Tuesday, February 25, 2014

KICT [260459]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 260459
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1059 PM CST TUE FEB 25 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1058 PM SNOW SALINA 38.82N 97.62W
02/25/2014 E1.0 INCH SALINE KS PUBLIC

ESTIMATED BETWEEN ONE-HALF INCH AND ONE INCH.


&&

$$

ADK

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KLSX [260457]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 260457
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1057 PM CST TUE FEB 25 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1055 PM SNOW DE SOTO 38.14N 90.56W
02/25/2014 E0.2 INCH JEFFERSON MO TRAINED SPOTTER

MODERATE SNOWFALL WITH A DUSTING OF ACCUMLATION SO FAR


&&

$$

GKS

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KBOU [260428]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KBOU 260428
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
928 PM MST TUE FEB 25 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0749 PM SNOW NNW ILIFF 40.76N 103.07W
02/25/2014 M2.0 INCH LOGAN CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0749 PM SNOW 2 N FORT COLLINS 40.58N 105.07W
02/25/2014 M1.9 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0825 PM SNOW 4 ENE NEDERLAND 39.99N 105.45W
02/25/2014 M2.0 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0903 PM SNOW 2 N LONGMONT 40.20N 105.11W
02/25/2014 M1.9 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0903 PM SNOW 2 SSW GREELEY 40.40N 104.75W
02/25/2014 M2.8 INCH WELD CO NWS EMPLOYEE


&&

$$

KBOWEN

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KICT [260413]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 260413
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1013 PM CST TUE FEB 25 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1012 PM SNOW ASSARIA 38.68N 97.60W
02/25/2014 M0.5 INCH SALINE KS FIRE DEPT/RESCUE


&&

$$

ADK

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KCYS [260405]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 260405
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
904 PM MST TUE FEB 25 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM HEAVY SNOW 2 S CHEYENNE 41.12N 104.79W
02/25/2014 E7.0 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

HAMMER

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KBOU [260404]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOU 260404
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
904 PM MST TUE FEB 25 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0749 PM SNOW NNW ILIFF 40.76N 103.07W
02/25/2014 M2.0 INCH LOGAN CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0749 PM SNOW 2 N FORT COLLINS 40.58N 105.07W
02/25/2014 M1.9 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0825 PM SNOW 4 ENE NEDERLAND 39.99N 105.45W
02/25/2014 M2.0 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0903 PM SNOW 2 N LONGMONT 40.20N 105.11W
02/25/2014 M1.9 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KBOWEN

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KJAN [260313]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 260313
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
913 PM CST TUE FEB 25 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0837 PM HAIL WINNSBORO 32.16N 91.72W
02/25/2014 E0.88 INCH FRANKLIN LA PUBLIC

REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.


&&

$$

CME

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 250957
SWOD48
SPC AC 250956

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0356 AM CST TUE FEB 25 2014

VALID 281200Z - 051200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MEDIUM-RANGE MODELS -- SUGGESTING THAT A PATTERN CHANGE WILL BE
UNDERWAY EARLY IN THE PERIOD -- DIFFER WITH RESPECT TO HANDLING THE
LARGE-SCALE FEATURES. DECENT MODEL-TO-MODEL AGREEMENT EXISTS ONLY
THROUGH ROUGHLY DAY 5 /SAT. 3-1/...AS RIDGING GRADUALLY EVOLVES OVER
THE ERN CONUS. MEANWHILE UPSTREAM...AN UPPER LOW CROSSING THE ERN
PACIFIC WILL MOVE INLAND...POSSIBLY PHASING TO SOME DEGREE WITH
NRN-STREAM ENERGY OVER WRN CANADA TO RESULT IN WRN U.S. TROUGHING.

DURING THE DAY 4-5 PERIOD...SEVERE WEATHER RISK APPEARS
MINIMAL...WITH THE MAIN AREA OF CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL TO RESIDE OVER
THE WRN U.S. AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING PACIFIC UPPER SYSTEM.

AN INCREASED RISK FOR CONVECTION WOULD APPEAR TO EXIST INTO PARTS OF
THE S CENTRAL AND SERN U.S. LATER IN THE PERIOD AS THIS WRN SYSTEM
ADVANCES EWD. HOWEVER...WITH INCREASINGLY SUBSTANTIAL VARIATION IN
MODEL SOLUTIONS WITH TIME...FORECAST CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW BEYOND
DAY 5.

..GOSS.. 02/25/2014

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KDMX [250956]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 250956
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
356 AM CST TUE FEB 25 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0348 AM SNOW TOLEDO 41.99N 92.58W
02/25/2014 E2.0 INCH TAMA IA BROADCAST MEDIA

VIA KCRG-TV


&&

$$

CCOGIL

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KDMX [250922]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 250922
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
322 AM CST TUE FEB 25 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 AM SNOW HUMBOLDT 42.72N 94.22W
02/25/2014 E1.0 INCH HUMBOLDT IA PUBLIC

VIA SOCIAL MEDIA


&&

$$

CCOGIL

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 250828
SWODY3
SPC AC 250827

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0227 AM CST TUE FEB 25 2014

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
GRADUAL DEAMPLIFICATION OF THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO
OCCUR OVER THE U.S. DAY 3. OVER THE WRN STATES...WEAKENING OF THE
RIDGE IS ANTICIPATED AS SMALL-SCALE CYCLONIC PACIFIC DISTURBANCES
CONTINUE MOVING INLAND AND UNDERCUTTING THE RIDGE. MEANWHILE IN THE
EAST...AS A STRONG SHORT-WAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN BROADER
CYCLONIC FLOW SHIFTS QUICKLY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES...A FLATTER CYCLONIC FLOW FIELD WILL EVOLVE IN ITS WAKE.

AT THE SURFACE...COLD AIR/HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE SHIFTING
EWD/SEWD ACROSS THE ERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY...HELPING TO DRIVE THE
SURFACE COLD FRONT INITIALLY LINGERING OVER S FL OFFSHORE/INTO CUBA
BY EARLY EVENING. MEANWHILE...AN AREA OF BROAD/DISORGANIZED LOW
PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO SHIFT ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND
EVENTUALLY INTO THE CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS...IN CONJUNCTION WITH A
PROGRESSIVE UPPER SHORT-WAVE TROUGH.

AREAS OF CONVECTIVE/ISOLATED THUNDER POTENTIAL THIS PERIOD WILL BE
TIED TO THIS STORM SYSTEM CROSSING THE WRN U.S. -- AS WELL AS TO THE
LINGERING COLD FRONT OVER S FL. ACROSS THE S FL REGION...SHOWERS
AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST N
OF THE FRONT DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD...BEFORE THE
BOUNDARY VACATES THE PENINSULA/KEYS. MEANWHILE...A BAND OF
CONVECTION WITH EMBEDDED LIGHTNING POTENTIAL WILL SPREAD EWD FROM
THE SIERRA/WRN NV REGION ACROSS PARTS OF UT/CO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

AS THIS SYSTEM EMERGES INTO THE HIGH PLAINS LATE...INCREASING
LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED/VERY HIGH-BASED
CONVECTION OVER THE OK VICINITY. CAPE IS EXPECTED TO BE QUITE
LIMITED HOWEVER...AND ATTM DO NOT FEEL THAT LIGHTNING POTENTIAL IS
HIGH ENOUGH TO WARRANT INTRODUCTION OF A 10% AREA.

..GOSS.. 02/25/2014

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KDVN [250812]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 250812
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
212 AM CST TUE FEB 25 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0211 AM SNOW W BELLE PLAINE 41.90N 92.28W
02/25/2014 E1.0 INCH BENTON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

EVENT TOTAL.


&&

$$

BILLN

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KDMX [250702]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 250702
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
102 AM CST TUE FEB 25 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0102 AM SNOW 5 WNW DES MOINES 41.61N 93.71W
02/25/2014 M2.8 INCH POLK IA NWS EMPLOYEE


&&

$$

CCOGIL

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 250659
SWODY2
SPC AC 250657

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1257 AM CST TUE FEB 25 2014

VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE LARGE-SCALE UPPER PATTERN IS PROGGED TO REMAIN GENERALLY
UNCHANGED DAY 2...WITH A RIDGE REMAINING OVER WRN PORTIONS OF NOAM
WHILE A PERSISTENT DOWNSTREAM TROUGH PREVAILS E OF THE ROCKIES. AT
SMALLER SCALES...A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE ERN PACIFIC IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INLAND ACROSS THE OREGON/NRN CA VICINITY DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD...WEAKENING WITH TIME AS IT IMPINGES ON
THE BACKGROUND LARGER-SCALE RIDGING.

AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT -- INITIALLY EXTENDING FROM FAR SRN
SC/SRN GA WSWWD ACROSS THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO AND INTO DEEP S TX --
WILL BE DRIVEN STEADILY SWD BY A SURGE OF POLAR AIR SPREADING SEWD
OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD...COLD AIR IS
EXPECTED TO RESIDE ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF...WITH THE FRONT
LINGERING ONLY ACROSS S FL BY 27/12Z.

A ZONE OF ELEVATED SHOWERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE S CENTRAL AND SERN
U.S. WITHIN THE ONGOING/ANAFRONTAL REGIME WILL SHIFT SWD WITH TIME
IN CONJUNCTION WITH FRONTAL ADVANCE. SOME EMBEDDED LIGHTNING WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS S TX EARLY IN THE PERIOD...AND A STRIKE OR TWO
MAY ALSO OCCUR WITHIN ISOLATED PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION ACROSS FL.
OTHERWISE...LIGHTNING IS NOT EXPECTED E OF THE ROCKIES.

IN THE WEST...CONVECTION WILL MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS THE CA
VICINITY...IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE WEAKENING UPPER SYSTEM MOVING
INLAND ACROSS THIS AREA. OCCASIONAL/EMBEDDED LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY
OCCUR -- PARTICULARLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE COAST RANGES
AND INLAND OVER THE SIERRA THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

..GOSS.. 02/25/2014

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KDMX [250602]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KDMX 250602
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1202 AM CST TUE FEB 25 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 AM SNOW DES MOINES 41.58N 93.62W
02/25/2014 M3.3 INCH POLK IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

DES MOINES INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.


&&

$$

BF

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KDMX [250601]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 250601
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1201 AM CST TUE FEB 25 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 AM SNOW WATERLOO 42.49N 92.35W
02/25/2014 M0.4 INCH BLACK HAWK IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

1200 AM SLEET DES MOINES 41.58N 93.62W
02/25/2014 M3.30 INCH POLK IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

DES MOINES INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.


&&

$$

BF

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KDMX [250547]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 250547
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1147 PM CST MON FEB 24 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1145 PM SNOW 1 S SAYLORVILLE LAKE 41.74N 93.72W
02/24/2014 M2.1 INCH POLK IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

AT NWS OFFICE.


&&

$$

BF

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 250537
SWODY1
SPC AC 250535

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1135 PM CST MON FEB 24 2014

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE POSITIVE-TILT UPPER TROUGH WILL SWING SWD ACROSS THE NRN
PLAINS DURING THE DAY AND INTO THE MID MS AND OH VALLEYS OVERNIGHT.
HEIGHT FALLS WILL EXTEND SWD INTO NRN MEXICO AND TX AS WELL WITH A
SRN STREAM DISTURBANCE WHICH WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO
OVERNIGHT.

AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SWD ACROSS CNTRL
AND SRN TX DURING THE DAY...EXTENDING EWD INTO SRN LA BY 00Z. S OF
THIS FRONT...LOW TO MID 60S F DEWPOINTS WILL EXIST...AND WILL
COMBINE WITH DAYTIME HEATING TO PRODUCE MARGINAL INSTABILITY ACROSS
THE BIG BEND AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. TO THE E...STRONGER
FORCING WITH THE UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN AN
EXPANSION OF PRECIPITATION AND WEAK THUNDERSTORMS FROM NERN TX INTO
MS.

...BIG BEND REGION IN TX...
WHILE STRONG HEATING WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE SAGGING COLD
FRONT...DEEP SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW SUGGESTS THAT CAPPING WILL BE AN
ISSUE. MODELS GENERALLY ONLY SHOW A BRIEF PERIOD IN TIME AND SPACE
FOR SURFACE BASED CONVECTION NEAR THE FRONT. AFTER THIS SHORT WINDOW
PASSES...THE FRONT WILL UNDERCUT THE AREA. CONVECTION-ALLOWING
MODELS SHOW THE BEST THREAT OF STORMS TO BE ACROSS THE RIO
GRANDE...WITH ONLY RAIN AND WEAK STORMS CROSSING EWD OVERNIGHT.
LESSER INSTABILITY OVERNIGHT AND LACK OF AN APPRECIABLE LOW-LEVEL
JET SUGGEST STORMS WILL NOT BE SEVERE.

...ARKLATEX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY...
LIFT WILL INCREASE DURING THE EVENING WITH THE UPPER TROUGH AND COLD
FRONT. WHILE THE SURFACE LAYER WILL BE STABLE...FORECAST SOUNDINGS
AS WELL AS WEAK SWLY FLOW AROUND 850 MB SUGGEST WEAK ELEVATED
INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT. STRONG FORCING MAY HELP COMPENSATE FOR
THE WEAK INSTABILITY...WITH A FEW STRONGER CORES CAPABLE OF SMALL
HAIL POSSIBLE GIVEN FAVORABLE EFFECTIVE SHEAR AND COOL TEMPERATURES
ALOFT. HOWEVER...THE THREAT OF SEVERE HAIL SHOULD BE LOW.

..JEWELL/COHEN.. 02/25/2014

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KDMX [250501]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 250501
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1101 PM CST MON FEB 24 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 PM SNOW MASON CITY 43.15N 93.20W
02/24/2014 M1.0 INCH CERRO GORDO IA BROADCAST MEDIA

AT KIMT TV STUDIO.


&&

$$

BF

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KDMX [250500]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 250500
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1100 PM CST MON FEB 24 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1045 PM SNOW DES MOINES 41.58N 93.62W
02/24/2014 M2.8 INCH POLK IA BROADCAST MEDIA

AT KCCI TV STUDIO.


&&

$$

BF

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