SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160434
TXZ000-160530-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0941
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1134 PM CDT THU MAY 15 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...DEEP SOUTH TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 160434Z - 160530Z
THROUGH 0700-0730Z...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR LOCALLY STRONG
WIND GUSTS FROM W TO E ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA. A WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.
A SHORT BOWING LINE SEGMENT HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE ORGANIZED OVER
THE PAST HOUR WITH SYSTEM LOCATED OVER LA SALLE AND WEBB COUNTIES AS
OF 0425Z. EXTRAPOLATION OF CURRENT SYSTEM MOTION --270/35 KT--
TAKES COMPLEX TO THE GULF COAST NEAR CRP BETWEEN 0700-0730Z. RUC
OBJECTIVE FIELDS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THIS BOW IS
MOVING ALONG THE COOL SIDE OF A LOW-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE STRETCHED
W-E ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TX WITH INFLOW AIR MASS LIKELY STILL
MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MUCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG.
LRD RECENTLY REPORTED A PEAK GUST TO 37 KT ALONG TRAILING EDGE OF
SYSTEM COLD POOL AND GIVEN THE FORWARD SPEED OF 35 KT...LOCALLY
STRONG WIND GUSTS APPROACHING SEVERE CRITERIA WILL BE POSSIBLE
CLOSER TO THE APEX OF THE BOW.
..MEAD.. 05/16/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...CRP...BRO...
28219887 28569825 28499733 27919701 27329725 27079783
27179867 27379889
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