KCRP [170148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KCRP 170148
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
848 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1045 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 NNE LAREDO 27.64N 99.44W
05/15/2008 WEBB TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

A FEW HIGHWAY SIGNS ALONG INTERSTATE 35 BLOWN DOWN NEAR
MILE MARKER 8.

1256 AM TSTM WND DMG BENAVIDES 27.60N 98.41W
05/16/2008 DUVAL TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN. PART OF GYMNASIUM ROOF
TOUR OFF THE OLD ELEMENTARY SCHOOL. THE HIGH SCHOOL
AUDITORIUM RECIEVED ROOF DAMAGED. STADIUM LIGHTS TWISTED
AND DAMAGED AND DUGOUT ROOF RIPPED OFF AT LOCAL BASEBALL
FIELD.

0120 AM TSTM WND DMG 11 SSW ALICE 27.94N 98.24W
05/16/2008 DUVAL TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE BLOWN OVER NEAR PALITO BLANCO ON FM 735.

0156 AM MARINE TSTM WIND KINGSVILLE 27.51N 97.86W
05/16/2008 M41.00 MPH KLEBERG TX ASOS

0236 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 5 E CORPUS CHRISTI 27.71N 97.21W
05/16/2008 M51.00 MPH GMZ230 TX MESONET

CC BAY TCOON STATION

0236 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 20 SSE CORPUS CHRISTI 27.44N 97.17W
05/16/2008 M43.00 MPH GMZ250 TX MESONET

BIRD ISLAND TCOON STATION

0255 AM MARINE TSTM WIND CORPUS CHRISTI 27.71N 97.29W
05/16/2008 M43.00 MPH NUECES TX ASOS

NAVY CORPUS CHRISTI

0348 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 12 SE CORPUS CHRISTI 27.58N 97.15W
05/16/2008 M45.00 MPH GMZ250 TX MESONET

BOB HALL PIER

1256 PM DOWNBURST BENAVIDES 27.60N 98.41W
05/16/2008 DUVAL TX NWS STORM SURVEY

NWS STORM SURVEY OF DAMAGE IN BENAVIDES REVEALED A
DIVERGENT, DOWNBURST WIND DAMAGE PATTERN ABOUT 1 MILE
WIDE AND 3 MILES LONG ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF BENAVIDES
NEAR HIGHWAY 359 AND 339. DAMAGE WAS MAINLY TO TREES,
METAL ROOFS AND WEAKER, WEST FACING STRUCTURES IN THE
AREA. WIND SPEEDS ARE ESTIMATED TO HAVE BEEN 65 TO 75
MPH. SEE PREVIOUS LSR FOR SPECIFIC DAMAGE REPORTS.

&&

$$

MJG

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KDLH [170148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KDLH 170148
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
847 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0655 PM TSTM WND DMG 14 NE HAYWARD 46.15N 91.27W
05/16/2008 SAWYER WI TRAINED SPOTTER

FIRE DEPT SPOTTER NEAR SPIDER LAKE. MANY ONE FOOT IN DIA
TREES DOWN.

&&

$$

MELDE

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook Amend 1

ACUS01 KWNS 161938
SWODY1
SPC AC 161936

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AMEND 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0236 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

VALID 161933Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NRN FL ACROSS THE
CENTRAL/ERN CAROLINAS INTO SERN VA...

RETRANSMITTED PER REQUEST

...NRN FL INTO PARTS OF SRN/EAST CENTRAL GA...
CONVECTIVE MESOSYSTEM IS MOVING EWD AT 30-40 KT ACROSS THE NERN GULF
COAST REGION...WITH RADAR INDICATING A BOW ECHO STRUCTURE ADVANCING
ALONG THE NWRN FL COAST. SURFACE WIND GUSTS FROM METAR OBSERVATIONS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE BOW ECHO DURING THE LAST HOUR
HAVE BEEN LIMITED TO 20-25 KT...SUGGESTING THAT WEAK LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND NEAR SATURATED LOW LEVEL ENVIRONMENT SHOWN ON TLH SOUNDING
MAY BE CURRENTLY LIMITING DOWNDRAFT ENHANCEMENT.
HOWEVER...INCREASINGLY STRONG WLY FLOW ALOFT/DEEP LAYER SHEAR
SPREADING ACROSS THE REGION MAY SUPPORT CONTINUED EWD MOVEMENT OF
THE CONVECTIVE BAND FROM THE NWRN FL COAST SWD INTO THE ADJACENT
GULF...WITH POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING HOURS.

DOWNSTREAM FROM THE BOW ECHO...AN EXTENSIVE BAND OF SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS PARTS OF NRN FL INTO SRN GA.
DIURNAL HEATING WITHIN THE CONVECTIVE BAND IS LIKELY TO BE
DIMINISHED AND THIS MAY HELP TO ESTABLISH DIFFERENTIAL HEATING
BOUNDARIES ALONG THE NRN AND SRN EDGES OF THE CONVECTIVE BAND.
MESOSCALE CIRCULATIONS ALONG THESE THERMAL BOUNDARIES MAY RESULT IN
NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PARTS OF NRN FL AND CENTRAL GA.
DESPITE MODEST DEEP LAYER LAPSE RATES ACROSS THESE REGIONS AND
GENERALLY WESTERLY UNIDIRECTIONAL WINDS IMMEDIATELY ABOVE THE
GROUND...STRONG HEATING AND DEW POINTS NEAR 70F WILL PROMOTE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS. INCREASING DEEP LAYER
SHEAR WILL ENHANCE STORM ORGANIZATION...AND STEEPENING LOW LEVEL
LAPSE RATES INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW DOWNBURSTS TO DEVELOP WITH
STRONGEST STORMS.

...CENTRAL/ERN CAROLINAS INTO SERN VA...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS INITIAL SHORT WAVE TROUGH HAS MOVED OFF
THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WITH SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM.
UPSTREAM TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE EWD TOWARD THE APPALACHIANS THIS EVENING. CURRENT SURFACE
LOW OVER THE DELMARVA REGION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EWD OFF THE COAST
THIS EVENING...WITH SWWD TRAILING COLD FRONT PROGRESSING ACROSS VA
AND THE ERN CAROLINAS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE SCALE
DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT AND COOLING ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE MS
VALLEY TROUGH IS LIKELY TO REMAIN WEST OF THE SURFACE COLD
FRONT...SUGGESTING THAT FRONTAL CONVERGENCE WILL PROVIDE THE PRIMARY
MESOSCALE FOCUS FOR POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS
SOME QUESTION CONCERNING THE DEPTH OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE LAYER AS
WINDS ALOFT BECOME WLY ABOVE THE SURFACE AND THE EFFECTIVENESS OF
THE FRONT TO INITIATE CONVECTION WITHIN A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT. HOWEVER...MOST MODELS DEVELOP STORMS ALONG THE FRONT
THIS AFTERNOON...AND GIVEN THE STRONG DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR
ACROSS THE REGION COUPLED WITH STRONG HEATING/STEEPENING LOW LEVEL
LAPSE RATES EXPECTED...THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL EXIST
FROM EARLY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

..SPC.. 05/16/2008

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0946

ACUS11 KWNS 161907
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161906
FLZ000-GAZ000-162000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0946
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0206 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 161906Z - 162000Z

AN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE THREAT MAY DEVELOP ACROSS NRN FL BY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MARGINAL
AND A WW APPEARS UNLIKELY ATTM.

A CONVECTIVE LINE IS CURRENTLY ORGANIZING FROM TALLAHASSEE SWWD INTO
THE NERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THIS LINE SHOULD MOVE EWD ACROSS THE NRN
FL PENINSULA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE LATEST RUC GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES HAVE REACHED ABOUT 7.5 C/KM ACROSS PARTS OF
NRN FL AND FURTHER STEEPENING IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
THIS COMBINED WITH INCREASING LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND
PROFILES EVIDENT ON REGIONAL FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST AN ISOLATED
WIND DAMAGE THREAT MAY DEVELOP. HOWEVER...INSTABILITY IS CURRENTLY
WEAK WITH MLCAPE VALUES BELOW 1000 J/KG ACROSS THE MD AREA. THIS
SHOULD LIMIT UPDRAFT STRENGTH WITH THE MORE ORGANIZED LINE SEGMENTS
KEEPING ANY WIND DAMAGE THREAT MARGINAL.

..BROYLES.. 05/16/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...

29468117 28958225 29128304 29668357 30498346 30828244
30468137

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KBRO [161906]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KBRO 161906
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
205 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0309 AM TSTM WND DMG 12 WNW EDINBURG 26.36N 98.34W
05/16/2008 HIDALGO TX EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 6 INJ *** HIDALGO COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED
AT LEAST 20 MOBILE HOMES DAMAGED, 5 DESTROYED. 6 PEOPLE
TAKEN TO THE HOSPITAL WITH INJURIES.

0309 AM TSTM WND DMG 12 WNW EDINBURG 26.36N 98.34W
05/16/2008 HIDALGO TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIDALGO COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTED MULTIPLE MOBILE HOMES
OVERTURNED BY STRAIGHT LINE WINDS ON FM1925 BETWEEN LOS
EBANOS AND INSPIRATION.

0400 AM TSTM WND DMG SANTA ROSA 26.25N 97.83W
05/16/2008 CAMERON TX BROADCAST MEDIA

TRUCK FLIPPED OVER IN DRIVEWAY AT INTERSECTION OF
ORPHANAGE AND LOUISIANA. POWER LINES ALSO BLOWN DOWN.

0405 AM TSTM WND GST HARLINGEN 26.20N 97.69W
05/16/2008 E0.00 MPH CAMERON TX OTHER FEDERAL

HARLINGEN TOWER CHIEF REPORTS WEST TOWER CAB WINDOW BLOWN
OUT FROM LAST NIGHTS 86 MPH WIND GUST. DEBRIS FROM
ADJACENT BUILDING ROOF IN TOWER CAB.

0405 AM TSTM WND GST HARLINGEN 26.20N 97.69W
05/16/2008 M86.00 MPH CAMERON TX ASOS

HARLINGEN AIRPORT ASOS REPORTED WINDS OF 69G75KTS AT
0405.

&&

$$

HART

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KBRO [161851]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 161851
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
151 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 AM TSTM WND DMG SANTA ROSA 26.25N 97.83W
05/16/2008 CAMERON TX BROADCAST MEDIA

TRUCK FLIPPED OVER IN DRIVEWAY AT INTERSECTION OF
ORPHANAGE AND LOUISIANA. POWER LINES ALSO BLOWN DOWN.

&&

$$

HART

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0945

ACUS11 KWNS 161820
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161820
MDZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-161915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0945
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0120 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN VA AND SRN MD

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 161820Z - 161915Z

A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS ERN VA AND SRN MD
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WIND DAMAGE AND ISOLATED HAIL SHOULD BE THE
MAIN THREATS WITH THE ACTIVITY. A WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A MOIST AXIS EXTENDING NWD ACROSS ERN NC
INTO ERN VA WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S F. A
COLD FRONT EXTENDS SWWD FROM A SFC LOW ACROSS WCNTRL VA INTO WRN NC.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN THE FOOTHILLS OF THE APPALACHIAN
MTNS ALONG AND JUST TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT DUE TO SFC HEATING AND
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. ALTHOUGH RUC ANALYSIS SUGGEST INSTABILITY
REMAINS VERY WEAK ACROSS THE REGION...REGIONAL WSR-88D VWPS SHOW
STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR IN PLACE ASSOCIATED WITH THE LEFT EXIT REGION
OF A 55 TO 65 KT MID-LEVEL JET. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT MARGINALLY
SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL AS
INSTABILITY AND LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES INCREASE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

..BROYLES.. 05/16/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...

36947690 37127606 37397568 37947540 38267562 38377599
38447707 38287777 38017826 37057931 36527861 36647770

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KMQT [161742]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 161742
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
141 PM EDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0140 PM HAIL CRYSTAL FALLS 46.10N 88.33W
05/16/2008 M0.25 INCH IRON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

KFLEEGEL

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 161727
SWODY2
SPC AC 161724

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1224 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH...CURRENTLY DIGGING SEWD ACROSS MANITOBA
INTO THE WRN PART OF NRN ONTARIO...IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN AS IT
TRACKS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION ON SATURDAY WITH A LONG WAVE
TROUGH DEVELOPING ACROSS THE ERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE COUNTRY. A
SERIES OF IMPULSES WILL TRANSLATE SEWD THROUGH THE WRN/SRN
PERIPHERIES OF THIS SYSTEM FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY TO THE SRN GREAT
LAKES REGION. IN THE WEST...A STRONG RIDGE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED
OVER CA...WITH THE NRN EXTENT EXPECTED TO BREAK DOWN ACROSS
WA/ORE/ID INTO BC AS A PACIFIC TROUGH LOCATED CURRENTLY AT 40N/157W
REACHES WRN CANADA SATURDAY NIGHT.

AT THE SURFACE...MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT SHOWING A COLD FRONT
MOVING SWD INTO FL AND WEAKENING WITH TIME...WHILE FARTHER N A COLD
FRONT TRACKS SEWD ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY REGION
THROUGH THE DAY. BOTH OF THESE BOUNDARIES SHOULD SERVE AS A FOCUS
FOR AFTERNOON CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT IS LOW.

...LOWER GREAT LAKES/UPPER OH VALLEY REGION...
MODEST BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE /DEWPOINTS APPROACHING 50 F/ AHEAD OF
AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT AND BENEATH H5 TEMPERATURES AROUND -20 C
SHOULD YIELD AT LEAST MINIMAL AFTERNOON DESTABILIZATION. GIVEN
STRONG FORCING ALONG THE FRONT AND JUST AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW...
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FAST-MOVING LINE OF LOW-TOPPED SHOWERS AND
STORMS REMAINS LIKELY PER LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE. STRONG AND
GENERALLY UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD ANTICIPATED ACROSS
THIS AREA AS 50-70 KT WLY MID LEVEL WINDS ROUND BASE OF UPPER LOW
THROUGH THE OH VALLEY TO MID ATLANTIC REGION SUPPORTS THE POTENTIAL
FOR A FAST MOVING LINE OF CONVECTION. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH A
WSWLY 40 KT LLJ AND STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES EXPECTED DURING PEAK
HEATING SUGGEST THE GREATEST SEVERE POTENTIAL WOULD BE DAMAGING
WINDS. HOWEVER...WEAK INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT THE OVERALL
SEVERE POTENTIAL...WITH THIS OUTLOOK MAINTAINING LOW /5%/ SEVERE
PROBABILITIES.

...FL PENINSULA...
AIR MASS ALONG AND S OF THE WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN MOIST
WITH DAY TIME HEATING CONTRIBUTING TO AFTERNOON MUCAPE VALUES OF
500-1000 J/KG ACROSS CENTRAL FL. ALTHOUGH DEEP WLY WIND FIELD WILL
LIKELY LIMIT CONVERGENCE ALONG THE COLD FRONT...LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE SHOULD BE ENHANCED ALONG THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE
SUPPORTING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. 40 KT WLY MID LEVEL WINDS WILL
SUPPORT 35-40 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR A FEW STRONGER TSTMS... AND
THUS WILL MAINTAIN LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES.

..PETERS.. 05/16/2008

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KSHV [161718]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 161718
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1218 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0937 AM FUNNEL CLOUD 3 N TEXARKANA 33.49N 94.02W
05/02/2008 MILLER AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD ON THE NORTH SIDE
OF THE CITY.

&&

$$

04

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KSHV [161710]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 161710
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1210 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0849 AM FUNNEL CLOUD 4 S MINEOLA 32.62N 95.48W
05/02/2008 WOOD TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

MINEOLA FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD SOUTH OF
MINEOLA WITH A STORM THAT HAD BEEN TORNADIC IN THE TOWN
OF CANTON TEXAS.

&&

$$

04

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KSHV [161707]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 161707
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1207 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0925 AM HAIL 3 SSE LINDALE 32.47N 95.39W
05/02/2008 E1.00 INCH SMITH TX NWS STORM SURVEY

NWS STORM SURVEY ON MAY 3 2008 AND EYEWITNESSES CONFIRM 1
INCH HAIL OCCURRED AT THE INTERSECTION OF HWY 69 AND I-20
NORTH OF TYLER. CARS PULLED UNDER THE INTERCHANGE TO
AVOID THE HAIL.

&&

$$

04

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KLIX [161634]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 161634
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1134 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 AM TSTM WND DMG THIBODAUX 29.79N 90.82W
05/16/2008 LAFOURCHE LA EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

$$

25

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 161630
SWODY1
SPC AC 161629

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

VALID 161630Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NRN FL ACROSS THE
CENTRAL/ERN CAROLINAS INTO SERN VA...

...NRN FL INTO PARTS OF SRN/EAST CENTRAL GA...
CONVECTIVE MESOSYSTEM IS MOVING EWD AT 30-40 KT ACROSS THE NERN GULF
COAST REGION...WITH RADAR INDICATING A BOW ECHO STRUCTURE ADVANCING
ALONG THE NWRN FL COAST. SURFACE WIND GUSTS FROM METAR OBSERVATIONS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE BOW ECHO DURING THE LAST HOUR
HAVE BEEN LIMITED TO 20-25 KT...SUGGESTING THAT WEAK LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND NEAR SATURATED LOW LEVEL ENVIRONMENT SHOWN ON TLH SOUNDING
MAY BE CURRENTLY LIMITING DOWNDRAFT ENHANCEMENT.
HOWEVER...INCREASINGLY STRONG WLY FLOW ALOFT/DEEP LAYER SHEAR
SPREADING ACROSS THE REGION MAY SUPPORT CONTINUED EWD MOVEMENT OF
THE CONVECTIVE BAND FROM THE NWRN FL COAST SWD INTO THE ADJACENT
GULF...WITH POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING HOURS.

DOWNSTREAM FROM THE BOW ECHO...AN EXTENSIVE BAND OF SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS PARTS OF NRN FL INTO SRN GA.
DIURNAL HEATING WITHIN THE CONVECTIVE BAND IS LIKELY TO BE
DIMINISHED AND THIS MAY HELP TO ESTABLISH DIFFERENTIAL HEATING
BOUNDARIES ALONG THE NRN AND SRN EDGES OF THE CONVECTIVE BAND.
MESOSCALE CIRCULATIONS ALONG THESE THERMAL BOUNDARIES MAY RESULT IN
NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PARTS OF NRN FL AND CENTRAL GA.
DESPITE MODEST DEEP LAYER LAPSE RATES ACROSS THESE REGIONS AND
GENERALLY WESTERLY UNIDIRECTIONAL WINDS IMMEDIATELY ABOVE THE
GROUND...STRONG HEATING AND DEW POINTS NEAR 70F WILL PROMOTE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS. INCREASING DEEP LAYER
SHEAR WILL ENHANCE STORM ORGANIZATION...AND STEEPENING LOW LEVEL
LAPSE RATES INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW DOWNBURSTS TO DEVELOP WITH
STRONGEST STORMS.

...CENTRAL/ERN CAROLINAS INTO SERN VA...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS INITIAL SHORT WAVE TROUGH HAS MOVED OFF
THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WITH SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM.
UPSTREAM TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE EWD TOWARD THE APPALACHIANS THIS EVENING. CURRENT SURFACE
LOW OVER THE DELMARVA REGION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EWD OFF THE COAST
THIS EVENING...WITH SWWD TRAILING COLD FRONT PROGRESSING ACROSS VA
AND THE ERN CAROLINAS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE SCALE
DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT AND COOLING ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE MS
VALLEY TROUGH IS LIKELY TO REMAIN WEST OF THE SURFACE COLD
FRONT...SUGGESTING THAT FRONTAL CONVERGENCE WILL PROVIDE THE PRIMARY
MESOSCALE FOCUS FOR POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS
SOME QUESTION CONCERNING THE DEPTH OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE LAYER AS
WINDS ALOFT BECOME WLY ABOVE THE SURFACE AND THE EFFECTIVENESS OF
THE FRONT TO INITIATE CONVECTION WITHIN A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT. HOWEVER...MOST MODELS DEVELOP STORMS ALONG THE FRONT
THIS AFTERNOON...AND GIVEN THE STRONG DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR
ACROSS THE REGION COUPLED WITH STRONG HEATING/STEEPENING LOW LEVEL
LAPSE RATES EXPECTED...THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL EXIST
FROM EARLY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

..WEISS/GRAMS.. 05/16/2008

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KSHV [161618]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 161618
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1118 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0842 PM TORNADO 8 W HOCHATOWN 34.21N 94.81W
04/09/2008 MCCURTAIN OK NWS STORM SURVEY

NWS SURVEY AND EYEWITNESS ACCOUNTS CONFIRMED THAT AN EF0
TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN THE EVENING OF APRIL 9 2008 WEST OF
HOCHATOWN IN AN UNIHABITED AREA ALONG CEDAR CREEK TRAIL.
A FEW TREES WERE SNAPPED OFF AND UPROOTED IN A 150 YARD
WIDE PATH THAT IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1 MILE LONG. THE
TORNADO IS ESTIMATED TO HAVE BEEN ON THE GROUND FOR 2
MINUTES.

&&

$$

04

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KSHV [161612]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 161612
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1111 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0826 PM TORNADO 1 SSW PICKENS 34.38N 95.04W
04/09/2008 MCCURTAIN OK NWS STORM SURVEY

NWS SURVEY AND EYEWITNESS REPORTS CONFIRMED THAT AN EF0
ROPE TORNADO BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN SOUTH OF PICKENS ON THE
EVENING OF APRIL 9 2008. THE TIME IS ESTIMATED FROM THE
TIME A CALL WAS MADE FROM THE RINGGOLD FIRE DEPARTMENT TO
THE PICKENS FIRE DEPARTMENT NOTIFYING THEM OF THE
SIGHTING AND FROM RADAR. ONLY A FEW TREES WERE DAMAGED IN
AN UNINHABITED AREA SOUTH OF PICKENS. THE PATH IS
ESTIMATED AT 1 MILE LONG AND 100 YARDS WIDE. EYEWITNESS

REPORTS ESTIMATE THE TORNADO ON THE GROUND FOR 3 MINUTES.

&&

$$

04

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook Amend 1

ACUS01 KWNS 161554
SWODY1
SPC AC 161551

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AMEND 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1051 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

VALID 161547Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PORTIONS OF FL PNHDL/SRN
GA INTO THE SRN CHESAPEAKE...

RETRANSMITTED PER REQUEST

...ERN CAROLINAS AND SERN VA...
BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL VEER TO WLY AND WEAKEN IN WAKE OF LEAD
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING OFFSHORE. THIS WILL LIMIT THE RETURN OF
RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RESIDING ACROSS THE CNTRL AND NERN GULF
COASTAL AREA. EXISTING MOISTURE WITH DEWPOINTS GENERALLY FROM 60-64
WILL PERSIST IN THIS REGION WHICH...ALONG WITH DIABATIC
HEATING...WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DESTABILIZATION. HOWEVER...WEAK MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT MLCAPE TO AOB 800 J/KG. THE MARGINAL
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WILL SERVE AS A PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR
FOR A MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT.

AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZES...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
STORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG SEWD ADVANCING COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONGER Q-G FORCING ATTENDING THE
AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH WILL PROBABLY REMAIN IN POST FRONTAL
ZONE...SUGGESTING DEEP CONVERGENCE AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE ALONG
OR AHEAD OF THE FRONT MAY REMAIN SOMEWHAT LIMITED. DESPITE THE
MODEST AND VEERED LOW LEVEL FLOW...BULK SHEAR OF 40-50 KT WILL EXIST
IN PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR. STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
SUPPORT A THREAT OF MAINLY ISOLATED STRONG-DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH
ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON.

...FL PANHANDLE AND NRN FL THROUGH S GA...
PLUME OF DEEP SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE IS SHIFTING EWD INTO THIS REGION.
OBSERVED DATA SHOWS CONVECTION INCREASING WITHIN THIS PLUME...WITH
EXPANSIVE MCC DEVELOPING OVER MUCH OF THE WRN GULF BASIN INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. THIS MCC WILL AMPLIFY MCV/SHORTWAVE
TROUGH LIKELY LIFTING NEWD THROUGH SRN BRANCH OF WLYS. WIDESPREAD
CLOUDS AND CONVECTION WILL LIKELY SPREAD NEWD THROUGH THE NERN GULF
BY EARLY FRIDAY...WITH WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LIMITED
POTENTIAL FOR DESTABILIZATION. GOES SOUNDER AND 12Z SOUNDINGS
DEPICT LARGE PLUME OF NEAR 2" PW OVERSPREADING THE REGION.
HOWEVER...RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALREADY IN PLACE WITH LOWER 70F
DEWPOINTS WILL RESULT IN AT LEAST MARGINAL INSTABILITY WITH ANY
AMOUNT OF HEATING.

MODELS DO INCREASE THE WSWLY LOW LEVEL WINDS...MOST LIKELY IN
RESPONSE TO APPROACHING SRN BRANCH SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE GFS IS THE
STRONGEST WITH THIS FEATURE...BUT APPEARS A BIT OVERDONE BY
CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK. REGARDLESS...MODERATELY STRONG WSLY DEEP LAYER
FLOW WITH 35 TO 45 KT BULK SHEAR WOULD SUPPORT A THREAT FOR
ORGANIZED STORMS AND MAINLY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AS POSSIBLE MCS
TRACKS NEWD ACROSS SRN GA INTO FAR SRN SC THROUGH THE DAY.

..SPC.. 05/16/2008

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KSHV [161535]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KSHV 161535
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1034 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1250 AM TSTM WND DMG WINNSBORO 32.96N 95.29W
05/15/2008 WOOD TX NWS STORM SURVEY

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS OF 90 TO 100 MPH THAT OCCURREDFROM
APPROXIMATELY 1250 AM. NUMEROUS HOUSES WERE DAMAGED
THROUGHOUT WINNSBORO AND SURROUNDING AREAS FROM FALLING
TREES. SOME OF THEM SEVERELY DAMAGED. AND AS A RESULT OF
THE HUNDREDS OF TREES DOWNED...WATER LINES INTO THE AREA
WERE BROKEN AND POWER OUTAGES WERE WIDESPREAD. NUMEROUS
CARS WERE ALSO SEVERELY DAMAGED IN WINNSBORO DUE TO
FALLING TREES. SEVERAL CATTLE WERE KILLED WEST OF
WINNSBORO NR THE HOPKINS AND WOOD COUNTY LINE FROM
FALLING TREES.

&&

$$

04

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KSHV [161531]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 161531
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1031 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1250 AM TORNADO 1 NW WINNSBORO 32.97N 95.31W
05/15/2008 FRANKLIN TX NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF1 TORNADO TRACK OCCURRED ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF
WINNSBORO ALONG HWY 11 AND TRACKED EASTWARD CROSSING
GREENWOOD STREET WHERE A MOBILE HOME SUSTAINED MINOR
DAMAGE. THE TORNADO CONTINUED EASTWARD CROSSING HWY 37
WHERE SEVERAL LARGE TREES WERE SNAPPED AND UPROOTED. THE
TORNADO HEADED EASTWARD CROSSING FM 1448 SNAPPING AND
UPROOTED A FEW TREES BEFORE LIFTING. THE PATH WAS
APPROXIMATELY 3 MILES LONG AND 100 YARDS WIDE AT ITS
WIDEST POINT.

&&

$$

04

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KSHV [161517]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KSHV 161517
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1016 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 AM TORNADO 11 NNE REKLAW 32.01N 94.92W
05/14/2008 RUSK TX NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF1 TORNADO WITH WINDS OF 105 TO 110 MPH OCCURRED
DESTROYING A MANUFACTURED HOME...A TRAVEL TRAILER...A
BARN AND SEVERAL OUTBUILDINGS IN A TRACK THAT BEGAN WEST
OF CR 1798 AND ENDED 7 MILES NORTHEAST ON THE EAST SIDE
OF CR 461. THE TORNADO WAS ON THE GROUND FROM 930AM UNTIL
940 AM AND WAS 300 YARDS WIDE AT ITS WIDEST POINT.

&&

$$

04

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KBRO [161430]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 161430
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
929 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0309 AM TSTM WND DMG 12 WNW EDINBURG 26.36N 98.34W
05/16/2008 HIDALGO TX EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 6 INJ *** HIDALGO COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED
AT LEAST 20 MOBILE HOMES DAMAGED, 5 DESTROYED. 6 PEOPLE
TAKEN TO THE HOSPITAL WITH INJURIES.

&&

$$

CAMPBELL

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KBRO [161402]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corr

NWUS54 KBRO 161402
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
859 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0405 AM TSTM WND DMG HARLINGEN 26.20N 97.69W
05/16/2008 CAMERON TX OTHER FEDERAL

HARLINGEN TOWER CHIEF REPORTS WEST TOWER CAB WINDOW BLOWN
OUT FROM LAST NIGHTS 86 MPH WIND GUST. DEBRIS FROM
ADJACENT BUILDING ROOF IN TOWER CAB.

&&

$$
CAMPBELL

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KSJT [161401]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 161401
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
901 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 PM HAIL 4 NW EDEN 31.26N 99.89W
05/14/2008 E1.75 INCH CONCHO TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0545 PM HAIL NW EDEN 31.22N 99.85W
05/14/2008 E2.00 INCH CONCHO TX CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

24

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KBRO [161359]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 161359
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
859 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0405 AM TSTM WND GST HARLINGEN 26.20N 97.69W
05/16/2008 E0 MPH CAMERON TX OTHER FEDERAL

HARLINGEN TOWER CHIEF REPORTS WEST TOWER CAB WINDOW BLOWN
OUT FROM LAST NIGHTS 86 MPH WIND GUST. DEBRIS FROM
ADJACENT BUILDING ROOF IN TOWER CAB.

&&

$$

CAMPBELL

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KMFR [161332]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 161332
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
632 AM PDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0632 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT 4 NE GOLD BEACH 42.45N 124.37W
05/16/2008 M108 F CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

MAX TEMPERATURE FOR MAY 15TH 2008

&&

$$

BUNKER

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0944

ACUS11 KWNS 161255
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161255
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-161430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0944
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AL...FL PNHDL...SWRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 161255Z - 161430Z

STORMS WILL LIKELY INCREASE ALONG THE NERN GULF COAST AND INLAND
ACROSS THE FL PNHDL TO PARTS OF SRN AL AND SWRN GA THROUGH THE
MORNING AS LIFT AND DESTABILIZATION GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN OVER THESE
AREAS. CURRENTLY...SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS LIMITED. HOWEVER...WITH
TIME...THE SEVERE WIND THREAT FROM SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY
INCREASE.

CONVECTIVELY INDUCED MESOLOW HAS RECENTLY FORMED ALONG PREFRONTAL
CONVERGENCE ZONE LOCATED ACROSS SRN AL/MOBILE AREA. ENHANCED INFLOW
OF VERY MOIST AIR FROM THE NERN GULF...AND INCREASING LARGE SCALE
ASCENT AHEAD OF GULF MCS...WERE CONTRIBUTING TO ADDITIONAL TSTM
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE PREFRONTAL CONVERGENCE ZONE ACROSS THE FL
PNHDL. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE
MORNING GIVEN LACK OF INHIBITION AND PERSISTENT FORCING FOR ASCENT.

TLH SOUNDING INDICATES ABUNDANT MOISTURE...GENERALLY WEAK LAPSE
RATES...AND WEAK TO MODEST SHEAR SUGGESTING MULTICELLULAR STORMS
WITH HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL. SHEAR AND LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES/INSTABILITY MAY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH APPROACH
OF MID/UPPER WAVE AND POCKETS OF STRONGER SURFACE HEATING
RESPECTIVELY. THUS...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN WET MICRO-BURST/DAMAGING
WIND POTENTIAL MAY EVOLVE AS THE MORNING CONTINUES AND A WATCH MAY
BE NEEDED.

..CARBIN.. 05/16/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

30678316 29508500 29628782 30048809 30458788 31258686
31678603 32058446 31908332

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KILN [161253]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KILN 161253 CCA
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
852 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM FLOOD 1 SSE WARSAW 38.77N 84.89W
05/16/2008 GALLATIN KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVRAL ROADS WERE COVERED WITH WATER AND CLOSED. HIGHWAY
2850...VERA CRUZ ROAD...AND TAPERING POINT ROAD.

0300 AM FLOOD VERSAILLES 39.06N 85.26W
05/16/2008 RIPLEY IN LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL ROADS ACROSS THE COUNTY WERE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH
WATER.

0300 AM FLOOD AURORA 39.07N 84.90W
05/16/2008 DEARBORN IN LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOW LYING ROADS HAD WATER MOVING ACROSS THEM THROUGHOUT
THE COUNTY.

0300 AM FLOOD HILLSBORO 39.21N 83.61W
05/16/2008 HIGHLAND OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

A FEW ROADS ACROSS THE COUNTY WERE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH
WATER.

&&

$$

JDR

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KILN [161252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KILN 161252
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
852 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM FLOOD 1 SSE WARSAW 38.77N 84.89W
05/16/2008 GALLATIN KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVRAL ROADS WERE COVERED WITH WATER AND CLOSED. HIGHWAY
2850...VERA CRUZ ROAD...AND TAPERING POINT ROAD.

0300 AM FLOOD VERSAILLES 39.06N 85.26W
05/16/2008 RIPLEY IN LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL ROADS ACROSS THE COUNTY WERE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH
WATER.

0300 AM FLOOD AURORA 39.07N 84.90W
05/16/2008 DEARBORN IN LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOW LYING ROADS HAD WATER MOVING ACROSS THEM THROUGHOUT
THE COUNTY.

0300 AM FLOOD HILLSBORO 39.21N 83.61W
05/16/2008 HIGHLAND OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

A FEW ROADS ACROSS THE COUNTY WERE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH
WATER.

&&

$$

JDR

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KAKQ [161231]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KAKQ 161231
LSRAKQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
831 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NE MCKENNEY 37.00N 77.71W
05/11/2008 DINWIDDIE VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ON US-1 BETWEEN MCKENNEY AND DEWITT

0600 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 N CARSON 37.06N 77.41W
05/11/2008 DINWIDDIE VA NWS EMPLOYEE

TREES REPORTED DOWN ON PROVIDENCE ROAD...JUST NORTH OF
CARSON.

0620 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 S DISPUTANTA 37.11N 77.23W
05/11/2008 PRINCE GEORGE VA NWS STORM SURVEY

TREES BLOWN DOWN.

0622 PM HAIL ROXOBEL 36.20N 77.24W
05/11/2008 E0.88 INCH BERTIE NC EMERGENCY MNGR

0625 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SE DISPUTANTA 37.09N 77.19W
05/11/2008 SUSSEX VA NWS EMPLOYEE

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY 460 ALONG THE
SUSSEX/PRINCE GEORGE COUNTY LINE.

0625 PM TORNADO 2 NNW LEWISTON WOODVILL 36.14N 77.19W
05/11/2008 F1 BERTIE NC NWS STORM SURVEY

CONFIRMED EF1 TORNADO DAMAGE WITH NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ON
RTE 308. SEVERAL TRAILER AND BRICK HOMES WE DAMAGED...
WITH SOME MOBILE HOMES DESTROYED NEAR PINEY WOODS RD.
DAMAGE PATH LENGTH AROUND 150 YARDS...WIDTH 200 YARDS.

0626 PM HAIL KELFORD 36.18N 77.22W
05/11/2008 E1.75 INCH BERTIE NC EMERGENCY MNGR

0630 PM TORNADO 3 NNE LEWISTON WOODVILL 36.15N 77.16W
05/11/2008 F2 BERTIE NC NWS STORM SURVEY

*** 2 INJ *** CONFIRMED EF2 TORNADO DAMAGE 3 MILES NNE OF
LEWISTON WOODVILLE AND 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CONNARITSA.
SEVERAL MOBILE HOMES DESTROYED...WITH A CHURCH DEMOLISHED
ON CONNARITSA ROAD. TORNADO DAMAGE PATH WAS ROUGHLY 1000
YARDS LONG AND 200 YARDS WIDE...GENERALLY FOLLOWING
CONNARITSA ROAD.

0643 PM TORNADO 4 SW POWELLSVILLE 36.19N 76.99W
05/11/2008 F1 BERTIE NC NWS STORM SURVEY

CONFIRMED EF1 TORNADO DAMAGE ALONG HEXLENA ROAD. NUMEROUS
TREES DOWNED OR SNAPPED OFF IN REMOTE AREA. EXTENSIVE
DAMAGE TO A FEW MOBILE HOMES. DAMAGE PATH WAS
APPROXIMATELY 1.5 MILES LONG AND 50 YARDS WIDE.

0648 PM TORNADO 1 S POWELLSVILLE 36.21N 76.93W
05/11/2008 F0 BERTIE NC NWS STORM SURVEY

CONFIRMED EF0 TORNADO DAMAGE ALONG SALLY FREEMAN RD.
TORNADO COMPLETELY DEMOLISHED PORCH ATTACHED TO MOBILE
HOME. SEVERAL TREES SNAPPED OFF.

0650 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 SE ZUNI 36.83N 76.77W
05/11/2008 ISLE OF WIGHT VA NWS EMPLOYEE

TREES DOWN NEAR HWY 460

0652 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 E POWELLSVILLE 36.22N 76.90W
05/11/2008 BERTIE NC NWS STORM SURVEY

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALONG ROUTE 42 EAST OF POWELLSVILLE.

0657 PM TSTM WND DMG 6 E POWELLSVILLE 36.22N 76.82W
05/11/2008 BERTIE NC NWS STORM SURVEY

TREES AND LARGE BRANCHES DOWN.

0700 PM TSTM WND DMG COLERAIN 36.20N 76.77W
05/11/2008 BERTIE NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN AND DAMAGE TO LOCAL RESIDENCE ON PINEY WOODS
ROAD...POSSIBLE TORNADO

0715 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NNW EDENTON 36.08N 76.62W
05/11/2008 CHOWAN NC EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN ON MORRIS TOWN RD.

0722 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 E EDENTON 36.06N 76.55W
05/11/2008 CHOWAN NC EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN ON HAUGHTON RD. AND YEOPIM RD.

0725 PM TSTM WND GST SAVAGE 36.49N 76.60W
05/11/2008 M70.00 MPH GATES NC PUBLIC

TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN.

0725 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 WNW SUFFOLK AIRPORT 36.71N 76.67W
05/11/2008 CITY OF SUFFOLK VA TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES REPORTED DOWN ON HOLLAND ROAD W/NW OF SUFFOLK
MUNICIPAL AIRPORT

0740 PM TSTM WND DMG WINDSOR 36.81N 76.74W
05/11/2008 ISLE OF WIGHT VA EMERGENCY MNGR

FROM A LINE FROM WINDSOR TO CARROLTON...MULTIPLE TREES
DOWN...3 HOMES MINOR DAMAGE FROM WIND.

0745 PM FUNNEL CLOUD BELCROSS 36.35N 76.16W
05/11/2008 CAMDEN NC EMERGENCY MNGR

FUNNEL CLOUD SPOTTED NOT REACHING THE GROUND.

0753 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 S CURRITUCK 36.39N 76.01W
05/11/2008 CURRITUCK NC EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT DAMAGE SURVEY INDICATED THAT DAMAGE
ORIGINALLY REPORTED AS A TORNADO...WAS STRAIGHT LINE
WIND. TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN AND FENCES WERE KNOCKED DOWN
IN THE VICINITY OF HIGHWAY 158 AND AIRPORT ROAD IN
CURRITUCK...JUST SOUTH OF CURRITUCK COUNTY AIRPORT.

0805 PM TSTM WND DMG GRANDY 36.24N 75.88W
05/11/2008 CURRITUCK NC TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE BRANCHES KNOCKED OFF TREES. SHINGLES OFF ROOF. PEA
SIZED HAIL.

&&

$$

WRS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 161219
SWODY1
SPC AC 161216

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0716 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

VALID 161300Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PORTIONS OF FL PNHDL/SRN
GA INTO THE SRN CHESAPEAKE...

...ERN CAROLINAS AND SERN VA...
BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL VEER TO WLY AND WEAKEN IN WAKE OF LEAD
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING OFFSHORE. THIS WILL LIMIT THE RETURN OF
RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RESIDING ACROSS THE CNTRL AND NERN GULF
COASTAL AREA. EXISTING MOISTURE WITH DEWPOINTS GENERALLY FROM 60-64
WILL PERSIST IN THIS REGION WHICH...ALONG WITH DIABATIC
HEATING...WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DESTABILIZATION. HOWEVER...WEAK MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT MLCAPE TO AOB 800 J/KG. THE MARGINAL
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WILL SERVE AS A PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR
FOR A MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT.

AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZES...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
STORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG SEWD ADVANCING COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONGER Q-G FORCING ATTENDING THE
AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH WILL PROBABLY REMAIN IN POST FRONTAL
ZONE...SUGGESTING DEEP CONVERGENCE AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE ALONG
OR AHEAD OF THE FRONT MAY REMAIN SOMEWHAT LIMITED. DESPITE THE
MODEST AND VEERED LOW LEVEL FLOW...BULK SHEAR OF 40-50 KT WILL EXIST
IN PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR. STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
SUPPORT A THREAT OF MAINLY ISOLATED STRONG-DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH
ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON.

...FL PANHANDLE AND NRN FL THROUGH S GA...
PLUME OF DEEP SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE IS SHIFTING EWD INTO THIS REGION.
OBSERVED DATA SHOWS CONVECTION INCREASING WITHIN THIS PLUME...WITH
EXPANSIVE MCC DEVELOPING OVER MUCH OF THE WRN GULF BASIN INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. THIS MCC WILL AMPLIFY MCV/SHORTWAVE
TROUGH LIKELY LIFTING NEWD THROUGH SRN BRANCH OF WLYS. WIDESPREAD
CLOUDS AND CONVECTION WILL LIKELY SPREAD NEWD THROUGH THE NERN GULF
BY EARLY FRIDAY...WITH WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LIMITED
POTENTIAL FOR DESTABILIZATION. GOES SOUNDER AND 12Z SOUNDINGS
DEPICT LARGE PLUME OF NEAR 2" PW OVERSPREADING THE REGION.
HOWEVER...RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALREADY IN PLACE WITH LOWER 70F
DEWPOINTS WILL RESULT IN AT LEAST MARGINAL INSTABILITY WITH ANY
AMOUNT OF HEATING.

MODELS DO INCREASE THE WSWLY LOW LEVEL WINDS...MOST LIKELY IN
RESPONSE TO APPROACHING SRN BRANCH SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE GFS IS THE
STRONGEST WITH THIS FEATURE...BUT APPEARS A BIT OVERDONE BY
CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK. REGARDLESS...MODERATELY STRONG WSLY DEEP LAYER
FLOW WITH 35 TO 45 KT BULK SHEAR WOULD SUPPORT A THREAT FOR
ORGANIZED STORMS AND MAINLY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AS POSSIBLE MCS
TRACKS NEWD ACROSS SRN GA INTO FAR SRN SC THROUGH THE DAY.

..EVANS/DIAL/HURLBUT.. 05/16/2008

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KJAN [161154]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KJAN 161154
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
653 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM HAIL FERRIDAY 31.63N 91.56W
05/14/2008 E0.75 INCH CONCORDIA LA COUNTY OFFICIAL

0349 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NW BURNS 32.17N 89.58W
05/14/2008 SMITH MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 481 JUST SOUTH OF COUNTY LINE.

0349 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NNE BURNS 32.15N 89.54W
05/14/2008 SMITH MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN NORTH OF BURNS ALONG HWY 902.

0435 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NNE LOUIN 32.09N 89.26W
05/14/2008 JASPER MS UTILITY COMPANY

DOWNED TREES AND DOWNED POWERLINES ALONG HWY 15. REPORTED
BY SOUTHERN PINE ELECTRIC COMPANY.

0305 AM LIGHTNING STAR 32.09N 90.05W
05/15/2008 RANKIN MS AMATEUR RADIO

HOUSE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING...SOME ELECTRICAL DAMAGE TO THE
HOME.

0420 AM FLASH FLOOD 12 SW HOLLANDALE 33.05N 91.00W
05/15/2008 WASHINGTON MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED IN THE GLEN ALLEN COMMUNITY.

0435 AM FLASH FLOOD BELZONI 33.18N 90.49W
05/15/2008 HUMPHREYS MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL STREETS ARE FLOODED. PUMPS HAVE BEEN TURNED ON TO
RELIEVE THE FLOODING.

0510 AM FLASH FLOOD BONITA 32.92N 91.67W
05/15/2008 MOREHOUSE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

ABOUT 10 ROADS ARE FLOODED AND ARE CLOSED TO
TRAFFIC...GENERALLY FROM BASTROP TO BONITA.

0530 AM FLASH FLOOD OAK GROVE 32.86N 91.39W
05/15/2008 WEST CARROLL LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS SECONDARY ROADS FLOODED ACROSS THE N HALF OF THE
PARISH.

0535 AM FLASH FLOOD ROLLING FORK 32.91N 90.88W
05/15/2008 SHARKEY MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL STREETS ARE FLOODED WITH SOME HOMES NOW TAKING IN
WATER. WORST FLOODING WAS AROUND 6TH ST.

0555 AM FLASH FLOOD BELZONI 33.18N 90.49W
05/15/2008 HUMPHREYS MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

MORE STREETS AND RDS FLOODED AROUND BELZONI. SEVERAL RDS
ARE NOW CLOSED DUE TO THE HIGH WATER.

0557 AM TSTM WND DMG LARTO LAKE 31.37N 91.90W
05/15/2008 CATAHOULA LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE ON A HOUSE...PERSON TRAPPED IN THE HOME. A FEW TREES
DOWN ACROSS HWY 3102.

0608 AM TSTM WND DMG WISNER 31.98N 91.66W
05/15/2008 FRANKLIN LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

A FEW TREES AND POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN.

0610 AM TSTM WND DMG MONTEREY 31.45N 91.72W
05/15/2008 CATAHOULA LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AROUND THE MONTEREY AREA AND ALONG
HWY 129.

0614 AM TSTM WND DMG FROGMORE 31.60N 91.67W
05/15/2008 CONCORDIA LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES WRE BLOWN DOWN ALONG HWY 84 ALONG WITH A
FEW POWER POLES.

0626 AM TSTM WND DMG 11 WNW ST. JOSEPH 31.98N 91.41W
05/15/2008 TENSAS LA EMERGENCY MNGR

A FEW TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN AND 2 OUTBUILDINGS WERE
DESTROYED. DMG OCCURRED AT HWY 573 AND 892.

0646 AM TSTM WND DMG NEWELLTON 32.07N 91.24W
05/15/2008 TENSAS LA EMERGENCY MNGR

A FEW TREES AND POWER POLES WERE BLOWN DOWN.

0700 AM FLASH FLOOD YAZOO CITY 32.86N 90.41W
05/15/2008 YAZOO MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

A FEW RDS ARE FLOODED AROUND YAZOO CITY.

0750 AM FLASH FLOOD DOWNTOWN JACKSON 32.30N 90.19W
05/15/2008 HINDS MS EMERGENCY MNGR

MANY STREETS STARTING TO TAKE ON WATER AND FLOOD ACROSS
THE CITY.

0815 AM FLASH FLOOD RIDGELAND 32.42N 90.13W
05/15/2008 MADISON MS NWS EMPLOYEE

ON THE SOUTHBOUND SIDE OF HIGHLAND COLONY NEAR LIVINGSTON
RD...ONE LANE IS IMPASSIBLE AND CLOSED DUE TO NEARLY A
FOOT OF WATER OVER IT. THE SECOND LANE IS PASSIBLE BUT IS
COVERED BY WATER.

0816 AM FLASH FLOOD BRANDON 32.28N 90.00W
05/15/2008 RANKIN MS EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL STREETS STARTING TO FLOOD.

0846 AM FLASH FLOOD 10 SE GREENVILLE 33.28N 90.93W
05/15/2008 WASHINGTON MS EMERGENCY MNGR

A HOUSE IN THE SOUTHEAST PART OF WASHINGTON COUNTY
REPORTEDLY HAD 8 TO 10 INCHES OF WATER...AND ABOUT SIX
OTHERS HAD SOME WATER IN THEM AS WELL.

0900 AM FLASH FLOOD 10 N RALEIGH 32.18N 89.52W
05/15/2008 SMITH MS EMERGENCY MNGR

ONE OF THE ROADS IN THE NORTHERN PART OF SMITH COUNTY
REPORTEDLY HAD SOME WATER ON IT.

0920 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 SSE COLUMBIA 31.22N 89.81W
05/15/2008 MARION MS EMERGENCY MNGR

ONE TREE DOWN ON OLD RIVER ROAD NEAR THE LAMPTON
COMMUNITY.

0930 AM FLASH FLOOD DECATUR 32.44N 89.11W
05/15/2008 NEWTON MS EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER ACROSS SEVERAL ROADS IN NEWTON COUNTY...INCLUDING
MCNEIL...RIDGE...POPLAR AND GARRISON ROADS

0941 AM FLASH FLOOD EDEN 32.99N 90.32W
05/15/2008 YAZOO MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER FLOWING ACROSS US HWY 49. BARRIERS BEING PUT UP.

0945 AM FLASH FLOOD GLUCKSTADT 32.52N 90.10W
05/15/2008 MADISON MS PUBLIC

PORTIONS OF GLUCKSTADT ROAD COVERED IN WATER.

0957 AM TSTM WND DMG 5 SW PURVIS 31.09N 89.47W
05/15/2008 LAMAR MS EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN BLOCKING ROADS BETWEEN PURVIS AND
LUMBERTON. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

1001 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 E PURVIS 31.14N 89.39W
05/15/2008 LAMAR MS EMERGENCY MNGR

ROOF DAMAGE TO PURVIS MULTIPURPOSE CENTER. TREES DOWN AT
INTERSECTION OF HWY 589 AND US HWY 11. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

1015 AM TSTM WND DMG PETAL 31.34N 89.25W
05/15/2008 FORREST MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN ON KENNEDY ROAD

1015 AM TORNADO 3 WSW CAMP SHELBY 31.17N 89.30W
05/15/2008 FORREST MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN ON A MOBILE HOME ON DUBOSE ROAD. NUMEROUS
TREES DOWN ACROSS ANDERSON ROAD...BLOCKING THE ROAD.
PROBABLE TORNADO.

1017 AM FLASH FLOOD MORTON 32.36N 89.66W
05/15/2008 SCOTT MS EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED IN FOREST AND MORTON. BUSINESS
TAKING ON WATER AT INTERSECTION OF HWY 35 AND 80.

1023 AM TORNADO CAMP SHELBY 31.18N 89.25W
05/15/2008 FORREST MS EMERGENCY MNGR

UPDATED REPORT. TWO EMA SPOTTERS REPORTED TORNADO ON THE
GROUND AT THE SOUTH GATE OF CAMP SHELBY. NUMEROUS TREES
REPORTED DOWNED IN THE AREA...ONE FELL ACROSS A MOBILE
HOME. UPDATE...THE FIRST SIGN OF THE TORNADO TOUCHDOWN
WAS BETWEEM THE PURVIS EXIT AND BLACK CREEK ON INTERSTATE
59...AND CONTINUED TOWARD THE SOUTH GATE OF CAMP
SHELBY...AND EXITED FORREST COUNTY NEAR THE SUNRISE
COMMUNITY. MAINLY TREE DAMAGE WAS REPORTED...AND A FEW
STRUCTURES HAD ROOF DAMAGE.

1100 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 E DECATUR 32.44N 89.06W
05/15/2008 NEWTON MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN ON CHUNKY-DUFFEE ROAD

&&

$$

CME

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KLCH [161146]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 161146
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
646 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 37 S BURNS POINT 29.04N 91.45W
05/16/2008 M35 MPH GMZ455 LA PUBLIC

REPORTED BY PLATFORM IN EUGENE ISLAND BLOCK 105.

&&

$$

MOGGED

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KLCH [161142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 161142
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
642 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 41 S BURNS POINT 28.98N 91.47W
05/16/2008 M36 MPH GMZ475 LA PUBLIC

REPORTED BY PLATFORM IN EUGENE ISLAND BLOCK 120.

&&

$$

MOGGED

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0943

ACUS11 KWNS 161032
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161032
MSZ000-LAZ000-161330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0943
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0532 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST LA

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL

VALID 161032Z - 161330Z

HEAVY CONVECTIVE RAINFALL RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY TO
PERSIST ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST LA EARLY THIS MORNING AS NORTH
GULF MCS SPREADS NEWD ALONG STALLED FRONTAL ZONE BISECTING MS DELTA.

DEEP-LAYER FRONTAL ZONE HAS STALLED WITHIN MODEST MEAN-LAYER WSWLY
FLOW FROM THE WRN GULF NEWD ACROSS SERN LA EARLY TODAY. RECENT
INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION ALONG THIS BOUNDARY COULD BE RELATED TO
1) NOCTURNAL STRENGTHENING OF LLJ...AND/OR 2) LIFT WITH APPROACH OF
MID/UPPER LEVEL WAVE/MCV ASSOCIATED WITH LARGE MCS OFF THE TX/LA
GULF COAST. TPW IMAGERY FROM CIRA INDICATES A PW PLUME WITH VALUES
AOA 2 INCHES ACROSS THE REGION. THIS RICH MOISTURE WAS LIKELY
CONTRIBUTING TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL RATES WITH OVER 2 INCHES PER HOUR
RECENTLY OBSERVED IN NEW ORLEANS.

WEAK LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS WILL FURTHER AID LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
AND LIFT ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE THROUGH THIS MORNING. IN
ADDITION...GENERALLY WEAK FORWARD PROPAGATION VECTORS ACROSS THE NRN
GULF SUGGEST ONGOING MCS ACTIVITY WILL HAVE SOME TENDENCY TO
BACKBUILD BEFORE THE ENTIRE COMPLEX MOVES THROUGH LATER THIS
MORNING. LATEST HIREZ WRF-ARW APPEARS TO DEPICT BOTH THE FRONTAL
CONVECTION AND THE GULF MCS WELL. ONGOING HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRING
ALONG THE FRONTAL BAND WILL ONLY BE EXACERBATED AS ANOTHER ROUND OF
HEAVY RAIN ACCOMPANIES THE MCS MOVING ACROSS THE SAME AREAS LATER
THIS MORNING.

..CARBIN.. 05/16/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...

29098939 28929092 29509143 30268976 30258869

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KBRO [160912]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 160912
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
412 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0405 AM TSTM WND GST HARLINGEN 26.20N 97.69W
05/16/2008 M86 MPH CAMERON TX ASOS

HARLINGEN AIRPORT ASOS REPORTED WINDS OF 69G75KTS AT
0405.

0309 AM TSTM WND DMG 12 WNW EDINBURG 26.36N 98.34W
05/16/2008 HIDALGO TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIDALGO COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTED MULTIPLE MOBILE HOMES
OVERTURNED BY STRAIGHT LINE WINDS ON FM1925 BETWEEN LOS
EBANOS AND INSPIRATION.

&&

$$

JSTRAUB

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 160854
SWOD48
SPC AC 160853

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0353 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

VALID 191200Z - 241200Z

...DISCUSSION...
SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY LOW DAYS 4 AND 5...WITH A
LARGE MEAN TROUGH REMAINING OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE CONUS.

FROM DAY 6 ONWARD...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF SUGGEST A RETURN TO A
MORE ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER PATTERN...AS BOTH BEGIN TO PROGRESS THE
ERN TROUGH EWD. HOWEVER...THE MODELS DIFFER GREATLY IN THE DETAILS
OF THE PATTERN EVOLUTION...WITH THE GFS MUCH MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH
THE ERN FEATURE -- WHILE A SECOND TROUGH DEEPENS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CONUS.

MEANWHILE...THE ERN TROUGH IS FORECAST BY THE ECMWF TO LINGER OVER
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES/NEW ENGLAND...AND THUS THE UPSTREAM TROUGH
REMAINS OVER THE ROCKIES THROUGH THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

THEREFORE -- WHILE BOTH MODELS WOULD SUGGEST INCREASING SEVERE
POTENTIAL DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD...DRASTIC MODEL
DIFFERENCES PRECLUDE HIGHLIGHTING ANY SEVERE AREAS THIS FORECAST.

..GOSS.. 05/16/2008

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KILN [160756]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 160756
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
356 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1021 PM FLOOD ALEXANDRIA 38.96N 84.38W
05/15/2008 CAMPBELL KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

A FEW ROADS ACROSS THE COUNTY HAD HIGH WATER OVER THEM.

&&

$$

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KILN [160753]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 160753
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
353 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM FLOOD 1 SSE WARSAW 38.77N 84.89W
05/15/2008 GALLATIN KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVRAL ROADS WERE COVERED WITH WATER AND CLOSED. HIGHWAY
2850...VERA CRUZ ROAD...AND TAPERING POINT ROAD.

0300 PM FLOOD VERSAILLES 39.06N 85.26W
05/15/2008 RIPLEY IN LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL ROADS ACROSS THE COUNTY WERE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH
WATER.

0300 PM FLOOD AURORA 39.07N 84.90W
05/15/2008 DEARBORN IN LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOW LYING ROADS HAD WATER MOVING ACROSS THEM THROUGHOUT
THE COUNTY.

0300 PM FLOOD HILLSBORO 39.21N 83.61W
05/15/2008 HIGHLAND OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

A FEW ROADS ACROSS THE COUNTY WERE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH
WATER.

0330 AM FLOOD 3 NE LEESBURG 39.38N 83.51W
05/16/2008 FAYETTE OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

STAFFORD ROAD AND ROUTE 62 NEAR GREENVILLE SABINA ROAD
WERE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

$$

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KLCH [160731]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KLCH 160731
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
231 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0152 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 S SEA RIM STATE PARK 29.67N 94.05W
05/15/2008 M55.00 MPH GMZ450 TX BUOY

MEASURED WIND GUST TO 48 KNOTS.

0218 AM TSTM WND GST 1 E SABINE PASS 29.73N 93.87W
05/15/2008 M41.00 MPH GMZ450 LA BUOY

0230 AM TSTM WND DMG 4 E CHESTER 30.92N 94.54W
05/15/2008 TYLER TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN NEAR FM 1745. REPORTED BY TYLER COUNTY SHERIFF
OFFICE. TIME ESTIMATED.

0420 AM TSTM WND DMG STARKS 30.32N 93.66W
05/15/2008 CALCASIEU LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN IN STARKS. REPORTED BY
CALCASIEU PARISH 911 CENTER.

0424 AM TSTM WND DMG W DERIDDER 30.85N 93.29W
05/15/2008 BEAUREGARD LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TRAILER OVERTURNED JUST WEST OF DE RIDDER.

0429 AM TSTM WND DMG FLATWOODS 31.40N 92.87W
05/15/2008 RAPIDES LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES REPORTED BLOWN DOWN THROUGHOUT THE
PARISH.

0430 AM TSTM WND DMG SLAGLE 31.20N 93.13W
05/15/2008 VERNON LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

A FEW TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN ACROSS THE PARISH.

0435 AM TSTM WND DMG DEWEYVILLE 30.31N 93.76W
05/15/2008 NEWTON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY. REPORTED BY NEWTON
COUNTY SHERIFF OFFICE.

0441 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 N DEQUINCY 30.46N 93.44W
05/15/2008 CALCASIEU LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 27 JUST NORTH OF DEQUINCY. REPORTED
BY DEQUINCY PD.

0455 AM TSTM WND DMG SULPHUR 30.23N 93.36W
05/15/2008 CALCASIEU LA NWS EMPLOYEE

LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN ACROSS THE CITY.

0457 AM TSTM WND DMG W ALEXANDRIA 31.29N 92.46W
05/15/2008 RAPIDES LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN ON THE WEST SIDE
OF ALEXANDRIA.

0500 AM TSTM WND DMG OAKDALE 30.82N 92.66W
05/15/2008 ALLEN LA TRAINED SPOTTER

TWO TREES BLOWN DOWN IN OAKDALE WITH POWER OUTAGES IN
TOWN.

0505 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW MOSS BLUFF 30.32N 93.23W
05/15/2008 CALCASIEU LA BROADCAST MEDIA

TREE BLOWN DOWN AND CRUSHED A SERVICE TRAILER. REPORTED
BY KPLC-TV.

0510 AM TSTM WND DMG KINDER 30.49N 92.85W
05/15/2008 ALLEN LA BROADCAST MEDIA

TREES BLOWN DOWN. REPORTED BY KPLC-TV.

0512 AM TSTM WND GST 7 S LAKE CHARLES 30.11N 93.20W
05/15/2008 M50.00 MPH CALCASIEU LA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

50 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT LAKE CHARLES REGIONAL
AIRPORT ASOS.

0534 AM TSTM WND DMG DEVILLE 31.35N 92.16W
05/15/2008 RAPIDES LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN WITH SOME TREES
FALLING ON HOMES.

0535 AM TORNADO GUEYDAN 30.03N 92.51W
05/15/2008 VERMILION LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TORNADO REPORTED NEAR GUEYDAN BY VERMILION PARISH SHERIFF
OFFICE.

0615 AM TSTM WND GST 13 S RUTHERFORD BEACH 29.59N 93.15W
05/15/2008 E45.00 MPH GMZ452 LA PUBLIC

REPORTED BY PLATFORM IN WEST CAMERON BLOCK 71.

0618 AM TORNADO MAURICE 30.11N 92.12W
05/15/2008 VERMILION LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TRAILER DEMOLISHED NEAR MAURICE. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
REPORTED BY VERMILION PARISH SHERIFF OFFICE.

0629 AM TORNADO KAPLAN 30.00N 92.28W
05/15/2008 VERMILION LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TWO HOMES WITH ROOFS BLOWN OFF. LARGE OAK TREES BLOWN
DOWN. POSSIBLE TORNADO. REPORTED BY VERMILION PARISH
SHERIFF OFFICE.

0630 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 S KAPLAN 29.99N 92.28W
05/15/2008 VERMILION LA TRAINED SPOTTER

SIDING AND SHINGLES BLOWN OFF HOME. WINDOWS BROKEN.
SPOTTER MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 51 MPH.

0634 AM TORNADO 1 S LAFAYETTE 30.20N 92.03W
05/15/2008 LAFAYETTE LA TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS EXTENSIVE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO
BUILDINGS IN OIL CENTER AREA OF LAFAYETTE. ROOF DAMAGE TO
GENERAL MEDICAL CENTER WITH POWER POLES BROKEN AND LINES
DOWN. WINDOWS BLOWN OUT OF BANK. NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN
AREA. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

0634 AM TORNADO 2 SW LAFAYETTE 30.19N 92.05W
05/15/2008 LAFAYETTE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROOFS BLOWN OFF OF HOMES. BARN DESTROYED. SHERIFF REPORTS
15 TO 17 HOMES SUSTAINED DAMAGE. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

0635 AM TSTM WND DMG INTRACOASTAL CITY 29.78N 92.16W
05/15/2008 VERMILION LA BROADCAST MEDIA

DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS AND A SHIPYARD IN INTRACOASTAL CITY.
REPORTED BY VERMILION PARISH SHERIFF OFFICE.

0635 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 E KAPLAN 30.00N 92.25W
05/15/2008 VERMILION LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

BACKYARD PLAYGROUND EQUIPMENT BLOWN DOWN AT RESIDENCE IN
NUNEZ. REPORTED BY VERMILION PARISH SHERIFF OFFICE.

0638 AM TSTM WND DMG LAFAYETTE 30.22N 92.03W
05/15/2008 LAFAYETTE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

MULTIPLE TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN THROUGHOUT THE CITY.
PARTS OF TIN ROOFS BLOWN OFF OF BUILDINGS.

0640 AM TORNADO 7 SW ABBEVILLE 29.90N 92.21W
05/15/2008 VERMILION LA BROADCAST MEDIA

DAMAGE TO TREES AND BUILDINGS BETWEEN PERRY AND ESTHER IN
THE MOUTON COVE AREA. POSSIBLE TORNADO. REPORTED BY
KATC-TV.

0642 AM TSTM WND GST 2 SE LAFAYETTE 30.19N 92.01W
05/15/2008 M51.00 MPH LAFAYETTE LA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

51 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT LAFAYETTE REGIONAL AIRPORT
ASOS.

0650 AM TORNADO 2 NW SCOTT 30.26N 92.11W
05/15/2008 LAFAYETTE LA TRAINED SPOTTER

POWER POLE PULLED OUT OF GROUND NEAR INTERSECTION OF
INTERSTATE 10 AND HIGHWAY 724. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

0650 AM TORNADO SCOTT 30.24N 92.09W
05/15/2008 LAFAYETTE LA TRAINED SPOTTER

DAMAGE TO HOMES REPORTED NEAR SCOTT. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

0653 AM TSTM WND GST LAFAYETTE 30.22N 92.03W
05/15/2008 E55.00 MPH LAFAYETTE LA TRAINED SPOTTER

SEVERAL SPOTTERS REPORT WIND GUSTS OF 55 MPH IN
LAFAYETTE.

0657 AM TSTM WND DMG BREAUX BRIDGE 30.28N 91.90W
05/15/2008 ST. MARTIN LA NEWSPAPER

*** 1 INJ *** WIDESPREAD DAMAGE AROUND BEAUX BRIDGE. ONE
HOME WAS BLOWN OFF CINDER BLOCKS INJURING THE OCCUPANT.
TWO BUILDINGS ON MILLS AVENUE HEAVILY DAMAGED. ANOTHER
HOME WITH ROOF BLOWN OFF ON POYDRAS HIGHWAY. REPORTED BY
LAFAYETTE DAILY ADVERTISER.

0700 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 SSE LOREAUVILLE 30.05N 91.73W
05/15/2008 IBERIA LA NEWSPAPER

TREE DOWN ON HOME. REPORTED BY DAILY IBERIAN.

0705 AM TSTM WND GST BREAUX BRIDGE 30.28N 91.90W
05/15/2008 E65.00 MPH ST. MARTIN LA TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS WINDS OF 60 TO 65 MPH ON
INTERSTATE 10.

0714 AM FLOOD LAFAYETTE 30.22N 92.03W
05/15/2008 LAFAYETTE LA TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED WIDESPREAD STREET FLOODING IN
LAFAYETTE.

0730 AM TSTM WND DMG FRANKLIN 29.80N 91.51W
05/15/2008 ST. MARY LA NEWSPAPER

TREE DOWN ON HOME. REPORTED BY MORGAN CITY DAILY REVIEW.

0741 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 13 S PATTERSON 29.51N 91.33W
05/15/2008 M45.00 MPH ST. MARY LA ASOS

REPORTED FROM ASOS SITE P92.

0745 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 15 S BURNS POINT 29.36N 91.50W
05/15/2008 E55.00 MPH GMZ455 LA PUBLIC

PLATFORM IN EUGENE ISLAND BLOCK 18 REPORTS WINDS 50-60
MPH...ENOUGH TO SCOUR RUST OFF HELIPAD.

0800 AM TSTM WND DMG MORGAN CITY 29.70N 91.19W
05/15/2008 ST. MARY LA NEWSPAPER

TREE FELL ON CAR CRUSHING FRONT END OF VEHICLE. REPORTED
BY MORGAN CITY DAILY REVIEW.

0800 AM FLOOD LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
05/15/2008 CALCASIEU LA NWS EMPLOYEE

SOME STREET FLOODING WAS OBSERVED IN LAKE CHARLES.

&&

$$

SHAMBURGER

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KLCH [160717]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 160717
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
216 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0505 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW MOSS BLUFF 30.32N 93.23W
05/15/2008 CALCASIEU LA BROADCAST MEDIA

TREE BLOWN DOWN AND CRUSHED A SERVICE TRAILER. REPORTED
BY KPLC-TV.

&&

$$

SHAMBURGER

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 160708
SWODY3
SPC AC 160706

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0206 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE UPPER PATTERN IS FORECAST TO DEAMPLIFY SOMEWHAT DAY 3...ALONG
WITH THE START OF A VERY SLOW EWD PROGRESSION. OVERALL
HOWEVER...MAJOR CHANGES ARE NOT ANTICIPATED...WITH A LARGE TROUGH
REMAINING OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE CONUS AND A RIDGE PREVAILING OVER
THE WEST.

AT THE SURFACE...A FAIRLY PRONOUNCED LEE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
DEVELOP IN LEE OF THE CANADIAN ROCKIES AND SWD INTO THE NRN HIGH
PLAINS...BENEATH STRONG WLY FLOW ALOFT ON THE NRN FRINGE OF THE
UPPER RIDGE. OTHERWISE...A RELATIVELY COOL/DRY CONTINENTAL AIRMASS
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE ERN CONUS.

WEAK/HIGH-BASED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NRN
ROCKIES INVOF THE LEE TROUGH...A FEW SEA-BREEZE STORMS APPEAR
POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL AND S FL...AND SCATTERED/LOW-TOPPED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSHOWERS ARE ALSO ANTICIPATED ACROSS PARTS OF THE
NORTHEAST BENEATH THE UPPER LOW. HOWEVER...MINIMAL INSTABILITY IN
ALL LOCALES SHOULD PRECLUDE APPRECIABLE SEVERE THREAT.

..GOSS.. 05/16/2008

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KLCH [160640]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 160640
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
139 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 SSE LOREAUVILLE 30.05N 91.73W
05/15/2008 IBERIA LA NEWSPAPER

TREE DOWN ON HOME. REPORTED BY DAILY IBERIAN.

0730 AM TSTM WND DMG FRANKLIN 29.80N 91.51W
05/15/2008 ST. MARY LA NEWSPAPER

TREE DOWN ON HOME. REPORTED BY MORGAN CITY DAILY REVIEW.

0800 AM TSTM WND DMG MORGAN CITY 29.70N 91.19W
05/15/2008 ST. MARY LA NEWSPAPER

TREE FELL ON CAR CRUSHING FRONT END OF VEHICLE. REPORTED
BY MORGAN CITY DAILY REVIEW.

&&

$$

SHAMBURGER

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0942

ACUS11 KWNS 160618
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160618
TXZ000-160745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0942
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0118 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 160618Z - 160745Z

TSTM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AND OCCASIONALLY REACH SEVERE
LEVELS ACROSS PARTS OF DEEP SOUTH TX THROUGH EARLY TODAY. A WATCH IS
POSSIBLE FOR THE AREA.

VERY MOIST AIR MASS/STRONG INSTABILITY WAS FOCUSED ALONG RESIDUAL
FRONTAL ZONE SITUATED ACROSS THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. ASCENT
ACROSS THIS FRONT WAS BEING GENERATED/SUSTAINED BENEATH ENTRANCE
REGION OF STRONG UPPER JET DOWNSTREAM FROM EXTENSIVE POSITIVE TILT
TROUGH COVERING MUCH OF CNTRL U.S. ATTM. A WEAK MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE
TROUGH MAY ALSO BE SUPPORTING RECENT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT NOW
MOVING INTO STARR AND ZAPATA COUNTIES FROM NRN MEXICO...AS WELL AS
ARC OF STORMS WITH SOME BOWING SEGMENTS SPREADING EAST TOWARD CRP
AREA.

GIVEN ABUNDANT INSTABILITY FEEDING THIS INTO ACTIVITY...AND
FORECASTS OF CONTINUING ASCENT ACROSS THE REGION...THE THREAT FOR
STORMS SHOULD PERSIST. ADDITIONALLY...WEAK POST-FRONTAL NLY/ELY FLOW
WAS TOPPED BY STRONGER SWLY FLOW ALOFT RESULTING IN EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR AROUND 50KT...MORE THAN ADEQUATE FOR STORM ORGANIZATION. LARGE
HAIL AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM SOME OF THE MORE
INTENSE STORMS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..CARBIN.. 05/16/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CRP...BRO...

25789720 25679806 25839905 26459928 26889925 27699835
28359788 28019700 27119730

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 160602
SWODY1
SPC AC 160600

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE ERN CAROLINAS INTO
SERN VA...

...SYNOPSIS...

HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE WRN U.S. COAST. UPPER
LOW WILL CUTOFF OVER NRN MEXICO WITH SPLIT FLOW BETWEEN CUTOFF UPPER
LOW AND NRN STREAM TROUGH. THE TWO STREAMS MERGE OVER THE ERN STATES
WHERE UPPER TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY SEWD THROUGH THE OH AND TN VALLEYS.
MID LEVEL JET WILL STRENGTHEN FROM TN VALLEY THROUGH MID ATLANTIC AS
THE UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES. SRN STREAM IMPULSE WILL EJECT NEWD INTO
THE GULF COASTAL REGION. AT THE SURFACE A WEAK LOW IS FORECAST OVER
THE MID ATLANTIC WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT SWWD THROUGH WRN NC INTO
THE WRN GULF EARLY IN THE PERIOD. THE FRONT WILL ADVANCE SEWD AND
OFF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD TRAILING SWWD INTO NRN FL BY EARLY
EVENING.

...ERN CAROLINAS AND SERN VA...

BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL VEER TO WLY AND WEAKEN IN WAKE OF LEAD
SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE EARLY FRIDAY. THIS WILL
LIMIT THE RETURN OF RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RESIDING ACROSS THE
CNTRL AND NERN GULF COASTAL AREA. EXISTING MOISTURE WITH DEWPOINTS
GENERALLY FROM 60-64 WILL PERSIST IN THIS REGION. THIS ALONG WITH
DIABATIC HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DESTABILIZATION...BUT WEAK MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT MLCAPE TO AOB 800 J/KG. THE MARGINAL
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WILL SERVE AS A PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR
FOR A MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT.

AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZES...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
ADDITIONAL STORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG SEWD ADVANCING COLD FRONT. THE
STRONGER Q-G FORCING ATTENDING THE AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH WILL
PROBABLY REMAIN IN POST FRONTAL ZONE. THIS SUGGESTS DEEP CONVERGENCE
AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE ALONG OR AHEAD OF THE FRONT MAY REMAIN
SOMEWHAT LIMITED. DESPITE THE MODEST AND VEERED LOW LEVEL
FLOW...BULK SHEAR OF 40-50 KT WILL EXIST IN PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR.
STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT A THREAT OF MAINLY
ISOLATED STRONG-DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP
DURING THE AFTERNOON.

...FL PANHANDLE AND NRN FL THROUGH S GA...

PLUME OF DEEP SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE IS SHIFTING EWD INTO THIS REGION.
OBSERVED DATA SHOWS CONVECTION INCREASING WITHIN THIS
PLUME...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WRN GULF WHERE A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS
LIKELY LIFTING NEWD THROUGH SRN BRANCH OF WLYS. WIDESPREAD CLOUDS
AND CONVECTION WILL LIKELY SPREAD NEWD THROUGH THE NERN GULF BY
EARLY FRIDAY...WITH WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LIMITED POTENTIAL
FOR DESTABILIZATION. HOWEVER...RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALREADY IN
PLACE WITH NEAR 70 DEWPOINTS WILL RESULT IN AT LEAST MARGINAL
INSTABILITY WITH ANY AMOUNT OF HEATING.

MODELS DO INCREASE THE WSWLY LOW LEVEL WINDS...MOST LIKELY IN
RESPONSE TO APPROACHING SRN BRANCH SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE GFS IS THE
STRONGEST WITH THIS FEATURE...BUT APPEARS A BIT OVERDONE BY
CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK. MODERATELY STRONG WSLY DEEP LAYER FLOW WITH 35
TO 40 KT BULK SHEAR WOULD SUPPORT A THREAT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS AND
MAINLY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND IF SOME OF THIS MOMENTUM COULD BE
BROUGHT DOWN TO THE SURFACE. THREAT IS CONDITIONAL GIVEN EXPECTED
WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER AND LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR DESTABILIZATION.
WILL CARRY LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES FOR NOW. IF IT BEGINS TO APPEAR
MORE INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP THAN CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...A SLIGHT
RISK MAY BE REINTRODUCED IN LATER OUTLOOKS.

..DIAL/HURLBUT.. 05/16/2008

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 160550
SWODY2
SPC AC 160548

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1248 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2008

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE-SCALE TROUGHING AT MID AND UPPER LEVELS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE ERN 2/3 OF THE CONUS...DOWNSTREAM OF A LARGE RIDGE OVER THE
WEST. VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN IS FORECAST
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SWD INTO FL...BUT
SHOULD WEAKEN WITH TIME. MEANWHILE...A SECOND FRONT IS FORECAST TO
MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY THROUGH THE DAY.
WHILE BOTH OF THESE BOUNDARIES MAY SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR AFTERNOON
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...SEVERE THREAT APPEARS LOW ATTM.

...LOWER GREAT LAKES/UPPER OH VALLEY REGION...
MODEST BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE /DEWPOINTS APPROACHING 50 F/ AHEAD OF
AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT BENEATH ROUGHLY -20 C H5 TEMPERATURES ALOFT
SHOULD YIELD AT LEAST MINIMAL AFTERNOON DESTABILIZATION. GIVEN
STRONG FORCING ALONG THE FRONT/JUST AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW...THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FAST-MOVING LINE OF LOW-TOPPED SHOWERS AND STORMS
APPEARS LIKELY. WITH STRONG/ROUGHLY UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP-LAYER WIND
FIELD ANTICIPATED ACROSS THIS AREA /INCLUDING MID-LEVEL WLYS ROUGHLY
50 TO 60 KT ATOP THE WARM SECTOR/ SOME SEVERE POTENTIAL -- MAINLY IN
THE FORM OF LOCALLY-DAMAGING WINDS -- APPEARS TO EXIST. THUS...WILL
INTRODUCE LOW /5%/ SEVERE PROBABILITY THIS FORECAST.

...FL PENINSULA...
WHILE A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER S OF THE WEAKENING COLD FRONT SHOULD
COMBINE WITH DAYTIME HEATING TO YIELD MARGINAL
DESTABILIZATION...LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE INVOF THE FRONT SHOULD
REMAIN WEAK AS WLY BOUNDARY-LAYER FLOW IS ANTICIPATED.
HOWEVER...WITH LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE POSSIBLY ENHANCED NEAR AN
EAST-COAST SEA BREEZE...AND WITH MODERATE /NEAR 40 KT/ WLYS
LINGERING AT MID LEVELS...A STRONGER STORM OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED
OUT -- AND THUS WILL MAINTAIN LOW /5%/ SEVERE PROBABILITY ACROSS
PARTS OF CENTRAL/S FL.

..GOSS.. 05/16/2008

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KEWX [160445]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KEWX 160445
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1145 PM CDT THU MAY 15 2008

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0728 PM HAIL EAGLE PASS 28.71N 100.49W
05/15/2008 E0.88 INCH MAVERICK TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

0728 PM HAIL 7 SE EAGLE PASS 28.64N 100.42W
05/15/2008 M1.75 INCH MAVERICK TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOTS OF WINDOW DAMAGE IN CHULA VISTA AREA 6 TO 10 MI
SOUTHEAST OF EAGLE PASS

0731 PM TORNADO 1 SE EAGLE PASS 28.70N 100.48W
05/15/2008 MAVERICK TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

UNCONFIRMED NEAR LOMA BONITA

0735 PM HAIL 8 SSE EAGLE PASS 28.61N 100.43W
05/15/2008 M0.88 INCH MAVERICK TX CO-OP OBSERVER

SEVERAL LARGE DEAD TREE LIMBS WERE DOWNED DURING THE
STORM

0745 PM HAIL 2 SSE EAGLE PASS 28.68N 100.48W
05/15/2008 M2.50 INCH MAVERICK TX TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES BLOWN DOWN

1025 PM HAIL ASHERTON 28.45N 99.76W
05/15/2008 M0.50 INCH DIMMIT TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00172 00174 00173 00177 00175 00178

$$

JPB

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0941

ACUS11 KWNS 160434
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160434
TXZ000-160530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0941
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1134 PM CDT THU MAY 15 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...DEEP SOUTH TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 160434Z - 160530Z

THROUGH 0700-0730Z...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR LOCALLY STRONG
WIND GUSTS FROM W TO E ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA. A WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

A SHORT BOWING LINE SEGMENT HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE ORGANIZED OVER
THE PAST HOUR WITH SYSTEM LOCATED OVER LA SALLE AND WEBB COUNTIES AS
OF 0425Z. EXTRAPOLATION OF CURRENT SYSTEM MOTION --270/35 KT--
TAKES COMPLEX TO THE GULF COAST NEAR CRP BETWEEN 0700-0730Z. RUC
OBJECTIVE FIELDS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THIS BOW IS
MOVING ALONG THE COOL SIDE OF A LOW-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE STRETCHED
W-E ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TX WITH INFLOW AIR MASS LIKELY STILL
MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MUCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG.

LRD RECENTLY REPORTED A PEAK GUST TO 37 KT ALONG TRAILING EDGE OF
SYSTEM COLD POOL AND GIVEN THE FORWARD SPEED OF 35 KT...LOCALLY
STRONG WIND GUSTS APPROACHING SEVERE CRITERIA WILL BE POSSIBLE
CLOSER TO THE APEX OF THE BOW.

..MEAD.. 05/16/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CRP...BRO...

28219887 28569825 28499733 27919701 27329725 27079783
27179867 27379889

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KVEF [160423]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 160423
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
923 PM PDT THU MAY 15 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0847 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N BULLHEAD CITY 35.16N 114.56W
05/15/2008 M32.00 MPH MOHAVE AZ AWOS

SITE NAME KIFP. PERIOD OF SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 25 MPH
OR GREATER 0847 THROUGH 1147 MST.

1140 AM NON-TSTM WND GST E OVERTON BEACH 36.44N 114.36W
05/15/2008 M30.00 MPH CLARK NV MESONET

SITE OVBN2 MESONET. PERIOD OF SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 25
MPH OR GREATER 1135 AM THROUGH 505 PM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED 30 MPH FROM THE NORTH AT 1140 AM PDT.

0328 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 S NEEDLES 34.77N 114.62W
05/15/2008 M43.00 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA ASOS

NEEDLES MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...SITE KEED. PERIOD OF
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER 856 AM THROUGH
556 PM PDT.

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNE OVERTON 36.55N 114.45W
05/15/2008 M32.00 MPH CLARK NV MESONET

SITE CMP16 MESONET.

0427 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 E LAKE HAVASU CITY 34.47N 114.26W
05/15/2008 M35.00 MPH MOHAVE AZ MESONET

SITE CW5768 LAKE HAVASU CITY MESONET.

&&

$$

BFUIS

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