Friday, December 13, 2013

KLSX [132004]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 132004
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
204 PM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0202 PM SLEET NOKOMIS 39.30N 89.29W
12/13/2013 U0.0 INCH MONTGOMERY IL TRAINED SPOTTER

SLEET JUST STARTED


&&

$$

TRUETT

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KDVN [132000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 132000
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
200 PM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0158 PM HEAVY SLEET 1 WNW KEOKUK 40.41N 91.42W
12/13/2013 E0.00 INCH LEE IA TRAINED SPOTTER

PRECIPITATION BEGAN AS SLEET, CHANGED TO RAIN, AND NOW
HAS CHANGED BACK TO SLEET


&&

$$

TAS

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KLSX [131951]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 131951
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
151 PM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0151 PM SLEET 2 SW OKAWVILLE 38.41N 89.57W
12/13/2013 U0.0 INCH WASHINGTON IL TRAINED SPOTTER

ALL SLEET FALLING CURRENTLY.


&&

$$

GOSSELIN

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 131950
SWODY1
SPC AC 131947

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0147 PM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

VALID 132000Z - 141200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

NO CHANGES ARE MADE TO THE OUTLOOK FOR THIS ISSUANCE.

..BROYLES.. 12/13/2013

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1026 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013/

A PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER NM WILL TRACK QUICKLY
EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND INTO THE LOWER/MID MS VALLEY
THIS FORECAST PERIOD. STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS IN THE WARM
SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSPORT MEAGER MOISTURE NORTHWARD...AND
YIELD MARGINAL INSTABILITY OVER A LARGE AREA FROM TX INTO THE TN
VALLEY. VERY ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT
THIS REGION. HOWEVER...THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO SEE ORGANIZED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE LEFT-EXIT REGION OF THE APPROACHING
UPPER JET MAINLY OVER THE ARKLATEX AND OZARKS.

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KLSX [131923]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 131923
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
123 PM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0122 PM FREEZING RAIN CUBA 38.06N 91.40W
12/13/2013 U0.00 INCH CRAWFORD MO TRAINED SPOTTER

GLAZE ON MANY ROADS INCLUDING SOME SLUSH ON INTERSTATE
44.


&&

$$

GOSSELIN

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KMQT [131850]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 131850
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
149 PM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW EBEN JUNCTION 46.35N 86.97W
12/13/2013 M2.5 INCH ALGER MI TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS



&&

$$

NWS MARQUETTE MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KLSX [131846]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 131846
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1246 PM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1242 PM SLEET EDWARDSVILLE 38.80N 89.97W
12/13/2013 U0.0 INCH MADISON IL BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

$$

GOSSELIN

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KLSX [131845]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 131845
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1245 PM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 PM SNOW LEWISTOWN 40.08N 91.81W
12/13/2013 U0.0 INCH LEWIS MO PUBLIC

SLEET SNOW MIX CURRENTLY.


&&

$$

GOSSELIN

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KLSX [131828]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 131828
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1228 PM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1228 PM SLEET CADET 37.99N 90.69W
12/13/2013 U0.0 INCH WASHINGTON MO PUBLIC


&&

$$

GOSSELIN

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KLSX [131812]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 131812
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1212 PM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1212 PM SLEET QUINCY 39.93N 91.39W
12/13/2013 U0.0 INCH ADAMS IL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

GOSSELIN

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KLSX [131743]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 131743
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1143 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1142 AM SLEET FARMINGTON 37.78N 90.43W
12/13/2013 M0.0 INCH ST. FRANCOIS MO BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

$$

CARNEY

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KAPX [131736]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 131736
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1236 PM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM SNOW 1 NNW WELLSTON 44.23N 85.96W
12/13/2013 M4.7 INCH MANISTEE MI COOP OBSERVER

COOP OBSERVER STATION WELLSTON 1N /WLNM4/
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS



&&

$$

NWS GAYLORD MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KLSX [131717]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 131717
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1117 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1117 AM FREEZING RAIN ROSEBUD 38.39N 91.40W
12/13/2013 U0.00 INCH GASCONADE MO CO-OP OBSERVER

GLAZE ON SIDEWALKS AND SIDE ROADS.


&&

$$

GOSSELIN

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 131717
SWODY2
SPC AC 131715

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

VALID 141200Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...FL PANHANDLE/SRN AL/SW GA/FAR SE MS...
A POSITIVELY-TILTED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE SRN
PLAINS ON SATURDAY. AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...A SFC LOW WILL MOVE NEWD
ACROSS THE TN VALLEY INTO THE OH VALLEY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES EWD
FROM THE LOWER TO MID MS VALLEY INTO THE CNTRL GULF COAST STATES.
THE MODELS GRADUALLY INCREASE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AHEAD OF THE
FRONT IN THE WARM SECTOR AS SFC TEMPS WARM DURING THE DAY. THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE EWD WITH THE GREATEST CONVECTIVE COVERAGE OVER
THE FL PANHANDLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SFC DEWPOINTS ON SATURDAY ALONG
THE COASTS OF MS...AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 60S F. THIS COULD ENABLE SOME OF THE STORMS TO APPROACH
SEVERE LIMITS AS MODERATE INSTABILITY DEVELOPS NEAR THE COAST.
CONSIDERING THE LOW-LCL HEIGHTS AND 40-45 KT OF FLOW AT 850 MB...A
FEW ROTATING STORMS WITH A MARGINAL TORNADO THREAT MAY DEVELOP
ACROSS THE SEE TEXT AREA. STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
IN THE AFTERNOON WHEN INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BECOME MAXIMIZED.

..BROYLES.. 12/13/2013

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KDLH [131713]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 131713
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1113 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1112 AM SNOW MOUTH OF BRULE 46.74N 91.60W
12/13/2013 M1.0 INCH DOUGLAS MN TRAINED SPOTTER

ACCUMULATION SINCE 930AM. MODERATE SNOW AT OBSERVATION
TIME.


&&

$$

SGOHDE

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KBIS [131650]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 131650
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1050 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0920 AM SNOW BOTTINEAU 48.83N 100.44W
12/13/2013 M2.3 INCH BOTTINEAU ND NWS OFFICE

0.16 WATER EQUIVALENT. COOP OBSERVER


&&

$$

JVINING

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 131628
SWODY1
SPC AC 131626

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1026 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

VALID 131630Z - 141200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER NM WILL TRACK QUICKLY
EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND INTO THE LOWER/MID MS VALLEY
THIS FORECAST PERIOD. STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS IN THE WARM
SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSPORT MEAGER MOISTURE NORTHWARD...AND
YIELD MARGINAL INSTABILITY OVER A LARGE AREA FROM TX INTO THE TN
VALLEY. VERY ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT
THIS REGION. HOWEVER...THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO SEE ORGANIZED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE LEFT-EXIT REGION OF THE APPROACHING
UPPER JET MAINLY OVER THE ARKLATEX AND OZARKS.

..HART/KERR.. 12/13/2013

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KLSX [131625]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 131625
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1025 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1024 AM FREEZING RAIN JEFFERSON CITY 38.57N 92.19W
12/13/2013 U0.00 INCH COLE MO PUBLIC

GLAZE ON SIDEWALKS AND ROADWAYS. FACEBOOK REPORT.


&&

$$

GOSSELIN

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KLSX [131618]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 131618
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1018 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM FREEZING RAIN 4 NE ASHLAND 38.81N 92.20W
12/13/2013 U0.00 INCH BOONE MO CO-OP OBSERVER

LIGHT GLAZE AT COLUMBIA REGIONAL AIRPORT.


&&

$$

GOSSELIN

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KABQ [131618]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 131618
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
918 AM MST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 AM SNOW 5 SW BONITO LAKE 33.40N 105.78W
12/13/2013 E4.0 INCH LINCOLN NM OTHER FEDERAL

SIERRA BLANCA SNOTEL.

0603 AM SNOW 6 W LOS ALAMOS 35.89N 106.39W
12/13/2013 E1.0 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM PUBLIC

PAJARITO SKI AREA.

0732 AM SNOW 6 WSW BONITO LAKE 33.40N 105.80W
12/13/2013 E4.0 INCH LINCOLN NM PUBLIC

SKI APACHE.

0915 AM SNOW 5 NW CANONES 36.24N 106.50W
12/13/2013 M3.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM COCORAHS


&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1302312
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1302313
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1302314
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1302315

$$

JF

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KLSX [131616]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 131616
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1016 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1016 AM SLEET LEASBURG 38.09N 91.30W
12/13/2013 U0.0 INCH CRAWFORD MO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

GOSSELIN

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KLSX [131610]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 131610
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1010 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1009 AM SLEET 7 S STEELVILLE 37.87N 91.36W
12/13/2013 U0.0 INCH CRAWFORD MO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

FGLASS

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KTFX [131603]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 131603
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
902 AM MST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0646 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 S POWER 47.61N 111.69W
12/12/2013 M66 MPH TETON MT PUBLIC

MEASURED WIND GUST OF 66 MPH.


&&

CORRECTED SOURCE

$$

MPJ

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KAPX [131543]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 131543
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1042 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 6 SSW BENZONIA 44.53N 86.13W
12/13/2013 M3.9 INCH BENZIE MI COOP OBSERVER

COOP OBSERVER STATION BEULAH 7SSW /BEUM4/
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS



&&

$$

NWS GAYLORD MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KMQT [131529]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KMQT 131529
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1028 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 2 E REDRIDGE 47.15N 88.72W
12/13/2013 M2.0 INCH HOUGHTON MI COOP OBSERVER

COOP OBSERVER STATION ATLANTIC MINE 5NW
/ATMM4/ SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS


0800 AM SNOW MOHAWK 47.31N 88.36W
12/13/2013 M2.5 INCH KEWEENAW MI COOP OBSERVER

LIQUID EQUIVALENT 0.11 COOP OBSERVER STATION
MOHAWK. SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS


0800 AM SNOW 6 E CHASSELL 47.04N 88.41W
12/13/2013 M2.2 INCH HOUGHTON MI PUBLIC

NEAR JACOBSVILLE. SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS


0700 AM SNOW 2 SSE NAWAKWA LAKE 46.51N 85.96W
12/13/2013 M7.0 INCH ALGER MI COOP OBSERVER

COOP OBSERVER STATION. LIQUID EQUIVALENT
0.29. SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS


0700 AM SNOW NEWBERRY 46.36N 85.52W
12/13/2013 M3.2 INCH LUCE MI COOP OBSERVER

2.1 INCHES OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. COOP
OBSERVER STATION. SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS


0700 AM SNOW CALUMET 47.25N 88.46W
12/13/2013 M2.0 INCH HOUGHTON MI COCORAHS

COCORAHS STATION CALUMET. SNOW DURATION 24
HOURS



&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KFGF [131524]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 131524
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
924 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0923 AM SNOW MICHIGAN 48.03N 98.12W
12/13/2013 E2.0 INCH NELSON ND PUBLIC


&&

$$

DRIDDLE

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KSGF [131512]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 131512
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
912 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0912 AM FREEZING RAIN MANSFIELD 37.11N 92.58W
12/13/2013 E0.01 INCH WRIGHT MO PUBLIC

THIN GLAZE...SIDE STREETS IN MANSFIELD ARE SLICK WITH ICE



&&

$$

KARDELL

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KAPX [131501]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 131501
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1000 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 1 SSE PETOSKEY 45.36N 84.95W
12/13/2013 M6.0 INCH EMMET MI COOP OBSERVER

COOP OBSERVER STATION PETOSKEY NCMC /PTYM4/
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS


0800 AM SNOW 4 WNW WELLSTON 44.23N 86.04W
12/13/2013 M5.0 INCH MANISTEE MI COCORAHS

COCORAHS STATION 4 WNW WELLSTON /3319B/ SNOW
DURATION 24 HOURS


0700 AM SNOW PARADISE 46.63N 85.04W
12/13/2013 M10.8 INCH CHIPPEWA MI COCORAHS

COCORAHS STATION PARADISE /3298S/ SNOW
DURATION 24 HOURS



&&

$$

NWS GAYLORD MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KFGF [131441]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 131441
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
837 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM SNOW GRAND FORKS 47.92N 97.07W
12/13/2013 M1.1 INCH GRAND FORKS ND OFFICIAL NWS OBS

24-HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM SNOW 9 SW LANKIN 48.22N 98.06W
12/13/2013 E1.0 INCH WALSH ND CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR ESTIMATED SNOWFALL.

0600 AM SNOW 6 E LANKIN 48.31N 97.79W
12/13/2013 E1.0 INCH WALSH ND CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR ESTIMATED SNOWFALL.

0800 AM SNOW STARKWEATHER 48.45N 98.88W
12/13/2013 E2.0 INCH RAMSEY ND CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR ESTIMATED SNOWFALL.


&&

$$

JAM

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KMQT [131423]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 131423
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
923 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 6 E CHASSELL 47.04N 88.41W
12/13/2013 M2.2 INCH HOUGHTON MI PUBLIC

NEAR JACOBSVILLE. SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS



&&

$$

NWS MARQUETTE MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KSGF [131405]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 131405
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
805 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0804 AM FREEZING RAIN 12 SW AVA 36.83N 92.81W
12/13/2013 E0.01 INCH DOUGLAS MO CO-OP OBSERVER

THIN GLAZE...CONCREATE SURFACE BECOMING SLICK


&&

$$

KARDELL

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KMQT [131356]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 131356
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
855 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW MOHAWK 47.31N 88.36W
12/13/2013 M2.5 INCH KEWEENAW MI COOP OBSERVER

LIQUID EQUIVALENT 0.11 COOP OBSERVER
STATION MOHAWK. SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS



&&

$$

NWS MARQUETTE MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KMQT [131347]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 131347
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
846 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW CALUMET 47.25N 88.46W
12/13/2013 M2.0 INCH HOUGHTON MI COCORAHS

COCORAHS STATION CALUMET. SNOW DURATION 24
HOURS



&&

$$

NWS MARQUETTE MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KMQT [131346]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 131346
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
845 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 2 E REDRIDGE 47.15N 88.72W
12/13/2013 M2.0 INCH HOUGHTON MI COOP OBSERVER

COOP OBSERVER STATION ATLANTIC MINE 5NW
/ATMM4/ SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS



&&

$$

NWS MARQUETTE MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KSGF [131337]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 131337
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
737 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0735 AM FREEZING RAIN SPRINGFIELD 37.20N 93.29W
12/13/2013 E0.01 INCH GREENE MO 911 CALL CENTER

THIN GLAZE...SEVERAL ACCIDENTS REPORTED ACROSS GREENE
COUNTY


&&

$$

KARDELL

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KDLH [131326]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 131326
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
726 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM SNOW 5 NW DULUTH 46.83N 92.19W
12/13/2013 M0.2 INCH ST. LOUIS MN OFFICIAL NWS OBS

SNOWFALL THURSDAY EVENING ENDING AT MIDNIGHT

0719 AM SNOW 12 N ISLE 46.32N 93.46W
12/13/2013 M0.4 INCH AITKIN MN CO-OP OBSERVER

FELL OVERNIGHT

0719 AM SNOW 3 N BRAINERD 46.40N 94.19W
12/13/2013 M0.8 INCH CROW WING MN CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

GRANING

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KMQT [131257]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 131257
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
757 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW NEWBERRY 46.36N 85.52W
12/13/2013 M3.2 INCH LUCE MI COOP OBSERVER

2.1 INCHES OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. COOP
OBSERVER STATION. SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS



&&

$$

NWS MARQUETTE MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KMQT [131256]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 131256
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
755 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 2 SSE NAWAKWA LAKE 46.51N 85.96W
12/13/2013 M7.0 INCH ALGER MI COOP OBSERVER

COOP OBSERVER STATION. LIQUID EQUIVALENT
0.29. SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS



&&

$$

NWS MARQUETTE MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KSGF [131245]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 131245
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
645 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 AM FREEZING RAIN VERONA 36.96N 93.80W
12/13/2013 E0.01 INCH LAWRENCE MO PUBLIC

THIN GLAZE TO ELEVATED SURFACES


&&

$$

KARDELL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 131240
SWODY1
SPC AC 131237

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0637 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

VALID 131300Z - 141200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
IN MID-UPPER LEVELS...FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CYCLONIC OVER
MOST OF CONUS THROUGH PERIOD...EXCEPT INVOF SYNOPTIC-SCALE RIDGING
THAT WILL DOMINATE PATTERN INVOF PAC COAST. MID-UPPER CYCLONE OVER
AZ/NM BORDER REGION IS LOSING AMPLITUDE AND BECOMING OPEN-WAVE
TROUGH ATTM. THIS PERTURBATION WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS PORTIONS NW TX
AND SWRN OK BY 00Z...THEN DEAMPLIFY AS IT EJECTS NEWD TO NEAR MOUTH
OF OH RIVER BY 12Z. MEANWHILE...PHASING OF INITIALLY SEPARATE
500-MB VORTICITY BANNERS NOW OVER NRN ID AND SIERRAS IS
FCST...LEADING TO SHORTWAVE TROUGHING OVER SRN NM AND FAR W TX BY
END OF PERIOD.

AT SFC...WEAK LOW NOW OVER SWRN KS IS EXPECTED TO MERGE TODAY WITH
BAROCLINIC ZONE INITIALLY TO ITS N...THEN MIGRATE SSEWD ACROSS TX
PANHANDLE...REACHING CDS AREA BY 00Z THEN MOVING ESEWD TO ARKLATEX
REGION BY 12Z. MEANWHILE...ATTACHED COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS MOST OF
AR...OK AND TX.

...ARKLATEX REGION...
THUNDER SHOULD BE EPISODIC AND ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED...WITH
GREATEST COVERAGE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. VERY BRIEF/ISOLATED
LTG MAY OCCUR BEFORE THEN OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL/S TX...BUT ATTM
BUOYANCY MAGNITUDE/DEPTH DOES NOT FAVOR DENSE ENOUGH TSTM THREAT TO
EXTEND GEN THUNDER AREA THAT FAR SW.

LOW-LEVEL WAA AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL BOOST THETAE IN AND NEAR
THIS REGION THROUGHOUT PERIOD AHEAD OF SFC LOW AND COLD FRONT...AND
THIS EVENING INVOF 50-60 KT SWLY LLJ. NEAR-SFC STABLE LAYER
INITIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH ANTECEDENT AND SLOWLY MODIFYING
CONTINENTAL/POLAR AIR MASS WILL BE SLOW TO ERODE...ESPECIALLY AFTER
DARK AS DIABATIC COOLING REINFORCES REMAINING STATIC STABILITY.
ISENTROPIC ASCENT TO LFC SHOULD CONTINUE AS EXISTING PRECIP PLUME
NOW OVER OK INTO CENTRAL/SW TX SHIFTS ENEWD ACROSS REGION...WHILE
LARGER INFLOW-LAYER THETAE OFFSETS WEAK MID-UPPER LAPSE RATES ENOUGH
TO YIELD 100-400 J/KG ELEVATED MUCAPE. FCST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SOME
OF THAT BUOYANCY MAY EXTEND UPWARD INTO THERMAL LAYERS SUITABLE FOR
LTG GENERATION.

..EDWARDS/BOTHWELL.. 12/13/2013

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KPQR [131231]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 131231
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
431 AM PST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM FREEZING RAIN FOREST GROVE 45.52N 123.10W
12/12/2013 E0.10 INCH WASHINGTON OR PUBLIC

SEVERAL REPORTS OF PAVEMENT AND BACKGROUNDS GLAZED IN ICE
IN AND AROUND FOREST GROVE...ICE HAD GENERALLY MELTED BY
MIDNIGHT

0500 PM FREEZING RAIN 3 W HILLSBORO 45.53N 123.00W
12/12/2013 E0.10 INCH WASHINGTON OR PUBLIC

SEVERAL REPORTS OF PAVEMENT AND ROADS GLAZED IN ICE JUST
TO THE WEST OF HILLSBORO.

1045 PM FREEZING RAIN 8 WNW HOOD RIVER 45.75N 121.68W
12/12/2013 E0.10 INCH SKAMANIA WA PUBLIC

ROADS COATED IN ICE IN HILLS ABOVE DRANO LAKE


&&

$$

CNEUMAN

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KSGF [131156]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 131156
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
556 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0553 AM FREEZING RAIN JOPLIN 37.08N 94.51W
12/13/2013 E0.01 INCH JASPER MO 911 CALL CENTER

THIN GLAZE...SEVERAL ACCIDENTS REPORTED ACROSS JASPER
COUNTY DUE TO ICY ROADWAYS


&&

$$

KARDELL

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KSGF [131127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 131127
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
527 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0527 AM FREEZING RAIN COLUMBUS 37.17N 94.84W
12/13/2013 E0.01 INCH CHEROKEE KS EMERGENCY MNGR

THIN GLAZE...ROADS BECOMING SLICK


&&

$$

KARDELL

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2077

ACUS11 KWNS 131127
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 131126
MOZ000-KSZ000-131630-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2077
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0526 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN KS THROUGH WRN AND CNTRL MO

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN

VALID 131126Z - 131630Z

SUMMARY...FREEZING RAIN WITH .01-.05 INCH PER HOUR RATES WILL
DEVELOP THROUGH NERN KS AND WRN THROUGH CNTRL MO THIS MORNING.

DISCUSSION...LEADING EDGE OF AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF MOSTLY LIGHT RAIN
WITH SOME EMBEDDED HEAVIER SHOWERS IS MOVING THROUGH ERN KS INTO
SWRN MO WHERE SFC TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE UPPER 20S TO NEAR 30 F.
THIS CORRIDOR OF PRECIPITATION IS DEVELOPING IN ASSOCIATION WITH
WARM ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT ALONG A WARM CONVEYOR BELT
ATTENDING A PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND
NEWD DURING THE MORNING. A STRONG SWLY LLJ HAS CONTRIBUTED TO A
SIGNIFICANT WARM NOSE ALOFT ABOVE THE SUBFREEZING SFC LAYER AND WILL
RESULT IN PRECIPITATION FALLING AS FREEZING RAIN AS IT DEVELOPS
THROUGH MO THIS MORNING. WARM ADVECTION IN THE NEAR SFC LAYER WILL
BE OFFSET FOR A WHILE BY EVAPORATIVE COOLING AS PRECIPITATION
INITIALLY FALLS THROUGH DRY AIR. HOWEVER...AS THE NEAR SFC LAYER
BECOMES SATURATED...TEMPERATURES SHOULD GRADUALLY WARM ABOVE
FREEZING LATER THIS MORNING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW NEWD
DEVELOPMENT OF A SHALLOW UNSTABLE LAYER. SOME OF THE RAIN APPEARS
CONVECTIVE IN NATURE...SUGGESTING RAINFALL RATES /THOUGH GENERALLY
LIGHT/ COULD BE ENHANCED AT TIMES WITHIN THE CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS.

..DIAL.. 12/13/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...

LAT...LON 36689388 37789457 39079490 39009309 37649135 36879192
36689388

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 130907
SWOD48
SPC AC 130906

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0306 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

VALID 161200Z - 211200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A BENIGN PATTERN FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE D4-D6
PERIOD WITH COOL AND/OR DRY AIR ACROSS MUCH OF THE COUNTRY DUE TO A
MEAN ERN UPPER TROUGH AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CNTRL AND ERN
STATES.

SOMETIME AROUND THE D6-D7 PERIOD...MODELS INDICATE A PATTERN CHANGE
WITH A LARGE-SCALE TROUGH DEVELOPING OVER THE WRN CONUS AND RISING
HEIGHTS OVER THE E. THIS WILL ALLOW MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO
DEVELOP BY AROUND D8 INTO THE SRN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY. WHILE
INSTABILITY COURTESY OF UPPER 60S F DEWPOINTS AND SUBSTANTIAL DEEP
LAYER WIND FIELDS ARE FORECAST ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR...FORCING WILL
LIKELY BE LINEAR IN NATURE DUE TO A RAPIDLY SURGING ARCTIC FRONT.
THIS...COMBINED WITH LOW PREDICTABILITY...WILL PRECLUDE ANY SEVERE
AREAS.

..JEWELL.. 12/13/2013

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 130823
SWODY3
SPC AC 130821

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0221 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL TRAIL SWWD FROM THE WRN ATLANTIC INTO SRN FL AS
THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS EWD OFF THE COAST. A MOIST AIR MASS
WILL REMAIN AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS SRN FL...BUT VEERED LOW LEVEL
FLOW AND LACK OF CONVERGENCE SHOULD KEEP STORMS ISOLATED AND WEAK
DESPITE STRONG WINDS ALOFT. IN ADDITION...A RELATIVELY DRY AND WARM
AIR MASS WILL EXIST ALOFT...LIMITING DESTABILIZATION POTENTIAL.

ELSEWHERE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN COOL AND/OR DRY CONDITIONS.

..JEWELL.. 12/13/2013

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KABQ [130644]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 130644
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1143 PM MST THU DEC 12 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 PM SNOW 5 SW BONITO LAKE 33.40N 105.78W
12/12/2013 E3.0 INCH LINCOLN NM OTHER FEDERAL

SIERRA BLANCA SNOTEL.


&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1302311

$$

SHY

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KMFR [130622]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 130622
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1021 PM PST THU DEC 12 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM FREEZING RAIN 5 N GRANTS PASS 42.51N 123.33W
12/12/2013 E0.01 INCH JOSEPHINE OR PUBLIC




0800 PM FREEZING RAIN 1 NE MEDFORD 42.35N 122.84W
12/12/2013 E0.01 INCH JACKSON OR PUBLIC




0800 PM FREEZING RAIN EAGLE POINT 42.47N 122.80W
12/12/2013 E0.01 INCH JACKSON OR PUBLIC





&&

$$

NWS MEDFORD OR
IRIS SYSTEM

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 130531
SWODY1
SPC AC 130529

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 PM CST THU DEC 12 2013

VALID 131200Z - 141200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A LOWER-LATITUDE UPPER LOW INITIALLY POSITIONED NEAR THE FOUR
CORNERS WILL CONTINUE TO EVOLVE INTO AN OPEN WAVE TROUGH WITH EWD
PROGRESSION...REACHING THE SRN PLAINS/ARKLATEX LATE FRI NIGHT AND
THE LOWER MS VALLEY EARLY SAT. STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL SLY FLOW
PRECEDING THE TROUGH WILL RESULT IN MODEST GULF MOISTURE RETURN INTO
THE SRN PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST...BEFORE A STRENGTHENING COLD FRONT
SWEEPS SEWD. MEANWHILE...AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE SEWD
OUT OF THE PAC NW TOWARDS THE SRN ROCKIES...BUT A VERY DRY AIR MASS
ACROSS THE WRN CONUS WILL PRECLUDE ANY ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL.

...PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS AND ARKLATEX...
SLY FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE S-CNTRL CONUS AS A SFC
ANTICYCLONE SHIFTS EWD TOWARD THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST...AND A LEE SFC
TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. ADVECTION OF HIGHER THETA-E
AIR WILL OCCUR ACROSS E TX AND LA...BUT INLAND PROGRESSION WILL BE
LIMITED BY A COLD CONTINENTAL POLAR AIR MASS ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE
REGION. ISENTROPIC ASCENT ATOP THE COLD AIR MASS SHOULD RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS DEVELOPING DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING. ISOLATED
ELEVATED TSTMS /WITH LIFTED PARCEL LEVELS IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER/
WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE COLDER MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES AND HEIGHT FALLS
ACCOMPANYING THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH INTERSECT WITH FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE. HOWEVER...INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN MARGINAL /E.G.
LESS THAN 400 J/KG MUCAPE/...LIMITING ANY SVR POTENTIAL.

..ROGERS/MOSIER.. 12/13/2013

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 130529
SWODY2
SPC AC 130527

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 PM CST THU DEC 12 2013

VALID 141200Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A MEAN TROUGH WILL EXIST ACROSS THE ERN CONUS WITH A RIDGE OVER THE
W COAST. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EWD ACROSS THE SE INTO
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WITHIN THE LARGER ERN TROUGH WITH A STRONG
MIDLEVEL JET STREAK DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION. AT THE SURFACE...A
PRIMARY SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP NEWD FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY AT
12Z SAT INTO THE OH VALLEY DURING THE DAY...WITH A SECONDARY LOW
TRAVELING ALONG A WARM FRONT FROM AL INTO GA AND SC. TO THE W...A
COLD FRONT WILL TRAIL ACROSS WRN AL...SRN MS...AND ERN SERN LA BY
AFTERNOON. STRONG SHEAR...MODEST FORCING FOR ASCENT AND SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

...FL PANHANDLE INTO SRN AL AND GA...
MODELS SUGGEST LOW TO MID 60S F BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS WILL EXTEND
FROM THE GULF COAST NWD TO THE SURFACE LOW TRACK WHICH WILL LIE
ROUGHLY FROM CNTRL AL INTO SC. N OF THIS ZONE...MUCH COOLER AND
STABLE AIR WILL RESIDE. DESPITE THE MOIST AIR MASS...LAPSE RATE
PROFILES WILL BE RELATIVELY POOR...AND INSTABILITY WILL BE MARGINAL
FOR SEVERE WEATHER. HOWEVER...STRONG SHEAR PROFILES...A HODOGRAPH
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND THE LIKELIHOOD OF A FEW CLUSTERS OF
STORMS NEAR THE COLD FRONT AND ALONG THE LOW TRACK SUGGEST ISOLATED
SEVERE WIND GUSTS OR A BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO COULD OCCUR.

..JEWELL.. 12/13/2013

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