KCAE [172114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 172114
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
507 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0505 PM TSTM WND GST 1 S SPRINGDALE 33.94N 81.11W
07/17/2013 56 MPH LEXINGTON SC ASOS

CAE ASOS REPORTED A 56 MPH WIND GUST AT 4:46
PM.



&&

$$

HC

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KFFC [172111]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 172111
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
511 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0442 PM HAIL 3 WNW FAIRBURN 33.58N 84.63W
07/17/2013 E1.75 INCH FULTON GA PUBLIC


&&

$$

AGIBBS

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KGSP [172111]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 172111
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
511 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0456 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 NW MORGANTON 35.78N 81.76W
07/17/2013 BURKE NC BROADCAST MEDIA

OAK HILL AREA HAS MULTIPLE TREES DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF
HIGHWAY 181 AND SPAINHOUR ROAD. HIGHWAY 181 CLOSED.


&&

$$

OUTLAW

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KMKX [172111]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KMKX 172111
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
410 PM CDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT 1 ESE OAK CREEK 42.88N 87.88W
07/17/2013 M105 F MILWAUKEE WI MESONET

OKCRK HEAT INDEX. TEMP 96 TD 72. UPDATE

1130 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT OOSTBURG 43.62N 87.80W
07/17/2013 M104 F SHEBOYGAN WI MESONET

OSTBR HEAT INDEX. TEMP 94 TD 74. UPDATE

1200 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT DOUSMAN 43.01N 88.47W
07/17/2013 M101 F WAUKESHA WI MESONET

DOUSM HEAT INDEX. TEMP 92 TD 73.

1253 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT RACINE BATTEN AIRPORT 42.76N 87.81W
07/17/2013 M102 F RACINE WI ASOS

KRAC HEAT INDEX. TEMP 92 TD 74.

0100 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT MONROE 42.60N 89.64W
07/17/2013 M103 F GREEN WI MESONET

MONOE HEAT INDEX. TEMP 95 TD 72. UPDATE

0102 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT JACKSON 43.32N 88.16W
07/17/2013 M101 F WASHINGTON WI CO-OP OBSERVER

JACW3 HEAT INDEX. TEMP 90 TD 74.

0130 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 5 W KNOWLES 43.57N 88.60W
07/17/2013 M101 F DODGE WI MESONET

HORICON RAWS MAYW3 HEAT INDEX. TEMP 91 TD 74. UPDATE

0130 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 1 NW PORT WASHINGTON 43.39N 87.88W
07/17/2013 M102 F OZAUKEE WI MESONET

PTWSH HEAT INDEX. TEMP 92 TD 74. UPDATE

0130 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 3 NW SHEBOYGAN 43.78N 87.76W
07/17/2013 M103 F SHEBOYGAN WI MESONET

SHBYG HEAT INDEX. TEMP 93 TD 74. UPDATE

0153 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT SHEBOYGAN AIRPORT 43.77N 87.85W
07/17/2013 M100 F SHEBOYGAN WI ASOS

KSBM HEAT INDEX. TEMP 92 TD 72.

0156 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT LONE ROCK AIRPORT 43.21N 90.19W
07/17/2013 M103 F SAUK WI ASOS

KLNR HEAT INDEX. TEMP 94 TD 73. UPDATE

0200 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT MERTON 43.14N 88.31W
07/17/2013 M103 F WAUKESHA WI MESONET

MERTO HEAT INDEX. TEMP 93 TD 73. UPDATE

0200 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 2 NW PARDEEVILLE 43.55N 89.33W
07/17/2013 M105 F COLUMBIA WI MESONET

PARDEEVILLE RAWS PEEW3 HEAT INDEX. TEMP 95 TD 73. UPDATE

0223 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT WATERFORD 42.76N 88.22W
07/17/2013 M104 F RACINE WI CO-OP OBSERVER

HEAT INDEX 104, TEMP. 90.2, DEW POINT 77 COOP OBSERVER
WFDW3.

0252 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT MILWAUKEE INTERNATIONAL 42.94N 87.90W
07/17/2013 M103 F MILWAUKEE WI ASOS

KMKE HEAT INDEX. TEMP 95 TD 71. UPDATE

0253 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT KENOSHA AIRPORT 42.60N 87.93W
07/17/2013 M100 F KENOSHA WI ASOS

KENW HEAT INDEX. TEMP 93 TD 71.

0255 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT WATERTOWN AIRPORT 43.17N 88.72W
07/17/2013 M101 F JEFFERSON WI AWOS

KRYV HEAT INDEX. TEMP 92 TD 73.

0258 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT WEST ALLIS 43.01N 88.03W
07/17/2013 M101 F MILWAUKEE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAT INDEX 101, TEMP. 92, DEW PT. 73 - DAVIS VANTAGE VUE
WEATHER STATION.

0300 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 2 E JACKSON 43.32N 88.12W
07/17/2013 M103 F WASHINGTON WI MESONET

JAKSN HEAT INDEX. TEMP 93 TD 74. UPDATE

0304 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT JACKSON 43.32N 88.16W
07/17/2013 M103 F WASHINGTON WI CO-OP OBSERVER

HEAT INDEX 103, TEMP. 93, DEW PT. 73 COOP OBSERVER JACW3

0305 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT NWS SULLIVAN/MILWAUKEE 42.97N 88.55W
07/17/2013 M108 F JEFFERSON WI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

KMKX HEAT INDEX. TEMP 93 TD 78. UPDATE

0330 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT MILTON 42.78N 88.95W
07/17/2013 M104 F ROCK WI MESONET

MLTON HEAT INDEX. TEMP 94 TD 73. UPDATE


&&
UPDATED WITH LATEST AVAILABLE MAXIMUM OBSERVED HEAT INDEX VALUES FOR
TODAY.
$$

CRAVEN

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KPBZ [172109]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 172109
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
509 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW WHITE OAK 40.33N 79.82W
07/17/2013 ALLEGHENY PA PUBLIC

WATER COVERING ROUTE 48


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1302566

$$

FRIES

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KPBZ [172105]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 172105
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
504 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0457 PM FLASH FLOOD VERSAILLES 40.32N 79.83W
07/17/2013 ALLEGHENY PA 911 CALL CENTER

VEHICLE STUCK IN THE WATER ON ROADWAY AND FLOODING
GOING INTO LOCAL BUSINESS


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1302565

$$

RCC

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KRNK [172102]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 172102
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
501 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0450 PM HAIL DRAPER 37.00N 80.77W
07/17/2013 E0.25 INCH PULASKI VA PUBLIC

PEA SIZE HAIL


&&

$$

MSPORER

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KCAE [172104]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 172104
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
501 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0442 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NE NEW ELLENTON 33.44N 81.66W
07/17/2013 AIKEN SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN NEAR NEW ELLENTON



&&

$$

HC/BC

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KTBW [172101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 172101
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
501 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0412 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 N BRANDON 28.00N 82.30W
07/17/2013 HILLSBOROUGH FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

NUMEROUS REPORTS OF LARGE OAK TREES DOWN. SOME TREES DOWN
ON HOMES.


&&

$$

BMROCZKA

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KPBZ [172101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 172101
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
501 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0453 PM FLASH FLOOD ELIZABETH 40.27N 79.89W
07/17/2013 ALLEGHENY PA 911 CALL CENTER

BOSTON HOLLOW ROAD FLOODED


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1302564

$$

FRIES

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KJKL [172101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 172101
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
500 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0424 PM HAIL PINEVILLE 36.76N 83.70W
07/17/2013 E0.25 INCH BELL KY 911 CALL CENTER


&&

$$

DSTAMPER

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KGSP [172100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 172100
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
500 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0436 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SE CONNELLY SPRINGS 35.73N 81.47W
07/17/2013 BURKE NC BROADCAST MEDIA

MEDIA REPORTED TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES ON KNOBS
LANDING.


&&

$$

LANE

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KGJT [172100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 172100
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
300 PM MDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0253 PM DEBRIS FLOW 5 NW TELLURIDE 37.99N 107.88W
07/17/2013 SAN MIGUEL CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

MUDSLIDE HAS CLOSED HWY 145 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF
TELLURIDE


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1301231

$$

DC

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KFFC [172058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 172058
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
458 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0440 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 NE WALESKA 34.37N 84.49W
07/17/2013 M3.00 INCH CHEROKEE GA EMERGENCY MNGR

THE CHEROKEE EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED 3 INCHES OF RAIN
IN 90 MINUTES NEAR SHARP TOP.


&&

$$

KFRANTZ

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KPBZ [172057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 172057
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
457 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0436 PM FLASH FLOOD ELIZABETH 40.27N 79.89W
07/17/2013 ALLEGHENY PA 911 CALL CENTER

BASEMENT FLOODING TRAPPING OCCUPANTS ON BOSTON HOLLOW
ROAD


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1302563

$$

FRIES

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KRNK [172057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 172057
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
457 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0410 PM HAIL 5 NW SUGAR GROVE 36.33N 81.85W
07/17/2013 E0.50 INCH WATAUGA NC PUBLIC

HAIL REPORTED ON MOUNTAIN DALE ROAD


&&

$$

MSPORER

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KCAE [172056]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 172056
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
454 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0435 PM HAIL 3 SSE ELKO 33.34N 81.35W
07/17/2013 E1.00 INCH BARNWELL SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

DISPATCH REPORTED 1 INCH HAIL AND TREES DOWN



&&

$$

HC/BC

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KGSP [172055]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 172055
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
455 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0410 PM TSTM WND DMG CLAREMONT 35.71N 81.15W
07/17/2013 CATAWBA NC TRAINED SPOTTER

MULTIPLE TREES DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF NORTH OXFORD
STREET AND HIGHWAY 70 WITH HIGHWAY 70 CLOSED.

0410 PM HAIL CLAREMONT 35.71N 81.15W
07/17/2013 E0.75 INCH CATAWBA NC TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME SIZED HAIL.


&&

$$

OUTLAW

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 419

WWUS20 KWNS 172054
SEL9
SPC WW 172054
IDZ000-MTZ000-180400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 419
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM MDT WED JUL 17 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND EASTERN IDAHO
WESTERN AND CENTRAL MONTANA

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM
UNTIL 1000 PM MDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES EAST
SOUTHEAST OF DILLON MONTANA TO 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF CUT BANK
MONTANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 416...WW 417...WW 418...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS NOW FORMING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CNTRL/NRN
ID AND WRN MT EXPECTED TO INCREASE AND MOVE/DEVELOP ENE OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS HEATING CONTINUES ALONG SRN FRINGE OF UPR
IMPULSE MOVING NEWD INTO BC/AB. 40+ KT SWLY DEEP SHEAR AND PRESENCE
OF AMPLE LOW-LVL MOISTURE/LOW-LVL SSELY FLOW E OF THE MOUNTAINS
SHOULD SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT ENE INTO THE NRN HIGH PLNS. POTENTIAL
WILL EXIST FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS AND SUSTAINED STORM CLUSTERS WITH
LARGE HAIL...LOCALLY DMGG WIND...AND PERHAPS A TORNADO THROUGH MID
EVE.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25025.


...CORFIDI

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KILM [172049]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 172049
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
449 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NW KINGSTREE 33.67N 79.84W
07/17/2013 WILLIAMSBURG SC DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORT OF LARGE TREE IN ROADWAY NEAR JOHNNY BOYS
EXPRESS AND SC 527. TIME OF EVENT ESTIMATED BY RADAR.


&&

EVENT NUMBER ILM1300234

$$

LACORTE

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1415

ACUS11 KWNS 172046
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172046
GAZ000-SCZ000-ALZ000-172145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1415
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0346 PM CDT WED JUL 17 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR WRN SC...NRN AND CNTRL GA...NRN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 172046Z - 172145Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A MARGINAL WIND DAMAGE THREAT MAY CONTINUE ACROSS NRN AND
CNTRL GA EXTENDING WWD INTO NRN AL AS CELLS INCREASE IN COVERAGE
THIS AFTERNOON. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED AND WW
ISSUANCE DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY.

DISCUSSION...SFC ANALYSIS CURRENTLY SHOWS A VERY MOIST AIRMASS IN
PLACE ACROSS MUCH THE GULF COAST STATES AND SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS
WITH SFC DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S F. THIS
COMBINED WITH TEMPS IN THE LOWER 90S F IS RESULTING IN MODERATE TO
STRONG INSTABILITY ACROSS MUCH OF AL AND GA. IN ADDITION TO THE
INSTABILITY...0-3 KM LAPSE RATES NEAR 8.0 C/KM SHOULD HELP ENHANCE
DOWNDRAFT ACCELERATION MAKING A FEW MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS
POSSIBLE.

..BROYLES/CORFIDI.. 07/17/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON 34928362 34948614 34818687 34398751 33958767 33408716
33038594 32848551 32628503 32438433 32508335 33038222
33898208 34378233 34768277 34928362

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KRNK [172044]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 172044
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
444 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0443 PM HAIL RADFORD 37.13N 80.57W
07/17/2013 E0.50 INCH CITY OF RADFORD VA PUBLIC

MOSTLY PEA SIZE HAIL WITH A FEW LARGER PIECES


&&

$$

MSPORER

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KPBZ [172041]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 172041
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
441 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0431 PM FLASH FLOOD LINCOLN 40.29N 79.85W
07/17/2013 ALLEGHENY PA 911 CALL CENTER

LIBERTY WAY IS FLOODED


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1302562

$$

RCC

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KMRX [172041]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 172041
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
441 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0427 PM HAIL 4 SSE BRISTOL TN 36.51N 82.17W
07/17/2013 E1.00 INCH SULLIVAN TN TRAINED SPOTTER

ONE INCH HAIL REPORTED AT THE INTERSECTION OF WEAVER PIKE
AND OLD JONESBORO RD.


&&

$$

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KFFC [172038]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 172038
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
438 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0437 PM HAIL 3 S PALMETTO 33.48N 84.67W
07/17/2013 E1.75 INCH COWETA GA PUBLIC


&&

$$

AGIBBS

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KJKL [172037]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 172037
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
437 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0410 PM HAIL WASIOTO 36.75N 83.69W
07/17/2013 E1.00 INCH BELL KY PUBLIC

HAIL SO HEAVY CANNOT SEE. HAS BEEN ONGOING FOR 5 MINS.


&&

$$

TBREWER

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KFFC [172035]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 172035
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
433 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0432 PM HAIL 3 S PALMETTO 33.48N 84.67W
07/17/2013 E1.00 INCH COWETA GA PUBLIC


&&

$$

AGIBBS

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KPBZ [172034]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 172034
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
434 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM TSTM WND DMG VERSAILLES 40.32N 79.83W
07/17/2013 ALLEGHENY PA PUBLIC

SEVERAL LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF OF TREES ON SECOND
STREET


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1302561

$$

FRIES

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KRNK [172032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 172032
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
432 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0410 PM HAIL 1 ESE SEVEN DEVILS 36.14N 81.79W
07/17/2013 E0.25 INCH WATAUGA NC COCORAHS

PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED NEAR BANNER ELK


&&

$$

MSPORER

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KLCH [172032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 172032
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
332 PM CDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM TSTM WND GST 2 E ABBEVILLE 29.97N 92.09W
07/17/2013 M37.00 MPH VERMILION LA AWOS

ABBEVILLE AWOS...KIYA...MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 37 MPH.


&&

$$

13

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KFFC [172031]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 172031
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
431 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0429 PM HAIL 3 S PALMETTO 33.48N 84.67W
07/17/2013 E0.75 INCH COWETA GA PUBLIC


&&

$$

AGIBBS

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KPBZ [172027]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 172027
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
426 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0418 PM TSTM WND DMG FOREST HILLS 40.42N 79.85W
07/17/2013 ALLEGHENY PA 911 CALL CENTER

TREES AND WIRES DOWN ON MARION AVE. IN FOREST HILLS


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1302560

$$

RCC

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KCAE [172026]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 172026
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
424 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0349 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SE ELGIN 34.15N 80.76W
07/17/2013 KERSHAW SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

SC HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED TREES DOWN ON
LARRY JEFFERS ROAD.



&&

$$

WLR

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 418

WWUS20 KWNS 172022
SEL8
SPC WW 172022
MEZ000-NHZ000-180400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 418
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
420 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MAINE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 420 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT
EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
NUMEROUS DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHWEST
OF MOUNT WASHINGTON NEW HAMPSHIRE TO 10 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
CARIBOU MAINE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 416...WW 417...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS NOW FORMING IN ZONE OF WAA ALONG WEAK WARM FRONT
IN ERN ME/WRN NB EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTN. AMPLE DEEP SHEAR/BUOYANCY EXIST IN THE REGION FOR A FEW
SUSTAINED STORMS/POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL...HIGH
WIND...AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO. ADDITIONAL STORMS LIKELY WILL AFFECT
NRN ME AND NH LATER THIS EVE AS UPSTREAM SQLN CONTINUES TO EVOLVE
DOWNSTREAM FROM SHORTWAVE IMPULSE CROSSING THE UPR RGT LKS. THIS
ACTIVITY MAY POSE A SOMEWHAT MORE WIDESPREAD SVR THREAT...MAINLY IN
THE FORM OF LOCALLY DMGG WIND...THIS EVE INTO TNGT AS THE STORMS
MOVE/DEVELOP MAINLY ESE WITH STRENGTHENING DEEP WIND FIELD.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31025.


...CORFIDI

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1414

ACUS11 KWNS 172022
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172022
WYZ000-MTZ000-IDZ000-172145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1414
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0322 PM CDT WED JUL 17 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN ID...WRN MT...NW WY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 172022Z - 172145Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...CONVECTIVE INITIATION IS ONGOING/EXPECTED SOON ACROSS AND
IN THE IMMEDIATELY LEE OF THE NRN ROCKIES. STORM COVERAGE SHOULD BE
AT LEAST SCATTERED WITH SOME SVR STORMS LIKELY. AREA WILL BE
MONITORED FOR A POTENTIAL WW.

DISCUSSION...RECENT SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A SFC LOW IN THE ERN ID
PANHANDLE WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS SW MT AND INTO NW WY.
ADDITIONALLY...A THERMAL TROUGH EXTENDS SWD FROM THE SFC LOW THROUGH
CNTRL ID. BOTH OF THESE FEATURES ARE LOOSELY ASSOCIATED WITH A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS ERN WA. AS THIS SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVES NEWD...THE ASSOCIATED FEATURES WILL MOVE NELY AS WELL.

TRENDS IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST CONVECTIVE INITIATION IS
ONGOING OR WILL LIKELY OCCUR SOON ACROSS AND IN THE IMMEDIATE LEE OF
THE NRN ROCKIES. THIS AREA IS CHARACTERIZED BY TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S. MESOANALYSIS
INDICATES MLCAPE IS AROUND 1000-1500 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR IS
AROUND 40 TO 50 KT...WHICH IS MORE THAN SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED
CONVECTION AND POSSIBLY A FEW SUPERCELLS. PRIMARY THREATS ARE LARGE
HAIL AND STRONG WINDS...BUT A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE THE SURFACE WINDS ARE ELY. SOME
UPSCALE GROWTH IS POSSIBLE WITH AN ASSOCIATED TRANSITION TO A
PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS. TRENDS ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE
MONITORED FOR A POTENTIAL WW.

..MOSIER/CORFIDI.. 07/17/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...RIW...TFX...PIH...MSO...OTX...

LAT...LON 44461400 46531573 48171629 48871598 48971502 48591313
47871140 44860914 43720940 44461400

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KPBZ [172022]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 172022
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
422 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM TSTM WND DMG PITCAIRN 40.41N 79.78W
07/17/2013 ALLEGHENY PA 911 CALL CENTER

TREES AND WIRES DOWN ON CENTER AVE AND FIFTH


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1302559

$$

FRIES

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KCAE [172021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 172021 CCA
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
402 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0346 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 W LUGOFF 34.23N 80.73W
07/17/2013 KERSHAW SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

SC HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTING TREES DOWN ON SC
34 AT 25 MILE CREEK



&&

$$

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KCAE [172021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KCAE 172021 CCA
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
402 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0346 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 W LUGOFF 34.23N 80.73W
07/17/2013 KERSHAW SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

SC HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTING TREES DOWN ON SC
34 AT 25 MILE CREEK


&&

$$

HC

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KPBZ [172020]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 172020
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
420 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0412 PM TSTM WND DMG NORTH VERSAILLES 40.38N 79.81W
07/17/2013 ALLEGHENY PA 911 CALL CENTER

TREES AND WIRES DOWN ON WALMART DRIVE


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1302558

$$

FRIES

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KMFL [172015]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KMFL 172015
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
415 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0757 AM TSTM WND GST 8 SSE KEY BISCAYNE 25.59N 80.10W
07/17/2013 M46.00 MPH AMZ651 FL BUOY

WIND GUST FROM FOWEY ROCKS BOUY OF 46 KNOTS AT 757 AM

0800 AM FLOOD 5 NW MIAMI BEACH 25.86N 80.18W
07/17/2013 MIAMI-DADE FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

MIAMI SHORES POLICE DEPARTMENT REPORTED 9600 BLOCK OF NE
6TH AVENUE WAS FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE.

0810 AM FLOOD 4 NNW CORAL GABLES 25.78N 80.30W
07/17/2013 MIAMI-DADE FL PUBLIC

FLOODING LED TO STALLED VEHICLES ALONG NW 7TH ST BETWEEN
NW 57TH AND 72ND AVE IN THE CITY OF MIAMI JUST SOUTH OF
MIAMI INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.

0835 AM FLOOD 5 NW MIAMI BEACH 25.86N 80.17W
07/17/2013 MIAMI-DADE FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

MIAMI SHORES POLICE DEPARTMENT REPORTED FLOODED AND
IMPASSIBLE ROADWAYS IN VICINITY OF NE 12TH AVE BETWEEN
95TH ST AND 98TH ST.

1035 AM FLOOD 2 WNW CORAL SPRINGS 26.28N 80.29W
07/17/2013 BROWARD FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED WATER UP TO WHEELS OF VEHICLES CORAL
SPRINGS AREA NEAR NW 126TH ST AND NW 39TH AVE

1110 AM FLOOD 5 N FORT LAUDERDALE 26.19N 80.14W
07/17/2013 BROWARD FL NEWSPAPER

SUN SENTINEL REPORTED FLOODING IN OAKLAND PARK ON
COMMERCIAL BLVD BETWEEN ANDREWS AND DIXIE HIGHWAY AND ON
NE 6TH AVE.

1110 AM FLOOD 4 N FORT LAUDERDALE 26.17N 80.14W
07/17/2013 BROWARD FL NEWSPAPER

FLOODING REPORTED ON NORTHEAST 6TH AVENUE IN OAKLAND
PARK.


&&

$$

SKONARIK

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KGSP [172014]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 172014
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
414 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0339 PM HAIL STONY POINT 35.87N 81.05W
07/17/2013 E0.88 INCH ALEXANDER NC NWS EMPLOYEE

NICKEL SIZED HAIL RELAYED BY BLACKSBURG WEATHER OFFICE.


&&

$$

OUTLAW

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KMKX [172014]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 172014
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
313 PM CDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0304 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT JACKSON 43.32N 88.16W
07/17/2013 M103 F WASHINGTON WI CO-OP OBSERVER

HEAT INDEX 103, TEMP. 93, DEW PT. 73 COOP OBSERVER JACW3


&&

$$

BHAHN

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KMKX [172012]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 172012
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
312 PM CDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0253 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT KENOSHA AIRPORT 42.60N 87.93W
07/17/2013 M100 F KENOSHA WI ASOS

KENW HEAT INDEX. TEMP 93 TD 71.

0255 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT WATERTOWN AIRPORT 43.17N 88.72W
07/17/2013 M101 F JEFFERSON WI AWOS

KRYV HEAT INDEX. TEMP 92 TD 73.


&&

$$

CRAVEN

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1413

ACUS11 KWNS 172009
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172008
MEZ000-NHZ000-VTZ000-172145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1413
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0308 PM CDT WED JUL 17 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...MAINE...NRN NH...NRN VT

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 172008Z - 172145Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A SEVERE THREAT IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP ACROSS MAINE...NRN NH
AND NRN VT OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS. WIND DAMAGE AND ISOLATED
LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. WATCH ISSUANCE WILL LIKELY
BE NEEDED BY 21Z ACROSS THE REGION.

DISCUSSION...THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF
AGITATED CUMULUS OVER NRN MAINE WITH DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS
LOCATED NEAR THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY. THE CELLS IN SRN QUEBEC ARE
BEING SUPPORTED BY A MINOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY. SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS AN AXIS OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE EXTENDING
FROM LAKE ONTARIO NEWD TO NEAR THE MAINE-CANADA BORDER WHERE SFC
DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S F. THIS HAS RESULTED IN
MODERATE DESTABILIZATION WITH MLCAPE VALUES ESTIMATED IN THE 1000 TO
2000 J/KG. IN ADDITION...REGIONAL WSR-88D VWPS SHOW 0-6 KM SHEAR
VALUES IN THE 40 TO 50 KT RANGE WHICH ALONG WITH STEEP LOW-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES SHOULD SUPPORT SEVERE STORMS WITH WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL.
THE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT MAY ALSO SUPPORT SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT.
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL COULD OCCUR WITH CELLS THAT OBTAIN ROTATION.

..BROYLES/CORFIDI.. 07/17/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BTV...

LAT...LON 45947040 45107190 44717233 44177222 43637155 43977018
45176846 46256790 47066788 47286821 47336874 47326914
47116949 45947040

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KCAE [172003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 172003
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
402 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0346 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 W LUGOFF 34.23N 80.73W
07/17/2013 KERSHAW SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

SC HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTING TREES DOWN ON SC
34 AT 25 MILE CREEK RD



&&

$$

HC

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KTBW [172000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 172000
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
400 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0352 PM TSTM WND GST 5 NNW TAMPA 28.03N 82.50W
07/17/2013 M57 MPH HILLSBOROUGH FL TRAINED SPOTTER

SKYWARN SPOTTER MEASURED WIND GUST TO 57 MPH AT 352 PM.


&&

$$

TD

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KMKX [172000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 172000
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
300 PM CDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0258 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT WEST ALLIS 43.01N 88.03W
07/17/2013 M101 F MILWAUKEE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAT INDEX 101, TEMP. 92, DEW PT. 73 - DAVIS VANTAGE VUE
WEATHER STATION.


&&

$$

BHAHN

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KMKX [171957]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 171957
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
257 PM CDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0152 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT MILWAUKEE INTERNATIONAL 42.94N 87.90W
07/17/2013 M101 F MILWAUKEE WI ASOS

KMKE HEAT INDEX. TEMP 94 TD 71.

0153 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT SHEBOYGAN AIRPORT 43.77N 87.85W
07/17/2013 M100 F SHEBOYGAN WI ASOS

KSBM HEAT INDEX. TEMP 92 TD 72.


&&

$$

CRAVEN

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KPBZ [171950]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 171950
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
350 PM EDT WED JUL 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0325 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW EMERICKVILLE 41.15N 79.01W
07/17/2013 JEFFERSON PA 911 CALL CENTER

TREES DOWN BLOCKING THE PASSING LANE ON I-80 AT MILE
MARKER 84.8


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1302557

$$

FRIES

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 171948
SWODY1
SPC AC 171946

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0246 PM CDT WED JUL 17 2013

VALID 172000Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE NRN ROCKIES AREA...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE UPPER PENINSULA OF
MI...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE NERN STATES...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A PORTION OF THE CAROLINAS
INCLUDING THE SRN APPALAHIANS AREA...

...DISCUSSION...

HAVE INCLUDED A SLIGHT RISK FOR THE SRN APPALACHIANS AND CAROLINAS
WHERE NUMEROUS STORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN WARM SECTOR...THE MOUNTAINS
AND ALONG SEABREEZE BOUNDARIES. STRONG HEATING OF THE VERY MOIST
SURFACE LAYER HAS STEEPENED LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND BOOSTED MLCAPE
TO 2500-3000 J/KG. THIS REGION RESIDES WITHIN BELT OF 15-20 KT NELY
DEEP LAYER WINDS ALONG SERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER RIDGE. SOME OF THE
STORMS MAY CONSOLIDATE INTO LINE SEGMENTS OR CLUSTERS AS THEY
DEVELOP SWWD WITH A THREAT OF MAINLY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

ELSEWHERE...FORECAST APPEARS ON TRACK WITH NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THIS
UPDATE.

..DIAL.. 07/17/2013

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1131 AM CDT WED JUL 17 2013/

...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG...EXPANSIVE...ELONGATED RIDGE WILL PERSIST FROM THE CNTRL/NRN
PLAINS E INTO THE WRN ATLANTIC THROUGH THU AS NM UPR LOW CONTINUES
STEADILY WSWWD. ON THE NWRN EXTENSION OF THE RIDGE...POTENT
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER WA/ORE SHOULD SOMEWHAT WEAKEN AS IT
ADVANCES NE INTO CONFLUENT FLOW OVER SRN BC/AB. FARTHER E ACROSS SRN
CANADA...PATTERN WILL BE DOMINATED BY STRENGTHENING WNW FLOW ON SRN
EDGE OF DEEP VORTEX OVER HUDSON BAY. AN AMPLIFYING SHORTWAVE IMPULSE
IN THIS JET...NOW OVER NW ONT...SHOULD CONTINUE E/SE INTO WRN QUE BY
EARLY THU.

COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SRN CANADIAN JET ATTM EXTENDS FROM
CNTRL QUE WSW ACROSS LK SUPERIOR TO THE UPR MS VLY. FROM THERE THE
BOUNDARY CONTINUES GENERALLY W AND NW INTO THE NRN RCKYS. THE WRN
END OF THE FRONT SHOULD REDEVELOP N ACROSS MT LATER TODAY IN
RESPONSE TO THE NWD ADVANCE OF ORE/WA IMPULSE...AND COULD SERVE AS A
FOCUS FOR STRONG TO SVR STORMS OVER THE NRN RCKYS/NRN HI PLNS. THE
ERN PART OF THE FRONT...MEANWHILE...SHOULD ACCELERATE ESE ACROSS
PARTS OF ONT AND QUE. STRONG TO SVR STORMS FORMING ALONG AND AHEAD
OF THE BOUNDARY COULD AFFECT PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST LATER THIS AFTN
AND EVE.

ELSEWHERE...TSTM POTENTIAL SHOULD BE MORE PULSE IN NATURE AND TIED
LARGELY TO WEAK DISTURBANCES ROTATING AROUND THE IMMEDIATE FRINGE OF
THE CNTRL/ERN U.S. RIDGE.

...NRN/ERN WA TO NRN RCKYS/NRN HI PLNS TODAY THROUGH EARLY TNGT...
ADDITIONAL SCTD TSTMS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER NRN AND ERN WA LATER
THIS MORNING ...AND OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NRN ID AND WRN MT
THROUGH THE AFTN...AS SFC HEATING FURTHER DESTABILIZES REGION
DOWNSTREAM FROM ORE/WA UPR TROUGH. AMPLE MOISTURE /PW AOA 1 INCH/
PRESENT ABOVE RELATIVELY DRY AND WARM BOUNDARY LAYER...COUPLED WITH
STEEP MID-LVL LAPSE RATES AND 40 KT/LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL MID-LVL
FLOW...WILL CREATE AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINED
STORMS/SUPERCELLS WITH A RISK FOR SVR WIND AND HAIL. LATER THIS AFTN
INTO THIS EVE...STORMS ALSO MAY FORM/DEVELOP NEWD ACROSS THE PLAINS
OF CNTRL/NRN MT...WHERE LOW-LVL MOISTURE AND UPLIFT WILL BE FOCUSED
INVOF NWD-MOVING FRONT. WHILE LOW-LVL SHEAR SHOULD REMAIN
MODEST...GIVEN THE LIKELY PRESENCE OF DISCRETE STORMS AND BACKED SFC
FLOW NEAR FRONT...THESE MAY POSE A RISK OF A TORNADO IN ADDITION TO
LARGE HAIL/DMGG WIND.

...NRN NY INTO NRN NEW ENGLAND TODAY THROUGH EARLY TNGT...
WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDGING WILL PERSIST TODAY OVER REGION...ALONG WITH
LOW-LVL WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT INVOF SHALLOW WARM FRONT IN NRN/ERN
ME. SFC HEATING...TERRAIN CIRCULATIONS...AND WAA TOGETHER MAY
INITIATE SCTD TSTMS OVER PARTS OF ME AND NH THIS AFTN...WHERE
BUOYANCY AND 30+ KT WNWLY DEEP SHEAR MAY PROVE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW
STORMS WITH SVR WIND/HAIL.

LATER TODAY...ESE ACCELERATION OF QUE COLD FRONT/PREFRONTAL TROUGH
MAY YIELD A BAND OF ADDITIONAL STORMS OVER SRN QUE AND THE ST
LAWRENCE VLY. THIS ACTIVITY COULD APPROACH THE U.S. BORDER LATE IN
THE AFTN...WITH OTHER STORMS CONTINUING TO MOVE/DEVELOP ESE INTO THE
REGION AFTER DARK. GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING WNWLY MID-LVL FLOW /WITH
SPEEDS AROUND 40 KTS BY 00Z/ WILL PROVIDE AMPLE DEEP SHEAR FOR
SUSTAINED STORMS AND PERHAPS A FEW EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS POSING A RISK
FOR SVR WIND...HAIL... AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO. WHILE THE STORMS
COULD PERSIST INTO LATE TNGT...THE SVR THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY
DIMINISH WITH DIURNAL COOLING AND INCREASING SWD EXTENT.

...UPR MS VLY TO UPR GRT LKS THIS AFTN...
MODERATE DEEPLY UNIDIRECTIONAL W TO WNW FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS NRN
MN AND NRN PORTIONS OF WI AND MI TODAY ON SRN EDGE OF THE WLYS.
WHILE THE WLY FLOW WILL SUBSTANTIALLY DECREASE WITH SWD
EXTENT...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT REGION WILL BE AT LEAST
GLANCED BY THE FAR SRN EDGE OF LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE IMPULSE NOW
OVER WRN ONT. WITH STRONG SFC HEATING...EXPECT TSTMS TO FORM THIS
AFTN ALONG STALLED FRONT OVER THE REGION...AND/OR ALONG LAKE BREEZE
BOUNDARIES. UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW PARALLEL TO THE BOUNDARIES COULD
SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF BOTH FORWARD-PROPAGATING LINE SEGMENTS/SMALL
BOWS AND BACK-BUILDING EPISODES FROM CNTRL MN EWD INTO NRN WI AND
UPR MI. WHILE DEEP SHEAR WILL BE MARGINAL FOR SUSTAINED SVR
STORMS...GIVEN DEGREE OF SFC-BASED BUOYANCY /MLCAPE AOA 2500 J PER
KG/...THE ACTIVITY COULD YIELD SCTD INSTANCES OF SVR WIND AND HAIL.

...ERN/SERN STATES THIS AFTN...
WITH LITTLE CHANGE HAVING OCCURRED IN THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN ACROSS
REGION...SFC HEATING SHOULD RESULT IN ANOTHER ROUND OF
SCTD...LARGELY DIURNAL STORMS IN WEAKLY CAPPED ENVIRONMENT ON ERN
AND SRN PERIPHERY OF CNTRL/ERN STATES RIDGE. BASED ON THE CURRENT
SFC DATA AND THE 12Z RAOBS...LOW TO MID-LVL LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE
STEEPEST ALONG AN ARC EXTENDING S/SW FROM WRN PA/WV ALONG THE SRN
APPALACHIANS INTO PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST...LARGELY COINCIDENT THE
BELT OF STRONGEST /20 KT/ LWR TROPOSPHERIC FLOW. GIVEN EXPECTED
STORM COVERAGE AND ABSENCE OF STRONG LOW-LVL FORCING...SETUP COULD
ONCE AGAIN YIELD A FEW S TO SW-MOVING STORM CLUSTERS WITH AN
ASSOCIATED RISK FOR LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY SVR
HAIL.

...CNTRL/SRN AZ THIS AFTN/EVE...
ANOMALOUS NLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL AT MID AND UPR LVLS ACROSS AZ TODAY
ON WRN SIDE OF APPROACHING UPR LOW. WHILE SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN
MODEST...PROFILES WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SWD PROPAGATION OF STORMS
OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN INTO THE LWR DESERTS IN THE SRN PART OF THE
STATE. WITH AMPLE MOISTURE ALSO IN PLACE TO FOSTER PROPAGATION ALONG
SWD-MOVING OUTFLOWS...SETUP MAY YIELD A FEW INSTANCES OF DMGG
WIND/HABOOB CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY THIS EVE THROUGH EARLY TNGT.

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