KRNK [120228]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 120228
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
928 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0517 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 NNW DILLWYN 37.59N 78.50W
11/11/2009 BUCKINGHAM VA EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 20.

0709 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 SE DILLWYN 37.50N 78.41W
11/11/2009 BUCKINGHAM VA EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 INJ *** A 4 FOOT DIAMETER TREE FELL ONTO HIGHWAY
60. A VEHICLE CRASHED INTO IT RESULTING IN ONE PERSON
BEING INJURED. EXTENT OF INJURY UNKNOWN.

0830 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BUCKINGHAM 37.55N 78.55W
11/11/2009 BUCKINGHAM VA EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN END OF THE
COUNTY.

&&

$$

WHP

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 120045
SWODY1
SPC AC 120044

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0644 PM CST WED NOV 11 2009

VALID 120100Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CSTL ORE/WA...
MID-LVL DISTURBANCE JUST W OF VANCOUVER ISLAND AT 00Z WILL TURN ESE
INTO WRN ORE LATER THIS EVENING...SUPPORTING NUMEROUS SHOWERS. 00Z
SALEM SOUNDING EXHIBITED SBCAPE OF 258 J/KG WITH POTENTIAL
CONVECTIVE TOWER TOPS REACHING WELL INTO THE ICING LAYER. ADDED
LARGER SCALE LIFT THIS EVENING COUPLED WITH MOIST ONSHORE FLOW AND
CONTINUED COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SPORADIC
TSTMS...PRIMARILY ALONG/W OF THE CSTL RANGES FROM SWRN WA INTO
WCNTRL ORE. SMALL HAIL/GRAUPEL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...CSTL/OUTER BANKS NC...
AT 00Z...A SFC LOW WAS CONSOLIDATING ABOUT 35 NM ESE OF KILM WITH
ANTICIPATED MOVEMENT TAKING IT NEAR/JUST E OF THE OUTER BANKS
OVERNIGHT. MHX RAOB THIS EVENING EXHIBITED NO THERMAL
BUOYANCY...WITH SATL/LIGHTNING DETECTOR SHOWING MORE ROBUST
CONVECTION ABOUT 80 NM OFFSHORE SERN NC. MEAGER DESTABILIZATION MAY
OCCUR OVER CSTL/OUTER BANKS OF NC LATER TONIGHT AS THE SFC LOW MOVES
CLOSER TO THE REGION WITH ISOLD TSTMS POSSIBLE. MOST OF THE STORMS
WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE...HOWEVER.

..RACY.. 11/12/2009

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KILM [120034]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 120034
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
734 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0713 PM FLOOD HAMPSTEAD 34.37N 77.72W
11/11/2009 PENDER NC COUNTY OFFICIAL

HIGHWAY 210 EASTBOUND IN EASTERN PENDER COUNTY REMAINS
CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING. OLDE POINT AND COUNTRY CLUB ROADS
IN HAMPSTEAD REMAINS CLOSED DUE TO WATER OVER THE
ROADWAYS.

&&

$$

COLBY

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KPQR [112341]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 112341
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
340 PM PST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0222 PM FUNNEL CLOUD SALEM 44.92N 123.02W
11/11/2009 MARION OR BROADCAST MEDIA

FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED OVER SALEM AIRPORT. IT DID NOT
TOUCH GROUND.

0220 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 5 SW MCMINNVILLE 45.16N 123.26W
11/11/2009 YAMHILL OR BROADCAST MEDIA

FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED OVER RIVERBEND LANDFILL. IT DID NOT
TOUCH GROUND. ALSO REPORTED HAIL.

&&

$$

LRAMIREZ

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KRNK [112244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 112244
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
543 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM FLOOD RINGGOLD 36.60N 79.30W
11/11/2009 PITTSYLVANIA VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

CREEKS OUT OF THEIR BANKS IN THE RINGGOLD AREA

0330 PM FLOOD GRETNA 36.95N 79.37W
11/11/2009 PITTSYLVANIA VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

CREEKS OUT OF THEIR BANKS IN THE GRETNA AREA

&&

$$

JJACKSON

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 111931
SWODY1
SPC AC 111929

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0129 PM CST WED NOV 11 2009

VALID 112000Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...20Z UPDATE...
THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY NEGLIGIBLE
ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. SURFACE WINDS HAVE VEERED TO WESTERLY
OVER ALL BUT IMMEDIATE SOUTHEASTERN COASTAL AREAS...AND GRADUAL
LOW-LEVEL DRYING COUPLED WITH SUBSIDENT...WARMING MID- LEVELS WILL
ACT TO SUPPRESS DEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. FARTHER TO THE
NORTH...THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING ALONG A PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE
ZONE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC. WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR OF A
SLOWLY DEEPENING SURFACE CYCLONE...THIS ACTIVITY LIKELY WILL REMAIN
OFFSHORE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
BUT...DESTABILIZATION WITHIN A AN ELEVATED WARM ADVECTION REGION
ALONG A LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC BAROCLINIC ZONE COULD STILL BECOME
SUPPORTIVE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA INTO THE SOUTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA...AS THE LOW MIGRATES
NORTHEASTWARD TONIGHT.

..KERR.. 11/11/2009

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1027 AM CST WED NOV 11 2009/

...SOUTHEAST COAST...
GREATEST COVERAGE OF DEEP MOIST CONVECTION/THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
REMAIN OFF THE CAROLINA COAST FOR MUCH OF THE DAY AS ASCENT
TRANSLATES ENEWD OFFSHORE. WV IMAGERY INDICATES INTENSE SUBSIDENCE
EXTENDING ACROSS NRN FL...WITH MORE FOCUSED VORTICITY MOVING INTO
UPSTATE SC THIS MORNING. THIS IMPULSE WILL CONTINUE EWD AND MAY
SUSTAIN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS INTO ERN SC/FAR SERN NC THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AS SURFACE LOW ADVANCES EWD OFF THE GA/SC COAST...BUT
OVERALL COVERAGE INLAND WILL LIKELY REMAIN LIMITED.

DEEP MOIST CONVECTION SHOULD ALSO PERSIST ACROSS SRN FL THROUGH THE
MID TO LATE AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF SURFACE COLD FRONT SAGGING SEWD
INTO THE CENTRAL PENINSULA. THIS REGION WILL REMAIN WITHIN
SUBSIDENT FLOW AND WEAKENING SURFACE CONVERGENCE WHICH SHOULD LIMIT
OVERALL THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

...PAC NW COAST...
ANOTHER COMPACT IMPULSE EVIDENT ON WV IMAGERY DIVING SSEWD ALONG THE
BC COAST SHOULD MOVE INTO THE WA/ORE COAST LATER TODAY/TONIGHT.
THIS MAY SUPPORT A FEW LOW-TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND WEST OF
THE COASTAL RANGE.

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KILM [111917]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 111917
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
217 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0156 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 NNW WHITEVILLE 34.41N 78.75W
11/11/2009 M40 MPH COLUMBUS NC TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER 2 MILES SSW OF WOOTENS CROSSROADS MEASURED 40 MPH
WIND GUST ON ROOFTOP ANEMOMETER.

&&

$$

WEISS

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KILM [111818]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KILM 111818
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
118 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1236 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MYRTLE BEACH 33.70N 78.89W
11/11/2009 M48.00 MPH HORRY SC OFFICIAL NWS OBS

48 MPH AT NOS TIDE GAGE AT SPRINGMAID PIER.

&&

$$

BACON

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KILM [111800]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 111800
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
100 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1236 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MYRTLE BEACH 33.70N 78.89W
11/11/2009 M0 MPH HORRY SC OFFICIAL NWS OBS

48 MPH AT NOS TIDE GAGE AT SPRINGMAID PIER.

&&

$$

BACON

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KILM [111758]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 111758
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1258 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1254 PM FLOOD WILMINGTON 34.21N 77.91W
11/11/2009 NEW HANOVER NC NWS EMPLOYEE

4 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER COVERING MORE THAN 1 LANE AT THE
INTERSECTION OF PINE GROVE ROAD AND MASONBORO LOOP ROAD

&&

$$

III

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KRNK [111736]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 111736
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1236 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 N TURBEVILLE 36.68N 79.02W
11/11/2009 HALIFAX VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON RIVER ROAD

0700 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 SE TURBEVILLE 36.56N 78.98W
11/11/2009 HALIFAX VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 693

0730 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 ESE MARTINSVILLE CITY 36.68N 79.85W
11/11/2009 CITY OF MARTINSVIL VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON GRIGGS ROAD.

0730 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 SSW TURBEVILLE 36.57N 79.07W
11/11/2009 HALIFAX VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON MOUNT CARMEL ROAD

0730 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 SW MARTINSVILLE CITY 36.62N 79.92W
11/11/2009 HENRY VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON CHESTNUT KNOB ROAD.

0730 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 NNE INGRAM 36.81N 79.13W
11/11/2009 HALIFAX VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON RIDGEWAY ROAD

0800 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 ESE MOUNT AIRY 36.47N 80.54W
11/11/2009 SURRY NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON HOLLY SPRINGS ROAD.

0800 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG CHATHAM 36.82N 79.40W
11/11/2009 PITTSYLVANIA VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN THROUGHOUT PITTSYLVANIA COUNTY

0800 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 SSW SWANCREEK 36.14N 80.89W
11/11/2009 WILKES NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON OLD 421 YADKIN ROAD.

0800 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG ROCKY MOUNT 37.00N 79.88W
11/11/2009 FRANKLIN VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

4-5 TREES DOWN SPREAD AROUND FRANKLIN COUNTY

0800 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG BEDFORD CITY 37.34N 79.52W
11/11/2009 CITY OF BEDFORD VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES DOWN SCATTERED AROUND BEDFORD COUNTY

0830 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 W REIDSVILLE 36.35N 79.73W
11/11/2009 ROCKINGHAM NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON IRVIN FARM ROAD

0900 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 SW EDEN 36.47N 79.79W
11/11/2009 ROCKINGHAM NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ALONG HARRINGTON HIGHWAY.

0900 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG DANBURY 36.41N 80.21W
11/11/2009 STOKES NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROUGHLY 10-15 TREES DOWN SPREAD OUT THROUGHOUT STOKES
COUNTY.

0900 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 NW REIDSVILLE 36.38N 79.70W
11/11/2009 ROCKINGHAM NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON WENTWORTH STREET.

0900 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 WSW YANCEYVILLE 36.38N 79.41W
11/11/2009 CASWELL NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON COUNTY ROAD

0915 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 SW PROVIDENCE 36.46N 79.44W
11/11/2009 CASWELL NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON PARK SPRINGS ROAD

0930 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 W PROVIDENCE 36.50N 79.44W
11/11/2009 CASWELL NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON GAMMON ROAD

1000 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 6 S PROVIDENCE 36.42N 79.35W
11/11/2009 CASWELL NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON COUNTY HOME ROAD

&&

$$

CHENARD

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KGSP [111728]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 111728
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1228 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM FLOOD SHELBY 35.29N 81.54W
11/11/2009 CLEVELAND NC TRAINED SPOTTER

ONE TREE DOWN JUST OFF NORTH POST RD IN SHELBY.

&&

$$

JPT

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KGSP [111725]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 111725
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1225 PM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM FLOOD FALLSTON 35.43N 81.50W
11/11/2009 CLEVELAND NC TRAINED SPOTTER

ONE TREE DOWN ON BALL PARK RD IN FALSTON.

&&

$$

JPT

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 111722
SWODY2
SPC AC 111721

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1121 AM CST WED NOV 11 2009

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
CONSIDERABLE STRENGTHENING WITHIN A SOUTHERN BRANCH OF THE
PREVAILING SPLIT UPPER FLOW IS NOW UNDERWAY FROM PARTS OF THE
SUBTROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC INTO THE SOUTHWEST. MODELS INDICATE
THAT THIS JET WILL NOSE EASTWARD THROUGH PARTS OF THE ROCKIES AND
CENTRAL PLAINS THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE EXIT REGION OF A
STRONGER NORTHERN BRANCH JET NOSES ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC...
TOWARD THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST. HOWEVER...THROUGH AT LEAST THIS
FORECAST PERIOD...THESE DEVELOPMENTS APPEAR LIKELY TO HAVE LITTLE
IMPACT ON THE DOWNSTREAM SOUTHERN BRANCH CLOSED LOW...CURRENTLY
FORMING OVER THE SOUTH ATLANTIC COAST STATES. GUIDANCE INDICATES
THAT THIS FEATURE WILL REMAIN GENERALLY CUT-OFF FROM THE STRONGER
WESTERLIES...WITH ONLY A GRADUAL EASTWARD PROGRESSION OFF THE COAST
IN RESPONSE TO A SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE IMPULSE PIVOTING AROUND THE
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PERIPHERY OF ITS CIRCULATION CENTER. AS A
RESULT STABLE CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BE MAINTAINED ACROSS MUCH OF
THE NORTH CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND SOUTHEASTERN U.S...WITH
A SUBSTANTIVE RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE SLOW TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF A
DEEPENING LEE SURFACE TROUGH AND COLD FRONT ADVANCING INTO THE
PLAINS.

...SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST...
WHILE THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS
THE COUNTRY...CONVECTION WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS DOES APPEAR
POSSIBLE THURSDAY FROM PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA INTO AT LEAST
THE SOUTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA. THE WARM SECTOR OF AN OCCLUDING
SURFACE CYCLONE WILL PROBABLY REMAIN OFFSHORE...BUT WEAK INSTABILITY
MAY DEVELOP WITHIN A ELEVATED WARM ADVECTION...ALONG A LOWER/MID
TROPOSPHERIC BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING NORTH/NORTHEAST OF THE
CYCLONE CENTER.

..KERR.. 11/11/2009

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KILM [111633]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 111633
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1133 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1128 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 NW LUMBERTON 34.67N 79.06W
11/11/2009 ROBESON NC CO-OP OBSERVER

TREES DOWN ACROSS HIGHWAYS 211, 71, AND 41.

&&

$$

WEISS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 111628
SWODY1
SPC AC 111627

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1027 AM CST WED NOV 11 2009

VALID 111630Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHEAST COAST...
GREATEST COVERAGE OF DEEP MOIST CONVECTION/THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
REMAIN OFF THE CAROLINA COAST FOR MUCH OF THE DAY AS ASCENT
TRANSLATES ENEWD OFFSHORE. WV IMAGERY INDICATES INTENSE SUBSIDENCE
EXTENDING ACROSS NRN FL...WITH MORE FOCUSED VORTICITY MOVING INTO
UPSTATE SC THIS MORNING. THIS IMPULSE WILL CONTINUE EWD AND MAY
SUSTAIN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS INTO ERN SC/FAR SERN NC THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AS SURFACE LOW ADVANCES EWD OFF THE GA/SC COAST...BUT
OVERALL COVERAGE INLAND WILL LIKELY REMAIN LIMITED.

DEEP MOIST CONVECTION SHOULD ALSO PERSIST ACROSS SRN FL THROUGH THE
MID TO LATE AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF SURFACE COLD FRONT SAGGING SEWD
INTO THE CENTRAL PENINSULA. THIS REGION WILL REMAIN WITHIN
SUBSIDENT FLOW AND WEAKENING SURFACE CONVERGENCE WHICH SHOULD LIMIT
OVERALL THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

...PAC NW COAST...
ANOTHER COMPACT IMPULSE EVIDENT ON WV IMAGERY DIVING SSEWD ALONG THE
BC COAST SHOULD MOVE INTO THE WA/ORE COAST LATER TODAY/TONIGHT.
THIS MAY SUPPORT A FEW LOW-TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND WEST OF
THE COASTAL RANGE.

..EVANS/SMITH.. 11/11/2009

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KGSP [111551]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 111551
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1051 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 NE UNC CHARLOTTE 35.32N 80.70W
11/11/2009 MECKLENBURG NC COUNTY OFFICIAL

MALLARD CREEK FLOODED SOCCER FIELD

&&

$$

LG

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KRAH [111500]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 111500
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1000 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM FLASH FLOOD GREENSBORO 36.08N 79.83W
11/11/2009 GUILFORD NC COUNTY OFFICIAL

FLOODING ON NORTH BUFFALO CREEK. WESTOVER AND
BATTLEGROUND ROADS BRIEFLY CLOSED AROUND 9 AM.

&&

$$

MLM

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KGSP [111459]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 111459
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
958 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM FLASH FLOOD 6 SW BRYSON CITY 35.37N 83.52W
11/11/2009 SWAIN NC COUNTY OFFICIAL

NEEDMORE ROAD AT THE LITTLE TENNESSEE RIVER CLOSED DUE TO
FLODING

&&

$$

LG

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KGSP [111455]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 111455
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
955 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 AM FLASH FLOOD BRYSON CITY 35.43N 83.45W
11/11/2009 SWAIN NC COUNTY OFFICIAL

RIVER ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

&&

$$

LG

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KGSP [111440]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 111440
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
939 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0920 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 S CONCORD 35.36N 80.59W
11/11/2009 CABARRUS NC BROADCAST MEDIA

THE ROCKY RIVER AT PHARR MILL AND ROCKY RIVER ROAD IS OUT
OF ITS BANKS. ROADS ARE CLOSED.

&&

$$

LG

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KILM [111402]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 111402
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
901 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0854 AM FLOOD GEORGETOWN 33.36N 79.30W
11/11/2009 GEORGETOWN SC FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

HIGHWAY 17 CLOSED FROM HIGHWAY 701 TO FRONT STREET DUE TO
FLOODING.

&&

$$

WEISS

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KGSP [111343]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KGSP 111343
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
843 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 AM FLASH FLOOD 6 W INMAN 35.05N 82.20W
11/11/2009 SPARTANBURG SC COUNTY OFFICIAL

MOUNT LEBANON ROAD WAS FLOODED DUE TO THE MIDDLE TYGER
RIVER OUT OF ITS BANKS.

&&

$$

PTANNER

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 111253
SWODY1
SPC AC 111252

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0652 AM CST WED NOV 11 2009

VALID 111300Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
REMNANTS OF T.S. IDA HAVE BECOME ABSORBED WITHIN MID LATITUDE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH COMPLEX NOW OVER GA. THE GA SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE
SLOWLY E/ENE TODAY/TONIGHT...BEFORE PHASING WITH NRN STREAM TROUGH
NOW MOVING SE INTO KY. THE RESULTING UPR LOW SHOULD BE CENTERED
ALONG THE NC/SC BORDER BY 12Z THU AS SLOWLY PROGRESSIVE POSITIVE
TILT TROUGH CONTINUES E ACROSS THE E PACIFIC AND PACIFIC NW.

...CSTL CAROLINAS...
ELONGATED SFC LOW WILL PERSIST FROM N FL NEWD ALONG THE GA/SC CSTL
PLN TODAY...BEFORE CONSOLIDATING NEWD OFF THE SRN NC CST TONIGHT AS
UPR LOW AMPLIFIES OVER THE WRN CAROLINAS. TRAILING COLD FRONT AND
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGHS EXTENDING S AND SSW FROM THE SFC LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO BE THE FOCUS FOR SHOWER AND TSTM DEVELOPMENT
TODAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SC/SRN NC CSTL PLN...AND ALONG
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH OVER CNTRL/SRN FL. STORM COVERAGE MAY BE
SOMEWHAT GREATER THAN YESTERDAY GIVEN MID LVL COOLING/ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH AMPLIFYING UPR SYSTEM IN THE CAROLINAS.

ALTHOUGH DEEP WIND FIELD WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS IN THE
CAROLINAS...MOST OF THE CONVECTION THAT DOES OCCUR LIKELY WILL
REMAIN SOMEWHAT ELEVATED ATOP LINGERING LAYER OF SHALLOW COOL AIR.
A CORRIDOR OF LOW LVL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WILL EXIST ALONG SW/NE
WARM/STNRY FRONT OVER THE SC AND SE NC CSTL PLN...WHERE AN
ISOLD/BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT TIL ABOUT MIDDAY. BUT EVEN
IN THIS AREA...OVERALL SVR RISK LOOKS TOO LIMITED TO JUSTIFY
ADDITION OF A LOW PROBABILITIES GIVEN WEAK INSTABILITY AND
LIKELIHOOD FOR ONLY MINIMAL DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION.

LIKELY CONSOLIDATION OF SFC LOW OFF THE NC CST SUGGESTS THAT ANY
ASSOCIATED SVR THREAT WILL REMAIN OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS TONIGHT.

...CNTRL/SRN FL...
FARTHER S...DEEP SHEAR WILL BE CONSIDERABLY WEAKER OVER FL...WHERE
AFTN SBCAPE MAY LOCALLY EXCEED 1000 J/KG ALONG THE E CST. ALTHOUGH
A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY FORM WITH DAYTIME HEATING...SVR THREAT LOOKS
LOW.

..CORFIDI/GARNER.. 11/11/2009

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KFFC [111151]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 111151
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
651 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG HOMER 34.33N 83.50W
11/10/2009 BANKS GA EMERGENCY MNGR

BANKS COUNTY SCHOOLS ARE CLOSED TODAY...DUE TO A MAJOR
POWER OUTAGE. THERE IS A BLACKOUT IN HOMER. TREES HAVE
BEEN REPORTED DOWN ON DAMASCUS ROAD...PRITCHET ROAD...AND
CHRISTMAS TREE ROAD. THE TREE ON CHRISTMAS TREE ROAD ALSO
FELL ON A HORSE...KILLING IT.

&&

$$

TDP

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KGSP [111128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 111128
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
628 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 AM FLASH FLOOD 6 E INMAN 35.05N 81.99W
11/11/2009 SPARTANBURG SC COUNTY OFFICIAL

MOUNT LEBANON ROAD WAS FLOODED DUE TO THE MIDDLE TYGER
RIVER OUT OF ITS BANKS.

&&

$$

KRENTZ

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KGSP [111123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 111123
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
623 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 AM FLASH FLOOD HENDERSONVILLE 35.32N 82.46W
11/11/2009 HENDERSON NC COUNTY OFFICIAL

COUNTY OFFICIALS REPORTED MUD CREEK IS OUT OF ITS BANKS
AND IS FLOODING HWY 25 AND HWY 176. WARLICK RD AND DANA
RD HAVE ALSO BEEN REPORTED FLOODED.

&&

$$

KRENTZ

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KGSP [111001]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 111001
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
501 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 AM FLASH FLOOD SPARTANBURG 34.94N 81.93W
11/11/2009 SPARTANBURG SC COUNTY OFFICIAL

FIRE DEPT CLOSED SOUTH CHURCH STREET AND IRWIN AVE DUE TO
FLOODING.

&&

$$

KRENTZ

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 110834
SWOD48
SPC AC 110834

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0234 AM CST WED NOV 11 2009

VALID 141200Z - 191200Z

...DISCUSSION...

SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN LOW AT LEAST UNTIL DAY 5 WHEN AN UPPER
TROUGH IS FORECAST BY THE MODELS TO AMPLIFY SEWD INTO THE CNTRL AND
SRN PLAINS BEFORE CLOSING OFF BY DAY 6 AND CONTINUING INTO THE MS
VALLEY REGION. GFS...ECMWF AND MOST MREF MEMBERS HAVE TRENDED TOWARD
A SIMILAR SOLUTION REGARDING THE TIMING AND OVERALL EVOLUTION OF
THIS FEATURE. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE DEGREE OF MOISTURE RETURN WHICH
COULD BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED GIVEN LINGERING SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE ERN
U.S. THAT WILL MAINTAIN ENELY LOW LEVEL WINDS OVER THE NERN AND
CNTRL GULF. NEVERTHELESS...BASED ON CURRENT SOLUTIONS AN AXIS OF
PARTIALLY MODIFIED GULF AIR WILL RETURN NWD THROUGH TX...OK AND THE
LOWER MS VALLEY WARM SECTOR AND CONTRIBUTE TO A LEAST MARGINAL
INSTABILITY. WHILE A THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS COULD DEVELOP IN THIS
REGION BY DAY 5 INTO DAY 6...A RISK AREA WILL NOT BE DELINEATED AT
THIS TIME DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR MARGINAL INSTABILITY.

..DIAL.. 11/11/2009

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 110716
SWODY3
SPC AC 110715

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0115 AM CST WED NOV 11 2009

VALID 131200Z - 141200Z

...SYNOPSIS...

UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO CLOSE OFF EAST OF THE NC COAST AND CONTINUE
INTO THE WRN ATLANTIC. FARTHER WEST...A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BROADER UPPER TROUGH. THIS INCLUDES A NRN
STREAM IMPULSE THAT WILL MOVE FROM THE NRN/CNTRL ROCKIES INTO THE
NRN/CNTRL PLAINS FOLLOWED CLOSELY BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WILL
MOVE INTO THE PACIFIC NW DURING THE DAY...REACHING NRN ROCKIES
TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD.

...CNTRL ROCKIES THROUGH CNTRL/NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY...

MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE LIMITED AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
ADVANCE THROUGH THE CNTRL/NRN PLAINS INTO THE MS VALLEY REGION.
HOWEVER...CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE BAROCLINIC
ZONE...PRIMARILY BEHIND THE SURFACE FRONT WHERE DEEPER LIFT WILL
EXIST. A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES CANNOT BE RULED OUT...BUT THE
MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT SUGGESTS COVERAGE WILL REMAIN
SPARSE.

..DIAL.. 11/11/2009

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 110600
SWODY1
SPC AC 110558

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1158 PM CST TUE NOV 10 2009

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A STRENGTHENING BELT OF WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS ANTICIPATED
OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN/NORTHERN STATES AS MULTIPLE LOWER AMPLITUDE
DISTURBANCES CROSS THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES AND PACIFIC NORTHWEST. IN
THE EAST...IT SEEMS LIKELY THAT THE SOUTHEAST STATES UPPER LOW/IDA
REMNANTS WILL GRADUALLY PHASE WITH A NORTHERN STREAM/POSITIVE TILT
TROUGH CROSSING THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.

...FL...
AS THE PARENT SOUTHEAST STATES UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO SHIFT
EASTWARD/WEAKEN DURING THE DAY...ADJACENT GULF CONVECTION MAY MOVE
INLAND EARLY IN THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWERS/TSTM DEVELOPMENT
OTHERWISE FOCUSED ALONG AN EASTWARD ADVANCING COLD FRONT /AND
PERHAPS IMMEDIATE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE/. WITH STRONG DRYING/IMPLIED
SUBSIDENCE NOTED OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
EARLY THIS MORNING...AND GIVEN THE EXPECTED TIMING OF THE COLD
FRONT...THE EXTENT/VIGOR OF PRE-COLD FRONTAL DIURNAL CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT IS QUESTIONABLE...ESPECIALLY COINCIDENT WITH PEAK
HEATING. IN ADDITION TO WEAKENING LOW LEVEL/DEEP LAYER SHEAR...MODEL
FORECAST SOUNDINGS REFLECT MID LEVEL WARMING /ABOVE 700 MB/
RELATIVELY EARLY IN THE DAY...WHICH ALSO SUGGESTS UPDRAFT VIGOR MAY
BE LIMITED EVEN WITH SBCAPE POSSIBLY IN EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG. AS
SUCH...IT APPEARS THE OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL IS RATHER LOW.

...COASTAL CAROLINAS...
IT SEEMS PROBABLE THAT SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT/SURFACE BAROCLINIC
ZONE SHOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE THE COASTAL CAROLINAS TONIGHT. AS
SUCH...AN INLAND SURFACE BASED SEVERE THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED.

..GUYER/HURLBUT.. 11/11/2009

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KBMX [110553]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KBMX 110553
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1153 PM CST TUE NOV 10 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM FLOOD AUBURN 32.59N 85.48W
11/10/2009 LEE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL COUNTY ROADS AROUND LEE COUNTY WERE CLOSED DUE TO
HIGH WATER CAUSED BY THE EXTENDED PERIOD OF RAIN
ASSOCIATED WITH IDA.

0330 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 W HOLT 33.25N 87.58W
11/10/2009 M3.57 INCH TUSCALOOSA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

STORM TOTAL.

0409 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG GADSDEN 34.01N 86.01W
11/10/2009 ETOWAH AL EMERGENCY MNGR

MULTIPLE REPORTS OF SINGLE TREES DOWN AROUND THE CITY OF
GADSDEN.

0427 PM HEAVY RAIN OPELIKA 32.65N 85.38W
11/10/2009 M4.02 INCH LEE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

SINCE MIDNIGHT. STORM TOTALS OF 4.59 INCHES.

0433 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG COLUMBIANA 33.18N 86.60W
11/10/2009 SHELBY AL EMERGENCY MNGR

MULTIPLE TREES DOWN AROUND SHELBY COUNTY THROUGHOUT THE
DAY AS GUSTY WINDS KNOCK DOWN TREES IN GROUND SATURATED
AREAS. REPORTS OF POWER LINES DOWN BECAUSE OF THE TREES
COUNTY WIDE AS WELL.

0645 PM FLOOD GADSDEN 34.01N 86.01W
11/10/2009 ETOWAH AL EMERGENCY MNGR

MULTIPLE ROAD CLOSURES DUE TO FLOODING IN AND AROUND THE
CITY OF GADSDEN.

0810 PM FLOOD ANNISTON 33.66N 85.81W
11/10/2009 CALHOUN AL EMERGENCY MNGR

3 BLOCKS OF DOWNTOWN ANNISTON IS UNDER 2.5 FEET OF
STANDING WATER.

0815 PM FLOOD SAKS 33.71N 85.85W
11/10/2009 CALHOUN AL EMERGENCY MNGR

ROAD CLOSURE. POST OAK RD AND US HWY 431.

0815 PM FLOOD ANNISTON 33.66N 85.81W
11/10/2009 CALHOUN AL EMERGENCY MNGR

ROAD CLOSURE. DOUG WELCH AND MEEKS ROADS IN THE
ALEXANDRIA AREA.

0830 PM HEAVY RAIN WEDOWEE 33.31N 85.49W
11/10/2009 M4.45 INCH RANDOLPH AL EMERGENCY MNGR

STORM TOTAL.

0833 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WETUMPKA 32.54N 86.20W
11/10/2009 ELMORE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

MULTIPLE TREES DOWN AROUND THE COUNTY AS GUSTY WINDS
KNOCK TREES DOWN IN GROUND SATURATED AREAS.

0833 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNW PHENIX CITY 32.49N 85.03W
11/10/2009 M6.00 INCH RUSSELL AL PUBLIC

STORM TOTALS FROM COCORAHS.

0855 PM FLOOD CHILDERSBURG 33.28N 86.35W
11/10/2009 TALLADEGA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

ROAD CLOSURE. 6 INCHES OF WATER IN THE ROAD AT THE
INTERSECTION OF COSPER BEND ROAD AND
CHILDERSBURG-FAYETTEVILLE HWY.

0855 PM FLOOD CHILDERSBURG 33.28N 86.35W
11/10/2009 TALLADEGA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

ROAD CLOSURE. 16TH AVE AT CHILDERSBURG-FAYETTEVILLE HWY.

0900 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 N TRUSSVILLE 33.68N 86.60W
11/10/2009 M4.30 INCH JEFFERSON AL PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL FROM COCORAHS. 2.73 INCHES IN THE LAST 14
HOURS.

1017 PM HEAVY RAIN GADSDEN 34.01N 86.01W
11/10/2009 M4.40 INCH ETOWAH AL EMERGENCY MNGR

STORM TOTAL AT COUNTY EOC. MULTIPLE ROADS REMAIN CLOSED
DUE TO FLOODING BUT ALL ROADS CLEARED OF TREES.

&&

$$

SUNGER

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 110544
SWODY2
SPC AC 110543

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1143 PM CST TUE NOV 10 2009

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

NRN STREAM UPPER TROUGH NOW MOVING SEWD THROUGH THE OH VALLEY WILL
PHASE WITH SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE SERN STATES BEFORE MOVING
THROUGH THE CAROLINAS AND EVENTUALLY OFFSHORE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
ELSEWHERE...A LARGE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE WRN STATES WITH
SHORTWAVE RIDGING FROM THE SRN PLAINS THROUGH THE OH VALLEY.

...COASTAL NC...

A SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG BOUNDARY OVER THE GULF STREAM
WATERS OFF THE NC COAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH UPPER DIVERGENCE
ACCOMPANYING THE UPPER TROUGH. UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR WILL PROBABLY
REMAIN OFFSHORE GIVEN STRONG GRADIENT BETWEEN NERN U.S. SURFACE
RIDGE AND THE COASTAL LOW WHICH WILL PROMOTE STRONG NLY SURFACE
WINDS OVER ERN NC. HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT MOISTURE COULD ADVECT INTO
COASTAL NC ABOVE STABLE LAYER AND CONTRIBUTE TO MARGINAL ELEVATED
INSTABILITY. A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN
ZONE OF STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT...PRIMARILY ACROSS COASTAL NC THIS
PERIOD.

...ELSEWHERE...

ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES COULD ACCOMPANY CONVECTION DEVELOPING
ALONG DEEP BAROCLINIC ZONE FROM THE NRN ROCKIES THROUGH THE
SIERRA-NEVADAS. HOWEVER..COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LESS THAN
10% DUE TO WEAK INSTABILITY.

..DIAL.. 11/11/2009

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