Friday, May 15, 2009

KLSX [152313]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 152313
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
613 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0613 PM HAIL EOLIA 39.24N 91.01W
05/15/2009 E0.25 INCH PIKE MO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0902022

$$

GKS

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KEAX [152313]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 152313
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
612 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 PM HAIL 2 NNW LENEXA 38.99N 94.80W
05/15/2009 E1.00 INCH JOHNSON KS PUBLIC


&&

$$

ABAILEY

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KEAX [152312]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 152312
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
612 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM FLASH FLOOD KANSAS CITY 39.12N 94.55W
05/15/2009 JACKSON MO FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

THE FOLLOWING ROADS ARE CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING.
64TH AND N. BAGGETT, 96TH AND N BRIGHTON AVE, 152 HWY AT
EXIT RAMP TO N. OAK, BARRY RD AND HIGHLAND AVE, CLEAVER
BLVD BETWEEN PROSPECT AVE AND BENTON BLVD


&&

$$

ACH

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KICT [152309]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 152309
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
609 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0609 PM HAIL 3 NNW WEST WICHITA 37.72N 97.48W
05/15/2009 E0.50 INCH SEDGWICK KS TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO ONE HALF INCH HAIL.


&&

$$

LFW

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KILX [152308]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 152308
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
608 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0558 PM HAIL 2 S PHILADELPHIA 39.89N 90.12W
05/15/2009 M0.88 INCH CASS IL MESONET

0.88 INCH HAIL REPORTED. SWOP REPORT.


&&

$$

MLK/BRO

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KICT [152302]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 152302
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
602 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0602 PM HAIL 1 E HARPER 37.29N 98.01W
05/15/2009 E1.00 INCH HARPER KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

LFW

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KOHX [152307]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 152307
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
607 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0553 PM HAIL 1 N NASHVILLE 36.19N 86.78W
05/15/2009 E0.75 INCH DAVIDSON TN PUBLIC

PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC ON BRICK CHURCH
LANE NEAR INTERSECTION WITH KNIGHT ROAD.


&&

$$

JLM

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KIND [152306]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIND 152306
LSRIND

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
706 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0655 PM HAIL HOPE 39.30N 85.77W
05/15/2009 E1.75 INCH BARTHOLOMEW IN TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 70 MPH WIND


&&

$$

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KMRX [152306]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 152306
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
706 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM TSTM WND DMG KINGSTON 35.87N 84.51W
05/15/2009 ROANE TN LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.


&&

$$

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KDDC [152306]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 152306
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
605 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0551 PM HAIL 4 NW HAZELTON 37.12N 98.46W
05/15/2009 E1.00 INCH BARBER KS PUBLIC


&&

$$

JFINCH

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KEAX [152306]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 152306
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
605 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0604 PM HAIL LENEXA 38.96N 94.79W
05/15/2009 E0.75 INCH JOHNSON KS EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

ABAILEY

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KGID [152305]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 152305
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
605 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 AM HAIL 3 S HILDRETH 40.29N 99.05W
05/15/2009 E1.75 INCH FRANKLIN NE PUBLIC


&&

$$

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KEAX [152305]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 152305
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
605 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0602 PM HAIL OLATHE 38.89N 94.81W
05/15/2009 E0.88 INCH JOHNSON KS BROADCAST MEDIA

ALONG INTERSTATE 35


&&

$$

ABAILEY

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KLSX [152304]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 152304
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
604 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM FLASH FLOOD COLUMBIA 38.95N 92.33W
05/15/2009 BOONE MO EMERGENCY MNGR

1 FEET OF WATER ON PARIS ROAD A LITTLE SOUTH OF HIGHWAY
63...POSSIBLY AS MUCH AS 3 FEET OF WATER ON VANDIVER
EAST OF PARIS I


&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0902021

$$

GKS

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KICT [152300]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 152300
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
600 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM HAIL 2 WSW ATTICA 37.24N 98.26W
05/15/2009 E1.00 INCH HARPER KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

LFW

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KILX [152300]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 152300
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
600 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0555 PM HAIL WINCHESTER 39.63N 90.46W
05/15/2009 M0.88 INCH SCOTT IL TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED VIA STL NWS.


&&

$$

MLK/BRO

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KDDC [152259]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 152259
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
559 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM HAIL 8 WNW HAZELTON 37.14N 98.54W
05/15/2009 E1.00 INCH BARBER KS PUBLIC


&&

$$

JFINCH

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KGID [152259]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 152259
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
558 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HAIL 5 E HILDRETH 40.34N 98.95W
05/15/2009 E1.00 INCH FRANKLIN NE PUBLIC

PEA TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL FELL FROM APPROXIMATELY 7 TO 715
AM.


&&

$$

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KLSX [152258]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 152258
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
558 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0552 PM HAIL COLUMBIA 38.95N 92.33W
05/15/2009 E0.70 INCH BOONE MO EMERGENCY MNGR

DIME SIZE HAIL NEAR I70 AND HIGHWAY 63


&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0902020

$$

GKS

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KTOP [152258]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 152258
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
558 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0543 PM HAIL EMPORIA 38.40N 96.18W
05/15/2009 E0.75 INCH LYON KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JTL

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KICT [152258]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 152258
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
558 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0558 PM HAIL 5 SW NORWICH 37.41N 97.91W
05/15/2009 E1.75 INCH KINGMAN KS AMATEUR RADIO

KINGMAN HARPER COUNTY LINE.


&&

$$

LFW

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KAMA [152257]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 152257
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
557 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM TSTM WND DMG LEFORS 35.44N 100.80W
05/15/2009 GRAY TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

TREES AND POWER POLES DOWN...SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA01392

$$

JMG

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KICT [152256]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 152256
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
556 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0553 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 4 SW NORWICH 37.42N 97.90W
05/15/2009 KINGMAN KS STORM CHASER


&&

$$

SCHRECK

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KILX [152255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 152255
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
555 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0554 PM HAIL CORNLAND 39.94N 89.41W
05/15/2009 M0.88 INCH LOGAN IL EMERGENCY MNGR

NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED ALONG WITH 50-55 MPH WINDS AND
HEAVY RAIN.


&&

$$

MLK/BRO

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KLSX [152255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 152255
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
555 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0544 PM TSTM WND GST PERRY 39.78N 90.75W
05/15/2009 E50 MPH PIKE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WIND GUSTS


0544 PM HAIL PERRY 39.78N 90.75W
05/15/2009 E0.25 INCH PIKE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WIND GUSTS


&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0902018
EVENT NUMBER LSX0902019

$$

GKS

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KTOP [152255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 152255
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
555 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 ENE READING 38.55N 95.89W
05/15/2009 E80 MPH OSAGE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

8 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWNED.


&&

$$

JTL

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KJAN [152254]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 152254
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
554 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0547 PM HAIL VICKSBURG 32.33N 90.87W
05/15/2009 E0.25 INCH WARREN MS BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

$$

CME

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KMAF [152253]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMAF 152253
LSRMAF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
552 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0445 PM HAIL 40 S FORT STOCKTON 30.31N 102.89W
05/15/2009 E1.00 INCH PECOS TX PUBLIC

PEA TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL LASTING FOR 30 MINUTES.


&&

$$

DHENNIG

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0839

ACUS11 KWNS 152252
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152252
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-152345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0839
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0552 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TX PANHANDLE...WRN/NRN OK...SERN KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 307...

VALID 152252Z - 152345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 307 CONTINUES.

AS OF 2245Z...AN EVOLVING QLCS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES
STRETCHED FROM NEAR TOP TO GAG WITH GENERAL STORM MOTION AROUND 20
KTS TO THE ESE. FARTHER SW...AN INTENSE DISCRETE SWD-MOVING
SUPERCELL WAS LOCATED OVER GRAY COUNTY TX. A VERY STRONG AND BROAD
MESOCYCLONIC SIGNATURE HAS PERSISTED FOR NEARLY AN HOUR WITH REPORTS
OF BRIEF TORNADOES AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS. AMBIENT
ENVIRONMENT SHOULD SUPPORT A HIGH LIKELIHOOD OF CONTINUED SEVERE
THREAT WITH THIS CELL AS IT APPROACHES THE
WHEELER/DONLEY/COLLINGSWORTH COUNTY AREAS. BY AROUND 2330Z...STORM
EVOLUTION WILL LIKELY BE DISRUPTED BY ONGOING CONVECTION ACROSS
BRISCOE/HALL COUNTIES. IN ADDITION...SURFACE DEW POINTS HAVE FALLEN
INTO THE MIDDLE/UPPER 50S ACROSS THE SERN PANHANDLE AND LOW ROLLING
PLAINS OF TX. THIS SUGGESTS OVERALL TORNADO THREAT SHOULD TREND
DOWNWARD WITH TIME.

ELSEWHERE...WITH CONVECTIVE MODE PRIMARILY LINEAR AND STRONGER FLOW
IN THE KINEMATIC PROFILE GENERALLY RESIDING IN THE LOW-LEVELS /PER
AREA PROFILERS/ AMIDST A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS...SEVERE HAIL/WIND
SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH BRIEF TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

..GRAMS.. 05/15/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON 38749473 37439607 35229919 34429983 34160068 34380107
35280118 36359991 38019726 38849582 38749473

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KTOP [152252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 152252
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
552 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0535 PM HAIL 3 SSW AUBURN 38.86N 95.83W
05/15/2009 E0.88 INCH OSAGE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL ACCOMPANIED BY 1 IN. RAINFALL IN 25 MINUTES.


&&

$$

JTL

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KOHX [152252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 152252
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
552 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0505 PM HAIL NASHVILLE 36.17N 86.78W
05/15/2009 E1.00 INCH DAVIDSON TN TRAINED SPOTTER

MURFREESBORO PIKE AREA NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE


&&

$$

TROUTMAN

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KICT [152252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 152252
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
552 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0551 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 7 SW NORWICH 37.38N 97.94W
05/15/2009 KINGMAN KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

LFW

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KMRX [152251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 152251
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
650 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM TSTM WND DMG LOUDON 35.74N 84.36W
05/15/2009 LOUDON TN LAW ENFORCEMENT

FEW TREES DOWN.


&&

$$

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KLSX [152251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 152251
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
550 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM HAIL COLUMBIA 38.95N 92.33W
05/15/2009 M0.88 INCH BOONE MO BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0902017

$$

GKS

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KOHX [152250]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 152250
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
550 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM TSTM WND DMG BYRDSTOWN 36.57N 85.13W
05/15/2009 PICKETT TN LAW ENFORCEMENT

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND TREES DOWN


&&

$$

21

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KAMA [152250]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 152250
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
550 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0549 PM HAIL LEFORS 35.44N 100.80W
05/15/2009 E2.75 INCH GRAY TX BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA01391

$$

JMG

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KAMA [152250]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 152250
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
550 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0548 PM HAIL LEFORS 35.44N 100.80W
05/15/2009 E1.75 INCH GRAY TX TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA01390

$$

JC

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KLSX [152249]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 152249
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
549 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM TSTM WND GST CURRYVILLE 39.35N 91.34W
05/15/2009 E60 MPH PIKE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN


0545 PM HAIL CURRYVILLE 39.35N 91.34W
05/15/2009 E0.75 INCH PIKE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN


&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0902015
EVENT NUMBER LSX0902016

$$

GKS

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KLOT [152248]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 152248
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
545 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 PM HEAVY RAIN PEOTONE 41.33N 87.80W
05/15/2009 M1.31 INCH WILL IL CO-OP OBSERVER

SINCE THIS MORNING.


&&

$$

CM

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KLSX [152248]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 152248
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
548 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0537 PM HAIL MIDWAY 38.98N 92.45W
05/15/2009 M1.75 INCH BOONE MO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0902014

$$

CARNEY

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KLSX [152247]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 152247
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
546 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 PM TSTM WND GST 7 N COLUMBIA 39.06N 92.33W
05/15/2009 M60 MPH BOONE MO EMERGENCY MNGR

50 60 MPH WIND GUSTS


&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0902013

$$

GKS

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KILX [152246]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 152246
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
546 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0546 PM HAIL 1 W CORNLAND 39.94N 89.43W
05/15/2009 M1.00 INCH LOGAN IL EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

MLK/BRO

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KLSX [152246]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 152246
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
546 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 PM HEAVY RAIN EWING 40.01N 91.71W
05/15/2009 M5.97 INCH LEWIS MO TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL AS OF 540 PM


&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0902012

$$

CARNEY

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KAMA [152243]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 152243
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
543 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0515 PM TSTM WND GST 2 E PAMPA 35.55N 100.93W
05/15/2009 M82 MPH GRAY TX MESONET


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA01389

$$

JMG

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KLSX [152241]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KLSX 152241
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
541 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0448 PM TSTM WND DMG MADISON 39.47N 92.21W
05/15/2009 MONROE MO FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

POWER LINES DOWN


&&

CORRECTED COUNTY/STATE...LOCATION

EVENT NUMBER LSX0902001

$$

CARNEY

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KILX [152241]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 152241
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
541 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0520 PM HAIL 3 S GREENVIEW 40.04N 89.74W
05/15/2009 M1.25 INCH MENARD IL MESONET

1 1/4 INCH HAIL REPORTED. SWOP REPORT.


&&

$$

MLK/BRO

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KTOP [152240]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 152240
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
540 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0533 PM HAIL ESE SCRANTON 38.78N 95.73W
05/15/2009 M1.00 INCH OSAGE KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JL

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KEAX [152240]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 152240
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
540 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0535 PM HAIL 1 W BLUE SPRINGS 39.02N 94.29W
05/15/2009 E1.00 INCH JACKSON MO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

ABAILEY

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KTOP [152240]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 152240
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
540 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0535 PM HAIL E CARBONDALE 38.82N 95.68W
05/15/2009 M1.00 INCH OSAGE KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JL

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KJAN [152238]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 152238
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
538 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM TSTM WND GST VICKSBURG 32.33N 90.87W
05/15/2009 E50 MPH WARREN MS AMATEUR RADIO

1 TREE DOWN AND IT TOOK A POWER LINE DOWN AS WELL.


&&

$$

CME

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0829

ACUS11 KWNS 151215
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151214
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-151345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0829
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0714 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN KS...SERN NE...NWRN MO...SWRN IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 151214Z - 151345Z

AS ONE SMALL MCS MOVES EAST ACROSS NCNTRL MISSOURI...ADDITIONAL
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS OCCURRING IN ITS WAKE ALONG A
DIFFUSE WARM FRONT OVER NRN KS...AND INTO SRN NE. INDICATIONS ARE
THAT THIS ACTIVITY WILL POSE SOME THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND A WATCH
IS POSSIBLE IF A CONTINUED INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE IS OBSERVED.

WITH LLJ TOPPING OUT AT 50-60KT ACROSS OK/KS THIS MORNING...
MAGNITUDE OF ISENTROPIC LIFT ACROSS GREAT PLAINS WARM FRONT IN KS IS
PROBABLY AT ITS MOST INTENSE. LARGER SCALE LIFT ACROSS THIS ZONE MAY
ALSO BE INCREASING AHEAD OF WELL-DEFINED SHORT WAVE TROUGH DIGGING
ACROSS UT/WY ATTM. PARCELS ORIGINATING IN WARM AND VERY MOIST AIR
MASS FARTHER SOUTH ARE REACHING AN LFC AROUND 750MB INVOF NCNTRL KS
AND REALIZING MUCAPE IN THE RANGE OF 2500-3000 J/KG. CLOUD-BEARING
SHEAR WITHIN 700-400MB LAYER...PER LATEST RUC/ACARS
SOUNDINGS...APPEARS ONLY MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELL
STRUCTURE/UPDRAFT PERSISTENCE. HOWEVER...UPDRAFT STRENGTH GIVEN
DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AVAILABLE TO THESE STORMS...WILL LIKELY
CONTRIBUTE TO AT LEAST ISOLATED/BRIEF LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL.

IT APPEARS POSSIBLE THAT CONVECTION MAY CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS
THIS REGION THROUGH THE MORNING AS THE DYNAMIC FORCING ASSOCIATED
WITH THE APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH DEVELOPS EAST FROM THE
ROCKIES. SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL ALSO BECOME FURTHER SUPPORTIVE
OF MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS AND A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED.

..CARBIN.. 05/15/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...

LAT...LON 39339482 39259599 39599761 40199845 40819853 41109795
41229623 40959401 40439349 39579364 39339482

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KDVN [151212]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 151212
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
712 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0640 AM HEAVY RAIN GOOD HOPE 40.56N 90.67W
05/15/2009 M1.10 INCH MCDONOUGH IL TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL TOTAL OVERNIGHT.


&&

$$

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KGID [151157]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 151157
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
656 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0644 AM HAIL WILCOX 40.36N 99.17W
05/15/2009 E1.00 INCH KEARNEY NE TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

NWS

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KDVN [151102]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 151102
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
602 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0557 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 NE COLUSA 40.59N 91.14W
05/15/2009 HANCOCK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL 1.59 INCHES. WATER RUNNING OVER IL. HIGHWAY 9.
WATER WAS RUNNING OUT OF NEARBY FIELDS.


&&

$$

DLF

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KRNK [151008]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 151008
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
608 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0240 AM FLASH FLOOD CHRISTIANSBURG 37.14N 80.40W
05/15/2009 MONTGOMERY VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SVERAL BASEMENTS REPORTED FLOODED IN VARIOUS LOCATIONS
ACROSS TOWN BEGINNING ABOUT 240 AM.


&&

$$

JJACKSON

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KRNK [151007]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 151007
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
607 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0240 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 NW CHRISTIANSBURG 37.15N 80.42W
05/15/2009 MONTGOMERY VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

NORTH FRANKLIN STREET AT SPRADLIN FARMS CLOSED DUE TO
HIGH WATER REACHING A DEPTH OF 3 FEET. ROAD RE-OPENED
AROUND 400 AM.


&&

$$

JJACKSON

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KRNK [150936]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 150936
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
536 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 SE EVINGTON 37.21N 79.26W
05/15/2009 CAMPBELL VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLAT CREEK FLOODED AND CLOSED DEARBORN ROAD.


&&

$$

JJACKSON

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KRNK [150935]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 150935
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
535 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 E EVINGTON 37.23N 79.27W
05/15/2009 CAMPBELL VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLAT CREEK FLOODED ROUTE 24/COLONIAL HIGHWAY WITH 1 FOOT
OF WATER...AND CAUSED A SMALL MUDLSIDE.


&&

$$

JJACKSON

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 150842
SWOD48
SPC AC 150841

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0341 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

VALID 181200Z - 231200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A RELATIVELY QUIET SEVERE CONVECTIVE PATTERN WILL DOMINATE MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK AS A BROAD UPPER RIDGE PERSISTS OVER THE WESTERN/SOUTHERN
CONUS. CONTINENTAL TRAJECTORIES AND LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN NEXT
WEEK SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY WIDESPREAD SEVERE EPISODES THROUGH THE
MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK. THUS...NO 30% DAY-1 EQUIVALENT SEVERE
PROBABILITIES ARE WARRANTED AT THIS TIME.

EVEN WITH LIMITED MOISTURE...A FEW SEVERE TSTMS MAY BE POSSIBLE ON
DAY 4/MONDAY ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST...AS A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE
REGION IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SOUTHEAST MOVING UPPER TROUGH/JET
STREAK ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA...AND/OR PERHAPS ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS OF EASTERN MT VIA AN UPSLOPE REGIME. FOR DAYS 5/6 TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...A FEW HIGH BASED SEVERE TSTMS/PERHAPS SUPERCELLS MAY BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS IN VICINITY OF COLD
FRONT/LEE TROUGH AND/OR WITHIN A POST-FRONTAL LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE
REGIME INTO THE HIGHER TERRAIN/FRONT RANGE.

..GUYER.. 05/15/2009

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KRNK [150831]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 150831
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
431 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0240 AM FLASH FLOOD CHRISTIANSBURG 37.14N 80.40W
05/15/2009 MONTGOMERY VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLASH FLOODING WAS REPORTED ALL ACROSS THE TOWN.


&&

$$

DS

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KRNK [150827]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 150827
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
426 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1122 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 NE LYNCHBURG CITY 37.47N 79.11W
05/14/2009 AMHERST VA COUNTY OFFICIAL

FLASH FLOODING AND ROAD CLOSURES AT A COUPLE OF LOCATIONS
ALONG ROUTE 130 NEAR MADISON HEIGHTS.


&&

$$

DS

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 150714
SWODY3
SPC AC 150711

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0211 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SUNDAY WILL BE A TRANSITIONAL DAY INTO A MUCH QUIETER PERIOD ACROSS
THE CONUS. A RATHER AMPLIFIED LARGE SCALE REGIME WILL BE PREVALENT
SUNDAY...WITH BROAD UPPER RIDGING ACROSS THE WESTERN TWO-THIRDS OF
THE CONUS IN THE WAKE OF A NORTHEAST STATES/QUEBEC UPPER TROUGH.
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SHOULD CLEAR MUCH OF THE EASTERN SEABOARD
EARLY IN THE DAY...EXCEPT FOR THE SLOWER SOUTHEAST-MOVING PORTION OF
THE FRONT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES/NORTH FL.

...SOUTHEAST STATES/FL...
ON THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF EAST COAST TROUGH HEIGHT FALLS...AN
ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT MAY EXIST SUNDAY AFTERNOON IN VICINITY OF THE
SOUTHEAST MOVING COLD FRONT AND/OR THE FL/EASTERN GA/PERHAPS SC SEA
BREEZE. WITH A RESIDUAL MOIST/POTENTIALLY MODERATELY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS BENEATH SUFFICIENTLY COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /AROUND -9C
TO -10C 500 MB/...WEAK WINDS THROUGH THE LOW/MID TROPOSPHERE WOULD
ONLY SUPPORT A LOCALIZED PULSE-TYPE DOWNBURST/MARGINAL HAIL RISK.
ANY SUCH THREAT WOULD END BY EARLY EVENING.

..GUYER.. 05/15/2009

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0828

ACUS11 KWNS 150704
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150703
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-150830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0828
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0203 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN KS...SERN NE...SRN IA...NRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 150703Z - 150830Z

DEEP CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN BOTH COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY THROUGH EARLY
TODAY. WITH AN ATTENDANT INCREASE IN THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL
WITH SOME OF THESE STORMS...A WATCH IS POSSIBLE.

ESSENTIALLY AS FORECAST...STORMS ARE INCREASING ON THE NOSE OF
40-50KT LLJ FROM NERN KS ACROSS THE MO RIVER VALLEY ATTM. IN
ADDITION TO THE NOCTURNAL STRENGTHENING OF THE LLJ...SLOPED ASCENT
ACROSS THIS CORRIDOR IS LIKELY ENHANCED BY AGEOSTROPHIC ADJUSTMENTS
BENEATH/WITHIN ENTRANCE REGION OF MID/UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK
SPREADING ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY EARLY TODAY. EML PLUME
CHARACTERIZED BY 8-9 C/KM LAPSE RATES IN THE 700-500MB LAYER...AND
HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT OF LOW LEVEL AIR MASS STREAMING INTO THE
REGION OF ISENTROPIC ASCENT...WERE CONTRIBUTING TO UPSTREAM MUCAPE
OF 2000-2500 J/KG. MODEST EFFECTIVE WLY SHEAR OF 30-40KT SHOULD
SUPPORT ORGANIZED/PERSISTENT UPDRAFTS AND PERHAPS SOME UPSCALE
DEVELOPMENT INTO AN MCS ACROSS NERN KS/NRN MO AREA OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. GREATEST THREAT FROM THIS INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE LARGE HAIL. A VARIETY OF HAIL MODEL
OUTPUT THROUGH 12 UTC SUGGESTS THAT HAIL SIZE COULD EXCEED 1 INCH
GIVEN INSTABILITY/LAPSE RATES...SHEAR...AND PERSISTENT LIFT ACROSS
THE REGION.

..CARBIN.. 05/15/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...SGF...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...
GID...

LAT...LON 38549373 38629484 38739602 38709721 38999807 39409825
40279797 40749688 40869490 40459256 39819165 39059140
38579209 38549373

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 150600
SWODY2
SPC AC 150558

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS/NORTHEAST STATES...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST TX BIG
BEND...

...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL AMPLIFY OVER THE LOWER 48 ON
SATURDAY...HIGHLIGHTED BY A PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH OVER EASTERN
CANADA AND THE ADJACENT GREAT LAKES REGION...WITH A BUILDING UPPER
RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN STATES. ASSOCIATED WITH THE EASTERN LONGWAVE
TROUGH...THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR DEEP CONVECTION POTENTIAL WILL BE
ALONG/AHEAD OF AN EASTWARD MOVING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY
TO NORTHEAST STATES/APPALACHIANS...WITH THE SOUTHERNMOST PORTION OF
THE FRONT MOVING SOUTHWARD ACROSS TX/MID-SOUTH AND GULF COAST
REGION.

...NORTH CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/NORTHEAST STATES..
IT SEEMS LIKELY THAT SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL BE ONGOING EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING ALONG/AHEAD OF THE EAST ADVANCING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY. ALTHOUGH THE LIKELIHOOD OF CLOUD COVER/SCATTERED
PRECIPITATION COMPLICATES THE DETAILS...AN INCREASINGLY MOIST
AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT INTO THE NORTHEAST STATES IN THE
WAKE OF A NORTHWARD RETREATING WARM FRONT. WITH 60S F SURFACE
DEWPOINTS IN MUCH OF THE PREFRONTAL WARM SECTOR...POCKETS OF
STRONGER HEATING/DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION AMIDST STEADY LARGE SCALE
HEIGHT FALLS/AMPLE LARGE SCALE ASCENT SUGGESTS AN UPSWING IN TSTMS
ALONG THE COLD FRONT OR PERHAPS A PREFRONTAL TROUGH DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

QUASI-DISCRETE MULTICELLS/FEW SUPERCELLS MAY BE POSSIBLE EARLY IN
CONVECTION EVOLUTION /MAINLY PA INTO SOUTHERN NY/...BUT OTHERWISE
THE NATURE OF THE FORCING AND LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES
SUGGEST A MULTICELLULAR/LINEAR CONVECTIVE MODE WITH SMALL SCALE BOWS
SHOULD DOMINATE ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COLD FRONT. AS SUCH...DAMAGING
WINDS WOULD LIKELY BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD OVERALL...WITH HAIL/PERHAPS
AN ISOLATED TORNADO POSSIBLE AS WELL.

...SOUTHWEST TX...
SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL BE COMMON ALONG THE STEADILY SOUTHWARD MOVING
COLD FRONT ACROSS TX. ALTHOUGH QUESTIONS EXIST REGARDING THE TIMING
OF THE FRONT/DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION...THE RELATIVELY GREATEST
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE TSTMS WOULD APPEAR TO BE ACROSS SOUTHWEST TX IN
THE BIG BEND/RIO GRANDE VICINITY...ALONG THE FRONT AND/OR IN ITS
WAKE VIA DEVELOPING EASTERLY UPSLOPE INTO THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
VEERING WIND PROFILES/STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES COULD SUPPORT SOME
SUPERCELLS WITH A PRIMARY RISK OF SEVERE HAIL.

...TN VALLEY/ARKLATEX/MID-SOUTH...
SCATTERED TSTMS WILL BE COMMON ALONG/AHEAD OF THE SOUTHEAST
ADVANCING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE TN VALLEY/MID-SOUTH/ARKLATEX.
PREFRONTAL POCKETS OF MODERATE POTENTIAL INSTABILITY...BUT RATHER
ANEMIC WIND PROFILES...SUGGESTS SOME PULSE-TYPE/EPISODIC WIND DAMAGE
WILL BE POSSIBLE ON AN ISOLATED BASIS.

..GUYER.. 05/15/2009

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 150559
SWODY1
SPC AC 150556

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1256 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS
INTO THE MIDDLE MS AND OH VALLEYS...

...SYNOPSIS...

PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NRN ROCKIES WILL REACH THE UPPER
MS VALLEY BY FRIDAY EVENING AND THE UPPER GREAT LAKES FRIDAY NIGHT.
ATTENDANT LEE CYCLONE WILL ADVANCE EWD TO MN BY LATE AFTERNOON WITH
TRAILING COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD THROUGH THE CNTRL PLAINS. DRYLINE
WILL EXTEND THROUGH WRN TX INTO SWRN KS WHERE IT WILL INTERSECT THE
SWD ADVANCING COLD FRONT. FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM
OK EWD THROUGH THE TN VALLEY WILL LIFT NWD THROUGH THE MIDDLE MS AND
OH VALLEYS DURING THE DAY. SLOW MOVING VORT MAX OVER NRN MEXICO WILL
MOVE INTO WRN TX DURING THE AFTERNOON.

...MID MS THROUGH OH VALLEYS...

STORMS WILL BE ONGOING EARLY FRIDAY FROM NERN KS THROUGH NRN MO AND
IA WITHIN ZONE OF ISENTROPIC LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH SWLY LOW LEVEL
JET. THIS FEATURE WILL SLOWLY DEVELOP ENEWD TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES
DURING THE DAY WITHIN ZONE OF LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH EWD MIGRATING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. A MOIST WARM SECTOR
WITH MID-UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS WILL ADVECT NWD TO THE SOUTH OF ONGOING
STORMS AND CONTRIBUTE TO POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE INSTABILITY AS THE
BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS. INITIAL STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ELEVATED...BUT
THREAT FOR SURFACE BASED STORMS WILL INCREASE AS DIABATIC HEATING
COMMENCES. THIS REGION WILL REMAIN WITHIN SRN FRINGE OF STRONGER
WLYS WITH 40 KT BULK SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING
SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. THE EWD MIGRATING LOW LEVEL JET
WILL MAINTAIN SUFFICIENT 0-1 KM HODOGRAPHS FOR A THREAT OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.


...CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS...

MID-UPPER 60S BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS HAVE ADVECTED NWWD BENEATH 8+
C/KM 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES...RESULTING IN A RESERVOIR OF STRONG
INSTABILITY OVER THE SRN PLAINS. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL DESTABILIZE
THROUGH MUCH OF KS AS MOISTURE ADVECTS FARTHER NWD IN WAKE OF
RETREATING WARM FRONT. MLCAPE FROM 2500-3000 J/KG WILL BE LIKELY
FROM PORTIONS OF KS THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
WARMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. STORMS SHOULD INITIATE BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON
ALONG PROGRESSIVE COLD FRONT ACROSS KS AND DEVELOP SEWD. MUCH OF
THIS REGION WILL REMAIN ON SRN FRINGE OF STRONGER WLYS WITH BULK
SHEAR GENERALLY AOB 35 KT. GIVEN POTENTIAL FOR STRONG UPDRAFT
ACCELERATIONS DUE TO STEEP LAPSE RATES AND LARGE CAPE WITHIN THE
MODESTLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...SOME STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES AND BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE
HAIL. AS THE LOW LEVEL JET SHIFTS AWAY FROM THE REGION...0-1 KM
HODOGRAPHS WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY LARGE. HOWEVER...STRONG UPDRAFT
ACCELERATIONS ASSOCIATED WITH SUPERCELLS DEVELOPING IN VICINITY OF
THE BOUNDARY SUGGEST ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH EARLY-MID EVENING. STORMS MAY EVOLVE INTO MORE LINEAR MODES
OVERNIGHT.

OTHER MORE HIGH BASED STORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE DRYLINE WHERE
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE SOMEWHAT WEAKER. LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THIS ACTIVITY.


...UPPER MS VALLEY REGION...

COLDER TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL COMPENSATE FOR MORE LIMITED MOISTURE
IN THIS REGION. AN AXIS OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED IN
PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR. STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG FRONT
WITHIN ZONE OF LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH EWD ADVANCING
SHORTWAVE TROUGH. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR
ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS WITH ISOLATED HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND POSSIBLE. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT COULD POSE A LIMITING FACTOR. THIS AREA WILL BE
MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE SLIGHT RISK IN LATER OUTLOOKS.

..DIAL/GRAMS.. 05/15/2009

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KBIS [150512]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 150512
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1212 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0750 PM TSTM WND GST 2 S LINCOLN 46.73N 100.70W
05/12/2009 E60 MPH BURLEIGH ND NWS EMPLOYEE

STEEL TRAILER LIFTED AND MOVED APPROXIMATELY 90 FEET AS
GUST FRONT PASSED. MINOR DAMAGE TO VINYL SIDING. EVENT
LASTED UNTIL 755 PM CDT.


&&

$$

SCHECK

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KMRX [150414]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 150414
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1214 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 SW ERWIN 36.08N 82.49W
05/14/2009 UNICOI TN AMATEUR RADIO

HAM REPORTS SOUTH INDIAN CREEK FLOODING AREA ROADS
BETWEEN FALG POND AND TEMPLE HILL.

1030 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 SW ERWIN 36.08N 82.49W
05/14/2009 UNICOI TN LAW ENFORCEMENT

SOME ROADS CLOSED AND WATER NEAR SOME HOMES, BUT NO
EVACUATIONS AT THIS TIME.

1145 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 SW ERWIN 36.08N 82.49W
05/14/2009 UNICOI TN TRAINED SPOTTER

LAW ENFORCEMENT STARTING TO EVACUATE RESIDENTS IN
SOUTHERN UNICOI COUNTY.


&&

$$

MEP

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