SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101838
SCZ000-FLZ000-GAZ000-102015-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2243
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0138 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND NRN FL PENINSULA...SE GA...SRN SC
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 101838Z - 102015Z
A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE AS STORMS INCREASE IN
COVERAGE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA...SE GA AND
SRN SC. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. STRONG GUSTY WINDS
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...THE THREAT WILL LIKELY NOT WARRANT
THE ISSUANCE OF WW EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
THE OUTER FRINGE OF HURRICANE IKE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS THE FL
PENINSULA. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN CNTRL FL WHERE
SFC DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S F WITH MODERATE
INSTABILITY IN PLACE. OTHER STORMS ARE INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS
SERN GA ALONG A MOIST AXIS EXTENDING NNEWD ALONG THE COAST. ALTHOUGH
REGIONAL WSR-88D VWPS SUGGEST VERTICAL SHEAR IS RELATIVELY
WEAK...THE RUC SUGGESTS STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW EXISTS AROUND 700 MB
ACROSS MUCH OF THE FL PENINSULA. THIS MAY HELP TO SUPPORT A MARGINAL
SEVERE THREAT WITH THE MORE PERSISTENT STORM CLUSTERS OR
LINE-SEGMENTS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO WITH A STORM AND SEA-BREEZE
INTERACTION CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...THE GREATER THREAT WITH THE
CONVECTION SHOULD BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS.
..BROYLES.. 09/10/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...MLB...TBW...JAX...FFC...
28258109 28378212 29248267 30538301 32078272 32518244
33098188 33328122 33068053 32428059 31538125 30528145
29008096 28508076
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