Monday, March 26, 2012

KGLD [262017]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 262017
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
217 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0213 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 12 N GOODLAND 39.52N 101.71W
03/26/2012 M46 MPH SHERMAN KS MESONET


&&

$$

007

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0362

ACUS11 KWNS 262014
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262014
TXZ000-NMZ000-262215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0362
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0314 PM CDT MON MAR 26 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN NM...TX PERMIAN BASIN AND ERN TRANS-PECOS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 262014Z - 262215Z

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING OVER PORTIONS OF FAR SERN NM...THE TX PERMIAN BASIN AND ERN
TRANS-PECOS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS ACTIVITY...BUT THE THREAT WILL BE TOO LIMITED FOR A WW.

AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK DRYLINE EXTENDS SWD
THROUGH ERN NM INTO THE TX TRANS-PECOS. TEMPERATURES ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY ARE WARMING INTO THE 80S...WITH 40S TO LOW-MID 50S
DEWPOINTS PRESENT TO ITS E. STRONG HEATING AND MODEST LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE COMBINED WITH STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES /IN EXCESS OF 8 C
PER KM/ ARE CONTRIBUTING TOWARD WEAK TO MODERATE INSTABILITY...WITH
MLCAPE VALUES NEAR 1000 J/KG. CONTINUED BOUNDARY LAYER
DESTABILIZATION INVOF THE DRYLINE DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON...AS WELL AS GLANCING ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A SUBTLE VORT
MAX EMERGING OUT OF CNTRL NM WILL LIKELY AID IN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT FEW HRS...WHICH IS
SUPPORTED BY MULTIPLE RUNS OF THE HRRR. THOUGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY STRONG /I.E. 0-6 KM BULK WIND DIFFERENCE
FROM 20-30 KT/...10-20 KT E-SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL ENHANCE
STORM-RELATIVE INFLOW AND UPDRAFT STRENGTH BENEATH 30 KT MIDLEVEL
SWLYS. GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES...LARGE HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...A WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER LOCATED
ACROSS THE REGION ALSO SUGGESTS THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS.

..GARNER.. 03/26/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON 29740439 32300365 33260227 32800117 31460136 29710263
28980320 29740439

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KGLD [262011]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 262011
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
211 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0211 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ST. FRANCIS 39.77N 101.80W
03/26/2012 M53 MPH CHEYENNE KS AWOS


&&

$$

007

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KGLD [262010]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 262010
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
210 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0155 PM NON-TSTM WND GST WRAY 40.08N 102.23W
03/26/2012 M51 MPH YUMA CO AWOS


&&

$$

007

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KPUB [262009]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 262009
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
209 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0115 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 E WESTCLIFFE 38.13N 105.23W
03/26/2012 M63.00 MPH CUSTER CO BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KGLD [262009]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 262009
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
208 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0153 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BURLINGTON 39.31N 102.27W
03/26/2012 M46 MPH KIT CARSON CO ASOS


&&

$$

PMURRAY

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KPUB [262007]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 262007
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
207 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0158 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 ESE WETMORE 38.21N 105.00W
03/26/2012 M59.00 MPH PUEBLO CO MESONET

RED CREEK RAWS

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST NE MONARCH PASS 38.50N 106.32W
03/26/2012 M78.00 MPH CHAFFEE CO MESONET


&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KGLD [262005]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 262005
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
205 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0201 PM NON-TSTM WND GST YUMA 40.12N 102.72W
03/26/2012 M64 MPH YUMA CO MESONET


&&

$$

PMURRAY

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KCYS [262001]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 262001
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
200 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0143 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 19 NNE BAGGS 41.29N 107.52W
03/26/2012 M72.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS


&&

$$

DDEAL

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KGLD [262000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 262000
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
200 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0122 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 WNW BIRD CITY 39.76N 101.60W
03/26/2012 M45 MPH CHEYENNE KS MESONET


&&

$$

PMURRAY

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KCYS [261956]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 261956
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
156 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0133 PM NON-TSTM WND GST RAWLINS 41.78N 107.23W
03/26/2012 M68 MPH CARBON WY ASOS

SUSTAINED WIND 46 MPH.

0142 PM NON-TSTM WND GST RAWLINS 41.78N 107.23W
03/26/2012 M67 MPH CARBON WY ASOS

SUSTAINED WIND 43 MPH.


&&

$$

DDEAL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 261956
SWODY1
SPC AC 261954

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0254 PM CDT MON MAR 26 2012

VALID 262000Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATE THIS AFTN AND EVE ACROSS
PARTS OF THE NRN PLAINS...

...20Z OUTLOOK UPDATE...NORTHERN PLAINS...

EVEN AS RAPID BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING OCCURS ACROSS NEBRASKA INTO
SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA LATE THIS AFTERNOON...MOISTURE RETURN INTO THE
VICINITY OF A DEEPENING SURFACE CYCLONE ACROSS THE NORTHERN HIGH
PLAINS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK...BENEATH A WARM
ELEVATED MIXED LAYER WHICH HAS OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE REGION.
THUS...MID-LEVEL INHIBITION TO CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN SUBSTANTIAL.

HOWEVER...A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY STILL APPEARS TO EXIST FOR
BOUNDARY LAYER BASED OR NEAR BOUNDARY LAYER BASED STORM DEVELOPMENT
IN THE WARM SECTOR OF THE CYCLONE. THIS IS EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS
PARTS OF CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA INTO NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA DURING THE
00-03Z TIME FRAME...SUPPORTED BY FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE
VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE TROUGH LIFTING NORTHEAST OF THE WYOMING
ROCKIES...AS AN EMBEDDED MID-LEVEL LOW FORMS AND DEEPENS. CAPE MAY
ONLY BECOME WEAK TO MODEST IN STRENGTH...BUT LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC
PROFILES CHARACTERIZED BY STRONG WIND FIELDS AND SIZABLE
TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS WILL PROVIDE THE RISK FOR POTENTIALLY
DAMAGING CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED WIND GUSTS.

OTHERWISE...AS MID-LEVEL COOLING SPREADS EASTWARD INTO THE MID
MISSOURI VALLEY BY LATE TONIGHT...MODELS INDICATE THAT POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR VIGOROUS NEW STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG A NARROW CORRIDOR OF
MORE SUBSTANTIVE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN. TOO MUCH VARIABILITY
PERSISTS AMONG THE MODEL DATA TO CONFIDENTLY ADD SLIGHT RISK
PROBABILITIES ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN NEBRASKA INTO WESTERN
IOWA/EASTERN KANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI AT THE PRESENT TIME.
HOWEVER...5% PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN ADDED...AND THIS MAY NEED TO BE
RE-EVALUATED IN THE 01Z OUTLOOK UPDATE.

ALSO...CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS NOW UNDERWAY NEAR THE UPPER TROUGH
ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL INTO NORTHERN ROCKIES. AS THIS ACTIVITY
DEEPENS AND SPREADS NORTHEASTWARD LATE THIS AFTERNOON...A DEEPLY
MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS OF EASTERN WYOMING INTO
SOUTHEASTERN MONTANA PROBABLY WILL BE CONDUCIVE TO LOCALIZED STRONG
CONVECTIVE GUSTS. AND...5% PERCENT SEVERE WIND PROBABILITIES HAVE
BEEN EXPANDED ACROSS THIS REGION AS WELL.

..KERR.. 03/26/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT MON MAR 26 2012/

...NRN PLAINS...
A PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH WILL CROSS THE ROCKIES AND EJECT IN
NEGATIVE TILT FASHION ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS THIS PERIOD. IN RESPONSE
TO THIS DISTURBANCE AND ITS ASSOCIATED 75-90KT FOCUSED MID LEVEL
SPEED MAX CURRENTLY CROSSING THE FOUR CORNERS REGION...DOWNSTREAM
LEE CYCLOGENESIS WAS ALREADY UNDERWAY ACROSS ERN WY/MT. AS PRIMARY
SURFACE CYCLONE CONSOLIDATES ACROSS MT AND MOVES INTO ND THROUGH
TONIGHT...SECONDARY/TRIPLE POINT LOW NEAR HIGH PLAINS DRYLINE/LEE
TROUGH AND COLD FRONT INTERSECTION WILL TRACK RAPIDLY NEWD FROM ERN
WY INTO NERN NEB AND SD THROUGH THIS EVENING.

DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT AND RAPID TRANSLATION/EVOLUTION OF THE
LARGE SCALE FLOW FIELDS WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE SUBSTANTIAL. AS
SUCH...PLAINS LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE
DAY AND CONTRIBUTE TO AT LEAST A MODEST INCREASE IN MOISTURE ACROSS
AREAS OF THE PLAINS THAT ARE CURRENTLY QUITE DRY /PW UNDER 0.75
INCH/. THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE...HOWEVER...WILL TAKE PLACE AMIDST
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE INHIBITION DUE TO STOUT EML PLUME SITUATED
ACROSS THE CNTRL AND NRN PLAINS. WHILE SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY
NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT LOW AND SURGING FRONT ACROSS NE/SD LATER TODAY
MAY EXCEED 1000 J/KG...INHIBITION IN THIS REGIME WILL REMAIN QUITE
STRONG.

THUS...EXPECT POTENTIAL FOR NEAR SURFACE-BASED STORM INITIATION TO
OCCUR WHERE STRONGEST DYNAMIC AND DIABATIC INFLUENCES CAN ACT IN
CONCERT TO BREACH THE CAP. THIS MAY OCCUR LATE IN THE DAY...OR BY
EARLY EVENING...NEAR LEE LOW AND COLD FRONT/DRYLINE TRIPLE
POINT...FROM ERN WY ACROSS NEB PNHDL TO SWRN SD. EXPECT ISOLATED
HIGH BASED STORMS IN THESE AREAS TO TRACK NEWD AND POSSIBLY
CONSOLIDATE INTO A FAST-MOVING ARC OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS SD. GIVEN
POTENT EFFECTIVE SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 50-60KT AND RAPID COOLING
ALOFT...SEVERE THREAT WITH THIS INITIAL ACTIVITY WOULD BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR AN LP SUPERCELL OR TWO WITH LARGE HAIL. TORNADO
POTENTIAL WILL BE CONDITIONAL ON TRUE SURFACE-BASED STORM
DEVELOPMENT BUT SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL FORCING AND SHEAR WILL BE IN
PLACE ACROSS A RELATIVELY NARROW CORRIDOR IN SPACE AND TIME TO
SUPPORT SOME TORNADO POSSIBILITY NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT LOW BETWEEN
00Z AND 03Z. IF STORMS CAN INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS SD THIS
EVENING...SOME DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL SHOULD ENSUE GIVEN FAVORABLE
ORIENTATION OF THE 75-90KT MID LEVEL JET STREAK AND POTENTIAL ARC OF
STORMS OVER THIS AREA. AS SMALL MCS RACES NEWD...EXPECT STORM
UPDRAFTS TO BECOME MORE REMOVED FROM THE BOUNDARY LAYER WITH A
SUBSEQUENT TRANSITION BACK TO MORE OF A HAIL THREAT AS ACTIVITY
MOVES ACROSS ND THROUGH LATE TONIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY.

...WEST TX...
FARTHER SOUTH...NO CHANGE FROM PRIOR OTLK...STRONG DAYTIME HEATING
WILL LEAD TO DEEP MIXING ALONG THE DRYLINE OVER WEST TX LATER TODAY.
A FEW OF THE OPERATIONAL MODEL SOLUTIONS SUGGEST THAT ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE DRYLINE DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES WILL BE SOMEWHAT
MARGINAL FOR ORGANIZED STORMS. RELATIVELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO PROMOTE
HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS IN A COUPLE STRONGER STORMS.

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KRAH [261956]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 261956
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
355 PM EDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0445 PM HAIL 1 WSW TURKEY 34.99N 78.19W
03/25/2012 E0.75 INCH SAMPSON NC PUBLIC

HAIL UP TO PENNY SIZE FELL ON ROUTE 24 NEAR TURKEY.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200149

$$

KC

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KGLD [261954]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 261954
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
154 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0151 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 SSE BEECHER ISLAND 39.79N 102.08W
03/26/2012 M54 MPH YUMA CO MESONET


&&

$$

PMURRAY

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KRAH [261952]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 261952
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
352 PM EDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 PM HAIL 1 SSE HARRELLS 34.72N 78.20W
03/25/2012 E1.00 INCH SAMPSON NC PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZE HAIL FELL ON BROOKLYN AVE IN HARRELLS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200148

$$

KC

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KRIW [261951]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KRIW 261951
LSRRIW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
151 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1250 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NNW SOUTH PASS REST A 42.44N 108.95W
03/26/2012 M61 MPH FREMONT WY MESONET


&&

$$

WOLCOTT

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KRIW [261950]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KRIW 261950
LSRRIW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
150 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1250 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 W RED DESERT 41.65N 108.29W
03/26/2012 M60 MPH SWEETWATER WY MESONET


&&

$$

WOLCOTT

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KRIW [261949]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KRIW 261949
LSRRIW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
149 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0115 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 WNW SWEETWATER STATIO 42.58N 108.29W
03/26/2012 M62 MPH FREMONT WY MESONET


&&

$$

WOLCOTT

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KGLD [261945]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 261945
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
145 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0135 PM NON-TSTM WND GST WRAY 40.08N 102.23W
03/26/2012 M49 MPH YUMA CO AWOS


&&

$$

PMURRAY

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KRIW [261944]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KRIW 261944
LSRRIW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
144 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WSW RIVERTON 43.02N 108.45W
03/26/2012 M58.00 MPH FREMONT WY TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

WOLCOTT

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KGJT [261941]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 261941
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
141 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 WSW RED MOUNTAIN PASS 37.88N 107.74W
03/26/2012 M67 MPH SAN JUAN CO MESONET

WIND GUST MEASURED AT THE EAGLE SNOTEL


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200307

$$

DC

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KGJT [261939]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 261939
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
139 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0950 AM NON-TSTM WND GST GRAND JUNCTION 39.09N 108.55W
03/26/2012 E65 MPH MESA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

MODERATE TREE LIMBS SNAPPED AND SCREEN DOORS BLOWING
OFF BUILDINGS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200306

$$

DC

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KHNX [261939]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 261939
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1239 PM PDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW QUAKING ASPEN 36.12N 118.54W
03/26/2012 M11.0 INCH TULARE CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 7200 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW CHAGOOPA PLATEAU 36.50N 118.44W
03/26/2012 M10.0 INCH TULARE CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 10300 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW CASA VIEJA MEADOWS 36.20N 118.27W
03/26/2012 M11.0 INCH TULARE CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 8300 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW BIG MEADOWS 36.72N 118.84W
03/26/2012 M8.0 INCH TULARE CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL 7600 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW BISHOP PASS 37.10N 118.56W
03/26/2012 M7.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 11200 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW CHARLOTTE LAKE 36.80N 118.42W
03/26/2012 M16.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 10400 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW BLACKCAP BASIN 37.07N 118.77W
03/26/2012 M10.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 10300 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW VOLCANIC KNOB 37.39N 118.90W
03/26/2012 M11.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 10050 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW UPPER BURNT CORRAL 37.18N 118.94W
03/26/2012 M6.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 9700 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW KAISER POINT 37.30N 119.10W
03/26/2012 M12.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 9200 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW TUOLUMNE MEADOWS 37.87N 119.35W
03/26/2012 M9.0 INCH TUOLUMNE CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 8600 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW TAMARACK SUMMIT 37.17N 119.20W
03/26/2012 M10.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 7550 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW OSTRANDER LAKE 37.64N 119.55W
03/26/2012 E10.0 INCH MARIPOSA CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 8200 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW GREEN MTN 37.56N 119.24W
03/26/2012 M7.0 INCH MADERA CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 7900 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW PARADISE MEADOW 38.05N 119.67W
03/26/2012 M12.0 INCH TUOLUMNE CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 7650 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW CHILKOOT MEADOW 37.41N 119.49W
03/26/2012 M14.0 INCH MADERA CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 7150 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW HUNTINGTON LAKE 37.23N 119.22W
03/26/2012 M10.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 7000 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW GRAVEYARD MEADOW 37.47N 119.29W
03/26/2012 M7.0 INCH MADERA CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 6900 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW POISON RIDGE 37.40N 119.52W
03/26/2012 M13.0 INCH MADERA CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 6900 FEET.

1220 PM HEAVY SNOW LOWER KIBBIE RIDGE 38.03N 119.88W
03/26/2012 M7.0 INCH TUOLUMNE CA MESONET

REPORTED BY SNOTEL AT 6700 FEET.


&&

$$

BPET

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KRIW [261939]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KRIW 261939
LSRRIW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
139 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 ENE WAMSUTTER 41.72N 107.80W
03/26/2012 M72.00 MPH SWEETWATER WY MESONET

0115 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNW JEFFREY CITY 42.49N 107.85W
03/26/2012 M69.00 MPH FREMONT WY MESONET

0126 PM NON-TSTM WND GST LANDER 42.83N 108.73W
03/26/2012 M72.00 MPH FREMONT WY ASOS

0136 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NW RIVERTON 43.06N 108.45W
03/26/2012 M64.00 MPH FREMONT WY ASOS


&&

$$

WOLCOTT

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KGLD [261937]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 261937
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
137 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM NON-TSTM WND GST FLAGLER 39.29N 103.07W
03/26/2012 M46 MPH KIT CARSON CO MESONET


&&

$$

PMURRAY

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KGLD [261936]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 261936
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
136 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0133 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 W GOODLAND 39.35N 101.80W
03/26/2012 M60 MPH SHERMAN KS MESONET


&&

$$

PMURRAY

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KGJT [261929]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 261929
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
129 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1253 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 E RIFLE 39.55N 107.72W
03/26/2012 M54 MPH GARFIELD CO ASOS


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200305

$$

DC

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KGJT [261927]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 261927
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
127 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0124 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MEEKER 40.05N 107.89W
03/26/2012 RIO BLANCO CO EMERGENCY MNGR

TWO LARGE TREES UPROOTED... POWER KNOCKED OUT...
POSSIBLE NATURAL GAS LINE BREAK


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200304

$$

DC

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KGJT [261922]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 261922
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
122 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1255 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE HAYDEN 40.51N 107.25W
03/26/2012 M51 MPH ROUTT CO AWOS


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200303

$$

DC

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KGLD [261917]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 261917
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
117 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0106 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 N SEGUIN 39.42N 100.61W
03/26/2012 M45 MPH SHERIDAN KS MESONET


&&

$$

PMURRAY

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KCYS [261911]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 261911
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
111 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1143 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 19 NNE BAGGS 41.29N 107.52W
03/26/2012 M61 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

1243 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 19 NNE BAGGS 41.29N 107.52W
03/26/2012 M64 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED WIND 44 MPH.

1253 AM NON-TSTM WND GST RAWLINS 41.78N 107.23W
03/26/2012 M59 MPH CARBON WY ASOS

SUSTAINED WIND 59 MPH.


&&

$$

DDEAL

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KGLD [261911]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 261911
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
111 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1242 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 SSE SHARON SPRINGS 38.77N 101.68W
03/26/2012 M46 MPH WALLACE KS MESONET


&&

$$

PMURRAY

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KGJT [261911]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 261911
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
111 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1253 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 S MEEKER 40.04N 107.89W
03/26/2012 M59 MPH RIO BLANCO CO ASOS


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200302

$$

DC

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KGLD [261907]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 261907
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
107 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST GOODLAND 39.35N 101.71W
03/26/2012 M45 MPH SHERMAN KS ASOS


&&

$$

PMURRAY

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KGLD [261904]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 261904
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
104 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0101 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 W GOODLAND 39.35N 101.80W
03/26/2012 M51 MPH SHERMAN KS MESONET


&&

$$

PMURRAY

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KGJT [261900]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 261900
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
100 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1259 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ESE CRAIG 40.51N 107.53W
03/26/2012 M60 MPH MOFFAT CO ASOS


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200301

$$

PF

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KGJT [261859]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 261859
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1258 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1256 PM NON-TSTM WND GST POWDERHORN SKI 39.06N 108.16W
03/26/2012 E75 MPH MESA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

A FEW TREES DOWN


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200300

$$

PF

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KGLD [261855]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 261855
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1255 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1243 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 W GOODLAND 39.35N 101.80W
03/26/2012 M47 MPH SHERMAN KS MESONET


&&

$$

PMURRAY

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KLIX [261853]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KLIX 261853
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
153 PM CDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1005 AM TORNADO 4 NE WALKER 30.53N 90.83W
03/21/2012 F1 LIVINGSTON LA NWS STORM SURVEY

WEAK TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN JUST SOUTH OF VARNADO ROAD AND
TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST ACROSS NORTH CORBIN ROAD. A HOME
LOST A PORTION OF THE ROOF AND SEVERAL TREES WERE SNAPPED
ALONG THE TRACK. THE TORNADO LIFTED SOUTHWEST OF NORTH
CORBIN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL. PATH LENGTH WAS APPROXIMATELY
0.5 MILES...PATH WIDTH 50 YARDS...MAXIMUM TORNADO
STRENGTH EF1 WITH ESTIMATED WINDS OF 100 MPH.

1015 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 WSW LIVINGSTON 30.48N 90.79W
03/21/2012 LIVINGSTON LA NWS STORM SURVEY

A LARGE TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN WHICH HEAVILY DAMAGED THE
ROOF OF A HOME.


&&

$$

PGRIGSBY

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KGLD [261851]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 261851
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1251 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1151 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 SSE BEECHER ISLAND 39.79N 102.08W
03/26/2012 M49 MPH YUMA CO MESONET


&&

$$

PMURRAY

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KRIW [261841]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KRIW 261841
LSRRIW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1241 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1205 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 E ROCK SPRINGS 41.60N 109.06W
03/26/2012 M62 MPH SWEETWATER WY ASOS

&&

$$

WOLCOTT

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KPIH [261823]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 261823
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
1223 PM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1122 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BERN 42.33N 111.38W
03/26/2012 M59 MPH BEAR LAKE ID TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

PANGEL

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KVEF [261816]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 261816
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1116 AM PDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1111 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PIOCHE 37.93N 114.45W
03/26/2012 M64 MPH LINCOLN NV TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

LJENSEN

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KVEF [261745]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 261745
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1045 AM PDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1140 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG RACHEL 37.63N 115.72W
03/25/2012 LINCOLN NV MESONET

GUSTS TO 53 MPH IN RACHEL BLEW A 15 BY 25 FOOT AREA OF
SHINGLES OFF THE ROOF OF THE LITTLE ALE INN BUSINESS.


&&

$$

BFUIS

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KSLC [261743]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 261743
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
1142 AM MDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 SE BLUFFDALE 40.45N 111.91W
03/26/2012 UTAH UT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SEMI BLOWN OVER ON INTERSTATE 15 AT POINT OF THE
MOUNTAIN. 73 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED BY UDOT PORTABLE RWIS
UTPR2


&&

$$

GM

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KHNX [261739]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 261739
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1039 AM PDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1038 AM HEAVY SNOW LODGEPOLE 36.60N 118.73W
03/26/2012 M11.0 INCH TULARE CA CO-OP OBSERVER

REPORTED BY CO-OP PARK RANGERS.


&&

$$

BPET

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 261730
SWODY2
SPC AC 261728

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 PM CDT MON MAR 26 2012

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TUE ACROSS PARTS OF THE MIDDLE
MS VALLEY INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT A MORE CONSOLIDATED...AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH
WILL GRADUALLY EVOLVE OFF THE EAST COAST DURING THIS FORECAST
PERIOD...WHILE AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGHING PERSISTS NEAR/JUST WEST OF
THE PACIFIC COAST. LARGE-SCALE RIDGING WILL PREVAIL IN
BETWEEN...ACROSS MUCH OF THE U.S...BUT A VIGOROUS EMBEDDED COMPACT
CLOSED LOW/SHORT WAVE TROUGH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE GRADUALLY
PROGRESSING THROUGH ITS CREST...ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION.

A DEEP...BUT LIKELY WEAKENING...SURFACE CYCLONE WILL ACCOMPANY THIS
LATTER FEATURE...WITH AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT SHIFTING EAST OF THE
UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY
REGION...WHILE A TRAILING COLD FRONT ADVANCES SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTH
CENTRAL CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER AREA...BEFORE STALLING ACROSS THE LOWER
MISSOURI VALLEY AND CENTRAL PLAINS. IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER CLOSED
LOW/TROUGH NOW FINALLY SHIFTING EAST OF SOUTH ATLANTIC COASTAL
AREAS...WARM SECTOR MOISTENING APPEARS LIKELY TO REMAIN SOMEWHAT
LIMITED...AND LARGELY CONFINED TO A NARROW CORRIDOR ALONG A
CONFLUENCE ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH THE MAIN PRE-FRONTAL SOUTHERLY
LOW-LEVEL JET. STILL...DESTABILIZATION IS EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT
TO SUPPORT AT LEAST SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS PARTS OF
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY...WITH ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE NEAR THE DRY LINE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...AND WITHIN A STRENGTHENING LOWER/MID
TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION REGIME ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT. AND THE RISK FOR AT LEAST MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL/WIND
GUSTS MAY NOT BE COMPLETELY NEGLIGIBLE IN MOST AREAS.

...PLAINS/MS VALLEY INTO GREAT LAKES REGION...
THE STRONGEST MID/UPPER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION APPEARS
LIKELY TO SPREAD INTO AREAS NEAR/NORTH OF THE CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER
IN ADVANCE OF THE BETTER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN. THIS IS
EXPECTED...IN GENERAL...TO LIMIT THE OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
FOR THIS PERIOD. HOWEVER...MODELS ARE SUGGESTIVE THAT COOLING
ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LOW MAY WEAKEN INHIBITION SUFFICIENTLY TO
SUPPORT INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS IT OVERSPREADS THE
PRE-FRONTAL LOW-LEVEL MOIST AXIS ...ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN KANSAS
AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI INTO EASTERN IOWA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN.
LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION MAY SUPPORT ADDITIONAL STORM
DEVELOPMENT JUST AHEAD OF THE SOUTHERN FLANK OF THIS NARROW BROKEN
CONVECTIVE BAND...ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN INTO WEST CENTRAL
MISSOURI...WHICH SHOULD BE MOSTLY BASED ABOVE THE BOUNDARY
LAYER...WITH LIMITED SEVERE POTENTIAL...AS IT SPREADS EAST
SOUTHEASTWARD BEFORE DIMINISHING DURING THE AFTERNOON.

IN THE WAKE OF THIS INITIAL ACTIVITY...MODERATE BOUNDARY LAYER
DESTABILIZATION /CAPE OF 1000-2000 J PER KG/ IS EXPECTED BENEATH
STEEP LAPSE RATES...ALONG AN AXIS FROM SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS INTO
NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS. VERTICAL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT
LEAST MODESTLY STRONG ALONG THIS AXIS...EVEN WITH THE STRONGER LOW
AND MID-LEVEL JET CORES SHIFTING THROUGH THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION. WHILE FORCING FOR LARGE-SCALE ASCENT
IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AT THE SAME TIME... MID-LEVEL INHIBITION
SHOULD REMAIN WEAK ENOUGH FOR SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE STORM
DEVELOPMENT LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS MAY INCLUDE A FEW
SUPERCELLS...PARTICULARLY ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST MISSOURI INTO
NORTHWEST/WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...BEFORE CONVECTION
WEAKENS/DIMINISHES DURING THE EVENING HOURS.

..KERR.. 03/26/2012

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KRNK [261632]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 261632
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1232 PM EDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0712 PM HAIL OAKVILLE 37.43N 78.86W
03/24/2012 E1.00 INCH APPOMATTOX VA PUBLIC

HAIL DAMAGED GUTTERS


&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1200093

$$

SK

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 261632
SWODY1
SPC AC 261630

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CDT MON MAR 26 2012

VALID 261630Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN
PLAINS...

...NRN PLAINS...
A PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH WILL CROSS THE ROCKIES AND EJECT IN
NEGATIVE TILT FASHION ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS THIS PERIOD. IN RESPONSE
TO THIS DISTURBANCE AND ITS ASSOCIATED 75-90KT FOCUSED MID LEVEL
SPEED MAX CURRENTLY CROSSING THE FOUR CORNERS REGION...DOWNSTREAM
LEE CYCLOGENESIS WAS ALREADY UNDERWAY ACROSS ERN WY/MT. AS PRIMARY
SURFACE CYCLONE CONSOLIDATES ACROSS MT AND MOVES INTO ND THROUGH
TONIGHT...SECONDARY/TRIPLE POINT LOW NEAR HIGH PLAINS DRYLINE/LEE
TROUGH AND COLD FRONT INTERSECTION WILL TRACK RAPIDLY NEWD FROM ERN
WY INTO NERN NEB AND SD THROUGH THIS EVENING.

DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT AND RAPID TRANSLATION/EVOLUTION OF THE
LARGE SCALE FLOW FIELDS WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE SUBSTANTIAL. AS
SUCH...PLAINS LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE
DAY AND CONTRIBUTE TO AT LEAST A MODEST INCREASE IN MOISTURE ACROSS
AREAS OF THE PLAINS THAT ARE CURRENTLY QUITE DRY /PW UNDER 0.75
INCH/. THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE...HOWEVER...WILL TAKE PLACE AMIDST
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE INHIBITION DUE TO STOUT EML PLUME SITUATED
ACROSS THE CNTRL AND NRN PLAINS. WHILE SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY
NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT LOW AND SURGING FRONT ACROSS NE/SD LATER TODAY
MAY EXCEED 1000 J/KG...INHIBITION IN THIS REGIME WILL REMAIN QUITE
STRONG.

THUS...EXPECT POTENTIAL FOR NEAR SURFACE-BASED STORM INITIATION TO
OCCUR WHERE STRONGEST DYNAMIC AND DIABATIC INFLUENCES CAN ACT IN
CONCERT TO BREACH THE CAP. THIS MAY OCCUR LATE IN THE DAY...OR BY
EARLY EVENING...NEAR LEE LOW AND COLD FRONT/DRYLINE TRIPLE
POINT...FROM ERN WY ACROSS NEB PNHDL TO SWRN SD. EXPECT ISOLATED
HIGH BASED STORMS IN THESE AREAS TO TRACK NEWD AND POSSIBLY
CONSOLIDATE INTO A FAST-MOVING ARC OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS SD. GIVEN
POTENT EFFECTIVE SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 50-60KT AND RAPID COOLING
ALOFT...SEVERE THREAT WITH THIS INITIAL ACTIVITY WOULD BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR AN LP SUPERCELL OR TWO WITH LARGE HAIL. TORNADO
POTENTIAL WILL BE CONDITIONAL ON TRUE SURFACE-BASED STORM
DEVELOPMENT BUT SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL FORCING AND SHEAR WILL BE IN
PLACE ACROSS A RELATIVELY NARROW CORRIDOR IN SPACE AND TIME TO
SUPPORT SOME TORNADO POSSIBILITY NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT LOW BETWEEN
00Z AND 03Z. IF STORMS CAN INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS SD THIS
EVENING...SOME DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL SHOULD ENSUE GIVEN FAVORABLE
ORIENTATION OF THE 75-90KT MID LEVEL JET STREAK AND POTENTIAL ARC OF
STORMS OVER THIS AREA. AS SMALL MCS RACES NEWD...EXPECT STORM
UPDRAFTS TO BECOME MORE REMOVED FROM THE BOUNDARY LAYER WITH A
SUBSEQUENT TRANSITION BACK TO MORE OF A HAIL THREAT AS ACTIVITY
MOVES ACROSS ND THROUGH LATE TONIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY.

...WEST TX...
FARTHER SOUTH...NO CHANGE FROM PRIOR OTLK...STRONG DAYTIME HEATING
WILL LEAD TO DEEP MIXING ALONG THE DRYLINE OVER WEST TX LATER TODAY.
A FEW OF THE OPERATIONAL MODEL SOLUTIONS SUGGEST THAT ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE DRYLINE DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES WILL BE SOMEWHAT
MARGINAL FOR ORGANIZED STORMS. RELATIVELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO PROMOTE
HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS IN A COUPLE STRONGER STORMS.

..CARBIN/GARNER/GUYER.. 03/26/2012

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KRNK [261631]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 261631
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1231 PM EDT MON MAR 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0652 PM HAIL 2 S STONEWALL 37.39N 78.97W
03/24/2012 E1.00 INCH APPOMATTOX VA PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1200092

$$

SK

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