Tuesday, November 3, 2009

KSHV [040100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 040100
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
659 PM CST TUE NOV 03 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0702 PM TORNADO 10 SW TEXARKANA 33.34N 94.19W
10/29/2009 BOWIE TX NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ON HIGHWAY 67 ABOUT A HALF
MILE WEST OF CLEAR SPRINGS ROAD. SEVERAL TREES WERE
UPROOTED AND DAMAGED...WITH ADDITIONAL SPORADIC TREE
DAMAGE NOTED AS THE TORNADO MOVED NORTHEAST. THE TORNADO
DISSIPATED ON TRI STATE ROAD JUST SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 82.
THE PATH WIDTH WAS 75 YARDS WIDE WITH A PATH LENGTH OF 4
MILES. THE TORNADO WAS ON THE GROUND FOR 4 MINUTES.
ESTIMATED WINDS WERE 75-85 MPH.


&&

$$

15

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 040020
SWODY1
SPC AC 040019

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0619 PM CST TUE NOV 03 2009

VALID 040100Z - 041200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS TODAY AS
SFC HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EWD ACROSS THE OH AND TN VALLEYS. IN
RESPONSE...NLY FLOW ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES WILL KEEP LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE WELL OFFSHORE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. FOR THIS
REASON...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ACROSS THE CONUS.

..BROYLES.. 11/04/2009

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 031943
SWODY1
SPC AC 031941

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0141 PM CST TUE NOV 03 2009

VALID 032000Z - 041200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

PER EARLIER DISCUSSION...A FEW SHOWERS HAVE EVOLVED OFF THE ECNTRL
FL PENINSULA NEAR VRB. THIS ACTIVITY MAY BRIEFLY DEVELOP/DRIFT
INLAND HOWEVER THE PROSPECT FOR MEANINGFUL LIGHTNING IS NEGLIGIBLE.

..DARROW.. 11/03/2009

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1025 AM CST TUE NOV 03 2009/

RELATIVELY DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS SHOULD PRECLUDE ORGANIZED
THUNDERSTORM AREAS ACROSS THE NATION THROUGH THE PERIOD. A FEW
SHOWERS WILL LINGER ACROSS COASTAL E-CNTRL FL PENINSULA...BUT MODEST
MID/UPPER-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD KEEP CONVECTION SHALLOW AND
UNLIKELY TO PRODUCE MUCH IF ANY LIGHTNING.

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KSHV [031927]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KSHV 031927
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
127 PM CST TUE NOV 03 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0154 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MAUD 33.33N 94.34W
10/28/2009 BOWIE TX EMERGENCY MNGR

GRADIENT WIND UPROOTED A TREE ON CR 1111 KNOCKING OUT
POWER TO THE CITY OF MAUD TX

1250 PM TORNADO 4 SE RED CHUTE 32.54N 93.56W
10/29/2009 BOSSIER LA NWS STORM SURVEY

*** 8 INJ *** AN EF1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 KNOCKING OVER TREES ONTO THE INTERSTATE
NEAR MILE MARKER 30. IN THE COMMUNITY OF EASTWOOD...30
HOMES WERE DAMAGED...SEVERAL SEVERELY...ALONG US 80. THE
TORNADO CROSSED US 80 ONTO A GOLF COURSE KNOCKING OVER
NUMEROUS TREES. THE TORNADO WAS 2.5 MILES LONG AND 200
YARDS WIDE AND ON THE GROUND FOR 3 MINUTES.

0101 PM TSTM WND DMG BOSSIER CITY 32.52N 93.66W
10/29/2009 BOSSIER LA AMATEUR RADIO

TREES ACROSS I-20 AT MILE MARKER 30

0104 PM TSTM WND DMG BOSSIER CITY 32.52N 93.66W
10/29/2009 BOSSIER LA BROADCAST MEDIA

TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN AT CHANDLER RD. AND HWY 80 OR
ABOUT 6 MILES EAST OF LOUISIANA DOWNS

0122 PM TSTM WND DMG BERNICE 32.83N 92.66W
10/29/2009 UNION LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWNED ON DOUBLE BRIDGES ROAD

0129 PM TORNADO 1 E HALL SUMMIT 32.18N 93.30W
10/29/2009 RED RIVER LA NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO SKIPPED ALONG A PATH FROM NEAR HALL SUMMIT
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE RED RIVER...BIENVILLE PARISH LINE
ALONG HWY 371. HALL SUMMIT CHIEF OF POLICE WITNESSED 3
FUNNELS..2 SMALL AND 1 MAIN FUNNEL SPORADICALLY DROPPING
DOWN IN A FORESTED AREA NORTH OF HALL SUMMIT WEST OF HWY
371. SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS WERE BROKEN IN TREES ALONG HWY
371. THE TORNADO PATH WAS 4.5 MILES LONG AND
APPROXIMATELY 75 YARDS WIDE AND ON THE GROUND 7 MINUTES.

0135 PM TORNADO 5 S BERNICE 32.76N 92.66W
10/29/2009 LINCOLN LA NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 5 MILES SOUTH OF BERNICE JUST
WEST OF HWY 167. DAMAGE CONSISTED OF TREES DOWNED AND
LARGE BRANCHES DOWNED. TIN WAS ALSO REMOVED FROM THE ROOF
OF A CAR WASH AND ROOF DAMAGE WAS OBSERVED TO A HOME
ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF BERNICE. PATH WIDTH WAS 50 YARDS
WIDE WITH A PATH LENGTH OF 5 MILES LONG.

0145 PM TORNADO HAUGHTON 32.53N 93.51W
10/29/2009 BOSSIER LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS HOMES DAMAGED FROM A TORNADO SPOTTED BY A SCHOOL
SUPERINTENDENT. TREES WERE DOWNED ALONG I-20 BLOCKING ALL
EASTBOUND LANES.

0155 PM TORNADO 11 ENE JUNCTION CITY 33.08N 92.55W
10/29/2009 UNION AR NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN EAST NORTHEAST OF JUNCTION
CITY ARKANSAS. THIS TORNADO DOWNED 3 LARGE TREES ALONG
WITH LARGE LIMBS ALONG THE PATH. PATH WIDTH WAS 50 YARDS
WIDE WITH A PATH LENGTH OF 1.5 MILES.

0227 PM TORNADO 11 S SCOTTSVILLE 32.38N 94.25W
10/29/2009 HARRISON TX NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO OCCURRED NORTHWEST OF ELYSIAN FIELDS TEXAS
ALONG WOODLEY ROAD. SEVERAL TREES WERE UPROOTED AND
SNAPPED ALONG A PATH THAT WAS 75 YARDS WIDE AND 1.5 MILES
LONG. THE TORNADO WAS ON THE GROUND FOR APPROXIMATELY 2
MINUTES.

0230 PM TSTM WND DMG MAGNOLIA 33.27N 93.24W
10/29/2009 COLUMBIA AR EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN WITH ROADS CLOSED.

0230 PM TSTM WND DMG MAGNOLIA 33.27N 93.24W
10/29/2009 COLUMBIA AR EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN ACROSS THE CITY WITH ROADS CLOSED.

0259 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SE EL DORADO 33.21N 92.65W
10/29/2009 UNION AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF HWY 57 AND
HWY 82.

0300 PM FLASH FLOOD MAGNOLIA 33.27N 93.24W
10/29/2009 COLUMBIA AR AIRPLANE PILOT

ROADS CLOSED IN TOWN. ROADS CLOSED OUT IN THE COUNTY DUE
TO FLOODING

0304 PM TSTM WND DMG LISBON 33.27N 92.83W
10/29/2009 UNION AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL HOMES DAMAGED WITH TREES DOWNED IN THE LISBON
AREA...POSSIBLE TORNADO

0310 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 W EL DORADO 33.22N 92.80W
10/29/2009 UNION AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL CHICKEN HOUSES DAMAGED.

0313 PM TORNADO 3 WSW SMACKOVER 33.35N 92.78W
10/29/2009 UNION AR NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 3 MILES WSW OF SMACKOVER AND
DOWNED LARGE TREES WHILE SNAPPING SEVERAL OTHERS. THE
PATH WIDTH WAS 75 YARDS WIDE WITH A PATH LENGTH OF 1
MILE.

0313 PM TORNADO 8 SW SMACKOVER 33.29N 92.84W
10/29/2009 UNION AR NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN SOUTHWEST OF SMACKOVER
DOWNING SEVERAL LARGE TREES AND SNAPPING OTHERS. A ROOF
WAS ALSO PEELED BACK FROM A HOME SOUTHWEST OF TOWN. THE
PATH WIDTH WAS 75 YARDS WITH A PATH LENGTH OF 4 MILES.

0315 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 W SMACKOVER 33.36N 92.82W
10/29/2009 UNION AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES BLOWN DOWN.

0316 PM TORNADO 2 SSW BLANCHARD 32.57N 93.90W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO OCCURRED SOUTHWEST OF BLANCHARD LOUISIANA
ALONG BLANCHARD-FURRH ROAD. SEVERAL TREES WERE SNAPPED
AND UPROOTED NORTH OF THE ROAD IN A FORESTED AREA. THE
TORNADO CONTINUED NORTHEAST ACROSS BLANCHARD LATEX ROAD
UPROOTING A COUPLE TREES. THE TORNADO ENDED ALONG STATE
RT 173 NORTH OF BLANCHARD WHERE SEVERAL LARGE BRANCHES
WERE BROKEN. THE TRACK WAS 75 YARDS WIDE...3 MILES LONG
AND ON THE GROUND FOR 3 MINUTES.

0325 PM TORNADO 5 SSW BELCHER 32.69N 93.86W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO OCCURRED SOUTHWEST OF BELCHER LA ALONG
HAYGOOD ROAD AND DIXIE MOORINGSPORT ROAD. SEVERAL TREES
WERE SNAPPED AND UPROOTED ALONG A TREELINE IN A FIELD.
THE TORNADO WAS APPROXIMATELY 100 YARDS WIDE...1 MILE
LONG AND ON THE GROUND 1 MINUTE.

0353 PM TORNADO 5 NW PLAIN DEALING 32.96N 93.76W
10/29/2009 BOSSIER LA NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NORTHWEST OF PLAIN DEALING
ALONG HWY 537. NUMEROUS TREES WERE SNAPPED AND UPROOTED
IN A PATH THAT STARTED ALONG HWY 537 CROSSED LOG FERRY
ROAD AND ENDED ALONG WISE ROAD. THE TORNADO TRACK WAS
APPROXIMATELY 4.5 MILES LONG...100 YARDS WIDE AND ON THE
GROUND 7 MINUTES.

0413 PM TORNADO 5 W BOSSIER CITY 32.50N 93.76W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA NWS STORM SURVEY

*** 1 INJ *** AN EF2 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN DOWNTOWN
SHREVEPORT DAMAGING A CHURCH..THE CONVENTION CENTER..AND
OTHER BUSINESSES DOWNTOWN. OVER 100 HOMES AND SEVERAL
APARTMENT COMPLEXES WERE DAMAGED ACROSS NORTHERN BOSSIER
CITY IN THE GREEN ACRES SUBDIVISION. OTHER BUSINESSES
ALONG BENTON ROAD WERE DAMAGED AS WELL. THE TORNADO WAS
UP TO 600 YARDS WIDE...13 MILES LONG AND ON THE GROUND
FOR 17 MINUTES

0415 PM TORNADO SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA BROADCAST MEDIA

*** 1 INJ *** STEEPLE ON CHURCH IN DOWNTOWN SHREVEPORT
TORN OFF AND ONTO A CAR. MAN TRAPPED INSIDE HAD TO BE CUT
OUT OF THE VEHICLE

0420 PM TORNADO 3 N BOSSIER CITY 32.56N 93.66W
10/29/2009 BOSSIER LA TRAINED SPOTTER

POWERLINES DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF WEMPLE ROAD AND
OLD BROWNLEE ROAD. OVERTURNED TRAILER NEAR OLD BROWNLEE
ROAD

0420 PM TORNADO 2 N SHREVEPORT 32.50N 93.80W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA BROADCAST MEDIA

SIGNS TORN UP AND AUTO DEALER ON FIRE OFF I-220

0440 PM TORNADO PLAIN DEALING 32.91N 93.70W
10/29/2009 BOSSIER LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

EYE WITNESS REPORT OF A TORNADO IN PLAIN DEALING.
MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES DOWN INCLUDING TREES DOWNED ON
A HOME. SEVERAL REPORTS OF TREES DOWNED IN THE MOT
COMMUNITY AS WELL.

0444 PM TORNADO 3 WNW GARY CITY 32.05N 94.42W
10/29/2009 PANOLA TX NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO SKIPPED ALONG A PATH WHICH STARTED ALONG
FM 1970 WHERE A COUPLE TREES WERE UPROOTED. NUMEROUS
TREES WERE SNAPPED NEAR THE END OF THE TRACK ALONG COUNTY
ROAD 116. THE TORNADO TRACK WAS APPROXIMATELY 4 MILES
LONG...100 YARDS WIDE AND SPORADICALLY ON THE GROUND FOR
A SPAN OF 6 MINUTES.

0455 PM TSTM WND DMG CARTHAGE 32.15N 94.34W
10/29/2009 PANOLA TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN CARTHAGE.

0455 PM TSTM WND DMG LUFKIN 31.33N 94.73W
10/29/2009 ANGELINA TX TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWNED ON HWY 94 AND US 59

0530 PM FLASH FLOOD LUFKIN 31.33N 94.73W
10/29/2009 ANGELINA TX TRAINED SPOTTER

WATER OVER US 59 LOOP

0530 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 SE MARSHALL 32.48N 94.29W
10/29/2009 HARRISON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGH WATER OVER FM 31 SOUTHEAST OF MARSHALL.

0534 PM TORNADO MAGNOLIA 33.27N 93.24W
10/29/2009 COLUMBIA AR NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN MAGNOLIA ARKANSAS. THE
TORNADO UPROOTED SEVERAL TREES AND SOME MINOR DAMAGE WAS
NOTED TO HOMES AT THE INTERSTECTION OF SOUTH WASHINGTON
AND HAMPTON DRIVE. ONE BUSINESS IN DOWNTOWN MAGNOLIA HAD
ITS SIGN BLOWN OUT. WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80-90 MPH.
THE PATH LENGHT WAS 1.5 MILES AND THE PATH WIDTH WAS 100
YARDS.

0537 PM TORNADO MAGNOLIA 33.27N 93.24W
10/29/2009 COLUMBIA AR EMERGENCY MNGR

5 HOMES DAMAGED FROM TREES DOWNED.

0537 PM TORNADO MAGNOLIA 33.27N 93.24W
10/29/2009 COLUMBIA AR EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWNED IN SE PART OF CITY NEAR COUNTY ROAD 11

0537 PM TORNADO MAGNOLIA 33.27N 93.24W
10/29/2009 COLUMBIA AR EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWNED ON NURSING HOME...MOBILE HOME PARK SUSTAINED
DAMAGE WITH A PERSON TRAPPED...IN NE PART OF CITY

0537 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N MAGNOLIA 33.29N 93.24W
10/29/2009 COLUMBIA AR EMERGENCY MNGR

5 TRAILERS DAMAGED BY FALLING TREES ON NORTH DUDLEY

0539 PM TORNADO MAGNOLIA 33.27N 93.24W
10/29/2009 COLUMBIA AR NWS STORM SURVEY

*** 1 INJ *** ANOTHER EF1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ON THE
NORTHEAST SIDE OF TOWN. THIS TORNADO UPROOTED AND SNAPPED
SEVERAL TREES. THE DAMAGE WAS FIRST NOTED ON CR 47 ABOUT
1/4 MILE EAST OF HWY 79. SOME SIGNIFICANT TO MAJOR DAMAGE
WAS OBSERVED TO MOBILE HOMES AND POWERLINES AND POLES
WERE SNAPPED. A RESIDENTIAL SHOP WAS ALSO DAMAGED BY
FALLEN TREES. WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95-105 MPH. THE
PATH LENGTH WAS 1.5 MILES AND THE PATH WIDTH WAS 100
YARDS.

0552 PM TORNADO 2 SSE OIL CITY 32.71N 93.96W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO OCCURRED SOUTHEAST OF OIL CITY NEAR THE
INTERSECTIONS OF HWY 1 AND STATE RT 538. SEVERAL TREES
WERE UPROOTED ALONG THE 75 YARD WIDE AND 0.5 MILE LONG
TRACK. THE TORNADO WAS ON THE GROUND FOR APPROXIMATELY 1
MINUTE.

0554 PM FLASH FLOOD LUFKIN 31.33N 94.73W
10/29/2009 ANGELINA TX BROADCAST MEDIA

KNIGHT AVE AND WHIPPERWILL DR ARE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH
WATER.

0604 PM TORNADO 4 SE VIVIAN 32.83N 93.95W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA NWS STORM SURVEY

*** 1 FATAL *** AN EF0 TORNADO OCCURRED ALONG HWY 170
SOUTHEAST OF VIVIAN. SEVERAL TREES WERE SNAPPED AND
UPROOTED IN THE WOODED AREAS ALONG THE HWY. THE FATALITY
IS CONSIDERED INDIRECT AND RESULTED FROM THEIR CAR
HITTING ONE OF THE DOWNED TREES ACROSS HWY 170. THE
TORNADO WAS 75 YARDS WIDE...0.5 MILES LONG AND ON THE
GROUND FOR 1 MINUTE.

0610 PM TSTM WND DMG VIVIAN 32.87N 93.99W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA BROADCAST MEDIA

*** 1 FATAL *** TREE WAS DOWNED ALONG HWY 1 NEAR VIVIAN
AND A VEHICLE STRUCK THE TREE KILLING THE DRIVER. REPORT
FROM LOCAL MEDIA.

0615 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 ENE BECKVILLE 32.27N 94.38W
10/29/2009 PANOLA TX NWS EMPLOYEE

2 FEET OF WATER OVER FM 1794 ABOUT ONE QUARTER MILE EAST
OF US 59. AT LEAST 1.5 FEET OF WATER OVER CR 263 ABOUT A
HALF MILE EAST OF US 59.

0628 PM TORNADO 4 W STONEWALL 32.26N 93.89W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO OCCURRED ALONG PRESTON ROAD WEST OF
STONEWALL LA. SEVERAL TREES WERE SNAPPED AND UPROOTED
NORTH OF PRESTON ROAD IN A FOREST AND IN A FIELD. THE
TORNADO WAS APPROXIMATELY 100 YARDS WIDE AND 0.5 MILES
LONG AND ON THE GROUND FOR 1 MINUTE.

0633 PM TORNADO MAGNOLIA 33.27N 93.24W
10/29/2009 COLUMBIA AR NWS STORM SURVEY

ANOTHER EF1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE OF
TOWN NEAR CR 61 JUST EAST OF CR 431 OR ABOUT 1 AND 1/2
MILE EAST OF HWY 79. SOME ROOF DAMAGE WAS OBSERVED TO ONE
HOME AND A TREE FELL ON ONE VEHICLE. AFTER THE INITIAL
TOUCHDOWN...SPORADIC TREE DAMAGE WAS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
TORNADO JUST EAST OF CR 61 TO JUST NORTH OF CR 75. WINDS
WERE ESTIMATED AT 80-90 MPH. PATH LENGTH WAS 7.5 MILES
AND PATH WIDTH WAS 100 YARDS.

0643 PM FLASH FLOOD CULLEN 32.97N 93.45W
10/29/2009 WEBSTER LA TRAINED SPOTTER

4-5 ROADS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER IN CULLEN.

0649 PM TORNADO 10 SE HAYNESVILLE 32.86N 93.02W
10/29/2009 CLAIBORNE LA NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN SOUTHEAST OF HAYNESVILLE. THE
TORNADO FIRST TOUCHED DOWN JUST SOUTH OF OLD COLQUITT
ROAD ON FIRE DISTRICT ROAD 910 OR ABOUT 3 MILES SOUTH OF
HWY 2. AFTER THE INITIAL TOUCHDOWN...THE TORNADO MOVED
NORTH...CROSSING HWY 2. SPORADIC TREE DAMAGE WAS FOUND UP
TO HOLLY RIDGE ROAD BEFORE DISSIPATION. WINDS WERE
ESTIMATED AT 75-85 MPH. PATH LENGTH WAS 5 MILES AND PATH
WIDTH WAS 75 YARDS.

0650 PM FLASH FLOOD SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA TRAINED SPOTTER

OVER ONE FOOT OF WATER AT THE INTERSECTION OF MELBA AND
PINE GROVE ST.

0650 PM TSTM WND GST SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
10/29/2009 E60.00 MPH CADDO LA TRAINED SPOTTER

60 MPH WIND GUST ESTIMATED IN SOUTH SHREVEPORT JUST EAST
OF KINGSTON RD/SOUTH OF BERT KOUNS.

0700 PM FLASH FLOOD CARTHAGE 32.15N 94.34W
10/29/2009 PANOLA TX PUBLIC

MANY ROADS FLOODED IN CARTHAGE.

0709 PM FLASH FLOOD SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

FLOODED STREET WITH STALLED VEHICLE. HOLLYWOOD NEAR FIRE
STATION 16

0709 PM FLASH FLOOD SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

YOUREE DRIVE FROM OCKLEY TO SOUTHERN FLOODED. BOTH LANES
ALL THE WAY ACROSS

0713 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 SW TEXARKANA 33.40N 94.08W
10/29/2009 BOWIE TX EMERGENCY MNGR

TWO CARS BLOWN OFF HWY. 59 IN THE LIBERTY-EYLAU
COMMUNITY.

0715 PM FLASH FLOOD OIL CITY 32.74N 93.97W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA NEWSPAPER

PART OF HIGHWAY 538 NEAR OIL CITY HAS BEEN WASHED OUT.

0720 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 S SHREVEPORT 32.46N 93.80W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

STONER DRIVE UNDER 3 FEET OF WATER NEAR CENTENARY

0727 PM FLASH FLOOD TENAHA 31.94N 94.24W
10/29/2009 SHELBY TX TRAINED SPOTTER

HWY 59 CLOSED TO ALL TRAFFIC FROM TENAHA TO TIMPSON.
TRAFFIC WAS DIVERTED TO 87 BUT 87 NOW CLOSED AS WELL

0730 PM FLASH FLOOD SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA NWS EMPLOYEE

2 FEET OF WATER OVER CROOKED CREEK DR JUST OFF OF
FLOURNOY LUCAS RD IN SOUTH SHREVEPORT

0742 PM TORNADO 3 W SHONGALOO 32.94N 93.34W
10/29/2009 WEBSTER LA NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN WEST OF TOWN DOWNING A FEW
LARGE TREES. SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS WERE ALSO DOWNED ALONG
THE PATH. THE PATH WIDTH WAS 50 YARDS WITH A PATH LENGTH
OF 2 MILES.

0755 PM FLASH FLOOD SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED. GILBERT AV AND KINGS HWY. LINE
AVENUE BY SUPERIOR. 4700 BLOCK OF RICHMOND. FERN AND E
70TH

0810 PM TORNADO EMERSON 33.10N 93.20W
10/29/2009 COLUMBIA AR NWS STORM SURVEY

AN EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR THE TOWN OF EMERSON.
SEVERAL TREES WERE DOWNED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HWY 79
AND CR 26. THE STORM THEN CROSSED HWY 79 AND MOVED
NORTHEAST. SPORADIC TREE DAMAGE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
TORNADO WAS OBSERVED JUST EAST OF HWY 79 TO JUST NORTH OF
HWY 98. WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75-85 MPH. PATH LENGTH
WAS 3 MILES AND PATH WIDTH WAS 75 YARDS.

0819 PM FLASH FLOOD SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

WATER BEGINNING TO ENTER SEVERAL APARTMENTS AT NANTUCKET
HARBOR APTS ON LAKESHORE DRIVE

0920 PM FLASH FLOOD SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA BROADCAST MEDIA

WATER WAS REPORTED IN THE LOBBY AT THE KTBS STUDIO LOBBY
FROM FLOODING OFF OF KINGS HIGHWAY.

0922 PM FLASH FLOOD HAYNESVILLE 32.97N 93.14W
10/29/2009 CLAIBORNE LA TRAINED SPOTTER

HIGH WATER ON US HIGHWAY 79 AT HAYNESVILLE HIGH
SCHOOL...WITH THE WATER BUMPER DEEP ON A PICKUP TRUCK.

0925 PM FLASH FLOOD SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS ROADS STILL FLOODED. RESCUES STILL UNDERWAY
THROUGHOUT THE CITY

0927 PM FLASH FLOOD LUFKIN 31.33N 94.73W
10/29/2009 ANGELINA TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS COUNTY ROADS STILL FLOODED THROUGHOUT THE
COUNTY. US 69 FLOODED SOUTH OF TOWN

0935 PM FLASH FLOOD CENTER 31.79N 94.18W
10/29/2009 SHELBY TX TRAINED SPOTTER

NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED COUNTYWIDE.

0940 PM HEAVY RAIN SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
10/29/2009 M4.50 INCH CADDO LA TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL TOTAL REPORTED IN THE SOUTHERN HILLS AREA. STILL
RAINING.

0946 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 NW SHREVEPORT 32.51N 93.85W
10/29/2009 CADDO LA AMATEUR RADIO

WATER OVER THE BRIDGE AT JOLLY NAPIER AND JEFFERSON
PAIGE. ALSO A GAS LINE BROKE

0955 PM FLASH FLOOD 7 W EL DORADO 33.22N 92.78W
10/29/2009 UNION AR TRAINED SPOTTER

WATER RUNNING OVER STATE HWY 335

1017 PM FLASH FLOOD MARSHALL 32.54N 94.35W
10/29/2009 HARRISON TX EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS COUNTY ROADS IN SOUTHERN AND EASTERN HARRISON
COUNTY ARE FLOODED.

1100 PM FLASH FLOOD 14 SSW FOUKE 33.07N 93.98W
10/29/2009 MILLER AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

COUNTY ROAD 3 NORTHEAST OF THE RAVANNA COMMUNITY IS
FLOODED.

1126 PM FLASH FLOOD 9 W EL DORADO 33.22N 92.82W
10/29/2009 UNION AR BROADCAST MEDIA

HWY 82 BETWEEN CAIRO AND EL DORADO HAS WATER COVERING THE
HIGHWAY ALONG WITH STALLED CARS.

1132 PM FLASH FLOOD EL DORADO 33.22N 92.66W
10/29/2009 UNION AR BROADCAST MEDIA

MANY ROADS IN UNION COUNTY ARE IMPASSABLE. THESE INCLUDE
HWY 167...HWY 7...HWY 82...HWY 172...AND HWY 160 AROUND
EL DORADO AS WELL AS STATE LINE ROAD NEAR JUNCTION CITY.
ALSO...NUMEROUS CARS STALLED IN KNEE DEEP WATER
THROUGHOUT THE CITY EL DORADO.

1136 PM FLASH FLOOD EL DORADO 33.22N 92.66W
10/29/2009 UNION AR BROADCAST MEDIA

WAIST DEEP WATER AT 19TH AND TANGLEWOOD STREET.

1147 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 NE MAGNOLIA 33.33N 93.17W
10/29/2009 COLUMBIA AR BROADCAST MEDIA

HIGHWAY 79 SOUTH...INTO MAGNOLIA...IS BEING CLOSED BY
TRANSPORTATION DEPARTMENT DUE TO HIGH WATER.

1200 AM FLASH FLOOD SMACKOVER 33.36N 92.73W
10/30/2009 UNION AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

ARKANSAS STATE POLICE REPORTING THAT MOST ROADS ARE
CLOSED IN TOWN AND IMPASSABLE. HWY 167 NORTH OF EL DORADO
IS ALMOST KNEE DEEP IN SOME SPOTS.

1240 AM FLASH FLOOD STONEWALL 32.26N 93.82W
10/30/2009 DE SOTO LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 3276 NEAR STONEWALL IS CLOSED DUE TO
HIGH WATER.

1243 AM FLASH FLOOD LUFKIN 31.33N 94.73W
10/30/2009 ANGELINA TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED AND CLOSED THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE
COUNTY. SOME HOMES FLOODED NEAR HWY 59 SOUTH NEAR DIBOLL.


1243 AM FLASH FLOOD W SAN AUGUSTINE 31.53N 94.11W
10/30/2009 SAN AUGUSTINE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGH WATER REPORTED ACROSS FM 1277 JUST WEST OF TOWN.

1243 AM FLASH FLOOD NACOGDOCHES 31.61N 94.65W
10/30/2009 NACOGDOCHES TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS COUNTY ROADS UNDER WATER AND CLOSED. SEVERAL
HOMES WITH WATER IN THEM ACROSS RURAL PORTIONS OF THE
COUNTY.

0105 AM FLASH FLOOD RUSTON 32.53N 92.64W
10/30/2009 LINCOLN LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 33 IS FLOODED IN RUSTON.

0115 AM FLASH FLOOD ELYSIAN FIELDS 32.37N 94.18W
10/30/2009 HARRISON TX PUBLIC

HIGHWAY 31 NEAR ELYSIAN FIELDS COVERED IN HIGH WATER.
NUMEROUS COUNTY ROADS FLOODED AS WELL.

0115 AM FLASH FLOOD 10 NE BRADLEY 33.20N 93.53W
10/30/2009 LAFAYETTE AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

HWY 53 CLOSED NEAR LAKE ERLING DUE TO HIGH WATER.

0115 AM FLASH FLOOD BOSSIER CITY 32.52N 93.66W
10/30/2009 BOSSIER LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS ROADS REMAIN UNDER WATER AND CLOSED. SOME WATER
IN HOMES ACROSS THE PARISH AS WELL.

0115 AM FLASH FLOOD SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
10/30/2009 CADDO LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROADS UNDER WATER AND CLOSED THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE
PARISH. SOME WATER IN HOMES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION
OF THE PARISH.

0135 AM FLASH FLOOD BIENVILLE 32.36N 92.98W
10/30/2009 BIENVILLE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED THROUGHOUT THE PARISH.

0135 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 NW HODGE 32.30N 92.77W
10/30/2009 JACKSON LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGH WATER OVER BEAR CREEK ROAD NORTHWEST OF HODGE.

0142 AM FLASH FLOOD NATCHEZ 31.67N 93.05W
10/30/2009 NATCHITOCHES LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGH WATER AND ROAD CLOSURES IN AND AROUND THE NATCHEZ
COMMUNITY

0142 AM FLASH FLOOD WINNFIELD 31.92N 92.64W
10/30/2009 WINN LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGH WATER REPORTED ON HWY 167 NEAR THE AIRPORT.

0150 AM FLASH FLOOD HOMER 32.79N 93.06W
10/30/2009 CLAIBORNE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL HOMES HAVE BEEN EVACUATED ON CARTER DRIVE IN
HOMER DUE TO FLOODING. NUMEROUS ROADS ARE FLOODED ACROSS
THE PARISH.

0230 AM FLASH FLOOD BERNICE 32.83N 92.66W
10/30/2009 UNION LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGH WATER OVER HIGHWAY 167 IN BERNICE.

0350 AM FLASH FLOOD SHONGALOO 32.94N 93.29W
10/30/2009 WEBSTER LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 615 AT COWBOY MORGAN ROAD, BARRY SLACK ROAD, AND
HIGHWAY 2 IN SHONGALOO ARE ALL CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.


0350 AM FLASH FLOOD SAREPTA 32.90N 93.45W
10/30/2009 WEBSTER LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

OLD SAREPTA CHURCH ROAD IS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

0350 AM FLASH FLOOD 6 S SHONGALOO 32.85N 93.29W
10/30/2009 WEBSTER LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 159 AND 160 IN THE LETON
COMMUNITY IS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

0350 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 W DIXIE INN 32.59N 93.35W
10/30/2009 WEBSTER LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 80 JUST WEST OF DIXIE INN IS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH
WATER.

0355 AM FLASH FLOOD EL DORADO 33.22N 92.66W
10/30/2009 UNION AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

AT LEAST 30 ROADS ARE FLOODED AND CLOSED COUNTYWIDE. DOTD
DOES NOT HAVE ENOUGH SIGNS TO CLOSE THE ROADS THAT ARE
CURRENTLY FLOODED.

0355 AM FLASH FLOOD MAGNOLIA 33.27N 93.24W
10/30/2009 COLUMBIA AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS ROADS HAVE BEEN WASHED OUT COUNTYWIDE. OTHER
ROADS REMAIN FLOODED AND CLOSED.

0355 AM FLASH FLOOD HOMER 32.79N 93.06W
10/30/2009 CLAIBORNE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL ROADS ARE FLOODED PARISHWIDE.

0552 AM FLASH FLOOD SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
10/30/2009 CADDO LA BROADCAST MEDIA

NEAR WASTE DEEP WATER REPORTED AT FORD PARK BAPTIST
CHURCH IN SHREVEPORT.

0601 AM FLASH FLOOD SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
10/30/2009 CADDO LA NWS EMPLOYEE

A FOOT AND A HALF OF WATER AT DEAN ROAD JUST NORTH OF
COLQUIT ROAD.

0601 AM FLASH FLOOD SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
10/30/2009 CADDO LA NWS EMPLOYEE

A FOOT AND A HALF OF WATER REPORTED AT ARTIS TAYLOR ROAD
JUST EAST OF COLQUIT ROAD.


&&

$$

12

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 031712
SWODY2
SPC AC 031711

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1111 AM CST TUE NOV 03 2009

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTH FL...

LARGE SCALE FORCING WILL REMAIN QUITE WEAK ALONG DIFFUSE AND
DECAYING FRONTAL ZONE OVER SOUTH FL. NELY BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE REINFORCED LATE AS SFC RIDGING BECOMES MORE
ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE ERN CONUS. IN THE ABSENCE OF ANY SIGNIFICANT
MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE...AND NEGLIGIBLE WARM ADVECTION...DIURNAL AND
MARINE INFLUENCES WILL LARGELY DRIVE CONVECTIVE PROCESSES DURING THE
DAY2 PERIOD...THE MAJORITY OF WHICH WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE.

..DARROW.. 11/03/2009

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 031627
SWODY1
SPC AC 031625

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1025 AM CST TUE NOV 03 2009

VALID 031630Z - 041200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

RELATIVELY DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS SHOULD PRECLUDE ORGANIZED
THUNDERSTORM AREAS ACROSS THE NATION THROUGH THE PERIOD. A FEW
SHOWERS WILL LINGER ACROSS COASTAL E-CNTRL FL PENINSULA...BUT MODEST
MID/UPPER-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD KEEP CONVECTION SHALLOW AND
UNLIKELY TO PRODUCE MUCH IF ANY LIGHTNING.

..GRAMS/EVANS.. 11/03/2009

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCHS [031405]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 031405
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
905 AM EST TUE NOV 03 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES CHARLESTON 32.78N 79.94W
11/03/2009 CHARLESTON SC PUBLIC

CHARLESTON PILOT BOAT OFFICE REPORTS A COUPLE OF INCHES
OF SALT WATER IN THEIR PARKING LOT ON CONCORD STREET.

0800 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES CHARLESTON 32.78N 79.94W
11/03/2009 CHARLESTON SC OTHER FEDERAL

NOS TIDE GAGE IN CHARLESTON HARBOR REACHED 7.19 FEET MLLW
DURING THE HIGH TIDE. SHALLOW COASTAL FLOODING TYPICALLY
BEGINS AROUND 7.0 FEET MLLW.


&&

$$

33

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 031238
SWODY1
SPC AC 031237

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0637 AM CST TUE NOV 03 2009

VALID 031300Z - 041200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

RELATIVELY TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE UNITED STATES
AGAIN TODAY. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA BUT THUNDERSTORMS ARE UNLIKELY.
ELSEWHERE...DRY/STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE DEEP CONVECTION
TODAY.

..HART/SMITH.. 11/03/2009

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMQT [031220]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 031220
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
719 AM EST TUE NOV 03 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0716 AM SNOW 2 S THREE LAKES 46.53N 88.20W
11/03/2009 M3.0 INCH BARAGA MI BROADCAST MEDIA

3 INCHES AT PETTICOAT LAKE. SOURCE IS WLUC TV.


&&

$$

JLA

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

Subscription probe for WX-STORM - please ignore

Tue, 3 Nov 2009 06:00:09

This message is a "probe" for your subscription to the WX-STORM list. You
do not need to take any action to remain subscribed to the list, and in
particular you should not reply to this message. Simply discard it now,
or read on if you would like to know more about how this probing
mechanism works.

A "probe" is a message like the one you are reading, sent to an
individual subscriber and tagged with a special signature to uniquely
identify this particular subscriber (you can probably not see the
signature because it is in the mail headers). If the subscriber's e-mail
address is no longer valid, the message will be returned to LISTSERV and
the faulty address will be removed from the list. If the subscriber's
address is still valid, the message will not bounce and the user will not
be deleted.

The main advantage of this technique is that it can be fully automated;
the list owner does not need to read a single delivery error. For a large
or active list, the manpower savings can be tremendous. In fact, some
lists are so large that it is virtually impossible to process delivery
errors manually. Another advantage is that the special, unique signatures
make it possible to accurately process delivery errors that are otherwise
unintelligible, even to an experienced technical person.

The drawback, however, is that this method lacks flexibility and
forgiveness. Since the Internet does not provide a reliable mechanism for
probing an e-mail address without actually delivering a message to the
human recipient, the subscribers need to be inconvenienced with yet
another "junk message." And, unlike a human list owner, LISTSERV follows
a number of simple rules in determining when and whether to terminate a
subscription. In particular, a common problem with automatic probes is
mail gateways that return a delivery error, but do deliver the message
anyway. LISTSERV has no way to know that the message was in fact
delivered, and in most cases the subscriber is not aware of the existence
of these "false" error reports. If this happens to you, LISTSERV will
send you another message with a copy of the delivery error returned by
your mail system, so that you can show it to your technical people.

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 030925
SWOD48
SPC AC 030924

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0324 AM CST TUE NOV 03 2009

VALID 061200Z - 111200Z

...SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS LOW INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...

CONSIDERABLE VARIABILITY PERSISTS AMONG THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS AND
ENSEMBLES CONCERNING SHORT WAVE DEVELOPMENTS WITHIN...AND
INTERACTION AMONG...BELTS OF STRONGER WESTERLIES WITHIN THE
PREVAILING SPLIT UPPER FLOW REGIME DURING THIS PERIOD. EVEN THOUGH
THE LATEST GUIDANCE MAINTAINS RECENT TRENDS SUGGESTIVE OF AN
EVOLUTION THAT COULD SUPPORT A RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE OFF THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATE THIS COMING WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...INDICATIONS SUPPORTIVE OF ANYTHING BEYOND WEAK
DESTABILIZATION APPEAR MINIMAL. GIVEN THAT IT IS NOT EVEN CERTAIN
THAT THE EVOLVING PATTERN WILL BE CONDUCIVE TO STRONG SURFACE
CYCLOGENESIS TO THE LEE OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES.../POTENTIAL TOO
LOW/...RATHER THAN /PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW/...STILL APPEARS TO BEST
CHARACTERIZE THE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS.

..KERR.. 11/03/2009

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 030718
SWODY3
SPC AC 030717

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0117 AM CST TUE NOV 03 2009

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE A LESS AMPLIFIED/MORE PROGRESSIVE SPLIT UPPER FLOW
OVER THE PACIFIC BY THURSDAY...WITH A STRONG WESTERLY JET STREAK
NOSING EASTWARD ACROSS THE MID LATITUDE PACIFIC THROUGH THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST BY EARLY FRIDAY. THE DOWNSTREAM RIDGE/TROUGH PATTERN
LIKELY WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD...ACROSS THE
CENTRAL/EASTERN U.S. THROUGH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THE RIDGING MAY
BEGIN TO FLATTEN...BUT GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT CYCLOGENESIS WILL
TAKE PLACE WITHIN/BENEATH THE UPPER TROUGH OFF THE NEW ENGLAND
COAST. ALTHOUGH SURFACE TROUGHING MAY ALSO BEGIN TO DEEPEN TO THE
LEE OF THE ROCKIES... RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN GULF COAST AND
NORTHEASTERN MEXICAN PLATEAU WILL CONTINUE TO IMPEDE BOUNDARY LAYER
MODIFICATION AND MOISTURE RETURN. STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST ACROSS MOST AREAS EAST OF THE ROCKIES...MUCH OF CALIFORNIA
AND THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...WITH NEGLIGIBLE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL.
WEAK DESTABILIZATION MAY SUPPORT LOW THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES WEST
OF THE CASCADES...BUT ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.

..KERR.. 11/03/2009

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 030529
SWODY1
SPC AC 030528

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 PM CST MON NOV 02 2009

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE APPALACHIAN MTNS TODAY AS
SFC HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE MS VALLEY. THIS WILL IMPEDE
MOISTURE RETURN ACROSS THE CONUS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT
EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

..BROYLES/GARNER.. 11/03/2009

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 030509
SWODY2
SPC AC 030508

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1108 PM CST MON NOV 02 2009

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MUCH AS FORECAST BY THE MODELS THE PAST FEW DAYS...AMPLIFICATION IS
UNDERWAY WITHIN THE STRONGER BELT OF A PREVAILING SPLIT UPPER
FLOW...DOWNSTREAM OF AN ELONGATED CLOSED LOW WHICH HAS FORMED OVER
THE MID LATITUDE EAST CENTRAL PACIFIC. SUBSEQUENT PATTERN EVOLUTION
OVER THE PACIFIC HAS BEEN...AND REMAINS...A SOURCE OF CONSIDERABLE
UNCERTAINTY...AS A STRONG JET STREAK ROUNDS THE CREST OF AN UPSTREAM
RIDGE...AND BEGINS NOSING TOWARD THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST.
BUT...GUIDANCE APPEARS TO BE TRENDING TOWARD A MORE PROGRESSIVE
REGIME...WITH THE LOW...AND A MUCH MORE SIGNIFICANT EVOLVING TROUGH
ASSOCIATED WITH THE JET TO THE NORTH...STEADILY APPROACHING THE
PACIFIC COAST WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS...MODELS
CONTINUE TO INDICATE AT LEAST A SLIGHT EASTWARD SHIFT TO THE
DOWNSTREAM RIDGE/TROUGH PATTERN OVER THE U.S.. WHILE THE RIDGE AXIS
SHIFTS INTO THE VICINITY OF THE ROCKIES...A COUPLE OF SIGNIFICANT
IMPULSES DIGGING INTO THE EASTERN TROUGH MAY CONTRIBUTE TO
SHARPENING OF THE TROUGH AXIS NEAR THE ATLANTIC COAST BY 12Z
THURSDAY.

THIS REGIME IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN GENERALLY STABLE CONDITIONS
ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION...WITH LOW TO NEGLIGIBLE CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG A
RESIDUAL SURFACE FRONT ACROSS PARTS OF THE BAHAMAS THROUGH THE
FLORIDA STRAITS...WITH PERHAPS A FEW STORMS ALSO STILL POSSIBLE NEAR
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COASTAL AREAS...WITHIN A MOIST POST-FRONTAL
NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE FLOW REGIME. OTHERWISE...LARGE-SCALE FORCING
FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION AND DESTABILIZATION COULD SUPPORT
INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF THE MID/ SOUTH
ATLANTIC COAST...NEAR THE GULF STREAM...LATE IN THE PERIOD.

..KERR.. 11/03/2009

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.