Thursday, July 16, 2009

KLZK [162143]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLZK 162143
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
442 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0441 PM FLASH FLOOD PINEY 34.50N 93.14W
07/16/2009 GARLAND AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

VEHICLE WAS REPORTED FLOODED NEAR MID AMERICA MUSEUM.


&&

$$

61

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KOUN [162140]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 162140
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
440 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0435 PM HAIL 3 SW EDMOND 35.62N 97.52W
07/16/2009 E1.75 INCH OKLAHOMA OK BROADCAST MEDIA

REPORTED AT MEMORIAL ROAD AND WESTERN BY KFOR-TV


&&

$$

FM

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KCAE [162137]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 162137
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
537 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0410 PM TSTM WND DMG 12 NW SUMTER 34.07N 80.54W
07/16/2009 SUMTER SC EMERGENCY MNGR

SUMTER EMA REPORTED TREES DOWN ON US HWY 521 12 MILES
NORTHWEST OF SUMTER AT 410 PM.


&&

$$

TTH

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KALY [162136]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 162136
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
536 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0516 PM HAIL 5 W COLONIE 42.74N 73.95W
07/16/2009 M0.75 INCH ALBANY NY TRAINED SPOTTER

0520 PM HAIL GUILDERLAND 42.70N 73.89W
07/16/2009 E1.75 INCH ALBANY NY PUBLIC

0521 PM HAIL 4 WNW COLONIE 42.74N 73.92W
07/16/2009 E1.00 INCH ALBANY NY TRAINED SPOTTER

0532 PM HAIL 3 NW ALBANY 42.69N 73.83W
07/16/2009 M1.25 INCH ALBANY NY NWS EMPLOYEE

AT NWS ALBANY OFFICE.


&&

$$

EHELLER

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 590

WWUS20 KWNS 162135
SEL0
SPC WW 162135
OKZ000-TXZ000-170500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 590
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
435 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
EXTREME NORTHERN TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 435 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF DURANT OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES WEST OF CLINTON
OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 587...WW 588...WW 589...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY ALONG
SEVERAL REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES OVER NRN AND SRN OKLAHOMA.
ENVIRONMENT IS VERY WARM ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WITH TEMPERATURES
OF 95-100F WHICH IS CONTRIBUTING MLCAPE OF 1500-2500 J/KG. NWLY
FLOW ALOFT IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN THIS EVENING WHICH WILL ENHANCE
DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND AID IN STORM ORGANIZATION AND CONTINUED
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27025.


...WEISS

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KBTV [162131]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBTV 162131
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
531 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NE OGDENSBURG 44.76N 75.39W
07/16/2009 ST. LAWRENCE NY PUBLIC

TREE LIMBS DOWN IN RED MILLS. ALSO HAIL REPORTED BOUNCING
OFF CARS BUT NO SIZE GIVEN.

0429 PM HAIL 1 SW PLATTSBURGH 44.69N 73.47W
07/16/2009 E0.25 INCH CLINTON NY AMATEUR RADIO

0432 PM HAIL PLATTSBURGH 44.70N 73.46W
07/16/2009 E0.88 INCH CLINTON NY AMATEUR RADIO

0432 PM HAIL 1 SW PLATTSBURGH 44.69N 73.47W
07/16/2009 E1.00 INCH CLINTON NY AMATEUR RADIO

0457 PM HAIL MILTON 44.64N 73.11W
07/16/2009 E1.50 INCH CHITTENDEN VT TRAINED SPOTTER

0505 PM HAIL WESTFORD 44.62N 73.02W
07/16/2009 E1.25 INCH CHITTENDEN VT TRAINED SPOTTER

0508 PM HAIL NW WESTFORD 44.62N 73.02W
07/16/2009 M2.00 INCH CHITTENDEN VT NWS EMPLOYEE

0508 PM TSTM WND DMG SOUTH BURLINGTON 44.45N 73.22W
07/16/2009 CHITTENDEN VT TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE DOWN ON HINESBURG RD BETWEEN KENNEDY AND WILLISTON
ROADS. SEVERAL BRANCHES DOWN IN SOUTH BURLINGTON AREA.

0508 PM TSTM WND DMG SOUTH BURLINGTON 44.45N 73.22W
07/16/2009 CHITTENDEN VT NWS EMPLOYEE

1 FOOT DIAMETER TREE ACROSS THE ROAD

0518 PM HAIL 2 SW WESTFORD 44.60N 73.05W
07/16/2009 E1.75 INCH CHITTENDEN VT AMATEUR RADIO

WINDOWS BROKEN IN HOUSE. CAR DENTED. GARDEN SMASHED.

0520 PM HAIL 4 WNW MASSENA 44.95N 74.97W
07/16/2009 E0.88 INCH ST. LAWRENCE NY PUBLIC

WINDS ESTIMATED 30 MPH


&&

$$

GERALDM

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KBTV [162125]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 162125
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
525 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0508 PM TSTM WND DMG SOUTH BURLINGTON 44.45N 73.22W
07/16/2009 CHITTENDEN VT TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE DOWN ON HINESBURG RD BETWEEN KENNEDY AND WILLISTON
ROADS. SEVERAL BRANCHES DOWN IN SOUTH BURLINGTON AREA.


&&

$$

AIMEEF

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KBTV [162118]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 162118
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
517 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0508 PM TSTM WND DMG SOUTH BURLINGTON 44.45N 73.22W
07/16/2009 CHITTENDEN VT NWS EMPLOYEE

1 FOOT DIAMETER TREE ACROSS THE ROAD


&&

$$

AIMEEF

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KTSA [162116]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 162116
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
415 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0342 PM TSTM WND DMG SUMMERFIELD 34.90N 94.87W
07/16/2009 LE FLORE OK PUBLIC

LARGE TREE BLOWN DOWN ONTO BAPTIST CHURCH


&&

$$

JDS

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KBTV [162113]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 162113
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
513 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0508 PM HAIL NW WESTFORD 44.62N 73.02W
07/16/2009 M2.00 INCH CHITTENDEN VT NWS EMPLOYEE


&&

$$

AIMEEF

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KILM [162112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 162112
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
512 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 S DARLINGTON 34.27N 79.87W
07/16/2009 DARLINGTON SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ON ROGERS ROAD


&&

$$

RAN

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KBTV [162108]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 162108
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
508 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0505 PM HAIL WESTFORD 44.62N 73.02W
07/16/2009 E1.25 INCH CHITTENDEN VT TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

BROOKET

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KLZK [162107]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLZK 162107
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
407 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM HAIL 2 N HOT SPRINGS 34.52N 93.05W
07/16/2009 E0.75 INCH GARLAND AR TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

61

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KILM [162103]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 162103
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
503 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 W FLORENCE 34.18N 79.83W
07/16/2009 FLORENCE SC PUBLIC

SEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWN IN YARD.


&&

$$

COLBY

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KBTV [162100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 162100
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
500 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0457 PM HAIL MILTON 44.64N 73.11W
07/16/2009 E1.50 INCH CHITTENDEN VT TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

BROOKET

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KILM [162058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 162058
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
458 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N FLORENCE 34.21N 79.78W
07/16/2009 FLORENCE SC PUBLIC

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN YARD


&&

$$

COLBY

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1583

ACUS11 KWNS 162056
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162055
NHZ000-VTZ000-MAZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-162200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1583
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE DE RIVER VALLEY / UPSTATE NY / VT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 587...

VALID 162055Z - 162200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 587
CONTINUES.

STRONG TO SEVERE TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE DISCUSSION AREA
THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE MAIN
THREATS WITH THE STRONGER STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ISOLD DMGG WIND
GUSTS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

RECENT RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS AN ARCING SCTD BAND OF STRONG/SEVERE
STORMS EXTENDING FROM EXTREME NERN ONTARIO INTO THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY
SWD INTO NERN PA. SURFACE DATA/VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A
LAKE BREEZE ORIGINATING FROM LAKE ONTARIO HAS EFFECTIVELY STABILIZED
THE AIRMASS OVER THE ADIRONDACKS /W OF ONGOING STORMS OVER THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY/. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN
THEIR VIGOR FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE GRADUAL LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING CONTRIBUTES TO A LESS UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND AN OVERALL
WEAKENING TREND IN STORM INTENSITY. BEFORE THIS OCCURS...STRONG
DEEP LAYER SHEAR /35-50 KTS 0-6 KM/ IN AREA VWP DATA WILL SUPPORT
STORM ORGANIZATION WITH OCCASIONAL STORM-SCALE ROTATION POSSIBLE.

..SMITH.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...

LAT...LON 41697595 42627503 43527400 44087371 44827382 45017265
44967171 44457171 43717232 43197246 42767295 41697342
41027425 40767511 40897574 41697595

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KTSA [162050]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 162050
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
350 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0342 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N ALBION 34.69N 95.10W
07/16/2009 LATIMER OK PUBLIC

SEVERAL 20 FT CEDAR TREES BLOWN DOWN. LOTS OF SMALLER
TREE LIMB DAMAGE


&&

$$

JDS

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KBGM [162049]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBGM 162049
LSRBGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
448 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0327 PM TSTM WND DMG UNADILLA FORKS 42.83N 75.23W
07/16/2009 OTSEGO NY PUBLIC

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN BLOCKING SR-8


&&

$$

MJN

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KALY [162046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 162046
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
445 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0410 PM HAIL 5 NNW CANAJOHARIE 42.97N 74.60W
07/16/2009 M0.88 INCH MONTGOMERY NY PUBLIC

REPORT SENT VIA WTEN-TV.


&&

$$

EHELLER

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KILM [162043]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 162043
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
443 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0424 PM TSTM WND DMG FAIRMONT 34.50N 79.12W
07/16/2009 ROBESON NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON STONE ROAD


&&

$$

RAN

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KBGM [162041]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBGM 162041
LSRBGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
441 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM TSTM WND DMG HUBBARDSVILLE 42.82N 75.47W
07/16/2009 MADISON NY PUBLIC

LARGE 50 FOOT TREE BLOWN DOWN.


&&

$$

MJN

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 589

WWUS20 KWNS 162038
SEL9
SPC WW 162038
ARZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-170300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 589
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
335 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

PARTS OF WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
FAR NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 335 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH OF PINE
BLUFF ARKANSAS TO 10 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF POTEAU OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 587...WW 588...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING IN A HOT AND MOIST AIR
MASS WHERE MLCAPE HAS INCREASED TO 2500-3500 J/KG. REGION REMAINS
ON SRN FRINGE OF STRONGER MID/HIGH-LEVEL WIND FIELDS AND RESULTANT
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. BUT...THE PRESENCE OF THE MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY SHOULD SUPPORT EVOLUTION OF A LARGE TSTM
CLUSTER WHICH WILL MOVE/PROPAGATE ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SITUATED
NW-SE ACROSS AREA. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29035.


...MEAD/WEISS

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KICT [162038]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 162038
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
338 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM HAIL 3 NW OSWEGO 37.20N 95.15W
07/16/2009 E0.75 INCH LABETTE KS PUBLIC

0335 PM TSTM WND GST 3 NW OSWEGO 37.20N 95.15W
07/16/2009 E40 MPH LABETTE KS PUBLIC


&&

$$

DUNTEN

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KALY [162038]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 162038
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
438 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0403 PM HAIL 2 N CANAJOHARIE 42.94N 74.58W
07/16/2009 E1.75 INCH MONTGOMERY NY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

AT LOCK 15 OF ERIE CANAL.

0410 PM HAIL PALATINE BRIDGE 42.91N 74.58W
07/16/2009 M1.25 INCH MONTGOMERY NY TRAINED SPOTTER

DAMAGE TO WINDOWS AND CROPS.

0410 PM TSTM WND DMG PALATINE BRIDGE 42.91N 74.58W
07/16/2009 MONTGOMERY NY TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN.


&&

$$

EHELLER

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KILM [162037]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 162037
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
437 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0359 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N CLIO 34.61N 79.55W
07/16/2009 MARLBORO SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY 381 SOUTH


&&

$$

RAN

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KBTV [162035]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 162035
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
435 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0432 PM HAIL PLATTSBURGH 44.70N 73.46W
07/16/2009 E0.88 INCH CLINTON NY AMATEUR RADIO


&&

$$

BROOKET

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KBTV [162034]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 162034
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
434 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0432 PM HAIL 1 SW PLATTSBURGH 44.69N 73.47W
07/16/2009 E1.00 INCH CLINTON NY AMATEUR RADIO


&&

$$

BROOKET

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KBTV [162029]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 162029
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
429 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0429 PM HAIL 1 SW PLATTSBURGH 44.69N 73.47W
07/16/2009 E0.25 INCH CLINTON NY AMATEUR RADIO


&&

$$

BROOKET

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KRNK [162025]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 162025
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
424 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM TSTM WND DMG TOAST 36.50N 80.63W
07/11/2009 SURRY NC PUBLIC

TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY 89.


&&

$$

HYSELL

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KBTV [162023]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 162023
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
423 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NE OGDENSBURG 44.76N 75.39W
07/16/2009 ST. LAWRENCE NY PUBLIC

TREE LIMBS DOWN IN RED MILLS. ALSO HAIL REPORTED BOUNCING
OFF CARS BUT NO SIZE GIVEN.


&&

$$

CONORL

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KTSA [162017]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 162017
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
317 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0306 PM HAIL YANUSH 34.71N 95.31W
07/16/2009 E0.75 INCH LATIMER OK PUBLIC


&&

$$

JDS

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 588

WWUS20 KWNS 162014
SEL8
SPC WW 162014
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-170300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 588
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
315 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 315 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF TULSA OKLAHOMA TO 25 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF FORT
LEONARD WOOD MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 587...

DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE CONTINUING TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY ALONG
BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL MO INTO FAR NRN OK. THE AIR MASS
HAS RECOVERED FROM MORNING CONVECTION WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL
THERMAL/INSTABILITY AXIS NEAR THE BOUNDARY...WITH MLCAPE OF
1500-2000 J/KG. APPARENT SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING SEWD INTO THE
LOWER MO VALLEY REGION AND ATTENDANT 35-45 KT WNWLY MID LEVEL WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO ENHANCE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION WITH POTENTIAL FOR A
FEW SEVERE STORMS THROUGH THE EVENING.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28030.


...WEISS

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KRAH [162013]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 162013
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
413 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 ENE DUNN 35.33N 78.56W
07/16/2009 HARNETT NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN NEAR INTERSECTION OF TARHEEL DRIVE AND NC 50.


&&

$$

BLAES

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KRAH [162011]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 162011
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
411 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 WSW MOCKS 35.44N 78.61W
07/16/2009 JOHNSTON NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN IN ROAD ON SILAS MOORE ROAD.


&&

$$

BLAES

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KRAH [162010]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 162010
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
410 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 ENE COATS 35.42N 78.61W
07/16/2009 HARNETT NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON BAILEY ROAD.


&&

$$

BLAES

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KALY [162009]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 162009
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
409 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0402 PM HAIL NELLISTON 42.93N 74.61W
07/16/2009 M1.00 INCH MONTGOMERY NY TRAINED SPOTTER

0407 PM HAIL NELLISTON 42.93N 74.61W
07/16/2009 M0.75 INCH MONTGOMERY NY TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

EHELLER

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 162006
SWODY1
SPC AC 162003

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0303 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

VALID 162000Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A PORTION OF THE CNTRL AND
SRN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A PORTION OF THE NERN
STATES...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A PORTION OF THE ERN
CAROLINAS...

...SRN NEB...KS AND OK...

LATE THIS AFTERNOON A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE MID MS VALLEY WWD
THROUGH SRN NEB. SEVERAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES HAVE ADVANCED SWD
THROUGH PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR INCLUDING AN EXPANSIVE CONVECTIVE
OUTFLOW THAT EXTENDS FROM SWRN MO SWWD THROUGH NRN OK THEN NWWD INTO
SWRN KS. ATMOSPHERE HAS BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE SOUTH OF THIS
BOUNDARY FROM NRN OK INTO SERN KS AND SWRN MO WHERE RELATIVELY RICH
MOISTURE RESIDES BENEATH STEEP LAPSE RATES AND WHERE DIABATIC
HEATING HAS OCCURRED OUTSIDE OF CONVECTIVE DEBRIS. THESE STORMS
RESIDE ALONG THE SRN FRINGE OF THE STRONGER FLOW ALOFT WITH 30-40 KT
BULK SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR SOME ORGANIZED STRUCTURES. STORMS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE INCREASING WITHIN ZONE OF LIFT ALONG THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY. STORMS FROM CNTRL THROUGH SWRN MO WILL BE AIDED BY DEEPER
FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH SEWD MOVING MCV. ISOLATED LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THE STRONGER
STORMS THROUGH MID EVENING. ISOLATED HAIL EXPECTED TO REMAIN THE
PRIMARY THREAT WITH ACTIVITY DEVELOPING IN POST FRONTAL ZONE.

A CONDITIONAL RISK EXISTS FOR SEVERE STORMS FARTHER NW FROM SWRN NEB
THROUGH NWRN KS WHERE SOME BOUNDARY LAYER CUMULUS ARE DEVELOPING
ALONG WRN END OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THREAT IN THIS REGION IS SOMEWHAT
UNCERTAIN DUE TO PRESENCE OF CAP AND STABILIZING EFFECTS OF
CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW. WITH FULL SUN...BOUNDARY LAYER RECOVERY IS
PRESENTLY UNDERWAY. HOWEVER...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SHALLOW FRONTAL
CONVERGENCE...DEEPER FORCING FOR ASCENT REMAINS MODEST.

...NERN STATES...

SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION

...ERN CAROLINAS...

HAVE INCLUDED A SMALL SLIGHT RISK AREA FOR THE ERN CAROLINAS WHERE
MULTICELL STORMS HAVE ORGANIZED INTO LINE SEGMENTS AND ARE
DEVELOPING WITHIN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY NEXT FEW
HOURS.

..DIAL.. 07/16/2009

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1128 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2009/

...CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY THROUGH TONIGHT...
GRADUAL AMPLIFICATION OF THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TOMORROW AS A MID LEVEL LOW OVER WRN ONTARIO DIGS SEWD TO
THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. SEVERAL SPEED MAXIMA WILL ROTATE SEWD FROM
THE NRN PLAINS TO THE MS VALLEY...AROUND THE SRN/SWRN PERIPHERY OF
THIS LOW...WHILE AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES SWD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AND SEWD ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY. OTHER SMALLER
SCALE MCV/S ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS FLOW REGIME OVER NRN KS/SE
NEB/SW IA WITH ONGOING THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS. THIS CONVECTION WILL
LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY AND MOVE SEWD ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN KS
AND WRN MO...AND BUILD WWD/SWWD DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO W/SW KS.

A CORRIDOR OF 65-70 F BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS...SURFACE HEATING IN
ADVANCE OF THE ONGOING STORMS...AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
RESULT IN MODERATE INSTABILITY /MLCAPE 2000-3000 J/KG/ WHICH WILL
SUPPORT INTENSIFICATION OF THE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON. DEEP LAYER
WLY/NWLY SHEAR WILL ALSO BE SUFFICIENT TO MAINTAIN ORGANIZED STORM
CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AS THE CONVECTION PROGRESSES SEWD ACROSS
OK/AR.

...PA/NY/WRN NEW ENGLAND TODAY...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING OVER ERN NY IN A ZONE OF LOW-MID
LEVEL WAA AND ASCENT DOWNSTREAM FROM A WEAK LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVING EWD FROM CENTRAL NY. FARTHER W...A DIFFUSE COLD FRONT IS
MOVING EWD INTO WRN PA/NY AND THIS BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE EWD INTO
CENTRAL PA/NY THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE HEATING WITHIN CLOUD BREAKS
IN THE WAKE OF THE MORNING CONVECTION AND THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD
FRONT AND ADDITIONAL/SUBTLE MID LEVEL SPEED MAXIMA FROM THE W WILL
SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON ACROSS
CENTRAL/ERN PA/NY. SURFACE TEMPERATURES AOA 80 F AND DEWPOINTS IN
THE MID 60S WILL SUPPORT MLCAPE OF 1000-1500 J/KG IN AN ENVIRONMENT
WITH UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES...AND AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR AT
LEAST ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL INTO THIS
EVENING.

...LOWER MS VALLEY AREA THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
ONGOING STORMS ACROSS NRN MS HAVE SHOWN SIGNS OF WEAKENING LATE THIS
MORNING AS CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BEGINS TO SURGE S OF THE ORIGINAL
STORM CLUSTERS. STRONG SURFACE HEATING AND BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS
IN THE LOW-MID 70S COULD SUPPORT ADDITIONAL STRONG/SEVERE STORM
DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM W
CENTRAL AL ACROSS CENTRAL MS INTO SE AR. THIS AREA WILL BE ALONG
THE SRN FRINGE OF THE SOMEWHAT ENHANCED MID LEVEL FLOW WITH THE MCV
OVER WRN TN...THUS LOOSELY ORGANIZED CLUSTERS OF PULSE-TYPE STORMS
SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY CONVECTIVE MODE. THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT WILL
BE A FEW WET MICROBURSTS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1582

ACUS11 KWNS 162005
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162004
NYZ000-CTZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-162130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1582
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0304 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN PA INTO NJ...NRN DE AND THE LOWER
HUDSON VALLEY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 162004Z - 162130Z

THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND HAIL WILL EXIST ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA INTO THIS EVENING.
A WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

TSTMS ARE GRADUALLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG AND AHEAD OF WEAK PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH MOVING THROUGH
ERN PARTS OF NY/PA AND THE DELMARVA. AS OF 1950Z...THE MOST INTENSE
STORM WAS LOCATED OVER LUZERNE COUNTY IN FAR SERN PA WITH A MOTION
OF 270/30 KT.

AIR MASS OVER THE DE RIVER VALLEY HAS WARMED INTO THE UPPER 80S AND
WHEN COUPLED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID/UPPER 60S...IS RESULTING
POCKETS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY WHERE MLCAPE IS APPROACHING
1000-1500 J/KG. FARTHER E OVER NYC...LONG ISLAND INTO SWRN NEW
ENGLAND...BOUNDARY LAYER IS COMPARATIVELY COOLER AND MORE STABLE
OWING TO MARINE INFLUENCES.

GIVEN THE MODERATE INSTABILITY AND MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR...IT
APPEARS THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS
THROUGH THIS EVENING OVER PARTS OF ERN PA AND NJ. THE MAIN THREATS
WILL BE LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS AND SOME HAIL.

..MEAD.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...

LAT...LON 39907649 40857601 41277508 41497431 41427360 40807336
39847407 39287461 39267537 39357581 39907649

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KICT [161945]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 161945
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
245 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0243 PM TSTM WND GST ENE DENNIS 37.35N 95.41W
07/16/2009 E60 MPH LABETTE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0243 PM HAIL ENE DENNIS 37.35N 95.41W
07/16/2009 E0.75 INCH LABETTE KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

DUNTEN

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KALY [161942]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 161942
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
342 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0333 PM TSTM WND DMG HERKIMER 43.03N 74.99W
07/16/2009 HERKIMER NY TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE DOWN ALONG ROUTE 5


&&

$$

SDIRIENZ

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1581

ACUS11 KWNS 161938
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161937
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-162100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1581
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0237 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SWRN KS INTO THE OK AND NRN TX PNHDLS AND
NWRN/N-CNTRL OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 161937Z - 162100Z

THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS
DISCUSSION AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. CONVECTIVE TRENDS
ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND VISIBLE SATELLITE DATA INDICATE AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY ARCING NWWD FROM N-CNTRL OK /NEAR PNC/ TO JUST W OF DDC AND
GCK. ANOTHER BOUNDARY INTERSECTED THE FORMER JUST W OF GCK BEFORE
ARCING SWWD THROUGH FAR SERN CO /S OF SPD AND TAD/. AIR MASS AHEAD
OF THESE BOUNDARIES IS EXPERIENCING NEAR FULL SOLAR INSOLATION WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. THE RICHEST BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE RESIDES ACROSS N-CNTRL INTO NWRN OK WHERE DEWPOINTS
REMAIN INTO THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2000 J/KG.
CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY DECREASES SLIGHTLY WITH WWD EXTENT THROUGH
THE OK/TX PNHDLS OWING TO DRIER BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS.

SHORT TERM MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT TSTMS SHOULD INCREASE IN
COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING ALONG THESE BOUNDARIES AS WARM
SECTOR AIR MASS FURTHER DESTABILIZES AND REMAINING CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION ERODES. AREA PROFILERS AND VWPS INDICATE GENERALLY WEAK
WIND FIELDS THROUGH THE LOWEST 5-6 KM AGL WHICH SHOULD TEND TO LIMIT
THE POTENTIAL FOR WELL-ORGANIZED STORM FORMATION.
NONETHELESS...SOME POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR THE FORMATION OF STORM
CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF MAINLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS GIVEN DCAPE OF
1000-1500 J/KG.

..MEAD.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...DDC...AMA...ABQ...

LAT...LON 36070338 36410317 36900187 37090141 37300073 37390035
37029915 36769816 36709685 36259677 35929696 35689807
35660101 35590228 35780320 36070338

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KALY [161937]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 161937
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
337 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0337 PM HAIL LITTLE FALLS 43.05N 74.86W
07/16/2009 M0.75 INCH HERKIMER NY TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

SDIRIENZ

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KALY [161935]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 161935
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
335 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0323 PM HAIL HERKIMER 43.03N 74.99W
07/16/2009 M1.00 INCH HERKIMER NY TRAINED SPOTTER

MAIN STREET IN HERKIMER

0325 PM HAIL HERKIMER 43.03N 74.99W
07/16/2009 E1.00 INCH HERKIMER NY PUBLIC

N. PROSPECT STREET

0332 PM HAIL HERKIMER 43.03N 74.99W
07/16/2009 M1.00 INCH HERKIMER NY TRAINED SPOTTER

STEUBEN STREET

0332 PM TSTM WND DMG HERKIMER 43.03N 74.99W
07/16/2009 HERKIMER NY TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE DOWN STEUBEN ST.


&&

$$

SDIRIENZ

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KICT [161932]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 161932
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
231 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM HAIL 7 SE ALTOONA 37.45N 95.57W
07/16/2009 E0.50 INCH WILSON KS PUBLIC

0220 PM TSTM WND GST 7 SE ALTOONA 37.45N 95.57W
07/16/2009 M59 MPH WILSON KS PUBLIC


&&

$$

DUNTEN

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KALY [161927]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 161927
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
327 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0323 PM HAIL HERKIMER 43.03N 74.99W
07/16/2009 M1.00 INCH HERKIMER NY TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

SDIRIENZ

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1580

ACUS11 KWNS 161920
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161919
ARZ000-OKZ000-162015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1580
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0219 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN OK / SWRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 161919Z - 162015Z

INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD DMGG MICROBURSTS THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS SWRN AR. ANOTHER AREA OF CONCERN MAY ARISE IF TSTMS BECOME
SURFACE-BASED OVER PARTS OF SERN OK. TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR A
POSSIBLE WW.

REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC HAS SHOWN TSTMS DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF AR
GENERALLY ALONG AND NEAR RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WHEREAS FURTHER
W...MID-LEVEL CONVECTION HAS GRADUALLY DEEPENED RESULTING IN TSTMS
OVER PARTS OF ERN OK DURING THE PAST HOUR. UNCERTAINTY REMAINS
WHETHER CONVECTION OVER ERN OK WILL BECOME SURFACE BASED AHEAD OF
SEEMINGLY WEAK MID-LEVEL ASCENT MOVING EWD ACROSS OK. A HOT/MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER WITH TEMPS RISING INTO THE LOWER-MID 90S RESIDES
ACROSS THE REGION AS A SURFACE THERMAL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NRN TX
NEWD INTO SWRN AR. THIS IS CONTRIBUTING TO DCAPE IN EXCESS OF 1000
J/KG--SUPPORTIVE OF STRONG DOWNDRAFT POTENTIAL.

20-30 KT WLY MID-LEVEL FLOW EVIDENT ON AREA VWP DATA WILL LIKELY
SERVE TO ENHANCE STORM ORGANIZATION POTENTIAL. ISOLD DMGG WIND
GUSTS APPEAR TO BE THE PRIMARY THREAT AS INCREASING TSTM COVERAGE
POSSIBLY LEADS TO A CONSOLIDATION OF ONE OR MORE W-E MOVING
CLUSTERS.

..SMITH.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...TSA...OUN...

LAT...LON 33889401 34179523 34299662 34509721 34699717 34809674
35019533 35209492 35389410 35319346 35029288 34449206
33909158 33459153 33179167 33069189 33089217 33229262
33709347 33889401

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1579

ACUS11 KWNS 161858
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161858
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-162030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1579
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0158 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN KS / SWRN MO / NERN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 161858Z - 162030Z

THE THREAT FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF WIND/HAIL
IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS AREA THIS AFTERNOON. CONVECTIVE
TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A WW.

A COMPLEX SURFACE PATTERN HAS EVOLVED TODAY OWING TO EFFECTS OF
OVERNIGHT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AND ONGOING STORMS. LATEST
MESOANALYSIS..RADAR AND SATELLITE DATA ALL DEPICT A WELL-DEFINED
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ARCING FROM NEAR SZL SWWD TO E OF CNU AND S OF ICT.
THE NRN EXTENSION OF THIS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THEN LINKS TO A
STATIONARY BOUNDARY WHICH TRAILS SEWD INTO SERN MO /S OF STL/.
FARTHER S...ONGOING STORMS AND ASSOCIATED CLOUD CANOPY HAVE
ESTABLISHED A POCKET OF COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER NERN OK INTO NRN
AR. AS A RESULT A NARROW AXIS OF STRONGER HEATING AND RESULTANT AIR
MASS DESTABILIZATION IS PRESENT FROM NEAR THE OK/KS BORDER NEWD INTO
SWRN MO WHERE MLCAPE HAS INCREASED TO 1000-1500 J/KG.

LOW-LEVEL ASCENT ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY COUPLED WITH INFLUENCE OF
MCV OVER NWRN MO ARE CONTRIBUTING TO A GRADUAL INCREASE IN STORMS
FROM NEAR OR JUST N OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY-STATIONARY FRONT
INTERSECTION N OF SZL SWWD INTO FAR SERN KS /E OF CNU/. THIS
ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING ALONG THE WRN/NWRN EDGE OF NARROW WARM SECTOR
/DELINEATED ABOVE/ WITH ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT LIKELY OVER
PRIMARILY SWRN MO OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

LOCAL PROFILERS/VWPS INDICATE MODESTLY STRONG /35-40 KT/ DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR...SUPPORTIVE OF SOME STORM ORGANIZATION. THE PRIMARY CONCERN
FOR A POSSIBLY WW ISSUANCE IS THE RELATIVELY SMALL AREA OF STRONGER
INSTABILITY WHICH WOULD SUSTAIN MORE INTENSE STORMS.

..MEAD.. 07/16/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...ICT...

LAT...LON 37059628 37589573 38249464 39149383 38859285 38139210
37389215 37139292 36789381 36649535 36779612 37059628

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KBMX [161846]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 161846
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
146 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0123 PM TSTM WND DMG SYLACAUGA 33.18N 86.26W
07/16/2009 TALLADEGA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

A LARGE TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ON SETTLEMENT ROAD IN
SYLACAUGA.


&&

$$

LINHARES

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KBMX [161845]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 161845
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
145 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0115 PM HAIL 2 SE CHILDERSBURG 33.26N 86.33W
07/16/2009 E0.75 INCH TALLADEGA AL POST OFFICE

PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT THE BON AIR POST OFFICE.


&&

$$

GGOGGINS

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