Thursday, July 22, 2010

KMKX [222224]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KMKX 222224
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
524 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0512 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 E HOLY HILL 43.24N 88.29W
07/22/2010 M1.91 INCH WASHINGTON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

1.91 INCHES IN A 30 MIN TIME PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON...IN
ADDITION TO 1.06 INCHES THAT FELL THIS MORNING


&&

$$

SEARS

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KMKX [222219]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 222219
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
519 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0447 PM HEAVY RAIN WEST BEND 43.42N 88.18W
07/22/2010 M1.77 INCH WASHINGTON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

1.77 INCHES IN A 25 MINUTE TIME PERIOD


&&

$$

SEARS

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KIWX [222218]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 222218
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
618 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 PM TSTM WND DMG COLDWATER 41.94N 85.00W
07/22/2010 BRANCH MI LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN SOUTH OF TOWN.


&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1000943

$$

SAW

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KMKX [222217]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 222217
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
517 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0516 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 3 S WATERLOO 43.14N 88.99W
07/22/2010 JEFFERSON WI TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

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KMKX [222217]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 222217
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
516 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0512 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 E HOLY HILL 43.24N 88.29W
07/22/2010 M1.91 INCH WASHINGTON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

1.91 INCHES IN AN HOUR TIME PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON...IN
ADDITION TO 1.06 INCHES THAT FELL THIS MORNING


&&

$$

SEARS

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KMKX [222210]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 222210
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
510 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0506 PM TSTM WND GST 4 W BROWN DEER 43.17N 88.05W
07/22/2010 M61 MPH MILWAUKEE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

6 INCH TREE DOWN


&&

$$

SEARS

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KARX [222209]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 222209
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
509 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0504 PM FLOOD MONONA 43.05N 91.39W
07/22/2010 CLAYTON IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

STREET FLOODING REPORTED BY OFFICERS


&&

$$

BOYNE

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KABQ [222204]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 222204
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
404 PM MDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0337 PM TSTM WND GST 1 N CANNON AFB 34.39N 103.31W
07/22/2010 M61 MPH CURRY NM ASOS

KCVS ASOS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002103

$$

KRW

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KIND [222200]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIND 222200
LSRIND

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
600 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 PM TORNADO 5 SW GREENWOOD 39.56N 86.18W
07/22/2010 JOHNSON IN NWS STORM SURVEY

EF0 TORNADO NEAR COUNTY ROAD 600N AND COUNTY ROAD 200W.
TORNADO INITIALLY REPORTED BY STATE HOMELAND SECURITY
OFFICIAL.


&&

$$

DTUCEK

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KGRR [222200]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 222200
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
600 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM HAIL 3 NE KALAMAZOO 42.32N 85.55W
07/22/2010 E0.88 INCH KALAMAZOO MI PUBLIC

NICKLE SIZED HAIL REPORTED AT PARCHMENT MICHIGAN.


&&

$$

MWALTON

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KGRR [222157]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 222157
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
557 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 PM HAIL ALBION 42.25N 84.75W
07/22/2010 E0.25 INCH CALHOUN MI PUBLIC

PEA SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN ALBION MICHIGAN.


&&

$$

MWALTON

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KSLC [222157]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KSLC 222157
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
357 PM MDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 PM FLASH FLOOD 13 SE CAPITOL REEF NP 38.12N 111.06W
07/22/2010 GARFIELD UT PARK/FOREST SRVC

FLASH FLOOD REPORTED ALONG SHEETS GULCH. NOTOM ROAD WAS
CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOOD.


&&

$$

CRK

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KSLC [222152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 222152
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
352 PM MDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 PM FLASH FLOOD 13 SE CAPITOL REEF NP 38.12N 111.06W
07/22/2010 GARFIELD UT PARK/FOREST SRVC

FLASH FLOOD REPORTED ALONG SHEETS GULCH. NOTAM ROAD WAS
CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOOD.


&&

$$

CRK

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KGRR [222152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 222152
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
551 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 NE KALAMAZOO 42.32N 85.55W
07/22/2010 M2.38 INCH KALAMAZOO MI PUBLIC

WEATHER STATION IN PARCHMENT MICHIGAN RECORDED 2.38
INCHES OF RAIN IN A HALF HOUR PERIOD.


&&

$$

MWALTON

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KGRR [222150]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 222150
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
550 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0449 PM TSTM WND DMG BEDFORD 42.40N 85.23W
07/22/2010 CALHOUN MI EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TRESS AND POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS TOWN.


&&

$$

RSUTTLE

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KMKX [222149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 222149
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
449 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0445 PM TORNADO 5 N MADISON 43.16N 89.38W
07/22/2010 DANE WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

DEBRIS AND HIGH WINDS ON PORTAGE ROAD.


&&

$$

SEARS

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KGRR [222149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 222149
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
549 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM TSTM WND GST 3 NE KALAMAZOO 42.32N 85.55W
07/22/2010 M59 MPH KALAMAZOO MI PUBLIC

WEATHER STATION LOCATED AT PARCHMENT MICHIGAN RECORDED A
59 MPH WIND GUST.


&&

$$

MWALTON

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KMKX [222142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KMKX 222142
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
441 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0435 PM FUNNEL CLOUD W LOWELL 43.34N 88.82W
07/22/2010 DODGE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED WEST OF LOWELL.


&&

$$

SEARS

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KOAX [222141]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KOAX 222141
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
441 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0815 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 SSW VERDEL 42.73N 98.24W
07/22/2010 M6.10 INCH KNOX NE CO-OP OBSERVER

CORRECTED LOCATION


&&

$$

MILLER

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KMKX [222141]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 222141
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
441 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0435 PM BLIZZARD W LOWELL 43.34N 88.82W
07/22/2010 DODGE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED WEST OF LOWELL.


&&

$$

SEARS

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KGRR [222139]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 222139
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
539 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 SW ALLEGAN 42.49N 85.91W
07/22/2010 ALLEGAN MI BROADCAST MEDIA

LARGE TREE SNAPPED IN HALF AT 108TH AND 37TH LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 4 MILES SW OF ALLEGAN MICHIGAN.


&&

$$

MWALTON

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KGRB [222135]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 222135
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
434 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0432 PM FLOOD STOCKBRIDGE 44.06N 88.30W
07/22/2010 CALUMET WI EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER OVER HWY 55.

0432 PM FLOOD BRILLION 44.18N 88.06W
07/22/2010 CALUMET WI EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER OVER ROAD AT LAKE PARK AND LONG LAKE ROADS.


&&

$$

BERSCH

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1418

ACUS11 KWNS 222132
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222131
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-222300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1418
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0431 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN CO AND WESTERN/NORTHERN KS TO SOUTH-CENTRAL
NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 222131Z - 222300Z

POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS WILL
INCREASE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL CO
INTO WESTERN/NORTHERN KS AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEB. MONITORING FOR A
POSSIBLE WATCH.

DEEPENING/TOWERING CU IS NOTED IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WITHIN A
HOT/DEEPLY MIXED AIRMASS IN VICINITY OF A SURFACE FRONT FROM EASTERN
CO NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN/NORTHERN KS...WITH INCIPIENT
STRONG/SEVERE TSTM DEVELOPMENT ALREADY IN EASTERN CO. TSTMS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING HOURS
WITHIN THIS CORRIDOR. MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES ARE RELATIVELY WARM
WITH MODEST MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND A FLOW WEAKNESS IS NOTED IN
THE LOWEST 5-6 KM. HOWEVER...DEEP MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER AND STRONG
INSTABILITY/1500-3000 J PER KG MLCAPE/ IN CONJUNCTION WITH VEERING
WIND PROFILES SHOULD SUPPORT SOME ORGANIZED STORMS/SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF SEVERE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS. THE NEED FOR A WATCH IS NOT
ENTIRELY CLEAR...BUT INCREASING CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED
FOR A POSSIBLE WATCH.

..GUYER.. 07/22/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON 37690107 38200376 39310432 39580397 39500259 40220115
40509966 39379872 37690107

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KMKX [222119]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 222119
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
419 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0357 PM TORNADO 2 NE DANE 43.27N 89.47W
07/22/2010 DANE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

TORNADO REPORTED HALFWAY BETWEEN DANE AND MORRISONVILLE


&&

$$

SEARS

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KCHS [222115]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 222115
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
515 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0512 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT CHARLESTON AIRPORT 32.90N 80.04W
07/22/2010 M116 F CHARLESTON SC ASOS

A HEAT INDEX OF 116 DEGREES WAS OBSERVED AT THE
CHARLESTON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.


&&

$$

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KMKX [222110]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 222110
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
410 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0409 PM FUNNEL CLOUD NEOSHO 43.31N 88.52W
07/22/2010 DODGE WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

TWO FUNNEL CLOUDS SPOTTED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF 67 AND
ADAMS...MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST


&&

$$

SEARS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook Amend 1

ACUS01 KWNS 222104
SWODY1
SPC AC 222102

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AMEND 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0402 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

VALID 222100Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE GREAT LAKES VALLEY EWD
INTO NEB...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS A SMALL PART OF SERN
ND/NERN SD AND SWRN MN...

AMENDED FOR TORNADO THREAT IN SRN LOWER MI

...SRN LOWER MI...
A SUPERCELL HAS INTENSIFIED IN SWRN LOWER MI AND IS TRACKING
EAST/SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG A WARM FRONT. ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE BOUNDARY WILL MAINTAIN A RISK OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

...ND/SD/MN...
WEAK SURFACE LOW AND TROUGH WAS LOCATED ACROSS FAR ERN SD/ND AT MID
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES HAVE COVERED MUCH OF THE REGION AND
HAS LIMITED DESTABILIZATION. ALTHOUGH ELEVATED STORMS HAD DEVELOPED
ACROSS PARTS OF FAR ERN ND AND NWRN MN...IT IS UNCERTAIN IF SURFACE
BASED STORMS WILL DEVELOP GIVEN WEAKENING SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND
UPPER FORCING SHIFTING NEWD INTO SRN CANADA. HOWEVER...GIVEN THAT
TEMPERATURES MAY WARM A FEW DEGREES MORE IN FAR SERN ND/NERN SD AND
SWRN MN...A SMALL SLIGHT RISK AREA HAS BEEN MAINTAINED FOR THIS
AREA.

...NRN ID AND WRN MT...
UPPER LOW OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA IS FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD INTO SRN
ALBERTA BY LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN A 50-60 KT MID LEVEL
JET MAX TO SPREAD ESEWD FROM WA INTO SRN MT. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY IS
NOT FORECAST TO BE PARTICULARLY STRONG...THE COMBINATION OF FORCING
ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LOW/SPEED MAX AND STEEPENING LAPSE RATES
SHOULD RESULT IN FAVORABLE VERTICAL SOUNDINGS FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP. STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT DEEP
LAYER SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS...WITH A THREAT FOR ISOLATED HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS.

...UPPER MS VALLEY EWD INTO NEB...
FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK...REFERENCE MD/S 1415 AND 1416.

...SOUTH FL...
NO CHANGES FROM PREVIOUS OUTLOOK.

..IMY.. 07/22/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1058 AM CDT THU JUL 22 2010/

...UPPER MS VALLEY INTO NEB...
RELATIVELY FAST ZONAL FLOW IS PRESENT ONCE AGAIN TODAY OVER THE
NORTHERN TIER OF STATES...WHILE A FLAT RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHEAST INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. A LARGE REMNANT MCS IS
TRACKING EASTWARD ACROSS MN/WI. THIS SYSTEM HAS SIGNIFICANTLY
MODIFIED THE NEARBY ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL
FLOW BEING OBSERVED ON THE SOUTHWEST FLANK ACROSS IA. THE TRAILING
CONVERGENCE ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH THE MCS WILL LIKELY PERSIST FROM
SOUTHERN WI INTO CENTRAL IA...AND SHOULD PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MORNING CLOUDS
ARE RAPIDLY ERODING...SUGGESTING SUBSTANTIAL DESTABILIZATION MAY
OCCUR. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW MLCAPE VALUES OF 1500-2500 J/KG AND
SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE SHEAR FOR ORGANIZATION AND A FEW SUPERCELLS.
GIVEN THE LOCALLY ENHANCED LOW LEVEL WINDS AND SHEAR DUE TO THE
MCS...THERE IS A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES IN PARTS OF SOUTHERN
WI/NORTHERN IA/NORTHERN IL LATER THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL ARE THE MAIN THREATS.

FARTHER SOUTHWEST...SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL EXTEND FROM WESTERN IA
INTO SOUTHWEST NEB AND NORTHWEST KS. VERTICAL SHEAR WEAKENS WITH
SOUTHWARD EXTENT...BUT STRONG CAPE VALUES MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

...ND/SD/MN...
WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW A WELL-DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS
MT/ND. THIS FEATURE WILL TRACK EASTWARD AND HELP TO INITIATE
SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN ND/SD AND WESTERN MN.
PERSISTENT LOW CLOUDS WILL SLOW DAYTIME HEATING AND
DESTABILIZATION. HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT CAPE IS EXPECTED FOR A FEW
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

...SOUTH FL...
TD 3 IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO APPROACH SOUTH FL AND THE KEYS LATE
TONIGHT. STRONGER LOW LEVEL SHEAR NEAR OUTER BANDS COULD POSE A
LIMITED THREAT FOR BRIEF TORNADOES AFTER 06Z.

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 515

WWUS20 KWNS 222054
SEL5
SPC WW 222054
IAZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-230300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 515
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

IOWA
EXTREME NORTHWEST ILLINOIS
EXTREME SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHEAST
OF DUBUQUE IOWA TO 70 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT DODGE IOWA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 514...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING SWWD ALONG A LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE BOUNDARY FROM SWRN WI INTO NRN IA...AND STORMS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUING FORMING ACROSS N CNTRL/CNTRL IA WITHIN THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. AIR MASS BECOME VERY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE OF 2000-3000
J/KG AS STRONG HEATING HAS OCCURRED THIS AFTERNOON. CONVECTION IS
LOCATED ALONG THE SRN EDGE OF STRONGER WINDS ALOFT...WITH 30-40 KT
UNIDIRECTIONAL SWLY WINDS PROVIDING SUFFICIENT SHEAR TO ENHANCE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL ARE
THE PRIMARY THREATS...ALTHOUGH A BRIEF TORNADO MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE
WITH INITIAL DISCRETE STORMS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...WEISS

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KGRR [222054]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 222054
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
454 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM HEAVY RAIN JAMESTOWN 42.83N 85.84W
07/22/2010 E2.00 INCH OTTAWA MI TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY DOWNPOUR OF TWO INCHES IN 20 MINUTES. 1-2 INCHES OF
WATER WAS OVER SOME ROADS AND INTERSECTIONS. DRAINS COULD
NOT KEEP UP.


&&

$$

MEADE

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KGRR [222053]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 222053
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
452 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0320 PM TSTM WND DMG PULLMAN 42.48N 86.09W
07/22/2010 ALLEGAN MI TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF 44TH
AND 112TH NEAR PULLMAN MICHIGAN.


&&

$$

MWALTON

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KGRR [222052]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 222052
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
452 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0445 PM TORNADO BATTLE CREEK 42.32N 85.19W
07/22/2010 CALHOUN MI LAW ENFORCEMENT

BRIEF TORNADO TOUCH DOWN GROUND NEAR HELMER AND COLOMBIA.

&&

$$

RSUTTLE

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 516

WWUS20 KWNS 222051
SEL6
SPC WW 222051
MIZ000-LEZ000-230200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 516
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
455 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
LAKE ERIE

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 455 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 25 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
JACKSON MICHIGAN TO 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DETROIT MICHIGAN. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 514...

DISCUSSION...A SUPERCELL HAS INTENSIFIED AND IS TRACKING
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE SURFACE WARM FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN
LOWER MI. ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND CONVERGENCE ALONG THE
BOUNDARY WILL MAINTAIN A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES...ALONG WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL FOR ANOTHER SEVERAL HOURS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.


...HART

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1417

ACUS11 KWNS 222051
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222050
MIZ000-222145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1417
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0350 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN LOWER MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 222050Z - 222145Z

AN INCREASING THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL
EXIST OVER PORTIONS OF SRN LOWER MI. A WW WILL BE ISSUED SOON.

LATEST SFC SUBJECTIVE ANALYSIS PLACES A WARM FRONT MOVING N INTO
CNTRL LOWER MI. RAPID DESTABILIZATION OF THE ENVIRONMENT HAS
OCCURRED OVER THE PAST FEW HRS...WITH A SMALL LINE SEGMENT OFF OF
LAKE MICHIGAN TRANSITIONING INTO A SFC-BASED SUPERCELL OVER
KALAMAZOO COUNTY. GIVEN VEERING VERTICAL WIND PROFILES AND EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR OF 40-50 KTS...THE POTENTIAL FOR ROTATING STORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO EXIST...PARTICULARLY WITH STORMS TRACKING ALONG THE WARM
FRONT. INSTABILITY AND VERTICAL SHEAR WILL DECREASE WITH EWD
EXTENT...SO THE THREAT SHOULD MAINLY BE CONFINED TO S CNTRL AND SERN
LOWER MI. WEAK TO MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT THE HAIL THREAT
SOMEWHAT...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL CANNOT BE RULED OUT GIVEN
THE PRESENCE OF SUPERCELLS.

..ROGERS.. 07/22/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DTX...IWX...GRR...

LAT...LON 41718382 41808529 42208545 42458516 42668495 42498391
42438351 42298306 41728344 41718382

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KGRR [222041]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KGRR 222041
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
440 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0440 PM TORNADO BATTLE CREEK 42.32N 85.19W
07/22/2010 CALHOUN MI TRAINED SPOTTER

TORNADO ON GROUND 1 MILE WEST OF AIRPORT.


&&

$$

RSUTTLE

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KGRR [222039]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 222039
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
439 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM TORNADO BATTLE CREEK 42.32N 85.19W
07/22/2010 CALHOUN MI TRAINED SPOTTER

TORNADO ON GROUND 1 MILE WEST OF AIRPORT.


&&

$$

RSUTTLE

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KBOX [222034]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBOX 222034
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
434 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM TORNADO BRISTOL 41.68N 72.94W
07/21/2010 F1 HARTFORD CT NWS STORM SURVEY

BRIEF TOUCHDOWN NEAR BLAKESLEE AND HIGH STREETS. TREE
TOPS TWISTED OFF. SEVERAL TREES UPROOTED AS A RESULT OF
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. PATH LENGTH 1.5 MILES LONG AND 25
YARDS WIDE. DAMAGE CONSISTENT WITH WIND GUSTS OF AROUND
90 MPH WHICH IS CLASSIFIED AS EF-1 ON THE ENHANCED FUJITA
SCALE.


&&

$$

JWD

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KLBF [222031]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 222031
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
331 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM FLASH FLOOD LYNCH 42.83N 98.47W
07/22/2010 BOYD NE CO-OP OBSERVER

SEWAGE PLANT IN LYNCH WAS OFFLINE FROM MIDNIGHT CDT
THROUGH 200 PM CDT JULY 22ND...DUE TO TOO MUCH RAINFALL
OVERNIGHT. AN AUXILIARY PUMP WAS UTILIZED TO PUMP THE
EXCESS WATER AND THE SEWAGE PLANT IS BACK IN OPERATION.
LEVEL OF PONCA CREEK NEAR LYNCH HAS DROPPED IN HALF.


&&

$$

CARMEL

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KGRR [222027]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 222027
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
427 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N CHICORA 42.50N 85.97W
07/22/2010 ALLEGAN MI LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES ABD POWER LINES DOWN.


&&

$$

RSUTTLE

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 514

WWUS20 KWNS 222024
SEL4
SPC WW 222024
WIZ000-LMZ000-230200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 514
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
325 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN WISCONSIN
LAKE MICHIGAN

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 325 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
LONEROCK WISCONSIN TO 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF RACINE
WISCONSIN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INTENSIFYING ALONG A
BOUNDARY OVER SOUTHERN WI...WHILE OTHER MORE DISCRETE STORMS FORM
OVER NORTHEAST IA. STRONG LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR IS PRESENT
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WITH SHEAR PROFILES FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS
AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES. DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE IN STRONGER STORMS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.


...HART

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KDMX [222021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 222021
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
321 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0238 AM TORNADO 2 SSW POCAHONTAS 42.71N 94.68W
07/22/2010 POCAHONTAS IA NWS STORM SURVEY

TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 1 MILE SOUTH OF POCAHONTAS NEAR
HIGHWAY 4. IT TRAVELED 2.6 MILES ON THE GROUND AND LIFTED
NORTHEAST OF THE GOLF COURSE AND PRIOR TO THE AIRPORT.


&&

$$

MS JUL 10

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KGRB [222010]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 222010
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
309 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0308 PM FLOOD DARBOY 44.23N 88.38W
07/22/2010 CALUMET WI PUBLIC

PLANK ROAD IN DARBOY WATER UP TO BUMPERS ON CARS.


&&

$$

MARQUIS

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KGYX [222004]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KGYX 222004
LSRGYX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
404 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM TORNADO ALFRED 43.48N 70.72W
07/21/2010 F1 YORK ME NWS STORM SURVEY

NWS STORM SURVEY CONFIRMED AN EF1 TORNADO IN ALFRED NEAR
CRANBERRY MEADOWS ROAD. ESTIMATED WINDS ARE 90 MPH. TRACK
LENGTH AND WIDTH ARE STILL BEING DETERMINED.


&&

$$

DAG

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KGRR [222002]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 222002
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
402 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0402 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 SW KENTWOOD 42.87N 85.63W
07/22/2010 M1.37 INCH KENT MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

90 MINUTE TOTAL


&&

$$

GWETZEL

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1416

ACUS11 KWNS 222002
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222001
WIZ000-IAZ000-222100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1416
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0301 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN WI...EXTREME NERN IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 222001Z - 222100Z

VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A DEVELOPING CU FIELD BENEATH A BKN
CIRRUS DECK OVER MUCH OF THE REGION...AND A THICKENING CLOUD BAND
ALONG AND TO THE N OF A NEARLY STATIONARY WARM FRONTAL ZONE. AS THE
ENVIRONMENT BECOMES INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE...THUNDERSTORM INITIATION
APPEARS MORE LIKELY...WITH A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE
HAIL...AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO. THE AREA IS BEING MONITORED
FOR A WW.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS PLACES A QUASI-STATIONARY WARM FRONTAL ZONE
ACROSS SRN WI...WITH TEMPERATURES HEATING INTO THE MID/UPPER 80S TO
THE S OF THIS BOUNDARY. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS FIELDS INDICATE MLCAPE
VALUES OF AROUND 1000-2000 J/KG EXIST WITHIN THIS AIR MASS.
PERSISTENT RAINFALL HAS BEEN OCCURRING JUST N OF THE FRONTAL ZONE
WITHIN A STABLE AIR MASS ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD WARM ADVECTION
REGIME. AS FURTHER CLEARING/DESTABILIZATION OCCURS OVER SRN WI AND
EXTREME NERN IA...AN INCREASING THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL
EXIST...WITH SOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL.

THE NEAR-PARALLEL ORIENTATION OF THE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR VECTOR WITH
THE FRONTAL ZONE WILL FAVOR A SLOW-MOVING OR NEARLY STATIONARY LINE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH STORM MODE IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO
DEVELOPMENT...STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR /20-25 KTS 0-1 KM SHEAR PER
POINT FORECAST HODOGRAPHS/ MAY YIELD AT LEAST A LOW POTENTIAL FOR AN
ISOLATED TORNADO IF EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS CAN DEVELOP. A THREAT FOR
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO EXIST. THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED FOR INDICATIONS OF CONVECTIVE INITIATION...AND SUBSEQUENT
NEED FOR A WW.

..ROGERS.. 07/22/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MKX...DVN...ARX...

LAT...LON 42498882 42549055 42789133 43109168 43329152 43459053
43478985 43268862 42898781 42548791 42498882

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KGYX [221959]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KGYX 221959
LSRGYX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
358 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0523 PM DOWNBURST 1 NE LYME 43.82N 72.14W
07/21/2010 GRAFTON NH NWS STORM SURVEY

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURVEY TEAM VERIFIED A
MICROBURST WITH TREES BLOWN DOWN ON PINNACLE ROAD NEAR
SKUNK HOLLOW.

0456 PM DOWNBURST 1 S PIERMONT 43.96N 72.08W
07/21/2010 GRAFTON NH NWS STORM SURVEY

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURVEY TEAM VERIFIED A
MICROBURST NEAR THE BEAN BROOK ROAD AND GRIMES HILL ROAD
INTERSECTION. THOUSANDS OF TREES BLOWN DOWN AS WELL AS
CORN CROPS SHREDDED FROM HAIL.


&&

$$

POHL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 221957
SWODY1
SPC AC 221955

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0255 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

VALID 222000Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY EWD
INTO NEB...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS A SMALL PART OF SERN
ND/NERN SD AND SWRN MN...

...ND/SD/MN...
WEAK SURFACE LOW AND TROUGH WAS LOCATED ACROSS FAR ERN SD/ND AT MID
AFTERNOON. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES HAVE COVERED MUCH OF THE REGION AND
HAS LIMITED DESTABILIZATION. ALTHOUGH ELEVATED STORMS HAD DEVELOPED
ACROSS PARTS OF FAR ERN ND AND NWRN MN...IT IS UNCERTAIN IF SURFACE
BASED STORMS WILL DEVELOP GIVEN WEAKENING SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND
UPPER FORCING SHIFTING NEWD INTO SRN CANADA. HOWEVER...GIVEN THAT
TEMPERATURES MAY WARM A FEW DEGREES MORE IN FAR SERN ND/NERN SD AND
SWRN MN...A SMALL SLIGHT RISK AREA HAS BEEN MAINTAINED FOR THIS
AREA.

...NRN ID AND WRN MT...
UPPER LOW OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA IS FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD INTO SRN
ALBERTA BY LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN A 50-60 KT MID LEVEL
JET MAX TO SPREAD ESEWD FROM WA INTO SRN MT. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY IS
NOT FORECAST TO BE PARTICULARLY STRONG...THE COMBINATION OF FORCING
ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LOW/SPEED MAX AND STEEPENING LAPSE RATES
SHOULD RESULT IN FAVORABLE VERTICAL SOUNDINGS FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP. STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT DEEP
LAYER SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS...WITH A THREAT FOR ISOLATED HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS.

...UPPER MS VALLEY EWD INTO NEB...
FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK...REFERENCE MD/S 1415 AND 1416.

...SOUTH FL...
NO CHANGES FROM PREVIOUS OUTLOOK.

..IMY.. 07/22/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1058 AM CDT THU JUL 22 2010/

...UPPER MS VALLEY INTO NEB...
RELATIVELY FAST ZONAL FLOW IS PRESENT ONCE AGAIN TODAY OVER THE
NORTHERN TIER OF STATES...WHILE A FLAT RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE
SOUTHEAST INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. A LARGE REMNANT MCS IS
TRACKING EASTWARD ACROSS MN/WI. THIS SYSTEM HAS SIGNIFICANTLY
MODIFIED THE NEARBY ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL
FLOW BEING OBSERVED ON THE SOUTHWEST FLANK ACROSS IA. THE TRAILING
CONVERGENCE ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH THE MCS WILL LIKELY PERSIST FROM
SOUTHERN WI INTO CENTRAL IA...AND SHOULD PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR
REDEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MORNING CLOUDS
ARE RAPIDLY ERODING...SUGGESTING SUBSTANTIAL DESTABILIZATION MAY
OCCUR. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW MLCAPE VALUES OF 1500-2500 J/KG AND
SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE SHEAR FOR ORGANIZATION AND A FEW SUPERCELLS.
GIVEN THE LOCALLY ENHANCED LOW LEVEL WINDS AND SHEAR DUE TO THE
MCS...THERE IS A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES IN PARTS OF SOUTHERN
WI/NORTHERN IA/NORTHERN IL LATER THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL ARE THE MAIN THREATS.

FARTHER SOUTHWEST...SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL EXTEND FROM WESTERN IA
INTO SOUTHWEST NEB AND NORTHWEST KS. VERTICAL SHEAR WEAKENS WITH
SOUTHWARD EXTENT...BUT STRONG CAPE VALUES MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

...ND/SD/MN...
WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW A WELL-DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS
MT/ND. THIS FEATURE WILL TRACK EASTWARD AND HELP TO INITIATE
SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN ND/SD AND WESTERN MN.
PERSISTENT LOW CLOUDS WILL SLOW DAYTIME HEATING AND
DESTABILIZATION. HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT CAPE IS EXPECTED FOR A FEW
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

...SOUTH FL...
TD 3 IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO APPROACH SOUTH FL AND THE KEYS LATE
TONIGHT. STRONGER LOW LEVEL SHEAR NEAR OUTER BANDS COULD POSE A
LIMITED THREAT FOR BRIEF TORNADOES AFTER 06Z.

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KFGZ [221957]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KFGZ 221957
LSRFGZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1256 PM MST THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 NW DONEY PARK 35.30N 111.55W
07/22/2010 COCONINO AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

FLOODING ON COPELAND LANE IN TIMBERLINE NEIGHBORHOOD

1200 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 NW DONEY PARK 35.30N 111.55W
07/22/2010 COCONINO AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

HOMES FLOODED ON CAMPBELL AVENUE

1210 PM FLASH FLOOD FLAGSTAFF 35.19N 111.62W
07/22/2010 COCONINO AZ COUNTY OFFICIAL

FLOODING ON CAMPBELL AVE


&&

EVENT NUMBER FGZ1000129 FGZ1000130 FGZ1000127

$$

DJO

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KCYS [221956]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 221956
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
156 PM MDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM HEAVY RAIN NNE CHADRON 42.83N 103.00W
07/21/2010 M1.00 INCH DAWES NE TRAINED SPOTTER

RECEIVED 1 INCH OF RAIN IN 30 MINUTES...ENDING AT ROUGHLY
930 PM.

0736 PM TSTM WND GST 18 NE HARRISON 42.87N 103.63W
07/21/2010 E60 MPH SIOUX NE TRAINED SPOTTER

6 INCH DIAMETER LIMB DOWNED. ALSO RECEIVED 1.30 INCHES OF
RAIN. ESTIMATED TIME OF REPORT.


&&

$$

LUNDQUIST

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KOKX [221953]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KOKX 221953
LSROKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
353 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0202 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NW JAMESPORT 40.96N 72.59W
07/21/2010 SUFFOLK NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

WIRES DOWN ON MANOR LANE.

0430 PM TSTM WND DMG HIGHLAND FALLS 41.36N 73.97W
07/21/2010 ORANGE NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

WIRES DOWN ON ROUTE 9W SOUTHBOUND.

0430 PM TSTM WND DMG CHESHIRE 41.50N 72.90W
07/21/2010 NEW HAVEN CT PUBLIC

LARGE TREES DOWN

0450 PM HAIL MIDDLETOWN 41.55N 72.65W
07/21/2010 M1.00 INCH MIDDLESEX CT AMATEUR RADIO

0455 PM TSTM WND DMG EAST HAMPTON 41.57N 72.50W
07/21/2010 MIDDLESEX CT LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL DOWNED TREES ACROSS TOWN. 2 HOUSE FIRES DUE TO
LIGHTNING.

0515 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 W NORWICH 41.54N 72.18W
07/21/2010 NEW LONDON CT LAW ENFORCEMENT

MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN THE TOWN OF BOZRAH.

0515 PM HAIL 5 NNE BEDFORD 41.26N 73.61W
07/21/2010 U1.00 INCH WESTCHESTER NY PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN CROSS RIVER NY

0515 PM TSTM WND DMG COLCHESTER 41.57N 72.33W
07/21/2010 NEW LONDON CT LAW ENFORCEMENT

MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ON ROUTE 16.

0515 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 W NORWICH 41.54N 72.18W
07/21/2010 NEW LONDON CT LAW ENFORCEMENT

MULTIPLE TREES DOWN AROUND HEBRON CT.

0515 PM TSTM WND GST 5 NNE BEDFORD 41.26N 73.61W
07/21/2010 E65.00 MPH WESTCHESTER NY PUBLIC

TREES SNAPPED IN HALF IN CROSS RIVER NY

0520 PM HAIL WILTON 41.18N 73.42W
07/21/2010 M0.88 INCH FAIRFIELD CT TRAINED SPOTTER

0523 PM TSTM WND DMG GOSHEN 41.40N 74.33W
07/21/2010 ORANGE NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

WIRES AND TREES DOWN THROUGHOUT TOWN

0523 PM LIGHTNING GUILFORD 41.28N 72.68W
07/21/2010 NEW HAVEN CT TRAINED SPOTTER

*** 1 INJ *** WOMAN INDIRECTLY STRUCK BY LIGHTNING
RESULTING IN MINOR BURNS ON HER LEG. SHE WAS TAKEN TO THE
HOSPITAL AND TREATED AND RELEASED.

0530 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 10 S GUILFORD 41.14N 72.66W
07/21/2010 M40.00 MPH ANZ330 CT BUOY

WIND GUST OF 35 KT MEASURED.

0535 PM TSTM WND DMG WESTPORT 41.12N 73.35W
07/21/2010 FAIRFIELD CT TRAINED SPOTTER

WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE. TREES DOWN. SOME SNAPPED A FEW
FEET ABOVE GROUND. MANY ROADS CLOSED. TREE FELL ONTO CAR
ON COMPO ROAD NORTH NEAR STATE ROUTE 136.

0537 PM HAIL MONROE 41.32N 74.19W
07/21/2010 E0.88 INCH ORANGE NY TRAINED SPOTTER

0541 PM LIGHTNING 6 E GOSHEN 41.40N 74.22W
07/21/2010 ORANGE NY TRAINED SPOTTER

*** 1 INJ *** 19 YR OLD FEMALE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING ON
HEARD ROAD IN TOWN OF BLOOMING GROVE.

0550 PM HAIL 5 NNW HAVERSTRAW 41.26N 73.98W
07/21/2010 E1.00 INCH ROCKLAND NY TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN TOMKINS COVE

0559 PM HAIL 5 NNW HAVERSTRAW 41.26N 73.98W
07/21/2010 M2.00 INCH ROCKLAND NY TRAINED SPOTTER

HEN EGG SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN TOMKINS COVE

0600 PM WATER SPOUT 4 ESE MATTITUCK 40.99N 72.48W
07/21/2010 SUFFOLK NY PUBLIC

WATER SPOUT SIGHTED IN NEW SUFFOLK

0605 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NE PORT JEFFERSON 40.96N 73.04W
07/21/2010 E60.00 MPH SUFFOLK NY NWS EMPLOYEE

CEDAR BEACH

0610 PM TSTM WND DMG CROTON-ON-HUDSON 41.20N 73.89W
07/21/2010 WESTCHESTER NY TRAINED SPOTTER

DOWNED TREE

0630 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 WSW NEW CANAAN 41.08N 73.67W
07/21/2010 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA

TREES DOWN IN GREENWICH CT

0630 PM TSTM WND DMG SPRINGS 41.02N 72.16W
07/21/2010 SUFFOLK NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

MANY TREES AND WIRES DOWN THROUGHOUT EAST HAMPTON
TOWN...MAINLY IN SPRINGS AND NORTHWEST HARBOR SECTIONS.

0640 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 ESE ARMONK 41.11N 73.64W
07/21/2010 FAIRFIELD CT TRAINED SPOTTER

OAK TREE TORN UP THROUGH THE ROOTS AND MULTIPLE TREES
DOWN IN GREENWICH CT

0640 PM HAIL STAMFORD 41.02N 73.56W
07/21/2010 E1.75 INCH FAIRFIELD CT PUBLIC

0655 PM TSTM WND DMG JAMESPORT 40.95N 72.57W
07/21/2010 SUFFOLK NY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

MULTIPLE TREES DOWN AROUND TOWN.

0710 PM TSTM WND GST 3 SSW BRIDGEHAMPTON 40.90N 72.32W
07/21/2010 M65.00 MPH SUFFOLK NY MESONET

WIND GUST MEASURED AT MECOX BAY STATION

0710 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 5 SSW BRIDGEHAMPTON 40.88N 72.34W
07/21/2010 M65.00 MPH ANZ350 NY MESONET

WIND GUST OF 56 KT MEASURED AT MECOX BAY STATION

0730 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NE PORT JEFFERSON 40.96N 73.04W
07/21/2010 E60.00 MPH SUFFOLK NY PUBLIC

CEDAR BEACH

0746 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 W MANORVILLE 40.85N 72.90W
07/21/2010 SUFFOLK NY NWS EMPLOYEE

ALONG WILLIAM FLOYD TO THE SOUTH OF BNL AND THE ENTRANCE
OF THE LIE...SEVERAL TREES DOWN.

0750 PM HAIL MONROE 41.36N 73.20W
07/21/2010 U1.00 INCH FAIRFIELD CT PUBLIC

0819 PM TSTM WND DMG WHITE PLAINS 41.02N 73.76W
07/21/2010 WESTCHESTER NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN THROUGHOUT TOWN.

0827 PM TSTM WND GST 4 NE PORT CHESTER 41.04N 73.61W
07/21/2010 E0.00 MPH FAIRFIELD CT TRAINED SPOTTER

40 MPH WIND GUST AT GREENWICH CT

0830 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 WSW NEW CANAAN 41.08N 73.67W
07/21/2010 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA

TREES DOWN IN GREENWICH...SEPARATE EVENT FROM 630 PM.

0847 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 20 SSE EAST HAMPTON 40.70N 72.00W
07/21/2010 M39.00 MPH ANZ350 NY BUOY

WIND GUST OF 34 KT MEASURED.

0854 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 25 SSE EAST HAMPTON 40.62N 72.10W
07/21/2010 M39.00 MPH ANZ370 NY BUOY

WIND GUST OF 34 KT MEASURED

0950 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 20 SSE EAST HAMPTON 40.70N 72.00W
07/21/2010 M56.00 MPH ANZ350 NY BUOY

49 KT WIND GUST MEASURED.


&&

$$

SMITH

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KOKX [221951]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KOKX 221951
LSROKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
351 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 WSW NEW CANAAN 41.08N 73.67W
07/21/2010 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA

TREES DOWN IN GREENWICH CT

0830 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 WSW NEW CANAAN 41.08N 73.67W
07/21/2010 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA

TREES DOWN IN GREENWICH...SEPARATE EVENT FROM 630 PM.


&&

$$

SMITH

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