FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 200444Z - 200645Z

STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG CONVERGENCE BAND COULD POSE A THREAT FOR
ISOLATED CONVECTIVE GUSTS AND POSSIBLY A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO OVER
E-CNTRL FL. TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED...BUT A WW WILL PROBABLY NOT
BE NECESSARY UNLESS STORMS BEGIN TO SHOW SIGNS OF MAINTAINING
INTENSITY/ORGANIZATION AS THEY DEVELOP INLAND.

VERTICALLY STACKED LOW CENTERED OFF THE SWRN FL COAST IS DRIFTING
SLOWLY WWD. AN OUTER CONVERGENCE BAND ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE
HAS INTENSIFIED OFF THE E CNTRL FL COAST AND EXTENDS INLAND THROUGH
CAPE CANAVERAL TO ORLANDO. CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG THIS BAND IS
MOVING NWWD...BUT TENDENCY HAS BEEN FOR STORMS TO WEAKEN AFTER THEY
MOVE INLAND WHERE INSTABILITY IS MORE LIMITED. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS
INDICATES SOMEWHAT GREATER INSTABILITY OVER THE SRN HALF OF THE
PENINSULA WITH 500-1000 MUCAPE. FARTHER NORTH FROM CNTRL THROUGH NRN
FL...INSTABILITY IS MORE LIMITED /BELOW 500 J/KG/ AND LIGHTNING DATA
INDICATE VERY FEW STRIKES INLAND. A 50 KT LOW LEVEL JET HAS
DEVELOPED ALONG NRN PERIPHERY OF LOW ACROSS NRN FL...SOMEWHAT
DISPLACED FROM THE BETTER THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT FARTHER SOUTH. A
NARROW CORRIDOR MAY EXIST NEAR THE CONVECTIVE BAND WHERE LARGER 0-1
KM HODOGRAPHS OVERLAP SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT SHALLOW
STORMS WITH LOW LEVEL MESOCYCLONES. HOWEVER...MARGINAL BUOYANCY WILL
PROBABLY REMAIN A LIMITING FACTOR FOR MORE THAN A VERY LOCALIZED
THREAT INLAND FROM THE COAST.

..DIAL.. 05/20/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

LAT...LON 28208037 28268125 28198168 28488207 28968176 28818064
28208037

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KMLB [200422]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 200422
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1222 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1150 PM TSTM WND DMG APOPKA 28.69N 81.51W
05/19/2009 ORANGE FL BROADCAST MEDIA

TREE ON A HOUSE ON CLARCONA ROAD IN APOPKA


&&

$$

DVD

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KMLB [200422]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 200422
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1221 AM EDT WED MAY 20 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1142 PM TSTM WND DMG CASSELBERRY 28.66N 81.32W
05/19/2009 SEMINOLE FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

POSSIBLE ROOF DAMAGE ON LAKE SHORE DRIVE IN
CASSELBERRY...FIRE CREWS RESPONDING


&&

$$

DVD

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