Monday, August 20, 2007

KGLD [210149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KGLD 210149
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
749 PM MDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0207 PM HAIL 13 N BOGUE 39.55N 99.69W
08/20/2007 E0.75 INCH GRAHAM KS PUBLIC

0249 PM HAIL 20 SE RUSSELL SPRINGS 38.71N 100.91W
08/20/2007 E1.25 INCH LOGAN KS PUBLIC

0430 PM HAIL 16 SE GOVE 38.80N 100.28W
08/20/2007 E1.00 INCH GOVE KS PUBLIC

FEW QUARTER SIZE STONES...MOSTLY NICKEL SIZE.


&&

$$

DTHEDE

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KDDC [210148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 210148
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
848 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0839 PM HAIL 12 SE ULYSSES 37.46N 101.20W
08/20/2007 E0.75 INCH GRANT KS EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

LACY

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KOAX [210147]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 210147
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
846 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0835 PM HAIL 10 E HARLAN 41.65N 95.13W
08/20/2007 E0.88 INCH SHELBY IA PUBLIC

0840 PM TSTM WND GST RED OAK 41.01N 95.22W
08/20/2007 E61 MPH MONTGOMERY IA NWS EMPLOYEE


&&

$$

JEKLISH

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KDDC [210146]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 210146
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
846 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0840 PM HAIL 5 W LIBERAL 37.04N 101.03W
08/20/2007 E1.00 INCH SEWARD KS NWS EMPLOYEE

RELAYED BY NWS AMARILLO.


&&

$$

LACY

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KOAX [210140]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 210140
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
838 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 PM TSTM WND GST OAKLAND 41.31N 95.40W
08/20/2007 E0 MPH POTTAWATTAMIE IA EMERGENCY MNGR

WINDS OF 60 MILES AN HOUR.

0830 PM TSTM WND GST OAKLAND 41.31N 95.40W
08/20/2007 E60 MPH POTTAWATTAMIE IA EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

JEKLISH

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KTOP [210133]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 210133
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
833 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 PM TSTM WND GST 1 W MANHATTAN 39.18N 96.59W
08/20/2007 E60 MPH RILEY KS TRAINED SPOTTER

ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG WINDS...BENDING TREES OVER.


&&

$$

CAVANAUGH

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KOAX [210128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 210128
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
828 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM TSTM WND DMG LOUISVILLE 41.00N 96.16W
08/20/2007 CASS NE EMERGENCY MNGR

EIGHT INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN AT THE LOUISVILLE STATE
RECREATION AREA, WITH SOME LIMBS ON THE POWERLINES.
ESTIMATED WIND SPEED WAS 60 MILES AN HOUR.


&&

$$

JEKLISH

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KDDC [210125]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 210125
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
825 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0822 PM HAIL 11 NW LIBERAL 37.16N 101.08W
08/20/2007 E1.00 INCH STEVENS KS EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

GERARD

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KTOP [210123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 210123
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
823 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0753 PM TSTM WND GST WAKEFIELD 39.21N 97.01W
08/20/2007 E65 MPH CLAY KS TRAINED SPOTTER

E-SPOTTER ESTIMATED AT LEAST 65 MPH THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUST.


&&

$$

KAYS

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KTOP [210123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 210123
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
823 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0737 PM TSTM WND GST WAKEFIELD 39.21N 97.01W
08/20/2007 E65 MPH CLAY KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

PHILLIPS

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KTOP [210122]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 210122
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
822 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0817 PM TSTM WND GST 1 W MANHATTAN 39.18N 96.59W
08/20/2007 E65 MPH RILEY KS TRAINED SPOTTER

BLEW A METAL DUMPSTER OVER NEAR APARTMENT COMPLEX.


&&

$$

CAVANAUGH

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KTOP [210121]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 210121
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
820 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0802 PM TSTM WND DMG MILFORD 39.17N 96.91W
08/20/2007 GEARY KS EMERGENCY MNGR

REPORT OF SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN...ESTIMATED
WIND GUST 70 MPH AT THE TIME DAMAGE HAPPENED.


&&

$$

CAVANAUGH

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KOAX [210119]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 210119
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
819 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0639 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 W LINCOLN 40.82N 96.76W
08/20/2007 LANCASTER NE AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE TREES DOWN IN THE EMERALD AREA ABOUT 4 MILES WEST
OF LINCOLN.

0800 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NE GLENWOOD 41.10N 95.67W
08/20/2007 MILLS IA AMATEUR RADIO

DAMAGE TO SHINGLES - ESTIMATED 60 MPH.


&&

$$

MILLER

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KDDC [210116]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 210116
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
816 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0735 PM HAIL 6 ENE ULYSSES 37.61N 101.25W
08/20/2007 E1.00 INCH GRANT KS PUBLIC

0735 PM TSTM WND GST 6 ENE ULYSSES 37.61N 101.25W
08/20/2007 E60.00 MPH GRANT KS PUBLIC

ONE INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN. EMPTY GAS TANK BLOWN OVER.

0745 PM HAIL 11 ENE ULYSSES 37.64N 101.17W
08/20/2007 E0.75 INCH GRANT KS PUBLIC


&&

$$

GERARD

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 626

WWUS20 KWNS 210114
SEL6
SPC WW 210114
IAZ000-210700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 626
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
810 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN AND CENTRAL IOWA

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 810 PM UNTIL
200 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF SPENCER IOWA TO 5 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF LAMONI
IOWA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 622...WW 623...WW
624...WW 625...

DISCUSSION...LINEAR MCS NOW NEAR OMA SHOULD CONTINUE E INTO VERY
UNSTABLE/HI PW AIR OVER W CNTRL/SW IA...WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR
HIGH WIND/HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLY SVR HAIL AND/OR A BRIEF SPIN-UP
TORNADO. FARTHER N... OTHER STORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP/SPREAD E
INTO NW IA...WHERE SLIGHTLY STRONGER DEEP WNWLY SHEAR IS PRESENT
CLOSER TO MAIN UPR JET...BUT LOW-LVL INSTABILITY IS MORE LIMITED.
THIS ACTIVITY MAY REMAIN SEMI-DISCRETE FOR A COUPLE HOURS AND POSE A
THREAT FOR HAIL/LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND AND POSSIBLY A BRIEF TORNADO
BEFORE MERGING INTO A SMALL CLUSTER OR TWO WITH HEAVY RAIN/LOCALLY
DAMAGING WIND.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27025.


..CORFIDI

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KOAX [210114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 210114
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
812 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0725 PM FUNNEL CLOUD COUNCIL BLUFFS 41.24N 95.86W
08/20/2007 POTTAWATTAMIE IA TRAINED SPOTTER

FUNNEL CLOUD MOVING UP AND DOWN NEAR 29TH STREET AND
AVENUE G.

0725 PM TSTM WND DMG ELKHORN 41.28N 96.24W
08/20/2007 DOUGLAS NE TRAINED SPOTTER

CONSTRUCTION BARRELS BLOWN OVER. SOME LIMBS DOWN.

0746 PM TSTM WND GST COUNCIL BLUFFS 41.24N 95.86W
08/20/2007 M74.00 MPH POTTAWATTAMIE IA BROADCAST MEDIA

0752 PM TSTM WND GST BELLEVUE 41.16N 95.92W
08/20/2007 M67.00 MPH SARPY NE ASOS

58 KTS AT KOFF - OFFUTT AFB.

0800 PM HEAVY RAIN 8 NW ELKHORN 41.36N 96.35W
08/20/2007 M1.50 INCH DOUGLAS NE TRAINED SPOTTER

MEASURED 1.50 INCHES OF RAIN - ELK CITY AREA.

0800 PM HAIL NORFOLK 42.03N 97.42W
08/20/2007 M1.00 INCH MADISON NE LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

MILLER

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KGID [210109]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KGID 210109
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
808 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0305 PM HAIL 5 ESE PHILLIPSBURG 39.72N 99.24W
08/20/2007 E1.00 INCH PHILLIPS KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

0322 PM HAIL 3 SW GLADE 39.65N 99.35W
08/20/2007 E1.75 INCH PHILLIPS KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

0408 PM TSTM WND GST 6 NNE KENSINGTON 39.85N 98.99W
08/20/2007 E60.00 MPH SMITH KS PUBLIC

0415 PM HAIL 1 W GUIDE ROCK 40.07N 98.35W
08/20/2007 E0.88 INCH WEBSTER NE PUBLIC

0434 PM HAIL NELSON 40.20N 98.07W
08/20/2007 E1.00 INCH NUCKOLLS NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

0445 PM TSTM WND GST 1 E LAWRENCE 40.29N 98.24W
08/20/2007 E60.00 MPH NUCKOLLS NE PUBLIC

0456 PM HAIL 1 S DEWEESE 40.34N 98.14W
08/20/2007 E1.00 INCH NUCKOLLS NE STORM CHASER

0505 PM HAIL DAVENPORT 40.31N 97.81W
08/20/2007 E1.75 INCH THAYER NE TRAINED SPOTTER

0515 PM TSTM WND GST DAVENPORT 40.31N 97.81W
08/20/2007 E65.00 MPH THAYER NE TRAINED SPOTTER

0525 PM TSTM WND DMG SUPERIOR 40.02N 98.07W
08/20/2007 NUCKOLLS NE TRAINED SPOTTER

6 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS DOWNED IN CITY PARK

0528 PM TSTM WND GST 2 N WOODSTON 39.48N 99.10W
08/20/2007 E60.00 MPH ROOKS KS PUBLIC

0530 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NE WEBBER 39.95N 98.01W
08/20/2007 E65.00 MPH JEWELL KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0530 PM TSTM WND GST 2 E HARDY 40.01N 97.89W
08/20/2007 E60.00 MPH NUCKOLLS NE PUBLIC

0533 PM TSTM WND GST 4 S GENEVA 40.47N 97.60W
08/20/2007 E60.00 MPH FILLMORE NE EMERGENCY MNGR

0533 PM HAIL 1 W GENEVA 40.53N 97.62W
08/20/2007 E0.88 INCH FILLMORE NE EMERGENCY MNGR

0545 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 W OHIOWA 40.41N 97.51W
08/20/2007 FILLMORE NE EMERGENCY MNGR

3 INCH DIMATER TREE LIMBS DOWN AND RAIL CARS PUSHED DOWN
TRACK BY STRONG WINDS.

0554 PM TSTM WND GST HEBRON 40.17N 97.59W
08/20/2007 M57.00 MPH THAYER NE AWOS

HEBRON AWOS

0630 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NE SHELBY 41.22N 97.39W
08/20/2007 POLK NE CO-OP OBSERVER

8 INCH DIMATER TREE LIMBS DOWNED BY STRONG WINDS

0637 PM HAIL OSCEOLA 41.18N 97.55W
08/20/2007 E1.75 INCH POLK NE TRAINED SPOTTER

0640 PM HAIL 5 W FULLERTON 41.36N 98.07W
08/20/2007 E1.00 INCH NANCE NE STORM CHASER

0650 PM HAIL 2 WSW FULLERTON 41.35N 98.01W
08/20/2007 E1.00 INCH NANCE NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

0659 PM HAIL BELOIT 39.47N 98.11W
08/20/2007 E1.00 INCH MITCHELL KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

0714 PM HAIL PLAINVILLE 39.23N 99.30W
08/20/2007 E0.88 INCH ROOKS KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

0724 PM HAIL 3 NW CENTRAL CITY 41.15N 98.04W
08/20/2007 E1.75 INCH MERRICK NE EMERGENCY MNGR

0732 PM HAIL 3 NW CENTRAL CITY 41.15N 98.04W
08/20/2007 E2.75 INCH MERRICK NE EMERGENCY MNGR

0739 PM HAIL 5 NE CENTRAL CITY 41.17N 97.93W
08/20/2007 E0.88 INCH MERRICK NE EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1825

ACUS11 KWNS 210101
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 210101
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-210230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1825
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0801 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN KS INTO THE TX/OK PNHDL REGION

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 622...624...

VALID 210101Z - 210230Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
622...624...CONTINUES.

SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY FALLEN CONSIDERABLY OFF AFTERNOON
HIGHS...NEAR/EAST OF DRY LINE. AND LATEST RUC GUIDANCE INDICATES
THAT INHIBITION IS STRENGTHENING FOR BOUNDARY LAYER BASED CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT. THIS HAS CONTRIBUTED TO RECENT DEMISE OF STORMS TO THE
NORTHWEST OF AMARILLO.

HOWEVER...LIGHT NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO AID THE
SOUTHWARD PROPAGATION OF INTENSE STORMS ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS.
COLD POOLS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ACTIVITY APPEAR TO BE
CONSOLIDATING...AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET IS
BEGINNING TO STRENGTHEN. SPEEDS MAY INCREASE UP TO 40-45 KT ACROSS
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE/WESTERN OKLAHOMA BY THE 03-06Z TIME
FRAME...MAINTAINING STRONG INFLOW OF MOIST AND POTENTIALLY STRONGLY
UNSTABLE AIR.

THE WARMTH OF MID-LEVELS/STRENGTH OF INHIBITION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS IS THE PRIMARY CONCERN WITH REGARD TO THE PROSPECT FOR
FURTHER SOUTHWARD PROPAGATION OF THE MAIN DEVELOPING STORM CLUSTER.
HOWEVER...THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUING
DEVELOPMENT OF INTENSE CONVECTION THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING ABOVE
EXPANDING COLD POOL...WHICH COULD ADVANCE SOUTH OF THE
KANSAS/OKLAHOMA BORDER.

EVAPORATIVE COOLING ASSOCIATED WITH UNSATURATED PROFILES WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE RISK FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS. BUT... LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL IN SLOW MOVING/TRAINING STORMS MAY BECOME THE PRIMARY
THREAT WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

.KERR.. 08/21/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...GLD...AMA...

37520163 38410150 38790001 38269868 37339842 36399958
36150067 36660152

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 210100
SWODY1
SPC AC 210058

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

VALID 210100Z - 211200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID MO
VALLEY AND CNTRL PLAINS...

..MID MO VALLEY/CNTRL PLAINS...
A QUASI-LINEAR MCS WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED STORM CLUSTERS IS ONGOING
FROM SE NEB SWWD ACROSS CNTRL AND SWRN KS ALONG AND AHEAD OF A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE MCS IS LOCATED IN A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH
MLCAPE VALUES INDICATED BY OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS IN THE 3000 TO 4500
J/KG RANGE. THE STRONG INSTABILITY SHOULD SUSTAIN SEVERAL STORM
CLUSTERS SEWD INTO ERN KS...NW MO AND ACROSS SRN IA THIS EVENING.
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT MAY TAKE PLACE ACROSS FAR SE SD...SW MN INTO
NW IA AS SUGGESTED BY SEVERAL SHORT-TERM MODELS.

CONCERNING ENVIRONMENTAL WIND FIELDS ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK
AREA...THE LATEST REGIONAL PROFILERS SHOW SUBSTANTIAL VEERING BELOW
1 KM WITH 35 TO 45 KT OF MID-LEVEL FLOW. THIS IS CREATING MODERATE
VERTICAL SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS ALTHOUGH RECENT TRENDS
SUGGEST MULTICELL LINE SEGMENTS ARE COMMON AS WELL. THE LATEST
WSR-88D VWP FROM OMAHA SHOWS 0-1 KM SHEAR OF 30 KT SUGGESTING AN
ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT SHOULD ALSO EXIST. IN ADDITION...AN ISOLATED
THREAT FOR VERY LARGE HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST SUPERCELLS
ESPECIALLY ACROSS ERN NEB WHERE MID-LEVEL TEMPS ARE SLIGHTLY COOLER
WITH 500 MB TEMPS AROUND -7 C. FURTHER SOUTHWEST ACROSS NRN AND
CNTRL KS...A LARGE HAIL THREAT WILL ALSO EXIST DUE TO THE STRONG
INSTABILITY AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. WIND DAMAGE WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY WITH SHORT MULTICELL LINE SEGMENTS AS THE
STORMS MOVE INTO WRN IA...ERN KS...SCNTRL KS AND NW MO THIS EVENING.

..UPPER OH VALLEY...
LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM SRN OH EXTENDING
EWD ACROSS WV INTO NRN VA. NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING NORTH
OF THE BOUNDARY IN A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS SHOWING SBCAPE VALUES AROUND 1000 J/KG. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ARE BECOMING LESS STEEP WITH TIME...STRONG LOW-LEVEL
FLOW OF 30 TO 35 KT MAY PROMOTE A POTENTIAL FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE
WIND GUSTS IN WV AND NRN VA OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 3 HOURS. THE THREAT
SHOULD DECREASE AS INSTABILITY AND LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES CONTINUE TO
BECOME LESS FAVORABLE EARLY THIS EVENING.

.BROYLES.. 08/21/2007

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KTOP [210059]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 210059
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
759 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0658 PM TSTM WND DMG MILTONVALE 39.35N 97.45W
08/20/2007 CLOUD KS TRAINED SPOTTER

THREE TO FOUR INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN FROM THUNDERSTORM
WINDS.


&&

$$

KAYS

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KTOP [210054]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 210054
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
754 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0622 PM HAIL 3 SSW JAMESTOWN 39.56N 97.88W
08/20/2007 M1.00 INCH CLOUD KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JL

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KOAX [210050]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 210050
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
750 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0746 PM TSTM WND GST OMAHA 41.26N 96.01W
08/20/2007 M68 MPH DOUGLAS NE ASOS

59 KT GUST ON KOMA ASOS REPORT AT 0046Z.


&&

$$

MILLER

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KGID [210043]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 210043
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
743 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0739 PM HAIL 5 NE CENTRAL CITY 41.17N 97.93W
08/20/2007 E0.88 INCH MERRICK NE EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

BRYANT

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 621

WWUS20 KWNS 210040
SEL1
SPC WW 210040
INZ000-KYZ000-MDZ000-OHZ000-PAZ000-WVZ000-210100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 621
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
840 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 621 ISSUED AT 120 PM EDT FOR PORTIONS OF

INDIANA
KENTUCKY
MARYLAND
OHIO
PENNSYLVANIA
WEST VIRGINIA

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KGID [210038]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 210038
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
737 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0714 PM HAIL PLAINVILLE 39.23N 99.30W
08/20/2007 E0.88 INCH ROOKS KS LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

BRYANT

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KGID [210036]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 210036
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
735 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0732 PM HAIL 3 NW CENTRAL CITY 41.15N 98.04W
08/20/2007 E2.75 INCH MERRICK NE EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

BRYANT

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1824

ACUS11 KWNS 210035
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 210035
IAZ000-NEZ000-210200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1824
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0735 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN NEB/FAR WESTERN IA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 623...

VALID 210035Z - 210200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 623 CONTINUES.

TORNADO WATCH 623 CONTINUES UNTIL 03Z ACROSS EASTERN NEB/FAR WESTERN
IA...WITH CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS AND
PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO.

A NUMBER OF SEVERE STORMS...WITH HISTORY OF LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE
WIND GUSTS...WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT A LARGE PART OF EAST
CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST NEB INTO FAR WESTERN IA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS. OF NOTE...A 71 KT GUST WAS RECENTLY MEASURED AT LINCOLN. IN
ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL/POTENTIALLY A TORNADO...CONSOLIDATING COLD
POOLS/LINEAR EVOLUTION ACROSS EAST CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST NEB SHOULD
YIELD AN INCREASING/POTENTIALLY MORE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND THREAT
OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. THIS INCLUDES THE OMAHA METRO IN THE SHORT
TERM...AS WELL AS OTHER LOCALES ALONG/EAST OF THE MISSOURI RIVER
INTO FAR WESTERN IA. 00Z OBSERVED OMAHA SOUNDING SUGGESTS THE
DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT ACROSS FAR EASTERN NEB/WESTERN IA REMAINS
PRIMED FOR SEVERE STORMS VIA VERY UNSTABLE MLCAPE OF 4500 J/KG AND
AMPLE LOW LEVEL SRH/DEEP LAYER FLOW. PENDING CONVECTIVE TRENDS...A
REPLACEMENT WATCH IS BEING CONSIDERED FROM EASTERN NEB INTO CENTRAL
IA.

.GUYER.. 08/21/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...GID...

40769857 42369736 42579491 42009390 40879418 40719584
40089589 40089754 40169834

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KOAX [210034]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 210034
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
734 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM TSTM WND GST MANLEY 40.92N 96.17W
08/20/2007 E60 MPH CASS NE EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

MILLER

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KTOP [210033]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 210033
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
733 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0721 PM TSTM WND GST 4 NNW OAK HILL 39.30N 97.37W
08/20/2007 E70 MPH OTTAWA KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JL

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KDDC [210033]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 210033
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
733 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM HAIL 11 SSE COLLYER 38.89N 100.04W
08/20/2007 E0.75 INCH TREGO KS PUBLIC

0630 PM HAIL 6 ESE LAKIN 37.91N 101.16W
08/20/2007 E1.00 INCH KEARNY KS PUBLIC


&&

$$

GERARD

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KOAX [210030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 210030
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
730 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0727 PM HAIL ASHLAND 41.04N 96.37W
08/20/2007 E0.75 INCH SAUNDERS NE TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

MILLER

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KGID [210030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 210030
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
730 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0724 PM HAIL 3 NW CENTRAL CITY 41.15N 98.04W
08/20/2007 E1.75 INCH MERRICK NE EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

BRYANT

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KTOP [210029]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 210029
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
729 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0718 PM TSTM WND GST 5 N LONGFORD 39.24N 97.33W
08/20/2007 E75 MPH CLAY KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES BLOWN DOWN OVER THE ROAD.


&&

$$

KAYS

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KOAX [210026]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 210026
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
726 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0647 PM HAIL LINCOLN 40.82N 96.69W
08/20/2007 E0.88 INCH LANCASTER NE TRAINED SPOTTER

SOME LIMBS ALSO DOWN.

0650 PM TSTM WND GST LINCOLN 40.82N 96.69W
08/20/2007 E65.00 MPH LANCASTER NE TRAINED SPOTTER

0655 PM HAIL LINCOLN 40.82N 96.69W
08/20/2007 M0.75 INCH LANCASTER NE TRAINED SPOTTER

NEAR INTERSECTION OF I80 AND HIGHWAY 77

0714 PM TSTM WND DMG LINCOLN 40.82N 96.69W
08/20/2007 LANCASTER NE AMATEUR RADIO

SEVERAL TREES DOWN UP TO 3 FOOT DIAMETER. 9TH AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE.

0721 PM HAIL 5 W FREMONT 41.44N 96.59W
08/20/2007 E0.75 INCH DODGE NE TRAINED SPOTTER

AMES AREA.


&&

$$

MILLER

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KOAX [210008]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 210008
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
707 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0659 PM TSTM WND GST LINCOLN 40.82N 96.69W
08/20/2007 E70.00 MPH LANCASTER NE AMATEUR RADIO

NEAR 70TH AND CORNHUSKER.


&&

$$

MILLER

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KGID [210006]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 210006
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
706 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0659 PM HAIL BELOIT 39.47N 98.11W
08/20/2007 E1.00 INCH MITCHELL KS LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

BRYANT

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KGID [210005]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 210005
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
705 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NE SHELBY 41.22N 97.39W
08/20/2007 POLK NE CO-OP OBSERVER

8 INCH DIMATER TREE LIMBS DOWNED BY STRONG WINDS


&&

$$

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1823

ACUS11 KWNS 210003
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 210003
IAZ000-MNZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-210200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1823
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0703 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHWEST MN/WESTERN IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 210003Z - 210200Z

MONITORING FOR AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT ACROSS SOUTHEAST
SD/SOUTHWEST MN/WESTERN IA THROUGH MID EVENING. A WATCH MAY
EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED IF STRONG/SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT BECOMES
APPARENT INTO AREAS NORTH AND/OR EAST OF TORNADO WATCH 623.

EARLY DAY STORMS HAVE TEMPERED HEATING/SURFACE BASED DESTABILIZATION
ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHWEST MN/NORTHWEST IA THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON. EARLIER TODAY...CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW SET UP AN EFFECTIVE
BOUNDARY ROUGHLY ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER ACROSS EASTERN NEB/WESTERN
IA...WHICH HAS HELPED TO FOCUS SURFACE BASED DEVELOPMENT ACROSS
EASTERN NEB THUS FAR. AS SUGGESTED BY RUC SOUNDINGS...A CAPPING WARM
LAYER BETWEEN 700-800 MB HAS LIKELY ALSO BEEN INSTRUMENTAL IN
INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH NORTH EXTENT INTO THE
SIOUX FALLS VICINITY.

NEVERTHELESS...GRADUAL RECOVERY/DESTABILIZATION APPEARS TO BE
OCCURRING ACROSS WESTERN IA INTO FAR SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHERN MN OWING
TO PARTIAL INSOLATION/LOW LEVEL MOIST ADVECTION. OF NOTE...RECENT
DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN NOTED BETWEEN YANKTON AND SIOUX FALLS PER
VOLUMETRIC RADAR/SATELLITE IMAGERY AS OF 2345Z.

GIVEN THE CONDITIONAL SEVERE POTENTIAL THAT EXISTS TO THE DEGREE OF
VERTICAL SHEAR/INSTABILITY...WILL CLOSELY MONITOR FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF A WATCH ISSUANCE. SOME QUESTION EXISTS REGARDING THE
DETAILS OF CONVECTIVE MODE/EVOLUTION AND EXTENT OF SURFACE BASED
DEVELOPMENT/ISOLATED TORNADO POTENTIAL GIVEN THE IMPACTS OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED RESIDUAL BOUNDARY...HOWEVER THE STRONGEST STORMS
WOULD LIKELY BE CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS AT THE VERY
LEAST.

.GUYER.. 08/21/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...

42529756 43869688 43939570 43369461 42149413 40749417
40739507 42269505 42449535

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KGID [202356]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 202356
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
655 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0650 PM HAIL 2 WSW FULLERTON 41.35N 98.01W
08/20/2007 E1.00 INCH NANCE NE LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

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KOAX [202355]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 202355
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
655 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0650 PM TSTM WND GST LINCOLN 40.82N 96.69W
08/20/2007 M82.00 MPH LANCASTER NE ASOS

KLNK ASOS


&&

$$

MILLER

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 625

WWUS20 KWNS 202352
SEL5
SPC WW 202352
KSZ000-MOZ000-210700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 625
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
650 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 650 PM UNTIL
200 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF
FALLS CITY NEBRASKA TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MANHATTAN
KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 621...WW 622...WW
623...WW 624...

DISCUSSION...TSTM CLUSTERS/SUPERCELLS IN SE NEB AND N CNTRL KS
EXPECTED TO MOVE/DEVELOP GENERALLY E AND ESE...RESPECTIVELY...INTO
VERY UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS NE KS/NW MO LATER THIS EVENING. DEEP SHEAR
IS EXPECTED TO LESSEN WITH TIME AND WITH EWD EXTENT. BUT PRESENCE
OF EXISTING STORMS...NOCTURNAL STRENGTHENING OF SWLY LLJ AND VERY
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AIR SUGGEST THAT A THREAT WILL EXIST FOR WET
MICROBURSTS AND POSSIBLY SVR HAIL THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY INTO THE LWR
MO VLY.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29025.


..CORFIDI

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KCTP [202351]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KCTP 202351
LSRCTP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
751 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM FLASH FLOOD GALLITZIN 40.48N 78.56W
08/20/2007 CAMBRIA PA EMERGENCY MNGR

PORTIONS OF CHESTNUT STREET FLOODED IN GALLITZIN BOROUGH.


0245 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 E EBENSBURG 40.49N 78.67W
08/20/2007 CAMBRIA PA EMERGENCY MNGR

ROUTE 22 FLOODED ONE MILE WEST OF PORTAGE EXIT. SEVERAL
BASEMENTS WERE ALSO FLOODED IN CONEMAUGH TOWNSHIP.


&&
FLASH FLOOD TIME ADJUSTED BASED ON 911 REPORTS.
$$

PAJ

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KOAX [202350]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 202350
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
650 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0642 PM HAIL LINCOLN 40.82N 96.69W
08/20/2007 M1.75 INCH LANCASTER NE AMATEUR RADIO

0642 PM TSTM WND GST LINCOLN 40.82N 96.69W
08/20/2007 M64.00 MPH LANCASTER NE ASOS

KLNK ASOS


&&

$$

MILLER

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KPBZ [202349]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 202349
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
749 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0640 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N UNIONTOWN 39.91N 79.72W
08/20/2007 FAYETTE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ALONG ROUTE 51.


&&

$$

TPARRISH

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KGID [202346]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 202346
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
645 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 W OHIOWA 40.41N 97.51W
08/20/2007 FILLMORE NE EMERGENCY MNGR

3 INCH DIMATER TREE LIMBS DOWN AND RAIL CARS PUSHED DOWN
TRACK BY STRONG WINDS.


&&

$$

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KOAX [202344]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 202344
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
643 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0635 PM TORNADO 2 S RICHLAND 41.41N 97.21W
08/20/2007 COLFAX NE EMERGENCY MNGR

TORNADO DAMAGED TREES ABOUT 2 TO 3 MILES SOUTH OF
RICHLAND.


&&

$$

MILLER

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KTOP [202342]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 202342
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
642 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0636 PM TSTM WND GST 6 N GLASCO 39.44N 97.84W
08/20/2007 E65 MPH CLOUD KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JL

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KGID [202342]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 202342
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
642 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0637 PM HAIL OSCEOLA 41.18N 97.55W
08/20/2007 E1.75 INCH POLK NE TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

BRYANT

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KGID [202341]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 202341
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
641 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0640 PM HAIL 5 W FULLERTON 41.36N 98.07W
08/20/2007 E1.00 INCH NANCE NE STORM CHASER


&&

$$

BRYANT

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1822

ACUS11 KWNS 202327
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 202327
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-210130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1822
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0627 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST KS/NORTHWEST MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON

VALID 202327Z - 210130Z

ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS AND
A WATCH ISSUANCE WILL BE COORDINATED BETWEEN THE SPC AND THE
AFFECTED LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES SHORTLY.

ARCING BAND OF SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
NEB/NORTH CENTRAL KS EARLY THIS EVENING...AND IT APPEARS WITH
CONTINUED ORGANIZATION/COMPOSITING OF MESOSCALE COLD POOLS...A
SEVERE THREAT MAY EXPAND ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KS/NORTHWEST
MO THIS EVENING...WITH A DISTINCT RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL.

SPECIAL 18Z RAOB FROM TOPEKA SAMPLED AN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE
DOWNSTREAM AIRMASS ACROSS NORTHEAST KS INTO NORTHWEST MO...WITH
MLCAPE IN EXCESS OF 5000 J/KG. A WATCH IS LIKELY SOON.

.GUYER.. 08/20/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...

38679733 39909687 40779519 40649416 39539393 38489511

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