KJAX [151900]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 151900
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
300 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0254 PM HAIL 9 NE DOWNTOWN JACKSONVI 30.42N 81.55W
05/15/2012 E0.25 INCH DUVAL FL EMERGENCY MNGR

PEA SIZED TO SLIGHTLY LARGER HAIL REPORTED AT JEA
NORTHSIDE GENERATING STATION ON HECKSCHER DRIVE.


&&

$$

MTRABERT

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KJAX [151851]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 151851
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
251 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0240 PM HAIL 4 W NORMANDY 30.30N 81.82W
05/15/2012 E0.25 INCH DUVAL FL COCORAHS

ALSO REPORTED 1 INCH OF RAIN IN LAST 35 MINS


&&

$$

LSTRUBLE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMQT [151849]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 151849
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
249 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0239 PM HAIL 3 NNW GERMFASK 46.29N 85.94W
05/15/2012 E0.25 INCH SCHOOLCRAFT MI PARK/FOREST SRVC


&&

$$

SRF

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KJAX [151849]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 151849
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
249 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0218 PM HAIL JACKSONVILLE INTL ARPT 30.48N 81.71W
05/15/2012 E0.25 INCH DUVAL FL OFFICIAL NWS OBS

PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY OFFICAL OBSERVER


&&

$$

AWALKER

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KILM [151841]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 151841
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
241 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0222 PM HAIL 1 NNE CONWAY 33.85N 79.05W
05/15/2012 E0.88 INCH HORRY SC PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200100

$$

RGZ

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KJAX [151841]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 151841
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
241 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0223 PM TSTM WND GST JACKSONVILLE BEACH 30.28N 81.39W
05/15/2012 E0 MPH DUVAL FL ASOS

NOLF WHITEHOUSE FIELD ASOS PK WND 22043/1823


&&

$$

AWALKER

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KILM [151835]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 151835
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
235 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 PM HAIL 2 NNE CONWAY 33.86N 79.05W
05/15/2012 E1.00 INCH HORRY SC PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200099

$$

RGZ

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 278

WWUS20 KWNS 151827
SEL8
SPC WW 151827
GAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-CWZ000-160100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 278
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EASTERN GEORGIA
SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
CENTRAL AND EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
900 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
SAVANNAH GEORGIA TO 40 MILES NORTH OF FLORENCE SOUTH CAROLINA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE...AND OTHER STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM LATER THIS AFTERNOON
OVER INLAND AREAS OF EASTERN GA AND SC. THESE STORMS WILL BE IN AN
ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...ALONG
WITH SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELL OR TRANSIENT
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER STORMS THROUGH MID EVENING.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25025.


...HART

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0816

ACUS11 KWNS 151809
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151808
MDZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-151915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0816
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0108 PM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN NC / WRN-CNTRL-NRN VA / PARTS OF MD

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 151808Z - 151915Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...SCTD TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP 18-21Z. THE STRONGER
STORMS WILL POSE AN ISOLD DMGG WIND/LARGE HAIL RISK.

DISCUSSION...SURFACE MESOANALYSIS PLACES A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDING NEWD FROM THE LEE OF THE SRN APPALACHIANS NEWD INTO WRN
VA. THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDGING ALOFT WILL ABATE THIS
AFTERNOON AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE TN VALLEY MOVES NEWD
WITHIN A BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW REGIME CENTERED FARTHER W OVER THE
LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY. ALTHOUGH MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT
PARTICULARLY STEEP /6.5 DEG C PER KM --REF 12Z GSO RAOB/...FURTHER
HEATING WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO CONTINUE TO WARM THROUGH THE 70S AND
INTO THE 80S AND LEAD TO MLCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 1000-1500 J/KG. AS
SUCH...POCKETS OF SUNSHINE WILL INCREASE 0-2 KM LAPSE RATES AND
BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR INTERMITTENT BOUTS OF STRONGER DOWNDRAFT
PENETRATION IN THE FORM OF LOCALIZED STRONG/MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND
GUSTS.

THE LAST FEW RUNS OF THE HRRR AND OTHER CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODEL
GUIDANCE SHOW SCTD STORMS DEVELOPING IN THE 18-21Z
PERIOD...CONCENTRATED INVOF THE MTNS OVER WRN NC NEWD INTO THE VA
PIEDMONT. THE MULTICELLULAR CHARACTER OF THESE STORMS SUGGEST AT
LEAST SOME LARGE HAIL RISK WILL DEVELOP WITH THE STRONGER
UPDRAFTS...BEFORE APPRECIABLE CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING/LOSS OF HEATING
TOWARDS EVENING LESSENS THIS RISK.

..SMITH/HART.. 05/15/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...GSP...

LAT...LON 35718220 36248175 39267789 39177670 38487601 36667625
35608063 35498170 35718220

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 151731
SWODY2
SPC AC 151730

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE
NORTHEAST/NEW ENGLAND...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO LINGER ACROSS THE ERN U.S. THIS
PERIOD...WHILE AN EMBEDDED/STRONGER SHORT-WAVE PORTION OF THE TROUGH
ASSUMES A NEGATIVE TILT AS IT CROSSES THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND
SHIFTS INTO NEW ENGLAND AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF ERN CANADA.

IN THE WEST...A TROUGH/LOW OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA AND NERN PACIFIC IS
FORECAST TO SHIFT SEWD WITH TIME...AFFECTING THE PAC NW --
PARTICULARLY DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD.

IN BETWEEN THE TWO TROUGHS...LARGE-SCALE MEAN RIDGING IS FORECAST
OVER THE ROCKIES -- THOUGH A WEAK SHORT-WAVE TROUGH IS PROGGED TO
CROSS THE REGION WITHIN THE BROADER-SCALE RIDGE.

AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST/NEW ENGLAND IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE STRENGTHENING UPPER
SHORT-WAVE SYSTEM. A WEAKER FRONT/TROUGH IS ALSO FORECAST TO SHIFT
SLOWLY ACROSS THE MIDDLE AND SRN ATLANTIC COAST STATES.

IN THE WEST...BROAD LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO PREVAIL OVER THE NRN
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION...WITH A LEE TROUGH FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN WITH
TIME. A COLD FRONT IS ALSO PROGGED TO CROSS THE PAC NW AS THE
STRONGER NERN PACIFIC UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THIS REGION.

...THE NORTHEAST/NEW ENGLAND...
MODEST DESTABILIZATION AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT IS FORECAST
TO SUPPORT A INCREASE IN STORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH MIDDAY/EARLY
AFTERNOON. WHILE SOME HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE AS STORMS
INCREASE...GREATER SEVERE RISK APPEARS TO BE LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.
WITH TIME...STORMS SHOULD GROW UPSCALE INTO LINES/LINE
SEGMENTS...AND -- AIDED BY MODERATELY STRONG SWLY FLOW ALOFT
SPREADING ATOP THE FRONTAL ZONE WITH TIME -- SHOULD BECOME CAPABLE
OF GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS -- WARRANTING AN UPGRADE TO SLIGHT RISK.
THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING AS THE AIRMASS SLOWLY
STABILIZES AND THE FRONT APPROACHES/MOVES OFF THE COAST.

...SERN U.S. COAST...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP DURING THE DAY
AHEAD OF THE SURFACE TROUGH...AND INVOF SEA-BREEZE BOUNDARIES DURING
THE AFTERNOON. DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION SHOULD FUEL THE
DEVELOPMENT...THOUGH MODEST SHEAR SHOULD LIMIT THE OVERALL SEVERE
THREAT IN MOST AREAS. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME CAPABLE OF LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS/SMALL HAIL...BEFORE DIURNALLY DIMINISHING DURING THE
EVENING.

..GOSS.. 05/15/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0815

ACUS11 KWNS 151707
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151707
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-151900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0815
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1207 PM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF SC...SRN NC...NERN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 151707Z - 151900Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. SEVERE HAIL AND WIND ARE LIKELY.

DISCUSSION...VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS AREAS OF TOWERING CU OVER W CNTRL
SC NEAR A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH...AS WELL AS OVER ERN SC/SERN NC
NEAR THE SEA BREEZE. WITH STRONG HEATING AND AMPLE
MOISTURE...VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS WILL DEVELOP. WIND PROFILES ARE WEAK IN
THE LOW TO MID LEVELS...BUT WILL INCREASE IN THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS
AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH AFFECTS THE AREA. TALL STORMS CAPABLE OF
1.00 - 1.75 INCH DIAMETER HAIL ARE LIKELY...AND SOME STRONG TO
SEVERE WINDS MAY OCCUR WITH DOWNBURSTS...ALTHOUGH AN ORGANIZED WIND
THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED ON THE LARGE SCALE.

..JEWELL/HART.. 05/15/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...

LAT...LON 33067939 32788141 33158257 33698297 34508314 35158249
35248179 35298059 35297939 35077842 34277787 33877824
33617879 33067939

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KEWX [151649]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 151649
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1149 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1134 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 WNW GARDEN RIDGE 29.64N 98.31W
05/15/2012 M1.76 INCH COMAL TX COCORAHS

1.76 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN THE PAST 3 HOURS...SOME
MINOR FLOODING.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200348

$$

PM

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 151620
SWODY1
SPC AC 151619

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1119 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012

VALID 151630Z - 161200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES AND CAROLINAS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MS
VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION...

...SC/NC/VA/MD...
WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE NATION TODAY...WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS EAST TN. VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED-BROKEN CLOUDS
THROUGHOUT THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION AND CAROLINAS WHERE POCKETS OF
HEATING WILL HELP YIELD TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S. SURFACE DEWPOINTS
ARE ALSO QUITE HIGH TODAY /MID 60S TO NEAR 70F/. THE RESULT WILL BE
A LARGE AREA OF MODERATE CAPE VALUES THIS AFTERNOON /MLCAPE OF
1000-2000 J/KG/. LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE WEAK THROUGHOUT THIS
REGION...BUT MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW A FEW
ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS OR TRANSIENT SUPERCELLS. LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH STRONGER
STORMS. THE THREAT SHOULD WEAKEN QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET.

...IA/IL/WI/LOWER MI...
A WEAK SURFACE COLD FRONT IS SAGGING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE UPPER MS
VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION TODAY. THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO
EXTEND FROM NORTHEAST IA INTO SOUTHERN WI...THEN EASTWARD INTO
CENTRAL LOWER MI BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON. FULL SUNSHINE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT WILL RESULT IN DEEP MIXING AND STEEP LAPSE RATES...WHILE
DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 40S AND 50S YIELD MLCAPE VALUES OF 500-1000
J/KG. MOST MODEL SOLUTIONS SUGGEST SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT LATER TODAY AND SPREAD
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO NORTHERN IL. A FEW OF THE STRONGER CELLS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. THIS THREAT SHOULD
DIMINISH QUICKLY WITH THE APPROACH OF SUNSET.

...SOUTH TX...
A WARM/MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AIR MASS IS IN PLACE THIS MORNING OVER
SOUTH TX...AHEAD OF A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER CENTRAL TX. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THIS AREA LATER TODAY
WITH A FEW STORMS CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL. WEAK MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES SHOULD LIMIT UPDRAFT STRENGTH AND THE OVERALL SEVERE
THREAT.

..HART/SMITH.. 05/15/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRNK [151532]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 151532
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1132 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSW MONETA 37.15N 79.65W
05/14/2012 BEDFORD VA PUBLIC

AN UNNAMED STREAM CAME OUT OF ITS BANKS AND FLOODED
SPINNAKER WAY AND HARBOUR TRAIL...LEAVING BEHIND DEBRIS
ON THE ROADS. OVER 6 INCHES OF WATER FLOWED OVER THE
ROADS. NUMEROUS DRIVEWAYS AND FRONT LAWNS WERE FLOODED.


&&

$$

HYSELL

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMAF [151516]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KMAF 151516
LSRMAF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1016 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0407 PM HAIL PERSIMMON GAP 29.66N 103.18W
05/14/2012 E1.00 INCH BREWSTER TX CO-OP OBSERVER

ABUNDANT QUARTER-SIZE HAIL COVERING GROUND.

0428 PM HAIL 25 NNE PRESIDIO 29.90N 104.20W
05/14/2012 E1.00 INCH PRESIDIO TX PUBLIC

0600 PM HAIL 3 SE STUDY BUTTE 29.30N 103.49W
05/14/2012 E1.00 INCH BREWSTER TX TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER-SIZED HAIL...ALONG WITH 70 MPH WIND MEASURED WIND
SPEEDS.

0600 PM TSTM WND GST 3 SE STUDY BUTTE 29.30N 103.49W
05/14/2012 M70.00 MPH BREWSTER TX TRAINED SPOTTER

70 MPH WINDS MEASURED WITH WINDMASTER... QUARTER-SIZED
HAIL ALSO REPORTED.


&&

$$

EMP

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRNK [151452]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 151452
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1052 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0552 PM HAIL 4 WSW NORTH WILKESBORO 36.15N 81.21W
05/14/2012 E0.75 INCH WILKES NC TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

SK

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRNK [151438]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 151438
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1038 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM LIGHTNING 5 SE WILBAR 36.21N 81.25W
05/14/2012 WILKES NC FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

LIGHTNING CAUSED STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO STORAGE SHED ALONG
HIGHWAY 16 IN MILLERS CREEK.

0540 PM HAIL 5 W NORTH WILKESBORO 36.18N 81.24W
05/14/2012 E0.50 INCH WILKES NC PUBLIC

DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 16 JUST SOUTH OF
MILLERS CREEK.


&&

$$

SK

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRAH [151421]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS52 KRAH 151421
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1020 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1250 PM TORNADO 2 SE DIGGS 34.83N 79.84W
05/14/2012 RICHMOND NC EMERGENCY MNGR

RICHMOND COUNTY EM REPORTS A LIKELY TORNADO TOUCHDOWN
AT 1250 PM JUST SOUTH OF DIGGS. MOST OF THE DAMAGE IS
NEAR ST STEVENS CHURCH ROAD. INITIAL REPORTS INDICATE 3
BUILDINGS WERE DAMAGED WITH A GREAT DEAL OF TREE DAMAGE.

0105 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SE DIGGS 34.83N 79.84W
05/14/2012 RICHMOND NC 911 CALL CENTER

PARTIAL DAMAGE TO A COUPLE OF BUILDINGS NEAR
INTERSECTION OF ST STEVENS CHURCH RD AND FAIRLY HAYS RD.

0155 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 N EAST LAURINBURG 34.84N 79.46W
05/14/2012 SCOTLAND NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE TREE DOWN BLOCKING OLD WIRE ROAD NEAR US ROUTE 501.

0155 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NNE LAUREL HILL 34.82N 79.53W
05/14/2012 SCOTLAND NC DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREE DOWN JUST NORTHEAST OF LAUREL HILL.

0430 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 4 ENE CLINTON 35.02N 78.28W
05/14/2012 SAMPSON NC CO-OP OBSERVER

2 EMPLOYEES FROM CLINTON HORTICULTURAL CROP RESEARCH
STATION SPOTTED POSSIBLE FUNNEL CLOUD AROUND 430PM.
DEBRIS APPEARED TO BE BLOWING AROUND BUT NO VISIBLE
DAMAGE WAS SEEN.

0445 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 6 N TURKEY 35.07N 78.19W
05/14/2012 SAMPSON NC 911 CALL CENTER

MULTIPLE REPORTS OF FUNNEL CLOUDS IN FAR EASTERN
SAMPSON COUNTY HAVE BEEN RECEIVED BY SAMPSON COUNTY EM
OFFICIALS.

0810 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W LEWISVILLE 36.09N 80.41W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC 911 CALL CENTER

TREE DOWN ON LAGRANDE PLACE BLOCKING ROAD IN APARTMENT
COMPLEX. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

0820 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 SE WINSTON-SALEM 36.05N 80.22W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC 911 CALL CENTER

TREE DOWN ON WILLIAMS DRIVE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

0835 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SW WALKERTOWN 36.16N 80.17W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC 911 CALL CENTER

ONE TREE DOWN ON WILLISTON ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BY
RADAR.

0835 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SSE WALKERTOWN 36.16N 80.15W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC 911 CALL CENTER

TREE DOWN ON DARROW ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

0845 PM TSTM WND DMG KERNERSVILLE 36.12N 80.08W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC 911 CALL CENTER

MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN KERNERSVILE. TIME ESTIMATED BY
RADAR.

0846 PM FLASH FLOOD WINSTON-SALEM 36.10N 80.26W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC TRAINED SPOTTER

A SPOTTER REPORTS 6 INCHES OF WATER ON BUSINESS I-40
NEAR SILAS CREEK PARKWAY.

0850 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 W PFAFFTOWN 36.15N 80.34W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC TRAINED SPOTTER

TWO FEET OF WATER REPORTED OVER CLAREDON AVE IN
PFAFFTOWN.

0915 PM FLASH FLOOD WINSTON-SALEM 36.10N 80.26W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC PUBLIC

2-3 FEET OF WATER REPORTED OVER SOME ROADS AND PARKING
LOTS IN DOWNTOWN WINSTON-SALEM NEAR BUISNESS HIGHWAY
40... INCLUDING SOME CARS PARTLY SUBMERGED.

0915 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 WNW PFAFFTOWN 36.16N 80.33W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC EMERGENCY MNGR

UP TO 2 FEET OF WATER INSIDE OF BUSINESSES ALONG
REYNOLDA RD.

0918 PM HAIL THOMASVILLE 35.89N 80.08W
05/14/2012 E0.88 INCH DAVIDSON NC TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKEL SIZED HAIL NEAR THOMASVILLE ON 109

0930 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 WSW PFAFFTOWN 36.13N 80.35W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC EMERGENCY MNGR

HILLTOP DR CLOSED. CULVERT FAILURE WITH 30 FEET OF
ASPHALT WASHED AWAY

0935 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 WNW ASHEBORO 35.74N 79.89W
05/14/2012 RANDOLPH NC DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREE DOWN ON OLD LEXINGONT ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BY
RADAR.

0940 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NE ASHEBORO 35.73N 79.80W
05/14/2012 RANDOLPH NC DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREE DOWN ON EAST ALRED ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

0945 PM FLASH FLOOD WINSTON-SALEM 36.10N 80.26W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC 911 CALL CENTER

FORSYTH COUNTY 911 CENTER HAS RECEIVED A FEW REPORTS OF
HIGH WATER AND STRANDED VEHICLES. NO KNOWN ROAD CLOSURES
AT THIS TIME

0950 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 W ULAH 35.65N 79.89W
05/14/2012 RANDOLPH NC 911 CALL CENTER

TREE DOWN ON TOTT HILL FARM ROAD AND LUCY LANE BLOCKED
THE ROADWAY. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

0530 AM FLOOD 3 WSW ARCADIA 35.94N 80.36W
05/15/2012 DAVIDSON NC 911 CALL CENTER

BRIDGE ON HAMPTON ROAD CROSSING MUDDLY CREEK HAD WATER
FLOWING OVER IT BEGINING AT AROUND 200 AM AND LASTING
THROUGH AT LEAST 530 AM. CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED AS OF
THIS TIME. THE HIGH WATER OCCURRED SEVERAL HOURS AFTER
THE HEAVY RAIN.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200226 RAH1200223 RAH1200224 RAH1200225 RAH1200241
RAH1200227 RAH1200234 RAH1200233 RAH1200235 RAH1200236 RAH1200237
RAH1200228 RAH1200231 RAH1200232 RAH1200243 RAH1200229 RAH1200244
RAH1200239 RAH1200238 RAH1200230 RAH1200240 RAH1200242

$$

GIH

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRAH [151404]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KRAH 151404
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1004 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 AM FLOOD 3 WSW ARCADIA 35.94N 80.36W
05/15/2012 DAVIDSON NC 911 CALL CENTER

BRIDGE ON HAMPTON ROAD CROSSING MUDDLY CREEK HAD WATER
FLOWING OVER IT BEGINING AT AROUND 200 AM AND LASTING
THROUGH AT LEAST 530 AM. CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED AS OF
THIS TIME. THE HIGH WATER OCCURRED SEVERAL HOURS AFTER
THE HEAVY RAIN.


&&

CORRECTED EVENT...REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200242

$$

BLAES

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRAH [151349]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 151349
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
949 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 WSW PFAFFTOWN 36.13N 80.35W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC EMERGENCY MNGR

HILLTOP DR CLOSED. CULVERT FAILURE WITH 30 FEET OF
ASPHALT WASHED AWAY


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200244

$$

MCLAMB

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCHS [151347]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 151347
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
947 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0356 PM HAIL 3 ESE MIDWAY 31.79N 81.38W
05/14/2012 E1.00 INCH LIBERTY GA PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200149

$$

VB

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGSP [151346]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 151346
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
945 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 PM HAIL 3 WNW MONROE 35.00N 80.60W
05/14/2012 E1.00 INCH UNION NC COCORAHS

1 INCH HAIL REPORTED WNW OF MONROE.


&&

$$

JPT

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRAH [151343]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 151343
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
943 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 WNW PFAFFTOWN 36.16N 80.33W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC EMERGENCY MNGR

UP TO 2 FEET OF WATER INSIDE OF BUSINESSES ALONG
REYNOLDA RD.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200243

$$

MCLAMB

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRAH [151341]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 151341
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
941 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 WSW ARCADIA 35.94N 80.36W
05/15/2012 DAVIDSON NC 911 CALL CENTER

BRIDGE ON HAMPTON ROAD CROSSING MUDDLY CREEK HAD WATER
FLOWING OVER IT BEGINING AT 200 AM AND LASTING THROUGH
AT LEAST 530 AM.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200242

$$

BLAES

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRAH [151339]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 151339
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
939 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 4 ENE CLINTON 35.02N 78.28W
05/14/2012 SAMPSON NC CO-OP OBSERVER

2 EMPLOYEES FROM CLINTON HORTICULTURAL CROP RESEARCH
STATION SPOTTED POSSIBLE FUNNEL CLOUD AROUND 430PM.
DEBRIS APPEARED TO BE BLOWING AROUND BUT NO VISIBLE
DAMAGE WAS SEEN.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200241

$$

TDH

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGSP [151332]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 151332
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
931 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 NNE NEWTON 35.73N 81.19W
05/14/2012 CATAWBA NC EMERGENCY MNGR

LYLE CREEK COVERED A PORTION OF ST JOHNS CHURCH RD.

1230 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 NNE CLAREMONT 35.75N 81.13W
05/14/2012 CATAWBA NC EMERGENCY MNGR

A TRIBUTARY OF LYLE CREEK FLOODED CROSSING CREEK ROAD TO
A DEPTH OF 18 INCHES.

1230 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 NNW CLAREMONT 35.76N 81.17W
05/14/2012 CATAWBA NC EMERGENCY MNGR

A TRIBUTARY OF LYLE CREEK FLOODED PORTIONS OF COMMUNITY
AND RIVERBEND ROADS.


&&

$$

CSH

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRAH [151327]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 151327
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
927 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0950 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 W ULAH 35.65N 79.89W
05/14/2012 RANDOLPH NC 911 CALL CENTER

TREE DOWN ON TOTT HILL FARM ROAD AND LUCY LANE BLOCKED
THE ROADWAY. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200240

$$

BLAES

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KAKQ [151326]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KAKQ 151326
LSRAKQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
926 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 AM HEAVY RAIN PENNSYTOWN 36.87N 76.23W
05/15/2012 M1.59 INCH CITY OF NORFOLK VA CO-OP OBSERVER

RAINFALL IN 60 MINUTES...SIGNIFICANT STREET FLOODING


&&

EVENT NUMBER AKQ1200258

$$

LALEXAND

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGSP [151326]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 151326
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
925 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 ESE HENDERSONVILLE 35.31N 82.43W
05/14/2012 HENDERSON NC EMERGENCY MNGR

BAT FORK CREEK FLOODED A PORTION OF AIRPORT RD.


&&

$$

CSH

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRAH [151325]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 151325
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
925 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0935 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 WNW ASHEBORO 35.74N 79.89W
05/14/2012 RANDOLPH NC DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREE DOWN ON OLD LEXINGONT ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BY
RADAR.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200239

$$

BLAES

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRAH [151323]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 151323
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
923 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NE ASHEBORO 35.73N 79.80W
05/14/2012 RANDOLPH NC DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREE DOWN ON EAST ALRED ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200238

$$

BLAES

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCAE [151323]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 151323
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
923 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0735 PM HAIL 7 NNW WINNSBORO 34.47N 81.12W
05/14/2012 E1.00 INCH FAIRFIELD SC UTILITY COMPANY

QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN THE WHITE OAK AREA BY
ELECTRIC COOP EMPLOYEE. TIME ESTIMATED.

0925 PM HAIL 10 ENE RIDGEWAY 34.37N 80.80W
05/14/2012 E1.00 INCH FAIRFIELD SC PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED AT COLONEL CREEK MARINA. TIME
ESTIMATED.


&&

$$

DCM

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRAH [151253]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 151253
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
853 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0845 PM TSTM WND DMG KERNERSVILLE 36.12N 80.08W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC 911 CALL CENTER

MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN KERNERSVILE. TIME ESTIMATED BY
RADAR.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200237

$$

BLAES

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRAH [151252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 151252
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
852 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0835 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SSE WALKERTOWN 36.16N 80.15W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC 911 CALL CENTER

TREE DOWN ON DARROW ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200236

$$

BLAES

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRAH [151251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 151251
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
851 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0835 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SW WALKERTOWN 36.16N 80.17W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC 911 CALL CENTER

ONE TREE DOWN ON WILLISTON ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BY
RADAR.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200235

$$

BLAES

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRAH [151249]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 151249
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
849 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W LEWISVILLE 36.09N 80.41W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC 911 CALL CENTER

TREE DOWN ON LAGRANDE PLACE BLOCKING ROAD IN APARTMENT
COMPLEX. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200234

$$

BLAES

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRAH [151248]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 151248
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
848 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0820 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 SE WINSTON-SALEM 36.05N 80.22W
05/14/2012 FORSYTH NC 911 CALL CENTER

TREE DOWN ON WILLIAMS DRIVE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200233

$$

BLAES

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KAKQ [151244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KAKQ 151244
LSRAKQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
844 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 AM HEAVY RAIN PORTSMOUTH 36.84N 76.30W
05/15/2012 M2.73 INCH CITY OF PORTSMOUTH VA TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL DURING PAST 90 MINUTES


&&

EVENT NUMBER AKQ1200257

$$

LALEXAND

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 151231
SWODY1
SPC AC 151229

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0729 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012

VALID 151300Z - 161200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS UPPER MS VALLEY/GREAT LAKES
REGION...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS MUCH OF SC/NC/VA/MD...

...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG MID-UPPER LEVEL JET WILL ROTATE AROUND A HUDSON BAY
LOW...AMPLIFYING A TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION. AN ATTENDANT
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PROGRESS SEWD...INFLUENCING
AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT BEFORE REACHING WRN
NY/PA...THE OH AND MID MS VALLEYS AND CNTRL PLAINS OVERNIGHT.

FARTHER S AND E...A BROAD UPPER TROUGH AND MAINLY DIURNAL SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST FROM THE WRN GULF NWD INTO THE
NORTHEAST...AMIDST MODEST SWLY FLOW.

TO THE WEST...A NRN SIERRAS UPPER LOW WILL MEANDER INTO THE SRN
GREAT BASIN OVERNIGHT...SUPPORTING ISOLATED HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST...GREAT BASIN...AND NRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION.

...UPPER MS VALLEY/GREAT LAKES REGION...
AMPLE DIURNAL HEATING WILL SLOWLY ERODE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION BY
AFTERNOON...WITH FRONTAL FORCING CONTRIBUTING TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF
A LINE OF STORMS EXTENDING FROM NERN MI SWWD TO SRN IA...GRADUALLY
SAGGING SWD THROUGH THE EVENING. MODEL FORECASTS CONTINUE TO
OVERESTIMATE SURFACE DEW POINT VALUES...AND CONSIDERING THE
ANTECEDENT DRYNESS CONFIRMED BY AREA 12Z SOUNDINGS...FORECAST DEW
POINTS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S SEEM MORE REASONABLE.
REGARDLESS...SBCAPE NEAR 750-1000 J/KG AND MODEST UNIDIRECTIONAL
WLYS MAY BE SUPPORTIVE OF A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE MULTICELLULAR
CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF DMGG WINDS AND HAIL BEFORE NOCTURNAL COOLING
STABILIZES THE BOUNDARY LAYER.

...MUCH OF SC/NC/VA/MD...
12Z VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS AREAS OF CLEARING THAT WILL ALLOW FOR
AMPLE SURFACE HEATING AND DESTABILIZATION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
SEVERAL AREAS OF CONVECTIVE INITIATION APPEAR POSSIBLE...WITH HI-RES
MODELS SUGGESTING THE PRIMARY INITIATION OCCURRING ALONG THE
APPALACHIANS AS EARLY AS 17Z. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE
ALONG A LEE SURFACE TROUGH AND SEA BREEZE. WV IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA
OF MOISTENING/IMPLIED ASCENT FROM NRN GA INTO ERN TN/WRN NC AND SC
THAT MAY AID IN EARLIER CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. WITH SEVERAL ROUNDS
OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE...HAVE EXPANDED THE SLIGHT NWD
INTO VA AND MD. SEASONABLY WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL STEEPEN
LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES BY AFTERNOON...WITH LOOSELY ORGANIZED CLUSTERS
OF DMGG WINDS AND HAIL OCCURRING AMIDST MODEST DEEP-LAYER SHEAR.
DIURNALLY DRIVEN STORMS WILL WEAKEN SHORTLY AFTER DARK.

...S TX...
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO LINGER OVER S TX IN THE WAKE OF
EARLIER CONVECTION. WITH THE MAIN UPPER VORT STILL ACROSS WRN/CNTRL
TX EXPECTED TO ROTATE SEWD...SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION MAY BE ABLE
TO OCCUR AHEAD OF THE PRIMARY UPPER FORCING. WEAK LOW-MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND STRENGTHENING DEEP-LAYER WINDS MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

...CNTRL/NERN FL COASTS...
VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND WEAKLY VEERED LOW LEVEL WINDS MAY BE
SUPPORTIVE OF AN ISOLATED WATERSPOUT THIS MORNING. 12Z VISIBLE
IMAGERY REFLECTS AN AREA OF SURFACE CONVERGENCE N OF MLB THAT MAY BE
A FAVORED AREA FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...THE THREAT IS NOT
ANTICIPATED TO EXTEND OVER LAND...SO TORNADO PROBABILITIES HAVE NOT
BEEN INTRODUCED.

..HURLBUT/THOMPSON.. 05/15/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KAKQ [151213]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KAKQ 151213
LSRAKQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
813 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NNE CENTREVILLE 38.06N 77.81W
05/15/2012 M3.80 INCH LOUISA VA TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL DURING PAST 24 HOURS

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN PORTSMOUTH 36.84N 76.30W
05/15/2012 M2.19 INCH CITY OF PORTSMOUTH VA TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL DURING PAST HOUR


&&

EVENT NUMBER AKQ1200255 AKQ1200256

$$

LALEXAND

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KJAX [151054]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 151054
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
654 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM HEAVY RAIN ORANGE PARK 30.17N 81.70W
05/14/2012 M4.29 INCH CLAY FL TRAINED SPOTTER

4.29 INCHES OF RAIN BETWEEN 5 PM AND 10 PM


&&

$$

ZALLEN

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KEWX [150935]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 150935
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
435 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSE HILL COUNTRY VILL 29.56N 98.48W
05/15/2012 BEXAR TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOW WATER CROSSING FLOODED AT BITTERS ROAD.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200347

$$

PM

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 150844
SWOD48
SPC AC 150843

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012

VALID 181200Z - 231200Z

...DISCUSSION...
GUIDANCE REMAINS CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGE FROM THE WRN GULF COAST TO THE GREAT LAKES THIS
WEEKEND...DOWNSTREAM OF AN AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE WRN
CONUS AT 12Z/FRI. HIGHER-THAN-AVERAGE CONSISTENCY EXISTS AMONG
DETERMINISTIC/ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE WITH THE TROUGH DAMPENING AS IT
PROGRESSES INTO THE CNTRL CONUS ON SAT-SUN. TSTM POTENTIAL WILL
INCREASE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS TROUGH...IN CONJUNCTION WITH A
COLD FRONT PUSHING SEWD INTO THE N-CNTRL CONUS.

RETURN FLOW IN THE WRN GULF WILL COMMENCE ON D3 AND SHOULD REMAIN
MODEST IN THE COASTAL AREAS. THIS SHOULD NOT BE PARTICULARLY
CONDUCIVE FOR RICH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE TRANSPORT ACROSS MOST OF
THE PLAINS...WITH THE GFS/GEFS MEAN APPEARING OVERDONE IN THIS
REGARD. THE ECMWF APPEARS REASONABLE WITH DEPICTING A MODERATE
INCREASE IN BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WHICH SHOULD YIELD SOME SEVERE
POTENTIAL /PEAKING AROUND D5/. BUT GIVEN THE DAMPENING NATURE OF THE
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...SEVERE PROBABILITIES ARE STILL AOB 30 PERCENT.

..GRAMS.. 05/15/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 150707
SWODY3
SPC AC 150705

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0205 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A DAMPENING SHORT WAVE TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE CNTRL/SRN ROCKIES
SHOULD DRIFT INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS...BECOMING EMBEDDED WITHIN A
BUILDING UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OCCURRING DOWNSTREAM OF AN AMPLIFIED
TROUGH ENTERING THE WEST. LEE SURFACE TROUGH SHOULD PERSIST ACROSS
THE NRN/CNTRL HIGH PLAINS WITH A S/SWLY LLJ NOCTURNALLY
STRENGTHENING OVER THE GREAT PLAINS. THIS SHOULD AID IN A NOCTURNAL
INCREASE OF ELEVATED TSTMS WITHIN A WAA REGIME ACROSS THE UPPER
MIDWEST...N OF STRONG CAPPING. BUT WITH ONLY A MODEST PW INCREASE
AND WEAK UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WITH THE BUILDING RIDGE...ORGANIZED SEVERE
POTENTIAL APPEARS MINIMAL.

..GRAMS.. 05/15/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRNK [150612]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KRNK 150612
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
212 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0553 PM HAIL 4 WSW NORTH WILKESBORO 36.15N 81.21W
05/14/2012 E1.00 INCH WILKES NC PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZE HAIL BEGAN AT 553 PM AND ENDED AT 600 PM
EDT...AND ALSO TWO TREES DOWN...ALL OBSERVED AT THE
INTERSECTION OF CONGO ROAD AND WINKLER MILL ROAD

0556 PM HAIL 3 WSW NORTH WILKESBORO 36.15N 81.19W
05/14/2012 E1.00 INCH WILKES NC TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

0605 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 W NORTH WILKESBORO 36.16N 81.20W
05/14/2012 WILKES NC PUBLIC

SIX TO EIGHT INCHES OF WATER FLOWING OVER A BRIDGE ON
CONGO ROAD...AND ONE CAR WAS SWEPT OFF THE ROAD INTO A
DITCH

0745 PM FLOOD 1 WSW PEAKS OF OTTER RE 37.44N 79.63W
05/14/2012 BEDFORD VA PUBLIC

SHEEP CREEK SPILLING OUT OF ITS BANKS AND OVERFLOWING A
LOW WATER BRIDGE ON JAY BIRD LANE

0756 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 N HUNTSVILLE 36.10N 80.52W
05/14/2012 YADKIN NC EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER FLOWING OVER A BRIDGE ON DINKINS BOTTOMS ROAD...AND
MULTIPLE TREES DOWN FROM THE FLOWING WATER

0900 PM FLASH FLOOD BURNT CHIMNEY 37.10N 79.83W
05/14/2012 FRANKLIN VA EMERGENCY MNGR

EXTENSIVE FLOODING REPORTED ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN
FRANKLIN COUNTY. BIGGEST PROBLEMS BETWEEN ROCKY MOUNT AND
SMITH MOUNTAIN LAKE. NINE VEHICLES STRANDED IN FLOOD
WATERS ALONG VA 122. TWO 60-INCH CULVERTS WASHED OUT AT
THE WINDY RIDGE FARM SUBDIVISION WITH CURRENTLY NO ACCESS
IN/OUT OF THE SUBDIVISION FOR THE 15 RESIDENTS LIVING
THERE. OTHER ROADS WITH MINOR DAMAGE AND UNDERMINED BY
THE FLOOD WATERS. REPORTS OF RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF 4 IN/2
HRS ACROSS THIS PART OF THE COUNTY.

0913 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SSW WESTERN SMITH MOU 37.03N 79.75W
05/14/2012 FRANKLIN VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SIX TO EIGHT INCHES OF WATER FLOWING OVER A BRIDGE ON
POWELLS STORE ROAD

0955 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 N MECHANICSBURG 37.18N 80.96W
05/14/2012 BLAND VA EMERGENCY MNGR

AT LEAST SIX INCHES OF WATER FLOWING OVER PRICE RIDGE
ROAD

1047 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 NW GLASGOW 37.67N 79.50W
05/14/2012 ROCKBRIDGE VA EMERGENCY MNGR

CAR STRANDED FROM WATER FLOODING OVER TINKERVILLE
ROAD...WHICH REQUIRED A SWIFT WATER RESCUE


&&

$$

RAB

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 150551
SWODY2
SPC AC 150550

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN AMPLIFYING SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL SHIFT EWD FROM ONTARIO/GREAT
LAKES INTO QUEBEC AND ACROSS WRN/NRN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH EARLY THU.
ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SEWD ACROSS THE NORTHEAST TO
THE OH VALLEY. A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD IN THE
SOUTHEAST. IN THE WEST...COMPACT SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER NRN CA WILL
DAMPEN AS IT REACHES THE CNTRL/SRN ROCKIES BY THU MORNING. A LEE
SURFACE TROUGH WILL SHARPEN ACROSS THE NRN/CNTRL HIGH PLAINS WITH A
LLJ STRENGTHENING IN THE GREAT PLAINS WED NIGHT.

...NORTHEAST...
ALTHOUGH STRONGER MID-LEVEL SWLYS WILL LAG THE COLD FRONT SWEEPING
ACROSS THE REGION ON WED...AROUND 40 KT AT 500 MB SHOULD BE PRESENT
ALONG THE BOUNDARY. DESPITE MODEST MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...DIURNAL
HEATING WILL LEAD TO STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MIXING OF
SURFACE DEWPOINTS GENERALLY INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S. WITH
MLCAPE LIKELY REACHING 500-1000 J/KG AND WITH NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL
SWLYS RESULTING IN EFFECTIVE SHEAR AROUND 30 KT...SETUP SHOULD YIELD
A FEW CLUSTERS AND SHORT-LINE SEGMENTS PRIMARILY PRODUCING LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS/MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

...SOUTH ATLANTIC COAST...
BELT OF MODERATE MID-LEVEL SWLYS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY CONFINED
TO THE COASTAL AREAS WITH GRADUAL APPROACH OF A BROAD BUT WEAK
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN POOR...BUT
POCKETS OF STRONGER INSOLATION/HEATING COUPLED WITH LOWER TO MIDDLE
60S SURFACE DEW POINTS SHOULD RESULT IN MODEST BUOYANCY AND
DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED TSTMS DURING THE AFTERNOON. A FEW MULTICELL
CLUSTERS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS/MARGINALLY
SEVERE HAIL.

...UPPER MIDWEST...
NEAR THE EXIT REGION OF THE GREAT PLAINS LLJ...GUIDANCE IS FAIRLY
CONSISTENT THAT CONVECTION SHOULD FORM TOWARDS 12Z/THU IN PARTS OF
THE ERN DAKOTAS AND MN WITHIN A WAA REGIME. MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST ELEVATED PARCELS WOULD HAVE ONLY MODEST SHEAR IN THE
CLOUD-BEARING LAYER...WHICH SHOULD MITIGATE SEVERE HAIL POTENTIAL.

..GRAMS.. 05/15/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 150541
SWODY1
SPC AC 150539

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1239 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2012

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER MS
VALLEY AND WRN GREAT LAKES REGION...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE
CAROLINAS...

...UPPER MS VALLEY/WRN GREAT LAKES REGION...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SEWD FROM ONTARIO INTO THE WRN GREAT
LAKES REGION TODAY. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE SEWD
ACROSS WI AND NRN LOWER MI WITH DEWPOINTS AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY IN
THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S F. WARMING SFC TEMPS BY EARLY AFTERNOON
SHOULD YIELD SBCAPE VALUES OF 1000 TO 1500 J/KG FROM ERN IA NEWD TO
AROUND MILWAUKEE. AS THE INSTABILITY AXIS TAKES SHAPE AND LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE INCREASES...THE MODELS DEVELOP THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON...MOVING THE CONVECTION SEWD ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK
AREA.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT MILWAUKEE WI AND DAVENPORT IA AROUND 21Z SHOW
30 TO 40 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR WITH MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 8.0 T 8.5
C/KM. THIS ENVIRONMENT SHOULD SUPPORT SUPERCELLS AND/OR SEVERE
MULTICELL LINE SEGMENTS AS STORMS LINE UP ALONG THE FRONT. ISOLATED
LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WHEN INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE
STRONGEST. DUE TO THE RELATIVELY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER...THE THREAT
SHOULD DIMINISH QUICKLY AFTER DARK AS INSTABILITY DECREASES ACROSS
THE REGION.

...ERN SEABOARD/SRN AND CNTRL APPALACHIAN FOOTHILLS...
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE ERN STATES TODAY WITH
A BROAD WARM SECTOR LOCATED FROM THE CNTRL GULF COAST STATES NEWD
INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST
TO DEVELOP ALONG THE CORRIDOR OF MODERATE INSTABILITY DURING THE
EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. MODEL CONSENSUS PLACES THE GREATEST
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE FROM NCNTRL NC SWWD INTO ERN GA WHERE MLCAPE
VALUES SHOULD REACH THE 2000 TO 2500 J/KG RANGE. IN
ADDITION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT 21Z THIS AFTERNOON IN COLUMBIA SC
AND RALEIGH NC SHOW 25 TO 35 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR WITH STEEP LOW-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES. THIS ENVIRONMENT SHOULD SUPPORT A WIND DAMAGE THREAT
ESPECIALLY WITH LINE SEGMENTS THAT CAN ORGANIZE AND PERSIST DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN
AREAS WHERE STORMS HAVE ACCESS TO STRONG INSTABILITY. HAVE ADDED A
SLIGHT RISK ACROSS CNTRL NC AND SC WHERE CONFIDENCE IS GREATEST
CONCERNING THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS.

...SOUTH TX...
A POSITIVELY-TILTED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE SRN
PLAINS TODAY. ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE TROUGH AXIS...THE MODELS
DEVELOP WEAK INSTABILITY FROM THE TX HILL COUNTRY SWD INTO SOUTH TX
WITH INCREASING DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITH SWD EXTENT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
AT BROWNSVILLE THIS AFTERNOON SHOW 0-6 KM SHEAR OF 45 TO 50 KT WHICH
SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR A SEVERE THREAT. HOWEVER...MLCAPE VALUES ARE
ONLY FORECAST TO BE IN THE 500 TO 750 J/KG RANGE SUGGESTING ANY
SEVERE THREAT WILL REMAIN MARGINAL. THE STRONGER CELLS COULD HAVE A
THREAT FOR HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS.

..BROYLES/COHEN.. 05/15/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCHS [150420]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 150420
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1220 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0647 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 22 ESE RACCOON BLUFF 31.40N 80.87W
05/14/2012 M43 MPH AMZ354 GA BUOY

BUOY 41008 REPORTS A WIND GUST TO 37 KNOTS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200148

$$

33

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGSP [150420]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 150420
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1220 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 PM HAIL 7 NE WAXHAW 35.00N 80.65W
05/14/2012 E1.00 INCH UNION NC BROADCAST MEDIA

PUBLIC REPORTED 1 INCH HAIL TO MEDIA.


&&

$$

RB

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KRNK [150401]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 150401
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1200 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0955 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 N MECHANICSBURG 37.18N 80.96W
05/14/2012 BLAND VA EMERGENCY MNGR

AT LEAST SIX INCHES OF WATER FLOWING OVER PRICE RIDGE
ROAD


&&

$$

PW

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.