NWUS52 KMLB 221947
LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
346 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0340 PM FLOOD DELAND 29.04N 81.30W
08/22/2013 VOLUSIA FL LAW ENFORCEMENT
DELAND POLICE DEPARTMENT REPORTED MULTIPLE STREETS
FLOODED AS WELL AS SEVERAL STRANDED CARS IN THE CITY OF
DELAND.
&&
$$
ULRICH
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Thursday, August 22, 2013
KDMX [221945]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KDMX 221945
LSRDMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
245 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0505 AM TSTM WND DMG PLAINFIELD 42.84N 92.54W
08/22/2013 BREMER IA TRAINED SPOTTER
NUMEROUS LARGE TREES DOWN IN TOWN. ONE LARGE TREE IS DOWN
LEANING ON A HOUSE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
0510 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 E PLAINFIELD 42.84N 92.48W
08/22/2013 BREMER IA TRAINED SPOTTER
NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AND A MACHINE SHED SEVERLY DAMAGED
NEAR HORTON.
&&
$$
DONAVON
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LSRDMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
245 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0505 AM TSTM WND DMG PLAINFIELD 42.84N 92.54W
08/22/2013 BREMER IA TRAINED SPOTTER
NUMEROUS LARGE TREES DOWN IN TOWN. ONE LARGE TREE IS DOWN
LEANING ON A HOUSE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
0510 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 E PLAINFIELD 42.84N 92.48W
08/22/2013 BREMER IA TRAINED SPOTTER
NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AND A MACHINE SHED SEVERLY DAMAGED
NEAR HORTON.
&&
$$
DONAVON
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1758
ACUS11 KWNS 221943
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221942
SDZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-222215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1758
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0242 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN CO...EXTREME WRN NEB AND SD...ERN WY AND SERN
MT
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 221942Z - 222215Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...STORMS MOVING EWD OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL POSE A
MODEST RISK FOR ISOLATED DOWNBURST WINDS AND HAIL THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. COVERAGE OF ANY SEVERE EVENTS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
SPARSE...AND PROBABILITY OF WW ISSUANCE IS LOW.
DISCUSSION...THIS AFTERNOON STRONG INSOLATION IS CONTRIBUTING TO
DESTABILIZATION OVER THE CNTRL AND NRN HIGH PLAINS AREA. A WEAK
UPSLOPE COMPONENT HAS DEVELOPED IN POST FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT FROM ERN
CO INTO WY WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN THE 50S ALONG ERN PERIPHERY
OF THE ELEVATED MIXED LAYER...RESULTING IN A CORRIDOR OF 1000-1500
J/KG MLCAPE. RECENT TRENDS IN SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW CONVECTION
/INCLUDING A FEW THUNDERSTORMS/ INCREASING ALONG THE FRONT RANGE OF
THE ROCKIES FROM NCNTRL CO NWD THROUGH THE LARAMIE RANGE AND BIG
HORNS OF WY. THIS REGION RESIDES BENEATH AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS WITH
HEIGHT RISES AND SLIGHT WARMING ALOFT. NEVERTHELESS...OROGRAPHIC
FORCING SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROMOTE AT LEAST WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE ROCKIES AS WELL AS OVER THE BLACK
HILLS OF SD. A BELT OF SOMEWHAT STRONGER FLOW WITH 25-30 KT WLY
WINDS EXISTS ACROSS CNTRL WY WHERE DEEP VERTICAL SHEAR UP TO 30-35
KT EXISTS. OTHERWISE...WIND PROFILES ARE GENERALLY SUPPORTIVE OF
MULTICELLS. STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITH LARGE
TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS WILL PROMOTE A THREAT FOR ISOLATED
DOWNBURST WINDS WITH STORMS MOVING EWD OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. SOME
HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE STRONGER CORES.
..DIAL/CORFIDI.. 08/22/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...UNR...BOU...CYS...BYZ...RIW...
LAT...LON 43930616 44900661 45210507 44470345 41310355 40300401
40410492 42760569 43930616
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221942
SDZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-222215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1758
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0242 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN CO...EXTREME WRN NEB AND SD...ERN WY AND SERN
MT
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 221942Z - 222215Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...STORMS MOVING EWD OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL POSE A
MODEST RISK FOR ISOLATED DOWNBURST WINDS AND HAIL THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. COVERAGE OF ANY SEVERE EVENTS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
SPARSE...AND PROBABILITY OF WW ISSUANCE IS LOW.
DISCUSSION...THIS AFTERNOON STRONG INSOLATION IS CONTRIBUTING TO
DESTABILIZATION OVER THE CNTRL AND NRN HIGH PLAINS AREA. A WEAK
UPSLOPE COMPONENT HAS DEVELOPED IN POST FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT FROM ERN
CO INTO WY WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN THE 50S ALONG ERN PERIPHERY
OF THE ELEVATED MIXED LAYER...RESULTING IN A CORRIDOR OF 1000-1500
J/KG MLCAPE. RECENT TRENDS IN SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW CONVECTION
/INCLUDING A FEW THUNDERSTORMS/ INCREASING ALONG THE FRONT RANGE OF
THE ROCKIES FROM NCNTRL CO NWD THROUGH THE LARAMIE RANGE AND BIG
HORNS OF WY. THIS REGION RESIDES BENEATH AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS WITH
HEIGHT RISES AND SLIGHT WARMING ALOFT. NEVERTHELESS...OROGRAPHIC
FORCING SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROMOTE AT LEAST WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE ROCKIES AS WELL AS OVER THE BLACK
HILLS OF SD. A BELT OF SOMEWHAT STRONGER FLOW WITH 25-30 KT WLY
WINDS EXISTS ACROSS CNTRL WY WHERE DEEP VERTICAL SHEAR UP TO 30-35
KT EXISTS. OTHERWISE...WIND PROFILES ARE GENERALLY SUPPORTIVE OF
MULTICELLS. STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITH LARGE
TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS WILL PROMOTE A THREAT FOR ISOLATED
DOWNBURST WINDS WITH STORMS MOVING EWD OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. SOME
HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE STRONGER CORES.
..DIAL/CORFIDI.. 08/22/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...UNR...BOU...CYS...BYZ...RIW...
LAT...LON 43930616 44900661 45210507 44470345 41310355 40300401
40410492 42760569 43930616
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KGRR [221941]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGRR 221941
LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
341 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0339 PM FLOOD BATTLE CREEK 42.32N 85.19W
08/22/2013 CALHOUN MI TRAINED SPOTTER
FLOODING OVER THE CURB AT MAIN ST AND HAMBLIN AVE.
&&
$$
WFELVER
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LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
341 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0339 PM FLOOD BATTLE CREEK 42.32N 85.19W
08/22/2013 CALHOUN MI TRAINED SPOTTER
FLOODING OVER THE CURB AT MAIN ST AND HAMBLIN AVE.
&&
$$
WFELVER
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KPBZ [221939]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KPBZ 221939
LSRPBZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
339 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0258 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 WSW JACKSONVILLE 40.54N 79.29W
08/22/2013 INDIANA PA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
TREE DOWN ON ROUTE 286 IN YOUNG TOWNSHIP
&&
EVENT NUMBER PBZ1302676
$$
RG
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LSRPBZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
339 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0258 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 WSW JACKSONVILLE 40.54N 79.29W
08/22/2013 INDIANA PA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
TREE DOWN ON ROUTE 286 IN YOUNG TOWNSHIP
&&
EVENT NUMBER PBZ1302676
$$
RG
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KJAX [221933]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KJAX 221933
LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
333 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0325 PM HEAVY RAIN 8 ENE TRENTON 29.66N 82.69W
08/22/2013 M3.55 INCH GILCHRIST FL COCORAHS
COCORAHS OBSERVER REPORTED 3.55 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER
THE PAST 3 HOURS. MINOR FLOODING WAS REPORTED IN THE
AREA.
&&
$$
JHESS
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LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
333 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0325 PM HEAVY RAIN 8 ENE TRENTON 29.66N 82.69W
08/22/2013 M3.55 INCH GILCHRIST FL COCORAHS
COCORAHS OBSERVER REPORTED 3.55 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER
THE PAST 3 HOURS. MINOR FLOODING WAS REPORTED IN THE
AREA.
&&
$$
JHESS
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KJAX [221923]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KJAX 221923
LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
323 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1229 PM LIGHTNING FRUIT COVE 30.10N 81.62W
08/22/2013 ST. JOHNS FL EMERGENCY MNGR
LIGHTNING STRUCK A RESIDENCE AT 139 LIGE BRANCH LANE IN
THE FRUIT COVE AND SWITZERLAND AREA. UNKNOWN REPORTS OF
DAMAGE OR INJURIES AT THIS TIME.
&&
$$
JHESS
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LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
323 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1229 PM LIGHTNING FRUIT COVE 30.10N 81.62W
08/22/2013 ST. JOHNS FL EMERGENCY MNGR
LIGHTNING STRUCK A RESIDENCE AT 139 LIGE BRANCH LANE IN
THE FRUIT COVE AND SWITZERLAND AREA. UNKNOWN REPORTS OF
DAMAGE OR INJURIES AT THIS TIME.
&&
$$
JHESS
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1757
ACUS11 KWNS 221921
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221920
SCZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-222145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1757
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0220 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NRN AL...NRN/ERN GA...SC
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 221920Z - 222145Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A VERY ISOLATED...MARGINAL SVR THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL MAY
EXIST THIS AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...LOW-LEVEL ASCENT IS BEING MODESTLY ENHANCED WITHIN A
CORRIDOR INVOF A SUBTLE SFC WIND-SHIFT AXIS FROM NRN AL TO NRN GA
BENEATH THE NRN FRINGES OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. OROGRAPHIC
CIRCULATIONS INVOF THE SRN APPALACHIANS AND SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES
OVER THE SC COASTAL PLAIN ARE ALSO PROVIDING LOW-LEVEL LIFT. THESE
FACTORS WILL SUPPORT SOME INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE...WITH SFC
TEMPERATURES HAVING ALREADY INCREASED INTO THE MIDDLE/UPPER 80S
AMIDST SFC DEWPOINTS INTO UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S. A FEW VIGOROUS
UPDRAFTS/DOWNDRAFTS MAY OCCUR WITH GENERALLY DISORGANIZED
CONVECTION. AND...WITH GPS PW VALUES OF 1.5-1.8 INCHES...WATER
LOADING MAY SUPPORT A FEW STRONG DOWNBURSTS WITH LOCALLY STRONG SFC
WIND GUSTS...AND AN ISOLATED DMGG WIND GUST CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
HOWEVER...WITH GENERALLY 20 KT OR LESS OF FLOW IN THE LOWER/MIDDLE
TROPOSPHERE PER AREA VWP DATA...DEEP SHEAR IS NOT EXPECTED TO
SUPPORT ANY SUBSTANTIVE STORM ORGANIZATION...GREATLY LIMITING THE
SVR POTENTIAL AMIDST WEAK LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP ASCENT.
..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 08/22/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...HUN...
LAT...LON 32178082 32448154 33258268 33428509 33598734 34648712
34958470 35018172 34697993 34117886 33637869 32807940
32178082
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221920
SCZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-222145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1757
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0220 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NRN AL...NRN/ERN GA...SC
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 221920Z - 222145Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A VERY ISOLATED...MARGINAL SVR THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL MAY
EXIST THIS AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...LOW-LEVEL ASCENT IS BEING MODESTLY ENHANCED WITHIN A
CORRIDOR INVOF A SUBTLE SFC WIND-SHIFT AXIS FROM NRN AL TO NRN GA
BENEATH THE NRN FRINGES OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. OROGRAPHIC
CIRCULATIONS INVOF THE SRN APPALACHIANS AND SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES
OVER THE SC COASTAL PLAIN ARE ALSO PROVIDING LOW-LEVEL LIFT. THESE
FACTORS WILL SUPPORT SOME INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE...WITH SFC
TEMPERATURES HAVING ALREADY INCREASED INTO THE MIDDLE/UPPER 80S
AMIDST SFC DEWPOINTS INTO UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S. A FEW VIGOROUS
UPDRAFTS/DOWNDRAFTS MAY OCCUR WITH GENERALLY DISORGANIZED
CONVECTION. AND...WITH GPS PW VALUES OF 1.5-1.8 INCHES...WATER
LOADING MAY SUPPORT A FEW STRONG DOWNBURSTS WITH LOCALLY STRONG SFC
WIND GUSTS...AND AN ISOLATED DMGG WIND GUST CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
HOWEVER...WITH GENERALLY 20 KT OR LESS OF FLOW IN THE LOWER/MIDDLE
TROPOSPHERE PER AREA VWP DATA...DEEP SHEAR IS NOT EXPECTED TO
SUPPORT ANY SUBSTANTIVE STORM ORGANIZATION...GREATLY LIMITING THE
SVR POTENTIAL AMIDST WEAK LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP ASCENT.
..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 08/22/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...HUN...
LAT...LON 32178082 32448154 33258268 33428509 33598734 34648712
34958470 35018172 34697993 34117886 33637869 32807940
32178082
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KJAX [221921]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KJAX 221921
LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
321 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1205 PM LIGHTNING PALM VALLEY 30.20N 81.39W
08/22/2013 ST. JOHNS FL EMERGENCY MNGR
LIGHTNING STRIKE AT FIRST ATLANTIC BANK IN PALM VALLEY.
POWER WENT OUT BUT NO INJURIES WERE REPORTED.
&&
$$
JHESS
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LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
321 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1205 PM LIGHTNING PALM VALLEY 30.20N 81.39W
08/22/2013 ST. JOHNS FL EMERGENCY MNGR
LIGHTNING STRIKE AT FIRST ATLANTIC BANK IN PALM VALLEY.
POWER WENT OUT BUT NO INJURIES WERE REPORTED.
&&
$$
JHESS
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KMKX [221918]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMKX 221918
LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
218 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN WEST ALLIS 43.01N 88.03W
08/22/2013 M2.31 INCH MILWAUKEE WI TRAINED SPOTTER
2.31 STORM TOTAL. 1031 TO 1100 AM 0.63 INCHES, 1101 TO
1130 AM 1.46 INCHES, 1131 TO 1200 PM 0.09 INCHES.
&&
$$
SM
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LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
218 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN WEST ALLIS 43.01N 88.03W
08/22/2013 M2.31 INCH MILWAUKEE WI TRAINED SPOTTER
2.31 STORM TOTAL. 1031 TO 1100 AM 0.63 INCHES, 1101 TO
1130 AM 1.46 INCHES, 1131 TO 1200 PM 0.09 INCHES.
&&
$$
SM
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KLOT [221912]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLOT 221912
LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
212 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM HEAVY RAIN SANDWICH 41.65N 88.62W
08/22/2013 M3.00 INCH DE KALB IL PUBLIC
STORM TOTAL SINCE 11PM LAST NIGHT. FACEBOOK REPORT.
&&
$$
RC
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LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
212 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM HEAVY RAIN SANDWICH 41.65N 88.62W
08/22/2013 M3.00 INCH DE KALB IL PUBLIC
STORM TOTAL SINCE 11PM LAST NIGHT. FACEBOOK REPORT.
&&
$$
RC
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KMKX [221914]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMKX 221914
LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
214 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1123 AM HEAVY RAIN SOUTH MILWAUKEE 42.91N 87.86W
08/22/2013 M1.42 INCH MILWAUKEE WI TRAINED SPOTTER
FELL IN 30 MINUTES BETWEEN 1053 AND 1123AM.
&&
$$
SM
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LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
214 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1123 AM HEAVY RAIN SOUTH MILWAUKEE 42.91N 87.86W
08/22/2013 M1.42 INCH MILWAUKEE WI TRAINED SPOTTER
FELL IN 30 MINUTES BETWEEN 1053 AND 1123AM.
&&
$$
SM
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KLWX [221912]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KLWX 221912
LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
312 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 WNW FABER 37.84N 78.77W
08/22/2013 NELSON VA 911 CALL CENTER
LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN AND LOTS OF HAIL UNKNOWN DIAMETER
NORTH OF LOVINGSTON.
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1300753
$$
GMS
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LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
312 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 WNW FABER 37.84N 78.77W
08/22/2013 NELSON VA 911 CALL CENTER
LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN AND LOTS OF HAIL UNKNOWN DIAMETER
NORTH OF LOVINGSTON.
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1300753
$$
GMS
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KGSP [221910]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KGSP 221910
LSRGSP
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
309 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0240 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SE WALHALLA 34.76N 83.04W
08/22/2013 OCONEE SC PUBLIC
TWO LARGE TREES BROKEN OFF ABOVE GROUND IN WEST
UNION...WITH A THIRD UPROOTED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
&&
$$
WIMBERLEY
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LSRGSP
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
309 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0240 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SE WALHALLA 34.76N 83.04W
08/22/2013 OCONEE SC PUBLIC
TWO LARGE TREES BROKEN OFF ABOVE GROUND IN WEST
UNION...WITH A THIRD UPROOTED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
&&
$$
WIMBERLEY
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KMKX [221907]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMKX 221907
LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
207 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 N WATERTOWN 43.21N 88.72W
08/22/2013 M1.13 INCH DODGE WI TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
MEB
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LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
207 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 N WATERTOWN 43.21N 88.72W
08/22/2013 M1.13 INCH DODGE WI TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
MEB
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KPHI [221858]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KPHI 221858
LSRPHI
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
258 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM FLASH FLOOD SW BEDMINSTER 40.68N 74.65W
08/22/2013 SOMERSET NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
LAMINGTON RIVER FLOODED AT BURNT MILLS ROAD. THE ROAD
IS NOW CLOSED.
&&
EVENT NUMBER PHI1300393
$$
BUNKER
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LSRPHI
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
258 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM FLASH FLOOD SW BEDMINSTER 40.68N 74.65W
08/22/2013 SOMERSET NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
LAMINGTON RIVER FLOODED AT BURNT MILLS ROAD. THE ROAD
IS NOW CLOSED.
&&
EVENT NUMBER PHI1300393
$$
BUNKER
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1756
ACUS11 KWNS 221854
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221854
NVZ000-ORZ000-CAZ000-222100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1756
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0154 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN CA...NWRN NV...SRN OREGON
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 221854Z - 222100Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO UNDERGO A GRADUAL INCREASE FROM NRN
CA...NW NV INTO SRN OREGON THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONGER STORMS MAY
BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS.
DISCUSSION...PRONOUNCED VORT MAX CENTERED OVER NWRN CA WILL CONTINUE
SLOWLY NWD TODAY. AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...SCATTERED STORMS ARE
DEVELOPING WITHIN A COUPLE OF CONVERGENCE BANDS...ONE LOCATED FROM
SRN OREGON INTO NWRN NV AND ANOTHER OVER NRN CA. VISIBLE IMAGERY
SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF CLEARING OVER NRN CA IN THE IMMEDIATE WAKE OF
THE LEAD CONVECTIVE BAND. WITH STRONG INSOLATION...BOUNDARY LAYER
DEWPOINTS MAY MIX DOWN INTO THE 40S. HOWEVER...COLD AIR ALOFT
ATTENDING THE VORT MAX AND STEEPENING LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
SHOULD SUPPORT 500-1000 J/KG MLCAPE. OROGRAPHIC FORCING AUGMENTED BY
HEATING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITHIN A ZONE OF PRONOUNCED DPVA
ATTENDING THE VORT MAX SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND ACTIVITY SHOULD UNDERGO A
GRADUAL INCREASE AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES. A BELT OF 30-40 KT
SLY MID-UPPER WINDS ALONG ERN PERIPHERY OF THE VORT MAX IS
CONTRIBUTING TO 30-40 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR...WHICH MAY PROMOTE SOME
UPDRAFT ROTATION AND AUGMENT THE THREAT FOR HAIL WITHIN THE STRONGER
CORES.
..DIAL/CORFIDI.. 08/22/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...REV...MFR...STO...EKA...
LAT...LON 39932092 40842230 41182371 42212319 43012106 42591949
41291942 39932092
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221854
NVZ000-ORZ000-CAZ000-222100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1756
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0154 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN CA...NWRN NV...SRN OREGON
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 221854Z - 222100Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO UNDERGO A GRADUAL INCREASE FROM NRN
CA...NW NV INTO SRN OREGON THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONGER STORMS MAY
BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS.
DISCUSSION...PRONOUNCED VORT MAX CENTERED OVER NWRN CA WILL CONTINUE
SLOWLY NWD TODAY. AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...SCATTERED STORMS ARE
DEVELOPING WITHIN A COUPLE OF CONVERGENCE BANDS...ONE LOCATED FROM
SRN OREGON INTO NWRN NV AND ANOTHER OVER NRN CA. VISIBLE IMAGERY
SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF CLEARING OVER NRN CA IN THE IMMEDIATE WAKE OF
THE LEAD CONVECTIVE BAND. WITH STRONG INSOLATION...BOUNDARY LAYER
DEWPOINTS MAY MIX DOWN INTO THE 40S. HOWEVER...COLD AIR ALOFT
ATTENDING THE VORT MAX AND STEEPENING LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
SHOULD SUPPORT 500-1000 J/KG MLCAPE. OROGRAPHIC FORCING AUGMENTED BY
HEATING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITHIN A ZONE OF PRONOUNCED DPVA
ATTENDING THE VORT MAX SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND ACTIVITY SHOULD UNDERGO A
GRADUAL INCREASE AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES. A BELT OF 30-40 KT
SLY MID-UPPER WINDS ALONG ERN PERIPHERY OF THE VORT MAX IS
CONTRIBUTING TO 30-40 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR...WHICH MAY PROMOTE SOME
UPDRAFT ROTATION AND AUGMENT THE THREAT FOR HAIL WITHIN THE STRONGER
CORES.
..DIAL/CORFIDI.. 08/22/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...REV...MFR...STO...EKA...
LAT...LON 39932092 40842230 41182371 42212319 43012106 42591949
41291942 39932092
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KLOT [221851]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLOT 221851
LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
151 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1248 PM HEAVY RAIN PLANO 41.66N 88.53W
08/22/2013 M2.00 INCH KENDALL IL PUBLIC
STORM TOTAL. FACEBOOK REPORT.
1252 PM HEAVY RAIN STILLMAN VALLEY 42.10N 89.18W
08/22/2013 M1.75 INCH OGLE IL PUBLIC
STORM TOTAL. FACEBOOK REPORT.
1248 PM HEAVY RAIN PEOTONE 41.33N 87.80W
08/22/2013 M2.12 INCH WILL IL PUBLIC
STORM TOTAL SO FAR. FACEBOOK REPORT.
1020 AM HEAVY RAIN SYCAMORE 41.98N 88.70W
08/22/2013 M0.50 INCH DE KALB IL TRAINED SPOTTER
RAINFALL IN 15 MINUTES ON THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF
SYCAMORE.
1100 AM HEAVY RAIN DE KALB 41.93N 88.75W
08/22/2013 M0.80 INCH DE KALB IL TRAINED SPOTTER
STORM TOTAL AS OF ABOUT 11AM AT NORTHERN ILLINOIS
UNIVERSITY.
&&
$$
RC
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LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
151 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1248 PM HEAVY RAIN PLANO 41.66N 88.53W
08/22/2013 M2.00 INCH KENDALL IL PUBLIC
STORM TOTAL. FACEBOOK REPORT.
1252 PM HEAVY RAIN STILLMAN VALLEY 42.10N 89.18W
08/22/2013 M1.75 INCH OGLE IL PUBLIC
STORM TOTAL. FACEBOOK REPORT.
1248 PM HEAVY RAIN PEOTONE 41.33N 87.80W
08/22/2013 M2.12 INCH WILL IL PUBLIC
STORM TOTAL SO FAR. FACEBOOK REPORT.
1020 AM HEAVY RAIN SYCAMORE 41.98N 88.70W
08/22/2013 M0.50 INCH DE KALB IL TRAINED SPOTTER
RAINFALL IN 15 MINUTES ON THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF
SYCAMORE.
1100 AM HEAVY RAIN DE KALB 41.93N 88.75W
08/22/2013 M0.80 INCH DE KALB IL TRAINED SPOTTER
STORM TOTAL AS OF ABOUT 11AM AT NORTHERN ILLINOIS
UNIVERSITY.
&&
$$
RC
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1755
ACUS11 KWNS 221851
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221851
PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-222115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1755
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0151 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CNTRL/SRN/ERN OH...WRN
PA...WV...KY...SRN INDIANA...SERN IL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 221851Z - 222115Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED SVR THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL EXIST THIS
AFTERNOON...THOUGH THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS UNLIKELY.
DISCUSSION...SFC OBS SUGGEST THAT A REMNANT/WAVY/QUASI-STATIONARY
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LIES INVOF THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR FROM CNTRL IL
INTO CNTRL INDIANA WHERE IT LINKS WITH A DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONE
THAT ARCS EWD INTO SWRN/CNTRL OHIO AND INTO N-CNTRL OHIO. ASCENT
ACCOMPANYING THESE FEATURES WILL PROVIDE THE FOCI FOR GREATER
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AS ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA. OTHER STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL
BE SUPPORTED ALONG SUBTLE AXES OF WEAK CONFLUENCE TO THE SE OF THE
BOUNDARY/DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONE.
CONTINUED DIABATIC SFC HEATING OF A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER FEATURING
UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S SFC DEWPOINTS ARE ALLOWING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES TO STEEPEN AND MLCAPE VALUES TO REACH AROUND 1000-2000 J/KG
PER MODIFIED 12Z WILMINGTON OH AND PITTSBURGH PA RAOB DATA. MOSTLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL -- ALBEIT WEAK -- WNWLY/NWLY FLOW THROUGH THE CLOUD
LAYER PER AREA VWP DATA MAY FOSTER A FEW LOOSELY ORGANIZED STORM
CLUSTERS WITH MARGINALLY SVR WIND...AND MARGINALLY SVR HAIL CANNOT
BE RULED OUT. HOWEVER...WITH GENERALLY 20 KT OR LESS OF
LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW...DEEP SHEAR IS WEAK. AND...WITH DEEP FORCING FOR
ASCENT BEING RELATIVELY LIMITED...OVERALL CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION
AND ANY SVR COVERAGE SHOULD ALSO BE LIMITED.
..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 08/22/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH...
ILX...LSX...
LAT...LON 37968891 39128913 39858817 39798677 39748499 39828368
40308322 40888328 41288302 41548190 41528098 41388049
39888000 38458034 37758153 37068396 36968608 37308804
37968891
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221851
PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-222115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1755
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0151 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CNTRL/SRN/ERN OH...WRN
PA...WV...KY...SRN INDIANA...SERN IL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 221851Z - 222115Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED SVR THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL EXIST THIS
AFTERNOON...THOUGH THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS UNLIKELY.
DISCUSSION...SFC OBS SUGGEST THAT A REMNANT/WAVY/QUASI-STATIONARY
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LIES INVOF THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR FROM CNTRL IL
INTO CNTRL INDIANA WHERE IT LINKS WITH A DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONE
THAT ARCS EWD INTO SWRN/CNTRL OHIO AND INTO N-CNTRL OHIO. ASCENT
ACCOMPANYING THESE FEATURES WILL PROVIDE THE FOCI FOR GREATER
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AS ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA. OTHER STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL
BE SUPPORTED ALONG SUBTLE AXES OF WEAK CONFLUENCE TO THE SE OF THE
BOUNDARY/DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONE.
CONTINUED DIABATIC SFC HEATING OF A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER FEATURING
UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S SFC DEWPOINTS ARE ALLOWING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES TO STEEPEN AND MLCAPE VALUES TO REACH AROUND 1000-2000 J/KG
PER MODIFIED 12Z WILMINGTON OH AND PITTSBURGH PA RAOB DATA. MOSTLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL -- ALBEIT WEAK -- WNWLY/NWLY FLOW THROUGH THE CLOUD
LAYER PER AREA VWP DATA MAY FOSTER A FEW LOOSELY ORGANIZED STORM
CLUSTERS WITH MARGINALLY SVR WIND...AND MARGINALLY SVR HAIL CANNOT
BE RULED OUT. HOWEVER...WITH GENERALLY 20 KT OR LESS OF
LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW...DEEP SHEAR IS WEAK. AND...WITH DEEP FORCING FOR
ASCENT BEING RELATIVELY LIMITED...OVERALL CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION
AND ANY SVR COVERAGE SHOULD ALSO BE LIMITED.
..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 08/22/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH...
ILX...LSX...
LAT...LON 37968891 39128913 39858817 39798677 39748499 39828368
40308322 40888328 41288302 41548190 41528098 41388049
39888000 38458034 37758153 37068396 36968608 37308804
37968891
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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KDVN [221850]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KDVN 221850
LSRDVN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
150 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0149 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SE PRINCETON 41.37N 89.45W
08/22/2013 M1.28 INCH BUREAU IL TRAINED SPOTTER
SINCE 7 AM.
&&
$$
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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LSRDVN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
150 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0149 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SE PRINCETON 41.37N 89.45W
08/22/2013 M1.28 INCH BUREAU IL TRAINED SPOTTER
SINCE 7 AM.
&&
$$
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KLWX [221846]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KLWX 221846
LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
246 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM HAIL 3 WNW FABER 37.84N 78.79W
08/22/2013 E1.00 INCH NELSON VA PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1300752
$$
GMS
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LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
246 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM HAIL 3 WNW FABER 37.84N 78.79W
08/22/2013 E1.00 INCH NELSON VA PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1300752
$$
GMS
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KPHI [221844]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS51 KPHI 221844
LSRPHI
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
242 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0745 AM FLOOD BORDENTOWN 40.15N 74.71W
08/22/2013 BURLINGTON NJ PUBLIC
SEVERAL LANES FLOODED ON I295 BETWEEN BORDENTOWN AND
I195..TRAFFIC BACKED UP FOR NEARLY 10 MILES.
1032 AM LIGHTNING MENDHAM TWP 40.80N 74.57W
08/22/2013 MORRIS NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
HOUSE STRIKE
1102 AM FLASH FLOOD OLDWICK 40.67N 74.75W
08/22/2013 HUNTERDON NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
CAR IN FLOOD WATER ON MCCAN MILL ROAD.....FLOODING ALSO
ON STATE HIGHWAY 22 NEAR REDDINGTON
0110 PM FLOOD EAST BRUNSWICK 40.43N 74.42W
08/22/2013 MIDDLESEX NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMBEROUS BRIDGES ARE BEING FLOODED..TRAFFIC AT
STANDSTILL..
0223 PM FLOOD LAWRENCE 40.27N 74.68W
08/22/2013 MERCER NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
LOCALIZED FLOODING HERE IN LAWRENCE... PRINCETON AND
HAMILTON
0234 PM FLOOD WOODBRIDGE 40.56N 74.28W
08/22/2013 MIDDLESEX NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
MINOR STREET FLOODING
&&
EVENT NUMBER PHI1300387 PHI1300389 PHI1300388 PHI1300390 PHI1300391
PHI1300392
$$
BUNKER
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LSRPHI
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
242 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0745 AM FLOOD BORDENTOWN 40.15N 74.71W
08/22/2013 BURLINGTON NJ PUBLIC
SEVERAL LANES FLOODED ON I295 BETWEEN BORDENTOWN AND
I195..TRAFFIC BACKED UP FOR NEARLY 10 MILES.
1032 AM LIGHTNING MENDHAM TWP 40.80N 74.57W
08/22/2013 MORRIS NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
HOUSE STRIKE
1102 AM FLASH FLOOD OLDWICK 40.67N 74.75W
08/22/2013 HUNTERDON NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
CAR IN FLOOD WATER ON MCCAN MILL ROAD.....FLOODING ALSO
ON STATE HIGHWAY 22 NEAR REDDINGTON
0110 PM FLOOD EAST BRUNSWICK 40.43N 74.42W
08/22/2013 MIDDLESEX NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMBEROUS BRIDGES ARE BEING FLOODED..TRAFFIC AT
STANDSTILL..
0223 PM FLOOD LAWRENCE 40.27N 74.68W
08/22/2013 MERCER NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
LOCALIZED FLOODING HERE IN LAWRENCE... PRINCETON AND
HAMILTON
0234 PM FLOOD WOODBRIDGE 40.56N 74.28W
08/22/2013 MIDDLESEX NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
MINOR STREET FLOODING
&&
EVENT NUMBER PHI1300387 PHI1300389 PHI1300388 PHI1300390 PHI1300391
PHI1300392
$$
BUNKER
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KPHI [221834]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KPHI 221834
LSRPHI
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
234 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0234 PM FLOOD WOODBRIDGE 40.56N 74.28W
08/22/2013 MIDDLESEX NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
MINOR STREET FLOODING
&&
EVENT NUMBER PHI1300392
$$
BUNKER
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LSRPHI
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
234 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0234 PM FLOOD WOODBRIDGE 40.56N 74.28W
08/22/2013 MIDDLESEX NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
MINOR STREET FLOODING
&&
EVENT NUMBER PHI1300392
$$
BUNKER
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KLWX [221833]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KLWX 221833
LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
233 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0210 PM HAIL FABER 37.83N 78.74W
08/22/2013 E1.00 INCH NELSON VA POST OFFICE
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1300751
$$
GMS
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LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
233 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0210 PM HAIL FABER 37.83N 78.74W
08/22/2013 E1.00 INCH NELSON VA POST OFFICE
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1300751
$$
GMS
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KLOT [221830]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLOT 221830
LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
130 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 PM HEAVY RAIN MANTENO 41.25N 87.84W
08/22/2013 E2.10 INCH KANKAKEE IL PUBLIC
STORM TOTAL SO FAR. STILL RAINING LIGHTLY AT TIME OF
REPORT. FACEBOOK REPORT.
&&
$$
RC
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LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
130 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 PM HEAVY RAIN MANTENO 41.25N 87.84W
08/22/2013 E2.10 INCH KANKAKEE IL PUBLIC
STORM TOTAL SO FAR. STILL RAINING LIGHTLY AT TIME OF
REPORT. FACEBOOK REPORT.
&&
$$
RC
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1754
ACUS11 KWNS 221827
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221826
NJZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-PAZ000-NCZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-222100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1754
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0126 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CNTRL/ERN NC...CNTRL/ERN VA...CNTRL/ERN
MD...DE...SERN PA...SRN NJ
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 221826Z - 222100Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED SVR POTENTIAL WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE
TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED...THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS CURRENTLY
UNLIKELY.
DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR LOOPS INDICATE A MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CROSSING THE PIEDMONT OF MD/VA/NC...WITH A LEADING WARM
CONVEYOR STRUCTURE/MOIST PLUME BEING SHUNTED TOWARD/OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST. RELATIVELY COOL MID-LEVEL CONDITIONS ACCOMPANYING
THE CYCLONE -- E.G. 500-MB TEMPERATURE AROUND -13.5C PER RNK 12Z
RAOB -- ATOP A MOIST/DIURNALLY HEATED BOUNDARY LAYER ARE FOSTERING
MLCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 1000-2500 J/KG WITH LITTLE INHIBITION AS SFC
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE MIDDLE 80S IN MANY AREAS.
AMIDST A WEAK LOW-LEVEL FLOW REGIME OFFERING LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
CONVERGENCE...DEEPENING PBL AND OROGRAPHIC CIRCULATIONS INVOF THE
APPALACHIANS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY SOURCES FOR CONVECTIVE
INITIATION...ALONG WITH DIFFERENTIAL-HEATING INDUCED CONVERGENCE
ALONG FRINGES MID-LEVEL CLOUDS IN THE WARM CONVEYOR ALONG THE NC
COASTAL PLAIN. GIVEN THE COMBINATION OF THE AFOREMENTIONED BUOYANCY
AND AROUND 20-30 KT OF MID-LEVEL FLOW PER VWP DATA -- ASSOCIATED
WITH THE ENHANCED HEIGHT GRADIENT AROUND THE CYCLONE -- A FEW
ORGANIZED BANDS OF STORMS COULD ENSUE WITH SPORADIC DMGG
WIND/MARGINALLY SVR HAIL. THIS POTENTIAL MAY BE MAXIMIZED FROM THE
PIEDMONT OF VA/NC EWD TO THE COASTAL PLAIN AND INTO PARTS OF LOWER
SRN MD WHERE THE GREATEST INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE PRESENT.
HOWEVER...WITH STRONGER DCVA MOVING OFF THE COAST...WEAK LOW-LEVEL
MASS CONVERGENCE BENEATH THE MID-LEVEL CYCLONE...AND ONLY MODEST
DEEP SHEAR...IT CURRENTLY APPEARS THAT THE COVERAGE OF THE SVR
THREAT WILL NOT BE SUFFICIENTLY HIGH TO WARRANT A WW...THOUGH TRENDS
WILL BE MONITORED.
..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 08/22/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...MHX...CTP...LWX...RAH...ILM...RNK...
LAT...LON 37457953 38887820 40077641 39677467 38467489 35297594
34277761 34417896 35188000 36447998 37457953
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221826
NJZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-PAZ000-NCZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-222100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1754
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0126 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CNTRL/ERN NC...CNTRL/ERN VA...CNTRL/ERN
MD...DE...SERN PA...SRN NJ
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 221826Z - 222100Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED SVR POTENTIAL WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE
TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED...THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS CURRENTLY
UNLIKELY.
DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR LOOPS INDICATE A MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CROSSING THE PIEDMONT OF MD/VA/NC...WITH A LEADING WARM
CONVEYOR STRUCTURE/MOIST PLUME BEING SHUNTED TOWARD/OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST. RELATIVELY COOL MID-LEVEL CONDITIONS ACCOMPANYING
THE CYCLONE -- E.G. 500-MB TEMPERATURE AROUND -13.5C PER RNK 12Z
RAOB -- ATOP A MOIST/DIURNALLY HEATED BOUNDARY LAYER ARE FOSTERING
MLCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 1000-2500 J/KG WITH LITTLE INHIBITION AS SFC
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE MIDDLE 80S IN MANY AREAS.
AMIDST A WEAK LOW-LEVEL FLOW REGIME OFFERING LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
CONVERGENCE...DEEPENING PBL AND OROGRAPHIC CIRCULATIONS INVOF THE
APPALACHIANS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY SOURCES FOR CONVECTIVE
INITIATION...ALONG WITH DIFFERENTIAL-HEATING INDUCED CONVERGENCE
ALONG FRINGES MID-LEVEL CLOUDS IN THE WARM CONVEYOR ALONG THE NC
COASTAL PLAIN. GIVEN THE COMBINATION OF THE AFOREMENTIONED BUOYANCY
AND AROUND 20-30 KT OF MID-LEVEL FLOW PER VWP DATA -- ASSOCIATED
WITH THE ENHANCED HEIGHT GRADIENT AROUND THE CYCLONE -- A FEW
ORGANIZED BANDS OF STORMS COULD ENSUE WITH SPORADIC DMGG
WIND/MARGINALLY SVR HAIL. THIS POTENTIAL MAY BE MAXIMIZED FROM THE
PIEDMONT OF VA/NC EWD TO THE COASTAL PLAIN AND INTO PARTS OF LOWER
SRN MD WHERE THE GREATEST INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE PRESENT.
HOWEVER...WITH STRONGER DCVA MOVING OFF THE COAST...WEAK LOW-LEVEL
MASS CONVERGENCE BENEATH THE MID-LEVEL CYCLONE...AND ONLY MODEST
DEEP SHEAR...IT CURRENTLY APPEARS THAT THE COVERAGE OF THE SVR
THREAT WILL NOT BE SUFFICIENTLY HIGH TO WARRANT A WW...THOUGH TRENDS
WILL BE MONITORED.
..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 08/22/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...MHX...CTP...LWX...RAH...ILM...RNK...
LAT...LON 37457953 38887820 40077641 39677467 38467489 35297594
34277761 34417896 35188000 36447998 37457953
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KPHI [221824]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KPHI 221824
LSRPHI
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
224 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0223 PM FLOOD LAWRENCE 40.27N 74.68W
08/22/2013 MERCER NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
LOCALIZED FLOODING HERE IN LAWRENCE... PRINCETON AND
HAMILTON
&&
EVENT NUMBER PHI1300391
$$
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LSRPHI
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
224 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0223 PM FLOOD LAWRENCE 40.27N 74.68W
08/22/2013 MERCER NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
LOCALIZED FLOODING HERE IN LAWRENCE... PRINCETON AND
HAMILTON
&&
EVENT NUMBER PHI1300391
$$
BUNKER
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KLOT [221822]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLOT 221822
LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
121 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1252 PM HEAVY RAIN CRESTON 41.93N 88.97W
08/22/2013 E5.00 INCH OGLE IL PUBLIC
TWO SEPARATE GAUGES USED...ONE MEASURED JUST UNDER 4.5
INCHES...THE OTHER JUST UNDER 5 INCHES. FACEBOOK REPORT.
&&
$$
RC
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LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
121 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1252 PM HEAVY RAIN CRESTON 41.93N 88.97W
08/22/2013 E5.00 INCH OGLE IL PUBLIC
TWO SEPARATE GAUGES USED...ONE MEASURED JUST UNDER 4.5
INCHES...THE OTHER JUST UNDER 5 INCHES. FACEBOOK REPORT.
&&
$$
RC
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KMFR [221817]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KMFR 221817
LSRMFR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1117 AM PDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1115 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 N CAVE JUNCTION 42.19N 123.65W
08/22/2013 M0.55 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER
0.55 INCHES OF RAIN IN 45 MINUTES
&&
$$
DUNCAN
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LSRMFR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1117 AM PDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1115 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 N CAVE JUNCTION 42.19N 123.65W
08/22/2013 M0.55 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER
0.55 INCHES OF RAIN IN 45 MINUTES
&&
$$
DUNCAN
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KMKX [221812]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMKX 221812
LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
112 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1210 PM HEAVY RAIN WATERFORD 42.76N 88.22W
08/22/2013 M1.63 INCH RACINE WI TRAINED SPOTTER
STORM TOTAL 7 AM THROUGH 110 PM
&&
$$
SM
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LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
112 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1210 PM HEAVY RAIN WATERFORD 42.76N 88.22W
08/22/2013 M1.63 INCH RACINE WI TRAINED SPOTTER
STORM TOTAL 7 AM THROUGH 110 PM
&&
$$
SM
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1753
ACUS11 KWNS 221803
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221803
NHZ000-VTZ000-MAZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-222030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1753
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0103 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF PA...NY...VT...WRN NH...WRN MA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 221803Z - 222030Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A BROAD AREA OF ISOLATED...MARGINAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL WILL EXIST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE TRENDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED...THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS CURRENTLY
UNLIKELY.
DISCUSSION...VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOPS INDICATE THE CU FIELD BECOMING
INCREASINGLY AGITATED ACROSS A BROAD AREA AHEAD OF A FRONT CROSSING
SRN ONTARIO/QUEBEC. AREAS OF INSOLATION ARE SUPPORTING DIABATIC SFC
HEATING AMIDST FAIRLY RICH BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE CHARACTERIZED BY
SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER/MIDDLE 60S. DESPITE WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES...SFC TEMPERATURES HAVE CLIMBED INTO THE MIDDLE 70S TO LOWER
80S ALLOWING FOR MLCINH TO BE SUFFICIENTLY REDUCED TO SUPPORT
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT PER RECENT MOSAIC RADAR/LIGHTNING
DATA.
WITH MLCAPE VALUES FORECAST TO HOLD AROUND 500-1500 J/KG THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON OUTSIDE OF AREAS OF CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING...A FEW INTENSE
UPDRAFTS/DOWNDRAFTS WILL LIKELY ENSUE AS CONVECTION INCREASES IN
COVERAGE/INTENSITY OWING TO DIURNALLY DEEPENING PBL AND OROGRAPHIC
CIRCULATIONS. ADDITIONAL ASCENT WILL EMANATE FROM ASCENDING BRANCHES
OF LAKE BREEZE CIRCULATIONS E OF LAKES ONTARIO AND ERIE...AND AROUND
DIFFERENTIAL-HEATING INDUCED BAROCLINICITY ALONG FRINGES OF
MULTI-LAYERED CLOUD DECKS FROM NRN NY INTO NRN VT/NH. ISOLATED
MARGINALLY SVR WIND/HAIL CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH THE MOST INTENSE
CONVECTION THAT COULD LOCALLY/OCCASIONALLY ORGANIZE INTO SMALL
CLUSTERS/LEWP SEGMENTS.
HOWEVER...WATER VAPOR LOOPS SUGGEST THAT MORE PROMINENT MID-LEVEL
PERTURBATIONS AND ACCOMPANYING STRONGER DEEP ASCENT WILL REMAIN
DISPLACED TO THE N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/PEAK
OF DIURNAL HEATING...WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR MAGNITUDES EXPECTED
TO REMAIN GENERALLY 25 KT OR LESS. THE LACK OF OVERLAP OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED BUOYANCY WITH STRONGER VERTICAL SHEAR NEAR THE
FRONTAL ZONE SHOULD PREVENT A MORE ORGANIZED/WIDESPREAD SVR THREAT
FROM EVOLVING. HOWEVER...THERE IS SOME CONCERN THAT STRENGTHENING
LOWER/MIDDLE TROPOSPHERIC FLOW MAY OCCUR ACROSS NRN NY INTO NRN
VT/NH LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT ENTERS THE AREA FROM THE N.
WHILE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED...IT CURRENTLY APPEARS THAT
STABILIZATION OWING TO PRE-FRONTAL CLOUDS/PRECIPITATION MAY PROVE
DELETERIOUS IN MAINTAINING A MORE ROBUST CONVECTIVE THREAT IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE SFC FRONT LATER TODAY.
..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 08/22/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...
CTP...PBZ...CLE...
LAT...LON 40388008 41747978 43177783 44537566 44917471 45047343
44987187 44497142 42877257 41297478 40217713 40388008
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221803
NHZ000-VTZ000-MAZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-222030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1753
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0103 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF PA...NY...VT...WRN NH...WRN MA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 221803Z - 222030Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A BROAD AREA OF ISOLATED...MARGINAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL WILL EXIST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE TRENDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED...THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS CURRENTLY
UNLIKELY.
DISCUSSION...VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOPS INDICATE THE CU FIELD BECOMING
INCREASINGLY AGITATED ACROSS A BROAD AREA AHEAD OF A FRONT CROSSING
SRN ONTARIO/QUEBEC. AREAS OF INSOLATION ARE SUPPORTING DIABATIC SFC
HEATING AMIDST FAIRLY RICH BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE CHARACTERIZED BY
SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER/MIDDLE 60S. DESPITE WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES...SFC TEMPERATURES HAVE CLIMBED INTO THE MIDDLE 70S TO LOWER
80S ALLOWING FOR MLCINH TO BE SUFFICIENTLY REDUCED TO SUPPORT
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT PER RECENT MOSAIC RADAR/LIGHTNING
DATA.
WITH MLCAPE VALUES FORECAST TO HOLD AROUND 500-1500 J/KG THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON OUTSIDE OF AREAS OF CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING...A FEW INTENSE
UPDRAFTS/DOWNDRAFTS WILL LIKELY ENSUE AS CONVECTION INCREASES IN
COVERAGE/INTENSITY OWING TO DIURNALLY DEEPENING PBL AND OROGRAPHIC
CIRCULATIONS. ADDITIONAL ASCENT WILL EMANATE FROM ASCENDING BRANCHES
OF LAKE BREEZE CIRCULATIONS E OF LAKES ONTARIO AND ERIE...AND AROUND
DIFFERENTIAL-HEATING INDUCED BAROCLINICITY ALONG FRINGES OF
MULTI-LAYERED CLOUD DECKS FROM NRN NY INTO NRN VT/NH. ISOLATED
MARGINALLY SVR WIND/HAIL CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH THE MOST INTENSE
CONVECTION THAT COULD LOCALLY/OCCASIONALLY ORGANIZE INTO SMALL
CLUSTERS/LEWP SEGMENTS.
HOWEVER...WATER VAPOR LOOPS SUGGEST THAT MORE PROMINENT MID-LEVEL
PERTURBATIONS AND ACCOMPANYING STRONGER DEEP ASCENT WILL REMAIN
DISPLACED TO THE N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/PEAK
OF DIURNAL HEATING...WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR MAGNITUDES EXPECTED
TO REMAIN GENERALLY 25 KT OR LESS. THE LACK OF OVERLAP OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED BUOYANCY WITH STRONGER VERTICAL SHEAR NEAR THE
FRONTAL ZONE SHOULD PREVENT A MORE ORGANIZED/WIDESPREAD SVR THREAT
FROM EVOLVING. HOWEVER...THERE IS SOME CONCERN THAT STRENGTHENING
LOWER/MIDDLE TROPOSPHERIC FLOW MAY OCCUR ACROSS NRN NY INTO NRN
VT/NH LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT ENTERS THE AREA FROM THE N.
WHILE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED...IT CURRENTLY APPEARS THAT
STABILIZATION OWING TO PRE-FRONTAL CLOUDS/PRECIPITATION MAY PROVE
DELETERIOUS IN MAINTAINING A MORE ROBUST CONVECTIVE THREAT IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE SFC FRONT LATER TODAY.
..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 08/22/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...
CTP...PBZ...CLE...
LAT...LON 40388008 41747978 43177783 44537566 44917471 45047343
44987187 44497142 42877257 41297478 40217713 40388008
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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KLBF [221755]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLBF 221755
LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1255 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1040 PM TSTM WND GST 7 NE BARTLETT 41.96N 98.46W
08/21/2013 M60 MPH WHEELER NE PUBLIC
ESTIMATED 60 MPH WINDS. TREE FELL OVER ONTO BUILDING.
&&
$$
JGOMEZ
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LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1255 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1040 PM TSTM WND GST 7 NE BARTLETT 41.96N 98.46W
08/21/2013 M60 MPH WHEELER NE PUBLIC
ESTIMATED 60 MPH WINDS. TREE FELL OVER ONTO BUILDING.
&&
$$
JGOMEZ
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KMFR [221748]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KMFR 221748
LSRMFR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1048 AM PDT THU AUG 22 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1000 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 ENE MURPHY 42.36N 123.29W
08/22/2013 M0.50 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER
HEAVY RAIN DURATION 15 MINUTES OBSERVER
LOCATION GRANTS PASS
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMFR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1048 AM PDT THU AUG 22 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1000 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 ENE MURPHY 42.36N 123.29W
08/22/2013 M0.50 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER
HEAVY RAIN DURATION 15 MINUTES OBSERVER
LOCATION GRANTS PASS
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KDVN [221743]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KDVN 221743
LSRDVN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1242 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1242 PM HEAVY RAIN WNW JESUP 42.48N 92.07W
08/22/2013 M1.35 INCH BUCHANAN IA TRAINED SPOTTER
SINCE 5 AM.
&&
$$
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LSRDVN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1242 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1242 PM HEAVY RAIN WNW JESUP 42.48N 92.07W
08/22/2013 M1.35 INCH BUCHANAN IA TRAINED SPOTTER
SINCE 5 AM.
&&
$$
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KLOT [221741]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLOT 221741
LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1241 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1240 PM HEAVY RAIN PEOTONE 41.33N 87.80W
08/22/2013 E2.12 INCH WILL IL PUBLIC
REPORT VIA FACEBOOK.
&&
$$
C
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LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1241 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1240 PM HEAVY RAIN PEOTONE 41.33N 87.80W
08/22/2013 E2.12 INCH WILL IL PUBLIC
REPORT VIA FACEBOOK.
&&
$$
C
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KEKA [221741]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KEKA 221741
LSREKA
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
1041 AM PDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1036 AM HAIL GASQUET 41.85N 123.97W
08/22/2013 M0.25 INCH DEL NORTE CA PUBLIC
RETIRED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED HEAVY RAIN IN A
THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL. BEEN HEARING
THUNDER AT A DISTANT FOR ALMOST AN HOUR.
&&
$$
ASHFORD
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LSREKA
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
1041 AM PDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1036 AM HAIL GASQUET 41.85N 123.97W
08/22/2013 M0.25 INCH DEL NORTE CA PUBLIC
RETIRED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED HEAVY RAIN IN A
THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL. BEEN HEARING
THUNDER AT A DISTANT FOR ALMOST AN HOUR.
&&
$$
ASHFORD
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KLOT [221735]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLOT 221735
LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1235 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1235 PM HEAVY RAIN E ROCKFORD 42.27N 89.06W
08/22/2013 E1.50 INCH WINNEBAGO IL TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
C
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LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1235 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1235 PM HEAVY RAIN E ROCKFORD 42.27N 89.06W
08/22/2013 E1.50 INCH WINNEBAGO IL TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
C
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KLBF [221739]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLBF 221739
LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1239 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1236 PM HEAVY RAIN 12 E ROSE 42.17N 99.29W
08/22/2013 M4.00 INCH ROCK NE PUBLIC
4.0 INCHES OF RAIN REPORTED FROM STORMS OVERNIGHT.
&&
$$
JGOMEZ
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LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1239 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1236 PM HEAVY RAIN 12 E ROSE 42.17N 99.29W
08/22/2013 M4.00 INCH ROCK NE PUBLIC
4.0 INCHES OF RAIN REPORTED FROM STORMS OVERNIGHT.
&&
$$
JGOMEZ
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KMKX [221735]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMKX 221735
LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1234 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1210 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 NW MILWAUKEE 43.05N 87.94W
08/22/2013 M1.10 INCH MILWAUKEE WI BROADCAST MEDIA
WISN GAUGE
&&
$$
SM
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LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1234 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1210 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 NW MILWAUKEE 43.05N 87.94W
08/22/2013 M1.10 INCH MILWAUKEE WI BROADCAST MEDIA
WISN GAUGE
&&
$$
SM
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KMKX [221729]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMKX 221729
LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1229 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1227 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 S BRODHEAD 42.59N 89.38W
08/22/2013 M0.51 INCH GREEN WI TRAINED SPOTTER
STORM TOTAL SINCE 800AM
&&
$$
SM
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LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1229 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1227 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 S BRODHEAD 42.59N 89.38W
08/22/2013 M0.51 INCH GREEN WI TRAINED SPOTTER
STORM TOTAL SINCE 800AM
&&
$$
SM
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KMKX [221729]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMKX 221729
LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1228 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1225 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 NE OREGON 42.98N 89.31W
08/22/2013 M0.91 INCH DANE WI TRAINED SPOTTER
STORM TOTAL SINCE 800AM
&&
$$
SM
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LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1228 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1225 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 NE OREGON 42.98N 89.31W
08/22/2013 M0.91 INCH DANE WI TRAINED SPOTTER
STORM TOTAL SINCE 800AM
&&
$$
SM
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KMKX [221728]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMKX 221728
LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1228 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1210 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 NE WAUKESHA 43.02N 88.22W
08/22/2013 M1.75 INCH WAUKESHA WI TRAINED SPOTTER
STORM TOTAL THROUGH 1215
&&
$$
SM
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LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1228 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1210 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 NE WAUKESHA 43.02N 88.22W
08/22/2013 M1.75 INCH WAUKESHA WI TRAINED SPOTTER
STORM TOTAL THROUGH 1215
&&
$$
SM
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KMFR [221717]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KMFR 221717
LSRMFR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1016 AM PDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0945 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNW APPLEGATE 42.32N 123.22W
08/22/2013 M0.40 INCH JACKSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER
0.40 INCHES IN 15 MINS
&&
$$
DUNCAN
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LSRMFR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1016 AM PDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0945 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNW APPLEGATE 42.32N 123.22W
08/22/2013 M0.40 INCH JACKSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER
0.40 INCHES IN 15 MINS
&&
$$
DUNCAN
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KPHI [221712]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KPHI 221712
LSRPHI
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
111 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0110 PM FLOOD EAST BRUNSWICK 40.43N 74.42W
08/22/2013 MIDDLESEX NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMBEROUS BRIDGES ARE BEING FLOODED..TRAFFIC AT
STANDSTILL..
&&
EVENT NUMBER PHI1300390
$$
BUNKER
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LSRPHI
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
111 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0110 PM FLOOD EAST BRUNSWICK 40.43N 74.42W
08/22/2013 MIDDLESEX NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMBEROUS BRIDGES ARE BEING FLOODED..TRAFFIC AT
STANDSTILL..
&&
EVENT NUMBER PHI1300390
$$
BUNKER
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1752
ACUS11 KWNS 221710
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221710
MIZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-221945-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1752
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1210 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN LOWER MICHIGAN...PORTIONS OF NRN INDIANA AND
NWRN OHIO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 221710Z - 221945Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED POTENTIAL FOR MARGINALLY SVR THUNDERSTORMS
COULD EXIST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WHILE CONVECTIVE
TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED...THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS CURRENTLY
UNLIKELY.
DISCUSSION...ASCENT PRECEDING AN MCV THAT WAS ENHANCED OVER THE
UPPER MIDWEST BY NOCTURNAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES
SUPPORTING A LOOSELY ORGANIZED BAND OF CONVECTION THAT IS CURRENTLY
CROSSING SRN LAKE MICHIGAN. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY MOVE ONSHORE
DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...AND THEN TRACK EWD/ESEWD ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DESPITE MODERATE HIGH-LEVEL FLOW --
AROUND 50 KT PER GRR VWP DATA -- SUPPORTING EFFICIENT CONVECTIVE
VENTILATION...THE PRESENCE OF ONLY MODEST LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW AND
AROUND 20-30 KT OF 0-6-KM BULK SHEAR MAY TEMPER THE OVERALL
POTENTIAL FOR MAINTENANCE OF A ROBUST...ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE SYSTEM.
INLAND INSOLATION IS ALSO BEING SUPPRESSED BY OPAQUE MID/HIGH
CLOUDINESS BEING TRANSPORTED DOWNSTREAM BY ONGOING CONVECTION.
REGARDLESS...SUFFICIENT DIURNAL HEATING SHOULD SUPPORT AT LEAST
MARGINAL TO LOCALLY MODERATE INSTABILITY PER MODIFICATIONS TO THE
12Z DTX RAOB. ISOLATED INSTANCES OF SVR WIND CANNOT BE RULED OUT
WITH ENHANCED/LOCALIZED COLD POOL SURGES. IT CURRENTLY APPEARS
UNLIKELY THAT A WELL-ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE SYSTEM WITH A MORE
SUBSTANTIVE SVR-WIND THREAT WOULD EVOLVE...THOUGH TRENDS WILL BE
MONITORED.
..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 08/22/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...GRR...
LAT...LON 43068610 43058426 42628310 42158313 41518371 41338462
41518575 41968652 43068610
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221710
MIZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-221945-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1752
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1210 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN LOWER MICHIGAN...PORTIONS OF NRN INDIANA AND
NWRN OHIO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 221710Z - 221945Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED POTENTIAL FOR MARGINALLY SVR THUNDERSTORMS
COULD EXIST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WHILE CONVECTIVE
TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED...THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS CURRENTLY
UNLIKELY.
DISCUSSION...ASCENT PRECEDING AN MCV THAT WAS ENHANCED OVER THE
UPPER MIDWEST BY NOCTURNAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES
SUPPORTING A LOOSELY ORGANIZED BAND OF CONVECTION THAT IS CURRENTLY
CROSSING SRN LAKE MICHIGAN. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY MOVE ONSHORE
DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...AND THEN TRACK EWD/ESEWD ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DESPITE MODERATE HIGH-LEVEL FLOW --
AROUND 50 KT PER GRR VWP DATA -- SUPPORTING EFFICIENT CONVECTIVE
VENTILATION...THE PRESENCE OF ONLY MODEST LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW AND
AROUND 20-30 KT OF 0-6-KM BULK SHEAR MAY TEMPER THE OVERALL
POTENTIAL FOR MAINTENANCE OF A ROBUST...ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE SYSTEM.
INLAND INSOLATION IS ALSO BEING SUPPRESSED BY OPAQUE MID/HIGH
CLOUDINESS BEING TRANSPORTED DOWNSTREAM BY ONGOING CONVECTION.
REGARDLESS...SUFFICIENT DIURNAL HEATING SHOULD SUPPORT AT LEAST
MARGINAL TO LOCALLY MODERATE INSTABILITY PER MODIFICATIONS TO THE
12Z DTX RAOB. ISOLATED INSTANCES OF SVR WIND CANNOT BE RULED OUT
WITH ENHANCED/LOCALIZED COLD POOL SURGES. IT CURRENTLY APPEARS
UNLIKELY THAT A WELL-ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE SYSTEM WITH A MORE
SUBSTANTIVE SVR-WIND THREAT WOULD EVOLVE...THOUGH TRENDS WILL BE
MONITORED.
..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 08/22/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...GRR...
LAT...LON 43068610 43058426 42628310 42158313 41518371 41338462
41518575 41968652 43068610
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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS02 KWNS 221708
SWODY2
SPC AC 221706
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1206 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...CAROLINAS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE APPALACHIAN MTNS ON
FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SWD INTO THE CAROLINAS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE PROBABLE ALONG THE FRONT
AS THE AIRMASS DESTABILIZES DURING THE DAY. MODEL FORECASTS SUGGEST
THAT MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY WILL BE IN PLACE BY MID
AFTERNOON PARTIALLY DUE TO THE VERY MOIST AIRMASS WITH SFC DEWPOINTS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S F. THIS ALONG WITH STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A MARGINAL WIND DAMAGE THREAT
AS MULTICELLS MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.
...CNTRL AND NRN HIGH PLAINS/NRN ROCKIES...
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE NCNTRL STATES ON
FRIDAY AS A SFC LOW DEEPENS ACROSS THE NRN HIGH PLAINS. AHEAD OF THE
SFC LOW...A MOIST AXIS SHOULD BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE WRN AND CNTRL
DAKOTAS WHERE MODERATE INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH THE MODELS KEEP CONVECTION VERY ISOLATED DUE TO
LIMITED LARGE-SCALE ASCENT...A FEW STORMS COULD INITIATE ALONG A SFC
TROUGH EXTENDING SWD ACROSS THE WRN DAKOTAS INTO WRN NEB. THE MODER
EAT INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES COULD BE
ENOUGH FOR A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT. HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS.
FURTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS WRN AND NCNTRL MT...THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT WILL ALSO BE PROBABLE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES AT 21Z FRIDAY
SHOW ENOUGH INSTABILITY WITH MODERATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THIS
COMBINED WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR HAIL
AND STRONG WIND GUSTS AS CELLS INTENSIFY DURING THE MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON.
..BROYLES.. 08/22/2013
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SWODY2
SPC AC 221706
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1206 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...CAROLINAS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE APPALACHIAN MTNS ON
FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SWD INTO THE CAROLINAS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE PROBABLE ALONG THE FRONT
AS THE AIRMASS DESTABILIZES DURING THE DAY. MODEL FORECASTS SUGGEST
THAT MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY WILL BE IN PLACE BY MID
AFTERNOON PARTIALLY DUE TO THE VERY MOIST AIRMASS WITH SFC DEWPOINTS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S F. THIS ALONG WITH STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A MARGINAL WIND DAMAGE THREAT
AS MULTICELLS MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.
...CNTRL AND NRN HIGH PLAINS/NRN ROCKIES...
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE NCNTRL STATES ON
FRIDAY AS A SFC LOW DEEPENS ACROSS THE NRN HIGH PLAINS. AHEAD OF THE
SFC LOW...A MOIST AXIS SHOULD BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE WRN AND CNTRL
DAKOTAS WHERE MODERATE INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH THE MODELS KEEP CONVECTION VERY ISOLATED DUE TO
LIMITED LARGE-SCALE ASCENT...A FEW STORMS COULD INITIATE ALONG A SFC
TROUGH EXTENDING SWD ACROSS THE WRN DAKOTAS INTO WRN NEB. THE MODER
EAT INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES COULD BE
ENOUGH FOR A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT. HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS.
FURTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS WRN AND NCNTRL MT...THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT WILL ALSO BE PROBABLE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES AT 21Z FRIDAY
SHOW ENOUGH INSTABILITY WITH MODERATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THIS
COMBINED WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR HAIL
AND STRONG WIND GUSTS AS CELLS INTENSIFY DURING THE MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON.
..BROYLES.. 08/22/2013
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KOAX [221705]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KOAX 221705
LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1204 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 AM HEAVY RAIN ELGIN 41.98N 98.08W
08/22/2013 M2.00 INCH ANTELOPE NE CO-OP OBSERVER
0730 AM HEAVY RAIN ALBION 41.69N 98.00W
08/22/2013 M1.71 INCH BOONE NE CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
J-E.KLISH
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LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1204 PM CDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 AM HEAVY RAIN ELGIN 41.98N 98.08W
08/22/2013 M2.00 INCH ANTELOPE NE CO-OP OBSERVER
0730 AM HEAVY RAIN ALBION 41.69N 98.00W
08/22/2013 M1.71 INCH BOONE NE CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
J-E.KLISH
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KPHI [221703]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KPHI 221703
LSRPHI
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
103 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1032 AM LIGHTNING MENDHAM TWP 40.80N 74.57W
08/22/2013 MORRIS NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
HOUSE STRIKE
&&
EVENT NUMBER PHI1300389
$$
BUNKER
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LSRPHI
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
103 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1032 AM LIGHTNING MENDHAM TWP 40.80N 74.57W
08/22/2013 MORRIS NJ EMERGENCY MNGR
HOUSE STRIKE
&&
EVENT NUMBER PHI1300389
$$
BUNKER
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KJAX [221701]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KJAX 221701
LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
101 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1255 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 SE ASBURY LAKE 30.03N 81.79W
08/22/2013 E0.00 INCH CLAY FL TRAINED SPOTTER
HEAVY RAIN 2.25 TO 2.49 INCHES IN 90 MINUTES.
&&
$$
AWALKER
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LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
101 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1255 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 SE ASBURY LAKE 30.03N 81.79W
08/22/2013 E0.00 INCH CLAY FL TRAINED SPOTTER
HEAVY RAIN 2.25 TO 2.49 INCHES IN 90 MINUTES.
&&
$$
AWALKER
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KAPX [221658]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KAPX 221658
LSRAPX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1258 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0951 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 E GLEN ARBOR 44.90N 85.95W
08/21/2013 LEELANAU MI EMERGENCY MNGR
SCATTERED REPORTS OF TREES AND WIRES DOWN THROUGHOUT MUCH
OF LEELANAU COUNTY.
&&
$$
JARNOTT
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LSRAPX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1258 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0951 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 E GLEN ARBOR 44.90N 85.95W
08/21/2013 LEELANAU MI EMERGENCY MNGR
SCATTERED REPORTS OF TREES AND WIRES DOWN THROUGHOUT MUCH
OF LEELANAU COUNTY.
&&
$$
JARNOTT
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