DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 070029
SWODY1
SPC AC 070027

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0627 PM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

VALID 070100Z - 071200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL THROUGH S FL...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE GULF STREAM SWWD THROUGH CNTRL FL AND
INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. TRENDS IN WV IMAGERY INDICATE SIGNIFICANT
DRYING ALOFT OVER THE GULF SPREADING EWD INTO FL PENINSULA. THIS IS
CONSISTENT WITH THE 00Z RAOB FROM TAMPA WHICH SHOWS SUBSTANTIAL
DRYING AT AND ABOVE 700 MB HAS OCCURRED SINCE 12Z. A FEW SHOWERS
REMAIN POSSIBLE IN THE S FL WARM SECTOR THIS EVENING...BUT A
STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER AND INCREASING SUBSIDENCE/DRYING ALOFT
WILL MITIGATE PROSPECTS FOR THUNDERSTORMS.

..DIAL.. 11/07/2012

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KDLH [062055]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 062055
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
255 PM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0247 PM SNOW EXELAND 45.67N 91.24W
11/06/2012 M3.0 INCH SAWYER WI TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL OVER THE PREVIOUS 8 HOURS. ROADS ARE WET BUT
CLEAR OF SNOW.


&&

$$

KK

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KGRB [061951]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 061951
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
151 PM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 PM SNOW WINCHESTER 46.21N 89.90W
11/06/2012 M1.5 INCH VILAS WI CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 061933
SWODY1
SPC AC 061931

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0131 PM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

VALID 062000Z - 071200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

WLY FLOW IS DEEPENING ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA AND LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE WILL LIKELY PROVE INSUFFICIENT FOR TSTM ACTIVITY ACROSS
MOST OF THE REGION. ONE AREA WHERE SHOWERS MAY BRIEFLY PRODUCE
LIGHTNING WILL BE ALONG THE SWRN COAST OF FL IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO
ONGOING CONVECTION. EVEN SO COVERAGE WILL REMAIN SPARSE.

..DARROW.. 11/06/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1019 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012/

...FL...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK
COLD FRONT SAGS SOUTHWARD INTO THE REGION. WHILE AN ISOLATED STRONG
STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT...IT APPEARS THAT THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL DOES NOT WARRANT 5 PERCENT PROBABILITIES TODAY.

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KLCH [061753]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KLCH 061753
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1153 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0413 PM HAIL 4 S LAKE CHARLES 30.15N 93.20W
11/05/2012 E0.25 INCH CALCASIEU LA PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTS VIA FACEBOOK, DIME SIZE HAIL ALONG CAL CAM
RD.

0418 PM HAIL MERMENTAU 30.18N 92.58W
11/05/2012 E0.50 INCH JEFFERSON DAVIS LA BROADCAST MEDIA

KATC RELAYED A PUBLIC REPORT OF MARBLE SIZE HAIL NEAR
MERMENTAU.

0440 PM HAIL 1 S CROWLEY 30.20N 92.38W
11/05/2012 E0.25 INCH ACADIA LA PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTS VIA FACEBOOK PEA SIZE HAIL JUST SOUTH OF
CROWLEY.

0458 PM FUNNEL CLOUD W LAFAYETTE 30.22N 92.03W
11/05/2012 LAFAYETTE LA PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTS A FUNNEL CLOUD SIGHTING NEAR LAFAYETTE ON
AMBASSADOR CAFFERY RD.

0525 PM HAIL SULPHUR 30.23N 93.36W
11/05/2012 E0.88 INCH CALCASIEU LA PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTS NICKEL SIZE HAIL NEAR SULPHUR

0529 PM HAIL LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
11/05/2012 E1.00 INCH CALCASIEU LA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

LAKE CHARLES FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTS QUARTER SIZE HAIL ON
HWY 27 AND HOUSTON RIVER RD.

0530 PM FUNNEL CLOUD WESTLAKE 30.25N 93.26W
11/05/2012 CALCASIEU LA PUBLIC

RED CROSS REPORTS A POSSIBLE FUNNEL CLOUD OVER WESTLAKE

0531 PM HAIL SULPHUR 30.23N 93.36W
11/05/2012 E0.25 INCH CALCASIEU LA NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS PEA SIZE HAIL ALONG EXIT 22 IN
SULPHUR

0535 PM HAIL LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
11/05/2012 E0.50 INCH CALCASIEU LA NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AT RIVER OAKS
APARTMENT COMPLEX ALONG NELSON RD IN LAKE CHARLES.

0535 PM HAIL LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
11/05/2012 E0.88 INCH CALCASIEU LA NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN LAKE
CHARLES.

0535 PM HAIL LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
11/05/2012 E1.00 INCH CALCASIEU LA PUBLIC

NWS VOLUNTEER REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT THE CORNER OF
LAKE ST AND COUNTRY CLUB RD IN LAKE CHARLES

0536 PM HAIL LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
11/05/2012 E1.00 INCH CALCASIEU LA NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN LAKE CHARLES

0536 PM TSTM WND GST LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
11/05/2012 E60.00 MPH CALCASIEU LA NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS OF 50-60 MPH IN
LAKE CHARLES

0537 PM HAIL 4 S LAKE CHARLES 30.15N 93.20W
11/05/2012 E1.00 INCH CALCASIEU LA PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTS QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL VIA THE
SUBMIT A STORM REPORT PROGRAM.

0538 PM HAIL LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
11/05/2012 E0.50 INCH CALCASIEU LA EMERGENCY MNGR

CALCASIEU PARISH EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS MARBLE SIZE
HAIL ALONG NELSON RD IN LAKE CHARLES

0539 PM HAIL LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
11/05/2012 E0.88 INCH CALCASIEU LA NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN LAKE
CHARLES

0540 PM HAIL LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
11/05/2012 E0.50 INCH CALCASIEU LA PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTS MARBLE SIZE HAIL IN LAKE CHARLES

0540 PM HAIL LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
11/05/2012 E1.00 INCH CALCASIEU LA NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AT
THE CORNER OF NELSON RD AND COUNTRY CLUB RD IN LAKE
CHARLES. TREES PARTIALLY STRIPPED OF LEAVES.

0540 PM HAIL LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
11/05/2012 E0.50 INCH CALCASIEU LA NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS DIME SIZE HAIL IN THE CITY OF LAKE
CHARLES

0540 PM TSTM WND DMG SULPHUR 30.23N 93.36W
11/05/2012 CALCASIEU LA PUBLIC

HOLES IN ROOF AND SIDES OF A MOBILE HOME AT 2858 AVENDALE
ST.

0542 PM HAIL LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
11/05/2012 E1.00 INCH CALCASIEU LA PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTS QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND POWER OUTAGES ON BIG
LAKE RD IN LAKE CHARLES

0542 PM TSTM WND GST LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
11/05/2012 M69.00 MPH CALCASIEU LA ASOS

LAKE CHARLES ASOS MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 69 MPH.

0550 PM HAIL 4 S LAKE CHARLES 30.15N 93.20W
11/05/2012 E0.50 INCH CALCASIEU LA NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS MARBLE SIZE HAIL SOUTH OF LAKE
CHARLES.

0551 PM TSTM WND DMG LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
11/05/2012 CALCASIEU LA NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS A TREE UPROOTED ON COUNTRY CLUB RD
NEAR ALBERTSONS IN LAKE CHARLES. TREE IS LEANING ON A
NEARBY BUILDING

0625 PM TSTM WND DMG BROUSSARD 30.15N 91.97W
11/05/2012 LAFAYETTE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAFAYETTE SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTS NUMEROUS TREES AND
PUBLIC SIGNS BLOWN DOWN.

0640 PM TSTM WND DMG BROUSSARD 30.15N 91.97W
11/05/2012 LAFAYETTE LA BROADCAST MEDIA

KATC REPORTS WIND DAMAGE ALONG HWY 90 AND ALBERTSONS
DRIVE IN BROUSSARD. AN 18 WHEELER WAS ALSO FLIPPED ONTO A
SIGN

0640 PM HAIL ST. MARTINVILLE 30.12N 91.83W
11/05/2012 E1.00 INCH ST. MARTIN LA PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTS VIA SPOTTER NETWORK QUARTER SIZE HAIL,
WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND SMALL TREE LIMBS DOWN IN ST
MARTINVILLE

0645 PM TSTM WND DMG LAFAYETTE 30.22N 92.03W
11/05/2012 LAFAYETTE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAFAYETTE SHERIFFS DEPARTMENT REPORTS A CAR FLIPPED OVER
NEAR BROUSSARD.

0700 PM TSTM WND GST 10 SW ROCKEFELLER WILDL 29.59N 92.90W
11/05/2012 M60.00 MPH GMZ452 LA PUBLIC

REPORT FROM PLATFORM IN EAST CAMERON BLOCK 14.

0730 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 28 SSW ROCKEFELLER WILD 29.31N 92.96W
11/05/2012 E40.00 MPH GMZ472 LA PUBLIC

REPORT FROM PLATFORM IN EAST CAMERON BLOCK 81.

0850 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 39 S PECAN ISLAND 29.09N 92.52W
11/05/2012 M60.00 MPH GMZ472 LA PUBLIC

REPORT FROM PLATFORM IN VERMILION BLOCK 119.

0945 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 54 SSE PECAN ISLAND 28.91N 92.16W
11/05/2012 E40.00 MPH GMZ472 XX PUBLIC

WINDS SUSTAINED 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS FOR 10 MINUTES
REPORTED BY PLATFORM IN VERMILION BLOCK 171.


&&

$$

MOGGED

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 061712
SWODY2
SPC AC 061711

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1111 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...PACIFIC NW...

WEAK SHORT-WAVE RIDGING WILL BUILD INTO THE PACIFIC NW EARLY IN THE
PERIOD IN THE WAKE OF INLAND EJECTING MID LEVEL SPEED MAX. WHILE
POST FRONTAL ONSHORE FLOW MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED SHOWERS DUE TO
SFC-3KM LAPSE RATES APPROACHING 8 C/KM...CLOUD HEIGHTS MAY NOT REACH
LEVELS NECESSARY FOR LIGHTNING DISCHARGE. ADDITIONALLY...SHALLOW
CONVECTION MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY LATE NIGHT TROUGH AS IT DIGS INTO WRN
WA/ORE BUT COOL PROFILES SUGGESTS LIGHTNING WILL BE SPARSE WITH THIS
ACTIVITY AS WELL. AS A RESULT...COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF UPDRAFTS
DO NOT WARRANT A TSTM OUTLOOK THIS PERIOD.

..DARROW.. 11/06/2012

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KARX [061700]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 061700
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1100 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW CALMAR 43.18N 91.87W
11/06/2012 E0.2 INCH WINNESHIEK IA PUBLIC
24 HOURS.

0700 AM SNOW MATHER 3NW 44.17N 90.35W
11/06/2012 E0.5 INCH JACKSON WI PUBLIC
24 HOURS.

0700 AM SNOW SPRING GROVE 4N 43.61N 91.62W
11/06/2012 E0.1 INCH HOUSTON MN PUBLIC
24 HOURS.

0700 AM SNOW TUNNEL CITY 44.01N 90.57W
11/06/2012 E0.4 INCH MONROE WI PUBLIC
24 HOURS.

0700 AM SNOW WILLARD ROCK DAM 44.73N 90.84W
11/06/2012 E0.3 INCH CLARK WI PUBLIC
24 HOURS.

0800 AM SNOW MEDFORD 45.13N 90.34W
11/06/2012 E0.5 INCH TAYLOR WI PUBLIC
24 HOURS.

1044 AM SNOW LA CROSSE NWS 43.82N 91.19W
11/06/2012 E0.6 INCH LA CROSSE WI PUBLIC
12 HOURS.

&&
OBSERVATIONS ARE COLLECTED FROM A VARIETY OF SOURCES WITH VARYING
EQUIPMENT AND EXPOSURE. NOT ALL DATA LISTED IS CONSIDERED OFFICIAL.

$$

DTJ

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 061621
SWODY1
SPC AC 061619

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1019 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

VALID 061630Z - 071200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...FL...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK
COLD FRONT SAGS SOUTHWARD INTO THE REGION. WHILE AN ISOLATED STRONG
STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT...IT APPEARS THAT THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL DOES NOT WARRANT 5 PERCENT PROBABILITIES TODAY.

..HART/MOSIER.. 11/06/2012

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KLCH [061608]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 061608
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1008 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 28 SSW ROCKEFELLER WILD 29.31N 92.96W
11/05/2012 E40 MPH GMZ472 LA PUBLIC

REPORT FROM PLATFORM IN EAST CAMERON BLOCK 81.


&&

$$

MOGGED

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KOUN [061558]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 061558
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
958 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 N SNYDER 34.76N 98.95W
10/13/2012 KIOWA OK PARK/FOREST SRVC

TREES AND LARGE LIMBS DOWNED

0254 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W BINGER 35.31N 98.36W
10/13/2012 CADDO OK POST OFFICE

TREES DOWN

0255 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 S BINGER 35.29N 98.34W
10/13/2012 CADDO OK POST OFFICE

TREES DOWN

1030 PM FLASH FLOOD COLBERT 33.86N 96.50W
10/13/2012 BRYAN OK EMERGENCY MNGR

FLOODING AT THE SOUTHERN POINTE LIVING CENTER FROM
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL


&&

$$

MA

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KGRB [061517]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 061517
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
917 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0815 AM SNOW PITTSVILLE 44.45N 90.13W
11/06/2012 M0.5 INCH WOOD WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0820 AM SNOW BABCOCK 44.29N 90.13W
11/06/2012 M0.5 INCH WOOD WI CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

SAC

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KDLH [061457]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 061457
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
857 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM SNOW SILVER BAY 47.29N 91.28W
11/06/2012 M0.2 INCH LAKE MN CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

RS

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KDLH [061451]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 061451
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
851 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0618 AM SNOW ELY 47.91N 91.85W
11/06/2012 M1.0 INCH ST. LOUIS MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0650 AM SNOW PHILLIPS 45.70N 90.40W
11/06/2012 M0.2 INCH PRICE WI TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

RS

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KDLH [061448]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 061448
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
848 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0847 AM SNOW ELY 47.91N 91.85W
11/06/2012 E0.8 INCH ST. LOUIS MN TRAINED SPOTTER

SLUSHY...WET SNOW.

0847 AM SNOW BABBITT 47.65N 91.94W
11/06/2012 E0.5 INCH ST. LOUIS MN TRAINED SPOTTER

WET SLUSHY SNOW

0847 AM SNOW KNIFE RIVER 46.95N 91.78W
11/06/2012 M1.0 INCH LAKE MN CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

RS

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KARX [061440]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 061440
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
0840 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW LA FARGE 43.57N 90.64W
11/06/2012 E0.1 INCH VERNON WI PUBLIC
24 HOURS.

0700 AM SNOW MONONA 43.04N 91.40W
11/06/2012 E0.5 INCH CLAYTON IA PUBLIC
24 HOURS.

0700 AM SNOW ONTARIO 3E 43.72N 90.60W
11/06/2012 E0.2 INCH VERNON WI PUBLIC
24 HOURS.

0700 AM SNOW WESTBY 3ENE 43.68N 90.81W
11/06/2012 E0.1 INCH VERNON WI PUBLIC
24 HOURS.

0800 AM SNOW OWEN 44.98N 90.55W
11/06/2012 E0.9 INCH CLARK WI PUBLIC
24 HOURS.

0806 AM SNOW LONGWOOD 44.88N 90.60W
11/06/2012 E0.8 INCH CLARK WI PUBLIC
12 HOURS.

0819 AM SNOW LA CROSSE NWS 43.82N 91.19W
11/06/2012 E0.5 INCH LA CROSSE WI PUBLIC
12 HOURS.

0820 AM SNOW WEST SALEM 43.90N 91.10W
11/06/2012 E0.1 INCH LA CROSSE WI PUBLIC
12 HOURS.

&&
OBSERVATIONS ARE COLLECTED FROM A VARIETY OF SOURCES WITH VARYING
EQUIPMENT AND EXPOSURE. NOT ALL DATA LISTED IS CONSIDERED OFFICIAL.

$$

DTJ/SHEA

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KJAN [061431]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 061431
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
831 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0713 PM HAIL FLORA 32.55N 90.31W
11/05/2012 E0.75 INCH MADISON MS PUBLIC


&&

$$

17

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KGRB [061344]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 061344
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
744 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0742 AM SNOW MANITOWISH WATERS 46.13N 89.88W
11/06/2012 M0.1 INCH VILAS WI CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

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KLCH [061302]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 061302
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
702 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 54 SSE PECAN ISLAND 28.91N 92.16W
11/05/2012 E40 MPH GMZ472 XX PUBLIC

WINDS SUSTAINED 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS FOR 10 MINUTES
REPORTED BY PLATFORM IN VERMILION BLOCK 171.


&&

$$

MOGGED

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KLCH [061251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 061251
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
651 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0850 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 39 S PECAN ISLAND 29.09N 92.52W
11/05/2012 M60 MPH GMZ472 LA PUBLIC

REPORT FROM PLATFORM IN VERMILION BLOCK 119.


&&

$$

MOGGED

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KLCH [061227]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 061227
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
627 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM TSTM WND GST 10 SW ROCKEFELLER WILDL 29.59N 92.90W
11/05/2012 M60 MPH GMZ452 LA PUBLIC

REPORT FROM PLATFORM IN EAST CAMERON BLOCK 14.


&&

$$

MOGGED

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 061220
SWODY1
SPC AC 061217

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0617 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

VALID 061300Z - 071200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A SWATH OF STRONG DEEP-LAYER NWLY FLOW...ON THE ERN FLANK OF A HIGH
AMPLITUDE LARGE SCALE RIDGE OVER THE WEST AND NRN ROCKIES...EXTENDS
ACROSS THE PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY BEFORE ENTERING THE BASE OF A
PRONOUNCED SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER AL. THIS POTENT MID/UPPER
DISTURBANCE WILL PROMOTE SIGNIFICANT EAST COAST CYCLOGENESIS LATER
TODAY AS STRENGTHENING ASCENT AND LOWERING STATIC STABILITY ALIGN
FAVORABLY WITH COASTAL BAROCLINIC ZONE EAST OF THE CAROLINAS. EARLY
STAGE OF THIS DEVELOPMENT PROCESS WAS UNDERWAY OVER THE NERN GULF
THIS MORNING WHERE A PERSISTENT COMPLEX OF TSTMS WAS COINCIDENT WITH
A WEAK FRONTAL WAVE MOVING TOWARD THE FL WEST COAST.

...WRN/SCNTRL FL...
ONGOING MCS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL WAVE AND LARGE SCALE LIFT
AND DESTABILIZATION NEAR/WITHIN THE BASE OF THE MID/UPPER TROUGH
WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE FL WEST COAST AND TAMPA BAY AREA OVER THE
NEXT 1-2 HOURS...AND POSSIBLY INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL FL LATER THIS
MORNING. LARGE SCALE SUPPORT TO SUSTAIN MORE ROBUST CONVECTION NEAR
THE WAVE AND TRAILING FRONT WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY REMOVED FROM
THE AREA AS HEIGHT FALLS WITH THE UPPER TROUGH SHIFT ENEWD AWAY FROM
SRN FL AND TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COASTLINE. THIS MAY ALREADY BE
OCCURRING BASED ON IR CLOUD TOP WARMING AND DECREASE IN LIGHTNING
COVERAGE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS ACROSS THE NERN GULF. TBW SOUNDING
CURRENTLY INDICATES A MODEST NEAR SFC-BASED INVERSION AND
DESTABILIZATION OVER LAND AREAS IS FORECAST TO REMAIN LIMITED. A
POSSIBLE EXCEPTION MAY BE A NARROW CORRIDOR OF SOMEWHAT GREATER
INSTABILITY DEVELOPING IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE DECAYING MCS...FROM
NEAR/SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE LATER THIS MORNING. GIVEN
THE PROSPECT OF AT LEAST WEAK SFC-BASED DESTABILIZATION DEVELOPING
IN THIS CORRIDOR...AND STRENGTH OF DEEP-LAYER FLOW SUPPORTIVE OF
SOME STORM ORGANIZATION...SMALL LOW PROBABILITY SEVERE TSTM HAIL AND
WIND AREAS HAVE BEEN INTRODUCED IN THIS UPDATE.

..CARBIN/LEITMAN.. 11/06/2012

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KDLH [061219]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 061219
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
619 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 AM SNOW INTERNATIONAL FALLS 48.59N 93.41W
11/06/2012 M0.4 INCH KOOCHICHING MN OFFICIAL NWS OBS

MIXED WITH RAIN OVERNIGHT

0618 AM SNOW ELY 47.91N 91.85W
11/06/2012 M1.0 INCH ST. LOUIS MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

GRANING

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KDLH [061134]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 061134
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
534 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0534 AM SNOW BUTTERNUT 46.01N 90.50W
11/06/2012 M0.5 INCH ASHLAND WI CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

GRANING

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 060836
SWOD48
SPC AC 060836

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0236 AM CST TUE NOV 06 2012

VALID 091200Z - 141200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT DEPICTING A LARGE TROUGH WHICH WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE WRN STATES ON FRI/D4...WITH AN INTENSIFYING JET CORE
NOSING INTO CO BY 12Z SAT. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT...EXTENDING FROM WRN MN SWWD ACROSS CNTRL NEB AND INTO
WRN KS BY LATE AFTERNOON SAT. SUBSTANTIAL HEIGHT FALLS AND COOLING
ALOFT WILL ACCOMPANY THIS COLD FRONT...AND STORMS WILL EASILY ERUPT
ALONG IT.

HEATING IS EXPECTED TO HELP DESTABILIZE THE AIR MASS FROM KS INTO
NEB...WITH LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATE PLUME POSSIBLY EXTENDING AS FAR N AS
SWRN MN. WITH DEWPOINTS ONLY IN THE UPPER 50S F...INSTABILITY LEVELS
ARE FORECAST TO BE MARGINAL WITH AROUND 1000 J/KG MUCAPE. CAPPING
SHOULD HAMPER DEVELOPMENT AWAY FROM THE FRONT DUE TO COOL BOUNDARY
LAYER TEMPERATURES. ALL THIS SUGGESTS A LINEAR STORM MODE IS LIKELY.
WHILE DEEP SHEAR WILL BE ORIENTED ALONG THE BOUNDARY...SUGGESTING
CELLS MERGING...HODOGRAPHS WILL FAVOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINAL HAIL. WITH SUCH STRONG SHEAR...A FEW
BOWING SEGMENTS MAY PRODUCE PARTICULARLY DAMAGING WINDS.

SAT NIGHT...THE MAIN ENERGY WITH THIS TROUGH WILL EJECT NEWD INTO
THE UPPER MS VALLEY...WHILE THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE SEWD
ACROSS INTO IA...MO...AND OK. ALTHOUGH NUMEROUS STORMS ARE LIKELY TO
EXTEND SWWD INTO OK SAT NIGHT...THE OVERALL THREAT WILL BE LIMITED
BY MARGINAL INSTABILITY.

SOME SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO SUN/D6...FROM ERN OK
INTO AR...NERN TX AND NRN LA. DAMAGING WINDS WILL AGAIN BE THE MOST
LIKELY THREAT WITH A SQUALL LINE...BUT VERY POOR LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ARE FORECAST AND INSTABILITY WILL BE MARGINAL. IN
ADDITION...MODELS ARE IN RELATIVELY POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS PORTION
OF THE TROUGH WHICH WILL PRECLUDE ANY FURTHER AREAS.

..JEWELL.. 11/06/2012

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 060510
SWODY1
SPC AC 060508

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1108 PM CST MON NOV 05 2012

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A MID/UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PIVOT AROUND A BROADER AREA OF
CYCLONIC FLOW COVERING THE ERN CONUS...WHICH WILL BE REINFORCED OVER
ITS WRN FLANK BY A DISTURBANCE SHIFTING SSEWD ACROSS THE MS VALLEY.
A SFC LOW WILL DEVELOP ENEWD/NEWD ALONG A FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING
FROM THE NERN GULF OF MEXICO ACROSS N FL AND INTO THE WRN N
ATLANTIC. THE LOW WILL TAKE MORE OF A NWD TRACK TONIGHT OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST WHILE RAPIDLY DEEPENING OWING TO THE INCREASING
SPATIAL PROXIMITY BETWEEN THE MID/UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND THE SFC
LOW/BAROCLINIC ZONE ATOP THE WARM GULF STREAM WATERS. ANY
RESIDUAL...SFC-BASED...INLAND WARM SECTOR OVER THE SERN CONUS WILL
BE PROGRESSIVELY SHUNTED OFFSHORE AS THE FRONT TRAILING SWWD FROM
THE SFC LOW CLEARS FL FROM NW TO SE.

...THE FL PENINSULA TODAY...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING THIS MORNING OVER THE NERN GULF
OF MEXICO INVOF THE SFC FRONT. THE MOST INTENSE STORMS WILL BE FOUND
IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO THE FRONTAL LOW...WITH AN ACCOMPANYING
THREAT FOR STRONG CONVECTIVE WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 12Z AND 17Z ACROSS
THE WRN FL COAST FROM SRN PARTS OF THE FL BIG BEND TO NEAR TAMPA BAY
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. AN ISOLATED SVR WIND GUST CANNOT BE
COMPLETELY RULED OUT IN THIS REGION DURING THE MORNING
HOURS...ESPECIALLY IF ORGANIZED BOWING SEGMENTS CAN BE MAINTAINED
THROUGH THE NIGHT OVER THE RELATIVELY WARMER...MORE MOIST...AND
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS OVERLAYING THE NERN GULF WATERS. THE
PRESENCE OF 50-65 KT OF 500-MB FLOW WILL OFFER SUFFICIENT DEEP SHEAR
FOR SUCH RISK.

HOWEVER...FACTORS THAT WILL LARGELY MITIGATE THE SVR POTENTIAL OVER
LAND INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING: /1/ THE LACK OF DIURNAL HEATING
HINDERING INLAND DESTABILIZATION...THUS LESSENING THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONGER CONVECTION TO BE MAINTAINED OVER LAND AND REDUCING THE
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS TO BE MANIFESTED AT THE SFC...
/2/ THE RELATIVELY WEAK LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD SURROUNDING THE FRONTAL
LOW AS IT CROSSES N FL...AND /3/ THE STRONGER 500-MB HEIGHT
FALLS/ASCENT RESIDING NORTH OF THE FL WARM SECTOR. AS SUCH...SVR
PROBABILITIES HAVE NOT BEEN INTRODUCED...WITH THE MORE SUBSTANTIAL
SVR THREAT LIKELY REMAINING OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF THE NERN
GULF EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

BY EARLY AFTERNOON...MID/UPPER ASCENT ACCOMPANYING THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY SPATIALLY REMOVED FROM THE FRONT AS
IT PROGRESSES SEWD ACROSS FL. AS SUCH...FRONTAL ASCENT WILL BECOME
MORE SHALLOW...AND FRONTAL CONVERGENCE/ASCENT WILL DECREASE WITH
TIME. WITH ONLY MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND MODEST PW AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...STORMS WILL LIKELY DECREASE IN NUMBER/INTENSITY THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AS THEY NEAR SOUTH FL...ESPECIALLY IF CONVECTIVE DEBRIS
CLOUDS FURTHER MITIGATE DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION.

..COHEN/BUNTING.. 11/06/2012

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