KJAX [080222]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 080222
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1022 PM EDT SUN OCT 07 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0949 PM TSTM WND DMG NEWBERRY 29.64N 82.61W
10/07/2012 ALACHUA FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN.


&&

$$

LSTRUBLE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KILM [080128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 080128
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
928 PM EDT SUN OCT 07 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NE BOILING SPRING LAK 34.07N 78.03W
10/07/2012 BRUNSWICK NC 911 CALL CENTER

REPORT OF SEVERAL TREES AND POWERLINE DOWN ON EAST
BOILING SPRINGS RD NEAR PRETTY POND. TIME ESTIMATED BY
RADAR.


&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200344

$$

LACORTE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KILM [080127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 080127
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
927 PM EDT SUN OCT 07 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 WSW SILVER LAKE 34.13N 77.98W
10/07/2012 BRUNSWICK NC 911 CALL CENTER

REPORT OF SEVERAL TREES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
RIVER RD AND DAWS CREEK RD. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.


&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200343

$$

LACORTE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 080033
SWODY1
SPC AC 080032

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0732 PM CDT SUN OCT 07 2012

VALID 080100Z - 081200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED VORTICITY MAXIMA OVER THE SRN
PLAINS WILL MOVE QUICKLY EWD INTO THE LOWER TO MID MS VALLEY BY
DAYBREAK MONDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...ELEVATED IN NATURE...MAY
DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING ALONG THE PROJECTED TRACK OF THE VORT MAX
FROM SRN AR EWD INTO THE TN VALLEY. NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE FROM THE COAST OF SC AND GA SWWD INTO NRN FL WHERE
MODERATE INSTABILITY IS STILL IN PLACE. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
CONUS...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED THIS EVENING OR
TONIGHT.

..BROYLES.. 10/08/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KJAX [080002]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 080002
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
802 PM EDT SUN OCT 07 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0735 PM TSTM WND DMG MACCLENNY 30.28N 82.13W
10/07/2012 BAKER FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. TIME IS
ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.


&&

$$

LSTRUBLE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KILM [072225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 072225
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
625 PM EDT SUN OCT 07 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 PM HAIL 4 NNW CASTLE HAYNE 34.40N 77.94W
10/07/2012 M1.00 INCH PENDER NC PUBLIC

REPORT OF QUARTER SIZED HAIL ON WILLOWS BAY DRIVE NEAR
HWY 133.


&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200342

$$

LACORTE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KILM [072214]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 072214
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
614 PM EDT SUN OCT 07 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0608 PM HAIL 2 NNW CASTLE HAYNE 34.38N 77.92W
10/07/2012 M1.00 INCH PENDER NC PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200341

$$

TRA

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KILM [072207]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 072207
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
607 PM EDT SUN OCT 07 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0605 PM HAIL CASTLE HAYNE 34.35N 77.90W
10/07/2012 M0.88 INCH NEW HANOVER NC PUBLIC

HAIL COVERING THE GROUND


&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200340

$$

TRA

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KILM [072201]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 072201
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
601 PM EDT SUN OCT 07 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0541 PM HAIL 4 NNW LELAND 34.30N 78.07W
10/07/2012 M1.00 INCH BRUNSWICK NC PUBLIC

SEVERAL REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN LELAND NEAR
HWY 74 AND HWY 76.


&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200339

$$

LACORTE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMLB [072132]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 072132
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
532 PM EDT SUN OCT 07 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM HEAVY RAIN OKEECHOBEE 27.24N 80.83W
10/07/2012 M4.36 INCH OKEECHOBEE FL AWOS

KOBE AWOS MEASURED 4.36 INCHES OF RAIN IN 3.5 HOURS FROM
2 PM THROUGH 530 PM.


&&

$$

JRC

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KILM [072109]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 072109
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
509 PM EDT SUN OCT 07 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM FUNNEL CLOUD LELAND 34.24N 78.05W
10/07/2012 BRUNSWICK NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

RECEIVED REPORTS FROM LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT... MEDIA
AND PUBLIC OF A FUNNEL CLOUD IN LELAND NEAR HWY 17.


&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1200338

$$

LACORTE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2027

ACUS11 KWNS 072025
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072025
NCZ000-SCZ000-072200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2027
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0325 PM CDT SUN OCT 07 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CNTRL SC AND COASTAL PLAIN / FAR SRN
COASTAL NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 072025Z - 072200Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...PORTIONS OF CNTRL SC EWD TO THE IMMEDIATE CAROLINA COAST
ARE BEING MONITORED FOR MORE WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE INITIATION OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. IF/WHEN GREATER COVERAGE OF ROBUST TSTM
DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY...THE PROBABILITY OF A SMALL SEVERE TSTM
WATCH MAY INCREASE.

DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE ENEWD INTO PA BY
EVENING. 20Z SURFACE MESOANALYSIS SHOWS A RESIDUAL COLD
POOL/EFFECTIVE FRONT HAS PROGRESSED EWD TO THE IMMEDIATE NC COAST
THIS AFTERNOON AND HAS STALLED INVOF THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY.
FARTHER S...A WEAK LOW NEAR OGB AND CAE IS LOCATED WITHIN A CU FIELD
THAT EXTENDS FROM THE SC UPSTATE ESEWD INTO THE SC PIEDMONT AND
COASTAL PLAIN. IT IS NEAR AND S OF THESE SURFACE FEATURES WHERE THE
AIRMASS HAS DESTABILIZED WITH WEAKENING CINH. THE GLANCING
INFLUENCE OF LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...AND WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE...MAY ALLOW A FEW
MORE STORMS TO EVENTUALLY DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODELS FROM 12Z DEVIATE SUBSTANTIALLY FROM THE
OBSERVED EVOLUTION OF THE EFFECTIVE FRONT ALONG THE NC COAST...WITH
SEVERAL RECENT HRRR RUNS LARGELY VOID OF STORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS
SC. THIS LENDS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN STORM COVERAGE.
NONETHELESS...FAVORABLE COMBINATION OF POTENTIAL INSTABILITY AND
DEEP LAYER SHEAR WOULD SEEMINGLY SUPPORT AT LEAST A LOWER-END SEVERE
RISK /ISOLD DMGG WIND AND/OR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL REPORT/.

..SMITH/WEISS.. 10/07/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...CHS...CAE...

LAT...LON 34757722 32778009 33838170 33818014 34757722

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 072002
SWODY1
SPC AC 071959

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0259 PM CDT SUN OCT 07 2012

VALID 072000Z - 081200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS COASTAL CAROLINAS...

...COASTAL CAROLINAS...
LIMITED CHANGES TO PRIOR OUTLOOK...SEE DISCUSSION BELOW.
STRONG/POTENTIALLY SEVERE TSTMS MAY STILL DEVELOP/INTENSIFY OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS IN VICINITY OF COLD FRONT AND INLAND-MOVING SEA
BREEZE.

..GUYER.. 10/07/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1122 AM CDT SUN OCT 07 2012/

...SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW REGIME WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF
THE CENTRAL/ERN CONUS THROUGH 12Z MON. EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES...ONE
OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND ANOTHER OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...WILL
MOVE E/NE WITHIN THE LARGER-SCALE FLOW PATTERN. ASCENT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF AN UPPER LEVEL SPEED MAXIMUM WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS/MID-ATLANTIC
REGION THIS AFTN.

AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE
SERN U.S. AND INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY
EWD/SEWD THROUGH MON MORNING. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL DOMINATE MOST OF THE CONUS EAST OF THE
ROCKIES.

...PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS THIS AFTN/EVENING...
DIURNAL HEATING NEAR AND ALONG THE COAST WITHIN THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
SHOULD RESULT IN A ZONE OF SFC-BASED CAPE THIS AFTN OF 1000 TO
LOCALLY 2000 J/KG. STRONGER WINDS ALOFT WILL RESULT IN SUFFICIENT
DEEP SHEAR FOR MOSTLY ORGANIZED MULTICELL TSTMS THIS AFTN ALONG AND
IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A WEAK SFC LOW
MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS SC AND MOVE NEWD LATER
TODAY...MODESTLY ENHANCING CONVERGENCE. WIDELY SCATTERED TO
SCATTERED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTN IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THE COLD FRONT AND THE SEA BREEZE FRONT...WITH A THREAT OF STG
WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLBF [071856]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KLBF 071856
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
156 PM CDT SUN OCT 07 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1014 AM SNOW IMPERIAL 40.52N 101.64W
10/06/2012 M1.0 INCH CHASE NE CO-OP OBSERVER

ONE INCH REPORTED ON GRASSY SURFACES.

1236 PM SNOW IMPERIAL 40.52N 101.64W
10/06/2012 M4.0 INCH CHASE NE CO-OP OBSERVER

MODERATE SNOWFALL STILL OCCURRING IN IMPERIAL.

1256 PM SNOW 10 NE OSHKOSH 41.51N 102.21W
10/06/2012 M2.0 INCH GARDEN NE CO-OP OBSERVER

0100 PM SNOW 2 W WALLACE 40.84N 101.20W
10/06/2012 M1.0 INCH LINCOLN NE CO-OP OBSERVER

SNOWFALL TOTAL SINCE MIDNIGHT CDT.

0100 PM SNOW 3 ENE NORTH PLATTE 41.15N 100.72W
10/06/2012 M0.5 INCH LINCOLN NE OFFICIAL NWS OBS

ONE HALF INCH OF SNOW HAD FALLEN AT LEE BIRD FIELD IN
NORTH PLATTE SINCE MIDNIGHT. WATER EQUIVALENT OF THE SNOW
FALL WAS 0.06 OF AN INCH THROUGH 100 PM CDT.

0230 PM SNOW IMPERIAL 40.52N 101.64W
10/06/2012 M5.5 INCH CHASE NE TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THROUGH 230 PM CDT HAD BEEN 5.5
INCHES.

0700 PM SNOW 3 ENE NORTH PLATTE 41.15N 100.72W
10/06/2012 M0.9 INCH LINCOLN NE OFFICIAL NWS OBS

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS NINE TENTHS OF AN INCH...AT LEE
BIRD FIELD IN NORTH PLATTE.

0700 AM SNOW 2 W OGALLALA 41.13N 101.76W
10/07/2012 M1.0 INCH KEITH NE MESONET

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS ONE INCH. REPORT WAS FURNISHED
BY A NEBRASKA RAINFALL ASSESSMENT AND INFORMATION NETWORK
OBSERVER.

0700 AM SNOW 3 S LAMAR 40.53N 101.98W
10/07/2012 M3.0 INCH CHASE NE MESONET

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 3.0 INCHES. REPORT WAS FURNISHED
BY A NEBRASKA RAINFALL ASSESSMENT AND INFORMATION NETWORK
OBSERVER.

0700 AM SNOW 14 SE ELSIE 40.70N 101.20W
10/07/2012 M3.0 INCH LINCOLN NE MESONET

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 3 INCHES. REPORT WAS FURNISHED
BY A NEBRASKA RAINFALL ASSESSMENT AND INFORMATION NETWORK
OBSERVER.

0700 AM SNOW 3 ENE NORTH PLATTE 41.15N 100.72W
10/07/2012 M0.9 INCH LINCOLN NE OFFICIAL NWS OBS

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL AT LEE BIRD FIELD IN NORTH PLATTE
TOTALED NINE TENTHS OF AN INCH.

0700 AM SNOW 3 W ENDERS 40.44N 101.58W
10/07/2012 M5.5 INCH CHASE NE MESONET

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 5.5 INCHES. WATER EQUIVALENT OF
0.32 OF AN INCH WAS RECORDED. REPORT FURNISHED BY A
NEBRASKA RAINFALL ASSESSMENT AND INFORMATION NETWORK
OBSERVER.

0700 AM SNOW 10 NE OSHKOSH 41.51N 102.21W
10/07/2012 M1.0 INCH GARDEN NE CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS ONE INCH.

0700 AM SNOW 8 SW MADRID 40.77N 101.65W
10/07/2012 M4.5 INCH PERKINS NE MESONET

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 4.5 INCHES. REPORT WAS FURNISHED
BY A NEBRASKA RAINFALL ASSESSMENT AND INFORMATION NETWORK
OBSERVER.

0700 AM SNOW 1 NW SUTHERLAND 41.17N 101.14W
10/07/2012 M1.0 INCH LINCOLN NE MESONET

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS ONE INCH. REPORT WAS FURNISHED
BY A NEBRASKA RAINFALL ASSESSMENT AND INFORMATION NETWORK
OBSERVER.

0700 AM SNOW 9 WSW WALLACE 40.79N 101.32W
10/07/2012 M1.3 INCH PERKINS NE MESONET

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 1.3 INCHES. REPORT WAS FURNISHED
BY A NEBRASKA RAINFALL ASSESSMENT AND INFORMATION NETWORK
OBSERVER.

0800 AM SNOW LISCO 41.50N 102.62W
10/07/2012 M1.5 INCH GARDEN NE CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 1.5 INCHES.

0800 AM SNOW 2 NW EUSTIS 40.68N 100.06W
10/07/2012 M0.5 INCH FRONTIER NE CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS ONE HALF INCH.

0800 AM SNOW IMPERIAL 40.52N 101.64W
10/07/2012 M6.0 INCH CHASE NE CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 6 INCHES.


&&

$$

CARMEL

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLBF [071825]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 071825
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
124 PM CDT SUN OCT 07 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 2 W OGALLALA 41.13N 101.76W
10/07/2012 M1.0 INCH KEITH NE MESONET

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS ONE INCH. REPORT WAS FURNISHED
BY A NEBRASKA RAINFALL ASSESSMENT AND INFORMATION NETWORK
OBSERVER.

0700 AM SNOW 1 NW SUTHERLAND 41.17N 101.14W
10/07/2012 M1.0 INCH LINCOLN NE MESONET

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS ONE INCH. REPORT WAS FURNISHED
BY A NEBRASKA RAINFALL ASSESSMENT AND INFORMATION NETWORK
OBSERVER.

0700 AM SNOW 9 WSW WALLACE 40.79N 101.32W
10/07/2012 M1.3 INCH PERKINS NE MESONET

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 1.3 INCHES. REPORT WAS FURNISHED
BY A NEBRASKA RAINFALL ASSESSMENT AND INFORMATION NETWORK
OBSERVER.

0700 AM SNOW 8 SW MADRID 40.77N 101.65W
10/07/2012 M4.5 INCH PERKINS NE MESONET

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 4.5 INCHES. REPORT WAS FURNISHED
BY A NEBRASKA RAINFALL ASSESSMENT AND INFORMATION NETWORK
OBSERVER.

0700 AM SNOW 10 NE OSHKOSH 41.51N 102.21W
10/07/2012 M1.0 INCH GARDEN NE CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS ONE INCH.

0700 AM SNOW 3 W ENDERS 40.44N 101.58W
10/07/2012 M5.5 INCH CHASE NE MESONET

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 5.5 INCHES. WATER EQUIVALENT OF
0.32 OF AN INCH WAS RECORDED. REPORT FURNISHED BY A
NEBRASKA RAINFALL ASSESSMENT AND INFORMATION NETWORK
OBSERVER.

0700 AM SNOW 3 ENE NORTH PLATTE 41.15N 100.72W
10/07/2012 M0.9 INCH LINCOLN NE OFFICIAL NWS OBS

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL AT LEE BIRD FIELD IN NORTH PLATTE
TOTALED NINE TENTHS OF AN INCH.

0700 AM SNOW 14 SE ELSIE 40.70N 101.20W
10/07/2012 M3.0 INCH LINCOLN NE MESONET

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 3 INCHES. REPORT WAS FURNISHED
BY A NEBRASKA RAINFALL ASSESSMENT AND INFORMATION NETWORK
OBSERVER.

0700 AM SNOW 3 S LAMAR 40.53N 101.98W
10/07/2012 M3.0 INCH CHASE NE MESONET

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 3.0 INCHES. REPORT WAS FURNISHED
BY A NEBRASKA RAINFALL ASSESSMENT AND INFORMATION NETWORK
OBSERVER.

0800 AM SNOW IMPERIAL 40.52N 101.64W
10/07/2012 M6.0 INCH CHASE NE CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 6 INCHES.

0800 AM SNOW LISCO 41.50N 102.62W
10/07/2012 M1.5 INCH GARDEN NE CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 1.5 INCHES.

0800 AM SNOW 2 NW EUSTIS 40.68N 100.06W
10/07/2012 M0.5 INCH FRONTIER NE CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS ONE HALF INCH.


&&

$$

CARMEL

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCLE [071652]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 071652
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1252 PM EDT SUN OCT 07 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1245 PM WATER SPOUT 3 N ASHTABULA 41.92N 80.80W
10/07/2012 LEZ148 OH COAST GUARD

SMALL COLD AIR WATERSPOUT NEAR THE BREAK WALL.


&&

$$

KIELTYKA

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCRP [071637]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 071637
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1136 AM CDT SUN OCT 07 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0414 PM WATER SPOUT 11 SSW SEADRIFT 28.22N 96.74W
09/29/2012 GMZ235 TX COAST GUARD

REPORT RELAYED FROM PORT OCONNOR COAST GUARD. TIME
ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.


&&

$$

PZABEL

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 071635
SWODY2
SPC AC 071634

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1134 AM CDT SUN OCT 07 2012

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL PERSIST EAST OF THE ROCKIES ON MONDAY. AMID
ASSOCIATED BROAD/STRONG CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT...ONE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL STEADILY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE TN VALLEY TO NEW
ENGLAND STATES ON MONDAY...WHILE A MORE SUBSTANTIAL PORTION OF THE
UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST.
LITTLE IF ANY TSTM POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED ASIDE FROM THE COASTAL
SOUTHEAST STATES/FL...WHERE A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD AND EXIT COASTAL AREAS OF THE SOUTHEAST ASIDE
FROM THE FL PENINSULA.

...FL/COASTAL SOUTHEAST STATES...
AS A COLD FRONT CONTINUES A SLOW SOUTHEASTWARD PROGRESSION...TSTMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON ALONG/SOUTH OF THE FRONT
ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO DRAPE
NORTHEAST-SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS NORTH FL BY AFTERNOON IN CONJUNCTION
WITH A POSSIBLE WEAK SURFACE WAVE. WHILE A FEW STRONGER TSTMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON...MODEST INSTABILITY/WEAK LAPSE
RATES ALOFT AND SLOWLY WEAKENING NEAR-FRONTAL CONVERGENCE IMPLY A
VERY LIMITED SEVERE TSTM POTENTIAL. ORGANIZED SEVERE TSTMS ARE NOT
CURRENTLY EXPECTED.

...OK/SOUTHERN KS VICINITY...
AN ISOLATED TSTM MIGHT BE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY WITH
ONSET OF A WARM ADVECTION REGIME LATE IN THE PERIOD.
HOWEVER...CURRENT THINKING IS THAT ANY TSTM POTENTIAL IS NEGLIGIBLE
/SUB-10 PERCENT PROBABILITY/ AS MOISTURE RETURN AND DESTABILIZATION
ALOFT WILL LIKELY REMAIN QUITE MARGINAL THROUGH THE END OF THE
PERIOD.

..GUYER.. 10/07/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 071624
SWODY1
SPC AC 071622

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1122 AM CDT SUN OCT 07 2012

VALID 071630Z - 081200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER ERN PORTIONS OF THE
CAROLINAS...

...SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW REGIME WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF
THE CENTRAL/ERN CONUS THROUGH 12Z MON. EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES...ONE
OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND ANOTHER OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...WILL
MOVE E/NE WITHIN THE LARGER-SCALE FLOW PATTERN. ASCENT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF AN UPPER LEVEL SPEED MAXIMUM WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS/MID-ATLANTIC
REGION THIS AFTN.

AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE
SERN U.S. AND INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY
EWD/SEWD THROUGH MON MORNING. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL DOMINATE MOST OF THE CONUS EAST OF THE
ROCKIES.

...PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS THIS AFTN/EVENING...
DIURNAL HEATING NEAR AND ALONG THE COAST WITHIN THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
SHOULD RESULT IN A ZONE OF SFC-BASED CAPE THIS AFTN OF 1000 TO
LOCALLY 2000 J/KG. STRONGER WINDS ALOFT WILL RESULT IN SUFFICIENT
DEEP SHEAR FOR MOSTLY ORGANIZED MULTICELL TSTMS THIS AFTN ALONG AND
IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A WEAK SFC LOW
MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS SC AND MOVE NEWD LATER
TODAY...MODESTLY ENHANCING CONVERGENCE. WIDELY SCATTERED TO
SCATTERED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTN IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THE COLD FRONT AND THE SEA BREEZE FRONT...WITH A THREAT OF STG
WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.

..BUNTING/WEISS.. 10/07/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCLE [071429]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KCLE 071429
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1029 AM EDT SUN OCT 07 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0950 AM WATER SPOUT 3 N CONNEAUT 41.97N 80.57W
10/07/2012 LEZ148 PA TRAINED SPOTTER

COLD AIR WATERSPOUT LASTED A MINUTE OR TWO. SPOTTER WAS
ON THE OHIO AND PENNSYLVANIA BORDER.

1005 AM WATER SPOUT 5 N ERIE 42.20N 80.09W
10/07/2012 LEZ149 PA PARK/FOREST SRVC

IT WAS A LARGE COLD AIR WATERSPOUT.


&&

$$

KIELTYKA

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCLE [071411]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 071411
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1011 AM EDT SUN OCT 07 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0950 AM WATER SPOUT CONNEAUT 41.93N 80.57W
10/07/2012 ASHTABULA OH TRAINED SPOTTER

COLD AIR WATERSPOUT LASTED A MINUTE OR TWO. SPOTTER WAS
ON THE OHIO AND PENNSYLVANIA BORDER.


&&

$$

KIELTYKA

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 071300
SWODY1
SPC AC 071258

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 AM CDT SUN OCT 07 2012

VALID 071300Z - 081200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF ERN NC/SC...

...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW WILL PREVAIL OVER MOST OF THE CNTRL AND ERN U.S.
THROUGH MON...DOWNSTREAM FROM E PACIFIC REX BLOCK. TWO NOTABLE
SHORTWAVE IMPULSES ARE APPARENT IN THE CYCLONIC FLOW...ONE NOW OVER
IL AND THE OTHER OVER CO. THE IL DISTURBANCE SHOULD MOVE ENE INTO
PA/WRN MD BY EVE...AND NE INTO NEW BRUNSWICK BY 12Z MON...WHILE THE
OTHER TRACKS SE INTO WRN OK LATER TODAY...AND INTO WRN TN/NRN MS
EARLY MON.

AT THE SFC...PATTERN WILL BE DOMINATED BY EXPANSIVE BUT GRADUALLY
WEAKENING SFC RIDGE. COLD FRONT MARKING THE LEADING EDGE OF THE
RIDGE HAS CLEARED ALL BUT THE SRN NC AND SC CST THIS MORNING. THE
FRONT SHOULD PROGRESS SLOWLY E/SE THROUGH THE DAY...WITH ASSOCIATED
SFC WAVE NOW OVER THE SC PIEDMONT TRACKING EWD ALONG BOUNDARY INTO
SRN NC.

...ERN/SRN CAROLINAS THROUGH LATE AFTN...
BAND OF ENHANCED WSWLY MID-LVL FLOW /WITH SPEEDS AOA 40 KTS AT 700
MB/ ATTENDANT TO IL SHORTWAVE IMPULSE WILL GLANCE NRN AND ERN PARTS
OF THE CAROLINAS TODAY AS THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES ENEWD. FAIRLY
RICH MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS REGION...ESPECIALLY ALONG
THE NC/SC...BUT ALSO FARTHER W ATOP SHALLOW...POST COLD-FRONTAL AIR
MASS OVER THE CAROLINA PIEDMONT.

GIVEN MOISTURE AVAILABILITY AND PRESENCE OF RELATIVELY STEEP MID LVL
LAPSE RATES...SFC HEATING ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT OVER THE SC
AND SRN NC CSTL PLN SHOULD YIELD MODERATE INSTABILITY BY AFTN...WITH
1500-2000 J/KG MLCAPE. COUPLED WITH STRENGTH OF UNIDIRECTIONAL WSWLY
MID/UPR LVL FLOW...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR A FEW SFC-BASED STORMS
WITH LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND POSSIBLY MARGINALLY SVR HAIL. STORMS ALSO
COULD FORM ALONG THE SEA BREEZE FRONT. WEAK LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR
ASCENT AND MODEST LOW LVL CONVERGENCE SHOULD...HOWEVER...LIMIT
OVERALL SVR THREAT.

IN THE MEANTIME...POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED SVR ACTIVITY WITH SMALL
ELEVATED CONVECTIVE SYSTEM NOW TRACKING E ACROSS S CNTRL NC APPEARS
MINIMAL GIVEN STABLE NATURE OF BOUNDARY LAYER AND WEAKNESS OF BOTH
LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT AND ELEVATED CONFLUENCE.

..CORFIDI/HURLBUT.. 10/07/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGRR [071248]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 071248
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
848 AM EDT SUN OCT 07 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0837 AM WATER SPOUT 2 NW SOUTH HAVEN 42.42N 86.30W
10/07/2012 LMZ845 MI 911 CALL CENTER

THE PUBLIC REPORTED A WATER SPOUT NORTHWEST OF SOUTH
HAVEN. GANGES FIRE DEPARTMENT LOOKED AT IT.


&&

$$

BMARINO

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 070431
SWODY2
SPC AC 070430

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 PM CDT SAT OCT 06 2012

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
IT STILL APPEARS THAT THE EASTERN PACIFIC BLOCKING PATTERN MAY BEGIN
TO WEAKEN DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. AS THIS OCCURS...A CLOSED
LOW MAY SLOWLY TURN EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL CALIFORNIA COASTAL AREAS.
BUT LITTLE CHANGE IS ANTICIPATED DOWNSTREAM... WITH AMPLIFIED
LARGE-SCALE UPPER TROUGHING PERSISTING WITHIN CONFLUENT BELTS OF
WESTERLIES EAST OF THE ROCKIES THROUGH THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD.
WITHIN THE MORE PROMINENT NORTHERN STREAM...A STRONG SHORT WAVE
TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DIG INTO THE CENTRAL CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER AREA
MONDAY...WITH A SIGNIFICANT SURFACE CYCLONE MIGRATING FROM MANITOBA
INTO QUEBEC...AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT SURGING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. HOWEVER...MOISTURE RETURN IN THE WAKE OF A
PREVIOUS FRONT...LIKELY STALLING AND WEAKENING OFF THE SOUTH
ATLANTIC COAST INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...IS NOT EXPECTED TO
BECOME SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT AN APPRECIABLE INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL. AND...IN FACT...ASIDE FROM PARTS OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS MUCH OF THE
NATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW TO NEGLIGIBLE.

..KERR.. 10/07/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.