Friday, December 13, 2013

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 131717
SWODY2
SPC AC 131715

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 AM CST FRI DEC 13 2013

VALID 141200Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...FL PANHANDLE/SRN AL/SW GA/FAR SE MS...
A POSITIVELY-TILTED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE SRN
PLAINS ON SATURDAY. AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...A SFC LOW WILL MOVE NEWD
ACROSS THE TN VALLEY INTO THE OH VALLEY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES EWD
FROM THE LOWER TO MID MS VALLEY INTO THE CNTRL GULF COAST STATES.
THE MODELS GRADUALLY INCREASE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AHEAD OF THE
FRONT IN THE WARM SECTOR AS SFC TEMPS WARM DURING THE DAY. THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE EWD WITH THE GREATEST CONVECTIVE COVERAGE OVER
THE FL PANHANDLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SFC DEWPOINTS ON SATURDAY ALONG
THE COASTS OF MS...AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE
MID TO UPPER 60S F. THIS COULD ENABLE SOME OF THE STORMS TO APPROACH
SEVERE LIMITS AS MODERATE INSTABILITY DEVELOPS NEAR THE COAST.
CONSIDERING THE LOW-LCL HEIGHTS AND 40-45 KT OF FLOW AT 850 MB...A
FEW ROTATING STORMS WITH A MARGINAL TORNADO THREAT MAY DEVELOP
ACROSS THE SEE TEXT AREA. STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
IN THE AFTERNOON WHEN INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BECOME MAXIMIZED.

..BROYLES.. 12/13/2013

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