KTFX [060338]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KTFX 060338
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
938 PM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1015 PM SNOW 17 ENE LINCOLN 47.05N 112.35W
10/03/2009 E5.0 INCH LEWIS AND CLARK MT PUBLIC

ESTIMATED 4-6 INCHES OF SNOWFALL OVER APPROXIMATELY THE
LAST 8 HOURS - BASED UPON RADAR IMAGERY - AT ROGERS PASS
- ELEVATION 5600 FEET. OBSERVER NOTED THAT IT WAS RAINING
AND SNOWING LIGHTLY IN THE TOWN OF LINCOLN...THE SNOW WAS
THEN HEAVIER OVER THE PASS...AND THERE WAS MORE OF A
LIGHT RAIN-SNOW MIX UNTIL BOWMANS CORNER. CAMERA IMAGERY
INDICATED SNOW ON THE GRASSY SURFACES...AND SLUSHY SNOW
ACCUMULATION ON THE ROADWAY.

1100 AM SNOW 13 WSW GLEN 45.40N 112.94W
10/04/2009 E7.0 INCH BEAVERHEAD MT MESONET

12 HOUR SNOWFALL...MULE CREEK SNOTEL...ELEV 8300 FT.

1100 AM HEAVY SNOW 23 SW LIMA 44.40N 112.92W
10/04/2009 E15.0 INCH BEAVERHEAD MT MESONET

12 HOUR SNOWFALL...BEAGLE SPRINGS SNOTEL...ELEV 8850 FT.

1100 AM SNOW 23 WSW DUPUYER 48.06N 112.96W
10/04/2009 E8.0 INCH TETON MT MESONET

24 HOUR SNOWFALL...BADGER PASS SNOTEL...ELEV 6900 FT.

1100 AM SNOW 6 W PONY 45.66N 112.02W
10/04/2009 E6.0 INCH MADISON MT MESONET

12 HOUR SNOWFALL...ALBRO LAKE SNOTEL...ELEV 8300 FT.

1240 PM HEAVY SNOW 10 S HELENA 46.45N 112.02W
10/05/2009 M9.0 INCH JEFFERSON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

8 TO 9 INCHES OF SNOW FELL LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING.

0435 PM HEAVY SNOW 25 S LEWISTOWN 46.70N 109.43W
10/05/2009 E8.0 INCH FERGUS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

8 INCHES OF SNOW FELL...0.95 OF AN INCH IN LIQUID AT HALF
MOON PASS LAST NIGHT AND TODAY. STILL SNOW LIGHTLY

&&

$$

COULSTON

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KBIS [060234]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 060234
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
934 PM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM SNOW AMIDON 46.48N 103.32W
10/05/2009 M4.0 INCH SLOPE ND BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

$$

VROLLER

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KBIS [060120]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 060120
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
820 PM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM SNOW REEDER 46.11N 102.94W
10/05/2009 M4.0 INCH ADAMS ND CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

VROLLER

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KBIS [060108]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 060108
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
808 PM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM SNOW 14 S SOUTH HEART 46.66N 102.99W
10/05/2009 M1.0 INCH STARK ND TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

VROLLER

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 060102
SWODY1
SPC AC 060058

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 PM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

VALID 060100Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS TO LOWER MO VALLEY/OZARKS...
PRIMARY UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE
NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF TUESDAY. SURFACE
CYCLOGENESIS CONTINUES TO OCCUR ACROSS EASTERN CO WITH A 996 MB
SURFACE LOW AS OF 00Z...WHICH IS ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
DEVELOPING COLD FRONT THAT WILL ACCELERATE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS LATER TONIGHT.

EARLY THIS EVENING...NEAR SURFACE BASED STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE
MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST/WEST CENTRAL TX...WITH
ASSOCIATED CONDITIONAL/ISOLATED POTENTIAL FOR MAINLY HAIL. FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS...REFERENCE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2070. OTHER
SURFACE BASED STORM POTENTIAL ACROSS NORTHWEST KS WILL QUICKLY WANE
AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS...WITH A DIMINISHING SEVERE RISK
ACCORDINGLY.

OTHERWISE...THE PRIMARY SCENARIO THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT IS THE
ANTICIPATION OF A NOCTURNALLY INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL JET /50+ KT/
ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS LOW LEVEL JET/LATTER PERIOD
HEIGHT FALLS AND THE NORTHEASTWARD TRANSPORT OF A RATHER
MOIST/MODERATELY UNSTABLE ELEVATED AIRMASS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...REFERENCE 00Z OBSERVED RAOBS FROM NORMAN OK AND DEL RIO
TX...SHOULD LEAD TO AN INCREASING COVERAGE OF ELEVATED TSTMS MAINLY
TOWARD/AFTER 06Z ACROSS PORTIONS OF KS/OK INTO MO/NORTHERN
AR/PERHAPS NORTH TX. ATOP A COOL/STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER...WEAK TO
MODERATE ELEVATED BUOYANCY AND SUFFICIENT SHEAR THROUGH THE CLOUD
BEARING LAYER WILL SUPPORT AT LEAST SOME POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE HAIL
LATER THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT. RESIDUAL WARM TEMPERATURES/MODEST
LAPSE RATES IN THE 800-500 MB LAYER AND AN EVENTUAL TENDENCY FOR
STORM CLUSTERING/UPDRAFT INTERFERENCE SHOULD CURB A MORE ORGANIZED
SEVERE THREAT.

..GUYER.. 10/06/2009

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KBIS [060048]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 060048
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
748 PM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0745 PM SNOW BOWMAN 46.18N 103.39W
10/05/2009 M4.0 INCH BOWMAN ND EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

$$

VROLLER

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KGLD [052355]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 052355
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
555 PM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM HAIL 1 E HOXIE 39.36N 100.42W
10/05/2009 E1.00 INCH SHERIDAN KS PUBLIC

&&

$$

50

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2070

ACUS11 KWNS 052353
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052353
TXZ000-NMZ000-060230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2070
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0653 PM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS W TX.

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 052353Z - 060230Z

CONDITIONAL RISK FOR STG-SVR TSTMS DEVELOPMENT SHOULD PEAK WITHIN
NEXT COUPLE HOURS ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA...INCLUDING SOME SUPERCELL
POTENTIAL.

23Z SFC MESOANALYSIS AND SUBSEQUENT CLEAR-AIR REFLECTIVITY IMAGERY
INDICATED SEVERAL BOUNDARIES OVER THIS REGION:
1. DRYLINE EXTENDING FROM SFC LOW ALONG KS/CO BORDER...SWD ACROSS
N-CENTRAL TX PANHANDLE...NEAR AMA..PVW...LBB...CURVING WWD ACROSS
SERN NM WHERE SWLY FLOW PREVAILS IN BOTH DRY AND MOIST AIR MASSES.
DRYLINE HAS BEEN MOVING EWD ACROSS SOUTH-PLAINS REGION BUT MAY
RETREAT SOMEWHAT AFTER 00Z.
2. WAVY SFC WARM FRONT FROM SAT NWWD ACROSS NRN CONCHO...NRN TOM
GREEN...AND MITCHELL COUNTIES...INTERSECTING DRYLINE INVOF LBB.
WARM FRONT GENERALLY WILL DRIFT NWD...BUT AT VARYING RATES...WITH
LOCALIZED SEGMENTS QUASISTATIONARY.
3. CONFLUENCE LINE...WHICH ALSO IS ACTING AS SECONDARY DRYLINE
SEGREGATING 50S FROM UPPER 60S/70S DEW POINTS...FROM SRN BREWSTER
COUNTY NNEWD ACROSS UPTON COUNTY...INTERSECTING WARM FRONT INVOF SRN
SCURRY COUNTY.

SFC-BASED DEVELOPMENT ALONG THESE BOUNDARIES IS CLOSE TO
OCCURRING...GIVEN PRESENCE OF ABUNDANT DEEP CU/TCU INVOF THESE
BOUNDARIES...ESPECIALLY COMBINED FRONT/DRYLINE OVER SOUTH-PLAINS AND
DRYLINE FROM LBB SEWD. SUCH BOUNDARY ROOTED INITIATION STILL IS
UNCERTAIN...HOWEVER...GIVEN IMPENDING LOSS OF SFC DIABATIC HEATING
AND LACK OF ROBUST DEVELOPMENT SO FAR. FARTHER SW...WEAK
PERTURBATION EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY AND PRESENCE OF
HIGH-BASED TSTMS OVER NRN CHIHUAHUA ALSO INDICATE SMALL ZONE OF
LARGE SCALE ASCENT THAT SHOULD MOVE NEWD ACROSS PECOS VALLEY AND
PERMIAN BASIN REGIONS DURING EVENING. ANY SUSTAINED CONVECTION THAT
DOES DEVELOP WILL POSE POTENTIAL FOR STG-SVR GUSTS AND HAIL...GIVEN
FAVORABLE JUXTAPOSITION OF MOISTURE AND SHEAR PROFILES E OF
CONFLUENCE LINE AND ALONG WARM FRONT. MODIFIED RUC SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST EFFECTIVE SHEAR AROUND 45-55 KT WITH MLCAPE 2000-3000 J/KG
IN NARROW ZONE NEAR FRONT. JTN PROFILER AND RUC HODOGRAPHS SUGGEST
NARROW CORRIDOR OF 300-400 J/KG OF 0-3 KM SRH WHERE LIFTED PARCELS
ARE SFC-BASED IN FRONTAL ZONE. MLCINH WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
SUBSTANTIALLY WITH NEWD DISTANCE FROM FRONT...RENDERING INFLOW LAYER
MORE ELEVATED AND KEEPING APPRECIABLE TSTM WIND POTENTIAL IN AND W
OF FRONT AND FRONT/DRYLINE BLEND. POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PANHANDLE/SOUTH PLAINS REGION MAY INCREASE AFTER
DARK AS MOISTURE-RICH LLJ STRENGTHENS TO 40-50 KT AND LOW LEVEL WAA
INCREASES.

..EDWARDS.. 10/05/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...EPZ...

LAT...LON 35650105 33529988 32139965 31189969 30660109 29800189
29880228 29780237 29750267 29440281 28980312 29040339
29380415 29500418 29600447 29960471 30270473 30650498
30910539 31310479 32090282 33060207 35430205 35650105

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KJAN [051628]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KJAN 051628
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1128 AM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1053 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 SW HAMBURG 33.18N 91.85W
10/01/2009 ASHLEY AR OTHER FEDERAL

A COUPLE TREES WERE DOWN ACROSS CR 17.

1132 PM TSTM WND DMG ARCOLA 33.27N 90.88W
10/01/2009 WASHINGTON MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ACROSS OLD HIGHWAY 61 SOUTH ALONG WITH POWER
LINE DOWN IN ARCOLA.

0134 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 S JONESVILLE 31.59N 91.83W
10/02/2009 CATAHOULA LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

A TRAVEL TRAILER WAS FLIPPED OVER ALONG HWY 124 JUST S OF
JONESVILLE.

0145 AM TSTM WND DMG 8 WNW ST. JOSEPH 31.96N 91.37W
10/02/2009 TENSAS LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TWO TREES DOWN...1 LARGE TREE ACROSS HWY 573.

0147 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 S MONTEREY 31.41N 91.72W
10/02/2009 CONCORDIA LA PUBLIC

NUMEROUS LARGE LIMBS WERE BLOWN DOWN BETWEEN ACME AND
MONTEREY.

0209 AM TSTM WND GST NATCHEZ 31.55N 91.39W
10/02/2009 E45.00 MPH ADAMS MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE LIMB FELL ONTO MOVING VEHICLE AND DAMAGED THE
WINDSHIELD.

0209 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 SW SIBLEY 31.37N 91.41W
10/02/2009 ADAMS MS PUBLIC

COUPLE OF TREES DOWN JUST OUTSIDE OF TOWN ON SIBLEY ROAD.

&&

$$

CME

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 051616
SWODY1
SPC AC 051613

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1113 AM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

VALID 051630Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...W TX INTO THE OK/SERN KS...
MID MORNING SURFACE ANALYSES INDICATE SURFACE FRONT REMAINING
STALLED E-W FROM THE UPPER TX COAST INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY
BETWEEN LRD AND DRT...WITH 'SOUPY' GULF AIR CHARACTERIZED BY NEAR
80F DEWPOINTS TRAPPED TO ITS SOUTH. LEE TROUGH IS ALREADY BECOMING
DEFINED SOUTH OF A LOW CENTER ACROSS ERN CO AND ALONG THE TX-NM
BORDER...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO MIX EWD THROUGH THE DAY AS ROBUST
HEATING OCCURS ACROSS NM INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. SHEAR ALOFT WILL
STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE PERIOD AS LEADING MID LEVEL IMPULSE AND
ASSOCIATED JET OVERSPREAD THE SRN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AHEAD OF
SECONDARY UPPER LOW DIGGING SSWWD ACROSS CA. ALTHOUGH INFLUX OF
INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TODAY INTO WRN TX AND
WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS LATER TONIGHT...PRIMARY
NEGATIVE FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT INVOF THE LEE TROUGH WILL BE CAPPING
AND LIMITED ASCENT OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. HOWEVER...INFLUX OF
MID/UPPER 60S SFC DEW POINTS AND LONG HODOGRAPHS SUGGEST
LOW/CONDITIONAL PROBABILITIES OF SEVERE TSTM DEVELOPMENT REMAIN
WARRANTED. FARTHER NE...INCREASING ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL WAA OVERNIGHT SHOULD SUPPORT
SCATTERED...ELEVATED TSTM DEVELOPMENT FROM PORTIONS OF WRN/NRN TX
INTO THE OZARK REGION LATE IN THE PERIOD. EFFECTIVE SHEAR AROUND
40-50 KT AND MUCAPE IN EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG SHOULD SUPPORT A FEW MORE
ROBUST/PERSISTENT STORMS WITH ATTENDANT THREAT OF MARGINALLY SEVERE
HAIL...ALTHOUGH THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH WITH NEWD EXTENT INTO MO
GIVEN WEAKER INSTABILITY.

...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
STRENGTHENING ASCENT AND DEVELOPMENT OF MARGINAL SURFACE-BASED
INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON MAY ALLOW A FEW STORMS TO DEVELOP AND
ROOT INTO THE BOUNDARY LAYER OVER NERN CO/NERN KS/SWRN NEB LATER
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY REMAINS MEAGER...DEEP
ASCENT AND STRONG LOW-DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD SUPPORT AT LEAST A LOW
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE TSTMS...INCLUDING LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS/LINES.
ACTIVITY MAY BE BRIEF-LIVED AS STRONG SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL TEND
TO UNDERCUT THE ACTIVITY...HOWEVER ISOLATED HAIL AND EVEN A BRIEF
TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.

..EVANS/HURLBUT.. 10/05/2009

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KPIH [051615]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 051615
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
1015 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0843 AM HEAVY SNOW WNW GROUSE 43.68N 113.62W
10/05/2009 M12.0 INCH CUSTER ID MESONET

BEAR CANYON 7900 FEET - STORM TOTAL SO FAR

0843 AM HEAVY SNOW 16 WNW GROUSE 43.77N 113.92W
10/05/2009 M12.0 INCH CUSTER ID MESONET

BEAR CANYON 7900 FEET - STORM TOTAL THUS FAR

0843 AM HEAVY SNOW 16 WNW GROUSE 43.77N 113.92W
10/05/2009 M12.0 INCH CUSTER ID MESONET

BEAR CANYON 7900 FEET - STORM TOTAL THUS FAR

0843 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 NNE KETCHUM 43.70N 114.37W
10/05/2009 M8.5 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

LOST WOOD DIVIDE 7900 FEET - STORM TOTAL THUS FAR

0843 AM HEAVY SNOW 11 WNW GROUSE 43.74N 113.82W
10/05/2009 M29.0 INCH CUSTER ID MESONET

SMILEY MOUNTAIN 9520 FEET - STORM TOTAL THUS FAR

0843 AM HEAVY SNOW 14 NNE SUN VALLEY 43.87N 114.22W
10/05/2009 M9.0 INCH CUSTER ID MESONET

STICKNEY MILL 7430 FEET - STORM TOTAL THUS FAR

0843 AM HEAVY SNOW 16 WSW KETCHUM 43.60N 114.67W
10/05/2009 M15.0 INCH CAMAS ID MESONET

DOLLARHIDE SUMMIT 8420 FEET - STORM TOTAL THUS FAR

0843 AM SNOW 1 NW GALENA 43.88N 114.66W
10/05/2009 M6.0 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

GALENA LODGE 7440 FEET - STORM TOTAL THUS FAR

0843 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 W GALENA 43.87N 114.71W
10/05/2009 M10.0 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

GALENA SUMMIT 8780 FEET - STORM TOTAL THUS FAR

0843 AM SLEET 11 E KETCHUM 43.69N 114.15W
10/05/2009 M4.00 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

HYNDMAN 7440 FEET - STORM TOTAL THUS FAR

&&

$$

PANGEL

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KUNR [051609]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KUNR 051609
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1009 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM SNOW 2 SSE DOWNTOWN GILLETTE 44.26N 105.49W
10/05/2009 E5.0 INCH CAMPBELL WY CO-OP OBSERVER

4.5 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW. STARTED SNOWING AROUND 430 PM
YESTERDAY AND CONTINUED OVERNIGHT UNTIL 630 AM THIS
MORNING. WET SNOW.

0700 AM SNOW 4 S INYAN KARA MOUNTAIN 44.16N 104.35W
10/05/2009 E4.0 INCH WESTON WY TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 3.5 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. SNOW STARTED AT 4PM
YESTERDAY AND ENDED AROUND 7AM THIS MORNING.

0820 AM SNOW CHEYENNE CROSSING 44.30N 103.86W
10/05/2009 E6.0 INCH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW FELL ALL DAY YESTERDAY. STILL SNOWING NOW.

0840 AM SNOW DEADWOOD 44.38N 103.73W
10/05/2009 E3.0 INCH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0852 AM SNOW SUNDANCE 44.40N 104.37W
10/05/2009 E4.0 INCH CROOK WY TRAINED SPOTTER

3 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE SUNDANCE AREA.

0854 AM SNOW LEAD 44.35N 103.77W
10/05/2009 M5.0 INCH LAWRENCE SD CO-OP OBSERVER

LIGHT SNOW NOW.

0900 AM SNOW 15 NNE RECLUSE 44.95N 105.64W
10/05/2009 E5.0 INCH CAMPBELL WY TRAINED SPOTTER

5 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW. VERY LIGHT SNOW NOW.

0908 AM SNOW 12 NNW ALVA 44.85N 104.57W
10/05/2009 E6.0 INCH CROOK WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0908 AM SNOW HILL CITY 43.93N 103.57W
10/05/2009 E8.0 INCH PENNINGTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0912 AM SNOW MOUNT RUSHMORE 43.88N 103.45W
10/05/2009 E7.0 INCH PENNINGTON SD PARK/FOREST SRVC

ESTIMATED 6 TO 7 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW.

0936 AM SNOW 1 NW DOWNTOWN CUSTER 43.78N 103.62W
10/05/2009 M6.0 INCH CUSTER SD CO-OP OBSERVER

0942 AM SNOW 2 SE COLONY 44.85N 104.12W
10/05/2009 E4.0 INCH CROOK WY TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW STARTED AROUND 9 PM LAST NIGHT AND CONTINUED THROUGH
THIS MORNING. LIGHT SNOW NOW.

1005 AM SNOW 1 W O'NEIL PASS 44.20N 104.03W
10/05/2009 E5.0 INCH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 4 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW.

&&

$$

WETENKAMP

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KUNR [051609]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 051609
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1009 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1005 AM SNOW 1 W O'NEIL PASS 44.20N 104.03W
10/05/2009 E5.0 INCH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 4 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW.

&&

$$

WETENKAMP

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KUNR [051555]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KUNR 051555
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
955 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM SNOW 2 SSE DOWNTOWN GILLETTE 44.26N 105.49W
10/05/2009 E5.0 INCH CAMPBELL WY CO-OP OBSERVER

4.5 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW. STARTED SNOWING AROUND 430 PM
YESTERDAY AND CONTINUED OVERNIGHT UNTIL 630 AM THIS
MORNING. WET SNOW.

0700 AM SNOW 4 S INYAN KARA MOUNTAIN 44.16N 104.35W
10/05/2009 E4.0 INCH WESTON WY TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 3.5 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. SNOW STARTED AT 4PM
YESTERDAY AND ENDED AROUND 7AM THIS MORNING.

0820 AM SNOW CHEYENNE CROSSING 44.30N 103.86W
10/05/2009 E6.0 INCH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW FELL ALL DAY YESTERDAY. STILL SNOWING NOW.

0840 AM SNOW DEADWOOD 44.38N 103.73W
10/05/2009 E3.0 INCH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0852 AM SNOW SUNDANCE 44.40N 104.37W
10/05/2009 E4.0 INCH CROOK WY TRAINED SPOTTER

3 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE SUNDANCE AREA.

0854 AM SNOW LEAD 44.35N 103.77W
10/05/2009 M5.0 INCH LAWRENCE SD CO-OP OBSERVER

LIGHT SNOW NOW.

0900 AM SNOW 15 NNE RECLUSE 44.95N 105.64W
10/05/2009 E5.0 INCH CAMPBELL WY TRAINED SPOTTER

5 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW. VERY LIGHT SNOW NOW.

0908 AM SNOW 12 NNW ALVA 44.85N 104.57W
10/05/2009 E6.0 INCH CROOK WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0908 AM SNOW HILL CITY 43.93N 103.57W
10/05/2009 E8.0 INCH PENNINGTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0912 AM SNOW MOUNT RUSHMORE 43.88N 103.45W
10/05/2009 E7.0 INCH PENNINGTON SD PARK/FOREST SRVC

ESTIMATED 6 TO 7 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW.

0936 AM SNOW 1 NW DOWNTOWN CUSTER 43.78N 103.62W
10/05/2009 M6.0 INCH CUSTER SD CO-OP OBSERVER

0942 AM SNOW 2 SE COLONY 44.85N 104.12W
10/05/2009 E4.0 INCH CROOK WY TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW STARTED AROUND 9 PM LAST NIGHT AND CONTINUED THROUGH
THIS MORNING. LIGHT SNOW NOW.

&&

$$

WETENKAMP

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KUNR [051551]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 051551
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
951 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0840 AM SNOW DEADWOOD 44.38N 103.73W
10/05/2009 E3.0 INCH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

WETENKAMP

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KUNR [051546]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 051546
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
946 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0942 AM SNOW 2 SE COLONY 44.85N 104.12W
10/05/2009 E4.0 INCH CROOK WY TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW STARTED AROUND 9 PM LAST NIGHT AND CONTINUED THROUGH
THIS MORNING. LIGHT SNOW NOW.

&&

$$

WETENKAMP

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KUNR [051538]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 051538
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
937 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0936 AM SNOW 1 NW DOWNTOWN CUSTER 43.78N 103.62W
10/05/2009 M6.0 INCH CUSTER SD CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

WETENKAMP

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KEWX [051534]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 051534
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1034 AM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 ENE ROSANKY 29.95N 97.22W
10/03/2009 BASTROP TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FARM TO MARKET ROAD 535 WAS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER
BETWEEN ROSANKY AND SMITHVILLE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX0900161

$$

PAY

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KUNR [051525]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 051525
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
925 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0908 AM SNOW 12 NNW ALVA 44.85N 104.57W
10/05/2009 E6.0 INCH CROOK WY TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

WETENKAMP

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KUNR [051524]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 051524
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
924 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0912 AM SNOW MOUNT RUSHMORE 43.88N 103.45W
10/05/2009 E7.0 INCH PENNINGTON SD PARK/FOREST SRVC

ESTIMATED 6 TO 7 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW.

&&

$$

WETENKAMP

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KUNR [051510]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 051510
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
910 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0908 AM SNOW HILL CITY 43.93N 103.57W
10/05/2009 E8.0 INCH PENNINGTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

WETENKAMP

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KCHS [051508]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KCHS 051508
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1107 AM EDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 4 E FRIPP ISLAND 32.32N 80.41W
10/05/2009 E49.00 MPH AMZ352 SC OTHER FEDERAL

A 49 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT THE FRIPP NEARSHORE
BUOY FRP2.

&&

$$

JPC

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KEWX [051506]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 051506
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1006 AM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0505 PM HAIL 3 S KINGSBURY 29.61N 97.82W
10/03/2009 E0.75 INCH GUADALUPE TX PUBLIC

PENNY SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED AT THE SILVER WOLF RANCH.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX0900160

$$

PAY

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KCHS [051504]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 051504
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1103 AM EDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM TSTM WND GST 4 E FRIPP ISLAND 32.32N 80.41W
10/05/2009 M49 MPH AMZ352 SC OTHER FEDERAL

A 49 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT THE FRIPP NEARSHORE
BUOY FRP2.

&&

$$

DPB

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KUNR [051504]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 051504
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
903 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM SNOW 15 NNE RECLUSE 44.95N 105.64W
10/05/2009 E5.0 INCH CAMPBELL WY TRAINED SPOTTER

5 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW. VERY LIGHT SNOW NOW.

&&

$$

WETENKAMP

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KLKN [051501]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KLKN 051501
LSRLKN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
801 AM PDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM SNOW 15 NNE CONTACT 41.98N 114.67W
10/04/2009 E5.0 INCH ELKO NV TRAINED SPOTTER

CASINO LOCATED IN JACKPOT

0500 PM SNOW 15 NNE CONTACT 41.97N 114.64W
10/04/2009 M8.0 INCH ELKO NV CO-OP OBSERVER

MEASUREMENT TAKEN IN JACKPOT

&&

$$

MS

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KUNR [051459]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 051459
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
859 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0854 AM SNOW LEAD 44.35N 103.77W
10/05/2009 M5.0 INCH LAWRENCE SD CO-OP OBSERVER

LIGHT SNOW NOW.

&&

$$

WETENKAMP

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KUNR [051458]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 051458
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
858 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0852 AM SNOW SUNDANCE 44.40N 104.37W
10/05/2009 E4.0 INCH CROOK WY TRAINED SPOTTER

3 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE SUNDANCE AREA.

&&

$$

WETENKAMP

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KBOI [051446]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOI 051446
LSRBOI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
844 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0821 AM SNOW 11 E ANDREWS 42.45N 118.41W
10/05/2009 M5.0 INCH HARNEY OR MESONET

SILVIES SNOTEL ELEVATION 6900 FT STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL.

0821 AM SNOW NNE BURNS 43.59N 119.06W
10/05/2009 M6.0 INCH HARNEY OR MESONET

SNOW MOUNTAIN SNOTEL ELEVATION 6220 FT STORM TOTAL
SNOWFALL.

0821 AM SNOW 32 WNW HELLS CANYON DAM 45.40N 117.33W
10/05/2009 M4.0 INCH XXX XX MESONET

TAYLOR GREEN SNOTEL ELEVATION 5740 FT STORM TOTAL
SNOWFALL.

0821 AM SNOW 6 NNE HAINES 45.00N 117.90W
10/05/2009 M4.0 INCH BAKER OR MESONET

SCHNEIDER MEADOWS SNOTEL ELEVATION 5400 FT STORM TOTAL
SNOWFALL.

0821 AM SNOW 6 SW CASCADE 44.46N 116.14W
10/05/2009 M6.0 INCH VALLEY ID MESONET

SQUAW FLAT SNOTEL ELEVATION 6260 FT STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL.

0821 AM SNOW 3 NW MCCALL 44.94N 116.15W
10/05/2009 M4.0 INCH ADAMS ID MESONET

BEAR BASIN SNOTEL ELEVATION 5350 FT STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL.

0821 AM SNOW 11 SE CAMBRIDGE 44.47N 116.50W
10/05/2009 M2.0 INCH WASHINGTON ID MESONET

LONG VALLEY SNOTEL ELEVATION 4890 FT STORM TOTAL
SNOWFALL.

0821 AM HEAVY SNOW 7 W WARM LAKE 44.65N 115.81W
10/05/2009 M17.0 INCH VALLEY ID MESONET

BIG CREEK SUMMIT SNOTEL ELEVATION 6600 FT STORM TOTAL
SNOWFALL.

0821 AM HEAVY SNOW 8 SSE WARM LAKE 44.54N 115.61W
10/05/2009 M17.0 INCH VALLEY ID MESONET

DEADWOOD SUMMIT SNOTEL ELEVATION 7000 FT STORM TOTAL
SNOWFALL.

0821 AM SNOW 16 NW RIDDLE 42.36N 116.33W
10/05/2009 M7.0 INCH OWYHEE ID MESONET

MUD FLAT SNOTEL ELEVATION 5720 FT STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL.

0821 AM SNOW 25 N ALMO 42.45N 116.54W
10/05/2009 M6.0 INCH OWYHEE ID MESONET

SOUTH MOUNTAIN SNOTEL ELEVATION 6340 FT STORM TOTAL
SNOWFALL.

0821 AM SNOW 23 ESE ROGERSON 42.10N 114.17W
10/05/2009 M9.0 INCH CASSIA ID MESONET

MAGIC MOUNTAIN SNOTEL ELEVATION 6700 FT STORM TOTAL
SNOWFALL.

0821 AM HEAVY SNOW 9 ESE THREE CREEK 42.00N 115.00W
10/05/2009 M14.0 INCH TWIN FALLS ID MESONET

WILSON CREEK SNOTEL ELEVATION 7120 FT STORM TOTAL
SNOWFALL.

0821 AM HEAVY SNOW 11 NNW PINE 43.61N 115.43W
10/05/2009 M27.0 INCH ELMORE ID MESONET

TRINITY MOUNTAIN SNOTEL ELEVATION 7780 STORM TOTAL
SNOWFALL.

0821 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 WSW ATLANTA 43.76N 115.23W
10/05/2009 M21.0 INCH ELMORE ID MESONET

ATLANTA SUMMIT SNOTEL ELEVATION 7500 FT STORM TOTAL
SNOWFALL.

0821 AM SNOW 11 NNW ATLANTA 43.93N 115.23W
10/05/2009 M5.0 INCH ELMORE ID MESONET

GRAHAM GUARD STATION ELEVATION 5690 FT STORM TOTAL
SNOWFALL.

0821 AM SNOW 9 W HILL CITY 43.30N 115.23W
10/05/2009 E8.0 INCH ELMORE ID MESONET

BANNER SUMMIT SNOTEL ELEVATION 7040 FT STORM TOTAL
SNOWFALL.

0821 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 W LOWMAN 44.07N 115.67W
10/05/2009 M19.0 INCH BOISE ID MESONET

JACKSON PEAK SNOTEL ELEVATION 7070 FT STORM TOTAL
SNOWFALL.

0821 AM HEAVY SNOW 10 ENE IDAHO CITY 43.90N 115.67W
10/05/2009 M18.0 INCH BOISE ID MESONET

MORES CREEK SUMMIT SNOTEL ELEVATION 6100 FT STORM TOTAL
SNOWFALL.

0821 AM HEAVY SNOW 11 NE BOISE 43.72N 116.07W
10/05/2009 M9.0 INCH BOISE ID MESONET

BOGUS BASIN SNOTEL ELEVATION 6340 FT STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL
ELEVATION. STILL SNOWING AT TIME OF OBSERVATION.

&&

$$

DFISHLER

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KUNR [051444]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 051444
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
844 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0820 AM SNOW CHEYENNE CROSSING 44.30N 103.86W
10/05/2009 E6.0 INCH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW FELL ALL DAY YESTERDAY. STILL SNOWING NOW.

&&

$$

WETENKAMP

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KPIH [051443]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 051443
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
843 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0733 AM SNOW S ASHTON 44.07N 111.45W
10/05/2009 M4.0 INCH FREMONT ID TRAINED SPOTTER

STILL SNOWING

&&

$$

PANGEL

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KUNR [051442]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 051442
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
842 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM SNOW 2 SSE DOWNTOWN GILLETTE 44.26N 105.49W
10/05/2009 E5.0 INCH CAMPBELL WY CO-OP OBSERVER

4.5 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW. STARTED SNOWING AROUND 430 PM
YESTERDAY AND CONTINUED OVERNIGHT UNTIL 630 AM THIS
MORNING. WET SNOW.

&&

$$

WETENKAMP

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KHNX [051434]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 051434
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
734 AM PDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0351 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PIUTES RAWS 35.45N 118.28W
10/04/2009 M48 MPH KERN CA MESONET

&&

$$

SANGER

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KUNR [051430]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 051430
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
829 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 4 S INYAN KARA MOUNTAIN 44.16N 104.35W
10/05/2009 E4.0 INCH WESTON WY TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 3.5 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. SNOW STARTED AT 4PM
YESTERDAY AND ENDED AROUND 7AM THIS MORNING.

&&

$$

WETENKAMP

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KPIH [051342]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 051342
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
742 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0733 AM SNOW 1 E ASHTON 44.07N 111.42W
10/05/2009 M2.0 INCH FREMONT ID TRAINED SPOTTER

STILL SNOWING

&&

$$

PANGEL

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KPIH [051333]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 051333
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
733 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0733 AM SNOW 5 ENE DRIGGS 43.76N 111.01W
10/05/2009 M4.0 INCH TETON WY TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

PANGEL

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KPIH [051316]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 051316
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
716 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0716 AM SNOW 2 SW VICTOR 43.58N 111.14W
10/05/2009 M2.0 INCH TETON ID TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

PANGEL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 051301
SWODY1
SPC AC 051258

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 AM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

VALID 051300Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
NRN PART OF ELONGATED WRN U.S. TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM THE CNTRL RCKYS
INTO THE NRN/CNTRL PLNS THIS PERIOD AS SRN PART EVOLVES INTO A
POSITIVE-TILT CLOSED LOW OVER CNTRL CA. ON SRN FRINGE OF RCKYS
TROUGH...SW TO WSW FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE SRN/CNTRL HI PLNS
THIS AFTN...AND OVER THE SRN HALF OF THE PLNS TONIGHT...AS
SUBTROPICAL RDG LINGERS OVER THE NW GULF OF MEXICO.

AT LWR LVLS...LEE CYCLONE NOW FORMING OVER NE CO SHOULD REDEVELOP S
INTO SE CO LATER TODAY...BEFORE TURNING NE ACROSS KS AND IA TONIGHT/
EARLY TUE. IN RESPONSE...EXPECT FRONT NOW STALLED OVER THE CNTRL
RCKYS TO ACCELERATE SE ACROSS THE CNTRL PLNS DURING THE SECOND HALF
OF THE PERIOD. ALTHOUGH SLY FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN AND DEEPEN AHEAD
OF THE CO LOW...STNRY FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM S CNTRL TX EWD ALONG
THE CNTRL/ERN GULF CST LIKELY WILL EDGE ONLY SLOWLY NEWD TODAY AS
SHALLOW LAYER OF RESIDUAL COOL/MOIST AIR PERSISTS TO ITS N AND E.

...CNTRL/SRN PLNS...
SEASONABLY RICH MOISTURE /WITH PW AT OR WELL ABOVE 1 INCH/ NOW
PRESENT ALONG AND EVEN N OF STALLED FRONT IN S TX WILL SPREAD N
ACROSS MUCH OF THE SRN AND CNTRL PLNS LATER TODAY/TONIGHT AHEAD OF
DEVELOPING COLD FRONT WITH CO LOW. AT THE SAME TIME...MID/UPR LVL
SW TO WSW FLOW WILL INCREASE...WITH 500 MB SPEEDS OF 50-70 KTS FROM
NW TX NWD INTO ERN CO/KS AND NEB.

PERSISTENT MOIST ELY SFC FLOW LIKELY WILL MAINTAIN SOLID TO BKN LOW
CLOUDS OVER MUCH OF W TX TODAY. BUT SOME SUNSHINE MAY OCCUR ALONG
WRN EDGE OF DENSER CLOUDS...WHERE SOME SFC-BASED TSTMS MAY FORM
LATER THIS AFTN INTO EARLY EVE.

DESPITE THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND AMPLE DEEP SHEAR FOR SUSTAINED
STORMS IN W TX...LOW LVL CONVERGENCE WILL REMAIN WEAK AS THE
STRONGEST SLY FLOW AND LLJ DEVELOP FARTHER N OVER THE CNTRL HI PLNS.
IN ADDITION...LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL BE WEAK AND MID LVL
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY WARM /AROUND MINUS 5-6 C AT 500
MB/ ON NW FRINGE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH. FOR THESE REASONS...A
CATEGORICAL SLGT RISK DOES NOT SEEM WARRANTED ATTM. NEVERTHELESS
...AREA WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE UPGRADE SHOULD MORE
SUBSTANTIAL SFC HEATING APPEAR LIKELY TO OCCUR THAN IS NOW EXPECTED.

FARTHER N...COMBINATION OF MORE LIMITED MOISTURE AND A STG EML
SHOULD PROHIBIT SFC-BASED STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG SHARPENING DRY
LINE/LEE TROUGH FROM THE TX/OK PANHANDLES INTO SW KS. STILL FARTHER
N... HOWEVER...INCREASING FORCING FOR ASCENT...MID LVL COLD
ADVECTION...AND SFC HEATING SHOULD SUPPORT LATE AFTN/EVE LOW-TOPPED
STORMS INVOF LEE TROUGH OVER NE CO/SW NEB AND NW KS. THESE MAY
YIELD MARGINALLY SVR HAIL THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.

LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY TUE...40-50 KT SWLY LLJ AND ASSOCIATED
MOISTURE TRANSPORT ATOP RESIDUAL COOL LAYER EXPECTED TO SUPPORT
INCREASING COVERAGE OF ELEVATED TSTMS FROM SW/CNTRL OK NEWD INTO
PARTS OF KS/ERN NEB/IA AND WRN MO. SUFFICIENT ELEVATED CAPE/CLOUD
LAYER SHEAR WILL EXIST FOR A FEW CELLS WITH SVR HAIL.

..CORFIDI/SMITH.. 10/05/2009

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KCHS [051259]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 051259
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
859 AM EDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0758 AM TSTM WND GST HUNTER ARMY AIRFIELD 32.01N 81.15W
10/05/2009 M47 MPH CHATHAM GA OTHER FEDERAL

A 47 MPH WIND GUST WAS RECORDED AT HUNTER ARMY AIRFIELD.

&&

$$

DPB

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KPIH [051253]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 051253
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
653 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0653 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 NNW HAILEY 43.54N 114.32W
10/05/2009 M7.0 INCH BLAINE ID TRAINED SPOTTER

STILL SNOWING

&&

$$

PANGEL

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KLIX [051244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 051244
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
744 AM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 AM FLASH FLOOD SLIDELL 30.28N 89.78W
10/05/2009 ST. TAMMANY LA NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTED PORTIONS OF GAUSE BOULEVARD CLOSED
DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

$$

CBANNAN

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KMSO [051012]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KMSO 051012
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
412 AM MDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG KALISPELL 48.20N 114.31W
10/03/2009 FLATHEAD MT LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWNED ACROSS ROADS, POWER OUTAGES, PHONE OUTAGES
DUE TO TREES FALLING ON LINES. THIS OCCURRED ACROSS THE
KALISPELL, WHITEFISH, COLUMBIA FALLS, POLSON AND BIGFORK
AREAS.

0700 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MISSOULA 46.87N 113.99W
10/03/2009 MISSOULA MT COUNTY OFFICIAL

POWER AND TELEPHONE OUTAGES ACROSS THE MISSOULA AND
RATTLESNAKE VALLEYS DUE TO TREES FALLING ON LINES.

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST LOGAN PASS 48.69N 113.72W
10/04/2009 M87.00 MPH FLATHEAD MT MESONET

SUSTAINED EAST WINDS OF 40 TO 44 MPH WERE ALSO MEASURED
BETWEEN 1000 AM MDT AND 100 PM MDT.

&&

$$

DEROSA

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KLIX [050936]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KLIX 050936
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
436 AM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0412 AM FLASH FLOOD SLIDELL 30.28N 89.78W
10/05/2009 ST. TAMMANY LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLASH FLOODING ACROSS GAUSE BOULEVARD REPORTED TO LAW
ENFORCEMENT.

&&

$$

CBANNAN

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KLIX [050932]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 050932
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
432 AM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0412 AM FLASH FLOOD SLIDELL 30.28N 89.78W
10/05/2009 ST. TAMMANY LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLASH FLOODING ACROSS GUASE BOULEVARD REPORTED TO LAW
ENFORCEMENT.

&&

$$

CBANNAN

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 050901
SWOD48
SPC AC 050901

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0401 AM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

VALID 081200Z - 131200Z

...DISCUSSION...
FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT SMALLER-SCALE DIFFERENCES EMERGE BETWEEN THE
ECMWF AND GFS AS EARLY AS DAY 5 /FRI. OCT. 9/...AS DIFFERENCES IN
TIMING OF THE EJECTING SWRN U.S. TROUGH INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. RESULT
IN A SIGNIFICANTLY DIFFERENT SURFACE PATTERN EVOLUTION.

THESE TIMING DIFFERENCES -- WHILE NOT NEARLY AS SIGNIFICANT DAY 4 --
ARE STILL SUFFICIENT TO CAST SOME DOUBT ON THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
WEATHER OVER THE SRN PLAINS THU. OCT. 8.

BOTH MODELS AGREE THAT A SURFACE LOW WILL LINGER OVER THE
CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS REGION THU AFTERNOON...WITH LIKELY RETURN OF
A HIGH THETA-E BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS TX AND INTO OK AND POSSIBLY SRN
KS. WITH THE MAIN TROUGH ALOFT STILL WELL TO THE W...LARGE-SCALE
SUPPORT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING APPEARS TO REMAIN
SOMEWHAT LACKING. HOWEVER...WITH FAVORABLY-STRONG SWLYS AT MID
LEVELS ATOP WHAT SHOULD BE A MOIST/DESTABILIZING AFTERNOON WARM
SECTOR...SCATTERED STRONG/POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED --
CONTINUING INTO THE OVERNIGHT AS THE LOW SHIFTS EWD AND THE TRAILING
FRONT SHIFTS EWD ACROSS OK/KS AND SWD ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS LATE.
ATTM HOWEVER...SOME DIFFERENCES IN MODEL TIMING AND QUESTIONS
REGARDING THE DEGREE OF UPPER SUPPORT PRECLUDE THE INTRODUCTION OF A
THREAT AREA THIS FORECAST.

..GOSS.. 10/05/2009

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2068

ACUS11 KWNS 050745
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050744
MTZ000-WYZ000-051245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2068
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0244 AM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN AND SRN MT AND NRN WY

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 050744Z - 051245Z

HEAVY SNOW WITH RATES LOCALLY UP TO 1 INCH PER HOUR REMAINS LIKELY
THROUGH THE MORNING FROM NRN WY INTO SRN AND WRN MT. RATES COULD
APPROACH 2 INCHES PER HOUR IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

EARLY THIS MORNING CLOUD TOPS CONTINUE TO COOL ACROSS NRN WY AND SRN
MT WITHIN AREA OF STRONG DIVERGENCE AND AGEOSTROPHIC FORCING IN JET
EXIT REGION THAT IS ROTATING NEWD THROUGH BASE OF UPPER LOW. RADAR
IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPANSIVE ZONE OF PRECIPITATION FROM WRN
THROUGH SRN MT INTO NRN WY IN VICINITY OF 700 MB DEFORMATION AXIS.
PRECIPITATION RATES IN THIS ZONE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AS DEEPER
LARGE SCALE ASCENT SHIFTS NWD...BECOMING CO-LOCATED WITH OROGRAPHIC
FORCING. DEEP ENELY FLOW WILL MAXIMIZE MESOSCALE LIFT ALONG EWD AND
NEWD FACING SLOPES. NEAR SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS ARE NEAR OR JUST ABOVE FREEZING WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT
IN A WET SNOW...AND AS A RESULT COULD LOWER NET ACCUMULATION RATES.
NEVERTHELESS...GIVEN THE STRONG LARGE SCALE AND MESOSCALE FORCING
FOR ASCENT...SNOWFALL RATES WILL AT TIMES LOCALLY EXCEED 1 INCH PER
HOUR...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

..DIAL.. 10/05/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...UNR...BYZ...RIW...TFX...

LAT...LON 47831137 46850951 46370724 45820485 44330534 44550951
46841251 47831137

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 050724
SWODY3
SPC AC 050722

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0222 AM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
AS A POTENT SHORT-WAVE TROUGH EXITS THE NORTHEAST/NEW ENGLAND
THROUGH THE PERIOD...THE UPPER LOW OFF THE COAST OF SRN CA SHOULD
BEGIN EJECTING SLOWLY EWD INTO THE SWRN CONUS. THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO WEAK LEE SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS INVOF ERN CO/WRN KS...WITH
LOW-LEVEL SLYS AND BROAD WARM ADVECTION DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL
AND SRN PLAINS AS A RESULT. THE WARM ADVECTION REGIME WILL SUPPORT
PRIMARILY ELEVATED CONVECTION ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE S CENTRAL U.S.
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

...TRANSPECOS REGION OF W TX AND VICINITY...
WHILE THE SURFACE COLD FRONT SHIFTS EWD OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST AND
SWD TO THE GULF COAST THROUGH THE DAY...THE LINGERING WRN PORTION OF
THE FRONT OVER SWRN TX MAY SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR AN AFTERNOON
INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. WHILE A LACK OF APPRECIABLE
UPPER SUPPORT DUE TO SHORT-WAVE RIDGING SHOULD HINDER OVERALL STORM
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY...ISENTROPIC ASCENT N OF THE FRONT AND
LOW-LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD BOTH CONTRIBUTE TO SUSTENANCE OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS. MUCH OF THE CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN
ELEVATED N OF THE SLOWLY RETREATING FRONT -- SUGGESTING THAT
ISOLATED/MARGINAL HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT. WITH A FEW
SURFACE-BASED STORMS HOWEVER POSSIBLE FROM ROUGHLY THE I20 CORRIDOR
SWD...A FEW STRONGER WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

STORMS SHOULD INCREASE NWD OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT CONTINUES
RETREATING AND THE LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES ACROSS THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS...BUT ANY HAIL POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN QUITE LIMITED.

..GOSS.. 10/05/2009

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KVEF [050603]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 050603
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1103 PM PDT SUN OCT 04 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1113 AM NON-TSTM WND GST TWEEDS POINT RAWS 36.58N 113.73W
10/04/2009 M65.00 MPH MOHAVE AZ MESONET

0708 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MOUNT LOGAN RAWS 36.35N 113.20W
10/04/2009 M62.00 MPH MOHAVE AZ MESONET

0510 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SIERRA ROTORS 01 36.77N 118.28W
10/04/2009 M74.00 MPH INYO CA MESONET

0450 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SIERRA ROTORS 11 36.78N 118.13W
10/04/2009 M58.00 MPH INYO CA MESONET

0430 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SIERRA ROTORS 06 36.81N 118.09W
10/04/2009 M58.00 MPH INYO CA MESONET

0115 AM NON-TSTM WND GST DESERT ROCK (NTS A30) 36.62N 116.02W
10/04/2009 M59.00 MPH NYE NV MESONET

1215 AM NON-TSTM WND GST AREA 16 SE (NTS A11) 37.00N 116.15W
10/04/2009 M63.00 MPH NYE NV MESONET

&&

$$

MORGAN

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 050601
SWODY1
SPC AC 050558

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A SPLIT FLOW REGIME IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF
THE CONUS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE BRUNT OF THE WESTERN STATES
TROUGH...CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN...IS EXPECTED TO
SHIFT NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE
ROCKIES/PLAINS...AHEAD OF A DEEPENING SECONDARY UPPER LOW OVER
NORTHERN CA. AS THIS OCCURS...LEE SIDE CYCLOGENESIS IS ANTICIPATED
ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...WITH A LATTER PERIOD EAST-SOUTHEAST
SURGING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE PLAINS. ELSEWHERE...OTHER
SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL REMAIN COMMON ACROSS THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF COAST
STATES IN VICINITY OF A PERSISTENT WEST-EAST FRONTAL BOUNDARY. OTHER
TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.

...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS...
AS THE PRIMARY UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS...A STRONG MID/UPPER JET WITH
50-70/100-140 KT AT 500 MB/250 MB RESPECTIVELY WILL OVERSPREAD THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES/CENTRAL PLAINS LATER TODAY. AS LEE SIDE
CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS...A MOISTURE-RICH AIRMASS
/70F SURFACE DEWPOINTS/ WILL GENERALLY BE CONFINED TO JUST PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWEST/WEST CENTRAL TX...WITH SURFACE BASED TSTM DEVELOPMENT
POSSIBLE ACROSS THIS REGION FROM MID/LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
EVENING. IN SPITE OF A RATHER MOIST AIRMASS AND AMPLE POTENTIAL
INSTABILITY ACROSS THIS PART OF TX...CONCERNS REGARDING STORM
COVERAGE/VIGOR...OWING TO MODEST WARM SECTOR FORCING AT THAT LOW
LATITUDE AND WARM THERMAL PROFILES ALOFT /-5C AT 500 MB/...PRECLUDE
A CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK AT THIS TIME. FARTHER NORTH...LIMITED
MOISTURE AND A STRONG ELEVATED MIXED LAYER SHOULD OTHERWISE INHIBIT
SURFACE BASED DEEP CONVECTION ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
PLAINS IN VICINITY OF A SHARPENING DRY LINE/LEE TROUGH. ONE
EXCEPTION DIURNALLY WILL BE THE DEVELOPMENT OF MARGINALLY
UNSTABLE/LOW TOPPED CONVECTIVE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ACROSS THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS IN VICINITY OF THE SURFACE LEE TROUGH...WHICH
MAY BE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME HAIL ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN KS/FAR
EASTERN CO AND PERHAPS WESTERN NEB UNTIL AROUND SUNSET.

LATER TONIGHT...A CONSIDERABLY STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET /40-50
KT/ ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS LATE THIS
EVENING/OVERNIGHT...AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE TRANSPORT ABOVE A
COOL/STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER...WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASING
ELEVATED TSTM COVERAGE NOCTURNALLY ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTH CENTRAL
PLAINS AND LOWER/MIDDLE MO RIVER VALLEY. SUFFICIENT ELEVATED
BUOYANCY WILL LIKELY COINCIDE WITH AMPLE SHEAR THROUGH THE CLOUD
BEARING LAYER TO SUPPORT AT LEAST SOME RISK FOR ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL
TONIGHT.

..GUYER/GARNER.. 10/05/2009

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 050601
SWODY2
SPC AC 050600

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT MON OCT 05 2009

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PORTIONS OF MS/AR/LA WSWWD
ACROSS CENTRAL TX...

...SYNOPSIS...
WHILE AN UPPER LOW DEVELOPS NEAR/JUST OFF THE CA COAST AND A SECOND
DRIFTS NEWD OUT OF NEW ENGLAND AND ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...A
SHORT-WAVE TROUGH PROGGED TO CROSS THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY/GREAT LAKES
REGION WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY FEATURE ALOFT WITH RESPECT TO THE
SEVERE/CONVECTIVE FORECAST THIS PERIOD.

AS THIS FEATURE MOVES QUICKLY EWD...AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE SYSTEM
WILL DO LIKEWISE. A COLD FRONT -- INITIALLY TRAILING FROM A LOW
INVOF IA SSWWD INTO CENTRAL OK AND THEN ON INTO SOUTHWEST TX -- WILL
MOVE QUICKLY EWD ACROSS THE MS/TN/OH VALLEYS THROUGH THE
DAY...LIKELY ARRIVING E OF THE APPALACHIANS BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD. SWD PROGRESS WILL BE LESS RAPID HOWEVER...WITH THE TRAILING
PORTION OF THE FRONT PROGGED TO EXTEND FROM N GA WSWWD ACROSS THE
GULF COAST STATES AND INTO S TX AT THE END OF THE PERIOD.

...OH VALLEY REGION SWWD INTO TX...
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE ONGOING AHEAD OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION SWWD
ACROSS THE MID AND UPPER MS VALLEY INTO OK/TX. VERY LIMITED
POTENTIAL FOR HEATING/DESTABILIZATION FROM ROUGHLY THE MID MS/TN
VALLEY REGION NWD WILL HINDER APPRECIABLE SEVERE POTENTIAL AS
CONVECTION SPREADS EWD THROUGH THE PERIOD...AND THUS WILL INCLUDE
ONLY 5% SEVERE PROBABILITY ACROSS THIS REGION DESPITE THE PASSAGE OF
A SIGNIFICANT FRONT AND VERY STRONG ACCOMPANYING FLOW ALOFT.

FARTHER SW -- FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY REGION WSWWD ACROSS CENTRAL
TX...A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR HEATING SUGGESTS AFTERNOON MIXED-LAYER
CAPE VALUES AVERAGING 500 TO 1000 J/KG AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS
THIS REGION. THOUGH MOST OF THE LARGE-SCALE UPPER SUPPORT FOR
ASCENT WILL REMAIN WELL N OF THIS AREA...STORMS SHOULD INCREASE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON NEAR AND N OF THE FRONT AS IT SHIFTS SWD/SEWD
WITH TIME.

WHILE STRONGER FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN N OF THE FRONT...30 TO 40 KT
MID-LEVEL WSWLYS ATOP SLY BOUNDARY-LAYER WINDS WILL YIELD SHEAR
SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED -- AND IN SOME CASES ROTATING -- STORMS.
HAIL WILL LIKELY BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT -- WITH SOME OF THE
CONVECTION EXPECTED TO BE ELEVATED N OF THE SURFACE FRONT. ANY
SURFACE-BASED STORMS -- PARTICULARLY OVER ERN PORTIONS OF THE SLIGHT
RISK AREA WHERE THE FLOW ALOFT WILL CROSS THE SURFACE FRONT AT A
GREATER ANGLE -- WILL ALSO POSE A THREAT FOR LOCALLY-DAMAGING WINDS.
SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD BEGIN WANING OVERNIGHT...WITH HAIL LIKELY
TO BECOME THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT WITH ONGOING/ELEVATED STORMS.

..GOSS.. 10/05/2009

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