Thursday, April 5, 2012

KGSP [052008]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 052008
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
408 PM EDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 PM HAIL 3 W INMAN 35.06N 82.15W
04/05/2012 E1.25 INCH SPARTANBURG SC PUBLIC


&&

$$

LG

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KOHX [052007]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 052007
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
306 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0303 PM HAIL 5 E EAGLEVILLE 35.74N 86.56W
04/05/2012 M0.88 INCH RUTHERFORD TN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

BBOYD

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0462

ACUS11 KWNS 052007
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052006
NCZ000-TNZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-052100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0462
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0306 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AL...FAR WRN NC...MIDDLE/ERN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 147...

VALID 052006Z - 052100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 147
CONTINUES.

SURFACE ANALYSIS AT 19-20Z SHOWS ONE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER NWRN
TN...AND ANOTHER OVER ERN TN. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS EWD ACROSS
MIDDLE TN TOWARD THE ERN TN LOW...WHILE A COLD FRONT ARCS SEWD FROM
THE NWRN TN LOW INTO ERN AL. STORMS ARE EXPANDING IN COVERAGE ALONG
THE WRN TN-ERN AL FRONTAL SEGMENT...WHILE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO PERSIST ALONG THE MIDDLE/ERN TN STATIONARY
FRONT. THE SURFACE AIRMASS BETWEEN THE TWO FRONTAL BOUNDARIES
REMAINS WARM AND MOIST...WHICH SUPPORTS MLCAPE VALUES FROM 500-1000
J/KG. AS SUCH...STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..GARNER.. 04/05/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...
PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON 34998559 34528550 34228583 34128632 34298649 34348817
35038800 36688806 36638362 35958290 35768297 35498390
35378404 35218401 35238369 35018364 34998559

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 144

WWUS20 KWNS 052004
SEL4
SPC WW 052003
MSZ000-052000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 144
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
303 PM CDT THU APR 5 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 144 ISSUED AT 1040 AM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

MISSISSIPPI

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 052002
SWODY1
SPC AC 052000

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

VALID 052000Z - 061200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST
STATES...

...SC/WESTERN NC...
HAVE FOCUSED HIGHER SEVERE PROBABILITIES /ESPECIALLY HAIL/ ACROSS
THE REGION TO THE EAST OF A SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS SURFACE LOW AND
NEAR/SOUTH OF A SAGGING BACKDOOR COLD FRONT. ALONG/SOUTH OF THE
FRONT...THE AIRMASS IS UNSTABLE WITH AN ENVIRONMENT CONDUCIVE FOR
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL ASIDE FROM DAMAGING WINDS.
REFERENCE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 461 FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

...GA/FL...
FEW CHANGES ACROSS THE REGION...WITH BOUTS OF WIND DAMAGE REMAINING
POSSIBLE WITH AN ADVANCING MCS. A DAMAGING WIND/ISOLATED TORNADO
THREAT COULD ALSO INCREASE LATER TONIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY ACROSS
WESTERN/SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FL PENINSULA...EITHER VIA THE
ONGOING EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO CONVECTIVE CLUSTER AND/OR ADDITIONAL
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.

...TN VALLEY...
NEAR THE EAST-SOUTHEAST ADVANCING UPPER LOW...ISOLATED SEVERE
HAIL/GUSTY WINDS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION. A BRIEF
TORNADO MAY YET BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF TN WITHIN A VORTICITY
RICH ENVIRONMENT...BUT CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING/CLUSTERING SHOULD
LARGELY LIMIT SUCH POTENTIAL. LASTLY...AIRMASS MAY RECOVER TO A
DEGREE IN AREAS SUCH AS EASTERN MS/MUCH OF AL IN THE WAKE OF THE
EARLY DAY MCS...BUT ANY HAIL/WIND POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED.

..GUYER.. 04/05/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1114 AM CDT THU APR 05 2012/

...SYNOPSIS...

CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE OZARK PLATEAU WILL ACCELERATE SEWD TOWARD
THE LOWER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY IN RESPONSE TO THE EWD PROGRESSION
OF UPSTREAM TROUGH ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. THE FORMER SYSTEM
WILL BE ATTENDED BY A BROAD BELT OF 50-55 KT WINDS AT 500 MB WITH A
LEAD VORTICITY MAXIMUM PIVOTING NEWD ACROSS MS/AL/GA
TODAY...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER VORTICITY MAXIMUM/JET STREAK WHICH WILL
DIG SEWD THROUGH SRN PARTS OF AL/GA INTO FL TONIGHT.

IN THE LOW LEVELS...WEAK SURFACE WAVE OVER MIDDLE TN AS OF 15Z WILL
DEVELOP EWD TODAY BEFORE REFORMING OVER THE SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY
TONIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE EWD/SEWD FROM THE
LOWER MS VALLEY INTO NRN FL BY 06/12Z.

...LOWER MS VALLEY TO SERN ATLANTIC COAST...

AS OF MID-MORNING...RADAR DATA SHOWED AN INTENSIFYING...BOWING MCS
OVER W-CNTRL AL INTO SRN MS MOVING ESEWD AT 35 KT. THIS SYSTEM IS
LIKELY BEING FORCED BY LEAD VORTICITY MAXIMUM MENTIONED ABOVE...AND
ROOTED WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND 60 KT OF
DEEP WLY SHEAR /PER 12Z JAN SOUNDING/. DOWNSTREAM CLOUDS AND MODEST
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE MAY LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE ROBUST
DESTABILIZATION TODAY...THOUGH AFTERNOON MLCAPE MAY STILL APPROACH
1000-1500 J/KG. BUT...GIVEN THE FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO
VORTICITY MAXIMUM...STRONG UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND FIELD...AND AN
EXPANDING/DEEPENING COLD POOL...EXPECT THE BOWING MCS TO CONTINUE
ACROSS PARTS OF AL/GA/FL PNHDL TODAY WITH AN ASSOCIATED THREAT FOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

ADDITIONAL STORMS NOW FORMING INVOF OF THE UPPER LOW OVER NERN
AR/WRN TN WILL LIKELY SPREAD EWD ACROSS NRN PARTS OF MS/AL AND TN
TODAY...COINCIDENT WITH THE MIDLEVEL COLD POOL. WHILE VERTICAL
SHEAR WILL BE WEAKER THAN LOCATIONS TO THE S...STEEPER MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND COOL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL YIELD A FEW SEVERE
STORMS CAPABLE OF MAINLY LARGE HAIL.

OTHER DIURNALLY ENHANCED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG
BACK-DOOR COLD FRONT SAGGING SWD THROUGH SC. HERE...THE COMBINATION
OF STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...MLCAPE OF 1000-2000 J/KG AND
30-40 KT OF DEEP WSWLY SHEAR WILL FOSTER STRONG-SEVERE STORMS
CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

BY TONIGHT...THE STRONGEST FORCING FOR ASCENT IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD
SEWD ACROSS SRN PARTS OF AL/GA INTO FL IN CONCERT WITH THE SECONDARY
VORTICITY MAXIMUM. THIS WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN AN INTENSE NOCTURNAL
MCS ACROSS THESE AREAS WITH A CONTINUING THREAT FOR DAMAGING
WINDS...HAIL...AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO.

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KOHX [051958]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 051958
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
258 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM HAIL 3 NE MURFREESBORO 35.88N 86.35W
04/05/2012 E0.75 INCH RUTHERFORD TN PUBLIC


&&

$$

SHAMBURGER

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KCAE [051956]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 051956
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
353 PM EDT THU APR 5 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0312 PM HAIL 5 WNW SHILOH 33.97N 80.11W
04/05/2012 U1.00 INCH SUMTER SC PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING
THE GROUND AND THE HAIL DAMAGED PLANTS AND
GARDEN.

&&

$$

COLEMAN

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KGSP [051950]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 051950
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
350 PM EDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0325 PM HAIL 3 SSW GOWENSVILLE 35.07N 82.24W
04/05/2012 E1.00 INCH GREENVILLE SC AMATEUR RADIO

COCKRELL RD


&&

$$

CSH

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KGSP [051949]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 051949
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
349 PM EDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0325 PM HAIL 5 SE TIGERVILLE 35.02N 82.32W
04/05/2012 E0.75 INCH GREENVILLE SC 911 CALL CENTER

BROOKE ANN COURT...LAKE ROBINSON.


&&

$$

CSH

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KGSP [051947]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 051947
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
347 PM EDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0328 PM HAIL 5 NNW GREER 35.00N 82.27W
04/05/2012 M0.75 INCH GREENVILLE SC AMATEUR RADIO


&&

$$

CSH

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KCAE [051945]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 051945
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
343 PM EDT THU APR 5 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0336 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 SW SHILOH 33.90N 80.10W
04/05/2012 SUMTER SC PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED TREES DOWN ACROSS I-95 NEAR
MILE MARKER 135.

&&

$$

COLEMAN

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KCAE [051943]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 051943
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
341 PM EDT THU APR 5 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM HAIL 5 SW SHILOH 33.90N 80.10W
04/05/2012 U1.00 INCH SUMTER SC PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL DAMAGED
THEIR WINDSHIELD NEAR MILE MARKER 135 ON
I-95.

&&

$$

COLEMAN

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KOHX [051942]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 051942
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
242 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM HAIL 3 W BIRDSONG MARINA 35.96N 88.05W
04/05/2012 E0.50 INCH BENTON TN PUBLIC


&&

$$

SHAMBURGER

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KGSP [051942]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 051942
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
342 PM EDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0318 PM HAIL 1 SE WOODRUFF 34.73N 82.02W
04/05/2012 E1.00 INCH SPARTANBURG SC PUBLIC


&&

$$

CSH

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KGSP [051939]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 051939
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
339 PM EDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0327 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 ESE TIGERVILLE 35.05N 82.31W
04/05/2012 GREENVILLE SC 911 CALL CENTER

TREE ON RESIDENCE ALONG CAMP CREEK RD.


&&

$$

CSH

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KGSP [051937]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 051937
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
337 PM EDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0328 PM HAIL 4 SSW GOWENSVILLE 35.06N 82.26W
04/05/2012 E1.75 INCH GREENVILLE SC TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

LG

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0461

ACUS11 KWNS 051937
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051937
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000-052030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0461
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0237 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN GA...WRN NC...SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 146...

VALID 051937Z - 052030Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 146
CONTINUES.

SURFACE ANALYSIS AT 19Z INDICATES LOW PRESSURE IS SITUATED OVER
CNTRL/NERN SC...WITH A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT EXTENDING SEWD FROM WRN
NC TOWARD THE SURFACE LOW...AND THEN OFFSHORE FROM NERN SC. AIRMASS
ALONG AND S OF THE FRONT OVER SC IS VERY UNSTABLE...WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S...DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S...AND
MLCAPE VALUES LOCALLY NEAR 2000 J/KG. HOWEVER...A DRY SURFACE
AIRMASS OVER GA MAY ADVECT EWD INTO SC DURING THE NEXT FEW
HRS...WHICH WOULD TEND TO REDUCE CAPE VALUES ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR
AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES. IN THE SHORT-TERM...LOCALLY STRONG
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR THE SC SURFACE LOW...AS WELL AS BACKED
SURFACE WINDS/ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL SHEAR...WILL INCREASE THE
PROBABILITY FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS POSING A THREAT FOR LARGE
HAIL...LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND EVEN A TORNADO. FARTHER NW
ALONG THE FRONT INTO NRN/WRN SC AND WRN NC...FAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER
WLY SHEAR AND MLCAPE VALUES FROM 1000-1500 J/KG SUPPORT A CONTINUED
THREAT FOR SVR MULTICELL CLUSTERS AND A FEW SUPERCELLS...WITH AN
ATTENDANT THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..GARNER.. 04/05/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...

LAT...LON 34818373 35338404 35518389 36048265 36048222 35568176
35558153 35508081 34807995 34257955 34287907 33857854
33577901 33077930 31828075 31838115 32448156 32608203
32848230 33248226 34818373

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KCAE [051935]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 051935
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
333 PM EDT THU APR 5 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0320 PM HAIL 2 NW SHILOH 33.95N 80.05W
04/05/2012 U1.00 INCH SUMTER SC PUBLIC

CLARENDON COUNTY FIRE DEPT. REPORTED QUARTER
SIZE HAIL ON SOUTHBOUND I-95

&&

$$

COLEMAN

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KPAH [051928]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 051928
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
228 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 PM HAIL 2 S POPLAR BLUFF 36.74N 90.41W
04/05/2012 M1.00 INCH BUTLER MO TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED AND COVERING THE GROUND.


&&

$$

SMITTY

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0460

ACUS11 KWNS 051922
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051922
ALZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-052015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0460
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0222 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MS...WRN TN...FAR NERN AR...MO BOOTHEEL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 145...

VALID 051922Z - 052015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 145
CONTINUES.

SURFACE ANALYSIS AT 18-19Z SHOWS A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER NWRN
TN...WITH A COLD FRONT ARCING SEWD INTO AL...AND A STATIONARY FRONT
EXTENDING EWD INTO MIDDLE AND ERN TN. SHORT-LIVED TORNADOES HAVE
OCCURRED OVER THE MO BOOTHEEL DURING THE PAST 1-2 HRS NEAR THE
SURFACE LOW AND MIDLEVEL VORTICITY MAX. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE INCREASE
IN STORM MERGERS AND RAIN COOLED SURFACE AIRMASS...THIS THREAT MAY
END FAIRLY SOON. OTHERWISE...LOW-LEVEL MOIST AXIS WITH SURFACE
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TO UPR 50S EXTENDS NWWD FROM THE TN VALLEY INTO
SERN MO. GIVEN COLD MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES ABOVE THIS
MOISTURE...MODERATELY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND MLCAPE VALUES FROM
500-1000 J/KG WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A RISK FOR LARGE HAIL.

..GARNER.. 04/05/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON 36508983 36508768 33928846 33939059 36508983

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KJAN [051913]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 051913
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
213 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 AM HAIL 3 NW COLLINSTON 32.72N 91.91W
04/05/2012 E1.00 INCH MOREHOUSE LA PUBLIC


&&

$$

GERARD

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 148

WWUS20 KWNS 051900
SEL8
SPC WW 051900
ALZ000-FLZ000-GAZ000-060200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 148
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
300 PM EDT THU APR 5 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
CENTRAL AND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
WEST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 300 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF MACON GEORGIA TO 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA
CITY FLORIDA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 143...WW 144...WW
145...WW 146...WW 147...

DISCUSSION...BOWING MCS FROM E-CNTRL INTO SRN AL IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE ESEWD THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING IN ADVANCE OF VORTICITY
MAXIMUM PIVOTING NEWD INTO THE TN VALLEY. WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND
DISRUPTION OF MOIST INFLOW BY CONVECTION OVER THE NERN GOM HAVE
TEMPERED DESTABILIZATION OF AIR MASS DOWNSTREAM FROM MCS.
NONETHELESS...THE PRESENCE OF MLCAPE OF 500-1500 J/KG AND 45-60 KT
OF DEEP WLY SHEAR WILL STILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF FORWARD-PROPAGATION OF
BOWING SYSTEM WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME
HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28030.


...MEAD

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KGSP [051901]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 051901
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
301 PM EDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0256 PM HAIL ASHEVILLE 35.57N 82.55W
04/05/2012 E0.75 INCH BUNCOMBE NC TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

LG

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KGSP [051857]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 051857
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
257 PM EDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM HAIL ASHEVILLE 35.57N 82.55W
04/05/2012 E0.50 INCH BUNCOMBE NC NWS EMPLOYEE


&&

$$

LG

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KGSP [051855]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 051855
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
255 PM EDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0255 PM HAIL ASHEVILLE 35.57N 82.55W
04/05/2012 E1.00 INCH BUNCOMBE NC PUBLIC

DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING GROUND REPORTED BY
PUBLIC.


&&

$$

PTANNER

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KMEG [051851]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMEG 051851
LSRMEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
151 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 PM HAIL OBION 36.26N 89.19W
04/05/2012 E0.50 INCH OBION TN FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

HAIL BEGINNING TO COVER THE GROUND.


&&

$$

BORGHOFF

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KGSP [051847]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 051847
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
247 PM EDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 PM HAIL 2 NE CAESARS HEAD 35.12N 82.59W
04/05/2012 E1.00 INCH GREENVILLE SC PARK/FOREST SRVC

QUARTER SIZED HAIL ALMOST COVERED THE GROUND


&&

$$

LG

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KMEG [051843]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KMEG 051843
LSRMEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
143 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1005 AM HAIL 5 E DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS 35.13N 89.96W
04/05/2012 E0.75 INCH SHELBY TN TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY SIZE HAIL...SUMMER AND WHITESTATION AREA

1005 AM HAIL 3 E DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS 35.13N 90.00W
04/05/2012 E0.25 INCH SHELBY TN TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY SIZED HAIL AT AVON AND SUMMER AVE.

1158 AM TORNADO 2 N HAYTI 36.26N 89.75W
04/05/2012 PEMISCOT MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS REPORTS OF A BRIEF TORNADO ON THE GROUND.

1239 PM HAIL N HAYTI 36.23N 89.75W
04/05/2012 M1.00 INCH PEMISCOT MO TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZED HAIL JUST NORTH OF HAYTI.

1253 PM HAIL HUNTINGDON 36.01N 88.41W
04/05/2012 E0.75 INCH CARROLL TN TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY SIZED HAIL IN HUNTINGDON.

0140 PM HAIL BATESVILLE 34.32N 89.94W
04/05/2012 E0.75 INCH PANOLA MS EMERGENCY MNGR

DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL. GUSTY WINDS ALSO REPORTED.

0140 PM HAIL N HUNTINGDON 36.01N 88.41W
04/05/2012 M1.00 INCH CARROLL TN EMERGENCY MNGR

QUARTER SIZED HAIL ON HIGHWAY 22 BYPASS JUST NORTH OF
HUNTINGDON.


&&

$$

MRM

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KMEG [051842]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMEG 051842
LSRMEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
141 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0140 PM HAIL BATESVILLE 34.32N 89.94W
04/05/2012 E0.75 INCH PANOLA MS EMERGENCY MNGR

DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL. GUSTY WINDS ALSO REPORTED.


&&

$$

BORGHOFF

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KBMX [051837]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 051837
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
137 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1140 AM TSTM WND GST E JEMISON 32.96N 86.75W
04/05/2012 E50 MPH CHILTON AL AMATEUR RADIO

I-65 EXIT 219, TREE LIMBS DOWN.


&&

$$

MBAER

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KPAH [051835]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 051835
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
135 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM TORNADO 1 NE MARSTON 36.53N 89.60W
04/05/2012 NEW MADRID MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

...UNCONFIRMED...REPORTED TO LAW ENFORCEMENT BY GENERAL
PUBLIC.


&&

$$

SMITTY

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KMRX [051831]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 051831
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
231 PM EDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0157 PM HAIL 2 S LA FOLLETTE 36.34N 84.13W
04/05/2012 E1.00 INCH CAMPBELL TN LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

JWINTON

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KLCH [051829]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 051829
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
129 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 21 SW BURNS POINT 29.36N 91.78W
04/04/2012 E45 MPH GMZ455 LA PUBLIC

REPORT FROM PLATFORM IN EUGENE ISLAND BLOCK 24.


&&

$$

TMOGGED

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KLCH [051827]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 051827
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
127 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1019 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 27 SW BURNS POINT 29.33N 91.87W
04/04/2012 M83 MPH GMZ455 LA PUBLIC

REPORT FROM PLATFORM IN SOUTH MARSH ISLAND BLOCK 239.
CREW SUGGESTED POSSIBLE WATERSPOUT.


&&

$$

TMOGGED

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 147

WWUS20 KWNS 051823
SEL7
SPC WW 051823
ALZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-060200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 147
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
125 PM CDT THU APR 5 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN ALABAMA
FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
MIDDLE AND EASTERN TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 125 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHWEST
OF MUSCLE SHOALS ALABAMA TO 20 MILES EAST OF KNOXVILLE TENNESSEE.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 143...WW 144...WW
145...WW 146...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF VORTICITY MAXIMUM PIVOTING NEWD
INTO THE TN VALLEY...AHEAD OF UPPER LOW NEAR THE MS RIVER. THOUGH
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT MARGINAL...STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF
HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 21020.


...MEAD

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KMRX [051821]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 051821
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
221 PM EDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0114 PM HAIL 3 W MAYNARDVILLE 36.25N 83.86W
04/05/2012 E0.88 INCH UNION TN 911 CALL CENTER

DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL.


&&

$$

JWINTON

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0459

ACUS11 KWNS 051813
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051812
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-051945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0459
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0112 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...E CNTRL/SRN AL...W CNTRL/SW GA AND THE FL PNHDL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 143...

VALID 051812Z - 051945Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 143
CONTINUES.

A NEW WW MAY BE NEEDED EAST OF WW 143...ACROSS PARTS OF GEORGIA AND
NORTHERN FLORIDA...WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.

THE LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC CYCLONIC CIRCULATION...ASSOCIATED WITH
THE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM NOW SPREADING ACROSS/EAST OF
BIRMINGHAM/MONTGOMERY AND ADJACENT AREAS OF CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...IS MIGRATING EASTWARD AROUND 35 KTS. THIS FEATURE APPEARS
LIKELY TO PROGRESS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA INTO WEST CENTRAL
GEORGIA...NORTH OF COLUMBUS...BETWEEN NOW AND 20-21Z... AND SHOULD
MAINTAIN VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE PRESENCE OF WEAK TO
MODERATE CAPE AND STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR. WITH THE WEAK AND
WESTERLY COMPONENT TO THE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELDS ...IN ADDITION TO
TEMPERED BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING...REMAINING A LIMITING FACTOR TO A
MORE SUBSTANTIVE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...IT IS NOT CERTAIN THAT
THERE WILL BE MUCH INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEAR TERM.
HOWEVER...PERIODIC STRONGER UPDRAFT PULSES PROBABLY WILL REMAIN
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SEVERE HAIL...AND THE RISK FOR AT LEAST
LOCALIZED CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED SURFACE WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE.

..KERR.. 04/05/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

LAT...LON 31308688 32078619 32728590 33428606 33428478 32488357
30828408 30258471 30248521 30638728 31308688

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KOHX [051804]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 051804
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
104 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1258 PM HAIL WHITE BLUFF 36.11N 87.21W
04/05/2012 E0.75 INCH DICKSON TN TRAINED SPOTTER

MARBLE TO PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED


&&

$$

SHAMBURGER

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KGSP [051801]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 051801
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
201 PM EDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0156 PM HAIL 4 NW SWANNANOA 35.64N 82.44W
04/05/2012 E1.00 INCH BUNCOMBE NC PUBLIC

PEA TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED E OF ASHEVILLE NC


&&

$$

PTANNER

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KMEG [051759]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KMEG 051759
LSRMEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1258 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1005 AM HAIL 5 E DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS 35.13N 89.96W
04/05/2012 E0.75 INCH SHELBY TN TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY SIZE HAIL...SUMMER AND WHITESTATION AREA

1005 AM HAIL 3 E DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS 35.13N 90.00W
04/05/2012 E0.25 INCH SHELBY TN TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY SIZED HAIL AT AVON AND SUMMER AVE.

1158 AM TORNADO 2 N HAYTI 36.26N 89.75W
04/05/2012 PEMISCOT MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS REPORTS OF A BRIEF TORNADO ON THE GROUND.

1239 PM HAIL N HAYTI 36.23N 89.75W
04/05/2012 M1.00 INCH PEMISCOT MO TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZED HAIL JUST NORTH OF HAYTI.

1253 PM HAIL HUNTINGDON 36.01N 88.41W
04/05/2012 E0.75 INCH CARROLL TN TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY SIZED HAIL IN HUNTINGDON.


&&

$$

MRM

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KTFX [051755]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 051755
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1155 AM MDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 AM SNOW HOBSON 47.00N 109.87W
04/05/2012 E3.0 INCH JUDITH BASIN MT TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 3 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL SINCE EARLY THIS
MORNING.


&&

$$

NJL

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0458

ACUS11 KWNS 051754
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051754
TNZ000-NCZ000-VAZ000-GAZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-051930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0458
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1254 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TN...NRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 051754Z - 051930Z

CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED DURING THE AFTERNOON FOR
POSSIBLE WW OVER PORTIONS OF ERN TN AND NRN GA.

COLD CORE MIDLEVEL LOW WAS LOCATED OVER NERN AR AT 17-18Z...AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO MIDDLE TN AND NRN AL BY EVENING. AT THE
SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE WAS POSITIONED OVER WRN TN...WITH A
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING EWD INTO ERN TN...WRN NC
AND NRN SC. AS THE MIDLEVEL LOW ADVANCES EWD DURING THE DAY...THE
SURFACE FRONT MAY SAG SWD TOWARD SERN TN/NRN GA AS SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE REDEVELOPS NEAR COASTAL SC/GA. LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS
GUIDANCE INDICATES AIRMASS OVER MIDDLE/ERN TN IS EXPERIENCING MODEST
DESTABILIZATION AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY WARM INTO THE 70S. AS A
RESULT...MLCAPE VALUES HAVE INCREASED TO AROUND 500-1000
J/KG...WHICH IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT INVOF
THE SURFACE FRONT. IN ADDITION...MIDLEVEL SWLYS AHEAD OF THE CLOSED
LOW ARE AROUND 30-40 KT...WHICH WILL AID IN MARGINAL STORM
ORGANIZATION. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY POSE A RISK OF
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL...WITH THE THREAT POSSIBLY
SPREADING SWD LATER IN THE AFTERNOON TOWARD NRN GA WITH THE
ADVANCING FRONT.

..GARNER.. 04/05/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON 35018583 36608474 36598301 35988258 34258417 34158543
35018583

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KTFX [051754]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 051754
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1154 AM MDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 AM SNOW 2 NW BENCHLAND 47.10N 110.06W
04/05/2012 M3.0 INCH JUDITH BASIN MT TRAINED SPOTTER

3 INCHES OF SNOWFALL SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING.


&&

$$

NJL

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KBMX [051753]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 051753
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1253 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1137 AM TSTM WND DMG 4 NNE UNIONTOWN 32.50N 87.47W
04/05/2012 PERRY AL DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SEVERAL TREES REPORTED DOWN BY PERRY COUNTY HIGHWAY DEPT.
NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF BUSTER SEALY ROAD AND HIGHWAY
183


&&

$$

JTALLEY

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KMRX [051752]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 051752
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
152 PM EDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0110 PM HAIL LAKE CITY 36.22N 84.16W
04/05/2012 E1.25 INCH ANDERSON TN LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

JWINTON

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 146

WWUS20 KWNS 051748
SEL6
SPC WW 051748
GAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-CWZ000-060100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 146
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
150 PM EDT THU APR 5 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EASTERN GEORGIA
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 150 PM UNTIL
900 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST OF
ASHEVILLE NORTH CAROLINA TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF CHARLESTON SOUTH
CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 143...WW 144...WW 145...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND AHEAD OF
COLD FRONT ADVANCING SWD/SWWD ACROSS THE REGION. RUC OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THAT PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS HAS BECOME MODERATELY
UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2500 J/KG OWING TO STRONG DAYTIME
HEATING AND DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S. WHEN COUPLED WITH 30-40 KT OF
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...SETUP WILL SUPPORT MULTICELL AND MARGINAL
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH AN ASSOCIATED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27020.


...MEAD

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KGSP [051748]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 051748
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
148 PM EDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0111 PM HAIL 5 SW BAT CAVE 35.39N 82.34W
04/05/2012 E0.50 INCH HENDERSON NC PUBLIC

0.50 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY PUBLIC


&&

$$

PTANNER

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KBMX [051742]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 051742
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1241 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1205 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 WSW SELMA 32.39N 87.09W
04/05/2012 DALLAS AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE REPORTED DOWN NEAR SELMA AND PEA SIZED HAIL REPORTED
BY COUNTY DEPUTIES


&&

$$

JTALLEY

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KMRX [051734]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 051734
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
134 PM EDT THU APR 05 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0123 PM HAIL NORRIS 36.21N 84.06W
04/05/2012 E0.75 INCH ANDERSON TN PUBLIC


&&

$$

JWINTON

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 051730
SWODY2
SPC AC 051729

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1229 PM CDT THU APR 05 2012

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN AMPLIFIED LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CONUS THROUGH
FRIDAY. TWO DISTINCT SPLIT BRANCHES OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE
CONUS WILL PHASE ON FRIDAY WHILE THE LONGWAVE TROUGH OTHERWISE
SPREADS EASTWARD TO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. MEANWHILE...THE BRUNT OF A
BROAD TROUGH OVER THE NORTHWEST CONUS/NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION
TODAY WILL SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD AND REACH THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.

...SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
SHORTWAVE RIDGING WILL ABATE ACROSS THE REGION INTO FRIDAY...BUT
LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL STILL BE NEBULOUS.
NONETHELESS...SUFFICIENT HEATING/CONVERGENCE IN VICINITY OF THE
DRYLINE SHOULD ALLOW FOR ISOLATED TSTMS TO DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON
IN AREAS SUCH AS THE EASTERN TX PANHANDLE/CAPROCK VICINITY...AS WELL
AS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST TX INCLUDING THE PERMIAN BASIN. WHILE THE
BOUNDARY LAYER WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY MOIST /GENERALLY LOWER 50S F
SURFACE DEWPOINTS OR LESS/ AND SUBJECT TO DEEP MIXING...HIGH-BASED
STORMS POTENTIALLY INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS MAY BE CAPABLE OF
LARGE HAIL/GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING HOURS. WHILE LOCALLY SEVERE TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...THE
OVERALL SEVERE EXTENT/MAGNITUDE SHOULD REMAIN TEMPERED GIVEN A
LIMITED MOISTURE/FORCING SCENARIO.

...NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS TO MIDDLE/LOWER MO RIVER VALLEY...
LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS WILL STEADILY OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS ON FRIDAY AS THE BRUNT OF THE SYNOPSIS-AFOREMENTIONED WESTERN
STATES TROUGH REACHES THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS. MOISTURE CONTENT
WILL REMAIN LIMITED ACROSS THE REGION /PW VALUES OF 0.6-0.8
INCHES/...BUT AMPLE FORCING FOR ASCENT AND SUFFICIENT MOISTURE WILL
LIKELY BE SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED TSTM DEVELOPMENT BY MID/LATE
AFTERNOON. SUCH SURFACE BASED TSTM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE MOST PROBABLE
IN VICINITY OF A NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED HIGH PLAINS SURFACE TROUGH
AND/OR ALONG AN EASTWARD ADVANCING COLD FRONT /AS IT OVERTAKES THE
SURFACE TROUGH/. WHILE BUOYANCY WILL BE LIMITED /A COUPLE HUNDRED J
PER KG MLCAPE/...SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE WIND/HAIL
AS A LINEAR-TYPE ORGANIZATION WILL BE PROBABLE. A NOCTURNALLY
INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET/SOUTHEASTWARD ACCELERATING COLD FRONT
SHOULD FACILITATE A SOUTHEASTWARD-SPREAD OF TSTMS TOWARD THE
MIDDLE/LOWER MO VALLEY OVERNIGHT. WHILE INFLOW WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY ELEVATED AFTER DARK WITHIN AN ALREADY LIMITED BUOYANCY
ENVIRONMENT...A MARGINAL HAIL/WIND RISK MAY PERSIST THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY/EARLY SATURDAY.

...FL PENINSULA...
WITHIN A MOIST/WEAKLY CAPPED AIRMASS AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT...SCATTERED TSTMS /PERHAPS SOME STRONG OR SEVERE/ COULD LINGER
MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FL PENINSULA FRIDAY MORNING.
IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG DEEP LAYER WEST-NORTHWESTERLY MID-HIGH
LEVEL FLOW...A SUPERCELL TORNADO THREAT MAY EXIST ASIDE FROM
ISOLATED WIND/HAIL. SUBSEQUENT REDEVELOPMENT/LONGEVITY OF THE SEVERE
THREAT IS MORE QUESTIONABLE INTO THE AFTERNOON AS BOUNDARY LAYER
WINDS CONTINUE TO VEER AND CONVERGENCE WEAKENS IN THE PRESENCE OF
INCREASING SUBSIDENCE ALOFT. HOWEVER...AT LEAST SOME SEVERE THREAT
COULD PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON FOR EASTERN COASTAL AREAS PRIOR TO
THE COLD FRONT CLEARING THE AREA.

..GUYER.. 04/05/2012

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