Sunday, July 4, 2010

KCYS [042147]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042147
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
347 PM MDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0338 PM TORNADO 5 NNW I-80 EXIT 370 41.23N 104.68W
07/04/2010 LARAMIE WY PUBLIC

TORNADO ON THE GROUND WITH DEBRIS.


&&

$$

MJAMSKI

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1202

ACUS11 KWNS 042145
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042144
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-042315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1202
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0444 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...NE NM...SE CO...EXTREME SW KS...WRN OK
PANHANDLE...WRN TX PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 042144Z - 042315Z

CU HAS BEGUN TO SPROUT INTO THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SANGRE DE
CRISTOS/WET MOUNTAINS OF SE CO SWD TO THE RATON MESA IN NERN NM LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOWER PLAINS HAVE WARMED INTO THE 80S WITH
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S SFC DEW POINTS CIRCULATING WWD TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. ALTHOUGH PLAINS INHIBITION HAS BEEN TOUGH TO ERASE...ONCE
THE HIGHER TERRAIN STORMS INCREASE IN NUMBER...COLD OUTFLOW WILL
LIKELY BE SUFFICIENT TO FORCE PLAINS BOUNDARY LAYER PARCELS TO LFC
WITH SUBSEQUENT STORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS SE CO AND NE NM LATER THIS
EVENING.

STRONGEST DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL EXIST N OF THE PALMER DIVIDE WITH
ROUGHLY 30-35 KTS OF 0-6KM VALUES INTO NE NM. STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND SUFFICIENT TURNING IN THE LOWEST 3-4 KM WILL LIKELY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND MAYBE A BRIEF
TORNADO. EVENTUALLY...STORMS WILL CONGEAL INTO LOOSELY-ORGANIZED
LINES/CLUSTERS AS THEY MOVE TOWARD SW KS AND THE PANHANDLES OF TX/OK
WITH DAMAGING WINDS.

..RACY.. 07/04/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...LUB...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

LAT...LON 36640105 35560158 35000237 34520327 35310372 36160446
38440575 38800421 38210301 37440127 36640105

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KBOU [042143]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 042143
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
343 PM MDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0338 PM HAIL DENVER INTL AIRPORT 39.87N 104.67W
07/04/2010 M1.00 INCH DENVER CO NWS EMPLOYEE

0317 PM HAIL 2 E ELIZABETH 39.36N 104.56W
07/04/2010 M1.00 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0314 PM HAIL 1 E ELIZABETH 39.36N 104.58W
07/04/2010 M1.50 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

FREDIN

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KCYS [042138]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042138
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
338 PM MDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 7 NE CHEYENNE 41.22N 104.70W
07/04/2010 LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER

FUNNEL CLOUD TO THE NORTH OF CHRISTIANSEN ROAD.


&&

$$

MJAMSKI

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KCYS [042131]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042131
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
331 PM MDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM HAIL 10 SE CHUGWATER 41.65N 104.68W
07/04/2010 M0.75 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL COVERED THE GROUND.


&&

$$

MJAMSKI

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KICT [042130]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 042130
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
430 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0429 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 NNE KINGMAN 37.69N 98.08W
07/04/2010 M4.00 INCH KINGMAN KS TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURES 4 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE 6AM.


&&

$$

VJP

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KCYS [042129]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042129
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
329 PM MDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0255 PM HAIL 5 S YODER 41.85N 104.29W
07/04/2010 M0.75 INCH GOSHEN WY TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL COVERED THE GROUND.


&&

$$

MJAMSKI

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KGJT [042124]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 042124
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
324 PM MDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0159 PM TSTM WND GST CANYONLANDS NP 38.40N 109.88W
07/04/2010 M58 MPH SAN JUAN UT ASOS


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000620

$$

MALEKSA

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KBOU [042119]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOU 042119
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
319 PM MDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0317 PM HAIL 2 E ELIZABETH 39.36N 104.56W
07/04/2010 M1.00 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0314 PM HAIL 1 E ELIZABETH 39.36N 104.58W
07/04/2010 M1.50 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

FREDIN

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KICT [042115]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 042115
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
415 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0414 PM HEAVY RAIN MOUNDRIDGE 38.20N 97.52W
07/04/2010 M5.00 INCH MCPHERSON KS TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL RAINFALL MEASURED FROM LAST NIGHT THROUGH 4PM
TODAY.


&&

$$

CDJ

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KCYS [042052]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042052
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
252 PM MDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 PM HAIL ELK MOUNTAIN 41.69N 106.41W
07/04/2010 M1.00 INCH CARBON WY CO-OP OBSERVER

HAIL DRIFTS FOUR TO FIVE INCHES DEEP AGAINST A BUILDING.


&&

$$

MJAMSKI

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KGJT [042048]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 042048
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
248 PM MDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0246 PM HAIL HAYDEN 40.49N 107.25W
07/04/2010 E0.75 INCH ROUTT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY SIZE HAIL WITH SOME HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS.
LOST ELECTRICITY.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000619

$$

MALEKSA

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KCYS [042045]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042045
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
245 PM MDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0244 PM HAIL 12 N WHITAKER 41.58N 104.87W
07/04/2010 M1.00 INCH LARAMIE WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL.


&&

$$

MJAMSKI

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1201

ACUS11 KWNS 042042
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042042
COZ000-UTZ000-042145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1201
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0342 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF FAR ERN UT AND FAR WRN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 042042Z - 042145Z

STRONG WIND GUSTS...SOME POSSIBLY EXCEEDING 50 KT...ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS FAR ERN UT TO FAR WRN CO THIS AFTERNOON.

AT 2030Z...REGIONAL RADARS/VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED A FORCED
LINE OF CONVECTION WITH EMBEDDED TSTMS MOVING EWD THROUGH ERN
UT...WITH THIS ACTIVITY EXTENDING FROM ERN GARFIELD COUNTY THROUGH
NWRN SAN JUAN COUNTY TO UINTAH COUNTY. THIS N-S ORIENTED LINE OF
CONVECTION WAS LOCATED ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF DEEP FORCING FOR
ASCENT ATTENDANT TO THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING EWD THROUGH UT ATTM
PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR 30-40 KT ORIENTED
PARALLEL TO THIS ACTIVITY/WIND SHIFT SHOULD MAINTAIN THE LINEAR
ORGANIZATION...DESPITE WEAK INSTABILITY. GREATEST THREAT SHOULD BE
FROM STRONG WIND GUSTS...GIVEN STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LARGE
SURFACE TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT SPREADS OF 50-60 DEGREES PRECEDING THIS
LINE OF CONVECTION.

..PETERS.. 07/04/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GJT...SLC...

LAT...LON 37751030 38730944 39910939 40380942 40110813 39440781
38410811 37590869 37751030

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KICT [042041]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 042041
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
341 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 SW HUTCHINSON 38.01N 97.98W
07/04/2010 M4.60 INCH RENO KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JMC

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KCYS [042027]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042027
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
227 PM MDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0224 PM TORNADO 14 SW CHUGWATER 41.61N 105.01W
07/04/2010 LARAMIE WY PUBLIC

TORNADO ON THE GROUND.


&&

$$

MJAMSKI

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KTOP [042026]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 042026
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
325 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0319 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 NE DELPHOS 39.32N 97.73W
07/04/2010 M4.50 INCH CLOUD KS TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL. .75 INCH HAS FALLEN SINCE 1 PM. SMALL CREEKS
IN THE AREA ARE STARTING TO OVERFLOW BANKS.


&&

$$

JL

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KCYS [042024]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042024
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
224 PM MDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0219 PM HAIL 1 N I-80 EXIT 235 41.75N 106.83W
07/04/2010 M1.00 INCH CARBON WY PUBLIC


&&

$$

MJAMSKI

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KTOP [042022]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 042022
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
318 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0241 PM HEAVY RAIN 13 WNW CLAY CENTER 39.45N 97.35W
07/04/2010 M5.50 INCH CLAY KS TRAINED SPOTTER

SEVERAL SMALL COUNTY ROADS NEAR CLAY CENTER ARE FLOODED.


&&

$$

JL

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KGID [042021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 042021
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
320 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0319 PM HEAVY RAIN 13 SSE BELOIT 39.29N 98.01W
07/04/2010 M2.10 INCH MITCHELL KS PUBLIC

RAINFALL AMOUNT SINCE 7 AM.


&&

$$

FAY

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KICT [042011]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 042011
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
311 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 SW HALSTEAD 37.96N 97.56W
07/04/2010 M3.60 INCH HARVEY KS TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL MEASURED RAINFALL FROM LAST NIGHT THROUGH 3 PM.


&&

$$

CDJ

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KCYS [042007]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042007
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
207 PM MDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0206 PM TORNADO 5 E CHUGWATER 41.76N 104.72W
07/04/2010 PLATTE WY LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

MJAMSKI

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KTOP [042003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 042003
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
303 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM FLOOD 3 E DELPHOS 39.27N 97.72W
07/04/2010 OTTAWA KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER IS ACROSS HWY 41 FROM 3 MILES EAST OF DELPHOS TO
HWY 81. THE WATER IS 3 TO 5 INCHES DEEP.

0230 PM HEAVY RAIN W CLYDE 39.59N 97.41W
07/04/2010 M2.64 INCH CLOUD KS TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL SO FAR


&&

$$

JL

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KICT [041943]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 041943
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
243 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0242 PM HEAVY RAIN PRETTY PRAIRIE 37.78N 98.02W
07/04/2010 M3.40 INCH RENO KS CO-OP OBSERVER

3.40 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED SINCE 10 AM THIS
MORNING.


&&

$$

JMC

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 041939
SWODY1
SPC AC 041937

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0237 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

VALID 042000Z - 051200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...

RECENT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS SRN WY/NWRN CO HAS NECESSITATED
A NWD-NWWD EXPANSION OF THE SLIGHT RISK INTO THE HIGHER ELEVATION
BASINS OF THE CNTRL ROCKIES WEST OF CYS. THIS ACTIVITY IS
EXPERIENCING MARKED STRENGTHENING AHEAD OF A WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE
TROUGH/VORT MAX BENEATH STRONG SWLY FLOW AT MID LEVELS. GIVEN THE
ELY BOUNDARY LAYER COMPONENT SHEAR PROFILES ARE SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELLS. LARGE HAIL SHOULD BE THE GREATEST RISK BUT ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE GIVEN THE RELATIVELY COOL SFC
TEMPERATURES AND LOW CLOUD BASES.

FARTHER SOUTH...ISOLATED STRONG UPDRAFTS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP
OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CNTRL CO...SWD INTO THE SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS. WITH TIME THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD EVOLVE INTO THUNDERSTORMS
AND SPREAD ATOP COOLER UPSLOPE BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WHERE
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE.

..DARROW.. 07/04/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1112 AM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010/

...CENTRAL ROCKIES AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS...
PERSISTENT WRN TROUGH WILL BE SHIFTING EWD AS A STRONGER UPPER
SYSTEM MOVES SEWD TOWARD NRN ROCKIES. MID LEVEL IMPULSE ASSOCIATED
WITH ACTIVE CONVECTION MOVING THRU ERN WY THIS AM WHILE UPSTREAM S/W
MOVES EWD ACROSS UT INTO CENTRAL ROCKIES BY THIS EVENING.

MOIST/COOL AIR MASS HAS MOVED SWD THRU CO PLAINS THIS MORNING. WITH
THE APPROACH OF THE UT S/W AND ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL COOL POOL
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON.
THESE STORMS WILL HAVE SOME HAIL AND GUSTY WIND POTENTIAL...HOWEVER
INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED.

OVER THE HIGH PLAINS INITIALLY LOW CLOUDS WILL SLOW HEATING BUT BY
LATER AFTERNOON THE UPSLOPE AND TEMPERATURES WARMING THRU THE 70S
SHOULD LEAD TO STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT RANGE. WITH
30-40KT OF SHEAR ALONG WITH STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN ONTO
ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A COUPLE SUPERCELLS.
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL BUT CAN NOT RULE OUT A BRIEF
TORNADO/LAND SPOUT.

FURTHER N THE ACTIVE CONVECTION ERN WY WILL WEAKEN UPON MOVING INTO
SWRN SD/NEB PANHANDLE WHERE AIR MASS LACKS SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY.

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1200

ACUS11 KWNS 041935
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041934
IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-KSZ000-042130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1200
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0234 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NERN KS INTO FAR SERN NEB/FAR NWRN MO AND
FAR SWRN IA

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL

VALID 041934Z - 042130Z

BY 20-22Z...RAINFALL RATES /1-2 INCHES PER HOUR/ ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AND/OR SPREAD INTO THE REST OF OTTAWA TO GEARY COUNTIES
KS...AND NEWD GENERALLY 15-20 MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM
DICKINSON COUNTY KS TO PAGE COUNTY IA. THESE RATES...SOME
ASSOCIATED WITH ISOLATED TSTMS...SHOULD PERSIST WITHIN THE
DISCUSSION AREA INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

EARLY AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM
SERN MN SWWD THROUGH SWRN IA TO CENTRAL KS...AND THEN WWD INTO WRN
KS. REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED CONVECTION WAS STRONGEST ALONG THE
FRONT AND LIKELY SUPPORTED BY ISENTROPIC ASCENT PER SSWLY LOW LEVEL
WINDS WHICH EXTENDED FROM THE SRN PLAINS TO IA. THIS CORRIDOR OF
LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT RICH MOISTURE NNEWD AHEAD OF
AND ATOP THE FRONT TO SUPPORT PERSISTENT CONVECTION...PRODUCING
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL RATES AS THE FRONT MOVES SLOWLY SSEWD.
MEANWHILE...IN ADDITION TO THE ACTIVITY ALONG AND IN WAKE OF THE
FRONT...AN AREA OF CONVECTION WITH EMBEDDED TSTMS WAS TRACKING NEWD
THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL TO NERN KS /LOCATED FROM MHK TO W OF ICT AT
19Z/. WITHIN THIS AREA...THE GREATEST RAINFALL RATES WERE CONFINED
TO A 10 MILE WIDE ZONE FROM HARPER COUNTY TO WRN MARION COUNTY WHERE
SURFACE MOISTURE CONVERGENCE REMAINS MAXIMIZED PER OBJECTIVE
ANALYSES. THIS LATTER AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION IS LIKELY BEING
AIDED BY FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO A NEWD MOVING MIDLEVEL
IMPULSE...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA
THROUGH 00Z.

THE COMBINATION OF PW VALUES EXCEEDING 2 INCHES WITHIN THE DEEP
MOIST PLUME PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY EXTENDING NEWD ACROSS DISCUSSION
AREA AND WARM CLOUD PROCESSES /HIGH FREEZING LEVELS IN EXCESS OF 15
KFT/ SUGGEST WARM CLOUD PROCESSES WILL GREATLY ENHANCE RAINFALL
RATES. THIS THREAT WILL BE GREATEST WITH THE MERGER OF THE ACTIVITY
MOVING NEWD INTO THE SLOW MOVING FRONT IN NERN KS BETWEEN 21-00Z.
MUCH OF THE SHORT TERM GUIDANCE FAVORS THIS SCENARIO.

..PETERS.. 07/04/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON 38829745 38999787 39419707 39839652 40479562 40809523
40839473 40279514 39829558 38969630 38749668 38829745

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KICT [041929]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 041929
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
228 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0226 PM HEAVY RAIN BARNARD 39.19N 98.04W
07/04/2010 M4.28 INCH LINCOLN KS CO-OP OBSERVER

THE HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNT WAS MEASURED SINCE 7AM THIS
MORNING.


&&

$$

CDJ

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KTOP [041913]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 041913
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
213 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM FLOOD 6 N MINNEAPOLIS 39.21N 97.71W
07/04/2010 OTTAWA KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

120TH ROAD FLOODING FROM FARM FIELDS ABOUT 5 INCHES DEEP.

&&

$$

JW

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KOAX [041903]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 041903
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
203 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HEAVY RAIN TECUMSEH 40.37N 96.19W
07/04/2010 M3.50 INCH JOHNSON NE CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

VDEWALD

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KICT [041903]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 041903
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
203 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HEAVY RAIN PRETTY PRAIRIE 37.78N 98.02W
07/04/2010 M2.50 INCH RENO KS CO-OP OBSERVER

2.50 INCHES BETWEEN 10AM AND 2PM.


&&

$$

JMB

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KMFL [041850]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 041850
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
250 PM EDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0234 PM TSTM WND GST OPA-LOCKA 25.90N 80.26W
07/04/2010 E55 MPH MIAMI-DADE FL BROADCAST MEDIA

MEDIA REPORTED MESONET OBSERVATION...55MPH AT THE FIRE
STATION OF THE OPA LOCKA AIRPORT.


&&

$$

RIVERA

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KICT [041846]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 041846
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
145 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 PM HEAVY RAIN WNW MOUNDRIDGE 38.21N 97.52W
07/04/2010 M4.00 INCH MCPHERSON KS TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WITH A LOT OF HEAVY RAIN OVER THE
LAST 2 HOURS.


&&

$$

JMB

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KUNR [041844]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 041844
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1243 PM MDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM TSTM WND GST S HARRINGTON 43.17N 101.25W
07/03/2010 E70 MPH BENNETT SD PUBLIC

15 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES SNAPPED. SEVERAL TREES BLOWN
DOWN

0545 PM HAIL S HARRINGTON 43.17N 101.25W
07/03/2010 E1.00 INCH BENNETT SD PUBLIC


&&

$$

VAN CLEAVE

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 442

WWUS20 KWNS 041837
SEL2
SPC WW 041837
COZ000-NEZ000-WYZ000-050200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 442
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
140 PM CDT SUN JUL 4 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

PARTS OF NORTHEAST COLORADO
PARTS OF NEBRASKA PANHANDLE
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST WYOMING

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 140 PM UNTIL 900
PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
RAWLINS WYOMING TO 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SIDNEY NEBRASKA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...VEERING SHEAR PROFILES...STEEP LAPSE RATES COUPLED WITH
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE/INSTABILITY FAVOR DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS OFF
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WITH AP ROACH OF MID LEVEL TROUGH FROM
UTAH...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP EWD AND SEWD ACROSS SERN WY INTO
NERN CO THRU THE AFTERNOON. LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL
BE ASSOCIATED WITH SUPERCELLS THAT DEVELOP.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.


...HALES

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KRIW [041833]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KRIW 041833
LSRRIW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1233 PM MDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1155 AM TSTM WND GST SSW I80 EXIT 142 41.64N 108.58W
07/04/2010 M66 MPH SWEETWATER WY MESONET


&&

$$

CBAKER

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KTOP [041820]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 041820
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
120 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1255 PM FLOOD ADA 39.15N 97.89W
07/04/2010 OTTAWA KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

TWO TO THREE INCHES OF WATER RUNNING OVER MULBERRY ROAD
NEAR ADA.


&&

$$

BYRNE

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KTOP [041819]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 041819
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
119 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0117 PM FLOOD 3 E DELPHOS 39.27N 97.72W
07/04/2010 OTTAWA KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

SHERIFF REPORTED 2 TO 3 INCHES OF WATER OVER HWY 41 IN
SEVERAL LOCATIONS.


&&

$$

BYRNE

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KEWX [041817]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 041817
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
116 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1258 PM FLASH FLOOD 15 SE PANDALE 30.00N 101.40W
07/04/2010 VAL VERDE TX PUBLIC

FOUR TO FIVE FEET OF WATER OVER BLUE HILLS ROAD


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000411

$$

SBS

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KICT [041815]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 041815
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
115 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0113 PM FLOOD 1 S MT VERNON 37.71N 97.85W
07/04/2010 KINGMAN KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

STREET FLOODING IN NUMEROUS LOCATIONS ON NE 150 AVENUE
BETWEEN NE 50TH STREET AND NE 30 STREET NEAR AND JUST
SOUTH OF MOUNT VERNON.


&&

$$

JMB

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KTOP [041809]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 041809
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
109 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0108 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 NE DELPHOS 39.32N 97.73W
07/04/2010 M3.75 INCH CLOUD KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

BYRNE

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KEWX [041802]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 041802
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
102 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1256 PM FLASH FLOOD 10 NNE JUNO 30.28N 101.07W
07/04/2010 VAL VERDE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HWY 163 AT THE VAL VERDE AND CROCKETT COUNTY LINE IS
CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000410

$$

SBS

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KMFL [041800]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 041800
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0155 PM HEAVY RAIN POMPANO BEACH 26.23N 80.12W
07/04/2010 E0.00 INCH BROWARD FL TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED STREET FLOODING AT SE 11 ST AND SE 15
AVE.


&&

$$

TMOSLEY

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KMFL [041757]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 041757
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
157 PM EDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 PM HEAVY RAIN POMPANO BEACH 26.23N 80.12W
07/04/2010 E0.00 INCH BROWARD FL TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED LOCAL STREET FLOODING NEAR ATLANTIC BLVD
AND HWY A1A


&&

$$

TMOSLEY

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KOAX [041756]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 041756
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1256 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1255 PM HEAVY RAIN OMAHA 41.26N 96.01W
07/04/2010 M2.71 INCH DOUGLAS NE ASOS

AT OMAHA EPPLEY AIRPORT.


&&

$$

VDEWALD

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KTOP [041742]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 041742
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1242 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1241 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 NE DELPHOS 39.33N 97.71W
07/04/2010 M4.75 INCH CLOUD KS TRAINED SPOTTER

1.75 INCHES FALLEN IN LESS THAN 1 HOUR.


&&

$$

BYRNE

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KOAX [041738]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 041738
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1238 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1235 PM HEAVY RAIN JOHNSON 40.41N 96.00W
07/04/2010 M3.00 INCH NEMAHA NE TRAINED SPOTTER

SINCE 8 AM.


&&

$$

VDEWALD

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1199

ACUS11 KWNS 041730
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041730
NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-041900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1199
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN WY...SWRN NEB PANHANDLE...FAR NRN-NERN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 041730Z - 041900Z

ENVIRONMENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF SERN WY...SWRN NEB PANHANDLE...AND
FAR NRN-NERN CO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR
SVR THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON. AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW.

BOUNDARY LAYER ALONG AND IMMEDIATELY E OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE IS
BEGINNING TO DESTABILIZE AS LOW-LEVEL STRATUS ERODES. CONTINUED
SURFACE HEATING WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE LOW 70S
F...AND WHEN COMBINED WITH MOIST POST FRONTAL UPSLOPE REGIME...WILL
CONTRIBUTE TOWARD THE DEVELOPMENT OF MLCAPE VALUES AROUND 1000-1500
J/KG AS ERN EDGE OF STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SPREAD ACROSS THE
AREA. LOW-LEVEL ELY FLOW VEERS TO SWLY IN THE MID-LEVELS...AND THESE
SHEAR PROFILES ARE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN FURTHER DURING THE
AFTERNOON AS S/W TROUGH OVER THE GREAT BASIN APPROACHES THE REGION.
GIVEN STEEPENING MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR
VALUES AOA 40-50 KT...SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE POSING A THREAT
FOR LARGE HAIL. SIMILAR TO SATURDAY...INITIAL SVR WEATHER THREAT
WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO STRONGEST BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION OVER
SERN WY. HOWEVER...STORMS WILL GRADUALLY BE ABLE TO MOVE DOWNSTREAM
INTO THE SWRN NEB PANHANDLE AND FAR NRN-NERN CO AS LOW CLOUDINESS
DISSIPATES AND INSTABILITY INCREASES.

..GARNER.. 07/04/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...RIW...

LAT...LON 40530560 41710681 42470677 42360447 41230278 40560335
40530560

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KOAX [041728]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 041728
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1228 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1225 PM HEAVY RAIN TECUMSEH 40.37N 96.19W
07/04/2010 M3.10 INCH JOHNSON NE CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SO FAR.


&&

$$

VDEWALD

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KDDC [041723]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 041723
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1223 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1207 PM FLOOD KIOWA 37.02N 98.48W
07/04/2010 BARBER KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

BARBER COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTS WATER FLOWING ACROSS STATE
HIGHWAY 2 JUST WEST OF KIOWA.


&&

$$

WRIGHT

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 041720
SWODY2
SPC AC 041720

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1220 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL ONLY CHANGE SUBTLY OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS AS UPPER RIDGING REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC AND
A VERY MOIST TROPICAL PLUME EXTENDS ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE
MID MS VALLEY REGION. INSTABILITY WILL BE AT A PREMIUM DURING THE
PERIOD AS LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK WITHIN HIGHER PWAT
PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS.

...NRN PLAINS...

LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS UPPER TROUGHING OVER SWRN CANADA/NWRN
U.S. WILL BE SHUNTED ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES INTO THE NRN HIGH PLAINS
WITH A BELT OF STRONGER FLOW EXPECTED TO EXTEND FROM ID/NRN WY INTO
ND AT PEAK HEATING MONDAY. MUCH OF THE STRONGER SHEAR WILL LAG THE
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITHIN A DRIER STABLE AIRMASS...THOUGH
20-30KT H5 FLOW WILL LIKELY APPROACH THE CONVERGENT WIND SHIFT WHEN
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON. EVEN SO
FORECAST SOUNDINGS DO NOT DEPICT SIGNIFICANT SHEAR THROUGH 6KM
EXCEPT ACROSS ND AND MORE MEANINGFUL TROPICAL BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE WILL DEFINITELY BE SHUNTED WELL SE OF THIS REGION BY
INITIATION. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS STEEP LAPSE RATES AND FRONTAL
CONVERGENCE WILL PROVE ADEQUATE FOR A FEW ROBUST UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS OR PERHAPS MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD LEAD TO WEAKENING UPDRAFTS AND LESSENING
SEVERE THREAT.

...SRN HIGH PLAINS...

SRN EXTENT OF DAY1 PLAINS SFC FRONT SHOULD EXTEND ACROSS CNTRL
KS...SWWD INTO THE OK/TX PANHANDLE REGION BEFORE ARCING INTO NERN
NM. STRONG HEATING ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS WILL LIKELY ENHANCE
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL ALONG WRN FRINGE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE
PLUME...ESPECIALLY ALONG/NORTH OF WIND SHIFT WHERE UPSLOPE FLOW
SHOULD AID CONVERGENCE. REGARDLESS...VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL
REMAIN MARGINALLY SUFFICIENT FOR WEAK SUPERCELLS AND MORE LIKELY
SUPPORTIVE OF A FEW STRONG MULTI-CELL STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.

..DARROW.. 07/04/2010

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