Wednesday, September 10, 2008

KPSR [110319]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 110319
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
819 PM MST WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0813 PM TSTM WND GST TEMPE 33.39N 111.93W
09/10/2008 E60 MPH MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED WIND GUST TO 60 MPH AND PEA
SIZED HAIL AT MCCLINTOCK AND GUADALUPE


&&

$$

KINCAID

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KPSR [110242]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 110242
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
741 PM MST WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W TONOPAH 33.50N 112.95W
09/10/2008 MARICOPA AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

MARICOPA COUNTY S.O. REPORTED POWER POLES DOWN AT 424TH
AVE AND INDIAN SCHOOL ROAD 1 TO 2 MILES WEST OF TONOPAH


&&

$$

KINCAID

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 896

WWUS20 KWNS 110203
SEL6
SPC WW 110203
AZZ000-110200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 896
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
703 PM MST WED SEP 10 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 896 ISSUED AT 1145 AM MST FOR PORTIONS OF

ARIZONA

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KTAE [110159]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected Storm Event Time.

NWUS52 KTAE 110159 CCA
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED STORM EVENT TIME.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
939 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0637 PM TSTM WND DMG SOPCHOPPY 30.06N 84.49W
09/10/2008 WAKULLA FL TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN.


&&

$$

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KPSR [110155]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 110155
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
655 PM MST WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0102 PM TSTM WND DMG SOMERTON 32.60N 114.71W
09/10/2008 YUMA AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

SOMERTON P.D. REPORTED POWER LINES DOWN

0310 PM TSTM WND GST 2 W BLYTHE 33.61N 114.63W
09/10/2008 E50.00 MPH RIVERSIDE CA TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 50 MPH WIND WITH BLOWING DUST

0310 PM TSTM WND GST QUARTZSITE 33.67N 114.21W
09/10/2008 E50.00 MPH LA PAZ AZ FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0633 PM HAIL 7 SW WITTMANN 33.70N 112.60W
09/10/2008 M0.75 INCH MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KINCAID

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KLBF [110141]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 110141
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
841 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0838 PM HAIL ARTHUR 41.57N 101.69W
09/10/2008 E1.25 INCH ARTHUR NE PUBLIC

STRONG WINDS ALSO REPORTED WITH THIS STORM.


&&

$$

SCARMEL

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KTAE [110139]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 110139
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
939 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0937 PM TSTM WND DMG SOPCHOPPY 30.06N 84.49W
09/10/2008 WAKULLA FL TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN


&&

$$

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KMLB [110126]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 110126
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
926 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM TORNADO CAMPBELL 28.26N 81.46W
09/10/2008 OSCEOLA FL BROADCAST MEDIA

CHANNEL 13 RELAYED REPORT OF A LARGE OAK TREE DOWN ON
MANGO STREET IN CAMPBELL. RESIDENTS OBSERVED A FUNNEL
CLOUD BRIEFLY TOUCH DOWN.


&&

$$

FXD

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 110021
SWODY1
SPC AC 110018

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0718 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

VALID 110100Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL
PLAINS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF AZ...

...CENTRAL PLAINS...

LATEST WV IMAGERY SUGGESTS A WEAK UPPER IMPULSE IS ADVECTING NEWD
INTO THE NEB PANHANDLE AHEAD OF MAIN UPPER VORT/SHORTWAVE TROUGH
OVER MT/WY. CONVECTION IS GRADUALLY INCREASING IN ADVANCE OF THIS
LEAD FEATURE OVER THE NEB PANHANDLE ALONG N-S WIND SHIFT. THIS
ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO SEE UPWARD GROWTH OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS AS LLJ INCREASES AHEAD OF MAIN FRONTAL ZONE. SHEAR PROFILES
SEEM SUPPORTIVE OF MULTI-CELL STRUCTURES...AND PERHAPS A FEW
ROTATING DEEPER UPDRAFTS. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE SOMEWHAT LINEAR
STRUCTURE THAT IS EVOLVING ALONG THE SURGING FRONT...DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS SHOULD NOT BE THE PREDOMINANT THREAT BUT RATHER EMBEDDED
WITHIN THE STRONGER FORCED ZONE OF CONVECTION. GUSTY WINDS OR HAIL
MAY ACCOMPANY THE SQUALL LINE AS IT EVOLVES AND PROGRESSES ACROSS
NEB INTO SRN SD THIS EVENING.

...AZ...

NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS HAVE EVOLVED WITHIN MOIST...DEEP SWLY FLOW
REGIME ACROSS NRN MEXICO INTO SERN AZ. THIS ACTIVITY HAS OVERTURNED
A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY THROUGH CONVECTIVE PRECESSES.
HOWEVER...MODEST INSTABILITY REMAINS ACROSS MUCH OF SWRN AZ WHERE
TEMPERATURES HAVE YET TO COOL SIGNIFICANTLY. THIS INSTABILITY WILL
LIKELY FEED RENEWED STRONG UPDRAFTS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ALONG
THE WRN PERIPHERY OF AFOREMENTIONED THUNDERSTORM
CLUSTERS...ESPECIALLY OVER PIMA/PINAL COUNTIES. STRONG THUNDERSTORM
DOWNBURSTS ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLY GIVEN THE ROUGHLY 40F
TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS WITHIN THE SUB-CLOUD ENVIRONMENT.

..DARROW.. 09/11/2008

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KMLB [102327]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 102327
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
726 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0708 PM FUNNEL CLOUD MELBOURNE BEACH 28.04N 80.54W
09/10/2008 BREVARD FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC AND LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED FUNNEL COMING
ONSHORE.


&&

$$

FXD

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2245

ACUS11 KWNS 102316
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102315
AZZ000-CAZ000-110015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2245
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0615 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...AZ

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 896...

VALID 102315Z - 110015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 896
CONTINUES.

SEVERE TSTM WATCH 896 CONTINUES UNTIL 02Z ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WESTERN/CENTRAL AZ...WITH A CONTINUED RISK FOR ISOLATED SEVERE
HAIL/DOWNBURSTS.

AS AN UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO SHIFT SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER SOUTHERN
CA PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT AND A
WARM/VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SCATTERED
STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS ACROSS WESTERN/CENTRAL AZ OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS. WITH THE STRONGEST TSTMS CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS LA PAZ
COUNTY AS OF 23Z...IT SEEMS LIKELY THAT THIS ACTIVITY AND ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT FARTHER EAST INTO SOUTH CENTRAL AZ /SOUTH OF PHOENIX/
WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD/NORTH OF THE I-10
CORRIDOR OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WITH A VERY MOIST AIRMASS />1 INCH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AND 55-60 F SFC DEWPOINTS ACROSS SOUTHERN
AZ/...SPECIAL 20Z RAOB FROM PHOENIX REFLECTED THE RELATIVELY STRONG
INSTABILITY /1400 J PER KG MLCAPE/ THAT IS IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHERN
AZ. BENEATH MODERATELY STRONG DEEP LAYER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF
THE SOUTHERN CA UPPER LOW...25-30 KT OF VERTICAL SHEAR WILL CONTINUE
TO CONTRIBUTE TO RELATIVELY SUSTAINED/ORGANIZED MULTICELLS CAPABLE
OF SEVERE HAIL/DOWNBURSTS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..GUYER.. 09/10/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TWC...FGZ...PSR...VEF...

35831450 36401321 34701100 32221025 33161433

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KMLB [102304]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 102304
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
704 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0623 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 4 E INTERCESSION CITY 28.25N 81.44W
09/10/2008 OSCEOLA FL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

FXD

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2244

ACUS11 KWNS 102247
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102247
SDZ000-NEZ000-110015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2244
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0547 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF WRN NEB AND SWRN SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 102247Z - 110015Z

TSTM COVERAGE WILL LIKELY INCREASE THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS PARTS
OF WRN NEB AND SWRN SD. AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT MAY EVOLVE IF
STORMS CAN ORGANIZE. A WW IS POSSIBLE.

RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER
PARTS OF THE NRN ROCKIES. ANOTHER WEAK PERTURBATION APPEARS TO BE
MOVING NEWD OVER PARTS OF NRN CO AND SRN WY PER WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY/MBW PROFILER. INCREASING FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH
THESE FEATURES MOVING TOWARDS THE REGION WILL LIKELY AID IN FURTHER
TSTM DEVELOPMENT THIS EVENING OVER PARTS OF THE N-CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS. AT 2230Z...A SURFACE COLD FRONT IS ANALYZED FROM PARTS OF
THE WRN DKTS EXTENDING SWWD INTO N-CENTRAL WY. LOW PRESSURE IS
LOCATED NEAR PHP WITH A SURFACE PRESSURE TROUGH/WIND-SHIFT EXTENDING
SWD INTO ERN CO.

STRONG SURFACE HEATING HAS OCCURRED THIS AFTN IN WAKE OF ERODING
STRATUS DECK FROM EARLIER TODAY. MODIFIED RUC SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A
WEAKLY CAPPED ENVIRONMENT MAY EXIST IMMEDIATELY ALONG/NEAR SURFACE
TROUGH WHERE TEMPS HAVE WARMED TO AROUND 80F. INITIAL MODEST DEEP
LAYER SHEAR WILL LIKELY STRENGTHEN TO 35-40 KTS /0-6
KM/...SUPPORTING STORM ORGANIZATION POTENTIAL. MARGINAL TO MODERATE
INSTABILITY /500-1200 J/KG/ HAS DEVELOPED SUGGESTING THE STRONGER
STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF MAINLY AN ISOLATED DMGG WIND/LARGE HAIL
THREAT.

..SMITH.. 09/10/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ABR...LBF...UNR...CYS...

41330291 41580297 42750254 43550250 44320184 44390133
44240101 43930070 41880153 41210178 41100239 41140285

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KKEY [102135]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 102135
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
534 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM TROPICAL STORM 8 ENE FORT JEFFERSON AT 24.69N 82.77W
09/10/2008 GMZ075 XX C-MAN STATION

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 36 KNOTS...OR 41 MILES PER HOUR WAS
REPORTED BY A C-MAN STATION AT PULASKI SHOAL LIGHT.
ALSO...THERE WAS A PEAK WIND GUST OF 54 KNOTS...OR 62
MILES PER HOUR. THE WINDS WERE ASSOCIATED WITH A RAINBAND
FROM HURRICANE IKE.


&&

$$

WHOVORKA

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KMAF [102132]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMAF 102132
LSRMAF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
432 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0423 PM FLASH FLOOD IRAAN 30.91N 101.90W
09/10/2008 PECOS TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL ROADS ARE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING IN IRAAN

0206 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 E BAKERSFIELD 30.89N 102.23W
09/10/2008 PECOS TX OTHER FEDERAL

FM 2886 JUST SOUTH OF I-10 IS CLOSED, TXDOT CREWS REPORT
ABOUT 2 AND A HALF FEET OF WATER AT ONE LOCATION


&&

$$

JGUDMEST

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KGSP [102128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 102128
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
528 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0510 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NE CHARLOTTE 35.22N 80.81W
09/10/2008 MECKLENBURG NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS THAT LITTLE SUGAR CREEK HAS
FLOODED THE 100-200 BLOCKS OF EAST SUGAR CREEK RD.


&&

$$

MCAVOY

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KMHX [102112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMHX 102112
LSRMHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
512 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0503 PM WATER SPOUT NEW RIVER AIR STATION 34.71N 77.44W
09/10/2008 ONSLOW NC OTHER FEDERAL

NUMEROUS SIGHTINGS OF WATERSPOUTS OVER NEW RIVER.


&&

$$

CQD

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KLKN [102051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KLKN 102051
LSRLKN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
151 PM PDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1250 PM FLASH FLOOD TONOPAH 38.10N 117.25W
09/10/2008 NYE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY RAIN. WATER STANDING 2 INCHES DEEP IN TOWN.

0100 PM FLASH FLOOD TONOPAH 38.10N 117.25W
09/10/2008 NYE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

0.75 INCHES OF RAIN BETWEEN 1230 AND 1 PM. PEA-SIZED HAIL
ACCUMULATED 1 INCH DEEP ON GROUND.


&&

$$

MS

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KFFC [102009]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 102009
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
409 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 NE CRAWFORDVILLE 33.57N 82.87W
09/10/2008 TALIAFERRO GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

A STREAM THAT FLOWS INTO LICK CREEK WASHED OUT A DIRT AND
ROCK PORTION OF OLD SANDY ROAD. SEVERE EROSION OCCURRED
AROUND THE CULVERT PIPE.


&&

$$

KFRANTZ

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KKEY [102009]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 102009
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
409 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0336 PM TROPICAL STORM 8 ENE FORT JEFFERSON AT 24.69N 82.77W
09/10/2008 GMZ075 XX C-MAN STATION

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 32 KNOTS...OR 37 MILES PER HOUR WAS
REPORTED BY A C-MAN STATION AT PULASKI SHOAL LIGHT.
ALSO...THERE WAS A PEAK WIND GUST OF 51 KNOTS...OR 59
MILES PER HOU. THE WINDS WERE ASSOCIATED WITH A RAINBAND
FROM HURRICANE IKE.


&&

$$

WHOVORKA

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 102001
SWODY1
SPC AC 101958

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0258 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

VALID 102000Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PARTS OF WRN AND CNTRL NEB
THROUGH SD...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF SRN AND CNTRL
AZ...

...NEB AND SD...

THIS AFTERNOON A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NW ND SWWD THROUGH SERN MT
AND INTO NRN WY. A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM SW ND THROUGH WRN
NEB. RUC AND WV IMAGERY SHOW A COUPLE MID LEVEL VORTICITY MAXIMA
EJECTING NEWD THROUGH THE CNTRL AND NRN HIGH PLAINS.

AN AXIS OF MODEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO AROUND 60 HAVE ADVECTED NWD THROUGH WARM SECTOR OVER THE ERN TWO
THIRDS OF NEB AND SD EAST OF SURFACE TROUGH. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
AROUND 7-7.5 C/KM HAVE SPREAD OVER THE MOIST AXIS. THOUGH THE EML IS
NOT PARTICULARLY WARM...IT HAS CONTRIBUTED TO A CAP IN MUCH OF THE
WARM SECTOR DUE TO LOW CLOUDS AND THE RELATIVELY COOL BOUNDARY
LAYER. THE LOW CLOUDS HAVE BEEN GRADUALLY MIXING OUT FROM THE WEST
FROM SWRN SD THROUGH WRN NEB WHERE THE ATMOSPHERE IS DESTABILIZING
WITH MLCAPE FROM 1000-1500 J/KG EXPECTED BY EARLY EVENING.

STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP IN VICINITY OF THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH BY EARLY
EVENING WHERE SURFACE HEATING AND ASCENT ATTENDING THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL PROMOTE DESTABILIZATION AND WEAKENING CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION. ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT EAST OVERNIGHT WHERE STRENGTHENING
LOW LEVEL JET WILL ENHANCE LIFT IN VICINITY OF SEWD ADVANCING
BAROCLINIC ZONE. EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 30-40 KT WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL
FOR SOME ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES AND POSSIBLY SUPERCELLS WITH
INITIAL STORMS. ACTIVITY MAY EVOLVE INTO AN MCS OR MAY BECOME MORE
FOCUSED WITHIN FRONTAL ZONE OVERNIGHT. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS THROUGH THE EVENING.


...AZ...

RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH MID 60S DEWPOINTS HAS ADVECTED NEWD
THROUGH SWRN AZ FROM THE GULF OF CA. STRONG DIABATIC HEATING WILL
CONTINUE TO DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE WITH MLCAPE FROM 1000 TO 1500
J/KG FROM SW THROUGH W CNTRL AZ. STORMS SO FAR HAVE BEEN MOSTLY OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN...AND WV IMAGERY SHOWS SUBSTANTIAL MID-UPPER
LEVEL DRYING SPREADING INTO SRN AZ. SO THERE IS SOME CONCERN THAT
ENTRAINMENT COULD LIMIT STORM COVERAGE OVER SRN AZ. BULK SHEAR
AROUND 30 KT IS MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF MID LEVEL UPDRAFT ROTATION.
LAPSE RATES AND BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS WILL
SUPPORT A THREAT OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND WITH THE STRONGER STORMS
THAT DO DEVELOP. HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS.

..DIAL/KISS.. 09/10/2008

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KMLB [101946]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KMLB 101946
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
346 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM TSTM WND GST 5 SSE CONWAY 28.43N 81.31W
09/10/2008 M49.00 MPH ORANGE FL ASOS

PEAK WIND AT KMCO, THE ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, AT
1356 EDT 180/43 KTS


&&

$$

FXD

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KMLB [101937]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 101937
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
337 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM TSTM WND GST ORLANDO 28.50N 81.37W
09/10/2008 M49 MPH ORANGE FL ASOS

PEAK WIND AT KMCO, THE ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, AT
1356 EDT 180/43 KTS


&&

$$

FXD

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KFGZ [101936]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KFGZ 101936
LSRFGZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1236 PM MST WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1202 PM HAIL VILLAGE AT OAK CREEK 34.78N 111.76W
09/10/2008 M0.75 INCH YAVAPAI AZ TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

DDV

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KMAF [101931]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMAF 101931
LSRMAF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
231 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM FLASH FLOOD S MCCAMEY 31.13N 102.22W
09/10/2008 UPTON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FM 1901 AND HWY 305 HAS BEEN CLOSED SOUTH OF MCCAMEY AND
INTO PECOS COUNTY, WATER IS RUNNING OVER THE ROAD MAKING
IT IMPASSABLE


&&

$$

JGUDMEST

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KKEY [101923]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 101923
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
322 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0247 PM TROPICAL STORM 8 ENE FORT JEFFERSON AT 24.69N 82.77W
09/10/2008 GMZ075 XX C-MAN STATION

A WIND GUST OF 55 KNOTS...OR 63 MILES PER HOUR WAS
REPORTED BY A C-MAN STATION AT PULASKI SHOAL LIGHT. THE
WIND GUST WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A RAINBAND FROM HURRICANE
IKE.


&&

$$

WHOVORKA

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 896

WWUS20 KWNS 101843
SEL6
SPC WW 101843
AZZ000-110200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 896
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 AM MST WED SEP 10 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

LARGE PART OF WESTERN ARIZONA

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1145 AM UNTIL
700 PM MST.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTHWEST OF
FLAGSTAFF ARIZONA TO 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GILA BEND ARIZONA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO FEED NEWD INTO AZ AHEAD
OF CA UPPER TROUGH. WITH 30-35 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND MLCAPES
AOA 1500 J/KG THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY
ACROSS WRN AZ. SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS
WHICH WILL ENHANCE PRIMARILY HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 23020.


...HALES

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2243

ACUS11 KWNS 101838
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101838
SCZ000-FLZ000-GAZ000-102015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2243
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0138 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND NRN FL PENINSULA...SE GA...SRN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 101838Z - 102015Z

A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE AS STORMS INCREASE IN
COVERAGE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA...SE GA AND
SRN SC. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. STRONG GUSTY WINDS
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...THE THREAT WILL LIKELY NOT WARRANT
THE ISSUANCE OF WW EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

THE OUTER FRINGE OF HURRICANE IKE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS THE FL
PENINSULA. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN CNTRL FL WHERE
SFC DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S F WITH MODERATE
INSTABILITY IN PLACE. OTHER STORMS ARE INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS
SERN GA ALONG A MOIST AXIS EXTENDING NNEWD ALONG THE COAST. ALTHOUGH
REGIONAL WSR-88D VWPS SUGGEST VERTICAL SHEAR IS RELATIVELY
WEAK...THE RUC SUGGESTS STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW EXISTS AROUND 700 MB
ACROSS MUCH OF THE FL PENINSULA. THIS MAY HELP TO SUPPORT A MARGINAL
SEVERE THREAT WITH THE MORE PERSISTENT STORM CLUSTERS OR
LINE-SEGMENTS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO WITH A STORM AND SEA-BREEZE
INTERACTION CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...THE GREATER THREAT WITH THE
CONVECTION SHOULD BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

..BROYLES.. 09/10/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...MLB...TBW...JAX...FFC...

28258109 28378212 29248267 30538301 32078272 32518244
33098188 33328122 33068053 32428059 31538125 30528145
29008096 28508076

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KMLB [101822]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 101822
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
222 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0155 PM TSTM WND GST KISSIMMEE 28.30N 81.41W
09/10/2008 M60.00 MPH OSCEOLA FL AWOS

MEASURED AT AIRPORT.


&&

$$

DLJ

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2242

ACUS11 KWNS 101758
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101757
AZZ000-101930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2242
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1257 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND NRN AZ

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 101757Z - 101930Z

A SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL AND NRN AZ
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL WILL BE LIKELY WITH
THE MORE INTENSE CELLS. A WW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A MOIST AXIS EXTENDING NWD ACROSS WRN AZ
WHERE RUC ANALYSIS SUGGESTS MLCAPE VALUES RANGE FROM 1000 TO 2000
J/KG. THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ON THE NRN EDGE OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY DOWNSTREAM FROM AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER NV AND CNTRL
CA. RUC ANALYSIS SUGGESTS A SMALL JET MAX NEAR 40 KT EXISTS OVER
NCNTRL AZ AND THIS IS CREATING ENOUGH VERTICAL SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED
THUNDERSTORMS. AS MOISTURE ADVECTION AND SFC HEATING CONTINUES IN
CNTRL AZ EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE MAKING THE
ENVIRONMENT MORE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ARE ALREADY QUITE STEEP ACROSS CNTRL AND NRN AZ AS SUGGESTED
BY THE RUC WHICH WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
IN ADDITION...STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES EVIDENT ON FORECASTS
SOUNDINGS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR HAIL WITH THE MORE INTENSE CELLS.

..BROYLES.. 09/10/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGZ...PSR...VEF...

33011242 33031341 33461415 34241403 34961412 35681321
36261189 36291093 36091044 35561010 34831030 33621155

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 101733
SWODY2
SPC AC 101731

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1231 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

THE POSITIVELY TILTED SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE NRN
ROCKIES IS FORECAST TO BECOME CUTOFF FROM MAIN BRANCH OF POLAR WLYS
AND DRIFT SSELY THROUGH WY. UPPER VORT MAX OVER CNTRL CA WILL
CONTINUE SLOWLY SWD INTO THE NRN BAJA AREA. MODEST SWLY FLOW ALOFT
WILL PERSIST DOWNSTREAM FROM THE LARGER SCALE UPPER TROUGH WHILE A
SERIES OF EMBEDDED IMPULSES EJECT NEWD THROUGH THE CNTRL STATES.

VORT MAX CURRENTLY OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS WILL EJECT ENEWD INTO
THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION WITH ATTENDANT SURFACE
LOW MOVING TO NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR BY THURSDAY EVENING. TRAILING COLD
FRONT WILL EXTEND SWWD FROM THE LOW THROUGH THE MID MS VALLEY AND
CNTRL PLAINS BY EARLY THURSDAY EVENING.

HURRICANE IKE IS FORECAST BY THE NHC TO MOVE WNWWD THROUGH THE CNTRL
GULF. SEE LATEST NHC DISCUSSIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS.


...CNTRL GULF COASTAL AREA...

OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH IKE SHOULD AFFECT THE CNTRL GULF
COASTAL AREA THURSDAY AS THE HURRICANE CONTINUES WNWWD. LOW LEVEL
SHEAR WILL INCREASE DURING THE PERIOD AND MAY BECOME SUFFICIENT FOR
A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SRN LA AS THE
CENTER PASSES TO WITHIN 200 NM OF THE LA COAST. THIS AREA WILL BE
MONITORED FOR INTRODUCTION OF A SLIGHT RISK IN DAY 1 OUTLOOKS.


...AZ...

RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF CA IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
ACROSS SRN AZ AS UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER CNTRL CA ADVANCES SWD
INTO THE NRN BAJA AREA. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR LOBES OF VORTICITY
TO ROTATE THROUGH THIS FEATURE AND INTO PARTS OF AZ. STORMS WILL
LIKELY INTENSIFY DURING THE AFTERNOON OVER SRN AZ AND THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AND SPREAD NEWD. WHERE SUFFICIENT HEATING OCCURS...STEEP
LAPSE RATES AND BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS WILL
SUPPORT A THREAT OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. HAIL MAY ALSO
ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS. THIS AREA MAY NEED TO BE INCLUDED
IN A SLIGHT RISK IN LATER OUTLOOKS.


...CNTRL PLAINS THROUGH MIDDLE AND UPPER MS VALLEY REGION...

RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ADVECT NEWD THROUGH PRE-FRONTAL WARM
SECTOR WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID-UPPER 60S LIKELY FROM KS NEWD INTO
THE MID MS VALLEY AND LOW 60S FARTHER NE INTO WI BY LATE AFTERNOON.
WIDESPREAD CLOUDS WITHIN NEWD ADVECTING SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME
AND ONGOING PRECIPITATION IN VICINITY OF THE FRONT ACCOMPANYING THE
EJECTING IMPULSE WILL LIMIT DESTABILIZATION POTENTIAL. LOW LEVEL JET
AND STRONGER BULK SHEAR WILL SHIFT NEWD THROUGH WRN PARTS OF THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES DURING THE DAY...BUT INSTABILITY IN THIS REGION IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN TOO LIMITED FOR MORE THAN A MARGINAL SEVERE
THREAT. FARTHER SW ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG SEWD
ADVANCING FRONT WHERE INSTABILITY MAY BE SLIGHTLY GREATER...BUT
MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR AND THE MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT
WILL LIMIT SEVERE THREAT.

..DIAL.. 09/10/2008

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KCAE [101618]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 101618
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1217 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0650 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 NE CAYCE 33.99N 81.03W
09/09/2008 RICHLAND SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLASH FLOODING REPORTED AT WHALEY AND MAIN STREETS IN
COLUMBIA BY COLUMBIA POLICE DEPARTMENT.


&&

$$

LAMBERTY

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 101608
SWODY1
SPC AC 101604

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1104 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

VALID 101630Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR MUCH OF ARIZONA...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR PARTS OF NEB/SD...

...SYNOPSIS...
TROUGH OVER WRN U.S. HAS SPLIT WITH BROAD RIDGE OVER ERN HALF OF
CONUS. NRN PORTION WRN TROUGH DEVELOPS MOVES SEWD FROM WRN MT INTO
NRN WY TONIGHT WITH A CLOSED LOW DEVELOPING. SRN PORTION IN THE
FORM OF A CLOSED LOW NEAR RNO ATTM DROPS SWD TO VICINITY SRN CA
COAST 12Z THU.

IN ADVANCE OF BOTH OF THESE WRN FEATURES LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO INCREASE NWD AND WILL PROVIDE INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT
TWO AREAS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

...AZ...
LOW LEVEL SLY FLOW CONTINUES TO FEED VERY MOIST AIR UP THE G OF CA
INTO AZ. THERE IS A SHARP GRADIENT TO THE MOISTURE/INSTABILITY
VICINITY OF THE CA/AZ BORDER AND THIS SHOULD MOVE LITTLE AS UPPER
LOW DROPS SWD TOWARDS SRN CA COAST WITH A GRADUAL BACKING OF THE
UPPER FLOW OVER AZ. PRECIPITABLE WATER WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
INTO SRN AZ TO AROUND 1.5 INCHES WHICH ALONG WITH MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES OF 7C/KM COUPLED WITH SURFACE HEATING...WILL RAISE MLCAPES TO
AOA 1500 J/KG IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS SRN AZ AND 1000 J/KG NRN AZ.

THE OBSERVED 30-35 KTS OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON ALL THREE AZ SOUNDINGS
COUPLED WITH THE QUALITY OF THE AIR MASS SUPPORT SCATTERED
STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF AZ THIS AFTERNOON. THERE
IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ROTATING STORMS GIVEN THE SHEAR/INSTABILITY
WHICH WILL ENHANCE BOTH THE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING DOWNBURST
POTENTIAL. HAVE INCREASED THE THREAT TO A SLIGHT RISK GIVE THESE
PARAMETERS. WHILE ELEVATED STORMS CURRENTLY CENTRAL AZ IN RESPONSE
TO AVAILABLE INSTABILITY...HEATING SHOULD INITIATE SURFACE BASED
STORMS FIRST VICINITY HIGHER TERRAIN BY MID AFTERNOON.

...NEB/SD...
WEAK SURFACE LOW WRN SD WITH LEE TROUGH SWD THRU ERN CO. AS UPPER
SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE W...LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL SHIFT A
LITTLE E BY THIS AFTERNOON MAINTAINING SLY FLOW OF MOISTURE THRU WRN
NE INTO SD. WHILE STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE IN PLACE PER 12Z
LBF/RAP SOUNDINGS...EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUDS WILL DELAY THE THREAT FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT UNTIL LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

ONCE THE SURFACE HEATING CAN RAISE TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID/UPR 70S
AND WEAKEN THE CINH...SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE ADEQUATE FOR
STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. THIS SHOULD OCCUR INITIALLY
NEAR TO JUST W OF SURFACE TROUGH WRN NEB INTO SD WHERE HEATING
SHOULD BE STRONGEST. WITH 30-40KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR COUPLED WITH
POTENTIALLY MLCAPES AOA 1500 J/KG...SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH
ANY SUPERCELL THAT FORMS HOWEVER TORNADO POTENTIAL SHOULD BE LIMITED
WITH THE RELATIVELY MARGINALLY KINEMATICS.

...SRN FL...
IKE CONTINUED MOVEMENT AWAY FROM SRN FL HAS JUST ABOUT ENDED THE
THREAT OF ANY ROTATING STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SPIRAL BAND. WILL
CONTINUE A LOW TORNADO PROBABILITY FOR NOW...WITH THAT LIKELY BEING
DROPPED IN THE NEXT OUTLOOK.

..HALES/SMITH.. 09/10/2008

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KKEY [101559]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 101559
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1158 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1007 AM TROPICAL STORM 8 ENE FORT JEFFERSON AT 24.69N 82.77W
09/10/2008 GMZ075 XX C-MAN STATION

A WIND GUST OF 52 KTS...OR 60 MPH...WAS REPORTED BY THE
C-MAN STATION ON PULASKI SHOAL LIGHT AT 1007 AM EDT. AT
THE 11 AM OBSERVATION...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 43 KTS...OR 49
MPH...WERE REPORTED. THESE WINDS WERE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
PASSAGE OF HURRICANE IKE TO THE WEST.


&&

$$

ROSS

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KPSR [101544]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 101544 CCA
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
819 PM MST TUE SEP 09 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0709 PM TSTM WND GST QUARTZSITE 33.68N 114.09W
09/09/2008 E75 MPH LA PAZ AZ FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED ESTIMATED 75 MPH WINDS THAT BLEW
TWO SEMI-TRUCKS OFF THE ROAD.


&&

$$

WATERS

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KTBW [101542]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 101542
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1142 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES HOLMES BEACH 27.51N 82.72W
09/10/2008 MANATEE FL EMERGENCY MNGR

MINOR FLOODING OF ROADS.


&&

$$

RJS

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KKEY [101453]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 101453
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1053 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0921 AM TROPICAL STORM 8 ENE FORT JEFFERSON AT 24.69N 82.77W
09/10/2008 GMZ075 XX C-MAN STATION

A SOUTHEAST WIND GUST OF 57 KTS...OR 66 MPH...WAS
REPORTED BY THE C-MAN STATION ON PULASKI SHOAL LIGHT AT
921 AM EDT. AT THE 10 AM OBSERVATION...SUSTAINED WINDS OF
38 KTS...OR 44 MPH...WERE REPORTED. THESE WINDS WERE

ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF HURRICANE IKE TO THE WEST.


&&

$$

ROSS

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KMRX [101426]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KMRX 101426
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1026 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM TSTM WND DMG 6 NE SPRING CITY 35.75N 84.79W
09/09/2008 RHEA TN LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE TREE DOWN AT RODDY...SIX MILES NORTHEAST OF SPRING
CITY. REPORTED BY DISPATCH.

0350 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 E ROCKWOOD 35.87N 84.59W
09/09/2008 ROANE TN LAW ENFORCEMENT

TWO TREES DOWN AT MIDWAY...5 MILES EAST OF ROCKWOOD.
REPORTED BY DISPATCH.

0430 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W KINGSTON 35.87N 84.53W
09/09/2008 ROANE TN LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE TREE DOWN IN MIDTOWN HIGHTS...ONE AND A HALF MILES
WEST OF KINGSTON. REPORTED BY DISPATCH.

0440 PM TSTM WND DMG KNOXVILLE 35.97N 83.95W
09/09/2008 KNOX TN LAW ENFORCEMENT

FEW TREES DOWN IN WEST KNOX COUNTY. REPORTED BY DISPATCH.


0440 PM TSTM WND DMG 6 SW JACKSBORO 36.27N 84.27W
09/09/2008 CAMPBELL TN DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

A FEW TREES DOWN ON COUNTY ROADS IN THE SOUTHWEST PORTION
OF THE COUNTY.


&&

$$

MEP/FEF

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KMRX [101424]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 101424
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1024 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0440 PM TSTM WND DMG 6 SW JACKSBORO 36.27N 84.27W
09/09/2008 CAMPBELL TN DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

A FEW TREES DOWN ON COUNTY ROADS IN THE SOUTHWEST PORTION
OF THE COUNTY.


&&

$$

MEP/FEF

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KTBW [101411]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 101411
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1011 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 5 NE SAINT PETERSBURG 27.80N 82.62W
09/10/2008 PINELLAS FL PUBLIC

REPORT OF FLOODED STREETS NEAR CARSON ST. AND 40TH AVENUE
AS WELL AS SHORE ACRES BOULEVARD. REPORT RELAYED VIA
STORM SPOTTER.


&&

$$

RJS

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KKEY [101338]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 101338
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
938 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0824 AM TROPICAL STORM 8 ENE FORT JEFFERSON AT 24.69N 82.77W
09/10/2008 GMZ075 XX C-MAN STATION

A SOUTHEAST WIND GUST OF 56 KTS...OR 64 MPH...WAS
REPORTED BY THE C-MAN STATION ON PULASKI SHOAL LIGHT AT
824 AM EDT. AT THE 9 AM OBSERVATION...SUSTAINED WINDS OF
46 KTS...OR 53 MPH...WERE REPORTED. THESE WINDS WERE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF HURRICANE IKE.


&&

$$

ROSS

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KMFL [101328]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 101328
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
928 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM MARINE TSTM WIND FLAMINGO 25.15N 80.94W
09/10/2008 M39.00 MPH MAINLAND MONROE FL MESONET

MEASURED AT FLM HANDAR SITE.

0345 AM MARINE TSTM WIND FLAMINGO 25.15N 80.94W
09/10/2008 M53.00 MPH MAINLAND MONROE FL MESONET

OBSERVED AT FLM HANDAR SITE.

0430 AM MARINE TSTM WIND EVERGLADES CITY 25.86N 81.39W
09/10/2008 M50.00 MPH COLLIER FL MESONET

MEASURED AT EGC HANDAR SITE.

0446 AM MARINE TSTM WIND FLAMINGO 25.15N 80.94W
09/10/2008 M51.00 MPH MAINLAND MONROE FL MESONET

MEASURED AT FLM HANDAR SITE.

0600 AM MARINE TSTM WIND EVERGLADES CITY 25.86N 81.39W
09/10/2008 M45.00 MPH COLLIER FL MESONET

MEASURED AT EGC HANDAR SITE.

0630 AM MARINE TSTM WIND EVERGLADES CITY 25.86N 81.39W
09/10/2008 M48.00 MPH COLLIER FL MESONET

MEASURED AT EGC HANDAR SITE.


&&

$$

MOLLEDA

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KAPX [101317]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 101317
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
917 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 AM WATER SPOUT 10 W BEAVER ISLAND 45.70N 85.76W
09/10/2008 LMZ362 MI TRAINED SPOTTER

AT LEAST 3 TO 4 WATERSPOUTS REPORTED BETWEEN FOX AND GULL

ISLANDS OBSERVED FROM THE WESTERN SHORE OF BEAVER ISLAND.


&&

$$

KAS

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KKEY [101257]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 101257
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
856 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0747 AM TROPICAL STORM 8 ENE FORT JEFFERSON AT 24.69N 82.77W
09/10/2008 GMZ075 XX C-MAN STATION

A SOUTHEAST WIND GUST OF 57 KTS...OR 66 MPH...WAS
REPORTED BY THE C-MAN STATION ON PULASKI SHOAL LIGHT AT
747 AM EDT. AT THE 8 AM OBSERVATION...SUSTAINED WINDS OF
47 KTS...OR 54 MPH...WERE REPORTED. THESE WINDS WERE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF HURRICANE IKE TO THE
WEST-SOUTHWEST.


&&

$$

ROSS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 101240
SWODY1
SPC AC 101238

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0738 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

VALID 101300Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS...

...NEB/SD...
A WEAK POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH WILL BE PRESENT TODAY OVER THE
MOUNTAINOUS WEST...WHILE WEAK LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER WY
TRACKS EASTWARD INTO THE PLAINS. MORNING SATELLITE LOOPS SUGGEST
THAT RELATIVELY CLEAR SKIES WILL OCCUR OVER PARTS OF
SD/NEB...ALLOWING AIRMASS TO HEAT/DESTABILIZE. SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL
WINDS AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH WILL ALSO HELP TO TRANSPORT
MOIST AIR INTO REGION WITH 60S DEWPOINTS EXPECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON.
STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOWN ON 12Z LBF SOUNDING SUGGEST THAT
MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AN AXIS FROM
SOUTHWEST NEB INTO SOUTH CENTRAL SD.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT A STRONG CAPPING INVERSION WILL BE
MAINTAINED THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY...UNTIL STRONGER FORCING EMERGES
FROM CENTRAL ROCKIES LATE IN THE DAY. SCATTERED HIGH-BASED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN LIKELY TO DEVELOP ALONG WEST EDGE OF
INSTABILITY AXIS AND SPREAD EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE EVENING.
EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES OF 25-30 KNOTS SUGGEST THAT ORGANIZED
MULTICELL STORMS WILL OCCUR...CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS. SEVERE THREAT MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING AND DEVELOP
INTO PARTS OF EASTERN SD.

...FL...
HURRICANE IKE CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD AND AWAY FROM FL. A
FEW ISOLATED SUPERCELLS AFFECTED EXTREME SOUTHWEST FL EARLY THIS
MORNING...BUT THIS OUTER BAND HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED OFFSHORE.
UPSTREAM TRENDS AND MOVEMENT OF IKE SUGGEST THAT TORNADO THREAT IS
DIMINISHING OVER SOUTH FL AND THE KEYS.

...AZ...
A RATHER COLD UPPER TROUGH WILL TRACK SOUTHWARD ACROSS
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN CA TODAY...WITH HEIGHT FALLS AND INCREASING
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER MUCH OF AZ. MUCH OF THIS REGION WILL SEE
STRONG HEATING AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF AT LEAST MODERATE INSTABILITY.
A FEW INTENSE STORMS MAY DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
CAPABLE OF HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

..HART.. 09/10/2008

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KTBW [101234]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 101234
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
834 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0832 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES SAINT PETERSBURG BEACH 27.73N 82.74W
09/10/2008 PINELLAS FL BROADCAST MEDIA

MEDIA RELAYED REPORT OF WATER OVER DOCK CALLED IN BY
VIEWER. TIDES RUNNING NEAR 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL.


&&

$$

MCANTIN

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KRAH [101229]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 101229
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
828 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW ROCKINGHAM 34.93N 79.77W
09/10/2008 RICHMOND NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

MULTIPLE ROAD CLOSURES NEAR ROCKINGHAM AND WATER IN HOMES
NEAR SPRINGDALE DRIVE AND NEAR MILL ROAD.


&&

$$

RWH

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KTBW [101223]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 101223
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
822 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0815 AM FLOOD CAPE CORAL 26.58N 81.99W
09/10/2008 LEE FL EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL ROADS UNDER WATER...RETENTION PONDS NEAR
OVER-FLOWING...AND STRANDED CARS.


&&

$$

MCANTIN

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